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谁相信华盛顿的朝鲜政策,蒂勒森还是特朗普?
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President Trump has often said that his foreign policy objective was to keep his enemies guessing. If that’s the goal, you could say that he’s doing a good job. The problem is who does he think his enemies are, because the American people are often left guessing as well.

US policy toward North Korea last week is a good example of how the Trump Administration is wittingly or unwittingly sowing confusion among friend and foe alike. In what looked like a breakthrough, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson announced last Tuesday that the US would be willing to sit down and talk with North Korea “without preconditions.” Previously the US had demanded that North Korea agree to end its nuclear weapons and missile programs before Washington was willing to sit down to formal talks.

The State Department shift toward actual diplomacy with North Korea was quickly quashed, however, when the White House announced that its position on North Korea had not changed. It seemed that the State Department and White House were each pursuing different foreign policies on the Korea issue.

The White House even appeared to belittle Tillerson’s attempt at diplomacy, releasing a statement on Wednesday that talks with North Korea would be “pointless.” No wonder speculation persists that Tillerson is on his way out as Secretary of State.

Then on Friday Secretary Tillerson seemed to do a u-turn on his own policy, announcing at a UN Security Council meeting that a “sustained cessation of North Korea’s threatening behavior” must precede any negotiations with the US. “North Korea must earn its way back to the table,” he said. So, after just three days the offer of unconditional talks with North Korea had been put on and then removed from the table.

美国要求朝鲜停止其“威胁性行为”的虚伪之处不止一点。 就在这个月,美国和韩国又发起了针对朝鲜的联合军事演习。 大约12,000名军事人员和230架飞机(包括隐形战斗机)参加了大规模的战争游戏。 有人认为这并不意味着对朝鲜构成威胁吗?

令人遗憾的是,政府中的鹰派继续占主导地位。 在华盛顿和平壤之间进行了一段“真诚”的举动之后,与朝鲜进行对话似乎是很合理的。 为什么不同意在六个月内不进行美韩联合军事演习,以换取同一时期不发射朝鲜导弹,然后同意在中立的基础上举行会议呢? 怎么可能会受到伤害,特别是考虑其他选择?

The hawks continue to talk up a US strike against North Korea. Senator Lindsey Graham seemed pleased when he announced that there was a 70 percent chance that the US would attack North Korea if it detonated another nuclear weapon. Does he realize how many people will die? Does he care?

Defense Secretary James Mattis seems skeptical about neocon hysteria, declaring that the North Korean missile program does not pose a “capable threat” to the United States. With that in mind, we can only hope that President Trump will encourage Tillerson to do another about-face and return to the idea of talks without pre-condition. Strategic ambiguity is one thing, sending constantly mixed signals when nuclear war looms is something else.

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  1. Maybe they are playing good cop/bad cop. Smart move if true.

    Carrots gotta be offered with threat of the stick.

    PS. Puff wants to be in the NFL business.

    http://www.foxnews.com/sports/2017/12/18/sean-diddy-combs-eyes-carolina-panthers-wants-to-sign-kaepernick.html

    Best solution would be to have each race have their own league. Due to biological race-ism that favors blacks in sports, non-blacks can hardly play in pro sports.

    So, let there be various racial leagues.

    Since biological race-ism discriminates against whites in NBA and NFL, let there be the Blanco League.

    • 回复: @Ilyana_Rozumova
  2. T. Rex is probably closer to the mark. Clearly the Last Trump is continuing his Wizard of Oz impersonation and being humored by his minders while others try to go about the business of actually performing miracles.

    Eventually Congress critters will wake up back home in their jerrymandered constituencies and realize it has all been a bad dream.

  3. “Senator Lindsey Graham seemed pleased when he announced that there was a 70 percent chance that the US would attack North Korea if it detonated another nuclear weapon. Does he realize how many people will die? Does he care?”

    1) Yes.
    2) No.

    It’s a sick, sad world where a former JAG Corps officer has so much influence over foreign and national defence and security policies.

    Trump should re-activate him and either put him in Syria to brief the rules of engagement to the special ops forces (who will no doubt frag him) in real-time, or at one of the bases near the Korean DMZ, where he’ll get real-world experience in the first wave of the invasion he is cheering on.

  4. @Priss Factor

    完全同意。
    After all people do not play hockey with monkeys!

    • 巨魔: FB
    • 回复: @FB
  5. In a competent administration I’d assume good cop / bad cop. In the Trump era no assumptions are possible. Everything is just random noise, like leaves and trash blowing down the street, or cats yowling on a fence.

  6. With that in mind, we can only hope that President Trump will encourage Tillerson to do another about-face and return to the idea of talks without pre-condition.

    You got that right Dr. Paul. We can only hope. We want peace. We vote for peace. But we get war.

  7. FB 说:
    @Ilyana_Rozumova

    Disgusting…

    That’s the way forward…promoting racial divides…?

    Whose fault is it that the US has a black population…?

    Did those slaves come here in their own boats to seek a ‘better life’…?

    You and this ‘Piss Factor’ are sick excuses for human beings…

    • 回复: @Ilyana_Rozumova
  8. FB 说:

    Why not agree on no US/South Korean joint military exercises for six months in exchange for no North Korean missile launches for the same period and then agree to a meeting on neutral ground? How could it possibly hurt, particularly considering the alternative?

    Well…the simple reason is that the US continues to dream of regime change in North Korea…there is no other ‘plan’…

    There is no desire for simple coexistence with North Korea…

    That is quite plain and indisputable, based on the US actions…

    The US refusal to even consider a peace treaty for 60 years now…makes that sinister motive plain as day…

    So it is useless to start from the point that the US is somehow interested in ‘defusing’ the North Korean crisis…or even cares about the nuclear weapons or missiles…

    Missiles and nukes are not the problem…even without those the US has never abandoned its core goal of 70 years to dominate the entire Korean peninsula…

    As soon as we recognize what the dynamics here really are…then we can go forward…

    It is interesting to see here that Tillerson is yet again showing himself to be hugely capable of realism…

    This man is a gift to the American people…but he is undermined by Dump himself who has chosen to adopt the entire neocon agenda…

    If we assume that the policy of the US is shaped more by unseen actors rather than the elected and visible personalities on center stage…then my hope is that there are some rational players among those ‘unseen’ shot callers…who may be supporting the Tillerson realpolitik approach…

    …because getting real and snapping out of disneyland fantasies is the only thing that is going to stave off impending disaster for the US…

    We can only hope that such a faction of realists exists within the ‘unseen’ power structure…

    What we can be plenty sure of is that there is clearly another powerful faction at work…call them the neocons…the war party or what you will…and they seem to have the upper hand over the pathetically weak Dump…

    At least for the moment…

  9. @FB

    Not at all so! US did give all of them option to return. Some of them did. They did created Nigeria.
    Those who chose to remain have no right to complain.
    And as I can see it now they have actually no reason to complain.
    But they keep even complaining about Academy awards.
    They all were voting against Trump, but they are complaining that Trump is divider and not unifier.
    That is a little bit too much. Naturally the greatest culprit here is Globalist Zionist media, but that is beside the point. All media is in Zionist hand, including controlled opposition as Fox.
    Influence of media on mob is indisputable.
    So how can be here a fair game?

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