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是时候结束失败的阿富汗战争
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Media reports claim President Donald Trump let loose on his generals behind closed doors, blasting them royally for their startling failures in Afghanistan, America’s longest war.

The president has many faults and is a lousy judge of character. But he was absolutely right to read the riot act to the military brass for daring to ask for a very large troop and budget increase for the stalemated Afghan War that has cost \$1 trillion to date.

当然,倒霉的将军们也不是罪魁祸首。 他们被前三位总统强迫在世界之巅打一场毫无意义的战争,缺乏任何战略、理由或目的——而且力量有限。 但他们不能承认被轻武装的穆斯林部落成员打败。

The truth is, simply, that America blundered into the Afghan War under President George W. Bush who needed a target for revenge after the humiliating 9/11 attacks. Instead of blaming Saudi Arabia, a US protectorate which was clearly involved in the attacks, Bush went after remote but strategic Afghanistan and cooked up the Osama bin Laden bogeyman story.

Sixteen years later, the US is still chasing shadows in the Hindu Kush Mountains, rightly known to history as ‘Graveyard of Empires.’

美国入侵阿富汗是基于未经证实的说法,即反共战士乌萨马·本·拉登应对 9/11 袭击事件负责。 我们还没有看到确凿的证据。 我们看到的是本拉登的敌人、阿富汗共产党及其北方联盟的贩毒盟友发布的虚假文件和伪造视频。

As I’ve written in my books on South Asia, the so-called ‘terrorist training camps’ in Afghanistan were mostly bases for training anti-Indian Kashmiri liberation groups run by Pakistani intelligence. Claims by the right-wing US media that Afghanistan would become a jihadist base if the 9,800 US troops there now withdrew are nonsense. The 9/11 attacks were planned and mounted from Germany, Spain and Florida, not Afghanistan. They could have come from anywhere.

十六年后,美军及其阿富汗雇佣军未能击败阿富汗普什图部落抵抗力量塔利班。 事实上,塔利班联盟现在控制着阿富汗至少一半的领土,并牵制着美国和政府军。 美国任命的“总统”阿什拉夫·加尼几乎没有掌权。

What keeps the US in control of parts of Afghanistan is the US Air Force and naval air power. US warplanes from Afghanistan, Qatar, and aircraft carriers keep a 24/7 combat air patrol over distant Afghanistan and can reply in minutes to attacks on US or Afghan ground units. No other nation could do this – or afford the immense cost.

Gasoline trucked into Afghanistan over the Khyber Pass from Karachi costs \$400 per gallon delivered. The authoritative ‘Aviation Week’ magazine reports that keeping US warplanes on station over Iraq and Syria costs an astounding \$600,000 per mission. It’s even more over Afghanistan.

但是如果没有 24/7 的美国空中力量,驻阿富汗的美军很快就会被孤立,然后被赶出去。 这正是发生在英国和苏联身上的事情,注定了他们粉碎阿富汗最大民族、热爱独立的普什图人的努力。

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Bereft of new ideas, the US keeps repeating its mistakes in Afghanistan: colluding with the worst, most corrupt elements of Afghan society; condoning torture and murder; relying on the big, drug dealing tribal chiefs.
联合国报告称,鸦片(海洛因的原料)出口去年翻了一番。 蓬勃发展的阿富汗经济以鸦片和大麻为基础。

The United States is now the proud owner of the world’s leading producer of opium and morphine base. If the drug trade is ever cut off, the government in Kabul and its warlords will collapse. Ironically, when Taliban ruled Afghanistan before 9/11, the drug trade was almost wiped out. But you will never read this in the tame US media.

现在,美国的帝国将军们要求特朗普再增兵 4,000 人。 军事科学的一个基本规律是集中力量。 一分钱一包的部队是傻瓜的策略。 美军在阿富汗的主要职能是保护战略性的巴格拉姆和坎大哈空军基地以及美国在喀布尔的设施。

现在,极右翼的共和党人正在推动一项愚蠢的提议,将阿富汗战争承包给一支由喀布尔帝国总督领导的由美国支付的雇佣军。 维多利亚女王的影子。 打破髓头盔。

特朗普提议向巴基斯坦、印度和中国施压以结束战争。 多么荒谬的想法。 对巴基斯坦来说,阿富汗是它的血亲兄弟和战略腹地。 中国计划将矿产丰富的阿富汗变成西藏式的保护国。 印度希望通过接管阿富汗来包抄巴基斯坦。 印度和中国在喜马拉雅山的军事对抗日益加剧。

特朗普最好想出一个更好的主意。 我对 17 年战争的解决方案:效仿勇敢的苏联领导人米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫的榜样。 他宣布他的阿富汗战争打不赢,让愤怒的将军们闭嘴,并命令红军退出阿富汗战争。

(从重新发布 EricMargolis.com 经作者或代表的许可)
 
• 类别: 对外政策 •标签: 阿富汗, 美国军事 
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  1. The war in Afghanistan should really be renamed the “fifth opium war”, after the two opium wars the British fought against imperial China in the 19th century, and the two Indochina wars, the French and the US, where the CIA took over the drug racket run by SDECE, the “French connection”.
    只要毒品资金不断流入中央情报局的黑色预算,“我们”就会继续在阿富汗作战。 排干沼泽,包括“深层国家”,是制止这些毫无意义的帝国主义战争的必要前提。

    • 同意: Carroll Price
  2. Gasoline trucked into Afghanistan over the Khyber Pass from Karachi costs \$400 per gallon delivered. The authoritative ‘Aviation Week’ magazine reports that keeping US warplanes on station over Iraq and Syria costs an astounding \$600,000 per mission. It’s even more over Afghanistan.

    要做到这一点,您需要一台可以按需无限量打印世界储备货币的机器。 美元作为主要货币的任期即将结束。 当美元失去它的魔力时,美国将只是美洲的另一个大国。

  3. 苏联人在阿富汗并没有真正失败。 他们比北约更有效地控制和管理这个国家。

    If we hadn’t funded terrorists it would have probably become another backward but stable central/south asian state.

  4. Why, tell me why!!!??

    Why does every guy that writes a half way decent article have to trash on Trump at the beginning?

    总统有很多缺点,而且是一个糟糕的品格评判者。

    哦真的吗? 就像,他到底是如何一个糟糕的性格判断者,你叫猴子!

    It’s you who is a bad judge of character. You impune your entire thought, your entire article, with this piece of repugnant, illiterate nonsense.

    为什么有人会读过去那句话,只有 2 800字的文章中的句子?

    什么样的思想家会写出这样的东西,然后以那样的方式展示它?

    什么样的人会觉得有必要加入这样的免责声明?

    Eric? Are you afraid your friends or buddies, or peers or your mother will not like you if you do not bash Trump in front of every article you write?

    Why don’t you get a sign made and wear it on your front and back saying: hey I really hate Trump but I have something to say about him that isn’t that negative.

    就像他们在 50 年代所做的那样,埃里克。 我不是共产党员,但我参加了几次会议,看看他们对体面的工资和工人权利有什么看法。 但我不是共产党员。 请不要将我列入黑名单。 我好怕你会。

    This is a scared little boy move. It’s immature. It’s cowardly. And most important of all, it’s not even true.

    Ugh Ugh Ugh, like zombies in a George Romero flick, Trump Derangement Syndrome victims are everywhere you look!

    • 回复: @Anonymous
    , @Anon
  5. anon • 免责声明 说:

    Ending Muslims from coming to America is a far better defense.

  6. dearieme 说:

    “这正是发生在英国和苏联身上的事情”:英国人很快就吸取了教训。 在一次可怕的失败之后,他们使用了进进出出的惩罚性袭击,这当然是美国一开始就应该做的。 一场关于国家建设的胡言乱语的占领战争是一项愚蠢、愚蠢的政策。

    The air war: “No other nation could do this ….”: very true.
    “… – or afford the immense cost”: the US can’t afford the cost either.

    复制戈比? 好主意。

  7. @anon

    Yes, obviously stopping Senegalese or Indonesians coming to Amerikastan would win the war in Afghanistan.

    (Eye roll emoticon)

  8. DB Cooper 说:

    India wants to take over Afghanistan has more to just outflanking Pakistan. It has to do with its ‘Akhand Bharat’ ideology.

  9. You just don’t get it: This is what we do … it’s who we are!

  10. “特朗普提议向巴基斯坦、印度和中国施压以结束战争。 多么荒谬的想法。 对巴基斯坦来说,阿富汗是它的血亲兄弟和战略腹地。 中国计划将矿产丰富的阿富汗变成西藏式的保护国。 印度想通过接管阿富汗来包抄巴基斯坦。”

    从美国人的角度来看,这些结果中的任何一个都比我们继续参与更可取。 如果巴基斯坦接管,我们可以将我们的援助与他们在那里的治理联系起来。 如果中国接手,就会成为他们的问题,成为中美双边关系的又一个筹码。 如果印度接管它(考虑到靠近巴基斯坦,这是一个很大的远大目标),他们将压制异见者拉克什米尔。

    Declaring defeat and leaving is clearly the best option for us. So of course, we won’t do it.

  11. 来吧,马戈利斯先生。 您是否相信沙特人无法击败一群胡塞部落成员时能够进行 9/11 事件? 你认为他们能够将双子塔和 7 号世贸中心连接起来,然后用诺诺白蚁进行控制拆除吗? 你为什么不考虑以色列摩萨德可能参与其中? 本拉登与这些袭击没有任何关系,现在每个孩子都知道。 甚至联邦调查局都没有指责他是肇事者,这意味着很多。

    美国及其疯狂的盟友早就应该离开阿富汗,但他们仍然有太多的钱来继续他们的冒险主义。 但最终,他们会被击败,如英国人、苏联人和所有其他入侵者。 这是一个积极的信号,即使是像阿富汗这样的发展中国家也能击败地球上最强大、最具侵略性的国家美国。

    In the end, it was all for the birds, despite their bombastic rhetoric of freedom, democracy, gender mainstreaming, women’s rights and all the other niceties. Or was it just all about opium and drugs?

    • 回复: @Moi
    , @John Chuckman
  12. Moi 说:
    @Ludwig Watzal

    Yup, when it comes to 9/11, we need to look closer to home and to a country which our “leaders” love more than their own.

  13. Ben Frank 说:

    美国从一开始就没有任何理由在阿富汗作战。 除了“愚蠢的俄罗斯做到了,所以我们也必须这样做。”
    让我们将尽可能多的盟友疏散到其他合适的国家,然后把我们的男孩带回家。
    Potus被选为修复布什II和奥巴马的错误,这是最大的。

  14. 打一场错误的战争就像在没有模具的情况下浇筑混凝土。

    入侵阿富汗从来没有目的。

    The government of the day had nothing to do with 9/11.

    我们甚至不确定本拉登是否做到了。

    美国从未提供过他有罪的任何真实证据。

    The Taleban are not terrorists, just a large tribal group of pretty backward customs and beliefs, not all that different to the ultra-orthodox in Israel.

    入侵他们破坏了他们的社会,不必要地杀死了很多人,并向世界市场释放了大量毒品,塔利班以前很好地阻止了鸦片的种植。

    America is still paying for that with all the cheap opioids on the world market now, as with high murder rates in some American cities.

    入侵对许多美国人来说只是一种报复感。

    It really is hard to believe the way America so worships its military and squanders such vast amounts of money on it.

    二战后美军所做的几乎所有事情都是一场灾难,除了与保卫国家没有任何关系。

    Every war has been a dirty colonial war, killing lots of people for nothing.

    And the truth is you have lost or mismanaged most of them.

    Lots of killing. Little achieved worth achieving.

  15. @Ludwig Watzal

    The “Saudis did it” is today’s cheap mantra on 9/11.

    It is strongly encouraged by politicians like New York’s Chuck Schumer.

    It is, of course, total nonsense.

    我很惊讶地读到像马戈利斯这样的人以任何方式暗示这种陈旧的想法曾经让人们远离气味。

  16. Trump thinks he can win where Alexander the Great failed.

    不现实。

  17. Anonymous [AKA "Vietvet68"] 说:
    @restless94110

    Bad judge of character…yup….Sean Spicer, Jared Kushner, Flynn, Ben Carson, Bannon, Reince, Scarymooch, KellyAnn, Putin, and many more that have quite or been fired. Then there is Don the Con himself…a liar…blowhard…divider…hater…con artist…attacks perceived enemies..just an all around moron. Your comments are devoid of facts and evidence to support your case the Don the Con is a great man of great character. Don the Con is going after Mueller…hides his taxes…lies about the Wall the Mexico will not pay for…screams whines on tweets that embarass our nation. Bullies people he feels are against him. He gives horrible political speech to Boy Scouts…brags about his election win…claims those who voted for HC were frauds with no proof…blames Obama for playing golf then goes a plays more golf than O did…insults our allies..kisses Putins ass…passes classified info to Russians…and on and on….My gosh if you were half awake you would see for yourself how inane and incompetent this doffus us. Impeach him….

  18. “The 9/11 attacks were planned and mounted from Germany, Spain and Florida”… Pure Hog Wash Eric Margolis, he knows full well it was Israel/USA operation planned long time ago. Eric is part of the Chosen tribe. He knows what would happened if he does not tow the bull sh it 911 line– Israel will cease to exist and he ever does squeal, he will rot in jail or worse never to be seen again or heard. He ain’t no Israel fool!

  19. Duglarri 说:

    嗨,埃里克,

    All these years, and I keep hearing the “we’ve tried everything” mantra: counter-insurgency, nation-building, build and hold, surge, training… but every time a news story runs through the list of “all the things” that have been tried, one thing is left out, the one thing that has not been tried, to win this war.

    换边。

    为什么塔利班永远是敌人? 他们做了什么让他们永远被排除在政治参与自己国家的事务之外? 什么时候很明显,远远超过少数人支持他们? 以至于他们会为他们与压倒性的火力战斗到死?

    总有一天,这些人会管理自己的事务。

    What has this whole war been if not a massive bait and switch: come for Al Queda, stay for the Taliban?

    塔利班接待了 Al Queda,主要是因为古老的阿富汗好客习俗。 Al Queda 在那里开展了一些业务。 这是阻止他们永远经营自己的事务的理由吗? 我们是否对德国或佛罗里达州这样做了,这两个国家都可以说在接待 9/11 阴谋者方面做得更多?

    And what makes this particular group of religiously motivated actors unacceptable compared to, say, Saudi Arabia? Saudi Arabia is an ally. Are the Taliban worse than them? It’s seems hard to imagine.

    赢得这场战争的方法很简单。 停止与塔利班作战。

    换边。

  20. Halit 说:

    在阿富汗等待时间,只帮助阿富汗地主和统治阿尔凯达等人利用当地没有受过教育的年轻人为承诺的避风港自爆,阿尔凯达得到了金钱、权力和荣耀。
    为什么美国人仍然留在阿富汗没有人理解。
    Again,nobody understands how come George.W.Bush elected twice President,and what he was thinking when September 11 occured and why he was looking empty spaces? 显示的是无知的总统或猴子难以记住如何打板球? 我们较新知道。

  21. Anon • 免责声明 说:
    @restless94110

    我也注意到了,他们都这样做。 塔克卡尔森每晚都会这样做。

  22. DanC 说:

    > 为什么塔利班一直是敌人?

    The Taliban made the fatal mistake of shutting down poppy farming and opium production.

    你不会在没有重大影响的情况下切断中央情报局的主要账外资金来源之一。

  23. anon • 免责声明 说:

    Margolis is right. End the Afghan war and bring the troops home. Lets also stop all Muslim immigration too. No Muslims to fight over there or over here.

  24. Anonymous [AKA "radarpoker"] 说: • 您的网站

    What’s up to every body, it’s my first pay a visit of this blog;
    tis blog carries amazing and genuinely excellent information designed for readers.

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Personal 古典文学
“美国在中东和穆斯林世界的战略和经济利益正受到...
本·拉登已经死了,但他的策略仍然使美国流血。
埃及人反抗美国以及穆巴拉克的统治。
布什的朝鲜盲点开始产生威胁。
阿富汗远非成为“解放”伊拉克的典范,而是向人们展示了美国如何陷入苏联式的困境。