现在是 13 号星期五。 那么为什么不是一个病态的帖子呢? 我偶然发现了一些“生命表” 对于 2007 年。实际上,该链接给您的是男性和女性在给定年龄的死亡概率和预期寿命。 这对于私人和公共保险的目的显然很重要。 这些表格自然按性别分类,因为男性和女性的死亡可能性不同。 众所周知,除了当今最原始的国家之外,女性的预期寿命更长。
我想做一点可视化。 我将年份限制在 0 到 100 之间。由于我发现预期寿命是一个无聊的统计数据(众所周知),我想关注给定年份的死亡概率。 我生成了四个表。
– 首先,转换了显示给定年份对数中死亡概率的表格。 我不得不转型,因为 1 岁和 100 岁之间的差异跨越了四个数量级。
– 其次,一个表格说明了每年死亡概率的绝对变化。 这基本上是测量 X 年和 X 年之间的绝对变化 - 1。具体的例子可能是(10 岁时的死亡概率) - (9 岁时的死亡概率)
– 第三,一个表格,它从上表中获取结果并按上一年的值对其进行标准化,因此它按比例显示了每年的变化。 所以[(10岁时的死亡概率)-(9岁时的死亡概率)]/(9岁时的死亡概率)。
– 最后,多年来男性与女性死亡概率的比率。 显然,这通常 > 1。 令我惊讶的是,它在 1 岁左右时小于 10。 去男团!
请记住,年龄是下面所有图表的 x 轴。
原始数据附加在图表下方。 有一个美好的周末!
年龄 | 男性死亡 可能性 |
男性生活 期待 |
女性死亡 可能性 |
女性生活 期待 |
男性死亡 概率变化 |
女性死亡 概率变化 |
男性死亡 概率比例变化 |
女性死亡 概率比例变化 |
男/女 |
0 | 0.007379 | 75.380000 | 0.006096 | 80.430000 | |||||
1 | 0.000494 | 74.940000 | 0.000434 | 79.920000 | 0.006885 | 0.005662 | 0.933053 | 0.928806 | 1.1 |
2 | 0.000317 | 73.980000 | 0.000256 | 78.950000 | 0.000177 | 0.000178 | 0.358300 | 0.410138 | 1.2 |
3 | 0.000241 | 73.000000 | 0.000192 | 77.970000 | 0.000076 | 0.000064 | 0.239748 | 0.250000 | 1.3 |
4 | 0.000200 | 72.020000 | 0.000148 | 76.990000 | 0.000041 | 0.000044 | 0.170124 | 0.229167 | 1.4 |
5 | 0.000179 | 71.030000 | 0.000136 | 76.000000 | 0.000021 | 0.000012 | 0.105000 | 0.081081 | 1.3 |
6 | 0.000166 | 70.040000 | 0.000128 | 75.010000 | 0.000013 | 0.000008 | 0.072626 | 0.058824 | 1.3 |
7 | 0.000152 | 69.050000 | 0.000122 | 74.020000 | 0.000014 | 0.000006 | 0.084337 | 0.046875 | 1.2 |
8 | 0.000133 | 68.060000 | 0.000115 | 73.030000 | 0.000019 | 0.000007 | 0.125000 | 0.057377 | 1.2 |
9 | 0.000108 | 67.070000 | 0.000106 | 72.040000 | 0.000025 | 0.000009 | 0.187970 | 0.078261 | 1.0 |
10 | 0.000089 | 66.080000 | 0.000100 | 71.040000 | 0.000019 | 0.000006 | 0.175926 | 0.056604 | 0.9 |
11 | 0.000094 | 65.090000 | 0.000102 | 70.050000 | -0.000005 | -0.000002 | -0.056180 | -0.020000 | 0.9 |
12 | 0.000145 | 64.090000 | 0.000120 | 69.060000 | -0.000051 | -0.000018 | -0.542553 | -0.176471 | 1.2 |
13 | 0.000252 | 63.100000 | 0.000157 | 68.070000 | -0.000107 | -0.000037 | -0.737931 | -0.308333 | 1.6 |
14 | 0.000401 | 62.120000 | 0.000209 | 67.080000 | -0.000149 | -0.000052 | -0.591270 | -0.331210 | 1.9 |
15 | 0.000563 | 61.140000 | 0.000267 | 66.090000 | -0.000162 | -0.000058 | -0.403990 | -0.277512 | 2.1 |
16 | 0.000719 | 60.180000 | 0.000323 | 65.110000 | -0.000156 | -0.000056 | -0.277087 | -0.209738 | 2.2 |
17 | 0.000873 | 59.220000 | 0.000369 | 64.130000 | -0.000154 | -0.000046 | -0.214186 | -0.142415 | 2.4 |
18 | 0.001017 | 58.270000 | 0.000401 | 63.150000 | -0.000144 | -0.000032 | -0.164948 | -0.086721 | 2.5 |
19 | 0.001148 | 57.330000 | 0.000422 | 62.180000 | -0.000131 | -0.000021 | -0.128810 | -0.052369 | 2.7 |
20 | 0.001285 | 56.400000 | 0.000441 | 61.200000 | -0.000137 | -0.000019 | -0.119338 | -0.045024 | 2.9 |
21 | 0.001412 | 55.470000 | 0.000463 | 60.230000 | -0.000127 | -0.000022 | -0.098833 | -0.049887 | 3.0 |
22 | 0.001493 | 54.540000 | 0.000483 | 59.260000 | -0.000081 | -0.000020 | -0.057365 | -0.043197 | 3.1 |
23 | 0.001513 | 53.630000 | 0.000499 | 58.290000 | -0.000020 | -0.000016 | -0.013396 | -0.033126 | 3.0 |
24 | 0.001487 | 52.710000 | 0.000513 | 57.320000 | 0.000026 | -0.000014 | 0.017184 | -0.028056 | 2.9 |
25 | 0.001446 | 51.780000 | 0.000528 | 56.350000 | 0.000041 | -0.000015 | 0.027572 | -0.029240 | 2.7 |
26 | 0.001412 | 50.860000 | 0.000544 | 55.380000 | 0.000034 | -0.000016 | 0.023513 | -0.030303 | 2.6 |
27 | 0.001389 | 49.930000 | 0.000563 | 54.400000 | 0.000023 | -0.000019 | 0.016289 | -0.034926 | 2.5 |
28 | 0.001388 | 49.000000 | 0.000585 | 53.440000 | 0.000001 | -0.000022 | 0.000720 | -0.039076 | 2.4 |
29 | 0.001405 | 48.070000 | 0.000612 | 52.470000 | -0.000017 | -0.000027 | -0.012248 | -0.046154 | 2.3 |
30 | 0.001428 | 47.130000 | 0.000642 | 51.500000 | -0.000023 | -0.000030 | -0.016370 | -0.049020 | 2.2 |
31 | 0.001453 | 46.200000 | 0.000678 | 50.530000 | -0.000025 | -0.000036 | -0.017507 | -0.056075 | 2.1 |
32 | 0.001487 | 45.270000 | 0.000721 | 49.560000 | -0.000034 | -0.000043 | -0.023400 | -0.063422 | 2.1 |
33 | 0.001529 | 44.330000 | 0.000771 | 48.600000 | -0.000042 | -0.000050 | -0.028245 | -0.069348 | 2.0 |
34 | 0.001584 | 43.400000 | 0.000830 | 47.640000 | -0.000055 | -0.000059 | -0.035971 | -0.076524 | 1.9 |
35 | 0.001651 | 42.470000 | 0.000896 | 46.680000 | -0.000067 | -0.000066 | -0.042298 | -0.079518 | 1.8 |
36 | 0.001737 | 41.540000 | 0.000971 | 45.720000 | -0.000086 | -0.000075 | -0.052090 | -0.083705 | 1.8 |
37 | 0.001845 | 40.610000 | 0.001056 | 44.760000 | -0.000108 | -0.000085 | -0.062176 | -0.087539 | 1.7 |
38 | 0.001979 | 39.680000 | 0.001153 | 43.810000 | -0.000134 | -0.000097 | -0.072629 | -0.091856 | 1.7 |
39 | 0.002140 | 38.760000 | 0.001260 | 42.860000 | -0.000161 | -0.000107 | -0.081354 | -0.092801 | 1.7 |
40 | 0.002323 | 37.840000 | 0.001377 | 41.910000 | -0.000183 | -0.000117 | -0.085514 | -0.092857 | 1.7 |
41 | 0.002526 | 36.930000 | 0.001506 | 40.970000 | -0.000203 | -0.000129 | -0.087387 | -0.093682 | 1.7 |
42 | 0.002750 | 36.020000 | 0.001650 | 40.030000 | -0.000224 | -0.000144 | -0.088678 | -0.095618 | 1.7 |
43 | 0.002993 | 35.120000 | 0.001810 | 39.100000 | -0.000243 | -0.000160 | -0.088364 | -0.096970 | 1.7 |
44 | 0.003257 | 34.220000 | 0.001985 | 38.170000 | -0.000264 | -0.000175 | -0.088206 | -0.096685 | 1.6 |
45 | 0.003543 | 33.330000 | 0.002174 | 37.240000 | -0.000286 | -0.000189 | -0.087811 | -0.095214 | 1.6 |
46 | 0.003856 | 32.450000 | 0.002375 | 36.320000 | -0.000313 | -0.000201 | -0.088343 | -0.092456 | 1.6 |
47 | 0.004208 | 31.570000 | 0.002582 | 35.410000 | -0.000352 | -0.000207 | -0.091286 | -0.087158 | 1.6 |
48 | 0.004603 | 30.710000 | 0.002794 | 34.500000 | -0.000395 | -0.000212 | -0.093869 | -0.082107 | 1.6 |
49 | 0.005037 | 29.840000 | 0.003012 | 33.590000 | -0.000434 | -0.000218 | -0.094286 | -0.078024 | 1.7 |
50 | 0.005512 | 28.990000 | 0.003255 | 32.690000 | -0.000475 | -0.000243 | -0.094302 | -0.080677 | 1.7 |
51 | 0.006008 | 28.150000 | 0.003517 | 31.800000 | -0.000496 | -0.000262 | -0.089985 | -0.080492 | 1.7 |
52 | 0.006500 | 27.320000 | 0.003782 | 30.910000 | -0.000492 | -0.000265 | -0.081891 | -0.075348 | 1.7 |
53 | 0.006977 | 26.490000 | 0.004045 | 30.020000 | -0.000477 | -0.000263 | -0.073385 | -0.069540 | 1.7 |
54 | 0.007456 | 25.680000 | 0.004318 | 29.140000 | -0.000479 | -0.000273 | -0.068654 | -0.067491 | 1.7 |
55 | 0.007975 | 24.870000 | 0.004619 | 28.270000 | -0.000519 | -0.000301 | -0.069608 | -0.069708 | 1.7 |
56 | 0.008551 | 24.060000 | 0.004965 | 27.400000 | -0.000576 | -0.000346 | -0.072226 | -0.074908 | 1.7 |
57 | 0.009174 | 23.260000 | 0.005366 | 26.530000 | -0.000623 | -0.000401 | -0.072857 | -0.080765 | 1.7 |
58 | 0.009848 | 22.480000 | 0.005830 | 25.670000 | -0.000674 | -0.000464 | -0.073468 | -0.086470 | 1.7 |
59 | 0.010584 | 21.690000 | 0.006358 | 24.820000 | -0.000736 | -0.000528 | -0.074736 | -0.090566 | 1.7 |
60 | 0.011407 | 20.920000 | 0.006961 | 23.970000 | -0.000823 | -0.000603 | -0.077759 | -0.094841 | 1.6 |
61 | 0.012315 | 20.160000 | 0.007624 | 23.140000 | -0.000908 | -0.000663 | -0.079600 | -0.095245 | 1.6 |
62 | 0.013289 | 19.400000 | 0.008322 | 22.310000 | -0.000974 | -0.000698 | -0.079091 | -0.091553 | 1.6 |
63 | 0.014326 | 18.660000 | 0.009046 | 21.490000 | -0.001037 | -0.000724 | -0.078034 | -0.086998 | 1.6 |
64 | 0.015453 | 17.920000 | 0.009822 | 20.690000 | -0.001127 | -0.000776 | -0.078668 | -0.085784 | 1.6 |
65 | 0.016723 | 17.190000 | 0.010698 | 19.890000 | -0.001270 | -0.000876 | -0.082185 | -0.089188 | 1.6 |
66 | 0.018154 | 16.480000 | 0.011702 | 19.100000 | -0.001431 | -0.001004 | -0.085571 | -0.093849 | 1.6 |
67 | 0.019732 | 15.770000 | 0.012832 | 18.320000 | -0.001578 | -0.001130 | -0.086923 | -0.096565 | 1.5 |
68 | 0.021468 | 15.080000 | 0.014103 | 17.550000 | -0.001736 | -0.001271 | -0.087979 | -0.099049 | 1.5 |
69 | 0.023387 | 14.400000 | 0.015526 | 16.790000 | -0.001919 | -0.001423 | -0.089389 | -0.100901 | 1.5 |
70 | 0.025579 | 13.730000 | 0.017163 | 16.050000 | -0.002192 | -0.001637 | -0.093727 | -0.105436 | 1.5 |
71 | 0.028032 | 13.080000 | 0.018987 | 15.320000 | -0.002453 | -0.001824 | -0.095899 | -0.106275 | 1.5 |
72 | 0.030665 | 12.440000 | 0.020922 | 14.610000 | -0.002633 | -0.001935 | -0.093928 | -0.101912 | 1.5 |
73 | 0.033467 | 11.820000 | 0.022951 | 13.910000 | -0.002802 | -0.002029 | -0.091375 | -0.096979 | 1.5 |
74 | 0.036519 | 11.210000 | 0.025147 | 13.220000 | -0.003052 | -0.002196 | -0.091194 | -0.095682 | 1.5 |
75 | 0.040010 | 10.620000 | 0.027709 | 12.550000 | -0.003491 | -0.002562 | -0.095594 | -0.101881 | 1.4 |
76 | 0.043987 | 10.040000 | 0.030659 | 11.900000 | -0.003977 | -0.002950 | -0.099400 | -0.106464 | 1.4 |
77 | 0.048359 | 9.480000 | 0.033861 | 11.260000 | -0.004372 | -0.003202 | -0.099393 | -0.104439 | 1.4 |
78 | 0.053140 | 8.940000 | 0.037311 | 10.630000 | -0.004781 | -0.003450 | -0.098865 | -0.101887 | 1.4 |
79 | 0.058434 | 8.410000 | 0.041132 | 10.030000 | -0.005294 | -0.003821 | -0.099624 | -0.102409 | 1.4 |
80 | 0.064457 | 7.900000 | 0.045561 | 9.430000 | -0.006023 | -0.004429 | -0.103074 | -0.107678 | 1.4 |
81 | 0.071259 | 7.410000 | 0.050698 | 8.860000 | -0.006802 | -0.005137 | -0.105528 | -0.112750 | 1.4 |
82 | 0.078741 | 6.940000 | 0.056486 | 8.310000 | -0.007482 | -0.005788 | -0.104997 | -0.114166 | 1.4 |
83 | 0.086923 | 6.490000 | 0.062971 | 7.770000 | -0.008182 | -0.006485 | -0.103910 | -0.114807 | 1.4 |
84 | 0.095935 | 6.060000 | 0.070259 | 7.260000 | -0.009012 | -0.007288 | -0.103678 | -0.115736 | 1.4 |
85 | 0.105937 | 5.650000 | 0.078471 | 6.770000 | -0.010002 | -0.008212 | -0.104258 | -0.116882 | 1.4 |
86 | 0.117063 | 5.260000 | 0.087713 | 6.310000 | -0.011126 | -0.009242 | -0.105025 | -0.117776 | 1.3 |
87 | 0.129407 | 4.890000 | 0.098064 | 5.870000 | -0.012344 | -0.010351 | -0.105447 | -0.118010 | 1.3 |
88 | 0.143015 | 4.550000 | 0.109578 | 5.450000 | -0.013608 | -0.011514 | -0.105157 | -0.117413 | 1.3 |
89 | 0.157889 | 4.220000 | 0.122283 | 5.060000 | -0.014874 | -0.012705 | -0.104003 | -0.115945 | 1.3 |
90 | 0.174013 | 3.920000 | 0.136190 | 4.690000 | -0.016124 | -0.013907 | -0.102122 | -0.113728 | 1.3 |
91 | 0.191354 | 3.640000 | 0.151300 | 4.360000 | -0.017341 | -0.015110 | -0.099653 | -0.110948 | 1.3 |
92 | 0.209867 | 3.380000 | 0.167602 | 4.040000 | -0.018513 | -0.016302 | -0.096747 | -0.107746 | 1.3 |
93 | 0.229502 | 3.150000 | 0.185078 | 3.760000 | -0.019635 | -0.017476 | -0.093559 | -0.104271 | 1.2 |
94 | 0.250198 | 2.930000 | 0.203700 | 3.500000 | -0.020696 | -0.018622 | -0.090178 | -0.100617 | 1.2 |
95 | 0.270750 | 2.750000 | 0.222541 | 3.260000 | -0.020552 | -0.018841 | -0.082143 | -0.092494 | 1.2 |
96 | 0.290814 | 2.580000 | 0.241317 | 3.050000 | -0.020064 | -0.018776 | -0.074105 | -0.084371 | 1.2 |
97 | 0.310029 | 2.440000 | 0.259716 | 2.870000 | -0.019215 | -0.018399 | -0.066073 | -0.076244 | 1.2 |
98 | 0.328021 | 2.300000 | 0.277409 | 2.700000 | -0.017992 | -0.017693 | -0.058033 | -0.068124 | 1.2 |
99 | 0.344422 | 2.190000 | 0.294054 | 2.540000 | -0.016401 | -0.016645 | -0.050000 | -0.060002 | 1.2 |
100 | 0.361644 | 2.070000 | 0.311697 | 2.390000 | -0.017222 | -0.017643 | -0.050003 | -0.059999 | 1.2 |