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美联储(Fed)的一些官员正在呼吁制定更严格的银行法规,以防止美联储的低利率政策导致投资者承担“过分”的风险,从而造成资产泡沫。 可以理解的是,美联储担心这些泡沫将破裂,导致另一场市场崩溃。 但是,繁荣与萧条的周期不会结束,因为监管机构阻止了投资者承担“过度”的风险。 在过去的107年中,美国经历的几乎每一次泡沫和经济衰退都是由美联储操纵货币供应造成的。

美联储的行为人为地降低了利率,从而扭曲了利率所发出的信号,即货币价格。 人为地降低利率会导致对那些没有实际潜在市场条件支持的项目进行投资。 这导致了繁荣,不可避免地导致了崩溃,然后是新一轮的货币创造和政府的救助重新开始了周期。

日益严格的法规不仅不会阻止下一次经济危机的爆发,还会使下一次衰退更加严重。 联邦监管机构无法确定什么是“过度”风险。 相反,最好将决定权留给市场参与者。 监管机构几乎和其他所有人一样,都受到美联储对市场的扭曲看法。 因此,监管机构可能将不断增长的资产泡沫误认为是经济的蓬勃发展部门,它将成为长期的增长来源。 如果像房地产泡沫一样,政府政策(例如《社区再投资法》)鼓励了不良投资,则情况尤其如此。 此外,监管机构可能会阻碍实际上对实际经济状况做出反应的企业的成长,而不是美联储造成的幻想。

人民(甚至不是金融和政治精英)对审计甚至结束美联储以及对加密货币和贵金属的支持,表明我们可能很快就会达到路德维希·冯·米塞斯所称的“崩溃”。 当有足够多的人意识到货币供应量的持续增长以及随之而来的货币购买力下降是中央银行的一项特征时,便会发生这种分裂。 因此,他们一拿到钱就花了钱,加速了恶性通货膨胀的兴起。

对美国政府债务的影响,不稳定的美国经济状况以及对美国外交政策的日益不满的担忧导致美元的国际价值下降。 最终,这些因素将导致拒绝美元的世界储备货币地位。

抛弃美元在国外的储备货币地位以及在国内实行分崩离析将导致经济崩溃比大萧条更为严重。 在这些问题中,这将导致暴力加剧,因为一些认为自己有权依靠他人偷窃财产生活的美国人切断了政府中间人,并开始从同胞那里偷钱。

避免这种命运的唯一方法是在人民中间传播自由思想。 强大的自由运动可能会迫使政治人物削减开支,审计和结束美联储,使竞争货币合法化并停止促进分裂的身份政治,这是从凯恩斯主义的福利战争国家和平过渡到自由社会的关键。

(从重新发布 罗恩·保罗学院 经作者或代表的许可)
 
• 类别: 经济学 •标签: 美联储 
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  1. The Lock Downs and Silicon Valley’s egregious Orwellian censorship and deplatforming are terrible for the economy over all, and also serve as cautions to anyone that is considering opening a business, either bricks and mortar or virtual. And isn’t that exactly what they are demanding? Exclusivity and a mandate to depend on them?

    Let the Nuremburg 2 trials commence in America!

    This is completely unacceptable! There are already many unemployed. The financial fraud and the scientific fraud that occured have destroyed the country, the economy, and the future. Unless the prosecutions start, there will be no recovery, because there are too many disincentives to open businesses! If someone can simply shut that business down based on scientific fraud and steal it for themselves, only the corrupt will purchase new businesses in league with other corrupt people, and trusting corrupt people never works out. It always ends in disaster. Mafia families and mafia turf wars prove this, as well as other street gangs. Trump should know this, since he is a business man!

    It has to be dealt with.

    安德里亚·拉瓦尼(Andrea Iravani)

    • 同意: Achmed E. Newman
    • 回复: @BuelahMan
    , @Emslander
  2. BuelahMan 说:
    @No Friend Of The Devil

    Let the Nuremburg 2 trials commence in America!

    Can I offer up the fake human skin lampshades, the shrunken heads, and the human fat soap?

    I don’t know why anyone uses Nuremberg as an example, when it was so full of lies and distortions and torture-inspired admission. It is precisely what we DON’T need.

    • 回复: @GeeBee
  3. GeeBee 说:
    @BuelahMan

    Well said. All of the depressingly overused imagery from Germany’s twelve years of freedom should be anathema to those of us who understand how the post-war world works, and why. Anyone on ‘our’ side invoking terms such as ‘Nazi’, ‘the Gestapo’, ‘the SS’, ‘Hitler’ (we should always accord him the courtesy of adding his first name), ‘Nazi war-crimes/atrocities’, ‘the death camps’ and not least, as you remark, ‘Nuremberg’, in what they imagine to be furtherance of our agenda, should be called out on this extremely bad error in no uncertain terms. All this sort of usage does is to confirm that the culprit has swallowed the propaganda hook, line and sinker, and is, in effect, on the same page as those who push this same propaganda. They are, in fact, albeit unwittingly, agents of our nemesis, furthering their vile propaganda.

    Like it or not, National Socialist Germany was our best – possibly our last – chance of avoiding this shallow, soulless, deracinated materialist dystopia in which we are forced to live.

    • 同意: BuelahMan
  4. A123 说:

    Trump’s plan for re-industrialization presents the way forward. Ultimately, making things creates value.

    As bad as the USD may be, every other currency is worse. The EUR is crippled by internal EU strife and has no credible central bank. The value of the Chinese RMB is based on statistical fraud and outright lies. If the USD implodes there will be a period of little to no international trade as all major currencies fail along with the dollar.

    If currencies go, a replacement will appear. Large-scale barter is simply unworkable for the long term. Self sufficiency in raw materials and productive output will control which nations emerge first and most successfully from any currency turmoil.

    和平😇

    • 回复: @Miro23
  5. Sirius 说:

    If the USD loses its world reserve currency status, the US is indeed in for some very hard times, including potential hyperinflation.

    The main factor in its favor is that there is no currency strong enough to take its place. But that is not a good position to be in. Circumstances can change, and judging by federal mismanagement for the last 2 or more decades, they will. The main question is how long.

    How long is critical, because it says how much time the US has to reverse the trend, which is still possible. None of the last 3 administrations have taken the right steps. Look at the government debt increases for the last 20 years: debt increases that did not invest in infrastructure as during the Eisenhower years (when there was also high debt) but rather went into casino capitalism and propping up Wall Street.

    This is not sustainable but it is reversible. Ironically the opposite happened in 2020 under the cover of the pandemic making the reversal that much more difficult.

    • 回复: @Jokem
  6. Jokem 说:
    @Sirius

    ‘debt increases that did not invest in infrastructure as during the Eisenhower years’

    I am not sure if you are considering the Interstate Highway System.

    • 巨魔: Greta Handel
    • 回复: @Greta Handel
  7. @Jokem

    You’ve entirely misread it. Sirius is comparing the infrastructural expenditures of the Eisenhower years to the financial manipulations of the last 20.

    Isn’t that clear from the context? Once again, your cluelessness comes across as deft trolling. In fact, now that I’m privileged, time to use that often misunderstood button.

    • 回复: @Sirius
  8. Sirius 说:
    @Greta Handel

    and @Jokem

    Indeed, that is what I was referring to, as well as other investments in the future like the GI Bill. I was contrasting the 2 eras.

    • 回复: @Jokem
  9. Jokem 说:
    @Sirius

    Got it. Thanks for explaining without name calling…

  10. That was a great summation of the financial state and problem of the country. Each paragraph laid out a problem in plain English, and each built on the last to demonstrate why the SHTF time is coming for America.

    Then we get to that last pie-in-the-sky paragraph of hope by Dr. Paul, as usual, saying that current-era Americans will go for these ideas of liberty. Are you kidding me? We’ve let in 50 million people over the last 55 years from places where almost nobody understands these ideas of liberty. Are you going to explain these ideas to a Nigerian or Chinaman? Will the Guatemalans and Somalians get on board with your and my views about the Federal Reserve? Try to picture that in your mind.

    Identity politics is what you get when you import a Tower of Babel, Ron Paul. In fact, White People had better get their ID politics in order, as all the rest of it is against them.

    Sorry, I’ve agreed with you for 25 years, Dr. Paul, but you and Pat Buchanan write columns that make me think the last time you walked around among Americans was in 1960.

    Demography is destiny. I wish I were wrong about this.

    • 回复: @Jokem
  11. Miro23 说:
    @A123

    As bad as the USD may be, every other currency is worse. The EUR is crippled by internal EU strife and has no credible central bank.

    The current runner-up to the US Dollar is the Euro, so if the Dollar went, the Euro would have a big role. Brussels wouldn’t mind since it would keep interest rates low and open up a lot of possibilities for deficit financing. The Euro would also probably be the first choice of Russia and the ME oil states. The ECB has a lot of credibility.

    • 回复: @Justvisiting
  12. Jokem 说:
    @Achmed E. Newman

    ‘We’ve let in 50 million people over the last 55 years from places where almost nobody understands these ideas of liberty. ‘

    That would be fine if we embraced the concept of assimilation into the melting pot instead of diversity.
    Diversity makes relationships more complex, which would not be so bad if we embraced States Rights instead of jamming everyone into a one-size-fits-all concept.

    I have to agree with you, I think this has gone too far to be reversed.

  13. @Miro23

    The ECB has a lot of credibility.

    谢谢你的肚子大笑。

    This is a race to the bottom–with accelerators hitting the floor.

  14. animalogic 说:

    “Federal regulators are not capable of determining what is “excessive” risk. Instead, that determination is best left to market participants. Regulators are subject to having the same Fed-induced distorted view of the marketplace as nearly everyone else. Thus, regulators may mistake a growing asset bubble as a thriving sector of the economy that will serve as a long-term source of growth. This is especially the case if, as with the housing bubble, government policies such as the Community Reinvestment Act encourage the malinvestments. Also, regulators may impede the growth of businesses that are actually responding to real economic conditions instead of Fed-created illusions.”
    Mr Paul has some sense of the problem, but his “libetarianism” distorts his vision.
    The “flies in his eyes” have him seeing giant US “regulators”. He sees “thriving sectors” of the economy — Silicon valley, at a guess, is the obvious candidate (H1B visa anyone ?). The fact is the US economy has, increasingly, since the 80’s ? 90’s ? depended on asset inflation for “growth” or any “thriving”. The Fed is not the cause of this, it is the TOOL. Regulation (LOL) has also been another tool used by Wall St to create then suck wealth from the economy.
    Mr Paul, needs to actually see what has become of “Capitalism” in the 21st C, then he might see the disease, rather than merely the symptoms.

    • 回复: @Jokem
  15. Jokem 说:
    @animalogic

    Big company’s like regulation because they can more easily comply with the regulation than small competitors.
    This is another example of the Constitution being interpreted to apply ‘Interstate Commerce’ to companies which do not do business out of state.

  16. Emslander 说:
    @No Friend Of The Devil

    But, if the manipulators can create 15 to 20 million votes on the national level for any candidate they want, even a nearly comatose masked man, how does the will of the people who are schooled in liberty manifest itself?

  17. IMO the author’s analysis is spot-on, at least as far as the American-centric world-view is concerned.

    But then, near the end of the article, there’s this…

    The only way to avoid this fate…

    We all pretty much have some idea of how to fix the problem(s), but nothing happens, no-one in a position to do so actually does anything substantive, in fact the problem(s) just keep snowballing.

    Where’s our Knight in shining armour? Dream on.

    As I’ve suggested in other threads, the simplest path to a solution (for the rest of the world, at least) might be the implosion and disintegration of the USA.

    Might even be a blessing for the long-suffering citizens of the USA.

    • 回复: @Jokem
  18. Jokem 说:
    @Ultrafart the Brave

    You mean session?
    The War Between the States settled that matter, regardless of the justification.

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