More and more people are beginning to recognize that the 2-state solution has irrecoverably failed. And, the inherently genocidal 1-state solution is a non-starter. (1)

It is time to talk about a new solution
for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict

After October 7, it’s time for politicians, security experts, and think tanks to offer new, creative suggestions, since the ones that have circulated until now have failed.

What might these look like? Former National Security Council head Giora Eiland presented some ideas in 2010.

One idea could be called the United States of Jordan, a new twist on the old Jordan-Palestinian confederation plan. Under this proposal, Jordan would include three states: Jordan, the West Bank, and the Gaza Strip, all governed by a federal government in Amman. The West Bank and Gaza would have a budget, government institutions, laws, and a police force, just like the US states, but they would not have responsibility for foreign policy or the military, which would remain in the hands of the federal government in Amman.

Another idea proposed by Eiland is a two-state solution not based on the paradigm of an Israeli return to the 1967 borders. Rather, it would involve a land swap between Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and a future Palestinian entity that would significantly expand the size of Gaza, allowing Israel to retain 12% of the West Bank and providing Egypt with a land link to Jordan.

This is not meant as an endorsement of either plan. It is merely an example of how, with some unconventional thinking, other ideas can be introduced to replace the classic two-state mirage that most Israelis no longer see as a path to peace.

IMHO a physically separate New Muslim Palestine makes the most sense. Any solution that involves close contact could result in terror rockets and necessary responses. However, at least the options in the article realize that additional land is needed for any arrangement to work.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-788189

From a Russian site:

“My son wore a Navalny t-shirt. He was beaten up twice and urinated upon. I don’t want to think about what might have happened if he’d left the house.”

Is there any kind of historical AI chatbot?

Was hoping to find all references to a certain name in the 1600s, but what I get now is some b.s. that it is a common name or something, when in reality I would expect very few surviving references to the name. And when I try to narrow it down, I get fed more crap.

What I have always wanted out of AI is improved search, as depicted on Star Trek. Am sure that they say we have it, but am not seeing it.

dayum this is crazy

65 Russians killed in Himars strike
https://funker530.com/video/nsfw-65-russians-killed-from-himars-strike/

The way they timed the strike is incredible.

Improved for whom?

We do have it. You are not supposed to see it.

Ex-NATO senior general Harald Kujat (the chairman of NATO’s military committee 20 years ago) on Ukraine and where we are. 45 minutes, there’s an auto-generated transcript which I’ll try to knock into shape. I hate stuff without a transcript but it actually is worth a listen.

Makes a change from the bletherings of Chatham House, RUSI or the ISW.

(PS is JJ still on about a hit from 2 days ago that we’ve all seen the sad pics from?)

But…. Google AI is perfect? Right? (1)

Google’s AI has a pre-programmed understanding of “diversity.”

Allegations of racial bias towards Caucasians have surfaced against Google Gemini, an AI chatbot known for its image-generation abilities and more. According to aggrieved users voicing their concerns on X, the AI tool is seemingly resistant to generating images of white individuals, a bias observed upon testing it with diverse prompts such as Popes, Vikings, American Revolutionary soldiers, and more.

 

You can find all sorts of historical figures that never existed! Great fun!

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://ninetymilesfromtyranny.blogspot.com/2024/02/google-ai-tool-gemini-is-accused-of.html

Oldie but goodie.

Slate podcast from 2018. Commercial garbage but listenable. The 2024 media business is not capable of doing this now as far as I can tell.

Decoder Ring: The Incunabula Papers
What lies at the heart of Ong’s Hat?
Benjamin Frisch and Willa Paskin
Oct 29, 2018

https://slate.com/culture/2018/10/decoder-ring-explores-the-interdimensional-conspiracy-theory-known-as-ongs-hat-the-man-who-created-it-and-the-new-form-of-art-it-birthed.html

(PS is JJ still on about a hit from 2 days ago that we’ve all seen the sad pics from?)

Not sure what you mean there but I’m glad that you are thinking about me throughout the day.

I’m sure my ex-girlfriends do the same.

But I do have a video for you.

Russians are blowing up the dead instead of returning the bodies:

Wow. A new low in warfare brought to you by Russia.

Even the Nazis compensated the families of the dead.

…Even the Nazis compensated the families of the dead.

Did they? As hard as you try to hide it you are one mad Nazi. “Compensated” the families? You are literally inventing feel-good lying nonsense. That never ends well.

Germans murdered around 10-15 million civilians in eastern Europe and burnt the bodies or left them on the ground. They took many pictures with the massacres to send home to families to celebrate. I am not sure who the “Nazis” are, they were simply Germans, why do you hide it? Germany (and its Euro allies) attacked Russia (“Soviets”), murdered millions, were defeated and thoroughly clobbered. But I guess teh lesson wasn’t learned,.

Thanks for clarifying JJ’s observation here. It makes me feel better to know that Putler’s Z-men are equally culpable in not compensating members of victims’ families (or of their own) of their sadism. I know that I can always rely on you to provide the definitive take on any subject matter.

Scouring.

I want IRS-level AI.

Do honestly wonder if the mulatto British Royals had something to do with Charles taking ill and Meghan and Harry circling, like sharks. It could be a prediction.

I identify with the Republican party that has always stood up to Russian dictators and supported democracies around the globe. Mike Johnson needs to be stopped, as well as his MAGGOT supporters:

…Even the Nazis compensated the families of the dead.

Did they? As hard as you try to hide it you are one mad Nazi. “Compensated” the families? You are literally inventing feel-good lying nonsense. That never ends well.

That’s hilarious. I’ve been called a Jew numerous times for calling out the bullshit of Hitler apologists. In fact I was just doing it in the current Robert Lindsay thread:
https://www.unz.com/article/why-jewish-conspiracies-fall-flat-sometimes/

At Anglin’s blog they are certain I am a Jew and in part because I don’t support Putin. In case you didn’t notice the alt-right bloggers that support Putin tend to be White nationalist. Anglin describes himself as “Putin’s #1 fanboy” and runs a Neo-Nazi website. Of course it makes zero sense but this is the same guy that said White women f-ck dogs and should be avoided.

Anyhoo I was comparing the evil of the Nazis to the evil of the Russian government. The Nazis at least paid the families of their dead servicemen. Russia has gone to a new historical low.

I am not sure who the “Nazis” are, they were simply Germans, why do you hide it?

Well you must be confused. In America and Europe it is normal to refer to Germans and especially the military as Nazis if it is from the period of 1939-1945. It’s an acceptable interchangeable term. Take it up with them if you find the practice confusing.

Do all the damage control you want but the world currently views the Russians as the evil side. Take it up with the dwarf for doing things like trying to scam the families out of their veteran payments.

Thanks for clarifying JJ’s observation here. It makes me feel better to know that Putler’s Z-men are equally culpable in not compensating members of victims’ families (or of their own) of their sadism.

Beckow, Putin and 90% of Russia seem unaware of how much the internet is beyond their control and shapes world opinion.

The world cannot unsee the footage of the Russians not only stealing washing machines but also a train from a child’s amusement park.

It’s pointless to attempt damage control for the depravity of the Russian military when videos like this one are posted to the internet.

Russian warms himself from burning corpse of fellow soldier with mixed results.
https://funker530.com/video/nsfw-russian-warms-himself-by-burning-body-body-explodes/

Looks like funcker530.com is banned in Russia:
https://www.vpnmentor.com/tools/websites-blocked-in-russia-test/

Russians are allowed to take part in the war but not view it.

…In America and Europe it is normal to refer to Germans and especially the military as Nazis if it is from the period of 1939-1945.

Why would that be acceptable? You are obfuscating who they were: Germans. You are living in your propaganda and are so used to it that you don’t see it. It was Germans, the mass-murderers were Germans. They are at it again, this time reluctantly as a second tier. The result will be the same.

the world currently views the Russians…

No, you do. The world is big and around 80% of people don’t share your views, or more likely don’t have any strong views. It is a mental disease to try to speak for the world. Mental institutions are full of people who think they were god and speak for “the world”. You are border-line there…

In America and Europe it is normal to refer to Germans and especially the military as Nazis if it is from the period of 1939-1945.

Why would that be acceptable? You are obfuscating who they were: Germans.

Are you actually arguing that the Nazis are not strongly associated with the Germans?

Not sure about your country but it is an interchangeable term in the US/EU and it is not political. Both are acceptable:

The Nazi war machine invaded Poland in 1939.

The German war machine invaded Poland in 1939.

Neither usage would be taken as politicized if the period is correct. It’s like changing rabbit for bunny.

The world is big and around 80% of people don’t share your views, or more likely don’t have any strong views.

So you believe the UN 143-5 vote against Russia as the unjust and illegal occupier of Ukrainian land does not reflect the views of the people in those countries?

It is a mental disease to try to speak for the world.

So you would describe this poll as a mental disease?

Global poll shows Putin’s image at a 20 year low
https://www.newsweek.com/vladimir-putin-approval-rating-twenty-year-low-ukraine-war-invasion-1718399

Most of the mentally competent adults in the world recognize the US has created a proxy war against Russia in Ukraine which has a significant chance of going nuclear or turning into WW3. I assume that many citizens of US-aligned countries actually understand this, but accept the insanity since their “hate Russia juices” are flowing freely after 25 years of propaganda.

Most people in the US and the West are simmered in anti-Russia propaganda 24 hours a day, 365 days a year and cannot recognize that such a war is immoral and will make their lives worse.

Is Simon Webb correct that:
1.) Nigerian scammers are always Yoruba?
2.) UK producers who don’t insert blacks are blacklisted?

Regarding #1, there was that old commentor here Okechukwu, a.k.a. Spear_chucker, who claimed to be Igbo and that he had a blonde Russian girlfriend who looked like Maria Sharapova, and not some elderly, obese woman who helped get Chernobyl under control.

Most of the mentally competent adults in the world recognize the US has created a proxy war against Russia in Ukraine which has a significant chance of going nuclear or turning into WW3.

That is not quite right… Let me tweak it for you.

Most of the mentally competent adults in the world recognize that Ukraine, via Burisma, bribed Hunter Biden. And, Not-The-President Biden lacks agency. Instead he takes orders from foreign powers.

As an individual, the Veggie-In-Chief has turned his back on America. His regime (not the U.S.) inserted itself into a European led proxy war against Russia, which has a chance of going nuclear.
___

Only low-IQ yahoos accept that an unelected White House occupant can lead America into a proxy war. These dim Sheeple minds believe the anti-Russia propaganda pumped at them 24 hours a day, 365 days a year and cannot recognize that such a war is immoral.

PEACE 😇

Most of the mentally competent adults in the world recognize the US has created a proxy war against Russia in Ukraine which has a significant chance of going nuclear or turning into WW3.

How did the US create a proxy war when during the Maiden revolution every Ukrainian party including the pro-Russian party voted to remove the corrupt Yanukovych?

Are you really going to try and argue the “US coup” line of bullshit? I really doubt you will expand upon your claim. I’ve asked dozens of Putin fans to explain how democratically removing a corrupt president counts as a US coup and the most common response was: yea well (unhinged rant that doesn’t answer the question). Not a single Putin defender has explained it. Maybe you will be the first?

I realize the “US coup” line of bullshit works on pro-Putin websites but you’ll have to try harder here.

I assume that many citizens of US-aligned countries actually understand this, but accept the insanity since their “hate Russia juices” are flowing freely after 25 years of propaganda.

The UN voted 143-5 that Russia is the aggressor and should return to its borders.

Global poll shows worldwide image loss for Russia:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/474596/russia-suffers-global-rebuke-invasion.aspx

Gosh it seems that invading your neighbor and launching missiles at an urban center on live television might not help with your image.

Russia has lost moral credibility on the world stage and your rants about the US does not change that reality.

Once again you fail at doing damage control for Russia. The world views Russia as the aggressor and your sad attempt at blaming the US not only fails but shows your own bizarre emotional attachment to a mass murdering dwarf.

These dim Sheeple minds believe the anti-Russia propaganda pumped at them 24 hours a day, 365 days a year and cannot recognize that such a war is immoral.

So you believe that Ukraine should simply submit to the rule of Putin?

Do you think it was a mistake for the American Revolutionaries to not submit to British rule?

Have heard that fixed cats chase unfixed kittens up trees because they perceive them as a dominance threat.

Perhaps, something similar in rule by eunuchs.

FWIW, Yanukovych was removed through unconstitutional means, though this is somewhat compensated by the fact that Yanukovych himself amassed absolute power in Ukraine through unconstitutional means. Still, it was better for the deal that the opposition signed with Yanuk to go through, I think. Wouldn’t it have made the opposition in charge of the Ukrainian government until new elections would have been held?

A lot of countries vote against Russia at the UN but are (quite understandably) unwilling to put sanctions on Russia or to arm Ukraine like the West has. So, for them, it’s mostly symbolic anti-Russia posturing. There is some logic in it, though, because they’re probably not huge fans of redrawing national borders by force.

Germans murdered around 10-15 million civilians in eastern Europe and burnt the bodies or left them on the ground. They took many pictures with the massacres to send home to families to celebrate. I am not sure who the “Nazis” are, they were simply Germans, why do you hide it? Germany (and its Euro allies) attacked Russia (“Soviets”), murdered millions, were defeated and thoroughly clobbered. But I guess teh lesson wasn’t learned,.

Seems like the lesson was for the West to let the Nazis have whatever they wanted in Eastern Europe without a fight just so long as the Nazis will agree to always refrain from engaging in mass murder.

The West could have accepted a lot of Eastern European refugees into their own empires afterwards. The Anglo-French Empires could have certainly used a significant white population boost.

Thank god that Crown Prince William has a European wife and they are both fertile. Else, we’d get partially black rulers of Britain in due time. I’m not opposed to having black Britons; I just think that the British rulers should remain European. The monarchs, I mean–not the Prime Ministers.

Why use the euphemism “Nazis” when it was Germans? You didn’t answer that, you just said it is done in the West – of course, the propaganda requires that Germans are ‘humanized’ and over a few generations the WW2 evil will be directed at the “Nazis”…and probably “Russians”, Poles have already started to do it.

It is Propaganda 101, using different terms for the same thing….and you accuse others of “propaganda”? Laughable lack of self-awareness.

It is a mental disease to try to speak for the world.

So you would describe this poll as a mental disease?

You described it as the “world opinion”. Let’s see the countries in the poll:
“U.S., Canada, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden, the U.K., Israel, Australia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore and South Korea.”

Wow…Why don’t you survey only Nato countries and their closest allies? And you did…and presented as the “world opinion”? It confirms that you have some sort of a mental ‘we are gods’ condition – or you just habitually lie.

UN voted for all kinds of things: denouncing the Nato wars, Israel, against the US sanctions on Cuba, etc…Do you take it equally seriously when UN does that? Or is it only for “Russia”?

As in one sick sorry ****.

Desperate Western Moves to Send New Long Range Missiles to Kiev & List of Targets to be Hit Inside Russia Points Only to Impotent Escalation & Direct NATO Involvement – Waging War on Russia
https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/desperate-western-moves-to-send-new?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

Maxim Yusin: Here’s why Polish-Ukrainian relations are turning ugly
https://www.rt.com/news/592985-maxim-yusin-poland-vs-ukraine/

‘Almost nobody’ believes Ukraine will win – Hungarian PM
https://www.rt.com/news/592935-orban-ukraine-win-eu/

I feel like JJ would like to slash the canvas of Las Meninas.
______
This Jack Krawczyk guy behind google Gemini has some really curious tweets.

I’ve been crying in intermittent bursts for the past 24 hours since casting my ballot. Filling in that Biden/Harris line felt cathartic.

https://nypost.com/2024/02/22/business/white-privilege-is-f-king-real-google-gemini-product-leads-old-tweets-allegedly-resurface-amid-woke-ai-image-fiasco/

Deinstitutionalization was a mistake.

Curiously, have read he was born in Poland.

Simplification can be a valuable tool to understand complex issues. Unfortunately, over-simplification can be misleading and is a destructive tool often used to obscure the truth. You like to apply a simplistic 8th grade level understanding to adult problems such as the Ukraine conflict and the SMO.

The Western meddling in Ukraine and Eastern Europe started long before Maidan. If one tries to explain the Ukraine conflict as being Maidan-centric, he is lost. While based on sincere grievances, this was a manipulated event. Many western observers have acknowledged this, so do your own research. The process was an extension of “Color Revolution” tactics the West has been using for decades to co-opt political power in weaker states. NGOs, the CIA and various other Western organizations are usually involved. Their roles are generally publicly acknowledged and then memory-holed except in a few books. If an avid commenter and researcher such as you denies this history it simply underscores that you are lying. These aspects of the Western meddling in Ukraine since WW2 and accelerating after 1990 are well documented. The problem is the West kept fighting after winning the cold war. This mistake led to some of our current geopolitical problems.

Maidan is not a central issue for my understanding of the conflict. The West is working to pull Ukraine out of the Russian sphere of influence and then use it to pressure the Russian government. The pressure may be political, by delegitimizing the existing government or military, by developing the country as a NATO beachhead. Co-opting Ukraine and polarizing it against Russia has many other attractive results for the West which is why they are pursuing this vile project. Maidan was just an inevitable public show for the Western project. I believe the central issues in the conflict are the USA dropping out of nuclear arms control agreements, expanding NATO and emplacing missiles in Eastern Europe. These steps are all unambiguously hostile actions against Russia. Most other Western moves in Ukraine are part of the multi-pronged attack on Russia. Similar revolutionary actions in Georgia, Serbia, Kazakhstan and Belarus are all related to the same anti-Russia project. The dishonest, over-simplified view of the conflict emphasizing Maidan hides all of these much more serious Western moves. This allows people with a dumbed-down mentality to pretend the Ukrainian conflict is a simple battle over Nationalist values.

If the first Chechen War wasn’t a CIA backed operation, then I’ve a bridge to sell you.

The opening gambit of the Chechens v Russians is very similar to the model of events in Ukraine v Russia.

I suspect Johnson is probably an ex company officer in the Caucasus. By turns obsessed by the Muslim take over of Moscow and the irredentist petty wars the intelligence agencies handing the Djokars have recently lost on Russia’s borders.

Why use the euphemism “Nazis” when it was Germans?

No one is using a euphemism. These are interchangeable terms when used in the correct period and the meaning does not change. It can be a Nazi attack or a German attack. It doesn’t matter.

You’re overthinking standard English.

An example from history.com:

The approach of winter, along with dwindling food and medical supplies, spelled the end for German troops there, and the last of them surrendered on January 31, 1943.
https://www.history.com/topics/world-war-ii/world-war-ii-history

I guess you better write them and suggest that they are trying to humanize the Nazis by calling the troops German. Then write just about every WW2 historian in America. Better get on that and be sure to mention that a native English speaker already tried explaining this to you.

You described it as the “world opinion”. Let’s see the countries in the poll:
“U.S., Canada, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden, the U.K., Israel, Australia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore and South Korea.”

That’s a pretty good group. Are you going suggest that the rest of Asia and South America are a hotbed of Putin supporters?

Wow…Why don’t you survey only Nato countries and their closest allies? And you did…and presented as the “world opinion”? It confirms that you have some sort of a mental ‘we are gods’ condition – or you just habitually lie.

I didn’t actually create the poll there Beckow. I’m not responsible for it as I am not actually a public research foundation.

But I did find another poll showing a global decline in Putin’s image
https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2023/07/10/large-shares-see-russia-and-putin-in-negative-light-while-views-of-zelensky-more-mixed/gap_2023-07-10_russia-nato_0-01/

Wow even Hungary is showing 79% for no confidence in Putin to do the right thing.

Where are Putin’s friends? Besides at Unz of course.

Oh Beckow you crack me up. That was a good laugh before bed.

The Canadians stayed on though and the Americans have not gotten over winning in the 13 colonies and opening up the west. London got over the loss and moved on to Asia and Africa and kept Ireland in its Grip. Washington was very much like a country squire back home so it was just an abstruse argument among Englishmen.

The Ukies are just ruled by Jews though. Dumb fools.

If the first Chechen War wasn’t a CIA backed operation, then I’ve a bridge to sell you.

Would the Chechens vote for independence from Russia if they had the option?

I suspect Johnson is probably an ex company officer in the Caucasus.

This is by far my favorite accusation of the month.

It shows originality and I like how you made me a company officer. You could have made me a lower level agent but you bumped me up a bit.

Thanks Wokechoke, that is one of the nicest things you ever said about me.

In the generation of men who fought Germans in real life they tended to say Germans or Jerry in my experience of chatting with such veterans.

Nazis is a word that was used more commonly by media after the fact OR ethnic Germans living in the US who could not face themselves in the mirror. Oh and it was a word used by Jews and popularized by Jews.

The Russians tended to say that they were fighting Hitlerians or Fritz. Pronouncing it as Gitler.

NASA paid Intuitive Machines $118 million for the Odyssey lander, and by their standards, it is a bargain.

Seems like a lot, for a static lander that will only operate for seven days. ≈ $17 million/day.

For the same price, they could have sent out how many small probes using solar sails to the asteroid belt? I should think hundreds, conservatively.

Don’t know if it would have accomplished anything great, with such small instrument packages, but at least it would have been ambitious.

I think JJ is an ex-US Army enlisted man. Probably made it to Sergeant, but was just too mouthy to stay in. Tries to help out as a freelance troll. Professional or amateur troll status is TBD.

JJ hates Russians and Mormons. A short Mormon Russian is his kryptonite.

Be all you can be.

Pronouncing it as Gitler.

The interesting thing is that there are quite successful Jewish Gitlers:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ira_Gitler

https://www.yu.edu/mta/2014/07/03/joseph-gitler-92-among-jpost-top-50-most-influential-jews

Of course, there were also successful non-Jewish Hitlers. Specifically in Circleville, Ohio. George Washington Hitler and his son, Dr. Gay Hitler, a local dentist:

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2013/07/life-in-ohio-a-continuing-series.html

Do they allow mormon missions in Russia? Given the number of mormons who do intelligence work for the Feds I’m thinking no way.

What about a US Army contractor?

Fair point, but if so, Russia should develop its own version of the Mormons to help with both morality (minus the LGBTQ+ phobia) and fertility. Mormons are a clean and moral bunch, albeit unfortunately LGBTQ+ phobic. That has to change.

Oh that’s will be good.

I need a. Negro Washington image.

If he was talking about one of the Chechen wars, whose side were you presumably a “company officer” for? Russian? Chechen?…?

As JJ helpfully pointed out, Mormons are basically insane.

I need a. Negro Washington image.

You can find that in this article (1).

But why stop there. Even more ambitious about historical revionism can be performed by AI. How about this WW II era German?

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2024/02/22/googles-ultra-woke-gemini-ai-runs-amok-revising-history/

Will Aaron travel to see the total solar eclipse on April 14?

It should go across NY and some other states, but you have to be in the narrow path of totality to really enjoy it and see the sun be swallowed, like Cortez did with the Jamaicans (Taíno), until they agreed to be less stingy with the provisions.

The amusing thing is that Norman Rockwell was super-pozzed and it was only his editors at the Post that kept him in check – until his contract was up, and he started painting numinous negroes and celebrating integration at gunpoint.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Problem_We_All_Live_With

In some ways, it seems very counterintuitive, but I wonder whether Papuans, or at least certain tribes of them, could be the world’s gayest people.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sexual_violence_in_Papua_New_Guinea

By any chance, could it have something to do with Denisovan genes? How gay are the Ayta Magbukon?

SchwartzKommando.

That’s a pretty good group. Are you going suggest that the rest of Asia and South America are a hotbed of Putin supporters?

These polls are completely irrelevant in an anglo-american/NATO controlled media area you imbecile. The questions itself are manipulations

How many know that Medvedchuk (big opposition leader) was arrested and in house arrest for months before SMO? Particularly as American retards are being “informed” this is a “fight for democracy”, LOL.

How many of these people born before this millenium all around the world still assume that Odessa is a Russian city ?( well, it is, but officially still part of 404)

How many curious that Ukrainian port at a place called islamic name of Izmail, and how historically these places became part of “Ukraine”? How many of these retards even know that’s an islamic name?

How many of these know about the masses of ukronazi war crimes and frequent pussy-coward tactics?

How many know how retardedly braindead level of fake the Ukronazi idiots claims of “4 Su-34 ( 2 bombers) , 3 SU-35 shotdown” in the last week is? How frequent these level of VSU lies are on fake victories? How expensive western air-defence systems are not having the intended effect?How many sorties Russian Air Force is performing successfully per day? How the damage inflicted : aircraft losses ratio is extremely high in Russia’s favour?

How many know 5 million Ukrainians arrived in Russia since SMO? How many dumb or propaganda manipulated westerners are unable to connect fact that end point/negotiation of SMO has to consider that very inconveniant reality for Banderastan?

Or on that same issue – this braindead “white “nigger”, “mongol”, “asiatic” Ukroreikh propaganda to Russia- not only racist and wrong, with Khokhol scum-faggots /west using it as propaganda for fake “rapes”, “looting”, “war crimes” fiction …………. even with the family connections and intermarriage between Russia and Ukraine is very extensive …..is so deranged on many levels!

How many know , after 2 years of ANY other Ukrainian, not Zelensky?
Usik, Lomachenko, the Klitshchko brothers. Andrey Shevchenko. All definite world class – to great level boxers & footballer. I would guess that most westerners have no idea what country they are actually from…..or about the same level as those who know what country Pacquiao is from or even assume he is mexican and not from Philippines.

How many have even learnt just ONE thing about Banderastan culture or lifestyle since 2022? LOL. Or know between familia ending in “ov” and “ko”, which is Ukrop and which is typical Russian name?

All that cultural stuff is relevant. Why? Because 50% of Anglo-America propaganda credibility comes from fact they are rich countries with big cultural influence on world – cars, film, products , American guns, music etc. The other 50% is just full-spectrum media control, and sanctions ( including to 3rd party countries).
Ukronazi “credibility” is entirely because of its ZERO cultural influence and knowledge . The less westerners know about it and its sewer existence, then much better is the propaganda principle used. This why the comedy “7 planes downed in 5 days” can be said with zero consequences or even attempt at “proof” for just one of them. Knowing about 404 would be dangerous for western plankton

Got to hand it to the resident troll for persistence. Most of his compadres on other boards have been very silent as of late, from what I can tell. Heck, even the mainstream media seems to have backed off more than he has.

How is this possible? Thought dogs are not efficient runners?

On the espn/nba front page today some guy is accusing alpha man Dwight Howard of rape. All I had ever heard about him before was the routine 8 bastards w/ 7 different baby mamas. Kobe Bryant was once tossed from an NBA game for calling Dwight a faggot within earshot of a ref.

It actually would have made sense.
Westerners could have benefited from the Generalplan ost, which was not actually a genocide program but was intended to resettle 31 million Slavs out of some parts of Eastern Europe.

Few people know that the Russians called the man Gitler and the followers Gitlerians.

“Git” is also a long standing Cockney-ish slang term for a bastard.

There’s something odd about the singular butt hurt he feels about the Muscovites. Like he fought them someplace in the Caucasus based on some things he’s let slip. The same bitterness that an analyst at the Moscow Embassy might have about losing Navalny. Dudaev? Or maybe losing that Saudi bomber who took up residence in Grozny? Ibn Al Khattab’s handler maybe?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ibn_al-Khattab

He’s still butthurt about this killing. Russia’s War with the Jihadists in the Caucasus.

All I had ever heard about him before was the routine 8 bastards w/ 7 different baby mamas.

Sexual dimorphism is lower in that group.

Kobe Bryant was once tossed from an NBA game for calling Dwight a faggot

the funny thing is they were both accused of rape.

If not for the fact that Kobe is dead, I would say they should give him one free foul.

…That’s a pretty good group. Are you going suggest that the rest of Asia and South America are a hotbed of Putin supporters?

No, it is a small selection of Nato countries and their closest allies – 15-20% of the world. You know it is not a “world poll”, so why did you lie? It confirms that you lack standards and argue out of emotional conviction (or worse).

“Pew” is the Westie in-house propaganda – and the countries are also preselected. These “polls” are nonsense, made-up manipulated questions with predetermined desired outcomes. If you “polled” about Bush during the Iraq war, what would “Pew” say? “Coalition of the willing”?

The rest of the world, 80%, is not anti or pro-Russian, people live their own lives. You should try it too. That is your real problem. Hungary is also a Nato country, I hope you know that. But not sure. I am doing a poll of barbers on whether I need a haircut…:)

Why are you Westie war-enthusiastic Russia-haters so unsophisticated? what happened to the Western intellectual life based on the critical thinking?

Battle of the Nations
Russia Poland

Russia under Putin has alienated its most natural allies: Poles, Ukrainians, and gays.

Is there a gene that predisposes people to being bitten by squirrels?

Or, when one gets bitten by a radioactive squirrel, does one acquire mutant squirrel genes and squirrel powers?

Is it a common ailment of the homeless?

Am trying to figure out why “squirrel bite wound” is a part of the All of US genomic dataset. Though going by YouTube, it seems quite common.

https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2024/02/the-umap-brouhaha/

If you walk along Bourbon Street on the morning after Mardi Gras you can see thousands of puddles of puke. The vendors often sell colorful drinks such as Pat O’Brien’s Hurricane which is bright red with a shade of purple. There are 4 oz of hard liquor in a Hurricane and anybody who drinks two of them who isn’t a hard core alcoholic will be shit faced. There are very very very vague and indistinct patterns in the thousands of puddles of puke. People who interpret umaps are missing an opportunity. Nobody to my knowledge has ever interpreted the puke on Bourbon Street on the Wednesday morning after Mardi Gras. The field is wide open fellas!

Back off!

Do you know that the remnants of Germany are under occupation and „German“ politicians and „German“ propaganda is to the detriment of the remaining German people (today a minority even in their remaining lands)?!
Russia must win Ukraine back; I dearly hope so. Russia, not the oligarchy on top of Russia!
Regarding Germans: Your president VVP said that the First Jewish World War (offcourse he does not call it that but calls it WW1) caused the Second Jewish World War. Who started the First? Russia! Going with your defines of nothing counting but who actually attacked physically. Russia attacked Germany in the night of 31st of July 1914. Germany did not want war and Wilhelm II did almost anything – but travel to dangerous St. Peter – to avoid the horror.
Today it is overwhelmingly documented that the Bolshois – Stalin – planned to steamroll not just Germany but Western Europe and the attack was imminent during the Second Jewish World War. Such Germany delivered the first punch. Yes, many Russian fell victim and many Russian fell victim to fellow Russians. At the end the USSR punished 2,5 million Russians & Cossacks for being with Germany with death. Still today people from „occupied territory“ have to undergo special scrutiny if they want to achieve higher office in the Russian Federation. Russia’s heavy toll is partly to blame on its method of leading war. Man did not count. Putin once said there is no Russian family that had not lost a member during The Great Patriotic War. There is no German family that has not lost a man and more during and even more so after the war, even up till today the damages are continuing. 20 million Germans killed and another 20 million violated and displaced. The attack has not stop till today. Today the Russian people are included again: Your government attacked the peoples with Covid, migrants, poor pensions and lousy health care like everywhere else.
Maybe have a look in the mirror, you poor Russian victim.
Again, I hope the Russian people will win with this war.
This war is not just against Russia. It is also against the German people.
That not even half of the population here – Germans are already a minority – supports the bad dealings of „Berlin“ overshadows the fact that 2 out of 3 think that it is a very bad idea to be hostile with Russia. The government has approval ratings as low as 15 %.
There you have your Germans.
Russian are just as brainsoaked with garbage.

I don’t know why Russia doesn’t understand that they’re in WW3, the people driving this made a decision to go for it all…total world control and domination, Ukraine didn’t work, they’re not going to stop, they’ll just either steal Russias money, steal their citizens money, they don’t care because they don’t have any rules, rules are for losers.

If Russia thinks by waiting out the Biden regime that things will change for the better…think again…and if China thinks it can sit on the fence and wait to clean up after its rivals beat each other to a pulp…think again…for these psychopaths in the West its all or nothing…and what is meant by nothing is nothing left!

All the world citizenry have to wake up the American people because only they can rise up and hang the bums.

Start ostracism against Americans, no-longer open the welcome doors, make them world pariahs until they do something about the criminals who run their country.

I don’t know why Russia doesn’t understand that they’re in WW3, the people driving this made a decision to go for it all…total world control and domination, Ukraine didn’t work, they’re not going to stop,

The U.S. House has pulled the rug out from the foreign puppet masters exploiting the Veggie-In-Chief [MORE]. Well… At least as far as paying for Kiev aggression.

Russia sees that the European Empire is overextended. Are Scholz and Macron able to come up with an additional €3-5 Billion per month above and beyond current spending?

The Fake Stream Media has gotten so desperate, they are hyping contradictory, wacky conspiracy theories.

Time is on Putin’s side.

PEACE 😇

[MORE]

There must be a lot of interesting data in street effluviums.

Am surprised that someone hasn’t been trying to tap into it. (At least to my knowledge.). Perhaps, there are legal hurdles, to siphoning everything up. Or trying to stream it directly into analyzing machines, as with public urinals that feed into mass spectrometers.

My state has a shameful history.

This guy’s grave should be a pilgrimage site to people like Haley.

OTOH, he was an abolitionist and may have deserved public censure.

Yes, if Westerners would have been purely looking out for their own interests and not those of, say, Eastern Slavs (who would have lost their country to the Nazis), the West could have eagerly accepted huge numbers of Eastern European immigrants from a Nazi-controlled Eastern Europe. There would have been some underachieving Roma but most of the immigrants would have been either Eastern Slavs or Jews, both groups with huge potential. And the West could have resettled these immigrants in its empires/colonies if there was not enough space and resources to resettle all of them in the West itself. Anglo-French colonies in places like Sub-Saharan Africa and Indochina could have certainly benefitted from a massive boost in their White (European + Jewish) populations, I would suspect!

And of course the victorious Nazis in Eastern Europe would have very likely faced a permanently Kosovo 1980s-style situation, with constant internal unrest and the occasional anti-Nazi terrorist attack. This would have invited brutal Nazi reprisals, mass emigration of Eastern Europeans (including Jews, who would have likely been forcibly deported out of Eastern Europe, but likely not mass murdered, in a Nazi victory scenario), et cetera, which would have sucked big-time but at the same time might have also very well resulted in less Eastern Europeans prematurely losing their lives at Nazi hands relative to real life.

Poles and Ukrainians could have somewhat rallied behind Russia due to the anti-Woke stuff while gays look similar to Russians and thus could have formed natural allies if not for Russians’ LGBTQ+ phobia:

Can you tell which of these photos involve men who are gay vs. Russian?

If not for the fact that Kobe is dead, I would say they should give him one free foul.

Kobe or Dwight?

Kobe. IMo, the main draw of basketball is tactical fouling.

Following this idea, blanket bans on insults don’t make sense. It would add entertainment value, if they were allowed, based on evidence. Not to mention, the NBA, as the blackest sport, should bow to black cultural norms.

Thanks!

BTW, re: Kobe: Off-topic, but the LA cops seem to have been really stupid in sharing and laughing at photos of Kobe’s helicopter crash/death scene. The LA police department subsequently got successfully sued for a lot of money for this for emotional distress by Kobe’s widow, IIRC.

Frankly, if Russia could invest its energies less in war and more in artificial wombs, it could become quite a bigger success story. Then Russia could eugenically mass-produce babies by the tens of millions (especially if it can also develop in-vitro gametogenesis) and raise them en masse in orphanages Ceausescu-style, if necessary. These babies can even subsequently self-identify as Ukrainians if necessary if that’s what Russians themselves will require for the sake of an ego boost. The West will have artificial women and men while Russia will have artificial Ukrainians lol.

Russia can be strong again!

AP, since you’re very much into Austria-Hungary, you might enjoy reading these two alternatehistory.com threads about Austria-Hungary:

https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/demographics-of-a-surviving-austria-hungary.488463/

https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/demographics-of-a-surviving-austria-hungary-again.532307/

Trump VP & US Corruption

Re: Below Linked 2/23 Video with Ray McGovern and Larry Johnson and 2/22 PBS Segment with John Mearsheimer

All things considered, the military backgrounded JD Vance and Tulsi Gabbard are great choices for Trump’s VP. Foreign policy wise, they don’t come across as Mike Pence, James Mattis, HR McMaster, Mike Pompeo, John Bolton, Nikki Haley, Lindsey Graham types.

We’re repeatedly reminded that the Biden, Nuland, Sullivan, Blinken and Austin foreign policy approach is a failure that relates to the domestic front.

Ukraine is the excuse to give the US MIC more money – some of which gets kicked back to those politicians and retired military officers, who shill for that corrupt fat cat enterprise. As previously noted –

The US outspends the next seven leading nations in defense spending combined. Five of the ten leading defense spenders are NATO members. The US outspends Russia and China combined by a three to one margin.

Yet Russia produces artillery shells and tanks at a much higher rate than what the collective West can give to the corrupt, lying, undemocratic and neo-Nazi influenced Kiev regime, which has blood on its hands before and after 2/24/22. The NYT puts Russia at a seven to one advantage in artillery shell production over the entire collective West.

As US politicians tell their constituents that there’s a money problem when it comes to improving domestic concerns like infrastructure and healthcare.

https://www.pbs.org/video/russian-invasion-1708638558/

Johnson likes to trot out “the world” as a justification until you point out when “world” opinion doesn’t go the way he wants. Then it’s just 3rd worlders whose opinions don’t matter.

The point is Johnson is a mendacious weasel. He’ll shift goals as needed. None of these people argue in good faith.

Harald Kujat speech Part 1. Ex NATO bigwig. Transcript auto-generated and tweaked by me.

He has emerged in Germany as another outspoken critic of the way NATO and the Europeans are abusing Ukraine for the geopolitical benefits of the United States. General Kujat is so outspoken that Wikipedia actually knows that he belongs to the inner circle of Vladimir Putin.

Ladies and gentlemen – considering the very different interests – the propaganda, the disinformation, yes I would even say the lies that are intertwined in this Ukraine war – and the entanglements in Ukraine by many states, but also around Ukraine, one sometimes gets the impression that this is an unsolvable Gordian knot. According to tradition Alexander the Great found the solution to the Gordian knot by using his sword. He cut through the knot that tied the chariot of the Phrygian king Gordios to the yoke of the horses, thereby beginning his conquest of Asia Minor – that is the tradition according to Plutarch, but there is also another tradition which goes back to the Roman historian Lucius Flavius Arenus – according to this Alexander solved the knot through the liveliness of his mind by recognizing the function of the lynchpin for the resistance of the knot and simply pulling out the pin. You surely understand why I mention this here I mention it because West policy follows the path of the sword – it follows this path because it lacks what distinguished Alexander the Great, the vivacity of the spirit – namely to recognize that the key in the Ukraine war is a negotiated peace.

Let’s start with a cursory look at the geopolitical situation and then talk a bit more about the Ukraine war. The 21st century is characterized by the rise of China as an economic and military superpower and by the rivalry of the great powers, namely the United States, Russia, and China. The Ukraine war has triggered a new dynamic in the relationship of these great powers – also in their rivalry – but it has also created clarity in an important case. Only China and not Russia is capable of replacing the United States as the leading world power. The current American National Security strategy confirms my assessment as follows, I quote “the People’s Republic of China is the only competitor that both intends to reshape the international order and increasingly possesses the economic, diplomatic, military, and technological power to do so. Beijing has ambitions to create an extended sphere of influence in the Indo-Pacific and to become the world’s leading power” and that’s why in the Ukraine war, the United States aims to weaken Russia, its second geopolitical rival, politically, economically, and militarily to such an extent that they can focus on the confrontation with China – their biggest adversary.

To achieve their strategic goal the United States has sought close cooperation with Europe especially in the current federal (German) government – they have found not just a willing ally in this chancellor (Scholz) – as his visit on Friday to Washington shows (he) is apparently also ready to take on a leadership role in the Ukrainian proxy war. However (it) should be considered that the European allies, just like in the Ukraine war are also intended to be involved in a future conflict with China – together with Australia, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea they are supposed to form an Indo-Pacific network of partners and allies against China.
One might think this is a clever move by the United States, to first strike Russia, the weaker of the two geopolitical rivals – and then in a proxy war of course, not directly – to then turn to China the stronger opponent.

However, like the American strategy expert Harlan Ullman, I believe that the USA is making a big mistake by opening a strategic military two-front confrontation against China and Russia. Harlan Ullman described this as a ticking time bomb. Therefore the war in Ukraine is a turning point for Europe – it demonstrates the determination to embark on the path to geopolitical self assertion politically economically technologically and not least militarily (not sure about this translation – whose determination? and geopolitical self-assertion is just what Europe doesn’t have). Much of what has happened in connection with the war in Ukraine over the last two years becomes understandable when one knows that Germany plays a particularly important role on the geopolitical chess board of the United States especially in its Russia strategy. For George Friedman, a respected American scientist and geopolitician, it is clear that Russia and Germany together would represent the only power that could threaten the United States – therefore, he says, America must ensure that this does not happen. The greatest fear of the United States, according to Friedman, is that German capital and German technologies combined with Russian raw materials and Russian production potential (is) a unique combination that the USA has been greatly afraid of for a century. After the collapse of the Soviet Union and the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, Russia sought closeness to Nato – the main idea was to achieve close coordination with the alliance regarding the states formerly allied in the Warsaw Pact and the now independent former Soviet republics especially the Baltic states. What Russia had in mind was to solve crises and conflicts together with NATO thereby preventing a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia. The NATO Russia founding Act of 1997 and the NATO Russia Council were established as a common basis for this a period of close political coordination, and very close military cooperation was initiated.

China is taking a moderate course regarding the Ukraine war. China is convinced that global risks have increased since the war and that western countries bear the main responsibility for this this is because they have destroyed the existing international order. China promotes cooperation with Russia – both want to contribute to the construction of a multi-polar world which according to Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi will lead to the decline of US hegemony. The Taiwan issue could become the culmination point of American-Chinese geopolitical rivalry. In the so-called Taiwan Relations Act of 1979 the United States committed to providing Taiwan with weapons and other support services necessary for defense – however the agreement is vague regarding the type of support. So far all American presidents have left the matter somewhat ambiguous. This strategic ambivalence was broken by the current American president – he deviated from it – when asked whether American forces would defend the island in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, he answered yes, if there actually were an unprecedented attack. Chinese president XI Jin ping repeatedly stated that China is ready to achieve reunification with Taiwan by peaceful means unless there is no other way than the military. I quote him “we insist on pursuing the prospect of peaceful reunification with the utmost sincerity -however there is no commitment to refrain from violence and the option to take all necessary measures remains. The complete reunification of the motherland must and can certainly be realized.”

I am convinced that the United States would neither be willing nor able to defend Taiwan. This is not only due to China’s great geostrategic advantages and the enormously growing conventional strength of the Chinese Armed Forces – including the great superiority in strategic technological areas such as hypersonic weapon systems – but also because China has caught up with the two nuclear superpowers the USA and Russia in nuclear strategy. American Admiral Charles Richard who was then the commander of the US strategic command and thus responsible for the deployment of American nuclear forces said about the Ukraine crisis verbatim “the situation we are currently in is not just heating up. The major crisis is still to come – we will be tested in a way we have not experienced in a long time. When I assess the level of our deterrence against China, then our ship is sinking – slowly, but it is sinking“.

The Ukraine war has promoted the formation of competing geopolitical blocks. While the United States, the European Union, and NATO are moving closer together, a second geopolitical block has formed around China and Russia. The core of this block consists of the so-called BRICS countries namely Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa as well as the Shanghai Cooperation Agreement (SCO) – this group includes China, India, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kirgystan, Pakistan, Russia, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. China is working closely with Saudi Arabia in the global oil market and in the use of nuclear energy and has also massively supported Saudi Arabia’s accession to the BRICS group. Furthermore, China is pushing forward the creation of a commodity-based reserve currency as a competitor to the so-called petrodollar i.e the dollar, with the goal of establishing a worldwide leading currency based on the gold standard. Knowing that American power largely rests on the influence of the dollar, this is a smart way to gain the upper hand in this rivalry.

Since the beginning of this year Saudi Arabia, a formerly very close ally of the United States, as well as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Argentina, Egypt and Ethiopia have been admitted as new members of the BRICS group – that’s 3.8 billion people of the world’s population who have joined together in a common economic union. 3.8 billion. And I would like to add that currently 40 more states have expressed interest in joining – these include Algeria, Indonesia, Pakistan, Mexico, Nicaragua, Uruguay, Venezuela and even two NATO countries, namely Greece and Turkey. The fact that the South American states in particular are showing interest is especially painful. The Americans are making great efforts for example to prevent Mexico’s accession (and have IMHO definitely succeeded – YAA) but due to the developments I have just described, it is all the more important that Europeans strengthen their ability to assert themselves and become an independent actor in international politics. This also includes the ability for conflict prevention and containment. A look at the European periphery already shows how necessary a European security and defense capability is. There the great Powers have been engaged in a struggle over spheres of influence for years, the regional powers are waging a proxy war for regional dominance, ethnic and religious minorities are fighting for self-determination and independence. Overpopulation, religious differences, and the destruction of natural habitats through major drought disasters provide fertile ground for Islamist and fundamentalist terrorist groups. These disasters occur in a zone that stretches from the Middle East to Africa.

Ukrainians are really… They are ready to fight the USA’s future wars.

https://fsi.stanford.edu/events/who-will-be-you-trenches-near-tehran-and-beijing-talk-ukrainian-mp-challenges-and-insights

The war in Ukraine has led Europe to a crossroads. This war is not only about the security and territorial Integrity of Ukraine. It is also about a European security and peace order in which all states of the European continent have their place. Moreover the dramatic economic consequences of this war for Europe and especially for Germany are becoming increasingly apparent.

The starting point of a war is always a specific political constellation. I do not want to go into detail about the war in Ukraine this evening, but it is important to understand that a war does not “just happen” – for example, Putin does not decide one morning at breakfast to invade Ukraine – a war always has a long history and a war leads to a new political constellation. The question of course is what this constellation looks like. Should it be permanent? If that is the case then it must be a solution that is politically agreed upon with both opponents and supporters, therefore Clausewitz demands – and no lecture by a former officer is complete without Clausewitz – that politics must prevail in a war and continue despite the hostilities. This leads to a dual approach – on one hand, the necessity of a secured defense capability to defend one’s own country and on the other hand, the effort to achieve a negotiated peace to end the war. If politics and diplomacy are suspended, as is the case in this war, then the war as Clausewitz defines it is an act of violence without limits. Everyone sets the rules for the other, this creates an interaction that leads to the extreme what we today call escalation – that is exactly what we have seen from the beginning.

The geostrategic position of Russia and the USA, the two main actors in this war, could not be more opposite – protected by two world oceans with an ally in the north and a friendly state in the south, the geostrategic factors of space and time play no role for the United States and they are also not vulnerable with conventional means. The United States is an air and sea power. In contrast for Russia, because of its large land mass, which is surrounded by many states and crisis regions, space and time are of existential importance. Also for historical reasons Russia strives for military security to a special degree. I have the impression that Russia is neither willing to shed its history nor can it escape its geostrategic situation. The strategic turning point in the relationship between the United States and Russia was the year 2002 – namely the unilateral withdrawal from the 1972 ABM Treaty on strategic missile defense systems which was enormously important for the nuclear strategic balance between these two superpowers. At the same time, a missile defense system was being built in Europe which Russia had to understand as a threat to the nuclear strategic balance with the United States. In 2019 the INF treaty on nuclear intermediate range missiles which was so crucial for Europe’s security was also unilaterally terminated. Essentially the United States thereby gave Russia the opportunity to legally, and in accordance with treaties, build a new strategic nuclear threat potential against Europe. One year later the treaty on open skies was unilaterally terminated (by the US). This treaty was very important as it allowed mutual inspections and ensured transparency as well as predictability of military actions. Nevertheless in 2021 the agreement on interContinental strategic weapons systems known as the American-Russian arms agreement or the new START treaty was mutually extended for 5 years. There were even negotiations during the Ukraine war until Russia interrupted them due to the massive support of Ukraine by the United States.

A security policy turning point was the NATO Summit in 2008 in Bucharest, where President Bush tried with great pressure to secure NATO membership for Georgia and Ukraine – when this failed, as usual for saving face a vague membership perspective was included in the communique. The current CIA director William Burns then the American ambassador in Moscow had previously warned the American government in a telegram he wrote about the severe strategic consequences. He emphasized that these cannot be overestimated and that they would create fertile ground for a Russian intervention in Crimea and in the east of Ukraine “there is no doubt that Putin will strike back sharply”. Today he is the CIA director. However the real turning point was the coup d’etat orchestrated by the USA in February 2014 in Kiev. This triggered the Civil War in Donbass and the denial of minority rights to the Russian-speaking population. As you know, it was agreed in the Minsk 2 agreement, which was arranged by Mrs Merkel and the French president, that Ukraine was supposed to carry out a constitutional amendment by the end of 2015 which would grant the Russian minority the same rights as the Ukrainian speaking citizens. In the United States quite a few are convinced that the war could have been prevented. This would have been possible if there had been serious discussions about Ukraine’s NATO membership, and greater autonomy for the Russian-speaking population of Donbass within the Ukrainian state. The war could also have been ended after 6 weeks – in the Istanbul negotiations at the end of March 2022, Ukraine and Russia reached a mutually acceptable outcome. Essentially it was agreed that Ukraine would give up NATO membership and adopt a neutral status. In return Russian troops were to withdraw to their positions before the war that is to the status of February 23rd. This agreement was not signed by Ukraine under pressure from the West.

At the beginning of the third year of war in which we now find ourselves, it is obvious that the fate of Ukraine will be decided this year probably sooner rather than later. The future of the country lies in the hands of the West. Ukraine needs money, military equipment, weapons and ammunition, but above all it lacks soldiers. “We are literally dependent on financial support otherwise we lose”, Zelinsky declared. Almost half of the Ukrainian state budget is financed by the West. Any delay or reduction in the flow of funds could trigger State insolvency, although Ukraine has significantly contributed to its financial problems through pervasive corruption and continues to do so. As long as the war lasts Ukraine is dependent on comprehensive military support from the west, but even many years afterward the reconstruction and economic recovery of the country require a large long-term commitment especially from Europeans. The chancellor (Scholz) has already positioned himself sometime ago at the forefront of the states that should enable Ukraine to continue the war as long as it deems necessary, and he has called on European states for greater willingness to perform. The chancellor has apparently played a significant role in getting all EU countries including Hungary to agree to the European financing package. However this package is to be distributed over 50 billion EUR from 2024 to 2027. Compared to the American Support package of 60 billion EUR that’s not much – it does not cover the financial needs of Ukraine to maintain government functions or the military support needs. However it gives the impression that Europeans might have to completely replace the USA if they drop out as the main supporter. This could happen if Congress refuses to release more funds or if support is not only financially but completely discontinued after a change of government. Due to the difficulties in enforcing the current support package – which by the way has passed the Senate today – there is some hope from the USA that it will also pass in Congress this week – however I am not entirely sure as many in the United States are skeptical, alternative solutions are already being discussed. For example Japan and South Korea, which do not deliver weapons to war zones, could give weapons to the USA for forwarding to Ukraine. Another option would be for Europeans to pay for American weapons intended for Ukraine. The coordination of support by the United States in the so called Ramstein Format here in Germany is to be taken over by NATO in the future. If you combine these three factors you will find that the Europeanization of this war has made a significant step forward.
However the USA does not only provide money and weapons, they also make a significant contribution to training Ukrainian soldiers, deliver reconnaissance and target data to the Ukrainian armed forces in a timely manner, and play a decisive role in operational planning. These services by the way, with a headquarters for Ukraine that was set up in Wiesbaden, are located in Germany. The European States could not provide the services listed especially the delivery of reconnaissance and target data.

JD Vance might be a deep state Trojan horse though. Reading between the lines in his book, it is obvious he made connections to some important lever-movers while at Yale (a known recruiting ground for the CIA).

The risk that Donald Trump could initiate a radical policy shift after being elected president is high. We know him from his time as President. Therefore it is understandable that European politicians who think exclusively in terms of warfare scenarios are watching Trump’s initial successes in the primary campaign with horror. On the other hand the willingness to continue the war and to commit financially to it through arms deliveries remains unbroken – or even as a CDU politician demanded a few days ago, to expand the actions directly to Russia. Previously he said we are waging the war because it concerns militia presences in the Donbass, which to my knowledge are not so overwhelming however it is a reason, others – including Germans whose names are normally not mentioned – have waged wars for similar reasons. It is an illusion to claim that currently no side has a military advantage. I would not describe the current situation as a pact (translation? stalemate?), the Ukrainian forces have largely lost the ability to wage an offensive land war. After the failed offensive, which was celebrated in in Germany and other countries, what they are doing now is evading and demonstrating through attacks on Russian territory that they are still militarily capable. This includes attacks on the civilian population, for example an event in Belgorod where 25 people were killed, including five children. In October the Ukrainians attacked the city of Donetsk with American cluster munitions for example. The University was also set on fire. According to the laws of war, under international humanitarian law this constitutes a war crime even if it is directed against one’s own population – one must not commit war crimes against one’s own population.

Since the beginning of October the Russian forces have taken the initiative however they have not like the Ukrainian forces launched a large scale offensive, instead they focus on local points of attack with the goal of consolidating their previous conquests and avoiding larger losses. The current Russian focal points are in Adveevka where they are already present in the suburbs. The complete conquest of Adveevka would pave the way for the consolidation of the Eastern Donbass region. In the Kupiansk area the Russians have amassed over 40,000 troops, apparently to conquer the Kharkiv region. It is likely that the Russians will also take Odessa. The critical situation in Ukraine has prompted the United States to develop a new strategy. The Ukrainian forces are to go into Strategic Defense for the time being, similar to the Russians last year. The goal is to hold the territory still under their control from well fortified defensive positions and above all to reduce the high personnel losses. This is intended to create the conditions for a long-term strengthening and greater endurance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces as well as for the economy. They call this the four-phase strategy – Fight, Build, Recover and Reform. They are currently trying to bring this strategy closer to president Zelinski and above all to convince him that in 10 years the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have significant combat power and a high deterrent factor.

By the end of this year the combat power of the Ukrainian Armed Forces should be significantly greater than it is today. However this means that the Ukrainian president would have to give up his goal of recapturing all territories occupied by Russia including Crimea, because the front is to be stabilized where it is now. This strategy, which is planned for 10 years, envisages that European allies undertake specific commitments for military and economic support. These commitments are to be defined in binding national documents and agreed upon in a bilateral agreement with Ukraine. The 10-year commitment serves as a safeguard against any termination of support for Ukraine announced by Trump. It is also intended to prevent a change of government in a European country from leading to a change of course. The United Kingdom has already signed a corresponding agreement with the Ukrainian government, the Federal government is also ready to enter into this 10-year support and assistance commitment. If all NATO States follow this example it could amount to NATO membership through the back door – at least in terms of collective defense under Article Five of the NATO treaty.

Therefore there are considerations in the USA to create a mechanism with Ukraine that resembles Article 4 of the NATO treaty. This article provides for member states to consult each other when the territorial integrity (or) political Independence or security of a member is threatened. In this context the rift between Zelinsky and the military commander-in-chief General Zaluzhnyi is of particular importance leading to Zaluzhnyi’s dismissal last Thursday. The issue was ultimately about the responsibility for the mobilization of 500,000 soldiers to compensate for the high personnel losses. The question was whether the military i.e. Zaluzhnyi or the politicians should take on this responsibility. Neither Zaluzhnyi nor Zelinsky wanted to take on this responsibility. However fundamental disagreements about the conduct of operations, the achievability of political goals in this war, and the public presentation of military successes were decisive.

Failures. When Zaluzhnyi publicly announced at the beginning of November last year that the offensive was a failure, he openly contradicted his President. The latter consistently presented the situation in an overly positive light and of course received more attention and confirmation (affirmation?) from Western politicians and the media for it. Zaluzhnyi’s dismissal occurred in an extremely critical phase. It will soon become apparent that Zelinsky’s decision was a big mistake. By the way his successor is an ethnic Russian – this shows how closely these two peoples are intertwined.

After the failure of this offensive fear is growing in Europe – there is concern that Russia’s strategic goal might be the conquest of the entire Ukraine. After that the goal could be to attack the Baltic states or Poland and start a war with NATO. If you have read the Welt am Sonntag then you know that this was described in great detail. For some time now the German media has been advocating the thesis that the attack on Ukraine is part of a long-term imperial strategy – the goal is to reclaim the sphere of influence of the Soviet Union. Since the military situation has clearly turned in favor of Russia, so-called military experts are spreading war fear almost hysterically.

Whether this is due to ignorance, ideological narrow-mindedness, or sheer self-importance I do not know. Perhaps it’s also about the effort to justify the improvement of the Bundeswehr’s defense capability – this is not clearly recognizable. Obviously especially those who predicted a military victory or war gain for Ukraine some time ago, want to mobilize further support for Ukraine – without hesitation they claim that a defeat of Ukraine would not satisfy Russia’s hunger for power and therefore it would not shy away from an attack on NATO countries. Germany and Europe would then face a decade of confrontation by Russia. It is remarkable that politicians justify the demand for a significant increase in defense spending with the assumption of an allegedly imminent Russian war of aggression. For more than a decade German politicians have accepted the constitutional breach that occurred in 2011 through the so-called realignment of the Bundeswehr, to make it very clear we do not need a dangerous war history to justify that the Bundeswehr must be capable of national and federal defense. It is entirely sufficient to finally fulfill the constitutional mandate.

The question remains whether there’s convincing evidence that Russia will not only be capable of attacking NATO in a few years but is also preparing for it because Russia intends to do so. Putin rejected the accusation that he had set his sights on restoring the Russian Empire saying “nobody wants to believe us – nobody wants to believe that we are not trying to bring back the Soviet Union” – he added “whoever does not miss the Soviet Union has no heart, whoever wants it back has no mind“. At the last Valdai Conference in October of last year Putin stated – I only quote this to show that there are no clear statements from Russia as they are portrayed by us – he said “the crisis in Ukraine is not a conflict over territory. I want to emphasize that Russia is the largest country in the world – we have no interest in reclaiming more territories“.

Only one side is always depicted. Hegel said “the whole is the truth and the half is the untruth“. I haven’t heard the whole story in a long time. What does it look like in practice? Is there even a prerequisite for an attack on NATO States or for the conquest of the entire Ukraine – because that would be the prerequisite? In its attack on Ukraine in February 2022 Russia deployed about 190,000 soldiers against a Ukrainian force more than twice as large – this force had been excellently trained and equipped by the West. It must have been clear to the Russian leadership that conquering the entire Ukraine was impossible – even if they are always portrayed as incompetent by the West they still understand basic arithmetic. With 190,000 men one cannot assume that Russia intended to conquer the entire Ukraine, that is simply out of the question.

Moreover a Russian occupation of this large country would require a huge effort in terms of occupation troops. For comparison 300,000 Russian soldiers were stationed in the small German Democratic Republic. How many would it have to be in the vast Ukraine? Another point is that Russia’s ambition has always been to have a buffer between Russia and NATO. This buffer would be gone if the whole of Ukraine were occupied. This would mean that NATO soldiers and Russian soldiers would be directly facing each other. The risk that a confrontation could start due to human or technical failure which then could not be politically controlled would be great, and we have seen throughout the entire Ukraine war that both Russia and the United States have always tried to avoid a direct confrontation so that was not possible at the time. In the west this was celebrated as a major embarrassment for the Russians because they were unable to assert themselves – that’s a different story, but there’s something else I want to quickly mention.

In the course of the Istanbul peace negotiations at the end of March 2022 Russia then due to the positive course of the negotiations for both sides, and as a sign of goodwill withdrew its troops from the conquered areas around Kiev, and contractually assured the complete withdrawal to the status before the start of the attack namely to February 23rd 2022. Therefore I assume that the attack on Ukraine is not part of an imperial plan to reconquer the former Soviet spheres of influence or even all of Europe for that matter. Of course war objectives can change over the course of a war. Whether the assumptions about Russian attack intentions are correct could be very easily determined by agreeing to a ceasefire followed by peace negotiations. Moreover as a result of the negotiations arrangements could also emerge that prevent Ukrainian territory from being used by Russia as a staging area for an attack on central Europe. Furthermore agreements could be made with Russia that would primarily increase the security of the Baltic States. They could also contribute to greater stability between NATO and Russia overall – for example I am thinking of an updated CFE treaty. This would include the limitation of conventional armed forces with a new flank arrangement. Equally important would be confidence-building military measures. These measures would contribute to greater transparency and predictability of political military actions. Apparently it is particularly important to Moscow to prevent the expansion of NATO through the membership of Ukraine up to the Russian border. Russia has been pursuing the goal since the 1990s of creating a strategic buffer zone to NATO, a so-called Cordon Sanitaire – this idea has been revived recently in the form of of a demilitarized zone on Ukrainian territory.

Recently however Russian operational leadership also shows that Russia is taking precautions – these are intended to reduce the risk of Western troops intervening in the war to prevent a total defeat of Ukraine. In Germany the fact that an agreement initialed by both sides was reached in Istanbul at the end of March 2022 is suppressed or denied. This is the case even though not even the Ukrainian government denies this. Ukrainian negotiators have confirmed this publicly on multiple occasions. The reasons for this are obvious. A closer look at the content of the agreement would show that Ukraine had achieved a very good result a result that would have ended the war on quite acceptable terms for Ukraine after 6 weeks.

Any reasonable person would then ask ask why Zelinski was not willing to prevent the death of half a million Ukrainians and the destruction of the country by signing it, especially after he had spoken positively about the negotiations in Russian media during the talks. And any reasonable person would also continue to ask why he and the western states supporting him above all are still not willing to give peace a chance. Now the politicians who prevented peace between Russia and Ukraine at the beginning of April were obviously convinced that Russia could be defeated by Ukraine with their support. That this was a fiction should have become clear to everyone by now.

The Ukrainians have achieved what their armed forces were capable of with Western support – the west should therefore no longer burden itself with guilt for the tragic fate of the Ukrainian people. Ukraine will never be able to defeat Russia militarily even with Western support through weapons and ammunition supplies, and the training of Ukrainian soldiers. Even the delivery of so-called game changers – sometimes tanks, sometimes something else – repeatedly demanded by lay people are not the hoped for miracle weapons. Moreover, others have hoped for miracle weapons before. In any case they are not capable of changing the strategic situation in favor of Ukraine. The Ukrainian armed forces are in an extremely critical condition. After the high losses they no longer have the strength to achieve a strategic turnaround. The bitter truth is that despite massive support from the USA and Europe with modern weapons, a military defeat of Ukraine is emerging.

Nevertheless our media says that more weapons need to be delivered, but weapons cannot replace soldiers. Therefore it looks as if Ukraine now wants to shift the war to a different level, as I have already mentioned, thus acting deep into Russia with weapon systems.

I think the window of opportunity for a negotiated peace could quickly close if the West does not seriously strive for a negotiated peace. The fate of Ukraine will be decided on the battlefield, and when the weapons fall silent Ukraine will no longer be what it once was. The West might even feel compelled -and this is my great fear – to prevent a devastating military defeat of Ukraine by actively intervening. This would create a real danger of a major European war breaking out including the risk of a limited nuclear war although both superpowers Russia and the United States have made great efforts to prevent exactly this. It remains to be hoped that it will still be possible to prevent the war from spreading across all of Europe. If not – now I am back to Alexander the Great through the liveliness of the spirit of a leading politician – then perhaps because reason prevails. I can’t think of anyone at the moment – can you think of someone who could be said to have liveliness of spirit?

I don’t understand why government officials are not consulted – yes, I am alive but not of the spirit – so the last point I want to make and I really want to emphasize this to you is the following.

Historians have repeatedly asked themselves how it could happen that the European powers stumbled into the First World War – the original catastrophe of the 20th century. Hopefully historians in the future will not have to ask how the Ukraine war could become the original catastrophe of the 21st century.

Tthank you for your patience.

Harald Kujat, formerly General of the Luftwaffe and Head of the NATO military committee.

Artificial wombs are on my short list of the worst ideas of all time. There is obviously an essential connection between the mother and the fetus which will be lost if an artificial womb is used. I assume that is the entire point of this technology, to make a “less human than human” being.

It is understandable that the gay prince wants an artificial womb as part of his psychotic world. Too bad, if you want to have a kid, do it the old fashioned way.

The transcript is appreciated.

When dealing with this much text it probably would have been better to use fewer posts in conjunction with the [MORE] tag. That would allow you to bring out passages of most interest as separate block quotes.
____

I did a brief read through and this jumped out:

The chancellor (Scholz) has apparently played a significant role in getting all EU countries including Hungary to agree to the European financing package. However this package is to be distributed over 50 billion EUR from 2024 to 2027. Compared to the American Support package of 60 billion EUR that’s not much – it does not cover the financial needs of Ukraine to maintain government functions or the military support needs. However it gives the impression that Europeans might have to completely replace the USA if they drop out as the main supporter.

Recognizing that U.S. funding is guaranteed to be much lower, possibly zero, is perceptive. It also frames Germany as being willing to pay, at least under the current Scholz led coalition.

Another part of the article spoke of binding, bilateral 10 year commitments to Ukraine. Under the U.S. Constitution, binding future administrations requires a Senate ratified treaty. This option is clearly not available as a method to lockout policy changes in Trump’s 2nd term.

How does the German system work? What would it take to bind Scholz’s successor? The current Traffic Light coalition is less than stable, and there is no guarantee that his SPD party will be a formal member of the next government.
____

These two passages when taken together are particularly ominous:

create the conditions for a long-term strengthening and greater endurance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces as well as for the economy. They call this the four-phase strategy – Fight, Build, Recover and Reform. They are currently trying to bring this strategy closer to president Zelinski and above all to convince him that in 10 years the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have significant combat power and a high deterrent factor.

If politics and diplomacy are suspended, as is the case in this war, then the war as Clausewitz defines it is an act of violence without limits. Everyone sets the rules for the other, this creates an interaction that leads to the extreme what we today call escalation – that is exactly what we have seen from the beginning.

Russia will not tolerate Ukraine developing offensive, “significant combat power” immediately across the border. They will continue fighting to prevent such an existential threat to Russian survival. And, given that Medvedev has openly spoken of nuclear weapons, there is no reason to question the sincerity of Russia’s stance.

If Scholz’s Europe is going for a 10 year stalking horse strategy — Arming up Ukraine for a 2030’s offensive — that will prevent a negotiated settlement. The minimum Clausewitz political condition that Russia can accept is a buffer that prevents offensive forces from accumulating. That does not mean “total disarmament” as some histrionic posters here may shriek. But, there will have to be verifiable and enforceable limitations, including No NATO Ever.

PEACE 😇

Had a dream last night where there was a parade filled with women walking down the street. I recall thinking that only a few of them were lookers.

And, when I woke, I momentarily wondered
whether it would overtax the resources of the brain to imagine dozens of beautiful women. But it could be that the aesthetics of real life or the media somehow impinge upon the dreamworld.

All things considered, the military backgrounded JD Vance and Tulsi Gabbard are great choices for Trump’s VP.

Tulsi Gabbard and RFKjr are former Democrats. The amount of progressive policy baggage attached to them makes such a pick highly unlikely.

JD Vance is an interesting idea. One key issue — There is no obvious MAGA Ohio name guaranteed to capture the rest of his Senate term. While a Democrat winning is unlikely, the seat could easily fall to a GOP establishment RINO. This probably removes him from the short list of potential VP’s.

What about South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem? She is on record that election fraud is a serious problem, and thus would be an onboard to centest corruption if 2024 is tainted by similar illegality. South Dakota is comfortably Red State. And, Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden was a Trump elector 2020.

PEACE 😇

Wonder if the Great Firewall is somehow making the rest of the internet more woke, by segregating Chinese thought.

The pseudo-historical PoCs generated by Gemini should all be riddled with smallpox scars.

There are a lot of interesting ideas…but you still don’t get it: they are not going to let Trump back in. This will play out differently, everything is on the table.

The general idea for the Washington liberal-RINO rulers is that Pres is only a guy-or-lady up front, somewhat charismatic, diverse, tested, but above all obedient, a hired face who follows instructions and doesn’t cause trouble. They have been doing it around the world for generations and even Europe just fully fell in line in the last decade. They run the “world” HR – look up what HR does, it is a gate-keeper, they have processes for that and Trump has not passed.

In reality Trump didn’t do that much (although better than others) and is controllable by Congress-courts-byrocrats-media. But now there is too much bad blood, they threw everything at him and will keep it up, he is too unpredictable. It will be interesting…or not, they could just do a redo of 2020.

Thank you.

EU leaders are fine with fighting Russia to the last Ukrainian.

They also are fine with fighting Russia to the last European.

The Euro people do not have to cooperate in this stupidity.

What is more likely? Trump is sworn in on the Capitol steps Jan 2025 or he is murdered before?

Some group of villagers from NE England should challenge Modi to a game of cricket, with the stakes that he takes back Sunak, Khan, etc., if they win.
_____
The Intuitive Machines lunar landing was interesting as it falls into a recurrent historical pattern, where the ground support crew was essential to averting disaster. Many such cases.

Thought the press conference was good. Usually, the public doesn’t get technical answers like that, so soon after the event.

If blue eyes are an adaption for seeing in the dark, then how likely it is it that they come from warfare, rather than hunting or other purpose?

And is it true that buildings are darker inside Northern Euro regions?

Can you tell which of these photos involve men who are gay vs. Russian?

This quiz would be more interesting if you included your own photo too, if it’s not already being shown?

Putler’s already been working on a project where he can identify both gay and Russian:

The mass murder of tens of millions civilians by Germans in the east was the direct result of the German method of war – not of the Russian one. Germans went on an openly genocidal attack and it destroyed Germany. We only seeing it now, but it was built into the post-WW2 settlement.

Russia’s role in history is to break the large Euro nations: they did it to Sweden, Poland, Ottomans, France, Habsburgs, Germany. All of them attacked Russia and lost badly. It permanently undermined them. France was the dominant Euro power in 1800 and it never recovered after 1812. These large Euro nations all hate Russia – they hated before their defeat, after the loss it got worse. Some try to hide, but the simpleton-Poles are pathological about it.

Today it is the Anglos’ turn, tentative and by using others. But a loss will seriously weaken the Anglo world dominance. They know it so it will get more ugly.

Germans are perceived as smart so they need to be held responsible. Baerbock and Sholz didn’t stage a coup-de-etat, they were elected. Being a puppet has restrictions, the Germans are not powerless. If they feel genuine remorse about murdering 6 million Jews why are they in denial about at the same time also murdering 10-15 million Slavs? They can’t explain it – it is suppressed and at the end people are responsible. Germans marching east is just not smart.

German were also victims – but the 20 million is exaggerated. It was a direct consequence of the German genocides in the east. Germans living there fully supported what was going on – what were the locals supposed to do after WW2? Just sit there and pretend that all was well? If all your menfolk go on a murdering rampage there will be a blowback. We could have put this behind us, but you didn’t. You are at it again.

There are a lot of interesting ideas…but you still don’t get it: they are not going to let Trump back in. This will play out differently, everything is on the table.

The conundrum is that it is also impossible to stop Trump from getting back in.

No one wants Not-The-President Biden or Not-The-VP Harris. Because there was no serious primary, the DNC is stuck with those two.

they threw everything at him and will keep it up, he is too unpredictable. It will be interesting…or not, they could just do a redo of 2020.

They got away with 2020 because people were not watching. Now that everyone is on high alert they cannot get away with stealing another election. Trump being assassinated would create the same problem.

Those with stuff like living well. While ultra elite oligarchs could flee, those who are merely wealthy would be unable to escape the inevitable rumble. Avoiding epic civil disturbances where Blue Cities freeze and/or starve is thus key to maintaining their lifestyle. One cannot have avocado toast without importing avocados.

In reality Trump didn’t do that much (although better than others)

Trump’s 1st term did a fair amount. For example, the “Stay in Mexico” migration policy. However, his administration was indeed limited by a non-MAGA Senate for confirmations, non-MAGA House for appropriations, etc. I have made this point many times.

Trump’s 2nd term will have more support from other parts of government, and thus will achieve more. However, keeping reasonable and achievable objectives is key. It took decades to create some these problems. They will not be 100% fixed in a mere 4 years. That will require multiple MAGA administrations. KARI LAKE 2028!

#LetsGoBrandon 😇

Why not include some real news here Mickey, instead of the paid for kremlinstooge propaganda that you live on 24/7?

Relatives of serviceman drafted into the Russian armed forces in Ukraine lay flowers to the Unknown Soldier’s Tomb by the Kremlin wall on February 3, 2024 in Moscow, Russia, as they demand the return of mobilized soldiers. A survey by an independent Russian pollster has found reluctance at further mobilization and a decrease in support for the war…Chronicles’ survey of 1,602 respondents between January 23 and 29 was released Saturday on the second anniversary of the war. It found that “consistent” support for the war had decreased over the last 12 months, down from 22 percent in February 2023 to 17 percent now.

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-survey-war-mobilization-putin-1873033

Probably neither, they must have a better plan. If there isn’t one the rulers are really struggling – it would be a sign of an internal competence collapse. It is possible, but my hunch is that it is too early.

Less Wrong has arrived at the summit of Mt Sinai and only has to wander around in the desert for a few more years.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FTY9MtbubLDPjH6pW/phallocentricity-in-gpt-j-s-bizarre-stratified-ontology

The comments are not bad but the best one so far is on r/slatestarcodex:

http://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1aysb0p/phallocentricity_in_gptjs_bizarre_stratified/krx1i8j/

“In three languages that I know, obscene words and their derivatives have a huge variety of meanings. In English, “f-up” has nothing to do with copulation, “f-ing great” is not necessarily about great sex etc. In Russian/Ukrainian (which have the same obscene vocabulary) this is taken to extreme, for example, there are jokes based on the fact that a whole coherent story consists only of obscene words.

I think that’s exactly the reason. What is this generic proto-language token that can be used in almost any context to mean something very specific, but has no meaning in itself? Well it must be one of those!

(Four “major”/basic obscene words in Russian are for penis, vagina, intercourse and a woman leading a promiscuous sex life — and, indeed, that slightly random last one is present in given LLM’s “definitions”, too)

This phenomenon may have some deeper underlying reason, some kind of Freudian maybe. But the verifiable fact is that the “bad words” in natural languages, common in pre-training datasets, behave like this, is enough to explain the behavior of LLMs, I think.”

…Johnson is a mendacious weasel. He’ll shift goals as needed. None of these people argue in good faith.

I know, it is obvious. But JJ also displays the evolving desperation of the Ukie-Anglo-Nato side as they are losing: he escapes to silly minutia, boasts “the defense stocks are doing well!!!“, cries in fake schadenfreude “but Russia suffers more!“…denies the nose between his eyes with “there was no plan to move Nato to Ukraine”. It shows a lot of pathology and maybe why this war had to happen.

Russia will win the war, but what then? That’s the key question, the mental collapse on the losing side will be hard. My guess is JJ-Hacks-AP will have real issues coping.

Pictures from first air transport offensive in history

In the Vedas they are supposed to have flying saucers dropping nukes. I do not read sanskrit and presume that is a broad interpretation of what it actually says.

Propaganda!
Jewtin just blew his top again about the Nazi-regime in Kiev; but it is all Jews.
I am sorry I do not have time now to go into details.
If you really want to know you will hear the other side and more, instead of Bolshoi prop only.
Why fought a million Russians with the Wehrmacht etc. pp?
Who turned Auschwitz into a concentration camp? The Red Army! Before it was a war production facility.
Like the Jews you are texting a sadism onto us which was the Zar’s army, the Whites and the Reds and subsequently the Bolshois’ Red Army’s.
You seem to know very little and obviously nothing about “democratic elections” and propaganda that goes with it. (I for one do not vote for politicians of any coleur).
“Your” ambassador in Berlin stated that Russia differentiates very well between the German people and the governments it has placed on it.
And how would you know our damages? What would you know really about Germany?
How can you judge the 20 million. If Jewtin says there is not one Russian family that has not lost someone in war it sounds very plausible. So let me know how many families the USSR had then and we can do sums of your losses. Why would you deny the same to the other side? Because you want to be a Jew, an eternal victim? “Russia” started the war and the Russian people are not to blame for it, no matter how many millions might have engaged feverishly.

Ah yes, Defense jobs and stocks, “money being spent here” excuse. Burning cash and wasting nonrenewable resources is ok if Raytheon is doing it and paying somebody in Texas or Northern Virginia.

It’s not like we could be spending that cash and using those resources on other things, like our aging transportation infrastructure for example. Or maybe we taxpayers could have a stronger dollar and pay fewer federal taxes. Just a thought.

I was listening to this week’s Power Vertical podcast (Atlantic Council, USG basically) to see how they were interpreting recent events. A “Ukrainian-Canadian” professor called Marta Dyczok (she’s all Ukrainian) said over 70% of Americans support Ukraine but a small group of “white men” were holding up military support in Congress. Just amazing how these Eastern Europeans take to the most cringey Western libtard phraseology. You’d think they’d be embarrassed to talk in such propagandistic language, but maybe in their Soviet/post-
Soviet (whatever!) culture being completely propagandised is considered normal, maybe even high status. If she’s in any way representative of Ukrainian elites I think we can safely say a future Ukraine will go all-in on leftist social policy especially now that many of the right wingers, who might have opposed such policies, have been killed in the war.

Edward Luttwak is getting massively ratioed over this tweet about Ukraine’s lack of manpower. (He’s been banging on for weeks that too many Ukrainian men are allowed to live safe lives in Western Europe when they should be sent back to serve in the military).

Dream all you want Hackey, Russian morale much better than the Kiev regime controlled variant. Polling in the EU and US indicate a 10%-12% belief that the Kiev regime can win.

A good re-post, the next time he glories in news of Russians getting killed or hypocritical “dwarf dictator” comments about Putin.

JD Vance might be a deep state Trojan horse though. Reading between the lines in his book, it is obvious he made connections to some important lever-movers while at Yale (a known recruiting ground for the CIA)

.

Realistically speaking, the choices are limited. With that in mind, he’s worth a shot. Orban was a one time recipient of Soros support.

Given the 3 comments in an hour limit, I’ll answer here A123 on Tulsi Gabbard. Diversity brings greater popularity. Her being a Dem (former at that) isn’t an end all. I heard that there’s some polling research indicating she’d be a good VP choice for Trump.

The military background of Vance and Gabbard serve as a good middle finger to chickenhawk neocons who never served in the military.

They will have the first gay pride parade in Kiev on repeat. They cannot wait for the beautiful pervert future to get here. It won’t be all bad. The very first thing they will commence to doing is killing one another.

Russian morale much better than the Kiev regime controlled variant.

In your clouded world view, Russian polled results showing only a 17% support for the Russian war within Ukraine is higher than Ukrainians’ 60% that remain deeply committed to winning the war with Russia? Another low marker for basic comprehension on your part Mickey. 🙁

https://news.gallup.com/poll/512258/ukrainians-stand-behind-war-effort-despite-fatigue.aspx

Vance wrote a book about what a bunch of despicable hicks his family is. On loyalty points he gets a large negative score.

In Indian films, whenever there is a scene with someone smoking, the government requires that a small text “smoking is injurious to health” appears on screen.

If there are 50 shots of a character smoking, it will appear 50 times for the duration of each shot.

A similar rule should be applied to pozz.

…we could be spending that cash and using those resources on other things, like our aging transportation infrastructure

Maybe if you convince the politicians that Russia is intentionally damaging US infrastructure with disinformation on Facebook…No, it wouldn’t work, weapons have higher margins and fewer customer issues. It is a perfect business model.

The most amusing part is that people living off the arms industry claim that it is private enterprise…capitalism at its finest.

You have serious comprehension issues: in Russia 17% oppose the war or 22% according to NY Times. I am skeptical of polls about wars, but that would be 80% of Russians who support the war.

In Ukraine 60% support the war – 80% is bigger than 60%. Where did you learn math? Arizona?

If you have bad feelings about the illegal government in Berlin – it is not democratically elected – you would be astonished about far worse feelings of millions of Germans exist against the Jewish rule in Berlin (against the German people), with some calling for Russia to send weapons, to reactivate the NVA, to cancel the 2+4 treaty a.s.o.a.s.f. Many know that this war is not just against the Russian but also against the German people.
Scholz recently had an approval rating of 15 %. The Bundeswehr has real recruiting problems. (Personally, fiercly I told a few young recruits here: Dare you and go to Ukraine! It is none of our business! Be bloody stupid? Stay home, no matter what! If they force you, get out, escape! Just never go there!)
Baerbock is not a German – look at her – neither is Habeck. Scholz is simply a trained lackey, trained all his life to be a stoogy of Judaism. Only such people are allowed into the revolving Berlin chairs; compare it to the Biden joke in Washington if you like.
„Russia“ has its share in the dilemma too. Russia refuses to expose the Holocaust lie and instead reinforces it and all other lies about Germans; just have a look at your own garbage. Russia could have toppled the JewWest long ago simply by exposing the truth the way Gorbachov exposed it with Katyn. Now the tension is out of Katyn and the Poles have finally dropped their gile against Russia and toned down a lot lately. To me the US & (R)US are two sides of the same Shekel.
Have a look at your migrations and pensions. It is exactly the same here.
When Hitler invaded Russia my grandfather smashed Hitler’s picture. A year later the oldest son „fell“ in Tsherkassi / Dnipr.
It seems you just look for an easy way to place your anger about the unjust war against Russia and have no clue at all that it is a war against Germany too. Since 1945 Germany is missing a German government. Germany is occupied. Elections are a farce, like America. Berlin itself is excluded from the 2+4 contract. Officialy „Germany“ is still at war with 54 nations and has a fiend status at the UN. Officialy the Russian Zone in Berlin still exists. It means that the Reichstag – the FRG parliament – is within the Russian Zone and Russia could according to the statuts arrest the parliament including the „German“ government.
Blame Jewtin? No, he does as good as he knows, like everyone else.
I like Russians an awfull lot. But(t) I wont crawl up your as if you are an hateful propaganda idiot to lazy to dig into the nitty-grittis.
Without Russian cinema my life would be … I do not know. Just look at the Uki kids how they soaked up Slowo Batsana. What does it show you? Stop being an idiot with your blind hatred towards the other. It is actually hatred towards yourself, because we are not separate.
Again: may Russia win! Russia must win! May Russia free Ukraine from Jewish occupation and return it to the fatherland, the Great Motherland. Slawa Russia!

“If they feel genuine remorse about murdering 6 million Jews why are they in denial about at the same time also murdering 10-15 million Slavs?”
The problem is that there is no Auschwitz of Slavs, not even a Baby Yar of Slavs, all there is on the issue are probably exaggerated demographic estimates.

probably exaggerated demographic estimates

The problem is that you don’t want to admit it. And when you admit it you don’t anyone to mention it. There are numerous burnt villages with memorials, labor camps, murdered POWs, etc…real history. It doesn’t suit your ideology so you suppress it or use the weasel term “exaggerated” – could you elaborate, how is it exaggerated?

After 75 years of quietly ignoring the German genocide the Ukie Nazi-nationalists brought it back with the war. It’s not a big surprise that Germans joined in. It is potentially a big issue for Germans, they are already undermined and suppressed at home, the last thing they need is a new round of hostility with Russia who has been one of their better friends.

Zelensky is a giant, a veritable demigod. As a taxpayer, I feel insulted by Johnson’s post. I expect some better domestic propaganda.

I was quoting the poll that was recently conducted within Russia above:

Chronicles’ survey of 1,602 respondents between January 23 and 29 was released Saturday on the second anniversary of the war. It found that “consistent” support for the war had decreased over the last 12 months, down from 22 percent in February 2023 to 17 percent now.

I have no idea what poll you’re thinking about that indicates just the opposite results?

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-survey-war-mobilization-putin-1873033

I am a Jew and in part because I don’t support Putin.

Putin should receive the Nobel Peace Prize (unlikely, it is actually another Jewish domain) for being extremely restrained in dealing with the West’s elite cockroaches. It is guaranteed, if Kremlin is occupied by someone else than Putin, the West political cockroaches (including millions of innocent) would be long terminally fumigated. They arrogantly ask for it, and Russian huge stockpile would finally be put to a worthwhile use.

Battle of the Nations
Italy Russia

You mean Oswiecim a labour camp that use to have swimming pool.

End is near!

I wonder whether Indonesian movies are the most violent of the Muslim world.

I don’t think movie violence causes street violence, but it’s still interesting.

The DNC South Carolina primary was some weeks ago. Today’s *open* primary for the GOP candidate was Haley’s most favourable scenario. She had the opportunity to obtain support from Biden voters who would oppose her in any general election.

Team #NeverTrump has failed: (1)

UPDATE 7:38 p.m. ET:

While it’s still early in the evening, it’s actually possible that Trump completely edges Haley out and wins every single delegate from South Carolina this evening. If that happens, it’s a massive embarrassment for her even worse than simply losing her home state. South Carolina awards its delegates proportionally by congressional district, and it’s currently actually possible if not likely that Trump totally sweeps the whole state and absolutely demolishes Haley.

Can SJW Globalist saboteurs close the gap to single digits? Signs point to NO.

The polls closed at 7:00 PM and essentially every outlet called it within minutes, despite Haley’s home field advantage. Trump already gave his victory speech.

#LetsGoBrandon 😇
__________

(1) https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/02/24/election-night-livewire-trump-looks-for-blowout-against-haley-in-her-home-state-of-south-carolina/

Somewhat along the line of GR’s ideas for MAGA,

Them?

certain types of people overuse the term Nazi. It’s a tell. Especially when it’s discussing WW2.

Did this famous Duckman artist ever create any good ethnic caricatures, like Dr. Seuss?

Hackey, Russia isn’t the party having armed forces recruitment problems, as in using press gangs and seeking to somehow get expats to come back and fight.

Like I said, dream all you want, Russian morale is much better than that among the Kiev regime flock.

I don’t know too much about that. How loyal were some of his family members?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/J._D._Vance

Excerpt –

James David Vance was born on August 2, 1984, in Middletown, Ohio, between Cincinnati and Dayton, as James Donald Bowman, the son of Donald Bowman and Bev Vance. Of Scots-Irish descent,[4][3][5][6] his mother and father divorced when Vance was a toddler. Shortly afterward, he was adopted by his mother’s third husband.[4] Vance and his sister were raised primarily by his grandparents, James and Bonnie Vance, whom they called “Mamaw and Papaw.”[5][7][8][9] J. D. later went by the name James Hamel, his stepfather’s surname, until adopting his grandparents’ surname, Vance.[10]

What would you know really about Germany?

Everybody knows that Germany elite sleep in the bed with the “hegemon” (sly enemy) that blew up your infrastructure for which German people wasted billions on. That love affair and elite’s lies are causing your economic collapse and nostalgia of cheap Russian energy.

Ukrainians must have been listening to your baldheaded bastard son, Mickey. How is Russia’s military complex going to maintain producing ballistic missiles and other military weapons now without steel?

Russia’s larges steel factory kaput – Bye bye Ruzzia! 🙂

Hope Trump gets through the rest of his legal battles without snagging any felonies….his war chest seems to be depleted too?

Oh his family is messed up alright. There is a lot of that.

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2378023119829332#_i8

This is not something you put on your resume. If you write a book about it this does not mean you are qualified to run for congress or manage a big company or join an exclusive club. Oprah Winfrey and similar television talk show hosts want to hear about it.

Nobody else does. He is a freak show performer. What he does is the same thing as bite the heads off chickens for a freak show.

Almost in spite of Russia’s continuing tradition of anticolonialist rhetoric, Sunak really wants to seize Russian assets.
_________
If Neanderthals in the Middle East were eating wild figs, legumes, and barley, why did the domestication of those crops take so long?
________
Is the greater genetic diversity of cats than dogs mostly in non-coding DNA? Or could scientific breeding programs quickly exceed the trait diversity of dogs, if the funds and willpower were there? Could domesticated cats as big as ligers be bred? (Though only the insane would do so.)
________
I believe Trump would beat Haley in India.

One of many rallies throuhout the world yesterday in support of Ukraine. If the Russian cause is just why no rallies supporting Russia’s role in this war?

This is not about Ukraine.

The people funding and driving this conflict do not care if your Ukrainian friends are all killed or if the history is completely destroyed. They do not care. The Ukrainian Slavs are pawns being led to their deaths.

Stop the propaganda. You have read enough here at Unz to know there is a larger picture behind these events. Maybe you did not understand five years ago, but now you are willfully promoting the deaths of those you love for no useful reason. Please stop.

If the Russian cause is just why no rallies supporting Russia’s role in this war?

If there were some equal prospect of extracting public resources, perhaps, there would be.

Am joking a bit. Of course, there are other factors involved. But the financials certainly don’t encourage it. And I certainly doubt the motivations of the pols that show up demanding more funding.

I can assure you that the Ukrainians in Phoenix (and those in the rest of the world) get no funds from the government to hold these sorts rallies. Just listen to the little girl and her mother explain that their mother (grandmother) is living right in the middle of this war – that’s enough of a stimulant to come to this sort of a rally. So I’m still waiting for a response to my question:

If the Russian cause is just why no rallies supporting Russia’s role in this war?

…do not care if your Ukrainian friends are all killed or if the history is completely destroyed

Mr.Hacks is a sad case – emotions and infantile thinking, he will go down with the ship. His simpleton enthusiasm is promoting destruction of what he says is his Ukie nation…

But he is really not a part of it, he doesn’t care that much, it is mostly a pose.

The drubbing of Nikki Haley is more dramatic than anticipated.

Even with Democrats voting in the GOP primary, the blow out was still 20%.Trump secured 44 delegates, while Haley only managed to capture 3.

Why does she not throw in the towel & endorse Trump? Continuing to run wastes a great deal of additional money to no constructive purpose.

#LetsGoBrandon 😇

This is not about Ukraine.

An invasion of Ukraine is not about Ukraine?

You contrarianism has no limits.

The people funding and driving this conflict do not care if your Ukrainian friends are all killed

The Russians and you see it as a good thing, a feature and no a bug.

The more you want to deny Ukrainians the arms with which to defend themselves, the more you wish that Ukrainians will die. Truly monstrous.

in Russia 17% oppose the war or 22% according to NY Times. I am skeptical of polls about wars, but that would be 80% of Russians who support the war.

Some of that 80% are neutral or unsure.

In Ukraine 60% support the war

Another 31% want negotiated peace – which isn’t the same thing as surrender.

So twice as many Ukrainians want no negotiations as want negotiations.

…just have a look at your own garbage.

I don’t think it is “garbage”…but I won’t convince you.

you just look for an easy way to place your anger about the unjust war against Russia and have no clue at all that it is a war against Germany too.

I don’t look for an “easy way”, I try to understand reality – often what you call the easy part is closest to the truth. Something to do with the Occam’s razor.

I agree this is also a war on Europe, primarily Germany. It is not done by the “outsiders”, no amount of finger-pointing takes away our responsibility: our leaders, media, countrymen. We have them, and Germany has them. To allow ourselves to be manipulated, bought, intimidated is our fault. (I am not Russian, far from it.)

What now? The damage to Europe has been done, not only to Germany. It is largely irreversible: migrants, culture, economic damage, loss of authenticity and self-rule…Inevitably over time the living standards will drop. The current Euro elites will be gone – it may take years, but they are on their way out and their names are of no importance.

We did this to ourselves – like lazy puppies we were trained, fed, made comfy and useless. At the core this is an evolutionary failure. The German insane, murderous behavior in WW2 was the catalyst – in eastern Europe, primarily against the Slavs. Then the lies after WW2, first only indirect by omission and focus on what pleased the Anglos (who are also germanic after all) – then recently outright lies. It led to this war and in wars there are only two sides – Europe doesn’t have its own side, so we are getting destroyed. But don’t blame the outsiders – Baerbock-Macron-Tusk&Co. are our people.

I don’t question that there is some non-monetary social aspect to it.

But I’m cynical enough to believe that the mercenary contribution is non-zero. And that doesn’t even need to directly involve Ukrainians themselves.

It is as simple as posing the question, Cui bono?. Which would include arms companies and probably anyone with some prospect of seizing Russian assets, if the war is prolonged enough. If either thought they could promote the rallies to gain their ends, would they refrain from doing so, based on moral principles? IMO, the debt and inflation wouldn’t be so high, if such ideals prevailed.

Though, in fact, many of the Ukrainian diaspora themselves are asking for public funds for Ukraine, and believe that they have some prospect of gaining them, if not personally. Perhaps, their enthusiasm would wain, if this were not the case.

Off-topic, but does anyone else feel like AP is being disloyal, or far less likely, Anglophilic, when he spells it Hapsburg?

I feel like all his Habsburgs must be blockquotes of Beckow.

twice as many Ukrainians want no negotiations as want negotiations.

In a war nobody is going to answer a poll with I want to surrender– even you should understand that. 1/3 say they want to negotiate (I would also say it.) It is probably at least a half – people are scared.

There are only three options for Ukraine: permanent war, defeat or settlement. They didn’t take the Minsk Istanbul offers. The Ukie situation got worse – so the deal will be worse. Russia is no longer in a giving mood, too much blood.

When you lose a war you give up territory and are compliant with the winner. Kiev-Nato are losing the war. Neutrality is the sine-qua-non Russian demand (no Nato), the main reason for the war. It is not Putin or Navalny (he also wanted neutrality and Crimea in Russia). Nato screwed up – they walked into a losing war. The best thing Kiev can do is admit to it and negotiate. I am not even sure Russia will go for it now, why should they?

It will be studied for the utmost stupidity for years – what the f…k were you guys thinking? You believed your own propaganda – “gas station” and all that – now you will pay a high price for misunderstanding reality. But that is the way evolution works.

Predators are a necessary simulant, otherwise we are like creatures in a zoo. I think this war has already done Ukraine a great deal of good, and might be the saving of the Ukrainian nation, but there needs to be far more deaths of all types and age groups, then mortality salience might cause the birthrate to rise. A disease of extraordinary virulence coming from the trenches as in WW1’s 1918 pandemic could help.

Anglos are narcissists so they insist on renaming things. AP grew up in that milieu but he doesn’t seem an Anglophile – he concocted some weird Galician-Polish-Hapsburg quasi identity, probably to escape the POC sh..t at home.

Hapsburg is a made-up name, they may as well call Stuarts Stwarts or Goethe Gouete…but let’s not encourage them. Notice how they pronounce Xi or Putin betraying their infantile hatred.

…mortality salience might cause the birthrate to rise. A disease of extraordinary virulence coming from the trenches as in WW1’s 1918 pandemic could help.

I am not sure it works that way anymore. People will scatter around the world and the regions taken by Russia will be less Ukie with assimilation. Large parts of Ukraine that had on paper Ukie majorities will be depopulated.

Ukraine in 1991 had 51 million people and was a rich country with enormous potential. But they went Ukie-nationalist and were sold a bill of goods by their Nato friends. Today they have maybe 30 million people, destroyed economy and it is only getting worse. Somebody made some bad choices there…

There’s a mix of growing reality and ongoing BS.

BBC pro-Kiev regime propagandist Andrew Harding interviewed a Kiev regime area controlled inhabitant who he previously featured about a year ago. In the initial instance, this resident said he favored armed conflict. Now, he wants it to end soon.

Keep dreaming. Just for you:

As for “bald headed bastard”, I’ll take Berletic over the likes of Turchynov and Stepanchuk any day.

I’m supposedly the one “dreaming”, while showing video clips of Russia’s largest steel factory glowing in the sky after a direct Ukrainian missile attack? Is replying with Beavis and Butthead cartoons really the best that you’ve got? No wonder, you’re letting your baldheaded bastard son steal all of the thunder that used to be yours. Face it Mickey, you’re getting old and have become a nobody in the world of kremlin stoogery.

Here’s another videoclip that I’m sure you’d rather ignore and pretend that “it doesn’t matter:”

Shifting gears to sanity, this show does a good job at explaining how the sanctions have backfired.

The message to Mr. Hack was sincere and not contrarian. It was intended for you as well.

How many dead Ukrainians will be enough for you? Is 1 million dead people the point at which you look at the situation realistically? Maybe 5 million? Are you willing to have ALL Ukrainians die so you can say, “Well, at least they tried.”? This is your monstrous plan, I am simply pointing out the ramifications.

The Ukrainian pawns you are urging to their deaths are trapped in a larger struggle between the West and Russia. The current phase of this struggle started by 1990. The escalations in 2014 and 2022 were expected steps in the long term Western strategy.

he concocted some weird Galician-Polish-Hapsburg quasi identity,

Sometimes it is hard to pin him down. I wonder what self-label he would choose. (Catholic/Western Slav?) Once you cross borders, or deal in extinct countries, I would think that would complicate identity.

AP grew up in that milieu but he doesn’t seem an Anglophile

That was a bit of a joke on my part.

His views about the settling of the Americas (anti-English, and pro-Catholic) have always struck me as quite idiosyncratic for a non-leftist, non-PoC in America. It is very easy to puzzle over their origin, as I would suppose that sort of thing wasn’t taught in school, at that time.

Hack, you are sputtering with glee when you should be weeping. Russia has “escalation dominance” in this conflict and has not taken advantage of it because they do not want to kill Ukrainian civilians. At some point with these foolish Ukrainian attacks, Russian citizens may ask the military, “What are we paying you guys for? Your job is not to coddle a bunch of gullible Ukies who hate us. We want you to end the NATO presence in Ukraine and stop all attacks on Russian soil NOW.”

Russia has been fighting this war cautiously and accepting serious losses in the process. I wonder if they are buying time to build up the resources to calm and control Ukraine once it capitulates? This is tricky because part of Ukraine may stand down and require military policing as part of the transition to a new political order, while the rest of the country may be in a pitched battle, mostly fought against Western forces. I can imagine by next year the Russian military will control everything to the East of the river along with Kherson and Odessa. Once things reach that stage, Kiev might reluctantly agree to stop fighting. Unfortunately for Russia, after capitulating, Kiev will have less control over what happens in the Western part of Ukraine. One Russian strategy may be to keep chewing away at the Ukrainian strongholds in the East and South while preparing for a much harsher, shock and awe, scorched earth campaign in the Western part of Ukraine. Mariupol, Bakhmut and many other battle zones ended up as scorched earth, but it was a gradual process. Shock and awe does that in a few days. This approach would be designed to decisively defeat forces in the Western part of Ukraine so it is not lost to Poland. This fighting may be much harder than what has occurred so far, except that civilian casualties and infrastructure damage may be a lower concern than in the East. The leaders in the West seem to be willing to push this confrontation up to the brink of nuclear war. When Trump wins, they may try to force a nuclear exchange so he can be blamed for it.

Almost in spite of Russia’s continuing tradition of anticolonialist rhetoric, Sunak really wants to seize Russian assets.

I think with this, the anti-colonial plans the British establishment currently plans to implement on Britain make the Soviets look like WNs, so they won’t worry too much about this aspect of it.

It’s weird that in the longer term it looks like liberalism will have greater revolutionary impact than Leninism, but this is how things seem to be going.

I remember twenty years ago on demographic ‘transition’ sites Ukraine was the global leader; there were Ukrainians warning that their country would loose huge swathes of its territory simply because it ran out of people and the neighbouring states would have to be called in to administer them. In short, Ukraine was in a demographic death spiral that ever increasing economic wellbeing and a higher quality of life could only exacerbate. Joining the EU would have been the final nail in the coffin of Ukraine due to the flood of private investment in Ukraine’s superabundance of prime agricultural land and EU convergence funds making life a wonderful bed of roses for Ukrainians.

The paradox of the pesticides is a paradox that states that applying pesticide to a pest may end up increasing the abundance of the pest if the pesticide upsets natural predator–prey dynamics in the ecosystem.

So for Putin, the SMO is like a cockroach infestation: you have got to get them all, otherwise what’s the point?

Orange cats have the greatest size differential between the sexes, with the males often being larger than other males and the females often being smaller than other females.

They are also thought to be more risk-taking and vocal. The first possibly being related to their perceived friendliness.

I was once familiar with a female orange, and didn’t consider it friendly to strangers, so I am personally inclined to believe it is explained by the sex ratio. The fact that about 80% are males.

But it is somewhat intriguing to consider alternative explanations. As I recall, there was once this certain idea that red-headed people were more likely to be terrorists or CEOs. Of course, those are both very rare groups, and I never felt that I perceived any behavioral differences in the many red-headed people I have known.

Crisis: Ukr Rout All Fronts: Rus Regains Rabotino, Enters Terny, West Panics, Washington Splits

In a war nobody is going to answer a poll with I want to surrender– even you should understand that. 1/3 say they want to negotiate (I would also say it.) It is probably at least a half – people are scared.

It’s an anonymous poll.

Here is a clever poll that asked Russians not about the war currently (directly), but if they could go back in time, would they cancel the SMO? That way they do not have to state that they oppose the war.

37% said they would cancel it, 53% said they wouldn’t. This may be a more realistic measure of how many Russians are pro or anti war – a little bit more than half. Not 80% being pro-war.

There are only three options for Ukraine: permanent war, defeat or settlement.

The last part includes everything from stalemate at current lines to Russian defeat (which does not mean something like capture of Moscow but could be like American defeat in Vietnam).

Russia is no longer in a giving mood, too much blood.

Russia hasn’t dared mass mobilization of normal people. When that becomes necessary we will know more about the Russian mood. Not yet.

If the climate is supportive of cockroaches nothing will get rid of them all. They will survive nuclear conflagration. The only thing that will do it is a long and cold winter.

What’s the weather like in Kiev?

Accuweather tells me it barely will drop below freezing tonight.

Ukraine in 1991 had 51 million people and was a rich country

It was a lot poorer than both Poland and Russia in 1991 in nominal GDP per capita:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.KD?locations=UA-RU-PL

And you used to say Poland was poor.

Were you lying then, or lying now?

Ukraine was also very cheap, so in terms of PP the 3 countries were similar in 1991:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD?locations=UA-RU-PL

Today they have maybe 30 million people, destroyed economy

Ukraine’s economy was destroyed under the ex-Commie Kravchuk and especially under the Sovok Kuchma. It was destroyed because it clung to Russia or tried to be neutral rather than join Poland and Romania and take a strong pro-Western course. It actually improved its economy after 2014-2015.

An orange male cat is currently trying to adopt me as his human. He seems to be nomadic and very friendly. He is smaller than average and very loud.

My sister’s family was once adopted by a large orange male fluff ball cat. He had an existing human home but traded up! Morris was the friendliest and smartest cat we have ever seen, almost like a dog. So better than a dog.

When did your outlook become so draconian? Are you making a subtle point?

Don’t know about the size of orange cats but they seem to be more high status than other cats.

What do you think is the least favorable outcome for Ukraine which would still be considered a slight victory by Ukrainians?

+++

My answer is any post-SMO situation in which Kiev retains substantial autonomy is a victory, even if this means losing everything East of the Dnipro and probably Odessa, not to mention Crimea.

Depending on the definition of “substantial autonomy” for Kiev, I can even imagine this as a distasteful yet barely palatable victory for all players. The ability to negotiate such an arrangement would depend heavily on the status of Western Ukraine. Another complication is that I expect post-SMO Kiev will have at least a facade of autonomy no matter what, so determining the degree of real autonomy versus puppet state may be difficult. Based on recent history, Russia will not be in a hurry to sort this out.

The Ukrainian men in the trenches of the East of Ukraine have an average age of late forties, and they are suffering lots of angina and pneumonia from a combination of unsanitary conditions, and rain interspersed with snow. Hundreds of miles away in balmy Kiev, young Ukrainian men are living a carefree life of nightclubbing. This shows the government of Zelensky does not understand how the world works–they think those hedonistic youths are going to reproduce at a higher level if they are left to their own devices, but they won’t.

Maybe this song will answer it better – it’s quite popular outside of Germany too:

Nein, meine Söhne geb’ ich nicht…

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2009/jan/21/wildlife-evolution

Now an evil black “super squirrel” has risen up to challenge the dominance of the grey. According to the Daily Mail these “testosterone-fuelled black squirrels are faster, fitter, fiercely territorial and more aggressive”. The evidence for this lies somewhere between “anecdotal” and “none”, but it is claimed that in some areas, such as Cambridgeshire, black squirrels now outnumber greys. The Daily Mail does not stint on the inflammatory language just because it’s talking about rodents. Last April they ran a picture of a black squirrel with the caption “Cute but deadly: they may look harmless, but ‘mutant’ squirrels have left the grey squirrel population in fear”.

How is the fascist Judiciary in NY making out? (1)

Trump Fraud Ruling Could Devastate New York Economy

Shortly after the Trump ruling was handed down, “Some nationwide real estate investors, like Cardone Capital’s Grant Cardone, have started telling their teams to pack their bags and leave New York after the verdict in former President Trump’s fraud trial.”

Cardone told the network that when he heard about the verdict, “it was like, pencils down. Don’t touch it. Don’t go there.”
…
O’Leary and other real estate experts have likewise noted the absurdity of the case against Trump, which is based on claims that he inflated the actual value of his real estate holdings in order to secure more favorable loan terms for future projects. As O’Leary put it when discussing the case last year, “Every single real estate developer everywhere on earth does this. They always talk about their asset being worth a lot and the bank says no. That’s just the way it is.”

As Bush and Lonsdale also noted in the Journal, “Bankers from Deutsche Bank, which lent money to Mr. Trump, testified that they were satisfied with having done so, given they were paid back on time and with interest. They also testified that they were uncertain whether the alleged exaggerations would have affected the terms of the loans to Mr. Trump—a key part of Ms. James’s case.”

In other words, no one was actually financially harmed

The New York Nazicrats are stuffed. They have only two choices:

• Admit that persecuting Trump was political
• Accept all serious real estate firms abandoning the state

Going full swastika never works.

#LetsGoBrandon 😇
______________________

(1) https://amac.us/newsline/economy/trump-fraud-ruling-could-devastate-new-york-economy/

You aren’t joking. You succinctly answered the question and in a way that reveals the truth. The guy who keeps approaching me on the street asking for money for the hardship story of the moment doesn’t even bother changing up his story all that often. He needs money to pay his parking bill cause he forgot his wallet five times this month. The guy who isn’t pitching a story to help pay his bills isn’t in the streets looking for suckers to pitch a useful (to extract money) tale of woe.

FWIW, IIRC, Kuchma practiced what is known as declarative Westernization, where he declared Ukraine’s desire to integrate with the West while at the same time doing nothing to actually make this come any closer to reality. Under him, a prominent Ukrainian journalist was killed, perhaps under his orders:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgiy_Gongadze

Not exactly a country that was a ripe candidate for EU membership back then.

Interestingly enough, that scandal also resulted in one more killing in Ukraine, in 2005:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuriy_Kravchenko

The post-Soviet countries, especially the East Slavic ones, really did lose their sense of morality, with cavalier killings and whatnot. Ukraine appears to be better in regards to this now, but not Russia. And even Ukraine isn’t perfect even nowadays (Oles Buzina, for instance).

How many dead Ukrainians will be enough for you? Is 1 million dead people the point at which you look at the situation realistically? Maybe 5 million

You could have asked the same to Poles and Soviets during World War II when urging them to surrender and help the Germans like the Czechs or Slovaks did.

Are you willing to have ALL Ukrainians die so you can say, “Well, at least they tried.”?

It’s not about me, it’s about the people if Ukraine being unwilling to give up themselves, their children and their homes to the Russian invaders. Like normal people, they fight back. Perhaps you don’t understand, you want to think differently.

Your monstrous morality is to side with the invader (because you want up to me down, wrong to be right), to oppose giving the victims the tools to protect themselves, and to blame the victim of the invasion for the invasion (because up has to be down).

Ukraine in 1991 had 51 million people and was a rich country

It was a lot poorer than both Poland and Russia in 1991 in nominal GDP per capita:

Nominal? People explained to you before that “nominal” is quite meaningless because it is driven by changing exchange rates. What matters is PPP – purchasing power, in that Ukraine was the same as Russia and Poland. It was quite rich and considered to have a great potential: resources, arable land, 51 million educated people, very advanced industry, great location.

But they blew it. Today they are reaching the nadir after 33 years of very bad choices, stealing, dreaming, marching and blaming others.

Ukraine’s economy was destroyed under the ex-Commie Kravchuk and especially under the Sovok Kuchma.

Why didn’t these Commies destroy it under communists? Why did they wait until “free enterprise” Ukraine was created to do their destruction? You make no sense.

Czech President Pavel is an ex-commie, when is he going to destroy Czechia?

Kiev isn’t much warmer than the East. The young people enjoying life in Kiev (they are also working btw, without them doing so Ukraine would have even fewer financial resources – but it’s good for them to let off steam or meet people in discos) may not have a high fertility rate but they have a higher one than do their 40-something uncles or others that age in the Eastern fields.

Accept all serious real estate firms abandoning the state

Don’t get excited too early. You can bet the politicos are spreading the word that this is a one time thing. And that such statements are likely true. The world of politics is full of special pleading and has been for a long time. Nixon had to use dirty tricks guys on his campaign payroll to do things much less serious than this. The Ds uses government money or people loyal to foreign counties, Vindman, and nobody touches them. Face it, the Bolsheviks have been in control since Roosevelt.

Heck, a major west coast state flagship university had an exhibit several years ago glamorizing the Abraham Lincoln Brigade. That was a group of mostly American Jews who volunteered to fight for the Reds against the Spanish Nationalists in the Spanish Civil War. In case you don’t know, the Abraham Lincoln Brigade fought on the side of the Reds (Republicans), a group who made a point of murdering and torturing Catholics. That a state sponsored University chooses to glorify filth like the Abraham Lincoln Brigade tells you what you need to know about power in the United States.

One Russian strategy may be to keep chewing away at the Ukrainian strongholds in the East and South while preparing for a much harsher, shock and awe, scorched earth campaign in the Western part of Ukraine.

It is possible, but it will depend on the level of resistance. The cautious Russian approach has to do with not being fully prepared in 2022 – Russians don’t do homework well – and on informal ‘red lines’ with Nato.

Nato gradually crosses all red lines, and Russia will too. The key point is that Russia has escalation dominance – for anything done to them they can do worse in return. Obama wisely said that in 2014 and stayed out.

Nato looks like they are continuing the war out of spite – they know they can’t win and Kiev will not be in Nato but they like to blow up things, don’t care for Ukie lives and crave killing as many Russians as possible. It is a mental condition, hidden as always in the West behind a screen of slogans. The main victims are the Ukies, they should stand up for themselves – but they look like they are too dumb or too cowed to do anything.

Nominal? People explained to you before that “nominal” is quite meaningless because it is driven by changing exchange rates

When you don’t like it it’s meaningless and when you do it’s meaningful. It tells you how much can be purchased from outside the country.

What matters is PPP – purchasing power, in that Ukraine was the same as Russia and Poland

It was poorer than Russia, which itself wasn’t wealthy.

BTW on PPP Poland is significantly richer than Slovakia.

It was quite rich

In that case Poland was also “quite rich.” So were you lying when you had claimed Poland was poor, or lying now?

resources, arable land, 51 million educated people, very advanced industry

Backward and unable to compete with Western industry. Place was already poverty-stricken when I visited in 1990; it would get even worse in the 90s as the Soviet elites were unleashed and went wild.

Ukraine’s economy was destroyed under the ex-Commie Kravchuk and especially under the Sovok Kuchma.

Why didn’t these Commies destroy it under communists?

It was poor before that too, but after 1990 the Communists decided to add theft to incompetence, and made it even worse. Avoiding the EU was a great way to avoid any oversight.

Czech President Pavel is an ex-commie, when is he going to destroy Czechia

Kravchuk had been a lifelong Communist boss (he was a member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Ukraine), Pavel was one for only 4 years in his youth. No comparison.

You need a high proportion of young soldiers for high tempo attack or counter attack, which was the secret of the Napoleonic and Nazi victories in battle. And when I say young I mean 19-20, which is an age when vanishingly few men are fathering children nowadays. Lets be honest about the short term political benefits to Zelensky of not mobilizing teenagers, and not try to pretend that he is focused on a generation into the future.

https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-242/#comment-6424855

There hasn’t been scarcity for decades. The issue is affordability.

Thank you for the reality check.

Carlson was born in 1969. He can remember the change of economic model, so, there is less justification for not giving the viewers adequate context about Soviet history in his report.

In the Soviet epoch, groceries were using a semi-socialist model. Groceries in stores were not competing for profits. There were regulated and fixed prices. Stores had aspects of a public amenity. The issue was availability, uncoordinated logistics, especially in the crisis times.

Today, supermarkets like Auchan are private businesses. The products have colorful wrappings, because, they are trying to compete for profit by attaining the attention of consumers against competing products.

The store’s owner plays music and invests in the interior design, because, they want you to spend money there. Result of the capitalist supermarket are colorful products, in attractive buildings, with Taylor Swift music playing, a wide choice and some beautiful lighting.

The issue is affordability, this colorful wrapping and interior design isn’t a free lunch. Shops are not public services in a capitalist society. We look at the RIA Ratings. Groceries are 32,2% of Russian families’ budgets.
https://ria.ru/20221212/eda-1837512329.html

It’s just as she said. Kinder is a high quality European production with beautiful wrapping and visual appearance. But, a Kinder egg costs 1 hour of working class peoples’ salary. https://youtu.be/appV1ldy_Sg?feature=shared&t=338.

has already screwed it up. He replaced cashews with cheap peanuts and butter with cheap palm oil. So, now Kiev cake tastes like a parody of what it was with normal ingredients.

In Soviet times, Kievan cake was made with hazelnuts which is a luxury ingredient. In the 1950s years, even with cashews, because, there was a trade agreement with India to import cashews.

Hazelnuts are very expensive if you’re going to make mass production confectionaries, cashews even more luxury.

In the supermarket today, usually only Nutella, some of the chocolate bars have a significant level of hazelnut. You can see the price for those is higher than other supermarket products because of the hazelnuts.

Soviet food production was sometimes giving people some luxury, well, more than the pastry section of the current Auchan.

Poroshenko (Kiev cake is now made by Roshen)

Rochen chocolate bars taste to me like they are using too much sugar compared to supermarket European chocolate. Most supermarket European chocolate maybe uses higher ratios of cocoa and milk powder compared with Roshen.

What Sean was saying sounds a bit like this:

‘Here I distinguish myself from Maurras… He (Maurras) never positions himself knowingly at the point of view of a wholly disinterested and objective philosophy of history. He will never consent, for example, to speak of violence as a necessity in itself; he will only ever speak of violence as an evil against which we must defend ourselves…

Whereas I, following Nietzsche, Hegel and Schopenhauer, I return to a more primitive conception where evil is at the heart of life itself, mingled with good by some enigmatic connection… From my point of view Germany appears today as a necessary evil in Europe, the initiating movement, always renewing the experience of force without which the West drifts into the stupidity of a overly facile and optimistic rationalism, that of our intellectuals of the 18th century or our teachers, or our freemasons.’

On the topic of the arrival of Europeans, iirc Cortez and his men were perceived as gods by the Aztecs? Montezuma thought they were some sort of providential force, because of the novelty. I also remember some anecdotes about when white men were first seen in the Congo, sometimes they were perceived as having supernatural power, the pale spirits of the ancestors returning.

There might be some relationship between this and the way some British and Scandinavian (seems to apply to Irish as well now) liberals see certain groups, e.g. black Africans, once they arrive in Europe.