Anatoly: if AI ends up being a dud and doesn’t transform the world like you expect, are you just going to kill yourself?

I have no idea what AI will end up being, though I’ve read credible articles explaining how it should be very helpful for the discovery of therapeutic molecules and medicine in general, but the reaction to the release of ChatGPT has tremendous resemblance to the excitement that preceded the Year 2000 flop, for those old enough to remember.

You are being nasty.

OTOH, I was reading recently about the costs of running AI being so high that today it is far from certain there is profit to be made from it. However, I believe that the Technosphere has an evolutionary logic of its own and cost benefit analysis doesn’t cut it in this situation.

I believe AK is right and AI will be strongly disruptive, more than the internet was 30 something years ago. ChatGPT3+ probably is to future AI what usenet was to today’s internet.

And no, they will probably not be able to limit its evolution/expansion.

And yet despite the .com debacle, here we are in the nascent IOT world where we no longer imagine our existence without the web.

If I go to the unz home page and look at the posts with most comments in the last month this is what I see:

Karlin Community
Open Thread 216
Karlin Community
Open Thread 217
Ron Unz
Did a Russian Missile Strike Kill 200 NATO Officers in a Ukrainian Bunker?
Ron Unz
Did the Neocons Save the World from the Thucydides Trap?
Karlin Community
Open Thread 215
Ron Unz
Dislodging the Neocons, Difficult But Necessary

Anatoly Karlin has repudiated us but he has created an egregore with legs. Are you familiar with the Mickey Mouse playing with his boss Sorcerer’s hat in Fantasia? This is not a bad metaphor for OpenAI creating a super intelligent AI beyond human control.

I tried but was unable to squish the phrase metaphor for forester in there.

Mickey @ his best:

He will probably become a GAE-Lord, as in, a Lord of the Greater American Empire, especially if Russia will experience a color revolution and turn towards the West again. He might also try playing the grift game due to his quarter-Lak heritage, which can make him a person of color in liberal eyes.

Much has been made of Trump saying he would end the fight in Ukraine in 24 hours.

-1- The time frame is clearly not serious. It is *exaggerated in a humorous way*. Anyone who thinks that number was intended to be taken seriously has entirely missed the comic strategy:
• At the top level it reminds viewers, in a funny way, of Not-The-President Biden’s lethargy and absence from the world stage.
• It also cuts off potential aggressive reporter follow up with “When?” based questions as he can repeat the same comic time frame.

-2- Trump’s 2nd term goals include repairing the relationship between Russia & America. A good starting point would be emulating Israel’s stance towards the Kiev regime. No munitions, no war funding, no intelligence support. This *obviously takes longer than 24 hours*. For example, there are intelligence specialists on the ground in Ukraine that need to be evacuated before Trump can put the a ultimatum to Zelensky.

Pushing Putin and Xi together was an serious error by Not-The-President. Bringing Christian Russia and Christian America closer together is necessary to repair this damage done by the current unelected White House occupant.

PEACE 😇

According to Strelkov’s current musings, it is insider Kremlin situational coalition, consisting of First Deputy Chief of Staff of the Presidential Administration of Russia Kirienko, who is “waging war” (together with putinist oligarch banker Kovalchuk and Prigozhin) against Shoigu now.

https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/24083

Judging strictly from ethnic angle those first three all have one Jewish parent (Kirienko, Prigo father side, Kovalchuk’s mother was Jewish), so it’s putinist Jews infighting with half-asian Shoigu with a Tuvan father and probably Jewish mother IIRC

Judging from political angle those are two Yeltsin era politicians infighting in Kremlin – former Yeltsin short term prime minister clashing with former long term Yeltsin minister Shoigu, but together with two St. Petersburg era putinist “Ozero” political-criminal gang members.

Sergei Kiriyenko’s grandfather, Yakov Israitel, made his name as a devoted communist and member of the Cheka and Vladimir Lenin awarded him with an inscribed pistol for his good service to the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. Sergei Kiriyenko, son of a Jewish father was born in Sukhumi, the capital of the Abkhaz ASSR, and grew up in Sochi, in southern Russia. He adopted the Ukrainian surname of his mother.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergey_Kiriyenko

In February 1991, Kovalchuk became vice president of the Association of Joint Ventures of St. Petersburg (ASP). Vladimir Putin, the chairman of the committee on external relations, supervised the association from the city government side. The cooperation grew into a strong friendship, and in 1996 they established a notorious dacha cooperative “Ozero” near Priozersk. Later, all its members became billionaires or high-ranking officials.

In the same 1991, Kovalchuk took part in the re-establishment of the Rossiya Bank, organized in 1990 to service the regional committee of the Communist Party and the KGB. The bank’s activities were suspended after the 1991 August coup but soon the mayor of St. Petersburg Anatoly Sobchak instructed Putin to create a foundation based on the bank for stabilizing the economy of St. Petersburg and the region. In December 1991, Putin sold the bank shares to members of the ASP, including Kovalchuk. In December 1992, Kovalchuk became Deputy Chairman of the Board of Directors of the bank. Soon, the city administration began using the bank for its foreign economic operations.

https://www.spisok-putina.org/en/personas/kovalchuk-5/

Don’t underestimate how easy it would be to end the war quickly. Trump is familiar with ir and doesn’t suffer from the neo-con anti-Russian hysteria – uniquely among the Western politicians. To end the war, Kiev has to accept only two realities:
– there will not be Nato in Ukraine
– the Russians in Ukraine will have normal human rights, schools, language, etc…

Whether it means that Ukraine loses 5% or 25% of its territory depends on how long the war goes on and whether Russia goes for all the marbles or decides to settle for a Minsk-plus compromise.

The Biden-UK war option – sorry, I don’t know the name of the current Indian ruler of Britain – is to fight to victory: on to Moscow!!! Or Crimea. It is not going to work, they will only waste human lives and resources.

If Trump calls Zelko and tell him to settle on the above terms, Kiev will have to do it. That’s why the neocons will move mountains to prevent Trump becoming President. Or Trump betrays and quietly promises a crazy escalation against Russia – I don’t know, he is sometimes very weak and hard to understand, the “Bolton” thing, etc…

To end the war, Kiev has to accept only two realities:
– there will not be Nato in Ukraine
– the Russians in Ukraine will have normal human rights, schools, language, etc…

Whether it means that Ukraine loses 5% or 25% of its territory depends on how long the war goes on and whether Russia goes for all the marbles or decides to settle for a Minsk-plus compromise.

Locking in something close to the current line makes a great deal of sense. Allowing an India/Pakistan style movement period for those on the “wrong” side of the border fixes most of the language & education issues.

Don’t underestimate how easy it would be to end the war quickly
….
If Trump calls Zelko and tell him to cut it out and settle on the above terms, Kiev will have to do it.

There is work that has to be done before such a call.

• Making sure that truly sensitive technology & information cannot be grabbed and sold to Iran or China.
• Moving Americans out of harms way. While Zelensky would not order a hit, an 18 year old with a rifle could take matters into his own hands.

After the call the outcome would be inevitable, but the timing is hard to predict. My hope is that Zelensky would get on a plane and immediately fly to his European sincure. From there he could resign, allowing a sane government to form Kiev.

However, he might do something crazy. Attempting to fight on with only European support would be foolish, but Zelensky might try it.

hard to understand, the “Bolton” thing, etc…)

It is an artifact of the U.S. system. Cabinet officials require Senate confirmation. And, MAGA never had a majority in the Senate. Mitch McConnell put his wife, Elaine Chao, into the administration. End running this impediment by relying on family (e.g. Jared Kushner) works after a fashion, however that technique has its own limitations.

Trump’s 2nd term will have a more MAGA senate. This will lead to a better cabinet and less family entanglement. However, it still will not be 100% perfect.

“Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable — the art of the next best” ― Otto von Bismarck

PEACE 😇

AI is about control not profit or progress.

The Sorcerer’s Apprentice is a great analogy for people doing AI. Thinking (self-consciousness and free will) are the fundamental human characteristics. He who can replicate this on a computer is a demigod and he who controls it is a god, or so they believe.

A crucial job of the NeoNazis who I believe are woven into parts of the Ukrainian system is to make capitulation very difficult for Ukrainian power brokers who would try to make this choice.

The view has been widely sold that this is just a typical Eastern European war, with “Russia Bad” sensibilities and the “Enemy of my enemy is my friend” logic. It is not, it is the opening round of World War 3. If Trump (or anyone) wants to stop things before it is too late they need to open their eyes and clarify their thinking. I don’t believe Russia will accept a resolution that leaves them vulnerable to another round of this in a few years (possibly in a different border country) or accusations of being weak at home.

Where do all the bodies and the wounded go on both sides?

Is there ANYTHING leaking out on this subject?

I recall that they said that IBM Watson would be used to fight cancer. Maybe, it was, but the only thing I remember appearing about it in the media was that it was being used to predict which movies would be blockbusters ahead of their release by reading the general buzz about them on the net – seemed like a letdown.

…I don’t believe Russia will accept a resolution that leaves them vulnerable to another round of this in a few years or accusations of being weak at home.

I agree, it makes it existential for Russia. The West chose to pretend that it is also existential for them. Kiev is just along for the ride and to provide warm bodies.

Russia put a lot of thought and planning into deciding to go for the war. They were patient for the previous 8 years, finally they were either ready or something snapped. There are fools dreaming of an easy victory over Russia – here too – but the escalation ladder is in Russia’s favor: they can match and outlast anything Nato and Kiev do. If they want to do it, that was something they had to consider.

The Nazi issue in Ukraine is real, but if there is a decision to go for peace, they would be handled. It is mulatto does his work, mulatto can go home situation. The leaders are controlled – the rank-and-file would be disposed of. You don’t really think that a few ten thousands angry men with tattoos and weird ideas will decide mankind’s future?

There’s so much to discuss about what’s happening in the wider world right now, but so much chaos and danger too, with everyone seeming to treat so many issues with raw emotion, a lack of seriousness or carelessness, and without getting into the depth of some very complex issues. I was going to post a video about the “Great Refusal” as resistance to the “Great Reset” but sadly lost the link (might come back with that later). Still, understanding things like the horrors of wireless tracking of one’s physical health indicators like “the internet of bodies” is an obligatory must. For those interested with who knows what sort of bio-mechanical control mechanisms are coming …

https://www.rand.org/multimedia/video/2020/10/29/what-is-the-internet-of-bodies.html

https://www.rand.org/blog/articles/2020/10/the-internet-of-bodies-will-change-everything-for-better-or-worse.html

Otherwise, Elon Musk seeming to head on a collision course with “collective Jewry”, “Global Judaism” or “international Jewry” (however one calls it exactly) is very interesting news, but it seems unclear why that clash is unfolding right now … Perhaps Musk just got in over his head by condemning Soros (it also seems unclear whether George Soros is actually dead or not, probably his son Alexander has inherited most of his functions due to George’s old age by now anyway) … Hopefully Musk doesn’t end up like poor Kanye did …

It’s a shame I can’t just change this handle on Unz, but then sticking with a new one seems impossible to do due to some reason, so hopefully this comment gets through at all.

Nevertheless, maybe this should be another comment, but since Karlin was kind enough to grace his former commenters in the previous thread, I’ll just state that Karlin’s predictions about war and military outcomes, particularly the current Ukraine War unfolding, aren’t worth much (no offence intended) since his fundamental assumption that “Political Economy” (Karlin himself seemed to acknowledge that he doesn’t know any method beyond Political Economy for predicting war outcomes in a tweet of his) is the single most important variable in deciding the outcome of modern wars is seriously flawed. That’s why Karlin got the Taliban victory completely wrong. Political economy is also completely wrong for explaining outcome of Vietnam War.

Political economy is even wrong in explaining the success of Karlin’s beloved Tsarist Russia in WW1 with the military success (tactical and operational) of the 1916 Brusilov Offensive actually occurring against many indicators of political economy variables that Karlin espouses, like artillery ammunition production, and so on. To further explain with this example, Brusilov’s Offensive was actually much more successful than the simultaneous offensive of Brusilov’s fellow general to his North, Evert, to whom much more manpower and shells were allocated, but he barely made any breakthroughs, with a lot of Russian manpower and artillery ammunition being wasted through bad tactical and operational approaches. Brusilov’s Offensive in contrast achieved its gains through the skilled exploitation of surprise, creeping/stealthy encroachment on enemy positions (night movement and underground trench digging/frontline encroachment), with the judicious use of artillery ammunition in rapid bursts to surprise and precisely eliminate only the most important enemy targets. Any further debates about WW1 military history and how they go against Karlin’s much hyped value of political economy should probably cite historical sources and academic/intellectual works.

But since I’m critiquing Karlin’s assumptions of the importance of Political Economy, it’s only fair to offer a suggestion of what actually does explain military/wartime outcomes. That is, what some call “Force Employment” or perhaps more simply “Military skill” in any tactical, operational and/or strategic context.

This article explains a lot of what we’ve seen and probably will be seeing more of in Ukraine:

https://warontherocks.com/2022/11/ukraine-and-the-future-of-offensive-maneuver/

Military Power: Explaining Victory and Defeat in Modern Battle – Stephen Biddle. (This book is for a longer explanation of “Force Employment” or how military skill works with even mathematical formulas and historical examples from WW1 onwards used).

Biddle explains that the most basic problem of modern land warfare for attackers is the problem of offensive breakthrough. Meaning that attackers struggle to not only breakthrough an enemy defensive fortification or position (bypassing it isn’t always so simple, but possibility to avoid enemy fortifications and even heavy weapon receiving end explains why advanced technology is no “wunderwaffen”/miracle weapon in modern war), but to even maneuver to reach it to begin with in many cases. This inherently makes modern war conducive to stalemate. The value of politics, morale, weather, terrain, climate, quality of defensive fortifications and etc. should also be rated more than only political economy, or rather, it’s not that political economy is irrelevant, just that wars are a complex combination of both the former and the latter, and in many cases former variables can be more important than political economy.

“Military skill” can be a flimsy thing that needs to be carefully defined, but most anyone should intuitively know what it means, if none of this makes any sense to the uninformed.

The West chose to pretend that it is also existential for them.

This did not have to be existential for the empire, but now it is: the empire painted itself into a corner. It cannot get out of the situation without losing its world dominance less violently or destroying its dominance along with the world in WWIII. There are no longer any other options. The “West” is essentially the empire and its sidekicks. The decisions will be made by the empire, nobody will ask sidekicks for their opinions, even if they have any.

Kiev is just along for the ride and to provide warm bodies.

Ukraine is the provider of the battle ground and much (but not all) of the cannon fodder. The Kiev regime is a third-rate sidekick, a disposable glove on the imperial hand.

hard to understand, the “Bolton” thing, etc…)

It is an artifact of the U.S. system. Cabinet officials require Senate confirmation.

Bullcrap.

The National Security Advisor is appointed by the President and does not require confirmation by the United States Senate.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Security_Advisor_(United_States)

Bolton was being considered by Trump for his cabinet from the very beginning:

In an interview with conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt during the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign, Republican nominee Donald Trump named Bolton as a possible choice for Secretary of State. Appearing on Fox News’ Fox and Friends on December 1, 2016, Bolton admitted he was being considered as a Secretary of State candidate for the incoming Trump administration.[139][140] Several Trump associates claim Bolton was not chosen, in part, due to Trump’s disdain for Bolton’s signature mustache.[141]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Bolton#Speculation_on_position_(2016%E2%80%932017)

The good thing about candidate Trump is that he is a very well known quantity. We all have 4 full years of experience to evaluate how he would do in a second term. And in the best-case scenario he would again have RINO warmongers McCarthy and McConnell (or a similar successor to the latter) to contend with in Congress, after his loyalists’ poor electoral performance.

There seems a lot of potential for low-level AI in diagnosing and treatment, if it is ever allowed politically to remove the obstacles put up by special interests that prevent one from being able to go straight to a computer.

The last time I went to a medical doctor (this was ten years ago) he sat with his laptop and input my answers to his questions into a flowchart-tree-diagnosis program. He never touched my body but he did hold a stethoscope against my breastbone for 45 seconds. His nurse in the preliminary exam did handle my arm to attach and detach the blood pressure meter sleeve. Less than a minute. The nurse in the after-session did handle my arm and stick me with a syringe to extract blood. They might as well have been robots.

I forget statistics on the nurses but the doctor himself was definitely a fat slob. The message from the universe to me seemed unambiguous that you are on your own buddy.

This is the best post-GPT-hype on AI I have seen:

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=7266
5 worlds of AI, Scott Aaronson and Boaz Barak

They extracted a lot of blood. Four test tubes although there was only one needle stick. The idea that one small drop of blood would be sufficient for laboratory work might be the dumbest idea I have ever heard.

Recently watched the 1959 Disney movie ‘The Shaggy Dog.’

I don’t know much about this subject but Michio Kaku and others think that the real digital revolution to watch out for is quantum computing. He thinks that we may be about a decade away from it. Sounds more credible than the current media alarmism about an impending AI threat. Deep fake technology does seem to pose some challenges but we’ll survive them, obviously.

…the empire painted itself into a corner. It cannot get out of the situation without losing its world dominance less violently or destroying its dominance along with the world in WWIII.

It was a gradual process over decades: careers, hubris, ethnic hatreds, resentments. They could still take their toys and retreat. It would dramatically help their countries but at the expense of the loudmouths who pushed the confrontation. They won’t allow it.

Dominance is overrated, ia game concept far from the real life. The dollar dominance when exercised with restraint, and at least pretended at neutrality, was ok with the rest of the world. The occasional murderous attacks on smaller countries were annoying and hypocritical, but since they never accomplished much, the world could continue shrugging them off.

But they just had to go for the jugular. Now they are stuck – and the rest of the mankind with them. They climbed a tree, from branch to smaller branch, now stuck on a thin branch with no way back all that is left is to saw it off…or they can just sit there and yell at everyone. That’s what I think they will do…

The HMS Defender naval demonstration probably triggered the executive decision.

Lots of cross over with the Lynx and K-Car as a Drone Strike before the drone. Also a semi disavowed Mercenary force fresh from Malaya, Vietnam and Indonesia fighting a Soviet Equipped Autocrat.

Since you brought up Prigozhin,

If you think the article is insane wait till you see the Reddit comments on it. https://t.co/gz4wsEDGUk pic.twitter.com/DhZYJmGIr2

— cascadian realism fan 🌲 (@realism_fan) May 18, 2023

This is a good example of Prigozhin’s “let’s you and him fight” jewry. No one on the thread points out that Prigozhin is a jew. Many in BOTH sides in that thread know he is. Yet it’s turned a blind eye to and Prigozhin is just another Ivan. Most normies will say “There goes that Toad Faced Russian again.”

Prigozhin’s “Ecco Homo” with both Russian and Ukie (or American in this case) corpses is very Kosher.

Never been able to wrap my head around quantum computing. Even if I could see it, not sure I’d be able to believe it.
___
Deepfake is one of the great unknowns. We are already seeing some negative effects – wooden-faced dead actors trying to capture nostalgia in bad movies.

But the optimist in me hopes for good things. Biting political satire, where the true author can safely hide his identity.

If things become easier to fake and game, I hope that that will force people to return to greater authenticity in both social relationships and systems. To value the things that can’t be faked.

One concern is the chances of something dangerous and stupid happening increase as the West gets more trapped on the thinner branches. This might not even happen in Ukraine. I suspect most Western military people absorbed the “Russia Bad” meme and simply converted it into a shallow existential fantasy for the West. These are the people might pull the trigger or push the button when there are not supposed to. There is a slight chance that the posturing inadvertently but predictably turns into WW3. Or it might caused be a few angry NeoNazis who are really put out by the whole thing.

I am tired of, but not finished talking about this Armageddon stuff and will try to focus on how to undo it or at least minimize the future carnage. Does it matter, I don’t know, but this seems the right thing to do.

Patriot system trash-talks Russian hypersonic missiles. SlightlyNSFW.

What the fuck did you just say about the Patriot missile system??? pic.twitter.com/KspQpPRxo0

— jebby (@jebbbby) May 16, 2023

They could still take their toys and retreat.

I don’t think so. Standard American reaction to defeat, “declare victory and leave”, won’t work anymore. It’s not about the toys any longer, it’s about the whole sandbox. Either the bully retreats with his tail between his legs, or he blows up the whole world and disappears with the rest of us in a fiery storm. Sane people would choose the first option, but the empire is not ruled by immoral unscrupulous sane criminals, as before, it is ruled by psychopaths now. All bets are off.

Or it might caused be a few angry NeoNazis who are really put out by the whole thing.

Nazis are irrelevant, they are disposable pawns in this game. What really matters is that the so-called West (the empire and its vassals; the identity of the empire changes, but the crux of the matter does not) is not ruled by immoral unscrupulous sane criminals, as it was for centuries. It is ruled by psychopaths today. The inmates “democratically” took over lunatic asylum.

Supposedly, a smaller, lighter version of a radioisotope thermoelectric generator on the horizon. Hard to understand what its secret sauce is, other than strontium, though strontium has been done before.

https://spacenews.com/zeno-power-gets-30-million-to-build-radioisotope-powered-satellite-for-u-s-military/

This radar speaks to the main point about the new missiles is the combination of speed and maneuvering. The big deal is that the missile maneuvers (probably unpredictably) during flight making an intercept difficult since the incoming missile is not at the intercept point in space when the interceptor arrives at that point and the interceptor may not have enough maneuverability or kinetic energy to account for this. As the grouchy radar accidentally implied, I think the Iskander had this ability as well. Not stated if the Patriot has any success shooting down Iskander missiles.

At the beginning of the SMO, small disposable electronic warfare jammers/decoys were found on the ground in Ukraine and shown online. These were reportedly from an Iskander missile. This is possibly the precursor of the Kinzhal which may have the same feature. On the other hand, if these missiles were invulnerable then the jammers would not be required.

The other day, Macgregor made a point that was on my mind. The US Pershing II missile was a maneuverable hypersonic nuclear weapon which many believe led to the INF treaty.

The end result may involve the dollar world order and globalism.

Elon Musk seeming to head on a collision course with “collective Jewry”, “Global Judaism” or “international Jewry” (however one calls it exactly) is very interesting news, but it seems unclear why that clash is unfolding right now … Perhaps Musk just got in over his head by condemning Soros

Actually, 180° the opposite. Musk supports indigenous Palestinian Jews when he points out the the “Leave out the A” Defaming League is anti-Semitic. I have made that exact point here a number of times.

Recognizing that Leftoids are post-Judaic apostates (not practicing Jews) clears away much of the underbrush. Have Netanyahu and Musk ever met?
___

It is increasingly clear that those who claim to represent “American Jews” are actually foes of Judaism. (2)

For years now, it has been essentially the Leftist Anti-Defamation League, espousing far-Left cause after far-Left cause, no matter how opposed these causes were to their supposed core mission of stopping anti-Semitism. Now the Coalition for Jewish Values (CJV), a coalition of over 1,500 Orthodox Jewish rabbis, is calling out the ADL for having lost “the moral clarity to properly identify antisemitism, let alone combat it.”

The ADL earned this richly deserved repudiation by declaring “anti-Israel activism in and of itself is not antisemitism,” and announcing that it would not reject anti-Israel Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions (BDS) resolutions out of hand, but would “carefully evaluate” each one. CJV Southern Regional Vice President Rabbi Moshe B. Parnes minced no words in laying bare the extent of the ADL’s betrayal: “Only someone with no sense of Jewish history could claim that BDS is not antisemitic.

In America — Jews, Asians, and Whites are all targeted by the SJW left. Not-The-President Biden’s anti-Semitic regime is snubbing Netanyahu because he is too Jewish.

Is change coming to America? Will real Jews abandon the anti-Semitic DNC and start voting for MAGA? Orthodox Jews are already majority Republican voters.

PEACE 😇
__________

(2) https://pjmedia.com/culture/robert-spencer/2021/08/07/1500-rabbis-slam-the-adl-as-unable-even-to-identify-much-less-fight-anti-semitism-n1467949

A lot of what’s going on with the regime was baked in because, as analysts from Pareto and Mosca, Schmitt, Burnham, McLuhan all were telling us, the refinement of mind manipulation ideas go back to Ramses III (who invented Leni Riefenstahl style epic spectacle propaganda) , then on to the Romans but were refined by Bernays and his disciples. It’d be instructive to know the discussions behind opening up the internet to non- institutional users in the early 90s. They tried to make a tame/controlled version with AOL and Compuscrew- remember those? But it sure looks to me like things got out of hand- however since those early days, they refined their ability to control search, so now results are the thin gruel they all ate in ‘1984’
Power is an end in itself, but until there is literally only one mind remaining, it will always be confounded and subverted. Right now, Russia and China make common cause to defend themselves against the New Jerusalem but no one should be under the illusion China would not play the same game had they not gone through a collapse period of their own- much of it self caused. Powerful people surround themselves with toadies and suppress heresies. They assume a track record of success over multiple generations is indicative of permanent divine favor.

The end result may involve the dollar world order and globalism.

The dollar domination along with dollar-dependent globalism is crumbling. The process is accelerating, and there is nothing the empire can do about it any longer. The empire irreversibly undermined the trust in the USD and current US-dominated global financial institutions by weaponizing the dollar with “sanctions” and direct theft of assets. The theft of Russian assets had the largest scale, but it was preceded by equally criminal theft of the assets of Iran, Venezuela, Syria, Afghanistan, etc. The “sanctions” stimulated many countries to switch their trade to other currencies, which they would never do without insane US policies.

Like I said before, if the world survives, it is going to be a lot better place, without imperial banditry (called “rules-based order” by the bandits). The danger is that the psychopaths ruling the empire today might start WWIII, destroying the world we know along with imperial domination. Then Einstein’s prophecy will come true: WWIV will be fought with sticks and stones.

You *DO NOT* understand American politics… At all. There are a huge number of unwritten rules. There is every reason to believe that a non cabinet position, like NSA, can horse traded for cabinet position confirmation.

The truth is visible to all who can see: (1)

Pompeo: Bolton left out of meetings ‘because he was leaking or he would twist things or he’d lie’

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo pushed back on claims in former national security adviser John Bolton’s memoir late Monday, telling Fox News’s Sean Hannity that Bolton was frozen out of meetings over suspicions he would either leak or lie about the topics discussed.

“I haven’t read the book in its entirety, but the excerpts I’ve seen, there’s lots of falsehoods, there’s lot of lies contained there,” Pompeo told Hannity, saying he took issue with even the title, “The Room Where It Happened.”

“The president and others, myself included, had to cut him out of meetings because he was leaking or he would twist things or he’d lie,” Pompeo said. “It was a really difficult situation where John Bolton thought he was more important than the president of the United States and the American people.”

Bolton had little authority and was ultimately fired for abusing his pittance.

The idea that Bolton was an important part of Trump’s 1st term is preposterous. Only those clueless about American politics would make such a baseless accusation.
____

Why is your RINO DeSantis covering up his record of being bought? (2)

DeSantis Quietly Signs New Law Sealing All of His Travel Records From Public, the Law Applies Retroactively

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis always makes a big deal about signing all of the Florida laws that stem from new legislation the people behind his administration submit from his office. However, when he signed the new law that sealed all his travel records [Previously Discussed Here], he did so quietly.

The Ron DeSantis reelection was all a big con job… all of it. Florida was duped, and I have had a lot of people begging me not to point it out and talk about it. Too bad. The Truth Has No Agenda here!

The not pretending reason for the exclusive DeSantis new law is to stop anyone from tracing the background of his travel, and the billionaire special interests and donors who funded it, as he launches his 2024 presidential campaign. As I have been saying since last summer, the DeSantis ’24 campaign was planned years ago – long before anyone else was paying attention.

You really need to admit that your efforts to denying GOP voters the only MAGA candidate is about keeping your #1 choice, Not-The-President, Biden in power.

PEACE 😇
_________

(1) https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/504020-pompeo-bolton-left-out-of-meetings-because-he-was-leaking-or-he-would/

(2) https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2023/05/12/desantis-quietly-signs-new-law-sealing-all-of-his-travel-records-from-public-the-law-applies-retroactively/

Watch these Russians continue to fight with small arms even as a tank shows up:

How does that make any sense?

These Russian conscripts are not being trained properly and are being left unsupported in shallow trenches.

In the zoomed shot you can see that their trenches are vastly inferior to what the Germans had in 1916.

They are basically ditches with trash in them.

MacGregor still thinks the Russians have been laying a trap for Ukraine with Bakhmut.

I really doubt that.

They could still take their toys and retreat.

They really can’t. In America, this is seen as a war for LGBT/liberal democracy. And it is.

A Russian victory would be the end of the post WW2 liberal international order. No liberal international order, no LGBT (LGBT itself isn’t that big a deal but it has enormous symbolic/”religious” value). If Ukraine falls, everyone will know that Taiwan is only a matter of time. That would mean that the entire world would remilitarize and globalization would reverse to a substantial degree. Everything that liberals love would be gone.

They really can’t. In America, this is seen as a war for LGBT/liberal democracy. And it is.

Give it time. Trump’s 2nd term will repudiate anti-America IslamoGloboHomo, including anti-Semite Zelensky and Not-The-President Biden.

The European Empire will be trouble when Trump pulls the rug out from under Macron & Scholz. Instead he will back Christian Populists in Europe, like Orbán.

PEACE 😇

I’ve been surprised the past decade at how much better missile defense has become in Israel, Syria, and Ukraine.

Can Israel still hit Iran? NK hit Japan? Taiwan hit Chinese cities, capital ships, and ports? Do India and Pakistan have second-strike capabilities still if their opponent has a 75% missile defense rate?

Elon just had twin boys with an attractive Jewess. She’s the smartest of his various babymamas and they used advanced embryos selection IVF. So likely his favorite kid will be partly Jewish and raised primarily with his Jewish mother.

JJ in your short-guy fever I think you forgot to respond to these key points.

The USA dropped out of the ABM Treaty in 2002. In the context of MAD, this action was recognized by all parties as a major nuclear THREAT against Russia.

The expansion of a powerful military alliance (NATO) in the direction of the country specifically targeted by that alliance (Russia) is intrinsically an aggressive act and can even be be interpreted as a warlike move by reasonable people. The correct move would have been to leave the Warsaw pact countries neutral as much as possible. In this big picture it doesn’t matter what those countries want or what their traitorous elites signed them up for, it is about a buffer zone. I’m pretty sure the citizens don’t want to be fried.

The West did these things because Russia was weaker than the USSR. Our leaders seized the “opportunity” to finish her off after the fall of the Communists.

I think you will stay confused by the Ukraine situation until you embrace these facts. People should also consider that Russia’s starting of the SMO has much to do with the Russian military machine and general government bureaucracy and probably less to do with Putin’s team. These organizations have a cold war legacy which goes back 70 years based on the solid foundation of the WW2 facts and myths. They also have a serious military legacy which goes back hundreds of years. Context matters.

Elon Musk’s latest baby mama: 5/10. Would not bang

One of the sources (wartears.org) of info regarding Ukrainian losses from Feb 22, 2022 to May 18, 2023, and current size of the military:

KIA – 264,432
POW – 11,175
Current personnel – 407,169

The real numbers cannot possibly be this precise. The site claims that the numbers were generated by their model.

The number of POWs roughly matches info from other sources. Note that Russian military no longer takes foreign fighters prisoner, so this is the number of Ukrainian soldiers only.

I’m thinking about a serious theory to the effect that IVF creates people who are missing something which normally develops at the time of conception and early growth in the mother. I am interested in background material on the IVF topic such as how many people, how many miscarriages, how do they turn out, etc. If anyone here was born as the result of IVF it would be neat to read about any unique experiences they have in this regard.

I suppose IVF created a religious furor when it was first announced but I never read about it.

I don’t know what the missing factors might be, but if more of these people turned into psychopaths it wouldn’t surprise me. Someday I may write a story about it. Of course they might be different in more positive ways.

Before considering this concern I thought embryo selection might be humanity’s best hope. Now, not so much.

Everything that liberals love would be gone.

Wow! That would be a huge victory for mankind.

Yes, definitely. The digital era is here to stay. But I was referring to the Y2k scare, or “Millennium Bug”. Don’t you remember? If anything, the hype was even bigger than the current one and people stockpiled supplies for the coming apocalypse, while governments and corporations spent billions in remediation measures. In the end nothing happened, including in sectors that hadn’t taken any measures.

The dollar domination along with dollar-dependent globalism is crumbling. The process is accelerating, and there is nothing the empire can do about it any longer.

Bit of crumbling upwards lately;)

Bit of crumbling upwards lately

Yea, sure. You should have compared to the Turkish lira, the graph would look even better. As Europe will go down the drain before the US, this is hardly surprising.

When Brazil switched its trade with China away from the USD, even a moron like Ted Cruz noticed that something is terribly wrong.

In case you haven’t noticed timescales/percentages on the graph – both euro/dollar together had and still has the same stable roughly 70% share of all international trade for more than decade, just were fluctuating trade share percentages between themselves meantime. Still no any unusual moves happening despite all the hot air being pushed about dramatic Western financial decline;)

the escalation ladder is in Russia’s favor: they can match and outlast anything Nato and Kiev do.

I don’t know what you have in mind here but the idea that Russia can outspend and outproduce the coalition of 20+ advanced economies that are supporting Ukraine is delusional. It may be the core mistake of the SMO. Even though Russia can only produce a small fraction of the goods that these countries produce, and generally of a worse quality, somehow the idea that Russia was militarily stronger than the West (because of the USSR legacy or something) took hold and Putin bet the house on it. The results are clear and surprised even Western military analysts.

Russia’s nuclear threat remains though, if that’s what you mean. As long as Western countries continue competing with each other to see who supplies more and better gasoline to the pyromaniac in Kiev who has repeatedly proven his desire to start WW3, that threat can only increase over time.

Wonder if Japanese is the language with the most double-entendres. That is what it seems like to me, reading their humor.

Am only exaggerating slightly when I say that inflation has turned about 90% of the packaging in the US to crap.

Like you will try to make a sandwich and wonder how your bread got moldy so fast, and then realize the wrapping broke on the other side.

You will go direct to your home from the supermarket, and find that just in turning corners the bag of chips in your trunk split open.

If you have a pick-up truck, you will find that the thin cardboard that Heineken comes in will dissolve in a light rainstorm.

Still no any unusual moves happening despite all the hot air being pushed about dramatic Western financial decline

From predator’s point of view, the best thing about an ostrich is that it hides the head in the sand and does not see the predator coming. Apparently, Ted Cruz turned out to be smarter than an ostrich. Which likely puts him in the smartest dozen in the US senate.

If that happens my humble suggestion would be to go back to the pre-Enlightenment…

…the time when AP’s ancestors (as he proudly tells us) were already fighting Russia in the name of Greek-Catholicism. Or was it Catholic-Orthodoxy? one never knows with these invented religions…

The full replay from Laguna Seca is now up.

PEACE 😇

“The Biden-UK war option – sorry, I don’t know the name of the current Indian ruler of Britain”

His name is that Paki.

If you want your bread to keep, freeze it and depending on the bread, take only as much as you’re going to use and put it in the toaster to unfreeze it.

…Russia can outspend and outproduce the coalition of 20+ advanced economies that are supporting Ukraine is delusional.

That is not the way it works, and not what I meant. Russia and China have spent an order of magnitude less to have militaries that are comparable to the West. If there would be a head-on fight, the money the West has been spending would be of little value.

What I meant is that we have a war between two countries limited to their region, so far. Russia is 4-5 times stronger in terms of manpower, logistics and weapons then Ukraine. Nato can feed endless advanced weapons to Ukraine, but in a war being on the ground – in that region – and having local superiority eventually prevails. US had superior weapons to Vietnamese – and they lost. Same in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Location matters – it is basically in Russia or on its border. As we see with the increased bombing, Russia can turn up the heat – they could flatten Kiev or Lviv, they could blow up the dams on Dnieper, they can bleed the Ukie army…all of that before any idea of a nuke would be considered.

At the end, that is clearly an option for Russia – they could use a tactical nuke. I don’t think they will, but if the crazy pyromaniacs in Kiev go too far, what exactly would keep Russia from blasting them into hot steam? Bad press? Vote in UN? Banning their athletes? – it has all been done. That’s the problem with overdoing desperate ‘soft power’ measures – it leaves no credible threats.

Am only exaggerating slightly when I say that inflation has turned about 90% of the packaging in the US to crap.

Inflation is one ailment of the US. The absence of many goods and services is another problem. Just some examples from my recent experience.

One. I used to buy Jardin Medellin Colombian instant coffee via Amazon. For the last 6-8 weeks Amazon site says (I copy-paste): “Currently unavailable. We don’t know when or if this item will be back in stock”. When I search the web with “Jardin Medellin Colombian instant coffee”, I get lots of hits. Following several of them I discovered that there are numerous varieties of this coffee, but when I click on the image of the one I know, all sites ask me which supermarket chain I want to use and give a list of several Russian supermarket chains. As Alzheimer-in-Chief blocked the trade with Russia, this means that I cannot get it.

Two. I searched online money transfer services and found that most of them refuse to work with the US citizens and residents (send me to Hell based on my IP address).

Three. Trying to order elementary things for the lab I repeatedly find that they are backordered for months, sometimes indefinitely. Exactly as in the dying USSR in the 1990-91.

Four. The roads (including highways) are full of potholes that are not fixed for months. Thank goodness I learned to drive in the last year of the USSR, so I have the skills necessary to drive on roads like that. The roads I drove in Russia in the last five years were in a lot better shape.

Five. I never saw in the US (or anywhere else, for that matter) a city as clean as Moscow. Downtowns of many Russian provincial cities are just as clean.

Inevitable question: who is isolated and what economy is in tatters?

US had superior weapons to Vietnamese – and they lost. Same in Afghanistan and Iraq.

This is a little different than those wars. Here it is the nation fighting for its existence (and freedom), in those countries you mention, US waged expeditionary wars. In Ukraine, the whole nation is fighting and many outside of Ukraine are helping. The US had a place to retreat to (go back home), Ukraine doesn’t, Ukraine is at home.

IVF runs an elevated risk of mosaicism IIRC, and possibly autism as a result of that. I think it’s risky and shouldn’t be used unless necessary.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2597925/

I doubt that Shoigu’s mother was Jewish since she apparently survived the German occupation in Ukraine during WWII, which was almost impossible for a Jewish person or even a half-Jewish person to do:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergei_Shoigu

Yep, this would be comparable to China trying to conquer and outright annex all of Vietnam and engage in cultural genocide there, aiming to turn the Vietnamese into Chinamen. In such a case, the Vietnamese are likely to ferociously resist the Chinese. Also assume that the Vietnamese get extremely massive amounts of Western military assistance in such a scenario and that the China:Vietnam population disparity is 5:1 rather than 14:1.

How does that make any sense?

To a WEIRD WEIRD West-ener it doesn’t, but it is a different culture, some might say a more primitive one.

Those Russians didn’t need any kind of training to know they were inevitably going to die going up against a tank plus superior numbers of supporting infantry –and not even in Russia proper–yet they did not quit. And those were merely part of a thin screen of satellite forces out on front the beetling battlements of continuous line that gets more dense and the deeper you go. If those grimily determined (and grimy) fellows were just ‘conscripts’, they had a remarkable fighting spirit.

Pinned Tweet
Rob Lee
@RALee85
·
May 10
Mike
@KofmanMichael
and I wrote about the upcoming Ukrainian offensive and what comes afterwards. Although Ukraine will likely make gains, this offensive is unlikely to end the war. Western countries need a plan for supporting Ukraine for a long war.

Endless if the above small unit action is anything to go b.y

Tatarigami_UA
@Tatarigami_UA
I had discussions with several officers in Bakhmut and its surrounding area today, and it is disheartening to note that the situation remains very challenging in the city itself. The problem stems from the fact that the russian forces maintain a significant advantage in terms of artillery and mortars numbers.

Regardless of the training, experience and preparation of our soldiers, if positions are reduced to rubble by non-stop shelling, we will be unable to hold them.

I agree the (seventy-something) Macgregor has been less than prescient about Russian capabilities and the utility of armored mobile large formation warfare. The most likely explanation for Bakhmut is not that one side is clever and the other is idiotic, but rather that both sides somewhat stupidly decided to go toe to toe irrespective of the consequences.

Meanwhile, Elon Musk’s father Errol Musk is such a Chad that he had two children together with his adult stepdaughter:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/elon-errol-musk-children-stepdaughter-b2123744.html

the idea that Russia can outspend and outproduce the coalition of 20+ advanced economies that are supporting Ukraine is delusional.

The idea that there is a committed coalition supporting Kiev aggression is delusional.

We know America is going to scale back, possibly exit. Once that happens, the attempt to brutalize Russian ethnics becomes more tenuous than DeNeocon’s presidential hopes.

Will Scholz and Macron will commit to a “war economy” in support of Zelensky’s violence?

PEACE 😇

I agree with Beckow. Ukrainian backers not from Eastern Europe need to look at a map. This is a border war for Russia. Considering the Black Sea Fleet, Ukraine is basically surrounded on three sides.

By damaging the Patriot systems Russia is making a point and perhaps gradually preparing to drop serious bomb loads on Ukraine. Russian supplies of bombs and jet fuel are almost limitless.

If they destroy key bridges and airports, supplies from the West will be greatly restricted. They can do this at will. They haven’t done this yet because they don’t want their Ukrainian brethren to starve to death. There are plenty of credible videos of point targets being destroyed. Russia can destroy the electric power system, natural gas supplies, major bridges and even damns at ANY TIME. They have not done this for a reason.

You don’t need to like it or agree with it. Just use your eyes: watch some videos, look at a map and then think about it. This is a stupid war for Ukraine to be involved in, no matter what misguided dreams some people had.

Thanks.

They don’t seem to be taking many AFU prisoners, either. Is tough fighting, everybody dies.

“ IVF runs an elevated risk of mosaicism IIRC”

Very hard to study since IVF babies still almost always have older parents with fertility issues.

Good luck studying ones done for eugenic purposes with women without fertility issues like Musk did.

Our especially complex brain and long gestation likely mean an animal study wouldn’t be too helpful unless it was huge and involved higher primates. Way too expensive.

Nike being IslamoGloboHomo is understandable. It is a brand that hates Christians.

The fiasco from Bud Light is obvious. Can marketing get worse? Yep. Ford has gone full IslamoGloboHomo: (1)

Ford Motor Company has found itself ensnared in a potential controversy after Twitter users highlighted an ad that features a rainbow colored vehicle as part of a campaign called ‘redefining tough’.

  

The end of the commercial shows the words ‘REDIFINING TOUGH’ as the ‘TOUGH’ part of the text also flashes with LGBT colors.

Apparently, the colors of a movement that seeks to normalize the sexual mutilation of children is now considered “tough” by Ford.

Although the commercial was actually produced by the European division of Ford and is over 10 months old, the clip only just caught the attention of Twitter users and has over a million views on the platform.

How many truck buyers are Muslim or gay? Yes. It is obviously an EU deviant ad. The license plate gives it away. But, why would American HQ approve this?

I am in the market for a truck… And 100% sure… I will not buy a gay Ford.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fords-redefining-tough-commercial-features-lgbt-colored-truck

“He thinks that we may be about a decade away from it.”

https://www.unz.com/isteve/why-did-overdoses-soar-the-month-after-covid-stimulus-checks/#comment-5916037

But… last time I looked quantum computing, which promises to do things people can’t do, like crack RSA crypto keys – was like nuclear fusion power – always {current date + five years} away.

So what’s this?

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/d-wave-reports-fourth-quarter-110000205.html

BURNABY, British Columbia & PALO ALTO, Calif., April 14, 2023–(BUSINESS WIRE)–D-Wave Quantum Inc., (NYSE: QBTS) (“D-Wave” or the “Company”) a leader in quantum computing systems, software, and services, and the only commercial provider building both annealing and gate-model quantum computers, today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.

“We believe our fourth quarter and 2022 year-end results reflect a clear signal: companies are rapidly embracing today’s quantum technology solutions to drive competitive advantage, now. In this complex economic environment, business leaders are actively looking for ways to improve operational efficiencies, reduce costs, fuel innovation, and increase revenue. We believe that near-term quantum and quantum-hybrid applications are critical for navigating this complexity by helping solve businesses’ most difficult computational problems. Our revenue metrics reflect increasing quantum adoption, which accelerated growth of our business and drove a 41% increase in Q3 to Q4 sequential revenue growth,” said Dr. Alan Baratz, CEO of D-Wave.

“Sixty-seven commercial customers used D-Wave solutions in 2022, and we now count more than two dozen of the Forbes Global 2000 as customers, as an increasing number of companies turn to quantum computing to solve complex business problems ranging from customer loyalty to supply chain logistics to e-commerce optimization. Beyond our continued commercial traction, we’re driving ongoing innovation and advancement of our product portfolio, most recently introducing new offerings that help customers harness quantum to accelerate artificial intelligence and machine learning efforts.

https://docs.dwavesys.com/docs/latest/c_gs_1.html

Still a relatively young field, quantum computing is complex and different approaches are being pursued around the world. Today, there are two leading candidate architectures for quantum computers: gate model (also known as circuit model) and quantum annealing.

Gate-model quantum computing implements compute algorithms with quantum gates, analogously to the use of Boolean gates in classical computers.

With quantum annealers you initialize the system in a low-energy state and gradually introduce the parameters of a problem you wish to solve. The slow change makes it likely that the system ends in a low-energy state of the problem, which corresponds to an optimal solution. This technique is explained in more detail in the What is Quantum Annealing? chapter.

Quantum annealing is implemented in D-Wave’s generally available quantum computers, such as the Advantage™ and D-Wave 2000Q, as a single quantum algorithm, and this scalable approach to quantum computing has enabled us to create quantum processing units (QPUs) with more than 5000 quantum bits (qubits)—far beyond the state of the art for gate-model quantum computing.

D-Wave has been developing various generations of our “machine of a different kind,” to use Feynman’s words, since 1999. We are the world’s first commercial quantum computer company.

Lots of clever people here – what does it solve that a standard CPU can’t?

Thanks.

I wasn’t even considering chemical or mechanical insults to the fertilized egg during the complete IVF-embryo selection process. Maybe/hopefully these are a minor issue.

I was alluding to possible bio-electromagnetic factors or some form of quantum entanglement between egg and mother yet to be appreciated.

The world is big. From outside of the imperial patch:
The 2022 Arab Youth Survey found that 73% want the US to disengage from the region.
A plurality blames US/NATO for the war in Ukraine.
China and Russia are more favorably seen than the West.
(Polling was conducted by the UAE branch of US PR firm BCW, owned by British giant WPP)

The 2022 Arab Youth Survey found that 73% want the US to disengage from the region.

A plurality blame US/NATO for the war in Ukraine.

China and Russia are more favorably seen than the West.

(Polling was conducted by the UAE branch of US PR firm BCW, owned by British giant WPP) pic.twitter.com/0J3jRFlj90

— Ben Norton (@BenjaminNorton) May 18, 2023

In other words, AnoninTN will believe anything.

Nato can feed endless advanced weapons to Ukraine, but in a war being on the ground – in that region – and having local superiority eventually prevails

That must be why Poland defeated the Soviets in 1920.

As we see with the increased bombing, Russia can turn up the heat – they could flatten Kiev or Lviv

Their latest attempts at bombing Kiev failed miserably. A component of Patriot got hit by some debris, so did some cars and buildings, they haven’t dared to try again. And arrested the developers of their failed wonder weapons.

At the end, that is clearly an option for Russia – they could use a tactical nuke

Could also be taken out, if tried against a high value defended target like Kiev. And wouldn’t make a military difference in the field.

And I would not discount ability for a bad asymmetrical response. Ukraine has plenty of nuclear material and scientists. That would be a dangerous game.

That is not the way it works

That’s the way it’s been working. As AK said when he predicted the imminent invasion, “troops don’t lie”. Those troops hadn’t been amassed around Ukraine for routine exercises. Likewise, those same troops haven’t stopped retreating after their initial gains due to “gestures of good will” or “regroupings for the next phase”. Their direction of march shows who has the better logistics, tactics and weapons.

In fact, now that the war is limited to the east of the country, the Ukrainians are in a better position to disrupt Russian supply lines than the Russians are to disrupt the huge flow of weapons and supplies of all sorts that come through Ukraine’s western borders. Russia will always have a (potential) manpower advantage over Ukraine but it can’t possibly compete with the coalition of US+EU+UK+Australia+Canada+Japan+others in terms of weapons, ammunition and materiel. Forget about that.

The answer to your question does not fit into internet bulletin board text boxes and no, Chat GPT can’t tell you either. You need to read books.

Begin with this one:

Perhaps you can find it on libgen. It was there when I looked.

There was a post by one of these maniacs on LessWrong a couple weeks ago:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yT22RcWrxZcXyGjsA/how-to-have-polygenically-screened-children

Maxwell’s demon would like to have a word with them.

Intuitively it makes sense, but of course studies should be undertaken. I get the sense that we’ve rushed into this stuff with too much haste.

Pragmatically speaking, these sorts of “known unknowns” strongly suggest we should proceed cautiously, especially because human beings’ lives are at stake here.

Wish the best for Musk and his brood, but there’s a whiff of hubris about this kind of manufactured reproduction IMO.

I hope he has a good prenup or whatever you need when your baby mama has an AI to outsmart all your overpaid lawyers 🙁

“Just take Mars and get out of my sight!”

Russia and China have spent an order of magnitude less to have militaries that are comparable to the West. If there would be a head-on fight, the money the West has been spending would be of little value

A tempting land war in Asia would be for for China’s undercover ally North Korea to attack South Korea while the war in Ukraine was still going on, A naval operation to defend Taiwan would be child’s play by comparison,. .

If they destroy key bridges and airports, supplies from the West will be greatly restricted.

Russia has not destroyed the bridges across the Dnieper. which likely means it wants Western supplies to cross into western Ukraine. All to better to track the arms, destroy some of them and drag Ukraine into a brutish chest to chest struggle a la Verdun, where simple heavy artillery’s mass effect–rather than precision weapons– might prove to be the crucial factor.

Missile defense systems can be overwhelmed or fooled and it only takes one missile leaking through to destroy a system. To do a reasonable job you need a lot of defensive missile systems such as Russia employs with multiple levels (short-medium-long range).

I think Israel does this as well. I assume they largely copied from Russia and added a few Western upgrades.

I do that sometimes. You can also freeze whole loaves and put them in the oven, though it is a bit trickier.

I wonder what the record is for a Dutch father mating with Hottentots, and whether Musk could be descended from such an individual.

I thought there was one with a high number, but I can’t seem to find him on this list:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_with_the_most_children

Perhaps, an indication of the lower population density of Hottentots and/or the reduced fertility from outbreeding. Or maybe the records don’t go that far back?

John Dunn had 117, but with Zulus.

The glory days of Ukraine were the valiant defence of Kiev,yet that phase of the conflict is long gone. Nuclear weapons have no military purpose, wars cannot be fought with them, but by the same token a nuclear detonation (even of a thermonuclear mine to defend Mariupol), would terminate American interest in continuing the war. Russia would become isolated but Ukraine would be on its own. Except, America would be held responsible for any Ukrainian dirty bomb.

I’ve said this before, but I don’t think the US and some other places should be considered First World countries anymore. We need a new ranking system, which recognizes that it is undesirable to live in a place without easy access to clean public restrooms, etc.

Some problems can’t be solved by chasing GDP, and I don’t think it is to anyone’s social benefit to create a complacency that the US is the best sort of society that can exist.

You’re right, I have completely forgotten about it. I found the whole idea goofy at the time. Just like the Mayan calendar thing. Silly stuff.

Well, given the absence of natural selection for fitness genetic characteristics and intelligence, we will need some artificial selection to avoid degeneration. As genomics mature and IVF becomes more efficient and less expensive, I would think the way to go would be to screen for the best genetic combination a reproducing couple could possibly yield. That’s the smart way to move forward as a species.

Prenups cannot get a father out of paying child support. Only alimony and division of marital assets. The obligation is to the child who cannot waive rights by signing a contract with his father.

With at least ten kids, Musk’s leverage would be to disinherit the baby out of billions if the baby mama gets greedy and seeks tens of millions in child support. But she can easily take him for tens of millions if she wants to.

It is a really important question if there’s an unknown negative aspect to IVF that outweighs the benefit of embryonic genetic screening for a healthy normal fertility couple.

I think it is unlikely IVF has such negative, but there’s at least some evidence. Clones certainly are inferior to their original.

From Pavel Priannikov’s Tg channel, machine translated with minor corrections.

Political scientist Gleb Pavlovsky in his book “The System of the Russian Federation. Sources of Russian Strategic Behavior: The George F. Kennan Method, 2015, wrote:
“Early Putin shared the postmodern dogma that economic power took the place of military power. He laid the financial power of Russia as the basis of national interests and, cutting corners, rushed to it by the shortest path of the “raw material model”. It is imperfect, but for the Kremlin team it was about security, not about economy. Putin can be reproached for something else – the wrong bet he made on the type of globalization. The Russian economy has turned into a financial superbubble fueled by the American-Chinese-European boom. Putin’s project is an ultra-globalist project.

By nature, Putin is a bourgeois, he is not prone to conflicts. In the 2002 census questionnaire, he wrote about his profession “I provide services to the public.” But after 2014, stability is now out of the question.

Of course, it was possible to allow a normal democratic conflict in the elections with an uncertain outcome into the System. But for this you need to believe in the good faith of the System, its willingness to change while remaining itself. Its leader, Putin, has no such faith. Putin has absolutely no faith in the civic virtues of Russians. Stalin eradicated the recalcitrant who remembered the Russian Revolution, Brezhnev fought against dissidents, while Putin does not believe in honest behavior at all. He is the biggest skeptic of all the rulers of Russia.”

Gleb Pavlovsky is often seen as the intellectual father of the RusFed political model. He got estranged from the higher political circles after 2012. He believed tgeb that Putin’s return to power was a mistake. I think we can conclude today that Pavlovsky has been proven right.

Prenups cannot get a father out of paying child support.

This isn’t always the case with assisted reproduction. Look at the Ferguson v. McKiernan case, for instance. But children who are conceived through sexual intercourse are privileged in regards to this, Yes. If one is against hereditary privilege, one should certainly fix this disparity.

The idea that one child should be entitled to a much better quality of life relative to another child due to something that is completely out of both of their control is ridiculous. If this was voluntary, then I could understand, but child support is often involuntary and instead relies on the coercive power of the state to enforce.

If one considers immigration restrictions to be anti-egalitarian, I don’t see how exactly one wouldn’t likewise consider our current child support system to likewise be anti-egalitarian.

The ghettos in the US are probably comparable to upper-tier parts of Latin America, such as Mexico and Brazil. So, not exactly First World, but the best from the Third World. Of course, the US heavily subsidizes its ghettoes, so Yeah.

You guys are trying to spoil my snark with your logic!

I assume the kids will be well taken care of, but may become insane anyway.

Mom got her hypergamy, she should be happy.

+++

“I had to go to Mars to get away from all those damn kids!”

He is showing his African heritage. Back home Big Men always have scads of children.

It’s just wonderful to see how we continually love to create new ways to take humanity out of the human experience. It makes you wonder what people think the world is for anyway.

I suppose really that’s not hard to answer. Most are just unreflectively along for the ride while others worship progress in any form as the ultimate good.

AI will be strongly disruptive, more than the internet was

I would guess that you are correct as well but that is one heck of a sobering thought. Or at least it should be to most people. It looks to me that our world is already over-saturated by disruption and is not at all in a good way to absorb more.

Either way it’s going to be a heck of a ride over the next 50 years or so!

Are clones inferior for a fundamental genetic reason or is it a practical matter of the technology?

Don’t know about every case, but the obligation to pay child support has been upheld against sperm donors and fathers who were statutory raped by their much older teachers.

AI is about control

I’ve thought about this most explicitly, though it’s somewhat tangential to AI broadly, in regards to deepfakes. Suddenly everything one sees and hears is potentially fake, with no way for people to discern truth from fiction. It seems like the ultimate excuse to demand that we all filter our media through “approved and fact-checked” channels.

At that point everything in the information ecosystem is quicksand, and in my opinion the only sane alternative is to check out of the greater information stream and focus on what is IRL.

Out of curiosity, what do others think? As deepfakes become the norm what alternatives does one have to being a perpetual dupe?

The correct move would have been to leave the Warsaw pact countries neutral as much as possible. In this big picture it doesn’t matter what those countries want or what their traitorous elites signed them up for, it is about a buffer zone. I’m pretty sure the citizens don’t want to be fried.

What is the basis of such naive hippie like belief in wonders of neutrality during nuclear era hot conflict, considering that neutral, non-NATO Austria still was in target and would have been blasted by Soviet army atomic bombs?

The Austrian capital Vienna was to be hit by two 500-kiloton bombs. In Italy, Vicenza, Verona, Padua, and several military bases were to be hit by single 500-kiloton bombs. Hungary was to capture Vienna.

Stuttgart, Munich, and Nuremberg in West Germany were to be destroyed by nuclear weapons and then captured by the Czechoslovaks and Hungarians.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seven_Days_to_the_River_Rhine

It’s just wonderful to see how we continually love to create new ways to take humanity out of the human experience.

We’ve always been doing that, haven’t we? The human experience changed also dramatically when our ancestors tamed fire, invented hunting tools, domesticated animals, etc.

If progress in the emerging technologies leads to curing cancer or prolonging healthspan and lifespan, would you opt out on philosophical/religious grounds?

Anecdotally I suspect there is. I’m not claiming any authority here but from the results I’ve seen autism is suspiciously prevalent for this cohort. Keep in mind that fertility treatment is a very big business here with all the attendant obfuscation of results.

I’d rather not risk it if it isn’t necessary. Elon has enough money to pay for special care but for most of us a mentally disabled child is a lifelong commitment to amelioration. Also genetic screening is a scam designed to give parents peace of mind when the reality is that we still have very little control over how kids turn out.

If nothing else, expensive eugenics will give control freak parents yet one more big heavy hammer to beat their children with.

Against sperm donors? Yes, in some cases. Not all cases. Hence Ferguson v. McKiernan.

Against male victims of statutory rape? Yes, unfortunately. Judges are extraordinary assholes in such cases.

Against a male who was a victim of *non-statutory* rape? Yes, unfortunately; it was some Southern US court case from 1996, IIRC.

I don’t think it is possible to police it. People will have to not use the digital tech. Otherwise one is relying on those you know to be lying to you for control and profit.

In my view computers have delivered very little of importance that could not have been done by humans without digital supercomputers. There are some exceptions, but the benefits may be small compared to the cost for humanity. Some developments came sooner because of computers, but is it really a race?

Yes, I’m a high tech Luddite.

The thing I would miss most is the easy access to information we have had for the past 30 years. I believe much of that could be replaced by properly implemented microfilm libraries.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/ai-human-extinction-great-filter-b2337487.html

OTOH:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diaspora_(novel)

Perhaps it amounts to the same.

We shouldn’t have killed the first mammoth back in the day…

The combination of continued ex-Warsaw Pact neutrality and US commitment to nuclear arms reduction treaties could have been a foundation for a more substantial Peace over time.

Due to the stupidity and nihilism of the West that foundation has been lost, but hopefully not forever.

All sides performed nuclear war exercises. The actions of the West since 2002 have probably increased this risky activity on all sides.

The Neocons and their fellow travelers have been running this military-diplomatic-cultural shitshow for a long time. Why would anyone try to defend the results of their crimes? These monsters are stupid and evil. Of course they created a mess for the rest of us.

If managed properly, this approach would allow kids to be smarter than their parents on average. Family dynamics would be funny to watch.

Materially, yes. Indeed American ghettos are better materially than typical Soviet residential areas.

But the population makes a huge difference. It’s very different when the “ghetto” is populated by schoolteachers, nurses, etc.

Then the Lord God said to the woman, “What is this that you have done?” The woman said, “The serpent beguiled me, and I ate.”

Jean DeVille Idol of Perversity

The glory days of Ukraine were the valiant defence of Kiev

And the Kharkiv offensive.

So far.

Odds are decent of an effective late spring or summer offensive. I’d give it a 50% chance of success (up from 40% a month ago).

The recent sequence of events involving Patriots has been nice. Shot down several aircraft over Russia, Russia tries to avenge that with a massive series of strikes on Kiev to kill the Patriot system, instead the Kinzhal proves to be a dud. Double humiliation. The the scientists who de eloped Kinzhal get arrested.

America would be held responsible for any Ukrainian dirty bomb

Nonsense. Ukrainians have plenty of their own material and their own scientists. They can do it all on their own, even more so if this follows an American abandonment. Ukrainians also probably have the means to create small suitcase bombs, not just dirty bombs. If Kiev or Lviv get nuked there will be nothing to lose.

Americans can then sit back and watch as Slavs nuke each other.

But I suspect Kiev is adequately defended with Patriots and Lviv can be under the Rzeszow Patriot umbrella if it comes to tactical nukes. Russia would most likely either use it on the battlefield for minimal practical effect, or destroy some Russian-speaking city like Kharkiv or Zaporizhia. Doing so would continue Putin’s traditions of doing Bandera’s job and wiping out Russian areas in Ukraine.

If you know machine learning, you might find it less exciting, although there is a still unknown question if the animals’ brains are also “less exciting” and perhaps implementing similar networks. Some of the pertubation learning could be similar to some of the learning in nature.

The messianic hypebeasting of the machine learning community is cool and attracts more investors and employees. If it would not begin to scare the investors, they only need to rename the industry like “terminator science”, “golem engineering”.

Some of the more boring engineers like to give very boring names, i.e. “RMSProp”.

But for example, one of the extensions to gradient descent optimizer, is “Adaptive Moment Estimation”.

Durk Kingma in Google called this extension to the optimizer, “Adam”. Probably, the Google engineers were trying to trigger the theological unconscious of Bashibuzuk.

–

By the way, the question whether the work of the engineers will change society? Complex engineering like paper, changed society. Printing press, changed society. Windmills, changed society. Engineering and its parents in science, is always the main cause of the change of society for the last centuries.

We have a bit of disproportionate interest for Europe, America, relative to the proportion of humans there.

You know the “Valeriepieris circle”, which was discovered by someone on an internet forum.

The majority of the humans in the world lives inside the circle in South/East Asia.

The Chinese would not have to do much to have the US shut down the material flow into Ukraine.

The course of the war is not such so as to suggest Russia might be toying with use of nukes ay time soon.

https://strategic-culture.org/news/2023/05/18/clowns-to-left-of-me-jokers-to-right-nato-soft-war-soldiers/

Excerpt –

The truth of the matter is Zelensky and Pope Francis are not NATO’s only dunces; NATO is awash with such imbeciles. America has at the helm the senile Joe Biden, whose penchant is soiling his pants in the presence of Zelensky’s Holy Father (when Irish Joe isn’t otherwise engaged with groping children), and his number two is Kamala Harris, a cretin who cackles like one of those 1950s’ laughing sailor machines brought back to life to further terrify the little children Biden has just groped. France has one of history’s most unpopular ever dictators and Scotland, Britain and Ireland have unelected Indians, all three of whom have less charisma than stale bread and less integrity than even Zelensky, supposedly running the show.

The Germans, whose leaders couldn’t lead a pet pup to the lavatory, are disproving Churchill’s maxim that “the Hun is always either at your throat or your feet” because they are now permanently prostrated at Americas feet, doing Uncle Sam’s bidding and killing off not only their own economy but all of Europe’s in the process.

Outside of Hungary’s Orbán, Central and Western Europe seem to be ruled by clowns, knock-off Zelenskys who lack any sense, let alone a sense of humour, a sense of honour or indeed any common sense at all.

Where are Europe’s Charles de Gaulles. Willi Brandts and Éamon de Valeras and why does Europe send Colgate grinner Ursula von der Leyen, who is little more than a walking ad for Botox, to Beijing, given that China had the measure of that plagiarizing tramp-for-hire and treated her accordingly?

Imagine you try to blow your brains out and you then blame it on Putin or China’s President Xi? Far-fetched? No! That is precisely what Air France, which is 28% owned by Macron’s corrupt regime, is doing. Having waged an unrelenting economic war against Russia, Air France is complaining that Chinese airlines have a competitive advantage, as they can fly over Russia’s vast expanses and the French cannot. Boo hoo.

The alphabet people are getting kicked out of Libraries in Australia over drag queen story time, maybe the worm is turning.

Roy was disappointed when he was told he wasn’t a woman.

He reacted badly to the information!

But the population makes a huge difference. It’s very different when the “ghetto” is populated by schoolteachers, nurses, etc.

Yes, because that likely has a huge effect on both culture and crime rates.

Interestingly enough, here in the US, teachers, nurses, et cetera generally don’t like in ghettoes. Probably not even black ones. Blacks who are able to live in non-black areas generally do so, and if these blacks can successfully assimilate into their non-black surroundings, then the degree of white/non-black flight can probably be massively reduced. People probably don’t mind living next to middle- and upper-class blacks. It’s the lower-class blacks that people don’t want to live next to–not even blacks themselves who are of higher social status and social standing.

Will this change if Russia is at serious risk of losing the Battle of Crimea River?

And the Kharkiv offensive.

There was also the expulsion of the Russians from Mykolaiv and the subsequent (several months later) liberation of Kherson from the Russians.

So, overall, four huge Ukrainian military triumphs in 2022:

-Kiev
-Kharkiv
-Mykolaiv
-Kherson

Pretty impressive!

Ukraine even reintroduced the Hero City award as a result of the current war:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hero_City_of_Ukraine

or destroy some Russian-speaking city like Kharkiv or Zaporizhia. Doing so would continue Putin’s traditions of doing Bandera’s job and wiping out Russian areas in Ukraine.

So far, who is the biggest killer of Slavs since Hitler: Putin or Milosevic?

…This is a stupid war for Ukraine to be involved in, no matter what misguided dreams some people had.

All wars are generally stupid, but this one takes the cake: the level of destruction, escalation risks, and very high casualties are way out of line with the issues this war is fought about: Nato expansion and Russian minority rights.

They twist it into an ‘existential, civilizational‘ war, but it is clearly not. Russian and Ukrainian rational positions were not far apart, something easily settled with a compromise. It is the hysterical “Asiats are coming!!!‘ racist rhetoric and idiotic neo-con dream to control Russia that made the compromise impossible.

But the Ukies should had been smarter than to fall for it. They are literally dying so Nato can place its missiles in Ukraine and so that there are no Russian schools in Donbas. All else is rhetoric.

Ukraine doesn’t, Ukraine is at home.

What Ukraine? Are the Russians in Ukraine also “Ukraine”? Is Crimea or Donbas?

You use over-the-top rhetoric to cover up the real issue. It is always done in wars, you should do better.

The reality is that two separate ‘nations’ are fighting for their existence: Ukie Ukies and the Donbas Ukies assisted now by the Russians from Russia. The Ukie Ukies can easily retreat from Donbas – they don’t live there. But where would the millions of Russians living there go? Killed or expelled? Or only totally suppressed and forcefully Ukrainized?

The real analogy to this war is something like Netherlands’ Belgium in 1830 – the Dutch suppressed the Catholic French-speakers and France came to help its co-patriots and created Belgium. Or creation of Italy and Germany. Or WW1 aftermath when a number of minorities were allowed self-determination. In 2023 it is a bit late for this ethnic mess, that’s why it feels so odd and is easily manipulated – you do it too.

It is about equal rights and equal security for all sides – just because you stick “Russian!” in front of a universal term doesn’t mean that the basic human rights no longer exist. Think about it a little and stop with sloganeering. If for no other reason, because you are likely to lose this fight and will grudgingly admit that “Russian are people too”. Why wait until then to be reasonable?

So far, who is the biggest killer of Slavs since Hitler…

That’s easy: Ukraine lost 15 million people since 1991. One would have to nominate their leadership for this honor…

Actually, 180° the opposite. Musk supports indigenous Palestinian Jews when he points out the the “Leave out the A” Defaming League is anti-Semitic. I have made that exact point here a number of times.

Yeah, I looked under some of the relevant Tweets (can’t be bothered citing them), with some Jews actually being upset at Soros not supporting Israel somehow (idk). Other Jews said criticism of George Soros was legitimate as long as it’s focused on Soros personally. There was even that one Jewish guy who complained that Greenblatt and the ADL only provoke and cause more “anti-Semitism” than would otherwise exist lol.

In America — Jews, Asians, and Whites are all targeted by the SJW left. Not-The-President Biden’s anti-Semitic regime is snubbing Netanyahu because he is too Jewish.

Probably, but regardless, it would be beyond parody if Musk’s career, wealth, prestige and Twitter ownership got destroyed because of his spat with Greenblatt, but Ayatollah Khamenei’s Twitter account still remained intact lol. Feels a bit bizarre that Khamenei’s Twitter is still intact even though he threatens along the lines of “death to Zionists” and “Israel will be destroyed in 20 years” every now and then, with Iran’s influence seeming to be on the rise in the Middle East, but Kanye West, Mel Gibson, and a whole bunch of other personalities get completely destroyed because they fell out with Jews somehow.

Is change coming to America? Will real Jews abandon the anti-Semitic DNC and start voting for MAGA? Orthodox Jews are already majority Republican voters.

I think you’d do well to abandon any such delusion since Jewish American voting data as an electoral bloc indicates they overwhelmingly vote Democrat and it’s highly unlikely to change.

The great “westernizer democrat” Yeltsin demanded to give up all Europe to RF way before 2002, so all those neutrality given wonderful “safety” delusions by Western hippie peaceniks were and still are baseless:

At their last meeting, in Istanbul in November 1999, Yeltsin said to Clinton, “I ask you one thing. Just give Europe to Russia. The U.S. is not in Europe. Europe should be the business of Europeans. Russia is half European and half Asian. … Bill, I’m serious. Give Europe to Europe itself. We have the power in Russia to protect all of Europe, including those with missiles.”

https://clinton.presidentiallibraries.us/items/show/57569

Elon just had twin boys with an attractive Jewess. She’s the smartest of his various babymamas and they used advanced embryos selection IVF. So likely his favorite kid will be partly Jewish and raised primarily with his Jewish mother.

Thanks.

Perhaps the whole conflict of Elon Musk vs “the Jews” is fake and there’s behind the scenes harmony, with some theatre for the masses. Or perhaps Greenblatt is just a hothead who can’t restrain himself, so he overreached and overplayed his hand.

Anyway, I’m reading the book “Elon Musk: Tesla, SpaceX, and the Quest for a Fantastic Future” by Ashlee Vance.

It’s interesting in many different ways about Elon Musk’s life biography from his earliest years until about 2015/16. Being halfway through the book it’s already obvious Greenblatt doesn’t have any explicit and clear proof of Musk’s “anti-Semitism” since Musk even had a Jewish CEO as a business partner in Tesla, and had some Jewish employees over the years with which he worked just fine and conducted business as with any other non-Jewish persons.

Otherwise, my feeling is that Musk’s heart and soul is in the right place and his intentions are good, but his life record has a lot of suffering and difficult moments in it (Musk got beaten and bullied hard as a youngster, nearly died from a tropical disease once, miscarriages with former partners, daddy issues, etc.), and particularly with wild swings of business fortunes with ugly spats with former business partners and employees, big losses of income on various companies, hard work on entirely new businesses from scratch and so on. Perhaps everyone should make what they will of him and the differing testimonies about his character and pivotal moments of Musk’s life and businesses.

Can’t be bothered to go find that Tweet (might go and do it sometime), but Elon’s father basically has the same/similar worldview as Alex Jones (not sure if he’s a follower or not) lol.

Wouldn’t even a “tactical” nuclear bomb detonated in Lviv make things extremely warm in bordering countries like Slovakia and Poland? Of course, totally obtuse personalities like Beckow would still find reasons to laud Russia’s role in this world, as he tries to find the best antidote to help heal his splintered and deep fried skin surrounding his whole body. 🙁

Don’t worry Beckow, “Super Putler” will save you as he fights the whole world. 🙁

What’s the matter? Doesn’t Kitaro’s music appeal to you? 🙂

“So far, who is the biggest killer of Slavs since Hitler…”

That’s easy: Ukraine lost 15 million people since 1991. One would have to nominate their leadership for this honor…

Now Beckow lies about the 15 million population decline being killed.

I should congratulate the off the boaters in my church for their resurrection.

I agree. The two points are:

1. While the Patriot system still functions, hitting Kiev will be difficult. Lviv may be covered by Rzeszow’s defences, and if not, then the fallout will hit NATO territory (Poland). So the likely targets would be either a large Russian-speaking city like Kharkiv, Zaporizhia, Dnipro or Odessa (Bandera might be happy). Or the battlefield (no decisive result, Russian troops also hit).

2. Budanov has stated that Ukraine will emulate Israel with respect to revenge. This was mostly about Mossad-style attacks on war criminals, but likely could also include the unthinkable in terms of nuke attack. Real chance of Samson style retaliation limited to Russia, in case of nuke attack on Ukrainian cities. Does Ukraine have the means? Does Russia want to find out?

Russian folk has great ancient wisdom known without any irony – drunk tongue lays out the secrets of sober mind:

Что у трезвого на уме, то у пьяного на языке (значение) — пьяный человек часто говорит то, что не решается сказать трезвым, но о чем постоянно думает (русская пословица).

https://dslov.ru/pos/p80.htm

I haven’t listened to Kitaro for so many years, he’s very good. Thanks for bringing him back to my mind.

🙂

Well, that’s true. What you wrote about is probably also true, but by 1999 Bor’ka alkash was entirely out of his wits. He was basically a zombie, not much to do with the man who seized power with western backing in 1991. Whatever he said after 1996 is to be taken as a drunkard’s ramblings similar to the typical drunk Russian “ну ты меня уважаешь?”

15 million are gone from Ukraine. Maybe in your autistic mind they will be resurrected, but as a drop in population that is kind of a record, only Latvia did worse.

Over the past five years, Russia has lost 50,000 researchers, said Valentin Parmon, Vice President of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Chairman of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, at a general meeting of the branch.

“The main problem in Russia is this: over the past five years, only Russia – no other country has lost so many workers in the scientific field – and Russia has lost 50 thousand people. Now, when everyone is talking about technological sovereignty, the future depends on science-intensive technology, the issue is that Russia as a state has missed those who can do it,” the academician said.

https://www.interfax.ru/russia/902007

The practical solutions are easy though – preventively accuse the still remaining rest with treason and lock them up inside, so they surely won’t leave anymore;)

Yeah, I looked under some of the relevant Tweets (can’t be bothered citing them), with some Jews actually being upset at Soros not supporting Israel somehow (idk).

George IslamoSoros supports the genocidal BDS movement. This is from 2019, but nothing has changed: (1)

Financing tied to billionaire activist George Soros is a common yet largely under-reported theme among organizations that lead or support the anti-Semitic Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions (BDS) campaign attempting to delegitimize the Jewish state.

In January [2019], Israel released a list of 20 BDS-supporting organizations whose members will be banned from entering Israel due to their BDS activism, prominently featuring six American groups. At least four of the six BDS-promoting U.S. groups receive funding tied to Soros. Scores of other U.S. organizations that support the BDS movement are financed by Soros.

Essentially every action The IslamoSoros takes is anti-Semitic and pro-Muslim.

Is change coming to America? Will real Jews abandon the anti-Semitic DNC and start voting for MAGA? Orthodox Jews are already majority Republican voters.

I think you’d do well to abandon any such delusion since Jewish American voting data as an electoral bloc indicates they overwhelmingly vote Democrat and it’s highly unlikely to change.

You are delusional if you do not see it changing.

Orthodox are already overwhelmingly Republican voters. And, they have the most positive TFR for the long run.

Other branches of Judaism are also shifting away from the Democrats. Open Anti-Semites like Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib are celebrated by the DNC. This drives all Jews to become less blue as a voting bloc. At some point there will be a crossover if the current trends hold.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2019/01/21/target-israel-george-soros-funded-groups-leading-bds-war-on-jewish-state/

Sounds like the Chinese could send a fraction of a fraction of their graduating class of BEng or MEng and fill those gaps. Not unlike the US does with its increasingly Sinoized University cohort.

Thank Jews.

I was going to write about it yesterday.

Most people are unaware of that, but there were more scientific, technical and industrial know-how lost in RusFed under Putin than under Yeltsin. Part of it is just the remaining Soviet technical intelligentsia growing old and dying out, but part of it is also the smartest and the brightest leaving for greener pastures.

When the Noviop will be done, RusFed will no longer be capable of producing anything competitive in any technological field. Perhaps that’s the end goal; to transform this part of Eurasia into an archaic reservation for the backward natives that would have forgotten that their ancestors were one day capable of aiming their spaceships towards the stars.

I believe Pynya when he says everything is going according to the plan.

It is just that the plan is not to Make Russia Great Again.

🙂

Of course when Beckow gets caught lying he uses the magic word “autism.”

You lied that 15 million were killed in Ukraine.

Jacob Zuma supposedly has 23 children, though like BoJo, they are difficult to count.

I wonder what South Africa and Brazil might have looked like today, if polygamy had been more mainstream among Europeans.

I’m trying to explain how this war could have been avoided (WW3).

I am not speculating about what incompetent and crooked politicians did on all sides to get to this point.

WW3 was nearly perfectly avoided for half century in practice when NATO and Soviet military bloc had long direct borders without any noticeable meaningful buffer zones, so all this clueless hippie peacenik level hot air being pushed about “non targeted neutral” zones for the sake of PeaceTM is worthless theorizing;)

Nukes are sort of intrinsically optimized to kill civilians and light infrastructure, neither of which are crucial military targets. Therefore nukes are political weapons, not military weapons. This fact is sort of hidden in the claim that smart conventional weapons make nukes obsolete. From a military perspective this might be true, but not politically.

Russia seems less likely to use a nuke than the West. This entire war is about stirring up trouble to hurt Russia and a Western nuke would fit into that process. Russia might consider using a nuke to stave off a Western escalation.

I could see some crazed NeoNazi using a nuke against Russia but I think it would have happened already. This doesn’t rule out the West giving a nuke to a NeoNazi who is a throw away pawn.

WW3 was so well avoided (continuous threat of war) that we actually had meaningful disarmament which idiots like you have undermined.

Sudden Death, why do you WANT WW3?

I’m not a Peacenik at all, I just see this war as moronic and totally pointless. It is bad for US citizens, it is bad for Ukrainians and bad for Russians.

Great job, morons.

We have a bit of disproportionate interest for Europe, America, relative to the proportion of humans there.

That’s true for a number of reasons Some of these reasons are disappearing faster than others, though.

Russians proper are white. Naturally, they had certain affinity for other whites, i.e., Europeans. However, insane policies keep making Europe and the US less white racially, and even less white culturally.

Culturally Russia is closer to traditional Europe than to any other cultural center. However, with woke and LGBT madness European culture is rapidly deteriorating. Just compare BBC movies or RSC plays of 20-30 years ago and those of today. The quality used to be high, and the color of actors used to match the color of characters they were playing. Not any more. Current productions look like angry self-parodies. European culture is committing suicide even as we comment here. Formerly great formerly Britain is a typical example.

Russians lived for many centuries next to non-white people, and learned to live peacefully and evaluate others by their personal qualities, not by the color of their skin, their religion, and other non-essential factors. This century-old experience makes its turn away from degenerating imperial patch psychologically easier.

The European part of Russia is the most developed economically. Thus, for geographical reasons Russian trade with Europe dwarfed its trade with other partners (the trade with the US was always minuscule). Russian trade is in the process ob being redirected. Not only to China, which is understandable politically but creates logistical problems. A lot of trade is directed to other parts of the world, including those closer to the European part of Russia, such as Turkey, Iran, and India via Iran/Afghanistan. All these directions are unreachable for the empire, hence intense gnashing of teeth in Washington politburo. The trade with Latin America and Africa is also growing, but it can be made harder by the imperial navy. That’s why Russian subs have to “accidentally” surface to scare away imperial warships near tankers delivering gasoline from Iran to Venezuela. However, this factor is waning in importance. The quality of the imperial navy and the rest of its military keeps deteriorating. One reason is the level of corruption: just remember the breakdown of much hyped Zumwalt, with the price tag of many billions, in the Panama channel. The other reason is woke/LGBT madness: people in the military are promoted based on their color and sexual orientation, rather than based on competence, and it has consequences.

The process of reorientation will likely take a decade or two, but it cannot be stopped now. Many Europeans, even the ones positioning themselves as sensible and level-headed, still do not get a simple act that Russian pivot away from Europe is much greater loss for Europe than for Russia. They will likely realize this when it’s too late.

Personally, I used to travel to Europe a lot, visited most European countries. It always had an air of an oversized Disneyland, but history and the quality of food compensated for that. With the EU regulations the quality of food went visibly downhill. E.g., fruits and veggies in Spain used to be abundant, varied, and tasty 20 years ago, but two years ago I was amazed by sharp decline in quality and variety. Luckily for Italians, they tend to break stupid rules (like Russians), so fruits and veggies in Italy are still good. But they are mostly sold in small shops by Arabs. Now I boycott Europe, go to Asia, Latin America, and even Africa instead, and have fun. The world is big and most of it is outside of the imperial patch.

They should have gone in the other direction with Indy and made a politically incorrect movie, where he spoke about things like Battle Axe Culture, or how there was never a meaningful civilization run by women, or how the wheel was practically absent from sub-Sahara.

That Phoebe character could have been his enemy, digging up sites and trying to claim there were female warriors, or that the Bantu built Great Zimbabwe, or that Cleopatra was black, or that it was ‘pots, not people.’

Sudden Death, why do you WANT WW3?

Because to breathe a sigh of relief, russophobic people need Russian people to be degraded until Russia is unable to achieve anything of relevance. That’s russophobic thinking in a nutshell: Russians are natural scum, let’s do all we can, including having war and destroying Russia thoroughly, so Russians as a people become total scum. The fact that there’s a contradiction in their thinking is not something that russophobic people notice.

Despite believing that they are rational, russophobic people are neurotic. They have mental complexes that prevent them from seeing what is Real. Most Neocons and their Eastern European henchmen are russophobic and therefore irrational in fine.

Haters gonna hate.

🤷‍♂️

Russia seems less likely to use a nuke than the West.

The facts support your evaluation. So far only one country deliberately used nukes against humans. It was not Russia. It also was not NK, India, Pakistan, or even Israel.

What does Cori Bush mean when she says that she supports Italians fighting for Italy?
https://www.amren.com/news/2023/05/squad-demands-14-trillion-in-federal-reparations-for-descendants-of-slaves/

They find that phone app that reminds you to text your loved ones a happy birthday indispensable.

Filthy rich people are the ultimate atheists, no matter what they claim: Gods do not take bribes.

until Russia is unable to achieve anything of relevance

Translation – not being able to landgrab easily neighbouring countries anymore means nightmarish degradation to landgrabbers;)

I’m not a Peacenik at all, I just see this war as moronic and totally pointless.

Absolutely agree, therefore invaders are morons, whom should be stopped and kicked out;)

I think the post-Soviet scientists who left or died earlier may have been more consequential than recent losses. One the other hand, Russia can buy most of the fruits of their labors on the open market so they were not really lost! The wonders of the free market! Ok, call it the “vaguely free market”.

It doesn’t matter if a high quality education system is not restored. The USA has the same problem.

50,000 out of how many?

I think the locals (Ukrainians) who foolishly and tragically got themselves into the middle of this Superpower conflict may have the same nickname as you do 🙁

If Ukrainians make it harder and harder to do pointless moronic things for the pointless invading morons, then they achieved the right thing and should be helped, whatever the nicknames may be;)

invaders are morons, whom should be stopped and kicked out

Should the US and Western Europe stop and kick out all the invaders in the world or should we only get involved in the countries around Russia?

In the latter case, how does it benefit us, considering that Russia is by far the country that can cause us the most devastating harm? In the previous Cold War everybody understood the contrary to be the only rational choice. There wasn’t really any dispute about it. Hence Hungary and Czechoslovakia.

As I see it, the two most important military lesson in this war are probably that Russia’s conventional forces are a paper tiger, unable to threaten us, and that Russian missiles do work as intended. I remember how the first time the Russians used a Kalibr in Syria, not too long ago, the Pentagon doubted that the Russians could use advanced cruise missile technology and claimed that the missile had fallen somewhere in Iran. Now we can all see almost everyday how cruise , ballistic and even hypersonic missiles are launched from hundreds of miles away and reach their destinations with an accuracy of a few meters, less than the span of a bridge. I see exactly zero reasons to assume that Russia’s ICBMs and SLBMs would fail to reach us all if we corner the Russians into launching them. Am I wrong anywhere in this assessment?

Well. neither you nor AP addressed my main concern (AP seldom replies to my comments these days, probably saving his energies for more worthy commentators), as to whether the radiation of a tactical nuclear bomb used in Lviv might also reach bordering areas in Slovakia, Hungary or Poland? After all, ravishing Beckow lives close to Lviv.

To be honest, I don’t listen to Kitaro’s music much these days either. I used to listen to him a lot. His music just seemed to fit the description that you indicated you were looking for. His music has the unique quality of being both simple and complex at the same time. It’s still magical to this day, and he’s certainly won enough awards and has maintained a huge loyal fan base around the globe, to be still considered a viable composer. In addition to “Tojiki’ and of course his ground breaking “Silk Road”, you might enjoy listening to this one too:

Erdogan’s pro-Western rival is claiming that he will kick out the refugees, if elected. Is it all a bluff? Or will he deliver?

https://www.rt.com/news/576534-erdogan-rival-expell-refugees-turkiye/

Neocons and patriotards like him tried to scuttle Ronald Reagan’s relationship with Mikhail Gorbachev. The rapprochment between the two superpowers had the neocons screaming with rage and accusing Reagan of being weak and soft on communism. Their country being at war or at the very least bullying others seems to give them a sense of pride and purpose that they otherwise appear to be lacking in their everyday lives.

It’s easy enough to make the equivalence and say that AI et. al. is just the same as the printing press et. al. They all have caused a furor in their day. It’s certainly and argument that I’ve heard many times.

I think the argument misses a few critical details though. All the past innovations have not truly been assimilated seamlessly into human society. They have fundamentally changed society in many and progressively accumulating ways. This is neither here nor there as a value judgement, I’m just pointing the fact out.

Whether past technologies have been a good, bad or a mixed bag is debatable but in the past they mostly happened on a long time scale which allowed human individuals and societies time to adapt. Now we have innovation falling fast and thick which allows absolutely no time for reaction or adaptation. We’re even more at the mercy of the relentless, one could even say inhuman, pace of innovation. AI could just exacerbate this dynamic.

Also, the nature of web based innovation is that they are fundamentally different from past forms of innovation. Internet tech is fundamentally divorced from the physical world and human societies, needs, and personalities in ways that the printing press or telegraph could not be. Something like a Metaverse or AI can shape society in directions that are not ever recognizably human.

To your last question on opting out, then my qualified answer is yes. I already opt out of a lot of things on religious/ philosophical grounds and on health questions it would depend. For example, I would never even consider the use of IVF, and I am opposed (though my vanity protests a bit) to spending time and money doing something about the small but growing bald spot on my noggin.
I’m fine with doing things to improve my health and vitality as I age, but if science found a way to radically extend human lifespans I would have to opt out no matter how tempting it would be. I think it is just too anti-social a concept.

So, it all depends. One thing I do believe though is that everyone should put some time into thinking through what their own limits are in relation to technology. If we don’t personally set red lines then technological innovation will ensure that we never set limits. I think we are at the point where fundamental decisions will have to be made (and already are made) within our lifetimes that will fundamentally shape humanity, and if my own decisions ensure that I’m part of a distinct and alien subclass in the future then I’m fine with that.

Is tough to say so I didn’t say. This depends on the weather and the jet stream.

You might check if Phoenix ever got any serious fallout from the Nevada test site. You are about 350 miles Southeast of ground zero. The googler says there were 100 above ground tests there with the largest at 74 kilotons.

There was a lot of fallout from Chernobyl. I think the radiation from a modern US or Russian tactical nuke might be pretty small compared to most of the bombs which were tested above ground or used in Japan. If people hunker down for two weeks most would be fine, relatively speaking. The lack of food and bands of roving zombies would probably do most in.

Syria has been re-admitted to the Arab League, from the pov of Arab states the attempt to overthrow Assad’s government has failed. So theoretically, re-construction should now be possible, and Syrians should be able to go home (maybe after some sort of agreement is reached which has Assad promise not to harm those returning).
Major issue is of course that the US and its European lackeys still want to strangle Syria’s economy through sanctions and block all re-construction, e. g. see that stupid bitch Baerbock who recently tried to lecture Arab states that they mustn’t normalize ties with Syria (of course her party also doesn’t want Syrians to leave Germany again anyway).
But Turkey would presumably have more leeway to conclude an agreement with Syria, since it’s still a sovereign state capable of an independent foreign policy, for better or worse.
In any case, it’s funny how in Turkey even the Social Democrats are nationalists:

It’s easy enough to make the equivalence and say that AI et. al. is just the same as the printing press et. al. They all have caused a furor in their day. It’s certainly an argument that I’ve heard many times.

I believe this argument is completely wrong and shows a total lack of understanding. I doubt this can be explained to someone who does not recognize it. Either they get there on their own or they think it is a nothing burger. The people who control AI’s will use them to damage society. The nature of AI means this may happen much more quickly than people realize.

Can AI’s be used for good? Possibly, but the whole notion is sort of anti-human so I do not expect much good to come out of it. Sure there will be some nice things which are touted, but they will pale in comparison to the larger bad things which are not discussed.

Should the US and Western Europe stop and kick out all the invaders in the world or should we only get involved in the countries around Russia

Better: give countries the means to defend themselves from invaders so that invaders will be less likely to invade. It’s a similar approach to allowing citizens to own guns for self-protection.

As I see it, the two most important military lesson in this war are probably that Russia’s conventional forces are a paper tiger, unable to threaten us, and that Russian missiles do work as intended

Well, we also see that the Patriot system renders Russian missiles useless. And Ukraine has 2 of them. Places like Poland that have many systems are well covered.

And even before the Patriots, Russian missiles hadn’t been that effective. Ukraine was still exporting electricity.

Lviv is too far for Slovakia, but Poland would certainly be affected. This is why I suspect that Polish Patriot systems would shoot down attempts to nuke Lviv.

If Russia nuked Transcarpathia the fallout would affect Slovakia and Hungary.

It should be noted that what are currently called ghettoes in the NE were once nice neighborhoods. A lot of that was once track housing for Italians and Irish.

It’s a dirty secret but the public housing subsidies actually worked for the Italians and Irish. They could live on the dole in large scale public apartment projects which let them save for a house while working.

Our conservatives however have decided that “big government” must be the problem and public housing works for no one as it is dirty socialistic welfare. That is false but neither side wants an honest discussion because unwanted facts about a certain minority will come to life and the allegation of “big government” being the problem loses credibility.

Interestingly enough, here in the US, teachers, nurses, et cetera generally don’t like in ghettoes.

The really creepy thing is that an army of teachers/doctors/lawyers/technicians commute long hours into these areas and they all view it as normal. They are mostly White Democrats and drive 2 hours to work while thinking about how racist Whites somewhere else are the problem.