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Here’s a new Open Thread for all of you. To minimize the load, please continue to limit your Tweets or place them under a MORE tag.

Meanwhile, I’d also recommend my latest piece on the true history of World War II, which discusses some of the remarkable analogies to the current Ukraine conflict:

https://www.unz.com/runz/hitler-churchill-the-holocaust-and-the-war-in-ukraine/

I’d also recommend my earlier installments, with the first getting record-setting early traffic:

https://www.unz.com/runz/why-everything-you-know-about-world-war-ii-is-wrong/

https://www.unz.com/runz/more-falsehoods-of-world-war-ii/

 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: Russia, Ukraine 
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  1. Was there ever a Russian geostrategist who wanted to export 500,000 Eurasian tribesmen (i.e. Uzbeks, etc) to Alaska and then use it as a springboard to seize Western Canada and US?

    It was in a novel I was reading (Tai-Pan), and while I don’t think it is practical (how much steppe is there on the Pacific coast? How would Russians dominate these warriors?), I thought it was impressive in scope.

    Indian horsemen caused a lot of trouble, but they didn’t have numbers. Maybe, you could feed wood foliage to horses?

    In the novel, it wasn’t clear whether it was supposed to be a fake plant or not.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @songbird

    Going to assume it was entirely fictitious, since the plan was attributed to a Prince Tergin, who I don't believe ever existed. A pity. It almost seemed more plausible than the Zimmerman Telegram.

  2. Sher Singh says:

    Dropped 15lb + one side of the bar on my big toe.
    Next day literally 0 pain – still buddy taped so haven’t checked swelling.

    How long till I can run? Plates were rubber coated.
    A metal 10lb plate broke my R Big Toe couple years back, this is left this time..

    :/

    Also –

    [MORE]

    https://twitter.com/Kharkuu96/status/1680447305881616385?s=20

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Sher Singh

    Use a power rack or you are going to get a bar on your face and be gumming oatmeal for the rest of your life.

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @Sher Singh

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Sher Singh

    AI Nietzsche Strongman

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eQLL5CWXKBk&ab_channel=Strongfit

    Julien Pineau

    He is really into weight sleds.

  3. Two thousand and eight was the year Ukraine got closest to joining NATO, and it is also the year when NATO members decided Ukraine was going to join someday (ie never).

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Sean

    Turkey applied to join EU in 1961 (?), maybe it will happen someday...probably not.

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war: Moscow occupied or with a Western-appointed government - Nuland thinks she is good at appointing.

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a "club" that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs...

    Replies: @A123, @Mr. XYZ, @Wielgus, @Sean

  4. @Sher Singh
    Dropped 15lb + one side of the bar on my big toe.
    Next day literally 0 pain - still buddy taped so haven't checked swelling.

    How long till I can run? Plates were rubber coated.
    A metal 10lb plate broke my R Big Toe couple years back, this is left this time..

    :/

    Also -


    https://twitter.com/Kharkuu96/status/1680447305881616385?s=20

    https://twitter.com/Jeremy_MacKenzi/status/1680655941472079874?s=20

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Sean, @Emil Nikola Richard

    Use a power rack or you are going to get a bar on your face and be gumming oatmeal for the rest of your life.

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @Sean

    I do - was doing wrist curls w/ fat side of bar.

    https://treadmillfactory.ca/products/xtreme-monkey-landmine-ball-handle-attachment

    Felt em more than with the cannonball handle linked above.

    Will only use that now I guess since time off training sucks!

    , @Sher Singh
    @Sean

    Dumbbell Pullovers are dangerous though.
    Love the stretch on lats & serratus though.

    Use them on Upper days for chest/long head as well.

    Gotta be careful though lol.

    DB Fly/barrel press felt weird so just pullover now.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  5. @Sean
    @Sher Singh

    Use a power rack or you are going to get a bar on your face and be gumming oatmeal for the rest of your life.

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @Sher Singh

    I do – was doing wrist curls w/ fat side of bar.

    https://treadmillfactory.ca/products/xtreme-monkey-landmine-ball-handle-attachment

    Felt em more than with the cannonball handle linked above.

    Will only use that now I guess since time off training sucks!

  6. To broaden the horizon of this OT, I offer — Every Style of Beer Explained

    PEACE 😇

  7. A123 says: • Website

    The most Apartheid country on the Mediterranean — LEBANON (1)

    “The procedures and restrictions imposed on the entry of building materials into the Palestinian camps in Lebanon are in contradiction with the principles of human rights.” — Hassan al-Sayyida, a researcher and human rights activist at the Palestinian Association for Human, palinfo.com, July 10,2023.

    This is the second case within a year in which a Palestinian has been arrested on charges of a “construction violation.” On July 28, 2022, Lebanese authorities arrested another Palestinian woman, Amal Mousa, also on the pretext of building a house without a permit. Mousa was released only after she was forced to demolish the foundations of her house.

    Palestine refugees in Lebanon face substantial challenges to the full enjoyment of their human rights. They are socially marginalized, have very limited civil, social, political, and economic rights, including restricted access to the Government of Lebanon’s public health, educational and social services and face significant restrictions on their right to work and right to own property.” — UNRWA, reporting that the Palestinians are still prevented from employment in 39 professions such as medicine, law, and engineering.

    “Palestine refugees consistently report experiencing discrimination in hiring practices and opportunities for employment. They are faced with informal restrictions on the types of jobs and industries they can be hired for due to additional bureaucracy around contracts and work permits, and discrimination…” – UNRWA.

    Why is Islam the religion of Apartheid?

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/19807/palestinians-apartheid-lebanon

    • Replies: @NaziRSS
    @A123

    “Israel’s 1948 Declaration of Independence, which pledges that Israel will “uphold the full social and political equality of all its citizens, without distinction of race, creed or sex.” We can argue about whether that promise was ever compatible with a political project that, in creating a national home for one oppressed and stateless people, made refugees of another. What’s important today, however, is that Israel’s leadership no longer even appears to aspire to this founding ideal.

    NYT

    Israel🤔

    “Israel is not a state of all its citizens,” Netanyahu wrote in 2019. “According to the basic nationality law we passed, Israel is the nation state of the Jewish people — and only it.” He was referring to a 2018 law,”



    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/opinion/israel-racist-state-pramila-jayapal.html

    Nation ,Religion ,State or Cow or Snake -so many words are used by Israel to describe themselves or be appreacited that way by other ,depending on the need of the hour , that peace is war to them ,colonization is empowerment and they never thought of destroying Iraq using America let alone doing it .

  8. @Sean
    @Sher Singh

    Use a power rack or you are going to get a bar on your face and be gumming oatmeal for the rest of your life.

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @Sher Singh

    Dumbbell Pullovers are dangerous though.
    Love the stretch on lats & serratus though.

    Use them on Upper days for chest/long head as well.

    Gotta be careful though lol.

    DB Fly/barrel press felt weird so just pullover now.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  9. Dmitry was saying Apostasy is high among Muslims in West:

    [MORE]

    • Thanks: Mr. XYZ
  10. @Sean
    Two thousand and eight was the year Ukraine got closest to joining NATO, and it is also the year when NATO members decided Ukraine was going to join someday (ie never).

    Replies: @Beckow

    Turkey applied to join EU in 1961 (?), maybe it will happen someday…probably not.

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war: Moscow occupied or with a Western-appointed government – Nuland thinks she is good at appointing.

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a “club” that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs…

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow

    When Kiev capitulates, one of the terms will be "No NATO". So, that door will be nailed shut.

    Will a smaller Ukraine in desperate need of reconstruction be allowed to join the EU? That would permanently shift money away from other EE members. Such an idea should be vetoed. However, irrational #NeverPutin hatred causes certain countries act AGAINST their own enlightened self interest.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a “club” that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs…
     
    Millions of Poles and Jews died because Poles opposed the reunification of a 95+% German city (Danzig) with Germany, a city that Poland didn't even control but was instead run by the League of Nations (though Poland could threaten to go to war if Danzig moved to unify with Germany, hence Germany attacking Poland).

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @Wielgus
    @Beckow

    Around the turn of the century, I mentioned Turkey's EU application in a general discussion of the country with an Englishman. I said I was not in favour - the other guy stated rather dismissively that it would get in the EU eventually.
    Over two decades later the UK is out but Turkey is not in.

    , @Sean
    @Beckow


    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war
     
    No. It is impossible to decisively defeat Russia in the sense that it ceased to be a serious threat to try another war to settle accounts with Ukraine, and so letting Ukraine into NATO would be a prelude to NATO countries going to war with Russia. Moreover a (feasible) victory that left any Ukrainian territory including Crimea in Russian hands would create a powerful motive for Ukraine to deliberately provoke Russia into invading again so Ukraine could get rest of the NATO membership to fight alongside it. So any great victory by Ukraine will leave it a time bomb in NATO were it to be granted membership. Germany and France will never accept that Ukraine becomes a full member of NATO. They would leave first. Russia is not going to take the chance anyway, they are not going to end the war and that will be an excuse for Germany and France to keep Ukraine out of Nato. It will in effect end with a tacit ceasefire and a freezing of Ukraine's status in relation to Nato.
  11. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @Sean

    Turkey applied to join EU in 1961 (?), maybe it will happen someday...probably not.

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war: Moscow occupied or with a Western-appointed government - Nuland thinks she is good at appointing.

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a "club" that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs...

    Replies: @A123, @Mr. XYZ, @Wielgus, @Sean

    When Kiev capitulates, one of the terms will be “No NATO”. So, that door will be nailed shut.

    Will a smaller Ukraine in desperate need of reconstruction be allowed to join the EU? That would permanently shift money away from other EE members. Such an idea should be vetoed. However, irrational #NeverPutin hatred causes certain countries act AGAINST their own enlightened self interest.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @A123

    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don't succeed, try, try again.

    By then membership in the EU will not be so exciting, but the new Confederation of Baltic Peoples will be a good thing for those countries who can meet the requirement: deport all of your third world immigrants who are not able to live by civilized rules, i.e. 95%.

    For the weak and ambivalent: remember the Vikings! Icy places for ice people, sunny places for sun people. Whoops, I mean sunny places for ice people vacations!

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    You're assuming that Kiev will ever capitulate lol.

    Replies: @A123

  12. @A123
    @Beckow

    When Kiev capitulates, one of the terms will be "No NATO". So, that door will be nailed shut.

    Will a smaller Ukraine in desperate need of reconstruction be allowed to join the EU? That would permanently shift money away from other EE members. Such an idea should be vetoed. However, irrational #NeverPutin hatred causes certain countries act AGAINST their own enlightened self interest.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again.

    By then membership in the EU will not be so exciting, but the new Confederation of Baltic Peoples will be a good thing for those countries who can meet the requirement: deport all of your third world immigrants who are not able to live by civilized rules, i.e. 95%.

    For the weak and ambivalent: remember the Vikings! Icy places for ice people, sunny places for sun people. Whoops, I mean sunny places for ice people vacations!

    • LOL: A123
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @QCIC

    Poles and Lithuanians haven't been so cozy with each other as is true with Poles and Ukrainians. Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn't evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. Hack

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @QCIC


    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again.
     
    Why noncontiguous? Poland and Lithuania do (barely) have a common border, after all.

    Replies: @QCIC

  13. Why are Russians fleeing Crimea?

    Maybe Scott Ritter could go out there with a bullhorn.

    MY FELLOW RUSSIANS

    THERE IS NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT

    AS I EXPLAINED IN MY LAST YOUTUBE VIDEO THE OFFENSIVE IS OVER

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Top Ten List of the Reasons why Russians are Leaving Crimea

    10) Kids keep trying to ride British underwater drones
    9) Grain Embargo means no more vodka
    8) Demining the beach less fun than watching paint dry
    7) Zelensky is giving free piano lessons
    6) NeoNAZIs armed by NATO are looking for blood and human sacrifices
    5) Driving up to Kharkov to join in the mayhem
    4) Clearing out ahead of Wagner troops taking a "beach weekend"
    3) Dragon's teeth causing tan lines
    2) Crimea is in a war zone
    1) Beach vacation trip is over

    Replies: @Sean

  14. @QCIC
    @A123

    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don't succeed, try, try again.

    By then membership in the EU will not be so exciting, but the new Confederation of Baltic Peoples will be a good thing for those countries who can meet the requirement: deport all of your third world immigrants who are not able to live by civilized rules, i.e. 95%.

    For the weak and ambivalent: remember the Vikings! Icy places for ice people, sunny places for sun people. Whoops, I mean sunny places for ice people vacations!

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ

    Poles and Lithuanians haven’t been so cozy with each other as is true with Poles and Ukrainians. Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn’t evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    That same blogger seems to suggest that Russia's military build-up on Ukrainian border could in fact lead to de-escalation which is something the Russia haters didn't consider.

    In response to the increased Ukrainian government military presence near the rebels, Russia’s armed buildup along a portion of Ukraine’s northeastern border and stern statements, have sent a clear message that Moscow will not stand idly by in the event of a Croatian Operation Storm like move. The Ukrainian government could very well lose additional territory in a military confrontation with Russia.

    Russia’s response seems to have paved the way for a possible de-escalation of tension – something that the CNN segment didn’t bring up. Confrontation with Russia is in line with a sensationalist media, influenced by neocons, neolibs and flat out Russia haters.
    https://www.eurasiareview.com/15042021-cnns-blatant-disinformation-about-russia-ukraine-activity-oped/

    Those stupid Russia haters didn't consider that a Russian military build-up could be a sign of peace.

    Russia has had such a positive relationship with their neighbors the last 200 years. Why ever would they assume malice?

    Lithuanian hatred of Russia is probably exaggerated by CNN. The two countries were the bestest pals after WW1. Lithuania begged to join the Communist experiment since it had been a phenomenal success in the 1930s. Stalin said FINE I'll let you in but you better bring punch.

    , @Mr. Hack
    @Mikhail


    Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn’t evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.
     
    You've been doing pretty good the last year or so, but this one is getting very close to being a genuine "averkoism". The first part of the sentence is fine, it's the second part following the comma that is traversing slippery grounds. What are you actually trying to say here? People have a poor image of Russia because of some "other non-Russian animosities". You mean there are some negative connotations about Russia that people have because of some foreign impugned negatives that don't in fact really exist? I think that's what you're trying to say??....

    Anybody else figured this one out?

    Replies: @Mikhail

  15. @Mikhail
    @QCIC

    Poles and Lithuanians haven't been so cozy with each other as is true with Poles and Ukrainians. Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn't evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. Hack

    That same blogger seems to suggest that Russia’s military build-up on Ukrainian border could in fact lead to de-escalation which is something the Russia haters didn’t consider.

    In response to the increased Ukrainian government military presence near the rebels, Russia’s armed buildup along a portion of Ukraine’s northeastern border and stern statements, have sent a clear message that Moscow will not stand idly by in the event of a Croatian Operation Storm like move. The Ukrainian government could very well lose additional territory in a military confrontation with Russia.

    Russia’s response seems to have paved the way for a possible de-escalation of tension – something that the CNN segment didn’t bring up. Confrontation with Russia is in line with a sensationalist media, influenced by neocons, neolibs and flat out Russia haters.
    https://www.eurasiareview.com/15042021-cnns-blatant-disinformation-about-russia-ukraine-activity-oped/

    Those stupid Russia haters didn’t consider that a Russian military build-up could be a sign of peace.

    Russia has had such a positive relationship with their neighbors the last 200 years. Why ever would they assume malice?

    Lithuanian hatred of Russia is probably exaggerated by CNN. The two countries were the bestest pals after WW1. Lithuania begged to join the Communist experiment since it had been a phenomenal success in the 1930s. Stalin said FINE I’ll let you in but you better bring punch.

  16. @A123
    @Beckow

    When Kiev capitulates, one of the terms will be "No NATO". So, that door will be nailed shut.

    Will a smaller Ukraine in desperate need of reconstruction be allowed to join the EU? That would permanently shift money away from other EE members. Such an idea should be vetoed. However, irrational #NeverPutin hatred causes certain countries act AGAINST their own enlightened self interest.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    You’re assuming that Kiev will ever capitulate lol.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    ROTFL... If you do not like the term 'capitulate', feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

  17. @QCIC
    @A123

    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don't succeed, try, try again.

    By then membership in the EU will not be so exciting, but the new Confederation of Baltic Peoples will be a good thing for those countries who can meet the requirement: deport all of your third world immigrants who are not able to live by civilized rules, i.e. 95%.

    For the weak and ambivalent: remember the Vikings! Icy places for ice people, sunny places for sun people. Whoops, I mean sunny places for ice people vacations!

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ

    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again.

    Why noncontiguous? Poland and Lithuania do (barely) have a common border, after all.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    Yes, thanks. I was thinking of Ukraine and Lithuania.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  18. @Beckow
    @Sean

    Turkey applied to join EU in 1961 (?), maybe it will happen someday...probably not.

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war: Moscow occupied or with a Western-appointed government - Nuland thinks she is good at appointing.

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a "club" that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs...

    Replies: @A123, @Mr. XYZ, @Wielgus, @Sean

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a “club” that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs…

    Millions of Poles and Jews died because Poles opposed the reunification of a 95+% German city (Danzig) with Germany, a city that Poland didn’t even control but was instead run by the League of Nations (though Poland could threaten to go to war if Danzig moved to unify with Germany, hence Germany attacking Poland).

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ

    It was a bit more complicated. But in any case it nicely highlights the incredible self-defeating stupidity of the Poles, they dig a hole and then celebrate that they got themselves into a hole. I can't figure it out, maybe it is the mushroom soup. (I don't think the Polish Jews had much of a vote.)

    Ukies seem dead-set on being the Poles numero dos - the ultimate self-sacrificing tribe that only needs a half-hearted pad on the back from the grinning Anglos and off they march. That's how imperia are built: on the bones of the gullible, the ones who have too little self-awareness, the ones always eager to please the boss. The boss lives elsewhere.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  19. Here’s what I think is an interesting question for entomologists: why do mosquitos seem like the most annoying of the biting flies, by far? (Allowing for local exceptions, based on environment or time of year)

    [MORE]

    I can think of some reasons.

    There seem to be many more species of biting mosquitos than any other rough classification by size, at least in temperate latitudes. (But why? And why not gnats or black flies, which are smaller?)

    Mosquitos are often nocturnal. (Is this what makes them so dodgy, and given to hiding? Dealing with bats?)

    And they often hatch in stagnant water, which I think makes them more multigenerational – without a short seasonal peak and quick decline.

    • Replies: @A123
    @songbird

    Mosquitoes inject an anticoagulant when they begin to draw blood. This causes a disproportionate response from the human immune system. Thus, the after effect is far more dramatic than other critters extracting a comparable amount of blood.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @songbird

  20. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    You're assuming that Kiev will ever capitulate lol.

    Replies: @A123

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    ROTFL… If you do not like the term ‘capitulate’, feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    PEACE 😇

    • Troll: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @A123

    His puppet masters…lol. You Jews.

    Replies: @A123

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    We'll see how this prediction stands in 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, et cetera years, OK?

    , @John Johnson
    @A123

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    He didn't flee when there was a bounty on his head and tanks in Kiev but a financial crisis will do it?

    ROTFL… If you do not like the term ‘capitulate’, feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    You Putin defenders need to stop fantasizing about taking Kiev.

    Putin already signaled that he wants Donbas. He can't return to Kiev with a conscript army in horses and T-55s.

    He wants to take Donbas and have his State TV declare that it was the goal the entire time. He doesn't give a fudge about the hopes and dreams of his US basement defense force.

    Replies: @A123, @Beckow

  21. @songbird
    Here's what I think is an interesting question for entomologists: why do mosquitos seem like the most annoying of the biting flies, by far? (Allowing for local exceptions, based on environment or time of year)

    I can think of some reasons.

    There seem to be many more species of biting mosquitos than any other rough classification by size, at least in temperate latitudes. (But why? And why not gnats or black flies, which are smaller?)

    Mosquitos are often nocturnal. (Is this what makes them so dodgy, and given to hiding? Dealing with bats?)

    And they often hatch in stagnant water, which I think makes them more multigenerational - without a short seasonal peak and quick decline.

    Replies: @A123

    Mosquitoes inject an anticoagulant when they begin to draw blood. This causes a disproportionate response from the human immune system. Thus, the after effect is far more dramatic than other critters extracting a comparable amount of blood.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @songbird
    @A123

    Black flies also inject an anticoagulant. The first time they bite you in the season can be relatively painful.

    (And, of course, the day they hatch can be much worse than mosquitos in some areas. I once killed three by sticking a finger in my ear. I also once dived in the frigid water and started splashing vigorously, with seemingly little effect.)

    I heard tell of old trail hands eating black flies, to prevent this reaction.

  22. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    ROTFL... If you do not like the term 'capitulate', feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    His puppet masters…lol. You Jews.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Zelensky is a post-Judaic apostate. His puppet masters are anti-Semitic Islamophiles, not-a-Jew Scholz and not-a-Jew Macron. The groundwork goes back further to Dhimmi, not-a-Jew, Angela 'Mutti' Merkel -- The incredibly, totally, 100% non-Jewish originator of Great Muslim Replacement ideology.

    The truth of Kiev's failure is the tale of European led IslamoGloboHomo. Muslims arranged this conflict so that Judeo-Christian Ukrainians and Judeo-Christian Russians would kill each other.
    ___

    Every time you mis-allocate blame to Judaism, you willingly serve the Anti-Christ Muhammad and Satan/Allah/Lucifer. As a Christian, I oppose your Satanic actions & Taqiyya deception.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  23. @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a “club” that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs…
     
    Millions of Poles and Jews died because Poles opposed the reunification of a 95+% German city (Danzig) with Germany, a city that Poland didn't even control but was instead run by the League of Nations (though Poland could threaten to go to war if Danzig moved to unify with Germany, hence Germany attacking Poland).

    Replies: @Beckow

    It was a bit more complicated. But in any case it nicely highlights the incredible self-defeating stupidity of the Poles, they dig a hole and then celebrate that they got themselves into a hole. I can’t figure it out, maybe it is the mushroom soup. (I don’t think the Polish Jews had much of a vote.)

    Ukies seem dead-set on being the Poles numero dos – the ultimate self-sacrificing tribe that only needs a half-hearted pad on the back from the grinning Anglos and off they march. That’s how imperia are built: on the bones of the gullible, the ones who have too little self-awareness, the ones always eager to please the boss. The boss lives elsewhere.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    It was a bit more complicated.
     
    Well, the choices on offer were these:

    1. Be Hitler's ally like Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, et cetera were.
    2. Be like the Czechs and capitulate without a fight and submit to Nazi occupation peacefully.
    3. Resist (like the Yugoslavs did later on) and hope that the Anglo-French will save your bacon before the Nazis (and Soviets) will fuck up your country too badly.

    Is it more complicated than this?

    Replies: @Mikhail

  24. A123 says: • Website
    @Wokechoke
    @A123

    His puppet masters…lol. You Jews.

    Replies: @A123

    Zelensky is a post-Judaic apostate. His puppet masters are anti-Semitic Islamophiles, not-a-Jew Scholz and not-a-Jew Macron. The groundwork goes back further to Dhimmi, not-a-Jew, Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel — The incredibly, totally, 100% non-Jewish originator of Great Muslim Replacement ideology.

    The truth of Kiev’s failure is the tale of European led IslamoGloboHomo. Muslims arranged this conflict so that Judeo-Christian Ukrainians and Judeo-Christian Russians would kill each other.
    ___

    Every time you mis-allocate blame to Judaism, you willingly serve the Anti-Christ Muhammad and Satan/Allah/Lucifer. As a Christian, I oppose your Satanic actions & Taqiyya deception.

    PEACE 😇

    • Troll: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @A123

    This could be an interesting avenue of thought if you just pointed out the obvious fact that NATO is anchored in the Black Sea because of the inclusion of the Turks in NATO as the largest army in Eurasia. Turks ought to hand back Constantinople to Greece and go back to the Caspian Sea.

    Where you are going with France or Germany as pulling Zelenskyy’s strings instead of the other way around is just Jewish sleight of hand. Zelenskyy is the Jew King of Kiev and his demands are always met.

    Replies: @A123

  25. @John Johnson
    Why are Russians fleeing Crimea?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nUk9zwisdA
    Maybe Scott Ritter could go out there with a bullhorn.

    MY FELLOW RUSSIANS

    THERE IS NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT

    AS I EXPLAINED IN MY LAST YOUTUBE VIDEO THE OFFENSIVE IS OVER

    Replies: @QCIC

    Top Ten List of the Reasons why Russians are Leaving Crimea

    10) Kids keep trying to ride British underwater drones
    9) Grain Embargo means no more vodka
    8) Demining the beach less fun than watching paint dry
    7) Zelensky is giving free piano lessons
    6) NeoNAZIs armed by NATO are looking for blood and human sacrifices
    5) Driving up to Kharkov to join in the mayhem
    4) Clearing out ahead of Wagner troops taking a “beach weekend”
    3) Dragon’s teeth causing tan lines
    2) Crimea is in a war zone
    1) Beach vacation trip is over

    • Replies: @Sean
    @QCIC

    In 2o14 Ukrainian soldiers were willing to die for Crimea? They weren't even willing to try.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  26. @Mr. XYZ
    @QCIC


    Rump Ukraine will eventually join the new, noncontiguous Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again.
     
    Why noncontiguous? Poland and Lithuania do (barely) have a common border, after all.

    Replies: @QCIC

    Yes, thanks. I was thinking of Ukraine and Lithuania.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @QCIC

    Ukraine can also be a part of this newly created PLC, though it is still likely to be a sub-unit within a much larger European Union unless the EU becomes a total dump. This new PLC can include the Baltic countries, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania, maybe Finland, and possibly even Belarus and/or Hungary if they will ever experience regime change in a more pro-Western direction. Cumulatively, this should be slightly over 100 million people, if my calculations are correct.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  27. @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Zelensky is a post-Judaic apostate. His puppet masters are anti-Semitic Islamophiles, not-a-Jew Scholz and not-a-Jew Macron. The groundwork goes back further to Dhimmi, not-a-Jew, Angela 'Mutti' Merkel -- The incredibly, totally, 100% non-Jewish originator of Great Muslim Replacement ideology.

    The truth of Kiev's failure is the tale of European led IslamoGloboHomo. Muslims arranged this conflict so that Judeo-Christian Ukrainians and Judeo-Christian Russians would kill each other.
    ___

    Every time you mis-allocate blame to Judaism, you willingly serve the Anti-Christ Muhammad and Satan/Allah/Lucifer. As a Christian, I oppose your Satanic actions & Taqiyya deception.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    This could be an interesting avenue of thought if you just pointed out the obvious fact that NATO is anchored in the Black Sea because of the inclusion of the Turks in NATO as the largest army in Eurasia. Turks ought to hand back Constantinople to Greece and go back to the Caspian Sea.

    Where you are going with France or Germany as pulling Zelenskyy’s strings instead of the other way around is just Jewish sleight of hand. Zelenskyy is the Jew King of Kiev and his demands are always met.

    • LOL: A123
    • Replies: @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Everyone sees through your deception. Why do you continue to lie for the Anti-Christ Muhammad after you have been caught?

     
    https://morningmail.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/taqiyya.jpg
     

    Post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is not a current practitioner of Judaism. Was he ever? He serves the Islamophile European Empire, much like -- Not-a-Jew Scholz, not-a-Jew Macron, and especially, not-a-Jew Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel.

    Only a Muslim, such as yourself, would deploy Taqiyya slight of hand in a failed attempt to blame Jews for Islamic actions. Fortunately, you are a very poor Muslim deceiver.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Greasy William, @NaziRSS

  28. A123 says: • Website
    @Wokechoke
    @A123

    This could be an interesting avenue of thought if you just pointed out the obvious fact that NATO is anchored in the Black Sea because of the inclusion of the Turks in NATO as the largest army in Eurasia. Turks ought to hand back Constantinople to Greece and go back to the Caspian Sea.

    Where you are going with France or Germany as pulling Zelenskyy’s strings instead of the other way around is just Jewish sleight of hand. Zelenskyy is the Jew King of Kiev and his demands are always met.

    Replies: @A123

    Everyone sees through your deception. Why do you continue to lie for the Anti-Christ Muhammad after you have been caught?

      

    Post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is not a current practitioner of Judaism. Was he ever? He serves the Islamophile European Empire, much like — Not-a-Jew Scholz, not-a-Jew Macron, and especially, not-a-Jew Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel.

    Only a Muslim, such as yourself, would deploy Taqiyya slight of hand in a failed attempt to blame Jews for Islamic actions. Fortunately, you are a very poor Muslim deceiver.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @A123

    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don't know where you got the idea that he's a Muslim, he doesn't even like Muslims

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @A123

    , @NaziRSS
    @A123

    Taq Taq Taqya

    I am Jew . I believe in Oslo and 2 nation states .


    “ There will never be a Palestine state . PA works for us”- Netanyahu

    “ We will drag Oslo and pretend that we are sincere “- Shamir , Sharon ,Barak and their 123





    Taq Taq Taqiya
    I am a Jew
    I am establishing this nation which will follow democracy , freedom , right for all .






    “Israel’s 1948 Declaration of Independence, which pledges that Israel will “uphold the full social and political equality of all its citizens, without distinction of race, creed or sex.” We can argue about whether that promise was ever compatible with a political project that, in creating a national home for one oppressed and stateless people, made refugees of another. What’s important today, however, is that Israel’s leadership no longer even appears to aspire to this founding ideal.

    “Israel is not a state of all its citizens,” Netanyahu wrote in 2019. “According to the basic nationality law we passed, Israel is the nation state of the Jewish people — and only it.” He was referring to a 2018 law,”



    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/opinion/israel-racist-state-pramila-jayapal.html



    Taq Taq Taqiya

    I am a Jew .
    We don’t support but fight torture , spying , attack on innocents

    “ Israel has not stopped sharing Pegasus to autocratic regimes. Israel continues to supply arms to Mynamar ,
    It supplied arms and sent money to Latin American torture regimes .
    It helped military leaders of Sudan-and Egypt

    It harvests organs from poor citizens using America. Albania and Ukraine and stela’s organs from Palestinian “

  29. So with the bridge thing, obviously I am saddened by the loss of civilian life but I do regard the bridge as a legitimate military target.

    That said, it is going to prove militarily and politically meaningless and yet you again see NAFO celebrating like they just conquered Moscow. The western pro Ukrainian contingent may be the most vile group of people I’ve ever come in contact with. I support Ukraine 100% in this war but I truly do hate the bulk of Ukraine’s supporters. Like, I really fucking despise them. I have talked to other pro Ukraine Westerners who have agreed with me that their is something deeply sinister, almost satanic, about the Western pro Ukraine movement. Although it must be emphasized that this is neither the fault nor the responsibility of Ukraine or Ukraine’s non satanic supporters.

    I still believe the offensive in the south is failing and even the Ukraine shills aren’t pretending that UA forces are accomplishing anything in the east. What the Ukraine shills are currently saying is, “yeah we’re taking losses but we are also knocking out all of Russia’s artillery”. Ukraine says that they are taking manpower losses at a 1:1 ratio and that they are knocking out Russian artillery at an 1:8 ratio. Both of those numbers can safely be dismissed out of hand, but given all the vids we’ve seen of Ukraine knocking out Russian artillery and the whole situation with Popov, I do believe that the Ukes are successfully attritting Russian artillery. I’m just not convinced that they are attrititing it nearly enough to make a later breakthrough possible.

    A Russian counteroffensive towards Kubyansk-Lyman appears to be in the works for the coming month. It’s not clear whether the operation will be successful or not, but at this point I would have to imagine that it will fail.

    • Thanks: Vajradhara
  30. @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Everyone sees through your deception. Why do you continue to lie for the Anti-Christ Muhammad after you have been caught?

     
    https://morningmail.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/taqiyya.jpg
     

    Post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is not a current practitioner of Judaism. Was he ever? He serves the Islamophile European Empire, much like -- Not-a-Jew Scholz, not-a-Jew Macron, and especially, not-a-Jew Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel.

    Only a Muslim, such as yourself, would deploy Taqiyya slight of hand in a failed attempt to blame Jews for Islamic actions. Fortunately, you are a very poor Muslim deceiver.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Greasy William, @NaziRSS

    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don’t know where you got the idea that he’s a Muslim, he doesn’t even like Muslims

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Greasy William

    Chavs are not working class of course.

    A123 is probably mental though.

    Replies: @QCIC

    , @A123
    @Greasy William


    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don’t know where you got the idea that he’s a Muslim, he doesn’t even like Muslims
     
    Only a Muslim would try to tell an obvious lie such as, "Zelenskyy is the Jew King of Kiev". He travelled to Israel to spit on Jews with his vile Knesset speech last year: (1)

    Likud MK Yuval Steinitz said it “borders on Holocaust denial.”

    “War is always a terrible thing… but every comparison between a regular war, as difficult as it is, and the extermination of millions of Jews in gas chambers in the framework of the Final Solution is a complete distortion of history,” he said in a statement.

     

    A number of Religious Zionism MKs also criticized Zelensky, with the far-right opposition party’s leader, Bezalel Smotrich, slamming the Holocaust comparisons and accusing the Ukrainian leader of trying “to rewrite history and erase the involvement of the Ukrainian people in the extermination of Jews.”
     
    If there is a Jewish side in this conflict, it is Russia. That post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is an enemy of Judaism is 100% proven. There is no room for the slightest doubt.

    If Wokechoke is not a Muslim, why does he constantly repeat Islamist propaganda?

    Is he a Dhimmi slave? I guess that could also explain his service.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-lawmakers-tear-into-zelensky-for-holocaust-comparisons-in-knesset-speech/

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  31. @Mikhail
    @QCIC

    Poles and Lithuanians haven't been so cozy with each other as is true with Poles and Ukrainians. Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn't evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. Hack

    Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn’t evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.

    You’ve been doing pretty good the last year or so, but this one is getting very close to being a genuine “averkoism”. The first part of the sentence is fine, it’s the second part following the comma that is traversing slippery grounds. What are you actually trying to say here? People have a poor image of Russia because of some “other non-Russian animosities”. You mean there are some negative connotations about Russia that people have because of some foreign impugned negatives that don’t in fact really exist? I think that’s what you’re trying to say??….

    Anybody else figured this one out?

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mr. Hack

    Basic comprehension can be tough for some.

    Replies: @QCIC

  32. @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ

    It was a bit more complicated. But in any case it nicely highlights the incredible self-defeating stupidity of the Poles, they dig a hole and then celebrate that they got themselves into a hole. I can't figure it out, maybe it is the mushroom soup. (I don't think the Polish Jews had much of a vote.)

    Ukies seem dead-set on being the Poles numero dos - the ultimate self-sacrificing tribe that only needs a half-hearted pad on the back from the grinning Anglos and off they march. That's how imperia are built: on the bones of the gullible, the ones who have too little self-awareness, the ones always eager to please the boss. The boss lives elsewhere.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    It was a bit more complicated.

    Well, the choices on offer were these:

    1. Be Hitler’s ally like Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, et cetera were.
    2. Be like the Czechs and capitulate without a fight and submit to Nazi occupation peacefully.
    3. Resist (like the Yugoslavs did later on) and hope that the Anglo-French will save your bacon before the Nazis (and Soviets) will fuck up your country too badly.

    Is it more complicated than this?

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    1. Be Hitler’s ally like Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, et cetera were.
    2. Be like the Czechs and capitulate without a fight and submit to Nazi occupation peacefully.
    3. Resist (like the Yugoslavs did later on) and hope that the Anglo-French will save your bacon before the Nazis (and Soviets) will fuck up your country too badly.
     
    4. Be like the Poland of that time period and screw yourself up.
    5. Be pious like the Western establishment, by appeasing the Nazis in 1938, when there was another option (that in retrospect) if taken might've possibly saved millions.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  33. @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    Yes, thanks. I was thinking of Ukraine and Lithuania.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Ukraine can also be a part of this newly created PLC, though it is still likely to be a sub-unit within a much larger European Union unless the EU becomes a total dump. This new PLC can include the Baltic countries, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania, maybe Finland, and possibly even Belarus and/or Hungary if they will ever experience regime change in a more pro-Western direction. Cumulatively, this should be slightly over 100 million people, if my calculations are correct.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    Ukraine can also be a part of this newly created PLC, though it is still likely to be a sub-unit within a much larger European Union unless the EU becomes a total dump. This new PLC can include the Baltic countries, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania, maybe Finland, and possibly even Belarus and/or Hungary if they will ever experience regime change in a more pro-Western direction. Cumulatively, this should be slightly over 100 million people, if my calculations are correct.
     
    A geopolitical dream for some.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  34. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    ROTFL... If you do not like the term 'capitulate', feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    We’ll see how this prediction stands in 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, et cetera years, OK?

  35. Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?

    I have just returned from a few weeks in the Sawtooth Valley, a reborn man, and am here to tell you it’s one of the most enchanting places on this planet. It’s not just the mountains, it’s the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it’s lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it’s the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life’s supreme revitalizing experiences, it’s the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.

    And once one climbs into the mountains it’s another world, of snow and ice, and cold lakes beneath mighty and brooding stone peaks and dark pine forests, the abode of the Gods that one cannot enter without feeling a slight shiver in the presence of the numinous ( I mean this seriously – the high mountain passes and valleys there have a strange numinous presence that I have not felt anywhere else for some reason).

    But perhaps you’re gone, and so has everyone else, and this is just a sad ghost town now….

    Well, in case anyone with a soul is still here, I’d like to post some pictures below.

    Having traveled all over the world, there is something in the West one finds nowhere else I’ve been. D.H Lawrence once said the Taos valley was the most beautiful place in the world – yet if one looks only at pictures it’s hard to understand why he’d say that. It’s a beautiful place, sure, but visually it’s not obviously better than any number of other places on other continents.

    Yet there is some quality of exhilaration in the mountain West that makes it unique, that astonishing golden summer light, the soft air, the scents, the endless horizons. A freshness, a purity, I’ve found nowhere else.

    What is to be done, but return again and again?

    My pictures do not do justice to this realm of Gods and fairies, fairies on the green lower slopes and titanic Gods and giants on the high mountain passes.

    The mountains are not that high. The highest are only around 10,000 feet or so. They remind me somewhat of the Sierras, perhaps, but with a very different “feel”.

    [MORE]

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack, Mikel
    • Replies: @sudden death
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    All those boring pics are sorely lacking some Bigfoot roaming around!

    Just joking, really nicely perfect as it is;)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Did you see any bears?

    , @Mr. Hack
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    It’s not just the mountains, it’s the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it’s lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it’s the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life’s supreme revitalizing experiences, it’s the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.
     
    Yowza, our very own blogsite bodhisattva has once again returned to rescue other sentient beings and remind them that there's more to this life than just the pursuit of paying bills. Your photos are excellent as usual and your accompanying prose is perhaps even a wee bit better. Next time your in Phoenix, consider applying as a freelance writer for Arizona Highways.

    I've had a very similar experience of looking at what resembled fluorescent rock within a beautiful water fall park in Costa Rica. I was hiking though a small canyon and the sunlight had inflamed the beige colored rock around me in an aura of shining bliss. I just stood and looked at it all in amazement.

    Glad you're back and do tell us more about your trip!

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?
     
    Yes, my little grasshopper. This old mountain goat has not yet totally given in to his natural instincts and still tries to find some pleasure in online discussions though there has been quite little of that here lately. But in just a couple of hours I'll be running in the wild through bushes of mahogany and gamble oak all the way up to my lookout. The experts are saying that we should all stay in the shade during the middle hours of the day but I don't feel like that advice concerns old rams, bucks and goats, born to jump in the wild regardless of the season, so I'm not listening.

    Thanks for those beautiful pictures. That must be Mt Regan, of course. It's funny, only a couple of days ago I decided to fall asleep on my couch watching with no sound an Amazon Prime documentary of Idaho from the air. One of the things that caught my eye is what you're showing here: the magnificent ruggedness of the Central Idaho mountains. Some mountains are shaped in such a way that you can always find some feasible route to the top without too much exposure. Most of the Wasatch are like that. But some others, like the aptly named Sawtooth, look unconquerable from all sides.

    The other thing that came to my mind before falling asleep, and that you also allude to, was how vast and varied a single state of the US West is compared to any country in Europe. Idaho has lake and forest country in the North, reminiscent of what Germany/Austria/Central Europe must have looked like in the distant past, very high Alpine landscapes in the center, deserts and dunes in the South and Siberian-like forest/steppes in the eastern high plateau. And you can basically repeat this astounding combination in most other Western states. You are right that one is very unlikely to find anything like the US West anywhere else in the world.

    Did you spend several weeks just in the Sawtooth area? Did you hike a lot or just chill in the invigorating air of the valley?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  36. @Mr. Hack
    @Mikhail


    Mutual hatred of Russia has limits given that Russia isn’t evil as made out to be, along with the other non-Russian animosities.
     
    You've been doing pretty good the last year or so, but this one is getting very close to being a genuine "averkoism". The first part of the sentence is fine, it's the second part following the comma that is traversing slippery grounds. What are you actually trying to say here? People have a poor image of Russia because of some "other non-Russian animosities". You mean there are some negative connotations about Russia that people have because of some foreign impugned negatives that don't in fact really exist? I think that's what you're trying to say??....

    Anybody else figured this one out?

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Basic comprehension can be tough for some.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mikhail

    Mr. Hack, read the other sentence.

    He is saying these ethnic groups have various animosities between themselves independently of their feelings for Russia. In that context their animosity toward Russia is not as profound as some would claim. In other words it is all relative.

  37. @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    It was a bit more complicated.
     
    Well, the choices on offer were these:

    1. Be Hitler's ally like Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, et cetera were.
    2. Be like the Czechs and capitulate without a fight and submit to Nazi occupation peacefully.
    3. Resist (like the Yugoslavs did later on) and hope that the Anglo-French will save your bacon before the Nazis (and Soviets) will fuck up your country too badly.

    Is it more complicated than this?

    Replies: @Mikhail

    1. Be Hitler’s ally like Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, et cetera were.
    2. Be like the Czechs and capitulate without a fight and submit to Nazi occupation peacefully.
    3. Resist (like the Yugoslavs did later on) and hope that the Anglo-French will save your bacon before the Nazis (and Soviets) will fuck up your country too badly.

    4. Be like the Poland of that time period and screw yourself up.
    5. Be pious like the Western establishment, by appeasing the Nazis in 1938, when there was another option (that in retrospect) if taken might’ve possibly saved millions.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail

    Appeasement would fold into the idea of either allying with Hitler or capitulating to Hitler without a fight. And of course agreeing to any demands that Hitler would have made in regards to Danzig and the Polish Corridor. FWIW, I do think that at the very least, Poland should have offered to agree to Danzig's return to Germany and to the construction of an extraterritorial road between East Prussia and the rest of Germany. A plebiscite in the Polish Corridor limited to 1918 residents (minus Gdynia) would have been unfair to Poland but one can argue that Poland should have accepted even this in order to avoid a war. Poland would at the very least get to keep Gdynia and have an extraterritorial road connecting Gdynia to the rest of Poland. If Hitler will subsequently go for more, the Anglo-French could have declared war on him them.

    And arguably the Anglo-French should have allied with the Soviets in 1939 to stop Hitler, even at the expense of throwing the Finns and Balts under the bus simply because stopping Hitler was much more important than who would have ruled Helsinki or Tallinn or Riga or Vilnius.

    Replies: @Beckow

  38. @Mr. XYZ
    @QCIC

    Ukraine can also be a part of this newly created PLC, though it is still likely to be a sub-unit within a much larger European Union unless the EU becomes a total dump. This new PLC can include the Baltic countries, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania, maybe Finland, and possibly even Belarus and/or Hungary if they will ever experience regime change in a more pro-Western direction. Cumulatively, this should be slightly over 100 million people, if my calculations are correct.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Ukraine can also be a part of this newly created PLC, though it is still likely to be a sub-unit within a much larger European Union unless the EU becomes a total dump. This new PLC can include the Baltic countries, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania, maybe Finland, and possibly even Belarus and/or Hungary if they will ever experience regime change in a more pro-Western direction. Cumulatively, this should be slightly over 100 million people, if my calculations are correct.

    A geopolitical dream for some.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail

    I like how Poland was sufficiently based to revert to Kaliningrad's old name in official documents:

    https://apnews.com/article/russia-poland-war-kaliningrad-map-811eb734576cc567051558372daa51cd

  39. @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    1. Be Hitler’s ally like Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, et cetera were.
    2. Be like the Czechs and capitulate without a fight and submit to Nazi occupation peacefully.
    3. Resist (like the Yugoslavs did later on) and hope that the Anglo-French will save your bacon before the Nazis (and Soviets) will fuck up your country too badly.
     
    4. Be like the Poland of that time period and screw yourself up.
    5. Be pious like the Western establishment, by appeasing the Nazis in 1938, when there was another option (that in retrospect) if taken might've possibly saved millions.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Appeasement would fold into the idea of either allying with Hitler or capitulating to Hitler without a fight. And of course agreeing to any demands that Hitler would have made in regards to Danzig and the Polish Corridor. FWIW, I do think that at the very least, Poland should have offered to agree to Danzig’s return to Germany and to the construction of an extraterritorial road between East Prussia and the rest of Germany. A plebiscite in the Polish Corridor limited to 1918 residents (minus Gdynia) would have been unfair to Poland but one can argue that Poland should have accepted even this in order to avoid a war. Poland would at the very least get to keep Gdynia and have an extraterritorial road connecting Gdynia to the rest of Poland. If Hitler will subsequently go for more, the Anglo-French could have declared war on him them.

    And arguably the Anglo-French should have allied with the Soviets in 1939 to stop Hitler, even at the expense of throwing the Finns and Balts under the bus simply because stopping Hitler was much more important than who would have ruled Helsinki or Tallinn or Riga or Vilnius.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ


    ...Appeasement would fold into the idea of either allying with Hitler or capitulating to Hitler without a fight.
     
    You can label things all you want - each situation is different - all that matters is how a country or a nation does at the end. Poland in the late 30's had a combination of aggressiveness (de facto attacking Czechs with Germany), one-sided devotion to Anglo-French, bottomless hatred for Russia, and weakness - Poland collapsed in 6 weeks. Poles did very badly in WW2 and were only saved by the Russian sacrifice who lost half a million soldiers liberating Poland. The Anglo-French lost zero.

    Poles don't learn and don't have even the most basic sense of geography or gratitude. They are posturing again with a combination of mindless aggressiveness against Russia and servility toward the Anglos. Only two realities matter - all else is empty talk - ask the two simple questions:
    - who would do better in a direct Poland-Russia confrontation?
    - how much would the Anglos sacrifice for Poland?

    The answers are obvious. They were also obvious in 1938-9. Maybe it really is the mushrooms.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  40. @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    Ukraine can also be a part of this newly created PLC, though it is still likely to be a sub-unit within a much larger European Union unless the EU becomes a total dump. This new PLC can include the Baltic countries, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania, maybe Finland, and possibly even Belarus and/or Hungary if they will ever experience regime change in a more pro-Western direction. Cumulatively, this should be slightly over 100 million people, if my calculations are correct.
     
    A geopolitical dream for some.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    I like how Poland was sufficiently based to revert to Kaliningrad’s old name in official documents:

    https://apnews.com/article/russia-poland-war-kaliningrad-map-811eb734576cc567051558372daa51cd

  41. From Anatoly Karlin:

    “@general_ben 90% of Crimeans don’t want to go back to Ukrainian rule.

    Ukrainian occupation of Crimea would necessitate large-scale repressions and deportations, of which the Ukrainians talk openly.”

    My own response to him:

    It won’t be any worse for Ukraine than conquering all of Ukraine would have been for Russia (which you yourself supported even when it became clear that the war was going to become a war of attrition, just so long as you thought that Russia could still win it and thus attain Sub-Saharan African population growth rates through military expansion, like Hitler did in the past). I could have easily told you that even if Russia would have conquered all of Ukraine, doing so was a bad idea because 90+% of Ukrainians would have opposed this. But you said that people are malleable and intuitively like winners. So, why exactly wouldn’t the same logic also apply in a case where Ukraine militarily reconquers Crimea and Donbass? If the people there will start seeing Ukraine as a winner and Ukraine will experience a huge and long-lasting post-war economic boom due to huge amounts of remittances (much harder to loot) and large-scale Western aid (hopefully strictly monitored to prevent looting), then support for Russian rule there could drop significantly below 90%.

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Vajradhara
    @Mr. XYZ

    If Ukraine reverted to language laws as they were before 2014, I could see this happening.

    You see, Slavs are extremely stubborn when it comes to language. If Crimean Russians were allowed equal linguistic rights as Ukrainians, such as studying on all levels in Russian, they might get used to reverting to Ukraine. Otherwise, definitely not.

    Even Albanians in Kosovo could study on all levels in Albanian after 1969, so Ukraine preventing Russians to study at a Russian-speaking Universities would make Ukraine worse than the communists.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

  42. Mcgilchrist lives!

    I’m reading him again this summer and finding him more compelling than ever, and the best explanatory model for understanding our troubled times, the strange collapse in intelligence one observes everywhere, and the increase in mental dysfunction.

    Really his left/right hemisphere theory makes increasing sense.

    So let’s say as a civilization we have entered that perilous terminal period where hemispheric balance has been lost, and the less intelligent left hemisphere dominates, rather than the right.

    A civilization flourishes as long as the two hemispheres are well integrated, with the wider, more intelligent, more comprehensive right in charge, and the more narrow minded analytical and dissecting left it’s faithful servant. But civilizations appear to have an inherent tendency to increasingly develop left hemisphere thinking to the point of dominance, since that hemisphere is in charge of controlling and manipulating the world rather than understanding it, which is the role of the smarter right hemisphere – and civilizations inherently tend to favor control and manipulation over understanding as time passes and it gets more complex. But left hemisphere dominance spells the loss of vitality and intelligence for a civilization as it gets increasingly narrow minded and detached from the larger picture.

    Fascinatingly, the famous essay about civilizations declining and the recurrent role of barbarians invasions in the process of revitalization by Sir Pasha Glubb seems to be an adumbration and foreshadowing of what Mcgilchrist is saying.

    Does anyone here remember that essay?

    Yet where are there any barbarians left today? There are none.

    Christendom is over. Islam is a spent force – Islamic fundamentalism, with it’s humorless rigidity and proliferation of rules and prohibitions that smother life and spontaneity, with it’s unintelligent literalism, is classic left hemisphere thinking, and a clear sign of cultural decline in the Muslim world.

    Nor are the unruly Muslim immigrants pouring into Europe fresh and vigorous barbarians – they are the sullen and resentful victims of capitalist modernity who have been left behind, and who wish only for a just and equal share in the largesse of modernity and the dignity, respect, and equality that accompanies that.

    China? Enough said.

    Slavdom seems to have spent it’s energetic force in the twentieth century and seems to be merely recapitulating the decline of Western Europe in a time lag. I fully sympathize with Ukraine’s desire not to be dominated by Russia, but nothing indicates that Ukraine, or any other Slavic land, has anything fresh to offer.

    The Jews saved the world two thousand years ago when the late pagan civilization was declining into left hemisphere thinking. Mcgilchrist comments that the grid-like pattern of Roman cities indicates left hemisphere dominance, with it’s desire to impose rigid order and geometric categorization on urban life, and all late pagan philosophies, like Stoicism and Epicureanism, were philosophies of resignation – they had lost contact with life and vitality.

    Christianity, and then Islam, gave Europe and the Near East a fresh burst of enthusiasm, and reconnected them to wider horizons, but that is now winding down. But today the Jews cannot even save themselves from left hemisphere thinking, much less anyone else. Their world-historical task has been discharged in ancient times, it seems.

    So where do we look, then?

    We must look within. Left hemisphere dominance is now global, and Life is smothered and strangled under a dense thicket of rules, regulations, procedures, protocols, structures, bureaucracies, and taboos and prohibitions – globally, we’ve lost sight of the larger picture and are ever more obsessed with manipulation and control.

    But within each modern country, individuals and groups can undertake a personal process of “rewilding” where they slough off these fetters, like mighty Atlas breaking through his chains, and allow Life to once more burst forth in all its exuberance and limitless free horizons to once again define our vision.

    Life is eternal.

    Such individuals and groups can form the nucleus of the new fresh civilization that will replace the dying old one, even if they must still live in the old one.

    And then it occurred to me, that for the past few years my forays into nature, my rejection of more money and status, was my own dimly groping process of “rewilding”.

    And that makes me smile 🙂

    It is beginning, all around us….

    * The Alt-Right was sinister from its inception, but the one interesting and fresh thing about it was that it seemed to be at least partially a revolt against the chains and fetters of a sclerotic and moribund civilization, however dim and groping and however mixed up with truly sinister and malevolent elements.

    But now it has lost even that. The Alt-Right now worships China, the epicenter of the culture of control and regulation, and has been fully assimilated to left hemisphere dominance – if it ever truly aspired to break free of it, which I increasingly find doubtful.

    ** By barbarians, I certainly don’t mean things like Bronze Age Pervert. That’s just another manifestation of modern alienation and dysfunction. The Tao Teh Ching, or some passages from the New Testament, are what Iean.

    • Thanks: Mr. XYZ
    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I'm lost

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Hi HMS,


    Does anyone here remember that essay?
     
    Glubb Pasha's ideas are covered in this forthcoming book:

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Prophets-Doom-Societas-Neema-Parvini/dp/1788361113/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3GXJ6VQSW387J&keywords=prophets+of+doom&qid=1689670387&sprefix=prophets+of+doom%2Caps%2C172&sr=8-1

    They have been talked about on and off for a while in parts of the D/R.

    There was an article in Unherd yesterday about a new hippy movement:

    https://unherd.com/2023/07/the-dawn-of-the-bohemian-peasants/

    The persistent European hippy tendency (dates back to the 1920s at least, if not before) has been absent for a while so it is interesting to see something like it coming back.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    By barbarians, I certainly don’t mean things like Bronze Age Pervert.
     
    BAP and other frog content is probably a manifestation of far-right anarchism, it seems like it was a more popular current in the early 20th century but fell into abeyance to some extent after 1939. Though it was still around in a low profile way. Ernst Junger, Celine, Drieu La Rochelle etc. always had their readers and fan base.

    They seem to have a new kind of relevance, the revolt against the 'seated man', overweight, sedentary and deformed product of urban life and rationalism, it is like the far-right version of the hippy thing.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  43. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mcgilchrist lives!

    I'm reading him again this summer and finding him more compelling than ever, and the best explanatory model for understanding our troubled times, the strange collapse in intelligence one observes everywhere, and the increase in mental dysfunction.

    Really his left/right hemisphere theory makes increasing sense.

    So let's say as a civilization we have entered that perilous terminal period where hemispheric balance has been lost, and the less intelligent left hemisphere dominates, rather than the right.

    A civilization flourishes as long as the two hemispheres are well integrated, with the wider, more intelligent, more comprehensive right in charge, and the more narrow minded analytical and dissecting left it's faithful servant. But civilizations appear to have an inherent tendency to increasingly develop left hemisphere thinking to the point of dominance, since that hemisphere is in charge of controlling and manipulating the world rather than understanding it, which is the role of the smarter right hemisphere - and civilizations inherently tend to favor control and manipulation over understanding as time passes and it gets more complex. But left hemisphere dominance spells the loss of vitality and intelligence for a civilization as it gets increasingly narrow minded and detached from the larger picture.

    Fascinatingly, the famous essay about civilizations declining and the recurrent role of barbarians invasions in the process of revitalization by Sir Pasha Glubb seems to be an adumbration and foreshadowing of what Mcgilchrist is saying.

    Does anyone here remember that essay?

    Yet where are there any barbarians left today? There are none.

    Christendom is over. Islam is a spent force - Islamic fundamentalism, with it's humorless rigidity and proliferation of rules and prohibitions that smother life and spontaneity, with it's unintelligent literalism, is classic left hemisphere thinking, and a clear sign of cultural decline in the Muslim world.

    Nor are the unruly Muslim immigrants pouring into Europe fresh and vigorous barbarians - they are the sullen and resentful victims of capitalist modernity who have been left behind, and who wish only for a just and equal share in the largesse of modernity and the dignity, respect, and equality that accompanies that.

    China? Enough said.

    Slavdom seems to have spent it's energetic force in the twentieth century and seems to be merely recapitulating the decline of Western Europe in a time lag. I fully sympathize with Ukraine's desire not to be dominated by Russia, but nothing indicates that Ukraine, or any other Slavic land, has anything fresh to offer.

    The Jews saved the world two thousand years ago when the late pagan civilization was declining into left hemisphere thinking. Mcgilchrist comments that the grid-like pattern of Roman cities indicates left hemisphere dominance, with it's desire to impose rigid order and geometric categorization on urban life, and all late pagan philosophies, like Stoicism and Epicureanism, were philosophies of resignation - they had lost contact with life and vitality.

    Christianity, and then Islam, gave Europe and the Near East a fresh burst of enthusiasm, and reconnected them to wider horizons, but that is now winding down. But today the Jews cannot even save themselves from left hemisphere thinking, much less anyone else. Their world-historical task has been discharged in ancient times, it seems.

    So where do we look, then?

    We must look within. Left hemisphere dominance is now global, and Life is smothered and strangled under a dense thicket of rules, regulations, procedures, protocols, structures, bureaucracies, and taboos and prohibitions - globally, we've lost sight of the larger picture and are ever more obsessed with manipulation and control.

    But within each modern country, individuals and groups can undertake a personal process of "rewilding" where they slough off these fetters, like mighty Atlas breaking through his chains, and allow Life to once more burst forth in all its exuberance and limitless free horizons to once again define our vision.

    Life is eternal.

    Such individuals and groups can form the nucleus of the new fresh civilization that will replace the dying old one, even if they must still live in the old one.

    And then it occurred to me, that for the past few years my forays into nature, my rejection of more money and status, was my own dimly groping process of "rewilding".

    And that makes me smile :)

    It is beginning, all around us....

    * The Alt-Right was sinister from its inception, but the one interesting and fresh thing about it was that it seemed to be at least partially a revolt against the chains and fetters of a sclerotic and moribund civilization, however dim and groping and however mixed up with truly sinister and malevolent elements.

    But now it has lost even that. The Alt-Right now worships China, the epicenter of the culture of control and regulation, and has been fully assimilated to left hemisphere dominance - if it ever truly aspired to break free of it, which I increasingly find doubtful.

    ** By barbarians, I certainly don't mean things like Bronze Age Pervert. That's just another manifestation of modern alienation and dysfunction. The Tao Teh Ching, or some passages from the New Testament, are what Iean.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @Coconuts, @Coconuts

    I’m lost

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Greasy William

    Are you really?

    Read up on Ian Mcgilchrist.

    Basically, the brain has two hemispheres. The left hemisphere is a sort of "spotlight" - it looks at the world through a very narrow lens, simplifying it, in order to control it and manipulate it. Think of any complex situation, in order to manipulate it, you have to simplify it into a few simple formulas. But if you want to understand it, you'll look at it in it's full multi-dimensional complexity.

    Look at people on this website - many here are convinced that all social phenomena are the result of elite manipulation. That's typical narrow minded left brain thinking. Now obviously, social phenomena are extremely complex and multi-dimensional, but if you only wanted to manipulate it, you'd focus only on simplifying it into a few formulas. Those formulas may miss the larger picture and be right only to a small degree, but insofar as you're able to manipulate it at all, that's you're only chance. Even if it gives you only 5% ability to manipulate, at the cost of failing to understand the larger picture and how it all fits together, and at the cost of not being able to discover new aspects of the situation from this higher vantage point, you'd still have your only chance at control by simplifying it and reducing it to a few simple elements. And the left hemisphere is only interested in control, and if you start thinking too much from that side of your brain, you gradually lose the ability to see the larger picture and start dwelling in a delusion.

    Out of 360 degrees, the left hemisphere sees 3 degrees. But it's a very useful tool, because we need some control over out environment. It analyzes, dissects, categorizes - but it can't see the larger whole, only these small parts, so doesn't really understand what's going on in the larger sense, and can't see anything new. So it doesn't really understand what ought to be done in life in order for humans to flourish and it can't see new ways for us to flourish - all it does is take apart in order to manipulate.

    It's basically the engineering mindset. Now in order to see new things and be creative in any field, you can't just take apart and dissect, you need imagination and intuition.

    If you read the great scientists, they all had some imaginative picture of what reality is like, or some intuition about it, and then set about analysing and dissecting in order to prove it. Today of course it's all bureaucracy, rules, regulations - no spontaneity.

    According to Mcgilchrist, the mind is supposed to approach reality first from the right hemisphere, which sees the larger picture, and can imagine and intuit aspects of reality. It then hands the reins over to the left hemisphere, which takes it all apart, simplifies it, and gains some measure of control over the situation, and then returns control back to the smarter right hemisphere in order to integrate it into the larger picture and balance it against other factors in a total picture of human flourishing, and this higher understanding provides the basis for new imaginative insights which lead to new ways to flourish. That's when s civilization is still creative.

    The left hemisphere is always an intermediate step. Einstein has some imaginative intuition about reality, subjects it to rigorous tests, then integrates it into a larger vision of reality that allows for new discoveries to be made as well as organize all knowledge towards true human flourishing.

    But if you stay in that intermediate step, you're literally stuck in a delusional state, and you're also cut off and stymied. But civilizations have a tendency to become obsessed with simplifying and controlling, and so get stuck in that delusional state where progress grinds to a halt and you lose connection to the larger picture.

    You're just more and more obsessed with manipulation and control. That's where our civilization is now.

    In addition to a collapse in intelligence, this leads to a loss in vitality and exuberance - the Life Force is literally smothered under a net of petty rules, you can't express yourself, do what you truly want, satisfy your true needs and inner nature, and you can't be spontaneous and original, which is the source of creativity, also. Everything is control. You also feel seperate from everything, other people, the universe, because the left hemisphere takes apart into small pieces. Soon, you no longer even want to really defend your civilization, as it is no longer satisfying, and you no longer can even if you did.

    And this is the pattern of civilizational rise and fall, followed by some fresh barbarian people reinjecting vitality.

    Anyways this has been a rather poor off the cuff explanation and you'd get a much richer and better explanation from Mcgilchrist himself - and ambiguous terms like life force are my own not his - so I'd encourage you to read up on it if any of this piques your interest.

    I'm tired and lying in bed and can't exert too much energy now I'm afraid.

    Replies: @Greasy William

  44. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?

    I have just returned from a few weeks in the Sawtooth Valley, a reborn man, and am here to tell you it's one of the most enchanting places on this planet. It's not just the mountains, it's the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it's lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it's the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life's supreme revitalizing experiences, it's the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.

    And once one climbs into the mountains it's another world, of snow and ice, and cold lakes beneath mighty and brooding stone peaks and dark pine forests, the abode of the Gods that one cannot enter without feeling a slight shiver in the presence of the numinous ( I mean this seriously - the high mountain passes and valleys there have a strange numinous presence that I have not felt anywhere else for some reason).

    But perhaps you're gone, and so has everyone else, and this is just a sad ghost town now....

    Well, in case anyone with a soul is still here, I'd like to post some pictures below.

    Having traveled all over the world, there is something in the West one finds nowhere else I've been. D.H Lawrence once said the Taos valley was the most beautiful place in the world - yet if one looks only at pictures it's hard to understand why he'd say that. It's a beautiful place, sure, but visually it's not obviously better than any number of other places on other continents.

    Yet there is some quality of exhilaration in the mountain West that makes it unique, that astonishing golden summer light, the soft air, the scents, the endless horizons. A freshness, a purity, I've found nowhere else.

    What is to be done, but return again and again?

    My pictures do not do justice to this realm of Gods and fairies, fairies on the green lower slopes and titanic Gods and giants on the high mountain passes.

    The mountains are not that high. The highest are only around 10,000 feet or so. They remind me somewhat of the Sierras, perhaps, but with a very different "feel".

    https://i.imgur.com/6XJSWZo.jpg




    https://i.imgur.com/hCNrvuW.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/UbKLmVo.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/KZDRvhl.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/2H8zvjE.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/DbPiHSe.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/QZglP1Q.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XHGPiMg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/w8DGeAk.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/sr6mcB8.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/fenfwNa.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/G1KIwMr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/qY5Z0Mr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/pZsL4Mg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/oNsIqyN.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XXdGdqb.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/LLjL88q.jpeg

    Replies: @sudden death, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack, @Mikel

    All those boring pics are sorely lacking some Bigfoot roaming around!

    Just joking, really nicely perfect as it is;)

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @sudden death

    What makes you think I don't have pictures of bigfoot!

    I'm saving those for last, in my great reveal....

    :)

    Replies: @songbird

  45. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mcgilchrist lives!

    I'm reading him again this summer and finding him more compelling than ever, and the best explanatory model for understanding our troubled times, the strange collapse in intelligence one observes everywhere, and the increase in mental dysfunction.

    Really his left/right hemisphere theory makes increasing sense.

    So let's say as a civilization we have entered that perilous terminal period where hemispheric balance has been lost, and the less intelligent left hemisphere dominates, rather than the right.

    A civilization flourishes as long as the two hemispheres are well integrated, with the wider, more intelligent, more comprehensive right in charge, and the more narrow minded analytical and dissecting left it's faithful servant. But civilizations appear to have an inherent tendency to increasingly develop left hemisphere thinking to the point of dominance, since that hemisphere is in charge of controlling and manipulating the world rather than understanding it, which is the role of the smarter right hemisphere - and civilizations inherently tend to favor control and manipulation over understanding as time passes and it gets more complex. But left hemisphere dominance spells the loss of vitality and intelligence for a civilization as it gets increasingly narrow minded and detached from the larger picture.

    Fascinatingly, the famous essay about civilizations declining and the recurrent role of barbarians invasions in the process of revitalization by Sir Pasha Glubb seems to be an adumbration and foreshadowing of what Mcgilchrist is saying.

    Does anyone here remember that essay?

    Yet where are there any barbarians left today? There are none.

    Christendom is over. Islam is a spent force - Islamic fundamentalism, with it's humorless rigidity and proliferation of rules and prohibitions that smother life and spontaneity, with it's unintelligent literalism, is classic left hemisphere thinking, and a clear sign of cultural decline in the Muslim world.

    Nor are the unruly Muslim immigrants pouring into Europe fresh and vigorous barbarians - they are the sullen and resentful victims of capitalist modernity who have been left behind, and who wish only for a just and equal share in the largesse of modernity and the dignity, respect, and equality that accompanies that.

    China? Enough said.

    Slavdom seems to have spent it's energetic force in the twentieth century and seems to be merely recapitulating the decline of Western Europe in a time lag. I fully sympathize with Ukraine's desire not to be dominated by Russia, but nothing indicates that Ukraine, or any other Slavic land, has anything fresh to offer.

    The Jews saved the world two thousand years ago when the late pagan civilization was declining into left hemisphere thinking. Mcgilchrist comments that the grid-like pattern of Roman cities indicates left hemisphere dominance, with it's desire to impose rigid order and geometric categorization on urban life, and all late pagan philosophies, like Stoicism and Epicureanism, were philosophies of resignation - they had lost contact with life and vitality.

    Christianity, and then Islam, gave Europe and the Near East a fresh burst of enthusiasm, and reconnected them to wider horizons, but that is now winding down. But today the Jews cannot even save themselves from left hemisphere thinking, much less anyone else. Their world-historical task has been discharged in ancient times, it seems.

    So where do we look, then?

    We must look within. Left hemisphere dominance is now global, and Life is smothered and strangled under a dense thicket of rules, regulations, procedures, protocols, structures, bureaucracies, and taboos and prohibitions - globally, we've lost sight of the larger picture and are ever more obsessed with manipulation and control.

    But within each modern country, individuals and groups can undertake a personal process of "rewilding" where they slough off these fetters, like mighty Atlas breaking through his chains, and allow Life to once more burst forth in all its exuberance and limitless free horizons to once again define our vision.

    Life is eternal.

    Such individuals and groups can form the nucleus of the new fresh civilization that will replace the dying old one, even if they must still live in the old one.

    And then it occurred to me, that for the past few years my forays into nature, my rejection of more money and status, was my own dimly groping process of "rewilding".

    And that makes me smile :)

    It is beginning, all around us....

    * The Alt-Right was sinister from its inception, but the one interesting and fresh thing about it was that it seemed to be at least partially a revolt against the chains and fetters of a sclerotic and moribund civilization, however dim and groping and however mixed up with truly sinister and malevolent elements.

    But now it has lost even that. The Alt-Right now worships China, the epicenter of the culture of control and regulation, and has been fully assimilated to left hemisphere dominance - if it ever truly aspired to break free of it, which I increasingly find doubtful.

    ** By barbarians, I certainly don't mean things like Bronze Age Pervert. That's just another manifestation of modern alienation and dysfunction. The Tao Teh Ching, or some passages from the New Testament, are what Iean.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @Coconuts, @Coconuts

    Hi HMS,

    Does anyone here remember that essay?

    Glubb Pasha’s ideas are covered in this forthcoming book:

    They have been talked about on and off for a while in parts of the D/R.

    There was an article in Unherd yesterday about a new hippy movement:

    https://unherd.com/2023/07/the-dawn-of-the-bohemian-peasants/

    The persistent European hippy tendency (dates back to the 1920s at least, if not before) has been absent for a while so it is interesting to see something like it coming back.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Well hello there Coconuts.

    I'm sure Glubbs ideas are still floating around and have not entirely disappeared. It seems he observed a true pattern, but Mcgilchrists work is filling out the details of the psychology behind it and substantially adding to the picture, which was mere sn intriguing suggestion in Glubb.

    Hippy tendencies are perennial

    All ancient cultures understood the tendency of the human mind to get lost in left hemisphere thinking. Zen is in large measure a deliberate antidote to the tendency of Japanese culture to smother itself in a thicket of life-killing rules and regulations, and a return to life--affirming freshness and spontaneity. Likewise Chinese civilization had a pronounced tendency to lose itself in formalistic life-killing rules and ceremonies, and Taoist literature is a rich antidote to this - and the Chinese literati found Taoism indispensable, even if they lived in the rules bound court they found it necessary to artistically cultivate freshness and spontaneity.

    Jesus himself famously opposed the arid legalism of the Jewish Pharisees, but I'd argue he also came to free the ancient world from the Pharaseeism that had overtaken Roman culture, and led the whole pagan world to become stuck, stymied, and chronically frustrated, with resignation before Fate being the highest conceivable ideal in such a ln environment.

    And that unleashed a fresh burst of enthusiasm onto the world.

    Replies: @Coconuts

  46. @Greasy William
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I'm lost

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Are you really?

    Read up on Ian Mcgilchrist.

    Basically, the brain has two hemispheres. The left hemisphere is a sort of “spotlight” – it looks at the world through a very narrow lens, simplifying it, in order to control it and manipulate it. Think of any complex situation, in order to manipulate it, you have to simplify it into a few simple formulas. But if you want to understand it, you’ll look at it in it’s full multi-dimensional complexity.

    Look at people on this website – many here are convinced that all social phenomena are the result of elite manipulation. That’s typical narrow minded left brain thinking. Now obviously, social phenomena are extremely complex and multi-dimensional, but if you only wanted to manipulate it, you’d focus only on simplifying it into a few formulas. Those formulas may miss the larger picture and be right only to a small degree, but insofar as you’re able to manipulate it at all, that’s you’re only chance. Even if it gives you only 5% ability to manipulate, at the cost of failing to understand the larger picture and how it all fits together, and at the cost of not being able to discover new aspects of the situation from this higher vantage point, you’d still have your only chance at control by simplifying it and reducing it to a few simple elements. And the left hemisphere is only interested in control, and if you start thinking too much from that side of your brain, you gradually lose the ability to see the larger picture and start dwelling in a delusion.

    Out of 360 degrees, the left hemisphere sees 3 degrees. But it’s a very useful tool, because we need some control over out environment. It analyzes, dissects, categorizes – but it can’t see the larger whole, only these small parts, so doesn’t really understand what’s going on in the larger sense, and can’t see anything new. So it doesn’t really understand what ought to be done in life in order for humans to flourish and it can’t see new ways for us to flourish – all it does is take apart in order to manipulate.

    It’s basically the engineering mindset. Now in order to see new things and be creative in any field, you can’t just take apart and dissect, you need imagination and intuition.

    If you read the great scientists, they all had some imaginative picture of what reality is like, or some intuition about it, and then set about analysing and dissecting in order to prove it. Today of course it’s all bureaucracy, rules, regulations – no spontaneity.

    According to Mcgilchrist, the mind is supposed to approach reality first from the right hemisphere, which sees the larger picture, and can imagine and intuit aspects of reality. It then hands the reins over to the left hemisphere, which takes it all apart, simplifies it, and gains some measure of control over the situation, and then returns control back to the smarter right hemisphere in order to integrate it into the larger picture and balance it against other factors in a total picture of human flourishing, and this higher understanding provides the basis for new imaginative insights which lead to new ways to flourish. That’s when s civilization is still creative.

    The left hemisphere is always an intermediate step. Einstein has some imaginative intuition about reality, subjects it to rigorous tests, then integrates it into a larger vision of reality that allows for new discoveries to be made as well as organize all knowledge towards true human flourishing.

    But if you stay in that intermediate step, you’re literally stuck in a delusional state, and you’re also cut off and stymied. But civilizations have a tendency to become obsessed with simplifying and controlling, and so get stuck in that delusional state where progress grinds to a halt and you lose connection to the larger picture.

    You’re just more and more obsessed with manipulation and control. That’s where our civilization is now.

    In addition to a collapse in intelligence, this leads to a loss in vitality and exuberance – the Life Force is literally smothered under a net of petty rules, you can’t express yourself, do what you truly want, satisfy your true needs and inner nature, and you can’t be spontaneous and original, which is the source of creativity, also. Everything is control. You also feel seperate from everything, other people, the universe, because the left hemisphere takes apart into small pieces. Soon, you no longer even want to really defend your civilization, as it is no longer satisfying, and you no longer can even if you did.

    And this is the pattern of civilizational rise and fall, followed by some fresh barbarian people reinjecting vitality.

    Anyways this has been a rather poor off the cuff explanation and you’d get a much richer and better explanation from Mcgilchrist himself – and ambiguous terms like life force are my own not his – so I’d encourage you to read up on it if any of this piques your interest.

    I’m tired and lying in bed and can’t exert too much energy now I’m afraid.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    If you are interested in the whole brain hemisphere thing, please check out the book Return to the Brain of Eden. If you are too busy to read it, you can find interviews with the author on YouTube where he covers most of the same material that is discussed in the book

  47. @sudden death
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    All those boring pics are sorely lacking some Bigfoot roaming around!

    Just joking, really nicely perfect as it is;)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    What makes you think I don’t have pictures of bigfoot!

    I’m saving those for last, in my great reveal….

    🙂

    • Replies: @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Am not saying I believe in Big Foot, but I don't think that the profusion of cameras really disprove cryptid enthusiasts.

    A lot of things in the woods are quicker than thought, and it is less than five seconds before they are in a thicket and invisible. And, if they are big, I guarantee you'll spend at least four of those seconds evaluating the threat.

    I've practically never gotten one good shot of wildlife, though I have seen some manificent things.
    ____
    I was recently reading Clavell's Tai-Pan novel and thinking that the stereotypical Chinese categorization of Westerners as barbarians would seem like a compliment nowadays. There seems to be a a measure of vitality implicit in the word.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  48. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Hi HMS,


    Does anyone here remember that essay?
     
    Glubb Pasha's ideas are covered in this forthcoming book:

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Prophets-Doom-Societas-Neema-Parvini/dp/1788361113/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3GXJ6VQSW387J&keywords=prophets+of+doom&qid=1689670387&sprefix=prophets+of+doom%2Caps%2C172&sr=8-1

    They have been talked about on and off for a while in parts of the D/R.

    There was an article in Unherd yesterday about a new hippy movement:

    https://unherd.com/2023/07/the-dawn-of-the-bohemian-peasants/

    The persistent European hippy tendency (dates back to the 1920s at least, if not before) has been absent for a while so it is interesting to see something like it coming back.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well hello there Coconuts.

    I’m sure Glubbs ideas are still floating around and have not entirely disappeared. It seems he observed a true pattern, but Mcgilchrists work is filling out the details of the psychology behind it and substantially adding to the picture, which was mere sn intriguing suggestion in Glubb.

    Hippy tendencies are perennial

    All ancient cultures understood the tendency of the human mind to get lost in left hemisphere thinking. Zen is in large measure a deliberate antidote to the tendency of Japanese culture to smother itself in a thicket of life-killing rules and regulations, and a return to life–affirming freshness and spontaneity. Likewise Chinese civilization had a pronounced tendency to lose itself in formalistic life-killing rules and ceremonies, and Taoist literature is a rich antidote to this – and the Chinese literati found Taoism indispensable, even if they lived in the rules bound court they found it necessary to artistically cultivate freshness and spontaneity.

    Jesus himself famously opposed the arid legalism of the Jewish Pharisees, but I’d argue he also came to free the ancient world from the Pharaseeism that had overtaken Roman culture, and led the whole pagan world to become stuck, stymied, and chronically frustrated, with resignation before Fate being the highest conceivable ideal in such a ln environment.

    And that unleashed a fresh burst of enthusiasm onto the world.

    • Thanks: Vajradhara
    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And that unleashed a fresh burst of enthusiasm onto the world.
     
    I think looking at Christian history there is a pattern of periodic renewal or revivals, these could cause significant upheavals, so this potential in Christianity did not disappear for a long time.

    Imo one of the problems the mainstream Churches have at the moment is that they are too safe and repeat official or mainstream messaging too much, often without a lot of spiritual explanation or context.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  49. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Greasy William

    Are you really?

    Read up on Ian Mcgilchrist.

    Basically, the brain has two hemispheres. The left hemisphere is a sort of "spotlight" - it looks at the world through a very narrow lens, simplifying it, in order to control it and manipulate it. Think of any complex situation, in order to manipulate it, you have to simplify it into a few simple formulas. But if you want to understand it, you'll look at it in it's full multi-dimensional complexity.

    Look at people on this website - many here are convinced that all social phenomena are the result of elite manipulation. That's typical narrow minded left brain thinking. Now obviously, social phenomena are extremely complex and multi-dimensional, but if you only wanted to manipulate it, you'd focus only on simplifying it into a few formulas. Those formulas may miss the larger picture and be right only to a small degree, but insofar as you're able to manipulate it at all, that's you're only chance. Even if it gives you only 5% ability to manipulate, at the cost of failing to understand the larger picture and how it all fits together, and at the cost of not being able to discover new aspects of the situation from this higher vantage point, you'd still have your only chance at control by simplifying it and reducing it to a few simple elements. And the left hemisphere is only interested in control, and if you start thinking too much from that side of your brain, you gradually lose the ability to see the larger picture and start dwelling in a delusion.

    Out of 360 degrees, the left hemisphere sees 3 degrees. But it's a very useful tool, because we need some control over out environment. It analyzes, dissects, categorizes - but it can't see the larger whole, only these small parts, so doesn't really understand what's going on in the larger sense, and can't see anything new. So it doesn't really understand what ought to be done in life in order for humans to flourish and it can't see new ways for us to flourish - all it does is take apart in order to manipulate.

    It's basically the engineering mindset. Now in order to see new things and be creative in any field, you can't just take apart and dissect, you need imagination and intuition.

    If you read the great scientists, they all had some imaginative picture of what reality is like, or some intuition about it, and then set about analysing and dissecting in order to prove it. Today of course it's all bureaucracy, rules, regulations - no spontaneity.

    According to Mcgilchrist, the mind is supposed to approach reality first from the right hemisphere, which sees the larger picture, and can imagine and intuit aspects of reality. It then hands the reins over to the left hemisphere, which takes it all apart, simplifies it, and gains some measure of control over the situation, and then returns control back to the smarter right hemisphere in order to integrate it into the larger picture and balance it against other factors in a total picture of human flourishing, and this higher understanding provides the basis for new imaginative insights which lead to new ways to flourish. That's when s civilization is still creative.

    The left hemisphere is always an intermediate step. Einstein has some imaginative intuition about reality, subjects it to rigorous tests, then integrates it into a larger vision of reality that allows for new discoveries to be made as well as organize all knowledge towards true human flourishing.

    But if you stay in that intermediate step, you're literally stuck in a delusional state, and you're also cut off and stymied. But civilizations have a tendency to become obsessed with simplifying and controlling, and so get stuck in that delusional state where progress grinds to a halt and you lose connection to the larger picture.

    You're just more and more obsessed with manipulation and control. That's where our civilization is now.

    In addition to a collapse in intelligence, this leads to a loss in vitality and exuberance - the Life Force is literally smothered under a net of petty rules, you can't express yourself, do what you truly want, satisfy your true needs and inner nature, and you can't be spontaneous and original, which is the source of creativity, also. Everything is control. You also feel seperate from everything, other people, the universe, because the left hemisphere takes apart into small pieces. Soon, you no longer even want to really defend your civilization, as it is no longer satisfying, and you no longer can even if you did.

    And this is the pattern of civilizational rise and fall, followed by some fresh barbarian people reinjecting vitality.

    Anyways this has been a rather poor off the cuff explanation and you'd get a much richer and better explanation from Mcgilchrist himself - and ambiguous terms like life force are my own not his - so I'd encourage you to read up on it if any of this piques your interest.

    I'm tired and lying in bed and can't exert too much energy now I'm afraid.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    If you are interested in the whole brain hemisphere thing, please check out the book Return to the Brain of Eden. If you are too busy to read it, you can find interviews with the author on YouTube where he covers most of the same material that is discussed in the book

    • Thanks: HeavilyMarbledSteak
  50. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mcgilchrist lives!

    I'm reading him again this summer and finding him more compelling than ever, and the best explanatory model for understanding our troubled times, the strange collapse in intelligence one observes everywhere, and the increase in mental dysfunction.

    Really his left/right hemisphere theory makes increasing sense.

    So let's say as a civilization we have entered that perilous terminal period where hemispheric balance has been lost, and the less intelligent left hemisphere dominates, rather than the right.

    A civilization flourishes as long as the two hemispheres are well integrated, with the wider, more intelligent, more comprehensive right in charge, and the more narrow minded analytical and dissecting left it's faithful servant. But civilizations appear to have an inherent tendency to increasingly develop left hemisphere thinking to the point of dominance, since that hemisphere is in charge of controlling and manipulating the world rather than understanding it, which is the role of the smarter right hemisphere - and civilizations inherently tend to favor control and manipulation over understanding as time passes and it gets more complex. But left hemisphere dominance spells the loss of vitality and intelligence for a civilization as it gets increasingly narrow minded and detached from the larger picture.

    Fascinatingly, the famous essay about civilizations declining and the recurrent role of barbarians invasions in the process of revitalization by Sir Pasha Glubb seems to be an adumbration and foreshadowing of what Mcgilchrist is saying.

    Does anyone here remember that essay?

    Yet where are there any barbarians left today? There are none.

    Christendom is over. Islam is a spent force - Islamic fundamentalism, with it's humorless rigidity and proliferation of rules and prohibitions that smother life and spontaneity, with it's unintelligent literalism, is classic left hemisphere thinking, and a clear sign of cultural decline in the Muslim world.

    Nor are the unruly Muslim immigrants pouring into Europe fresh and vigorous barbarians - they are the sullen and resentful victims of capitalist modernity who have been left behind, and who wish only for a just and equal share in the largesse of modernity and the dignity, respect, and equality that accompanies that.

    China? Enough said.

    Slavdom seems to have spent it's energetic force in the twentieth century and seems to be merely recapitulating the decline of Western Europe in a time lag. I fully sympathize with Ukraine's desire not to be dominated by Russia, but nothing indicates that Ukraine, or any other Slavic land, has anything fresh to offer.

    The Jews saved the world two thousand years ago when the late pagan civilization was declining into left hemisphere thinking. Mcgilchrist comments that the grid-like pattern of Roman cities indicates left hemisphere dominance, with it's desire to impose rigid order and geometric categorization on urban life, and all late pagan philosophies, like Stoicism and Epicureanism, were philosophies of resignation - they had lost contact with life and vitality.

    Christianity, and then Islam, gave Europe and the Near East a fresh burst of enthusiasm, and reconnected them to wider horizons, but that is now winding down. But today the Jews cannot even save themselves from left hemisphere thinking, much less anyone else. Their world-historical task has been discharged in ancient times, it seems.

    So where do we look, then?

    We must look within. Left hemisphere dominance is now global, and Life is smothered and strangled under a dense thicket of rules, regulations, procedures, protocols, structures, bureaucracies, and taboos and prohibitions - globally, we've lost sight of the larger picture and are ever more obsessed with manipulation and control.

    But within each modern country, individuals and groups can undertake a personal process of "rewilding" where they slough off these fetters, like mighty Atlas breaking through his chains, and allow Life to once more burst forth in all its exuberance and limitless free horizons to once again define our vision.

    Life is eternal.

    Such individuals and groups can form the nucleus of the new fresh civilization that will replace the dying old one, even if they must still live in the old one.

    And then it occurred to me, that for the past few years my forays into nature, my rejection of more money and status, was my own dimly groping process of "rewilding".

    And that makes me smile :)

    It is beginning, all around us....

    * The Alt-Right was sinister from its inception, but the one interesting and fresh thing about it was that it seemed to be at least partially a revolt against the chains and fetters of a sclerotic and moribund civilization, however dim and groping and however mixed up with truly sinister and malevolent elements.

    But now it has lost even that. The Alt-Right now worships China, the epicenter of the culture of control and regulation, and has been fully assimilated to left hemisphere dominance - if it ever truly aspired to break free of it, which I increasingly find doubtful.

    ** By barbarians, I certainly don't mean things like Bronze Age Pervert. That's just another manifestation of modern alienation and dysfunction. The Tao Teh Ching, or some passages from the New Testament, are what Iean.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @Coconuts, @Coconuts

    By barbarians, I certainly don’t mean things like Bronze Age Pervert.

    BAP and other frog content is probably a manifestation of far-right anarchism, it seems like it was a more popular current in the early 20th century but fell into abeyance to some extent after 1939. Though it was still around in a low profile way. Ernst Junger, Celine, Drieu La Rochelle etc. always had their readers and fan base.

    They seem to have a new kind of relevance, the revolt against the ‘seated man’, overweight, sedentary and deformed product of urban life and rationalism, it is like the far-right version of the hippy thing.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Ok, but in the end the far right only really wants liberation from the lefts rules, not rules as such. In fact they always imagine an equally oppressive set of rules they favor.

    That's why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    To be sure, on the way the right can produce works of genuine liberatory effect - I quite enjoyed Voyage Au Bout De La Nuit, despite it's authors horrific views and personality.

    BAP doesn't favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness, a freedom from artificial rules and constraints and a return to the natural man in his original state, as Zen does - he just hates specifically the lefts rules. But his own attitudes exemplify an oppression that would be just as smothering and artificial, and thus he is no true "barbarian", no true "natural man", just a late modern decadent.

    Of course, the left has its own brand of sinister authoritarianism which we are seeing today.

    Replies: @A123, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Coconuts, @John Johnson

  51. @Greasy William
    @A123

    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don't know where you got the idea that he's a Muslim, he doesn't even like Muslims

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @A123

    Chavs are not working class of course.

    A123 is probably mental though.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    A123 promotes a theory that anyone who is against his favored brand of Zionists is probably an Islamist.

    While he doesn't give Jewish people the full recognition they deserve for running the world (without being asked to), his suspicion of Muslims in high places is probably valid.

    I'm not familiar enough with the details of the Hasbara troll organization to know which branch signs his paycheck.

    Replies: @A123, @Wokechoke

  52. NATO’s biggest problem is its own populations, especially in the West. I live in the UK and I would say most native Brits are cowards with no fight in them. Most of the pro-Ukraine crowd would be absolutely morally opposed to actually going and fighting Russians in a draft.

    They would also be morally outraged if NATO took the fight directly to Russia itself, hang-wringing about “innocents” being killed.

    Native Brits have too many moral hang ups for total war.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Europe Europa

    Brits had no problem being drafted for Poland back in 1939.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  53. A123 says: • Website
    @Greasy William
    @A123

    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don't know where you got the idea that he's a Muslim, he doesn't even like Muslims

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @A123

    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don’t know where you got the idea that he’s a Muslim, he doesn’t even like Muslims

    Only a Muslim would try to tell an obvious lie such as, “Zelenskyy is the Jew King of Kiev”. He travelled to Israel to spit on Jews with his vile Knesset speech last year: (1)

    Likud MK Yuval Steinitz said it “borders on Holocaust denial.”

    “War is always a terrible thing… but every comparison between a regular war, as difficult as it is, and the extermination of millions of Jews in gas chambers in the framework of the Final Solution is a complete distortion of history,” he said in a statement.

    A number of Religious Zionism MKs also criticized Zelensky, with the far-right opposition party’s leader, Bezalel Smotrich, slamming the Holocaust comparisons and accusing the Ukrainian leader of trying “to rewrite history and erase the involvement of the Ukrainian people in the extermination of Jews.”

    If there is a Jewish side in this conflict, it is Russia. That post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is an enemy of Judaism is 100% proven. There is no room for the slightest doubt.

    If Wokechoke is not a Muslim, why does he constantly repeat Islamist propaganda?

    Is he a Dhimmi slave? I guess that could also explain his service.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-lawmakers-tear-into-zelensky-for-holocaust-comparisons-in-knesset-speech/

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123

    I don't see anything that you've cited here as being in the least bit offensive to Jews or anybody else.
    Zelensky is an ethnic Jew who has real skin in the game as his family includes sacrifices to the Holocaust. And you? A moronic individual who whiles away the day playing auto racing video games and trying to come off as some kind of philosophic wiseman. Pathetic. And as for Bezalel Smotrich's wild attempt at slamming Zelensky with Ukrainian Holocast involvement, has he (or you) ever tallied up the number of Jewish kapos within the camps that were involved in rounding up their own for extermination? All of these pitiable individuals were only trying to save their own skins, whether Jews or Ukrainians.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  54. @Beckow
    @Sean

    Turkey applied to join EU in 1961 (?), maybe it will happen someday...probably not.

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war: Moscow occupied or with a Western-appointed government - Nuland thinks she is good at appointing.

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a "club" that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs...

    Replies: @A123, @Mr. XYZ, @Wielgus, @Sean

    Around the turn of the century, I mentioned Turkey’s EU application in a general discussion of the country with an Englishman. I said I was not in favour – the other guy stated rather dismissively that it would get in the EU eventually.
    Over two decades later the UK is out but Turkey is not in.

  55. @songbird
    Was there ever a Russian geostrategist who wanted to export 500,000 Eurasian tribesmen (i.e. Uzbeks, etc) to Alaska and then use it as a springboard to seize Western Canada and US?

    It was in a novel I was reading (Tai-Pan), and while I don't think it is practical (how much steppe is there on the Pacific coast? How would Russians dominate these warriors?), I thought it was impressive in scope.

    Indian horsemen caused a lot of trouble, but they didn't have numbers. Maybe, you could feed wood foliage to horses?

    In the novel, it wasn't clear whether it was supposed to be a fake plant or not.

    Replies: @songbird

    Going to assume it was entirely fictitious, since the plan was attributed to a Prince Tergin, who I don’t believe ever existed. A pity. It almost seemed more plausible than the Zimmerman Telegram.

  56. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?

    I have just returned from a few weeks in the Sawtooth Valley, a reborn man, and am here to tell you it's one of the most enchanting places on this planet. It's not just the mountains, it's the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it's lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it's the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life's supreme revitalizing experiences, it's the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.

    And once one climbs into the mountains it's another world, of snow and ice, and cold lakes beneath mighty and brooding stone peaks and dark pine forests, the abode of the Gods that one cannot enter without feeling a slight shiver in the presence of the numinous ( I mean this seriously - the high mountain passes and valleys there have a strange numinous presence that I have not felt anywhere else for some reason).

    But perhaps you're gone, and so has everyone else, and this is just a sad ghost town now....

    Well, in case anyone with a soul is still here, I'd like to post some pictures below.

    Having traveled all over the world, there is something in the West one finds nowhere else I've been. D.H Lawrence once said the Taos valley was the most beautiful place in the world - yet if one looks only at pictures it's hard to understand why he'd say that. It's a beautiful place, sure, but visually it's not obviously better than any number of other places on other continents.

    Yet there is some quality of exhilaration in the mountain West that makes it unique, that astonishing golden summer light, the soft air, the scents, the endless horizons. A freshness, a purity, I've found nowhere else.

    What is to be done, but return again and again?

    My pictures do not do justice to this realm of Gods and fairies, fairies on the green lower slopes and titanic Gods and giants on the high mountain passes.

    The mountains are not that high. The highest are only around 10,000 feet or so. They remind me somewhat of the Sierras, perhaps, but with a very different "feel".

    https://i.imgur.com/6XJSWZo.jpg




    https://i.imgur.com/hCNrvuW.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/UbKLmVo.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/KZDRvhl.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/2H8zvjE.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/DbPiHSe.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/QZglP1Q.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XHGPiMg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/w8DGeAk.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/sr6mcB8.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/fenfwNa.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/G1KIwMr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/qY5Z0Mr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/pZsL4Mg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/oNsIqyN.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XXdGdqb.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/LLjL88q.jpeg

    Replies: @sudden death, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack, @Mikel

    Did you see any bears?

  57. @A123
    @songbird

    Mosquitoes inject an anticoagulant when they begin to draw blood. This causes a disproportionate response from the human immune system. Thus, the after effect is far more dramatic than other critters extracting a comparable amount of blood.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @songbird

    Black flies also inject an anticoagulant. The first time they bite you in the season can be relatively painful.

    (And, of course, the day they hatch can be much worse than mosquitos in some areas. I once killed three by sticking a finger in my ear. I also once dived in the frigid water and started splashing vigorously, with seemingly little effect.)

    I heard tell of old trail hands eating black flies, to prevent this reaction.

  58. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @sudden death

    What makes you think I don't have pictures of bigfoot!

    I'm saving those for last, in my great reveal....

    :)

    Replies: @songbird

    Am not saying I believe in Big Foot, but I don’t think that the profusion of cameras really disprove cryptid enthusiasts.

    A lot of things in the woods are quicker than thought, and it is less than five seconds before they are in a thicket and invisible. And, if they are big, I guarantee you’ll spend at least four of those seconds evaluating the threat.

    I’ve practically never gotten one good shot of wildlife, though I have seen some manificent things.
    ____
    I was recently reading Clavell’s Tai-Pan novel and thinking that the stereotypical Chinese categorization of Westerners as barbarians would seem like a compliment nowadays. There seems to be a a measure of vitality implicit in the word.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @songbird

    You make a good point, and I completely agree with you.

    There may well be some very elusive beasts out there. The woods are a very dark and mysterious place, and the outback in general. Every time I fly across the US I am struck by the vast empty spaces without houses or roads. It's absurd to think we have any kind of complete idea of what exists out there. The spaces are too vast.

    Then there's the question of beings that want to be seen - there may exist a class of beings that can choose to manifest or not, or will only be apparent to those in the proper state of mind, etc.

    There's nothing unscientific about that, and people who say science proves the nonexistence of goblins and fairies and beings of that class simply don't understand science.

    As for the Chinese supposedly disparaging attitude towards barbarians, their own tradition contains at its heart Taoism, which is basically an appreciation for the natural and spontaneous man and the exact opposite of the highly cultivated, formal, and ceremonious man of Confucian culture, who is often mocked. So their attitude towards barbarians is ambiguous at best, and certainly contains a subversive and healthy dose of appreciation. In Taoism, returning to spontaneity is to recover vitality.

    Never trust the merely "formal" attitude of a culture - often the real attitude can be quite the opposite :)

  59. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?

    I have just returned from a few weeks in the Sawtooth Valley, a reborn man, and am here to tell you it's one of the most enchanting places on this planet. It's not just the mountains, it's the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it's lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it's the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life's supreme revitalizing experiences, it's the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.

    And once one climbs into the mountains it's another world, of snow and ice, and cold lakes beneath mighty and brooding stone peaks and dark pine forests, the abode of the Gods that one cannot enter without feeling a slight shiver in the presence of the numinous ( I mean this seriously - the high mountain passes and valleys there have a strange numinous presence that I have not felt anywhere else for some reason).

    But perhaps you're gone, and so has everyone else, and this is just a sad ghost town now....

    Well, in case anyone with a soul is still here, I'd like to post some pictures below.

    Having traveled all over the world, there is something in the West one finds nowhere else I've been. D.H Lawrence once said the Taos valley was the most beautiful place in the world - yet if one looks only at pictures it's hard to understand why he'd say that. It's a beautiful place, sure, but visually it's not obviously better than any number of other places on other continents.

    Yet there is some quality of exhilaration in the mountain West that makes it unique, that astonishing golden summer light, the soft air, the scents, the endless horizons. A freshness, a purity, I've found nowhere else.

    What is to be done, but return again and again?

    My pictures do not do justice to this realm of Gods and fairies, fairies on the green lower slopes and titanic Gods and giants on the high mountain passes.

    The mountains are not that high. The highest are only around 10,000 feet or so. They remind me somewhat of the Sierras, perhaps, but with a very different "feel".

    https://i.imgur.com/6XJSWZo.jpg




    https://i.imgur.com/hCNrvuW.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/UbKLmVo.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/KZDRvhl.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/2H8zvjE.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/DbPiHSe.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/QZglP1Q.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XHGPiMg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/w8DGeAk.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/sr6mcB8.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/fenfwNa.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/G1KIwMr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/qY5Z0Mr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/pZsL4Mg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/oNsIqyN.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XXdGdqb.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/LLjL88q.jpeg

    Replies: @sudden death, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack, @Mikel

    It’s not just the mountains, it’s the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it’s lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it’s the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life’s supreme revitalizing experiences, it’s the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.

    Yowza, our very own blogsite bodhisattva has once again returned to rescue other sentient beings and remind them that there’s more to this life than just the pursuit of paying bills. Your photos are excellent as usual and your accompanying prose is perhaps even a wee bit better. Next time your in Phoenix, consider applying as a freelance writer for Arizona Highways.

    I’ve had a very similar experience of looking at what resembled fluorescent rock within a beautiful water fall park in Costa Rica. I was hiking though a small canyon and the sunlight had inflamed the beige colored rock around me in an aura of shining bliss. I just stood and looked at it all in amazement.

    Glad you’re back and do tell us more about your trip!

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mr. Hack

    Thank you, Mr Hack.

    I'm hardly a Boddissatva with his infinite compassion and vow to help all souls reach paradise, but I do take pity on you poor inhabitants of a dying civilization that had lost its life--affirming character :)

    I find the light out West to be an endless source of fascination. I've never seen light like that before, and it can transfigure a landscape.

  60. @Wokechoke
    @Greasy William

    Chavs are not working class of course.

    A123 is probably mental though.

    Replies: @QCIC

    A123 promotes a theory that anyone who is against his favored brand of Zionists is probably an Islamist.

    While he doesn’t give Jewish people the full recognition they deserve for running the world (without being asked to), his suspicion of Muslims in high places is probably valid.

    I’m not familiar enough with the details of the Hasbara troll organization to know which branch signs his paycheck.

    • LOL: A123
    • Replies: @A123
    @QCIC

    It has little to nothing to do with Zionism. It is actually much simpler.

    Jews & Christians must stick together to fight their common enemy, followers of the Anti-Christ Muhammad. Practitioners of Judaism would, of course, not use that phrase. However, Muslim hate directed towards Jews is undeniable.
    ___

    -1- What do Jews get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Nothing. And, Palestinian Jews have remained neutral.

    -2- What do Muslims & IslamoGloboHomo get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Jihad is about killing Judeo-Christians, so that is a direct win. And, as I have noted multiple times, there is a flood of MENA and sub-Saharan Muslims entering the EU on forged Ukrainian documents. This is likely a full 1/3 of the total. Invasion is also a part of Jihad, so Islam wins again.

    Given that it is obvious that Jews are not involved #1 and Muslims are gaining #2 -- Why would someone misallocate blame to Jews?

    • Islam seems like the most obvious cause.
    • What other explanation could there be? Mental infirmity perhaps?

    Can you explain his lying about Judeo-Christians generally & Jews specifically?

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC

    , @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    To be fair there are Mustapha Monds in high places. But what is striking about the Western Europeans is that the heads of state prefer a Turk to a Slav from Moscow.

    Go figure.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

  61. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    ROTFL... If you do not like the term 'capitulate', feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    He didn’t flee when there was a bounty on his head and tanks in Kiev but a financial crisis will do it?

    ROTFL… If you do not like the term ‘capitulate’, feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    You Putin defenders need to stop fantasizing about taking Kiev.

    Putin already signaled that he wants Donbas. He can’t return to Kiev with a conscript army in horses and T-55s.

    He wants to take Donbas and have his State TV declare that it was the goal the entire time. He doesn’t give a fudge about the hopes and dreams of his US basement defense force.

    • Agree: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @A123
    @John Johnson



    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

     

    Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.
     
    You are underestimating the cost and shipping time considerably. Consider moving grain from Ukraine to Egypt.

    Before:
        ♦ Grain went a short distance on rail to Odessa where it was loaded on a ship.
        ♦ The ocean leg through The Bosphorus was also short.

    Now:
        • Grain has to go a longer distance to the Polish border on wide gauge rail
        • Unload from wide gauge rail cars to silo
        • Load from silo to standard gauge rail cars
        • Long rail run to a Polish or German port
        • Transit the Baltic through the English Channel
        • Round Spain and cross the Mediterranean

    The costs are huge versus other more favourably located suppliers. While the consumer price may go up, the farmer sale price will collapse thus depriving Kiev of revenue.

    Another wrinkle. Are there enough standard gauge rail grain cars? The answer is "No". There was never a demand for them. Will private industry build cars that have a five year payback without a guarantee of five years of service? Probably not. Alternate routes via Italian ports to cut down on ship time make the rail car shortage even worse.

    Kiev is in a very deep economic hole, entirely propped up from the outside. Will France and Germany pay the €uros to keep Kiev aggression going?

    PEACE 😇
    , @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow. Or at least Rostov. And the Russia will collapse rhetoric?

    Ok, maybe it was just happy talk. But the situation on the ground has not changed much for over a year - an endless positional warfare with force meeting force, and Russia holding to its gains. The initial forays and attempts at forcing peace by Russia were modified because Kiev didn't want peace - you see that as victory, others as the last opportunity Kiev missed to come out of the war relatively unscathed.

    What now? Russia has the upper hand and they can slowly bleed the Ukies. Europe devotes scarce resources to this war and will eventually scale it back - they need to focus on the living standards at home. You will celebrate the occasional "wins" like blowing up a car on some bridge or another querulous Russian general complaining about his higher-ups. What does that change?

    The deal has been on the table for over a decade: Nato stays out of Ukraine and the Russian minority gets self-determination. It is actually a fairly just deal based on the modern European values. The longer Ukies refuse the deal, the worse for them. More Ukies will die with more of their country destroyed. Cui bono?

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have - further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors - and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that? Or are the neo-con-with-angry-ethnics (Mr. Hacks) emotions and plans now sacrosanct?

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wokechoke

  62. @A123
    @Greasy William


    Wokechoke is an alienated, working class Chav. Possibly with some Irish ancestry. I don’t know where you got the idea that he’s a Muslim, he doesn’t even like Muslims
     
    Only a Muslim would try to tell an obvious lie such as, "Zelenskyy is the Jew King of Kiev". He travelled to Israel to spit on Jews with his vile Knesset speech last year: (1)

    Likud MK Yuval Steinitz said it “borders on Holocaust denial.”

    “War is always a terrible thing… but every comparison between a regular war, as difficult as it is, and the extermination of millions of Jews in gas chambers in the framework of the Final Solution is a complete distortion of history,” he said in a statement.

     

    A number of Religious Zionism MKs also criticized Zelensky, with the far-right opposition party’s leader, Bezalel Smotrich, slamming the Holocaust comparisons and accusing the Ukrainian leader of trying “to rewrite history and erase the involvement of the Ukrainian people in the extermination of Jews.”
     
    If there is a Jewish side in this conflict, it is Russia. That post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is an enemy of Judaism is 100% proven. There is no room for the slightest doubt.

    If Wokechoke is not a Muslim, why does he constantly repeat Islamist propaganda?

    Is he a Dhimmi slave? I guess that could also explain his service.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-lawmakers-tear-into-zelensky-for-holocaust-comparisons-in-knesset-speech/

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    I don’t see anything that you’ve cited here as being in the least bit offensive to Jews or anybody else.
    Zelensky is an ethnic Jew who has real skin in the game as his family includes sacrifices to the Holocaust. And you? A moronic individual who whiles away the day playing auto racing video games and trying to come off as some kind of philosophic wiseman. Pathetic. And as for Bezalel Smotrich’s wild attempt at slamming Zelensky with Ukrainian Holocast involvement, has he (or you) ever tallied up the number of Jewish kapos within the camps that were involved in rounding up their own for extermination? All of these pitiable individuals were only trying to save their own skins, whether Jews or Ukrainians.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky's Easter Greetings within the "Great Sophia Cathedral" show that he's a deeply spiritual man. It's really a great speech, and it can be read below the video in English subtitles. He's Jew that feels very close to Ukraine's traditional Ukrainian Orthodox church. A real Judeo-Christian, not a phoney baloney one like you, kremlinstoogeA123.

    https://youtu.be/V2fSmZvZiFU

    Replies: @QCIC, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Wokechoke, @Vajradhara

  63. @Mikhail
    @Mr. Hack

    Basic comprehension can be tough for some.

    Replies: @QCIC

    Mr. Hack, read the other sentence.

    He is saying these ethnic groups have various animosities between themselves independently of their feelings for Russia. In that context their animosity toward Russia is not as profound as some would claim. In other words it is all relative.

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack
  64. @Mr. Hack
    @A123

    I don't see anything that you've cited here as being in the least bit offensive to Jews or anybody else.
    Zelensky is an ethnic Jew who has real skin in the game as his family includes sacrifices to the Holocaust. And you? A moronic individual who whiles away the day playing auto racing video games and trying to come off as some kind of philosophic wiseman. Pathetic. And as for Bezalel Smotrich's wild attempt at slamming Zelensky with Ukrainian Holocast involvement, has he (or you) ever tallied up the number of Jewish kapos within the camps that were involved in rounding up their own for extermination? All of these pitiable individuals were only trying to save their own skins, whether Jews or Ukrainians.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky’s Easter Greetings within the “Great Sophia Cathedral” show that he’s a deeply spiritual man. It’s really a great speech, and it can be read below the video in English subtitles. He’s Jew that feels very close to Ukraine’s traditional Ukrainian Orthodox church. A real Judeo-Christian, not a phoney baloney one like you, kremlinstoogeA123.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    Everything about him seems fake.

    He is a gay comedian-actor.

    Obama was the last instance of such a fake and manipulative combination of scripted resolve and pathos.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mr. Hack

    Wrong actor for the part. He is for this one:

    https://static.independent.co.uk/s3fs-public/thumbnails/image/2019/12/13/11/ceausecu-execution.jpg

    , @Wokechoke
    @Mr. Hack

    It’s like looking in a fun house mirror. From a distance, thank god.

    , @Vajradhara
    @Mr. Hack

    Judeo-Christian LOL

    Surely you don't think the evil Asura called Yahveh, a jealous god who wants genocide of any tribe that does not worship him, has anything to do with the god of Yehoshuah/Jesus. OTOH, Yehoshuah claims in the Gospel of Luke that you have to hate your entire family if you want to be his followers, and that reminds me a bit of Judeo-Bolsheviks.

  65. Did the Chinese pay this woman?

    [MORE]

  66. A123 says: • Website
    @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    A123 promotes a theory that anyone who is against his favored brand of Zionists is probably an Islamist.

    While he doesn't give Jewish people the full recognition they deserve for running the world (without being asked to), his suspicion of Muslims in high places is probably valid.

    I'm not familiar enough with the details of the Hasbara troll organization to know which branch signs his paycheck.

    Replies: @A123, @Wokechoke

    It has little to nothing to do with Zionism. It is actually much simpler.

    Jews & Christians must stick together to fight their common enemy, followers of the Anti-Christ Muhammad. Practitioners of Judaism would, of course, not use that phrase. However, Muslim hate directed towards Jews is undeniable.
    ___

    -1- What do Jews get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Nothing. And, Palestinian Jews have remained neutral.

    -2- What do Muslims & IslamoGloboHomo get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Jihad is about killing Judeo-Christians, so that is a direct win. And, as I have noted multiple times, there is a flood of MENA and sub-Saharan Muslims entering the EU on forged Ukrainian documents. This is likely a full 1/3 of the total. Invasion is also a part of Jihad, so Islam wins again.

    Given that it is obvious that Jews are not involved #1 and Muslims are gaining #2 — Why would someone misallocate blame to Jews?

    • Islam seems like the most obvious cause.
    • What other explanation could there be? Mental infirmity perhaps?

    Can you explain his lying about Judeo-Christians generally & Jews specifically?

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @A123

    What do Jews get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Nothing. And, Palestinian Jews have remained neutral.

    What is a Judeo-Christian and can one simply be Christian?

    As for Israel they get cheap oil which is what I said would happened when this war started. Putin's fans however think this is somehow a war against Jews just because Zelensky is ethnically Jewish.

    Have a look at ILS to RUB
    https://wise.com/gb/currency-converter/ils-to-rub-rate

    The more the Ruble falls the cheaper their oil will get. This is because they don't have to pass sanctions due to being dependent on Russian oil.

    , @QCIC
    @A123

    Why guess? Most people eventually tell you what camp they are in. Everyone likes to wave the colors, even the cryptids!

    Your Judeo-Christian solidarity makes some sense, but we need a word that means "Jewish people who are also NOT followers of Kabbala or the Talmud". I suspect such a word exists.

    Replies: @Ennui

  67. A123 says: • Website
    @John Johnson
    @A123

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    He didn't flee when there was a bounty on his head and tanks in Kiev but a financial crisis will do it?

    ROTFL… If you do not like the term ‘capitulate’, feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    You Putin defenders need to stop fantasizing about taking Kiev.

    Putin already signaled that he wants Donbas. He can't return to Kiev with a conscript army in horses and T-55s.

    He wants to take Donbas and have his State TV declare that it was the goal the entire time. He doesn't give a fudge about the hopes and dreams of his US basement defense force.

    Replies: @A123, @Beckow

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.

    You are underestimating the cost and shipping time considerably. Consider moving grain from Ukraine to Egypt.

    Before:
        ♦ Grain went a short distance on rail to Odessa where it was loaded on a ship.
        ♦ The ocean leg through The Bosphorus was also short.

    Now:
        • Grain has to go a longer distance to the Polish border on wide gauge rail
        • Unload from wide gauge rail cars to silo
        • Load from silo to standard gauge rail cars
        • Long rail run to a Polish or German port
        • Transit the Baltic through the English Channel
        • Round Spain and cross the Mediterranean

    The costs are huge versus other more favourably located suppliers. While the consumer price may go up, the farmer sale price will collapse thus depriving Kiev of revenue.

    Another wrinkle. Are there enough standard gauge rail grain cars? The answer is “No”. There was never a demand for them. Will private industry build cars that have a five year payback without a guarantee of five years of service? Probably not. Alternate routes via Italian ports to cut down on ship time make the rail car shortage even worse.

    Kiev is in a very deep economic hole, entirely propped up from the outside. Will France and Germany pay the €uros to keep Kiev aggression going?

    PEACE 😇

  68. Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.

    You are underestimating the cost and shipping time considerably. Consider moving grain from Ukraine to Egypt.

    I’m not underestimating or overestimating anything. I haven’t provided any estimates.

    I said the cost of grain could rise enough to offset rail costs.

    Now:
    Grain has to go a longer distance to the Polish border on wide gauge rail
    Unload from wide gauge rail cars to silo
    Load from silo to standard gauge rail cars

    OMG ARE YOU SAYING THEY WILL HAVE TO USE A RAIL YARD LIKE THOMAS THE TRAIN???

    F_CK THEY ARE HOSED

    Moldova grain exports have increased and they are landlocked with only an old Soviet line
    https://moldovalive.md/moldovan-grain-exports-have-increased-considerably/

    They must be masters of 19th century railway tech.

  69. @A123
    @QCIC

    It has little to nothing to do with Zionism. It is actually much simpler.

    Jews & Christians must stick together to fight their common enemy, followers of the Anti-Christ Muhammad. Practitioners of Judaism would, of course, not use that phrase. However, Muslim hate directed towards Jews is undeniable.
    ___

    -1- What do Jews get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Nothing. And, Palestinian Jews have remained neutral.

    -2- What do Muslims & IslamoGloboHomo get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Jihad is about killing Judeo-Christians, so that is a direct win. And, as I have noted multiple times, there is a flood of MENA and sub-Saharan Muslims entering the EU on forged Ukrainian documents. This is likely a full 1/3 of the total. Invasion is also a part of Jihad, so Islam wins again.

    Given that it is obvious that Jews are not involved #1 and Muslims are gaining #2 -- Why would someone misallocate blame to Jews?

    • Islam seems like the most obvious cause.
    • What other explanation could there be? Mental infirmity perhaps?

    Can you explain his lying about Judeo-Christians generally & Jews specifically?

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC

    What do Jews get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Nothing. And, Palestinian Jews have remained neutral.

    What is a Judeo-Christian and can one simply be Christian?

    As for Israel they get cheap oil which is what I said would happened when this war started. Putin’s fans however think this is somehow a war against Jews just because Zelensky is ethnically Jewish.

    Have a look at ILS to RUB
    https://wise.com/gb/currency-converter/ils-to-rub-rate

    The more the Ruble falls the cheaper their oil will get. This is because they don’t have to pass sanctions due to being dependent on Russian oil.

  70. @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky's Easter Greetings within the "Great Sophia Cathedral" show that he's a deeply spiritual man. It's really a great speech, and it can be read below the video in English subtitles. He's Jew that feels very close to Ukraine's traditional Ukrainian Orthodox church. A real Judeo-Christian, not a phoney baloney one like you, kremlinstoogeA123.

    https://youtu.be/V2fSmZvZiFU

    Replies: @QCIC, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Wokechoke, @Vajradhara

    Everything about him seems fake.

    He is a gay comedian-actor.

    Obama was the last instance of such a fake and manipulative combination of scripted resolve and pathos.

    • Agree: Vajradhara
    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC

    His role as patriotic leader of his country is tops bar none. Try comparing him to Putler paying supporters to show up to a sports stadium and clap to his BS script on cue. Pathetic.

  71. @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail

    Appeasement would fold into the idea of either allying with Hitler or capitulating to Hitler without a fight. And of course agreeing to any demands that Hitler would have made in regards to Danzig and the Polish Corridor. FWIW, I do think that at the very least, Poland should have offered to agree to Danzig's return to Germany and to the construction of an extraterritorial road between East Prussia and the rest of Germany. A plebiscite in the Polish Corridor limited to 1918 residents (minus Gdynia) would have been unfair to Poland but one can argue that Poland should have accepted even this in order to avoid a war. Poland would at the very least get to keep Gdynia and have an extraterritorial road connecting Gdynia to the rest of Poland. If Hitler will subsequently go for more, the Anglo-French could have declared war on him them.

    And arguably the Anglo-French should have allied with the Soviets in 1939 to stop Hitler, even at the expense of throwing the Finns and Balts under the bus simply because stopping Hitler was much more important than who would have ruled Helsinki or Tallinn or Riga or Vilnius.

    Replies: @Beckow

    …Appeasement would fold into the idea of either allying with Hitler or capitulating to Hitler without a fight.

    You can label things all you want – each situation is different – all that matters is how a country or a nation does at the end. Poland in the late 30’s had a combination of aggressiveness (de facto attacking Czechs with Germany), one-sided devotion to Anglo-French, bottomless hatred for Russia, and weakness – Poland collapsed in 6 weeks. Poles did very badly in WW2 and were only saved by the Russian sacrifice who lost half a million soldiers liberating Poland. The Anglo-French lost zero.

    Poles don’t learn and don’t have even the most basic sense of geography or gratitude. They are posturing again with a combination of mindless aggressiveness against Russia and servility toward the Anglos. Only two realities matter – all else is empty talk – ask the two simple questions:
    – who would do better in a direct Poland-Russia confrontation?
    – how much would the Anglos sacrifice for Poland?

    The answers are obvious. They were also obvious in 1938-9. Maybe it really is the mushrooms.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Poland collapsed in 6 weeks. Poles did very badly in WW2 and were only saved by the Russian sacrifice who lost half a million soldiers liberating Poland. The Anglo-French lost zero.

    That is intellectually dishonest. The Red Army pushed Germany out of Poland so of course Western casualties were minimal.

    The loss of Poland is complicated and oversimplified in Western history in part because the role of the USSR is still an avoided subject. Liberals and leftists don't like talking about how Stalin gobbled up Eastern Europe with Hitler. Goes against the "only bad naughty fascists invade" narrative.

    First of all Poland wanted to defend the border because they were afraid that Germany would take a chunk and sit on it. It was clear that the British wanted to appease Hitler and the Poles were understandably concerned that Hitler would pull another "my last territory" speech after taking Germanic areas of Poland. They went against the advice of their own military advisors which was to build defenses around geographic advantages and let the Germans come in.

    They also expected an offensive from France against Germany from the West. Those nations were indeed at war with Germany and yet there was the "phony war" for nearly an entire year. The Germans were in fact surprised that it never came.

    Most importantly the Poles had no idea that Hitler made a deal with Stalin to split the country in two. It's amazing that the Germans were able to keep it a secret. This completely destroyed their defensive plan and scared the British into acting cautiously. The Brits were rightly concerned with the possibility of Stalin and Hitler teaming up to take the rest of Europe.

    But Poland definitely deserves some criticism. They should have been building up militias and training a home guard once Hitler took power. It's much harder to occupy a country when the population is hostile and well armed. Too many Poles naively assumed that they would be back to pre-WW1 lines with the Germans. They had no idea that Hitler planned on eliminating the state of Poland so the Allies would never be able to liberate it. Hitler took losing WW1 personally (he was a trench runner) and wanted a solution to Poland that couldn't be reversed.

    In German war records they speak of the Poles as fighting bravely. In the early Danzig battle the Germans were in fact surprised by the tenacity of the Poles. This is one of the earlier battles of WW2 and part of it was captured on video:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defence_of_the_Polish_Post_Office_in_Danzig

  72. Did the Indians and colonists really think the whip-poor-will was scary and why? (I’ve heard a lot scarier noises at night).

    Was it the ability of the bird to enter dreams that made them think of it as being especially liminal and which made them believe it was able to steal the soul? (Freddy Krueger passerine)

  73. @John Johnson
    @A123

    Kiev will soon be too broke to fight. The grain export deal is done. Train transport is not cheap and EE nations are protecting their nearby farmers. Where will the €uros come from?

    Or grain prices go up and offset the cost of moving by train.

    It is not hard to forsee what is coming. Zelensky will flee to his puppet masters (Scholz & Macron). The new destitute Ukrainian government will not have the wherewithal to continue aggression against Russian ethnics.

    He didn't flee when there was a bounty on his head and tanks in Kiev but a financial crisis will do it?

    ROTFL… If you do not like the term ‘capitulate’, feel free to substitute an alternative term for inevitable Kiev submission.

    You Putin defenders need to stop fantasizing about taking Kiev.

    Putin already signaled that he wants Donbas. He can't return to Kiev with a conscript army in horses and T-55s.

    He wants to take Donbas and have his State TV declare that it was the goal the entire time. He doesn't give a fudge about the hopes and dreams of his US basement defense force.

    Replies: @A123, @Beckow

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow. Or at least Rostov. And the Russia will collapse rhetoric?

    Ok, maybe it was just happy talk. But the situation on the ground has not changed much for over a year – an endless positional warfare with force meeting force, and Russia holding to its gains. The initial forays and attempts at forcing peace by Russia were modified because Kiev didn’t want peace – you see that as victory, others as the last opportunity Kiev missed to come out of the war relatively unscathed.

    What now? Russia has the upper hand and they can slowly bleed the Ukies. Europe devotes scarce resources to this war and will eventually scale it back – they need to focus on the living standards at home. You will celebrate the occasional “wins” like blowing up a car on some bridge or another querulous Russian general complaining about his higher-ups. What does that change?

    The deal has been on the table for over a decade: Nato stays out of Ukraine and the Russian minority gets self-determination. It is actually a fairly just deal based on the modern European values. The longer Ukies refuse the deal, the worse for them. More Ukies will die with more of their country destroyed. Cui bono?

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have – further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors – and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that? Or are the neo-con-with-angry-ethnics (Mr. Hacks) emotions and plans now sacrosanct?

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow.

    There you go projecting your own cheerleading again.

    Go ahead and find quotes to support your wild imagination.

    I've never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I'd be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol. I think it makes more sense to cut the bridges and let them stew. Crimea is a huge area and doesn't have as many agitated partisans as Mariupol.

    I have also said it is possible that Russia can still take Donbas.

    I am also of the opinion that Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived. Scott Ritter however claimed the offensive was over two weeks ago. In fact I said that Ukraine should focus on demoralizing the Russian public/army instead of fighting for land gains. I'm not against the offensive but I believe the best strategy for Ukraine would be to demoralize the Russian public and turn it into a Vietnam type situation. In fact I was critical of Western powers for being too demanding of a grand offensive.

    Maybe next time try responding to actual quotes instead of your imagination where you assume everyone makes bi-monthly doomsday victory declarations like Scott Ritter and MacGregor. If you want I can replay Ritter's video where he tells us that Wagner is under full control of the Russian military and anyone who believes they are independent is clueless. That was when Prigozhin was demanding more ammo and Ritter wrote it off as an internal squabble that can be ignored.

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have – further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors – and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that?

    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World's largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Wokechoke
    @Beckow

    Johnson is a terrorist in certain respects, he’s the guy Graeme Greene highlighted in The Quiet American.

    Stochastic terrorism R Us.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  74. @A123
    @QCIC

    It has little to nothing to do with Zionism. It is actually much simpler.

    Jews & Christians must stick together to fight their common enemy, followers of the Anti-Christ Muhammad. Practitioners of Judaism would, of course, not use that phrase. However, Muslim hate directed towards Jews is undeniable.
    ___

    -1- What do Jews get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Nothing. And, Palestinian Jews have remained neutral.

    -2- What do Muslims & IslamoGloboHomo get out of Judeo-Christians fighting Judeo-Christians in Ukraine? Jihad is about killing Judeo-Christians, so that is a direct win. And, as I have noted multiple times, there is a flood of MENA and sub-Saharan Muslims entering the EU on forged Ukrainian documents. This is likely a full 1/3 of the total. Invasion is also a part of Jihad, so Islam wins again.

    Given that it is obvious that Jews are not involved #1 and Muslims are gaining #2 -- Why would someone misallocate blame to Jews?

    • Islam seems like the most obvious cause.
    • What other explanation could there be? Mental infirmity perhaps?

    Can you explain his lying about Judeo-Christians generally & Jews specifically?

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC

    Why guess? Most people eventually tell you what camp they are in. Everyone likes to wave the colors, even the cryptids!

    Your Judeo-Christian solidarity makes some sense, but we need a word that means “Jewish people who are also NOT followers of Kabbala or the Talmud”. I suspect such a word exists.

    • Replies: @Ennui
    @QCIC

    It's time for the Karaites to take on a major geopolitical role. Unfortunately, there are only 1600 of them according to wikipedia.

    Replies: @QCIC

  75. @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ


    ...Appeasement would fold into the idea of either allying with Hitler or capitulating to Hitler without a fight.
     
    You can label things all you want - each situation is different - all that matters is how a country or a nation does at the end. Poland in the late 30's had a combination of aggressiveness (de facto attacking Czechs with Germany), one-sided devotion to Anglo-French, bottomless hatred for Russia, and weakness - Poland collapsed in 6 weeks. Poles did very badly in WW2 and were only saved by the Russian sacrifice who lost half a million soldiers liberating Poland. The Anglo-French lost zero.

    Poles don't learn and don't have even the most basic sense of geography or gratitude. They are posturing again with a combination of mindless aggressiveness against Russia and servility toward the Anglos. Only two realities matter - all else is empty talk - ask the two simple questions:
    - who would do better in a direct Poland-Russia confrontation?
    - how much would the Anglos sacrifice for Poland?

    The answers are obvious. They were also obvious in 1938-9. Maybe it really is the mushrooms.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Poland collapsed in 6 weeks. Poles did very badly in WW2 and were only saved by the Russian sacrifice who lost half a million soldiers liberating Poland. The Anglo-French lost zero.

    That is intellectually dishonest. The Red Army pushed Germany out of Poland so of course Western casualties were minimal.

    The loss of Poland is complicated and oversimplified in Western history in part because the role of the USSR is still an avoided subject. Liberals and leftists don’t like talking about how Stalin gobbled up Eastern Europe with Hitler. Goes against the “only bad naughty fascists invade” narrative.

    First of all Poland wanted to defend the border because they were afraid that Germany would take a chunk and sit on it. It was clear that the British wanted to appease Hitler and the Poles were understandably concerned that Hitler would pull another “my last territory” speech after taking Germanic areas of Poland. They went against the advice of their own military advisors which was to build defenses around geographic advantages and let the Germans come in.

    They also expected an offensive from France against Germany from the West. Those nations were indeed at war with Germany and yet there was the “phony war” for nearly an entire year. The Germans were in fact surprised that it never came.

    Most importantly the Poles had no idea that Hitler made a deal with Stalin to split the country in two. It’s amazing that the Germans were able to keep it a secret. This completely destroyed their defensive plan and scared the British into acting cautiously. The Brits were rightly concerned with the possibility of Stalin and Hitler teaming up to take the rest of Europe.

    But Poland definitely deserves some criticism. They should have been building up militias and training a home guard once Hitler took power. It’s much harder to occupy a country when the population is hostile and well armed. Too many Poles naively assumed that they would be back to pre-WW1 lines with the Germans. They had no idea that Hitler planned on eliminating the state of Poland so the Allies would never be able to liberate it. Hitler took losing WW1 personally (he was a trench runner) and wanted a solution to Poland that couldn’t be reversed.

    In German war records they speak of the Poles as fighting bravely. In the early Danzig battle the Germans were in fact surprised by the tenacity of the Poles. This is one of the earlier battles of WW2 and part of it was captured on video:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defence_of_the_Polish_Post_Office_in_Danzig

  76. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow. Or at least Rostov. And the Russia will collapse rhetoric?

    Ok, maybe it was just happy talk. But the situation on the ground has not changed much for over a year - an endless positional warfare with force meeting force, and Russia holding to its gains. The initial forays and attempts at forcing peace by Russia were modified because Kiev didn't want peace - you see that as victory, others as the last opportunity Kiev missed to come out of the war relatively unscathed.

    What now? Russia has the upper hand and they can slowly bleed the Ukies. Europe devotes scarce resources to this war and will eventually scale it back - they need to focus on the living standards at home. You will celebrate the occasional "wins" like blowing up a car on some bridge or another querulous Russian general complaining about his higher-ups. What does that change?

    The deal has been on the table for over a decade: Nato stays out of Ukraine and the Russian minority gets self-determination. It is actually a fairly just deal based on the modern European values. The longer Ukies refuse the deal, the worse for them. More Ukies will die with more of their country destroyed. Cui bono?

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have - further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors - and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that? Or are the neo-con-with-angry-ethnics (Mr. Hacks) emotions and plans now sacrosanct?

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wokechoke

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow.

    There you go projecting your own cheerleading again.

    Go ahead and find quotes to support your wild imagination.

    I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol. I think it makes more sense to cut the bridges and let them stew. Crimea is a huge area and doesn’t have as many agitated partisans as Mariupol.

    I have also said it is possible that Russia can still take Donbas.

    I am also of the opinion that Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived. Scott Ritter however claimed the offensive was over two weeks ago. In fact I said that Ukraine should focus on demoralizing the Russian public/army instead of fighting for land gains. I’m not against the offensive but I believe the best strategy for Ukraine would be to demoralize the Russian public and turn it into a Vietnam type situation. In fact I was critical of Western powers for being too demanding of a grand offensive.

    Maybe next time try responding to actual quotes instead of your imagination where you assume everyone makes bi-monthly doomsday victory declarations like Scott Ritter and MacGregor. If you want I can replay Ritter’s video where he tells us that Wagner is under full control of the Russian military and anyone who believes they are independent is clueless. That was when Prigozhin was demanding more ammo and Ritter wrote it off as an internal squabble that can be ignored.

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have – further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors – and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that?

    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World’s largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Russia is not in Ukraine to conquer it, but to keep NATO and the West out. This is only necessary because the West has been threatening Russia for a long time in various ways in many places.

    Since the West seems to be committed to injuring the Russian state by fighting in Ukraine there is a good chance Ukraine will be conquered. This will be a side effect of Russia's pushback against Western aggression, not a primary goal. I suspect Russia would have preferred to have Ukraine genuinely neutral.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol...
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now. Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential 'partisans' also seems made up. But whatever, wars are alike that - each side starts uber optimistic, then realities hit, then they don't want to talk about it, and then they settle for the best deal they can - for Ukies almost certainly much worse than if they had settled in 2021.

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference. Your idea that Russia will collapse internally ala US in Vietnam (or in Iraq, Afgan.) misreads the situation: for Russians this is a domestic war, it is not something half-way around the world building up the American imperium. You don't understand that, and thus you don't understand how this will play out.

    It is not "Putin" who sees it that way - it is a huge majority of people in Russia. If anything Putin is a relative moderate who has tried repeatedly to find a compromise. But your idea that the Russian speaking people in Ukraine who are a plurality (or were) in the south-east, who have endless relatives in Russia, studied and often worked there, are the same as "Vietnamese" to US only displays your ignorance. But whatever, let reality teach you...as with many Americans you simply don't understand the outside world. It is not all analogous to your American experiences like Vietnam.

    It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East.
     
    Would you suggest the same thing to the Ukies or to white Americans in the border regions that are becoming Hispanic? Give them $100k and resettle them in Canada. It would be cheaper - but why would you advocate ethnic cleansing of the Russians from Ukraine?

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wielgus

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World’s largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.
     
    They could have also been incentivized to resettle in the Kuban, which also has a mixed Russian-Ukrainian population, albeit with the Ukrainians becoming heavily Russified since the 1930s due to Stalin's purges and repressions.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  77. Addition:
    As for Rome yes it would have made sense for them to stop in the time of Augustus.

    They should have consolidated their gains around north Africa given its natural defenses. Keep a Mediterranean empire where they can send in naval support to any territory.

    Nothing remains of Rome. Not even its people.

    Italy is an admixture of Romans and the random tribes that raped them after the empire collapsed.

    So yes they went too far in their expansion. The expansion into Britain was entirely about ego and not economics. They could have traded with Brits and Germans instead of trying to conquer them.

    But I guess the Romans knew what they were doing. Their original bloodline is dead and their buildings are now tourist attractions. The mighty Rome is a place for selfies.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @John Johnson


    So yes they went too far in their expansion. The expansion into Britain was entirely ego and not economics. They could have traded with Brits and Germans instead of trying to conquer them.
     
    Perhaps, I am too influenced by sci-fi, but I kind of have the opposite idea. The focus on money and trade through the Middle East may have led to the Arab conquests.

    If Rome had been more concerned with the fringes of NW Europe (and they could have probably been less heavy-handed in their approach) then maybe, just maybe, that would have led to discovery of America, which would have probably revolutionized Rome and led to a far greater survival of literature.
    , @Vajradhara
    @John Johnson

    "Italy is an admixture of Romans and the random tribes that raped them after the empire collapsed."

    If you look at population genetics around the world, including most of Europe, it's the same pretty much everywhere.

  78. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow.

    There you go projecting your own cheerleading again.

    Go ahead and find quotes to support your wild imagination.

    I've never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I'd be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol. I think it makes more sense to cut the bridges and let them stew. Crimea is a huge area and doesn't have as many agitated partisans as Mariupol.

    I have also said it is possible that Russia can still take Donbas.

    I am also of the opinion that Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived. Scott Ritter however claimed the offensive was over two weeks ago. In fact I said that Ukraine should focus on demoralizing the Russian public/army instead of fighting for land gains. I'm not against the offensive but I believe the best strategy for Ukraine would be to demoralize the Russian public and turn it into a Vietnam type situation. In fact I was critical of Western powers for being too demanding of a grand offensive.

    Maybe next time try responding to actual quotes instead of your imagination where you assume everyone makes bi-monthly doomsday victory declarations like Scott Ritter and MacGregor. If you want I can replay Ritter's video where he tells us that Wagner is under full control of the Russian military and anyone who believes they are independent is clueless. That was when Prigozhin was demanding more ammo and Ritter wrote it off as an internal squabble that can be ignored.

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have – further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors – and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that?

    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World's largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

    Russia is not in Ukraine to conquer it, but to keep NATO and the West out. This is only necessary because the West has been threatening Russia for a long time in various ways in many places.

    Since the West seems to be committed to injuring the Russian state by fighting in Ukraine there is a good chance Ukraine will be conquered. This will be a side effect of Russia’s pushback against Western aggression, not a primary goal. I suspect Russia would have preferred to have Ukraine genuinely neutral.

    • Agree: Beckow, Mikhail, Vajradhara
    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Russia is not in Ukraine to conquer it, but to keep NATO and the West out. This is only necessary because the West has been threatening Russia for a long time in various ways in many places.

    So you believed they planned on doing what exactly? Why were there tanks in Kiev? That isn't trying to conquer a nation?

    Since the West seems to be committed to injuring the Russian state by fighting in Ukraine there is a good chance Ukraine will be conquered. This will be a side effect of Russia’s pushback against Western aggression, not a primary goal.


    Do you believe the offer to stay out of NATO was fake?
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    PARIS, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Vladimir Putin's chief envoy on Ukraine told the Russian leader as the war began that he had struck a provisional deal with Kyiv that would satisfy Russia's demand that Ukraine stay out of NATO, but Putin rejected it and pressed ahead with his military campaign, according to three people close to the Russian leadership.

    If the war ends and the offer is confirmed, will you admit that you have been cheering a homicidal dwarf that isn't motivated by Ukraine's status with NATO?

    Replies: @QCIC

  79. @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    A123 promotes a theory that anyone who is against his favored brand of Zionists is probably an Islamist.

    While he doesn't give Jewish people the full recognition they deserve for running the world (without being asked to), his suspicion of Muslims in high places is probably valid.

    I'm not familiar enough with the details of the Hasbara troll organization to know which branch signs his paycheck.

    Replies: @A123, @Wokechoke

    To be fair there are Mustapha Monds in high places. But what is striking about the Western Europeans is that the heads of state prefer a Turk to a Slav from Moscow.

    Go figure.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    The Turk wants power so he can be controlled. The Slav wants to be left alone.

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    MAGA people in the US also prefer a Turk over a traditional American (John Fetterman) when the Turk is perceived as being one of their own, such as Mehmet Oz. In his case, though, the Turk didn't have enough support to win the general election, though he did come close.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  80. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow. Or at least Rostov. And the Russia will collapse rhetoric?

    Ok, maybe it was just happy talk. But the situation on the ground has not changed much for over a year - an endless positional warfare with force meeting force, and Russia holding to its gains. The initial forays and attempts at forcing peace by Russia were modified because Kiev didn't want peace - you see that as victory, others as the last opportunity Kiev missed to come out of the war relatively unscathed.

    What now? Russia has the upper hand and they can slowly bleed the Ukies. Europe devotes scarce resources to this war and will eventually scale it back - they need to focus on the living standards at home. You will celebrate the occasional "wins" like blowing up a car on some bridge or another querulous Russian general complaining about his higher-ups. What does that change?

    The deal has been on the table for over a decade: Nato stays out of Ukraine and the Russian minority gets self-determination. It is actually a fairly just deal based on the modern European values. The longer Ukies refuse the deal, the worse for them. More Ukies will die with more of their country destroyed. Cui bono?

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have - further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors - and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that? Or are the neo-con-with-angry-ethnics (Mr. Hacks) emotions and plans now sacrosanct?

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wokechoke

    Johnson is a terrorist in certain respects, he’s the guy Graeme Greene highlighted in The Quiet American.

    Stochastic terrorism R Us.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke


    he’s the guy Graeme Greene highlighted in The Quiet American.
     
    More info, s'il vous plait?

    How did you reply to that so fast? Are you an editor on the comments board?
     
    No, I'm not. It was quite literally just random luck lol.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  81. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?

    I have just returned from a few weeks in the Sawtooth Valley, a reborn man, and am here to tell you it's one of the most enchanting places on this planet. It's not just the mountains, it's the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it's lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it's the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life's supreme revitalizing experiences, it's the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.

    And once one climbs into the mountains it's another world, of snow and ice, and cold lakes beneath mighty and brooding stone peaks and dark pine forests, the abode of the Gods that one cannot enter without feeling a slight shiver in the presence of the numinous ( I mean this seriously - the high mountain passes and valleys there have a strange numinous presence that I have not felt anywhere else for some reason).

    But perhaps you're gone, and so has everyone else, and this is just a sad ghost town now....

    Well, in case anyone with a soul is still here, I'd like to post some pictures below.

    Having traveled all over the world, there is something in the West one finds nowhere else I've been. D.H Lawrence once said the Taos valley was the most beautiful place in the world - yet if one looks only at pictures it's hard to understand why he'd say that. It's a beautiful place, sure, but visually it's not obviously better than any number of other places on other continents.

    Yet there is some quality of exhilaration in the mountain West that makes it unique, that astonishing golden summer light, the soft air, the scents, the endless horizons. A freshness, a purity, I've found nowhere else.

    What is to be done, but return again and again?

    My pictures do not do justice to this realm of Gods and fairies, fairies on the green lower slopes and titanic Gods and giants on the high mountain passes.

    The mountains are not that high. The highest are only around 10,000 feet or so. They remind me somewhat of the Sierras, perhaps, but with a very different "feel".

    https://i.imgur.com/6XJSWZo.jpg




    https://i.imgur.com/hCNrvuW.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/UbKLmVo.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/KZDRvhl.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/2H8zvjE.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/DbPiHSe.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/QZglP1Q.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XHGPiMg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/w8DGeAk.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/sr6mcB8.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/fenfwNa.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/G1KIwMr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/qY5Z0Mr.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/pZsL4Mg.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/oNsIqyN.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/XXdGdqb.jpeg

    https://i.imgur.com/LLjL88q.jpeg

    Replies: @sudden death, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack, @Mikel

    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?

    Yes, my little grasshopper. This old mountain goat has not yet totally given in to his natural instincts and still tries to find some pleasure in online discussions though there has been quite little of that here lately. But in just a couple of hours I’ll be running in the wild through bushes of mahogany and gamble oak all the way up to my lookout. The experts are saying that we should all stay in the shade during the middle hours of the day but I don’t feel like that advice concerns old rams, bucks and goats, born to jump in the wild regardless of the season, so I’m not listening.

    Thanks for those beautiful pictures. That must be Mt Regan, of course. It’s funny, only a couple of days ago I decided to fall asleep on my couch watching with no sound an Amazon Prime documentary of Idaho from the air. One of the things that caught my eye is what you’re showing here: the magnificent ruggedness of the Central Idaho mountains. Some mountains are shaped in such a way that you can always find some feasible route to the top without too much exposure. Most of the Wasatch are like that. But some others, like the aptly named Sawtooth, look unconquerable from all sides.

    The other thing that came to my mind before falling asleep, and that you also allude to, was how vast and varied a single state of the US West is compared to any country in Europe. Idaho has lake and forest country in the North, reminiscent of what Germany/Austria/Central Europe must have looked like in the distant past, very high Alpine landscapes in the center, deserts and dunes in the South and Siberian-like forest/steppes in the eastern high plateau. And you can basically repeat this astounding combination in most other Western states. You are right that one is very unlikely to find anything like the US West anywhere else in the world.

    Did you spend several weeks just in the Sawtooth area? Did you hike a lot or just chill in the invigorating air of the valley?

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Good that you're not deterred by the heat. I flew out of SLC on Sunday, putting my car in storage (I'm returning to the West in a month), and it was 101 degrees - I didn't mind it at all! I did a nice late morning hike near Tremonton, Utah, on my drive from Sawtooth to the airport, and didn't think the heat was at all overpowering. The skies were still piercingly clear and blue and the mountains bathed in golden light - what could I complain about? But as you say, mountain goats are not so easily bothered by - so-called by humans, feeble, fragile creatures - extreme weather, so I'm sure you enjoyed yourself thoroughly :)

    I landed around midnight in NYC to 93% humidity and 75 degrees, and it was like stepping into a hot, soupy bath! It reminded me of the shock of my first trip to India in 2001 - NY stinks in the summer, too, like India or any tropical Asian country. It's just a funky city.

    Yep, the Sawtooths, despite not being particularly high, make up for it by being exceptionally rugged, and hiking in them is unexpectedly thrilling.

    It's funny - I was there last summer too, and did a few shorter hikes, and thought it was a great area - but somehow this time, I lingered and really entered into the rhythm and spirit of the place, and felt that it really revealed it's soul and secrets to me. I'm not sure what changed but this time it really "hit different", as the millennials say. I spent two weeks in that valley.

    I did many long hikes deep into the backcountry, 20+ mile days, but other days I simply basked in the edenic glory of that broad and green valley. I had a fantastic and secluded dispersed camping spot high up on a promontory overlooking the valley, and those bright, cold mornings I'd spend drinking my coffee, congratulating myself on my good luck.

    There are million dollar ranches in that pristine valley, and my view was every bit as good and private - for free :) Who says you needs money?

    The hot afternoons I'd spend dipping my feet into the cold rushing Salmon river which winds through the entire valley, and in the evenings I'd read from the Jade Mountain by Witter Bynner, a 9th century Tang era anthology of Chinese poetry - nothing evokes remote mountains, deserts, full moons, lonely border fortresses, armies in distant lands, distant journeys through wild country, wilderness hermits, pining princesses, and temples perched on remote cliffs, as Tang era poetry!

    Everyone should read Tang poetry.

    And then those hikes into the high land of rock, ice, and snow, to visit the Giants and Trolls - a completely different kind of pleasure,

    Excellent point about the astounding variety of the American West, that probably surpasses that of anywhere else.

    I spent part of the first few weeks of my trip in the red rock country of southern Utah, where this year's cold spring stretched into the summer, making for perfectly cool weather.

    Perhaps you'll recognize this picture from a hike into the backcountry of a national park you've mentioned on this forum once before....

    https://i.imgur.com/f3A3lJu.jpg

    Replies: @Mikel

  82. @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    To be fair there are Mustapha Monds in high places. But what is striking about the Western Europeans is that the heads of state prefer a Turk to a Slav from Moscow.

    Go figure.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    The Turk wants power so he can be controlled. The Slav wants to be left alone.

  83. @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky's Easter Greetings within the "Great Sophia Cathedral" show that he's a deeply spiritual man. It's really a great speech, and it can be read below the video in English subtitles. He's Jew that feels very close to Ukraine's traditional Ukrainian Orthodox church. A real Judeo-Christian, not a phoney baloney one like you, kremlinstoogeA123.

    https://youtu.be/V2fSmZvZiFU

    Replies: @QCIC, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Wokechoke, @Vajradhara

    Wrong actor for the part. He is for this one:

  84. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow.

    There you go projecting your own cheerleading again.

    Go ahead and find quotes to support your wild imagination.

    I've never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I'd be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol. I think it makes more sense to cut the bridges and let them stew. Crimea is a huge area and doesn't have as many agitated partisans as Mariupol.

    I have also said it is possible that Russia can still take Donbas.

    I am also of the opinion that Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived. Scott Ritter however claimed the offensive was over two weeks ago. In fact I said that Ukraine should focus on demoralizing the Russian public/army instead of fighting for land gains. I'm not against the offensive but I believe the best strategy for Ukraine would be to demoralize the Russian public and turn it into a Vietnam type situation. In fact I was critical of Western powers for being too demanding of a grand offensive.

    Maybe next time try responding to actual quotes instead of your imagination where you assume everyone makes bi-monthly doomsday victory declarations like Scott Ritter and MacGregor. If you want I can replay Ritter's video where he tells us that Wagner is under full control of the Russian military and anyone who believes they are independent is clueless. That was when Prigozhin was demanding more ammo and Ritter wrote it off as an internal squabble that can be ignored.

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have – further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors – and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that?

    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World's largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

    …I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol…

    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now. Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential ‘partisans’ also seems made up. But whatever, wars are alike that – each side starts uber optimistic, then realities hit, then they don’t want to talk about it, and then they settle for the best deal they can – for Ukies almost certainly much worse than if they had settled in 2021.

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.

    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference. Your idea that Russia will collapse internally ala US in Vietnam (or in Iraq, Afgan.) misreads the situation: for Russians this is a domestic war, it is not something half-way around the world building up the American imperium. You don’t understand that, and thus you don’t understand how this will play out.

    It is not “Putin” who sees it that way – it is a huge majority of people in Russia. If anything Putin is a relative moderate who has tried repeatedly to find a compromise. But your idea that the Russian speaking people in Ukraine who are a plurality (or were) in the south-east, who have endless relatives in Russia, studied and often worked there, are the same as “Vietnamese” to US only displays your ignorance. But whatever, let reality teach you…as with many Americans you simply don’t understand the outside world. It is not all analogous to your American experiences like Vietnam.

    It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East.

    Would you suggest the same thing to the Ukies or to white Americans in the border regions that are becoming Hispanic? Give them $100k and resettle them in Canada. It would be cheaper – but why would you advocate ethnic cleansing of the Russians from Ukraine?

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol…
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now.

    Well I think you are assuming a similar level of fanboyism in everyone but feel free to dig through my history. I said the tanks could potentially cause a rout but most haven't arrived. I also said an offensive is worth the effort if they are willing to fight. Makes sense to use all this Western hardware instead of accepting the current borders. However I thought announcing an offensive was a mistake and I was critical of the West for pushing one. A creeping unannounced offensive is the better path but that is out.

    If Ukrainian men are willing to fight then I fully support arming them. But Crimea is tricky and I'm not convinced they should head south. However I don't know their actual losses and neither does the Putin defense force. There is a lot of mystery to us observers. MacGregor told us last year that they were down to old men and boys and I watch daily video of Ukrainian military men fighting in trenches. So his "inside sources" are clearly bullshit.

    Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential ‘partisans’ also seems made up.

    My description of potential partisans in Mariupol isn't made up. It's from reading the news:
    https://news.yahoo.com/mariupol-partisans-set-fire-house-183800509.html

    Russians have in fact been on the hunt for them:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-sweeping-mariupol-pro-ukrainian-173700965.html

    Mariupol is nearly split between ethnic Russians and Ukrainians.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol#Demographics

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference.

    I don't know the timeframe. They are using the Bradleys selectively and we haven't seen the full tank force and the Strikers. I've seen some Australian Bushmasters in use and the Ukrainains seem to like them. Maybe they are waiting for F16s, maybe they are still probing and mine clearing. I don't know. Unlike MacGregor and Ritter I am actually fine with stating that I'm not sure of what exactly is happening on the battlefield at the moment. It's possible that they want to wait and make sure a path is cleared. Modern offensives of this scale normally take months. I don't know why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks as Ritter declared. Both sides have used mines effectively. I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Greasy William, @Beckow

    , @Wielgus
    @Beckow

    I doubt whether armour will turn things around anyway. They are too easy for drones to detect, and too vulnerable to missiles. Kiev's apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.

    Replies: @Beckow, @A123

  85. @Sher Singh
    Dropped 15lb + one side of the bar on my big toe.
    Next day literally 0 pain - still buddy taped so haven't checked swelling.

    How long till I can run? Plates were rubber coated.
    A metal 10lb plate broke my R Big Toe couple years back, this is left this time..

    :/

    Also -


    https://twitter.com/Kharkuu96/status/1680447305881616385?s=20

    https://twitter.com/Jeremy_MacKenzi/status/1680655941472079874?s=20

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Sean, @Emil Nikola Richard

    AI Nietzsche Strongman

    Julien Pineau

    He is really into weight sleds.

  86. @Europe Europa
    NATO's biggest problem is its own populations, especially in the West. I live in the UK and I would say most native Brits are cowards with no fight in them. Most of the pro-Ukraine crowd would be absolutely morally opposed to actually going and fighting Russians in a draft.

    They would also be morally outraged if NATO took the fight directly to Russia itself, hang-wringing about "innocents" being killed.

    Native Brits have too many moral hang ups for total war.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Brits had no problem being drafted for Poland back in 1939.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Britain didn’t really take the war seriously until the fiasco in Norway.
    A lot of astute guys like Ian Fleming’s (Bond writer) brother Major Peter Fleming pointed out that France would get overrun if German superiority in Norway were replicated in France.

    Peter’s memo to MOD helped cause the downfall of Chamberlain.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  87. @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    To be fair there are Mustapha Monds in high places. But what is striking about the Western Europeans is that the heads of state prefer a Turk to a Slav from Moscow.

    Go figure.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    MAGA people in the US also prefer a Turk over a traditional American (John Fetterman) when the Turk is perceived as being one of their own, such as Mehmet Oz. In his case, though, the Turk didn’t have enough support to win the general election, though he did come close.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Fetterman is a vegetable though.

    Although I had no dog in that fight.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  88. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You have clipped your previous ambitions. What happened to the glorious offensive to defeat Russia, push them away from the Azov Sea, capture Crimea and march on Moscow.

    There you go projecting your own cheerleading again.

    Go ahead and find quotes to support your wild imagination.

    I've never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I'd be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol. I think it makes more sense to cut the bridges and let them stew. Crimea is a huge area and doesn't have as many agitated partisans as Mariupol.

    I have also said it is possible that Russia can still take Donbas.

    I am also of the opinion that Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived. Scott Ritter however claimed the offensive was over two weeks ago. In fact I said that Ukraine should focus on demoralizing the Russian public/army instead of fighting for land gains. I'm not against the offensive but I believe the best strategy for Ukraine would be to demoralize the Russian public and turn it into a Vietnam type situation. In fact I was critical of Western powers for being too demanding of a grand offensive.

    Maybe next time try responding to actual quotes instead of your imagination where you assume everyone makes bi-monthly doomsday victory declarations like Scott Ritter and MacGregor. If you want I can replay Ritter's video where he tells us that Wagner is under full control of the Russian military and anyone who believes they are independent is clueless. That was when Prigozhin was demanding more ammo and Ritter wrote it off as an internal squabble that can be ignored.

    Augustus in his testament wrote: Rome should stop expanding and focus on preserving what they have – further imperial expansion will jeopardize the gains Rome made. It was a good advice, largely followed by his successors – and Rome went on for four more centuries. Can you learn from that?

    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World's largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World’s largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.

    They could have also been incentivized to resettle in the Kuban, which also has a mixed Russian-Ukrainian population, albeit with the Ukrainians becoming heavily Russified since the 1930s due to Stalin’s purges and repressions.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    That’s absolute bullshit. The economic goods exported from much of Siberia, Southern Russia and the Urals area are fed into the world economy via Rostov on Don through Kerch and ultimately out into international waters after Istanbul. A Turkish choke point and place of interest for NATO.

    Cut off Kerch what do you get? Russia (at least that part of it trading through the Azov) can’t trade according to prices it wishes to set nor are these going to be commodities reflecting free market prices. Every grain ship through Kerch will be subject to Nuland-Zelenskyy Fees.


    The war could be said to be fixing grain, lumber and metal prices along with oil with a 5% cut for these Jews.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  89. @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    Everything about him seems fake.

    He is a gay comedian-actor.

    Obama was the last instance of such a fake and manipulative combination of scripted resolve and pathos.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    His role as patriotic leader of his country is tops bar none. Try comparing him to Putler paying supporters to show up to a sports stadium and clap to his BS script on cue. Pathetic.

  90. It’s quite interesting how Hungarians tried to make Westerners understand the gravity of the Trianon Treaty:

    The closest analogy here would be England if it lost Wales, Scotland, all of Ireland, and possibly the Isle of Man and Cornwall as well.

    Though I suppose that Prussia could be another good analogy here if Germany was completely dismembered after the end of World War I.

    From an ethnic perspective, Trianon was slightly but not hugely unfair for Hungary:

    I suspect that the Magyar-majority territories around Subotica not being kept within Hungary was the most unfair part here. Czechoslovakia and Romania unfortunately needed to have some Magyar-majority territories in order to secure their communication lines (railroads, roads, et cetera).

  91. Maybe a bit stupid question, but I was wondering why during wars offensives of fighting parties almost never coincide with each other, almost as if everyone was waiting for his turn to make a move as in chess. The consequence of this, for example, is that there never will be again a big tank battle, since you don’t fight with tank against tank anymore.
    The only case I know where offensives did almost coincide was the operation Citadel in 1943.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Tank on Tank combat was rare in ww2.

    Gembloux Gap and Stonne.

    Arras.

    Some bad business at Gazala.


    Prokorovka inside the Citadel offensive was a proper tank on tank slug fest.

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Possibly because it's wise to try bleeding your opponent dry by playing defense before you will actually resume your own offensive operations?

    , @John Johnson
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Maybe a bit stupid question, but I was wondering why during wars offensives of fighting parties almost never coincide with each other, almost as if everyone was waiting for his turn to make a move as in chess.

    Not a stupid question at all. Modern war is very much like chess.

    It's because it is much harder to move an army without the other side knowing due to advances in communication. With modern sats it's near impossible.

    If I see your column of tanks coming from 30 miles away then it doesn't make sense for me to move my artillery unless I need to.

    What I want is for you to bring tanks into artillery range. Or better yet run into my mines at an exact point where I will then unleash artillery. Both sides use this tactic.

    If your tanks are disabled by mines and my artillery isn't around....that is also a success. You are in the middle of nowhere. If you decide to camp I can send out a drone. Or you can drag a tank back to your base. Watch out for those mines. It appears that Russians abandon their tanks most of the time.

    The mines and drones really make it difficult. Both sides can launch mines from artillery. So they can actually put mines behind you. Your supply trucks come and aren't aware that new mines were laid. It's a very nasty war.

    The only case I know where offensives did almost coincide was the operation Citadel in 1943.

    Kursk was indeed a Hollywood style massive tank battle with both sides pushing forward.

    It was completely reckless of the Germans to proceed when Soviets were dug in. The German high command wanted to bleed the Soviets in defensive actions but Hitler was obsessed with "one big battle" to demoralize the Soviets.

  92. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Well hello there Coconuts.

    I'm sure Glubbs ideas are still floating around and have not entirely disappeared. It seems he observed a true pattern, but Mcgilchrists work is filling out the details of the psychology behind it and substantially adding to the picture, which was mere sn intriguing suggestion in Glubb.

    Hippy tendencies are perennial

    All ancient cultures understood the tendency of the human mind to get lost in left hemisphere thinking. Zen is in large measure a deliberate antidote to the tendency of Japanese culture to smother itself in a thicket of life-killing rules and regulations, and a return to life--affirming freshness and spontaneity. Likewise Chinese civilization had a pronounced tendency to lose itself in formalistic life-killing rules and ceremonies, and Taoist literature is a rich antidote to this - and the Chinese literati found Taoism indispensable, even if they lived in the rules bound court they found it necessary to artistically cultivate freshness and spontaneity.

    Jesus himself famously opposed the arid legalism of the Jewish Pharisees, but I'd argue he also came to free the ancient world from the Pharaseeism that had overtaken Roman culture, and led the whole pagan world to become stuck, stymied, and chronically frustrated, with resignation before Fate being the highest conceivable ideal in such a ln environment.

    And that unleashed a fresh burst of enthusiasm onto the world.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    And that unleashed a fresh burst of enthusiasm onto the world.

    I think looking at Christian history there is a pattern of periodic renewal or revivals, these could cause significant upheavals, so this potential in Christianity did not disappear for a long time.

    Imo one of the problems the mainstream Churches have at the moment is that they are too safe and repeat official or mainstream messaging too much, often without a lot of spiritual explanation or context.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    As long as Christianity was a living, vital thing it had a boundless capacity for reinvention and creative ferment, as everything alive changes and rigidity belongs to death, but all religions eventually die from "institutional capture", and disappear into the enervating banality of the mainstream, where they are lost.

    David Bentley Hart had an interesting recent essay on the future of Christianity - in it, he suggests Christendom cannot return, as it's an exhausted historical form, but the mystical and gnostic (not to be confused with Gnosticism) religion of the early Christians which began to be suppressed almost from its inception, can - as it's scarcely been tried.

  93. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    MAGA people in the US also prefer a Turk over a traditional American (John Fetterman) when the Turk is perceived as being one of their own, such as Mehmet Oz. In his case, though, the Turk didn't have enough support to win the general election, though he did come close.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Fetterman is a vegetable though.

    Although I had no dog in that fight.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    He was recovering from a stroke.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  94. @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Fetterman is a vegetable though.

    Although I had no dog in that fight.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    He was recovering from a stroke.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    How did you reply to that so fast? Are you an editor on the comments board?

  95. @Another Polish Perspective
    Maybe a bit stupid question, but I was wondering why during wars offensives of fighting parties almost never coincide with each other, almost as if everyone was waiting for his turn to make a move as in chess. The consequence of this, for example, is that there never will be again a big tank battle, since you don't fight with tank against tank anymore.
    The only case I know where offensives did almost coincide was the operation Citadel in 1943.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Tank on Tank combat was rare in ww2.

    Gembloux Gap and Stonne.

    Arras.

    Some bad business at Gazala.

    Prokorovka inside the Citadel offensive was a proper tank on tank slug fest.

  96. @Another Polish Perspective
    Maybe a bit stupid question, but I was wondering why during wars offensives of fighting parties almost never coincide with each other, almost as if everyone was waiting for his turn to make a move as in chess. The consequence of this, for example, is that there never will be again a big tank battle, since you don't fight with tank against tank anymore.
    The only case I know where offensives did almost coincide was the operation Citadel in 1943.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Possibly because it’s wise to try bleeding your opponent dry by playing defense before you will actually resume your own offensive operations?

  97. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    He was recovering from a stroke.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    How did you reply to that so fast? Are you an editor on the comments board?

  98. @Wokechoke
    @Beckow

    Johnson is a terrorist in certain respects, he’s the guy Graeme Greene highlighted in The Quiet American.

    Stochastic terrorism R Us.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    he’s the guy Graeme Greene highlighted in The Quiet American.

    More info, s’il vous plait?

    How did you reply to that so fast? Are you an editor on the comments board?

    No, I’m not. It was quite literally just random luck lol.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Exploding bicycles in Saigon and Hanoi whil the French were still there.

  99. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Russia is not in Ukraine to conquer it, but to keep NATO and the West out. This is only necessary because the West has been threatening Russia for a long time in various ways in many places.

    Since the West seems to be committed to injuring the Russian state by fighting in Ukraine there is a good chance Ukraine will be conquered. This will be a side effect of Russia's pushback against Western aggression, not a primary goal. I suspect Russia would have preferred to have Ukraine genuinely neutral.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Russia is not in Ukraine to conquer it, but to keep NATO and the West out. This is only necessary because the West has been threatening Russia for a long time in various ways in many places.

    So you believed they planned on doing what exactly? Why were there tanks in Kiev? That isn’t trying to conquer a nation?

    Since the West seems to be committed to injuring the Russian state by fighting in Ukraine there is a good chance Ukraine will be conquered. This will be a side effect of Russia’s pushback against Western aggression, not a primary goal.

    Do you believe the offer to stay out of NATO was fake?
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    PARIS, Sept 14 (Reuters) – Vladimir Putin’s chief envoy on Ukraine told the Russian leader as the war began that he had struck a provisional deal with Kyiv that would satisfy Russia’s demand that Ukraine stay out of NATO, but Putin rejected it and pressed ahead with his military campaign, according to three people close to the Russian leadership.

    If the war ends and the offer is confirmed, will you admit that you have been cheering a homicidal dwarf that isn’t motivated by Ukraine’s status with NATO?

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country. This NATO aspect to the conflict includes many different facets of the Western-Russian relationship since the fall of the USSR and is not simple.

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    I try to keep the full context of this situation in mind, starting with the Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty (ABM) and other critical nuclear disarmament treaties dropped by the USA. Also the previous NATO expansions, other Western meddling in Russian border countries, Maidan, etc. There is a bigger picture here which is recognizable to people willing to open their eyes and minds.

    My hunch is the West had serious plans in place to take Crimea before Russia went to Kiev. Russia probably could have stopped the Crimea attack, but it might have been a giant mess. I don't think they were prepared for this bold (insane) move by the West. Instead, Moscow went for the feint on Kiev to break up the Western plan. Even so the Russian forces were clearly not ready to fight for reasons you have pointed out previously.

    People should consider that "fighting to the last Ukrainian" is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  100. @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol...
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now. Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential 'partisans' also seems made up. But whatever, wars are alike that - each side starts uber optimistic, then realities hit, then they don't want to talk about it, and then they settle for the best deal they can - for Ukies almost certainly much worse than if they had settled in 2021.

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference. Your idea that Russia will collapse internally ala US in Vietnam (or in Iraq, Afgan.) misreads the situation: for Russians this is a domestic war, it is not something half-way around the world building up the American imperium. You don't understand that, and thus you don't understand how this will play out.

    It is not "Putin" who sees it that way - it is a huge majority of people in Russia. If anything Putin is a relative moderate who has tried repeatedly to find a compromise. But your idea that the Russian speaking people in Ukraine who are a plurality (or were) in the south-east, who have endless relatives in Russia, studied and often worked there, are the same as "Vietnamese" to US only displays your ignorance. But whatever, let reality teach you...as with many Americans you simply don't understand the outside world. It is not all analogous to your American experiences like Vietnam.

    It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East.
     
    Would you suggest the same thing to the Ukies or to white Americans in the border regions that are becoming Hispanic? Give them $100k and resettle them in Canada. It would be cheaper - but why would you advocate ethnic cleansing of the Russians from Ukraine?

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wielgus

    …I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol…

    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now.

    Well I think you are assuming a similar level of fanboyism in everyone but feel free to dig through my history. I said the tanks could potentially cause a rout but most haven’t arrived. I also said an offensive is worth the effort if they are willing to fight. Makes sense to use all this Western hardware instead of accepting the current borders. However I thought announcing an offensive was a mistake and I was critical of the West for pushing one. A creeping unannounced offensive is the better path but that is out.

    If Ukrainian men are willing to fight then I fully support arming them. But Crimea is tricky and I’m not convinced they should head south. However I don’t know their actual losses and neither does the Putin defense force. There is a lot of mystery to us observers. MacGregor told us last year that they were down to old men and boys and I watch daily video of Ukrainian military men fighting in trenches. So his “inside sources” are clearly bullshit.

    Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential ‘partisans’ also seems made up.

    My description of potential partisans in Mariupol isn’t made up. It’s from reading the news:
    https://news.yahoo.com/mariupol-partisans-set-fire-house-183800509.html

    Russians have in fact been on the hunt for them:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-sweeping-mariupol-pro-ukrainian-173700965.html

    Mariupol is nearly split between ethnic Russians and Ukrainians.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol#Demographics

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.

    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference.

    I don’t know the timeframe. They are using the Bradleys selectively and we haven’t seen the full tank force and the Strikers. I’ve seen some Australian Bushmasters in use and the Ukrainains seem to like them. Maybe they are waiting for F16s, maybe they are still probing and mine clearing. I don’t know. Unlike MacGregor and Ritter I am actually fine with stating that I’m not sure of what exactly is happening on the battlefield at the moment. It’s possible that they want to wait and make sure a path is cleared. Modern offensives of this scale normally take months. I don’t know why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks as Ritter declared. Both sides have used mines effectively. I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Although I've gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States. But that just doesn't appear to be the way things are going. The Russian army continues to get bigger and better equipped and it is the West who are unable to deal with the Ukrainian army's need for ammunition and weaponry. The Western wunderwaffen that have arrived are no longer making a meaningful impact and the US is all but explicitly stating that it will not attempt to build up the Ukrainian air force while the war continues.

    It used to be in the times that I thought Russia would win, I felt that way because I thought Russia would be able to wait out the US, but now I think Russia is a credible threat to win the war outright. This war has exposed just how hollow the US military industrial complex really is. The US doesn't produce anything that Russia and China are unable to counter and US military industry simply cannot produce the sheer quantity of weaponry that this war demands.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it's defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country. It does appear like plans to put a Polish led force in Ukraine are already in the works.

    But when this war finally ends, it's gonna be on Russia's terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @John Johnson, @sudden death

    , @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks...Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    It has been 6 weeks and Ukies have been probing and losing a lot of men. The Ukies willingness to fight varies, check out the videos of men dragged by force of the streets. Or the millions of Ukies who left the country.

    Why do you think that Russia could be demoralized? Based on the US experience - the losses in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan - it takes 5-10 years for a demoralization. For Russia (not "Putin") this is a domestic war, on its border, people speak Russian, it has been on-and-off a part of Russia for hundreds of years. It is not Iraq. Mariupol is 90% Russian speaking, that matters.

    Any "coup" would be along more nationalist lines. The potential dissatisfaction in Russia is from the more radical people, like Prigozhin. They don't understand why more massive bombing and escalation have not been done. It is not the 'liberals' who would stage a coup - at this point they can barely take over a medium-size coffee shop in Moscow.

    You claim that you are nuanced. Well, then think it through - the Australian Bushmasters are not going to win the war. And time is not on Ukie side.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  101. @Another Polish Perspective
    Maybe a bit stupid question, but I was wondering why during wars offensives of fighting parties almost never coincide with each other, almost as if everyone was waiting for his turn to make a move as in chess. The consequence of this, for example, is that there never will be again a big tank battle, since you don't fight with tank against tank anymore.
    The only case I know where offensives did almost coincide was the operation Citadel in 1943.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Maybe a bit stupid question, but I was wondering why during wars offensives of fighting parties almost never coincide with each other, almost as if everyone was waiting for his turn to make a move as in chess.

    Not a stupid question at all. Modern war is very much like chess.

    It’s because it is much harder to move an army without the other side knowing due to advances in communication. With modern sats it’s near impossible.

    If I see your column of tanks coming from 30 miles away then it doesn’t make sense for me to move my artillery unless I need to.

    What I want is for you to bring tanks into artillery range. Or better yet run into my mines at an exact point where I will then unleash artillery. Both sides use this tactic.

    If your tanks are disabled by mines and my artillery isn’t around….that is also a success. You are in the middle of nowhere. If you decide to camp I can send out a drone. Or you can drag a tank back to your base. Watch out for those mines. It appears that Russians abandon their tanks most of the time.

    The mines and drones really make it difficult. Both sides can launch mines from artillery. So they can actually put mines behind you. Your supply trucks come and aren’t aware that new mines were laid. It’s a very nasty war.

    The only case I know where offensives did almost coincide was the operation Citadel in 1943.

    Kursk was indeed a Hollywood style massive tank battle with both sides pushing forward.

    It was completely reckless of the Germans to proceed when Soviets were dug in. The German high command wanted to bleed the Soviets in defensive actions but Hitler was obsessed with “one big battle” to demoralize the Soviets.

  102. A123 says: • Website

    The CCP gets more bad news. (1)

    Two years after it was halted, left for dead, and effectively bankrupted in a controlled demolition, China’s one-time property giant, Evergrande, reported long-delayed results and boy were they a whopper: they showed that in 2021 and 2022, the company generated mindblowing losses of $113 billion, on $340 billion in liabilities.

     

     

    The developer’s debt pile meanwhile continued to balloon, with total liabilities reaching 2.58 trillion yuan at the end of 2021, or almost $360 billion, on soaring undelivered projects. That figure fell slightly to 2.44 trillion yuan as of December last year.

    The biggest liabilities last year were from trade and other payables, which stood at around 1 trillion yuan as of December. Current borrowings fell slightly from a year earlier to 587 billion yuan.

    “The results are not encouraging at all,” said Ting Meng, a senior credit strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group. While not a game changer, they confirm how the company has been in deep distress and struggling with operations and repayments, Meng said.

    So one company has admitted they are out $113 billion, and they have an additional problem for $360 billion, on soaring undelivered projects. Call it $500 billion to make the math easy.

    Evergrande is the largest at 10-20% of the market, but this is a sector wide defect due to CCP central management. China’s housing sector is looking at between $2.5 to $5.0 trillion in losses. And, it has a devastating ripple effects to regional banks, construction suppliers, and individuals who have lost everything.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/chinas-evergrande-reports-113-billion-loss-over-two-years

  103. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Yes that is good advice and should have been taken by Putin. World’s largest country with population decline and abandoned cities in Siberia. It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East. As I pointed out recently the state of Washington has more people than the Eastern 20% of Russia.
     
    They could have also been incentivized to resettle in the Kuban, which also has a mixed Russian-Ukrainian population, albeit with the Ukrainians becoming heavily Russified since the 1930s due to Stalin's purges and repressions.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    That’s absolute bullshit. The economic goods exported from much of Siberia, Southern Russia and the Urals area are fed into the world economy via Rostov on Don through Kerch and ultimately out into international waters after Istanbul. A Turkish choke point and place of interest for NATO.

    Cut off Kerch what do you get? Russia (at least that part of it trading through the Azov) can’t trade according to prices it wishes to set nor are these going to be commodities reflecting free market prices. Every grain ship through Kerch will be subject to Nuland-Zelenskyy Fees.

    The war could be said to be fixing grain, lumber and metal prices along with oil with a 5% cut for these Jews.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    Russia can build a new port at Novorossiysk and/or Sochi, no? Or even at Gelendzhik, I would presume?

    Replies: @QCIC

  104. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke


    he’s the guy Graeme Greene highlighted in The Quiet American.
     
    More info, s'il vous plait?

    How did you reply to that so fast? Are you an editor on the comments board?
     
    No, I'm not. It was quite literally just random luck lol.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Exploding bicycles in Saigon and Hanoi whil the French were still there.

  105. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Russia is not in Ukraine to conquer it, but to keep NATO and the West out. This is only necessary because the West has been threatening Russia for a long time in various ways in many places.

    So you believed they planned on doing what exactly? Why were there tanks in Kiev? That isn't trying to conquer a nation?

    Since the West seems to be committed to injuring the Russian state by fighting in Ukraine there is a good chance Ukraine will be conquered. This will be a side effect of Russia’s pushback against Western aggression, not a primary goal.


    Do you believe the offer to stay out of NATO was fake?
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    PARIS, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Vladimir Putin's chief envoy on Ukraine told the Russian leader as the war began that he had struck a provisional deal with Kyiv that would satisfy Russia's demand that Ukraine stay out of NATO, but Putin rejected it and pressed ahead with his military campaign, according to three people close to the Russian leadership.

    If the war ends and the offer is confirmed, will you admit that you have been cheering a homicidal dwarf that isn't motivated by Ukraine's status with NATO?

    Replies: @QCIC

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country. This NATO aspect to the conflict includes many different facets of the Western-Russian relationship since the fall of the USSR and is not simple.

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    I try to keep the full context of this situation in mind, starting with the Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty (ABM) and other critical nuclear disarmament treaties dropped by the USA. Also the previous NATO expansions, other Western meddling in Russian border countries, Maidan, etc. There is a bigger picture here which is recognizable to people willing to open their eyes and minds.

    My hunch is the West had serious plans in place to take Crimea before Russia went to Kiev. Russia probably could have stopped the Crimea attack, but it might have been a giant mess. I don’t think they were prepared for this bold (insane) move by the West. Instead, Moscow went for the feint on Kiev to break up the Western plan. Even so the Russian forces were clearly not ready to fight for reasons you have pointed out previously.

    People should consider that “fighting to the last Ukrainian” is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country.

    But you acknowledge that they planned on taking the whole country and replacing the government?

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    Do you believe the peace offer to keep Ukraine out of the war was fake:
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    And do you believe the leaked plans to absorb Belarus by 2030 was fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-belarus-strategy-document-230035184.html

    People should consider that “fighting to the last Ukrainian” is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    So you believe that the Ukrainians are a pawn for the West and should stop fighting and submit to Russian rule. Is that correct? You believe that the Ukrainian military should act against the will of the majority and stand down? Even though they have pushed Russia back to beyond the Donbas border?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC

  106. @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol…
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now.

    Well I think you are assuming a similar level of fanboyism in everyone but feel free to dig through my history. I said the tanks could potentially cause a rout but most haven't arrived. I also said an offensive is worth the effort if they are willing to fight. Makes sense to use all this Western hardware instead of accepting the current borders. However I thought announcing an offensive was a mistake and I was critical of the West for pushing one. A creeping unannounced offensive is the better path but that is out.

    If Ukrainian men are willing to fight then I fully support arming them. But Crimea is tricky and I'm not convinced they should head south. However I don't know their actual losses and neither does the Putin defense force. There is a lot of mystery to us observers. MacGregor told us last year that they were down to old men and boys and I watch daily video of Ukrainian military men fighting in trenches. So his "inside sources" are clearly bullshit.

    Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential ‘partisans’ also seems made up.

    My description of potential partisans in Mariupol isn't made up. It's from reading the news:
    https://news.yahoo.com/mariupol-partisans-set-fire-house-183800509.html

    Russians have in fact been on the hunt for them:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-sweeping-mariupol-pro-ukrainian-173700965.html

    Mariupol is nearly split between ethnic Russians and Ukrainians.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol#Demographics

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference.

    I don't know the timeframe. They are using the Bradleys selectively and we haven't seen the full tank force and the Strikers. I've seen some Australian Bushmasters in use and the Ukrainains seem to like them. Maybe they are waiting for F16s, maybe they are still probing and mine clearing. I don't know. Unlike MacGregor and Ritter I am actually fine with stating that I'm not sure of what exactly is happening on the battlefield at the moment. It's possible that they want to wait and make sure a path is cleared. Modern offensives of this scale normally take months. I don't know why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks as Ritter declared. Both sides have used mines effectively. I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Greasy William, @Beckow

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    I didn't describe anything as a suicide dash. I've never used that term before.

    I said you might as well use the equipment and if an offensive doesn't work then well that's war.

    Yes people will die. People have been dying since Putin launched this war. You have to take risks in war if you want gains.

    It doesn't make sense to sit entirely in a defensive posture when you have 100+ modern tanks. Artillery and mines work better to maintain defensive lines.

    But I also stated that announcing a grand counter-offensive was a mistake.

    You and others here have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You're clearly more comfortable with MacGregor style cheerleading. I support Ukraine but I don't make bi-monthly statements on how Ukraine is about to push Russia out of Crimea. However I believe Ukraine is winning based on Putin's originally stated goals. He changed those goals after being pushed out of Kiev but his original speech is online where he outlines the reasons for the invasion:
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/24/putins-speech-declaring-war-on-ukraine-translated-excerpts

    Finland already added more NATO border than Ukraine so by his own well defined goals it is a failure. He may still walk away with Donbas but that remains to be seen. He still doesn't have Odessa which he views as a Russian city. Trying to take Kiev again with conscripts would be a complete disaster. So Russia is losing unless we are to believe his original goal was to take 60% of Donbas and add NATO border to Russia. And if he gets that 60% is still undetermined. Bakhmut was declared as Russian and the ruins of a city have gone back to being contested.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Wokechoke

  107. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country. This NATO aspect to the conflict includes many different facets of the Western-Russian relationship since the fall of the USSR and is not simple.

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    I try to keep the full context of this situation in mind, starting with the Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty (ABM) and other critical nuclear disarmament treaties dropped by the USA. Also the previous NATO expansions, other Western meddling in Russian border countries, Maidan, etc. There is a bigger picture here which is recognizable to people willing to open their eyes and minds.

    My hunch is the West had serious plans in place to take Crimea before Russia went to Kiev. Russia probably could have stopped the Crimea attack, but it might have been a giant mess. I don't think they were prepared for this bold (insane) move by the West. Instead, Moscow went for the feint on Kiev to break up the Western plan. Even so the Russian forces were clearly not ready to fight for reasons you have pointed out previously.

    People should consider that "fighting to the last Ukrainian" is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country.

    But you acknowledge that they planned on taking the whole country and replacing the government?

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    Do you believe the peace offer to keep Ukraine out of the war was fake:
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    And do you believe the leaked plans to absorb Belarus by 2030 was fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-belarus-strategy-document-230035184.html

    People should consider that “fighting to the last Ukrainian” is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    So you believe that the Ukrainians are a pawn for the West and should stop fighting and submit to Russian rule. Is that correct? You believe that the Ukrainian military should act against the will of the majority and stand down? Even though they have pushed Russia back to beyond the Donbas border?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    So you believe that the Ukrainians are a pawn for the West and should stop fighting and submit to Russian rule. Is that correct? You believe that the Ukrainian military should act against the will of the majority and stand down? Even though they have pushed Russia back to beyond the Donbas border?
     
    I wonder if people with that logic would have thought that the Americans (and the Soviets, for that matter) want to fight the Nazis down to the last Brit and Frenchmen in 1939-1940, before the Fall of France significantly changed the situation and forced both the USSR and the US to directly enter the war in due time.
    , @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    I think Russia always planned to chase NAZIs and NATO out of most of the country and still expect this to happen. Russia would prefer that Ukraine did this on her own, but I don't know if that was ever in the cards. I think if Ukraine had capitulated early she would have retained more of her sovereignty. If Ukrainians can find a way to keep provocateurs and fifth columns out then she will gradually regain sovereignty. This may take time.

    I don't know about the mythical "Kozak deal" but there is obviously more at stake than just Ukraine. Don't forget the West was working on revolutions in Kazakhstan and Belarus around this same general time. Russia has stated the West is not agreement capable, I think that is polite code for "bullets are going to fly" before anything is resolved.

    I think Russia always expected to keep Belarus and Ukraine very close. This would not have been controversial or difficult except the West wanted to use these countries as tools against Russia. Without Western interference they might have been able to work things out politely, but becoming a violent pawn made this impossible in the case of Ukraine.

    Yes, I think the Ukrainian military should surrender immediately and arrest all their decision makers and influencers who created this mess. Unfortunately a lot of these dangerous people are in the military. This is why Russia will keep grinding away until more sensible people are left than dangerous pawns.

    I think with NeoNAZI thugs running around 'shaping public opinion' it is difficult to know what most people wanted. It doesn't matter, the leadership started a war against Russia (2014-15) and eventually Russia will finish it. Obviously many Ukrainians embraced Western lies about what would happen and millions have paid the price.

    I have little to add on battlefield results except:

    - The Russian economy seems to be surviving and possibly growing despite serious Western sanctions.
    - Russia stopped any major assault on Crimea.
    - Russia has made NATO think twice about many things in the fighting.
    - Russian casualties and losses are significantly less than Ukrainian.
    - Russia has at least five times the population of Ukraine.
    - The fighting is very close to the Russian border and far away from most of the Western logistics tail.
    - Russia has conventional escalation dominance with air power which has only been used in a "kid gloves" manner.
    - Russia has escalation parity with nuclear weapons.
    - NATO-sponsored Ukrainian attacks on Russian soil have likely made many Russians aware this is an existential fight. This awakening is probably driving much of the Western fifth column out of Russia.

  108. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    I didn’t describe anything as a suicide dash. I’ve never used that term before.

    I said you might as well use the equipment and if an offensive doesn’t work then well that’s war.

    Yes people will die. People have been dying since Putin launched this war. You have to take risks in war if you want gains.

    It doesn’t make sense to sit entirely in a defensive posture when you have 100+ modern tanks. Artillery and mines work better to maintain defensive lines.

    But I also stated that announcing a grand counter-offensive was a mistake.

    You and others here have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You’re clearly more comfortable with MacGregor style cheerleading. I support Ukraine but I don’t make bi-monthly statements on how Ukraine is about to push Russia out of Crimea. However I believe Ukraine is winning based on Putin’s originally stated goals. He changed those goals after being pushed out of Kiev but his original speech is online where he outlines the reasons for the invasion:
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/24/putins-speech-declaring-war-on-ukraine-translated-excerpts

    Finland already added more NATO border than Ukraine so by his own well defined goals it is a failure. He may still walk away with Donbas but that remains to be seen. He still doesn’t have Odessa which he views as a Russian city. Trying to take Kiev again with conscripts would be a complete disaster. So Russia is losing unless we are to believe his original goal was to take 60% of Donbas and add NATO border to Russia. And if he gets that 60% is still undetermined. Bakhmut was declared as Russian and the ruins of a city have gone back to being contested.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    What I find interesting is that on Twitter, Anatoly Karlin is arguing about how it's unethical to sacrifice 100-200 thousand unwilling Ukrainian conscripts in order to reconquer Crimea and Donbass. Well, maybe, but at the same time, he appeared to have no problem* with mass deaths when he thought that Russia still had a chance of winning the war. For instance, back when he still had this belief, he never suggested that Russia should try drawing the war to a close as opposed to trying to bleed Ukraine through attrition, which would have also resulted in a lot of unwilling Ukrainian (and presumably Russian as well) conscripts being sent to their deaths.

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    Replies: @QCIC, @John Johnson

    , @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    Oh for fuck’s Sake.

    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    Seems like the Russians put a lot of infantry in the area, built bunkers, stock piled ammo laid mines and stopped NATO cold.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  109. @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    That’s absolute bullshit. The economic goods exported from much of Siberia, Southern Russia and the Urals area are fed into the world economy via Rostov on Don through Kerch and ultimately out into international waters after Istanbul. A Turkish choke point and place of interest for NATO.

    Cut off Kerch what do you get? Russia (at least that part of it trading through the Azov) can’t trade according to prices it wishes to set nor are these going to be commodities reflecting free market prices. Every grain ship through Kerch will be subject to Nuland-Zelenskyy Fees.


    The war could be said to be fixing grain, lumber and metal prices along with oil with a 5% cut for these Jews.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Russia can build a new port at Novorossiysk and/or Sochi, no? Or even at Gelendzhik, I would presume?

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    This is about breaking Russia, not about taking Crimea. Crimea is one piece out of many.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  110. @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    I didn't describe anything as a suicide dash. I've never used that term before.

    I said you might as well use the equipment and if an offensive doesn't work then well that's war.

    Yes people will die. People have been dying since Putin launched this war. You have to take risks in war if you want gains.

    It doesn't make sense to sit entirely in a defensive posture when you have 100+ modern tanks. Artillery and mines work better to maintain defensive lines.

    But I also stated that announcing a grand counter-offensive was a mistake.

    You and others here have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You're clearly more comfortable with MacGregor style cheerleading. I support Ukraine but I don't make bi-monthly statements on how Ukraine is about to push Russia out of Crimea. However I believe Ukraine is winning based on Putin's originally stated goals. He changed those goals after being pushed out of Kiev but his original speech is online where he outlines the reasons for the invasion:
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/24/putins-speech-declaring-war-on-ukraine-translated-excerpts

    Finland already added more NATO border than Ukraine so by his own well defined goals it is a failure. He may still walk away with Donbas but that remains to be seen. He still doesn't have Odessa which he views as a Russian city. Trying to take Kiev again with conscripts would be a complete disaster. So Russia is losing unless we are to believe his original goal was to take 60% of Donbas and add NATO border to Russia. And if he gets that 60% is still undetermined. Bakhmut was declared as Russian and the ruins of a city have gone back to being contested.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Wokechoke

    What I find interesting is that on Twitter, Anatoly Karlin is arguing about how it’s unethical to sacrifice 100-200 thousand unwilling Ukrainian conscripts in order to reconquer Crimea and Donbass. Well, maybe, but at the same time, he appeared to have no problem* with mass deaths when he thought that Russia still had a chance of winning the war. For instance, back when he still had this belief, he never suggested that Russia should try drawing the war to a close as opposed to trying to bleed Ukraine through attrition, which would have also resulted in a lot of unwilling Ukrainian (and presumably Russian as well) conscripts being sent to their deaths.

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    Karlin has become unrealistic about Western goals for Ukraine and Russia.

    , @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    LOL yes they certainly don't believe in giving Russian conscripts a vote on if they think the war is justified. I didn't see them demanding that the Russian borders stay open so men of military age could vote with their feet.

    Now they seem to think we should be upset that the offensive isn't progressing like Poland 1939.

    This war was supposed to be a 2.5 week operation and here on day 511 we can watch a plane from Russia's unstoppable air force (that was supposed to take out all Ukrainian artillery) crash in front of Russian sun bathers.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuHp1Fsan9s

    The pilot did not survive. Maybe the Putin defenders can send his family a card and promise that they will someday explain why he had to die once they reach an agreement on why the war exists.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  111. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country.

    But you acknowledge that they planned on taking the whole country and replacing the government?

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    Do you believe the peace offer to keep Ukraine out of the war was fake:
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    And do you believe the leaked plans to absorb Belarus by 2030 was fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-belarus-strategy-document-230035184.html

    People should consider that “fighting to the last Ukrainian” is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    So you believe that the Ukrainians are a pawn for the West and should stop fighting and submit to Russian rule. Is that correct? You believe that the Ukrainian military should act against the will of the majority and stand down? Even though they have pushed Russia back to beyond the Donbas border?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC

    So you believe that the Ukrainians are a pawn for the West and should stop fighting and submit to Russian rule. Is that correct? You believe that the Ukrainian military should act against the will of the majority and stand down? Even though they have pushed Russia back to beyond the Donbas border?

    I wonder if people with that logic would have thought that the Americans (and the Soviets, for that matter) want to fight the Nazis down to the last Brit and Frenchmen in 1939-1940, before the Fall of France significantly changed the situation and forced both the USSR and the US to directly enter the war in due time.

  112. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I think Russia went in to Ukraine for the reasons they mentioned: protect the Russian-speakers in the East, make Crimea permanent, stop the NeoNAZIs and fully remove all traces of NATO from the country.

    But you acknowledge that they planned on taking the whole country and replacing the government?

    The West and whoever else is backing the Zelensky regime would never have allowed an early resolution. They were in it to win it, fighting to the last Ukrainian.

    Do you believe the peace offer to keep Ukraine out of the war was fake:
    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

    And do you believe the leaked plans to absorb Belarus by 2030 was fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-belarus-strategy-document-230035184.html

    People should consider that “fighting to the last Ukrainian” is not a bug for the West, it is a feature. Being a pawn is usually bad.

    So you believe that the Ukrainians are a pawn for the West and should stop fighting and submit to Russian rule. Is that correct? You believe that the Ukrainian military should act against the will of the majority and stand down? Even though they have pushed Russia back to beyond the Donbas border?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC

    I think Russia always planned to chase NAZIs and NATO out of most of the country and still expect this to happen. Russia would prefer that Ukraine did this on her own, but I don’t know if that was ever in the cards. I think if Ukraine had capitulated early she would have retained more of her sovereignty. If Ukrainians can find a way to keep provocateurs and fifth columns out then she will gradually regain sovereignty. This may take time.

    I don’t know about the mythical “Kozak deal” but there is obviously more at stake than just Ukraine. Don’t forget the West was working on revolutions in Kazakhstan and Belarus around this same general time. Russia has stated the West is not agreement capable, I think that is polite code for “bullets are going to fly” before anything is resolved.

    I think Russia always expected to keep Belarus and Ukraine very close. This would not have been controversial or difficult except the West wanted to use these countries as tools against Russia. Without Western interference they might have been able to work things out politely, but becoming a violent pawn made this impossible in the case of Ukraine.

    Yes, I think the Ukrainian military should surrender immediately and arrest all their decision makers and influencers who created this mess. Unfortunately a lot of these dangerous people are in the military. This is why Russia will keep grinding away until more sensible people are left than dangerous pawns.

    I think with NeoNAZI thugs running around ‘shaping public opinion’ it is difficult to know what most people wanted. It doesn’t matter, the leadership started a war against Russia (2014-15) and eventually Russia will finish it. Obviously many Ukrainians embraced Western lies about what would happen and millions have paid the price.

    I have little to add on battlefield results except:

    – The Russian economy seems to be surviving and possibly growing despite serious Western sanctions.
    – Russia stopped any major assault on Crimea.
    – Russia has made NATO think twice about many things in the fighting.
    – Russian casualties and losses are significantly less than Ukrainian.
    – Russia has at least five times the population of Ukraine.
    – The fighting is very close to the Russian border and far away from most of the Western logistics tail.
    – Russia has conventional escalation dominance with air power which has only been used in a “kid gloves” manner.
    – Russia has escalation parity with nuclear weapons.
    – NATO-sponsored Ukrainian attacks on Russian soil have likely made many Russians aware this is an existential fight. This awakening is probably driving much of the Western fifth column out of Russia.

  113. @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    You were pretty clear. A suicide dash to Russian lines seeking a breakthrough. No concern for equipment that gets knocked out. Just send more vehicles. That was the gist.

    I didn't describe anything as a suicide dash. I've never used that term before.

    I said you might as well use the equipment and if an offensive doesn't work then well that's war.

    Yes people will die. People have been dying since Putin launched this war. You have to take risks in war if you want gains.

    It doesn't make sense to sit entirely in a defensive posture when you have 100+ modern tanks. Artillery and mines work better to maintain defensive lines.

    But I also stated that announcing a grand counter-offensive was a mistake.

    You and others here have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You're clearly more comfortable with MacGregor style cheerleading. I support Ukraine but I don't make bi-monthly statements on how Ukraine is about to push Russia out of Crimea. However I believe Ukraine is winning based on Putin's originally stated goals. He changed those goals after being pushed out of Kiev but his original speech is online where he outlines the reasons for the invasion:
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/24/putins-speech-declaring-war-on-ukraine-translated-excerpts

    Finland already added more NATO border than Ukraine so by his own well defined goals it is a failure. He may still walk away with Donbas but that remains to be seen. He still doesn't have Odessa which he views as a Russian city. Trying to take Kiev again with conscripts would be a complete disaster. So Russia is losing unless we are to believe his original goal was to take 60% of Donbas and add NATO border to Russia. And if he gets that 60% is still undetermined. Bakhmut was declared as Russian and the ruins of a city have gone back to being contested.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Wokechoke

    Oh for fuck’s Sake.

    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    Seems like the Russians put a lot of infantry in the area, built bunkers, stock piled ammo laid mines and stopped NATO cold.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    Oh for fuck’s Sake.

    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    Stop making stuff up. I've never mentioned Tokmak
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Tokmak&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    Let's go ahead and look at my mention of Melitopol:
    Russia has heavily mined defensives and anyone expecting some quick march on Melitopol like the movies really doesn’t understand how modern warfare works.
    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-222/#comment-6025663

    Are you mixing me up with someone else?

    I have said they could easily cause a rout with all that armor given the low morale of the Russian troops. Do you know what a rout is?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rout

    It's when the enemy flees in terror in a single battle. It doesn't mean the entire front collapses and the enemy runs home. I said they could easily cause a rout which would undermine public morale.

    But I also recognize it's entirely possible for them to line up a column and have it smashed into bits before it gets anywhere.

    Which is what happened to numerous Russian columns.

    The Abrahms tanks haven't arrived so this is a premature conversation. We also don't know if they will send out a large attack force. There is now talk of them going back to a war of attrition. You might find this surprising but I actually don't control Ukrainian forces.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  114. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    What I find interesting is that on Twitter, Anatoly Karlin is arguing about how it's unethical to sacrifice 100-200 thousand unwilling Ukrainian conscripts in order to reconquer Crimea and Donbass. Well, maybe, but at the same time, he appeared to have no problem* with mass deaths when he thought that Russia still had a chance of winning the war. For instance, back when he still had this belief, he never suggested that Russia should try drawing the war to a close as opposed to trying to bleed Ukraine through attrition, which would have also resulted in a lot of unwilling Ukrainian (and presumably Russian as well) conscripts being sent to their deaths.

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    Replies: @QCIC, @John Johnson

    Karlin has become unrealistic about Western goals for Ukraine and Russia.

  115. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    Russia can build a new port at Novorossiysk and/or Sochi, no? Or even at Gelendzhik, I would presume?

    Replies: @QCIC

    This is about breaking Russia, not about taking Crimea. Crimea is one piece out of many.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    If there are missiles pointed at Russian ships and cargo on the Western side of Kerch the Russian economy is a hostage to DC, London and Tel Aviv.


    That’s why the Russians will absorb mass casualties to keep Crimea. What Turkey wants in this ought to be interesting. Much of their wealth is a tariff on Russian goods.

    Replies: @A123, @QCIC

  116. @Mr. XYZ
    @Europe Europa

    Brits had no problem being drafted for Poland back in 1939.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Britain didn’t really take the war seriously until the fiasco in Norway.
    A lot of astute guys like Ian Fleming’s (Bond writer) brother Major Peter Fleming pointed out that France would get overrun if German superiority in Norway were replicated in France.

    Peter’s memo to MOD helped cause the downfall of Chamberlain.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    When exactly did Peter Fleming write this memo of his?

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  117. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    What I find interesting is that on Twitter, Anatoly Karlin is arguing about how it's unethical to sacrifice 100-200 thousand unwilling Ukrainian conscripts in order to reconquer Crimea and Donbass. Well, maybe, but at the same time, he appeared to have no problem* with mass deaths when he thought that Russia still had a chance of winning the war. For instance, back when he still had this belief, he never suggested that Russia should try drawing the war to a close as opposed to trying to bleed Ukraine through attrition, which would have also resulted in a lot of unwilling Ukrainian (and presumably Russian as well) conscripts being sent to their deaths.

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    Replies: @QCIC, @John Johnson

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    LOL yes they certainly don’t believe in giving Russian conscripts a vote on if they think the war is justified. I didn’t see them demanding that the Russian borders stay open so men of military age could vote with their feet.

    Now they seem to think we should be upset that the offensive isn’t progressing like Poland 1939.

    This war was supposed to be a 2.5 week operation and here on day 511 we can watch a plane from Russia’s unstoppable air force (that was supposed to take out all Ukrainian artillery) crash in front of Russian sun bathers.

    The pilot did not survive. Maybe the Putin defenders can send his family a card and promise that they will someday explain why he had to die once they reach an agreement on why the war exists.

    • Agree: Mr. XYZ
    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Yes, chickenhawkery is widespread everywhere, both in Russia and in Ukraine, and not only in this war. George W. Bush was a chickenhawk, for instance. In Ukraine, something like 90% of people want to fight the war to final victory but draft dodging is becoming more widespread. I wouldn't be surprised if something similar is currently happening in Russia.

    The Ukrainian war effort is at least geared towards a more legitimate purpose: Reconquering all of Ukraine's internationally recognized territory. Russia's war effort is just predatory imperialist. The Crimea/Donbass separatist cause would have been more legitimate (but still flawed due to the huge amounts of human rights abuses in the Donbass) had Russia not invaded the rest of Ukraine. But it did, and unsurprisingly Ukraine got mad and vengeful in response to this. Just like Czechs got vengeful after several years of being occupied by the Nazis, including with the Holocaust, after they peacefully handed over the Sudetenland to Hitler.

  118. @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    This is about breaking Russia, not about taking Crimea. Crimea is one piece out of many.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    If there are missiles pointed at Russian ships and cargo on the Western side of Kerch the Russian economy is a hostage to DC, London and Tel Aviv.

    That’s why the Russians will absorb mass casualties to keep Crimea. What Turkey wants in this ought to be interesting. Much of their wealth is a tariff on Russian goods.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Wokechoke


    Kerch the Russian economy is a hostage to DC, London and Tel Aviv.
     
    What???

    Tel Aviv is pro-Russian. Official policy from indigenous Palestinian Jews is, at best, a fig leaf. Faux neutrality while opposing post-Judaic apostate Zelensky.

    Not-The-President Biden is devoid of agency. He slavishly obeys Not-a-Jew Scholz and Not-a-Jew Macron. Thus, another undeniable proof the Tel Aviv is 100% uninvolved.

    London's Rishi Sunak is about to badly lose to Not-a-Jew Scholz and Not-a-Jew Macron. Their vassal in London will most likely be anti-Semite Jeremy Corbyn (a.k.a. Islamophile Labour).

    DC, London and Tel Aviv are the three most irrelevant locations on the planet. If you want to understand European Empire aggression -- Focus on Berlin, Paris, and Brussels.

    PEACE 😇

    , @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    Turkey/Erdogan is definitely a wild card.

    Do you mean Turkey charges tariffs on Russian cargo currently transiting the straits to the Med?

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  119. A123 says: • Website
    @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    If there are missiles pointed at Russian ships and cargo on the Western side of Kerch the Russian economy is a hostage to DC, London and Tel Aviv.


    That’s why the Russians will absorb mass casualties to keep Crimea. What Turkey wants in this ought to be interesting. Much of their wealth is a tariff on Russian goods.

    Replies: @A123, @QCIC

    Kerch the Russian economy is a hostage to DC, London and Tel Aviv.

    What???

    Tel Aviv is pro-Russian. Official policy from indigenous Palestinian Jews is, at best, a fig leaf. Faux neutrality while opposing post-Judaic apostate Zelensky.

    Not-The-President Biden is devoid of agency. He slavishly obeys Not-a-Jew Scholz and Not-a-Jew Macron. Thus, another undeniable proof the Tel Aviv is 100% uninvolved.

    London’s Rishi Sunak is about to badly lose to Not-a-Jew Scholz and Not-a-Jew Macron. Their vassal in London will most likely be anti-Semite Jeremy Corbyn (a.k.a. Islamophile Labour).

    DC, London and Tel Aviv are the three most irrelevant locations on the planet. If you want to understand European Empire aggression — Focus on Berlin, Paris, and Brussels.

    PEACE 😇

  120. @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    If there are missiles pointed at Russian ships and cargo on the Western side of Kerch the Russian economy is a hostage to DC, London and Tel Aviv.


    That’s why the Russians will absorb mass casualties to keep Crimea. What Turkey wants in this ought to be interesting. Much of their wealth is a tariff on Russian goods.

    Replies: @A123, @QCIC

    Turkey/Erdogan is definitely a wild card.

    Do you mean Turkey charges tariffs on Russian cargo currently transiting the straits to the Med?

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @QCIC

    What is Constantinople if it isn’t a Tollbooth?

  121. @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Britain didn’t really take the war seriously until the fiasco in Norway.
    A lot of astute guys like Ian Fleming’s (Bond writer) brother Major Peter Fleming pointed out that France would get overrun if German superiority in Norway were replicated in France.

    Peter’s memo to MOD helped cause the downfall of Chamberlain.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    When exactly did Peter Fleming write this memo of his?

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    The writer was actually…

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sir_Martin_Lindsay,_1st_Baronet

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsay_Memorandum

    It’s mentioned in Nicholas Shakespeare’s Six Minutes in May (2017)

    https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/bookshelf-six-minutes-may-anatomy-campaign/

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/lindsay-memorandum-describing-british-chaos-led-to-toppling-of-neville-chamberlain-and-churchill-taking-power-t85pvdnsb

    He had backchannels into Parliament with ex servicemen and reservists like admiral Roger Keyes MP. Peter may have been lurking around too. Yo Laxa.

  122. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    *Back then, he might have viewed mass deaths as tragic but also as *necessary* so that Russia could regain sovereignty and superpower status. But when *Ukraine* wants to recover all of its internationally recognized territory, then suddenly mass deaths are all bad and no good!

    LOL yes they certainly don't believe in giving Russian conscripts a vote on if they think the war is justified. I didn't see them demanding that the Russian borders stay open so men of military age could vote with their feet.

    Now they seem to think we should be upset that the offensive isn't progressing like Poland 1939.

    This war was supposed to be a 2.5 week operation and here on day 511 we can watch a plane from Russia's unstoppable air force (that was supposed to take out all Ukrainian artillery) crash in front of Russian sun bathers.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuHp1Fsan9s

    The pilot did not survive. Maybe the Putin defenders can send his family a card and promise that they will someday explain why he had to die once they reach an agreement on why the war exists.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Yes, chickenhawkery is widespread everywhere, both in Russia and in Ukraine, and not only in this war. George W. Bush was a chickenhawk, for instance. In Ukraine, something like 90% of people want to fight the war to final victory but draft dodging is becoming more widespread. I wouldn’t be surprised if something similar is currently happening in Russia.

    The Ukrainian war effort is at least geared towards a more legitimate purpose: Reconquering all of Ukraine’s internationally recognized territory. Russia’s war effort is just predatory imperialist. The Crimea/Donbass separatist cause would have been more legitimate (but still flawed due to the huge amounts of human rights abuses in the Donbass) had Russia not invaded the rest of Ukraine. But it did, and unsurprisingly Ukraine got mad and vengeful in response to this. Just like Czechs got vengeful after several years of being occupied by the Nazis, including with the Holocaust, after they peacefully handed over the Sudetenland to Hitler.

  123. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    Oh for fuck’s Sake.

    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    Seems like the Russians put a lot of infantry in the area, built bunkers, stock piled ammo laid mines and stopped NATO cold.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Oh for fuck’s Sake.

    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    Stop making stuff up. I’ve never mentioned Tokmak
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Tokmak&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    Let’s go ahead and look at my mention of Melitopol:
    Russia has heavily mined defensives and anyone expecting some quick march on Melitopol like the movies really doesn’t understand how modern warfare works.
    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-222/#comment-6025663

    Are you mixing me up with someone else?

    I have said they could easily cause a rout with all that armor given the low morale of the Russian troops. Do you know what a rout is?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rout

    It’s when the enemy flees in terror in a single battle. It doesn’t mean the entire front collapses and the enemy runs home. I said they could easily cause a rout which would undermine public morale.

    But I also recognize it’s entirely possible for them to line up a column and have it smashed into bits before it gets anywhere.

    Which is what happened to numerous Russian columns.

    The Abrahms tanks haven’t arrived so this is a premature conversation. We also don’t know if they will send out a large attack force. There is now talk of them going back to a war of attrition. You might find this surprising but I actually don’t control Ukrainian forces.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    The key here would be untrammeled Ukrainian air supremacy.
    Then the American designed tank might have its way.
    Otherwise it is just another tin can.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  124. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    By barbarians, I certainly don’t mean things like Bronze Age Pervert.
     
    BAP and other frog content is probably a manifestation of far-right anarchism, it seems like it was a more popular current in the early 20th century but fell into abeyance to some extent after 1939. Though it was still around in a low profile way. Ernst Junger, Celine, Drieu La Rochelle etc. always had their readers and fan base.

    They seem to have a new kind of relevance, the revolt against the 'seated man', overweight, sedentary and deformed product of urban life and rationalism, it is like the far-right version of the hippy thing.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Ok, but in the end the far right only really wants liberation from the lefts rules, not rules as such. In fact they always imagine an equally oppressive set of rules they favor.

    That’s why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    To be sure, on the way the right can produce works of genuine liberatory effect – I quite enjoyed Voyage Au Bout De La Nuit, despite it’s authors horrific views and personality.

    BAP doesn’t favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness, a freedom from artificial rules and constraints and a return to the natural man in his original state, as Zen does – he just hates specifically the lefts rules. But his own attitudes exemplify an oppression that would be just as smothering and artificial, and thus he is no true “barbarian”, no true “natural man”, just a late modern decadent.

    Of course, the left has its own brand of sinister authoritarianism which we are seeing today.

    • Replies: @A123
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.
     
    The much larger MAGA movement absorbed the bulk of the Alt-Right and is 180° opposite your assertion. They loathe the most repressive regimes on the planet, Xi's CCP and deviant Islamic fundamentalism.

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Have you read BAP's book or are you going off twitter threads? I am in the middle of the book now and I find your take very odd.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    BAP doesn’t favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness...
     
    BAP is a Nietzschean, so that influences his idea of what nature is, and his vitalism is the early 20th century European kind. I think a typical criticism made about Nietzsche, that he didn't produce any moral philosophy because Nietzschean man is too individualistic to be part of any community would generally apply to BAP, he is mainly appealing to individuals or small groups, people who are attracted to his vision.

    What you wrote to Emil:


    Please correct me if I’m wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression – basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.
     
    From BAP's point of view the weak should not seek to dominate the strong, and he sees himself waging a struggle for freedom against the longhouse existence in which women (especially the obese and mulatto lesbians iirc) seek to confine European men.

    Probably BAP's debt to Nietzsche explains this, because Nietzsche and those influenced by him in the later 19th and early 20th century were a kind of reaction to the pervasive influence of Rousseau and a certain sort of Romanticism after the French Revolution. You can see the impact of Marx and Darwin there and later Bergson, and the way Rousseauism had become institutionalised in a regime like the IIIrd Republic in France.

    The anarchism part would be related to some of the early anarchists like Proudhon, who as well as founding anarchist thinking wrote various spicy things about the corrupting influence of early feminists in his book Pornocratie, and revolutionary syndicalists like Georges Sorel, whose views also partially overlap with BAP and parts of the far-right.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    That’s why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    I don't see it that way at all.

    Alt-right started by questioning conservative taboos. Traditional conservatives weren't able to control the narrative on the internet and it became embarrassingly apparent when Con inc or traditional conservative websites would censor their own.

    Taboos like ..... I don't know..... RACE.

    I was banned from a conservative website for asking questions about how capitalism can save the third world. I was given a Bible verse lecture and then banned.

  125. @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    Turkey/Erdogan is definitely a wild card.

    Do you mean Turkey charges tariffs on Russian cargo currently transiting the straits to the Med?

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    What is Constantinople if it isn’t a Tollbooth?

  126. @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Am not saying I believe in Big Foot, but I don't think that the profusion of cameras really disprove cryptid enthusiasts.

    A lot of things in the woods are quicker than thought, and it is less than five seconds before they are in a thicket and invisible. And, if they are big, I guarantee you'll spend at least four of those seconds evaluating the threat.

    I've practically never gotten one good shot of wildlife, though I have seen some manificent things.
    ____
    I was recently reading Clavell's Tai-Pan novel and thinking that the stereotypical Chinese categorization of Westerners as barbarians would seem like a compliment nowadays. There seems to be a a measure of vitality implicit in the word.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    You make a good point, and I completely agree with you.

    There may well be some very elusive beasts out there. The woods are a very dark and mysterious place, and the outback in general. Every time I fly across the US I am struck by the vast empty spaces without houses or roads. It’s absurd to think we have any kind of complete idea of what exists out there. The spaces are too vast.

    Then there’s the question of beings that want to be seen – there may exist a class of beings that can choose to manifest or not, or will only be apparent to those in the proper state of mind, etc.

    There’s nothing unscientific about that, and people who say science proves the nonexistence of goblins and fairies and beings of that class simply don’t understand science.

    As for the Chinese supposedly disparaging attitude towards barbarians, their own tradition contains at its heart Taoism, which is basically an appreciation for the natural and spontaneous man and the exact opposite of the highly cultivated, formal, and ceremonious man of Confucian culture, who is often mocked. So their attitude towards barbarians is ambiguous at best, and certainly contains a subversive and healthy dose of appreciation. In Taoism, returning to spontaneity is to recover vitality.

    Never trust the merely “formal” attitude of a culture – often the real attitude can be quite the opposite 🙂

    • Thanks: songbird
  127. @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky's Easter Greetings within the "Great Sophia Cathedral" show that he's a deeply spiritual man. It's really a great speech, and it can be read below the video in English subtitles. He's Jew that feels very close to Ukraine's traditional Ukrainian Orthodox church. A real Judeo-Christian, not a phoney baloney one like you, kremlinstoogeA123.

    https://youtu.be/V2fSmZvZiFU

    Replies: @QCIC, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Wokechoke, @Vajradhara

    It’s like looking in a fun house mirror. From a distance, thank god.

  128. @Mr. Hack
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    It’s not just the mountains, it’s the golden morning sun bathing everything in fairy-light, it’s lustrous glow lighting up rock and green hillside in an impossibility intense yellow, it’s the bracingly cold mornings even in July, when to sip a hot coffee under that extravagant sun and cold high pine-scented air is one of life’s supreme revitalizing experiences, it’s the feeling of exhilaratingly vast space and open horizons, the piercingly blue skies.
     
    Yowza, our very own blogsite bodhisattva has once again returned to rescue other sentient beings and remind them that there's more to this life than just the pursuit of paying bills. Your photos are excellent as usual and your accompanying prose is perhaps even a wee bit better. Next time your in Phoenix, consider applying as a freelance writer for Arizona Highways.

    I've had a very similar experience of looking at what resembled fluorescent rock within a beautiful water fall park in Costa Rica. I was hiking though a small canyon and the sunlight had inflamed the beige colored rock around me in an aura of shining bliss. I just stood and looked at it all in amazement.

    Glad you're back and do tell us more about your trip!

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Thank you, Mr Hack.

    I’m hardly a Boddissatva with his infinite compassion and vow to help all souls reach paradise, but I do take pity on you poor inhabitants of a dying civilization that had lost its life–affirming character 🙂

    I find the light out West to be an endless source of fascination. I’ve never seen light like that before, and it can transfigure a landscape.

  129. @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    Oh for fuck’s Sake.

    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    Stop making stuff up. I've never mentioned Tokmak
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Tokmak&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    Let's go ahead and look at my mention of Melitopol:
    Russia has heavily mined defensives and anyone expecting some quick march on Melitopol like the movies really doesn’t understand how modern warfare works.
    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-222/#comment-6025663

    Are you mixing me up with someone else?

    I have said they could easily cause a rout with all that armor given the low morale of the Russian troops. Do you know what a rout is?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rout

    It's when the enemy flees in terror in a single battle. It doesn't mean the entire front collapses and the enemy runs home. I said they could easily cause a rout which would undermine public morale.

    But I also recognize it's entirely possible for them to line up a column and have it smashed into bits before it gets anywhere.

    Which is what happened to numerous Russian columns.

    The Abrahms tanks haven't arrived so this is a premature conversation. We also don't know if they will send out a large attack force. There is now talk of them going back to a war of attrition. You might find this surprising but I actually don't control Ukrainian forces.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    The key here would be untrammeled Ukrainian air supremacy.
    Then the American designed tank might have its way.
    Otherwise it is just another tin can.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    The key here would be untrammeled Ukrainian air supremacy.
    Then the American designed tank might have its way.
    Otherwise it is just another tin can.

    The Ukrainains were driving a T-72 around Bakhmut a few days after Prigozhin declared it to be a Russian victory.

    The Russian air force has mostly been a no-show.

  130. A123 says: • Website
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Ok, but in the end the far right only really wants liberation from the lefts rules, not rules as such. In fact they always imagine an equally oppressive set of rules they favor.

    That's why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    To be sure, on the way the right can produce works of genuine liberatory effect - I quite enjoyed Voyage Au Bout De La Nuit, despite it's authors horrific views and personality.

    BAP doesn't favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness, a freedom from artificial rules and constraints and a return to the natural man in his original state, as Zen does - he just hates specifically the lefts rules. But his own attitudes exemplify an oppression that would be just as smothering and artificial, and thus he is no true "barbarian", no true "natural man", just a late modern decadent.

    Of course, the left has its own brand of sinister authoritarianism which we are seeing today.

    Replies: @A123, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Coconuts, @John Johnson

    the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    The much larger MAGA movement absorbed the bulk of the Alt-Right and is 180° opposite your assertion. They loathe the most repressive regimes on the planet, Xi’s CCP and deviant Islamic fundamentalism.

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @A123

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    By attacking and killing Ukrainian Orthodox Slavs? With Muslim Chechen forces? And a Jewish atheist chef with his own private army? Is that the Christian force?

    You do acknowledge that Russia has Europe's largest atheist and Muslim populations?

    And that Ukraine has a higher percentage of Orthodox Christians?

    Can you just confirm that with a "yes"?

    PEACE 😇

    You sign "peace" with every message and yet continually defend an unjust war.

    Are you some confused hippie boomer that did too many drugs? You and other Putin defenders seem mentally unhealthy.

    Replies: @sudden death, @A123

  131. @Beckow
    @Sean

    Turkey applied to join EU in 1961 (?), maybe it will happen someday...probably not.

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war: Moscow occupied or with a Western-appointed government - Nuland thinks she is good at appointing.

    More likely, the war will end with Kiev losing and the rump-Ukraine may try to still get into Nato and the whole circus will start all over again. What are they giving out in Nato? Free cookies? Never have so many died so pointlessly for a membership in a "club" that is about buying weapons, seminars, bombing small countries, and then buying more weapons. That should make for some interesting epitaphs...

    Replies: @A123, @Mr. XYZ, @Wielgus, @Sean

    Ukraine can join Nato if they decisively win the war

    No. It is impossible to decisively defeat Russia in the sense that it ceased to be a serious threat to try another war to settle accounts with Ukraine, and so letting Ukraine into NATO would be a prelude to NATO countries going to war with Russia. Moreover a (feasible) victory that left any Ukrainian territory including Crimea in Russian hands would create a powerful motive for Ukraine to deliberately provoke Russia into invading again so Ukraine could get rest of the NATO membership to fight alongside it. So any great victory by Ukraine will leave it a time bomb in NATO were it to be granted membership. Germany and France will never accept that Ukraine becomes a full member of NATO. They would leave first. Russia is not going to take the chance anyway, they are not going to end the war and that will be an excuse for Germany and France to keep Ukraine out of Nato. It will in effect end with a tacit ceasefire and a freezing of Ukraine’s status in relation to Nato.

  132. A matter of spin:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ukraine-counter-offensive-is-far-from-failure-us-general/ar-AA1e2dTR?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=03548b18d74c4f7481eb4c325f9f35f4&ei=10

    Or Kiev regime offensive is far from success – simple common sense.

    Milley periodically gets off the reservation, like when he said that the Kiev regime probably peaked when it re-entered Kherson city and the area of Kharkov where there were limited Russian contingents. At the time, he suggested that negotiation was the best route.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    Milley is a POS who is saying what he needs to say to keep his job. Milley didn't want this offensive in the first place and he knows that it is a catastrophic failure. This offensive was forced on Ukraine by the incompetent Millenials who are running the Biden administration

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  133. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Ok, but in the end the far right only really wants liberation from the lefts rules, not rules as such. In fact they always imagine an equally oppressive set of rules they favor.

    That's why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    To be sure, on the way the right can produce works of genuine liberatory effect - I quite enjoyed Voyage Au Bout De La Nuit, despite it's authors horrific views and personality.

    BAP doesn't favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness, a freedom from artificial rules and constraints and a return to the natural man in his original state, as Zen does - he just hates specifically the lefts rules. But his own attitudes exemplify an oppression that would be just as smothering and artificial, and thus he is no true "barbarian", no true "natural man", just a late modern decadent.

    Of course, the left has its own brand of sinister authoritarianism which we are seeing today.

    Replies: @A123, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Coconuts, @John Johnson

    Have you read BAP’s book or are you going off twitter threads? I am in the middle of the book now and I find your take very odd.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I certainly have not read his books nor do I intent to. I am going off his very dramatic persona and what few tweets I've read.

    Please correct me if I'm wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression - basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.

    The natural state sought by Zen and Taoism, and by the best passages of the Gospels, the untrammeled mind, free of the distortions, artificial constructs, and repressions of civilization which disfigure the personality and cramp the mind, and the second innocence and purity that come from returning to our true nature, is a very different thing indeed.

    But if I'm wrong, please correct me.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  134. @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol…
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now.

    Well I think you are assuming a similar level of fanboyism in everyone but feel free to dig through my history. I said the tanks could potentially cause a rout but most haven't arrived. I also said an offensive is worth the effort if they are willing to fight. Makes sense to use all this Western hardware instead of accepting the current borders. However I thought announcing an offensive was a mistake and I was critical of the West for pushing one. A creeping unannounced offensive is the better path but that is out.

    If Ukrainian men are willing to fight then I fully support arming them. But Crimea is tricky and I'm not convinced they should head south. However I don't know their actual losses and neither does the Putin defense force. There is a lot of mystery to us observers. MacGregor told us last year that they were down to old men and boys and I watch daily video of Ukrainian military men fighting in trenches. So his "inside sources" are clearly bullshit.

    Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential ‘partisans’ also seems made up.

    My description of potential partisans in Mariupol isn't made up. It's from reading the news:
    https://news.yahoo.com/mariupol-partisans-set-fire-house-183800509.html

    Russians have in fact been on the hunt for them:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-sweeping-mariupol-pro-ukrainian-173700965.html

    Mariupol is nearly split between ethnic Russians and Ukrainians.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol#Demographics

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference.

    I don't know the timeframe. They are using the Bradleys selectively and we haven't seen the full tank force and the Strikers. I've seen some Australian Bushmasters in use and the Ukrainains seem to like them. Maybe they are waiting for F16s, maybe they are still probing and mine clearing. I don't know. Unlike MacGregor and Ritter I am actually fine with stating that I'm not sure of what exactly is happening on the battlefield at the moment. It's possible that they want to wait and make sure a path is cleared. Modern offensives of this scale normally take months. I don't know why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks as Ritter declared. Both sides have used mines effectively. I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Greasy William, @Beckow

    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Although I’ve gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States. But that just doesn’t appear to be the way things are going. The Russian army continues to get bigger and better equipped and it is the West who are unable to deal with the Ukrainian army’s need for ammunition and weaponry. The Western wunderwaffen that have arrived are no longer making a meaningful impact and the US is all but explicitly stating that it will not attempt to build up the Ukrainian air force while the war continues.

    It used to be in the times that I thought Russia would win, I felt that way because I thought Russia would be able to wait out the US, but now I think Russia is a credible threat to win the war outright. This war has exposed just how hollow the US military industrial complex really is. The US doesn’t produce anything that Russia and China are unable to counter and US military industry simply cannot produce the sheer quantity of weaponry that this war demands.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it’s defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country. It does appear like plans to put a Polish led force in Ukraine are already in the works.

    But when this war finally ends, it’s gonna be on Russia’s terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Greasy William

    In three campaign seasons France cracked and their boys refused to fight in offensive battles.
    And they were making 17,000 shells a day in 1917.

    Just goes to show why they had to make so many shells. No one could convince them to charge anymore.

    , @John Johnson
    @Greasy William


    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Not at all. I already outlined how a single rout could undermine public morale and eventually lead to a coup.

    That could then lead to Prigozhin being inserted by the military and withdrawing all troops. He stated publicly that the war is based on lies and was about egos.

    I'm pleased with how Ukraine has done in this war. This war started with Western military analysts talking about how the war would go to partisan tactics within months. Meaning the main forces would be defeated and Kiev would fall. MacGregor and Ritter declared the war to be over.

    Douglas Macgregor Declares Russian Victory: ‘The War Is Really Over for the Ukrainians. They Have Been Grounded to Bits’ (March 2022)
    https://www.mediaite.com/tv/douglas-macgregor-declares-russian-victory-the-war-is-really-over-for-the-ukrainians-they-have-been-grounded-to-bits/

    Although I’ve gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States.

    Well I agree there. I think time favors the Ukrainians and that is partly why I thought it was a mistake for the West to push for a grand offensive. If their kill ratio was favorable in Bakhmut then let the Russians come in. Too many in the West think of war as some Hollywood movie. Everything I read about in Bakhmut suggested that Wagner/Russia was ignoring the lessons of WW1 and sending in human wave attacks. Well cut em down and send em back to where they came from. No need to risk stepping on a mine when the enemy is charging in broad daylight and with zero strategy. Putin's Jewish chef didn't read any of the German books on infantry tactics. Thank God for that. As far as I can tell Putin just holes away and mumbles to himself while his generals fight the war.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it’s defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country.

    I see no reason to assume that. Russia has serious losses given that the latest POWs look like village drunks in Goodwill camo. I don't buy theories of Russia "holding back" some professional auxiliary force.

    Ukrainian losses could well indeed be worse than expected but Russia is sending in 2 week conscripts from the corners of the empire.

    If Putin starts conscripting middle class Slavs from the cities then I will feel even better about the war. He has been trying to avoid that by focusing on poor rural Slavs and minorities. There are reports of ethnic minority villages being completely devoid of men. The Tsars and Communists have done this in the past. Send Tartars and Buryats to the front. Their families aren't a threat to the empire. Putin fears the angry Slav with Viking blood that goes out for revenge. The crafty and angry Northman is a nightmare to everyone. It's just unspoken. The anti-Putin rebel leader is very Anglo looking. Purely a coincidence I'm sure.

    , @sudden death
    @Greasy William


    But when this war finally ends, it’s gonna be on Russia’s terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.
     
    These are just worthless pontifications if no any timetables are given;) Meanwhile UA is continuing methodically blowing RF ammo depots, now in Crimea, but it remains to be seen whether achieved material attrition rates will be enough for UA army to convert it into notable territorial gains till autumn. If not, my bet is on the de facto freeze of current lines at least for several years.

    Replies: @Beckow

  135. @Mikhail
    A matter of spin:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ukraine-counter-offensive-is-far-from-failure-us-general/ar-AA1e2dTR?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=03548b18d74c4f7481eb4c325f9f35f4&ei=10

    Or Kiev regime offensive is far from success - simple common sense.

    Milley periodically gets off the reservation, like when he said that the Kiev regime probably peaked when it re-entered Kherson city and the area of Kharkov where there were limited Russian contingents. At the time, he suggested that negotiation was the best route.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    Milley is a POS who is saying what he needs to say to keep his job. Milley didn’t want this offensive in the first place and he knows that it is a catastrophic failure. This offensive was forced on Ukraine by the incompetent Millenials who are running the Biden administration

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Greasy William

    Here’s what PeterFleming said about the Norway Campaign in 1940…of which he was the first man in.


    http://www.linda-parker.co.uk/peter-fleming-in-the-norwegian-campaign/


    . When Fleming arrived in London he found out that he had been reported dead. He had an interview with Churchill which was not conclusive, and returning to Namsos said to De Wiart “You can really do as you like, for they don’t know what they want done.” The decision was eventually made to evacuate Namsos, and this was accomplished by May 3 . Fleming commented in his diary “The errors were so gross, the muddles so pervasive and the whole affair over so quickly that there wasn’t a great deal to be learned from it.”

  136. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    When exactly did Peter Fleming write this memo of his?

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    The writer was actually…

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sir_Martin_Lindsay,_1st_Baronet

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsay_Memorandum

    It’s mentioned in Nicholas Shakespeare’s Six Minutes in May (2017)

    https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/bookshelf-six-minutes-may-anatomy-campaign/

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/lindsay-memorandum-describing-british-chaos-led-to-toppling-of-neville-chamberlain-and-churchill-taking-power-t85pvdnsb

    He had backchannels into Parliament with ex servicemen and reservists like admiral Roger Keyes MP. Peter may have been lurking around too. Yo Laxa.

  137. @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Although I've gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States. But that just doesn't appear to be the way things are going. The Russian army continues to get bigger and better equipped and it is the West who are unable to deal with the Ukrainian army's need for ammunition and weaponry. The Western wunderwaffen that have arrived are no longer making a meaningful impact and the US is all but explicitly stating that it will not attempt to build up the Ukrainian air force while the war continues.

    It used to be in the times that I thought Russia would win, I felt that way because I thought Russia would be able to wait out the US, but now I think Russia is a credible threat to win the war outright. This war has exposed just how hollow the US military industrial complex really is. The US doesn't produce anything that Russia and China are unable to counter and US military industry simply cannot produce the sheer quantity of weaponry that this war demands.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it's defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country. It does appear like plans to put a Polish led force in Ukraine are already in the works.

    But when this war finally ends, it's gonna be on Russia's terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @John Johnson, @sudden death

    In three campaign seasons France cracked and their boys refused to fight in offensive battles.
    And they were making 17,000 shells a day in 1917.

    Just goes to show why they had to make so many shells. No one could convince them to charge anymore.

  138. @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    Milley is a POS who is saying what he needs to say to keep his job. Milley didn't want this offensive in the first place and he knows that it is a catastrophic failure. This offensive was forced on Ukraine by the incompetent Millenials who are running the Biden administration

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Here’s what PeterFleming said about the Norway Campaign in 1940…of which he was the first man in.

    http://www.linda-parker.co.uk/peter-fleming-in-the-norwegian-campaign/

    . When Fleming arrived in London he found out that he had been reported dead. He had an interview with Churchill which was not conclusive, and returning to Namsos said to De Wiart “You can really do as you like, for they don’t know what they want done.” The decision was eventually made to evacuate Namsos, and this was accomplished by May 3 . Fleming commented in his diary “The errors were so gross, the muddles so pervasive and the whole affair over so quickly that there wasn’t a great deal to be learned from it.”

  139. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    The key here would be untrammeled Ukrainian air supremacy.
    Then the American designed tank might have its way.
    Otherwise it is just another tin can.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    The key here would be untrammeled Ukrainian air supremacy.
    Then the American designed tank might have its way.
    Otherwise it is just another tin can.

    The Ukrainains were driving a T-72 around Bakhmut a few days after Prigozhin declared it to be a Russian victory.

    The Russian air force has mostly been a no-show.

  140. @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Although I've gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States. But that just doesn't appear to be the way things are going. The Russian army continues to get bigger and better equipped and it is the West who are unable to deal with the Ukrainian army's need for ammunition and weaponry. The Western wunderwaffen that have arrived are no longer making a meaningful impact and the US is all but explicitly stating that it will not attempt to build up the Ukrainian air force while the war continues.

    It used to be in the times that I thought Russia would win, I felt that way because I thought Russia would be able to wait out the US, but now I think Russia is a credible threat to win the war outright. This war has exposed just how hollow the US military industrial complex really is. The US doesn't produce anything that Russia and China are unable to counter and US military industry simply cannot produce the sheer quantity of weaponry that this war demands.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it's defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country. It does appear like plans to put a Polish led force in Ukraine are already in the works.

    But when this war finally ends, it's gonna be on Russia's terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @John Johnson, @sudden death

    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Not at all. I already outlined how a single rout could undermine public morale and eventually lead to a coup.

    That could then lead to Prigozhin being inserted by the military and withdrawing all troops. He stated publicly that the war is based on lies and was about egos.

    I’m pleased with how Ukraine has done in this war. This war started with Western military analysts talking about how the war would go to partisan tactics within months. Meaning the main forces would be defeated and Kiev would fall. MacGregor and Ritter declared the war to be over.

    Douglas Macgregor Declares Russian Victory: ‘The War Is Really Over for the Ukrainians. They Have Been Grounded to Bits’ (March 2022)
    https://www.mediaite.com/tv/douglas-macgregor-declares-russian-victory-the-war-is-really-over-for-the-ukrainians-they-have-been-grounded-to-bits/

    Although I’ve gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States.

    Well I agree there. I think time favors the Ukrainians and that is partly why I thought it was a mistake for the West to push for a grand offensive. If their kill ratio was favorable in Bakhmut then let the Russians come in. Too many in the West think of war as some Hollywood movie. Everything I read about in Bakhmut suggested that Wagner/Russia was ignoring the lessons of WW1 and sending in human wave attacks. Well cut em down and send em back to where they came from. No need to risk stepping on a mine when the enemy is charging in broad daylight and with zero strategy. Putin’s Jewish chef didn’t read any of the German books on infantry tactics. Thank God for that. As far as I can tell Putin just holes away and mumbles to himself while his generals fight the war.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it’s defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country.

    I see no reason to assume that. Russia has serious losses given that the latest POWs look like village drunks in Goodwill camo. I don’t buy theories of Russia “holding back” some professional auxiliary force.

    Ukrainian losses could well indeed be worse than expected but Russia is sending in 2 week conscripts from the corners of the empire.

    If Putin starts conscripting middle class Slavs from the cities then I will feel even better about the war. He has been trying to avoid that by focusing on poor rural Slavs and minorities. There are reports of ethnic minority villages being completely devoid of men. The Tsars and Communists have done this in the past. Send Tartars and Buryats to the front. Their families aren’t a threat to the empire. Putin fears the angry Slav with Viking blood that goes out for revenge. The crafty and angry Northman is a nightmare to everyone. It’s just unspoken. The anti-Putin rebel leader is very Anglo looking. Purely a coincidence I’m sure.

  141. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Mikel, are you still reading this apparently defunct blog, you old mountain goat?
     
    Yes, my little grasshopper. This old mountain goat has not yet totally given in to his natural instincts and still tries to find some pleasure in online discussions though there has been quite little of that here lately. But in just a couple of hours I'll be running in the wild through bushes of mahogany and gamble oak all the way up to my lookout. The experts are saying that we should all stay in the shade during the middle hours of the day but I don't feel like that advice concerns old rams, bucks and goats, born to jump in the wild regardless of the season, so I'm not listening.

    Thanks for those beautiful pictures. That must be Mt Regan, of course. It's funny, only a couple of days ago I decided to fall asleep on my couch watching with no sound an Amazon Prime documentary of Idaho from the air. One of the things that caught my eye is what you're showing here: the magnificent ruggedness of the Central Idaho mountains. Some mountains are shaped in such a way that you can always find some feasible route to the top without too much exposure. Most of the Wasatch are like that. But some others, like the aptly named Sawtooth, look unconquerable from all sides.

    The other thing that came to my mind before falling asleep, and that you also allude to, was how vast and varied a single state of the US West is compared to any country in Europe. Idaho has lake and forest country in the North, reminiscent of what Germany/Austria/Central Europe must have looked like in the distant past, very high Alpine landscapes in the center, deserts and dunes in the South and Siberian-like forest/steppes in the eastern high plateau. And you can basically repeat this astounding combination in most other Western states. You are right that one is very unlikely to find anything like the US West anywhere else in the world.

    Did you spend several weeks just in the Sawtooth area? Did you hike a lot or just chill in the invigorating air of the valley?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Good that you’re not deterred by the heat. I flew out of SLC on Sunday, putting my car in storage (I’m returning to the West in a month), and it was 101 degrees – I didn’t mind it at all! I did a nice late morning hike near Tremonton, Utah, on my drive from Sawtooth to the airport, and didn’t think the heat was at all overpowering. The skies were still piercingly clear and blue and the mountains bathed in golden light – what could I complain about? But as you say, mountain goats are not so easily bothered by – so-called by humans, feeble, fragile creatures – extreme weather, so I’m sure you enjoyed yourself thoroughly 🙂

    I landed around midnight in NYC to 93% humidity and 75 degrees, and it was like stepping into a hot, soupy bath! It reminded me of the shock of my first trip to India in 2001 – NY stinks in the summer, too, like India or any tropical Asian country. It’s just a funky city.

    Yep, the Sawtooths, despite not being particularly high, make up for it by being exceptionally rugged, and hiking in them is unexpectedly thrilling.

    It’s funny – I was there last summer too, and did a few shorter hikes, and thought it was a great area – but somehow this time, I lingered and really entered into the rhythm and spirit of the place, and felt that it really revealed it’s soul and secrets to me. I’m not sure what changed but this time it really “hit different”, as the millennials say. I spent two weeks in that valley.

    I did many long hikes deep into the backcountry, 20+ mile days, but other days I simply basked in the edenic glory of that broad and green valley. I had a fantastic and secluded dispersed camping spot high up on a promontory overlooking the valley, and those bright, cold mornings I’d spend drinking my coffee, congratulating myself on my good luck.

    There are million dollar ranches in that pristine valley, and my view was every bit as good and private – for free 🙂 Who says you needs money?

    The hot afternoons I’d spend dipping my feet into the cold rushing Salmon river which winds through the entire valley, and in the evenings I’d read from the Jade Mountain by Witter Bynner, a 9th century Tang era anthology of Chinese poetry – nothing evokes remote mountains, deserts, full moons, lonely border fortresses, armies in distant lands, distant journeys through wild country, wilderness hermits, pining princesses, and temples perched on remote cliffs, as Tang era poetry!

    Everyone should read Tang poetry.

    And then those hikes into the high land of rock, ice, and snow, to visit the Giants and Trolls – a completely different kind of pleasure,

    Excellent point about the astounding variety of the American West, that probably surpasses that of anywhere else.

    I spent part of the first few weeks of my trip in the red rock country of southern Utah, where this year’s cold spring stretched into the summer, making for perfectly cool weather.

    Perhaps you’ll recognize this picture from a hike into the backcountry of a national park you’ve mentioned on this forum once before….

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Perhaps you’ll recognize this picture from a hike into the backcountry of a national park you’ve mentioned on this forum once before….
     
    Hmm... lots of rocks like that in Central/Southern Utah but I'd say Capitol Reef. Not only because I did mention it some time ago but also because of the plateaus giving way to mountains in the distance (San Rafael Swell?, Fish Lake Mts?) and to deep canyons, but not as deep as the Colorado and immediate tributaries. That combination of ocres and buff also reminds me of that general area. I may be wrong though.

    Glad to learn that you've made your first forays into the Wasatch. I actually haven't explored much the Northern Wasatch. The fun is further South, in my view, where it gets wilder and the peaks start towering higher, but I do have a couple of excursions planned for that area. The most important one being a winter camp in Peter Sinks. The reason why I must spend at least one winter night camping solo at Peter Sinks, as I've told multiple people I would for years now, would be the subject of a whole post.

    The humidity indeed. It's all about the humidity, as I think Yogi Berra himself once said. Not just the perception of cold and heat but also the piercing blue skies, the clean, bright atmosphere and the thin air entering your lungs unimpeded. In the old times before the advent of antibiotics people with serious pulmonary issues used to be sent to the West from the East Coast to get their lungs healed. Apparently, it made them live some extra years. At the start of the Delicate Arch trail there is an old and fascinating cabin where one of these health refugees from the East settled and raised a family in a beautiful ranch. It's very well maintained and it transports you to bygone eras. There are some Indian petroglyphs nearby too.

    Which makes me wonder why you still live in New York. I'm sure you must have very good reasons to forego a life of waking up every morning to bright sun, fresh air and magnificent landscapes but it's difficult to understand from everything you've told about yourself. This part of the West keeps filling up with foreign immigrants and also lots of people coming from other states. SLC is one of the few parts of the country that hasn't seen any drop in rent prices last year due to the constant influx of newcomers.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  142. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And that unleashed a fresh burst of enthusiasm onto the world.
     
    I think looking at Christian history there is a pattern of periodic renewal or revivals, these could cause significant upheavals, so this potential in Christianity did not disappear for a long time.

    Imo one of the problems the mainstream Churches have at the moment is that they are too safe and repeat official or mainstream messaging too much, often without a lot of spiritual explanation or context.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    As long as Christianity was a living, vital thing it had a boundless capacity for reinvention and creative ferment, as everything alive changes and rigidity belongs to death, but all religions eventually die from “institutional capture”, and disappear into the enervating banality of the mainstream, where they are lost.

    David Bentley Hart had an interesting recent essay on the future of Christianity – in it, he suggests Christendom cannot return, as it’s an exhausted historical form, but the mystical and gnostic (not to be confused with Gnosticism) religion of the early Christians which began to be suppressed almost from its inception, can – as it’s scarcely been tried.

  143. @A123
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.
     
    The much larger MAGA movement absorbed the bulk of the Alt-Right and is 180° opposite your assertion. They loathe the most repressive regimes on the planet, Xi's CCP and deviant Islamic fundamentalism.

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    By attacking and killing Ukrainian Orthodox Slavs? With Muslim Chechen forces? And a Jewish atheist chef with his own private army? Is that the Christian force?

    You do acknowledge that Russia has Europe’s largest atheist and Muslim populations?

    And that Ukraine has a higher percentage of Orthodox Christians?

    Can you just confirm that with a “yes”?

    PEACE 😇

    You sign “peace” with every message and yet continually defend an unjust war.

    Are you some confused hippie boomer that did too many drugs? You and other Putin defenders seem mentally unhealthy.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @John Johnson

    Considering that WEF puppet IslamoPutin now is openly enforcing Quran worship as a sacred value for all in RF, some just are becoming desperate while trying unsuccesfully to obfuscate it as much as possible;)

    , @A123
    @John Johnson



    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.
     
    By attacking and killing Ukrainian Orthodox Slavs?
     
    Sigh... Let me try again...

    This was originally kicked off by an Open Borders Islamophile, Not-a-Jew Merkel. The Greater European Empire [GEE] is currently led by Not-a-Jew Scholz and Not-a-Jew Macron. Post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is controlled by the GEE. Similarly Not-The-President Biden is a lobotomite puppet controlled by Europe.

    Judeo-Christians on BOTH sides -- Russian and Ukrainian -- are victims of the IslamoGloboHomo GEE.

    The GEE ordered Zelensky to abuse and kill Russian ethnics for years. Why is anyone surprised that Russia finally reacted to those unjust war crimes?

    PEACE 😇

  144. Watching now

  145. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Have you read BAP's book or are you going off twitter threads? I am in the middle of the book now and I find your take very odd.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I certainly have not read his books nor do I intent to. I am going off his very dramatic persona and what few tweets I’ve read.

    Please correct me if I’m wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression – basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.

    The natural state sought by Zen and Taoism, and by the best passages of the Gospels, the untrammeled mind, free of the distortions, artificial constructs, and repressions of civilization which disfigure the personality and cramp the mind, and the second innocence and purity that come from returning to our true nature, is a very different thing indeed.

    But if I’m wrong, please correct me.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    He claims to be apolitical. Not a supporter of Donald Trump. Or his actor front man does so. He, she, or it is possibly a fiction project staffed by a committee. Of innovative entrepeneurs or CIA spooks or Macedonian freedom fighters.

    I don't look at twitter on my phone ever and skim over fast when somebody posts it on a computer page I am seeing. He, she, or it believes in Nietzsche, not God.

  146. Here’s a good article about the Jewish attitude towards revenge (I’ve been thinking a lot about revenge after reading the reactions of Ukraine supporters to that family killed on the Crimean bridge): https://www.torahmusings.com/2012/05/kahanism-and-vengeance/

    My first introduction to real Judaism, as opposed to fake American “Judaism”, was from the writings of Rabbi Kahane. Kahane’s writings really spoke to me because here was a guy who hated leftists and Arabs as much as I did and was passionate about taking revenge on our (Jews) enemies.

    I viewed Jews who opposed taking revenge as either stupid, weak, evil or all three. The only group of Jews I gave a pass on not supporting revenge was the Haredim because I just instinctively felt like their hearts were in the right place and I was able to accept that they just weren’t wired that way (if you’ve ever met any of them, you’d know what I’m talking about).

    When your in jail, you have a lot of time just sitting there with your thoughts. Without all the distractions of real life I was able/forced to examine my own mind, thoughts and emotions on a much deeper level. It was then for the first time I could see that hating Russophiles/Lebanese/Iranians/White liberals whoever else was actually making me unhappy. I was using the hate like it was heroin: it gave a phenomenal high, at least at first, but it quickly developed into a dependency that was making me miserable without me even realizing it.

    So I looked for answers about how to get away from it and I found Buddhism. I never became a Buddhist, or even thought about becoming one, but I read a lot of their stuff because they seemed to be the only one’s who actually spoke about practical elements of the mind as opposed to just a bunch of dogma that I don’t care about. And while I did find the Buddhist perspective towards revenge helpful, I was never intellectually or emotionally satisfied with it.

    The article I cited above, when I read it it was just like, it felt like everything that I had been thinking about for all these years finally fell into place. I wouldn’t necessarily expect everyone else to react the same way, but I think most people can gain something from the perspective the article offers.

    There is one really interesting line in the article. Referring to Rabbi Kahane’s attitude towards revenge, the writer states the following :

    The [permissibility of taking revenge] is a matter of intent: Revenge out of anger or hatred is unacceptable but based on the desire to increase God’s glory is a mitzvah

    I was fairly familiar with Kahane’s worldview, having read a decent amount of his work and having known some of his disciples (and their disciples), and I had no idea that Kahane had ever said such a thing. If you read any of Kahane’s writings or listened to him speak you would know that Kahane was a bottomless pit of anger and hatred and that those things obviously are what motivated his obsession with revenge. That Kahane actually denied his desire for revenge was motivated by hatred simply beggars belief. I’m really surprised that Kahane said that. I don’t know if he was just lying or it was a matter of him not being honest with himself.

    *yes I still am obsessed with getting revenge on white liberals but now I merely want to get revenge by taking their power away. Before I went to jail I literally wanted to gas/starve to death 10s of millions of them.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Greasy William

    He had an out of marriage affair with a shiksa, while having said that he opposed Jews marrying non-Jews.

    https://www.nytimes.com/1994/03/06/weekinreview/remembering-kahane-and-the-woman-on-the-bridge.html

    Replies: @Greasy William

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Greasy William

    George Orwell noted that in the final analysis revenge is unsatisfying. You may imagine the pleasure of it for long years, but when you're finally confronted with your pitiful victim prostrate and helpless before you, all the ardor for revenge leaves you.

    In the end evil people are as much victims as the targets of their animosity - they simply do not see, and evil brings in it's train its own misery.

    You had a taste of this when you finally recognize that your own anger actually made you unhappy. So it is with the target of your revenge.

    As the Buddha said - "All that we are is the result of what we have thought: it is founded on our thoughts, it is made up of our thoughts. If a man speaks or acts with an evil thought, pain follows him, as the wheel follows the foot of the ox that draws the carriage."

    In the final analysis what one ought to wish for is the redemption of evil people, not their futile punishment. How much larger and more comprehensive a vision is that.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  147. @Greasy William
    Here's a good article about the Jewish attitude towards revenge (I've been thinking a lot about revenge after reading the reactions of Ukraine supporters to that family killed on the Crimean bridge): https://www.torahmusings.com/2012/05/kahanism-and-vengeance/

    My first introduction to real Judaism, as opposed to fake American "Judaism", was from the writings of Rabbi Kahane. Kahane's writings really spoke to me because here was a guy who hated leftists and Arabs as much as I did and was passionate about taking revenge on our (Jews) enemies.

    I viewed Jews who opposed taking revenge as either stupid, weak, evil or all three. The only group of Jews I gave a pass on not supporting revenge was the Haredim because I just instinctively felt like their hearts were in the right place and I was able to accept that they just weren't wired that way (if you've ever met any of them, you'd know what I'm talking about).

    When your in jail, you have a lot of time just sitting there with your thoughts. Without all the distractions of real life I was able/forced to examine my own mind, thoughts and emotions on a much deeper level. It was then for the first time I could see that hating Russophiles/Lebanese/Iranians/White liberals whoever else was actually making me unhappy. I was using the hate like it was heroin: it gave a phenomenal high, at least at first, but it quickly developed into a dependency that was making me miserable without me even realizing it.

    So I looked for answers about how to get away from it and I found Buddhism. I never became a Buddhist, or even thought about becoming one, but I read a lot of their stuff because they seemed to be the only one's who actually spoke about practical elements of the mind as opposed to just a bunch of dogma that I don't care about. And while I did find the Buddhist perspective towards revenge helpful, I was never intellectually or emotionally satisfied with it.

    The article I cited above, when I read it it was just like, it felt like everything that I had been thinking about for all these years finally fell into place. I wouldn't necessarily expect everyone else to react the same way, but I think most people can gain something from the perspective the article offers.

    There is one really interesting line in the article. Referring to Rabbi Kahane's attitude towards revenge, the writer states the following :

    The [permissibility of taking revenge] is a matter of intent: Revenge out of anger or hatred is unacceptable but based on the desire to increase God’s glory is a mitzvah
     
    I was fairly familiar with Kahane's worldview, having read a decent amount of his work and having known some of his disciples (and their disciples), and I had no idea that Kahane had ever said such a thing. If you read any of Kahane's writings or listened to him speak you would know that Kahane was a bottomless pit of anger and hatred and that those things obviously are what motivated his obsession with revenge. That Kahane actually denied his desire for revenge was motivated by hatred simply beggars belief. I'm really surprised that Kahane said that. I don't know if he was just lying or it was a matter of him not being honest with himself.


    *yes I still am obsessed with getting revenge on white liberals but now I merely want to get revenge by taking their power away. Before I went to jail I literally wanted to gas/starve to death 10s of millions of them.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    He had an out of marriage affair with a shiksa, while having said that he opposed Jews marrying non-Jews.

    https://www.nytimes.com/1994/03/06/weekinreview/remembering-kahane-and-the-woman-on-the-bridge.html

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    I think it may have been more than just one. He sounds like he was quite the ladies man. He was a pretty ordinary looking guy so I don't know if he was really tall or something or it was just his fame that drew women too him.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  148. @Mikhail
    @Greasy William

    He had an out of marriage affair with a shiksa, while having said that he opposed Jews marrying non-Jews.

    https://www.nytimes.com/1994/03/06/weekinreview/remembering-kahane-and-the-woman-on-the-bridge.html

    Replies: @Greasy William

    I think it may have been more than just one. He sounds like he was quite the ladies man. He was a pretty ordinary looking guy so I don’t know if he was really tall or something or it was just his fame that drew women too him.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Greasy William


    I think it may have been more than just one. He sounds like he was quite the ladies man. He was a pretty ordinary looking guy so I don’t know if he was really tall or something or it was just his fame that drew women too him.
     
    His views led me to the kosher Nazi term. Just as Hitler spoke bitterly towards the end about Germans, the Kahane types (some of them) frequently bash Jews en masse. I recall one of them saying that Israel is run by a bunch of Communist Jews.

    Replies: @Greasy William

  149. @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol...
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now. Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential 'partisans' also seems made up. But whatever, wars are alike that - each side starts uber optimistic, then realities hit, then they don't want to talk about it, and then they settle for the best deal they can - for Ukies almost certainly much worse than if they had settled in 2021.

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference. Your idea that Russia will collapse internally ala US in Vietnam (or in Iraq, Afgan.) misreads the situation: for Russians this is a domestic war, it is not something half-way around the world building up the American imperium. You don't understand that, and thus you don't understand how this will play out.

    It is not "Putin" who sees it that way - it is a huge majority of people in Russia. If anything Putin is a relative moderate who has tried repeatedly to find a compromise. But your idea that the Russian speaking people in Ukraine who are a plurality (or were) in the south-east, who have endless relatives in Russia, studied and often worked there, are the same as "Vietnamese" to US only displays your ignorance. But whatever, let reality teach you...as with many Americans you simply don't understand the outside world. It is not all analogous to your American experiences like Vietnam.

    It would have been cheaper to give every Donbas Separatist $100k USD and 100 acres in the East.
     
    Would you suggest the same thing to the Ukies or to white Americans in the border regions that are becoming Hispanic? Give them $100k and resettle them in Canada. It would be cheaper - but why would you advocate ethnic cleansing of the Russians from Ukraine?

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wielgus

    I doubt whether armour will turn things around anyway. They are too easy for drones to detect, and too vulnerable to missiles. Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Wielgus


    ...Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration
     
    It used to be called storming the trenches - a WW1 tactic that in retrospect looked like a huge waste of lives to move half a mile.

    Or they can try commando raids, but that is an iffy way to fight against armor. Some raids may succeed, but it doesn't move the front and a lot of commandos die.

    It is psychological: more time needs to pass before the maximalists in Kiev and London-Washington can accept the reality and try to make a deal. They are now hoping for a 'demoralization' in Russia. That would take 5-10 years assuming no Russian breakthrough. Something else will happen. But what a cluster-f..k this is...

    Replies: @A123

    , @A123
    @Wielgus


    Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.
     
    That went poorly for them as well. They took huge losses to advance yards and the whole thing now appears to be on hold. (1)

    This after admitting that only within the first couple weeks of the counteroffensive Ukraine forces lost some 20% of the weaponry newly supplied by the West, including tanks and armored vehicles. The much-vaunted offensive had kicked off in May, but hasn't translated to any major gains.

    "This week, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, acknowledged that there had been a brief pause in operations some weeks ago but blamed it on a lack of equipment and munitions, and called on Western allies to quicken the pace of deliveries," wrote the Times.

    The report underscored that that the Pentagon has since publicly acknowledged the "pause", but then added: "American officials acknowledged the pause and said that the Ukrainians had begun moving again, but more deliberately, more adept at navigating minefields and mindful of the casualty risks."
     
    America has very little left available that they are allowed to send. Thus, Zelensky's cries for more are in vain. The #1 reason why cluster bombs are being provided is that are on the shelf above the minimum stock level.

    The U.S. House is already squeezing Appropriations. This will become even tighter as the election cycle heats up.
    ___

    Russia is in a strong position. They do not have to advance to win. They can wait until Kiev runs out of money. Revenue from exports is headed down. And, the ability of Europe to command funding via their puppet Not-The-President Biden is falling apart.

    Will France and Germany commit to funding Kiev, €5 Billion+ per month?

    If not, Kiev will run out of logistics support to continue the fight, eventually leading to a deal on terms favorable to Russia (e.g. No NATO). Time is on Putin's side.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-pentagon-belatedly-acknowledged-counteroffensive-had-be-paused-amid-losses

    Replies: @Mikhail

  150. Anyone against honor killing has a cuck fetish

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Sher Singh


    if you are a male and straight, answer who you would want to be married to for at least 5 years monogamously
     
    If I myself am already sterilized (bilateral epididymectomy combined with a radical scrotal vasectomy), but with a lot of prior sperm freezing, then possibly this woman:

    https://www.istockphoto.com/photo/couple-kissing-on-a-beach-gm459448847-31980168

    https://www.istockphoto.com/photo/young-couple-kissing-on-the-beach-gm186579750-27944940

    I don't think that this woman is likely to have a super-high IQ (because Hispanics, even whiter ones, mostly don't, and she's not the whitest Hispanic), but she is hott as fuck!

  151. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Ok, but in the end the far right only really wants liberation from the lefts rules, not rules as such. In fact they always imagine an equally oppressive set of rules they favor.

    That's why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    To be sure, on the way the right can produce works of genuine liberatory effect - I quite enjoyed Voyage Au Bout De La Nuit, despite it's authors horrific views and personality.

    BAP doesn't favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness, a freedom from artificial rules and constraints and a return to the natural man in his original state, as Zen does - he just hates specifically the lefts rules. But his own attitudes exemplify an oppression that would be just as smothering and artificial, and thus he is no true "barbarian", no true "natural man", just a late modern decadent.

    Of course, the left has its own brand of sinister authoritarianism which we are seeing today.

    Replies: @A123, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Coconuts, @John Johnson

    BAP doesn’t favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness…

    BAP is a Nietzschean, so that influences his idea of what nature is, and his vitalism is the early 20th century European kind. I think a typical criticism made about Nietzsche, that he didn’t produce any moral philosophy because Nietzschean man is too individualistic to be part of any community would generally apply to BAP, he is mainly appealing to individuals or small groups, people who are attracted to his vision.

    What you wrote to Emil:

    Please correct me if I’m wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression – basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.

    From BAP’s point of view the weak should not seek to dominate the strong, and he sees himself waging a struggle for freedom against the longhouse existence in which women (especially the obese and mulatto lesbians iirc) seek to confine European men.

    Probably BAP’s debt to Nietzsche explains this, because Nietzsche and those influenced by him in the later 19th and early 20th century were a kind of reaction to the pervasive influence of Rousseau and a certain sort of Romanticism after the French Revolution. You can see the impact of Marx and Darwin there and later Bergson, and the way Rousseauism had become institutionalised in a regime like the IIIrd Republic in France.

    The anarchism part would be related to some of the early anarchists like Proudhon, who as well as founding anarchist thinking wrote various spicy things about the corrupting influence of early feminists in his book Pornocratie, and revolutionary syndicalists like Georges Sorel, whose views also partially overlap with BAP and parts of the far-right.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Coconuts

    Prior to seeing this yesterday I thought BAP was ~.99 overlap/correlate with Anglin.

    https://americanmind.org/tag/bronze-age-pervert/

    This one (Michael Anton teaches at Claremont) is where I started:

    https://americanmind.org/salvo/which-way-jester-man/

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Ok, but BAP does not represent liberation from the mentality of control itself and a return to primordial simplicity. Nietzsche was after all the will to power guy - although there are aspects of Nietzsche's thinking that also opposes systems and excessive structure, and Mcgilchrist actually quotes him extensively. Nietzsche was a complicated thinker who produced much valuable critique of modernity within the overall context of a terrible philosophy that reproduced and intensified many of the aspects of modernity. Still, don't throw the baby out with the bathwater.

    I understand his appeal of BAP to some, don't get me wrong - there is an element of revolt in him, and to many that is the whiff of freedom. The mistake is that there is some aspect of the system that is bad, rather than having a complex "system" is itself what is devitalizing and alienating.

    His extreme individualism is itself typical of left hemisphere thinking, with it's loss of connection to the larger picture and a sense of relationship between parts that is characteristic of those who can see the whole. His moral nihilism is itself left hemisphere thinking.

    No, he's a product of the system himself, and exemplifies it's defects even as he opposes some of its more extreme aspects.

  152. @John Johnson
    @A123

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    By attacking and killing Ukrainian Orthodox Slavs? With Muslim Chechen forces? And a Jewish atheist chef with his own private army? Is that the Christian force?

    You do acknowledge that Russia has Europe's largest atheist and Muslim populations?

    And that Ukraine has a higher percentage of Orthodox Christians?

    Can you just confirm that with a "yes"?

    PEACE 😇

    You sign "peace" with every message and yet continually defend an unjust war.

    Are you some confused hippie boomer that did too many drugs? You and other Putin defenders seem mentally unhealthy.

    Replies: @sudden death, @A123

    Considering that WEF puppet IslamoPutin now is openly enforcing Quran worship as a sacred value for all in RF, some just are becoming desperate while trying unsuccesfully to obfuscate it as much as possible;)

  153. @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    But the fact that you are even saying this shows that you have, at least subconsciously, given up on Ukraine defeating Russia on the battlefield.

    Although I've gone back and forth on who I expected to win the war, I generally regarded time as favoring the Ukrainians: the bumbling Russians would wear away as the Ukrainians get built into the strongest land army in the world aside from the United States. But that just doesn't appear to be the way things are going. The Russian army continues to get bigger and better equipped and it is the West who are unable to deal with the Ukrainian army's need for ammunition and weaponry. The Western wunderwaffen that have arrived are no longer making a meaningful impact and the US is all but explicitly stating that it will not attempt to build up the Ukrainian air force while the war continues.

    It used to be in the times that I thought Russia would win, I felt that way because I thought Russia would be able to wait out the US, but now I think Russia is a credible threat to win the war outright. This war has exposed just how hollow the US military industrial complex really is. The US doesn't produce anything that Russia and China are unable to counter and US military industry simply cannot produce the sheer quantity of weaponry that this war demands.

    The only way to save Ukraine is for the West to retool it's defense industry for mass production and to put a NATO force in Ukraine to prevent Russia from overrunning the entire country. It does appear like plans to put a Polish led force in Ukraine are already in the works.

    But when this war finally ends, it's gonna be on Russia's terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @John Johnson, @sudden death

    But when this war finally ends, it’s gonna be on Russia’s terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.

    These are just worthless pontifications if no any timetables are given;) Meanwhile UA is continuing methodically blowing RF ammo depots, now in Crimea, but it remains to be seen whether achieved material attrition rates will be enough for UA army to convert it into notable territorial gains till autumn. If not, my bet is on the de facto freeze of current lines at least for several years.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @sudden death


    ...de facto freeze of current lines at least for several years.
     
    Let's assume that happens. It would be a loss of Ukraine, a small win for Russia, an ongoing irritant for EU, and a disappointment for Nato-US. At the cost of a few hundred thousand people and destroyed economies.

    Ukraine becomes a military border with declining population, no investment, guns and crime, kept afloat by a cargo-cult from increasingly unwilling West. Everyone will be angry and the anger would turn inwards - loyalty tests, who is stealing what, or the mayhem devil-may-care dystopia. With some pretty speeches and an occasional visit by a Western celebrity.

    Great. So what have we learned? That imperfect solutions and accepting that large countries have security red lines beats mindless dreams like Maidan. That trying to sit it out - as Merkel, the Frenchies, Trump, even Putin tried for too long - makes it worse.

    But peeing into a hurricane can be so much fun, it is like seeking the ultimate subjective justice with "no compromise with the satan". Right. Instead what you get are regrets and dead bodies all around. And the sponsors move on...

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  154. Timetable:
    1. Russian offensive towards Kharkov begins in late August
    2. Ukrainian offensive officially called off in early September
    3. Russia conquers Kharkov in January/February
    4. United States asks for terms
    5. Peace negotiations begin in March 2024
    6. Peace deal in May 2024

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Greasy William

    Now you suddenly managed to lose Odessa&Kherson city again;) And Nikolaev too, unless you think RF wil be magically able to take Odessa just from sea without taking Nikolaev first, lol

    Replies: @Greasy William

    , @Mikhail
    @Greasy William


    Timetable:
    1. Russian offensive towards Kharkov begins in late August
    2. Ukrainian offensive officially called off in early September
    3. Russia conquers Kharkov in January/February
    4. United States asks for terms
    5. Peace negotiations begin in March 2024
    6. Peace deal in May 2024
     
    Standing in the way is Biden and the 2024 US presidential election.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt -

    A consensus among some has the collective West giving the Kiev regime until the end of this year to roughly 12 months from now, to make its case on the battlefield. That stance comes across as a roundabout acknowledgement of the practical limits on opposing Russia, which appears to comparatively have more in reserve to continue the conflict if need be.

    Another prevailing factor is US President Joseph Biden, who will still be in office within this time frame and can’t politically afford another Afghanistan scenario with a looming election. Following the recent NATO gathering, Biden said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has already lost, further digging a likely deeper hole for the former. Putting aside Biden’s neocon-neolib bluster, the Kiev regime and collective West can arguably/reasonably best expect a frozen conflict for the purpose to build up the Kiev regime. Russia will be understandably wary of such.
     

    Replies: @Greasy William

  155. @Greasy William
    Timetable:
    1. Russian offensive towards Kharkov begins in late August
    2. Ukrainian offensive officially called off in early September
    3. Russia conquers Kharkov in January/February
    4. United States asks for terms
    5. Peace negotiations begin in March 2024
    6. Peace deal in May 2024

    Replies: @sudden death, @Mikhail

    Now you suddenly managed to lose Odessa&Kherson city again;) And Nikolaev too, unless you think RF wil be magically able to take Odessa just from sea without taking Nikolaev first, lol

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @sudden death

    I think that Nikolaev, Odessa and Kherson will be handed over to Russia in negotiations.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  156. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I certainly have not read his books nor do I intent to. I am going off his very dramatic persona and what few tweets I've read.

    Please correct me if I'm wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression - basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.

    The natural state sought by Zen and Taoism, and by the best passages of the Gospels, the untrammeled mind, free of the distortions, artificial constructs, and repressions of civilization which disfigure the personality and cramp the mind, and the second innocence and purity that come from returning to our true nature, is a very different thing indeed.

    But if I'm wrong, please correct me.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    He claims to be apolitical. Not a supporter of Donald Trump. Or his actor front man does so. He, she, or it is possibly a fiction project staffed by a committee. Of innovative entrepeneurs or CIA spooks or Macedonian freedom fighters.

    I don’t look at twitter on my phone ever and skim over fast when somebody posts it on a computer page I am seeing. He, she, or it believes in Nietzsche, not God.

  157. @sudden death
    @Greasy William

    Now you suddenly managed to lose Odessa&Kherson city again;) And Nikolaev too, unless you think RF wil be magically able to take Odessa just from sea without taking Nikolaev first, lol

    Replies: @Greasy William

    I think that Nikolaev, Odessa and Kherson will be handed over to Russia in negotiations.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Greasy William

    Why would Ukraine agree to something so stupid, especially seeing that these towns are currently strongly under Ukrainian control? Most of the inhabitants are pro-Ukrainian. Leaving Russia with Donbas would be more than a generous option, and is what the current Russian propaganda is aimed at. I think that whatever the current areas of control are at the time of negotiations will figure most prominently into the "peace settlement". Don't put the cart before the horse.

    Replies: @QCIC

  158. @A123
    The most Apartheid country on the Mediterranean -- LEBANON (1)

    "The procedures and restrictions imposed on the entry of building materials into the Palestinian camps in Lebanon are in contradiction with the principles of human rights." — Hassan al-Sayyida, a researcher and human rights activist at the Palestinian Association for Human, palinfo.com, July 10,2023.

    This is the second case within a year in which a Palestinian has been arrested on charges of a "construction violation." On July 28, 2022, Lebanese authorities arrested another Palestinian woman, Amal Mousa, also on the pretext of building a house without a permit. Mousa was released only after she was forced to demolish the foundations of her house.

     

    Palestine refugees in Lebanon face substantial challenges to the full enjoyment of their human rights. They are socially marginalized, have very limited civil, social, political, and economic rights, including restricted access to the Government of Lebanon's public health, educational and social services and face significant restrictions on their right to work and right to own property." — UNRWA, reporting that the Palestinians are still prevented from employment in 39 professions such as medicine, law, and engineering.

    "Palestine refugees consistently report experiencing discrimination in hiring practices and opportunities for employment. They are faced with informal restrictions on the types of jobs and industries they can be hired for due to additional bureaucracy around contracts and work permits, and discrimination..." – UNRWA.
     
    Why is Islam the religion of Apartheid?

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/19807/palestinians-apartheid-lebanon

    Replies: @NaziRSS

    “Israel’s 1948 Declaration of Independence, which pledges that Israel will “uphold the full social and political equality of all its citizens, without distinction of race, creed or sex.” We can argue about whether that promise was ever compatible with a political project that, in creating a national home for one oppressed and stateless people, made refugees of another. What’s important today, however, is that Israel’s leadership no longer even appears to aspire to this founding ideal.

    NYT

    Israel🤔

    “Israel is not a state of all its citizens,” Netanyahu wrote in 2019. “According to the basic nationality law we passed, Israel is the nation state of the Jewish people — and only it.” He was referring to a 2018 law,”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/opinion/israel-racist-state-pramila-jayapal.html

    Nation ,Religion ,State or Cow or Snake -so many words are used by Israel to describe themselves or be appreacited that way by other ,depending on the need of the hour , that peace is war to them ,colonization is empowerment and they never thought of destroying Iraq using America let alone doing it .

  159. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    BAP doesn’t favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness...
     
    BAP is a Nietzschean, so that influences his idea of what nature is, and his vitalism is the early 20th century European kind. I think a typical criticism made about Nietzsche, that he didn't produce any moral philosophy because Nietzschean man is too individualistic to be part of any community would generally apply to BAP, he is mainly appealing to individuals or small groups, people who are attracted to his vision.

    What you wrote to Emil:


    Please correct me if I’m wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression – basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.
     
    From BAP's point of view the weak should not seek to dominate the strong, and he sees himself waging a struggle for freedom against the longhouse existence in which women (especially the obese and mulatto lesbians iirc) seek to confine European men.

    Probably BAP's debt to Nietzsche explains this, because Nietzsche and those influenced by him in the later 19th and early 20th century were a kind of reaction to the pervasive influence of Rousseau and a certain sort of Romanticism after the French Revolution. You can see the impact of Marx and Darwin there and later Bergson, and the way Rousseauism had become institutionalised in a regime like the IIIrd Republic in France.

    The anarchism part would be related to some of the early anarchists like Proudhon, who as well as founding anarchist thinking wrote various spicy things about the corrupting influence of early feminists in his book Pornocratie, and revolutionary syndicalists like Georges Sorel, whose views also partially overlap with BAP and parts of the far-right.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Prior to seeing this yesterday I thought BAP was ~.99 overlap/correlate with Anglin.

    https://americanmind.org/tag/bronze-age-pervert/

    This one (Michael Anton teaches at Claremont) is where I started:

    https://americanmind.org/salvo/which-way-jester-man/

  160. A123 says: • Website
    @John Johnson
    @A123

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    By attacking and killing Ukrainian Orthodox Slavs? With Muslim Chechen forces? And a Jewish atheist chef with his own private army? Is that the Christian force?

    You do acknowledge that Russia has Europe's largest atheist and Muslim populations?

    And that Ukraine has a higher percentage of Orthodox Christians?

    Can you just confirm that with a "yes"?

    PEACE 😇

    You sign "peace" with every message and yet continually defend an unjust war.

    Are you some confused hippie boomer that did too many drugs? You and other Putin defenders seem mentally unhealthy.

    Replies: @sudden death, @A123

    Christian Populist Russia, and thus Putin, are a potential ally opposing IslamoGloboHomo.

    By attacking and killing Ukrainian Orthodox Slavs?

    Sigh… Let me try again…

    This was originally kicked off by an Open Borders Islamophile, Not-a-Jew Merkel. The Greater European Empire [GEE] is currently led by Not-a-Jew Scholz and Not-a-Jew Macron. Post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is controlled by the GEE. Similarly Not-The-President Biden is a lobotomite puppet controlled by Europe.

    Judeo-Christians on BOTH sides — Russian and Ukrainian — are victims of the IslamoGloboHomo GEE.

    The GEE ordered Zelensky to abuse and kill Russian ethnics for years. Why is anyone surprised that Russia finally reacted to those unjust war crimes?

    PEACE 😇

  161. @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Everyone sees through your deception. Why do you continue to lie for the Anti-Christ Muhammad after you have been caught?

     
    https://morningmail.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/taqiyya.jpg
     

    Post-Judaic apostate Zelensky is not a current practitioner of Judaism. Was he ever? He serves the Islamophile European Empire, much like -- Not-a-Jew Scholz, not-a-Jew Macron, and especially, not-a-Jew Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel.

    Only a Muslim, such as yourself, would deploy Taqiyya slight of hand in a failed attempt to blame Jews for Islamic actions. Fortunately, you are a very poor Muslim deceiver.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Greasy William, @NaziRSS

    Taq Taq Taqya

    I am Jew . I believe in Oslo and 2 nation states .

    “ There will never be a Palestine state . PA works for us”- Netanyahu

    “ We will drag Oslo and pretend that we are sincere “- Shamir , Sharon ,Barak and their 123

    Taq Taq Taqiya
    I am a Jew
    I am establishing this nation which will follow democracy , freedom , right for all .

    “Israel’s 1948 Declaration of Independence, which pledges that Israel will “uphold the full social and political equality of all its citizens, without distinction of race, creed or sex.” We can argue about whether that promise was ever compatible with a political project that, in creating a national home for one oppressed and stateless people, made refugees of another. What’s important today, however, is that Israel’s leadership no longer even appears to aspire to this founding ideal.

    “Israel is not a state of all its citizens,” Netanyahu wrote in 2019. “According to the basic nationality law we passed, Israel is the nation state of the Jewish people — and only it.” He was referring to a 2018 law,”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/opinion/israel-racist-state-pramila-jayapal.html

    Taq Taq Taqiya

    I am a Jew .
    We don’t support but fight torture , spying , attack on innocents

    “ Israel has not stopped sharing Pegasus to autocratic regimes. Israel continues to supply arms to Mynamar ,
    It supplied arms and sent money to Latin American torture regimes .
    It helped military leaders of Sudan-and Egypt

    It harvests organs from poor citizens using America. Albania and Ukraine and stela’s organs from Palestinian “

  162. We have another mentally ill commenter being placed on the IGNORE list.

    It only took two posts to conform total dysfunction. That might be a record for antisocial deviancy.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123

    Are you putting yourself on ignore? Everybody else at this blog already has done so. You should consider crawling into your little mancave where you can continue building your shrine to Trump. Shrines and memorial plaques look like that's all that will soon be left of him...

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  163. @Greasy William
    @sudden death

    I think that Nikolaev, Odessa and Kherson will be handed over to Russia in negotiations.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Why would Ukraine agree to something so stupid, especially seeing that these towns are currently strongly under Ukrainian control? Most of the inhabitants are pro-Ukrainian. Leaving Russia with Donbas would be more than a generous option, and is what the current Russian propaganda is aimed at. I think that whatever the current areas of control are at the time of negotiations will figure most prominently into the “peace settlement”. Don’t put the cart before the horse.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    I think Russia can meet Greasy's schedule but they will have to go far beyond this to create a stable peace once the SMO ends. They have not de-NeoNAZIfied most of the country or even de-NATOized it. Until they do more of that work the Ukrainians cannot be expected to respect any terms.

    I think Russia wants to leave Odessa open until they accomplish the D-3N goals. This is my new military acronym: D-3N = de-(NeoNAZI and NATO).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  164. @A123
    We have another mentally ill commenter being placed on the IGNORE list.

    It only took two posts to conform total dysfunction. That might be a record for antisocial deviancy.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Are you putting yourself on ignore? Everybody else at this blog already has done so. You should consider crawling into your little mancave where you can continue building your shrine to Trump. Shrines and memorial plaques look like that’s all that will soon be left of him…

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    https://cdn.creators.com/218/352447/352447_image.jpg

  165. @Mr. Hack
    @A123

    Are you putting yourself on ignore? Everybody else at this blog already has done so. You should consider crawling into your little mancave where you can continue building your shrine to Trump. Shrines and memorial plaques look like that's all that will soon be left of him...

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  166. United States counties w/ population density less than 6 people per square mile.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    US supposedly has double the usable flat land of either Europe or China.

  167. @Mr. Hack
    @Greasy William

    Why would Ukraine agree to something so stupid, especially seeing that these towns are currently strongly under Ukrainian control? Most of the inhabitants are pro-Ukrainian. Leaving Russia with Donbas would be more than a generous option, and is what the current Russian propaganda is aimed at. I think that whatever the current areas of control are at the time of negotiations will figure most prominently into the "peace settlement". Don't put the cart before the horse.

    Replies: @QCIC

    I think Russia can meet Greasy’s schedule but they will have to go far beyond this to create a stable peace once the SMO ends. They have not de-NeoNAZIfied most of the country or even de-NATOized it. Until they do more of that work the Ukrainians cannot be expected to respect any terms.

    I think Russia wants to leave Odessa open until they accomplish the D-3N goals. This is my new military acronym: D-3N = de-(NeoNAZI and NATO).

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    I think Russia can meet Greasy’s schedule
     
    Why haven't they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They're very far away from anything close to what you're suggesting here.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mikhail

  168. @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    I think Russia can meet Greasy's schedule but they will have to go far beyond this to create a stable peace once the SMO ends. They have not de-NeoNAZIfied most of the country or even de-NATOized it. Until they do more of that work the Ukrainians cannot be expected to respect any terms.

    I think Russia wants to leave Odessa open until they accomplish the D-3N goals. This is my new military acronym: D-3N = de-(NeoNAZI and NATO).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    I think Russia can meet Greasy’s schedule

    Why haven’t they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They’re very far away from anything close to what you’re suggesting here.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia's stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.

    Russia does not want to "conquer" a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists. If they do this the proxy war simply becomes a proxy guerrilla war. This could even be NATO's back-up plan. I think a long guerrilla conflict will be much worse for both sides from an emotional perspective, since it tends to get more Ukrainian families explicitly involved in the fighting. Also, once Ukraine is "conquered" there will be pressure to handle things in a civil process as an attempt to restore order. This civility makes it more difficult to round up NeoNAZIs. A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes. To allow the restoration of order and development of a neutral government probably requires the capture or killing of most of these NeoNAZIs . Inevitably some survivors will take it as a matter of honor to murder pro-Russian public figures in Ukraine and maybe even neutral ones.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians but are trying to defeat the West in this proxy war being fought with Ukrainian pawns against Russia. I still believe the Russian military can destroy the entire country at will by striking critical infrastructure. They do not want to do this. The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man's substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.

    With this in mind, I assume Russia's battle plans for the last 9 months have more to do with D-3N than anything else (getting rid of NeoNAZIs and NATO). I have come around to a view that initially the Russians were caught somewhat flat-footed and her initial strategy was specifically designed to break up an imminent Ukrainian-Western offensive, probably focussed on Crimea. Once that goal was achieved, Russia has been settling in and building up for the long painful D-3N process.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    , @Mikhail
    @Mr. Hack


    Why haven’t they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They’re very far away from anything close to what you’re suggesting here.
     
    War of attrition, seeing the Kiev regime lose many of its forces when taking Kherson City and the area of Kharkov - both having a limited Russian contingent.

    In a special military operation involving limited military use, the idea is to get the other side to lose more of its forces than yours. When your forces are superior in number (equipment, personnel and training), the long game is favorable.

    Doing the opposite blitzkrieg kills more of your forces and civilians as well. The long game Russian approach to this conflict gradually wears down the opponent.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  169. @John Johnson
    Addition:
    As for Rome yes it would have made sense for them to stop in the time of Augustus.

    They should have consolidated their gains around north Africa given its natural defenses. Keep a Mediterranean empire where they can send in naval support to any territory.

    Nothing remains of Rome. Not even its people.

    Italy is an admixture of Romans and the random tribes that raped them after the empire collapsed.

    So yes they went too far in their expansion. The expansion into Britain was entirely about ego and not economics. They could have traded with Brits and Germans instead of trying to conquer them.

    But I guess the Romans knew what they were doing. Their original bloodline is dead and their buildings are now tourist attractions. The mighty Rome is a place for selfies.

    Replies: @songbird, @Vajradhara

    So yes they went too far in their expansion. The expansion into Britain was entirely ego and not economics. They could have traded with Brits and Germans instead of trying to conquer them.

    Perhaps, I am too influenced by sci-fi, but I kind of have the opposite idea. The focus on money and trade through the Middle East may have led to the Arab conquests.

    If Rome had been more concerned with the fringes of NW Europe (and they could have probably been less heavy-handed in their approach) then maybe, just maybe, that would have led to discovery of America, which would have probably revolutionized Rome and led to a far greater survival of literature.

  170. @Emil Nikola Richard
    United States counties w/ population density less than 6 people per square mile.

    https://i.redd.it/umta0qpdxscb1.png

    Replies: @songbird

    US supposedly has double the usable flat land of either Europe or China.

  171. @Mr. XYZ
    From Anatoly Karlin:

    "@general_ben 90% of Crimeans don't want to go back to Ukrainian rule.

    Ukrainian occupation of Crimea would necessitate large-scale repressions and deportations, of which the Ukrainians talk openly."

    My own response to him:

    It won't be any worse for Ukraine than conquering all of Ukraine would have been for Russia (which you yourself supported even when it became clear that the war was going to become a war of attrition, just so long as you thought that Russia could still win it and thus attain Sub-Saharan African population growth rates through military expansion, like Hitler did in the past). I could have easily told you that even if Russia would have conquered all of Ukraine, doing so was a bad idea because 90+% of Ukrainians would have opposed this. But you said that people are malleable and intuitively like winners. So, why exactly wouldn't the same logic also apply in a case where Ukraine militarily reconquers Crimea and Donbass? If the people there will start seeing Ukraine as a winner and Ukraine will experience a huge and long-lasting post-war economic boom due to huge amounts of remittances (much harder to loot) and large-scale Western aid (hopefully strictly monitored to prevent looting), then support for Russian rule there could drop significantly below 90%.

    Replies: @Vajradhara

    If Ukraine reverted to language laws as they were before 2014, I could see this happening.

    You see, Slavs are extremely stubborn when it comes to language. If Crimean Russians were allowed equal linguistic rights as Ukrainians, such as studying on all levels in Russian, they might get used to reverting to Ukraine. Otherwise, definitely not.

    Even Albanians in Kosovo could study on all levels in Albanian after 1969, so Ukraine preventing Russians to study at a Russian-speaking Universities would make Ukraine worse than the communists.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Vajradhara

    It would be helpful to see an unbiased map of Russian versus Ukrainian language usage across Ukraine in 1991 before things changed to so many more Ukrainian speakers (assuming that is actually true). This might be the last Soviet map, whenever that was made.

    Was Ukranization actively promoted by the Soviets during perestroika?

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Vajradhara

    I'm all in favor of giving both Crimea and Donbass a status within Ukraine comparable to what South Tyrol currently has within Italy.

    Replies: @LondonBob

  172. @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky's Easter Greetings within the "Great Sophia Cathedral" show that he's a deeply spiritual man. It's really a great speech, and it can be read below the video in English subtitles. He's Jew that feels very close to Ukraine's traditional Ukrainian Orthodox church. A real Judeo-Christian, not a phoney baloney one like you, kremlinstoogeA123.

    https://youtu.be/V2fSmZvZiFU

    Replies: @QCIC, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Wokechoke, @Vajradhara

    Judeo-Christian LOL

    Surely you don’t think the evil Asura called Yahveh, a jealous god who wants genocide of any tribe that does not worship him, has anything to do with the god of Yehoshuah/Jesus. OTOH, Yehoshuah claims in the Gospel of Luke that you have to hate your entire family if you want to be his followers, and that reminds me a bit of Judeo-Bolsheviks.

  173. @sudden death
    @Greasy William


    But when this war finally ends, it’s gonna be on Russia’s terms. The US should be able to save Kiev but Kherson, Kharkov, Odessa and the rest of the Donbas are gone.
     
    These are just worthless pontifications if no any timetables are given;) Meanwhile UA is continuing methodically blowing RF ammo depots, now in Crimea, but it remains to be seen whether achieved material attrition rates will be enough for UA army to convert it into notable territorial gains till autumn. If not, my bet is on the de facto freeze of current lines at least for several years.

    Replies: @Beckow

    …de facto freeze of current lines at least for several years.

    Let’s assume that happens. It would be a loss of Ukraine, a small win for Russia, an ongoing irritant for EU, and a disappointment for Nato-US. At the cost of a few hundred thousand people and destroyed economies.

    Ukraine becomes a military border with declining population, no investment, guns and crime, kept afloat by a cargo-cult from increasingly unwilling West. Everyone will be angry and the anger would turn inwards – loyalty tests, who is stealing what, or the mayhem devil-may-care dystopia. With some pretty speeches and an occasional visit by a Western celebrity.

    Great. So what have we learned? That imperfect solutions and accepting that large countries have security red lines beats mindless dreams like Maidan. That trying to sit it out – as Merkel, the Frenchies, Trump, even Putin tried for too long – makes it worse.

    But peeing into a hurricane can be so much fun, it is like seeking the ultimate subjective justice with “no compromise with the satan”. Right. Instead what you get are regrets and dead bodies all around. And the sponsors move on…

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Beckow

    You omit the growth industries of sex tourism, surrogate motherhood, and infant adoption. They are poised to remain the unchallenged world leader in white whore-housing.

    Replies: @Beckow, @QCIC

  174. @John Johnson
    Addition:
    As for Rome yes it would have made sense for them to stop in the time of Augustus.

    They should have consolidated their gains around north Africa given its natural defenses. Keep a Mediterranean empire where they can send in naval support to any territory.

    Nothing remains of Rome. Not even its people.

    Italy is an admixture of Romans and the random tribes that raped them after the empire collapsed.

    So yes they went too far in their expansion. The expansion into Britain was entirely about ego and not economics. They could have traded with Brits and Germans instead of trying to conquer them.

    But I guess the Romans knew what they were doing. Their original bloodline is dead and their buildings are now tourist attractions. The mighty Rome is a place for selfies.

    Replies: @songbird, @Vajradhara

    “Italy is an admixture of Romans and the random tribes that raped them after the empire collapsed.”

    If you look at population genetics around the world, including most of Europe, it’s the same pretty much everywhere.

  175. @Beckow
    @sudden death


    ...de facto freeze of current lines at least for several years.
     
    Let's assume that happens. It would be a loss of Ukraine, a small win for Russia, an ongoing irritant for EU, and a disappointment for Nato-US. At the cost of a few hundred thousand people and destroyed economies.

    Ukraine becomes a military border with declining population, no investment, guns and crime, kept afloat by a cargo-cult from increasingly unwilling West. Everyone will be angry and the anger would turn inwards - loyalty tests, who is stealing what, or the mayhem devil-may-care dystopia. With some pretty speeches and an occasional visit by a Western celebrity.

    Great. So what have we learned? That imperfect solutions and accepting that large countries have security red lines beats mindless dreams like Maidan. That trying to sit it out - as Merkel, the Frenchies, Trump, even Putin tried for too long - makes it worse.

    But peeing into a hurricane can be so much fun, it is like seeking the ultimate subjective justice with "no compromise with the satan". Right. Instead what you get are regrets and dead bodies all around. And the sponsors move on...

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    You omit the growth industries of sex tourism, surrogate motherhood, and infant adoption. They are poised to remain the unchallenged world leader in white whore-housing.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Those activities have always been the dream economy for all nationalists, right? It seems that people in charge of Ukraine are not that patriotic...they just like to dress up in costumes and dance, but in reality they are the usual sell-outs.

    , @QCIC
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Were these markets actively developed by Jewish organized crime?

  176. @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …I’ve never even said they should try to retake all of Crimea. In fact I have mixed opinions on taking Crimea. I’d be concerned with them stretching too thin by going south instead of towards Mariupol…
     
    My recollection is that you were more optimistic than you are now.

    Well I think you are assuming a similar level of fanboyism in everyone but feel free to dig through my history. I said the tanks could potentially cause a rout but most haven't arrived. I also said an offensive is worth the effort if they are willing to fight. Makes sense to use all this Western hardware instead of accepting the current borders. However I thought announcing an offensive was a mistake and I was critical of the West for pushing one. A creeping unannounced offensive is the better path but that is out.

    If Ukrainian men are willing to fight then I fully support arming them. But Crimea is tricky and I'm not convinced they should head south. However I don't know their actual losses and neither does the Putin defense force. There is a lot of mystery to us observers. MacGregor told us last year that they were down to old men and boys and I watch daily video of Ukrainian military men fighting in trenches. So his "inside sources" are clearly bullshit.

    Your idea that Mariupol is full of potential ‘partisans’ also seems made up.

    My description of potential partisans in Mariupol isn't made up. It's from reading the news:
    https://news.yahoo.com/mariupol-partisans-set-fire-house-183800509.html

    Russians have in fact been on the hunt for them:
    https://news.yahoo.com/russia-sweeping-mariupol-pro-ukrainian-173700965.html

    Mariupol is nearly split between ethnic Russians and Ukrainians.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol#Demographics

    Ukraine can still rout the Russians with Western armor. Most of that armor has not arrived.
     
    What would be the timeframe? The armor is trickling in and it has not made much difference.

    I don't know the timeframe. They are using the Bradleys selectively and we haven't seen the full tank force and the Strikers. I've seen some Australian Bushmasters in use and the Ukrainains seem to like them. Maybe they are waiting for F16s, maybe they are still probing and mine clearing. I don't know. Unlike MacGregor and Ritter I am actually fine with stating that I'm not sure of what exactly is happening on the battlefield at the moment. It's possible that they want to wait and make sure a path is cleared. Modern offensives of this scale normally take months. I don't know why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks as Ritter declared. Both sides have used mines effectively. I think Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Greasy William, @Beckow

    …why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks…Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.

    It has been 6 weeks and Ukies have been probing and losing a lot of men. The Ukies willingness to fight varies, check out the videos of men dragged by force of the streets. Or the millions of Ukies who left the country.

    Why do you think that Russia could be demoralized? Based on the US experience – the losses in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan – it takes 5-10 years for a demoralization. For Russia (not “Putin”) this is a domestic war, on its border, people speak Russian, it has been on-and-off a part of Russia for hundreds of years. It is not Iraq. Mariupol is 90% Russian speaking, that matters.

    Any “coup” would be along more nationalist lines. The potential dissatisfaction in Russia is from the more radical people, like Prigozhin. They don’t understand why more massive bombing and escalation have not been done. It is not the ‘liberals’ who would stage a coup – at this point they can barely take over a medium-size coffee shop in Moscow.

    You claim that you are nuanced. Well, then think it through – the Australian Bushmasters are not going to win the war. And time is not on Ukie side.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Why do you think that Russia could be demoralized? Based on the US experience – the losses in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan – it takes 5-10 years for a demoralization.

    Any country can be demoralized and there is no minimum time required. The Russians were quickly demoralized in WW1 after Tannenberg and they were out in 1917. That demoralization in fact helped the Communists. They even wrote letters to each other on how it was wonderful for Russia to be losing. Russian Communists cheered the deaths of their old soldiers.

    You are not paying attention if you think the attitude of Russians has not already changed since the start of the war.

    The arrogance of Putin's Russian TV goon squad has completely dropped. His Jewish propagandist keeps going on unhinged rants. Can provide some of those clips if you would like. At the start of the war he and the Goons 'n Friends wench Margarita Simonyan were laughing and joking as Ukrainians were killed. It was all fun and games when they thought it would be an easy win.

    Like his fans they are still holding out that Putin is playing 5d chess. That is why the psychological war should be the priority. Undermine the belief that their Tsar knows what he is doing. But again I'm not in charge of Ukrainian forces. I think a grand offensive is not the right move but they could know something that I don't. No one knows the actual casualties of either side.

    Mariupol is 90% Russian speaking, that matters.

    It's 48% ethnic Ukrainian and 44% Russian.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

    The predominant language of Mariupol is actually a mix
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surzhyk

    Putin views it as a Russian city. Well the locals disagree as pro-Russian political parties have long been a minority. It is ripe with partisan support as seen by the fact that Russian occupiers continue to hunt them.

    Any “coup” would be along more nationalist lines.

    No one can predict what a Russian coup would look like. No one predicted Prighozhin's march into Russia.

    It is not the ‘liberals’ who would stage a coup – at this point they can barely take over a medium-size coffee shop in Moscow.

    I've never used the word liberal when describing anyone in Russia. It already has too many conflicting definitions globally. If you mean a resulting coup wouldn't necessarily support democracy that is correct. But that doesn't mean the war would continue. Prigozhin stated that the war is based on lies and he most likely faked the attack by Shoigu. He doesn't believe in the war and there is no reason to assume he would continue it if the military inserted him as president.

    You claim that you are nuanced. Well, then think it through – the Australian Bushmasters are not going to win the war.

    I never said Bushmasters are going to win the war. I made a minor reference to them in the context of the bulk of the armor has not arrived.

    Yes you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You are bringing up my reference to the Bushmaster which really had nothing to do with my points. It was more of a side note that I found interesting. They like the Australian APC which I didn't expect. I was not making Scott Ritter style claims of the Bushmaster changing everything on the battlefield. This is what I am talking about. You have a hard time distinguishing between the two because nuanced opinion makes you uncomfortable.

    Replies: @Beckow

  177. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Beckow

    You omit the growth industries of sex tourism, surrogate motherhood, and infant adoption. They are poised to remain the unchallenged world leader in white whore-housing.

    Replies: @Beckow, @QCIC

    Those activities have always been the dream economy for all nationalists, right? It seems that people in charge of Ukraine are not that patriotic…they just like to dress up in costumes and dance, but in reality they are the usual sell-outs.

  178. @Vajradhara
    @Mr. XYZ

    If Ukraine reverted to language laws as they were before 2014, I could see this happening.

    You see, Slavs are extremely stubborn when it comes to language. If Crimean Russians were allowed equal linguistic rights as Ukrainians, such as studying on all levels in Russian, they might get used to reverting to Ukraine. Otherwise, definitely not.

    Even Albanians in Kosovo could study on all levels in Albanian after 1969, so Ukraine preventing Russians to study at a Russian-speaking Universities would make Ukraine worse than the communists.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    It would be helpful to see an unbiased map of Russian versus Ukrainian language usage across Ukraine in 1991 before things changed to so many more Ukrainian speakers (assuming that is actually true). This might be the last Soviet map, whenever that was made.

    Was Ukranization actively promoted by the Soviets during perestroika?

  179. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Beckow

    You omit the growth industries of sex tourism, surrogate motherhood, and infant adoption. They are poised to remain the unchallenged world leader in white whore-housing.

    Replies: @Beckow, @QCIC

    Were these markets actively developed by Jewish organized crime?

  180. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Ok, but in the end the far right only really wants liberation from the lefts rules, not rules as such. In fact they always imagine an equally oppressive set of rules they favor.

    That's why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    To be sure, on the way the right can produce works of genuine liberatory effect - I quite enjoyed Voyage Au Bout De La Nuit, despite it's authors horrific views and personality.

    BAP doesn't favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness, a freedom from artificial rules and constraints and a return to the natural man in his original state, as Zen does - he just hates specifically the lefts rules. But his own attitudes exemplify an oppression that would be just as smothering and artificial, and thus he is no true "barbarian", no true "natural man", just a late modern decadent.

    Of course, the left has its own brand of sinister authoritarianism which we are seeing today.

    Replies: @A123, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Coconuts, @John Johnson

    That’s why the American Alt-Right started off as anarchic and advocating for greater freedom, and swiftly devolved into supporting the most repressive regimes on the planet, China and Putin, and developing an appreciation for Islamic fundamentalism.

    I don’t see it that way at all.

    Alt-right started by questioning conservative taboos. Traditional conservatives weren’t able to control the narrative on the internet and it became embarrassingly apparent when Con inc or traditional conservative websites would censor their own.

    Taboos like ….. I don’t know….. RACE.

    I was banned from a conservative website for asking questions about how capitalism can save the third world. I was given a Bible verse lecture and then banned.

  181. @Wielgus
    @Beckow

    I doubt whether armour will turn things around anyway. They are too easy for drones to detect, and too vulnerable to missiles. Kiev's apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.

    Replies: @Beckow, @A123

    …Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration

    It used to be called storming the trenches – a WW1 tactic that in retrospect looked like a huge waste of lives to move half a mile.

    Or they can try commando raids, but that is an iffy way to fight against armor. Some raids may succeed, but it doesn’t move the front and a lot of commandos die.

    It is psychological: more time needs to pass before the maximalists in Kiev and London-Washington can accept the reality and try to make a deal. They are now hoping for a ‘demoralization‘ in Russia. That would take 5-10 years assuming no Russian breakthrough. Something else will happen. But what a cluster-f..k this is…

    • Thanks: A123
    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow


    It is psychological: more time needs to pass before the maximalists in Kiev and London-Washington can accept the reality and try to make a deal.
     
    Right idea, but wrong actors. Washington is already walking away. There is no American national interest or prestige at stake.

    The psychology that needs to change is within the EU, primarily Paris-Berlin. Warsaw has limited power, but they are quite loud in unhelpful ways.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Beckow

  182. @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    I think Russia can meet Greasy’s schedule
     
    Why haven't they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They're very far away from anything close to what you're suggesting here.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mikhail

    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia’s stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.

    Russia does not want to “conquer” a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists. If they do this the proxy war simply becomes a proxy guerrilla war. This could even be NATO’s back-up plan. I think a long guerrilla conflict will be much worse for both sides from an emotional perspective, since it tends to get more Ukrainian families explicitly involved in the fighting. Also, once Ukraine is “conquered” there will be pressure to handle things in a civil process as an attempt to restore order. This civility makes it more difficult to round up NeoNAZIs. A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes. To allow the restoration of order and development of a neutral government probably requires the capture or killing of most of these NeoNAZIs . Inevitably some survivors will take it as a matter of honor to murder pro-Russian public figures in Ukraine and maybe even neutral ones.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians but are trying to defeat the West in this proxy war being fought with Ukrainian pawns against Russia. I still believe the Russian military can destroy the entire country at will by striking critical infrastructure. They do not want to do this. The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man’s substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.

    With this in mind, I assume Russia’s battle plans for the last 9 months have more to do with D-3N than anything else (getting rid of NeoNAZIs and NATO). I have come around to a view that initially the Russians were caught somewhat flat-footed and her initial strategy was specifically designed to break up an imminent Ukrainian-Western offensive, probably focussed on Crimea. Once that goal was achieved, Russia has been settling in and building up for the long painful D-3N process.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia’s stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.
     
    As JJ has frequently pointed out here within our discussions, Russia's war aims (or Putler's to be more exact) are frequently changing, so it's hard to discuss them with any concrete meaning.

    Russia does not want to “conquer” a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists.
     
    I haven't heard that Putler is still chasing NAZIs in Ukraine, at least not as a main preoccupation lately? Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?

    A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes.
     
    This is as ridiculous a notion as you've tried floating here (and you've floated a few doozies). Here's your chance to convince me that it's true.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians
     
    Nah, launching an invasion of a neighbor's country is only something that in Russia is a sign of a goodwill gesture. :-)

    The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man’s substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.
     
    Russia's bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC, @Sean

  183. @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...why anyone would expect an offensive to be over 2 in weeks...Ukraine needs to probe for a weak point where they can demoralize the Russian public. The Russian State TV still depicts the war as being controlled by Putin. Remove that belief and a coup becomes more likely.
     
    It has been 6 weeks and Ukies have been probing and losing a lot of men. The Ukies willingness to fight varies, check out the videos of men dragged by force of the streets. Or the millions of Ukies who left the country.

    Why do you think that Russia could be demoralized? Based on the US experience - the losses in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan - it takes 5-10 years for a demoralization. For Russia (not "Putin") this is a domestic war, on its border, people speak Russian, it has been on-and-off a part of Russia for hundreds of years. It is not Iraq. Mariupol is 90% Russian speaking, that matters.

    Any "coup" would be along more nationalist lines. The potential dissatisfaction in Russia is from the more radical people, like Prigozhin. They don't understand why more massive bombing and escalation have not been done. It is not the 'liberals' who would stage a coup - at this point they can barely take over a medium-size coffee shop in Moscow.

    You claim that you are nuanced. Well, then think it through - the Australian Bushmasters are not going to win the war. And time is not on Ukie side.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Why do you think that Russia could be demoralized? Based on the US experience – the losses in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan – it takes 5-10 years for a demoralization.

    Any country can be demoralized and there is no minimum time required. The Russians were quickly demoralized in WW1 after Tannenberg and they were out in 1917. That demoralization in fact helped the Communists. They even wrote letters to each other on how it was wonderful for Russia to be losing. Russian Communists cheered the deaths of their old soldiers.

    You are not paying attention if you think the attitude of Russians has not already changed since the start of the war.

    The arrogance of Putin’s Russian TV goon squad has completely dropped. His Jewish propagandist keeps going on unhinged rants. Can provide some of those clips if you would like. At the start of the war he and the Goons ‘n Friends wench Margarita Simonyan were laughing and joking as Ukrainians were killed. It was all fun and games when they thought it would be an easy win.

    Like his fans they are still holding out that Putin is playing 5d chess. That is why the psychological war should be the priority. Undermine the belief that their Tsar knows what he is doing. But again I’m not in charge of Ukrainian forces. I think a grand offensive is not the right move but they could know something that I don’t. No one knows the actual casualties of either side.

    Mariupol is 90% Russian speaking, that matters.

    It’s 48% ethnic Ukrainian and 44% Russian.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

    The predominant language of Mariupol is actually a mix
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surzhyk

    Putin views it as a Russian city. Well the locals disagree as pro-Russian political parties have long been a minority. It is ripe with partisan support as seen by the fact that Russian occupiers continue to hunt them.

    Any “coup” would be along more nationalist lines.

    No one can predict what a Russian coup would look like. No one predicted Prighozhin’s march into Russia.

    It is not the ‘liberals’ who would stage a coup – at this point they can barely take over a medium-size coffee shop in Moscow.

    I’ve never used the word liberal when describing anyone in Russia. It already has too many conflicting definitions globally. If you mean a resulting coup wouldn’t necessarily support democracy that is correct. But that doesn’t mean the war would continue. Prigozhin stated that the war is based on lies and he most likely faked the attack by Shoigu. He doesn’t believe in the war and there is no reason to assume he would continue it if the military inserted him as president.

    You claim that you are nuanced. Well, then think it through – the Australian Bushmasters are not going to win the war.

    I never said Bushmasters are going to win the war. I made a minor reference to them in the context of the bulk of the armor has not arrived.

    Yes you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You are bringing up my reference to the Bushmaster which really had nothing to do with my points. It was more of a side note that I found interesting. They like the Australian APC which I didn’t expect. I was not making Scott Ritter style claims of the Bushmaster changing everything on the battlefield. This is what I am talking about. You have a hard time distinguishing between the two because nuanced opinion makes you uncomfortable.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You read too much into my side remark about Bushmasters - it is a funny reference given that Bush is right up there among the main Western warmongers that suddenly everyone pretends never existed. Oh, no, don't remind us about the wars Nato started.

    I agree that the best hope for Kiev now is a psychological collapse in Russia. My point is that it is very unlikely - your musings about Tannenberg or Prigozhin notwithstanding, it is just not in the cards. From what I have seen the Russians are more pro-war today than a year ago - angry that their government is not going ape-shit on the Ukies. That is not the direction you want to go, Putin is a moderate, he has limited goals and refuses to use certain methods. Maybe he is a bit naive, overly cautious, or as an old weary man he wants to limit the carnage.

    If Kiev succeeds in a spectacular remote attack in Crimea, Russia or even Donbas that will trigger a massive response by Russia. It would be the same dynamic as 911 in the US. Basically this war is un-winnable by Kiev - they can suffer a minor loss, or a catastrophic loss. But the dream of a Russian collapse is too far fetched - it is a result of thinking in false analogies (Vietnam) and historical cherry-picking (Bolsheviks in WW1).

    Kiev either makes a deal giving up territory and agreeing to keep Nato out - or the suffering will continue for years until they eventually do.

    The same wiki source shows Mariupol as 89% Russian speaking. The ethnicity is fluid, people are half-this-half-that or identify with a country and not ethnicity - it is like that everywhere in the world. What matters is that Mariupol is a Russian city, they also always voted for the Russian parties, incl. for Yanuk. You are dreaming if you think pro-Kiev "partisans" are a big factor, it is just the usual noise of war.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  184. Based toe not broken.

    I dropped the exercise that caused it.

    Been ੩ days so I’ll RDL & front squat today.

    Will wait till Saturday to run?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Sher Singh

    Dropped about 50lb on my big toe, a few weeks back. No real harm, though a bruise is staring to work its way into the nail.

    Never broken a toe, though I have made one a bit poppy for a few days.

    Interestingly, athlete's foot wasn't described until 1908. I think partly because of many people not wearing shoes. Suspect that there was more room between the toes, when people went barefoot.

    Some people think that the ancient people who left footprints in White Sands 21,000+ years ago didn't have the concept of shoes, but I think that is too big of an assumption. If you are walking through mudflats, it is pretty natural not to wear shoes.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  185. A123 says: • Website
    @Wielgus
    @Beckow

    I doubt whether armour will turn things around anyway. They are too easy for drones to detect, and too vulnerable to missiles. Kiev's apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.

    Replies: @Beckow, @A123

    Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.

    That went poorly for them as well. They took huge losses to advance yards and the whole thing now appears to be on hold. (1)

    This after admitting that only within the first couple weeks of the counteroffensive Ukraine forces lost some 20% of the weaponry newly supplied by the West, including tanks and armored vehicles. The much-vaunted offensive had kicked off in May, but hasn’t translated to any major gains.

    “This week, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, acknowledged that there had been a brief pause in operations some weeks ago but blamed it on a lack of equipment and munitions, and called on Western allies to quicken the pace of deliveries,” wrote the Times.

    The report underscored that that the Pentagon has since publicly acknowledged the “pause”, but then added: “American officials acknowledged the pause and said that the Ukrainians had begun moving again, but more deliberately, more adept at navigating minefields and mindful of the casualty risks.”

    America has very little left available that they are allowed to send. Thus, Zelensky’s cries for more are in vain. The #1 reason why cluster bombs are being provided is that are on the shelf above the minimum stock level.

    The U.S. House is already squeezing Appropriations. This will become even tighter as the election cycle heats up.
    ___

    Russia is in a strong position. They do not have to advance to win. They can wait until Kiev runs out of money. Revenue from exports is headed down. And, the ability of Europe to command funding via their puppet Not-The-President Biden is falling apart.

    Will France and Germany commit to funding Kiev, €5 Billion+ per month?

    If not, Kiev will run out of logistics support to continue the fight, eventually leading to a deal on terms favorable to Russia (e.g. No NATO). Time is on Putin’s side.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-pentagon-belatedly-acknowledged-counteroffensive-had-be-paused-amid-losses

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @A123


    America has very little left available that they are allowed to send. Thus, Zelensky’s cries for more are in vain. The #1 reason why cluster bombs are being provided is that are on the shelf above the minimum stock level.

    The U.S. House is already squeezing Appropriations. This will become even tighter as the election cycle heats up.
    ___

    Russia is in a strong position. They do not have to advance to win. They can wait until Kiev runs out of money. Revenue from exports is headed down. And, the ability of Europe to command funding via their puppet Not-The-President Biden is falling apart.
     
    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt -

    The Kiev regime is somewhat like a car which has become a money pit to the degree that the owner increases the thought of ditching it. For its part, Russia would like to do other things with its budget and resources. It definitely didn’t want this conflict, waiting years for a peaceful option to be honored in the form of the Minsk Accords, as well as trying to have a new security arrangement with the collective West.

    Russia views securing geopolitical stability on its border as a necessity that it can’t ignore and will successfully see enacted in one way or another, albeit with some hardship which their opponents have experienced in varying degrees as well.

    The Kiev regime and its main backers wishfully hoped for heightened civil conflict between some (definitely not all) Wagner Group personnel and the Russian armed forces. That incident dwindled with a reality giving Putin (in my opinion and that of some others) the continued greater odds of outlasting (in the role of head of state) Biden and Zelensky, as well as the current leaders in France, Germany and the UK. In turn, new leadership among the leading Western nations potentially increases the likelihood of ending the proxy war.
     
  186. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    BAP doesn’t favor a hippie-like spontaneity and naturalness...
     
    BAP is a Nietzschean, so that influences his idea of what nature is, and his vitalism is the early 20th century European kind. I think a typical criticism made about Nietzsche, that he didn't produce any moral philosophy because Nietzschean man is too individualistic to be part of any community would generally apply to BAP, he is mainly appealing to individuals or small groups, people who are attracted to his vision.

    What you wrote to Emil:


    Please correct me if I’m wrong, but I understand his notion of primitivism is bound up with men dominating women, the weak dominating the strong, and vitality understood as aggression – basically, the bad dream of civilization when it dreams of barbarians, and is more an angry rejection of civilized repression that remains defined by it rather than the innocence, purity, and spontaneity of of the truly natural state. More Hobbes than Rousseau.
     
    From BAP's point of view the weak should not seek to dominate the strong, and he sees himself waging a struggle for freedom against the longhouse existence in which women (especially the obese and mulatto lesbians iirc) seek to confine European men.

    Probably BAP's debt to Nietzsche explains this, because Nietzsche and those influenced by him in the later 19th and early 20th century were a kind of reaction to the pervasive influence of Rousseau and a certain sort of Romanticism after the French Revolution. You can see the impact of Marx and Darwin there and later Bergson, and the way Rousseauism had become institutionalised in a regime like the IIIrd Republic in France.

    The anarchism part would be related to some of the early anarchists like Proudhon, who as well as founding anarchist thinking wrote various spicy things about the corrupting influence of early feminists in his book Pornocratie, and revolutionary syndicalists like Georges Sorel, whose views also partially overlap with BAP and parts of the far-right.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Ok, but BAP does not represent liberation from the mentality of control itself and a return to primordial simplicity. Nietzsche was after all the will to power guy – although there are aspects of Nietzsche’s thinking that also opposes systems and excessive structure, and Mcgilchrist actually quotes him extensively. Nietzsche was a complicated thinker who produced much valuable critique of modernity within the overall context of a terrible philosophy that reproduced and intensified many of the aspects of modernity. Still, don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater.

    I understand his appeal of BAP to some, don’t get me wrong – there is an element of revolt in him, and to many that is the whiff of freedom. The mistake is that there is some aspect of the system that is bad, rather than having a complex “system” is itself what is devitalizing and alienating.

    His extreme individualism is itself typical of left hemisphere thinking, with it’s loss of connection to the larger picture and a sense of relationship between parts that is characteristic of those who can see the whole. His moral nihilism is itself left hemisphere thinking.

    No, he’s a product of the system himself, and exemplifies it’s defects even as he opposes some of its more extreme aspects.

  187. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @Wielgus


    ...Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration
     
    It used to be called storming the trenches - a WW1 tactic that in retrospect looked like a huge waste of lives to move half a mile.

    Or they can try commando raids, but that is an iffy way to fight against armor. Some raids may succeed, but it doesn't move the front and a lot of commandos die.

    It is psychological: more time needs to pass before the maximalists in Kiev and London-Washington can accept the reality and try to make a deal. They are now hoping for a 'demoralization' in Russia. That would take 5-10 years assuming no Russian breakthrough. Something else will happen. But what a cluster-f..k this is...

    Replies: @A123

    It is psychological: more time needs to pass before the maximalists in Kiev and London-Washington can accept the reality and try to make a deal.

    Right idea, but wrong actors. Washington is already walking away. There is no American national interest or prestige at stake.

    The psychology that needs to change is within the EU, primarily Paris-Berlin. Warsaw has limited power, but they are quite loud in unhelpful ways.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @A123

    Let's agree to disagree on who the main actors are and in what order...:)

    My ranking would be London-Washington-Brussels-Paris-Berlin....with Poland-Balts noisy warmongers but easy to ignore when decisions are made...they were rudely ignored at the Vilnius summit and looked like petulant children screaming for candy.

    One crucial point: London or Brussels can push the most pro-war policy, but if Washington disagrees, it will not happen. It doesn't work the same way in reverse.

    Replies: @A123

  188. @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    I think Russia can meet Greasy’s schedule
     
    Why haven't they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They're very far away from anything close to what you're suggesting here.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mikhail

    Why haven’t they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They’re very far away from anything close to what you’re suggesting here.

    War of attrition, seeing the Kiev regime lose many of its forces when taking Kherson City and the area of Kharkov – both having a limited Russian contingent.

    In a special military operation involving limited military use, the idea is to get the other side to lose more of its forces than yours. When your forces are superior in number (equipment, personnel and training), the long game is favorable.

    Doing the opposite blitzkrieg kills more of your forces and civilians as well. The long game Russian approach to this conflict gradually wears down the opponent.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    War of attrition, seeing the Kiev regime lose many of its forces when taking Kherson City and the area of Kharkov – both having a limited Russian contingent.

    Are you following this war at all? Kherson was abandoned without a fight.

    They decided to not fight with their the possibility of getting cornered against the river. It was the correct decision as the Ukrainians can destroy any river supply attempt with drones.

    The Russians made the Dnieper the border instead of fighting over a majority ethnic Ukrainian city. They were already losing soldiers daily to partisans.

    How are you Russian and not aware of what happened with Kherson? Do you just follow a few pro-Putin sources?

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.

    In a special military operation involving limited military use

    There was never limited military use. Maybe you also missed the 40 mile column of armor and supply trucks at Kiev. Or the massive tank battle in the burbs that was caught on CCTV.

    Putin now calls it a war. You can stop using his dishonest euphemism.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  189. @Greasy William
    Timetable:
    1. Russian offensive towards Kharkov begins in late August
    2. Ukrainian offensive officially called off in early September
    3. Russia conquers Kharkov in January/February
    4. United States asks for terms
    5. Peace negotiations begin in March 2024
    6. Peace deal in May 2024

    Replies: @sudden death, @Mikhail

    Timetable:
    1. Russian offensive towards Kharkov begins in late August
    2. Ukrainian offensive officially called off in early September
    3. Russia conquers Kharkov in January/February
    4. United States asks for terms
    5. Peace negotiations begin in March 2024
    6. Peace deal in May 2024

    Standing in the way is Biden and the 2024 US presidential election.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt –

    A consensus among some has the collective West giving the Kiev regime until the end of this year to roughly 12 months from now, to make its case on the battlefield. That stance comes across as a roundabout acknowledgement of the practical limits on opposing Russia, which appears to comparatively have more in reserve to continue the conflict if need be.

    Another prevailing factor is US President Joseph Biden, who will still be in office within this time frame and can’t politically afford another Afghanistan scenario with a looming election. Following the recent NATO gathering, Biden said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has already lost, further digging a likely deeper hole for the former. Putting aside Biden’s neocon-neolib bluster, the Kiev regime and collective West can arguably/reasonably best expect a frozen conflict for the purpose to build up the Kiev regime. Russia will be understandably wary of such.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Mikhail


    A consensus among some has the collective West giving the Kiev regime until the end of this year to roughly 12 months from now, to make its case on the battlefield.
     
    If this truly is the consensus in the West, it doesn't take into account the balance of forces, which increasingly favors Russia with time.

    Another prevailing factor is US President Joseph Biden, who will still be in office within this time frame and can’t politically afford another Afghanistan scenario with a looming election.
     
    Biden can afford a peace deal with Russia. In fact, he could credibly sell it to the US public as a win: "I preserved Ukrainian sovereignty against the second strongest military in the world [sic] while avoiding direct US involvement." A deal in May/June of next year means that it will be ancient history by election day regardless. Not to mention that Biden's presumptive opponent, Trump, is hardly some ultra hawk on Russia.

    What Biden can't afford is for Russia to be rolling Ukraine during the run up to the election. Putin hasn't been building up his military over the past year for the purpose of just looking at it; after the Ukrainian offensive ends, the initiative will be totally in Russia's hands and Russia will start seizing more territory. The US will have to make a choice between ending the war or sending in its own troops. It will choose the former

    Replies: @Mikhail

  190. @A123
    @Wielgus


    Kiev’s apparent switch to infantry infiltration attempts suggest that they have learned this.
     
    That went poorly for them as well. They took huge losses to advance yards and the whole thing now appears to be on hold. (1)

    This after admitting that only within the first couple weeks of the counteroffensive Ukraine forces lost some 20% of the weaponry newly supplied by the West, including tanks and armored vehicles. The much-vaunted offensive had kicked off in May, but hasn't translated to any major gains.

    "This week, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, acknowledged that there had been a brief pause in operations some weeks ago but blamed it on a lack of equipment and munitions, and called on Western allies to quicken the pace of deliveries," wrote the Times.

    The report underscored that that the Pentagon has since publicly acknowledged the "pause", but then added: "American officials acknowledged the pause and said that the Ukrainians had begun moving again, but more deliberately, more adept at navigating minefields and mindful of the casualty risks."
     
    America has very little left available that they are allowed to send. Thus, Zelensky's cries for more are in vain. The #1 reason why cluster bombs are being provided is that are on the shelf above the minimum stock level.

    The U.S. House is already squeezing Appropriations. This will become even tighter as the election cycle heats up.
    ___

    Russia is in a strong position. They do not have to advance to win. They can wait until Kiev runs out of money. Revenue from exports is headed down. And, the ability of Europe to command funding via their puppet Not-The-President Biden is falling apart.

    Will France and Germany commit to funding Kiev, €5 Billion+ per month?

    If not, Kiev will run out of logistics support to continue the fight, eventually leading to a deal on terms favorable to Russia (e.g. No NATO). Time is on Putin's side.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-pentagon-belatedly-acknowledged-counteroffensive-had-be-paused-amid-losses

    Replies: @Mikhail

    America has very little left available that they are allowed to send. Thus, Zelensky’s cries for more are in vain. The #1 reason why cluster bombs are being provided is that are on the shelf above the minimum stock level.

    The U.S. House is already squeezing Appropriations. This will become even tighter as the election cycle heats up.
    ___

    Russia is in a strong position. They do not have to advance to win. They can wait until Kiev runs out of money. Revenue from exports is headed down. And, the ability of Europe to command funding via their puppet Not-The-President Biden is falling apart.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt –

    The Kiev regime is somewhat like a car which has become a money pit to the degree that the owner increases the thought of ditching it. For its part, Russia would like to do other things with its budget and resources. It definitely didn’t want this conflict, waiting years for a peaceful option to be honored in the form of the Minsk Accords, as well as trying to have a new security arrangement with the collective West.

    Russia views securing geopolitical stability on its border as a necessity that it can’t ignore and will successfully see enacted in one way or another, albeit with some hardship which their opponents have experienced in varying degrees as well.

    The Kiev regime and its main backers wishfully hoped for heightened civil conflict between some (definitely not all) Wagner Group personnel and the Russian armed forces. That incident dwindled with a reality giving Putin (in my opinion and that of some others) the continued greater odds of outlasting (in the role of head of state) Biden and Zelensky, as well as the current leaders in France, Germany and the UK. In turn, new leadership among the leading Western nations potentially increases the likelihood of ending the proxy war.

  191. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Why do you think that Russia could be demoralized? Based on the US experience – the losses in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan – it takes 5-10 years for a demoralization.

    Any country can be demoralized and there is no minimum time required. The Russians were quickly demoralized in WW1 after Tannenberg and they were out in 1917. That demoralization in fact helped the Communists. They even wrote letters to each other on how it was wonderful for Russia to be losing. Russian Communists cheered the deaths of their old soldiers.

    You are not paying attention if you think the attitude of Russians has not already changed since the start of the war.

    The arrogance of Putin's Russian TV goon squad has completely dropped. His Jewish propagandist keeps going on unhinged rants. Can provide some of those clips if you would like. At the start of the war he and the Goons 'n Friends wench Margarita Simonyan were laughing and joking as Ukrainians were killed. It was all fun and games when they thought it would be an easy win.

    Like his fans they are still holding out that Putin is playing 5d chess. That is why the psychological war should be the priority. Undermine the belief that their Tsar knows what he is doing. But again I'm not in charge of Ukrainian forces. I think a grand offensive is not the right move but they could know something that I don't. No one knows the actual casualties of either side.

    Mariupol is 90% Russian speaking, that matters.

    It's 48% ethnic Ukrainian and 44% Russian.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

    The predominant language of Mariupol is actually a mix
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surzhyk

    Putin views it as a Russian city. Well the locals disagree as pro-Russian political parties have long been a minority. It is ripe with partisan support as seen by the fact that Russian occupiers continue to hunt them.

    Any “coup” would be along more nationalist lines.

    No one can predict what a Russian coup would look like. No one predicted Prighozhin's march into Russia.

    It is not the ‘liberals’ who would stage a coup – at this point they can barely take over a medium-size coffee shop in Moscow.

    I've never used the word liberal when describing anyone in Russia. It already has too many conflicting definitions globally. If you mean a resulting coup wouldn't necessarily support democracy that is correct. But that doesn't mean the war would continue. Prigozhin stated that the war is based on lies and he most likely faked the attack by Shoigu. He doesn't believe in the war and there is no reason to assume he would continue it if the military inserted him as president.

    You claim that you are nuanced. Well, then think it through – the Australian Bushmasters are not going to win the war.

    I never said Bushmasters are going to win the war. I made a minor reference to them in the context of the bulk of the armor has not arrived.

    Yes you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. You are bringing up my reference to the Bushmaster which really had nothing to do with my points. It was more of a side note that I found interesting. They like the Australian APC which I didn't expect. I was not making Scott Ritter style claims of the Bushmaster changing everything on the battlefield. This is what I am talking about. You have a hard time distinguishing between the two because nuanced opinion makes you uncomfortable.

    Replies: @Beckow

    You read too much into my side remark about Bushmasters – it is a funny reference given that Bush is right up there among the main Western warmongers that suddenly everyone pretends never existed. Oh, no, don’t remind us about the wars Nato started.

    I agree that the best hope for Kiev now is a psychological collapse in Russia. My point is that it is very unlikely – your musings about Tannenberg or Prigozhin notwithstanding, it is just not in the cards. From what I have seen the Russians are more pro-war today than a year ago – angry that their government is not going ape-shit on the Ukies. That is not the direction you want to go, Putin is a moderate, he has limited goals and refuses to use certain methods. Maybe he is a bit naive, overly cautious, or as an old weary man he wants to limit the carnage.

    If Kiev succeeds in a spectacular remote attack in Crimea, Russia or even Donbas that will trigger a massive response by Russia. It would be the same dynamic as 911 in the US. Basically this war is un-winnable by Kiev – they can suffer a minor loss, or a catastrophic loss. But the dream of a Russian collapse is too far fetched – it is a result of thinking in false analogies (Vietnam) and historical cherry-picking (Bolsheviks in WW1).

    Kiev either makes a deal giving up territory and agreeing to keep Nato out – or the suffering will continue for years until they eventually do.

    The same wiki source shows Mariupol as 89% Russian speaking. The ethnicity is fluid, people are half-this-half-that or identify with a country and not ethnicity – it is like that everywhere in the world. What matters is that Mariupol is a Russian city, they also always voted for the Russian parties, incl. for Yanuk. You are dreaming if you think pro-Kiev “partisans” are a big factor, it is just the usual noise of war.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    The same wiki source shows Mariupol as 89% Russian speaking.

    No it doesn't. Searching for "89%" reveals zero results. Stop making stuff up.

    The ethnicity is fluid, people are half-this-half-that or identify with a country and not ethnicity – it is like that everywhere in the world. What matters is that Mariupol is a Russian city, they also always voted for the Russian parties, incl. for Yanuk.

    Ethnically fluid? Is that like gender fluid?

    They didn't vote with LPR/DPR in the first round of the presidential election.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Ukrainian_presidential_election#Results

    Which means they didn't pick the pro-Russian candidate. So you are wrong about them always voting for the Russian party.

    There is no reason to assume the majority supports a violent Russian occupation.

    Partisan resistance in Melitopol is a reality and not my own speculation:
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61525477

    Try reading outside of pro-Putin sources.

    Replies: @Beckow

  192. @Mikhail
    @Greasy William


    Timetable:
    1. Russian offensive towards Kharkov begins in late August
    2. Ukrainian offensive officially called off in early September
    3. Russia conquers Kharkov in January/February
    4. United States asks for terms
    5. Peace negotiations begin in March 2024
    6. Peace deal in May 2024
     
    Standing in the way is Biden and the 2024 US presidential election.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt -

    A consensus among some has the collective West giving the Kiev regime until the end of this year to roughly 12 months from now, to make its case on the battlefield. That stance comes across as a roundabout acknowledgement of the practical limits on opposing Russia, which appears to comparatively have more in reserve to continue the conflict if need be.

    Another prevailing factor is US President Joseph Biden, who will still be in office within this time frame and can’t politically afford another Afghanistan scenario with a looming election. Following the recent NATO gathering, Biden said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has already lost, further digging a likely deeper hole for the former. Putting aside Biden’s neocon-neolib bluster, the Kiev regime and collective West can arguably/reasonably best expect a frozen conflict for the purpose to build up the Kiev regime. Russia will be understandably wary of such.
     

    Replies: @Greasy William

    A consensus among some has the collective West giving the Kiev regime until the end of this year to roughly 12 months from now, to make its case on the battlefield.

    If this truly is the consensus in the West, it doesn’t take into account the balance of forces, which increasingly favors Russia with time.

    Another prevailing factor is US President Joseph Biden, who will still be in office within this time frame and can’t politically afford another Afghanistan scenario with a looming election.

    Biden can afford a peace deal with Russia. In fact, he could credibly sell it to the US public as a win: “I preserved Ukrainian sovereignty against the second strongest military in the world [sic] while avoiding direct US involvement.” A deal in May/June of next year means that it will be ancient history by election day regardless. Not to mention that Biden’s presumptive opponent, Trump, is hardly some ultra hawk on Russia.

    What Biden can’t afford is for Russia to be rolling Ukraine during the run up to the election. Putin hasn’t been building up his military over the past year for the purpose of just looking at it; after the Ukrainian offensive ends, the initiative will be totally in Russia’s hands and Russia will start seizing more territory. The US will have to make a choice between ending the war or sending in its own troops. It will choose the former

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Greasy William

    Your counter has merit, given how the US mass media can successfully spin things.

  193. @A123
    @Beckow


    It is psychological: more time needs to pass before the maximalists in Kiev and London-Washington can accept the reality and try to make a deal.
     
    Right idea, but wrong actors. Washington is already walking away. There is no American national interest or prestige at stake.

    The psychology that needs to change is within the EU, primarily Paris-Berlin. Warsaw has limited power, but they are quite loud in unhelpful ways.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Beckow

    Let’s agree to disagree on who the main actors are and in what order…:)

    My ranking would be London-Washington-Brussels-Paris-Berlin….with Poland-Balts noisy warmongers but easy to ignore when decisions are made…they were rudely ignored at the Vilnius summit and looked like petulant children screaming for candy.

    One crucial point: London or Brussels can push the most pro-war policy, but if Washington disagrees, it will not happen. It doesn’t work the same way in reverse.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow


    Let’s agree to disagree on who the main actors are and in what order…:)

    My ranking would be London-Washington-Brussels-Paris-Berlin
     
    Agree to disagree... We can do that, but it obscures some key details.

    My ranking would be Berlin-Paris-London-Brussels. The EU almost always does what Germany & France instruct, however it has enough independence to warrant a place on the list.

    I do see your point about London. However, post-BREXIT any UK led concept has trouble across the Channel. If we were talking about direct military involvement, not proxy, London would have considerably more pull.

    Poland-Balts noisy warmongers but easy to ignore when decisions are made…

     

    I would add Not-The-President Biden's regime to this list. His administration takes orders from foreign nations. He rendered Washington devoid of influence and agency. Outsiders rolled America for funding, but the House midterms dramatically changed that dynamic.

    London or Brussels can push the most pro-war policy, but if Washington disagrees, it will not happen. It doesn’t work the same way in reverse.
     
    If France & Germany want a proxy war, they do not need the Veggie-in-Chief's approval. They can simply ignore his feckless blithering.

    The question remains -- Will Berlin & Paris foot the bill to keep Kiev going?

    Personally I doubt it, but I could be wrong. Scholz and Macron are vicious Globalists.

    PEACE 😇
  194. @Mikhail
    @Mr. Hack


    Why haven’t they so far? Why did they retreat from Kherson, as they already had it under their control? They’re very far away from anything close to what you’re suggesting here.
     
    War of attrition, seeing the Kiev regime lose many of its forces when taking Kherson City and the area of Kharkov - both having a limited Russian contingent.

    In a special military operation involving limited military use, the idea is to get the other side to lose more of its forces than yours. When your forces are superior in number (equipment, personnel and training), the long game is favorable.

    Doing the opposite blitzkrieg kills more of your forces and civilians as well. The long game Russian approach to this conflict gradually wears down the opponent.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    War of attrition, seeing the Kiev regime lose many of its forces when taking Kherson City and the area of Kharkov – both having a limited Russian contingent.

    Are you following this war at all? Kherson was abandoned without a fight.

    They decided to not fight with their the possibility of getting cornered against the river. It was the correct decision as the Ukrainians can destroy any river supply attempt with drones.

    The Russians made the Dnieper the border instead of fighting over a majority ethnic Ukrainian city. They were already losing soldiers daily to partisans.

    How are you Russian and not aware of what happened with Kherson? Do you just follow a few pro-Putin sources?

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.

    In a special military operation involving limited military use

    There was never limited military use. Maybe you also missed the 40 mile column of armor and supply trucks at Kiev. Or the massive tank battle in the burbs that was caught on CCTV.

    Putin now calls it a war. You can stop using his dishonest euphemism.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Are you following this war at all? Kherson was abandoned without a fight.
     
    My point exactly. Kiev regime forces took the greater losses when taking Kherson City and the Russian held portion of Kharkov. Ditto the Kiev regime's stand in Artemovsk and their most recent offensive.

    How are you Russian and not aware of what happened with Kherson? Do you just follow a few pro-Putin sources?

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.
     
    Your sarcasm aside, they've aged well. You could do a better job of comprehending what was said.

    There was never limited military use. Maybe you also missed the 40 mile column of armor and supply trucks at Kiev. Or the massive tank battle in the burbs that was caught on CCTV.

    Putin now calls it a war. You can stop using his dishonest euphemism.
     
    On the Russian side, there has most definitely been limited military use, especially in the beginning of the SMO. The number of Russian troops outside Kiev numbering about 50,000 wasn't enough to take the city. They likely helped to get the Kiev regime to negotiate at Istanbul.

    In a Newsweek piece within a few months of 2/24/22, US establishment military analyst Bill Arkin noted the limited manner of the Russian military from what it could otherwise do.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/26062023-post-mutiny-assessment-in-russia-oped/

    Excerpt -

    It has been noted that Prigozhin isn’t a professional military man. He expressed frustration that Russia doesn’t take the offensive enough. Russia isn’t doing so because it’ll lose more personnel that way, even with a win as opposed to letting the NATO backed Kiev regime advance. Russia is clearly winning the war of attrition, which is about taking out more of your enemy’s military assets than losing yours.
     

    Replies: @John Johnson

  195. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Good that you're not deterred by the heat. I flew out of SLC on Sunday, putting my car in storage (I'm returning to the West in a month), and it was 101 degrees - I didn't mind it at all! I did a nice late morning hike near Tremonton, Utah, on my drive from Sawtooth to the airport, and didn't think the heat was at all overpowering. The skies were still piercingly clear and blue and the mountains bathed in golden light - what could I complain about? But as you say, mountain goats are not so easily bothered by - so-called by humans, feeble, fragile creatures - extreme weather, so I'm sure you enjoyed yourself thoroughly :)

    I landed around midnight in NYC to 93% humidity and 75 degrees, and it was like stepping into a hot, soupy bath! It reminded me of the shock of my first trip to India in 2001 - NY stinks in the summer, too, like India or any tropical Asian country. It's just a funky city.

    Yep, the Sawtooths, despite not being particularly high, make up for it by being exceptionally rugged, and hiking in them is unexpectedly thrilling.

    It's funny - I was there last summer too, and did a few shorter hikes, and thought it was a great area - but somehow this time, I lingered and really entered into the rhythm and spirit of the place, and felt that it really revealed it's soul and secrets to me. I'm not sure what changed but this time it really "hit different", as the millennials say. I spent two weeks in that valley.

    I did many long hikes deep into the backcountry, 20+ mile days, but other days I simply basked in the edenic glory of that broad and green valley. I had a fantastic and secluded dispersed camping spot high up on a promontory overlooking the valley, and those bright, cold mornings I'd spend drinking my coffee, congratulating myself on my good luck.

    There are million dollar ranches in that pristine valley, and my view was every bit as good and private - for free :) Who says you needs money?

    The hot afternoons I'd spend dipping my feet into the cold rushing Salmon river which winds through the entire valley, and in the evenings I'd read from the Jade Mountain by Witter Bynner, a 9th century Tang era anthology of Chinese poetry - nothing evokes remote mountains, deserts, full moons, lonely border fortresses, armies in distant lands, distant journeys through wild country, wilderness hermits, pining princesses, and temples perched on remote cliffs, as Tang era poetry!

    Everyone should read Tang poetry.

    And then those hikes into the high land of rock, ice, and snow, to visit the Giants and Trolls - a completely different kind of pleasure,

    Excellent point about the astounding variety of the American West, that probably surpasses that of anywhere else.

    I spent part of the first few weeks of my trip in the red rock country of southern Utah, where this year's cold spring stretched into the summer, making for perfectly cool weather.

    Perhaps you'll recognize this picture from a hike into the backcountry of a national park you've mentioned on this forum once before....

    https://i.imgur.com/f3A3lJu.jpg

    Replies: @Mikel

    Perhaps you’ll recognize this picture from a hike into the backcountry of a national park you’ve mentioned on this forum once before….

    Hmm… lots of rocks like that in Central/Southern Utah but I’d say Capitol Reef. Not only because I did mention it some time ago but also because of the plateaus giving way to mountains in the distance (San Rafael Swell?, Fish Lake Mts?) and to deep canyons, but not as deep as the Colorado and immediate tributaries. That combination of ocres and buff also reminds me of that general area. I may be wrong though.

    Glad to learn that you’ve made your first forays into the Wasatch. I actually haven’t explored much the Northern Wasatch. The fun is further South, in my view, where it gets wilder and the peaks start towering higher, but I do have a couple of excursions planned for that area. The most important one being a winter camp in Peter Sinks. The reason why I must spend at least one winter night camping solo at Peter Sinks, as I’ve told multiple people I would for years now, would be the subject of a whole post.

    The humidity indeed. It’s all about the humidity, as I think Yogi Berra himself once said. Not just the perception of cold and heat but also the piercing blue skies, the clean, bright atmosphere and the thin air entering your lungs unimpeded. In the old times before the advent of antibiotics people with serious pulmonary issues used to be sent to the West from the East Coast to get their lungs healed. Apparently, it made them live some extra years. At the start of the Delicate Arch trail there is an old and fascinating cabin where one of these health refugees from the East settled and raised a family in a beautiful ranch. It’s very well maintained and it transports you to bygone eras. There are some Indian petroglyphs nearby too.

    Which makes me wonder why you still live in New York. I’m sure you must have very good reasons to forego a life of waking up every morning to bright sun, fresh air and magnificent landscapes but it’s difficult to understand from everything you’ve told about yourself. This part of the West keeps filling up with foreign immigrants and also lots of people coming from other states. SLC is one of the few parts of the country that hasn’t seen any drop in rent prices last year due to the constant influx of newcomers.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Believe me Mikel, I'd be out West right now if I could, but alas I have work commitments that it would be unethical for me to abandon at the moment. But they will only last a few more years. My bosses are people I've known since childhood, and it would be unethical to leave the project before it's successful conclusion.

    But I've managed to formalize a guaranteed six months off per year, which is a fantastic concession as far as I'm concerned, even though each month away I get only a fraction of my salary. It's so worth it. But for now I live somewhat in a gilded cage.

    It's funny, I want so little from life in the conventional sense - only enough money to survive in reasonable comfort, I have no ambition for success, fame, or wealth, all I want is to live simply in a spiritual way, wandering the wilderness, travelling to exotic countries (cheaply), reading good books, having good friendships with interesting people, and perhaps some good coffee, good aged stinky cheese, and some decent wine and whiskey, and a cold IPA every now and then :)

    And yet the modern world is set up in such a way that it's actually easier for someone like me to pursue wealth and power than the simple life, alas.

    My great ambition is to live the final third of my life in the Hindu or Chinese way, as a Taoist Old Man Laughing in the Mountains, free from cares and the dust of the world, or a Hindu sanyasin, wandering the wilds. This is in fact my plan!

    In practical American terms, what this means is Vanlife out West :) With occasional forays into my favorite exotic (are you still allowed to use that word?) Asian countries like India, Laos, Nepal, holiday visits with family and friends across the country and world, especially Christmas in snowy winters, and endless hikes into the American backcountry until my body gives out and my soul returns to it's true home in the other world. A life well spent in my terms, yet "wasted" im conventional terms.

    As for that picture, you've got it right! It's Capitol Reef, a great hike to the highest point in the park. Good guess.

    I'm increasingly in love with the corridor from Capitol Reef to Bryce, especially the wild and remote Escalante National Monument and even wilder and more remote Kaiparowitz Platuea, which I've barely scratched the surface of. It's funny, Zion and Bryce receive a deluge of visitors, yet it all suddenly stops at Bryce, and no one heads further west to the equally fantastic scenery in that direction.

    From what I've seen, I'd agree with you that the most exciting parts of the Wasatch are further south, but it was a convenient stop on my way from the Sawtooths to the airport, the sun was shining brilliantly, the mountains were still beautiful, and I simply had to walk :)

    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy - but I'm beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist in order to deter inexperienced and reckless hikers who might need an expensive rescue. Recently on a few occasions I've found ranger stations giving me alarmist warnings that turned out to be absurd.

    Humidity really does make all the difference, it's incredible! To be fair, I quite enjoy extremely humid places in small doses, I find them atmospheric, extremely aromatic, suggestive of rank and decadent vegetation and jungles - they can be very evocative. But only for a spell, and then my heart yearns for the piercing clarity of the drier mountains and deserts, the exhilaration of the clear air and bright sunshine, the way things almost pop out at you in their vividness un the clear air, and the endless vistas. And of course dry heat is so much tolerable!

    Interestingly, I found the busy SLC airport to be overwhelmingly White with what I assume are mostly Mormon descended people - and what an attractive population! And in an intelligent, refined, well dressed way, too, with no obesity and very few overweight people. I suspect Mormons are a reservoir of talent in the US that have yet some important role to play in our national story.

    Well, I can't wait until I get back among the mountains, and it will be soon.

    Replies: @Mikel

  196. @Sher Singh
    Based toe not broken.

    I dropped the exercise that caused it.

    Been ੩ days so I'll RDL & front squat today.

    Will wait till Saturday to run?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @songbird

    Dropped about 50lb on my big toe, a few weeks back. No real harm, though a bruise is staring to work its way into the nail.

    [MORE]

    Never broken a toe, though I have made one a bit poppy for a few days.

    Interestingly, athlete’s foot wasn’t described until 1908. I think partly because of many people not wearing shoes. Suspect that there was more room between the toes, when people went barefoot.

    Some people think that the ancient people who left footprints in White Sands 21,000+ years ago didn’t have the concept of shoes, but I think that is too big of an assumption. If you are walking through mudflats, it is pretty natural not to wear shoes.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    https://www.vibram.com/on/demandware.static/-/Sites-vibram-storefront-us/default/dwb52ec9d0/00000000000000000000000000_2400x1030_Esempio28-min.png

    If you can dead lift 500 pounds you can probably go out in these and nobody will make any rude comments. I cannot dead lift 500 pounds.

    Replies: @songbird, @QCIC

  197. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You read too much into my side remark about Bushmasters - it is a funny reference given that Bush is right up there among the main Western warmongers that suddenly everyone pretends never existed. Oh, no, don't remind us about the wars Nato started.

    I agree that the best hope for Kiev now is a psychological collapse in Russia. My point is that it is very unlikely - your musings about Tannenberg or Prigozhin notwithstanding, it is just not in the cards. From what I have seen the Russians are more pro-war today than a year ago - angry that their government is not going ape-shit on the Ukies. That is not the direction you want to go, Putin is a moderate, he has limited goals and refuses to use certain methods. Maybe he is a bit naive, overly cautious, or as an old weary man he wants to limit the carnage.

    If Kiev succeeds in a spectacular remote attack in Crimea, Russia or even Donbas that will trigger a massive response by Russia. It would be the same dynamic as 911 in the US. Basically this war is un-winnable by Kiev - they can suffer a minor loss, or a catastrophic loss. But the dream of a Russian collapse is too far fetched - it is a result of thinking in false analogies (Vietnam) and historical cherry-picking (Bolsheviks in WW1).

    Kiev either makes a deal giving up territory and agreeing to keep Nato out - or the suffering will continue for years until they eventually do.

    The same wiki source shows Mariupol as 89% Russian speaking. The ethnicity is fluid, people are half-this-half-that or identify with a country and not ethnicity - it is like that everywhere in the world. What matters is that Mariupol is a Russian city, they also always voted for the Russian parties, incl. for Yanuk. You are dreaming if you think pro-Kiev "partisans" are a big factor, it is just the usual noise of war.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    The same wiki source shows Mariupol as 89% Russian speaking.

    No it doesn’t. Searching for “89%” reveals zero results. Stop making stuff up.

    The ethnicity is fluid, people are half-this-half-that or identify with a country and not ethnicity – it is like that everywhere in the world. What matters is that Mariupol is a Russian city, they also always voted for the Russian parties, incl. for Yanuk.

    Ethnically fluid? Is that like gender fluid?

    They didn’t vote with LPR/DPR in the first round of the presidential election.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Ukrainian_presidential_election#Results

    Which means they didn’t pick the pro-Russian candidate. So you are wrong about them always voting for the Russian party.

    There is no reason to assume the majority supports a violent Russian occupation.

    Partisan resistance in Melitopol is a reality and not my own speculation:
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61525477

    Try reading outside of pro-Putin sources.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    Here in wiki Mariupol Languages:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Ethnicity is not at all like "gender" (only an idiot would think so). People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations: everyone is part Russian, part Ukrainian, and many are part Greek, Armenian or some other ethnicity. It is a choice what "ethnicity" they declare in a census. But language is more real and 90% of people in Mariupol said their language was Russian.

    You again display ignorance of the world by not knowing the basic reality about how people answer census questions - or not knowing how to search in wiki...:)

    Mariupol voted for the pro-Russian parties for 25 years until the Kiev war on its Russian minority started in 2014. They voted heavily for Yanukovich. With all due respect any "voting" in 2019 with military occupation is not representative. But they voted for Zelko who was the pro-peace-with-Russia candidate and against Porky. Again you are either not smart enough to know this, or you intentionally lie. Which one is it?

    Replies: @John Johnson

  198. @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia's stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.

    Russia does not want to "conquer" a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists. If they do this the proxy war simply becomes a proxy guerrilla war. This could even be NATO's back-up plan. I think a long guerrilla conflict will be much worse for both sides from an emotional perspective, since it tends to get more Ukrainian families explicitly involved in the fighting. Also, once Ukraine is "conquered" there will be pressure to handle things in a civil process as an attempt to restore order. This civility makes it more difficult to round up NeoNAZIs. A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes. To allow the restoration of order and development of a neutral government probably requires the capture or killing of most of these NeoNAZIs . Inevitably some survivors will take it as a matter of honor to murder pro-Russian public figures in Ukraine and maybe even neutral ones.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians but are trying to defeat the West in this proxy war being fought with Ukrainian pawns against Russia. I still believe the Russian military can destroy the entire country at will by striking critical infrastructure. They do not want to do this. The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man's substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.

    With this in mind, I assume Russia's battle plans for the last 9 months have more to do with D-3N than anything else (getting rid of NeoNAZIs and NATO). I have come around to a view that initially the Russians were caught somewhat flat-footed and her initial strategy was specifically designed to break up an imminent Ukrainian-Western offensive, probably focussed on Crimea. Once that goal was achieved, Russia has been settling in and building up for the long painful D-3N process.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia’s stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.

    As JJ has frequently pointed out here within our discussions, Russia’s war aims (or Putler’s to be more exact) are frequently changing, so it’s hard to discuss them with any concrete meaning.

    Russia does not want to “conquer” a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists.

    I haven’t heard that Putler is still chasing NAZIs in Ukraine, at least not as a main preoccupation lately? Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?

    A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes.

    This is as ridiculous a notion as you’ve tried floating here (and you’ve floated a few doozies). Here’s your chance to convince me that it’s true.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians

    Nah, launching an invasion of a neighbor’s country is only something that in Russia is a sign of a goodwill gesture. 🙂

    The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man’s substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    The Poles still talk of Russia's imperial rule which was over 100 years ago.

    Russians still talk of Poles as "little Russians" and yet the Poles don't seem to see it that way.

    Violently occupying a country doesn't endear them to you. People seem to remember when you kill their family members. Huh.

    You'd think the Russians would be doing their best to make up for Soviet rule by Moscow but I guess not.

    Russians are back to being the losers of Europe. This is exactly the problem with Russians that the British wrote about before WW1. They give up on competing with Western Europe and go back to Mongol style invasions of their neighbors. You get an insecure war dunce like Nicholas II or Putin who causes problems for everyone. They can't even invade properly. Putin thought it was a good idea to send a 40 mile column through the woods of a country that has more RPGs than Western Europe. Ukraine inherited massive stockpiles of Soviet weapons and Putin seemed to think they would all be turned in.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mikhail

    , @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    I view Russia's war aims as roughly unchanged, despite chatter in the media. I do think they were serious about the negotiations which were quashed by the US. At that time, the Russians may have been following the mantra "The worst peace is better than any war." I think that represents internal disagreement, since I believe the threat by the West against Russia is pretty obvious to military leaders. I wonder if some of those Russian leaders had a delusional or even nostalgic 2015-era fantasy of being able to somehow drive out the West without killing many Ukrainians? In early 2022 I think they were rushed by Ukrainian-Western battle plans and followed Putin's famous advice: "If a fight is inevitable, strike first."

    I have often mentioned that the Jewish support for NeoNAZIs in Ukraine is the weirdest and possibly most important factor in the entire conflict. Nonetheless there are high profile NeoNAZI groups fighting and playing a visible role in the political process in Ukraine. I don't know how many are left, but it is a good question.

    You don't need to be confused about the Presidential figurehead. He is an actor and comedian. No kidding, he really is!

    I have mentioned the role of NeoNAZI thugs in passing before. If I recall correctly, over time there have been various reports of this or that moderate or pro-Russian Ukrainian politician being threatened or killed by NeoNAZIs. I am not referring to Maidan, this process even predates that mess. This isn't surprising, many of these NeoNAZI groups channeled brutal, take no prisoners heroes from WW2. This is their brand and purpose, to scare pro-Russian (or even moderate) citizens of Ukraine to either toe the line or leave or be killed. That is the main purpose of these groups since they do not have any particular advantage against Russian soldiers. They have a big advantage over Ukrainian civilians attempting to avoid WW3 while maintaining a civil society. That is why the actual number of NeoNAZIs is not so important. Once the groups have acceptance they can operate with impunity as regime criminals working outside the law. I think this is a standard pattern for proxy wars and external meddling in a state.

    The bloody hand-to-hand combat is intended to kill NeoNAZIs, NATO mercenaries and Ukrainian troops without destroying the largest cities with the most inhabitants. If an AFU soldier dies in Bakhmut he will not be defending Kharkov, Dnipro or Kiev next month. As long as Ukraine wants to keep the lights on, water flowing, trains running and hospitals going there is only so much cannon fodder they can grab since men have to keep that infrastructure working. We are not talking about some plucky old guy with an SVD rifle on the top floor of an apartment building playing amateur sniper. We are talking about able bodied men who are trained to shoot a rifle, launch a MANPADS and fire an NLAWS. Even for Ukrainians who want to do this, learning the craft of the soldier and being prepared to jump into a fiery meat grinder is not easy. Most of the low hanging fruit of available good soldier candidates has probably already been plucked by the AFU and thrown into combat.

    , @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?
     
    Azov and Poroshenko's threat to overthrow Zelensky was all that stopped him making a deal similar to Minsk 2 in 2019. Zelensky was not elected saying he would be Putin's Nemesis he won the Presidency on a platform of compromise over Ukraine's Nato aspirations and re establishing control over the Donbass. Fear of Nazis (and Poroshenko) is what made Zelensky lead Ukraine into the soup. And the Ukrainian Minister of Defence is Jewish too by the way.

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations
     
    You seem reluctant to admit that Russian is spoken in Ukraine primarily because there are many millions of ethnic Russian Ukrainians. (not counting the two Russian speakers who are Putin's Nemesis because ethnic Ukrainians are not intelligent enough to run their own country).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  199. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @A123

    Let's agree to disagree on who the main actors are and in what order...:)

    My ranking would be London-Washington-Brussels-Paris-Berlin....with Poland-Balts noisy warmongers but easy to ignore when decisions are made...they were rudely ignored at the Vilnius summit and looked like petulant children screaming for candy.

    One crucial point: London or Brussels can push the most pro-war policy, but if Washington disagrees, it will not happen. It doesn't work the same way in reverse.

    Replies: @A123

    Let’s agree to disagree on who the main actors are and in what order…:)

    My ranking would be London-Washington-Brussels-Paris-Berlin

    Agree to disagree… We can do that, but it obscures some key details.

    My ranking would be Berlin-Paris-London-Brussels. The EU almost always does what Germany & France instruct, however it has enough independence to warrant a place on the list.

    I do see your point about London. However, post-BREXIT any UK led concept has trouble across the Channel. If we were talking about direct military involvement, not proxy, London would have considerably more pull.

    Poland-Balts noisy warmongers but easy to ignore when decisions are made…

    I would add Not-The-President Biden’s regime to this list. His administration takes orders from foreign nations. He rendered Washington devoid of influence and agency. Outsiders rolled America for funding, but the House midterms dramatically changed that dynamic.

    London or Brussels can push the most pro-war policy, but if Washington disagrees, it will not happen. It doesn’t work the same way in reverse.

    If France & Germany want a proxy war, they do not need the Veggie-in-Chief’s approval. They can simply ignore his feckless blithering.

    The question remains — Will Berlin & Paris foot the bill to keep Kiev going?

    Personally I doubt it, but I could be wrong. Scholz and Macron are vicious Globalists.

    PEACE 😇

  200. I wonder if there is anyway that James Clavell should be considered more politically incorrect than George MacDonald Fraser.

    GMF was very clever about the way he framed everything, through the somewhat lacking character of Flashman, but Clavell didn’t really create a Flashman. Though a lot of characters have their flaws, it almost seems like it is missing that camouflage (which, though I am a big fan of GMF, can be a bit tedious at times).

    OTOH, Clavell’s focus was mostly on East Asia, so he didn’t have the same anthropological scope, and so never touched the same keystone as something like “Flashman and the Angel of the Lord.”

  201. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    The same wiki source shows Mariupol as 89% Russian speaking.

    No it doesn't. Searching for "89%" reveals zero results. Stop making stuff up.

    The ethnicity is fluid, people are half-this-half-that or identify with a country and not ethnicity – it is like that everywhere in the world. What matters is that Mariupol is a Russian city, they also always voted for the Russian parties, incl. for Yanuk.

    Ethnically fluid? Is that like gender fluid?

    They didn't vote with LPR/DPR in the first round of the presidential election.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Ukrainian_presidential_election#Results

    Which means they didn't pick the pro-Russian candidate. So you are wrong about them always voting for the Russian party.

    There is no reason to assume the majority supports a violent Russian occupation.

    Partisan resistance in Melitopol is a reality and not my own speculation:
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61525477

    Try reading outside of pro-Putin sources.

    Replies: @Beckow

    Here in wiki Mariupol Languages:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Ethnicity is not at all like “gender” (only an idiot would think so). People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations: everyone is part Russian, part Ukrainian, and many are part Greek, Armenian or some other ethnicity. It is a choice what “ethnicity” they declare in a census. But language is more real and 90% of people in Mariupol said their language was Russian.

    You again display ignorance of the world by not knowing the basic reality about how people answer census questions – or not knowing how to search in wiki…:)

    Mariupol voted for the pro-Russian parties for 25 years until the Kiev war on its Russian minority started in 2014. They voted heavily for Yanukovich. With all due respect any “voting” in 2019 with military occupation is not representative. But they voted for Zelko who was the pro-peace-with-Russia candidate and against Porky. Again you are either not smart enough to know this, or you intentionally lie. Which one is it?

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Well you are finally quoting directly. I'll be damned.

    I still don't see your point however.

    Russian speaking doesn't mean Russian supporting. Zelensky grew up speaking Russian.

    The Wiki link shows they are politically divided. It isn't like LPR/DPR and that was reflected in the presidential election.

    Ethnicity is not at all like “gender” (only an idiot would think so).

    Liberals tell us that both are fluid. I don't make either argument.

    People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations

    Liberals tell us the same thing about race in America. It's all mixed and ultimately meaningless.

    Color me skeptical that you can depict these ethnic differences as ambiguous much like liberals. You do acknowledge that the area voted for Zelensky and not the pro-Russian candidate in the first presidential round?

    With all due respect any “voting” in 2019 with military occupation is not representative.

    What do you mean by this? You are saying Zelensky wasn't elected and the vote was fake?

    DPR/LPR voted for the pro-Russian candidate in 2019 while Melitopol did not. How do you explain this?

    Do you acknowledge that over 100 Russian soldiers have been killed by Melitopol partisans? I think you are trying to imagine the city as pro-Russian occupation when the data is clear that it has long been politically divided. They voted for Zelensky over pro-Putin candidates.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Beckow

  202. @songbird
    @Sher Singh

    Dropped about 50lb on my big toe, a few weeks back. No real harm, though a bruise is staring to work its way into the nail.

    Never broken a toe, though I have made one a bit poppy for a few days.

    Interestingly, athlete's foot wasn't described until 1908. I think partly because of many people not wearing shoes. Suspect that there was more room between the toes, when people went barefoot.

    Some people think that the ancient people who left footprints in White Sands 21,000+ years ago didn't have the concept of shoes, but I think that is too big of an assumption. If you are walking through mudflats, it is pretty natural not to wear shoes.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    If you can dead lift 500 pounds you can probably go out in these and nobody will make any rude comments. I cannot dead lift 500 pounds.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    LOL. Reminds me of the shoes the ninjas wore in "American Ninja." (Though only the big toe was separate.)

    Heard somewhere that old shoes often had a pointy end to them. Maybe, this helped the toes breathe?

    , @QCIC
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I think the other Anatoly wears those:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iARyWGz8zAc

  203. @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia’s stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.
     
    As JJ has frequently pointed out here within our discussions, Russia's war aims (or Putler's to be more exact) are frequently changing, so it's hard to discuss them with any concrete meaning.

    Russia does not want to “conquer” a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists.
     
    I haven't heard that Putler is still chasing NAZIs in Ukraine, at least not as a main preoccupation lately? Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?

    A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes.
     
    This is as ridiculous a notion as you've tried floating here (and you've floated a few doozies). Here's your chance to convince me that it's true.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians
     
    Nah, launching an invasion of a neighbor's country is only something that in Russia is a sign of a goodwill gesture. :-)

    The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man’s substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.
     
    Russia's bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC, @Sean

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    The Poles still talk of Russia’s imperial rule which was over 100 years ago.

    Russians still talk of Poles as “little Russians” and yet the Poles don’t seem to see it that way.

    Violently occupying a country doesn’t endear them to you. People seem to remember when you kill their family members. Huh.

    You’d think the Russians would be doing their best to make up for Soviet rule by Moscow but I guess not.

    Russians are back to being the losers of Europe. This is exactly the problem with Russians that the British wrote about before WW1. They give up on competing with Western Europe and go back to Mongol style invasions of their neighbors. You get an insecure war dunce like Nicholas II or Putin who causes problems for everyone. They can’t even invade properly. Putin thought it was a good idea to send a 40 mile column through the woods of a country that has more RPGs than Western Europe. Ukraine inherited massive stockpiles of Soviet weapons and Putin seemed to think they would all be turned in.

    • Agree: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    Japan initiated the Russo Japanese war.

    You ought to check your facts. The sequence of events is very clear.

    Also Russia pitched in to help Serbia, which should have logically made Austria back away from invading Serbia. In the end Russia’s surprisingly fast Mobilization (Germany caught out with no deep defense around Berlin had to shut down the Schleifen Plan) in ww1 saved the French from a very humiliating defeat in 1914. No good deed goes unpunished I guess.

    Goodbye Austria-Hungarian Empire. Arguably the Russian Empire just changed its skin but not the substance. At least we are told Stalin was just a Red Czar.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Russians still talk of Poles as “little Russians” and yet the Poles don’t seem to see it that way.
     
    No they don't. Is the above excerpted what you actually meant to say?

    Russians are back to being the losers of Europe. This is exactly the problem with Russians that the British wrote about before WW1.
     
    Explains why the sanctions designed to punish Russia have had a boomerang effect.
  204. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    https://www.vibram.com/on/demandware.static/-/Sites-vibram-storefront-us/default/dwb52ec9d0/00000000000000000000000000_2400x1030_Esempio28-min.png

    If you can dead lift 500 pounds you can probably go out in these and nobody will make any rude comments. I cannot dead lift 500 pounds.

    Replies: @songbird, @QCIC

    LOL. Reminds me of the shoes the ninjas wore in “American Ninja.” (Though only the big toe was separate.)

    Heard somewhere that old shoes often had a pointy end to them. Maybe, this helped the toes breathe?

  205. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    Here in wiki Mariupol Languages:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Ethnicity is not at all like "gender" (only an idiot would think so). People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations: everyone is part Russian, part Ukrainian, and many are part Greek, Armenian or some other ethnicity. It is a choice what "ethnicity" they declare in a census. But language is more real and 90% of people in Mariupol said their language was Russian.

    You again display ignorance of the world by not knowing the basic reality about how people answer census questions - or not knowing how to search in wiki...:)

    Mariupol voted for the pro-Russian parties for 25 years until the Kiev war on its Russian minority started in 2014. They voted heavily for Yanukovich. With all due respect any "voting" in 2019 with military occupation is not representative. But they voted for Zelko who was the pro-peace-with-Russia candidate and against Porky. Again you are either not smart enough to know this, or you intentionally lie. Which one is it?

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Well you are finally quoting directly. I’ll be damned.

    I still don’t see your point however.

    Russian speaking doesn’t mean Russian supporting. Zelensky grew up speaking Russian.

    The Wiki link shows they are politically divided. It isn’t like LPR/DPR and that was reflected in the presidential election.

    Ethnicity is not at all like “gender” (only an idiot would think so).

    Liberals tell us that both are fluid. I don’t make either argument.

    People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations

    Liberals tell us the same thing about race in America. It’s all mixed and ultimately meaningless.

    Color me skeptical that you can depict these ethnic differences as ambiguous much like liberals. You do acknowledge that the area voted for Zelensky and not the pro-Russian candidate in the first presidential round?

    With all due respect any “voting” in 2019 with military occupation is not representative.

    What do you mean by this? You are saying Zelensky wasn’t elected and the vote was fake?

    DPR/LPR voted for the pro-Russian candidate in 2019 while Melitopol did not. How do you explain this?

    Do you acknowledge that over 100 Russian soldiers have been killed by Melitopol partisans? I think you are trying to imagine the city as pro-Russian occupation when the data is clear that it has long been politically divided. They voted for Zelensky over pro-Putin candidates.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Russian speaking doesn’t mean Russian supporting. Zelensky grew up speaking Russian.
     
    Being Ukrainian doesn't necessarily mean being supportive or soft on svido, neocon and neolib perspectives. Zelensky comes across as a turncoat opportunist.

    Zelensky won the last Ukrainian presidency on a campaign promoting better relations with Russia, including an end to the war in Donbass. Upon assuming office, Zelensky drifted in a noticeably opposite direction from his election platform. In that last Ukrainian presidential election, Petro Poroshenko was Zelensky’s main opponent. Poroshenko ran on a nationalist platform.

    Shortly after his 2019 win, there's footage of Zelensky being threatened if he pursued what he campaigned on. Via violence and the threat of violence, the svidos have disproportionate representation in Kiev regime controlled Ukraine. BTW, there's also a tape of Zelensky saying Russians and Ukrainians are the same people.

    Said entity mistakenly followed the Anglo-American route away from the March 2022 Istanbul settlement talks. Fat chance the Kiev regime will get a better deal.
    , @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don't know the difference?

    If you don't understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can't help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal "gender" or "racial" absurdity. Your conflating of them is a cheap attempt to escape from your previous dumb statements. Be more honest and admit that you were wrong.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run - e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions. But they were not "fake", they simply used an extreme version of electoral management common in parts of the West - the managed "two-party" system that de facto restricts choices. Zelko was the more pro-Russian candidate and he won based on that - then he betrayed, either he was intimidated or he lied all along. Denying it is quite stupid. That betrayal led directly to the war - the war Ukraine has almost no hope of winning and that can permanently damage it or even destroy it.

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven't paid attention - simply look at the map. Augustus' testament applies to this irrational and unnecessary overreach. If Nato had simply stopped, we would all be much better off - most of all the Ukrainians.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikhail, @Wokechoke

  206. @QCIC
    @A123

    Why guess? Most people eventually tell you what camp they are in. Everyone likes to wave the colors, even the cryptids!

    Your Judeo-Christian solidarity makes some sense, but we need a word that means "Jewish people who are also NOT followers of Kabbala or the Talmud". I suspect such a word exists.

    Replies: @Ennui

    It’s time for the Karaites to take on a major geopolitical role. Unfortunately, there are only 1600 of them according to wikipedia.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Ennui

    Thanks!

    I actually asked A123 if he is a Karaite just a few weeks ago!

    Then I completely forgot about Karaites. Or maybe the UNZ AI is writing my comments and I have lost control.

    There are probably more than 1600, they are just crypto :)

  207. Will China put blacks on the Moon too, now that Venezuela has signed up for their lunar initiative? Or is it more about radio communications?

  208. 2024 will be a terrible year.

    Something akin to civil war over Trump.

    Something like the early period of ww2 in Eastern Europe.

    China makes a real move in their sphere of influence.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    2024 will be a terrible year.

    Something akin to civil war over Trump.

    A civil war over Trump? He won't get out of the primary.

    Conservative Whites won't do a damn thing over the results.

    The elections coincide with NFL. They will be too busy with fantasy football to care.

    Trump cooked himself with the documents. I voted for him twice but it is over.

  209. Foreign flagged cargo ships are now in the ports of Ukraine. Captains should push off to sea before midnight, as Russia may consider them hostiles. African and Asian flags are prominent. Three of them Liberia(US) two Hong Kong (might have British naval officers on board) two in Palau (probably US owned) Another Cayman Islands (British) Belize (British) and Panama (US).

    Altmark incident upcoming.

  210. @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    The Poles still talk of Russia's imperial rule which was over 100 years ago.

    Russians still talk of Poles as "little Russians" and yet the Poles don't seem to see it that way.

    Violently occupying a country doesn't endear them to you. People seem to remember when you kill their family members. Huh.

    You'd think the Russians would be doing their best to make up for Soviet rule by Moscow but I guess not.

    Russians are back to being the losers of Europe. This is exactly the problem with Russians that the British wrote about before WW1. They give up on competing with Western Europe and go back to Mongol style invasions of their neighbors. You get an insecure war dunce like Nicholas II or Putin who causes problems for everyone. They can't even invade properly. Putin thought it was a good idea to send a 40 mile column through the woods of a country that has more RPGs than Western Europe. Ukraine inherited massive stockpiles of Soviet weapons and Putin seemed to think they would all be turned in.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mikhail

    Japan initiated the Russo Japanese war.

    You ought to check your facts. The sequence of events is very clear.

    Also Russia pitched in to help Serbia, which should have logically made Austria back away from invading Serbia. In the end Russia’s surprisingly fast Mobilization (Germany caught out with no deep defense around Berlin had to shut down the Schleifen Plan) in ww1 saved the French from a very humiliating defeat in 1914. No good deed goes unpunished I guess.

    Goodbye Austria-Hungarian Empire. Arguably the Russian Empire just changed its skin but not the substance. At least we are told Stalin was just a Red Czar.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    Japan initiated the Russo Japanese war.

    Japan attacked Port Arthur after Russia wouldn't split the area. They were both Imperial powers and Russia had been expanding under Nicholas II. Japan proposed separate spheres of influence that Nicholas II rejected.

    It was Nicholas II that sent out his disastrous fleet attack with the intent of pushing out the Japanese.

    He tried to expand the empire and underestimated the enemy. That is how he is similar to Putin.

    The Battle of Tsushima is still the biggest naval upset of all time
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Tsushima

    The British did their homework and knew that Japan had developed their own technological advantages like shells that exploded on contact. The Tsar didn't learn about them until his fleet was sunk.

    Sound familiar? An arrogant Tsar that thought he could simply win with greater numbers. Too lazy to bother doing any research.

    Also Russia pitched in to help Serbia, which should have logically made Austria back away from invading Serbia.

    Russia chose to invade German territory with 230,000 men. It was not simply about helping Serbia.

    The Tsar wanted to redeem Russia after getting their asses kicked by the Japanese. In the 1900s the Western world still viewed the Japanese as simple primitives and they sunk the Russian Baltic fleet in 48 hours.

    Nicholas II had one job which was to keep the country together and he didn't do that properly. He let Lenin walk who later came back to kill him and his family. A loser Tsar just like Putin.

  211. @Wokechoke
    2024 will be a terrible year.

    Something akin to civil war over Trump.

    Something like the early period of ww2 in Eastern Europe.

    China makes a real move in their sphere of influence.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    2024 will be a terrible year.

    Something akin to civil war over Trump.

    A civil war over Trump? He won’t get out of the primary.

    Conservative Whites won’t do a damn thing over the results.

    The elections coincide with NFL. They will be too busy with fantasy football to care.

    Trump cooked himself with the documents. I voted for him twice but it is over.

  212. @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia’s stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.
     
    As JJ has frequently pointed out here within our discussions, Russia's war aims (or Putler's to be more exact) are frequently changing, so it's hard to discuss them with any concrete meaning.

    Russia does not want to “conquer” a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists.
     
    I haven't heard that Putler is still chasing NAZIs in Ukraine, at least not as a main preoccupation lately? Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?

    A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes.
     
    This is as ridiculous a notion as you've tried floating here (and you've floated a few doozies). Here's your chance to convince me that it's true.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians
     
    Nah, launching an invasion of a neighbor's country is only something that in Russia is a sign of a goodwill gesture. :-)

    The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man’s substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.
     
    Russia's bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC, @Sean

    I view Russia’s war aims as roughly unchanged, despite chatter in the media. I do think they were serious about the negotiations which were quashed by the US. At that time, the Russians may have been following the mantra “The worst peace is better than any war.” I think that represents internal disagreement, since I believe the threat by the West against Russia is pretty obvious to military leaders. I wonder if some of those Russian leaders had a delusional or even nostalgic 2015-era fantasy of being able to somehow drive out the West without killing many Ukrainians? In early 2022 I think they were rushed by Ukrainian-Western battle plans and followed Putin’s famous advice: “If a fight is inevitable, strike first.”

    I have often mentioned that the Jewish support for NeoNAZIs in Ukraine is the weirdest and possibly most important factor in the entire conflict. Nonetheless there are high profile NeoNAZI groups fighting and playing a visible role in the political process in Ukraine. I don’t know how many are left, but it is a good question.

    You don’t need to be confused about the Presidential figurehead. He is an actor and comedian. No kidding, he really is!

    I have mentioned the role of NeoNAZI thugs in passing before. If I recall correctly, over time there have been various reports of this or that moderate or pro-Russian Ukrainian politician being threatened or killed by NeoNAZIs. I am not referring to Maidan, this process even predates that mess. This isn’t surprising, many of these NeoNAZI groups channeled brutal, take no prisoners heroes from WW2. This is their brand and purpose, to scare pro-Russian (or even moderate) citizens of Ukraine to either toe the line or leave or be killed. That is the main purpose of these groups since they do not have any particular advantage against Russian soldiers. They have a big advantage over Ukrainian civilians attempting to avoid WW3 while maintaining a civil society. That is why the actual number of NeoNAZIs is not so important. Once the groups have acceptance they can operate with impunity as regime criminals working outside the law. I think this is a standard pattern for proxy wars and external meddling in a state.

    The bloody hand-to-hand combat is intended to kill NeoNAZIs, NATO mercenaries and Ukrainian troops without destroying the largest cities with the most inhabitants. If an AFU soldier dies in Bakhmut he will not be defending Kharkov, Dnipro or Kiev next month. As long as Ukraine wants to keep the lights on, water flowing, trains running and hospitals going there is only so much cannon fodder they can grab since men have to keep that infrastructure working. We are not talking about some plucky old guy with an SVD rifle on the top floor of an apartment building playing amateur sniper. We are talking about able bodied men who are trained to shoot a rifle, launch a MANPADS and fire an NLAWS. Even for Ukrainians who want to do this, learning the craft of the soldier and being prepared to jump into a fiery meat grinder is not easy. Most of the low hanging fruit of available good soldier candidates has probably already been plucked by the AFU and thrown into combat.

  213. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    Japan initiated the Russo Japanese war.

    You ought to check your facts. The sequence of events is very clear.

    Also Russia pitched in to help Serbia, which should have logically made Austria back away from invading Serbia. In the end Russia’s surprisingly fast Mobilization (Germany caught out with no deep defense around Berlin had to shut down the Schleifen Plan) in ww1 saved the French from a very humiliating defeat in 1914. No good deed goes unpunished I guess.

    Goodbye Austria-Hungarian Empire. Arguably the Russian Empire just changed its skin but not the substance. At least we are told Stalin was just a Red Czar.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Japan initiated the Russo Japanese war.

    Japan attacked Port Arthur after Russia wouldn’t split the area. They were both Imperial powers and Russia had been expanding under Nicholas II. Japan proposed separate spheres of influence that Nicholas II rejected.

    It was Nicholas II that sent out his disastrous fleet attack with the intent of pushing out the Japanese.

    He tried to expand the empire and underestimated the enemy. That is how he is similar to Putin.

    The Battle of Tsushima is still the biggest naval upset of all time
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Tsushima

    The British did their homework and knew that Japan had developed their own technological advantages like shells that exploded on contact. The Tsar didn’t learn about them until his fleet was sunk.

    Sound familiar? An arrogant Tsar that thought he could simply win with greater numbers. Too lazy to bother doing any research.

    Also Russia pitched in to help Serbia, which should have logically made Austria back away from invading Serbia.

    Russia chose to invade German territory with 230,000 men. It was not simply about helping Serbia.

    The Tsar wanted to redeem Russia after getting their asses kicked by the Japanese. In the 1900s the Western world still viewed the Japanese as simple primitives and they sunk the Russian Baltic fleet in 48 hours.

    Nicholas II had one job which was to keep the country together and he didn’t do that properly. He let Lenin walk who later came back to kill him and his family. A loser Tsar just like Putin.

  214. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    War of attrition, seeing the Kiev regime lose many of its forces when taking Kherson City and the area of Kharkov – both having a limited Russian contingent.

    Are you following this war at all? Kherson was abandoned without a fight.

    They decided to not fight with their the possibility of getting cornered against the river. It was the correct decision as the Ukrainians can destroy any river supply attempt with drones.

    The Russians made the Dnieper the border instead of fighting over a majority ethnic Ukrainian city. They were already losing soldiers daily to partisans.

    How are you Russian and not aware of what happened with Kherson? Do you just follow a few pro-Putin sources?

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.

    In a special military operation involving limited military use

    There was never limited military use. Maybe you also missed the 40 mile column of armor and supply trucks at Kiev. Or the massive tank battle in the burbs that was caught on CCTV.

    Putin now calls it a war. You can stop using his dishonest euphemism.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Are you following this war at all? Kherson was abandoned without a fight.

    My point exactly. Kiev regime forces took the greater losses when taking Kherson City and the Russian held portion of Kharkov. Ditto the Kiev regime’s stand in Artemovsk and their most recent offensive.

    How are you Russian and not aware of what happened with Kherson? Do you just follow a few pro-Putin sources?

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.

    Your sarcasm aside, they’ve aged well. You could do a better job of comprehending what was said.

    There was never limited military use. Maybe you also missed the 40 mile column of armor and supply trucks at Kiev. Or the massive tank battle in the burbs that was caught on CCTV.

    Putin now calls it a war. You can stop using his dishonest euphemism.

    On the Russian side, there has most definitely been limited military use, especially in the beginning of the SMO. The number of Russian troops outside Kiev numbering about 50,000 wasn’t enough to take the city. They likely helped to get the Kiev regime to negotiate at Istanbul.

    In a Newsweek piece within a few months of 2/24/22, US establishment military analyst Bill Arkin noted the limited manner of the Russian military from what it could otherwise do.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/26062023-post-mutiny-assessment-in-russia-oped/

    Excerpt –

    It has been noted that Prigozhin isn’t a professional military man. He expressed frustration that Russia doesn’t take the offensive enough. Russia isn’t doing so because it’ll lose more personnel that way, even with a win as opposed to letting the NATO backed Kiev regime advance. Russia is clearly winning the war of attrition, which is about taking out more of your enemy’s military assets than losing yours.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    My point exactly. Kiev regime forces took the greater losses when taking Kherson City and the Russian held portion of Kharkov. Ditto the Kiev regime’s stand in Artemovsk and their most recent offensive.

    That doesn't make any sense. Kherson was taken without a fight. There were no losses.

    Russia declared Kherson to be "Russian forever" and then fled across the river.


    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.
     
    Your sarcasm aside, they’ve aged well. You could do a better job of comprehending what was said.

    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?

    On the Russian side, there has most definitely been limited military use, especially in the beginning of the SMO. The number of Russian troops outside Kiev numbering about 50,000 wasn’t enough to take the city.

    So you maintain that they weren't trying to take Kiev? Is that right? You are suggesting that the leaked plans showing a 2.5 week invasion were fake and they only landed Spetsnaz in downtown Kiev to scare Zelensky into negotiating? What was the point of the 40 mile supply column?

    Replies: @Mikhail

  215. @Ennui
    @QCIC

    It's time for the Karaites to take on a major geopolitical role. Unfortunately, there are only 1600 of them according to wikipedia.

    Replies: @QCIC

    Thanks!

    I actually asked A123 if he is a Karaite just a few weeks ago!

    Then I completely forgot about Karaites. Or maybe the UNZ AI is writing my comments and I have lost control.

    There are probably more than 1600, they are just crypto 🙂

  216. @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    The Poles still talk of Russia's imperial rule which was over 100 years ago.

    Russians still talk of Poles as "little Russians" and yet the Poles don't seem to see it that way.

    Violently occupying a country doesn't endear them to you. People seem to remember when you kill their family members. Huh.

    You'd think the Russians would be doing their best to make up for Soviet rule by Moscow but I guess not.

    Russians are back to being the losers of Europe. This is exactly the problem with Russians that the British wrote about before WW1. They give up on competing with Western Europe and go back to Mongol style invasions of their neighbors. You get an insecure war dunce like Nicholas II or Putin who causes problems for everyone. They can't even invade properly. Putin thought it was a good idea to send a 40 mile column through the woods of a country that has more RPGs than Western Europe. Ukraine inherited massive stockpiles of Soviet weapons and Putin seemed to think they would all be turned in.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mikhail

    Russians still talk of Poles as “little Russians” and yet the Poles don’t seem to see it that way.

    No they don’t. Is the above excerpted what you actually meant to say?

    Russians are back to being the losers of Europe. This is exactly the problem with Russians that the British wrote about before WW1.

    Explains why the sanctions designed to punish Russia have had a boomerang effect.

  217. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Well you are finally quoting directly. I'll be damned.

    I still don't see your point however.

    Russian speaking doesn't mean Russian supporting. Zelensky grew up speaking Russian.

    The Wiki link shows they are politically divided. It isn't like LPR/DPR and that was reflected in the presidential election.

    Ethnicity is not at all like “gender” (only an idiot would think so).

    Liberals tell us that both are fluid. I don't make either argument.

    People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations

    Liberals tell us the same thing about race in America. It's all mixed and ultimately meaningless.

    Color me skeptical that you can depict these ethnic differences as ambiguous much like liberals. You do acknowledge that the area voted for Zelensky and not the pro-Russian candidate in the first presidential round?

    With all due respect any “voting” in 2019 with military occupation is not representative.

    What do you mean by this? You are saying Zelensky wasn't elected and the vote was fake?

    DPR/LPR voted for the pro-Russian candidate in 2019 while Melitopol did not. How do you explain this?

    Do you acknowledge that over 100 Russian soldiers have been killed by Melitopol partisans? I think you are trying to imagine the city as pro-Russian occupation when the data is clear that it has long been politically divided. They voted for Zelensky over pro-Putin candidates.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Beckow

    Russian speaking doesn’t mean Russian supporting. Zelensky grew up speaking Russian.

    Being Ukrainian doesn’t necessarily mean being supportive or soft on svido, neocon and neolib perspectives. Zelensky comes across as a turncoat opportunist.

    Zelensky won the last Ukrainian presidency on a campaign promoting better relations with Russia, including an end to the war in Donbass. Upon assuming office, Zelensky drifted in a noticeably opposite direction from his election platform. In that last Ukrainian presidential election, Petro Poroshenko was Zelensky’s main opponent. Poroshenko ran on a nationalist platform.

    Shortly after his 2019 win, there’s footage of Zelensky being threatened if he pursued what he campaigned on. Via violence and the threat of violence, the svidos have disproportionate representation in Kiev regime controlled Ukraine. BTW, there’s also a tape of Zelensky saying Russians and Ukrainians are the same people.

    Said entity mistakenly followed the Anglo-American route away from the March 2022 Istanbul settlement talks. Fat chance the Kiev regime will get a better deal.

  218. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    https://www.vibram.com/on/demandware.static/-/Sites-vibram-storefront-us/default/dwb52ec9d0/00000000000000000000000000_2400x1030_Esempio28-min.png

    If you can dead lift 500 pounds you can probably go out in these and nobody will make any rude comments. I cannot dead lift 500 pounds.

    Replies: @songbird, @QCIC

    I think the other Anatoly wears those:

    [MORE]

  219. I want GR to review this book:

    [MORE]

    He could ask for a review copy, and say he is posting the review here.

  220. @Sher Singh
    Anyone against honor killing has a cuck fetish

    https://twitter.com/ReggieFMercer/status/1681460588608643072?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

    https://twitter.com/ReggieFMercer/status/1681433816529772544?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    if you are a male and straight, answer who you would want to be married to for at least 5 years monogamously

    If I myself am already sterilized (bilateral epididymectomy combined with a radical scrotal vasectomy), but with a lot of prior sperm freezing, then possibly this woman:

    https://www.istockphoto.com/photo/couple-kissing-on-a-beach-gm459448847-31980168

    https://www.istockphoto.com/photo/young-couple-kissing-on-the-beach-gm186579750-27944940

    I don’t think that this woman is likely to have a super-high IQ (because Hispanics, even whiter ones, mostly don’t, and she’s not the whitest Hispanic), but she is hott as fuck!

  221. The owner of the greatest ever business card has passed away.

    : (

  222. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Are you following this war at all? Kherson was abandoned without a fight.
     
    My point exactly. Kiev regime forces took the greater losses when taking Kherson City and the Russian held portion of Kharkov. Ditto the Kiev regime's stand in Artemovsk and their most recent offensive.

    How are you Russian and not aware of what happened with Kherson? Do you just follow a few pro-Putin sources?

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.
     
    Your sarcasm aside, they've aged well. You could do a better job of comprehending what was said.

    There was never limited military use. Maybe you also missed the 40 mile column of armor and supply trucks at Kiev. Or the massive tank battle in the burbs that was caught on CCTV.

    Putin now calls it a war. You can stop using his dishonest euphemism.
     
    On the Russian side, there has most definitely been limited military use, especially in the beginning of the SMO. The number of Russian troops outside Kiev numbering about 50,000 wasn't enough to take the city. They likely helped to get the Kiev regime to negotiate at Istanbul.

    In a Newsweek piece within a few months of 2/24/22, US establishment military analyst Bill Arkin noted the limited manner of the Russian military from what it could otherwise do.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/26062023-post-mutiny-assessment-in-russia-oped/

    Excerpt -

    It has been noted that Prigozhin isn’t a professional military man. He expressed frustration that Russia doesn’t take the offensive enough. Russia isn’t doing so because it’ll lose more personnel that way, even with a win as opposed to letting the NATO backed Kiev regime advance. Russia is clearly winning the war of attrition, which is about taking out more of your enemy’s military assets than losing yours.
     

    Replies: @John Johnson

    My point exactly. Kiev regime forces took the greater losses when taking Kherson City and the Russian held portion of Kharkov. Ditto the Kiev regime’s stand in Artemovsk and their most recent offensive.

    That doesn’t make any sense. Kherson was taken without a fight. There were no losses.

    Russia declared Kherson to be “Russian forever” and then fled across the river.

    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.

    Your sarcasm aside, they’ve aged well. You could do a better job of comprehending what was said.

    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?

    On the Russian side, there has most definitely been limited military use, especially in the beginning of the SMO. The number of Russian troops outside Kiev numbering about 50,000 wasn’t enough to take the city.

    So you maintain that they weren’t trying to take Kiev? Is that right? You are suggesting that the leaked plans showing a 2.5 week invasion were fake and they only landed Spetsnaz in downtown Kiev to scare Zelensky into negotiating? What was the point of the 40 mile supply column?

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    That doesn’t make any sense. Kherson was taken without a fight. There were no losses.

    Russia declared Kherson to be “Russian forever” and then fled across the river.
     
    Kiev regime currently has the city of Kherson - not all of Kherson. Prior to taking Kherson, their forces were exposed trying to take it. Said troops took a hit.


    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?
     
    Before the coup against Yanukovych, polling within Ukraine's Comie drawn boundary indicated about 50% favoring closer ties to Russia. The svido, neocon-neolib approach hasn't benefited Ukraine.

    So you maintain that they weren’t trying to take Kiev? Is that right? You are suggesting that the leaked plans showing a 2.5 week invasion were fake and they only landed Spetsnaz in downtown Kiev to scare Zelensky into negotiating? What was the point of the 40 mile supply column?
     
    You again harp on a 40 mile supply column, while omitting that the number of Russian forces there weren't enough to take a city the size of Kiev.

    "Leaked plans" comes across as another Ghost of Kyiv and other such claims. There's also the claim of securing Kiev regime plans for an attack on rebel held Donbass territory.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  223. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    My point exactly. Kiev regime forces took the greater losses when taking Kherson City and the Russian held portion of Kharkov. Ditto the Kiev regime’s stand in Artemovsk and their most recent offensive.

    That doesn't make any sense. Kherson was taken without a fight. There were no losses.

    Russia declared Kherson to be "Russian forever" and then fled across the river.


    Maybe you should go back to blogging about how Russia and Ukraine should join because they are so good for each other. Boy have those posts aged well.
     
    Your sarcasm aside, they’ve aged well. You could do a better job of comprehending what was said.

    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?

    On the Russian side, there has most definitely been limited military use, especially in the beginning of the SMO. The number of Russian troops outside Kiev numbering about 50,000 wasn’t enough to take the city.

    So you maintain that they weren't trying to take Kiev? Is that right? You are suggesting that the leaked plans showing a 2.5 week invasion were fake and they only landed Spetsnaz in downtown Kiev to scare Zelensky into negotiating? What was the point of the 40 mile supply column?

    Replies: @Mikhail

    That doesn’t make any sense. Kherson was taken without a fight. There were no losses.

    Russia declared Kherson to be “Russian forever” and then fled across the river.

    Kiev regime currently has the city of Kherson – not all of Kherson. Prior to taking Kherson, their forces were exposed trying to take it. Said troops took a hit.

    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?

    Before the coup against Yanukovych, polling within Ukraine’s Comie drawn boundary indicated about 50% favoring closer ties to Russia. The svido, neocon-neolib approach hasn’t benefited Ukraine.

    So you maintain that they weren’t trying to take Kiev? Is that right? You are suggesting that the leaked plans showing a 2.5 week invasion were fake and they only landed Spetsnaz in downtown Kiev to scare Zelensky into negotiating? What was the point of the 40 mile supply column?

    You again harp on a 40 mile supply column, while omitting that the number of Russian forces there weren’t enough to take a city the size of Kiev.

    “Leaked plans” comes across as another Ghost of Kyiv and other such claims. There’s also the claim of securing Kiev regime plans for an attack on rebel held Donbass territory.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Kiev regime currently has the city of Kherson – not all of Kherson. Prior to taking Kherson, their forces were exposed trying to take it. Said troops took a hit.

    Yes of course we are talking about the city.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.

    The Russians left before the Ukrainians arrived.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63311744

    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.


    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?
     
    Before the coup against Yanukovych, polling within Ukraine’s Comie drawn boundary indicated about 50% favoring closer ties to Russia. The svido, neocon-neolib approach hasn’t benefited Ukraine.

    Zelensky won on a neutral platform towards Russia. Wanting better relations with Russia is not wanting to be ruled by them. You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?

    You again harp on a 40 mile supply column, while omitting that the number of Russian forces there weren’t enough to take a city the size of Kiev.

    I'm not omitting anything. They obviously didn't have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn't plan on taking the city? Explain for us.

    “Leaked plans” comes across as another Ghost of Kyiv and other such claims.

    It's quite sad that you blog about Russia and don't bother to read the news. It isn't merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can't launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?

    Replies: @Mikhail

  224. @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    I think it may have been more than just one. He sounds like he was quite the ladies man. He was a pretty ordinary looking guy so I don't know if he was really tall or something or it was just his fame that drew women too him.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    I think it may have been more than just one. He sounds like he was quite the ladies man. He was a pretty ordinary looking guy so I don’t know if he was really tall or something or it was just his fame that drew women too him.

    His views led me to the kosher Nazi term. Just as Hitler spoke bitterly towards the end about Germans, the Kahane types (some of them) frequently bash Jews en masse. I recall one of them saying that Israel is run by a bunch of Communist Jews.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    Where have you come in contact with Kahanists? I do remember an Israeli telling me that Kahanists speak of Israel and Israelis the same way that Hamas does.


    I recall one of them saying that Israel is run by a bunch of Communist Jews
     
    err... this is basically true

    Replies: @Mikhail

  225. @Greasy William
    @Mikhail


    A consensus among some has the collective West giving the Kiev regime until the end of this year to roughly 12 months from now, to make its case on the battlefield.
     
    If this truly is the consensus in the West, it doesn't take into account the balance of forces, which increasingly favors Russia with time.

    Another prevailing factor is US President Joseph Biden, who will still be in office within this time frame and can’t politically afford another Afghanistan scenario with a looming election.
     
    Biden can afford a peace deal with Russia. In fact, he could credibly sell it to the US public as a win: "I preserved Ukrainian sovereignty against the second strongest military in the world [sic] while avoiding direct US involvement." A deal in May/June of next year means that it will be ancient history by election day regardless. Not to mention that Biden's presumptive opponent, Trump, is hardly some ultra hawk on Russia.

    What Biden can't afford is for Russia to be rolling Ukraine during the run up to the election. Putin hasn't been building up his military over the past year for the purpose of just looking at it; after the Ukrainian offensive ends, the initiative will be totally in Russia's hands and Russia will start seizing more territory. The US will have to make a choice between ending the war or sending in its own troops. It will choose the former

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Your counter has merit, given how the US mass media can successfully spin things.

  226. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Perhaps you’ll recognize this picture from a hike into the backcountry of a national park you’ve mentioned on this forum once before….
     
    Hmm... lots of rocks like that in Central/Southern Utah but I'd say Capitol Reef. Not only because I did mention it some time ago but also because of the plateaus giving way to mountains in the distance (San Rafael Swell?, Fish Lake Mts?) and to deep canyons, but not as deep as the Colorado and immediate tributaries. That combination of ocres and buff also reminds me of that general area. I may be wrong though.

    Glad to learn that you've made your first forays into the Wasatch. I actually haven't explored much the Northern Wasatch. The fun is further South, in my view, where it gets wilder and the peaks start towering higher, but I do have a couple of excursions planned for that area. The most important one being a winter camp in Peter Sinks. The reason why I must spend at least one winter night camping solo at Peter Sinks, as I've told multiple people I would for years now, would be the subject of a whole post.

    The humidity indeed. It's all about the humidity, as I think Yogi Berra himself once said. Not just the perception of cold and heat but also the piercing blue skies, the clean, bright atmosphere and the thin air entering your lungs unimpeded. In the old times before the advent of antibiotics people with serious pulmonary issues used to be sent to the West from the East Coast to get their lungs healed. Apparently, it made them live some extra years. At the start of the Delicate Arch trail there is an old and fascinating cabin where one of these health refugees from the East settled and raised a family in a beautiful ranch. It's very well maintained and it transports you to bygone eras. There are some Indian petroglyphs nearby too.

    Which makes me wonder why you still live in New York. I'm sure you must have very good reasons to forego a life of waking up every morning to bright sun, fresh air and magnificent landscapes but it's difficult to understand from everything you've told about yourself. This part of the West keeps filling up with foreign immigrants and also lots of people coming from other states. SLC is one of the few parts of the country that hasn't seen any drop in rent prices last year due to the constant influx of newcomers.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Believe me Mikel, I’d be out West right now if I could, but alas I have work commitments that it would be unethical for me to abandon at the moment. But they will only last a few more years. My bosses are people I’ve known since childhood, and it would be unethical to leave the project before it’s successful conclusion.

    But I’ve managed to formalize a guaranteed six months off per year, which is a fantastic concession as far as I’m concerned, even though each month away I get only a fraction of my salary. It’s so worth it. But for now I live somewhat in a gilded cage.

    It’s funny, I want so little from life in the conventional sense – only enough money to survive in reasonable comfort, I have no ambition for success, fame, or wealth, all I want is to live simply in a spiritual way, wandering the wilderness, travelling to exotic countries (cheaply), reading good books, having good friendships with interesting people, and perhaps some good coffee, good aged stinky cheese, and some decent wine and whiskey, and a cold IPA every now and then 🙂

    And yet the modern world is set up in such a way that it’s actually easier for someone like me to pursue wealth and power than the simple life, alas.

    My great ambition is to live the final third of my life in the Hindu or Chinese way, as a Taoist Old Man Laughing in the Mountains, free from cares and the dust of the world, or a Hindu sanyasin, wandering the wilds. This is in fact my plan!

    In practical American terms, what this means is Vanlife out West 🙂 With occasional forays into my favorite exotic (are you still allowed to use that word?) Asian countries like India, Laos, Nepal, holiday visits with family and friends across the country and world, especially Christmas in snowy winters, and endless hikes into the American backcountry until my body gives out and my soul returns to it’s true home in the other world. A life well spent in my terms, yet “wasted” im conventional terms.

    As for that picture, you’ve got it right! It’s Capitol Reef, a great hike to the highest point in the park. Good guess.

    I’m increasingly in love with the corridor from Capitol Reef to Bryce, especially the wild and remote Escalante National Monument and even wilder and more remote Kaiparowitz Platuea, which I’ve barely scratched the surface of. It’s funny, Zion and Bryce receive a deluge of visitors, yet it all suddenly stops at Bryce, and no one heads further west to the equally fantastic scenery in that direction.

    From what I’ve seen, I’d agree with you that the most exciting parts of the Wasatch are further south, but it was a convenient stop on my way from the Sawtooths to the airport, the sun was shining brilliantly, the mountains were still beautiful, and I simply had to walk 🙂

    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy – but I’m beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist in order to deter inexperienced and reckless hikers who might need an expensive rescue. Recently on a few occasions I’ve found ranger stations giving me alarmist warnings that turned out to be absurd.

    Humidity really does make all the difference, it’s incredible! To be fair, I quite enjoy extremely humid places in small doses, I find them atmospheric, extremely aromatic, suggestive of rank and decadent vegetation and jungles – they can be very evocative. But only for a spell, and then my heart yearns for the piercing clarity of the drier mountains and deserts, the exhilaration of the clear air and bright sunshine, the way things almost pop out at you in their vividness un the clear air, and the endless vistas. And of course dry heat is so much tolerable!

    Interestingly, I found the busy SLC airport to be overwhelmingly White with what I assume are mostly Mormon descended people – and what an attractive population! And in an intelligent, refined, well dressed way, too, with no obesity and very few overweight people. I suspect Mormons are a reservoir of talent in the US that have yet some important role to play in our national story.

    Well, I can’t wait until I get back among the mountains, and it will be soon.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy – but I’m beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist 
     
    LOL. You should have asked me instead and we would have climbed it no problems with the adjoining 11k'+ North Peak as a bonus. But this time they were probably right that snow was blocking the dirt road to the trailhead. We've received insane amounts of snow last winter. That would have meant some miles of extra walking, which those rangers seem to think is outside of human capabilities.

    It drives me crazy really. Last Sunday, the day you hiked in Tremonton, lots of people were "rescued" from Mt Olympus, a steep but easy hike just above SLC. It all began with someone spraining her ankle and calling 911. Then, when people doing the hike saw the rescuers appear in the midday heat there was some kind of collective panic and lots of people started asking to be rescued too. They actually mobilized helicopters that brought bottles of water to the poor hikers in distress.

    Perhaps the most depressing part came the next day, when all local media reported on the incident with the consensus advice, backed by the head of the rescue teams, that people ought to avoid hiking in the "extreme" temperatures of July and carry as much water as they possibly can and then some more, just in case. This is all just ridiculuous. I know Mt Olympus very well, I've even posted pictures from the summit here, and you do _not_ need 1-2 gallons of water to climb it, even in 100 temps. It's too short. That's a huge, unnecessary weight that will get too hot to drink before you know it. Of course you're going to get some dehydration, how could you not. But you just rehidrate when you're back in the valley a couple of hours later.

    They're just turning the population into weaklings unable to confront adversities, which is all the more regretable among descendants of the pioneers who conquered these lands from the Indians and the implacable forces of nature themselves. Some of those pioneers lost their limbs during their march from Missouri but kept on traveling towards the unknown. Can you imagine them packing gallons of water for a 2-hour hike?

    Anyway, sorry for the rant. Returning to one of your earlier comments, I just wanted to say that I can perfectly understand how that author that you mentioned could discover the Taos Valley and conclude categorically that it was the most beautiful place in the West. I have only been there once, in winter, but I was also very impressed. A snow storm was approaching so I could only get a glimpse of the high peaks in the backgound but they were magnificent in that season. Then, as I drove North, squalls began to come my way from the incredibly vast plains, punctuated here and there by red/buff buttes and beautiful ranches of adobe. It was all quite surreal. As you have said in the past, these high elevation places have some magic to them.

    The problem, though, is that there are so many such astonishing places in the West, each with its own distinctive touch, that I would't dare to ever say which one is the "best". Who has seen them all? Possibly nobody. Perhaps a beautiful project for the rest of my life would be to try to visit every little town, every valley and every mountain range between the Pacific and the Midwest. But, as you say, it's difficult to give up the pleasure of also visiting faraway and exotic places, especially of the tropical kind. Not enough decades left for it all, I'm afraid.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  227. @Greasy William
    Here's a good article about the Jewish attitude towards revenge (I've been thinking a lot about revenge after reading the reactions of Ukraine supporters to that family killed on the Crimean bridge): https://www.torahmusings.com/2012/05/kahanism-and-vengeance/

    My first introduction to real Judaism, as opposed to fake American "Judaism", was from the writings of Rabbi Kahane. Kahane's writings really spoke to me because here was a guy who hated leftists and Arabs as much as I did and was passionate about taking revenge on our (Jews) enemies.

    I viewed Jews who opposed taking revenge as either stupid, weak, evil or all three. The only group of Jews I gave a pass on not supporting revenge was the Haredim because I just instinctively felt like their hearts were in the right place and I was able to accept that they just weren't wired that way (if you've ever met any of them, you'd know what I'm talking about).

    When your in jail, you have a lot of time just sitting there with your thoughts. Without all the distractions of real life I was able/forced to examine my own mind, thoughts and emotions on a much deeper level. It was then for the first time I could see that hating Russophiles/Lebanese/Iranians/White liberals whoever else was actually making me unhappy. I was using the hate like it was heroin: it gave a phenomenal high, at least at first, but it quickly developed into a dependency that was making me miserable without me even realizing it.

    So I looked for answers about how to get away from it and I found Buddhism. I never became a Buddhist, or even thought about becoming one, but I read a lot of their stuff because they seemed to be the only one's who actually spoke about practical elements of the mind as opposed to just a bunch of dogma that I don't care about. And while I did find the Buddhist perspective towards revenge helpful, I was never intellectually or emotionally satisfied with it.

    The article I cited above, when I read it it was just like, it felt like everything that I had been thinking about for all these years finally fell into place. I wouldn't necessarily expect everyone else to react the same way, but I think most people can gain something from the perspective the article offers.

    There is one really interesting line in the article. Referring to Rabbi Kahane's attitude towards revenge, the writer states the following :

    The [permissibility of taking revenge] is a matter of intent: Revenge out of anger or hatred is unacceptable but based on the desire to increase God’s glory is a mitzvah
     
    I was fairly familiar with Kahane's worldview, having read a decent amount of his work and having known some of his disciples (and their disciples), and I had no idea that Kahane had ever said such a thing. If you read any of Kahane's writings or listened to him speak you would know that Kahane was a bottomless pit of anger and hatred and that those things obviously are what motivated his obsession with revenge. That Kahane actually denied his desire for revenge was motivated by hatred simply beggars belief. I'm really surprised that Kahane said that. I don't know if he was just lying or it was a matter of him not being honest with himself.


    *yes I still am obsessed with getting revenge on white liberals but now I merely want to get revenge by taking their power away. Before I went to jail I literally wanted to gas/starve to death 10s of millions of them.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    George Orwell noted that in the final analysis revenge is unsatisfying. You may imagine the pleasure of it for long years, but when you’re finally confronted with your pitiful victim prostrate and helpless before you, all the ardor for revenge leaves you.

    In the end evil people are as much victims as the targets of their animosity – they simply do not see, and evil brings in it’s train its own misery.

    You had a taste of this when you finally recognize that your own anger actually made you unhappy. So it is with the target of your revenge.

    As the Buddha said – “All that we are is the result of what we have thought: it is founded on our thoughts, it is made up of our thoughts. If a man speaks or acts with an evil thought, pain follows him, as the wheel follows the foot of the ox that draws the carriage.”

    In the final analysis what one ought to wish for is the redemption of evil people, not their futile punishment. How much larger and more comprehensive a vision is that.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    As the Buddha said
     
    Did he really though?

    From FakeBuddhaQuotes : "That translation may be widely (although definitely not universally) quoted, but no competent modern translator would accept it as an accurate rendering of the Dhammapada."

    (In fairness though, I don't think the supposedly 'official' Buddhist interpretations that guy gives differ all that much from the supposedly so-inaccurate-they-may-as-well-be-fake quotes found on that site, although he is very insistent that they do. The popular renderings are nothing at all like what Buddha taught, to hear him tell it.)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  228. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    That doesn’t make any sense. Kherson was taken without a fight. There were no losses.

    Russia declared Kherson to be “Russian forever” and then fled across the river.
     
    Kiev regime currently has the city of Kherson - not all of Kherson. Prior to taking Kherson, their forces were exposed trying to take it. Said troops took a hit.


    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?
     
    Before the coup against Yanukovych, polling within Ukraine's Comie drawn boundary indicated about 50% favoring closer ties to Russia. The svido, neocon-neolib approach hasn't benefited Ukraine.

    So you maintain that they weren’t trying to take Kiev? Is that right? You are suggesting that the leaked plans showing a 2.5 week invasion were fake and they only landed Spetsnaz in downtown Kiev to scare Zelensky into negotiating? What was the point of the 40 mile supply column?
     
    You again harp on a 40 mile supply column, while omitting that the number of Russian forces there weren't enough to take a city the size of Kiev.

    "Leaked plans" comes across as another Ghost of Kyiv and other such claims. There's also the claim of securing Kiev regime plans for an attack on rebel held Donbass territory.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Kiev regime currently has the city of Kherson – not all of Kherson. Prior to taking Kherson, their forces were exposed trying to take it. Said troops took a hit.

    Yes of course we are talking about the city.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.

    The Russians left before the Ukrainians arrived.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63311744

    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.

    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?

    Before the coup against Yanukovych, polling within Ukraine’s Comie drawn boundary indicated about 50% favoring closer ties to Russia. The svido, neocon-neolib approach hasn’t benefited Ukraine.

    Zelensky won on a neutral platform towards Russia. Wanting better relations with Russia is not wanting to be ruled by them. You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?

    You again harp on a 40 mile supply column, while omitting that the number of Russian forces there weren’t enough to take a city the size of Kiev.

    I’m not omitting anything. They obviously didn’t have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn’t plan on taking the city? Explain for us.

    “Leaked plans” comes across as another Ghost of Kyiv and other such claims.

    It’s quite sad that you blog about Russia and don’t bother to read the news. It isn’t merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can’t launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack
    • LOL: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.
     
    Practice what you preach, as you ducked the reply to your claim that Russians view Poles as little Russians.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.
     
    Pure projection on your part. The Russians withdrew with the Kiev regime having taken hits before entering that area.

    You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?
     
    Never said that.

    I’m not omitting anything. They obviously didn’t have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn’t plan on taking the city? Explain for us.
     

    That wasn't their intent. You keep rehashing BS. The 50,000 or so they had on the ground outside isn't enough to take the size of a city like Kiev.

    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.


    It’s quite sad that you blog about Russia and don’t bother to read the news. It isn’t merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can’t launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?
     

    It's even pathetic that you suggest knowing better. The Kiev regime said so, therefore it's true.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

  229. It’s not that we lost this tank battle outside of Kiev.

    We simply didn’t commit enough forces. No reason to assume we were trying take Kiev by sending a massive tank column at it. We just wanted to scare Zelensky by doing donuts in parking lots.

    – Professor Cope

  230. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Kiev regime currently has the city of Kherson – not all of Kherson. Prior to taking Kherson, their forces were exposed trying to take it. Said troops took a hit.

    Yes of course we are talking about the city.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.

    The Russians left before the Ukrainians arrived.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63311744

    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.


    Oh really? So you still believe Ukraine and Russia should join together? How do you think most Ukrainians feel about that idea?
     
    Before the coup against Yanukovych, polling within Ukraine’s Comie drawn boundary indicated about 50% favoring closer ties to Russia. The svido, neocon-neolib approach hasn’t benefited Ukraine.

    Zelensky won on a neutral platform towards Russia. Wanting better relations with Russia is not wanting to be ruled by them. You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?

    You again harp on a 40 mile supply column, while omitting that the number of Russian forces there weren’t enough to take a city the size of Kiev.

    I'm not omitting anything. They obviously didn't have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn't plan on taking the city? Explain for us.

    “Leaked plans” comes across as another Ghost of Kyiv and other such claims.

    It's quite sad that you blog about Russia and don't bother to read the news. It isn't merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can't launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.

    Practice what you preach, as you ducked the reply to your claim that Russians view Poles as little Russians.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.

    Pure projection on your part. The Russians withdrew with the Kiev regime having taken hits before entering that area.

    You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?

    Never said that.

    I’m not omitting anything. They obviously didn’t have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn’t plan on taking the city? Explain for us.

    That wasn’t their intent. You keep rehashing BS. The 50,000 or so they had on the ground outside isn’t enough to take the size of a city like Kiev.

    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.

    It’s quite sad that you blog about Russia and don’t bother to read the news. It isn’t merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can’t launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?

    It’s even pathetic that you suggest knowing better. The Kiev regime said so, therefore it’s true.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail


    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.
     
    Forcing a treaty upon a country isn't exactly a stable way to build a lasting peace unless you're prepared to use even harsher military force to enforce this treaty. This is similar to why Versailles broke down in the 1930s; Germans argued that this treaty was not permanently binding on them because it was signed by them under duress.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    , @John Johnson
    @Mikhail


    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.
     
    Practice what you preach, as you ducked the reply to your claim that Russians view Poles as little Russians.

    I don't see every response here.

    Russians commonly use the term "little Russian" as a disparaging term against Ukrainians but you are saying they won't use it for other Eastern European countries? I really doubt that given that in the 1420 videos we see rural Russians talking about how Poland belongs to them. But if you insist, I really don't care.


    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.
     
    Pure projection on your part. The Russians withdrew with the Kiev regime having taken hits before entering that area.

    Do you understand what the word projection means? There was no battle for the city. Go ahead and post video of this battle if you believe it exists.

    They made a strategic withdrawal before Ukrainian forces arrived.

    Here they are entering the city with zero resistance:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLIekOB-HlA

    Did it bother you to see happy Ukrainians waving flags in "Russian forever" Kherson?

    That wasn’t their intent. You keep rehashing BS. The 50,000 or so they had on the ground outside isn’t enough to take the size of a city like Kiev.

    You are saying they didn't intend to take the city? Why was there a massive tank battle outside of Kiev?

    This is ridiculous cope on your part. We didn't lose the game, we just underestimated the other side and didn't fully commit ourselves. Yea that's called losing.

    Why did the Russians try (and fail) to take a massive airport outside of Kiev?

    Russians used nearly 250 helicopters in two attack waves:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Antonov_Airport

    You are saying that 250 helicopters and 700 paratroopers were not part of a greater plan to take the city? Why were they trying to take a major airport? To raid the snack machines?

  231. @Vajradhara
    @Mr. XYZ

    If Ukraine reverted to language laws as they were before 2014, I could see this happening.

    You see, Slavs are extremely stubborn when it comes to language. If Crimean Russians were allowed equal linguistic rights as Ukrainians, such as studying on all levels in Russian, they might get used to reverting to Ukraine. Otherwise, definitely not.

    Even Albanians in Kosovo could study on all levels in Albanian after 1969, so Ukraine preventing Russians to study at a Russian-speaking Universities would make Ukraine worse than the communists.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Mr. XYZ

    I’m all in favor of giving both Crimea and Donbass a status within Ukraine comparable to what South Tyrol currently has within Italy.

    • Replies: @LondonBob
    @Mr. XYZ

    I’m all in favour of giving Novorossiya a status within Russia comparable to what South Tyrol currently has within Italy.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  232. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.
     
    Practice what you preach, as you ducked the reply to your claim that Russians view Poles as little Russians.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.
     
    Pure projection on your part. The Russians withdrew with the Kiev regime having taken hits before entering that area.

    You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?
     
    Never said that.

    I’m not omitting anything. They obviously didn’t have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn’t plan on taking the city? Explain for us.
     

    That wasn't their intent. You keep rehashing BS. The 50,000 or so they had on the ground outside isn't enough to take the size of a city like Kiev.

    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.


    It’s quite sad that you blog about Russia and don’t bother to read the news. It isn’t merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can’t launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?
     

    It's even pathetic that you suggest knowing better. The Kiev regime said so, therefore it's true.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.

    Forcing a treaty upon a country isn’t exactly a stable way to build a lasting peace unless you’re prepared to use even harsher military force to enforce this treaty. This is similar to why Versailles broke down in the 1930s; Germans argued that this treaty was not permanently binding on them because it was signed by them under duress.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    Forcing a treaty upon a country isn’t exactly a stable way to build a lasting peace unless you’re prepared to use even harsher military force to enforce this treaty. This is similar to why Versailles broke down in the 1930s; Germans argued that this treaty was not permanently binding on them because it was signed by them under duress.
     
    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn't a stable way to pursue peace.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  233. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Believe me Mikel, I'd be out West right now if I could, but alas I have work commitments that it would be unethical for me to abandon at the moment. But they will only last a few more years. My bosses are people I've known since childhood, and it would be unethical to leave the project before it's successful conclusion.

    But I've managed to formalize a guaranteed six months off per year, which is a fantastic concession as far as I'm concerned, even though each month away I get only a fraction of my salary. It's so worth it. But for now I live somewhat in a gilded cage.

    It's funny, I want so little from life in the conventional sense - only enough money to survive in reasonable comfort, I have no ambition for success, fame, or wealth, all I want is to live simply in a spiritual way, wandering the wilderness, travelling to exotic countries (cheaply), reading good books, having good friendships with interesting people, and perhaps some good coffee, good aged stinky cheese, and some decent wine and whiskey, and a cold IPA every now and then :)

    And yet the modern world is set up in such a way that it's actually easier for someone like me to pursue wealth and power than the simple life, alas.

    My great ambition is to live the final third of my life in the Hindu or Chinese way, as a Taoist Old Man Laughing in the Mountains, free from cares and the dust of the world, or a Hindu sanyasin, wandering the wilds. This is in fact my plan!

    In practical American terms, what this means is Vanlife out West :) With occasional forays into my favorite exotic (are you still allowed to use that word?) Asian countries like India, Laos, Nepal, holiday visits with family and friends across the country and world, especially Christmas in snowy winters, and endless hikes into the American backcountry until my body gives out and my soul returns to it's true home in the other world. A life well spent in my terms, yet "wasted" im conventional terms.

    As for that picture, you've got it right! It's Capitol Reef, a great hike to the highest point in the park. Good guess.

    I'm increasingly in love with the corridor from Capitol Reef to Bryce, especially the wild and remote Escalante National Monument and even wilder and more remote Kaiparowitz Platuea, which I've barely scratched the surface of. It's funny, Zion and Bryce receive a deluge of visitors, yet it all suddenly stops at Bryce, and no one heads further west to the equally fantastic scenery in that direction.

    From what I've seen, I'd agree with you that the most exciting parts of the Wasatch are further south, but it was a convenient stop on my way from the Sawtooths to the airport, the sun was shining brilliantly, the mountains were still beautiful, and I simply had to walk :)

    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy - but I'm beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist in order to deter inexperienced and reckless hikers who might need an expensive rescue. Recently on a few occasions I've found ranger stations giving me alarmist warnings that turned out to be absurd.

    Humidity really does make all the difference, it's incredible! To be fair, I quite enjoy extremely humid places in small doses, I find them atmospheric, extremely aromatic, suggestive of rank and decadent vegetation and jungles - they can be very evocative. But only for a spell, and then my heart yearns for the piercing clarity of the drier mountains and deserts, the exhilaration of the clear air and bright sunshine, the way things almost pop out at you in their vividness un the clear air, and the endless vistas. And of course dry heat is so much tolerable!

    Interestingly, I found the busy SLC airport to be overwhelmingly White with what I assume are mostly Mormon descended people - and what an attractive population! And in an intelligent, refined, well dressed way, too, with no obesity and very few overweight people. I suspect Mormons are a reservoir of talent in the US that have yet some important role to play in our national story.

    Well, I can't wait until I get back among the mountains, and it will be soon.

    Replies: @Mikel

    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy – but I’m beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist 

    LOL. You should have asked me instead and we would have climbed it no problems with the adjoining 11k’+ North Peak as a bonus. But this time they were probably right that snow was blocking the dirt road to the trailhead. We’ve received insane amounts of snow last winter. That would have meant some miles of extra walking, which those rangers seem to think is outside of human capabilities.

    It drives me crazy really. Last Sunday, the day you hiked in Tremonton, lots of people were “rescued” from Mt Olympus, a steep but easy hike just above SLC. It all began with someone spraining her ankle and calling 911. Then, when people doing the hike saw the rescuers appear in the midday heat there was some kind of collective panic and lots of people started asking to be rescued too. They actually mobilized helicopters that brought bottles of water to the poor hikers in distress.

    Perhaps the most depressing part came the next day, when all local media reported on the incident with the consensus advice, backed by the head of the rescue teams, that people ought to avoid hiking in the “extreme” temperatures of July and carry as much water as they possibly can and then some more, just in case. This is all just ridiculuous. I know Mt Olympus very well, I’ve even posted pictures from the summit here, and you do _not_ need 1-2 gallons of water to climb it, even in 100 temps. It’s too short. That’s a huge, unnecessary weight that will get too hot to drink before you know it. Of course you’re going to get some dehydration, how could you not. But you just rehidrate when you’re back in the valley a couple of hours later.

    They’re just turning the population into weaklings unable to confront adversities, which is all the more regretable among descendants of the pioneers who conquered these lands from the Indians and the implacable forces of nature themselves. Some of those pioneers lost their limbs during their march from Missouri but kept on traveling towards the unknown. Can you imagine them packing gallons of water for a 2-hour hike?

    Anyway, sorry for the rant. Returning to one of your earlier comments, I just wanted to say that I can perfectly understand how that author that you mentioned could discover the Taos Valley and conclude categorically that it was the most beautiful place in the West. I have only been there once, in winter, but I was also very impressed. A snow storm was approaching so I could only get a glimpse of the high peaks in the backgound but they were magnificent in that season. Then, as I drove North, squalls began to come my way from the incredibly vast plains, punctuated here and there by red/buff buttes and beautiful ranches of adobe. It was all quite surreal. As you have said in the past, these high elevation places have some magic to them.

    The problem, though, is that there are so many such astonishing places in the West, each with its own distinctive touch, that I would’t dare to ever say which one is the “best”. Who has seen them all? Possibly nobody. Perhaps a beautiful project for the rest of my life would be to try to visit every little town, every valley and every mountain range between the Pacific and the Midwest. But, as you say, it’s difficult to give up the pleasure of also visiting faraway and exotic places, especially of the tropical kind. Not enough decades left for it all, I’m afraid.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Nietzsche had some great rants on safe secure comfortable people have never accomplished didly squat.

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    They found Julian Sands' remains finally on 27 June.

    Like I was asking my dentist (it turns out the cops have never called her up for forensic data one time): would you rather die in an outdoors accident on Mt Baldy or in an old folks' home after having years of horrible diseases?

    https://www.theguardian.com/film/2023/jun/27/human-remains-found-in-california-mountains-confirmed-as-julian-sands

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Dude, that is actually a very hilarious story, and brought tears of laughter to me eyes :) Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It's some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.

    But at the same time, it's very disturbing and very characteristic of our times. There is some strange epidemic of fear gripping the nation, or proneness to fear and hysteria, I should say, a collapse in resilience and fortitude, a lack of self reliance and tendency to panic easily. I see it all over the place. It's probably even a global phenomena at this point.

    I'm surprised to see this in a "red" state, and a mountain state to boot, as I thought it was mostly a blue state phenomena.

    Well, Mcgilchrist does warn us....

    On one of my recent long hikes into the Sawtooth mountains after hours of strenuous hiking I arrived at a high mountain pass by afternoon, forgetting that thunderstorms tend to roll into mountain passes precisely in the afternoon, I had forgotten to bring a rain jacket and warm clothing, and was in flimsy shorts and t-shirt. I was also more fatigued than I should be having not eaten anything all morning after a large indulgent meal the night before.

    Sure enough thick black ugly clouds started rolling in, and I was only half way thru my hike, and with the sun behind clouds it was cold - I was struggling to stay warm even hiking very fast, and then high winds started to pick up. I had another two hours of high exposure at least. I thought to myself for a moment that if it starts raining, I may well develop hypothermia before I get below the tree line.

    For a moment it occured to me I might have bitten off a bit more than I can chew, and made a stupid and easily avoided mistake, but I always figured I'd be alright somehow - I'd find a rock or something to shelter under, and endure a miserable cold hour or so. It never would have occurred to me to summon help unless things got really extreme - although I wouldn't be able to anyways, I don't carry one of those Garmin inreach things.

    So I finally broke my fast - and that cheered me up and gave me some body heat, and soldiered on into the pass, and lo and behold, after twenty minutes or so the sun came out and infused my limbs with much needed warmth and boosted my morale, and the rest of the hike was a pure joy, with stupendous views.

    But it was a fun few tense moments :)

    Yep, that author was DH Lawrence - a famous English author from the 1920s who wrote about what he saw as the alarming loss of vitality as a result of the growing disconnection from nature in European society. He lived in a house above Taos for a few years, trying to reconnect to some wildness after his over-civilized English life, and wrote about it extensively. He loved it there.

    Your description of the Taos Valley is very good. I passed through last summer, and it was indeed a beautiful place, with that indefinable "atmosphere" that these high places in the West have that lends them a beauty surpassing what even photos might suggest. And you're right, there are so many such places in the West.

    I've lately been feeling the exact same way, that I don't have enough decades of life left to see everything I want to in the West, and to visit all the exotic foreign places I want to, and I felt a momentary sadness.

    But perhaps we earn our redemption and merit by doing as much as we can in our short lives, and not wasting it working in some drab office building in some drab city, and that's what counts from God's point of view.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Mikel, @Mikel

  234. @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail


    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.
     
    Forcing a treaty upon a country isn't exactly a stable way to build a lasting peace unless you're prepared to use even harsher military force to enforce this treaty. This is similar to why Versailles broke down in the 1930s; Germans argued that this treaty was not permanently binding on them because it was signed by them under duress.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Forcing a treaty upon a country isn’t exactly a stable way to build a lasting peace unless you’re prepared to use even harsher military force to enforce this treaty. This is similar to why Versailles broke down in the 1930s; Germans argued that this treaty was not permanently binding on them because it was signed by them under duress.

    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn’t a stable way to pursue peace.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail


    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn’t a stable way to pursue peace.
     
    The Ukrainian protesters didn't believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn't exactly indicate a high moral compass. Flipping control of the Ukrainian parliament in 2010 without any new elections, changing the election laws so that pro-Yanukovych parties would win a majority of parliamentary seats in 2012 even though the opposition won a majority of the popular vote in that election, pressuring several judges on Ukraine's Supreme Court to resign and replacing them with pro-Yanukovych loyalists, et cetera.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.
     
    They would have been if they didn't give the Donbass veto power over Ukrainian domestic and foreign policies, at least as per the Russian interpretation of these accords. Texas doesn't have veto power over US domestic and foreign policies, after all.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.
     
    Versailles's territorial settlement was actually reasonably fair, other than of course not allowing Austria to unify with Germany, which could have been--and actually was--rectified eventually. The Versailles reparations settlement I'll leave for others to judge, but AFAIK it was already overturned by 1932, before Hitler even came to power in Germany.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @sudden death

  235. Multi-dimensional poverty Index – Panjab = Mexico
    Almost entirely agricultural border state.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Sher Singh

    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.

    I was shocked by the surface poverty of India; large parts resemble life in the Middle Ages or earlier. It looked like a country going to waste - a post civilization that can no longer be fixed because of the over-population and accumulated dirt. With only rational escape to emigrate - and that seems to be the dominant mentality in India.

    It is also a warning of what the future could look like elsewhere if the current trends continue. Am I wrong? Is there a way to reverse the dystopia in India? It is not about "GNP growth" (whatever that is), it is about the physical life as lived by most people.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh

  236. A musical break with some athleticism:

  237. It’s suggested that Italy might be able to come up with some Roman Empire era catapults, with the US lifting up the Monitor and the Merrimack:

    https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/us-digs-up-mothballed-1950s-era-air#details

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikhail

    Polish lancers!

  238. @Mr. XYZ
    @Vajradhara

    I'm all in favor of giving both Crimea and Donbass a status within Ukraine comparable to what South Tyrol currently has within Italy.

    Replies: @LondonBob

    I’m all in favour of giving Novorossiya a status within Russia comparable to what South Tyrol currently has within Italy.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @LondonBob

    Good luck with that lol. Why not include Malorossiya in there while you're at it?

  239. @Mikhail
    It's suggested that Italy might be able to come up with some Roman Empire era catapults, with the US lifting up the Monitor and the Merrimack:

    https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/us-digs-up-mothballed-1950s-era-air#details

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Polish lancers!

  240. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy – but I’m beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist 
     
    LOL. You should have asked me instead and we would have climbed it no problems with the adjoining 11k'+ North Peak as a bonus. But this time they were probably right that snow was blocking the dirt road to the trailhead. We've received insane amounts of snow last winter. That would have meant some miles of extra walking, which those rangers seem to think is outside of human capabilities.

    It drives me crazy really. Last Sunday, the day you hiked in Tremonton, lots of people were "rescued" from Mt Olympus, a steep but easy hike just above SLC. It all began with someone spraining her ankle and calling 911. Then, when people doing the hike saw the rescuers appear in the midday heat there was some kind of collective panic and lots of people started asking to be rescued too. They actually mobilized helicopters that brought bottles of water to the poor hikers in distress.

    Perhaps the most depressing part came the next day, when all local media reported on the incident with the consensus advice, backed by the head of the rescue teams, that people ought to avoid hiking in the "extreme" temperatures of July and carry as much water as they possibly can and then some more, just in case. This is all just ridiculuous. I know Mt Olympus very well, I've even posted pictures from the summit here, and you do _not_ need 1-2 gallons of water to climb it, even in 100 temps. It's too short. That's a huge, unnecessary weight that will get too hot to drink before you know it. Of course you're going to get some dehydration, how could you not. But you just rehidrate when you're back in the valley a couple of hours later.

    They're just turning the population into weaklings unable to confront adversities, which is all the more regretable among descendants of the pioneers who conquered these lands from the Indians and the implacable forces of nature themselves. Some of those pioneers lost their limbs during their march from Missouri but kept on traveling towards the unknown. Can you imagine them packing gallons of water for a 2-hour hike?

    Anyway, sorry for the rant. Returning to one of your earlier comments, I just wanted to say that I can perfectly understand how that author that you mentioned could discover the Taos Valley and conclude categorically that it was the most beautiful place in the West. I have only been there once, in winter, but I was also very impressed. A snow storm was approaching so I could only get a glimpse of the high peaks in the backgound but they were magnificent in that season. Then, as I drove North, squalls began to come my way from the incredibly vast plains, punctuated here and there by red/buff buttes and beautiful ranches of adobe. It was all quite surreal. As you have said in the past, these high elevation places have some magic to them.

    The problem, though, is that there are so many such astonishing places in the West, each with its own distinctive touch, that I would't dare to ever say which one is the "best". Who has seen them all? Possibly nobody. Perhaps a beautiful project for the rest of my life would be to try to visit every little town, every valley and every mountain range between the Pacific and the Midwest. But, as you say, it's difficult to give up the pleasure of also visiting faraway and exotic places, especially of the tropical kind. Not enough decades left for it all, I'm afraid.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Nietzsche had some great rants on safe secure comfortable people have never accomplished didly squat.

  241. “Comb of a capon” is a good insult. It should be brought back.

  242. Nobody is responsible for his actions, nobody for his nature; to judge is identical with being unjust. This also applies when an individual judges himself. The theory is as clear as sunlight, and yet every one prefers to go back into the shadow and the untruth, for fear of the consequences.

    F. Nietzsche, Human all-too Human

    (Nietzsche was wrong-o.)

    Nietzsche free will Nietzsche podcast–long but pretty great.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    That's the deterministic dogma of the modern world, but there's a deeper spiritual sense in which he's right.

    The most evil person is actually doing the best he can according to how he sees reality. If you saw reality that way, you'd act exactly the same. That's why even as we must take measures to protect ourselves from such people we must pity them and hope for their eventual eclaircissement.

    That's why in Buddhism the primary spiritual objective is enlightenment - to see more completely and widely - and Christianity and other religions, once you really examine them, turn out to conceive of salvation in terms that aren't so different. For instance, in early Christianity "sin" was seen as "missing the mark", and sin only became an occasion for harsh punitive judgementalism as Christianity became an arm of social order and control.

    The punitive notion of sin has probably scarred and traumatized generations of Christian children, and led to countless people rejecting faith in a God of love. I know one of my brother in laws, raised a Christian, hates religion today because as a child he was traumatized by a sense of crushing guilt and terrifyingly cruel visions of eternal hellfire for some mistakes and weaknesses that all humans are prey to.

    On the other hand, we have a responsibility to cultivate our spiritual sight and our vision, to seek out a larger and more comprehensive vision, so there is also an element of free will and personal moral responsibility.

  243. Europe faking climate data to perpetuate a failing myth. (1)

     

     

    Is anyone surprised by this brazen science denial?

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://instapundit.com/595940/

    • Replies: @songbird
    @A123

    I suspect ESA will try to buy the passenger version of Dream Chaser, when it comes online, in order to put blacks in space.

    Of course, it is good to keep temperate records consistent, but 2m seems somewhat high. I thought US measured at 4 feet. But, anyway, I have often wondered at the wisdom of it. I guess the ground retains heat, and predicting weather is more about measuring changes, but measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season. Many times there will be a frost when the air temp is higher than freezing, and it is important to know about frosts, for many reasons even beyond farming.

    Replies: @A123, @Mikel

  244. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Greasy William

    George Orwell noted that in the final analysis revenge is unsatisfying. You may imagine the pleasure of it for long years, but when you're finally confronted with your pitiful victim prostrate and helpless before you, all the ardor for revenge leaves you.

    In the end evil people are as much victims as the targets of their animosity - they simply do not see, and evil brings in it's train its own misery.

    You had a taste of this when you finally recognize that your own anger actually made you unhappy. So it is with the target of your revenge.

    As the Buddha said - "All that we are is the result of what we have thought: it is founded on our thoughts, it is made up of our thoughts. If a man speaks or acts with an evil thought, pain follows him, as the wheel follows the foot of the ox that draws the carriage."

    In the final analysis what one ought to wish for is the redemption of evil people, not their futile punishment. How much larger and more comprehensive a vision is that.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    As the Buddha said

    Did he really though?

    From FakeBuddhaQuotes : “That translation may be widely (although definitely not universally) quoted, but no competent modern translator would accept it as an accurate rendering of the Dhammapada.”

    (In fairness though, I don’t think the supposedly ‘official’ Buddhist interpretations that guy gives differ all that much from the supposedly so-inaccurate-they-may-as-well-be-fake quotes found on that site, although he is very insistent that they do. The popular renderings are nothing at all like what Buddha taught, to hear him tell it.)

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver


    In fairness though, I don’t think the supposedly ‘official’ Buddhist interpretations that guy gives differ all that much from the supposedly so-inaccurate-they-may-as-well-be-fake quotes found on that site, although he is very insistent that they do. The popular renderings are nothing at all like what Buddha taught, to hear him tell it.
     
    That's because the definition he's providing isn't actually different, it's just a clarification needed in an age that has lost the ability to read as a result of left hemisphere dominance. Like I said, we've become literally stupider.

    No one should need to be told the Buddha doesn't mean you can actually think yourself physically into something else, and that he's only referring to our our character and mental states: our character and mental and emotional states are the products of which thoughts we habitually cultivate.

    But since the left hemisphere cannot understand context, and tends to take everything literally, I suppose in this day and age of left hemisphere dominance clarifications are necessary.

    Very amusing, though, and thanks for providing that :) I did not realize our stupidity is so advanced. I'm beginning to understand where Ivashka is getting his most recent "version" of Buddhism from lol
    .

    Also, he's not providing the "official" Buddhist translation, as there is none, just explaining the - supposed - translation practices favored by the most recent modern translators. Supposedly. There are many older translations done by serious scholars, stretching to the 19th century, Max Muller for instance, that are considered benchmarks of scholarly rigor still.

  245. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Language Number (person) Percentage (%)
    Russian 457,931 89.64
    Ukrainian 50,656 9.92

    Well you are finally quoting directly. I'll be damned.

    I still don't see your point however.

    Russian speaking doesn't mean Russian supporting. Zelensky grew up speaking Russian.

    The Wiki link shows they are politically divided. It isn't like LPR/DPR and that was reflected in the presidential election.

    Ethnicity is not at all like “gender” (only an idiot would think so).

    Liberals tell us that both are fluid. I don't make either argument.

    People intermarry and in the Eastern Ukraine they have been mixing for about 8-9 generations

    Liberals tell us the same thing about race in America. It's all mixed and ultimately meaningless.

    Color me skeptical that you can depict these ethnic differences as ambiguous much like liberals. You do acknowledge that the area voted for Zelensky and not the pro-Russian candidate in the first presidential round?

    With all due respect any “voting” in 2019 with military occupation is not representative.

    What do you mean by this? You are saying Zelensky wasn't elected and the vote was fake?

    DPR/LPR voted for the pro-Russian candidate in 2019 while Melitopol did not. How do you explain this?

    Do you acknowledge that over 100 Russian soldiers have been killed by Melitopol partisans? I think you are trying to imagine the city as pro-Russian occupation when the data is clear that it has long been politically divided. They voted for Zelensky over pro-Putin candidates.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Beckow

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don’t know the difference?

    If you don’t understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can’t help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal “gender” or “racial” absurdity. Your conflating of them is a cheap attempt to escape from your previous dumb statements. Be more honest and admit that you were wrong.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run – e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions. But they were not “fake”, they simply used an extreme version of electoral management common in parts of the West – the managed “two-party” system that de facto restricts choices. Zelko was the more pro-Russian candidate and he won based on that – then he betrayed, either he was intimidated or he lied all along. Denying it is quite stupid. That betrayal led directly to the war – the war Ukraine has almost no hope of winning and that can permanently damage it or even destroy it.

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven’t paid attention – simply look at the map. Augustus’ testament applies to this irrational and unnecessary overreach. If Nato had simply stopped, we would all be much better off – most of all the Ukrainians.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don’t know the difference?

    It was Wokechoke that made a false statement in regard to Melitopol:
    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    He made up a quote and added his own cities that I didn't bring up in the context of an offensive.

    That is how it changed.

    I never said they should go to Melitopol or Tokmak. I said they should go to Mariupol.

    You're not the only person here. If you or Wokechoke plans on quoting me then search my history. It isn't that hard.

    Here is how you use the history search:
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Tokmak&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    If you don’t understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can’t help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal “gender” or “racial” absurdity.

    That's not the issue. I don't accept your authoritative claim that ethnicity in Melitopol is fluid. Some forum guy says the ethnic divisions in a Ukrainian city are insignificant. That sounds optimistic and eerily familiar to what liberals say about race in America. They tell us that race is insignificant because we are so mixed. Given that the area voted against the pro-Russian candidates in the 2019 I see no reason to believe that city is united under a desire to be Russian.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run – e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions.

    I referred specifically to the 2019 first round elections and you went back to 2012. DPR/LPR voted for pro-Russian candidates in 2019 but Melitopol did not. Do you deny that?

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven’t paid attention – simply look at the map.

    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started. Previously neutral Finland joined after seeing what happened to their neighbor. Ukraine didn't qualify for NATO before the war. You do acknowledge that, right? Which means Putin's war expanded NATO and pushed Ukraine closer to qualifying.

    Over at the pro-Putin Moon of Alabama they were talking about how Putin can keep Ukraine out of NATO by keeping the border destabilized. WHAT A GENIUS IDEA. That has been the status quo since 2014. I guess it took 100k dead Russians for MoA fans to realize that Ukraine didn't qualify for NATO.

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @Mikhail
    @Beckow

    Clearly a troll who knowingly lies. Has become a waste of time. Kim Zigfeld/NAFO like for svidos and neocons.

    , @Wokechoke
    @Beckow

    NATO is the ever expanding Roman Imperium at the moment.

    Russia if anything like Antiochus III’s Selucid Kingdom.

    Ukraine is playing Pergamon.

  246. @A123
    Europe faking climate data to perpetuate a failing myth. (1)

     
    https://instapundit.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/ESA-Climate-Measure.png
     

    Is anyone surprised by this brazen science denial?

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://instapundit.com/595940/

    Replies: @songbird

    I suspect ESA will try to buy the passenger version of Dream Chaser, when it comes online, in order to put blacks in space.

    Of course, it is good to keep temperate records consistent, but 2m seems somewhat high. I thought US measured at 4 feet. But, anyway, I have often wondered at the wisdom of it. I guess the ground retains heat, and predicting weather is more about measuring changes, but measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season. Many times there will be a frost when the air temp is higher than freezing, and it is important to know about frosts, for many reasons even beyond farming.

    • Replies: @A123
    @songbird

    Measuring near the surface has been considered problematic for some time. Ground color black/grey/white has a huge impact on solar heating. The amount of water in or on the surface is also huge Damp soil has an evaporative cooling process.

    The optimum measurement station is well above ground level, protected from wind, rain, & direct sunlight.

    Dew point & frost point are derived from measured humidity, so height of the station does not block that type of determination.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @songbird

    , @Mikel
    @songbird


    measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season
     
    The problem is what you have said: soil (and water) have a much higher heat retention capacity than air. This thermal inertia makes their temperature change much more slowly than that of the air above so it would be a totally different measurement. Given the very different reflectivities and heat retention capacities of the different soils around the earth, the only way to compare apples to apples is to measure the temperature of the air a standard distance above the ground with a thermometer sheltered in an screen.

    Besides, what matters for frost conditions is not so much the temperature of the soil but the temperature of the air next to the soil, which is what determines the passage of water molecules on the surface from liquid to solid state. This only happens when the air temperature goes below freezing. It's what makes the ground and the plant cells to freeze solid. In any case, all weather services have specific hard freezing forecasts for farmers and gardeners.

    Replies: @songbird

  247. @Sher Singh
    Multi-dimensional poverty Index - Panjab = Mexico
    Almost entirely agricultural border state.

    https://nitter.net/pic/orig/media%2FF01lMqXXwAAqO8C.png

    Replies: @Beckow

    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.

    I was shocked by the surface poverty of India; large parts resemble life in the Middle Ages or earlier. It looked like a country going to waste – a post civilization that can no longer be fixed because of the over-population and accumulated dirt. With only rational escape to emigrate – and that seems to be the dominant mentality in India.

    It is also a warning of what the future could look like elsewhere if the current trends continue. Am I wrong? Is there a way to reverse the dystopia in India? It is not about “GNP growth” (whatever that is), it is about the physical life as lived by most people.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.
     
    Do you think that there are genetic reasons for the greater literacy in the south and northeast of India?

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/58/India_literacy_rate_map_en.svg/1639px-India_literacy_rate_map_en.svg.png

    Interesting that Mizoram also has high literacy in spite of it being tribal.

    Regional Russian literacy in 1897 predicts just how smart Russian regions are in the early 21st century:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/literacy-predicts-russian-iq/

    Replies: @CCG

    , @Sher Singh
    @Beckow

    Genocide. Medieval Europe had higher QoL in many ways - certainly diet.
    Modern Ind diet is 5-7% protein by calorie - world's lowest.
    With 80-90% being protein deficient & hence many stunted.


    In theory, land ceiling & caste atrocity acts or democracy itself could be removed.
    Local Princes have an incentive to develop the land - trans-national businessman don't.
    This is highly unlikely without a balkanization - hopefully soon?
    ---
    The rest of the world doesn't have an avg IQ in the 70s & guility-first laws.
    ---
    Caste was created by the Indus Valley Civ (Iran farmer) to control the sub-human Abos

    https://twitter.com/rudrabhoj/status/1679091240002895872

    ਅਕਾਲ

  248. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.
     
    Practice what you preach, as you ducked the reply to your claim that Russians view Poles as little Russians.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.
     
    Pure projection on your part. The Russians withdrew with the Kiev regime having taken hits before entering that area.

    You advocated that they let Russia rule them as part of a Greater Russia. Did you forget about that?
     
    Never said that.

    I’m not omitting anything. They obviously didn’t have a large enough force because they FAILED to take the city. Do you realize how pathetic this sounds? Is it that hard to admit that Putin f-cked up? Is he a god to you that can do no wrong?

    What would be the point of a 40 mile supply column if they didn’t plan on taking the city? Explain for us.
     

    That wasn't their intent. You keep rehashing BS. The 50,000 or so they had on the ground outside isn't enough to take the size of a city like Kiev.

    Putin acknowledged screwing up by letting himself get played for seven years concerning Minsk Accords.


    It’s quite sad that you blog about Russia and don’t bother to read the news. It isn’t merely a rumor, there are 3 separate sets of leaked plans. You can’t launch an invasion without a plan.

    Are you going to go on record and suggest these plans were fake:
    https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-revealed-secret-battle-plans-211801990.html?
     

    It's even pathetic that you suggest knowing better. The Kiev regime said so, therefore it's true.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Admit you were wrong like a man and move on.

    Practice what you preach, as you ducked the reply to your claim that Russians view Poles as little Russians.

    I don’t see every response here.

    Russians commonly use the term “little Russian” as a disparaging term against Ukrainians but you are saying they won’t use it for other Eastern European countries? I really doubt that given that in the 1420 videos we see rural Russians talking about how Poland belongs to them. But if you insist, I really don’t care.

    There was no battle for Kherson as you incorrectly stated earlier.

    Pure projection on your part. The Russians withdrew with the Kiev regime having taken hits before entering that area.

    Do you understand what the word projection means? There was no battle for the city. Go ahead and post video of this battle if you believe it exists.

    They made a strategic withdrawal before Ukrainian forces arrived.

    Here they are entering the city with zero resistance:

    Did it bother you to see happy Ukrainians waving flags in “Russian forever” Kherson?

    That wasn’t their intent. You keep rehashing BS. The 50,000 or so they had on the ground outside isn’t enough to take the size of a city like Kiev.

    You are saying they didn’t intend to take the city? Why was there a massive tank battle outside of Kiev?

    This is ridiculous cope on your part. We didn’t lose the game, we just underestimated the other side and didn’t fully commit ourselves. Yea that’s called losing.

    Why did the Russians try (and fail) to take a massive airport outside of Kiev?

    Russians used nearly 250 helicopters in two attack waves:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Antonov_Airport

    You are saying that 250 helicopters and 700 paratroopers were not part of a greater plan to take the city? Why were they trying to take a major airport? To raid the snack machines?

  249. @Mikhail
    @Greasy William


    I think it may have been more than just one. He sounds like he was quite the ladies man. He was a pretty ordinary looking guy so I don’t know if he was really tall or something or it was just his fame that drew women too him.
     
    His views led me to the kosher Nazi term. Just as Hitler spoke bitterly towards the end about Germans, the Kahane types (some of them) frequently bash Jews en masse. I recall one of them saying that Israel is run by a bunch of Communist Jews.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    Where have you come in contact with Kahanists? I do remember an Israeli telling me that Kahanists speak of Israel and Israelis the same way that Hamas does.

    I recall one of them saying that Israel is run by a bunch of Communist Jews

    err… this is basically true

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Greasy William


    Where have you come in contact with Kahanists? I do remember an Israeli telling me that Kahanists speak of Israel and Israelis the same way that Hamas does.

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=le1QF3uoQNg

    Replies: @Greasy William

  250. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don't know the difference?

    If you don't understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can't help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal "gender" or "racial" absurdity. Your conflating of them is a cheap attempt to escape from your previous dumb statements. Be more honest and admit that you were wrong.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run - e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions. But they were not "fake", they simply used an extreme version of electoral management common in parts of the West - the managed "two-party" system that de facto restricts choices. Zelko was the more pro-Russian candidate and he won based on that - then he betrayed, either he was intimidated or he lied all along. Denying it is quite stupid. That betrayal led directly to the war - the war Ukraine has almost no hope of winning and that can permanently damage it or even destroy it.

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven't paid attention - simply look at the map. Augustus' testament applies to this irrational and unnecessary overreach. If Nato had simply stopped, we would all be much better off - most of all the Ukrainians.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikhail, @Wokechoke

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don’t know the difference?

    It was Wokechoke that made a false statement in regard to Melitopol:
    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    He made up a quote and added his own cities that I didn’t bring up in the context of an offensive.

    That is how it changed.

    I never said they should go to Melitopol or Tokmak. I said they should go to Mariupol.

    You’re not the only person here. If you or Wokechoke plans on quoting me then search my history. It isn’t that hard.

    Here is how you use the history search:
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Tokmak&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    If you don’t understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can’t help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal “gender” or “racial” absurdity.

    That’s not the issue. I don’t accept your authoritative claim that ethnicity in Melitopol is fluid. Some forum guy says the ethnic divisions in a Ukrainian city are insignificant. That sounds optimistic and eerily familiar to what liberals say about race in America. They tell us that race is insignificant because we are so mixed. Given that the area voted against the pro-Russian candidates in the 2019 I see no reason to believe that city is united under a desire to be Russian.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run – e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions.

    I referred specifically to the 2019 first round elections and you went back to 2012. DPR/LPR voted for pro-Russian candidates in 2019 but Melitopol did not. Do you deny that?

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven’t paid attention – simply look at the map.

    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started. Previously neutral Finland joined after seeing what happened to their neighbor. Ukraine didn’t qualify for NATO before the war. You do acknowledge that, right? Which means Putin’s war expanded NATO and pushed Ukraine closer to qualifying.

    Over at the pro-Putin Moon of Alabama they were talking about how Putin can keep Ukraine out of NATO by keeping the border destabilized. WHAT A GENIUS IDEA. That has been the status quo since 2014. I guess it took 100k dead Russians for MoA fans to realize that Ukraine didn’t qualify for NATO.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that "Ukraine will join Nato"...and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk "Melitopol". You even quoted wiki ethnic numbers for Mariupol - so you knew it, now you are lying. The last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections that had restrictions on pro-Russian parties, and the leftists. Ipso facto, they are a much better indicator of what people in what region prefer.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity, in Ukraine that is very common, almost all people there have mixed ancestry. It is not like "gender" or "race" (they are all white), so don't pretend that is too hard to comprehend.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @John Johnson

  251. @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    Where have you come in contact with Kahanists? I do remember an Israeli telling me that Kahanists speak of Israel and Israelis the same way that Hamas does.


    I recall one of them saying that Israel is run by a bunch of Communist Jews
     
    err... this is basically true

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Where have you come in contact with Kahanists? I do remember an Israeli telling me that Kahanists speak of Israel and Israelis the same way that Hamas does.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Mikhail

    It took me a really long time for me to understand this reference

  252. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don't know the difference?

    If you don't understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can't help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal "gender" or "racial" absurdity. Your conflating of them is a cheap attempt to escape from your previous dumb statements. Be more honest and admit that you were wrong.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run - e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions. But they were not "fake", they simply used an extreme version of electoral management common in parts of the West - the managed "two-party" system that de facto restricts choices. Zelko was the more pro-Russian candidate and he won based on that - then he betrayed, either he was intimidated or he lied all along. Denying it is quite stupid. That betrayal led directly to the war - the war Ukraine has almost no hope of winning and that can permanently damage it or even destroy it.

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven't paid attention - simply look at the map. Augustus' testament applies to this irrational and unnecessary overreach. If Nato had simply stopped, we would all be much better off - most of all the Ukrainians.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikhail, @Wokechoke

    Clearly a troll who knowingly lies. Has become a waste of time. Kim Zigfeld/NAFO like for svidos and neocons.

  253. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don’t know the difference?

    It was Wokechoke that made a false statement in regard to Melitopol:
    You were expecting a rout of the Russian troops around Tokmak and Melitopol.

    He made up a quote and added his own cities that I didn't bring up in the context of an offensive.

    That is how it changed.

    I never said they should go to Melitopol or Tokmak. I said they should go to Mariupol.

    You're not the only person here. If you or Wokechoke plans on quoting me then search my history. It isn't that hard.

    Here is how you use the history search:
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Tokmak&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    If you don’t understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can’t help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal “gender” or “racial” absurdity.

    That's not the issue. I don't accept your authoritative claim that ethnicity in Melitopol is fluid. Some forum guy says the ethnic divisions in a Ukrainian city are insignificant. That sounds optimistic and eerily familiar to what liberals say about race in America. They tell us that race is insignificant because we are so mixed. Given that the area voted against the pro-Russian candidates in the 2019 I see no reason to believe that city is united under a desire to be Russian.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run – e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions.

    I referred specifically to the 2019 first round elections and you went back to 2012. DPR/LPR voted for pro-Russian candidates in 2019 but Melitopol did not. Do you deny that?

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven’t paid attention – simply look at the map.

    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started. Previously neutral Finland joined after seeing what happened to their neighbor. Ukraine didn't qualify for NATO before the war. You do acknowledge that, right? Which means Putin's war expanded NATO and pushed Ukraine closer to qualifying.

    Over at the pro-Putin Moon of Alabama they were talking about how Putin can keep Ukraine out of NATO by keeping the border destabilized. WHAT A GENIUS IDEA. That has been the status quo since 2014. I guess it took 100k dead Russians for MoA fans to realize that Ukraine didn't qualify for NATO.

    Replies: @Beckow

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that “Ukraine will join Nato”…and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.

    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.

    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk “Melitopol”. You even quoted wiki ethnic numbers for Mariupol – so you knew it, now you are lying. The last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections that had restrictions on pro-Russian parties, and the leftists. Ipso facto, they are a much better indicator of what people in what region prefer.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity, in Ukraine that is very common, almost all people there have mixed ancestry. It is not like “gender” or “race” (they are all white), so don’t pretend that is too hard to comprehend.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Beckow


    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious liar:
     
    Both. At this point, keep in mind the don't feed the troll term. Plenty of time to show sincere intent versus the now obvious.
    , @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that “Ukraine will join Nato”…and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.

    You still don't understand how it works. NATO cannot uniformly declare that Ukraine will join.

    You do not have an annual quote from anyone. Go ahead and show it.

    A member state representative can declare "Ukraine will join NATO" but that doesn't change the rules nor does it force a uniform vote. France and Germany were opposed to Ukraine joining before the war. Turkey was leaning towards voting no. The vote has to be 100% with no exceptions. This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Go ahead, let's see this annual quote.

    Ukraine did not qualify for NATO. You can't qualify with a contested border and LPR/DPR were contested areas. Mickey mouse, the pope and a US president all have an equal level of authority in being able to declare that Ukraine will be in NATO. There isn't a NATO president that can simply will in a member or change the rules. The votes aren't even weighted by population. Luxembourg and the US have the same number of votes: 1.

    But let's see your quotes. Give us 3 quotes if it was made annually as you claim. You won't be able to but here is an actual source from France going back to 2008.

    France will not back Ukraine and Georgia in NATO (2008)
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-france-ukraine/france-wont-back-ukraine-and-georgia-nato-bids-idUSL0115117020080401

    It was just explained by the MSM after the summit that Ukraine can't apply while they have a border in contention. Amazingly Putin's fans seem to think this is a new revelation.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    Unlike you I understand NATO and its history. I am aware of the states that joined since 1991. Putin said that Finland's decision to join doesn't matter. Is he correct?

    What would have kept NATO to the members of 2021:
    1. Invade Ukraine and scare Finland and Sweden into joining
    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk “Melitopol”.

    It went to Melitopol because Wokechoke also used his imagination and that is on record here. He didn't quote me directly and somehow imagined me talking about Melitopol and some other city.

    How did I lose the argument on Mariupol? I said I thought they should focus on Mariupol instead of Crimea due to the partisans. That really isn't an argument, it's a proposed strategy. Are you saying there aren't partisans in Mariupol? I provided a link showing that Russians are actively hunting them.

    he last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections

    So you can't explain why DPR/LPR went for pro-Russian candidates while Melitopol did not. Instead of facing that reality that it isn't uniformly pro-Russian you keep going back to 2014.

    Zelensky had broad support because he ran on a neutral platform. Militia fighting was at a low in 2019. Much of Ukraine wanted to find a new path and that is why Zelesnky beat the pro-Western candidate.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity

    I understand ethnicity. I don't believe you have the authority to speak of ethnic divisions in the area and their impact in politics. You are a random forum poster. Maybe you believe the divisions don't matter even though they were politically divided in 2019. I am skeptical of that belief but you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. Putin defenders in fact commonly exhibit dichotomous thinking. Maybe that is what attracts you to the absolution of a dictator in the first place. You're uncomfortable with ambiguity and nuance. You want to believe in some simplified "bad West vs good dudez" narrative and tie yourself up in knots trying to believe that a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion is justified because you oppose the West. I also oppose the Western status quo but that doesn't mean I need to cheer for a 5'3 dictator and his unjust war.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC, @Beckow

  254. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that "Ukraine will join Nato"...and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk "Melitopol". You even quoted wiki ethnic numbers for Mariupol - so you knew it, now you are lying. The last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections that had restrictions on pro-Russian parties, and the leftists. Ipso facto, they are a much better indicator of what people in what region prefer.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity, in Ukraine that is very common, almost all people there have mixed ancestry. It is not like "gender" or "race" (they are all white), so don't pretend that is too hard to comprehend.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @John Johnson

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious liar:

    Both. At this point, keep in mind the don’t feed the troll term. Plenty of time to show sincere intent versus the now obvious.

    • Agree: Beckow, A123
  255. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    As the Buddha said
     
    Did he really though?

    From FakeBuddhaQuotes : "That translation may be widely (although definitely not universally) quoted, but no competent modern translator would accept it as an accurate rendering of the Dhammapada."

    (In fairness though, I don't think the supposedly 'official' Buddhist interpretations that guy gives differ all that much from the supposedly so-inaccurate-they-may-as-well-be-fake quotes found on that site, although he is very insistent that they do. The popular renderings are nothing at all like what Buddha taught, to hear him tell it.)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    In fairness though, I don’t think the supposedly ‘official’ Buddhist interpretations that guy gives differ all that much from the supposedly so-inaccurate-they-may-as-well-be-fake quotes found on that site, although he is very insistent that they do. The popular renderings are nothing at all like what Buddha taught, to hear him tell it.

    That’s because the definition he’s providing isn’t actually different, it’s just a clarification needed in an age that has lost the ability to read as a result of left hemisphere dominance. Like I said, we’ve become literally stupider.

    No one should need to be told the Buddha doesn’t mean you can actually think yourself physically into something else, and that he’s only referring to our our character and mental states: our character and mental and emotional states are the products of which thoughts we habitually cultivate.

    But since the left hemisphere cannot understand context, and tends to take everything literally, I suppose in this day and age of left hemisphere dominance clarifications are necessary.

    Very amusing, though, and thanks for providing that 🙂 I did not realize our stupidity is so advanced. I’m beginning to understand where Ivashka is getting his most recent “version” of Buddhism from lol
    .

    Also, he’s not providing the “official” Buddhist translation, as there is none, just explaining the – supposed – translation practices favored by the most recent modern translators. Supposedly. There are many older translations done by serious scholars, stretching to the 19th century, Max Muller for instance, that are considered benchmarks of scholarly rigor still.

  256. A123 says: • Website
    @songbird
    @A123

    I suspect ESA will try to buy the passenger version of Dream Chaser, when it comes online, in order to put blacks in space.

    Of course, it is good to keep temperate records consistent, but 2m seems somewhat high. I thought US measured at 4 feet. But, anyway, I have often wondered at the wisdom of it. I guess the ground retains heat, and predicting weather is more about measuring changes, but measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season. Many times there will be a frost when the air temp is higher than freezing, and it is important to know about frosts, for many reasons even beyond farming.

    Replies: @A123, @Mikel

    Measuring near the surface has been considered problematic for some time. Ground color black/grey/white has a huge impact on solar heating. The amount of water in or on the surface is also huge Damp soil has an evaporative cooling process.

    The optimum measurement station is well above ground level, protected from wind, rain, & direct sunlight.

    Dew point & frost point are derived from measured humidity, so height of the station does not block that type of determination.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @songbird
    @A123

    I wonder why NASA never made a Martian probe that buries itself in the soil overnight, but perhaps that would be more energy intensive than simple heating, and the soil is probably too abrasive.

  257. @Emil Nikola Richard
    Nobody is responsible for his actions, nobody for his nature; to judge is identical with being unjust. This also applies when an individual judges himself. The theory is as clear as sunlight, and yet every one prefers to go back into the shadow and the untruth, for fear of the consequences.

    F. Nietzsche, Human all-too Human

    (Nietzsche was wrong-o.)

    Nietzsche free will Nietzsche podcast--long but pretty great.

    https://open.spotify.com/episode/6xLub4g8qD29E0ncFybIYf

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    That’s the deterministic dogma of the modern world, but there’s a deeper spiritual sense in which he’s right.

    The most evil person is actually doing the best he can according to how he sees reality. If you saw reality that way, you’d act exactly the same. That’s why even as we must take measures to protect ourselves from such people we must pity them and hope for their eventual eclaircissement.

    That’s why in Buddhism the primary spiritual objective is enlightenment – to see more completely and widely – and Christianity and other religions, once you really examine them, turn out to conceive of salvation in terms that aren’t so different. For instance, in early Christianity “sin” was seen as “missing the mark”, and sin only became an occasion for harsh punitive judgementalism as Christianity became an arm of social order and control.

    The punitive notion of sin has probably scarred and traumatized generations of Christian children, and led to countless people rejecting faith in a God of love. I know one of my brother in laws, raised a Christian, hates religion today because as a child he was traumatized by a sense of crushing guilt and terrifyingly cruel visions of eternal hellfire for some mistakes and weaknesses that all humans are prey to.

    On the other hand, we have a responsibility to cultivate our spiritual sight and our vision, to seek out a larger and more comprehensive vision, so there is also an element of free will and personal moral responsibility.

  258. A123 says: • Website

    What do foreigners think of the Biden family? (1)

    Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) has released a bombshell FBI document dated July 30,2020, in which a respected confidential human source (CHS) alleged that then-presidential candidate Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden received $10 million in bribes.

    Burisma’s CEO said, “It cost 5 (million) to pay one Biden, and 5 (million) to another Biden,” to fire the prosecutor investigating Burisma.

    “Hunter will take care of those issues through his dad.”

    Although Hunter “was stupid, and his dog was smarter.”

    Yet more evidence pointing out White House subservience to external parties.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/grassley-releases-bombshell-fbi-doc-discussing-10mm-biden-bribe-burisma-boss-said

  259. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy – but I’m beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist 
     
    LOL. You should have asked me instead and we would have climbed it no problems with the adjoining 11k'+ North Peak as a bonus. But this time they were probably right that snow was blocking the dirt road to the trailhead. We've received insane amounts of snow last winter. That would have meant some miles of extra walking, which those rangers seem to think is outside of human capabilities.

    It drives me crazy really. Last Sunday, the day you hiked in Tremonton, lots of people were "rescued" from Mt Olympus, a steep but easy hike just above SLC. It all began with someone spraining her ankle and calling 911. Then, when people doing the hike saw the rescuers appear in the midday heat there was some kind of collective panic and lots of people started asking to be rescued too. They actually mobilized helicopters that brought bottles of water to the poor hikers in distress.

    Perhaps the most depressing part came the next day, when all local media reported on the incident with the consensus advice, backed by the head of the rescue teams, that people ought to avoid hiking in the "extreme" temperatures of July and carry as much water as they possibly can and then some more, just in case. This is all just ridiculuous. I know Mt Olympus very well, I've even posted pictures from the summit here, and you do _not_ need 1-2 gallons of water to climb it, even in 100 temps. It's too short. That's a huge, unnecessary weight that will get too hot to drink before you know it. Of course you're going to get some dehydration, how could you not. But you just rehidrate when you're back in the valley a couple of hours later.

    They're just turning the population into weaklings unable to confront adversities, which is all the more regretable among descendants of the pioneers who conquered these lands from the Indians and the implacable forces of nature themselves. Some of those pioneers lost their limbs during their march from Missouri but kept on traveling towards the unknown. Can you imagine them packing gallons of water for a 2-hour hike?

    Anyway, sorry for the rant. Returning to one of your earlier comments, I just wanted to say that I can perfectly understand how that author that you mentioned could discover the Taos Valley and conclude categorically that it was the most beautiful place in the West. I have only been there once, in winter, but I was also very impressed. A snow storm was approaching so I could only get a glimpse of the high peaks in the backgound but they were magnificent in that season. Then, as I drove North, squalls began to come my way from the incredibly vast plains, punctuated here and there by red/buff buttes and beautiful ranches of adobe. It was all quite surreal. As you have said in the past, these high elevation places have some magic to them.

    The problem, though, is that there are so many such astonishing places in the West, each with its own distinctive touch, that I would't dare to ever say which one is the "best". Who has seen them all? Possibly nobody. Perhaps a beautiful project for the rest of my life would be to try to visit every little town, every valley and every mountain range between the Pacific and the Midwest. But, as you say, it's difficult to give up the pleasure of also visiting faraway and exotic places, especially of the tropical kind. Not enough decades left for it all, I'm afraid.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    They found Julian Sands’ remains finally on 27 June.

    Like I was asking my dentist (it turns out the cops have never called her up for forensic data one time): would you rather die in an outdoors accident on Mt Baldy or in an old folks’ home after having years of horrible diseases?

    https://www.theguardian.com/film/2023/jun/27/human-remains-found-in-california-mountains-confirmed-as-julian-sands

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    The choice in your question is quite clear.

    I've never hiked in the San Gabriels but I have seen them from different angles and they're one of those ranges where you'd think it's really difficult to get killed, even in winter, unless you do something purposefully silly. Some winters it doesn't even get enough snow for the couple of ski lifts on the mountain to open. But apparently this guy had mountaineering experience, though you never know with these celebrities. I guess he got lost in blizzard conditions and died of cold exposure, possibly after slipping and getting injured or being hit by a snow slide or something like that. An experienced hiker would normally avoid that kind of accident on such a mountain but freak accidents do happen and whiteouts can be quite disorienting, especially if you've never experienced one before.

  260. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    They found Julian Sands' remains finally on 27 June.

    Like I was asking my dentist (it turns out the cops have never called her up for forensic data one time): would you rather die in an outdoors accident on Mt Baldy or in an old folks' home after having years of horrible diseases?

    https://www.theguardian.com/film/2023/jun/27/human-remains-found-in-california-mountains-confirmed-as-julian-sands

    Replies: @Mikel

    The choice in your question is quite clear.

    I’ve never hiked in the San Gabriels but I have seen them from different angles and they’re one of those ranges where you’d think it’s really difficult to get killed, even in winter, unless you do something purposefully silly. Some winters it doesn’t even get enough snow for the couple of ski lifts on the mountain to open. But apparently this guy had mountaineering experience, though you never know with these celebrities. I guess he got lost in blizzard conditions and died of cold exposure, possibly after slipping and getting injured or being hit by a snow slide or something like that. An experienced hiker would normally avoid that kind of accident on such a mountain but freak accidents do happen and whiteouts can be quite disorienting, especially if you’ve never experienced one before.

  261. @songbird
    @A123

    I suspect ESA will try to buy the passenger version of Dream Chaser, when it comes online, in order to put blacks in space.

    Of course, it is good to keep temperate records consistent, but 2m seems somewhat high. I thought US measured at 4 feet. But, anyway, I have often wondered at the wisdom of it. I guess the ground retains heat, and predicting weather is more about measuring changes, but measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season. Many times there will be a frost when the air temp is higher than freezing, and it is important to know about frosts, for many reasons even beyond farming.

    Replies: @A123, @Mikel

    measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season

    The problem is what you have said: soil (and water) have a much higher heat retention capacity than air. This thermal inertia makes their temperature change much more slowly than that of the air above so it would be a totally different measurement. Given the very different reflectivities and heat retention capacities of the different soils around the earth, the only way to compare apples to apples is to measure the temperature of the air a standard distance above the ground with a thermometer sheltered in an screen.

    Besides, what matters for frost conditions is not so much the temperature of the soil but the temperature of the air next to the soil, which is what determines the passage of water molecules on the surface from liquid to solid state. This only happens when the air temperature goes below freezing. It’s what makes the ground and the plant cells to freeze solid. In any case, all weather services have specific hard freezing forecasts for farmers and gardeners.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Mikel

    My general rule of thumb is to assume a frost when the low is predicted to be 36 degrees F or lower. That gives you a bit of a safety margin.

    What I recall hearing is that since cold air is denser, it is heavier and in cold conditions the air near the ground is often colder than at the height at which the temperature is measured.

    IIRC, some people who cold shelter dig a little hole near their door to blunt the draft coming in underneath it.

    Replies: @Mikel

  262. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that "Ukraine will join Nato"...and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk "Melitopol". You even quoted wiki ethnic numbers for Mariupol - so you knew it, now you are lying. The last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections that had restrictions on pro-Russian parties, and the leftists. Ipso facto, they are a much better indicator of what people in what region prefer.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity, in Ukraine that is very common, almost all people there have mixed ancestry. It is not like "gender" or "race" (they are all white), so don't pretend that is too hard to comprehend.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @John Johnson

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that “Ukraine will join Nato”…and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.

    You still don’t understand how it works. NATO cannot uniformly declare that Ukraine will join.

    You do not have an annual quote from anyone. Go ahead and show it.

    A member state representative can declare “Ukraine will join NATO” but that doesn’t change the rules nor does it force a uniform vote. France and Germany were opposed to Ukraine joining before the war. Turkey was leaning towards voting no. The vote has to be 100% with no exceptions. This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Go ahead, let’s see this annual quote.

    Ukraine did not qualify for NATO. You can’t qualify with a contested border and LPR/DPR were contested areas. Mickey mouse, the pope and a US president all have an equal level of authority in being able to declare that Ukraine will be in NATO. There isn’t a NATO president that can simply will in a member or change the rules. The votes aren’t even weighted by population. Luxembourg and the US have the same number of votes: 1.

    But let’s see your quotes. Give us 3 quotes if it was made annually as you claim. You won’t be able to but here is an actual source from France going back to 2008.

    France will not back Ukraine and Georgia in NATO (2008)
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-france-ukraine/france-wont-back-ukraine-and-georgia-nato-bids-idUSL0115117020080401

    It was just explained by the MSM after the summit that Ukraine can’t apply while they have a border in contention. Amazingly Putin’s fans seem to think this is a new revelation.

    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.

    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    Unlike you I understand NATO and its history. I am aware of the states that joined since 1991. Putin said that Finland’s decision to join doesn’t matter. Is he correct?

    What would have kept NATO to the members of 2021:
    1. Invade Ukraine and scare Finland and Sweden into joining
    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk “Melitopol”.

    It went to Melitopol because Wokechoke also used his imagination and that is on record here. He didn’t quote me directly and somehow imagined me talking about Melitopol and some other city.

    How did I lose the argument on Mariupol? I said I thought they should focus on Mariupol instead of Crimea due to the partisans. That really isn’t an argument, it’s a proposed strategy. Are you saying there aren’t partisans in Mariupol? I provided a link showing that Russians are actively hunting them.

    he last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections

    So you can’t explain why DPR/LPR went for pro-Russian candidates while Melitopol did not. Instead of facing that reality that it isn’t uniformly pro-Russian you keep going back to 2014.

    Zelensky had broad support because he ran on a neutral platform. Militia fighting was at a low in 2019. Much of Ukraine wanted to find a new path and that is why Zelesnky beat the pro-Western candidate.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity

    I understand ethnicity. I don’t believe you have the authority to speak of ethnic divisions in the area and their impact in politics. You are a random forum poster. Maybe you believe the divisions don’t matter even though they were politically divided in 2019. I am skeptical of that belief but you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. Putin defenders in fact commonly exhibit dichotomous thinking. Maybe that is what attracts you to the absolution of a dictator in the first place. You’re uncomfortable with ambiguity and nuance. You want to believe in some simplified “bad West vs good dudez” narrative and tie yourself up in knots trying to believe that a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion is justified because you oppose the West. I also oppose the Western status quo but that doesn’t mean I need to cheer for a 5’3 dictator and his unjust war.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.
     
    Turkey turned hostile towards Russia due to the USSR's post-WWII territorial claims on it. Sound familiar?

    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR
     
    Ukraine could have eventually tried doing an Operation Storm on the Donbass, but if Russian troops were sent to the Donbass as peacekeepers, then the risk of this should have fallen to near-zero since Ukraine wouldn't have wanted a guaranteed war with Russia and risking getting a repeat of Georgia in 2008. Had Russia outright annexed the Donbass as well, the risk of a Ukrainian Operation Storm would have been even less, though this would have also made it easier for Ukraine to join NATO, though likely opposition to this move among some NATO members would have remained in the absence of the current Russo-Ukrainian War.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    The big picture on the NATO issue is the USA broke a fundamental trust between the USA and Russia. This fragile trust was part of both countries' shared growth out of the Cold War and the suicidal Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) policy which was a defining feature of the era. I think the NATO expansion in 1999 was probably enough to jeopardize this trust and the next expansion in 2004 dissipated what trust remained. The USA dropping the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM) in 2002 was an even bigger issue. In some quarters this was probably seen as an actual direct threat of nuclear attack from the USA. The expansion of NATO was only slightly less aggressive. These two key steps were enough to break any relationship based on mutual respect. After that we heard a lot of dismissive nonsense such as Russia is a "gas station masquerading as a country". In actuality, Russia has a potent nuclear weapons arsenal and delivery systems which were always comparable to the USA and may now be superior. Nonetheless, all the aggressive moves by the USA and the West are designed to force Russia to chose capitulation and destruction or nuclear war. Worse yet the USA exiting the ABM treaty signaled that the USA was ready for nuclear war.

    If the West wanted a good peace with Russia after about 2004, these terrible moves needed to be undone. They are too serious for Russian military planners to overlook. The West felt like we had the conventional military and economic upper hand so Russia could be ignored. Most people apparently forgot about the nuclear war aspect, I guess they thought all the nukes in the world disappeared when the USSR closed up shop. The West has continually attacked a bunch of countries which demonstrated that we are on some sort of rampage. So the next little aggressions against Russia all make this worse, but they only change the situation incrementally. By 2004 we had already set the stage for a nuclear war. Everything has been on a slow burn, so Russia has been preparing, while the Western echo chambers grow more and more insane and totally impenetrable by reason or even a sense of self-preservation.

    By 2014 we desperately needed some form of concessions from the West, some sort of pullback from a direct confrontation to make up for these terrible one-sided mistakes. Instead we get more and more push against Russia.

    This is the background that matters. Arguments about Ukraine joining NATO are silly. This addition would be against the rules, but the West has proven all key rules are meant to be broken and are simply window dressing. The message from Russia going into Ukraine in 2022 is that if you want this one, come and take it. The USA already put nuclear war on the menu in 2004. If Russia needs to take that step she will. Arguments about ethnicity and regional conflicts are silly. The West has intentionally pushed Russia against the wall and made World War Three a real prospect. The ethnic tensions will be cured by nuclear war.

    The brain trust at Unz has not given a plausible argument to refute these essential facts about nuclear weapons treaties and early NATO expansions which are the foundation of the current conflict.

    Putin has not forgotten any of these points. His speeches for public consumption are not intended for you, though they assume all of this background material as the essential context that every reasonable adult is expected to know. His statements are often minimalist and almost conciliatory. I assume that means he does not want WW3 or nuclear war despite the fact the West has been pushing hard in this direction for 20 years.

    , @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You can Google the Nato annual statements regarding "Ukraine will join Nato", that reality is not in dispute - France-Germany agreed to it with a proviso "not yet..." That means nothing, it was a done deal before the war. Nato has no problem redefining its rules. Then Russia invaded and now it is impossible unless Kiev wins.

    Anyone who claims that US and Luxembourg have the same power in Nato is - what's the word? - a moron. Or willing to lie for his cause. You said that, twice. That ends any rational discussion. (Long live Luxembourg!!!)


    This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.
     
    Turkey has a very long history of losing wars to Russia and joined Nato in 1952. "Kept out?" Are you insane?

    I also oppose the Western status quo
     
    Let's focus: did you support the Nato wars on Serbia, Iraq, Afghan., Syria, Libya? Yes or no. If yes, there is no point in engaging. If not, what were the consequences for the aggressors? And 'learning a lesson' doesn't count.
  263. @LondonBob
    @Mr. XYZ

    I’m all in favour of giving Novorossiya a status within Russia comparable to what South Tyrol currently has within Italy.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Good luck with that lol. Why not include Malorossiya in there while you’re at it?

  264. Has anyone here seen that reported half-human/half-chicken said to be in a natural history museum in Russia?

    Has Emil watched this vid about the theory of humans being the result of bonobo/pig hybridization?

    [MORE]

    https://odysee.com/@JollyHeretic:d/chimppig:0

    Didn’t listen to the whole thing, but I have to say I am skeptical because my impression is that in some areas, bestiality was treated leniently.

    If hybridization of that magnitude was a thing, I think it would have been a capital crime everywhere.

    It is certainly an entertaining theory though.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics. He has far less confidence in the purported rigors of genetics than most presenters. I am a dilettante but I think Cavalli-Sforza in 1990 was way ahead of Reich in 2020.

    http://www.macroevolution.net/human-origins.html

    I haven't seen that video but I have read a bunch of McCarthy's pages.

    Replies: @S, @songbird

  265. @Beckow
    @Sher Singh

    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.

    I was shocked by the surface poverty of India; large parts resemble life in the Middle Ages or earlier. It looked like a country going to waste - a post civilization that can no longer be fixed because of the over-population and accumulated dirt. With only rational escape to emigrate - and that seems to be the dominant mentality in India.

    It is also a warning of what the future could look like elsewhere if the current trends continue. Am I wrong? Is there a way to reverse the dystopia in India? It is not about "GNP growth" (whatever that is), it is about the physical life as lived by most people.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh

    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.

    Do you think that there are genetic reasons for the greater literacy in the south and northeast of India?

    Interesting that Mizoram also has high literacy in spite of it being tribal.

    Regional Russian literacy in 1897 predicts just how smart Russian regions are in the early 21st century:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/literacy-predicts-russian-iq/

    • Replies: @CCG
    @Mr. XYZ

    Over 87% of Mizoram's Indian residents are Christians (mostly Presbyterian). British Protestant missionaries started building schools in the area from the 1890s onwards. The missionaries also created the Mizo alphabet based on Roman script. In the 1941 census, the region had the highest literacy rate in India.

  266. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that “Ukraine will join Nato”…and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.

    You still don't understand how it works. NATO cannot uniformly declare that Ukraine will join.

    You do not have an annual quote from anyone. Go ahead and show it.

    A member state representative can declare "Ukraine will join NATO" but that doesn't change the rules nor does it force a uniform vote. France and Germany were opposed to Ukraine joining before the war. Turkey was leaning towards voting no. The vote has to be 100% with no exceptions. This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Go ahead, let's see this annual quote.

    Ukraine did not qualify for NATO. You can't qualify with a contested border and LPR/DPR were contested areas. Mickey mouse, the pope and a US president all have an equal level of authority in being able to declare that Ukraine will be in NATO. There isn't a NATO president that can simply will in a member or change the rules. The votes aren't even weighted by population. Luxembourg and the US have the same number of votes: 1.

    But let's see your quotes. Give us 3 quotes if it was made annually as you claim. You won't be able to but here is an actual source from France going back to 2008.

    France will not back Ukraine and Georgia in NATO (2008)
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-france-ukraine/france-wont-back-ukraine-and-georgia-nato-bids-idUSL0115117020080401

    It was just explained by the MSM after the summit that Ukraine can't apply while they have a border in contention. Amazingly Putin's fans seem to think this is a new revelation.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    Unlike you I understand NATO and its history. I am aware of the states that joined since 1991. Putin said that Finland's decision to join doesn't matter. Is he correct?

    What would have kept NATO to the members of 2021:
    1. Invade Ukraine and scare Finland and Sweden into joining
    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk “Melitopol”.

    It went to Melitopol because Wokechoke also used his imagination and that is on record here. He didn't quote me directly and somehow imagined me talking about Melitopol and some other city.

    How did I lose the argument on Mariupol? I said I thought they should focus on Mariupol instead of Crimea due to the partisans. That really isn't an argument, it's a proposed strategy. Are you saying there aren't partisans in Mariupol? I provided a link showing that Russians are actively hunting them.

    he last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections

    So you can't explain why DPR/LPR went for pro-Russian candidates while Melitopol did not. Instead of facing that reality that it isn't uniformly pro-Russian you keep going back to 2014.

    Zelensky had broad support because he ran on a neutral platform. Militia fighting was at a low in 2019. Much of Ukraine wanted to find a new path and that is why Zelesnky beat the pro-Western candidate.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity

    I understand ethnicity. I don't believe you have the authority to speak of ethnic divisions in the area and their impact in politics. You are a random forum poster. Maybe you believe the divisions don't matter even though they were politically divided in 2019. I am skeptical of that belief but you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. Putin defenders in fact commonly exhibit dichotomous thinking. Maybe that is what attracts you to the absolution of a dictator in the first place. You're uncomfortable with ambiguity and nuance. You want to believe in some simplified "bad West vs good dudez" narrative and tie yourself up in knots trying to believe that a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion is justified because you oppose the West. I also oppose the Western status quo but that doesn't mean I need to cheer for a 5'3 dictator and his unjust war.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC, @Beckow

    This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Turkey turned hostile towards Russia due to the USSR’s post-WWII territorial claims on it. Sound familiar?

    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    Ukraine could have eventually tried doing an Operation Storm on the Donbass, but if Russian troops were sent to the Donbass as peacekeepers, then the risk of this should have fallen to near-zero since Ukraine wouldn’t have wanted a guaranteed war with Russia and risking getting a repeat of Georgia in 2008. Had Russia outright annexed the Donbass as well, the risk of a Ukrainian Operation Storm would have been even less, though this would have also made it easier for Ukraine to join NATO, though likely opposition to this move among some NATO members would have remained in the absence of the current Russo-Ukrainian War.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ


    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR
     
    Ukraine could have eventually tried doing an Operation Storm on the Donbass, but if Russian troops were sent to the Donbass as peacekeepers, then the risk of this should have fallen to near-zero since Ukraine wouldn’t have wanted a guaranteed war with Russia and risking getting a repeat of Georgia in 2008.

    They should have done a special forces led attack right away. Same for Crimea. Putin swore that the little green men weren't his so Ukraine should have assumed they were hostile space aliens. Trying to avoid blood over Crimea only encouraged Putin.

    In such a scenario Ukraine still would not have gained the votes of France or Germany. In fact the only scenario where Ukraine gains NATO support from France is through a Russian invasion.

    But this doesn't matter as the war isn't about NATO. It's about Putin playing conqueror in his last days and trying to add the GDP/population of Ukraine to Russia in order to bring it closer to its previous size of influence. Would he like Ukraine out of NATO permanently? Well sure but what he really wanted was for Ukrainians to become Russians. Russia's GDP is about the size of Canada and Ukraine was the technological center of the USSR. There are clear economic benefits from taking Ukraine. Putin thought he could take it all in a decapitation attack and that the West would eventually accept the new lines.

    In today's news Igor Girkin was arrested:
    https://www.ft.com/content/ac38478b-6e14-406f-8ee4-e13967333720

    Probably shouldn't call the dwarf a war dunce while still in Russia. I guess he mistakenly assumed that fighting against Ukraine gave him protection from window drops.

    The dwarf will murder anyone that dares to insult his glorious war. Here is Igor Girkin's last comment:

    The country cannot survive another six years of this cowardly low-life in power.

    - formerly pro-Putin DPR separatist leader Igor Girkin

  267. @Mikel
    @songbird


    measuring up high seems to leave a lot to be desired, when they are giving the low temp in cold season
     
    The problem is what you have said: soil (and water) have a much higher heat retention capacity than air. This thermal inertia makes their temperature change much more slowly than that of the air above so it would be a totally different measurement. Given the very different reflectivities and heat retention capacities of the different soils around the earth, the only way to compare apples to apples is to measure the temperature of the air a standard distance above the ground with a thermometer sheltered in an screen.

    Besides, what matters for frost conditions is not so much the temperature of the soil but the temperature of the air next to the soil, which is what determines the passage of water molecules on the surface from liquid to solid state. This only happens when the air temperature goes below freezing. It's what makes the ground and the plant cells to freeze solid. In any case, all weather services have specific hard freezing forecasts for farmers and gardeners.

    Replies: @songbird

    My general rule of thumb is to assume a frost when the low is predicted to be 36 degrees F or lower. That gives you a bit of a safety margin.

    What I recall hearing is that since cold air is denser, it is heavier and in cold conditions the air near the ground is often colder than at the height at which the temperature is measured.

    IIRC, some people who cold shelter dig a little hole near their door to blunt the draft coming in underneath it.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @songbird


    since cold air is denser, it is heavier and in cold conditions the air near the ground is often colder than at the height at which the temperature is measured
     
    Yes, probably not by a lot but I guess that's one of the factors meteorologists consider when issuing hard freeze warnings. But putting the thermometer too close to the ground would affect consistency of the readings due to radiation and convection coming from different types of soils.

    On the other hand, soil temperature is quite crucial for farmers, especially at sowing time, and I wish I had someone reporting what the soil temperature on my farm is every day but it must vary too much from one plot to another in the same area to get reliable measures by satellite. Besides, A123's image shows that they can only measure ground temps in clear conditions. Those grey areas in northern Iberia and part of the interior are surely cloud cover. Those are typical summer conditions with intrusions of Atlantic air in the North and scattered thunderstorms in the interior, while Andalusia and Extremadura become an oven.
  268. @A123
    @songbird

    Measuring near the surface has been considered problematic for some time. Ground color black/grey/white has a huge impact on solar heating. The amount of water in or on the surface is also huge Damp soil has an evaporative cooling process.

    The optimum measurement station is well above ground level, protected from wind, rain, & direct sunlight.

    Dew point & frost point are derived from measured humidity, so height of the station does not block that type of determination.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @songbird

    I wonder why NASA never made a Martian probe that buries itself in the soil overnight, but perhaps that would be more energy intensive than simple heating, and the soil is probably too abrasive.

    • Agree: A123
  269. @songbird
    Has anyone here seen that reported half-human/half-chicken said to be in a natural history museum in Russia?

    Has Emil watched this vid about the theory of humans being the result of bonobo/pig hybridization?
    https://odysee.com/@JollyHeretic:d/chimppig:0

    Didn't listen to the whole thing, but I have to say I am skeptical because my impression is that in some areas, bestiality was treated leniently.

    If hybridization of that magnitude was a thing, I think it would have been a capital crime everywhere.

    It is certainly an entertaining theory though.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics. He has far less confidence in the purported rigors of genetics than most presenters. I am a dilettante but I think Cavalli-Sforza in 1990 was way ahead of Reich in 2020.

    http://www.macroevolution.net/human-origins.html

    I haven’t seen that video but I have read a bunch of McCarthy’s pages.

    • Replies: @S
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Has Emil watched this vid about the theory of humans being the result of bonobo/pig hybridization?

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics.
     

     
    Eugene McCarthy must have taken Bill the Butcher's basic anatomy class.

    One can learn a lot from a butcher. :-)

    'The nearest thing in nature to the flesh of a man, is the flesh of a pig!'

    https://youtu.be/vV_Q7YaFpSM

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    , @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I enjoyed that bit where McCarthy was talking about how pigs are smarter than you'd expect based on brain-size because the way their skull has holes in it, to allow for greater vasculature to cool the brain and let it be more metabolically active.

    I wonder if there are any transhumanists who would accept that mod. Might be handy, if you had malaria or something

    What they say about pigs opening gates is true. Have seen it myself.

    For my part, I've been pondering why pigs seem to live so long, if they were generally raised to be killed for their meat.

    Also, if it is possible that their domestication process was somehow different from other livestock.

    In ancient Ireland, the wife was generally given the runt of the litter to hand raise and 2/3 its meat was her property, in event of divorce. There are accounts of pigs following people everywhere they went, which suggests that some were like pets. Could the pet part of it have been bred into them at the same time the meat part was? A sort of two-pronged domestication. Or is all domestication more or less the same process?

    Trouble with testing wild boars is they all have pig genes. But that might be one for the archeo-DNA people. Are modern pigs smarter? Could we guess using human variants?

    Replies: @S, @S

  270. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that “Ukraine will join Nato”…and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.

    You still don't understand how it works. NATO cannot uniformly declare that Ukraine will join.

    You do not have an annual quote from anyone. Go ahead and show it.

    A member state representative can declare "Ukraine will join NATO" but that doesn't change the rules nor does it force a uniform vote. France and Germany were opposed to Ukraine joining before the war. Turkey was leaning towards voting no. The vote has to be 100% with no exceptions. This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Go ahead, let's see this annual quote.

    Ukraine did not qualify for NATO. You can't qualify with a contested border and LPR/DPR were contested areas. Mickey mouse, the pope and a US president all have an equal level of authority in being able to declare that Ukraine will be in NATO. There isn't a NATO president that can simply will in a member or change the rules. The votes aren't even weighted by population. Luxembourg and the US have the same number of votes: 1.

    But let's see your quotes. Give us 3 quotes if it was made annually as you claim. You won't be able to but here is an actual source from France going back to 2008.

    France will not back Ukraine and Georgia in NATO (2008)
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-france-ukraine/france-wont-back-ukraine-and-georgia-nato-bids-idUSL0115117020080401

    It was just explained by the MSM after the summit that Ukraine can't apply while they have a border in contention. Amazingly Putin's fans seem to think this is a new revelation.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    Unlike you I understand NATO and its history. I am aware of the states that joined since 1991. Putin said that Finland's decision to join doesn't matter. Is he correct?

    What would have kept NATO to the members of 2021:
    1. Invade Ukraine and scare Finland and Sweden into joining
    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk “Melitopol”.

    It went to Melitopol because Wokechoke also used his imagination and that is on record here. He didn't quote me directly and somehow imagined me talking about Melitopol and some other city.

    How did I lose the argument on Mariupol? I said I thought they should focus on Mariupol instead of Crimea due to the partisans. That really isn't an argument, it's a proposed strategy. Are you saying there aren't partisans in Mariupol? I provided a link showing that Russians are actively hunting them.

    he last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections

    So you can't explain why DPR/LPR went for pro-Russian candidates while Melitopol did not. Instead of facing that reality that it isn't uniformly pro-Russian you keep going back to 2014.

    Zelensky had broad support because he ran on a neutral platform. Militia fighting was at a low in 2019. Much of Ukraine wanted to find a new path and that is why Zelesnky beat the pro-Western candidate.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity

    I understand ethnicity. I don't believe you have the authority to speak of ethnic divisions in the area and their impact in politics. You are a random forum poster. Maybe you believe the divisions don't matter even though they were politically divided in 2019. I am skeptical of that belief but you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. Putin defenders in fact commonly exhibit dichotomous thinking. Maybe that is what attracts you to the absolution of a dictator in the first place. You're uncomfortable with ambiguity and nuance. You want to believe in some simplified "bad West vs good dudez" narrative and tie yourself up in knots trying to believe that a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion is justified because you oppose the West. I also oppose the Western status quo but that doesn't mean I need to cheer for a 5'3 dictator and his unjust war.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC, @Beckow

    The big picture on the NATO issue is the USA broke a fundamental trust between the USA and Russia. This fragile trust was part of both countries’ shared growth out of the Cold War and the suicidal Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) policy which was a defining feature of the era. I think the NATO expansion in 1999 was probably enough to jeopardize this trust and the next expansion in 2004 dissipated what trust remained. The USA dropping the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM) in 2002 was an even bigger issue. In some quarters this was probably seen as an actual direct threat of nuclear attack from the USA. The expansion of NATO was only slightly less aggressive. These two key steps were enough to break any relationship based on mutual respect. After that we heard a lot of dismissive nonsense such as Russia is a “gas station masquerading as a country”. In actuality, Russia has a potent nuclear weapons arsenal and delivery systems which were always comparable to the USA and may now be superior. Nonetheless, all the aggressive moves by the USA and the West are designed to force Russia to chose capitulation and destruction or nuclear war. Worse yet the USA exiting the ABM treaty signaled that the USA was ready for nuclear war.

    If the West wanted a good peace with Russia after about 2004, these terrible moves needed to be undone. They are too serious for Russian military planners to overlook. The West felt like we had the conventional military and economic upper hand so Russia could be ignored. Most people apparently forgot about the nuclear war aspect, I guess they thought all the nukes in the world disappeared when the USSR closed up shop. The West has continually attacked a bunch of countries which demonstrated that we are on some sort of rampage. So the next little aggressions against Russia all make this worse, but they only change the situation incrementally. By 2004 we had already set the stage for a nuclear war. Everything has been on a slow burn, so Russia has been preparing, while the Western echo chambers grow more and more insane and totally impenetrable by reason or even a sense of self-preservation.

    By 2014 we desperately needed some form of concessions from the West, some sort of pullback from a direct confrontation to make up for these terrible one-sided mistakes. Instead we get more and more push against Russia.

    This is the background that matters. Arguments about Ukraine joining NATO are silly. This addition would be against the rules, but the West has proven all key rules are meant to be broken and are simply window dressing. The message from Russia going into Ukraine in 2022 is that if you want this one, come and take it. The USA already put nuclear war on the menu in 2004. If Russia needs to take that step she will. Arguments about ethnicity and regional conflicts are silly. The West has intentionally pushed Russia against the wall and made World War Three a real prospect. The ethnic tensions will be cured by nuclear war.

    The brain trust at Unz has not given a plausible argument to refute these essential facts about nuclear weapons treaties and early NATO expansions which are the foundation of the current conflict.

    Putin has not forgotten any of these points. His speeches for public consumption are not intended for you, though they assume all of this background material as the essential context that every reasonable adult is expected to know. His statements are often minimalist and almost conciliatory. I assume that means he does not want WW3 or nuclear war despite the fact the West has been pushing hard in this direction for 20 years.

  271. @songbird
    @Mikel

    My general rule of thumb is to assume a frost when the low is predicted to be 36 degrees F or lower. That gives you a bit of a safety margin.

    What I recall hearing is that since cold air is denser, it is heavier and in cold conditions the air near the ground is often colder than at the height at which the temperature is measured.

    IIRC, some people who cold shelter dig a little hole near their door to blunt the draft coming in underneath it.

    Replies: @Mikel

    since cold air is denser, it is heavier and in cold conditions the air near the ground is often colder than at the height at which the temperature is measured

    Yes, probably not by a lot but I guess that’s one of the factors meteorologists consider when issuing hard freeze warnings. But putting the thermometer too close to the ground would affect consistency of the readings due to radiation and convection coming from different types of soils.

    On the other hand, soil temperature is quite crucial for farmers, especially at sowing time, and I wish I had someone reporting what the soil temperature on my farm is every day but it must vary too much from one plot to another in the same area to get reliable measures by satellite. Besides, A123’s image shows that they can only measure ground temps in clear conditions. Those grey areas in northern Iberia and part of the interior are surely cloud cover. Those are typical summer conditions with intrusions of Atlantic air in the North and scattered thunderstorms in the interior, while Andalusia and Extremadura become an oven.

    • Thanks: songbird
  272. Sher Singh says:
    @Beckow
    @Sher Singh

    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.

    I was shocked by the surface poverty of India; large parts resemble life in the Middle Ages or earlier. It looked like a country going to waste - a post civilization that can no longer be fixed because of the over-population and accumulated dirt. With only rational escape to emigrate - and that seems to be the dominant mentality in India.

    It is also a warning of what the future could look like elsewhere if the current trends continue. Am I wrong? Is there a way to reverse the dystopia in India? It is not about "GNP growth" (whatever that is), it is about the physical life as lived by most people.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh

    Genocide. Medieval Europe had higher QoL in many ways – certainly diet.
    Modern Ind diet is 5-7% protein by calorie – world’s lowest.
    With 80-90% being protein deficient & hence many stunted.

    In theory, land ceiling & caste atrocity acts or democracy itself could be removed.
    Local Princes have an incentive to develop the land – trans-national businessman don’t.
    This is highly unlikely without a balkanization – hopefully soon?

    The rest of the world doesn’t have an avg IQ in the 70s & guility-first laws.

    Caste was created by the Indus Valley Civ (Iran farmer) to control the sub-human Abos

    [MORE]

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Thanks: Beckow
  273. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Earlier in the season I was going to hike Mt Nebo, but the ranger station said it was too snowy – but I’m beginning to doubt ranger stations, and beginning to suspect that they are deliberately alarmist 
     
    LOL. You should have asked me instead and we would have climbed it no problems with the adjoining 11k'+ North Peak as a bonus. But this time they were probably right that snow was blocking the dirt road to the trailhead. We've received insane amounts of snow last winter. That would have meant some miles of extra walking, which those rangers seem to think is outside of human capabilities.

    It drives me crazy really. Last Sunday, the day you hiked in Tremonton, lots of people were "rescued" from Mt Olympus, a steep but easy hike just above SLC. It all began with someone spraining her ankle and calling 911. Then, when people doing the hike saw the rescuers appear in the midday heat there was some kind of collective panic and lots of people started asking to be rescued too. They actually mobilized helicopters that brought bottles of water to the poor hikers in distress.

    Perhaps the most depressing part came the next day, when all local media reported on the incident with the consensus advice, backed by the head of the rescue teams, that people ought to avoid hiking in the "extreme" temperatures of July and carry as much water as they possibly can and then some more, just in case. This is all just ridiculuous. I know Mt Olympus very well, I've even posted pictures from the summit here, and you do _not_ need 1-2 gallons of water to climb it, even in 100 temps. It's too short. That's a huge, unnecessary weight that will get too hot to drink before you know it. Of course you're going to get some dehydration, how could you not. But you just rehidrate when you're back in the valley a couple of hours later.

    They're just turning the population into weaklings unable to confront adversities, which is all the more regretable among descendants of the pioneers who conquered these lands from the Indians and the implacable forces of nature themselves. Some of those pioneers lost their limbs during their march from Missouri but kept on traveling towards the unknown. Can you imagine them packing gallons of water for a 2-hour hike?

    Anyway, sorry for the rant. Returning to one of your earlier comments, I just wanted to say that I can perfectly understand how that author that you mentioned could discover the Taos Valley and conclude categorically that it was the most beautiful place in the West. I have only been there once, in winter, but I was also very impressed. A snow storm was approaching so I could only get a glimpse of the high peaks in the backgound but they were magnificent in that season. Then, as I drove North, squalls began to come my way from the incredibly vast plains, punctuated here and there by red/buff buttes and beautiful ranches of adobe. It was all quite surreal. As you have said in the past, these high elevation places have some magic to them.

    The problem, though, is that there are so many such astonishing places in the West, each with its own distinctive touch, that I would't dare to ever say which one is the "best". Who has seen them all? Possibly nobody. Perhaps a beautiful project for the rest of my life would be to try to visit every little town, every valley and every mountain range between the Pacific and the Midwest. But, as you say, it's difficult to give up the pleasure of also visiting faraway and exotic places, especially of the tropical kind. Not enough decades left for it all, I'm afraid.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Dude, that is actually a very hilarious story, and brought tears of laughter to me eyes 🙂 Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It’s some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.

    But at the same time, it’s very disturbing and very characteristic of our times. There is some strange epidemic of fear gripping the nation, or proneness to fear and hysteria, I should say, a collapse in resilience and fortitude, a lack of self reliance and tendency to panic easily. I see it all over the place. It’s probably even a global phenomena at this point.

    I’m surprised to see this in a “red” state, and a mountain state to boot, as I thought it was mostly a blue state phenomena.

    Well, Mcgilchrist does warn us….

    On one of my recent long hikes into the Sawtooth mountains after hours of strenuous hiking I arrived at a high mountain pass by afternoon, forgetting that thunderstorms tend to roll into mountain passes precisely in the afternoon, I had forgotten to bring a rain jacket and warm clothing, and was in flimsy shorts and t-shirt. I was also more fatigued than I should be having not eaten anything all morning after a large indulgent meal the night before.

    Sure enough thick black ugly clouds started rolling in, and I was only half way thru my hike, and with the sun behind clouds it was cold – I was struggling to stay warm even hiking very fast, and then high winds started to pick up. I had another two hours of high exposure at least. I thought to myself for a moment that if it starts raining, I may well develop hypothermia before I get below the tree line.

    For a moment it occured to me I might have bitten off a bit more than I can chew, and made a stupid and easily avoided mistake, but I always figured I’d be alright somehow – I’d find a rock or something to shelter under, and endure a miserable cold hour or so. It never would have occurred to me to summon help unless things got really extreme – although I wouldn’t be able to anyways, I don’t carry one of those Garmin inreach things.

    So I finally broke my fast – and that cheered me up and gave me some body heat, and soldiered on into the pass, and lo and behold, after twenty minutes or so the sun came out and infused my limbs with much needed warmth and boosted my morale, and the rest of the hike was a pure joy, with stupendous views.

    But it was a fun few tense moments 🙂

    Yep, that author was DH Lawrence – a famous English author from the 1920s who wrote about what he saw as the alarming loss of vitality as a result of the growing disconnection from nature in European society. He lived in a house above Taos for a few years, trying to reconnect to some wildness after his over-civilized English life, and wrote about it extensively. He loved it there.

    Your description of the Taos Valley is very good. I passed through last summer, and it was indeed a beautiful place, with that indefinable “atmosphere” that these high places in the West have that lends them a beauty surpassing what even photos might suggest. And you’re right, there are so many such places in the West.

    I’ve lately been feeling the exact same way, that I don’t have enough decades of life left to see everything I want to in the West, and to visit all the exotic foreign places I want to, and I felt a momentary sadness.

    But perhaps we earn our redemption and merit by doing as much as we can in our short lives, and not wasting it working in some drab office building in some drab city, and that’s what counts from God’s point of view.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I was reading today in the Israeli press how this year more soldiers than usual are reporting post-combat stress trauma, and came across this little tidbit -

    "Around 80% of the new applicants are 'awakened' - individuals who, following media interviews about identifying combat trauma symptoms, started questioning whether they are suffering from it. The tough reality is that it's more likely they do."

    The last line is highly revealing.

    We are actually educating people to be less resilient and to pathologize normal reactions - we are telling people that any amount of distress or discomfort is pathological and unacceptable, instead of encouraging robustness and giving them the psychological outlook needed to develop robustness in the face of life.

    As someone said, man can endure anything as long as he has a "why" - even enormous amounts of distress is easily endured and doesn't lead to trauma or depression if one has the proper psychological context - which generally means some overarching sense of meaning or purpose in life that gives meaning to the pain.

    But with the loss of all higher narratives, we've lost all robustness.

    And this is in Israel, which probably has more of a sense of purpose and meaning than most modernized countries, and where the situation still encourages robustness for the most part.

    What are we doing to ourselves, as a global culture....

    Replies: @Barbarossa

    , @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It’s some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.
     
    Yes, you would be forgiven for thinking that it was a parody but it was a real story that you can find on any SLC newspaper from last Monday. To be fair, it's more like a 3-4 hour hike out and back if you take it easy and, as far as I'm concerned, people are very welcome to do it in 20 hours if they so wish. That is the beauty of the outdoors: freedom to do as you please outside of civilization. But this is the kind of hike that a 59 year old guy like this one once did 5 times in a row, so you get the idea of what we're talking about: https://www.summitpost.org/olympus-x5/627608

    Temperatures of 100F+ are not so frequent where I live but SLC gets them regularly multiple times every single summer. However, that is the threshold of what our authorities consider a heat wave and each time we get that forecast in Northern Utah, for example this coming weekend again, we are bombarded with ridiculous messages: Drink water before you feel thirsty! Stay in the shade or in an air conditioned space and avoid outdoor activities in the central hours of the day. Check that your neighbors are doing OK,... What should then people in Vegas or Yuma, 10-20 degrees warmer all summer long do?

    It can't be a coincidence that a time when authorities and mass media try to protect us and micromanage our daily lives in such a way is also a time when people have more depression and mental disorders than ever before. In fact, I think that you bring up a very interesting point with that PTSD story. It's a very serious matter that leads many people to misery and suicide, nothing to joke about at all. But what is it exactly, how does it differ from what people experienced in the past and how do social norms and expectations affect its prevalence and symptoms?

    Just a couple of points. Some summers ago I was taking a break in the shadow of my carport and all of a sudden two young women appeared asking if I had seen a Bengal cat. One of them, early twenties, showed me a picture and explained how important it was for her to find him because he was a trained "emotional support" animal (ESA) that she needed for her PTSD. They were offering a $1000 reward. Unfortunately, we could never find it but I know very well what an ESA is because my wife sells ESA kitties and they go like hot cookies. Their "emotional support training" consists on potty training and bringing them inside during the day before they turn wild so that they get socialized with humans, which being pets is not exactly hard. That's it.

    The other point is an article I once read explaining how PTSD is nothing new at all. Even the ancient Achilles myth includes the subject. But in WW2 they used to call it "battle fatigue" and the customary treatment was some weeks of relax before returning to the front. As far as I know (but I may be wrong) there is no record of a large amount of WW2 veterans commiting suicide or needing psychiatric treatment.

    Again, I know that PTSD is a very debilitating illness and who is to say that I won't suffer it myself at some point. But something in the modern world seems to make it worse than in the past.

    Replies: @QCIC

    , @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I always figured I’d be alright somehow
     
    This intuition that you had is a very important one, I think.

    On the one hand, it's just true. In the vast majority of cases accidents and setbacks in the outdoors are benign. We end up overcoming them, often quite easily, and the cases when it doesn't happen are so rare that we read them in the news.

    On the other hand, I believe it's a manifestation of our survival spirit. After millions of years of evolution our bodies and our brains are designed to keep us safe from danger and one essential aspect is believing that we're going to make it, even when the odds start stacking up against you. It's an instinct that sets in and makes you do things that would normally appear to be too strenuous by just believing that you can do them. Perhaps some of the people that perish in the outdoors have somehow lost this ability to believe in themselves and give in too early or panic and make their situation worse.

    There is a very important physical component to all this as well. I was once descending on my own from a peak in the Central Andes, close to Santiago, and I tripped with such bad luck that my knee hit a sharp rock and started bleeding profusely. I later found out that the cut exposed the rotula. It was very painful and I still had 2-3 hours of descent to my car but well, what are you going to do? As soon as I could get back standing I just kept descending with the help of my trekking poles and one way or another, without thinking too much about it, I managed to finally get to my car and painfully drive back home with a stiff right leg. My wife took me to a hospital where they stitched me up and put me on analgesics and antibiotics. It took me a good month to start hiking again.

    The interesting thing is that as soon as I was safe in my wife's company it became almost impossible for me to walk. Up until that moment my body and my mind had clearly been working to provide whatever natural analgesics, hormones and stimulants were needed to take me to safety by my own means but I could clearly see in real time how, once the goal had been accomplished, they all returned to their normal levels and suddenly I was fragile again. Nature has been dealing with these situations for ages and knows how to respond: you would not have developed hypothermia and, in all likelihood, there was more than just nutrients circulating in your body after you broke your fast.

    It's certainly up to each person to decide how they want to enjoy nature (or not) but I think that accumulating this type of experiences is one of the great benefits of outdoor activities. They make you psychologically stronger. As long as you don't take it too far and they break you, of course.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird

  274. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    I thought we were discussing Mariupol, now you talk Melitopol. Do you now accept that you were wrong about Mariupol (that is in DPR) and so you are switching to Melitopol? Or you don't know the difference?

    If you don't understand that people in 2023 can have a complex ethnic background I can't help you. It is simply a reality not comparable to the liberal "gender" or "racial" absurdity. Your conflating of them is a cheap attempt to escape from your previous dumb statements. Be more honest and admit that you were wrong.

    Post-Maidan elections in Ukraine restricted who can run - e.g. separatist (meaning openly for alliance with Russia) and many leftist parties were banned. The elections were less free than in 1991-2012 when it was a free-for-all with minimal restrictions. But they were not "fake", they simply used an extreme version of electoral management common in parts of the West - the managed "two-party" system that de facto restricts choices. Zelko was the more pro-Russian candidate and he won based on that - then he betrayed, either he was intimidated or he lied all along. Denying it is quite stupid. That betrayal led directly to the war - the war Ukraine has almost no hope of winning and that can permanently damage it or even destroy it.

    Those are the fruits of the irrational over-reach. If you still think that the imperium is Russia and not much more obviously the ever-expanding Nato, you haven't paid attention - simply look at the map. Augustus' testament applies to this irrational and unnecessary overreach. If Nato had simply stopped, we would all be much better off - most of all the Ukrainians.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikhail, @Wokechoke

    NATO is the ever expanding Roman Imperium at the moment.

    Russia if anything like Antiochus III’s Selucid Kingdom.

    Ukraine is playing Pergamon.

  275. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Dude, that is actually a very hilarious story, and brought tears of laughter to me eyes :) Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It's some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.

    But at the same time, it's very disturbing and very characteristic of our times. There is some strange epidemic of fear gripping the nation, or proneness to fear and hysteria, I should say, a collapse in resilience and fortitude, a lack of self reliance and tendency to panic easily. I see it all over the place. It's probably even a global phenomena at this point.

    I'm surprised to see this in a "red" state, and a mountain state to boot, as I thought it was mostly a blue state phenomena.

    Well, Mcgilchrist does warn us....

    On one of my recent long hikes into the Sawtooth mountains after hours of strenuous hiking I arrived at a high mountain pass by afternoon, forgetting that thunderstorms tend to roll into mountain passes precisely in the afternoon, I had forgotten to bring a rain jacket and warm clothing, and was in flimsy shorts and t-shirt. I was also more fatigued than I should be having not eaten anything all morning after a large indulgent meal the night before.

    Sure enough thick black ugly clouds started rolling in, and I was only half way thru my hike, and with the sun behind clouds it was cold - I was struggling to stay warm even hiking very fast, and then high winds started to pick up. I had another two hours of high exposure at least. I thought to myself for a moment that if it starts raining, I may well develop hypothermia before I get below the tree line.

    For a moment it occured to me I might have bitten off a bit more than I can chew, and made a stupid and easily avoided mistake, but I always figured I'd be alright somehow - I'd find a rock or something to shelter under, and endure a miserable cold hour or so. It never would have occurred to me to summon help unless things got really extreme - although I wouldn't be able to anyways, I don't carry one of those Garmin inreach things.

    So I finally broke my fast - and that cheered me up and gave me some body heat, and soldiered on into the pass, and lo and behold, after twenty minutes or so the sun came out and infused my limbs with much needed warmth and boosted my morale, and the rest of the hike was a pure joy, with stupendous views.

    But it was a fun few tense moments :)

    Yep, that author was DH Lawrence - a famous English author from the 1920s who wrote about what he saw as the alarming loss of vitality as a result of the growing disconnection from nature in European society. He lived in a house above Taos for a few years, trying to reconnect to some wildness after his over-civilized English life, and wrote about it extensively. He loved it there.

    Your description of the Taos Valley is very good. I passed through last summer, and it was indeed a beautiful place, with that indefinable "atmosphere" that these high places in the West have that lends them a beauty surpassing what even photos might suggest. And you're right, there are so many such places in the West.

    I've lately been feeling the exact same way, that I don't have enough decades of life left to see everything I want to in the West, and to visit all the exotic foreign places I want to, and I felt a momentary sadness.

    But perhaps we earn our redemption and merit by doing as much as we can in our short lives, and not wasting it working in some drab office building in some drab city, and that's what counts from God's point of view.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Mikel, @Mikel

    I was reading today in the Israeli press how this year more soldiers than usual are reporting post-combat stress trauma, and came across this little tidbit –

    “Around 80% of the new applicants are ‘awakened’ – individuals who, following media interviews about identifying combat trauma symptoms, started questioning whether they are suffering from it. The tough reality is that it’s more likely they do.”

    The last line is highly revealing.

    We are actually educating people to be less resilient and to pathologize normal reactions – we are telling people that any amount of distress or discomfort is pathological and unacceptable, instead of encouraging robustness and giving them the psychological outlook needed to develop robustness in the face of life.

    As someone said, man can endure anything as long as he has a “why” – even enormous amounts of distress is easily endured and doesn’t lead to trauma or depression if one has the proper psychological context – which generally means some overarching sense of meaning or purpose in life that gives meaning to the pain.

    But with the loss of all higher narratives, we’ve lost all robustness.

    And this is in Israel, which probably has more of a sense of purpose and meaning than most modernized countries, and where the situation still encourages robustness for the most part.

    What are we doing to ourselves, as a global culture….

    • Replies: @Barbarossa
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yeah, people are becoming wienies. But, I'll say again that this creates opportunities and the competent will inherit the earth. So if folks want to change the world then be competent and strong and raise kids to be that as well.

    I personally see this playing out in real-time all the time. It's going to continue to suck and be overweeningly idiotic in the medium term but we'll see it start to come back around. Contrary to Anatoly's view, I see the "Elite Human Capital" being produced at my local Catholic home-schooler group. When you are at a picnic around several dozen smart strong parents and 100+ really quality kids running around then you feel some real hope for the future.

    But, to your point, these are people with a very strong higher narrative. That's a funny paradox isn't it? Putting ourselves as the center and arbiter of reality is ultimately and totally enervating. From god to slave to one's own weakness in one quick arc, huh?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  276. I thought this seemed like a worthwhile assessment and figured I’d pass it along to you all.

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/a-sobering-analysis-of-ukraines-counteroffensive-from-the-front

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Barbarossa

    This seems like a gentle admission of impending Ukrainian failure combined with subtle pleas for the West to join in (and start WW3).

    The story has a lot of buzzwords and MSM talking points. What is the author's education and combat experience? Is there any reason to accept any of his observations or conclusions?

    Some of the pictures appear photoshopped to look hyper real, almost fake. Someday soon we will not be able to tell the difference.

    Replies: @Barbarossa

  277. @Barbarossa
    I thought this seemed like a worthwhile assessment and figured I'd pass it along to you all.

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/a-sobering-analysis-of-ukraines-counteroffensive-from-the-front

    Replies: @QCIC

    This seems like a gentle admission of impending Ukrainian failure combined with subtle pleas for the West to join in (and start WW3).

    The story has a lot of buzzwords and MSM talking points. What is the author’s education and combat experience? Is there any reason to accept any of his observations or conclusions?

    Some of the pictures appear photoshopped to look hyper real, almost fake. Someday soon we will not be able to tell the difference.

    • Replies: @Barbarossa
    @QCIC

    I don't really see much reason to accept anyone's analysis of the situation. If I had to give a wild guess I would probably bet that 95%+ of analysis on all sides has been borne out to be total bunk.

    I guess that I didn't have the same reaction to the article that you had and didn't draw the same meta-level conclusions. I thought it was worth consideration since it had specific and nuanced critiques of Ukrainian strategy. It could be total BS, but seemed nuanced enough to be worth read for those more invested than me.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  278. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I was reading today in the Israeli press how this year more soldiers than usual are reporting post-combat stress trauma, and came across this little tidbit -

    "Around 80% of the new applicants are 'awakened' - individuals who, following media interviews about identifying combat trauma symptoms, started questioning whether they are suffering from it. The tough reality is that it's more likely they do."

    The last line is highly revealing.

    We are actually educating people to be less resilient and to pathologize normal reactions - we are telling people that any amount of distress or discomfort is pathological and unacceptable, instead of encouraging robustness and giving them the psychological outlook needed to develop robustness in the face of life.

    As someone said, man can endure anything as long as he has a "why" - even enormous amounts of distress is easily endured and doesn't lead to trauma or depression if one has the proper psychological context - which generally means some overarching sense of meaning or purpose in life that gives meaning to the pain.

    But with the loss of all higher narratives, we've lost all robustness.

    And this is in Israel, which probably has more of a sense of purpose and meaning than most modernized countries, and where the situation still encourages robustness for the most part.

    What are we doing to ourselves, as a global culture....

    Replies: @Barbarossa

    Yeah, people are becoming wienies. But, I’ll say again that this creates opportunities and the competent will inherit the earth. So if folks want to change the world then be competent and strong and raise kids to be that as well.

    I personally see this playing out in real-time all the time. It’s going to continue to suck and be overweeningly idiotic in the medium term but we’ll see it start to come back around. Contrary to Anatoly’s view, I see the “Elite Human Capital” being produced at my local Catholic home-schooler group. When you are at a picnic around several dozen smart strong parents and 100+ really quality kids running around then you feel some real hope for the future.

    But, to your point, these are people with a very strong higher narrative. That’s a funny paradox isn’t it? Putting ourselves as the center and arbiter of reality is ultimately and totally enervating. From god to slave to one’s own weakness in one quick arc, huh?

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Barbarossa

    I pretty much have accepted lately that the world will die, and most people with it (metaphorically or literally), and that has brought me much peace. There simply is no future on the path we are currently on, and yet most people will not "wake up" - they will stubbornly cling to the poison that is killing them. I see modern ways of looking at the world destroying members of my own family and good friends, and nothing I have said has made the slightest bit of difference. They see me joyfull and thriving, enjoying my life of adventure and purpose, and themselves depressed and anxious, nihilistic and without meaning, and and yet to them, I am the poor deluded fool, with my crackpot ideas - everyone "knows" life is meaningless and the best life is to stay safe and survive as long as possible, miserably. That's the "smart" thing, that "smart" people do - I sometimes feel they look at me pityingly as some sort of mental deficient, in a puzzling way they can't really explain as in terms of formal intelligence they cannot pretend to themselves I'm stupider than they, and I am left facing a solid brick wall of smug dismissiveness of anything I might say that there is simply no way of penetrating.

    But against stupidity, even the Gods strive in vain, as it's been said, and the collapse of higher intelligence in our time has no antidote that I know of.

    A few years ago on this site I thought it was genuinely possible to stem the tide, but now I know better. And yet, I am strangely bouyant and optimistic and at peace :)

    I no longer want to "save" the world, which is ridiculously hubristic anyways (but perhaps big dreams can be good sometimes), and am now directing my efforts to living rightly myself and finding like minded people to do so with, anywhere in the world.

    The way I see it, I have a responsibility to the world to live rightly and well - at least this human will live a life of adventure and romance and beauty, as much as he can. I now see that that is far more important than arguing with people and trying to convince them. The time is short, and the task large :)

    Anatoly's "elite human capital" are living on borrowed time - they are the last fumes of a spent global civilization, realizing the last absurd implications of the machine civilization that began 500 years ago, carried aloft on a blind momentum that is in its final stages, before it all collapses in nihilism and loss of the will to live.

    But I see many new shoots sprouting up everywhere! The first green shoots of a new mentality and new culture, that will in time ripen into fruit amid the ruins of the old civilization. Creative renewal, it turns out, is not a process of rehabilitating what is dying, as I thought - but building the new amid the ruins, as one sees the first green seedlings sprout in a burned forest, which I've repeatedly been struck by on my recent hikes.


    But, to your point, these are people with a very strong higher narrative. That’s a funny paradox isn’t it? Putting ourselves as the center and arbiter of reality is ultimately and totally enervating. From god to slave to one’s own weakness in one quick arc, huh?

     

    Yep, the thing that was supposed to make us flourish as never before - narrow minded selfishness - ended up cutting us off from the sources of vitality and killing us. Precisely because machine culture cannot understand paradox, which is one of the laws of life.

    Owen Barfield said some 50 years ago that it is a strange paradox that the more we gain control over the world, the more we lose any sense of meaning in life - machine civilization, whose purpose was to gain maximum control in order to secure our survival for all time, ended up losing any reason to live at all. And that is a nice paradox.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  279. @Barbarossa
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yeah, people are becoming wienies. But, I'll say again that this creates opportunities and the competent will inherit the earth. So if folks want to change the world then be competent and strong and raise kids to be that as well.

    I personally see this playing out in real-time all the time. It's going to continue to suck and be overweeningly idiotic in the medium term but we'll see it start to come back around. Contrary to Anatoly's view, I see the "Elite Human Capital" being produced at my local Catholic home-schooler group. When you are at a picnic around several dozen smart strong parents and 100+ really quality kids running around then you feel some real hope for the future.

    But, to your point, these are people with a very strong higher narrative. That's a funny paradox isn't it? Putting ourselves as the center and arbiter of reality is ultimately and totally enervating. From god to slave to one's own weakness in one quick arc, huh?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I pretty much have accepted lately that the world will die, and most people with it (metaphorically or literally), and that has brought me much peace. There simply is no future on the path we are currently on, and yet most people will not “wake up” – they will stubbornly cling to the poison that is killing them. I see modern ways of looking at the world destroying members of my own family and good friends, and nothing I have said has made the slightest bit of difference. They see me joyfull and thriving, enjoying my life of adventure and purpose, and themselves depressed and anxious, nihilistic and without meaning, and and yet to them, I am the poor deluded fool, with my crackpot ideas – everyone “knows” life is meaningless and the best life is to stay safe and survive as long as possible, miserably. That’s the “smart” thing, that “smart” people do – I sometimes feel they look at me pityingly as some sort of mental deficient, in a puzzling way they can’t really explain as in terms of formal intelligence they cannot pretend to themselves I’m stupider than they, and I am left facing a solid brick wall of smug dismissiveness of anything I might say that there is simply no way of penetrating.

    But against stupidity, even the Gods strive in vain, as it’s been said, and the collapse of higher intelligence in our time has no antidote that I know of.

    A few years ago on this site I thought it was genuinely possible to stem the tide, but now I know better. And yet, I am strangely bouyant and optimistic and at peace 🙂

    I no longer want to “save” the world, which is ridiculously hubristic anyways (but perhaps big dreams can be good sometimes), and am now directing my efforts to living rightly myself and finding like minded people to do so with, anywhere in the world.

    The way I see it, I have a responsibility to the world to live rightly and well – at least this human will live a life of adventure and romance and beauty, as much as he can. I now see that that is far more important than arguing with people and trying to convince them. The time is short, and the task large 🙂

    Anatoly’s “elite human capital” are living on borrowed time – they are the last fumes of a spent global civilization, realizing the last absurd implications of the machine civilization that began 500 years ago, carried aloft on a blind momentum that is in its final stages, before it all collapses in nihilism and loss of the will to live.

    But I see many new shoots sprouting up everywhere! The first green shoots of a new mentality and new culture, that will in time ripen into fruit amid the ruins of the old civilization. Creative renewal, it turns out, is not a process of rehabilitating what is dying, as I thought – but building the new amid the ruins, as one sees the first green seedlings sprout in a burned forest, which I’ve repeatedly been struck by on my recent hikes.

    But, to your point, these are people with a very strong higher narrative. That’s a funny paradox isn’t it? Putting ourselves as the center and arbiter of reality is ultimately and totally enervating. From god to slave to one’s own weakness in one quick arc, huh?

    Yep, the thing that was supposed to make us flourish as never before – narrow minded selfishness – ended up cutting us off from the sources of vitality and killing us. Precisely because machine culture cannot understand paradox, which is one of the laws of life.

    Owen Barfield said some 50 years ago that it is a strange paradox that the more we gain control over the world, the more we lose any sense of meaning in life – machine civilization, whose purpose was to gain maximum control in order to secure our survival for all time, ended up losing any reason to live at all. And that is a nice paradox.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Although I agree with much of what you have to say about "machine culture" and its inability to provide any true meaning for living life, I still question your eclectic mix of hedonism and asceticism. At times, it appears that you've concocted a whimsical smorgasoboard of seemingly incompatibe elements of epicureanism and different sorts of religious mysticism, and I'm not questioning your right to do so. I'm just not convinced that this approach is really serious, or just a youthful expression of momentary delight and another form of Western bohemianism. Please don't take this mild criticism as being pointed specifically at you, as I've toyed with these sorts of approaches too, for a good portion of my life. Consider:


    There is a path before each person that seems right, but it ends in death.
     
    Proverbs 14 12

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  280. @QCIC
    @Barbarossa

    This seems like a gentle admission of impending Ukrainian failure combined with subtle pleas for the West to join in (and start WW3).

    The story has a lot of buzzwords and MSM talking points. What is the author's education and combat experience? Is there any reason to accept any of his observations or conclusions?

    Some of the pictures appear photoshopped to look hyper real, almost fake. Someday soon we will not be able to tell the difference.

    Replies: @Barbarossa

    I don’t really see much reason to accept anyone’s analysis of the situation. If I had to give a wild guess I would probably bet that 95%+ of analysis on all sides has been borne out to be total bunk.

    I guess that I didn’t have the same reaction to the article that you had and didn’t draw the same meta-level conclusions. I thought it was worth consideration since it had specific and nuanced critiques of Ukrainian strategy. It could be total BS, but seemed nuanced enough to be worth read for those more invested than me.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Barbarossa

    Russia is a garrison state. They also have run out of utopias to stage revolutions for.

    Replies: @QCIC

  281. @Mr. Hack
    @QCIC


    Look at the big picture. If one can recognize this is a proxy war, then it is possible to take Russia’s stated military goals at face value. You may dislike these aims, but they seem to fit the pattern of what is going on.
     
    As JJ has frequently pointed out here within our discussions, Russia's war aims (or Putler's to be more exact) are frequently changing, so it's hard to discuss them with any concrete meaning.

    Russia does not want to “conquer” a threatening country while a critical mass of NeoNAZIs and NATO-linked leadership still exists.
     
    I haven't heard that Putler is still chasing NAZIs in Ukraine, at least not as a main preoccupation lately? Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?

    A key reason Ukraine empowered NeoNAZIs in the first place was to drive out Russian sympathizers and disrupt civil processes.
     
    This is as ridiculous a notion as you've tried floating here (and you've floated a few doozies). Here's your chance to convince me that it's true.

    The Russians do not hate Ukrainians
     
    Nah, launching an invasion of a neighbor's country is only something that in Russia is a sign of a goodwill gesture. :-)

    The bloody hand-to-hand tactics in the East are not a poor man’s substitute for strategic bombing, they are intended to achieve a different goal.
     
    Russia's bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @QCIC, @Sean

    Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?

    Azov and Poroshenko’s threat to overthrow Zelensky was all that stopped him making a deal similar to Minsk 2 in 2019. Zelensky was not elected saying he would be Putin’s Nemesis he won the Presidency on a platform of compromise over Ukraine’s Nato aspirations and re establishing control over the Donbass. Fear of Nazis (and Poroshenko) is what made Zelensky lead Ukraine into the soup. And the Ukrainian Minister of Defence is Jewish too by the way.

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations

    You seem reluctant to admit that Russian is spoken in Ukraine primarily because there are many millions of ethnic Russian Ukrainians. (not counting the two Russian speakers who are Putin’s Nemesis because ethnic Ukrainians are not intelligent enough to run their own country).

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Sean


    Zelensky was not elected saying he would be Putin’s Nemesis he won the Presidency on a platform of compromise over Ukraine’s Nato aspirations and re establishing control over the Donbass.
     
    So why didn't Putler take advantage of this great opportunity and reach out and meet with him to try and work things out? I don't ever recall Putler congratulating Zelenski with his victory or state that he was looking forward to meeting with him in the near future?

    You seem reluctant to admit that Russian is spoken in Ukraine primarily because there are many millions of ethnic Russian Ukrainians. (not counting the two Russian speakers who are Putin’s Nemesis because ethnic Ukrainians are not intelligent enough to run their own country).
     
    Not at all. At one time there was somewhere between 6-10 million ethnic Russians living in Ukraine. But today, because of real ethnic blurring and the negative feelings of being associated with Russia, there are probably no more than 3-4 million ethnic Russians left. Perhaps a million or more have moved back to Russia as a result of the war too. As most Ukrainians are still supporting Zelensky's war time consiglieri role, I don't follow your unnecessary dig at Ukrainians not being "intelligent enough to run their own country." Questioning a Jew's loyalty to the country in which he was born and lives in is a throwback to another era and is largely a false negative stereotype. His wife is 100% Ukrainian and is proud of her heritage and always exhibits her Ukrainian patriotic feelings. You did watch and listen to Zelenky's stirring and very patriotic speech given within the St. Sophia Cathedral that I posted above?

    My quote above still holds 100% true. I challenge you to reread it and try to prove me wrong:


    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations

     

    Replies: @Sean

  282. @Barbarossa
    @QCIC

    I don't really see much reason to accept anyone's analysis of the situation. If I had to give a wild guess I would probably bet that 95%+ of analysis on all sides has been borne out to be total bunk.

    I guess that I didn't have the same reaction to the article that you had and didn't draw the same meta-level conclusions. I thought it was worth consideration since it had specific and nuanced critiques of Ukrainian strategy. It could be total BS, but seemed nuanced enough to be worth read for those more invested than me.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Russia is a garrison state. They also have run out of utopias to stage revolutions for.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Wokechoke

    Maybe the ice people just want to live and don't need a fake Utopia. They can learn from the mistakes of the Czars, commies, oligarchs and conquerors to find their own way.

    It seems for the foreseeable future Russia will be at odds with 20% of the world's population, congenial with 40% and maybe neutral with respect to the rest. They can make that work. If everyone likes you it is probably fake.

    It would be interesting to know what important goods can only be bought from the West? In other words, what items or materials are NOT made in Russia, China, India? Cutting edge semiconductor chips and similar electronic components are well known items, but what else? I think many modern medical supplies and pharmaceuticals are made in India and China. A lot of other items are a better value if bought in the West, but non-Western alternatives can frequently get the job done. If Russia is not part of the dollar system the value calculation and return on investment may be very different, leaving little downside to using non-Western alternatives.

  283. @Wokechoke
    @Barbarossa

    Russia is a garrison state. They also have run out of utopias to stage revolutions for.

    Replies: @QCIC

    Maybe the ice people just want to live and don’t need a fake Utopia. They can learn from the mistakes of the Czars, commies, oligarchs and conquerors to find their own way.

    It seems for the foreseeable future Russia will be at odds with 20% of the world’s population, congenial with 40% and maybe neutral with respect to the rest. They can make that work. If everyone likes you it is probably fake.

    It would be interesting to know what important goods can only be bought from the West? In other words, what items or materials are NOT made in Russia, China, India? Cutting edge semiconductor chips and similar electronic components are well known items, but what else? I think many modern medical supplies and pharmaceuticals are made in India and China. A lot of other items are a better value if bought in the West, but non-Western alternatives can frequently get the job done. If Russia is not part of the dollar system the value calculation and return on investment may be very different, leaving little downside to using non-Western alternatives.

  284. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Dude, that is actually a very hilarious story, and brought tears of laughter to me eyes :) Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It's some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.

    But at the same time, it's very disturbing and very characteristic of our times. There is some strange epidemic of fear gripping the nation, or proneness to fear and hysteria, I should say, a collapse in resilience and fortitude, a lack of self reliance and tendency to panic easily. I see it all over the place. It's probably even a global phenomena at this point.

    I'm surprised to see this in a "red" state, and a mountain state to boot, as I thought it was mostly a blue state phenomena.

    Well, Mcgilchrist does warn us....

    On one of my recent long hikes into the Sawtooth mountains after hours of strenuous hiking I arrived at a high mountain pass by afternoon, forgetting that thunderstorms tend to roll into mountain passes precisely in the afternoon, I had forgotten to bring a rain jacket and warm clothing, and was in flimsy shorts and t-shirt. I was also more fatigued than I should be having not eaten anything all morning after a large indulgent meal the night before.

    Sure enough thick black ugly clouds started rolling in, and I was only half way thru my hike, and with the sun behind clouds it was cold - I was struggling to stay warm even hiking very fast, and then high winds started to pick up. I had another two hours of high exposure at least. I thought to myself for a moment that if it starts raining, I may well develop hypothermia before I get below the tree line.

    For a moment it occured to me I might have bitten off a bit more than I can chew, and made a stupid and easily avoided mistake, but I always figured I'd be alright somehow - I'd find a rock or something to shelter under, and endure a miserable cold hour or so. It never would have occurred to me to summon help unless things got really extreme - although I wouldn't be able to anyways, I don't carry one of those Garmin inreach things.

    So I finally broke my fast - and that cheered me up and gave me some body heat, and soldiered on into the pass, and lo and behold, after twenty minutes or so the sun came out and infused my limbs with much needed warmth and boosted my morale, and the rest of the hike was a pure joy, with stupendous views.

    But it was a fun few tense moments :)

    Yep, that author was DH Lawrence - a famous English author from the 1920s who wrote about what he saw as the alarming loss of vitality as a result of the growing disconnection from nature in European society. He lived in a house above Taos for a few years, trying to reconnect to some wildness after his over-civilized English life, and wrote about it extensively. He loved it there.

    Your description of the Taos Valley is very good. I passed through last summer, and it was indeed a beautiful place, with that indefinable "atmosphere" that these high places in the West have that lends them a beauty surpassing what even photos might suggest. And you're right, there are so many such places in the West.

    I've lately been feeling the exact same way, that I don't have enough decades of life left to see everything I want to in the West, and to visit all the exotic foreign places I want to, and I felt a momentary sadness.

    But perhaps we earn our redemption and merit by doing as much as we can in our short lives, and not wasting it working in some drab office building in some drab city, and that's what counts from God's point of view.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Mikel, @Mikel

    Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It’s some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.

    Yes, you would be forgiven for thinking that it was a parody but it was a real story that you can find on any SLC newspaper from last Monday. To be fair, it’s more like a 3-4 hour hike out and back if you take it easy and, as far as I’m concerned, people are very welcome to do it in 20 hours if they so wish. That is the beauty of the outdoors: freedom to do as you please outside of civilization. But this is the kind of hike that a 59 year old guy like this one once did 5 times in a row, so you get the idea of what we’re talking about: https://www.summitpost.org/olympus-x5/627608

    Temperatures of 100F+ are not so frequent where I live but SLC gets them regularly multiple times every single summer. However, that is the threshold of what our authorities consider a heat wave and each time we get that forecast in Northern Utah, for example this coming weekend again, we are bombarded with ridiculous messages: Drink water before you feel thirsty! Stay in the shade or in an air conditioned space and avoid outdoor activities in the central hours of the day. Check that your neighbors are doing OK,… What should then people in Vegas or Yuma, 10-20 degrees warmer all summer long do?

    It can’t be a coincidence that a time when authorities and mass media try to protect us and micromanage our daily lives in such a way is also a time when people have more depression and mental disorders than ever before. In fact, I think that you bring up a very interesting point with that PTSD story. It’s a very serious matter that leads many people to misery and suicide, nothing to joke about at all. But what is it exactly, how does it differ from what people experienced in the past and how do social norms and expectations affect its prevalence and symptoms?

    Just a couple of points. Some summers ago I was taking a break in the shadow of my carport and all of a sudden two young women appeared asking if I had seen a Bengal cat. One of them, early twenties, showed me a picture and explained how important it was for her to find him because he was a trained “emotional support” animal (ESA) that she needed for her PTSD. They were offering a $1000 reward. Unfortunately, we could never find it but I know very well what an ESA is because my wife sells ESA kitties and they go like hot cookies. Their “emotional support training” consists on potty training and bringing them inside during the day before they turn wild so that they get socialized with humans, which being pets is not exactly hard. That’s it.

    The other point is an article I once read explaining how PTSD is nothing new at all. Even the ancient Achilles myth includes the subject. But in WW2 they used to call it “battle fatigue” and the customary treatment was some weeks of relax before returning to the front. As far as I know (but I may be wrong) there is no record of a large amount of WW2 veterans commiting suicide or needing psychiatric treatment.

    Again, I know that PTSD is a very debilitating illness and who is to say that I won’t suffer it myself at some point. But something in the modern world seems to make it worse than in the past.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mikel

    Another WW2 term for PTSD was "shell shock" (or shocked) which evoked more of a real problem than "battle fatigue". There may have been a blurry line between PTSD and concussions, though I think that blurring acknowledges that causing and even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikel

  285. good Ritter interview:

    Yeah, Ritter is a shill, he’s on the Kremlin payroll, he’s been ludicrously wrong at multiple points in this conflict and he often doesn’t seem to be in strong touch with reality, but this interview was still worthwhile.

    If you read between the lines, he essentially admits that Russia has given up on forcing a military decision on the conflict because it simply does not have the combat power to do so. Nor does Russia have the political ability, internally, to fully mobilize for war at this time.

    The Russian milbloggers are saying that Russia will seek to retake Kharkov after the Ukrainian offensive ends, but this interview convinced me that Russia will attempt no such thing. The Russians are probably playing with it as an option in case Ukraine appears to be on the brink of collapse, but ultimately I don’t think Russia will attempt any more large scale offensives for at least a few years.

    I think even pro Ukrainian people have a tendency to underestimate just how strong Ukraine is. Ukraine could easily maintain its current offensive operations for another year or so. Since the Ukrainians have shifted their tactics after the first couple of weeks of the offensive, Ukrainian equipment losses haven’t really been that bad. The Ukrainians are losing a lot of guys but probably only 10k a month at most. But Ukraine can absorb the loss of at least 500k troops without too much impact and right now their irrecoverable losses are likely less than half of that. Meanwhile Russia has just as much difficulty replacing its own losses.

    Right now it looks like a stalemated war of attrition. The only possibility I could see of breaking the stalemate would be for the US to build Ukraine a modern airforce with 600 front line fighters along with hundreds more combat helicopters. And while certainly the US has the money and political will to do that, building such a force would take years. The US even attempting to build such a force also might be enough to cause Russia to mobilize fully and for China to expand it’s assistance to Russia.

    • Disagree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @A123
    @Greasy William


    Ukraine could easily maintain its current offensive operations for another year or so.
     
    Only if the stream of foreign cash and war material continues at a rate of about €100B/year.

    That dependency is getting worse. The price Ukie farmers are receiving is plummeting. Yes. Consumer prices are up. However, economics show that the fraction being chewed up by intermediaries is expanding.

    Russia has given up on forcing a military decision on the conflict because it simply does not have the combat power to do so.
     
    Russia is not pushing an offensive because they are generating a ~5:1 casualty rate while the Ukies are on futile offensives. If you do not like that number and say that Kiev is losing only 3:1, it is still helpful for Russia to stay on defense.

    Furthermore, America is repudiating Not-The-President Biden. There will be much less U.S. money in the future. The upcoming election cycle guarantees it. Look how badly Pence was steamrollered by what should have been a friendly gathering. It was not just Carlson as the questioner. The Christian Populist audience opposed the idea of senseless foreign wars.

    Will Paris and Berlin provide €100B/year? Even €50B/year? If not, Putin can win largely by waiting rather than shooting. Time is on Russia's side.

    PEACE 😇
    , @Mikhail
    @Greasy William

    Since 2/24/22, the Kiev regime has lost territory, in addition to losing more military personnel and equipment than Russia. The collective West's attempt to punish Russia has had a boomerang effect. Yes, this conflict could possibly go on for years to the comparatively greater detriment of the Kiev regime, combined with a Western public whose enthusiasm for that enterprise could understandably decrease over time.

    , @QCIC
    @Greasy William

    Russia can shut down Ukraine's serious resistance permanently by taking out 5 power plants, 15 bridges, 5 gas compressor stations. Maybe runway bomb 3 airports. This would be a serious "strike package" but much less than what she has delivered in the past 6 months across the country.

    If the West were attacking a country this might all happen the first month. Russia has not done this because she doesn't want to and it doesn't accomplish her war goals.

    +++

    What are the results of the Russian strikes on the port of Odessa?

    Replies: @sudden death

  286. It looks like Strelkov just has been detained, but not clear for how long he won’t be released. Surely, he deserves to be thrown in jail for years just for civilian murders in Slavyansk (e.g. group of local pentecostal protestants), but the timing is bit unfortunate these days if his concise writing about miltary news of the fronts will be unavailable anymore;)

    On a warm June morning, a dozen masked, armed men burst into the Church of the Transfiguration in the Ukrainian town of Slaviansk, demanding to know who among its 300 congregants owned the four expensive vehicles parked in front.

    Four men stepped forward – the church priest’s two grown sons, Ruvim and Albert Pavenko, and two deacons, Victor Brodarsky and Vladimir Velichko – and were quickly hustled out of the large, Soviet-era edifice, thrust into their cars, and forced to drive away with the rebels. After 35 agonizing days of searching came evidence that all four were dead.

    The murder of these men, and the discovery of their bodies at a mass grave near an old war memorial, may prove one of the most cold-blooded acts in a conflict that has so far taken hundreds of lives – showing in one terrifying move how the rebels cemented a mechanism of intimidation in Slaviansk.

    The rebels who occupied Slaviansk for nearly three months fled on July 5, moving the center of gravity of their self-declared “Donetsk People’s Republic” south to the city of Donetsk, and finally enabling inquiry into the mysterious fate of four respected members of the town’s small Protestant community.

    https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2014/0812/A-Ukrainian-murder-mystery-ensnares-a-church-in-former-rebel-stronghold

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @sudden death

    Protestant community?


    Church of the Transfiguration...the church priest’s two grown sons, Ruvim and Albert Pavenko, and two deacons
     

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  287. @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    Kind of ridiculous when you consider that his nemesis is a Jew who had family destroyed during the Holocaust?
     
    Azov and Poroshenko's threat to overthrow Zelensky was all that stopped him making a deal similar to Minsk 2 in 2019. Zelensky was not elected saying he would be Putin's Nemesis he won the Presidency on a platform of compromise over Ukraine's Nato aspirations and re establishing control over the Donbass. Fear of Nazis (and Poroshenko) is what made Zelensky lead Ukraine into the soup. And the Ukrainian Minister of Defence is Jewish too by the way.

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations
     
    You seem reluctant to admit that Russian is spoken in Ukraine primarily because there are many millions of ethnic Russian Ukrainians. (not counting the two Russian speakers who are Putin's Nemesis because ethnic Ukrainians are not intelligent enough to run their own country).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Zelensky was not elected saying he would be Putin’s Nemesis he won the Presidency on a platform of compromise over Ukraine’s Nato aspirations and re establishing control over the Donbass.

    So why didn’t Putler take advantage of this great opportunity and reach out and meet with him to try and work things out? I don’t ever recall Putler congratulating Zelenski with his victory or state that he was looking forward to meeting with him in the near future?

    You seem reluctant to admit that Russian is spoken in Ukraine primarily because there are many millions of ethnic Russian Ukrainians. (not counting the two Russian speakers who are Putin’s Nemesis because ethnic Ukrainians are not intelligent enough to run their own country).

    Not at all. At one time there was somewhere between 6-10 million ethnic Russians living in Ukraine. But today, because of real ethnic blurring and the negative feelings of being associated with Russia, there are probably no more than 3-4 million ethnic Russians left. Perhaps a million or more have moved back to Russia as a result of the war too. As most Ukrainians are still supporting Zelensky’s war time consiglieri role, I don’t follow your unnecessary dig at Ukrainians not being “intelligent enough to run their own country.” Questioning a Jew’s loyalty to the country in which he was born and lives in is a throwback to another era and is largely a false negative stereotype. His wife is 100% Ukrainian and is proud of her heritage and always exhibits her Ukrainian patriotic feelings. You did watch and listen to Zelenky’s stirring and very patriotic speech given within the St. Sophia Cathedral that I posted above?

    My quote above still holds 100% true. I challenge you to reread it and try to prove me wrong:

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    So why didn’t Putler take advantage of this great opportunity and reach out and meet with him to try and work things out? I don’t ever recall Putler congratulating Zelenski with his victory or state that he was looking forward to meeting with him in the near future?
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=du2DjJEtc0k

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine
     
    What did Ukraine gain? It proved that Putin does not make idle threats, and punished Ukraine. Post 2019 the Russians immediately began making none to subtle threat to invade even more of Ukraine, and were ignored. The reason Zelensky did not make concessions in Paris was Azov and Proshenko would have had another 2014 in 2019 and overthrow him before he even returned from France. Zelensky was elected promising he'd end the Donbass conflict, but that did a switch to the opposite policy. From being regarded as an inexperienced lightweight he got to be seen in the Western world as a tremendous war leader. Russia is a bully, everyone knows that, but from where did Ukraine get the idea Putin was a bluffer?

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  288. @sudden death
    It looks like Strelkov just has been detained, but not clear for how long he won't be released. Surely, he deserves to be thrown in jail for years just for civilian murders in Slavyansk (e.g. group of local pentecostal protestants), but the timing is bit unfortunate these days if his concise writing about miltary news of the fronts will be unavailable anymore;)

    On a warm June morning, a dozen masked, armed men burst into the Church of the Transfiguration in the Ukrainian town of Slaviansk, demanding to know who among its 300 congregants owned the four expensive vehicles parked in front.

    Four men stepped forward – the church priest’s two grown sons, Ruvim and Albert Pavenko, and two deacons, Victor Brodarsky and Vladimir Velichko – and were quickly hustled out of the large, Soviet-era edifice, thrust into their cars, and forced to drive away with the rebels. After 35 agonizing days of searching came evidence that all four were dead.

    The murder of these men, and the discovery of their bodies at a mass grave near an old war memorial, may prove one of the most cold-blooded acts in a conflict that has so far taken hundreds of lives – showing in one terrifying move how the rebels cemented a mechanism of intimidation in Slaviansk.

    The rebels who occupied Slaviansk for nearly three months fled on July 5, moving the center of gravity of their self-declared “Donetsk People’s Republic” south to the city of Donetsk, and finally enabling inquiry into the mysterious fate of four respected members of the town’s small Protestant community.
     

    https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2014/0812/A-Ukrainian-murder-mystery-ensnares-a-church-in-former-rebel-stronghold

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Protestant community?

    Church of the Transfiguration…the church priest’s two grown sons, Ruvim and Albert Pavenko, and two deacons

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    This tragic and unnecessary incident is just one more example of dumbass Russian meddling and sinister neighborly relations between Russia and formerly Russia friendly Eastern Ukraine. A subject that those like Mike Averko have invested countless of useless hours promoting over the years - these sorts really do look like dumbasses today. :-(

    Kumbaya Mickey?

  289. I love the internet.

    reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/1551o74/argentinas_official_map/

  290. @Mr. Hack
    @sudden death

    Protestant community?


    Church of the Transfiguration...the church priest’s two grown sons, Ruvim and Albert Pavenko, and two deacons
     

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    This tragic and unnecessary incident is just one more example of dumbass Russian meddling and sinister neighborly relations between Russia and formerly Russia friendly Eastern Ukraine. A subject that those like Mike Averko have invested countless of useless hours promoting over the years – these sorts really do look like dumbasses today. 🙁

    Kumbaya Mickey?

  291. A123 says: • Website
    @Greasy William
    good Ritter interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3HmqGVfRvY

    Yeah, Ritter is a shill, he's on the Kremlin payroll, he's been ludicrously wrong at multiple points in this conflict and he often doesn't seem to be in strong touch with reality, but this interview was still worthwhile.

    If you read between the lines, he essentially admits that Russia has given up on forcing a military decision on the conflict because it simply does not have the combat power to do so. Nor does Russia have the political ability, internally, to fully mobilize for war at this time.

    The Russian milbloggers are saying that Russia will seek to retake Kharkov after the Ukrainian offensive ends, but this interview convinced me that Russia will attempt no such thing. The Russians are probably playing with it as an option in case Ukraine appears to be on the brink of collapse, but ultimately I don't think Russia will attempt any more large scale offensives for at least a few years.

    I think even pro Ukrainian people have a tendency to underestimate just how strong Ukraine is. Ukraine could easily maintain its current offensive operations for another year or so. Since the Ukrainians have shifted their tactics after the first couple of weeks of the offensive, Ukrainian equipment losses haven't really been that bad. The Ukrainians are losing a lot of guys but probably only 10k a month at most. But Ukraine can absorb the loss of at least 500k troops without too much impact and right now their irrecoverable losses are likely less than half of that. Meanwhile Russia has just as much difficulty replacing its own losses.

    Right now it looks like a stalemated war of attrition. The only possibility I could see of breaking the stalemate would be for the US to build Ukraine a modern airforce with 600 front line fighters along with hundreds more combat helicopters. And while certainly the US has the money and political will to do that, building such a force would take years. The US even attempting to build such a force also might be enough to cause Russia to mobilize fully and for China to expand it's assistance to Russia.

    Replies: @A123, @Mikhail, @QCIC

    Ukraine could easily maintain its current offensive operations for another year or so.

    Only if the stream of foreign cash and war material continues at a rate of about €100B/year.

    That dependency is getting worse. The price Ukie farmers are receiving is plummeting. Yes. Consumer prices are up. However, economics show that the fraction being chewed up by intermediaries is expanding.

    Russia has given up on forcing a military decision on the conflict because it simply does not have the combat power to do so.

    Russia is not pushing an offensive because they are generating a ~5:1 casualty rate while the Ukies are on futile offensives. If you do not like that number and say that Kiev is losing only 3:1, it is still helpful for Russia to stay on defense.

    Furthermore, America is repudiating Not-The-President Biden. There will be much less U.S. money in the future. The upcoming election cycle guarantees it. Look how badly Pence was steamrollered by what should have been a friendly gathering. It was not just Carlson as the questioner. The Christian Populist audience opposed the idea of senseless foreign wars.

    Will Paris and Berlin provide €100B/year? Even €50B/year? If not, Putin can win largely by waiting rather than shooting. Time is on Russia’s side.

    PEACE 😇

  292. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Barbarossa

    I pretty much have accepted lately that the world will die, and most people with it (metaphorically or literally), and that has brought me much peace. There simply is no future on the path we are currently on, and yet most people will not "wake up" - they will stubbornly cling to the poison that is killing them. I see modern ways of looking at the world destroying members of my own family and good friends, and nothing I have said has made the slightest bit of difference. They see me joyfull and thriving, enjoying my life of adventure and purpose, and themselves depressed and anxious, nihilistic and without meaning, and and yet to them, I am the poor deluded fool, with my crackpot ideas - everyone "knows" life is meaningless and the best life is to stay safe and survive as long as possible, miserably. That's the "smart" thing, that "smart" people do - I sometimes feel they look at me pityingly as some sort of mental deficient, in a puzzling way they can't really explain as in terms of formal intelligence they cannot pretend to themselves I'm stupider than they, and I am left facing a solid brick wall of smug dismissiveness of anything I might say that there is simply no way of penetrating.

    But against stupidity, even the Gods strive in vain, as it's been said, and the collapse of higher intelligence in our time has no antidote that I know of.

    A few years ago on this site I thought it was genuinely possible to stem the tide, but now I know better. And yet, I am strangely bouyant and optimistic and at peace :)

    I no longer want to "save" the world, which is ridiculously hubristic anyways (but perhaps big dreams can be good sometimes), and am now directing my efforts to living rightly myself and finding like minded people to do so with, anywhere in the world.

    The way I see it, I have a responsibility to the world to live rightly and well - at least this human will live a life of adventure and romance and beauty, as much as he can. I now see that that is far more important than arguing with people and trying to convince them. The time is short, and the task large :)

    Anatoly's "elite human capital" are living on borrowed time - they are the last fumes of a spent global civilization, realizing the last absurd implications of the machine civilization that began 500 years ago, carried aloft on a blind momentum that is in its final stages, before it all collapses in nihilism and loss of the will to live.

    But I see many new shoots sprouting up everywhere! The first green shoots of a new mentality and new culture, that will in time ripen into fruit amid the ruins of the old civilization. Creative renewal, it turns out, is not a process of rehabilitating what is dying, as I thought - but building the new amid the ruins, as one sees the first green seedlings sprout in a burned forest, which I've repeatedly been struck by on my recent hikes.


    But, to your point, these are people with a very strong higher narrative. That’s a funny paradox isn’t it? Putting ourselves as the center and arbiter of reality is ultimately and totally enervating. From god to slave to one’s own weakness in one quick arc, huh?

     

    Yep, the thing that was supposed to make us flourish as never before - narrow minded selfishness - ended up cutting us off from the sources of vitality and killing us. Precisely because machine culture cannot understand paradox, which is one of the laws of life.

    Owen Barfield said some 50 years ago that it is a strange paradox that the more we gain control over the world, the more we lose any sense of meaning in life - machine civilization, whose purpose was to gain maximum control in order to secure our survival for all time, ended up losing any reason to live at all. And that is a nice paradox.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Although I agree with much of what you have to say about “machine culture” and its inability to provide any true meaning for living life, I still question your eclectic mix of hedonism and asceticism. At times, it appears that you’ve concocted a whimsical smorgasoboard of seemingly incompatibe elements of epicureanism and different sorts of religious mysticism, and I’m not questioning your right to do so. I’m just not convinced that this approach is really serious, or just a youthful expression of momentary delight and another form of Western bohemianism. Please don’t take this mild criticism as being pointed specifically at you, as I’ve toyed with these sorts of approaches too, for a good portion of my life. Consider:

    There is a path before each person that seems right, but it ends in death.

    Proverbs 14 12

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mr. Hack

    It's a good question, and I'm not at all offended by you asking it.

    My guiding approach is pragmatism - what "works", and I believe this is the true religious approach. Theory comes after. Jesus said - by their fruits ye shall know them, the good tree brings good fruit, and the bad tree bad. Galatians has a beautiful litany of the joyful fruits of the spirit. The Buddha said living wrongly brings clear pain as it's result. I use pain as my guide, and joy. My life is a constant experiment.

    What increases love, kindness, compassion, joy, peace, contentment, vitality, appreciation for beauty and wonder - that is good.

    I am often extremely puzzled that people double down and stick to systems that are clearly making them miserable and angry. Many people try and convert you to their attitudes and beliefs without realizing they are walking cautionary tales against them.

    I think the task before every generation is to adapt the great timeless spiritual truths to their particular situation. So my religious approach echoes ancient approaches but reflects the opportunities of our time.

    You're correct to notice that my approach combines elements of enjoying the good things of this world with a willing surrender of comfort and luxury and even security. In a way this reflects the medieval pattern of feast and fast, joyful celebration and periods of deprivation that themselves lead to a kind of joy - and the modern world does not know what all religions know, that deprivation and giving up worldly things can lead to immense joy.

    I think both are elements of the religious life, and reflect the Christian notion that God created a good world, but it became corrupted and is in need of redemption. Yet the goodness of God still gleams through the corruption. So we embrace what is good in this world, but lightly, and never forget that ultimately what entices us here are gleams from another dimension, and we need to transcend this realm, and we must not get too attached to anything here.

    In a way this is the Middle Path. Extremes are often easier than the middle path. Some monastic literature, both Christian and Buddhist, give laudatory examples of monks meditating so earnestly that they become permanently indifferent to the beauty of nature where they dwell, as if this is a good thing - to me this is a profound mistake, and a level of world-rejection that has gone too far and is close to a rejection of God.

    I think in the end true religion must be a matter of ultimate joy - in every religion once you get to the bottom of it, God created this world for happiness and joy, it is the dance of Shiva, the play of Brahman, or the good world created by the God of Love for the pure enjoyment of Himself and his creatures. Nevertheless, since corruption has entered the world, the Light is obscured and only fitfully gleams through, and many forces seek to turn us away from the Glory and towards a fearful obsession with our own petty individual survival, and towards an embrace of this world for its own sake and not for the transcendent that gleams through it.

    And in the end that is what it comes down to - we mustn't embrace this world for its own sake but for the transcendent that shines through it's fractured state, and always remember this world is transient and our true home is in that transcendence. The beauty of nature that hits me so powerfully is not a mere matter of stone and tree and river, mere "things", but the divine Glory shines through it.

    Remember, I am a panentheist - God is in everything.

    This attitude isn't youthful exuberance - I'm not a young man anymore, I'm in my 40s. In fact in my youth I was too somber and earnest, and this attitude of non-attached joy was something I had to earn with difficulty. It is the ripe fruit of age and suffering, and I must fight hard constantly to maintain it - the "serious" modern world constantly tries to drag you down into forgetfulness of transcendence and a grim preoccupation with this world for its own sake. The spiritual battle never ends.

    I am also not saying that that my religious approach is in any way perfect or even final - I do my best, but make constant mistakes, lose and recover the Light on a regular basis, am weak and infirm all the time, betray my values and ideals regularly, fall into depression, become overly attached - and my approach is also in a constant state of evolution as I deepen my understanding. I don't really believe in rigid "systems", but in a flexible approach that looks to reality itself in all it's strange and often seemingly contradictory diversity.

    And in the end, my emphasis is on what "works" - I am a pragmatist in that way, like the Buddha. Theory comes after and is less important.

    I am sure I am making many mistakes, and my innate frailties are leading me down many wrong paths.

    As I grow older I will likely lean more towards asceticism in that stage of my life.

    Well, I'm sure this has left you even more confused than at the beginning! :)

    I am sorry I could not give a better answer...

  293. S says:
    @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics. He has far less confidence in the purported rigors of genetics than most presenters. I am a dilettante but I think Cavalli-Sforza in 1990 was way ahead of Reich in 2020.

    http://www.macroevolution.net/human-origins.html

    I haven't seen that video but I have read a bunch of McCarthy's pages.

    Replies: @S, @songbird

    Has Emil watched this vid about the theory of humans being the result of bonobo/pig hybridization?

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics.

    Eugene McCarthy must have taken Bill the Butcher’s basic anatomy class.

    One can learn a lot from a butcher. 🙂

    ‘The nearest thing in nature to the flesh of a man, is the flesh of a pig!’

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @S

    Tom Harrisson reported that people taste like pork.

    https://www.abebooks.com/9780404141349/Living-Among-Cannibals-Tom-Harrisson-040414134X/plp

    Replies: @S

  294. @Greasy William
    good Ritter interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3HmqGVfRvY

    Yeah, Ritter is a shill, he's on the Kremlin payroll, he's been ludicrously wrong at multiple points in this conflict and he often doesn't seem to be in strong touch with reality, but this interview was still worthwhile.

    If you read between the lines, he essentially admits that Russia has given up on forcing a military decision on the conflict because it simply does not have the combat power to do so. Nor does Russia have the political ability, internally, to fully mobilize for war at this time.

    The Russian milbloggers are saying that Russia will seek to retake Kharkov after the Ukrainian offensive ends, but this interview convinced me that Russia will attempt no such thing. The Russians are probably playing with it as an option in case Ukraine appears to be on the brink of collapse, but ultimately I don't think Russia will attempt any more large scale offensives for at least a few years.

    I think even pro Ukrainian people have a tendency to underestimate just how strong Ukraine is. Ukraine could easily maintain its current offensive operations for another year or so. Since the Ukrainians have shifted their tactics after the first couple of weeks of the offensive, Ukrainian equipment losses haven't really been that bad. The Ukrainians are losing a lot of guys but probably only 10k a month at most. But Ukraine can absorb the loss of at least 500k troops without too much impact and right now their irrecoverable losses are likely less than half of that. Meanwhile Russia has just as much difficulty replacing its own losses.

    Right now it looks like a stalemated war of attrition. The only possibility I could see of breaking the stalemate would be for the US to build Ukraine a modern airforce with 600 front line fighters along with hundreds more combat helicopters. And while certainly the US has the money and political will to do that, building such a force would take years. The US even attempting to build such a force also might be enough to cause Russia to mobilize fully and for China to expand it's assistance to Russia.

    Replies: @A123, @Mikhail, @QCIC

    Since 2/24/22, the Kiev regime has lost territory, in addition to losing more military personnel and equipment than Russia. The collective West’s attempt to punish Russia has had a boomerang effect. Yes, this conflict could possibly go on for years to the comparatively greater detriment of the Kiev regime, combined with a Western public whose enthusiasm for that enterprise could understandably decrease over time.

    • Disagree: Mr. Hack
  295. Ukrainian Journalist “Shocked” by New Poll

    At the 17:35 mark regarding an aspect of Ukraine that’s continuously downplayed by the Western establishment –

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mikhail

    The title at that video could be: The ability of Ukrainians to Distinguish Messages of Svido, Neocon-Neolib Propaganda

    , @QCIC
    @Mikhail

    To the Ukie shills of Unz: Yer up!

    Replies: @Mikhail

  296. @Mikhail
    Ukrainian Journalist “Shocked” by New Poll

    At the 17:35 mark regarding an aspect of Ukraine that's continuously downplayed by the Western establishment -

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=frD1bk9tRX4

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC

    The title at that video could be: The ability of Ukrainians to Distinguish Messages of Svido, Neocon-Neolib Propaganda

    • Agree: Wielgus
  297. @Mr. Hack
    @Sean


    Zelensky was not elected saying he would be Putin’s Nemesis he won the Presidency on a platform of compromise over Ukraine’s Nato aspirations and re establishing control over the Donbass.
     
    So why didn't Putler take advantage of this great opportunity and reach out and meet with him to try and work things out? I don't ever recall Putler congratulating Zelenski with his victory or state that he was looking forward to meeting with him in the near future?

    You seem reluctant to admit that Russian is spoken in Ukraine primarily because there are many millions of ethnic Russian Ukrainians. (not counting the two Russian speakers who are Putin’s Nemesis because ethnic Ukrainians are not intelligent enough to run their own country).
     
    Not at all. At one time there was somewhere between 6-10 million ethnic Russians living in Ukraine. But today, because of real ethnic blurring and the negative feelings of being associated with Russia, there are probably no more than 3-4 million ethnic Russians left. Perhaps a million or more have moved back to Russia as a result of the war too. As most Ukrainians are still supporting Zelensky's war time consiglieri role, I don't follow your unnecessary dig at Ukrainians not being "intelligent enough to run their own country." Questioning a Jew's loyalty to the country in which he was born and lives in is a throwback to another era and is largely a false negative stereotype. His wife is 100% Ukrainian and is proud of her heritage and always exhibits her Ukrainian patriotic feelings. You did watch and listen to Zelenky's stirring and very patriotic speech given within the St. Sophia Cathedral that I posted above?

    My quote above still holds 100% true. I challenge you to reread it and try to prove me wrong:


    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine that often communicates in Russian and that has historically been the most Russia friendly area in Ukraine. Brilliant! Only a true dumbass would believe that what Russian troops have done in Eastern Ukraine is a positive step in forging good neighborly relations

     

    Replies: @Sean

    So why didn’t Putler take advantage of this great opportunity and reach out and meet with him to try and work things out? I don’t ever recall Putler congratulating Zelenski with his victory or state that he was looking forward to meeting with him in the near future?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=du2DjJEtc0k

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine

    What did Ukraine gain? It proved that Putin does not make idle threats, and punished Ukraine. Post 2019 the Russians immediately began making none to subtle threat to invade even more of Ukraine, and were ignored. The reason Zelensky did not make concessions in Paris was Azov and Proshenko would have had another 2014 in 2019 and overthrow him before he even returned from France. Zelensky was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict, but that did a switch to the opposite policy. From being regarded as an inexperienced lightweight he got to be seen in the Western world as a tremendous war leader. Russia is a bully, everyone knows that, but from where did Ukraine get the idea Putin was a bluffer?

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Sean

    Meeting with Putler in Paris was a good start. Was there a follow-up invitation by Putler to continue their talks in Moscow? Why wasn't there?


    Putin does not make idle threats, and punished Ukraine.
     
    Like Hitler did to Poland in 1939? We know how that ended.

    The reason Zelensky did not make concessions in Paris was Azov and Proshenko would have had another 2014 in 2019 and overthrow him before he even returned from France. Zelensky was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict, but that did a switch to the opposite policy.
     
    This is pure projection and fantasy on your part. Zelensky was still riding high off of a near unanimous and resounding defeat of Poroshenko in the election. His popularity back home was at an all time high. And as you even put it he "was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict" and this was well known. There is absolutely no indication that his performance in Paris was anything but a first step cautious exploratory meeting with Putler, and that he was not under any pressure from Poroshenko or anybody else to accept/deny any overtures made from Putler. And what exactly were those overtures made by Putler to Zelensky in Paris anyway?

    Replies: @Sean

  298. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It’s some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.
     
    Yes, you would be forgiven for thinking that it was a parody but it was a real story that you can find on any SLC newspaper from last Monday. To be fair, it's more like a 3-4 hour hike out and back if you take it easy and, as far as I'm concerned, people are very welcome to do it in 20 hours if they so wish. That is the beauty of the outdoors: freedom to do as you please outside of civilization. But this is the kind of hike that a 59 year old guy like this one once did 5 times in a row, so you get the idea of what we're talking about: https://www.summitpost.org/olympus-x5/627608

    Temperatures of 100F+ are not so frequent where I live but SLC gets them regularly multiple times every single summer. However, that is the threshold of what our authorities consider a heat wave and each time we get that forecast in Northern Utah, for example this coming weekend again, we are bombarded with ridiculous messages: Drink water before you feel thirsty! Stay in the shade or in an air conditioned space and avoid outdoor activities in the central hours of the day. Check that your neighbors are doing OK,... What should then people in Vegas or Yuma, 10-20 degrees warmer all summer long do?

    It can't be a coincidence that a time when authorities and mass media try to protect us and micromanage our daily lives in such a way is also a time when people have more depression and mental disorders than ever before. In fact, I think that you bring up a very interesting point with that PTSD story. It's a very serious matter that leads many people to misery and suicide, nothing to joke about at all. But what is it exactly, how does it differ from what people experienced in the past and how do social norms and expectations affect its prevalence and symptoms?

    Just a couple of points. Some summers ago I was taking a break in the shadow of my carport and all of a sudden two young women appeared asking if I had seen a Bengal cat. One of them, early twenties, showed me a picture and explained how important it was for her to find him because he was a trained "emotional support" animal (ESA) that she needed for her PTSD. They were offering a $1000 reward. Unfortunately, we could never find it but I know very well what an ESA is because my wife sells ESA kitties and they go like hot cookies. Their "emotional support training" consists on potty training and bringing them inside during the day before they turn wild so that they get socialized with humans, which being pets is not exactly hard. That's it.

    The other point is an article I once read explaining how PTSD is nothing new at all. Even the ancient Achilles myth includes the subject. But in WW2 they used to call it "battle fatigue" and the customary treatment was some weeks of relax before returning to the front. As far as I know (but I may be wrong) there is no record of a large amount of WW2 veterans commiting suicide or needing psychiatric treatment.

    Again, I know that PTSD is a very debilitating illness and who is to say that I won't suffer it myself at some point. But something in the modern world seems to make it worse than in the past.

    Replies: @QCIC

    Another WW2 term for PTSD was “shell shock” (or shocked) which evoked more of a real problem than “battle fatigue”. There may have been a blurry line between PTSD and concussions, though I think that blurring acknowledges that causing and even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @QCIC

    PTSD is for bugmen.

    See Junger Storm of Steel. It was magnificent.

    Ha ha just kidding.

    , @Mikel
    @QCIC


    even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.
     
    The way I see it, life is war. Fortunately, most of us are no longer sent by our lords/kings/congresscritters to burn people alive or open their skulls with maces so we're somewhat shielded from trauma but that doesn't change much the ultimate character of human life. We all see our loved ones pass away, sometimes victims of cruel diseases. Some of them survive the bane of cancer while others succumb to it, and others just disappear from our midst in a second, victims of a stroke or heart attack. But we see all our loved ones eventually die, except for those who find their fatal destiny after we have found our own, always lurking there in the shadows.

    I remember one insightful comment by Silviosilver explaining how in the modern world we are expected to process and make sense of all this on our own. Rather than confronting these implacable truths with the support of a community and myths/beliefs maintained for generations, we are encouraged to embrace the freedom to find our own belief system out of infinite choices and confront the carnage of life with our own devices. It's probably not surprising that we're all shell shocked and battle fatigued. Especially in a society that tries to protect us from the slightest discomfort and make us believe that... summer! is a huge hurdle that we can only survive by taking drastic measures such as staying close to an AC device while sipping water and electrolytes before we even feel thirsty.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  299. @QCIC
    @Mikel

    Another WW2 term for PTSD was "shell shock" (or shocked) which evoked more of a real problem than "battle fatigue". There may have been a blurry line between PTSD and concussions, though I think that blurring acknowledges that causing and even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikel

    PTSD is for bugmen.

    See Junger Storm of Steel. It was magnificent.

    Ha ha just kidding.

  300. @Greasy William
    good Ritter interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3HmqGVfRvY

    Yeah, Ritter is a shill, he's on the Kremlin payroll, he's been ludicrously wrong at multiple points in this conflict and he often doesn't seem to be in strong touch with reality, but this interview was still worthwhile.

    If you read between the lines, he essentially admits that Russia has given up on forcing a military decision on the conflict because it simply does not have the combat power to do so. Nor does Russia have the political ability, internally, to fully mobilize for war at this time.

    The Russian milbloggers are saying that Russia will seek to retake Kharkov after the Ukrainian offensive ends, but this interview convinced me that Russia will attempt no such thing. The Russians are probably playing with it as an option in case Ukraine appears to be on the brink of collapse, but ultimately I don't think Russia will attempt any more large scale offensives for at least a few years.

    I think even pro Ukrainian people have a tendency to underestimate just how strong Ukraine is. Ukraine could easily maintain its current offensive operations for another year or so. Since the Ukrainians have shifted their tactics after the first couple of weeks of the offensive, Ukrainian equipment losses haven't really been that bad. The Ukrainians are losing a lot of guys but probably only 10k a month at most. But Ukraine can absorb the loss of at least 500k troops without too much impact and right now their irrecoverable losses are likely less than half of that. Meanwhile Russia has just as much difficulty replacing its own losses.

    Right now it looks like a stalemated war of attrition. The only possibility I could see of breaking the stalemate would be for the US to build Ukraine a modern airforce with 600 front line fighters along with hundreds more combat helicopters. And while certainly the US has the money and political will to do that, building such a force would take years. The US even attempting to build such a force also might be enough to cause Russia to mobilize fully and for China to expand it's assistance to Russia.

    Replies: @A123, @Mikhail, @QCIC

    Russia can shut down Ukraine’s serious resistance permanently by taking out 5 power plants, 15 bridges, 5 gas compressor stations. Maybe runway bomb 3 airports. This would be a serious “strike package” but much less than what she has delivered in the past 6 months across the country.

    If the West were attacking a country this might all happen the first month. Russia has not done this because she doesn’t want to and it doesn’t accomplish her war goals.

    +++

    What are the results of the Russian strikes on the port of Odessa?

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @QCIC

    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you're so frequently boasting about - it's the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.

    Therefore it's not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC

  301. @S
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Has Emil watched this vid about the theory of humans being the result of bonobo/pig hybridization?

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics.
     

     
    Eugene McCarthy must have taken Bill the Butcher's basic anatomy class.

    One can learn a lot from a butcher. :-)

    'The nearest thing in nature to the flesh of a man, is the flesh of a pig!'

    https://youtu.be/vV_Q7YaFpSM

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    • Replies: @S
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Tom Harrisson reported that people taste like pork.
     
    That's too much information! :-D

    The chimpanzee/pig hybrid hypothesis is interesting.

    From McCarthy's website:

    In fact, there seems to be absolutely nothing to support the idea that inter-ordinal crosses (such as a cross between a primate and a nonprimate) are impossible, except what Thomas Huxley termed “the general and natural belief that deliberate and reiterated assertions must have some foundation.”
     
    I appreciate McCarthy's point here about how there is little original thought that takes place.

    Instead, with humans there is a lot of follow the herd/tribe, keep one's head down, and go with the time tested flow 'group think', and (hopefully) no one gets hurt, which along with other mammals maybe somewhat hardwired in to the human thought process as some sort of a primal instinctive survival thing.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  302. @Mikhail
    Ukrainian Journalist “Shocked” by New Poll

    At the 17:35 mark regarding an aspect of Ukraine that's continuously downplayed by the Western establishment -

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=frD1bk9tRX4

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC

    To the Ukie shills of Unz: Yer up!

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @QCIC

    Its featured guest Lev Golinkin made an overly general and inaccurate neocon, neolib, svido handshakeworthy comment about the history of Ukraine under the Soviets and Russian Empire.

    A follow-up to Golinkin notes that the Soviet Union made it possible for Ukraine to achieve a large border it never had. In the late 1920s, there was a linguistic Ukrainianization campaign in the Ukrainian SSR which Alexander Solzhenitsyn negatively noted. Soviet oppression was by no means related to just one republic.

    A pre-WW I Russian Empire census acknowledged that Ukrainian was widely spoken. In the late 1870s, there was a Ukrainian language censorship period (later stopped) that was initiated in response to anti-Russian Ukrainian language material coming from the Austro-Hungarian Empire. A pro-Russian, Russian Empire based Ukrainian brought this to the attention of the Russian authorities. That last point is noted by Orest Subtelny in his book covering Ukrainian history. This situation happened during a period when global tolerance for minorities within an empire had limits when compared to present day expectation.

    Meantime, it wasn't as if the Russian Empire wasn't changing.

  303. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.
     
    Turkey turned hostile towards Russia due to the USSR's post-WWII territorial claims on it. Sound familiar?

    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR
     
    Ukraine could have eventually tried doing an Operation Storm on the Donbass, but if Russian troops were sent to the Donbass as peacekeepers, then the risk of this should have fallen to near-zero since Ukraine wouldn't have wanted a guaranteed war with Russia and risking getting a repeat of Georgia in 2008. Had Russia outright annexed the Donbass as well, the risk of a Ukrainian Operation Storm would have been even less, though this would have also made it easier for Ukraine to join NATO, though likely opposition to this move among some NATO members would have remained in the absence of the current Russo-Ukrainian War.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    Ukraine could have eventually tried doing an Operation Storm on the Donbass, but if Russian troops were sent to the Donbass as peacekeepers, then the risk of this should have fallen to near-zero since Ukraine wouldn’t have wanted a guaranteed war with Russia and risking getting a repeat of Georgia in 2008.

    They should have done a special forces led attack right away. Same for Crimea. Putin swore that the little green men weren’t his so Ukraine should have assumed they were hostile space aliens. Trying to avoid blood over Crimea only encouraged Putin.

    In such a scenario Ukraine still would not have gained the votes of France or Germany. In fact the only scenario where Ukraine gains NATO support from France is through a Russian invasion.

    But this doesn’t matter as the war isn’t about NATO. It’s about Putin playing conqueror in his last days and trying to add the GDP/population of Ukraine to Russia in order to bring it closer to its previous size of influence. Would he like Ukraine out of NATO permanently? Well sure but what he really wanted was for Ukrainians to become Russians. Russia’s GDP is about the size of Canada and Ukraine was the technological center of the USSR. There are clear economic benefits from taking Ukraine. Putin thought he could take it all in a decapitation attack and that the West would eventually accept the new lines.

    In today’s news Igor Girkin was arrested:
    https://www.ft.com/content/ac38478b-6e14-406f-8ee4-e13967333720

    Probably shouldn’t call the dwarf a war dunce while still in Russia. I guess he mistakenly assumed that fighting against Ukraine gave him protection from window drops.

    The dwarf will murder anyone that dares to insult his glorious war. Here is Igor Girkin’s last comment:

    The country cannot survive another six years of this cowardly low-life in power.

    – formerly pro-Putin DPR separatist leader Igor Girkin

  304. Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-russia-hikes-rates-by-a-full-point-as-country-struggles-to-find-workers-after-sending-men-to-fight-9045281b

    Huh that’s odd.

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia’s infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.

    It seems that Russia is actually short on male workers. How is this is possible? I will assume MacGregor and Ritter are somehow correct in the face of contradictory evidence because that is emotionally comforting to my assumptions. Does anyone have an alternative explanation involving Jews or something?

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers

    ...

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia’s infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.
     
    1. Russia has very serious problems but the labor shortage is mainly the result of the sudden and massive expansion of both the military and the arms industry

    2. Nobody disputes that MacGregor and Ritter are idiots

    3. Russian personnel losses are severe but certainly no greater than the losses of Ukraine

    4. Russia has an effective population size over 4x greater than that of Ukraine, so Russia is, theoretically, better able to absorb losses of military personnel over the long term

    5. Ukraine, not Russia, is the country that is engaging in mass press ganging to fill out their ranks and such measures appear to becoming more draconian with time

    6. We know that Ukraine has sent some underaged boys as well as some old men to the front, even if this doesn't seem to be widespread at this time

    7. Ukraine has begun seriously exploring the use of women soldiers in frontline combat

    8. Ukraine has begun mandatory training of 12 and 13 year olds for basic combat skills


    I agree that Ukraine is nowhere near collapse and I will also agree that Russia has extremely serious problems of its own, but the struggles of Ukraine are very real

    Replies: @Sean, @QCIC

    , @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Yeah, this labor shortage is surprising considering the West is waging a full pre-War against Russia as a prelude to World War Three. It is really shocking that her economy is not in perfect health. Really shocking. /sarc

    Let's see, Russia is:

    --Expanding the base Army
    --Sending more troops to the war zone
    --Taking significant casualties
    --Likely increasing civil defense forces
    --Producing war materiel 24/7
    --Celebrating that several million rootless cosmopolitans left the country.

    Yes, it is really insightful to point out they might have labor shortages.

    This is another great move by the West. Force the Russian economy to go to a full war footing. Then it will be natural for her to fight future wars to keep the Ruble Wurlitzer humming. Just like the Dollar. Great job, morons.

    I wonder how this economic reprioritization impacts the Oligarchs and NoviOps?

    Replies: @John Johnson

  305. @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    So why didn’t Putler take advantage of this great opportunity and reach out and meet with him to try and work things out? I don’t ever recall Putler congratulating Zelenski with his victory or state that he was looking forward to meeting with him in the near future?
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=du2DjJEtc0k

    Russia’s bloody hand to hand combat has served what goal, other than to alienate a large swath of Ukraine
     
    What did Ukraine gain? It proved that Putin does not make idle threats, and punished Ukraine. Post 2019 the Russians immediately began making none to subtle threat to invade even more of Ukraine, and were ignored. The reason Zelensky did not make concessions in Paris was Azov and Proshenko would have had another 2014 in 2019 and overthrow him before he even returned from France. Zelensky was elected promising he'd end the Donbass conflict, but that did a switch to the opposite policy. From being regarded as an inexperienced lightweight he got to be seen in the Western world as a tremendous war leader. Russia is a bully, everyone knows that, but from where did Ukraine get the idea Putin was a bluffer?

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Meeting with Putler in Paris was a good start. Was there a follow-up invitation by Putler to continue their talks in Moscow? Why wasn’t there?

    Putin does not make idle threats, and punished Ukraine.

    Like Hitler did to Poland in 1939? We know how that ended.

    The reason Zelensky did not make concessions in Paris was Azov and Proshenko would have had another 2014 in 2019 and overthrow him before he even returned from France. Zelensky was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict, but that did a switch to the opposite policy.

    This is pure projection and fantasy on your part. Zelensky was still riding high off of a near unanimous and resounding defeat of Poroshenko in the election. His popularity back home was at an all time high. And as you even put it he “was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict” and this was well known. There is absolutely no indication that his performance in Paris was anything but a first step cautious exploratory meeting with Putler, and that he was not under any pressure from Poroshenko or anybody else to accept/deny any overtures made from Putler. And what exactly were those overtures made by Putler to Zelensky in Paris anyway?

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-rally-over-fears-of-capitulation-to-russia-at-paris-summit/a-51579648

    Thousands of Ukrainians gathered in Kyiv on Sunday fearing a "capitulation" to Russia ahead of peace talks between the leaders of the two nations — Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Vladimir Putin — at a summit in Paris that begins tomorrow. [...] While Moscow may also be seeking peace, there are concerns in Ukraine that Zelenskiy could cede too much ground to his opponent. As a result, Kyiv was packed with protesters holding placards with slogans such as "No to capitulation," "Stay away from Moscow" and "Russian gas is a noose around our necks" during the rally, led by some of Zelenskiy's political opponents.

    The president's predecessor, Petro Poroshenko, who led Ukraine after Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea and the breakout of the separatist conflict with backing from Moscow, was among those who called the protest.
     
    Poroshenko was the main organiser of the Orange Revolution and the Revolution of Dignity; Azov was also present at the demos and Zelenskiy was told if he made concessions in Paris he would return as an ex president. It is true he won on a landslide, but he quickly ran into trouble and not just in foriegn policy. Then came the change and he transformed himself into a hard line nationalist and had Poroshenko charged with a score of criminal offences including treason (for collusion with the Russians of all things).

    Russia never put Crimea on the table, but was willing to give the rebel territory in the Donbass back if it got autonomy and in effect a veto over Ukraine as a whole joining Nato. Zelenskiy seems to have thought that America's Ukrainegate put him in a strong position to ignore Putin's threats to take much more of Ukraine, and keep it. It may be of some interest to remind ourselves just how little of non Crimea Ukraine Russia controlled untill 2022. I will put it behind a more tag as it may be a sensitive matter.

    https://static.dw.com/image/17567742_906.gif

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  306. S says:
    @Emil Nikola Richard
    @S

    Tom Harrisson reported that people taste like pork.

    https://www.abebooks.com/9780404141349/Living-Among-Cannibals-Tom-Harrisson-040414134X/plp

    Replies: @S

    Tom Harrisson reported that people taste like pork.

    That’s too much information! 😀

    The chimpanzee/pig hybrid hypothesis is interesting.

    From McCarthy’s website:

    In fact, there seems to be absolutely nothing to support the idea that inter-ordinal crosses (such as a cross between a primate and a nonprimate) are impossible, except what Thomas Huxley termed “the general and natural belief that deliberate and reiterated assertions must have some foundation.”

    I appreciate McCarthy’s point here about how there is little original thought that takes place.

    Instead, with humans there is a lot of follow the herd/tribe, keep one’s head down, and go with the time tested flow ‘group think’, and (hopefully) no one gets hurt, which along with other mammals maybe somewhat hardwired in to the human thought process as some sort of a primal instinctive survival thing.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @S

    To quote Christopher Hyatt, there is exactly one universal law.

    Obey!

  307. @S
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Tom Harrisson reported that people taste like pork.
     
    That's too much information! :-D

    The chimpanzee/pig hybrid hypothesis is interesting.

    From McCarthy's website:

    In fact, there seems to be absolutely nothing to support the idea that inter-ordinal crosses (such as a cross between a primate and a nonprimate) are impossible, except what Thomas Huxley termed “the general and natural belief that deliberate and reiterated assertions must have some foundation.”
     
    I appreciate McCarthy's point here about how there is little original thought that takes place.

    Instead, with humans there is a lot of follow the herd/tribe, keep one's head down, and go with the time tested flow 'group think', and (hopefully) no one gets hurt, which along with other mammals maybe somewhat hardwired in to the human thought process as some sort of a primal instinctive survival thing.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    To quote Christopher Hyatt, there is exactly one universal law.

    Obey!

    • Thanks: S
  308. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    Eugene McCarthy is the theoretician. He is a PhD genetics guy, not a random crackpot. Ano TN claims it is preposterous (not verbatim, but close enough). The feature of his story which appeals to me is his supporting evidence is mostly anatomy and physiology, not genetics. He has far less confidence in the purported rigors of genetics than most presenters. I am a dilettante but I think Cavalli-Sforza in 1990 was way ahead of Reich in 2020.

    http://www.macroevolution.net/human-origins.html

    I haven't seen that video but I have read a bunch of McCarthy's pages.

    Replies: @S, @songbird

    I enjoyed that bit where McCarthy was talking about how pigs are smarter than you’d expect based on brain-size because the way their skull has holes in it, to allow for greater vasculature to cool the brain and let it be more metabolically active.

    [MORE]

    I wonder if there are any transhumanists who would accept that mod. Might be handy, if you had malaria or something

    What they say about pigs opening gates is true. Have seen it myself.

    For my part, I’ve been pondering why pigs seem to live so long, if they were generally raised to be killed for their meat.

    Also, if it is possible that their domestication process was somehow different from other livestock.

    In ancient Ireland, the wife was generally given the runt of the litter to hand raise and 2/3 its meat was her property, in event of divorce. There are accounts of pigs following people everywhere they went, which suggests that some were like pets. Could the pet part of it have been bred into them at the same time the meat part was? A sort of two-pronged domestication. Or is all domestication more or less the same process?

    Trouble with testing wild boars is they all have pig genes. But that might be one for the archeo-DNA people. Are modern pigs smarter? Could we guess using human variants?

    • Replies: @S
    @songbird

    Just today I was reading at an animal rights blog that pigs have the intelligence of a three year old human child. If that's so, that's comparable to the intelligence of German shepherds, which are said to be pretty smart, and crows.

    , @S
    @songbird

    Even if they came back negative, it wouldn't preclude McCarthy's theory being ultimately correct, but I wonder if they have done any DNA tests on those modern examples of potential animal/human hybrids?

    Replies: @songbird

  309. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    We had the discussion about Nato plans for Ukraine and you comprehensively lost blabbing confused nonsense and denying that Nato announced since 2008 every year that “Ukraine will join Nato”…and Ukies put it in their Constitution. You only embarrass yourself by denying it.

    You still don't understand how it works. NATO cannot uniformly declare that Ukraine will join.

    You do not have an annual quote from anyone. Go ahead and show it.

    A member state representative can declare "Ukraine will join NATO" but that doesn't change the rules nor does it force a uniform vote. France and Germany were opposed to Ukraine joining before the war. Turkey was leaning towards voting no. The vote has to be 100% with no exceptions. This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Go ahead, let's see this annual quote.

    Ukraine did not qualify for NATO. You can't qualify with a contested border and LPR/DPR were contested areas. Mickey mouse, the pope and a US president all have an equal level of authority in being able to declare that Ukraine will be in NATO. There isn't a NATO president that can simply will in a member or change the rules. The votes aren't even weighted by population. Luxembourg and the US have the same number of votes: 1.

    But let's see your quotes. Give us 3 quotes if it was made annually as you claim. You won't be able to but here is an actual source from France going back to 2008.

    France will not back Ukraine and Georgia in NATO (2008)
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-france-ukraine/france-wont-back-ukraine-and-georgia-nato-bids-idUSL0115117020080401

    It was just explained by the MSM after the summit that Ukraine can't apply while they have a border in contention. Amazingly Putin's fans seem to think this is a new revelation.


    NATO has certainly expanded since this war started.
     
    Nato has expanded a lot more before the war. Look that up. Are you again denying the nose between your eyes? Finland has been de facto in Nato for decades, even indirectly participating in Nato wars. Why is that much of a change?

    Unlike you I understand NATO and its history. I am aware of the states that joined since 1991. Putin said that Finland's decision to join doesn't matter. Is he correct?

    What would have kept NATO to the members of 2021:
    1. Invade Ukraine and scare Finland and Sweden into joining
    2. Do nothing and Ukraine remains unqualified to due LPR/DPR

    We discussed Mariupol and you lost the argument so now you talk “Melitopol”.

    It went to Melitopol because Wokechoke also used his imagination and that is on record here. He didn't quote me directly and somehow imagined me talking about Melitopol and some other city.

    How did I lose the argument on Mariupol? I said I thought they should focus on Mariupol instead of Crimea due to the partisans. That really isn't an argument, it's a proposed strategy. Are you saying there aren't partisans in Mariupol? I provided a link showing that Russians are actively hunting them.

    he last pre-Maidan elections were in 2010-12, they were more open and freer than the 2014 or 2019 elections

    So you can't explain why DPR/LPR went for pro-Russian candidates while Melitopol did not. Instead of facing that reality that it isn't uniformly pro-Russian you keep going back to 2014.

    Zelensky had broad support because he ran on a neutral platform. Militia fighting was at a low in 2019. Much of Ukraine wanted to find a new path and that is why Zelesnky beat the pro-Western candidate.

    Your inability to understand ethnicity is either simple stupidity or you are a conscious lier: people can have parents and grandparents of different ethnicity

    I understand ethnicity. I don't believe you have the authority to speak of ethnic divisions in the area and their impact in politics. You are a random forum poster. Maybe you believe the divisions don't matter even though they were politically divided in 2019. I am skeptical of that belief but you clearly have a hard time with nuanced opinion. Putin defenders in fact commonly exhibit dichotomous thinking. Maybe that is what attracts you to the absolution of a dictator in the first place. You're uncomfortable with ambiguity and nuance. You want to believe in some simplified "bad West vs good dudez" narrative and tie yourself up in knots trying to believe that a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion is justified because you oppose the West. I also oppose the Western status quo but that doesn't mean I need to cheer for a 5'3 dictator and his unjust war.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC, @Beckow

    You can Google the Nato annual statements regarding “Ukraine will join Nato“, that reality is not in dispute – France-Germany agreed to it with a proviso “not yet…” That means nothing, it was a done deal before the war. Nato has no problem redefining its rules. Then Russia invaded and now it is impossible unless Kiev wins.

    Anyone who claims that US and Luxembourg have the same power in Nato is – what’s the word? – a moron. Or willing to lie for his cause. You said that, twice. That ends any rational discussion. (Long live Luxembourg!!!)

    This is in fact one of the reasons why Turkey was almost kept out. They have a history of siding with Russia.

    Turkey has a very long history of losing wars to Russia and joined Nato in 1952. “Kept out?” Are you insane?

    I also oppose the Western status quo

    Let’s focus: did you support the Nato wars on Serbia, Iraq, Afghan., Syria, Libya? Yes or no. If yes, there is no point in engaging. If not, what were the consequences for the aggressors? And ‘learning a lesson’ doesn’t count.

  310. @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I enjoyed that bit where McCarthy was talking about how pigs are smarter than you'd expect based on brain-size because the way their skull has holes in it, to allow for greater vasculature to cool the brain and let it be more metabolically active.

    I wonder if there are any transhumanists who would accept that mod. Might be handy, if you had malaria or something

    What they say about pigs opening gates is true. Have seen it myself.

    For my part, I've been pondering why pigs seem to live so long, if they were generally raised to be killed for their meat.

    Also, if it is possible that their domestication process was somehow different from other livestock.

    In ancient Ireland, the wife was generally given the runt of the litter to hand raise and 2/3 its meat was her property, in event of divorce. There are accounts of pigs following people everywhere they went, which suggests that some were like pets. Could the pet part of it have been bred into them at the same time the meat part was? A sort of two-pronged domestication. Or is all domestication more or less the same process?

    Trouble with testing wild boars is they all have pig genes. But that might be one for the archeo-DNA people. Are modern pigs smarter? Could we guess using human variants?

    Replies: @S, @S

    Just today I was reading at an animal rights blog that pigs have the intelligence of a three year old human child. If that’s so, that’s comparable to the intelligence of German shepherds, which are said to be pretty smart, and crows.

  311. @Mr. Hack
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Although I agree with much of what you have to say about "machine culture" and its inability to provide any true meaning for living life, I still question your eclectic mix of hedonism and asceticism. At times, it appears that you've concocted a whimsical smorgasoboard of seemingly incompatibe elements of epicureanism and different sorts of religious mysticism, and I'm not questioning your right to do so. I'm just not convinced that this approach is really serious, or just a youthful expression of momentary delight and another form of Western bohemianism. Please don't take this mild criticism as being pointed specifically at you, as I've toyed with these sorts of approaches too, for a good portion of my life. Consider:


    There is a path before each person that seems right, but it ends in death.
     
    Proverbs 14 12

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    It’s a good question, and I’m not at all offended by you asking it.

    My guiding approach is pragmatism – what “works”, and I believe this is the true religious approach. Theory comes after. Jesus said – by their fruits ye shall know them, the good tree brings good fruit, and the bad tree bad. Galatians has a beautiful litany of the joyful fruits of the spirit. The Buddha said living wrongly brings clear pain as it’s result. I use pain as my guide, and joy. My life is a constant experiment.

    What increases love, kindness, compassion, joy, peace, contentment, vitality, appreciation for beauty and wonder – that is good.

    I am often extremely puzzled that people double down and stick to systems that are clearly making them miserable and angry. Many people try and convert you to their attitudes and beliefs without realizing they are walking cautionary tales against them.

    I think the task before every generation is to adapt the great timeless spiritual truths to their particular situation. So my religious approach echoes ancient approaches but reflects the opportunities of our time.

    You’re correct to notice that my approach combines elements of enjoying the good things of this world with a willing surrender of comfort and luxury and even security. In a way this reflects the medieval pattern of feast and fast, joyful celebration and periods of deprivation that themselves lead to a kind of joy – and the modern world does not know what all religions know, that deprivation and giving up worldly things can lead to immense joy.

    I think both are elements of the religious life, and reflect the Christian notion that God created a good world, but it became corrupted and is in need of redemption. Yet the goodness of God still gleams through the corruption. So we embrace what is good in this world, but lightly, and never forget that ultimately what entices us here are gleams from another dimension, and we need to transcend this realm, and we must not get too attached to anything here.

    In a way this is the Middle Path. Extremes are often easier than the middle path. Some monastic literature, both Christian and Buddhist, give laudatory examples of monks meditating so earnestly that they become permanently indifferent to the beauty of nature where they dwell, as if this is a good thing – to me this is a profound mistake, and a level of world-rejection that has gone too far and is close to a rejection of God.

    I think in the end true religion must be a matter of ultimate joy – in every religion once you get to the bottom of it, God created this world for happiness and joy, it is the dance of Shiva, the play of Brahman, or the good world created by the God of Love for the pure enjoyment of Himself and his creatures. Nevertheless, since corruption has entered the world, the Light is obscured and only fitfully gleams through, and many forces seek to turn us away from the Glory and towards a fearful obsession with our own petty individual survival, and towards an embrace of this world for its own sake and not for the transcendent that gleams through it.

    And in the end that is what it comes down to – we mustn’t embrace this world for its own sake but for the transcendent that shines through it’s fractured state, and always remember this world is transient and our true home is in that transcendence. The beauty of nature that hits me so powerfully is not a mere matter of stone and tree and river, mere “things”, but the divine Glory shines through it.

    Remember, I am a panentheist – God is in everything.

    This attitude isn’t youthful exuberance – I’m not a young man anymore, I’m in my 40s. In fact in my youth I was too somber and earnest, and this attitude of non-attached joy was something I had to earn with difficulty. It is the ripe fruit of age and suffering, and I must fight hard constantly to maintain it – the “serious” modern world constantly tries to drag you down into forgetfulness of transcendence and a grim preoccupation with this world for its own sake. The spiritual battle never ends.

    I am also not saying that that my religious approach is in any way perfect or even final – I do my best, but make constant mistakes, lose and recover the Light on a regular basis, am weak and infirm all the time, betray my values and ideals regularly, fall into depression, become overly attached – and my approach is also in a constant state of evolution as I deepen my understanding. I don’t really believe in rigid “systems”, but in a flexible approach that looks to reality itself in all it’s strange and often seemingly contradictory diversity.

    And in the end, my emphasis is on what “works” – I am a pragmatist in that way, like the Buddha. Theory comes after and is less important.

    I am sure I am making many mistakes, and my innate frailties are leading me down many wrong paths.

    As I grow older I will likely lean more towards asceticism in that stage of my life.

    Well, I’m sure this has left you even more confused than at the beginning! 🙂

    I am sorry I could not give a better answer…

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack
  312. @QCIC
    @Mikhail

    To the Ukie shills of Unz: Yer up!

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Its featured guest Lev Golinkin made an overly general and inaccurate neocon, neolib, svido handshakeworthy comment about the history of Ukraine under the Soviets and Russian Empire.

    A follow-up to Golinkin notes that the Soviet Union made it possible for Ukraine to achieve a large border it never had. In the late 1920s, there was a linguistic Ukrainianization campaign in the Ukrainian SSR which Alexander Solzhenitsyn negatively noted. Soviet oppression was by no means related to just one republic.

    A pre-WW I Russian Empire census acknowledged that Ukrainian was widely spoken. In the late 1870s, there was a Ukrainian language censorship period (later stopped) that was initiated in response to anti-Russian Ukrainian language material coming from the Austro-Hungarian Empire. A pro-Russian, Russian Empire based Ukrainian brought this to the attention of the Russian authorities. That last point is noted by Orest Subtelny in his book covering Ukrainian history. This situation happened during a period when global tolerance for minorities within an empire had limits when compared to present day expectation.

    Meantime, it wasn’t as if the Russian Empire wasn’t changing.

  313. @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I enjoyed that bit where McCarthy was talking about how pigs are smarter than you'd expect based on brain-size because the way their skull has holes in it, to allow for greater vasculature to cool the brain and let it be more metabolically active.

    I wonder if there are any transhumanists who would accept that mod. Might be handy, if you had malaria or something

    What they say about pigs opening gates is true. Have seen it myself.

    For my part, I've been pondering why pigs seem to live so long, if they were generally raised to be killed for their meat.

    Also, if it is possible that their domestication process was somehow different from other livestock.

    In ancient Ireland, the wife was generally given the runt of the litter to hand raise and 2/3 its meat was her property, in event of divorce. There are accounts of pigs following people everywhere they went, which suggests that some were like pets. Could the pet part of it have been bred into them at the same time the meat part was? A sort of two-pronged domestication. Or is all domestication more or less the same process?

    Trouble with testing wild boars is they all have pig genes. But that might be one for the archeo-DNA people. Are modern pigs smarter? Could we guess using human variants?

    Replies: @S, @S

    Even if they came back negative, it wouldn’t preclude McCarthy’s theory being ultimately correct, but I wonder if they have done any DNA tests on those modern examples of potential animal/human hybrids?

    • Replies: @songbird
    @S

    Guessing they are all in formaldehyde, and that that coats the DNA making it impossible to unwind or unzip. But maybe some technique could be developed to still read it?

    At the very least, I would think there would be a way to look inside the nucleus and get some kind of rough count on how much DNA is in there. Maybe, how many chromosomes.

    I've seen a few freakish things in jars, but never anything as shocking as some of these reported hybrids.

    BTW, I'm for trying to create breeds of pigs for non-food purposes. I think they might potentially be very useful with their sense of smell, large body size, and relatively long lifespans.

    Replies: @S

  314. I appreciate you willing to share so much internal, spiritual and personal information about yourself. You are indeed a mature thinker and once again affirm why I value your insights here. “Keep on trucking” as was once often heard stated on the streets of America. 🙂

  315. @QCIC
    @Mikel

    Another WW2 term for PTSD was "shell shock" (or shocked) which evoked more of a real problem than "battle fatigue". There may have been a blurry line between PTSD and concussions, though I think that blurring acknowledges that causing and even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikel

    even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.

    The way I see it, life is war. Fortunately, most of us are no longer sent by our lords/kings/congresscritters to burn people alive or open their skulls with maces so we’re somewhat shielded from trauma but that doesn’t change much the ultimate character of human life. We all see our loved ones pass away, sometimes victims of cruel diseases. Some of them survive the bane of cancer while others succumb to it, and others just disappear from our midst in a second, victims of a stroke or heart attack. But we see all our loved ones eventually die, except for those who find their fatal destiny after we have found our own, always lurking there in the shadows.

    I remember one insightful comment by Silviosilver explaining how in the modern world we are expected to process and make sense of all this on our own. Rather than confronting these implacable truths with the support of a community and myths/beliefs maintained for generations, we are encouraged to embrace the freedom to find our own belief system out of infinite choices and confront the carnage of life with our own devices. It’s probably not surprising that we’re all shell shocked and battle fatigued. Especially in a society that tries to protect us from the slightest discomfort and make us believe that… summer! is a huge hurdle that we can only survive by taking drastic measures such as staying close to an AC device while sipping water and electrolytes before we even feel thirsty.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Apparently nobody ever heard of this guy:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aron_Ralston

    Replies: @Mikel

  316. @Mikel
    @QCIC


    even seeing the horrible deaths in war can damage a person as much as a concussion. It seems like a flame thrower guy might come back from combat a different man.
     
    The way I see it, life is war. Fortunately, most of us are no longer sent by our lords/kings/congresscritters to burn people alive or open their skulls with maces so we're somewhat shielded from trauma but that doesn't change much the ultimate character of human life. We all see our loved ones pass away, sometimes victims of cruel diseases. Some of them survive the bane of cancer while others succumb to it, and others just disappear from our midst in a second, victims of a stroke or heart attack. But we see all our loved ones eventually die, except for those who find their fatal destiny after we have found our own, always lurking there in the shadows.

    I remember one insightful comment by Silviosilver explaining how in the modern world we are expected to process and make sense of all this on our own. Rather than confronting these implacable truths with the support of a community and myths/beliefs maintained for generations, we are encouraged to embrace the freedom to find our own belief system out of infinite choices and confront the carnage of life with our own devices. It's probably not surprising that we're all shell shocked and battle fatigued. Especially in a society that tries to protect us from the slightest discomfort and make us believe that... summer! is a huge hurdle that we can only survive by taking drastic measures such as staying close to an AC device while sipping water and electrolytes before we even feel thirsty.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Apparently nobody ever heard of this guy:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aron_Ralston

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Mikel
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    There are still some real men left and he is definitely one of them.

    So this weekend we're expected to surpass the 100F mark again and here is what the NWS is asking me and everybody else in Northern Utah to do:


    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out
    of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young
    children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles
    under any circumstances.

    Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
    possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
    evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
    stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when
    possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational
    Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent
    rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone
    overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.
    Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.
     
    This is all almost the contrary of what I am planning to do and I strongly believe that doing so actually makes me and my family more capable of combating heat while enjoying summer as well.
  317. @John Johnson
    Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-russia-hikes-rates-by-a-full-point-as-country-struggles-to-find-workers-after-sending-men-to-fight-9045281b

    Huh that's odd.

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia's infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.

    It seems that Russia is actually short on male workers. How is this is possible? I will assume MacGregor and Ritter are somehow correct in the face of contradictory evidence because that is emotionally comforting to my assumptions. Does anyone have an alternative explanation involving Jews or something?

    Replies: @Greasy William, @QCIC

    Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia’s infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.

    1. Russia has very serious problems but the labor shortage is mainly the result of the sudden and massive expansion of both the military and the arms industry

    2. Nobody disputes that MacGregor and Ritter are idiots

    3. Russian personnel losses are severe but certainly no greater than the losses of Ukraine

    4. Russia has an effective population size over 4x greater than that of Ukraine, so Russia is, theoretically, better able to absorb losses of military personnel over the long term

    5. Ukraine, not Russia, is the country that is engaging in mass press ganging to fill out their ranks and such measures appear to becoming more draconian with time

    6. We know that Ukraine has sent some underaged boys as well as some old men to the front, even if this doesn’t seem to be widespread at this time

    7. Ukraine has begun seriously exploring the use of women soldiers in frontline combat

    8. Ukraine has begun mandatory training of 12 and 13 year olds for basic combat skills

    I agree that Ukraine is nowhere near collapse and I will also agree that Russia has extremely serious problems of its own, but the struggles of Ukraine are very real

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Greasy William

    There is a huge difference between the effectiveness of units in ever army, and you cannot generalise. Ukraine's casualties are mainly in the territorial defence units of unenthusiastic men who are sent to occupy territory that more valuable units win then withdraw from to avoid the Russian artillery, but the much vaunted brigades trained and equipped for Western 'combined arms' and 'deep battle' remain essentially intact so Ukraine retains a theoretical capability to take the initiative against Russia.

    Russian generals have been shown to be clueless about the changes wrought by technology--especially communications and surveillance, yet the over in the West it has become evident their military science had been kidding itself too despite being strictly armchair for many decades when it comes to fighting an opponent with effective modern all arms defence. The fast moving blitz methods Ukraine is trying to use to make big gains just don't work for them and prolly would not for anyone including the US against a prepared Russian defence, and that has been realised now. I don't think Ukraine is going to collapse, but I do think the horror of what they are now irretrievably jammed up in is going to replace patriotic fervour.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    , @QCIC
    @Greasy William

    Ritter and Macgregor are very helpful. Some of the shills here at Unz not so much. These two retired soldiers would be better off if they did not give short-term predictions. That is a fool's errand and they should know better. I assume these crystal ball readings are what the interviewers and viewers want to hear. If it stirs up discussion it keeps the page views coming. I simply hope the interviews help some people break out of their mainstream media trance. Their big picture descriptions of many aspects of this conflict and the forces which created it are very helpful. Even if their history is incomplete or incorrect in various small ways it is thought provoking. Unlike the chanting and cheerleading by Unz commenters pretending to be useful.

  318. @Mr. Hack
    @Sean

    Meeting with Putler in Paris was a good start. Was there a follow-up invitation by Putler to continue their talks in Moscow? Why wasn't there?


    Putin does not make idle threats, and punished Ukraine.
     
    Like Hitler did to Poland in 1939? We know how that ended.

    The reason Zelensky did not make concessions in Paris was Azov and Proshenko would have had another 2014 in 2019 and overthrow him before he even returned from France. Zelensky was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict, but that did a switch to the opposite policy.
     
    This is pure projection and fantasy on your part. Zelensky was still riding high off of a near unanimous and resounding defeat of Poroshenko in the election. His popularity back home was at an all time high. And as you even put it he "was elected promising he’d end the Donbass conflict" and this was well known. There is absolutely no indication that his performance in Paris was anything but a first step cautious exploratory meeting with Putler, and that he was not under any pressure from Poroshenko or anybody else to accept/deny any overtures made from Putler. And what exactly were those overtures made by Putler to Zelensky in Paris anyway?

    Replies: @Sean

    https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-rally-over-fears-of-capitulation-to-russia-at-paris-summit/a-51579648

    Thousands of Ukrainians gathered in Kyiv on Sunday fearing a “capitulation” to Russia ahead of peace talks between the leaders of the two nations — Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Vladimir Putin — at a summit in Paris that begins tomorrow. […] While Moscow may also be seeking peace, there are concerns in Ukraine that Zelenskiy could cede too much ground to his opponent. As a result, Kyiv was packed with protesters holding placards with slogans such as “No to capitulation,” “Stay away from Moscow” and “Russian gas is a noose around our necks” during the rally, led by some of Zelenskiy’s political opponents.

    The president’s predecessor, Petro Poroshenko, who led Ukraine after Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and the breakout of the separatist conflict with backing from Moscow, was among those who called the protest.

    Poroshenko was the main organiser of the Orange Revolution and the Revolution of Dignity; Azov was also present at the demos and Zelenskiy was told if he made concessions in Paris he would return as an ex president. It is true he won on a landslide, but he quickly ran into trouble and not just in foriegn policy. Then came the change and he transformed himself into a hard line nationalist and had Poroshenko charged with a score of criminal offences including treason (for collusion with the Russians of all things).

    Russia never put Crimea on the table, but was willing to give the rebel territory in the Donbass back if it got autonomy and in effect a veto over Ukraine as a whole joining Nato. Zelenskiy seems to have thought that America’s Ukrainegate put him in a strong position to ignore Putin’s threats to take much more of Ukraine, and keep it. It may be of some interest to remind ourselves just how little of non Crimea Ukraine Russia controlled untill 2022. I will put it behind a more tag as it may be a sensitive matter.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Sean

    Poroshenko and his 2,000 person march in Kyiv wouldn't be enough to unnerve Zelensky. As you point out, Zelensky ended up putting Poroshenko out of business when he got back.

    You forgot to include the overtures that Putler made towards Zelenky while in Paris, that he supposedly walked away from?

    I see that you wisely decided not to take up my challenge.

    Replies: @Sean

  319. I’m in the midst of a password/account sabotage(?) problem with Amazon, and am unable to receive e-mails including a temporary password. It’s a bizarre Catch-22 clusterf__k, that is very nerve racking. I was in need of a “there’s a way out of any situation, just don’t give up and stick with it” story. 🙂

  320. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Apparently nobody ever heard of this guy:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aron_Ralston

    Replies: @Mikel

    There are still some real men left and he is definitely one of them.

    So this weekend we’re expected to surpass the 100F mark again and here is what the NWS is asking me and everybody else in Northern Utah to do:

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out
    of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young
    children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles
    under any circumstances.

    Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
    possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
    evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
    stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when
    possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational
    Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent
    rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone
    overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.
    Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.

    This is all almost the contrary of what I am planning to do and I strongly believe that doing so actually makes me and my family more capable of combating heat while enjoying summer as well.

  321. @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-rally-over-fears-of-capitulation-to-russia-at-paris-summit/a-51579648

    Thousands of Ukrainians gathered in Kyiv on Sunday fearing a "capitulation" to Russia ahead of peace talks between the leaders of the two nations — Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Vladimir Putin — at a summit in Paris that begins tomorrow. [...] While Moscow may also be seeking peace, there are concerns in Ukraine that Zelenskiy could cede too much ground to his opponent. As a result, Kyiv was packed with protesters holding placards with slogans such as "No to capitulation," "Stay away from Moscow" and "Russian gas is a noose around our necks" during the rally, led by some of Zelenskiy's political opponents.

    The president's predecessor, Petro Poroshenko, who led Ukraine after Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea and the breakout of the separatist conflict with backing from Moscow, was among those who called the protest.
     
    Poroshenko was the main organiser of the Orange Revolution and the Revolution of Dignity; Azov was also present at the demos and Zelenskiy was told if he made concessions in Paris he would return as an ex president. It is true he won on a landslide, but he quickly ran into trouble and not just in foriegn policy. Then came the change and he transformed himself into a hard line nationalist and had Poroshenko charged with a score of criminal offences including treason (for collusion with the Russians of all things).

    Russia never put Crimea on the table, but was willing to give the rebel territory in the Donbass back if it got autonomy and in effect a veto over Ukraine as a whole joining Nato. Zelenskiy seems to have thought that America's Ukrainegate put him in a strong position to ignore Putin's threats to take much more of Ukraine, and keep it. It may be of some interest to remind ourselves just how little of non Crimea Ukraine Russia controlled untill 2022. I will put it behind a more tag as it may be a sensitive matter.

    https://static.dw.com/image/17567742_906.gif

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Poroshenko and his 2,000 person march in Kyiv wouldn’t be enough to unnerve Zelensky. As you point out, Zelensky ended up putting Poroshenko out of business when he got back.

    You forgot to include the overtures that Putler made towards Zelenky while in Paris, that he supposedly walked away from?

    I see that you wisely decided not to take up my challenge.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    2,000 person march in Kyiv wouldn’t be enough to unnerve Zelensky.
     
    Oh really! Take a look at the large photo of the march at the top of the following article. Not unnerving?

    Far-right groups protest Ukrainian president's peace plan

    Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com › world-nation › story › ukrain...
    14 Oct 2019 — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks with journalists in Kyiv, Ukraine, during his all-day “press marathon” last week. (Efrem Lukatsky
     


    You forgot to include the overtures that Putler made towards Zelenky while in Paris, that he supposedly walked away from
     
    One can certainly fault Putin for not making it clear to Zelensky what the consequences would be of rejecting the overtures. But maybe he did, because Ukrainegate and then Biden being in the White House must have made Zelenskiy feel more and more confident that Putin would not dare carry out his threats.
  322. @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers

    ...

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia’s infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.
     
    1. Russia has very serious problems but the labor shortage is mainly the result of the sudden and massive expansion of both the military and the arms industry

    2. Nobody disputes that MacGregor and Ritter are idiots

    3. Russian personnel losses are severe but certainly no greater than the losses of Ukraine

    4. Russia has an effective population size over 4x greater than that of Ukraine, so Russia is, theoretically, better able to absorb losses of military personnel over the long term

    5. Ukraine, not Russia, is the country that is engaging in mass press ganging to fill out their ranks and such measures appear to becoming more draconian with time

    6. We know that Ukraine has sent some underaged boys as well as some old men to the front, even if this doesn't seem to be widespread at this time

    7. Ukraine has begun seriously exploring the use of women soldiers in frontline combat

    8. Ukraine has begun mandatory training of 12 and 13 year olds for basic combat skills


    I agree that Ukraine is nowhere near collapse and I will also agree that Russia has extremely serious problems of its own, but the struggles of Ukraine are very real

    Replies: @Sean, @QCIC

    There is a huge difference between the effectiveness of units in ever army, and you cannot generalise. Ukraine’s casualties are mainly in the territorial defence units of unenthusiastic men who are sent to occupy territory that more valuable units win then withdraw from to avoid the Russian artillery, but the much vaunted brigades trained and equipped for Western ‘combined arms’ and ‘deep battle’ remain essentially intact so Ukraine retains a theoretical capability to take the initiative against Russia.

    Russian generals have been shown to be clueless about the changes wrought by technology–especially communications and surveillance, yet the over in the West it has become evident their military science had been kidding itself too despite being strictly armchair for many decades when it comes to fighting an opponent with effective modern all arms defence. The fast moving blitz methods Ukraine is trying to use to make big gains just don’t work for them and prolly would not for anyone including the US against a prepared Russian defence, and that has been realised now. I don’t think Ukraine is going to collapse, but I do think the horror of what they are now irretrievably jammed up in is going to replace patriotic fervour.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Sean

    It is false that Ukrainian losses have been mainly cannon fodder. There has been a great deal of that, but Ukraine has also lost a great deal of highly motivated and well equipped assault troops. Famous volunteers have been killed at the front. Furthermore, a huge chunk of Russia's losses have also essentially been fungible cannon fodder: convicts, mercenaries and militia members.


    but the much vaunted brigades trained and equipped for Western ‘combined arms’ and ‘deep battle’ remain essentially intact so Ukraine retains a theoretical capability to take the initiative against Russia.
     
    Who do you think has been conducting Ukraine's current suicidal offensives? These are for the most part well equipped, well trained and highly motivated units.

    Russian generals have been shown to be clueless about the changes wrought by technology–especially communications and surveillance
     
    They are figuring it out as they go along

    The fast moving blitz methods Ukraine is trying to use to make big gains just don’t work for them and prolly would not for anyone including the US against a prepared Russian defence
     
    Breakthrough is going to require air superiority over the front along with a willingness to absorb serious losses. Ukraine has the will but not the means whereas the US theoretically has the means, but not the will. It's not clear, however, how many troops the US could deploy to the Ukrainian theatre nor is it clear how effective US airpower would be against Russian fighters and air defense.

    Replies: @Sean

  323. @S
    @songbird

    Even if they came back negative, it wouldn't preclude McCarthy's theory being ultimately correct, but I wonder if they have done any DNA tests on those modern examples of potential animal/human hybrids?

    Replies: @songbird

    Guessing they are all in formaldehyde, and that that coats the DNA making it impossible to unwind or unzip. But maybe some technique could be developed to still read it?

    [MORE]

    At the very least, I would think there would be a way to look inside the nucleus and get some kind of rough count on how much DNA is in there. Maybe, how many chromosomes.

    I’ve seen a few freakish things in jars, but never anything as shocking as some of these reported hybrids.

    BTW, I’m for trying to create breeds of pigs for non-food purposes. I think they might potentially be very useful with their sense of smell, large body size, and relatively long lifespans.

    • Replies: @S
    @songbird


    I’ve seen a few freakish things in jars, but never anything as shocking as some of these reported hybrids.
     
    Yes, some of the videos of the purported hybrids were disturbing. How close the pig eyes are to human eyes in appearance is intriguing. If McCarthy could definitively prove his point it would be a radical departure from the past evolutionary thinking.

    Replies: @songbird

  324. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Dude, that is actually a very hilarious story, and brought tears of laughter to me eyes :) Helicopters delivering bottles of water to hikers on a two hour hike? It's some sort of parody, or a great comedy skit.

    But at the same time, it's very disturbing and very characteristic of our times. There is some strange epidemic of fear gripping the nation, or proneness to fear and hysteria, I should say, a collapse in resilience and fortitude, a lack of self reliance and tendency to panic easily. I see it all over the place. It's probably even a global phenomena at this point.

    I'm surprised to see this in a "red" state, and a mountain state to boot, as I thought it was mostly a blue state phenomena.

    Well, Mcgilchrist does warn us....

    On one of my recent long hikes into the Sawtooth mountains after hours of strenuous hiking I arrived at a high mountain pass by afternoon, forgetting that thunderstorms tend to roll into mountain passes precisely in the afternoon, I had forgotten to bring a rain jacket and warm clothing, and was in flimsy shorts and t-shirt. I was also more fatigued than I should be having not eaten anything all morning after a large indulgent meal the night before.

    Sure enough thick black ugly clouds started rolling in, and I was only half way thru my hike, and with the sun behind clouds it was cold - I was struggling to stay warm even hiking very fast, and then high winds started to pick up. I had another two hours of high exposure at least. I thought to myself for a moment that if it starts raining, I may well develop hypothermia before I get below the tree line.

    For a moment it occured to me I might have bitten off a bit more than I can chew, and made a stupid and easily avoided mistake, but I always figured I'd be alright somehow - I'd find a rock or something to shelter under, and endure a miserable cold hour or so. It never would have occurred to me to summon help unless things got really extreme - although I wouldn't be able to anyways, I don't carry one of those Garmin inreach things.

    So I finally broke my fast - and that cheered me up and gave me some body heat, and soldiered on into the pass, and lo and behold, after twenty minutes or so the sun came out and infused my limbs with much needed warmth and boosted my morale, and the rest of the hike was a pure joy, with stupendous views.

    But it was a fun few tense moments :)

    Yep, that author was DH Lawrence - a famous English author from the 1920s who wrote about what he saw as the alarming loss of vitality as a result of the growing disconnection from nature in European society. He lived in a house above Taos for a few years, trying to reconnect to some wildness after his over-civilized English life, and wrote about it extensively. He loved it there.

    Your description of the Taos Valley is very good. I passed through last summer, and it was indeed a beautiful place, with that indefinable "atmosphere" that these high places in the West have that lends them a beauty surpassing what even photos might suggest. And you're right, there are so many such places in the West.

    I've lately been feeling the exact same way, that I don't have enough decades of life left to see everything I want to in the West, and to visit all the exotic foreign places I want to, and I felt a momentary sadness.

    But perhaps we earn our redemption and merit by doing as much as we can in our short lives, and not wasting it working in some drab office building in some drab city, and that's what counts from God's point of view.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Mikel, @Mikel

    I always figured I’d be alright somehow

    This intuition that you had is a very important one, I think.

    On the one hand, it’s just true. In the vast majority of cases accidents and setbacks in the outdoors are benign. We end up overcoming them, often quite easily, and the cases when it doesn’t happen are so rare that we read them in the news.

    On the other hand, I believe it’s a manifestation of our survival spirit. After millions of years of evolution our bodies and our brains are designed to keep us safe from danger and one essential aspect is believing that we’re going to make it, even when the odds start stacking up against you. It’s an instinct that sets in and makes you do things that would normally appear to be too strenuous by just believing that you can do them. Perhaps some of the people that perish in the outdoors have somehow lost this ability to believe in themselves and give in too early or panic and make their situation worse.

    There is a very important physical component to all this as well. I was once descending on my own from a peak in the Central Andes, close to Santiago, and I tripped with such bad luck that my knee hit a sharp rock and started bleeding profusely. I later found out that the cut exposed the rotula. It was very painful and I still had 2-3 hours of descent to my car but well, what are you going to do? As soon as I could get back standing I just kept descending with the help of my trekking poles and one way or another, without thinking too much about it, I managed to finally get to my car and painfully drive back home with a stiff right leg. My wife took me to a hospital where they stitched me up and put me on analgesics and antibiotics. It took me a good month to start hiking again.

    The interesting thing is that as soon as I was safe in my wife’s company it became almost impossible for me to walk. Up until that moment my body and my mind had clearly been working to provide whatever natural analgesics, hormones and stimulants were needed to take me to safety by my own means but I could clearly see in real time how, once the goal had been accomplished, they all returned to their normal levels and suddenly I was fragile again. Nature has been dealing with these situations for ages and knows how to respond: you would not have developed hypothermia and, in all likelihood, there was more than just nutrients circulating in your body after you broke your fast.

    It’s certainly up to each person to decide how they want to enjoy nature (or not) but I think that accumulating this type of experiences is one of the great benefits of outdoor activities. They make you psychologically stronger. As long as you don’t take it too far and they break you, of course.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.

    Your mentality in how you approach adversity and challenges makes a huge difference in how successfully you navigate them, and defeatism can be paralyzing while the right attitude of resilience and fortitude can make the difference between succumbing or pulling through.

    You know me, I tend to emphasis innate characteristics far less than mentality and outlook in all life outcomes :)

    It's extremely important to approach life with a basic sense of trust, I'd say, that we've lost. The rise in fear today stems partly from the loss of this baseline "faith in the universe" that I think comes from our overly mechanistic thinking. We no longer see the world as our home, but as trying to kill us. Of course, one must take reasonable precautions, but you can't do anything without trust.

    You're right, I wouldn't have developed hypothermia - I would have walked faster, my body would have activated various mechanisms, and I would have been fine.

    A few times lately at the end of very long hikes, with aching feet and tired muscles, feeling I have just enough energy left to reach my car, I suddenly thought I lost my way - within seconds, pain in my feet and limbs gone and I'm flying effortlessly .Our body knows how to care of us.

    As for PTSD, certainly I'm not making light of anyone's suffering - I have sympathy for all suffering, even if it's self inflicted.

    But I think you're completely right that the way we "frame" adversity in modern life - the "context" we give it - makes us so much less able to cope with it well, and that's a huge factor in the prevalence of PTSD.

    With the loss of any higher goals, pain - or even discomfort - becomes unbearable. We used to have a different narrative in which it was understood that one endures discomfort and pain in order to achieve higher satisfactions.

    Another factor is the perspective provided by belief in another world, now lost, which inevitably puts the travails of this one in a larger context.

    With the collapse of these other dimensions, the only goal left modern culture is to progressively eliminate pain and discomfort - that is in fact the modern concept of flourishing.

    Flourishing in modern times means to eliminate as much pain and discomfort from your life as possible - that is its notion of the "good".

    Problem is, the best things in life can only be purchased with pain and discomfort :) Even trivially, a long day of scrambling through mountains involves all sorts of discomforts and deprivations for the higher satisfaction of connecting to nature and beauty.

    A society that conceives of human flourishing as the mere reduction of pain, and has lost all sight of higher types of flourishing, is one that is fragile.

    And you're also right that there is this weird new trend of of pathologizing summer - how odd! Heat seems to be a huge bogeyman these days.

    I remember being in Greece in the late 2000s and it was crazy hot, over 100 for days on end, and no one made a big deal of it. In the 90s in NY when I was a teenager I remember we had a week of over 100 degrees - something we never have anymore in NY - and we noticed it but didn't make a big deal of it. I drove around in the convertible I had at the time with my friends and we had a blast.

    And as you say, it's all relative - tons of people live in hot regions of the world. I spent years of my life travelling through sweltering India and SEA and you survive just fine - you get used to it.

    Possibly this has something to do with global warming being so feared today, but I think it's the general fragility and sense that any discomfort is terrible.

    (None of this, of course, is to say that I do not consider crisp cold mountains mornings one of the best things on earth)

    So good for you - I hope you're having a blast out there today in the mountains in the heat, and definitely not cowering inside!

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @songbird
    @Mikel

    IIRC, there's a great line in some Antoine de Saint-Exupéry book. I think probably "Wind, Sand and Stars", though I read it ages ago. An incident where some pilot completes a harrowing journey after he crashed his plane in a remote place in Latin America and was injured. Something like "no animal would have done that."

    Whether it is exactly true or not, I can't say. But it certainly is poetic.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Emil Nikola Richard

  325. @Sean
    @Greasy William

    There is a huge difference between the effectiveness of units in ever army, and you cannot generalise. Ukraine's casualties are mainly in the territorial defence units of unenthusiastic men who are sent to occupy territory that more valuable units win then withdraw from to avoid the Russian artillery, but the much vaunted brigades trained and equipped for Western 'combined arms' and 'deep battle' remain essentially intact so Ukraine retains a theoretical capability to take the initiative against Russia.

    Russian generals have been shown to be clueless about the changes wrought by technology--especially communications and surveillance, yet the over in the West it has become evident their military science had been kidding itself too despite being strictly armchair for many decades when it comes to fighting an opponent with effective modern all arms defence. The fast moving blitz methods Ukraine is trying to use to make big gains just don't work for them and prolly would not for anyone including the US against a prepared Russian defence, and that has been realised now. I don't think Ukraine is going to collapse, but I do think the horror of what they are now irretrievably jammed up in is going to replace patriotic fervour.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    It is false that Ukrainian losses have been mainly cannon fodder. There has been a great deal of that, but Ukraine has also lost a great deal of highly motivated and well equipped assault troops. Famous volunteers have been killed at the front. Furthermore, a huge chunk of Russia’s losses have also essentially been fungible cannon fodder: convicts, mercenaries and militia members.

    but the much vaunted brigades trained and equipped for Western ‘combined arms’ and ‘deep battle’ remain essentially intact so Ukraine retains a theoretical capability to take the initiative against Russia.

    Who do you think has been conducting Ukraine’s current suicidal offensives? These are for the most part well equipped, well trained and highly motivated units.

    Russian generals have been shown to be clueless about the changes wrought by technology–especially communications and surveillance

    They are figuring it out as they go along

    The fast moving blitz methods Ukraine is trying to use to make big gains just don’t work for them and prolly would not for anyone including the US against a prepared Russian defence

    Breakthrough is going to require air superiority over the front along with a willingness to absorb serious losses. Ukraine has the will but not the means whereas the US theoretically has the means, but not the will. It’s not clear, however, how many troops the US could deploy to the Ukrainian theatre nor is it clear how effective US airpower would be against Russian fighters and air defense.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Greasy William

    The initial invasion attempt at a coup de main surely cost the Kremlin no trivial proportion of the most determined and capable soldiers they have. The Russians are in the habit of withdrawing under pressure, and then calling in artillery on the Ukrainians who occupy the lost territory. Sometimes the Ukrainian assault force gets caught, but the Ukrainians try to preserve their crack assault troops by quickly replacing them with territorial defence force who being static and without fortification get decimated by fires.


    https://peterturchin.com/war-in-ukraine-ii-the-model/
    Since over 80 percent of casualties in the Ukrainian conflict are inflicted by artillery, to a first degree of approximation we need to know how many shells are fired by each side. There is a general agreement by all sides that the Russians expend many more munitions than the Ukrainians.[...] The overall conclusion is that Russians have roughly a 4:1 advantage in artillery... Thus, according to this model, the prediction is that Ukrainian casualties must be roughly 4 times that of Russians
     

    It’s not clear ... how effective US airpower would be against Russian fighters and air defense.
     
    I think quite apart from the WW3 angle if the Russians play tit for tat, the American military industrial complex is secretly worried about sending the far from cheap F35s against a Russian air defence that already has all sorts of battlefield experience in using its ponderous electronic warfare assets to best advantage against US weapons.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  326. S says:
    @songbird
    @S

    Guessing they are all in formaldehyde, and that that coats the DNA making it impossible to unwind or unzip. But maybe some technique could be developed to still read it?

    At the very least, I would think there would be a way to look inside the nucleus and get some kind of rough count on how much DNA is in there. Maybe, how many chromosomes.

    I've seen a few freakish things in jars, but never anything as shocking as some of these reported hybrids.

    BTW, I'm for trying to create breeds of pigs for non-food purposes. I think they might potentially be very useful with their sense of smell, large body size, and relatively long lifespans.

    Replies: @S

    I’ve seen a few freakish things in jars, but never anything as shocking as some of these reported hybrids.

    Yes, some of the videos of the purported hybrids were disturbing. How close the pig eyes are to human eyes in appearance is intriguing. If McCarthy could definitively prove his point it would be a radical departure from the past evolutionary thinking.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @S

    I was reading recently that in early medieval Ireland, there are references to either herons or cranes being kept as pets, but they are not sure what species the word meant exactly.

    Herons don't imprint well on humans, and will often attack small children and other animals, so I'm guessing there would be no heron-people. Though cranes are much different, so perhaps crane-people.

    It has crossed my mind very fleetingly that those trying to decriminalize bestiality might have some even more bizarre hidden purpose. To create a new race of beastmen.

    As fun as it is joke about these things, I bet McCarthy doesn't beat around the bush, when it comes to things like HIV and monkey pox.

  327. @Mr. Hack
    @Sean

    Poroshenko and his 2,000 person march in Kyiv wouldn't be enough to unnerve Zelensky. As you point out, Zelensky ended up putting Poroshenko out of business when he got back.

    You forgot to include the overtures that Putler made towards Zelenky while in Paris, that he supposedly walked away from?

    I see that you wisely decided not to take up my challenge.

    Replies: @Sean

    2,000 person march in Kyiv wouldn’t be enough to unnerve Zelensky.

    Oh really! Take a look at the large photo of the march at the top of the following article. Not unnerving?

    Far-right groups protest Ukrainian president’s peace plan

    Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com › world-nation › story › ukrain…
    14 Oct 2019 — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks with journalists in Kyiv, Ukraine, during his all-day “press marathon” last week. (Efrem Lukatsky

    You forgot to include the overtures that Putler made towards Zelenky while in Paris, that he supposedly walked away from

    One can certainly fault Putin for not making it clear to Zelensky what the consequences would be of rejecting the overtures. But maybe he did, because Ukrainegate and then Biden being in the White House must have made Zelenskiy feel more and more confident that Putin would not dare carry out his threats.

  328. @John Johnson
    Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-russia-hikes-rates-by-a-full-point-as-country-struggles-to-find-workers-after-sending-men-to-fight-9045281b

    Huh that's odd.

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia's infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.

    It seems that Russia is actually short on male workers. How is this is possible? I will assume MacGregor and Ritter are somehow correct in the face of contradictory evidence because that is emotionally comforting to my assumptions. Does anyone have an alternative explanation involving Jews or something?

    Replies: @Greasy William, @QCIC

    Yeah, this labor shortage is surprising considering the West is waging a full pre-War against Russia as a prelude to World War Three. It is really shocking that her economy is not in perfect health. Really shocking. /sarc

    Let’s see, Russia is:

    –Expanding the base Army
    –Sending more troops to the war zone
    –Taking significant casualties
    –Likely increasing civil defense forces
    –Producing war materiel 24/7
    –Celebrating that several million rootless cosmopolitans left the country.

    Yes, it is really insightful to point out they might have labor shortages.

    This is another great move by the West. Force the Russian economy to go to a full war footing. Then it will be natural for her to fight future wars to keep the Ruble Wurlitzer humming. Just like the Dollar. Great job, morons.

    I wonder how this economic reprioritization impacts the Oligarchs and NoviOps?

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Yeah, this labor shortage is surprising considering the West is waging a full pre-War against Russia as a prelude to World War Three.

    What exactly is a full pre-war?

    It is really shocking that her economy is not in perfect health. Really shocking. /sarc

    I'm not shocked at all. It was Putin's fans that described the Russian economy as immune to any action by the West. Can provide quotes if you would like.

    I am the one that was called a Jew for pointing out Russia's import dependencies on Western Europe when the war started. I was admonished for not supporting the dwarf and his bloody invasion. You in fact can look in my history where Putin's fanboys turn irate when I merely suggest that they can't switch all of their import dependencies to China.

    Well here in reality Russia currently has planes grounded due to a lack of parts. I'm not the one living in some fantasy world where Russia is an economic island that can exist on its own. Putin's fans didn't bother spending 5 minutes looking at Russia's import list:
    https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/RUSSIA/Year/LTST/Summarytext#

    I'm honestly not convinced that Putin did either.

    Russia forced to strip grounded airplanes for parts
    https://www.euronews.com/next/2022/08/08/russia-forced-to-strip-grounded-aircraft-for-parts-as-western-sanctions-over-ukraine-bite-

    Replies: @QCIC

  329. Take a look at the large photo of the march at the top of the following article. Not unnerving?

    You link does not go directly to the article with the photo, and at 118* degrees Farenheight today in Phoenix, I’m in no hurry to look for that photo. Some Russophiles at this blogsite insisted that the street protests in Kyiv during the Maidan (said to be up to 100k) was not representative of Ukraine and its population, so I’m supposed to get excited about a demonstration of 2,000?

    One can certainly fault Putin for not making it clear to Zelensky what the consequences would be of rejecting the overtures.

    For the second or third time now, did Putler even make it clear to Zelensky what his overtures were in Paris? Did he request a follow up meeting? These sorts of decisions are prepared ahead of time by professional diplomats usually over a series of meetings before the heads of state show up for signatures and photo opps. I seem to have missed that part here?…….

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    It is clear there are a lot of Ukrainian Nationalist-minded people in Ukraine, possibly a majority. I don't think I ever tried to deny this, though there are nuances about the actual numbers of people and what this means. My point is simply that the West has led them down a path which is not in the best interests of these Ukrainians. The West doesn't care what happens to them, that is the nature of being a pawn, which is a throwaway piece which once and a while gets a few seconds in the spotlight before being discarded.

    The West has been fighting a very successful propaganda war in and for Ukraine since 2014. I suspect it goes back to the early 1990s. Given some existing divisive issues to work with, a sympathetic fifth column, lots of money and no scruples anyone could manipulate Ukrainian Nationalist sympathies. It is not difficult. Most people don't think for themselves and visualize the consequences of many actions.

    The problem is the downside of stirring up this trouble with Russia is never discussed. The enormous risk is simply never mentioned. Everyone pretends that Russia is impotent, in debt to the bank, listless after the fall of the Soviet Union and getting more Westernized and weaker with each passing year. Somehow all of these Ukrainian Nationalists and their puppet masters forget about the nuclear arsenal, the space program, the nuclear submarines. They forget about Napoleon, the Golden Horde, the Wehrmacht. No one seems to remember the insane losses at the Battle of Stalingrad and other killing fields. This is what the West and the Ukrainians are dealing with. Of course the West has turned Ukraine into a pawn, it is way too dangerous to attack Russia directly. The pawn will be sacrificed and Russia will be weakened so mission accomplished. The only question is which pawn will they use next?

    I think this brief story sums it up pretty well.


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a5RUbAP3xlQ

    Replies: @Beckow

  330. @Mr. Hack

    Take a look at the large photo of the march at the top of the following article. Not unnerving?
     
    You link does not go directly to the article with the photo, and at 118* degrees Farenheight today in Phoenix, I'm in no hurry to look for that photo. Some Russophiles at this blogsite insisted that the street protests in Kyiv during the Maidan (said to be up to 100k) was not representative of Ukraine and its population, so I'm supposed to get excited about a demonstration of 2,000?

    One can certainly fault Putin for not making it clear to Zelensky what the consequences would be of rejecting the overtures.
     
    For the second or third time now, did Putler even make it clear to Zelensky what his overtures were in Paris? Did he request a follow up meeting? These sorts of decisions are prepared ahead of time by professional diplomats usually over a series of meetings before the heads of state show up for signatures and photo opps. I seem to have missed that part here?.......

    Replies: @QCIC

    It is clear there are a lot of Ukrainian Nationalist-minded people in Ukraine, possibly a majority. I don’t think I ever tried to deny this, though there are nuances about the actual numbers of people and what this means. My point is simply that the West has led them down a path which is not in the best interests of these Ukrainians. The West doesn’t care what happens to them, that is the nature of being a pawn, which is a throwaway piece which once and a while gets a few seconds in the spotlight before being discarded.

    The West has been fighting a very successful propaganda war in and for Ukraine since 2014. I suspect it goes back to the early 1990s. Given some existing divisive issues to work with, a sympathetic fifth column, lots of money and no scruples anyone could manipulate Ukrainian Nationalist sympathies. It is not difficult. Most people don’t think for themselves and visualize the consequences of many actions.

    The problem is the downside of stirring up this trouble with Russia is never discussed. The enormous risk is simply never mentioned. Everyone pretends that Russia is impotent, in debt to the bank, listless after the fall of the Soviet Union and getting more Westernized and weaker with each passing year. Somehow all of these Ukrainian Nationalists and their puppet masters forget about the nuclear arsenal, the space program, the nuclear submarines. They forget about Napoleon, the Golden Horde, the Wehrmacht. No one seems to remember the insane losses at the Battle of Stalingrad and other killing fields. This is what the West and the Ukrainians are dealing with. Of course the West has turned Ukraine into a pawn, it is way too dangerous to attack Russia directly. The pawn will be sacrificed and Russia will be weakened so mission accomplished. The only question is which pawn will they use next?

    I think this brief story sums it up pretty well.

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @QCIC


    ...the nature of being a pawn, which is a throwaway piece which once and a while gets a few seconds in the spotlight before being discarded.
     
    I disagree about the value of pawns - in chess and in general. How the pawns are used and treated is the best predictor of success. It is a mistake to see pawns as discardable nonentities. In chess and in war the side that uses pawns better usually wins.

    That is the fundamental error the West has made in its attempt to move into Ukraine so they can better threaten Russia. They could have won by using what works best on all pawns - the Ukies, Russians, and everyone in between - kindness, carrots, ease, happy talk... if the West had not rushed it, if they had stopped Kiev when they started to threaten and confront its Russian minority, if they had signed and kept deals that would calm down the situation - they would have today much better chance to prevail. It would take longer, but the pawns would be happy, and the Ukies ones would be alive.

    But they didn't because they have no real life experience and don't understand that soft power dissipates when a hard fight starts - it becomes meaningless and other things take over.

    It is exactly the stupid disregard for the pawns, first Russians in Ukraine, then Ukies themselves, possibly later Poles and other pawn-nations that will make this war into a complete disaster for the West. They won't win because you win by valuing your pawns - and they don't.

    Replies: @QCIC

  331. @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    Russian Bank raises interest rate by full point as country struggles to find workers

    ...

    MacGregor and Ritter told us that Russia’s infantry losses were minimal while Ukraine was down to using boys and old men.
     
    1. Russia has very serious problems but the labor shortage is mainly the result of the sudden and massive expansion of both the military and the arms industry

    2. Nobody disputes that MacGregor and Ritter are idiots

    3. Russian personnel losses are severe but certainly no greater than the losses of Ukraine

    4. Russia has an effective population size over 4x greater than that of Ukraine, so Russia is, theoretically, better able to absorb losses of military personnel over the long term

    5. Ukraine, not Russia, is the country that is engaging in mass press ganging to fill out their ranks and such measures appear to becoming more draconian with time

    6. We know that Ukraine has sent some underaged boys as well as some old men to the front, even if this doesn't seem to be widespread at this time

    7. Ukraine has begun seriously exploring the use of women soldiers in frontline combat

    8. Ukraine has begun mandatory training of 12 and 13 year olds for basic combat skills


    I agree that Ukraine is nowhere near collapse and I will also agree that Russia has extremely serious problems of its own, but the struggles of Ukraine are very real

    Replies: @Sean, @QCIC

    Ritter and Macgregor are very helpful. Some of the shills here at Unz not so much. These two retired soldiers would be better off if they did not give short-term predictions. That is a fool’s errand and they should know better. I assume these crystal ball readings are what the interviewers and viewers want to hear. If it stirs up discussion it keeps the page views coming. I simply hope the interviews help some people break out of their mainstream media trance. Their big picture descriptions of many aspects of this conflict and the forces which created it are very helpful. Even if their history is incomplete or incorrect in various small ways it is thought provoking. Unlike the chanting and cheerleading by Unz commenters pretending to be useful.

  332. @QCIC
    @Mr. Hack

    It is clear there are a lot of Ukrainian Nationalist-minded people in Ukraine, possibly a majority. I don't think I ever tried to deny this, though there are nuances about the actual numbers of people and what this means. My point is simply that the West has led them down a path which is not in the best interests of these Ukrainians. The West doesn't care what happens to them, that is the nature of being a pawn, which is a throwaway piece which once and a while gets a few seconds in the spotlight before being discarded.

    The West has been fighting a very successful propaganda war in and for Ukraine since 2014. I suspect it goes back to the early 1990s. Given some existing divisive issues to work with, a sympathetic fifth column, lots of money and no scruples anyone could manipulate Ukrainian Nationalist sympathies. It is not difficult. Most people don't think for themselves and visualize the consequences of many actions.

    The problem is the downside of stirring up this trouble with Russia is never discussed. The enormous risk is simply never mentioned. Everyone pretends that Russia is impotent, in debt to the bank, listless after the fall of the Soviet Union and getting more Westernized and weaker with each passing year. Somehow all of these Ukrainian Nationalists and their puppet masters forget about the nuclear arsenal, the space program, the nuclear submarines. They forget about Napoleon, the Golden Horde, the Wehrmacht. No one seems to remember the insane losses at the Battle of Stalingrad and other killing fields. This is what the West and the Ukrainians are dealing with. Of course the West has turned Ukraine into a pawn, it is way too dangerous to attack Russia directly. The pawn will be sacrificed and Russia will be weakened so mission accomplished. The only question is which pawn will they use next?

    I think this brief story sums it up pretty well.


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a5RUbAP3xlQ

    Replies: @Beckow

    …the nature of being a pawn, which is a throwaway piece which once and a while gets a few seconds in the spotlight before being discarded.

    I disagree about the value of pawns – in chess and in general. How the pawns are used and treated is the best predictor of success. It is a mistake to see pawns as discardable nonentities. In chess and in war the side that uses pawns better usually wins.

    That is the fundamental error the West has made in its attempt to move into Ukraine so they can better threaten Russia. They could have won by using what works best on all pawns – the Ukies, Russians, and everyone in between – kindness, carrots, ease, happy talk… if the West had not rushed it, if they had stopped Kiev when they started to threaten and confront its Russian minority, if they had signed and kept deals that would calm down the situation – they would have today much better chance to prevail. It would take longer, but the pawns would be happy, and the Ukies ones would be alive.

    But they didn’t because they have no real life experience and don’t understand that soft power dissipates when a hard fight starts – it becomes meaningless and other things take over.

    It is exactly the stupid disregard for the pawns, first Russians in Ukraine, then Ukies themselves, possibly later Poles and other pawn-nations that will make this war into a complete disaster for the West. They won’t win because you win by valuing your pawns – and they don’t.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Beckow

    I was trying to make a point within the restrictive limits of my knowledge of chess! I did not want to run afoul of situations where a pawn checkmates the king.

    The point is that in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict. There are exceptions and sometimes the pawn gets lucky. Nonetheless, by its nature the pawn is disposable if required by circumstances. I realize most of the chess pieces are disposable, it is an analogy.

    I am skeptical of a blanket statement that the side which uses the pawns better in the real world usually wins. In the real world there would be a lot of discussion over who is and is not a pawn, since life is much richer than chess. However, the pawn presumably exists in chess to make your point. A lot of fungible little guys can make the difference. I know, they are not actually fungible because they have different places on the board.

    A different way to make my point is that a "win" for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine. A win for Ukraine might even be bad for the long-term Western plan.

    Replies: @Beckow

  333. Putin is officially losing his mind.

    He actually suggested that Poland plans on taking Western Ukraine:

    Are Russians still pissed off over losing to the Poles in 1920? In the 1420 videos they seem agitated by the existence of Poland. Well the Putin supporting rural boomers anyways.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Greasy William
    @John Johnson

    Putin is Gog. Literally. He idolizes that psychopath Peter and he wants to rebuild the Russian Empire. Absolutely Putin plans to conquer Poland.

    People continue to regard Putin as a rational actor. He is not.

  334. @Beckow
    @QCIC


    ...the nature of being a pawn, which is a throwaway piece which once and a while gets a few seconds in the spotlight before being discarded.
     
    I disagree about the value of pawns - in chess and in general. How the pawns are used and treated is the best predictor of success. It is a mistake to see pawns as discardable nonentities. In chess and in war the side that uses pawns better usually wins.

    That is the fundamental error the West has made in its attempt to move into Ukraine so they can better threaten Russia. They could have won by using what works best on all pawns - the Ukies, Russians, and everyone in between - kindness, carrots, ease, happy talk... if the West had not rushed it, if they had stopped Kiev when they started to threaten and confront its Russian minority, if they had signed and kept deals that would calm down the situation - they would have today much better chance to prevail. It would take longer, but the pawns would be happy, and the Ukies ones would be alive.

    But they didn't because they have no real life experience and don't understand that soft power dissipates when a hard fight starts - it becomes meaningless and other things take over.

    It is exactly the stupid disregard for the pawns, first Russians in Ukraine, then Ukies themselves, possibly later Poles and other pawn-nations that will make this war into a complete disaster for the West. They won't win because you win by valuing your pawns - and they don't.

    Replies: @QCIC

    I was trying to make a point within the restrictive limits of my knowledge of chess! I did not want to run afoul of situations where a pawn checkmates the king.

    The point is that in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict. There are exceptions and sometimes the pawn gets lucky. Nonetheless, by its nature the pawn is disposable if required by circumstances. I realize most of the chess pieces are disposable, it is an analogy.

    I am skeptical of a blanket statement that the side which uses the pawns better in the real world usually wins. In the real world there would be a lot of discussion over who is and is not a pawn, since life is much richer than chess. However, the pawn presumably exists in chess to make your point. A lot of fungible little guys can make the difference. I know, they are not actually fungible because they have different places on the board.

    A different way to make my point is that a “win” for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine. A win for Ukraine might even be bad for the long-term Western plan.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @QCIC


    ... in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict.
     
    It is bad in chess too. My point is not about the self-worth of a pawn but that a smart player values his pawns, that is usually the best way to win.

    I get that the real life is more nuanced and it is not easy to assign roles. But if we narrow it to Ukraine and the war, the Ukies are the pawns. They have a leader, but their allowable moves are very restricted - that is also true about their leader's moves. The other side, the Russians, also have pawns - the Russians living in Ukraine and the soldiers fighting the war are also pawns.

    If we take the proposition that the side that better values its pawns usually wins, then Russia has an upper hand. Before the war the Western allure was the dominant dynamic among the pawns and without a war that would lead to Nato eventually prevailing - meaning plopping themselves with their bases in Ukraine - but the war changed it. Now the Ukie pawns are being sacrificed, the allure of the West is remote, and by all accounts the Russian pawns live better and have better chance to survive than their Ukie counterparts. That can be decisive.

    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia's bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing - and after Crimea in 2014 it was outright far-fetched. But they doubled-down again and again, refusing to make a deal and walking away from what has to be either a losing fight, or an end to all of us. That is just stupid. Now they hyperventilate about Ukie offensives, coups in Russia, price of gas, Black Sea blockades, Poles getting into the fight, anything but accepting the obvious: Russia called their bluff and they have no Plan B. They never did.


    a “win” for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine.

     

    True. The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet - let's see if our friends in Poland can beat them to it, they have a long history of planet-level stupid moves, maybe they can entertain us this time too.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @A123

  335. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Yeah, this labor shortage is surprising considering the West is waging a full pre-War against Russia as a prelude to World War Three. It is really shocking that her economy is not in perfect health. Really shocking. /sarc

    Let's see, Russia is:

    --Expanding the base Army
    --Sending more troops to the war zone
    --Taking significant casualties
    --Likely increasing civil defense forces
    --Producing war materiel 24/7
    --Celebrating that several million rootless cosmopolitans left the country.

    Yes, it is really insightful to point out they might have labor shortages.

    This is another great move by the West. Force the Russian economy to go to a full war footing. Then it will be natural for her to fight future wars to keep the Ruble Wurlitzer humming. Just like the Dollar. Great job, morons.

    I wonder how this economic reprioritization impacts the Oligarchs and NoviOps?

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Yeah, this labor shortage is surprising considering the West is waging a full pre-War against Russia as a prelude to World War Three.

    What exactly is a full pre-war?

    It is really shocking that her economy is not in perfect health. Really shocking. /sarc

    I’m not shocked at all. It was Putin’s fans that described the Russian economy as immune to any action by the West. Can provide quotes if you would like.

    I am the one that was called a Jew for pointing out Russia’s import dependencies on Western Europe when the war started. I was admonished for not supporting the dwarf and his bloody invasion. You in fact can look in my history where Putin’s fanboys turn irate when I merely suggest that they can’t switch all of their import dependencies to China.

    Well here in reality Russia currently has planes grounded due to a lack of parts. I’m not the one living in some fantasy world where Russia is an economic island that can exist on its own. Putin’s fans didn’t bother spending 5 minutes looking at Russia’s import list:
    https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/RUSSIA/Year/LTST/Summarytext#

    I’m honestly not convinced that Putin did either.

    Russia forced to strip grounded airplanes for parts
    https://www.euronews.com/next/2022/08/08/russia-forced-to-strip-grounded-aircraft-for-parts-as-western-sanctions-over-ukraine-bite-

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    I see the Western efforts using Ukraine as a proxy against Russia as a prelude to World War Three. The West probably doesn't expect things to go that far, but they have been highly committed to this point. I don't have a better term than "pre-war".

    The limitations of the Russian economy and its possible vulnerability to the combination of a war and extensive sanctions was always well known. Russia's staying power so far is probably a surprise to the planners.

    Are you pleased the West continues to press Russia assuring that Ukraine will be destroyed? Will you be even happier when World War Three flares up? What about nuclear warfare, is that your dream?

    Or will you recognize that the West should have worked to coexist with Russia by strictly avoiding meddling in Ukraine? Better yet, the USA should have been working to undo criminally stupid mistakes like dropping out of nuclear arms control treaties and expanding NATO.

  336. @John Johnson
    Putin is officially losing his mind.

    He actually suggested that Poland plans on taking Western Ukraine:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO_O2YTdoEA

    Are Russians still pissed off over losing to the Poles in 1920? In the 1420 videos they seem agitated by the existence of Poland. Well the Putin supporting rural boomers anyways.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Greasy William

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    I see no reason to believe that. They've never made such statements. Why would they want Kaliningrad? It's German ruins with 350,000 Russians. Poland has plenty of land and a growing economy. What they would like is for this stupid war to be over.

    Unlike Russia they have restrictions on abortion and haven't embraced atheism in their cities. They're not going to be interested in taking 350,000 potential spies and agitators.

    Poland is in fact hated by secular globalists for being Catholic and not accepting Western European beliefs on the fetus. Russia has the world's highest abortion rate and yet Putin's fans for some reason think a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion should be the model for the West. Poland has a much healthier balance of Christianity and modernism.

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    Poland, Ukraine and the people of Russia were fine with the status quo in 2021.

    Only the dwarf and his supporters are stuck in 1939. Most people want to get along with their neighbors and trade with them. Poland supports Ukraine as seen by not only military support but also the refugees. Putin is losing his mind if he thinks Poland wants to carve the place up. He really needs to check the calendar. There isn't a nearby Hitler willing to re-carve Eastern Europe.

    Replies: @Sean, @QCIC

  337. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Yeah, this labor shortage is surprising considering the West is waging a full pre-War against Russia as a prelude to World War Three.

    What exactly is a full pre-war?

    It is really shocking that her economy is not in perfect health. Really shocking. /sarc

    I'm not shocked at all. It was Putin's fans that described the Russian economy as immune to any action by the West. Can provide quotes if you would like.

    I am the one that was called a Jew for pointing out Russia's import dependencies on Western Europe when the war started. I was admonished for not supporting the dwarf and his bloody invasion. You in fact can look in my history where Putin's fanboys turn irate when I merely suggest that they can't switch all of their import dependencies to China.

    Well here in reality Russia currently has planes grounded due to a lack of parts. I'm not the one living in some fantasy world where Russia is an economic island that can exist on its own. Putin's fans didn't bother spending 5 minutes looking at Russia's import list:
    https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/RUSSIA/Year/LTST/Summarytext#

    I'm honestly not convinced that Putin did either.

    Russia forced to strip grounded airplanes for parts
    https://www.euronews.com/next/2022/08/08/russia-forced-to-strip-grounded-aircraft-for-parts-as-western-sanctions-over-ukraine-bite-

    Replies: @QCIC

    I see the Western efforts using Ukraine as a proxy against Russia as a prelude to World War Three. The West probably doesn’t expect things to go that far, but they have been highly committed to this point. I don’t have a better term than “pre-war”.

    The limitations of the Russian economy and its possible vulnerability to the combination of a war and extensive sanctions was always well known. Russia’s staying power so far is probably a surprise to the planners.

    Are you pleased the West continues to press Russia assuring that Ukraine will be destroyed? Will you be even happier when World War Three flares up? What about nuclear warfare, is that your dream?

    Or will you recognize that the West should have worked to coexist with Russia by strictly avoiding meddling in Ukraine? Better yet, the USA should have been working to undo criminally stupid mistakes like dropping out of nuclear arms control treaties and expanding NATO.

  338. @QCIC
    @Beckow

    I was trying to make a point within the restrictive limits of my knowledge of chess! I did not want to run afoul of situations where a pawn checkmates the king.

    The point is that in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict. There are exceptions and sometimes the pawn gets lucky. Nonetheless, by its nature the pawn is disposable if required by circumstances. I realize most of the chess pieces are disposable, it is an analogy.

    I am skeptical of a blanket statement that the side which uses the pawns better in the real world usually wins. In the real world there would be a lot of discussion over who is and is not a pawn, since life is much richer than chess. However, the pawn presumably exists in chess to make your point. A lot of fungible little guys can make the difference. I know, they are not actually fungible because they have different places on the board.

    A different way to make my point is that a "win" for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine. A win for Ukraine might even be bad for the long-term Western plan.

    Replies: @Beckow

    … in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict.

    It is bad in chess too. My point is not about the self-worth of a pawn but that a smart player values his pawns, that is usually the best way to win.

    I get that the real life is more nuanced and it is not easy to assign roles. But if we narrow it to Ukraine and the war, the Ukies are the pawns. They have a leader, but their allowable moves are very restricted – that is also true about their leader’s moves. The other side, the Russians, also have pawns – the Russians living in Ukraine and the soldiers fighting the war are also pawns.

    If we take the proposition that the side that better values its pawns usually wins, then Russia has an upper hand. Before the war the Western allure was the dominant dynamic among the pawns and without a war that would lead to Nato eventually prevailing – meaning plopping themselves with their bases in Ukraine – but the war changed it. Now the Ukie pawns are being sacrificed, the allure of the West is remote, and by all accounts the Russian pawns live better and have better chance to survive than their Ukie counterparts. That can be decisive.

    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia’s bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing – and after Crimea in 2014 it was outright far-fetched. But they doubled-down again and again, refusing to make a deal and walking away from what has to be either a losing fight, or an end to all of us. That is just stupid. Now they hyperventilate about Ukie offensives, coups in Russia, price of gas, Black Sea blockades, Poles getting into the fight, anything but accepting the obvious: Russia called their bluff and they have no Plan B. They never did.

    a “win” for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine.

    True. The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet – let’s see if our friends in Poland can beat them to it, they have a long history of planet-level stupid moves, maybe they can entertain us this time too.

    • Agree: Sean
    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Beckow


    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet
     
    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    Replies: @Beckow, @Wokechoke, @Mikhail, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    , @A123
    @Beckow


    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia’s bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing
     
    If it approaches the inconceivable, perhaps Nato-ids are not the perpetrator. Could that be a cover story? Pablum to make the pawns willing to self sacrifice? Almost certainly, Yes. The Ukie Maximalist faction demands recapture of Crimea. They have been duped with fantasy dreams about the unobtainable.

    If it is not the Nato-ids, who is it?

    It is not hard to see that MENA-oid Islamophiles are doing well in this conflict. Judeo-Christians are dying on both sides of the actual fighting. Millions of MENA origin Muslim invaders are entering the EU on fake Ukrainian identity documents. Nations that used to oppose Brussels (e.g. Poland and Hungary) are divided.
    ____

    Which is more likely? That over a decade of provocations is an:

        -1- Extended series NATO mistakes?
        -2- Intentional set-up of Ukrainians by Islamophile Globalists?

    While #1 has superficial plausibility, it does not hold together well. Yes. There is precedent that war is the result of mistakes. However, in this case the sheer number of errors buggers credibility.

    On the other hand, #2 is cohesive, more subtle, and long term. It dates back to George IslamoSoros and his NGO funded Orange Revolution against Judeo-Christian values. The plan was crafted & launched while Angela 'Mutti' Merkel was dominating the EU, demanding Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Intentionally creating an unwinnable situation in Ukraine was the desired outcome.
    ____

    Recognizing Islamophile Globalism as the cause, clarifies the path out of the problem. The fight is unwinnable, thus Kiev aggression must end without victory. The best, really only, answer the one that Trump is campaigning on. Cutoff military funding to Anti-Semite Zelensky's regime. Force an armistice. Christian youths on both sides stop dying almost immediately.

    With the fighting stopped, the new Ukraine will have to make the necessary concessions for a stable long term outcome. Reconstruction aid will be dependant on moving from armistice to full peace. Negotiating and recognizing the new border. Military limits including "No NATO Ever". Once a real treaty is approved, the bulk of true Ukrainian refugees will have the opportunity to return home as part of the rebuilding effort.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  339. @John Johnson
    Putin is officially losing his mind.

    He actually suggested that Poland plans on taking Western Ukraine:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO_O2YTdoEA

    Are Russians still pissed off over losing to the Poles in 1920? In the 1420 videos they seem agitated by the existence of Poland. Well the Putin supporting rural boomers anyways.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Greasy William

    Putin is Gog. Literally. He idolizes that psychopath Peter and he wants to rebuild the Russian Empire. Absolutely Putin plans to conquer Poland.

    People continue to regard Putin as a rational actor. He is not.

  340. @Beckow
    @QCIC


    ... in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict.
     
    It is bad in chess too. My point is not about the self-worth of a pawn but that a smart player values his pawns, that is usually the best way to win.

    I get that the real life is more nuanced and it is not easy to assign roles. But if we narrow it to Ukraine and the war, the Ukies are the pawns. They have a leader, but their allowable moves are very restricted - that is also true about their leader's moves. The other side, the Russians, also have pawns - the Russians living in Ukraine and the soldiers fighting the war are also pawns.

    If we take the proposition that the side that better values its pawns usually wins, then Russia has an upper hand. Before the war the Western allure was the dominant dynamic among the pawns and without a war that would lead to Nato eventually prevailing - meaning plopping themselves with their bases in Ukraine - but the war changed it. Now the Ukie pawns are being sacrificed, the allure of the West is remote, and by all accounts the Russian pawns live better and have better chance to survive than their Ukie counterparts. That can be decisive.

    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia's bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing - and after Crimea in 2014 it was outright far-fetched. But they doubled-down again and again, refusing to make a deal and walking away from what has to be either a losing fight, or an end to all of us. That is just stupid. Now they hyperventilate about Ukie offensives, coups in Russia, price of gas, Black Sea blockades, Poles getting into the fight, anything but accepting the obvious: Russia called their bluff and they have no Plan B. They never did.


    a “win” for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine.

     

    True. The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet - let's see if our friends in Poland can beat them to it, they have a long history of planet-level stupid moves, maybe they can entertain us this time too.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @A123

    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet

    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Greasy William

    I don't think they see that way - but they should understand it. That's what being smart is: you anticipate what happens.

    The homo-global transformation in Ukraine is at this point almost inevitable. The only question is how big will be the rump-Ukraine suffering this fate and how quickly it will happen.

    If the Ukie numbers drop dramatically because of the war, emigration, and women choosing to be mini-compradorettes instead of doing the hard work of raising a family, the empty spaces will beckon newcomers. And EU knows a good deal when they see available space.

    , @Wokechoke
    @Greasy William

    I think they know deep down that they are fight for Judeoglobohomo. Yes.

    , @Mikhail
    @Greasy William

    Reminded of a pro-Bandera display at a recent LGBT gathering in Germany.

    , @A123
    @Greasy William


    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea ... Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly
     
    Clearly not. Even mildly devout Orthodox Christians would oppose their people falling to IslamoGloboHomo.

    Anti-Semite Zelensky's assault on Christianity will have to be fixed after he flees to Europe. Hopefully, the next government will have strong ties to the Orthodox Church. Out right bans on SJW🏳️‍🌈Muslim deviancy would be hard as some reconstruction funding will be coming from the Islamophile EU. Forcing out undesirables will have to be more subtle, at least initially.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Greasy William

    The last two things aren't that horrible lol. And Ukraine is probably more likely to get Indians, Vietnamese, and Filipinos than non-culturally compatible Muslims and Africans. Though moderate Muslims from Turkey and Central Asia could be possible, especially if Ukraine will become significantly wealthier.

    Replies: @Dmitry

  341. @Mikhail
    @Greasy William


    Where have you come in contact with Kahanists? I do remember an Israeli telling me that Kahanists speak of Israel and Israelis the same way that Hamas does.

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=le1QF3uoQNg

    Replies: @Greasy William

    It took me a really long time for me to understand this reference

  342. @Greasy William
    @Beckow


    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet
     
    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    Replies: @Beckow, @Wokechoke, @Mikhail, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    I don’t think they see that way – but they should understand it. That’s what being smart is: you anticipate what happens.

    The homo-global transformation in Ukraine is at this point almost inevitable. The only question is how big will be the rump-Ukraine suffering this fate and how quickly it will happen.

    If the Ukie numbers drop dramatically because of the war, emigration, and women choosing to be mini-compradorettes instead of doing the hard work of raising a family, the empty spaces will beckon newcomers. And EU knows a good deal when they see available space.

  343. @QCIC
    @Greasy William

    Russia can shut down Ukraine's serious resistance permanently by taking out 5 power plants, 15 bridges, 5 gas compressor stations. Maybe runway bomb 3 airports. This would be a serious "strike package" but much less than what she has delivered in the past 6 months across the country.

    If the West were attacking a country this might all happen the first month. Russia has not done this because she doesn't want to and it doesn't accomplish her war goals.

    +++

    What are the results of the Russian strikes on the port of Odessa?

    Replies: @sudden death

    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you’re so frequently boasting about – it’s the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.

    Therefore it’s not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you’re so frequently boasting about – it’s the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.
     
    Not like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

    Therefore it’s not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.
     
    Some outside that area might not be so displeased at that occurrence, as their ideologically driven geopolitical agenda is to have a certain negative image portrayed at a great burden to others.

    The entity in charge of an area is responsible for maintaining and protecting such structures. Those reeking havoc for political gain are reckless. This includes firing at these facilities.

    Replies: @sudden death

    , @QCIC
    @sudden death

    I am offering a view of some possible military developments. The "Slava Ukraine" crowd and the mainstream media are delusional on many issues. My point is for people who suggest that Russia is running out of options. There are many possibilities between the ongoing artillery battles on one end of the combat spectrum and nuclear war on the other. I believe Russia so far has worked to limit civilian casualties and infrastructure damage in Ukraine. Self-preservation obviously influences Russian military choices related to nuclear contamination.

    If Russia decides to take out the grid, they would do it in a way that causes the other Ukrainian nuclear plants (I think there are 9 power reactors beyond ZPP) to shut down gracefully. This is a known process since they can destroy nodes on the grid making it electrically unstable causing the plants to trip. The risk in this case is that NeoNAZIs or NATO infiltrators will sabotage the back-up cooling systems of the reactors. This constrains how and when Russia would take out the grid if it comes to that. Russia is very familiar with the nuclear energy sector in Ukraine since it was part of the Soviet nuclear industry.

  344. @Greasy William
    @Beckow


    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet
     
    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    Replies: @Beckow, @Wokechoke, @Mikhail, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    I think they know deep down that they are fight for Judeoglobohomo. Yes.

  345. There is one huge red flag on the Bronze Age Mindset.

    Ray Peat.

    WTF?

    I don’t get it. The man was anti- {beans, cruciferous vegetables, nuts} and said eating lots of sugar is fine.

    Beans give you goiter?

    Diet arguments are the hugest biggest most giant quicksand swamp in the universe.

  346. @S
    @songbird


    I’ve seen a few freakish things in jars, but never anything as shocking as some of these reported hybrids.
     
    Yes, some of the videos of the purported hybrids were disturbing. How close the pig eyes are to human eyes in appearance is intriguing. If McCarthy could definitively prove his point it would be a radical departure from the past evolutionary thinking.

    Replies: @songbird

    I was reading recently that in early medieval Ireland, there are references to either herons or cranes being kept as pets, but they are not sure what species the word meant exactly.

    Herons don’t imprint well on humans, and will often attack small children and other animals, so I’m guessing there would be no heron-people. Though cranes are much different, so perhaps crane-people.

    It has crossed my mind very fleetingly that those trying to decriminalize bestiality might have some even more bizarre hidden purpose. To create a new race of beastmen.

    As fun as it is joke about these things, I bet McCarthy doesn’t beat around the bush, when it comes to things like HIV and monkey pox.

    • Agree: S
  347. @sudden death
    @QCIC

    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you're so frequently boasting about - it's the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.

    Therefore it's not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC

    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you’re so frequently boasting about – it’s the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.

    Not like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

    Therefore it’s not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.

    Some outside that area might not be so displeased at that occurrence, as their ideologically driven geopolitical agenda is to have a certain negative image portrayed at a great burden to others.

    The entity in charge of an area is responsible for maintaining and protecting such structures. Those reeking havoc for political gain are reckless. This includes firing at these facilities.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikhail


    Not like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
     
    Yeah, the great civilian nuclear industry created by militarist Japan in 30-40's left everybody in awe at the time and its wholesale destruction by US contaminated the agricultural paradise island for the ages;)
  348. @Greasy William
    @Sean

    It is false that Ukrainian losses have been mainly cannon fodder. There has been a great deal of that, but Ukraine has also lost a great deal of highly motivated and well equipped assault troops. Famous volunteers have been killed at the front. Furthermore, a huge chunk of Russia's losses have also essentially been fungible cannon fodder: convicts, mercenaries and militia members.


    but the much vaunted brigades trained and equipped for Western ‘combined arms’ and ‘deep battle’ remain essentially intact so Ukraine retains a theoretical capability to take the initiative against Russia.
     
    Who do you think has been conducting Ukraine's current suicidal offensives? These are for the most part well equipped, well trained and highly motivated units.

    Russian generals have been shown to be clueless about the changes wrought by technology–especially communications and surveillance
     
    They are figuring it out as they go along

    The fast moving blitz methods Ukraine is trying to use to make big gains just don’t work for them and prolly would not for anyone including the US against a prepared Russian defence
     
    Breakthrough is going to require air superiority over the front along with a willingness to absorb serious losses. Ukraine has the will but not the means whereas the US theoretically has the means, but not the will. It's not clear, however, how many troops the US could deploy to the Ukrainian theatre nor is it clear how effective US airpower would be against Russian fighters and air defense.

    Replies: @Sean

    The initial invasion attempt at a coup de main surely cost the Kremlin no trivial proportion of the most determined and capable soldiers they have. The Russians are in the habit of withdrawing under pressure, and then calling in artillery on the Ukrainians who occupy the lost territory. Sometimes the Ukrainian assault force gets caught, but the Ukrainians try to preserve their crack assault troops by quickly replacing them with territorial defence force who being static and without fortification get decimated by fires.

    https://peterturchin.com/war-in-ukraine-ii-the-model/
    Since over 80 percent of casualties in the Ukrainian conflict are inflicted by artillery, to a first degree of approximation we need to know how many shells are fired by each side. There is a general agreement by all sides that the Russians expend many more munitions than the Ukrainians.[…] The overall conclusion is that Russians have roughly a 4:1 advantage in artillery… Thus, according to this model, the prediction is that Ukrainian casualties must be roughly 4 times that of Russians

    It’s not clear … how effective US airpower would be against Russian fighters and air defense.

    I think quite apart from the WW3 angle if the Russians play tit for tat, the American military industrial complex is secretly worried about sending the far from cheap F35s against a Russian air defence that already has all sorts of battlefield experience in using its ponderous electronic warfare assets to best advantage against US weapons.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Sean

  349. @Greasy William
    @Beckow


    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet
     
    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    Replies: @Beckow, @Wokechoke, @Mikhail, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    Reminded of a pro-Bandera display at a recent LGBT gathering in Germany.

  350. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @QCIC


    ... in the real world, not in a game, it is usually bad to be the pawn in a high stakes conflict.
     
    It is bad in chess too. My point is not about the self-worth of a pawn but that a smart player values his pawns, that is usually the best way to win.

    I get that the real life is more nuanced and it is not easy to assign roles. But if we narrow it to Ukraine and the war, the Ukies are the pawns. They have a leader, but their allowable moves are very restricted - that is also true about their leader's moves. The other side, the Russians, also have pawns - the Russians living in Ukraine and the soldiers fighting the war are also pawns.

    If we take the proposition that the side that better values its pawns usually wins, then Russia has an upper hand. Before the war the Western allure was the dominant dynamic among the pawns and without a war that would lead to Nato eventually prevailing - meaning plopping themselves with their bases in Ukraine - but the war changed it. Now the Ukie pawns are being sacrificed, the allure of the West is remote, and by all accounts the Russian pawns live better and have better chance to survive than their Ukie counterparts. That can be decisive.

    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia's bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing - and after Crimea in 2014 it was outright far-fetched. But they doubled-down again and again, refusing to make a deal and walking away from what has to be either a losing fight, or an end to all of us. That is just stupid. Now they hyperventilate about Ukie offensives, coups in Russia, price of gas, Black Sea blockades, Poles getting into the fight, anything but accepting the obvious: Russia called their bluff and they have no Plan B. They never did.


    a “win” for the West in Ukraine does not necessitate a win for Ukraine.

     

    True. The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet - let's see if our friends in Poland can beat them to it, they have a long history of planet-level stupid moves, maybe they can entertain us this time too.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @A123

    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia’s bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing

    If it approaches the inconceivable, perhaps Nato-ids are not the perpetrator. Could that be a cover story? Pablum to make the pawns willing to self sacrifice? Almost certainly, Yes. The Ukie Maximalist faction demands recapture of Crimea. They have been duped with fantasy dreams about the unobtainable.

    If it is not the Nato-ids, who is it?

    It is not hard to see that MENA-oid Islamophiles are doing well in this conflict. Judeo-Christians are dying on both sides of the actual fighting. Millions of MENA origin Muslim invaders are entering the EU on fake Ukrainian identity documents. Nations that used to oppose Brussels (e.g. Poland and Hungary) are divided.
    ____

    Which is more likely? That over a decade of provocations is an:

        -1- Extended series NATO mistakes?
        -2- Intentional set-up of Ukrainians by Islamophile Globalists?

    While #1 has superficial plausibility, it does not hold together well. Yes. There is precedent that war is the result of mistakes. However, in this case the sheer number of errors buggers credibility.

    On the other hand, #2 is cohesive, more subtle, and long term. It dates back to George IslamoSoros and his NGO funded Orange Revolution against Judeo-Christian values. The plan was crafted & launched while Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel was dominating the EU, demanding Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Intentionally creating an unwinnable situation in Ukraine was the desired outcome.
    ____

    Recognizing Islamophile Globalism as the cause, clarifies the path out of the problem. The fight is unwinnable, thus Kiev aggression must end without victory. The best, really only, answer the one that Trump is campaigning on. Cutoff military funding to Anti-Semite Zelensky’s regime. Force an armistice. Christian youths on both sides stop dying almost immediately.

    With the fighting stopped, the new Ukraine will have to make the necessary concessions for a stable long term outcome. Reconstruction aid will be dependant on moving from armistice to full peace. Negotiating and recognizing the new border. Military limits including “No NATO Ever”. Once a real treaty is approved, the bulk of true Ukrainian refugees will have the opportunity to return home as part of the rebuilding effort.

    PEACE 😇

    • Troll: Mr. Hack, silviosilver
    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123


    On the other hand, #2 is cohesive, more subtle, and long term. It dates back to George IslamoSoros and his NGO funded Orange Revolution against Judeo-Christian values. The plan was crafted & launched while Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel was dominating the EU, demanding Open [Muslim] Borders...Recognizing Islamophile Globalism as the cause, clarifies the path out of the problem. The fight is unwinnable, thus Kiev aggression must end without victory.
     
    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed "Islamophile Globalism"? Not a single reader here, nor anywhere else for that matter. Yours, are the utterings of a madman. You need help kremlinstoogeA123, please seek it before its too late for you.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  351. A123 says: • Website
    @Greasy William
    @Beckow


    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet
     
    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    Replies: @Beckow, @Wokechoke, @Mikhail, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea … Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly

    Clearly not. Even mildly devout Orthodox Christians would oppose their people falling to IslamoGloboHomo.

    Anti-Semite Zelensky’s assault on Christianity will have to be fixed after he flees to Europe. Hopefully, the next government will have strong ties to the Orthodox Church. Out right bans on SJW🏳️‍🌈Muslim deviancy would be hard as some reconstruction funding will be coming from the Islamophile EU. Forcing out undesirables will have to be more subtle, at least initially.

    PEACE 😇

    • LOL: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123


    Anti-Semite Zelensky’s assault on Christianity will have to be fixed after he flees to Europe. Hopefully, the next government will have strong ties to the Orthodox Church.
     
    Zelensky is no anti-semite, and works closely with other Jews in his government. Also, he already has strong ties to the UOC as is evidenced in his Easter Greetings speech within St. Sophia Cathedral. He wont be escaping to retire in Europe as you've been forecasting since 02/24/22, as he's very popular amongst the people that he serves:

    In February 2023, over 90 percent of the Ukrainian population approved of the activities of Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the president of the country. The approval rating was at approximately the same level as in June 2022.Jun 6, 2023
     
    Your anti-Ukrainian, pro-Kremlin stances are starting to sound very hollow and monotonous. Your support of the dwarf and maniac Putler are reprehensible, especially as you pretend to be a loyal American. Go back to sniffing glue, drinking beer and playing your racing video games.
  352. @Sean
    @Greasy William

    The initial invasion attempt at a coup de main surely cost the Kremlin no trivial proportion of the most determined and capable soldiers they have. The Russians are in the habit of withdrawing under pressure, and then calling in artillery on the Ukrainians who occupy the lost territory. Sometimes the Ukrainian assault force gets caught, but the Ukrainians try to preserve their crack assault troops by quickly replacing them with territorial defence force who being static and without fortification get decimated by fires.


    https://peterturchin.com/war-in-ukraine-ii-the-model/
    Since over 80 percent of casualties in the Ukrainian conflict are inflicted by artillery, to a first degree of approximation we need to know how many shells are fired by each side. There is a general agreement by all sides that the Russians expend many more munitions than the Ukrainians.[...] The overall conclusion is that Russians have roughly a 4:1 advantage in artillery... Thus, according to this model, the prediction is that Ukrainian casualties must be roughly 4 times that of Russians
     

    It’s not clear ... how effective US airpower would be against Russian fighters and air defense.
     
    I think quite apart from the WW3 angle if the Russians play tit for tat, the American military industrial complex is secretly worried about sending the far from cheap F35s against a Russian air defence that already has all sorts of battlefield experience in using its ponderous electronic warfare assets to best advantage against US weapons.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Wokechoke

    It adapted so well that UA is again blowing up the massive ammo depots, just the geography has swithched from Donbas last year onto Crimea now - last and ongoing week is looking like that:

    https://i.postimg.cc/SRPTdckG/crimea-boom.jpg

    RF shell hunger should become more felt around August if these curious trends will continue:

    https://twitter.com/devarbol/status/1682475580271337472

    Replies: @A123

    , @Sean
    @Wokechoke

    Ukraine has got some very good counter battery radar and the one bright spot is they can make the Russian guns go quiet, but the Russians seem to favour drones against the Ukrainian artillery now. The original invasion plan was very high risk, and sometimes these things simply do not work. I suspect it is not so much adaptation as a slower tempo suits the extremely procedural Russian methods. Russia has a lot of heavy engineering and electronic jamming equipment ideally that was ponderous impedimenta for a lighting advance, but is ideally suited to immobile warfare. Imposition of some single purpose on the entire society--especially war where all resources must be commandeered into the pursuit of victory--shows the value of a mode Russia was to a non trivial extent still in .


    https://www.palladiummag.com/2021/03/24/the-end-of-industrial-society/


    At their peak, the United States and the Soviet Union both showed the full strength of industrial civilization. To a very significant degree, they were stabilized by the military and security needs of competition with each other. The USSR’s system began to creak first. The overall talent pool of founders was smaller, as was the size of its extended empire. Unlike the United States, it never truly managed to outsource crucial industries to be handled by its client states, thereby extending the block’s viable industrial phase. The industrial cooperative body that the Soviet Union created—the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (COMECON)—never succeeded in coordinating economic plans as effectively as the U.S.-led international community did,
     

    Russian weapons are quite cheap, and they do not hesitate to use expendable penal battalions for 'reconaisance in force' to ' soak upfirepower and clear mines as in Bakhmut.. Military science involves thinking that is involved in acting , or in other words “practice”. Western militaries gave Ukraine training that was predicated on having broad avenues of advance completely cleared of mines and other unfeasible requirements; it was 100% theoretical. They still have not used what is on paper their best tanks and APCs (Challenger, Stryker) I would not think they expect the type of tank ECT to make a difference.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxOYbfu3xt4
  353. @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Sean

    It adapted so well that UA is again blowing up the massive ammo depots, just the geography has swithched from Donbas last year onto Crimea now – last and ongoing week is looking like that:

    RF shell hunger should become more felt around August if these curious trends will continue:

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @A123
    @sudden death



    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.
     
    It adapted so well that UA is again blowing up the massive ammo depots
     
    One of the adaptations is that RF shifted away from massive ammo depots. While it feels large when the shockwave rolls out, these depots are at best medium sized. Kiev aggression can win strikes and battles. That is vastly different from winning the war.

    Russia is busy wrecking Odessa and nearby ports. How many large cargo ships are at anchor? I have heard two, one of which has a catastrophic engine mechanical and cannot move under its own power. Russia's mine laying vessels do not seem to be at their home bases. If the ports are closed by mines, even if a new grain deal is reached it will take months before ships can move. The next harvest will have to reach export markets almost entirely by rail, and that system does not have the capacity.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  354. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I always figured I’d be alright somehow
     
    This intuition that you had is a very important one, I think.

    On the one hand, it's just true. In the vast majority of cases accidents and setbacks in the outdoors are benign. We end up overcoming them, often quite easily, and the cases when it doesn't happen are so rare that we read them in the news.

    On the other hand, I believe it's a manifestation of our survival spirit. After millions of years of evolution our bodies and our brains are designed to keep us safe from danger and one essential aspect is believing that we're going to make it, even when the odds start stacking up against you. It's an instinct that sets in and makes you do things that would normally appear to be too strenuous by just believing that you can do them. Perhaps some of the people that perish in the outdoors have somehow lost this ability to believe in themselves and give in too early or panic and make their situation worse.

    There is a very important physical component to all this as well. I was once descending on my own from a peak in the Central Andes, close to Santiago, and I tripped with such bad luck that my knee hit a sharp rock and started bleeding profusely. I later found out that the cut exposed the rotula. It was very painful and I still had 2-3 hours of descent to my car but well, what are you going to do? As soon as I could get back standing I just kept descending with the help of my trekking poles and one way or another, without thinking too much about it, I managed to finally get to my car and painfully drive back home with a stiff right leg. My wife took me to a hospital where they stitched me up and put me on analgesics and antibiotics. It took me a good month to start hiking again.

    The interesting thing is that as soon as I was safe in my wife's company it became almost impossible for me to walk. Up until that moment my body and my mind had clearly been working to provide whatever natural analgesics, hormones and stimulants were needed to take me to safety by my own means but I could clearly see in real time how, once the goal had been accomplished, they all returned to their normal levels and suddenly I was fragile again. Nature has been dealing with these situations for ages and knows how to respond: you would not have developed hypothermia and, in all likelihood, there was more than just nutrients circulating in your body after you broke your fast.

    It's certainly up to each person to decide how they want to enjoy nature (or not) but I think that accumulating this type of experiences is one of the great benefits of outdoor activities. They make you psychologically stronger. As long as you don't take it too far and they break you, of course.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird

    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.

    Your mentality in how you approach adversity and challenges makes a huge difference in how successfully you navigate them, and defeatism can be paralyzing while the right attitude of resilience and fortitude can make the difference between succumbing or pulling through.

    You know me, I tend to emphasis innate characteristics far less than mentality and outlook in all life outcomes 🙂

    It’s extremely important to approach life with a basic sense of trust, I’d say, that we’ve lost. The rise in fear today stems partly from the loss of this baseline “faith in the universe” that I think comes from our overly mechanistic thinking. We no longer see the world as our home, but as trying to kill us. Of course, one must take reasonable precautions, but you can’t do anything without trust.

    You’re right, I wouldn’t have developed hypothermia – I would have walked faster, my body would have activated various mechanisms, and I would have been fine.

    A few times lately at the end of very long hikes, with aching feet and tired muscles, feeling I have just enough energy left to reach my car, I suddenly thought I lost my way – within seconds, pain in my feet and limbs gone and I’m flying effortlessly .Our body knows how to care of us.

    As for PTSD, certainly I’m not making light of anyone’s suffering – I have sympathy for all suffering, even if it’s self inflicted.

    But I think you’re completely right that the way we “frame” adversity in modern life – the “context” we give it – makes us so much less able to cope with it well, and that’s a huge factor in the prevalence of PTSD.

    With the loss of any higher goals, pain – or even discomfort – becomes unbearable. We used to have a different narrative in which it was understood that one endures discomfort and pain in order to achieve higher satisfactions.

    Another factor is the perspective provided by belief in another world, now lost, which inevitably puts the travails of this one in a larger context.

    With the collapse of these other dimensions, the only goal left modern culture is to progressively eliminate pain and discomfort – that is in fact the modern concept of flourishing.

    Flourishing in modern times means to eliminate as much pain and discomfort from your life as possible – that is its notion of the “good”.

    Problem is, the best things in life can only be purchased with pain and discomfort 🙂 Even trivially, a long day of scrambling through mountains involves all sorts of discomforts and deprivations for the higher satisfaction of connecting to nature and beauty.

    A society that conceives of human flourishing as the mere reduction of pain, and has lost all sight of higher types of flourishing, is one that is fragile.

    And you’re also right that there is this weird new trend of of pathologizing summer – how odd! Heat seems to be a huge bogeyman these days.

    I remember being in Greece in the late 2000s and it was crazy hot, over 100 for days on end, and no one made a big deal of it. In the 90s in NY when I was a teenager I remember we had a week of over 100 degrees – something we never have anymore in NY – and we noticed it but didn’t make a big deal of it. I drove around in the convertible I had at the time with my friends and we had a blast.

    And as you say, it’s all relative – tons of people live in hot regions of the world. I spent years of my life travelling through sweltering India and SEA and you survive just fine – you get used to it.

    Possibly this has something to do with global warming being so feared today, but I think it’s the general fragility and sense that any discomfort is terrible.

    (None of this, of course, is to say that I do not consider crisp cold mountains mornings one of the best things on earth)

    So good for you – I hope you’re having a blast out there today in the mountains in the heat, and definitely not cowering inside!

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.
     
    Thank you. I also liked this remark of yours. Keep repeating such remarks as often as you can please :-)

    So your return to this blog reminded me that I have unfinished business with McGilchrist. I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion. I remember Barbarossa having the same problem with The Master and His Emissary. Not sure if he finished it. Besides, that summer I received my sister's visit, who brought a manuscript with my late father's memoirs and that took precedence.

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he's actually a much better speaker than writer. It's also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that's my impression.

    These are the two videos I have watched in full (although the second one is a podcast with no image):

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6Vkhov_qx8

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJRx9wItvKo

    I can't really recommend the first video. It starts very well but, little by little, Jordan Peterson does his thing, takes over the dialogue and, instead of letting the interviewee expand on his points, he tries to make them for him in his characteristically dogmatic, strident way.

    The second one is much better but only half of the conversation with the equally charismatic Sam Harris is available. An interesting aspect of this second video is that Harris is an atheist so seeing what both have a common understanding on is clarifying.

    But I have a couple of problems with McGilchrist. The first one is that, even though he has a deep knowledge of the scientific literature, which he uses profusely in his books, he doesn't talk like a real scientist. At least not like the ones I like listening to, who always qualify their statements with some uncertainty and stress the points that we still don't know or where further research is necessary. Iain seems to have arrived at some strong conclusions and he seems to find it his mission to let the rest of the world know about them. In fact, I'm still not totally convinced that the brain lateralization that is the crucial point of his essays works in the rather simplistic way that he describes. Perhaps he's letting his left-brain do too much work on this subject himself, not leaving some room for exceptions and uncertainties? I never got how he solves the paradox of the left-handed people and some others.

    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views. The first part of the second video, where he explains his education and career, is very revealing in this respect. He confesses that he always wanted to study philosophy and theology but ended up taking a route that led him to psychiatry. So perhaps it's not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?

    In any case, thank you for doing the work of finding such insightful authors and bringing them to our attention. I'm sure I'll keep reading and listening to Iain much more.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  355. A123 says: • Website
    @sudden death
    @Wokechoke

    It adapted so well that UA is again blowing up the massive ammo depots, just the geography has swithched from Donbas last year onto Crimea now - last and ongoing week is looking like that:

    https://i.postimg.cc/SRPTdckG/crimea-boom.jpg

    RF shell hunger should become more felt around August if these curious trends will continue:

    https://twitter.com/devarbol/status/1682475580271337472

    Replies: @A123

    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.

    It adapted so well that UA is again blowing up the massive ammo depots

    One of the adaptations is that RF shifted away from massive ammo depots. While it feels large when the shockwave rolls out, these depots are at best medium sized. Kiev aggression can win strikes and battles. That is vastly different from winning the war.

    Russia is busy wrecking Odessa and nearby ports. How many large cargo ships are at anchor? I have heard two, one of which has a catastrophic engine mechanical and cannot move under its own power. Russia’s mine laying vessels do not seem to be at their home bases. If the ports are closed by mines, even if a new grain deal is reached it will take months before ships can move. The next harvest will have to reach export markets almost entirely by rail, and that system does not have the capacity.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @A123

    And the trains will be shot to pieces.

  356. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I always figured I’d be alright somehow
     
    This intuition that you had is a very important one, I think.

    On the one hand, it's just true. In the vast majority of cases accidents and setbacks in the outdoors are benign. We end up overcoming them, often quite easily, and the cases when it doesn't happen are so rare that we read them in the news.

    On the other hand, I believe it's a manifestation of our survival spirit. After millions of years of evolution our bodies and our brains are designed to keep us safe from danger and one essential aspect is believing that we're going to make it, even when the odds start stacking up against you. It's an instinct that sets in and makes you do things that would normally appear to be too strenuous by just believing that you can do them. Perhaps some of the people that perish in the outdoors have somehow lost this ability to believe in themselves and give in too early or panic and make their situation worse.

    There is a very important physical component to all this as well. I was once descending on my own from a peak in the Central Andes, close to Santiago, and I tripped with such bad luck that my knee hit a sharp rock and started bleeding profusely. I later found out that the cut exposed the rotula. It was very painful and I still had 2-3 hours of descent to my car but well, what are you going to do? As soon as I could get back standing I just kept descending with the help of my trekking poles and one way or another, without thinking too much about it, I managed to finally get to my car and painfully drive back home with a stiff right leg. My wife took me to a hospital where they stitched me up and put me on analgesics and antibiotics. It took me a good month to start hiking again.

    The interesting thing is that as soon as I was safe in my wife's company it became almost impossible for me to walk. Up until that moment my body and my mind had clearly been working to provide whatever natural analgesics, hormones and stimulants were needed to take me to safety by my own means but I could clearly see in real time how, once the goal had been accomplished, they all returned to their normal levels and suddenly I was fragile again. Nature has been dealing with these situations for ages and knows how to respond: you would not have developed hypothermia and, in all likelihood, there was more than just nutrients circulating in your body after you broke your fast.

    It's certainly up to each person to decide how they want to enjoy nature (or not) but I think that accumulating this type of experiences is one of the great benefits of outdoor activities. They make you psychologically stronger. As long as you don't take it too far and they break you, of course.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird

    IIRC, there’s a great line in some Antoine de Saint-Exupéry book. I think probably “Wind, Sand and Stars”, though I read it ages ago. An incident where some pilot completes a harrowing journey after he crashed his plane in a remote place in Latin America and was injured. Something like “no animal would have done that.”

    Whether it is exactly true or not, I can’t say. But it certainly is poetic.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @songbird

    Cats and dogs can do such things as cross country trek. But they are imbued with characteristics we human bred into them.

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIxm-A-2oyQ&ab_channel=RevZilla

  357. A123 says: • Website

    More bad news for DeSantis: (1)

    Ramaswamy Leaps Ahead of Shrinking DeSantis in National Republican Poll

    Many people said it was likely to happen and indeed it has. Vivek Ramaswamy has now overtaken Ron DeSantis to become the top loser to Donald Trump in the GOP primary race. According to a Kaplan Strategies poll Ron DeSantis has now dropped to third place in the presidential preference polling.

     

    Even more brutal. Pence has dropped to #6 behind Chris Christie and Tim Scott.

    DeSantis is attempting to retool his campaign. However, it is not clear what he can accomplish this cycle. Probably regain #2. Ramaswamy will receive more scrutiny and fade back in the numbers. DeSantis is positioning himself as heir apparent if Trump has to step back for medical reasons.

    The best way to learn how to run for President is… Running for President. He can continue to experiment. Participate in the Fox ‘debate’. Learn from mistakes. As long as DeSantis takes a step back and is not pushed into antagonizing Trump, this can still be a dry run for 2028 after Trump’s 2nd term.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2023/07/20/ramaswamy-leaps-ahead-of-shrinking-desantis-in-national-republican-poll/

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @A123

    It’s generally a one shot for Republicans who wish to win the presidency.

    Look out for Josh Hawley btw.

    He could be a veep pick this year, but imho he should refuse that offer.

    I don’t think the GOP can win presidential contests these days.

    Too few whites, too many niggers and spics already. The white population too isolationist to be trusted by the CIA and FBI anymore.

    Replies: @A123

  358. @A123
    @sudden death



    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.
     
    It adapted so well that UA is again blowing up the massive ammo depots
     
    One of the adaptations is that RF shifted away from massive ammo depots. While it feels large when the shockwave rolls out, these depots are at best medium sized. Kiev aggression can win strikes and battles. That is vastly different from winning the war.

    Russia is busy wrecking Odessa and nearby ports. How many large cargo ships are at anchor? I have heard two, one of which has a catastrophic engine mechanical and cannot move under its own power. Russia's mine laying vessels do not seem to be at their home bases. If the ports are closed by mines, even if a new grain deal is reached it will take months before ships can move. The next harvest will have to reach export markets almost entirely by rail, and that system does not have the capacity.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    And the trains will be shot to pieces.

  359. @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    The Russian military looks like it has adapted well to the circumstances.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Sean

    Ukraine has got some very good counter battery radar and the one bright spot is they can make the Russian guns go quiet, but the Russians seem to favour drones against the Ukrainian artillery now. The original invasion plan was very high risk, and sometimes these things simply do not work. I suspect it is not so much adaptation as a slower tempo suits the extremely procedural Russian methods. Russia has a lot of heavy engineering and electronic jamming equipment ideally that was ponderous impedimenta for a lighting advance, but is ideally suited to immobile warfare. Imposition of some single purpose on the entire society–especially war where all resources must be commandeered into the pursuit of victory–shows the value of a mode Russia was to a non trivial extent still in .

    https://www.palladiummag.com/2021/03/24/the-end-of-industrial-society/

    At their peak, the United States and the Soviet Union both showed the full strength of industrial civilization. To a very significant degree, they were stabilized by the military and security needs of competition with each other. The USSR’s system began to creak first. The overall talent pool of founders was smaller, as was the size of its extended empire. Unlike the United States, it never truly managed to outsource crucial industries to be handled by its client states, thereby extending the block’s viable industrial phase. The industrial cooperative body that the Soviet Union created—the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (COMECON)—never succeeded in coordinating economic plans as effectively as the U.S.-led international community did,

    Russian weapons are quite cheap, and they do not hesitate to use expendable penal battalions for ‘reconaisance in force’ to ‘ soak upfirepower and clear mines as in Bakhmut.. Military science involves thinking that is involved in acting , or in other words “practice”. Western militaries gave Ukraine training that was predicated on having broad avenues of advance completely cleared of mines and other unfeasible requirements; it was 100% theoretical. They still have not used what is on paper their best tanks and APCs (Challenger, Stryker) I would not think they expect the type of tank ECT to make a difference.

  360. @A123
    More bad news for DeSantis: (1)

    Ramaswamy Leaps Ahead of Shrinking DeSantis in National Republican Poll

     

    Many people said it was likely to happen and indeed it has. Vivek Ramaswamy has now overtaken Ron DeSantis to become the top loser to Donald Trump in the GOP primary race. According to a Kaplan Strategies poll Ron DeSantis has now dropped to third place in the presidential preference polling.

     
    https://theconservativetreehouse.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Candidates-2024-July-20-2023-Kaplan-Strategies.jpg

     

    Even more brutal. Pence has dropped to #6 behind Chris Christie and Tim Scott.

    DeSantis is attempting to retool his campaign. However, it is not clear what he can accomplish this cycle. Probably regain #2. Ramaswamy will receive more scrutiny and fade back in the numbers. DeSantis is positioning himself as heir apparent if Trump has to step back for medical reasons.

    The best way to learn how to run for President is... Running for President. He can continue to experiment. Participate in the Fox 'debate'. Learn from mistakes. As long as DeSantis takes a step back and is not pushed into antagonizing Trump, this can still be a dry run for 2028 after Trump's 2nd term.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2023/07/20/ramaswamy-leaps-ahead-of-shrinking-desantis-in-national-republican-poll/

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    It’s generally a one shot for Republicans who wish to win the presidency.

    Look out for Josh Hawley btw.

    He could be a veep pick this year, but imho he should refuse that offer.

    I don’t think the GOP can win presidential contests these days.

    Too few whites, too many niggers and spics already. The white population too isolationist to be trusted by the CIA and FBI anymore.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Leftoid's are being trapped with absurd extremist positions. Parents of all races want to protect their daughters from this deviancy. Judeo-Christian values are important. (1)


    Former President Donald Trump is calling for the death penalty for human traffickers after hosting a special screening of the blockbuster movie Sound of Freedom this week at this club in Bedminster, New Jersey.

    In a video message released Friday, President Trump said upon returning to office, he will use Title 42 to return all child trafficking victims to their families in their countries of origin.

    He added: “I will urge Congress to ensure that anyone caught trafficking children across our border receives the death penalty — immediately. And that includes, also, for women, because women as you know are No. 1 in trafficking. Children are actually No. 2.”

    “Together we will end the scourge of human trafficking and we will defend the dignity of human life,” Trump concluded.

     

    Not-The-President Biden's popularity among Hispanics is a record low. Legal Mexican migrants do not want to be tainted by illegal South American grifters and exploiters.
    ____

    Trump will have huge victories in voting.

    The question is, "Does the GOP have the will for balloting?" They have to wield techniques the DNC used last cycle, such as Harvesting and Fultoning. Knowing the country cannot survive 4 more years of the current White House occupier will dissolve reserve that has held the GOP back.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2023/07/21/trump-demands-death-penalty-for-human-traffickers-after-sound-of-freedom-screening-we-will-defend-the-dignity-of-human-life/

    Replies: @sudden death

  361. @songbird
    @Mikel

    IIRC, there's a great line in some Antoine de Saint-Exupéry book. I think probably "Wind, Sand and Stars", though I read it ages ago. An incident where some pilot completes a harrowing journey after he crashed his plane in a remote place in Latin America and was injured. Something like "no animal would have done that."

    Whether it is exactly true or not, I can't say. But it certainly is poetic.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Emil Nikola Richard

    Cats and dogs can do such things as cross country trek. But they are imbued with characteristics we human bred into them.

    • Agree: songbird
  362. @songbird
    @Mikel

    IIRC, there's a great line in some Antoine de Saint-Exupéry book. I think probably "Wind, Sand and Stars", though I read it ages ago. An incident where some pilot completes a harrowing journey after he crashed his plane in a remote place in Latin America and was injured. Something like "no animal would have done that."

    Whether it is exactly true or not, I can't say. But it certainly is poetic.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Emil Nikola Richard

    • Thanks: songbird
  363. Wish one of these YouTube alternatives let you download lo-fi audio.

    I’d like to listen to (not watch) some of these podcasts, but the file sizes are pretty impractical in many ways. Barebones audio (not Dolby) doesn’t really take up much space, or shouldn’t. It’s not just about space, but time to download, response functionality, and wear and tear on memory.

  364. A123 says: • Website
    @Wokechoke
    @A123

    It’s generally a one shot for Republicans who wish to win the presidency.

    Look out for Josh Hawley btw.

    He could be a veep pick this year, but imho he should refuse that offer.

    I don’t think the GOP can win presidential contests these days.

    Too few whites, too many niggers and spics already. The white population too isolationist to be trusted by the CIA and FBI anymore.

    Replies: @A123

    Leftoid’s are being trapped with absurd extremist positions. Parents of all races want to protect their daughters from this deviancy. Judeo-Christian values are important. (1)

    Former President Donald Trump is calling for the death penalty for human traffickers after hosting a special screening of the blockbuster movie Sound of Freedom this week at this club in Bedminster, New Jersey.

    In a video message released Friday, President Trump said upon returning to office, he will use Title 42 to return all child trafficking victims to their families in their countries of origin.

    He added: “I will urge Congress to ensure that anyone caught trafficking children across our border receives the death penalty — immediately. And that includes, also, for women, because women as you know are No. 1 in trafficking. Children are actually No. 2.”

    “Together we will end the scourge of human trafficking and we will defend the dignity of human life,” Trump concluded.

    Not-The-President Biden’s popularity among Hispanics is a record low. Legal Mexican migrants do not want to be tainted by illegal South American grifters and exploiters.
    ____

    Trump will have huge victories in voting.

    The question is, “Does the GOP have the will for balloting?” They have to wield techniques the DNC used last cycle, such as Harvesting and Fultoning. Knowing the country cannot survive 4 more years of the current White House occupier will dissolve reserve that has held the GOP back.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2023/07/21/trump-demands-death-penalty-for-human-traffickers-after-sound-of-freedom-screening-we-will-defend-the-dignity-of-human-life/

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @A123

    Once again the anti-Trump Republican camp (Pence+Christie+Haley) is very stable, hovering around 12% since 2021 constantly, therefore vote cheating is the only imaginable strategy to deal with inevitable repeated Trump loss when at least half of those mentioned voters will not be voting at all or voting for Biden.

    Replies: @A123

  365. @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you’re so frequently boasting about – it’s the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.
     
    Not like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

    Therefore it’s not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.
     
    Some outside that area might not be so displeased at that occurrence, as their ideologically driven geopolitical agenda is to have a certain negative image portrayed at a great burden to others.

    The entity in charge of an area is responsible for maintaining and protecting such structures. Those reeking havoc for political gain are reckless. This includes firing at these facilities.

    Replies: @sudden death

    Not like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

    Yeah, the great civilian nuclear industry created by militarist Japan in 30-40’s left everybody in awe at the time and its wholesale destruction by US contaminated the agricultural paradise island for the ages;)

  366. @sudden death
    @QCIC

    Once again clueless pushing of inane analogies without having any grasp about the big picture you're so frequently boasting about - it's the first time in history when somebody is attacking country with a fully developed, working and relatively gigantic civilian nuclear sector, West has never done that at all.

    Therefore it's not a good will by RF is being in action here, but just little bit of preservation instinct by predator at work, cause sudden mass attack on all kinds of power plants and collapse of electricity/power system with all reserve systems malfunctioning too, might again result in several new Chernobyls at once again when RF/Belarus might be damaged as well, not only West.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC

    I am offering a view of some possible military developments. The “Slava Ukraine” crowd and the mainstream media are delusional on many issues. My point is for people who suggest that Russia is running out of options. There are many possibilities between the ongoing artillery battles on one end of the combat spectrum and nuclear war on the other. I believe Russia so far has worked to limit civilian casualties and infrastructure damage in Ukraine. Self-preservation obviously influences Russian military choices related to nuclear contamination.

    If Russia decides to take out the grid, they would do it in a way that causes the other Ukrainian nuclear plants (I think there are 9 power reactors beyond ZPP) to shut down gracefully. This is a known process since they can destroy nodes on the grid making it electrically unstable causing the plants to trip. The risk in this case is that NeoNAZIs or NATO infiltrators will sabotage the back-up cooling systems of the reactors. This constrains how and when Russia would take out the grid if it comes to that. Russia is very familiar with the nuclear energy sector in Ukraine since it was part of the Soviet nuclear industry.

  367. @A123
    @Wokechoke

    Leftoid's are being trapped with absurd extremist positions. Parents of all races want to protect their daughters from this deviancy. Judeo-Christian values are important. (1)


    Former President Donald Trump is calling for the death penalty for human traffickers after hosting a special screening of the blockbuster movie Sound of Freedom this week at this club in Bedminster, New Jersey.

    In a video message released Friday, President Trump said upon returning to office, he will use Title 42 to return all child trafficking victims to their families in their countries of origin.

    He added: “I will urge Congress to ensure that anyone caught trafficking children across our border receives the death penalty — immediately. And that includes, also, for women, because women as you know are No. 1 in trafficking. Children are actually No. 2.”

    “Together we will end the scourge of human trafficking and we will defend the dignity of human life,” Trump concluded.

     

    Not-The-President Biden's popularity among Hispanics is a record low. Legal Mexican migrants do not want to be tainted by illegal South American grifters and exploiters.
    ____

    Trump will have huge victories in voting.

    The question is, "Does the GOP have the will for balloting?" They have to wield techniques the DNC used last cycle, such as Harvesting and Fultoning. Knowing the country cannot survive 4 more years of the current White House occupier will dissolve reserve that has held the GOP back.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2023/07/21/trump-demands-death-penalty-for-human-traffickers-after-sound-of-freedom-screening-we-will-defend-the-dignity-of-human-life/

    Replies: @sudden death

    Once again the anti-Trump Republican camp (Pence+Christie+Haley) is very stable, hovering around 12% since 2021 constantly, therefore vote cheating is the only imaginable strategy to deal with inevitable repeated Trump loss when at least half of those mentioned voters will not be voting at all or voting for Biden.

    • Replies: @A123
    @sudden death

    Let me Fix That For You:

    The anti-Biden Democrat camp (Kennedy+Williamson) is growing, currently around 20%. Therefore vote cheating is the only imaginable strategy to deal with an inevitable Not-The-President Biden loss when at least half of those mentioned voters will not be voting at all or voting for Trump.

    MAGA 2024 has to be ready to deal with the proven DNC fraud techniques deployed in 2020 & 2022.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson

  368. A123 says: • Website
    @sudden death
    @A123

    Once again the anti-Trump Republican camp (Pence+Christie+Haley) is very stable, hovering around 12% since 2021 constantly, therefore vote cheating is the only imaginable strategy to deal with inevitable repeated Trump loss when at least half of those mentioned voters will not be voting at all or voting for Biden.

    Replies: @A123

    Let me Fix That For You:

    The anti-Biden Democrat camp (Kennedy+Williamson) is growing, currently around 20%. Therefore vote cheating is the only imaginable strategy to deal with an inevitable Not-The-President Biden loss when at least half of those mentioned voters will not be voting at all or voting for Trump.

    MAGA 2024 has to be ready to deal with the proven DNC fraud techniques deployed in 2020 & 2022.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @A123

    The anti-Biden Democrat camp (Kennedy+Williamson) is growing, currently around 20%.

    RFKs support dropped to 9% with his recent comment. He took himself out of the race by talking.

    Thanks RFK. Maybe your fans here will realize that you will do nothing to help remove Biden.

    MAGA 2024 has to be ready to deal with the proven DNC fraud techniques deployed in 2020 & 2022.

    So you believe in MAGA 2024 and that Russia will take Kiev? What else do you believe in? Santa Claus?

    Have you actually looked at the Federal case against Trump? He really botched it with the documents. They warned him numerous times and yet he wanted to keep classified documents in his bathroom. Would you take home classified documents and stick them in your bathroom?

    A moderate Democrat could easily beat both Biden and Trump. I voted for Trump twice but he needs to exit stage left.

  369. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    I see no reason to believe that. They’ve never made such statements. Why would they want Kaliningrad? It’s German ruins with 350,000 Russians. Poland has plenty of land and a growing economy. What they would like is for this stupid war to be over.

    Unlike Russia they have restrictions on abortion and haven’t embraced atheism in their cities. They’re not going to be interested in taking 350,000 potential spies and agitators.

    Poland is in fact hated by secular globalists for being Catholic and not accepting Western European beliefs on the fetus. Russia has the world’s highest abortion rate and yet Putin’s fans for some reason think a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion should be the model for the West. Poland has a much healthier balance of Christianity and modernism.

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    Poland, Ukraine and the people of Russia were fine with the status quo in 2021.

    Only the dwarf and his supporters are stuck in 1939. Most people want to get along with their neighbors and trade with them. Poland supports Ukraine as seen by not only military support but also the refugees. Putin is losing his mind if he thinks Poland wants to carve the place up. He really needs to check the calendar. There isn’t a nearby Hitler willing to re-carve Eastern Europe.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @John Johnson


    Olaf Scholz: War in Ukraine has made Germany realise ...

    The Times
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk › article › olaf-scholz-war-in-...
    18 Jul 2022 — The German chancellor has warned that his own country's security and freedom will be in peril if President Putin is allowed to “get away ...

     

    The West now sees that Putin's real objective is to invade Germany. That would be a good reason to give unlimited help to Ukraine.
    , @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    The five or ten pieces in your simplistic view of this West versus Russia problem fit together very nicely. Too bad you are ignoring so much. This blinds you to what is actually happening.

    Most Russians probably didn't expect NeoNAZI militias to be murdering Russian speakers (including relatives) in the Donbass. Many Russians probably didn't think NATO would be aggressively training and arming the Ukrainian military for over a decade. Most Russians were probably surprised and alarmed when the USA put missile sites in Eastern Europe. Everyone was surprised and concerned when the USA dropped out of the ABM treaty.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  370. I TRIED TO CREATE PRO-RUSSIAN PUPPET STATES IN UKRAINE AND ALL I GOT WAS THIS LOUSY RUSSIAN DISPLAY CASE

    I guess it took Igor Girkin over 10 years to realize that supporting a homicidal dwarf is a bad idea.

    The crazy thing is that he was criticizing Putin from within Russia.

    These naive Russians seem to think they can generate street cred with a mass murderer.

    • Agree: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Sean
    @John Johnson

    Girkin is the only one of the original Donbass leaders extant. The FSB assassinated all the others.

    Re 'dwarf :-
    1 There is a will to power in short men.
    2 No one becomes leader of his country without possessing a very powerful ego.

    Case in both points: Zelenskiy.

    , @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    The Red Faced Major at the regimental mess. Quite the life he’s lead.

  371. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    I see no reason to believe that. They've never made such statements. Why would they want Kaliningrad? It's German ruins with 350,000 Russians. Poland has plenty of land and a growing economy. What they would like is for this stupid war to be over.

    Unlike Russia they have restrictions on abortion and haven't embraced atheism in their cities. They're not going to be interested in taking 350,000 potential spies and agitators.

    Poland is in fact hated by secular globalists for being Catholic and not accepting Western European beliefs on the fetus. Russia has the world's highest abortion rate and yet Putin's fans for some reason think a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion should be the model for the West. Poland has a much healthier balance of Christianity and modernism.

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    Poland, Ukraine and the people of Russia were fine with the status quo in 2021.

    Only the dwarf and his supporters are stuck in 1939. Most people want to get along with their neighbors and trade with them. Poland supports Ukraine as seen by not only military support but also the refugees. Putin is losing his mind if he thinks Poland wants to carve the place up. He really needs to check the calendar. There isn't a nearby Hitler willing to re-carve Eastern Europe.

    Replies: @Sean, @QCIC

    Olaf Scholz: War in Ukraine has made Germany realise …

    The Times
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk › article › olaf-scholz-war-in-…
    18 Jul 2022 — The German chancellor has warned that his own country’s security and freedom will be in peril if President Putin is allowed to “get away …

    The West now sees that Putin’s real objective is to invade Germany. That would be a good reason to give unlimited help to Ukraine.

  372. @A123
    @sudden death

    Let me Fix That For You:

    The anti-Biden Democrat camp (Kennedy+Williamson) is growing, currently around 20%. Therefore vote cheating is the only imaginable strategy to deal with an inevitable Not-The-President Biden loss when at least half of those mentioned voters will not be voting at all or voting for Trump.

    MAGA 2024 has to be ready to deal with the proven DNC fraud techniques deployed in 2020 & 2022.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @John Johnson

    The anti-Biden Democrat camp (Kennedy+Williamson) is growing, currently around 20%.

    RFKs support dropped to 9% with his recent comment. He took himself out of the race by talking.

    Thanks RFK. Maybe your fans here will realize that you will do nothing to help remove Biden.

    MAGA 2024 has to be ready to deal with the proven DNC fraud techniques deployed in 2020 & 2022.

    So you believe in MAGA 2024 and that Russia will take Kiev? What else do you believe in? Santa Claus?

    Have you actually looked at the Federal case against Trump? He really botched it with the documents. They warned him numerous times and yet he wanted to keep classified documents in his bathroom. Would you take home classified documents and stick them in your bathroom?

    A moderate Democrat could easily beat both Biden and Trump. I voted for Trump twice but he needs to exit stage left.

  373. @John Johnson
    I TRIED TO CREATE PRO-RUSSIAN PUPPET STATES IN UKRAINE AND ALL I GOT WAS THIS LOUSY RUSSIAN DISPLAY CASE

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INqU5ZdYBfs

    I guess it took Igor Girkin over 10 years to realize that supporting a homicidal dwarf is a bad idea.

    The crazy thing is that he was criticizing Putin from within Russia.

    These naive Russians seem to think they can generate street cred with a mass murderer.

    Replies: @Sean, @Wokechoke

    Girkin is the only one of the original Donbass leaders extant. The FSB assassinated all the others.

    Re ‘dwarf :-
    1 There is a will to power in short men.
    2 No one becomes leader of his country without possessing a very powerful ego.

    Case in both points: Zelenskiy.

  374. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I thought everyone recognized that Poland wants Western Ukraine, Western Belarus and Kaliningrad, too. Have you been sleeping under a rock?

    I see no reason to believe that. They've never made such statements. Why would they want Kaliningrad? It's German ruins with 350,000 Russians. Poland has plenty of land and a growing economy. What they would like is for this stupid war to be over.

    Unlike Russia they have restrictions on abortion and haven't embraced atheism in their cities. They're not going to be interested in taking 350,000 potential spies and agitators.

    Poland is in fact hated by secular globalists for being Catholic and not accepting Western European beliefs on the fetus. Russia has the world's highest abortion rate and yet Putin's fans for some reason think a homicidal dwarf and his bloody invasion should be the model for the West. Poland has a much healthier balance of Christianity and modernism.

    Not that it matters what Poland wants. NATO wants to push them into these areas. For the moment they want the same thing, but that may change.

    Poland, Ukraine and the people of Russia were fine with the status quo in 2021.

    Only the dwarf and his supporters are stuck in 1939. Most people want to get along with their neighbors and trade with them. Poland supports Ukraine as seen by not only military support but also the refugees. Putin is losing his mind if he thinks Poland wants to carve the place up. He really needs to check the calendar. There isn't a nearby Hitler willing to re-carve Eastern Europe.

    Replies: @Sean, @QCIC

    The five or ten pieces in your simplistic view of this West versus Russia problem fit together very nicely. Too bad you are ignoring so much. This blinds you to what is actually happening.

    Most Russians probably didn’t expect NeoNAZI militias to be murdering Russian speakers (including relatives) in the Donbass. Many Russians probably didn’t think NATO would be aggressively training and arming the Ukrainian military for over a decade. Most Russians were probably surprised and alarmed when the USA put missile sites in Eastern Europe. Everyone was surprised and concerned when the USA dropped out of the ABM treaty.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Most Russians probably didn’t expect NeoNAZI militias to be murdering Russian speakers (including relatives) in the Donbass.

    The UN reported 365 civilian casualties total 2016-2021
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Donbas_(2014%E2%80%932022)#Casualties

    365 for the entire period.

    That's 73 per year. Which means more Russians died in accidental drownings.

    Is that what they were upset over?

    7400 Russians died of drug overdoses in 2020
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/07/13/russian-drug-overdose-deaths-surge-during-pandemic-open-media-a74502

    Which was the bigger problem? 7400 overdoses in a single year or 73 casualties per year from declining militia fighting? Maybe Putin should have declared a war against drugs?

    Or maybe you'd like to take a shot at the "20,000 civilian casualties" bullshit number thrown around pro-Putin blogs? Not a single bootlicker has provided a source. As with liberals they like to throw around fraudulent data and hope no one fact checks them in an open forum.

  375. @John Johnson
    I TRIED TO CREATE PRO-RUSSIAN PUPPET STATES IN UKRAINE AND ALL I GOT WAS THIS LOUSY RUSSIAN DISPLAY CASE

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INqU5ZdYBfs

    I guess it took Igor Girkin over 10 years to realize that supporting a homicidal dwarf is a bad idea.

    The crazy thing is that he was criticizing Putin from within Russia.

    These naive Russians seem to think they can generate street cred with a mass murderer.

    Replies: @Sean, @Wokechoke

    The Red Faced Major at the regimental mess. Quite the life he’s lead.

  376. If we remember Sandy Munro’s prediction in 2021, where he predicts replacement of American automobiles by Chinese EV imports.

    I wonder if how this updates after 2 years?

    Chinese EVs like BYD are competitive and lower price than Western brands of EV.

    In terms of China’s local market, China’s local brands have already displaced many of the Western brands. But the import to the Western countries of Chinese EVs is still mostly preparing.

    America also still has relatively low sales of EVs. It was only 7% of new car sales so far this year. For this reason, perhaps American manufacturers might still have a few more years to prepare for competition with Chinese brands, before the public transitions to EVs.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Dmitry

    I think the Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer products at significantly lower cost than manufacturers in the USA. This applies to durable goods and maybe all consumer products other than food.

    Replies: @A123, @Dmitry

  377. @Greasy William
    @Beckow


    The pawns never get to share in the spoils. But among other things, the Ukie pawns seem the most stupid ones on the planet
     
    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea that, were they to succeed in defeating Russia, it will mean that Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly in every Ukrainian city and that their kids will be subject to mandatory tranny drag shows in school?

    Replies: @Beckow, @Wokechoke, @Mikhail, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    The last two things aren’t that horrible lol. And Ukraine is probably more likely to get Indians, Vietnamese, and Filipinos than non-culturally compatible Muslims and Africans. Though moderate Muslims from Turkey and Central Asia could be possible, especially if Ukraine will become significantly wealthier.

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ

    Why would they go from Turkey to Ukraine, unless Ukraine has some kind of access ticket to the EU they will be allowed to give to Turks.

    Turkey is a several times more wealthy country than Ukraine per capita. Turkey is a upper-middle income country, while Ukraine is more of a low income country.

    There are always a lot of Ukrainians immigrating to Turkey. Turkey receives Ukrainian immigrants, not the other way.

    India, Vietnam and Phillipines have similar or higher GDP per capita than Ukraine. Standard of living is also higher in their countries. It would optimistic situation where Ukraine has rapid economic development, but even then they would have to actively trap immigrants and prevent them going to more developed countries.

    These ideas people post in the forum about Ukraine are a little strange, to say this mildly. Ukraine also won't have so much of the LGBT culture, as this is indicator of a lot more wealthy countries and regions. Ukraine is a third world country, there isn't a large part of the population in the bourgeoisie there.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  378. From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity –

    Or Americans could welcome the demise of the Empire as a liberating moment of possibility. Those who sense the impending twilight of empire as a way of life could greet the erosion of our hegemony, not with lamentation about the best days behind us, but with gratitude and even jubilation at the prospect of a better and lovelier country. Once relieved of the burdens of empire, and dispelled of the illusion that the world cannot survive without the escutcheon of American superintendence, we would surely be weaker. But we would also be wiser, freer to assess and rearrange our affairs by truer, saner, and more generous standards than productivity and technological innovation. Such a deliberate renunciation of capitalist enchantment will be arduous and sharply vilified, condemned as lethal and improvident heresy by the patricians and curates of the plutocracy. But the only alternative to apostasy from Mammonism will be a perdition of corporate thralldom perpetuated with unending and unavailing war.

    Surely true.

    Most people on Unz and the Far Right hope for the dissolution of American empire because they want the even crueler and more despotic regimes of China and Russia to prevail – they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.

    But it’s possible to hope for the end of American empire in order to imagine a new more joyous, sane, generous, and happy kind of life, released from the degrading and mind numbing imperatives of technological progress and economic growth divorced from any vision of human flourishing, one in which a Romantic vision of the “sacramentality” of the world holds sway – matter as infused with divinity, and beauty and true human flourishing restored to the center of life.

    Such is my hope and optimism.

    Of course, I do not expect such an attitude to sweep the nation, but the decline of American empire will create space for individuals and communities to start living alternatively, in ways that go radically against the now dominant culture.

    And indeed we can all do that right now – amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power – those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as “ontological wonder”.

    And in the end it is only a matter of right seeing – as Henry Miller said, the world is a paradise, we don’t have to search for utopia. We just have to fit ourselves to live in it.

    • Disagree: silviosilver
    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity –

    Surely true.
     

    That is surely some winning prose, but as is typically the case with leftist idealism, it is too detached from reality, and is thus dangerous to take too seriously.

    – they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.
     
    Poppycock. The alt right isn't driven by some 'need' to inflict cruelty on people. You may fairly maintain that 'cruelty' (however you define it) is what would result from alt right policies, but it's a bit much for you to insist - rather uncharitably and, for you, uncharacteristically - that cruelty, of itself, is what we're after.

    And indeed we can all do that right now – amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power – those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as “ontological wonder”.
     
    There's little doubt you and I would disagree on what constitutes the 'wreckage,' but I'm not here today to rehash our disagreements. I would like to talk about something else entirely. You strike me as the archetypal eternal seeker, and a question I have for you is: have you ever felt entirely at home in the world? For someone who spends as much time mourning the passing of the old ways as I do, it may surprise you that my answer to the same question is: I really don't think I have.

    From the youngest, I have had had abiding sense that I don't quite belong here. And I don't mean that in the superficial sense that I have felt awkward or out of place, which I'm sure for young people is quite common. I mean more in the sense that this world, regardless of how poorly or how well it arranges its affairs, is not really my home; it's a staging post, and that I and people like me - nowadays, I'd say humanity at large (but I didn't always think this) - are journeying from and are destined for some place else.

    Why exactly we had to 'stop' here on earth (or anywhere on the material plane) is unclear, or has been forgotten, but we are tasked with finding that reason, resupplying, retooling, and then continuing the journey. Of course, humankind has known many journeys. We have travelled from ignorance to understanding, poverty to opulence, bondage to liberation, and most recently, appearance to substance. But the ultimate journey, in this view, is from immanence to transcendence; and the question is how do we do it?

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  379. @Dmitry
    If we remember Sandy Munro's prediction in 2021, where he predicts replacement of American automobiles by Chinese EV imports.

    I wonder if how this updates after 2 years?

    Chinese EVs like BYD are competitive and lower price than Western brands of EV.

    In terms of China's local market, China's local brands have already displaced many of the Western brands. But the import to the Western countries of Chinese EVs is still mostly preparing.


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g63SJwFdGTQ


    America also still has relatively low sales of EVs. It was only 7% of new car sales so far this year. For this reason, perhaps American manufacturers might still have a few more years to prepare for competition with Chinese brands, before the public transitions to EVs.

    Replies: @QCIC

    I think the Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer products at significantly lower cost than manufacturers in the USA. This applies to durable goods and maybe all consumer products other than food.

    • Replies: @A123
    @QCIC

    Due to CCP exploitation (with Globalist collaborators), the current state of affairs is that inferior products are sent to the U.S., then dumped on American markets. The virtue of MAGA Reindustrialization is that quality, long-lasting, American products will displace CCP disposables -- At least in key goods needed for national security.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @QCIC

    , @Dmitry
    @QCIC

    With the internal-combustion engine automobiles, only cars made in China by Western companies have been competitive. Chinese local products of the internal-combustion engine automobiles were not competitive or equivalent.

    However, this change of the powertrain to EVs, is an opportunity for Chinese automobiles to become competitive, as the product is changing and the Western companies have not been investing until later in this product.

    This is already a situation in the EV market where Chinese local OEMs like BYD or SAIC Motor are competitive including the price, in relation to Western companies.

    A lot of the Chinese EVs are giving better range and value in comparison to the expensive EVs from the VW.

    This kind of Chinese car is more what the world needs for cities than a Tesla Cybertruck.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zlt7qnRrZ0g


    Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer product
     
    This isn't true for a few products like CPUs. Also there is question of the importing of the technology design. For example, with systems on a chip, they need to import the Western designs.

    Question for China, is their income increased rapidly in the last twenty years. As a result, they are now walking to the beginning of a middle income trap.

    The manufacturing in China has been competitive because of the lower cost of labor. But if incomes rise, they undermine competitiveness of those industries.

    Although this isn't an emergency, as incomes are still low in China with 600 million people with income lower than $141 per month ( https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-06-06/opinion-china-has-600-million-people-with-monthly-income-less-than-141-is-that-true-101564071.html ) and a lot of the rural population which can still immigrate to cities, which is more labor to be used by the bourgeoisie.

    Price of the manufacturing in China is higher than a ten years ago, although the average quality is also probably higher. There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China's economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean, @Wokechoke

  380. Here is a three minute clip of Vivek Ramaswamy



    Video Link
    Watch this. You will understand why he surged ahead of DeSantis. Sincerity cannot be faked. And, he takes it it the NeoCon RINO warmongers within the GOP.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @A123

    How does he feel about Untouchables?

    Replies: @A123, @Wokechoke

    , @Mikhail
    @A123

    Ramaswamy is better than DeSantis on foreign policy with both lacking. In a not too distant segment, Ramaswamy proposed for the US to not oppose Russia in the former Ukrainian SSR in exchange for Russia ditching China.

  381. A123 says: • Website
    @QCIC
    @Dmitry

    I think the Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer products at significantly lower cost than manufacturers in the USA. This applies to durable goods and maybe all consumer products other than food.

    Replies: @A123, @Dmitry

    Due to CCP exploitation (with Globalist collaborators), the current state of affairs is that inferior products are sent to the U.S., then dumped on American markets. The virtue of MAGA Reindustrialization is that quality, long-lasting, American products will displace CCP disposables — At least in key goods needed for national security.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @A123

    There is a lot of low quality Chinese merchandise sold in the US. Nonetheless, if a factory is designed and built by a multinational engineering company in many cases there is a cost advantage locating the plant in China. Some of this is commie "economics" but there is also comparative advantage. This is the monster our overlords and immoral businessmen created in the quest for stock gains at the expense of America. This economic destruction involves disparate themes discussed at Unz.

    I am a big fan of re-shoring and re-industrialization, but the American public may not like the price increases. Tariffs and protectionism are usually bad. Our entire system including the economy and the people is wildly distorted. My overarching concern is that people (largely men) need to do something and not everyone can learn to code. This might be a moot point now that code can code.

  382. @A123
    Here is a three minute clip of Vivek Ramaswamy

    https://rumble.com/embed/v2xs3gc/

    Watch this. You will understand why he surged ahead of DeSantis. Sincerity cannot be faked. And, he takes it it the NeoCon RINO warmongers within the GOP.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikhail

    How does he feel about Untouchables?

    • Replies: @A123
    @Emil Nikola Richard



    Here is a three minute clip of Vivek Ramaswamy
     
    How does he feel about Untouchables?
     
    He is an American born, American educated, American success story. To the best of my knowledge he is aligned with American norms, 'caste systems are unwise'. I am unaware of any particular passion or nuance.

    What does Not-The-President Biden think of Michael Collins? Or, at least, what did he think long ago when he was lucid?

    PEACE 😇
    , @Wokechoke
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Varadkar, Sunak now this fake n gay South Asian?

  383. A123 says: • Website
    @Emil Nikola Richard
    @A123

    How does he feel about Untouchables?

    Replies: @A123, @Wokechoke

    Here is a three minute clip of Vivek Ramaswamy

    How does he feel about Untouchables?

    He is an American born, American educated, American success story. To the best of my knowledge he is aligned with American norms, ‘caste systems are unwise’. I am unaware of any particular passion or nuance.

    What does Not-The-President Biden think of Michael Collins? Or, at least, what did he think long ago when he was lucid?

    PEACE 😇

  384. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @A123

    How does he feel about Untouchables?

    Replies: @A123, @Wokechoke

    Varadkar, Sunak now this fake n gay South Asian?

  385. @A123
    Here is a three minute clip of Vivek Ramaswamy

    https://rumble.com/embed/v2xs3gc/

    Watch this. You will understand why he surged ahead of DeSantis. Sincerity cannot be faked. And, he takes it it the NeoCon RINO warmongers within the GOP.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikhail

    Ramaswamy is better than DeSantis on foreign policy with both lacking. In a not too distant segment, Ramaswamy proposed for the US to not oppose Russia in the former Ukrainian SSR in exchange for Russia ditching China.

    • Agree: A123
  386. an example of your typical pro Ukraine Westerner

    You forgot to mention one very big factor in the coming Ukrainian victory — their force advantage. In this period of waiting while the Russian supplies are exhausted or exploded, the Ukrainians have not been “twiddling their thumbs”. They have used the time to allow regular troop rotations so the men and women fighting on the fronts can return home and be reminded what they are fighting for — their families. Intercepts of Russian telephone traffic are full of complaints about not having been able to take leave for many months, unless they bribed the officers with their pay that never arrives.

    Russian wives and families (phrased that way because of the RA demographics) are the ones that are starving at the moment because the Russian central bank is fast running out of money. A 1% interest rate rise this week will dampen inflation by reducing demand because even fewer people will have the money left over to buy food vodka.

    Putin’s last hurrah is happening at the moment. He is throwing everything at these offensives including, as I remarked elsewhere, the kitchen sinks stolen in Ukraine last year. All those tourist who have to take the long route home using the M14 via Mariupol rather than the Kerch Bridge are seeing the reality of the SMO. Russian PoWs are going home well fed and with stories of their humane treatment. The blindfolds are coming off so they can see the Tzar has no clothes and no amount of airbrushed topless horseback pics are going to help. (Have you seen the latest interviews where he looks like he has shrunk behind his giant desk?) His remaining time is measured in months, maybe weeks. The Russian collapse will happen very fast as we see the “meat for the grinder” being sent out with two bullets each rather than the three they get now.

    Everything shows signs of increasing desperation. He has a last card he can play and we must be sure he does not get his hands on it.

    I know what you are thinking: surely that is a parody?

    Nope. No it isn’t. They all speak this way. I especially liked the part about Ukraine rotating its “men and women” off the battlefield.

    Also, if you are gonna spell Tzar with a “t”, you are supposed to spell it “Tsar”. You use the “z” if you are going to spell it “Czar”.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Greasy William

    https://i.pinimg.com/originals/1f/75/5f/1f755f16a48c23bb1b304e8f72c2dd25.jpg

     
    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  387. @Greasy William
    an example of your typical pro Ukraine Westerner

    You forgot to mention one very big factor in the coming Ukrainian victory — their force advantage. In this period of waiting while the Russian supplies are exhausted or exploded, the Ukrainians have not been “twiddling their thumbs”. They have used the time to allow regular troop rotations so the men and women fighting on the fronts can return home and be reminded what they are fighting for — their families. Intercepts of Russian telephone traffic are full of complaints about not having been able to take leave for many months, unless they bribed the officers with their pay that never arrives.

    Russian wives and families (phrased that way because of the RA demographics) are the ones that are starving at the moment because the Russian central bank is fast running out of money. A 1% interest rate rise this week will dampen inflation by reducing demand because even fewer people will have the money left over to buy food vodka.

    Putin’s last hurrah is happening at the moment. He is throwing everything at these offensives including, as I remarked elsewhere, the kitchen sinks stolen in Ukraine last year. All those tourist who have to take the long route home using the M14 via Mariupol rather than the Kerch Bridge are seeing the reality of the SMO. Russian PoWs are going home well fed and with stories of their humane treatment. The blindfolds are coming off so they can see the Tzar has no clothes and no amount of airbrushed topless horseback pics are going to help. (Have you seen the latest interviews where he looks like he has shrunk behind his giant desk?) His remaining time is measured in months, maybe weeks. The Russian collapse will happen very fast as we see the “meat for the grinder” being sent out with two bullets each rather than the three they get now.

    Everything shows signs of increasing desperation. He has a last card he can play and we must be sure he does not get his hands on it.
     
    I know what you are thinking: surely that is a parody?

    Nope. No it isn't. They all speak this way. I especially liked the part about Ukraine rotating its "men and women" off the battlefield.

    Also, if you are gonna spell Tzar with a "t", you are supposed to spell it "Tsar". You use the "z" if you are going to spell it "Czar".

    Replies: @A123

     
    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123

    Putler is proud of you, kremlnstoogeA123. :-(

  388. @A123
    @QCIC

    Due to CCP exploitation (with Globalist collaborators), the current state of affairs is that inferior products are sent to the U.S., then dumped on American markets. The virtue of MAGA Reindustrialization is that quality, long-lasting, American products will displace CCP disposables -- At least in key goods needed for national security.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @QCIC

    There is a lot of low quality Chinese merchandise sold in the US. Nonetheless, if a factory is designed and built by a multinational engineering company in many cases there is a cost advantage locating the plant in China. Some of this is commie “economics” but there is also comparative advantage. This is the monster our overlords and immoral businessmen created in the quest for stock gains at the expense of America. This economic destruction involves disparate themes discussed at Unz.

    I am a big fan of re-shoring and re-industrialization, but the American public may not like the price increases. Tariffs and protectionism are usually bad. Our entire system including the economy and the people is wildly distorted. My overarching concern is that people (largely men) need to do something and not everyone can learn to code. This might be a moot point now that code can code.

  389. @A123
    @Greasy William


    Do you think the Ukrainian guys dying on the front have any idea ... Ukraine gets overrun with Africans and Muslims, that the LGBT flag will be flying proudly
     
    Clearly not. Even mildly devout Orthodox Christians would oppose their people falling to IslamoGloboHomo.

    Anti-Semite Zelensky's assault on Christianity will have to be fixed after he flees to Europe. Hopefully, the next government will have strong ties to the Orthodox Church. Out right bans on SJW🏳️‍🌈Muslim deviancy would be hard as some reconstruction funding will be coming from the Islamophile EU. Forcing out undesirables will have to be more subtle, at least initially.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Anti-Semite Zelensky’s assault on Christianity will have to be fixed after he flees to Europe. Hopefully, the next government will have strong ties to the Orthodox Church.

    Zelensky is no anti-semite, and works closely with other Jews in his government. Also, he already has strong ties to the UOC as is evidenced in his Easter Greetings speech within St. Sophia Cathedral. He wont be escaping to retire in Europe as you’ve been forecasting since 02/24/22, as he’s very popular amongst the people that he serves:

    In February 2023, over 90 percent of the Ukrainian population approved of the activities of Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the president of the country. The approval rating was at approximately the same level as in June 2022.Jun 6, 2023

    Your anti-Ukrainian, pro-Kremlin stances are starting to sound very hollow and monotonous. Your support of the dwarf and maniac Putler are reprehensible, especially as you pretend to be a loyal American. Go back to sniffing glue, drinking beer and playing your racing video games.

  390. @A123
    @Beckow


    I am puzzled by the obvious historical error that the Nato-ids made and are still making: they marched eastward counting on calling Russia’s bluff. It was always unlikely that Russia was only bluffing
     
    If it approaches the inconceivable, perhaps Nato-ids are not the perpetrator. Could that be a cover story? Pablum to make the pawns willing to self sacrifice? Almost certainly, Yes. The Ukie Maximalist faction demands recapture of Crimea. They have been duped with fantasy dreams about the unobtainable.

    If it is not the Nato-ids, who is it?

    It is not hard to see that MENA-oid Islamophiles are doing well in this conflict. Judeo-Christians are dying on both sides of the actual fighting. Millions of MENA origin Muslim invaders are entering the EU on fake Ukrainian identity documents. Nations that used to oppose Brussels (e.g. Poland and Hungary) are divided.
    ____

    Which is more likely? That over a decade of provocations is an:

        -1- Extended series NATO mistakes?
        -2- Intentional set-up of Ukrainians by Islamophile Globalists?

    While #1 has superficial plausibility, it does not hold together well. Yes. There is precedent that war is the result of mistakes. However, in this case the sheer number of errors buggers credibility.

    On the other hand, #2 is cohesive, more subtle, and long term. It dates back to George IslamoSoros and his NGO funded Orange Revolution against Judeo-Christian values. The plan was crafted & launched while Angela 'Mutti' Merkel was dominating the EU, demanding Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Intentionally creating an unwinnable situation in Ukraine was the desired outcome.
    ____

    Recognizing Islamophile Globalism as the cause, clarifies the path out of the problem. The fight is unwinnable, thus Kiev aggression must end without victory. The best, really only, answer the one that Trump is campaigning on. Cutoff military funding to Anti-Semite Zelensky's regime. Force an armistice. Christian youths on both sides stop dying almost immediately.

    With the fighting stopped, the new Ukraine will have to make the necessary concessions for a stable long term outcome. Reconstruction aid will be dependant on moving from armistice to full peace. Negotiating and recognizing the new border. Military limits including "No NATO Ever". Once a real treaty is approved, the bulk of true Ukrainian refugees will have the opportunity to return home as part of the rebuilding effort.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    On the other hand, #2 is cohesive, more subtle, and long term. It dates back to George IslamoSoros and his NGO funded Orange Revolution against Judeo-Christian values. The plan was crafted & launched while Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel was dominating the EU, demanding Open [Muslim] Borders…Recognizing Islamophile Globalism as the cause, clarifies the path out of the problem. The fight is unwinnable, thus Kiev aggression must end without victory.

    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”? Not a single reader here, nor anywhere else for that matter. Yours, are the utterings of a madman. You need help kremlinstoogeA123, please seek it before its too late for you.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mr. Hack

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile. Or at least be enough of a delusional moron (like so many other shitlibs) that he fails to identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west. A123's lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim (and that it's muslims - rather than his own favorite people - who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @A123

  391. @A123
    @Greasy William

    https://i.pinimg.com/originals/1f/75/5f/1f755f16a48c23bb1b304e8f72c2dd25.jpg

     
    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Putler is proud of you, kremlnstoogeA123. 🙁

  392. @Mr. Hack
    @A123


    On the other hand, #2 is cohesive, more subtle, and long term. It dates back to George IslamoSoros and his NGO funded Orange Revolution against Judeo-Christian values. The plan was crafted & launched while Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel was dominating the EU, demanding Open [Muslim] Borders...Recognizing Islamophile Globalism as the cause, clarifies the path out of the problem. The fight is unwinnable, thus Kiev aggression must end without victory.
     
    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed "Islamophile Globalism"? Not a single reader here, nor anywhere else for that matter. Yours, are the utterings of a madman. You need help kremlinstoogeA123, please seek it before its too late for you.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile. Or at least be enough of a delusional moron (like so many other shitlibs) that he fails to identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west. A123’s lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim (and that it’s muslims – rather than his own favorite people – who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @silviosilver

    Has he ever spoken about Islam as a culture that is worthy of serving as a cultural backdrop for the Western world? Has he even ever spoken fondly of Islam? It is, as you say a lunatic claim, all concocted within kremlnstoogeA123's fanciful imagination.

    , @A123
    @silviosilver


    identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west.
     
    This part is 100% correct.

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile.
    ...
    A123’s lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim
     
    Can we at least agree that The IslamoSoros is both anti-Christian and anti-Jewish? This should be easy as both are well documented.

    If he was a religious egalitarian, he would spend vast sums subverting Muslim countries too. This does not happen. Every country he targets is Judeo-Christian. He seems much more committed than mere Islamophiles like Angela Merkel.

    Why would The IslamoSoros monomaniacally serve Muhammad while being a non-Muslim?

    He is certainly manipulating western, theoretically Christian, governments for the benefit of Islam. And, targets indigenous Palestinian Jews for daring to live in their religious homeland. You cannot get much more Muslim than that.


    his own favorite people – who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).
     
    My favorite people, Christians, are currently coming in dead last in the manipulation contest. Not-The-President Biden is portrayed as a Catholic. (shudder)

    "Is the Pope Christian?" used to be the punchline to a joke. Now it is a serious one. The Pope's position on climate change is Gaianism.

    There is hope. Despite being released only in the U.S. and Canada. Sound of Freedom has taken in over $100MM at the box office (1). It isn't too late for real Christianity to recover.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Sound-of-Freedom-(2023)#tab=box-office

    P.S. I an unsure why Hack keeps responding to my posts. He knows he is blocked on medical compassion grounds. I am not reading his rants. He would be better served seeking out a psychiatric intervention.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  393. https://archive.is/wCWsp

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/21/ukraines-counter-offensive-is-failing-with-no-easy-fixes/

    With no significant breakthrough after six weeks, it is worth asking whether Ukraine’s counter-offensive can ever succeed, for it certainly doesn’t look to be succeeding now.
    Compare the glacial but costly progress today to the lightning victories at Kharkiv and Kherson last autumn. Back then Kyiv’s forces were advancing against a withdrawing enemy that was pulling back to redeploy troops, trading space for time. Having now built up their forces through mobilisation and dug extensive defence lines, this time the Russians aren’t going anywhere…

    The question to be asked is: are the Ukrainians prepared – militarily, politically, financially – to carry out months and potentially years of these attacks to penetrate 1914-18 style defensive belts of tank traps, barbed wire, minefields, bunkers and trench lines? The UK Ministry of Defence has described these Russian fortifications as “some of the most extensive systems of military defensive works seen anywhere in the world”…

    Ukraine is already outnumbered in every military capability. Its dire shortage of armoured vehicles means that Kyiv is approaching this counter-offensive with immense caution. Many Nato-supplied tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were knocked out during early probing attacks and they are consequently holding most of the rest of these assets back to avoid too many more losses. That is understandable – yet only a bold, concerted assault with massed armour is likely to overcome the Russians.

    His recommendation? “Just keep plugging away, lads“.

    Ultimately, the possibility of a Ukrainian recovery comes down to its ability to complete frontal assaults. This strategy has been decried at least since the First World War by military theorists … But given Kyiv’s position, it does not have the privilege of philosophising.

    It will take a focus on grubby land warfare – and not sky-high dreams – to tip the balance.

    Sounds like Colonel Richard Kemp thinks they’re up that creek where no paddles are to be found.

    https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Up+shit+creek+without+a+paddle

    “struggling hopelessly, but bravely, in a very unfortunate situation”

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The Ukrainian line is that they are inflicting 2.5:1 losses on the Russian defenders. This claim is sourced to Oryx data and claims of the Ukrainian MoD.

    Any claims by the Ukrainian MoD can be dismissed out of hand, just as can claims made by the Russian MoD. Oryx is a bit more complex: everyone knows they are a CIA front but they actually use visual confirmation to back up their claims. However, those who have investigated have found that Oryx's claims tend to be bullshit, as one would expect. I don't dismiss Oryx outright, but I am very weary of any claims they make.

    One area where I do believe that Russians are getting the worst of it is in artillery pieces and counter battery radars. Since the Russian army is so artillery dependent, this could pay dividends for Ukraine down the road.

    The Achilles heal of Ukraine in this conflict is the soft decadence of the West. Even after all this time, the Western economies still have not gone on war footing, whereas Russia began ramping up for a decade long war within the first 6 months of the conflict. The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia's and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them. It appears that NATO never developed any sort of long term plan for this war beyond just emptying out their current stockpiles, which are now near fully depleted... all with a war against China just around the corner.


    His recommendation? “Just keep plugging away, lads“.
     
    Nice idea, but it is now clear that Russia is launching their own large scale offensive sometime in August. Ukraine will have no choice at that point but to terminate its own offensive to defend against the Russian assault towards Kharkov. Contrary to what many in the West seem to think, Putin has no intentions of simply attempting to wait the West out: rather, Putin intends to force a military decision to conflict so that the war ends on his terms, regardless of how long the West remains in the fight

    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?
     
    I don't think he cares

    Replies: @A123, @YetAnotherAnon

    , @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Among his incredulous remarks which he won't get taken to task for:

    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/4114321-blinken-ukraine-has-already-retaken-50-percent-of-occupied-territory/

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

  394. https://archive.li/D6CQZ

    When Ukraine launched its big counteroffensive this spring, Western military officials knew Kyiv didn’t have all the training or weapons—from shells to warplanes—that it needed to dislodge Russian forces. But they hoped Ukrainian courage and resourcefulness would carry the day.
    They haven’t. Deep and deadly minefields, extensive fortifications and Russian air power have combined to largely block significant advances by Ukrainian troops. Instead, the campaign risks descending into a stalemate with the potential to burn through lives and equipment without a major shift in momentum.

    As the likelihood of any large-scale breakthrough by the Ukrainians this year dims, it raises the unsettling prospect for Washington and its allies of a longer war—one that would require a huge new infusion of sophisticated armaments and more training to give Kyiv a chance at victory.

    The political calculus for the Biden administration is complicated.

  395. @silviosilver
    @Mr. Hack

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile. Or at least be enough of a delusional moron (like so many other shitlibs) that he fails to identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west. A123's lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim (and that it's muslims - rather than his own favorite people - who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @A123

    Has he ever spoken about Islam as a culture that is worthy of serving as a cultural backdrop for the Western world? Has he even ever spoken fondly of Islam? It is, as you say a lunatic claim, all concocted within kremlnstoogeA123’s fanciful imagination.

  396. @YetAnotherAnon
    https://archive.is/wCWsp

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/21/ukraines-counter-offensive-is-failing-with-no-easy-fixes/


    With no significant breakthrough after six weeks, it is worth asking whether Ukraine’s counter-offensive can ever succeed, for it certainly doesn’t look to be succeeding now.
    Compare the glacial but costly progress today to the lightning victories at Kharkiv and Kherson last autumn. Back then Kyiv’s forces were advancing against a withdrawing enemy that was pulling back to redeploy troops, trading space for time. Having now built up their forces through mobilisation and dug extensive defence lines, this time the Russians aren’t going anywhere...

    The question to be asked is: are the Ukrainians prepared – militarily, politically, financially – to carry out months and potentially years of these attacks to penetrate 1914-18 style defensive belts of tank traps, barbed wire, minefields, bunkers and trench lines? The UK Ministry of Defence has described these Russian fortifications as “some of the most extensive systems of military defensive works seen anywhere in the world”...

    Ukraine is already outnumbered in every military capability. Its dire shortage of armoured vehicles means that Kyiv is approaching this counter-offensive with immense caution. Many Nato-supplied tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were knocked out during early probing attacks and they are consequently holding most of the rest of these assets back to avoid too many more losses. That is understandable – yet only a bold, concerted assault with massed armour is likely to overcome the Russians.
     

    His recommendation? "Just keep plugging away, lads".

    Ultimately, the possibility of a Ukrainian recovery comes down to its ability to complete frontal assaults. This strategy has been decried at least since the First World War by military theorists ... But given Kyiv’s position, it does not have the privilege of philosophising.

    It will take a focus on grubby land warfare – and not sky-high dreams – to tip the balance.
     

    Sounds like Colonel Richard Kemp thinks they're up that creek where no paddles are to be found.

    https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Up+shit+creek+without+a+paddle

    "struggling hopelessly, but bravely, in a very unfortunate situation"

    Replies: @Greasy William, @Mikhail

    The Ukrainian line is that they are inflicting 2.5:1 losses on the Russian defenders. This claim is sourced to Oryx data and claims of the Ukrainian MoD.

    Any claims by the Ukrainian MoD can be dismissed out of hand, just as can claims made by the Russian MoD. Oryx is a bit more complex: everyone knows they are a CIA front but they actually use visual confirmation to back up their claims. However, those who have investigated have found that Oryx’s claims tend to be bullshit, as one would expect. I don’t dismiss Oryx outright, but I am very weary of any claims they make.

    One area where I do believe that Russians are getting the worst of it is in artillery pieces and counter battery radars. Since the Russian army is so artillery dependent, this could pay dividends for Ukraine down the road.

    The Achilles heal of Ukraine in this conflict is the soft decadence of the West. Even after all this time, the Western economies still have not gone on war footing, whereas Russia began ramping up for a decade long war within the first 6 months of the conflict. The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia’s and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them. It appears that NATO never developed any sort of long term plan for this war beyond just emptying out their current stockpiles, which are now near fully depleted… all with a war against China just around the corner.

    His recommendation? “Just keep plugging away, lads“.

    Nice idea, but it is now clear that Russia is launching their own large scale offensive sometime in August. Ukraine will have no choice at that point but to terminate its own offensive to defend against the Russian assault towards Kharkov. Contrary to what many in the West seem to think, Putin has no intentions of simply attempting to wait the West out: rather, Putin intends to force a military decision to conflict so that the war ends on his terms, regardless of how long the West remains in the fight

    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?

    I don’t think he cares

    • Replies: @A123
    @Greasy William



    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?
     
    I don’t think he cares
     
    The idea of "Islamophile Globalism" has traction. How many people want to stop the Islamic invasion of Europe promoted by The IslamoSoros, including his NGO's like the Open [Muslim] Society Foundation?

    Viktor Orban has pushed a number of anti-Christian NGO's out of Hungary. Many here believe that Europe should eradicate "Islamophile Globalism" and close borders to Muslims incapable of assimilation.
    ___

    Someone has to be first calling out George IslamoSoros as a Muslim. Being right is its own reward, but it can be a bit lonely at times. Followers of Jesus, such as myself, do not always have it easy.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Greasy William

    " The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia’s and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them."

    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.

    By GDP Russia = Italy, or to put it another way UK GDP is 50% higher than Russia's.

    But the UK doesn't have much energy, doesn't have much industrial production, doesn't have much arms production. Can still build good engines/aircraft wings, but most of the economy is "services" not solid objects.

    Russia is more into stuff you can put your hands on.

    "As of 2013, Russians spent 60% of their pre-tax income on shopping, the highest percentage in Europe. This is possible because many Russians pay no rent or house payments, owning their own home after privatization of state-owned Soviet housing. "

    Compare with the UK.

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jul/12/renting-a-room-in-uk-now-tops-700-a-month-on-average

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Greasy William

  397. A123 says: • Website
    @silviosilver
    @Mr. Hack

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile. Or at least be enough of a delusional moron (like so many other shitlibs) that he fails to identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west. A123's lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim (and that it's muslims - rather than his own favorite people - who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @A123

    identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west.

    This part is 100% correct.

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile.

    A123’s lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim

    Can we at least agree that The IslamoSoros is both anti-Christian and anti-Jewish? This should be easy as both are well documented.

    If he was a religious egalitarian, he would spend vast sums subverting Muslim countries too. This does not happen. Every country he targets is Judeo-Christian. He seems much more committed than mere Islamophiles like Angela Merkel.

    Why would The IslamoSoros monomaniacally serve Muhammad while being a non-Muslim?

    He is certainly manipulating western, theoretically Christian, governments for the benefit of Islam. And, targets indigenous Palestinian Jews for daring to live in their religious homeland. You cannot get much more Muslim than that.

    his own favorite people – who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).

    My favorite people, Christians, are currently coming in dead last in the manipulation contest. Not-The-President Biden is portrayed as a Catholic. (shudder)

    “Is the Pope Christian?” used to be the punchline to a joke. Now it is a serious one. The Pope’s position on climate change is Gaianism.

    There is hope. Despite being released only in the U.S. and Canada. Sound of Freedom has taken in over $100MM at the box office (1). It isn’t too late for real Christianity to recover.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Sound-of-Freedom-(2023)#tab=box-office

    P.S. I an unsure why Hack keeps responding to my posts. He knows he is blocked on medical compassion grounds. I am not reading his rants. He would be better served seeking out a psychiatric intervention.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123

    One of your cheap defense mechanisms is to claim that any antagonist of yours here is in need of psychiatric help, when in reality it's probably you who needs it. Everybody sees right through your game, kremlinstoogeA123. If you have put me on "block" then why does anything I write here even concern you? Obviously, you're just a plain garden variety liar. :-(

  398. A123 says: • Website
    @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The Ukrainian line is that they are inflicting 2.5:1 losses on the Russian defenders. This claim is sourced to Oryx data and claims of the Ukrainian MoD.

    Any claims by the Ukrainian MoD can be dismissed out of hand, just as can claims made by the Russian MoD. Oryx is a bit more complex: everyone knows they are a CIA front but they actually use visual confirmation to back up their claims. However, those who have investigated have found that Oryx's claims tend to be bullshit, as one would expect. I don't dismiss Oryx outright, but I am very weary of any claims they make.

    One area where I do believe that Russians are getting the worst of it is in artillery pieces and counter battery radars. Since the Russian army is so artillery dependent, this could pay dividends for Ukraine down the road.

    The Achilles heal of Ukraine in this conflict is the soft decadence of the West. Even after all this time, the Western economies still have not gone on war footing, whereas Russia began ramping up for a decade long war within the first 6 months of the conflict. The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia's and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them. It appears that NATO never developed any sort of long term plan for this war beyond just emptying out their current stockpiles, which are now near fully depleted... all with a war against China just around the corner.


    His recommendation? “Just keep plugging away, lads“.
     
    Nice idea, but it is now clear that Russia is launching their own large scale offensive sometime in August. Ukraine will have no choice at that point but to terminate its own offensive to defend against the Russian assault towards Kharkov. Contrary to what many in the West seem to think, Putin has no intentions of simply attempting to wait the West out: rather, Putin intends to force a military decision to conflict so that the war ends on his terms, regardless of how long the West remains in the fight

    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?
     
    I don't think he cares

    Replies: @A123, @YetAnotherAnon

    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?

    I don’t think he cares

    The idea of “Islamophile Globalism” has traction. How many people want to stop the Islamic invasion of Europe promoted by The IslamoSoros, including his NGO’s like the Open [Muslim] Society Foundation?

    Viktor Orban has pushed a number of anti-Christian NGO’s out of Hungary. Many here believe that Europe should eradicate “Islamophile Globalism” and close borders to Muslims incapable of assimilation.
    ___

    Someone has to be first calling out George IslamoSoros as a Muslim. Being right is its own reward, but it can be a bit lonely at times. Followers of Jesus, such as myself, do not always have it easy.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @A123


    Followers of Jesus, such as myself, do not always have it easy.
     
    True followers of Jesus do not go out of their way to support Putler's bloodthirsty war against Ukraine.

    I will continue to be your worst nightmare here, unless you cease to support such virulent anti Ukrainian stances.

  399. @A123
    @silviosilver


    identify islam as an incompatible, antagonistic culture that should never have been allowed any room in the west.
     
    This part is 100% correct.

    Actually, Soros would qualify as an islamophile.
    ...
    A123’s lunatic claim is that Soros is literally a muslim
     
    Can we at least agree that The IslamoSoros is both anti-Christian and anti-Jewish? This should be easy as both are well documented.

    If he was a religious egalitarian, he would spend vast sums subverting Muslim countries too. This does not happen. Every country he targets is Judeo-Christian. He seems much more committed than mere Islamophiles like Angela Merkel.

    Why would The IslamoSoros monomaniacally serve Muhammad while being a non-Muslim?

    He is certainly manipulating western, theoretically Christian, governments for the benefit of Islam. And, targets indigenous Palestinian Jews for daring to live in their religious homeland. You cannot get much more Muslim than that.


    his own favorite people – who manipulate western culture for self-interested ends).
     
    My favorite people, Christians, are currently coming in dead last in the manipulation contest. Not-The-President Biden is portrayed as a Catholic. (shudder)

    "Is the Pope Christian?" used to be the punchline to a joke. Now it is a serious one. The Pope's position on climate change is Gaianism.

    There is hope. Despite being released only in the U.S. and Canada. Sound of Freedom has taken in over $100MM at the box office (1). It isn't too late for real Christianity to recover.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Sound-of-Freedom-(2023)#tab=box-office

    P.S. I an unsure why Hack keeps responding to my posts. He knows he is blocked on medical compassion grounds. I am not reading his rants. He would be better served seeking out a psychiatric intervention.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    One of your cheap defense mechanisms is to claim that any antagonist of yours here is in need of psychiatric help, when in reality it’s probably you who needs it. Everybody sees right through your game, kremlinstoogeA123. If you have put me on “block” then why does anything I write here even concern you? Obviously, you’re just a plain garden variety liar. 🙁

  400. @A123
    @Greasy William



    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?
     
    I don’t think he cares
     
    The idea of "Islamophile Globalism" has traction. How many people want to stop the Islamic invasion of Europe promoted by The IslamoSoros, including his NGO's like the Open [Muslim] Society Foundation?

    Viktor Orban has pushed a number of anti-Christian NGO's out of Hungary. Many here believe that Europe should eradicate "Islamophile Globalism" and close borders to Muslims incapable of assimilation.
    ___

    Someone has to be first calling out George IslamoSoros as a Muslim. Being right is its own reward, but it can be a bit lonely at times. Followers of Jesus, such as myself, do not always have it easy.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Followers of Jesus, such as myself, do not always have it easy.

    True followers of Jesus do not go out of their way to support Putler’s bloodthirsty war against Ukraine.

    I will continue to be your worst nightmare here, unless you cease to support such virulent anti Ukrainian stances.

  401. https://nypost.com/2023/07/22/influencer-works-as-emotional-support-stripper-in-ukraine/

    An Instagram influencer who shipped out to help Ukraine amid the ongoing bloody war with Russia has found her niche aiding soldiers and volunteers as an “emotional support stripper.”

    Fan-Pei Koung, of Houston, Texas, created an OnlyFans account that is free for Ukrainian soldiers and volunteers, where she describes herself as “a globe-trotting girlfriend, now volunteering in Kharkiv.”

    The 33-year-old bombshell, whose content includes videos of stripteases as air raids sirens blare and shirtless photos with rocket launchers, does everything from “free emotional breastfeeding to soldiers and volunteers” to distributing cash donations to Ukrainians and volunteers, according to her OnlyFans profile, which states proceeds go toward her humanitarian efforts.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @YetAnotherAnon


    The 33-year-old bombshell
     
    For a stripper 33 is like 53. If she was still in Houston she is looking at 10 dollar blowjob business.
    , @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    They need all the help they can get.

  402. @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The Ukrainian line is that they are inflicting 2.5:1 losses on the Russian defenders. This claim is sourced to Oryx data and claims of the Ukrainian MoD.

    Any claims by the Ukrainian MoD can be dismissed out of hand, just as can claims made by the Russian MoD. Oryx is a bit more complex: everyone knows they are a CIA front but they actually use visual confirmation to back up their claims. However, those who have investigated have found that Oryx's claims tend to be bullshit, as one would expect. I don't dismiss Oryx outright, but I am very weary of any claims they make.

    One area where I do believe that Russians are getting the worst of it is in artillery pieces and counter battery radars. Since the Russian army is so artillery dependent, this could pay dividends for Ukraine down the road.

    The Achilles heal of Ukraine in this conflict is the soft decadence of the West. Even after all this time, the Western economies still have not gone on war footing, whereas Russia began ramping up for a decade long war within the first 6 months of the conflict. The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia's and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them. It appears that NATO never developed any sort of long term plan for this war beyond just emptying out their current stockpiles, which are now near fully depleted... all with a war against China just around the corner.


    His recommendation? “Just keep plugging away, lads“.
     
    Nice idea, but it is now clear that Russia is launching their own large scale offensive sometime in August. Ukraine will have no choice at that point but to terminate its own offensive to defend against the Russian assault towards Kharkov. Contrary to what many in the West seem to think, Putin has no intentions of simply attempting to wait the West out: rather, Putin intends to force a military decision to conflict so that the war ends on his terms, regardless of how long the West remains in the fight

    Do you realize that not a single reader of this blog buys into your perverse and idiotic theories regarding George IslamoSoros an his supposed “Islamophile Globalism”?
     
    I don't think he cares

    Replies: @A123, @YetAnotherAnon

    ” The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia’s and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them.”

    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.

    By GDP Russia = Italy, or to put it another way UK GDP is 50% higher than Russia’s.

    But the UK doesn’t have much energy, doesn’t have much industrial production, doesn’t have much arms production. Can still build good engines/aircraft wings, but most of the economy is “services” not solid objects.

    Russia is more into stuff you can put your hands on.

    “As of 2013, Russians spent 60% of their pre-tax income on shopping, the highest percentage in Europe. This is possible because many Russians pay no rent or house payments, owning their own home after privatization of state-owned Soviet housing.

    Compare with the UK.

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jul/12/renting-a-room-in-uk-now-tops-700-a-month-on-average

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @YetAnotherAnon

    It seems that there's much more value added processes to finished goods and even to service production that translates into higher profits (and GDP) than just in shipping natural resources from one place to another. Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia? A lot of Russia's future GDP gone for ever? At least for a very long time...

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon


    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.
     
    GDP is the total wealth an economy produces. That number tends to be correlated with its potential to manufacture goods. Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the "boring" stuff a country at war needs.

    But mainly the issue is that Russia has managed its war economy with vastly greater efficiency than has the West.

    It is also important to keep in mind that war production is a complex and multifaceted issue which can't always be determined at face value. Look at the way that labor and energy starved Nazi Germany was able to produce sufficient armaments for a war against the combined forces of the US, UK, Canada and USSR all the way until mid 1944, when the Allied strategic bombing campaign began to cripple the German war economy.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Dmitry, @LondonBob

  403. @YetAnotherAnon
    https://nypost.com/2023/07/22/influencer-works-as-emotional-support-stripper-in-ukraine/

    An Instagram influencer who shipped out to help Ukraine amid the ongoing bloody war with Russia has found her niche aiding soldiers and volunteers as an “emotional support stripper.”

    Fan-Pei Koung, of Houston, Texas, created an OnlyFans account that is free for Ukrainian soldiers and volunteers, where she describes herself as “a globe-trotting girlfriend, now volunteering in Kharkiv.”

    The 33-year-old bombshell, whose content includes videos of stripteases as air raids sirens blare and shirtless photos with rocket launchers, does everything from “free emotional breastfeeding to soldiers and volunteers” to distributing cash donations to Ukrainians and volunteers, according to her OnlyFans profile, which states proceeds go toward her humanitarian efforts.

     

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikhail

    The 33-year-old bombshell

    For a stripper 33 is like 53. If she was still in Houston she is looking at 10 dollar blowjob business.

  404. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Greasy William

    " The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia’s and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them."

    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.

    By GDP Russia = Italy, or to put it another way UK GDP is 50% higher than Russia's.

    But the UK doesn't have much energy, doesn't have much industrial production, doesn't have much arms production. Can still build good engines/aircraft wings, but most of the economy is "services" not solid objects.

    Russia is more into stuff you can put your hands on.

    "As of 2013, Russians spent 60% of their pre-tax income on shopping, the highest percentage in Europe. This is possible because many Russians pay no rent or house payments, owning their own home after privatization of state-owned Soviet housing. "

    Compare with the UK.

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jul/12/renting-a-room-in-uk-now-tops-700-a-month-on-average

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Greasy William

    It seems that there’s much more value added processes to finished goods and even to service production that translates into higher profits (and GDP) than just in shipping natural resources from one place to another. Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia? A lot of Russia’s future GDP gone for ever? At least for a very long time…

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Mr. Hack


    Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia?
     
    NS2 cost Russia $5 billion and Germany-Austria-Netherlands the other $5 billion - it was a joint 50-50% venture. Russia made extra $10 billion in income from higher prices as NS2 was held up for certification and then blown up. One of the largest LNG exporters to Europe is the Russian Novatek.

    What happened? The gas trade has moved to more flexible and more expensive LNG and Russia has a large share. EU has still not put sanctions on energy from Russia - even they are not that stupid.

    The change in the gas market has made Norway, Middle East, US and Russia richer - in that order. It has made most of Europe much poorer. The main value for NS1-2 was to act as an insurance, a reliable source with lower prices - it would keep market prices in check for decades. It was a great deal for Germany and Europe in general, kind of a friendly gift from Russia.

    Russia has been more than compensated for losing the $5billion investment in NS2. But Germany&Co. lost its investment, its energy security and huge amount of money that they will pay over the next few years. They know it too.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean

  405. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Greasy William

    " The Western economies are more than 10 times the size of Russia’s and Ukraine has essentially unlimited manpower (on top of the unlimited number of mercenaries the Western economies are able to hire if need be) but the Western political systems are so degenerate and gay that they are unable to effectively make use of all the resources available to them."

    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.

    By GDP Russia = Italy, or to put it another way UK GDP is 50% higher than Russia's.

    But the UK doesn't have much energy, doesn't have much industrial production, doesn't have much arms production. Can still build good engines/aircraft wings, but most of the economy is "services" not solid objects.

    Russia is more into stuff you can put your hands on.

    "As of 2013, Russians spent 60% of their pre-tax income on shopping, the highest percentage in Europe. This is possible because many Russians pay no rent or house payments, owning their own home after privatization of state-owned Soviet housing. "

    Compare with the UK.

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jul/12/renting-a-room-in-uk-now-tops-700-a-month-on-average

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Greasy William

    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.

    GDP is the total wealth an economy produces. That number tends to be correlated with its potential to manufacture goods. Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country at war needs.

    But mainly the issue is that Russia has managed its war economy with vastly greater efficiency than has the West.

    It is also important to keep in mind that war production is a complex and multifaceted issue which can’t always be determined at face value. Look at the way that labor and energy starved Nazi Germany was able to produce sufficient armaments for a war against the combined forces of the US, UK, Canada and USSR all the way until mid 1944, when the Allied strategic bombing campaign began to cripple the German war economy.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Greasy William

    "Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country at war needs."

    YGIIO.

    You've Got It In One.

    This guy thinks Russia will only lose if NATO gets seriously involved.

    https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1683103051563794433


    1️⃣No one can predict when the war will end.
    🔹The war will not end with reaching the 1991 state borders of Ukraine.
    🔹A peace agreement with Russia will mark the end of the war.
    🔹Ukraine will not become a NATO member until then.
    🔹Turkey will not open the Bosphorus to NATO warships (and Russia's) until the war is over.

    2️⃣Russia is preparing for a long war and can withstand it.

    🔹Russia's economy has withstood sanctions, adapted, and reoriented to the Global East.

    ◾️Oil:
    The Black Sea is becoming an increasingly important source of revenue for Russia to continue the war - a record 5 million tonnes of crude oil in each of the last 4 months and 4 million tonnes of diesel fuel from the Black Sea. Revenues also remain steady, some of them are used to purchase "parallel imports".

    The number of violations on marine oil and petroleum embargo keeps growing. Dozens of tankers under the embargo make several direct voyages a month to ports in the US, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Greece.

    ◾️Grain:

    In 2023, Russia's grain transshipment increased by 2.2 times, and mineral fertilizers by 1.6 times. Cargo turnover of the Black Sea ports for the first half of 2023: Novorossiysk - (+11.0%), Tuapse - (+38.5%), Kavkaz port - (up 2.2 times), Rostov-on-Don - (+35.7%).

    3️⃣Even partial isolation of Russia seems impossible in the current global economy.

    🔹Russia has renewed and even surpassed its 2021 figures for imports of complex goods/devices/dual-use components.

    4️⃣The global world seems to be getting more and more divided into 2 parts based on its attitude to the Great War.

    5️⃣It is premature to hope for a rapid disintegration of Russia.
     

    Replies: @A123, @Greasy William

    , @Dmitry
    @Greasy William


    GDP is the total wealth
     
    That's not true. It is economic activity, not wealth which is a different indicator.

    Russia, however, is an industrial economy
     
    This is not true, unless you mean extractive economy of natural resources. Russia's economy is very similar to Saudi Arabia's economy, also to smaller extent other extractive economies like Nigeria, South Africa, Canada or Australia.*

    The events after 1991 was the most rapid deindustrialization in world history, partly with help of the commodity prices.

    Although the natural resources in Russia are more a little diversified than only oil of Saudi Arabia, but also minerals, diamonds etc. Most of the economy is kind of subsidized by the oil though, with majority of employees working for government, which has half the budget funded by oil and gas in the bad years.

    Manufacturing is in Russia small (half of Germany or Japan as proportion of GDP) and dependent on import of foreign parts and information who often control the manufacturing companies.

    -

    *The economies of Russia and Saudi Arabia are dependent on the world commodity prices. As a result, Russia and Saudi's GDP matches their shape exactly including strength of currency.

    https://i.imgur.com/fjCr5rC.jpg


    Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country
     
    This isn't true. Russia produces less of things like military equipment or which country needs for war if it needed to be self-sufficient, excluding oil or gas. Although self-sufficiency is not necessary in this time, as most things countries need for war can be easily imported in exchange for money. People in Russia have no problem buying the newest Intel processor or Adidas, it's just a question of paying the extra cost of passing the third country and not having consumer protection. The situation for governments is similar.

    As for the military equipment and low level of production.

    In 1991, the Russian Federation has inherited from the Soviet Union the world's largest stock of nuclear weapons, tanks, APCs, artillery shells etc. Ukraine has also inherited a smaller share of these weapons which is still significant.

    Quantity of the old equipment is not such a problem, at least for the early months of the war. After the first year, there is insufficiency of equipment already, although there should still be thousands of older tanks and vehicles in storage. In 2024, it will be very insufficient equipment levels.

    Problem in 2022/2023, a lot of this equipment is outdated related to the weapons like anti-tank missiles. As a result, the casualties are high, as the 1970s/1960s Soviet equipment is not safe for 21st century battles.

    Driving on a minefield in a BMD or BMP-1, is a kind of extreme sport without high probability of surviving.

    The only postsoviet country which has been able to modernized the army or military equipment is Azerbaijan, which used the oil money to import more modern technology. This was partly because Azerbaijan is a nationalist society and the money seems to go in more direct way to buy the equipment, less in strange projects.

    In Russia it's a very postnationalist society and there isn't many motives to stop the money for military being cut in a hundred different and subtle ways, until large part was going to Monaco, Cyprus etc.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    , @LondonBob
    @Greasy William

    Western arms manufacturers are private companies, they know the war is won by Russia, similarly they know the West doesn't have the finances to increase defence spending, despite claims by politicians, therefore they aren't going to massively expand production. Russia had inefficient state owned arms manufacturers, easy to get these workers to go from working four days a week, six hours a day, to ten hours a day, six days a week.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @John Johnson

  406. Battle of the Nations
    Russia Norway

  407. @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon


    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.
     
    GDP is the total wealth an economy produces. That number tends to be correlated with its potential to manufacture goods. Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the "boring" stuff a country at war needs.

    But mainly the issue is that Russia has managed its war economy with vastly greater efficiency than has the West.

    It is also important to keep in mind that war production is a complex and multifaceted issue which can't always be determined at face value. Look at the way that labor and energy starved Nazi Germany was able to produce sufficient armaments for a war against the combined forces of the US, UK, Canada and USSR all the way until mid 1944, when the Allied strategic bombing campaign began to cripple the German war economy.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Dmitry, @LondonBob

    “Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country at war needs.”

    YGIIO.

    You’ve Got It In One.

    This guy thinks Russia will only lose if NATO gets seriously involved.

    1️⃣No one can predict when the war will end.
    🔹The war will not end with reaching the 1991 state borders of Ukraine.
    🔹A peace agreement with Russia will mark the end of the war.
    🔹Ukraine will not become a NATO member until then.
    🔹Turkey will not open the Bosphorus to NATO warships (and Russia’s) until the war is over.

    2️⃣Russia is preparing for a long war and can withstand it.

    🔹Russia’s economy has withstood sanctions, adapted, and reoriented to the Global East.

    ◾️Oil:
    The Black Sea is becoming an increasingly important source of revenue for Russia to continue the war – a record 5 million tonnes of crude oil in each of the last 4 months and 4 million tonnes of diesel fuel from the Black Sea. Revenues also remain steady, some of them are used to purchase “parallel imports”.

    The number of violations on marine oil and petroleum embargo keeps growing. Dozens of tankers under the embargo make several direct voyages a month to ports in the US, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Greece.

    ◾️Grain:

    In 2023, Russia’s grain transshipment increased by 2.2 times, and mineral fertilizers by 1.6 times. Cargo turnover of the Black Sea ports for the first half of 2023: Novorossiysk – (+11.0%), Tuapse – (+38.5%), Kavkaz port – (up 2.2 times), Rostov-on-Don – (+35.7%).

    3️⃣Even partial isolation of Russia seems impossible in the current global economy.

    🔹Russia has renewed and even surpassed its 2021 figures for imports of complex goods/devices/dual-use components.

    4️⃣The global world seems to be getting more and more divided into 2 parts based on its attitude to the Great War.

    5️⃣It is premature to hope for a rapid disintegration of Russia.

    • Agree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @A123
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The money part is critical.

    Russia's exports are generating more than their war expenditures. Dodging sanctions has a cost, though it is rumored that Israeli banks are heavily involved in expediting transactions. Both China and India need energy and are effectively snubbing sanctions efforts.

    Among the reasons that Russia is not pressing hard is they know there is a huge, post-conflict reconstruction bill coming. The more they take, the larger that becomes. They certainly do not want to break anything that they will keep.
    ___

    Ukraine's exports were far below their war expenditures before the grain deal fell apart. Now, they are even more in the red. While not experiencing sanctions, there are penalties as the bulk of their export economy is dependent on two rail lines into Poland. Rail gauge is different, everything has to be moved between cars at the border. Not only is this expensive, the rail yards will be military targets.

    One of the reasons George Washington won was 'funding via diplomacy'. Saying that France paid for the American Revolution is only a mild overstatement.

    How is Zelensky doing in terms of 'funding via diplomacy'? (1)


    Is Zelensky's 'ungrateful' act causing him to lose his luster?

     

    Back in June of 2022, President Biden lashed out at Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky regarding his never-ending demands for U.S. aid.

    President Biden had barely finished telling Zelensky over the phone that he had just approved another $1 billion in U.S. military assistance when the Ukrainian leader started listing all the additional things he wanted and wasn’t getting. According to multiple sources, Biden lost his temper and yelled that Zelensky should be showing more gratitude for the billions in aid he was getting from the United States via the American people.

    One year later, the Biden administration is addressing Zelensky’s seeming ingratitude once again. While President Biden was in Vilnius, Lithuania, for the NATO summit, his national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, snuck in a barb clearly directed at Zelensky without uttering his name. In rebutting criticism from Zelensky for not extending NATO membership to his nation, Sullivan said the U.S. “deserves a degree of gratitude” for the billions in U.S. taxpayer dollars it has already provided in the defense of Ukraine.

    A “degree”? Some might say our nation deserves the whole thermometer, as U.S. aid to Ukraine equals or exceeds all of Europe’s combined.

    Sullivan spoke up after Zelensky shockingly whined via Twitter that the Biden administration’s stand on NATO membership for Ukraine was “unprecedented and absurd.”
     

    This is coming from The Hill, often called The Shill, an unofficial mouthpiece for the DNC. Not-The-President Biden lashing out could simply be Alzheimer's. The fact that an administration official like Sullivan is taking shots at Zelensky is a sign of change.

    Money matters in war. And, Zelensky's efforts at 'funding via diplomacy' are collapsing.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4110473-is-zelenskyys-ungrateful-act-causing-him-to-lose-his-luster/

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    , @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Reality begins to sink in

    It is an interesting analysis, but it doesn't take into account how degenerate and gay the contemporary West is. I agree that the collective West is strong enough to confront and even to rollback Russia on paper, but wars are not fought on paper.

    The West is far too divided and far too spiritually weak to do the things that Mr. Gerashchenko advocates.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  408. What to make of these bronze age warriors buried with razors and tweezers?

    [MORE]

  409. @Mr. Hack
    @YetAnotherAnon

    It seems that there's much more value added processes to finished goods and even to service production that translates into higher profits (and GDP) than just in shipping natural resources from one place to another. Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia? A lot of Russia's future GDP gone for ever? At least for a very long time...

    Replies: @Beckow

    Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia?

    NS2 cost Russia $5 billion and Germany-Austria-Netherlands the other $5 billion – it was a joint 50-50% venture. Russia made extra $10 billion in income from higher prices as NS2 was held up for certification and then blown up. One of the largest LNG exporters to Europe is the Russian Novatek.

    What happened? The gas trade has moved to more flexible and more expensive LNG and Russia has a large share. EU has still not put sanctions on energy from Russia – even they are not that stupid.

    The change in the gas market has made Norway, Middle East, US and Russia richer – in that order. It has made most of Europe much poorer. The main value for NS1-2 was to act as an insurance, a reliable source with lower prices – it would keep market prices in check for decades. It was a great deal for Germany and Europe in general, kind of a friendly gift from Russia.

    Russia has been more than compensated for losing the $5billion investment in NS2. But Germany&Co. lost its investment, its energy security and huge amount of money that they will pay over the next few years. They know it too.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow

    Finland is also an energy winner.

     
    https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPB3KCIvcj4C5YglObmPr0koT448sdnkVpd-_VnHkVGcyrPXfwGfj3b4Hlfp8-nLAlH0bvuArk8Zn8lORLt8j6T1sQi7z64ZkWJjTA2PHW_6wcyUWERMl7LV04k21EX0j1yQ8Uz2v4NW1xGiMayXJZOwbt5B-tyczzisY9CkJ8opb1nP9RPzZ9wjrYeobV/s639/1%20dfgfdgsdfgsgff.jpg
     

    If Europe wants energy independence, the only option is nuclear. Poland has kicked off work with three different major nuclear vendors in America, France, and South Korea. A private Polish firm is also looking at acquiring American SMR's.

    Germany needs to follow suit, but their Green party will not let them. Is deindustrialization coming?

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @Sean
    @Beckow


    https://fortune.com/2021/03/05/saudis-americas-frackers-drill-gone-forever/

    Russia, Saudi Arabia’s most important OPEC+ partner, has tried to convince Riyadh for several months to increase output, fearing that rising oil prices would ultimately awaken rival shale producers. The Saudis are certain the American industry has reformed itself.

    If the prince is right, OPEC+ will be able to both push prices higher now and recover market share later without worrying that rivals in Texas, Oklahoma and North Dakota will flood the market. But if Riyadh has miscalculated— and it’s got shale wrong before — the danger will be lower prices and production down the line.
     

    In any case Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.

    America won because it made what was at the time a very speculative investment in fracking

    Poland intends to sponge off of America, with its cheap fracked energy.

    Britain damped down North Sea development for Green reasons, and a result was already paying three times as much as other countries for energy before the 2022 invasion

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Beckow

  410. A123 says: • Website
    @YetAnotherAnon
    @Greasy William

    "Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country at war needs."

    YGIIO.

    You've Got It In One.

    This guy thinks Russia will only lose if NATO gets seriously involved.

    https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1683103051563794433


    1️⃣No one can predict when the war will end.
    🔹The war will not end with reaching the 1991 state borders of Ukraine.
    🔹A peace agreement with Russia will mark the end of the war.
    🔹Ukraine will not become a NATO member until then.
    🔹Turkey will not open the Bosphorus to NATO warships (and Russia's) until the war is over.

    2️⃣Russia is preparing for a long war and can withstand it.

    🔹Russia's economy has withstood sanctions, adapted, and reoriented to the Global East.

    ◾️Oil:
    The Black Sea is becoming an increasingly important source of revenue for Russia to continue the war - a record 5 million tonnes of crude oil in each of the last 4 months and 4 million tonnes of diesel fuel from the Black Sea. Revenues also remain steady, some of them are used to purchase "parallel imports".

    The number of violations on marine oil and petroleum embargo keeps growing. Dozens of tankers under the embargo make several direct voyages a month to ports in the US, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Greece.

    ◾️Grain:

    In 2023, Russia's grain transshipment increased by 2.2 times, and mineral fertilizers by 1.6 times. Cargo turnover of the Black Sea ports for the first half of 2023: Novorossiysk - (+11.0%), Tuapse - (+38.5%), Kavkaz port - (up 2.2 times), Rostov-on-Don - (+35.7%).

    3️⃣Even partial isolation of Russia seems impossible in the current global economy.

    🔹Russia has renewed and even surpassed its 2021 figures for imports of complex goods/devices/dual-use components.

    4️⃣The global world seems to be getting more and more divided into 2 parts based on its attitude to the Great War.

    5️⃣It is premature to hope for a rapid disintegration of Russia.
     

    Replies: @A123, @Greasy William

    The money part is critical.

    Russia’s exports are generating more than their war expenditures. Dodging sanctions has a cost, though it is rumored that Israeli banks are heavily involved in expediting transactions. Both China and India need energy and are effectively snubbing sanctions efforts.

    Among the reasons that Russia is not pressing hard is they know there is a huge, post-conflict reconstruction bill coming. The more they take, the larger that becomes. They certainly do not want to break anything that they will keep.
    ___

    Ukraine’s exports were far below their war expenditures before the grain deal fell apart. Now, they are even more in the red. While not experiencing sanctions, there are penalties as the bulk of their export economy is dependent on two rail lines into Poland. Rail gauge is different, everything has to be moved between cars at the border. Not only is this expensive, the rail yards will be military targets.

    One of the reasons George Washington won was ‘funding via diplomacy’. Saying that France paid for the American Revolution is only a mild overstatement.

    How is Zelensky doing in terms of ‘funding via diplomacy’? (1)

    Is Zelensky’s ‘ungrateful’ act causing him to lose his luster?

    Back in June of 2022, President Biden lashed out at Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky regarding his never-ending demands for U.S. aid.

    President Biden had barely finished telling Zelensky over the phone that he had just approved another $1 billion in U.S. military assistance when the Ukrainian leader started listing all the additional things he wanted and wasn’t getting. According to multiple sources, Biden lost his temper and yelled that Zelensky should be showing more gratitude for the billions in aid he was getting from the United States via the American people.

    One year later, the Biden administration is addressing Zelensky’s seeming ingratitude once again. While President Biden was in Vilnius, Lithuania, for the NATO summit, his national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, snuck in a barb clearly directed at Zelensky without uttering his name. In rebutting criticism from Zelensky for not extending NATO membership to his nation, Sullivan said the U.S. “deserves a degree of gratitude” for the billions in U.S. taxpayer dollars it has already provided in the defense of Ukraine.

    A “degree”? Some might say our nation deserves the whole thermometer, as U.S. aid to Ukraine equals or exceeds all of Europe’s combined.

    Sullivan spoke up after Zelensky shockingly whined via Twitter that the Biden administration’s stand on NATO membership for Ukraine was “unprecedented and absurd.”

    This is coming from The Hill, often called The Shill, an unofficial mouthpiece for the DNC. Not-The-President Biden lashing out could simply be Alzheimer’s. The fact that an administration official like Sullivan is taking shots at Zelensky is a sign of change.

    Money matters in war. And, Zelensky’s efforts at ‘funding via diplomacy’ are collapsing.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4110473-is-zelenskyys-ungrateful-act-causing-him-to-lose-his-luster/

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @A123

    The rail lines could be sliced up with hundred of drones applying something like these Gun Cotton ropes….


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH4--tFosoM

  411. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @Mr. Hack


    Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia?
     
    NS2 cost Russia $5 billion and Germany-Austria-Netherlands the other $5 billion - it was a joint 50-50% venture. Russia made extra $10 billion in income from higher prices as NS2 was held up for certification and then blown up. One of the largest LNG exporters to Europe is the Russian Novatek.

    What happened? The gas trade has moved to more flexible and more expensive LNG and Russia has a large share. EU has still not put sanctions on energy from Russia - even they are not that stupid.

    The change in the gas market has made Norway, Middle East, US and Russia richer - in that order. It has made most of Europe much poorer. The main value for NS1-2 was to act as an insurance, a reliable source with lower prices - it would keep market prices in check for decades. It was a great deal for Germany and Europe in general, kind of a friendly gift from Russia.

    Russia has been more than compensated for losing the $5billion investment in NS2. But Germany&Co. lost its investment, its energy security and huge amount of money that they will pay over the next few years. They know it too.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean

    Finland is also an energy winner.

     

     

    If Europe wants energy independence, the only option is nuclear. Poland has kicked off work with three different major nuclear vendors in America, France, and South Korea. A private Polish firm is also looking at acquiring American SMR’s.

    Germany needs to follow suit, but their Green party will not let them. Is deindustrialization coming?

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @A123

    I think nuclear is great. It doesn't work everywhere, but it should be used more. Germans-Austrians have a blind spot with the nuclear power, that is unlikely to change.

    The big problem is that whatever one thinks of burning carbon, once it is burnt, it is gone - all the pollution happens in real time. With nuclear there is little short-term pollution but the long-term cleanup is very complex and expensive. So placing nuclear stations in many geographies will always be controversial.

    What we know for sure is that the "solar-wind-bio burning" cannot meet modern energy needs. It doesn't help with energy for manufacturing and battery powered cars are inferior to gas cars and worse for the environment. But we have entered the era of mass stupidity with too many people driven by the irrational goal of 'grow the economy at any cost' so the make-work idiocies can't easily be stopped.

    Replies: @A123

  412. @A123
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The money part is critical.

    Russia's exports are generating more than their war expenditures. Dodging sanctions has a cost, though it is rumored that Israeli banks are heavily involved in expediting transactions. Both China and India need energy and are effectively snubbing sanctions efforts.

    Among the reasons that Russia is not pressing hard is they know there is a huge, post-conflict reconstruction bill coming. The more they take, the larger that becomes. They certainly do not want to break anything that they will keep.
    ___

    Ukraine's exports were far below their war expenditures before the grain deal fell apart. Now, they are even more in the red. While not experiencing sanctions, there are penalties as the bulk of their export economy is dependent on two rail lines into Poland. Rail gauge is different, everything has to be moved between cars at the border. Not only is this expensive, the rail yards will be military targets.

    One of the reasons George Washington won was 'funding via diplomacy'. Saying that France paid for the American Revolution is only a mild overstatement.

    How is Zelensky doing in terms of 'funding via diplomacy'? (1)


    Is Zelensky's 'ungrateful' act causing him to lose his luster?

     

    Back in June of 2022, President Biden lashed out at Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky regarding his never-ending demands for U.S. aid.

    President Biden had barely finished telling Zelensky over the phone that he had just approved another $1 billion in U.S. military assistance when the Ukrainian leader started listing all the additional things he wanted and wasn’t getting. According to multiple sources, Biden lost his temper and yelled that Zelensky should be showing more gratitude for the billions in aid he was getting from the United States via the American people.

    One year later, the Biden administration is addressing Zelensky’s seeming ingratitude once again. While President Biden was in Vilnius, Lithuania, for the NATO summit, his national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, snuck in a barb clearly directed at Zelensky without uttering his name. In rebutting criticism from Zelensky for not extending NATO membership to his nation, Sullivan said the U.S. “deserves a degree of gratitude” for the billions in U.S. taxpayer dollars it has already provided in the defense of Ukraine.

    A “degree”? Some might say our nation deserves the whole thermometer, as U.S. aid to Ukraine equals or exceeds all of Europe’s combined.

    Sullivan spoke up after Zelensky shockingly whined via Twitter that the Biden administration’s stand on NATO membership for Ukraine was “unprecedented and absurd.”
     

    This is coming from The Hill, often called The Shill, an unofficial mouthpiece for the DNC. Not-The-President Biden lashing out could simply be Alzheimer's. The fact that an administration official like Sullivan is taking shots at Zelensky is a sign of change.

    Money matters in war. And, Zelensky's efforts at 'funding via diplomacy' are collapsing.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4110473-is-zelenskyys-ungrateful-act-causing-him-to-lose-his-luster/

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    The rail lines could be sliced up with hundred of drones applying something like these Gun Cotton ropes….

  413. Probably most normal/mundane pic of a mature serial killer ever?

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    https://w7.pngwing.com/pngs/979/269/png-transparent-the-family-guy-character-brian-griffin-peter-griffin-glenn-quagmire-family-guy-online-griffin-family-family-guy-s-tshirt-hand-boy.png

  414. @YetAnotherAnon
    https://archive.is/wCWsp

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/21/ukraines-counter-offensive-is-failing-with-no-easy-fixes/


    With no significant breakthrough after six weeks, it is worth asking whether Ukraine’s counter-offensive can ever succeed, for it certainly doesn’t look to be succeeding now.
    Compare the glacial but costly progress today to the lightning victories at Kharkiv and Kherson last autumn. Back then Kyiv’s forces were advancing against a withdrawing enemy that was pulling back to redeploy troops, trading space for time. Having now built up their forces through mobilisation and dug extensive defence lines, this time the Russians aren’t going anywhere...

    The question to be asked is: are the Ukrainians prepared – militarily, politically, financially – to carry out months and potentially years of these attacks to penetrate 1914-18 style defensive belts of tank traps, barbed wire, minefields, bunkers and trench lines? The UK Ministry of Defence has described these Russian fortifications as “some of the most extensive systems of military defensive works seen anywhere in the world”...

    Ukraine is already outnumbered in every military capability. Its dire shortage of armoured vehicles means that Kyiv is approaching this counter-offensive with immense caution. Many Nato-supplied tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were knocked out during early probing attacks and they are consequently holding most of the rest of these assets back to avoid too many more losses. That is understandable – yet only a bold, concerted assault with massed armour is likely to overcome the Russians.
     

    His recommendation? "Just keep plugging away, lads".

    Ultimately, the possibility of a Ukrainian recovery comes down to its ability to complete frontal assaults. This strategy has been decried at least since the First World War by military theorists ... But given Kyiv’s position, it does not have the privilege of philosophising.

    It will take a focus on grubby land warfare – and not sky-high dreams – to tip the balance.
     

    Sounds like Colonel Richard Kemp thinks they're up that creek where no paddles are to be found.

    https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Up+shit+creek+without+a+paddle

    "struggling hopelessly, but bravely, in a very unfortunate situation"

    Replies: @Greasy William, @Mikhail

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mikhail

    To be fair, if you exclude Crimea and the de facto territory of DPR/LPR on Feb 22 last year, and take the greatest extent of Russian gains since then, it could be argued that half have been lost.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mikhail

  415. @YetAnotherAnon
    https://nypost.com/2023/07/22/influencer-works-as-emotional-support-stripper-in-ukraine/

    An Instagram influencer who shipped out to help Ukraine amid the ongoing bloody war with Russia has found her niche aiding soldiers and volunteers as an “emotional support stripper.”

    Fan-Pei Koung, of Houston, Texas, created an OnlyFans account that is free for Ukrainian soldiers and volunteers, where she describes herself as “a globe-trotting girlfriend, now volunteering in Kharkiv.”

    The 33-year-old bombshell, whose content includes videos of stripteases as air raids sirens blare and shirtless photos with rocket launchers, does everything from “free emotional breastfeeding to soldiers and volunteers” to distributing cash donations to Ukrainians and volunteers, according to her OnlyFans profile, which states proceeds go toward her humanitarian efforts.

     

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mikhail

    They need all the help they can get.

  416. @sudden death
    Probably most normal/mundane pic of a mature serial killer ever?

    https://nypost.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/07/NYPICHPDPICT000014039936-8.jpg

    Replies: @Mikhail

    • LOL: sudden death
  417. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Greasy William

    "Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country at war needs."

    YGIIO.

    You've Got It In One.

    This guy thinks Russia will only lose if NATO gets seriously involved.

    https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1683103051563794433


    1️⃣No one can predict when the war will end.
    🔹The war will not end with reaching the 1991 state borders of Ukraine.
    🔹A peace agreement with Russia will mark the end of the war.
    🔹Ukraine will not become a NATO member until then.
    🔹Turkey will not open the Bosphorus to NATO warships (and Russia's) until the war is over.

    2️⃣Russia is preparing for a long war and can withstand it.

    🔹Russia's economy has withstood sanctions, adapted, and reoriented to the Global East.

    ◾️Oil:
    The Black Sea is becoming an increasingly important source of revenue for Russia to continue the war - a record 5 million tonnes of crude oil in each of the last 4 months and 4 million tonnes of diesel fuel from the Black Sea. Revenues also remain steady, some of them are used to purchase "parallel imports".

    The number of violations on marine oil and petroleum embargo keeps growing. Dozens of tankers under the embargo make several direct voyages a month to ports in the US, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Greece.

    ◾️Grain:

    In 2023, Russia's grain transshipment increased by 2.2 times, and mineral fertilizers by 1.6 times. Cargo turnover of the Black Sea ports for the first half of 2023: Novorossiysk - (+11.0%), Tuapse - (+38.5%), Kavkaz port - (up 2.2 times), Rostov-on-Don - (+35.7%).

    3️⃣Even partial isolation of Russia seems impossible in the current global economy.

    🔹Russia has renewed and even surpassed its 2021 figures for imports of complex goods/devices/dual-use components.

    4️⃣The global world seems to be getting more and more divided into 2 parts based on its attitude to the Great War.

    5️⃣It is premature to hope for a rapid disintegration of Russia.
     

    Replies: @A123, @Greasy William

    Reality begins to sink in

    It is an interesting analysis, but it doesn’t take into account how degenerate and gay the contemporary West is. I agree that the collective West is strong enough to confront and even to rollback Russia on paper, but wars are not fought on paper.

    The West is far too divided and far too spiritually weak to do the things that Mr. Gerashchenko advocates.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Greasy William

    Queers can also fight lol:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-lgbt-rights-war-european-union/

    https://i.redd.it/1ylslllitkw91.jpg

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-unicorn-lgbtq-soldiers-head-war-2022-05-31/

    This was true even historically. For instance, Ernst Rohm, the leader of the Nazi SA, was a queer, albeit a hyper-masculine and chubby one. Also, Pete Buttigieg is an Afghan War vet and is also gay.

  418. @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Among his incredulous remarks which he won't get taken to task for:

    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/4114321-blinken-ukraine-has-already-retaken-50-percent-of-occupied-territory/

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    To be fair, if you exclude Crimea and the de facto territory of DPR/LPR on Feb 22 last year, and take the greatest extent of Russian gains since then, it could be argued that half have been lost.

    • Agree: Mr. XYZ
    • Replies: @Beckow
    @YetAnotherAnon

    You are right and it shows that Russia had a series of plans and some clearly didn't work. They counted on the Ukies not resisting and making a deal. It didn't happen - Kremlin should had known better.

    Russia has been recovering from the miscalculation. That explains the basically defensive war that they have been fighting for a year. To be fair wars are unpredictable and they are better understood as they happen.

    What have we learned? Russia meant the red line, Ukies-Nato will resist with all they have but Kiev can't prevail militarily, Russia will not collapse economically, but is not ready (yet) for a full-scale war. With each passing day the attitudes on both sides harden, but Russia gets stronger and Ukraine weaker.

    Nato has no idea what to do: they don't want to go in and they can't afford to lose face. They are hoping for a deus-ex-machina as in the movies they have scripted. But Russia has no reason to follow their script.

    It is a cluster-f..k...whatever happens, nobody in the West will want to talk about it for years, like with the previous Nato failures. They should thank god that they own the media, otherwise it would be very embarrassing.

    , @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    His spin is slickly misrepresentative.

    Prior to 2/24/22, the Kiev regime had all of Artemovsk, Mariupol, Zaporozhe and Kherson. They no longer have full control of these areas, while not having had any territorial gains in Crimea and (if I'm not mistaken) the pre-2/242/22 Donbass rebel held territory.

  419. @Beckow
    @Mr. Hack


    Consider the boondoggle that the destruction of NS2 must have been and is even now for Russia?
     
    NS2 cost Russia $5 billion and Germany-Austria-Netherlands the other $5 billion - it was a joint 50-50% venture. Russia made extra $10 billion in income from higher prices as NS2 was held up for certification and then blown up. One of the largest LNG exporters to Europe is the Russian Novatek.

    What happened? The gas trade has moved to more flexible and more expensive LNG and Russia has a large share. EU has still not put sanctions on energy from Russia - even they are not that stupid.

    The change in the gas market has made Norway, Middle East, US and Russia richer - in that order. It has made most of Europe much poorer. The main value for NS1-2 was to act as an insurance, a reliable source with lower prices - it would keep market prices in check for decades. It was a great deal for Germany and Europe in general, kind of a friendly gift from Russia.

    Russia has been more than compensated for losing the $5billion investment in NS2. But Germany&Co. lost its investment, its energy security and huge amount of money that they will pay over the next few years. They know it too.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean

    https://fortune.com/2021/03/05/saudis-americas-frackers-drill-gone-forever/

    Russia, Saudi Arabia’s most important OPEC+ partner, has tried to convince Riyadh for several months to increase output, fearing that rising oil prices would ultimately awaken rival shale producers. The Saudis are certain the American industry has reformed itself.

    If the prince is right, OPEC+ will be able to both push prices higher now and recover market share later without worrying that rivals in Texas, Oklahoma and North Dakota will flood the market. But if Riyadh has miscalculated— and it’s got shale wrong before — the danger will be lower prices and production down the line.

    In any case Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.

    America won because it made what was at the time a very speculative investment in fracking

    Poland intends to sponge off of America, with its cheap fracked energy.

    Britain damped down North Sea development for Green reasons, and a result was already paying three times as much as other countries for energy before the 2022 invasion

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Sean


    Britain damped down North Sea development for Green reasons, and a result was already paying three times as much as other countries for energy before the 2022 invasion
     
    Britain can still reverse this decision, no?
    , @Beckow
    @Sean


    ...Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.
     
    That sounds like sour grapes...:)

    The best paying customers are the ones who pay the most. Why would China, Korea, Turkey or the others be worse than Europe? Europe "freezes" what they pay you, plays games, sues endlessly, etc... with the other customers there is just money: they pay and take the gas.

    Technology is not static and you should know that. There is no magical "technology" that Russia, or China, don't have. These are complex enterprises, but if there is money to be made, the technology will be developed. You can equally say that US lost the ability to sell at a huge profit its technology and Europe lost the ability to benefit from the plentiful resources of Siberia.

    Time will tell who gains or loses more. If history is any guide, it is the physical ownership of resources that matters - not being an intermediary or claiming a "know-how". The desperate attempt by the West to reverse the situation by provoking this war with Russia tells us that the smart people in the West know this. But maybe you don't.

  420. @A123
    @Beckow

    Finland is also an energy winner.

     
    https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPB3KCIvcj4C5YglObmPr0koT448sdnkVpd-_VnHkVGcyrPXfwGfj3b4Hlfp8-nLAlH0bvuArk8Zn8lORLt8j6T1sQi7z64ZkWJjTA2PHW_6wcyUWERMl7LV04k21EX0j1yQ8Uz2v4NW1xGiMayXJZOwbt5B-tyczzisY9CkJ8opb1nP9RPzZ9wjrYeobV/s639/1%20dfgfdgsdfgsgff.jpg
     

    If Europe wants energy independence, the only option is nuclear. Poland has kicked off work with three different major nuclear vendors in America, France, and South Korea. A private Polish firm is also looking at acquiring American SMR's.

    Germany needs to follow suit, but their Green party will not let them. Is deindustrialization coming?

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Beckow

    I think nuclear is great. It doesn’t work everywhere, but it should be used more. Germans-Austrians have a blind spot with the nuclear power, that is unlikely to change.

    The big problem is that whatever one thinks of burning carbon, once it is burnt, it is gone – all the pollution happens in real time. With nuclear there is little short-term pollution but the long-term cleanup is very complex and expensive. So placing nuclear stations in many geographies will always be controversial.

    What we know for sure is that the “solar-wind-bio burning” cannot meet modern energy needs. It doesn’t help with energy for manufacturing and battery powered cars are inferior to gas cars and worse for the environment. But we have entered the era of mass stupidity with too many people driven by the irrational goal of ‘grow the economy at any cost’ so the make-work idiocies can’t easily be stopped.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow


    With nuclear there is little short-term pollution but the long-term cleanup is very complex and expensive. So placing nuclear stations in many geographies will always be controversial.
     
    Long term cleanup is a problem with current large scale U235 fuel cycle. And, the worst environmental issues are research and weapons facilities (e.g. Hanford).

    This goes away almost completely with better choices, such as the Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor [LFTR]. It has to become molten before it starts. Thus, the meltdown scenario does not exist. If something goes wrong, FLiBe salt cools and hardens killing off any reaction.

    PEACE 😇
  421. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mikhail

    To be fair, if you exclude Crimea and the de facto territory of DPR/LPR on Feb 22 last year, and take the greatest extent of Russian gains since then, it could be argued that half have been lost.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mikhail

    You are right and it shows that Russia had a series of plans and some clearly didn’t work. They counted on the Ukies not resisting and making a deal. It didn’t happen – Kremlin should had known better.

    Russia has been recovering from the miscalculation. That explains the basically defensive war that they have been fighting for a year. To be fair wars are unpredictable and they are better understood as they happen.

    What have we learned? Russia meant the red line, Ukies-Nato will resist with all they have but Kiev can’t prevail militarily, Russia will not collapse economically, but is not ready (yet) for a full-scale war. With each passing day the attitudes on both sides harden, but Russia gets stronger and Ukraine weaker.

    Nato has no idea what to do: they don’t want to go in and they can’t afford to lose face. They are hoping for a deus-ex-machina as in the movies they have scripted. But Russia has no reason to follow their script.

    It is a cluster-f..k…whatever happens, nobody in the West will want to talk about it for years, like with the previous Nato failures. They should thank god that they own the media, otherwise it would be very embarrassing.

  422. One can only wonder how much longer, Russian speaking and “friendly” Odesites will remain supportive of Russian advances into Southern Ukraine (my sarcastic emphasis)? Overnight, indiscriminate bombings of the city damaged or destroyed at least 25 Unesco heritage sites in the old central part of the city, including the heart and soul of the city, the Transfiguration Cathedral. I would think that because of these sacrilegious terroristic attacks, Odesites will soon hate Russians even more than the most vehement Banderites in Lviv. Russian efforts at building the “Ruskij Mir” within Ukraine. LOL Putler!:

    “Christian Orthodox Patriarch Kyrill is known to bless RusFed soldiers and weaponry entering the fray within Ukraine.

    Archbishop Viktor of Artsiz, vicar of the Odesa Diocese, has sent a letter to Patriarch Kirill (Gundyaev) of the Russian Orthodox Church and all members of the Synod of the Russian Orthodox Church in connection with the strike of Russian troops on Odesa on Sunday night.

    Source: letter published by St. Elijah’s monastery on Telegram

    Quote: “Today, when I arrived at the end of the curfew at the Transfiguration Cathedral in Odesa, I saw that the Russian missile “blessed” by you stroke directly into the altar of the church in the holy of holies, I realised that the Ukrainian Orthodox Church has nothing in common with your understanding for a long time.

    Because of your personal ambitions, you have lost the Ukrainian Orthodox Church and other churches in the countries of “Holy Rus”!

    We do not dare to call you “the Great Lord and Father”, because you are the father who gave his children to destruction and murder!”

    Matthew 7:16 “By their deeds you will know them.”

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mr. Hack

    Aren't those little holes characteristic of air defence weapons? Back to your Father Of Lies!

    https://t.me/myLordBebo/2694

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  423. Even the propaganda sheets are downhearted. 70% casualties does not sound good.

    I wonder if there’s a change of narrative tactic here. I’ve seen 4 or 5 pieces like this now.

    Western audiences have been told Ukraine are winning for so long, is the idea now “we will lose unless you fight alongside us”?

    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/19707

    The soldier told Kyiv Post his unit had “internalized” the reality of continuing losses and that he and his buddies would continue to attack. The problem, he said, is doing that against an opponent whose air force is dominant, whose population is four times larger than Ukraine’s, and whose artillery has ranged and targeted any fortification Ukrainian troops are likely to capture. Troops on the frontline are becoming resigned to getting hit eventually, he said.

    “I think about it like this: people in a crashing plane have no chance, and according to statistics, we have 30 percent killed and 40 percent wounded, so there is a chance of survival, and people in the plane have none. So, it’s not so bad. In ordinary life, too, bricks can fall on your head,” he said.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    They keep digging a hole for themselves. Along with Blinken's latest (discussed at this thread) Reznikov said that Ukraine will win the war and be in NATO by next summer. Biden said that Putin had already lost.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  424. @Mr. Hack
    One can only wonder how much longer, Russian speaking and "friendly" Odesites will remain supportive of Russian advances into Southern Ukraine (my sarcastic emphasis)? Overnight, indiscriminate bombings of the city damaged or destroyed at least 25 Unesco heritage sites in the old central part of the city, including the heart and soul of the city, the Transfiguration Cathedral. I would think that because of these sacrilegious terroristic attacks, Odesites will soon hate Russians even more than the most vehement Banderites in Lviv. Russian efforts at building the "Ruskij Mir" within Ukraine. LOL Putler!:

    https://youtu.be/Ir6PE32NSno

    "Christian Orthodox Patriarch Kyrill is known to bless RusFed soldiers and weaponry entering the fray within Ukraine.


    Archbishop Viktor of Artsiz, vicar of the Odesa Diocese, has sent a letter to Patriarch Kirill (Gundyaev) of the Russian Orthodox Church and all members of the Synod of the Russian Orthodox Church in connection with the strike of Russian troops on Odesa on Sunday night.

    Source: letter published by St. Elijah's monastery on Telegram

    Quote: "Today, when I arrived at the end of the curfew at the Transfiguration Cathedral in Odesa, I saw that the Russian missile "blessed" by you stroke directly into the altar of the church in the holy of holies, I realised that the Ukrainian Orthodox Church has nothing in common with your understanding for a long time.

    Because of your personal ambitions, you have lost the Ukrainian Orthodox Church and other churches in the countries of "Holy Rus"!

    We do not dare to call you "the Great Lord and Father", because you are the father who gave his children to destruction and murder!"
     

    Matthew 7:16 “By their deeds you will know them."

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    Aren’t those little holes characteristic of air defence weapons? Back to your Father Of Lies!

    https://t.me/myLordBebo/2694

    • Agree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Your stupid misdirection wont work. Odesites know from where the missile attacks came from.

    Greetings to Russia from Odesa Mayor Genadi Trukhanov (starting in Russian at 0:35), I'm sure that his feelings about Russians is shared by many millions of Ukrainians around the world.

    https://youtu.be/90PFlRsvSqg

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

  425. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @A123

    I think nuclear is great. It doesn't work everywhere, but it should be used more. Germans-Austrians have a blind spot with the nuclear power, that is unlikely to change.

    The big problem is that whatever one thinks of burning carbon, once it is burnt, it is gone - all the pollution happens in real time. With nuclear there is little short-term pollution but the long-term cleanup is very complex and expensive. So placing nuclear stations in many geographies will always be controversial.

    What we know for sure is that the "solar-wind-bio burning" cannot meet modern energy needs. It doesn't help with energy for manufacturing and battery powered cars are inferior to gas cars and worse for the environment. But we have entered the era of mass stupidity with too many people driven by the irrational goal of 'grow the economy at any cost' so the make-work idiocies can't easily be stopped.

    Replies: @A123

    With nuclear there is little short-term pollution but the long-term cleanup is very complex and expensive. So placing nuclear stations in many geographies will always be controversial.

    Long term cleanup is a problem with current large scale U235 fuel cycle. And, the worst environmental issues are research and weapons facilities (e.g. Hanford).

    This goes away almost completely with better choices, such as the Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor [LFTR]. It has to become molten before it starts. Thus, the meltdown scenario does not exist. If something goes wrong, FLiBe salt cools and hardens killing off any reaction.

    PEACE 😇

  426. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mikhail

    To be fair, if you exclude Crimea and the de facto territory of DPR/LPR on Feb 22 last year, and take the greatest extent of Russian gains since then, it could be argued that half have been lost.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mikhail

    His spin is slickly misrepresentative.

    Prior to 2/24/22, the Kiev regime had all of Artemovsk, Mariupol, Zaporozhe and Kherson. They no longer have full control of these areas, while not having had any territorial gains in Crimea and (if I’m not mistaken) the pre-2/242/22 Donbass rebel held territory.

  427. @YetAnotherAnon
    Even the propaganda sheets are downhearted. 70% casualties does not sound good.

    I wonder if there's a change of narrative tactic here. I've seen 4 or 5 pieces like this now.

    Western audiences have been told Ukraine are winning for so long, is the idea now "we will lose unless you fight alongside us"?

    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/19707


    The soldier told Kyiv Post his unit had “internalized” the reality of continuing losses and that he and his buddies would continue to attack. The problem, he said, is doing that against an opponent whose air force is dominant, whose population is four times larger than Ukraine’s, and whose artillery has ranged and targeted any fortification Ukrainian troops are likely to capture. Troops on the frontline are becoming resigned to getting hit eventually, he said.

    “I think about it like this: people in a crashing plane have no chance, and according to statistics, we have 30 percent killed and 40 percent wounded, so there is a chance of survival, and people in the plane have none. So, it’s not so bad. In ordinary life, too, bricks can fall on your head,” he said.


     

    Replies: @Mikhail

    They keep digging a hole for themselves. Along with Blinken’s latest (discussed at this thread) Reznikov said that Ukraine will win the war and be in NATO by next summer. Biden said that Putin had already lost.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikhail


    We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out.
     
    Have you watched The Secret?
  428. @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    They keep digging a hole for themselves. Along with Blinken's latest (discussed at this thread) Reznikov said that Ukraine will win the war and be in NATO by next summer. Biden said that Putin had already lost.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out.

    Have you watched The Secret?

  429. @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    Forcing a treaty upon a country isn’t exactly a stable way to build a lasting peace unless you’re prepared to use even harsher military force to enforce this treaty. This is similar to why Versailles broke down in the 1930s; Germans argued that this treaty was not permanently binding on them because it was signed by them under duress.
     
    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn't a stable way to pursue peace.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn’t a stable way to pursue peace.

    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass. Flipping control of the Ukrainian parliament in 2010 without any new elections, changing the election laws so that pro-Yanukovych parties would win a majority of parliamentary seats in 2012 even though the opposition won a majority of the popular vote in that election, pressuring several judges on Ukraine’s Supreme Court to resign and replacing them with pro-Yanukovych loyalists, et cetera.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.

    They would have been if they didn’t give the Donbass veto power over Ukrainian domestic and foreign policies, at least as per the Russian interpretation of these accords. Texas doesn’t have veto power over US domestic and foreign policies, after all.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.

    Versailles’s territorial settlement was actually reasonably fair, other than of course not allowing Austria to unify with Germany, which could have been–and actually was–rectified eventually. The Versailles reparations settlement I’ll leave for others to judge, but AFAIK it was already overturned by 1932, before Hitler even came to power in Germany.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ


    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass. Flipping control of the Ukrainian parliament in 2010 without any new elections, changing the election laws so that pro-Yanukovych parties would win a majority of parliamentary seats in 2012 even though the opposition won a majority of the popular vote in that election, pressuring several judges on Ukraine’s Supreme Court to resign and replacing them with pro-Yanukovych loyalists, et cetera.
     
    And we see how some of these protestors acted. The fact of the matter is that the opposition signing that agreement had violated it. Expand on this 'flipping the parliament" spin which I gather you got somewhere. Did he legally violate anything?

    They would have been if they didn’t give the Donbass veto power over Ukrainian domestic and foreign policies, at least as per the Russian interpretation of these accords. Texas doesn’t have veto power over US domestic and foreign policies, after all.
     
    Another false equivalency whataboutism - this time with Texas. Ukraine's Commie drawn boundary was (in historical terms) recently created when compared to that of the mainland US. Furthermore, Ukraine already had a neutrality provision at the time.

    Versailles’s territorial settlement was actually reasonably fair, other than of course not allowing Austria to unify with Germany, which could have been–and actually was–rectified eventually. The Versailles reparations settlement I’ll leave for others to judge, but AFAIK it was already overturned by 1932, before Hitler even came to power in Germany.
     
    You're leaving out several key factors contradicting "reasonably fair". Minsk Accords were more reasonably fair.
    , @sudden death
    @Mr. XYZ


    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass.
     
    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory:

    https://zn.ua/img/forall/u/0/-1/users/Feb2014/84317.jpg

    And RF was arguably the most important side, which could guarantee anything about Yanukovich, but RF special official envoy for that deal Vladimir Lukin said quite clearly “…we decided we do not need to tie ourselves with formal agreements, mandatory signings…”


    Вот как конкретизировал мотивы неподписания Владимир Лукин. “Мы его не подписали. Мы решили, что не надо себя связывать какими-то формальными соглашениями, обязательствами и подписями, потому что были вопросы и проблемы, с каким субъектом переговоров мы будем иметь дело в ближайшее время, как будут развиваться события, кто будет отвечать за те решения, которые принимались, и кто за что отвечает вообще”, – сказал российский омбудсмен.
     
    https://www.1tv.ru/news/2014-02-21/52462-vladimir_lukin_ne_podpisal_soglashenie_mezhdu_vlastyu_i_oppozitsiey_na_ukraine

    Laughably, it was exactly RF, which later somehow started to making most fuss about the agreement, while not being a supporter or official participator at all at the time.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mikhail

  430. @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Reality begins to sink in

    It is an interesting analysis, but it doesn't take into account how degenerate and gay the contemporary West is. I agree that the collective West is strong enough to confront and even to rollback Russia on paper, but wars are not fought on paper.

    The West is far too divided and far too spiritually weak to do the things that Mr. Gerashchenko advocates.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Queers can also fight lol:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-lgbt-rights-war-european-union/

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-unicorn-lgbtq-soldiers-head-war-2022-05-31/

    This was true even historically. For instance, Ernst Rohm, the leader of the Nazi SA, was a queer, albeit a hyper-masculine and chubby one. Also, Pete Buttigieg is an Afghan War vet and is also gay.

  431. @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon


    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.
     
    GDP is the total wealth an economy produces. That number tends to be correlated with its potential to manufacture goods. Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the "boring" stuff a country at war needs.

    But mainly the issue is that Russia has managed its war economy with vastly greater efficiency than has the West.

    It is also important to keep in mind that war production is a complex and multifaceted issue which can't always be determined at face value. Look at the way that labor and energy starved Nazi Germany was able to produce sufficient armaments for a war against the combined forces of the US, UK, Canada and USSR all the way until mid 1944, when the Allied strategic bombing campaign began to cripple the German war economy.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Dmitry, @LondonBob

    GDP is the total wealth

    That’s not true. It is economic activity, not wealth which is a different indicator.

    Russia, however, is an industrial economy

    This is not true, unless you mean extractive economy of natural resources. Russia’s economy is very similar to Saudi Arabia’s economy, also to smaller extent other extractive economies like Nigeria, South Africa, Canada or Australia.*

    The events after 1991 was the most rapid deindustrialization in world history, partly with help of the commodity prices.

    Although the natural resources in Russia are more a little diversified than only oil of Saudi Arabia, but also minerals, diamonds etc. Most of the economy is kind of subsidized by the oil though, with majority of employees working for government, which has half the budget funded by oil and gas in the bad years.

    Manufacturing is in Russia small (half of Germany or Japan as proportion of GDP) and dependent on import of foreign parts and information who often control the manufacturing companies.

    *The economies of Russia and Saudi Arabia are dependent on the world commodity prices. As a result, Russia and Saudi’s GDP matches their shape exactly including strength of currency.

    Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country

    This isn’t true. Russia produces less of things like military equipment or which country needs for war if it needed to be self-sufficient, excluding oil or gas. Although self-sufficiency is not necessary in this time, as most things countries need for war can be easily imported in exchange for money. People in Russia have no problem buying the newest Intel processor or Adidas, it’s just a question of paying the extra cost of passing the third country and not having consumer protection. The situation for governments is similar.

    As for the military equipment and low level of production.

    In 1991, the Russian Federation has inherited from the Soviet Union the world’s largest stock of nuclear weapons, tanks, APCs, artillery shells etc. Ukraine has also inherited a smaller share of these weapons which is still significant.

    Quantity of the old equipment is not such a problem, at least for the early months of the war. After the first year, there is insufficiency of equipment already, although there should still be thousands of older tanks and vehicles in storage. In 2024, it will be very insufficient equipment levels.

    Problem in 2022/2023, a lot of this equipment is outdated related to the weapons like anti-tank missiles. As a result, the casualties are high, as the 1970s/1960s Soviet equipment is not safe for 21st century battles.

    Driving on a minefield in a BMD or BMP-1, is a kind of extreme sport without high probability of surviving.

    The only postsoviet country which has been able to modernized the army or military equipment is Azerbaijan, which used the oil money to import more modern technology. This was partly because Azerbaijan is a nationalist society and the money seems to go in more direct way to buy the equipment, less in strange projects.

    In Russia it’s a very postnationalist society and there isn’t many motives to stop the money for military being cut in a hundred different and subtle ways, until large part was going to Monaco, Cyprus etc.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @Dmitry

    The numbers you cited are interesting and I admit that I was unaware of them. That said, the fact remains that Russia is one of only 3 countries that produces a 5th generation fighter and Russia is one of only 5 countries that produces modern jet engines. Russia is also one of only 4 countries that produces all of the major weapons platforms that it uses.

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions, whereas the West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine's already insufficient artillery usage. The West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpiles that this war has depleted.

    I don't think any serious analysis disputes just how much of a basket case the Russia/Iran/China axis is. All three states are corrupt, thugocracies who are facing severe demographic winter. Even if these evil states are able to achieve their goals (G-d forbid) they will implode soon after due to their unsolvable internal problems. However, Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive in their war with the combined forces of the US, Canada, the UK and the USSR.

    And again, nobody disputes that the combined resources of the Western alliance totally dwarf the combined strength of Russia/Iran/China, let alone Russia by itself. That is not the question. The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously "no" and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Dmitry

  432. @Sean
    @Beckow


    https://fortune.com/2021/03/05/saudis-americas-frackers-drill-gone-forever/

    Russia, Saudi Arabia’s most important OPEC+ partner, has tried to convince Riyadh for several months to increase output, fearing that rising oil prices would ultimately awaken rival shale producers. The Saudis are certain the American industry has reformed itself.

    If the prince is right, OPEC+ will be able to both push prices higher now and recover market share later without worrying that rivals in Texas, Oklahoma and North Dakota will flood the market. But if Riyadh has miscalculated— and it’s got shale wrong before — the danger will be lower prices and production down the line.
     

    In any case Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.

    America won because it made what was at the time a very speculative investment in fracking

    Poland intends to sponge off of America, with its cheap fracked energy.

    Britain damped down North Sea development for Green reasons, and a result was already paying three times as much as other countries for energy before the 2022 invasion

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Beckow

    Britain damped down North Sea development for Green reasons, and a result was already paying three times as much as other countries for energy before the 2022 invasion

    Britain can still reverse this decision, no?

  433. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mr. Hack

    Aren't those little holes characteristic of air defence weapons? Back to your Father Of Lies!

    https://t.me/myLordBebo/2694

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Your stupid misdirection wont work. Odesites know from where the missile attacks came from.

    Greetings to Russia from Odesa Mayor Genadi Trukhanov (starting in Russian at 0:35), I’m sure that his feelings about Russians is shared by many millions of Ukrainians around the world.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mr. Hack

    "Odesites know from where the missile attacks came from."

    And where do the anti-missile missiles, that scatter chunks of metal to take out an incoming missile, come from?

    If that cathedral damage was from a high explosive missile, it would be a lot more severe. Don't worry, most people are fooled that "it was a Russian attack". Your propaganda mill is working just fine, as it should with so much money and brains behind it.

    Just not all of us are fooled. Why should Russia attack an Orthodox cathedral? That's Bandera stuff.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/22/ukraine-security-service-raids-1000-year-old-monastery-in-kyiv

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  434. @QCIC
    @Dmitry

    I think the Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer products at significantly lower cost than manufacturers in the USA. This applies to durable goods and maybe all consumer products other than food.

    Replies: @A123, @Dmitry

    With the internal-combustion engine automobiles, only cars made in China by Western companies have been competitive. Chinese local products of the internal-combustion engine automobiles were not competitive or equivalent.

    However, this change of the powertrain to EVs, is an opportunity for Chinese automobiles to become competitive, as the product is changing and the Western companies have not been investing until later in this product.

    This is already a situation in the EV market where Chinese local OEMs like BYD or SAIC Motor are competitive including the price, in relation to Western companies.

    A lot of the Chinese EVs are giving better range and value in comparison to the expensive EVs from the VW.

    This kind of Chinese car is more what the world needs for cities than a Tesla Cybertruck.

    Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer product

    This isn’t true for a few products like CPUs. Also there is question of the importing of the technology design. For example, with systems on a chip, they need to import the Western designs.

    Question for China, is their income increased rapidly in the last twenty years. As a result, they are now walking to the beginning of a middle income trap.

    The manufacturing in China has been competitive because of the lower cost of labor. But if incomes rise, they undermine competitiveness of those industries.

    Although this isn’t an emergency, as incomes are still low in China with 600 million people with income lower than $141 per month ( https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-06-06/opinion-china-has-600-million-people-with-monthly-income-less-than-141-is-that-true-101564071.html ) and a lot of the rural population which can still immigrate to cities, which is more labor to be used by the bourgeoisie.

    Price of the manufacturing in China is higher than a ten years ago, although the average quality is also probably higher. There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China’s economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Dmitry

    The economic myths about China are amazing. The EV car boom is one of them.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1SEfwoqKRU8

    People complain about graft in America & rightly so. The issues with CCP ventures are much deeper & wider.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Dmitry

    , @Sean
    @Dmitry


    There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China’s economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.
     
    'Tis far from obvious to me that Tesla's advantage over other car maker is due to cheap wages (more using state of the art robotics), and expected advances in AI is going to nullify any such low wages advantage; those poor countries lack clusters of manufacturing supply chain industry, and are not in a market where the action currently is, so there would be a need for ports and shipping to get the product to market. Tesla factories are on the cutting edge by virtue of being huge and highly automated. Chinese manufacturing facilities already benefit from their large size, which is a reflection of the country's inherently enormous economies of scale and China is Tesla's fastest growing market and will inevitably be number one. There are very few industries that will not find it cheaper and ethically preferable to have advanced AI robots in the homeland or main market doing the work in factories with only a few maintenance personnel rather than remaining offshored where wages are low but many people must be employed, and competition for low costs leads to the labour being sweated in modern slavery conditions.
    , @Wokechoke
    @Dmitry

    Back in 1994 I predicted this about China.

    It is projected to be the largest economy on earth, but it will have per capita income on a very low end. The Little Emperors will start swarming out of the hive looking for wives and loot. The people will be poor but the army will be a frenzied technological juggernaut.

  435. @Mr. XYZ
    @Greasy William

    The last two things aren't that horrible lol. And Ukraine is probably more likely to get Indians, Vietnamese, and Filipinos than non-culturally compatible Muslims and Africans. Though moderate Muslims from Turkey and Central Asia could be possible, especially if Ukraine will become significantly wealthier.

    Replies: @Dmitry

    Why would they go from Turkey to Ukraine, unless Ukraine has some kind of access ticket to the EU they will be allowed to give to Turks.

    Turkey is a several times more wealthy country than Ukraine per capita. Turkey is a upper-middle income country, while Ukraine is more of a low income country.

    There are always a lot of Ukrainians immigrating to Turkey. Turkey receives Ukrainian immigrants, not the other way.

    India, Vietnam and Phillipines have similar or higher GDP per capita than Ukraine. Standard of living is also higher in their countries. It would optimistic situation where Ukraine has rapid economic development, but even then they would have to actively trap immigrants and prevent them going to more developed countries.

    These ideas people post in the forum about Ukraine are a little strange, to say this mildly. Ukraine also won’t have so much of the LGBT culture, as this is indicator of a lot more wealthy countries and regions. Ukraine is a third world country, there isn’t a large part of the population in the bourgeoisie there.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry


    Why would they go from Turkey to Ukraine, unless Ukraine has some kind of access ticket to the EU they will be allowed to give to Turks.
     
    They could, once Ukraine will actually join the EU, likely in the 2040s or 2050s.

    India, Vietnam and Phillipines have similar or higher GDP per capita than Ukraine. Standard of living is also higher in their countries. It would optimistic situation where Ukraine has rapid economic development, but even then they would have to actively trap immigrants and prevent them going to more developed countries.
     
    Yes, Ukraine would only get to keep the second-rate immigrants who can't actually permanently settle in the developed countries. Though if the developed countries become much more dumpy due to open borders while Ukraine doesn't, then Ukraine could look much more attractive.

    These ideas people post in the forum about Ukraine are a little strange, to say this mildly. Ukraine also won’t have so much of the LGBT culture, as this is indicator of a lot more wealthy countries and regions. Ukraine is a third world country, there isn’t a large part of the population in the bourgeoisie there.
     
    Latin America is relatively pro-LGBT and it is poor by developed world standards.
  436. @Dmitry
    @QCIC

    With the internal-combustion engine automobiles, only cars made in China by Western companies have been competitive. Chinese local products of the internal-combustion engine automobiles were not competitive or equivalent.

    However, this change of the powertrain to EVs, is an opportunity for Chinese automobiles to become competitive, as the product is changing and the Western companies have not been investing until later in this product.

    This is already a situation in the EV market where Chinese local OEMs like BYD or SAIC Motor are competitive including the price, in relation to Western companies.

    A lot of the Chinese EVs are giving better range and value in comparison to the expensive EVs from the VW.

    This kind of Chinese car is more what the world needs for cities than a Tesla Cybertruck.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zlt7qnRrZ0g


    Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer product
     
    This isn't true for a few products like CPUs. Also there is question of the importing of the technology design. For example, with systems on a chip, they need to import the Western designs.

    Question for China, is their income increased rapidly in the last twenty years. As a result, they are now walking to the beginning of a middle income trap.

    The manufacturing in China has been competitive because of the lower cost of labor. But if incomes rise, they undermine competitiveness of those industries.

    Although this isn't an emergency, as incomes are still low in China with 600 million people with income lower than $141 per month ( https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-06-06/opinion-china-has-600-million-people-with-monthly-income-less-than-141-is-that-true-101564071.html ) and a lot of the rural population which can still immigrate to cities, which is more labor to be used by the bourgeoisie.

    Price of the manufacturing in China is higher than a ten years ago, although the average quality is also probably higher. There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China's economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean, @Wokechoke

    The economic myths about China are amazing. The EV car boom is one of them.

    People complain about graft in America & rightly so. The issues with CCP ventures are much deeper & wider.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @A123

    China has an EV boom in terms of the domestic import substitution.

    Some of the Chinese EVs are very good, in terms of international standards, in relation to their price in the Chinese market.

    This year, they have been exporting them less aggressively than expected. Also the price for export has been a lot higher than in China.
    -

    For example, if you look at the EV sales in Europe and don't include Tesla as a Chinese brand. The flood of the Chinese EVs is still not yet in Europe.

    https://cleantechnica.com/files/2023/07/2023-05-Europe-Top-20-Model-May-1571x2048.png

    This main Chinese brand in Europe this year is only MG (SAIC Motor). BYD maybe will begin to have an influence only in the end of this year.

  437. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    The five or ten pieces in your simplistic view of this West versus Russia problem fit together very nicely. Too bad you are ignoring so much. This blinds you to what is actually happening.

    Most Russians probably didn't expect NeoNAZI militias to be murdering Russian speakers (including relatives) in the Donbass. Many Russians probably didn't think NATO would be aggressively training and arming the Ukrainian military for over a decade. Most Russians were probably surprised and alarmed when the USA put missile sites in Eastern Europe. Everyone was surprised and concerned when the USA dropped out of the ABM treaty.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Most Russians probably didn’t expect NeoNAZI militias to be murdering Russian speakers (including relatives) in the Donbass.

    The UN reported 365 civilian casualties total 2016-2021
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Donbas_(2014%E2%80%932022)#Casualties

    365 for the entire period.

    That’s 73 per year. Which means more Russians died in accidental drownings.

    Is that what they were upset over?

    7400 Russians died of drug overdoses in 2020
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/07/13/russian-drug-overdose-deaths-surge-during-pandemic-open-media-a74502

    Which was the bigger problem? 7400 overdoses in a single year or 73 casualties per year from declining militia fighting? Maybe Putin should have declared a war against drugs?

    Or maybe you’d like to take a shot at the “20,000 civilian casualties” bullshit number thrown around pro-Putin blogs? Not a single bootlicker has provided a source. As with liberals they like to throw around fraudulent data and hope no one fact checks them in an open forum.

  438. @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ

    Why would they go from Turkey to Ukraine, unless Ukraine has some kind of access ticket to the EU they will be allowed to give to Turks.

    Turkey is a several times more wealthy country than Ukraine per capita. Turkey is a upper-middle income country, while Ukraine is more of a low income country.

    There are always a lot of Ukrainians immigrating to Turkey. Turkey receives Ukrainian immigrants, not the other way.

    India, Vietnam and Phillipines have similar or higher GDP per capita than Ukraine. Standard of living is also higher in their countries. It would optimistic situation where Ukraine has rapid economic development, but even then they would have to actively trap immigrants and prevent them going to more developed countries.

    These ideas people post in the forum about Ukraine are a little strange, to say this mildly. Ukraine also won't have so much of the LGBT culture, as this is indicator of a lot more wealthy countries and regions. Ukraine is a third world country, there isn't a large part of the population in the bourgeoisie there.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Why would they go from Turkey to Ukraine, unless Ukraine has some kind of access ticket to the EU they will be allowed to give to Turks.

    They could, once Ukraine will actually join the EU, likely in the 2040s or 2050s.

    India, Vietnam and Phillipines have similar or higher GDP per capita than Ukraine. Standard of living is also higher in their countries. It would optimistic situation where Ukraine has rapid economic development, but even then they would have to actively trap immigrants and prevent them going to more developed countries.

    Yes, Ukraine would only get to keep the second-rate immigrants who can’t actually permanently settle in the developed countries. Though if the developed countries become much more dumpy due to open borders while Ukraine doesn’t, then Ukraine could look much more attractive.

    These ideas people post in the forum about Ukraine are a little strange, to say this mildly. Ukraine also won’t have so much of the LGBT culture, as this is indicator of a lot more wealthy countries and regions. Ukraine is a third world country, there isn’t a large part of the population in the bourgeoisie there.

    Latin America is relatively pro-LGBT and it is poor by developed world standards.

  439. Thoughts?

    • Replies: @LondonBob
    @Sher Singh

    The US won't be fighting anyone anytime soon.

  440. Sher Singh says:

    Pakistan: Sukkur City in Sindh, 100 dacoits, yes dacoits killed the men, looted the entire place and abducted all the women.

    Situation in all parts of Pakistan has worsened with the economy collapsing and lack of money to pay the Police department for food.

    Strelkov’s Arrest Shatters the Hope For a Patriotic Russia
    It is time to face facts.

    https://roloslavskiy.substack.com/p/strelkovs-arrest-shatters-the-hope

    [MORE]

    nitter.net/arunpudur/status/1683074991229894656

  441. @Dmitry
    @QCIC

    With the internal-combustion engine automobiles, only cars made in China by Western companies have been competitive. Chinese local products of the internal-combustion engine automobiles were not competitive or equivalent.

    However, this change of the powertrain to EVs, is an opportunity for Chinese automobiles to become competitive, as the product is changing and the Western companies have not been investing until later in this product.

    This is already a situation in the EV market where Chinese local OEMs like BYD or SAIC Motor are competitive including the price, in relation to Western companies.

    A lot of the Chinese EVs are giving better range and value in comparison to the expensive EVs from the VW.

    This kind of Chinese car is more what the world needs for cities than a Tesla Cybertruck.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zlt7qnRrZ0g


    Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer product
     
    This isn't true for a few products like CPUs. Also there is question of the importing of the technology design. For example, with systems on a chip, they need to import the Western designs.

    Question for China, is their income increased rapidly in the last twenty years. As a result, they are now walking to the beginning of a middle income trap.

    The manufacturing in China has been competitive because of the lower cost of labor. But if incomes rise, they undermine competitiveness of those industries.

    Although this isn't an emergency, as incomes are still low in China with 600 million people with income lower than $141 per month ( https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-06-06/opinion-china-has-600-million-people-with-monthly-income-less-than-141-is-that-true-101564071.html ) and a lot of the rural population which can still immigrate to cities, which is more labor to be used by the bourgeoisie.

    Price of the manufacturing in China is higher than a ten years ago, although the average quality is also probably higher. There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China's economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean, @Wokechoke

    There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China’s economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.

    ‘Tis far from obvious to me that Tesla’s advantage over other car maker is due to cheap wages (more using state of the art robotics), and expected advances in AI is going to nullify any such low wages advantage; those poor countries lack clusters of manufacturing supply chain industry, and are not in a market where the action currently is, so there would be a need for ports and shipping to get the product to market. Tesla factories are on the cutting edge by virtue of being huge and highly automated. Chinese manufacturing facilities already benefit from their large size, which is a reflection of the country’s inherently enormous economies of scale and China is Tesla’s fastest growing market and will inevitably be number one. There are very few industries that will not find it cheaper and ethically preferable to have advanced AI robots in the homeland or main market doing the work in factories with only a few maintenance personnel rather than remaining offshored where wages are low but many people must be employed, and competition for low costs leads to the labour being sweated in modern slavery conditions.

  442. @Dmitry
    @Greasy William


    GDP is the total wealth
     
    That's not true. It is economic activity, not wealth which is a different indicator.

    Russia, however, is an industrial economy
     
    This is not true, unless you mean extractive economy of natural resources. Russia's economy is very similar to Saudi Arabia's economy, also to smaller extent other extractive economies like Nigeria, South Africa, Canada or Australia.*

    The events after 1991 was the most rapid deindustrialization in world history, partly with help of the commodity prices.

    Although the natural resources in Russia are more a little diversified than only oil of Saudi Arabia, but also minerals, diamonds etc. Most of the economy is kind of subsidized by the oil though, with majority of employees working for government, which has half the budget funded by oil and gas in the bad years.

    Manufacturing is in Russia small (half of Germany or Japan as proportion of GDP) and dependent on import of foreign parts and information who often control the manufacturing companies.

    -

    *The economies of Russia and Saudi Arabia are dependent on the world commodity prices. As a result, Russia and Saudi's GDP matches their shape exactly including strength of currency.

    https://i.imgur.com/fjCr5rC.jpg


    Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the “boring” stuff a country
     
    This isn't true. Russia produces less of things like military equipment or which country needs for war if it needed to be self-sufficient, excluding oil or gas. Although self-sufficiency is not necessary in this time, as most things countries need for war can be easily imported in exchange for money. People in Russia have no problem buying the newest Intel processor or Adidas, it's just a question of paying the extra cost of passing the third country and not having consumer protection. The situation for governments is similar.

    As for the military equipment and low level of production.

    In 1991, the Russian Federation has inherited from the Soviet Union the world's largest stock of nuclear weapons, tanks, APCs, artillery shells etc. Ukraine has also inherited a smaller share of these weapons which is still significant.

    Quantity of the old equipment is not such a problem, at least for the early months of the war. After the first year, there is insufficiency of equipment already, although there should still be thousands of older tanks and vehicles in storage. In 2024, it will be very insufficient equipment levels.

    Problem in 2022/2023, a lot of this equipment is outdated related to the weapons like anti-tank missiles. As a result, the casualties are high, as the 1970s/1960s Soviet equipment is not safe for 21st century battles.

    Driving on a minefield in a BMD or BMP-1, is a kind of extreme sport without high probability of surviving.

    The only postsoviet country which has been able to modernized the army or military equipment is Azerbaijan, which used the oil money to import more modern technology. This was partly because Azerbaijan is a nationalist society and the money seems to go in more direct way to buy the equipment, less in strange projects.

    In Russia it's a very postnationalist society and there isn't many motives to stop the money for military being cut in a hundred different and subtle ways, until large part was going to Monaco, Cyprus etc.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    The numbers you cited are interesting and I admit that I was unaware of them. That said, the fact remains that Russia is one of only 3 countries that produces a 5th generation fighter and Russia is one of only 5 countries that produces modern jet engines. Russia is also one of only 4 countries that produces all of the major weapons platforms that it uses.

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions, whereas the West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine’s already insufficient artillery usage. The West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpiles that this war has depleted.

    I don’t think any serious analysis disputes just how much of a basket case the Russia/Iran/China axis is. All three states are corrupt, thugocracies who are facing severe demographic winter. Even if these evil states are able to achieve their goals (G-d forbid) they will implode soon after due to their unsolvable internal problems. However, Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive in their war with the combined forces of the US, Canada, the UK and the USSR.

    And again, nobody disputes that the combined resources of the Western alliance totally dwarf the combined strength of Russia/Iran/China, let alone Russia by itself. That is not the question. The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Greasy William

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions

    How can we assume that when the Ukrainians are still picking up Russian POWs without body armor or even proper boots? What is the excuse for not providing enough boots at this point?

    The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    , @Dmitry
    @Greasy William


    was unaware of them.

     

    Well, it's usually commonly known information.

    replace lost equipment and expanded munitions
     
    This is replaced using mainly equipment from the storage, it's almost all not new equipment which has been produced since 1991.

    As a result, the war is a bit like a retrospectively viewing museum of Soviet historical equipment, as the war begins in 2022 with more equipment like 1980s BMP-3, while in 2023 the soldiers are often using 1960s BMP-1 and there are even reports about soldiers using 1950s T-55.

    It's not acceptable protection for soldiers to use the BMP-1. In the 2020s, it's kind of war crime to use this 1960s equipment, even if it was against another museum army. Although in 2023, Ukraine is now receiving Western equipment, quite a lot of this is also often from the museum, including low quality of Soviet exported equipment Poland doesn't need.

    For perspective, the situation of the army in Ukraine, is like if Stalin is fighting in 1945, using weapons and equipment of 1885.

    A lot of these equipment are 60 years old, so it's like fighting in the 1940s, with equipment of the 1880s.

    When Stalin was fighting in 1945, the army had equipment which was more modern than in 1941. But in 2023, the equipment of the army is already becoming decades older than in 2022.

    Of course, Stalin was fighting with a serious country, while in Russia there is still the advantage of the low level of Ukraine's military.

    For similar example, you can see if America was fighting in 1966 with Vietnam with significant proportion of the equipment of 1916, after more modern equipment of 1930 was destroyed in 1965 .


    West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine’s already insufficient artillery usage.

     

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries' artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.

    This is in war is 1,4 years from the beginning. It could probably continue to 2030, if you consider similar wars like Iran-Iraq war from 1980 to 1988.

    In terms of the West, by supplying Ukraine with weapons and training, they are clouding the future for Russia, because of this postsoviet border conflict which wasn't expected to have such kind of negative response by the West.

    In response to some anti-Western rhetoric in Russia, the West respond to the postsoviet conflict, by boiling the frog in Moscow. There has been the first mobilization in Russia in autumn 2022. The long term future for the country is going to be damaged in ways which will be difficult to repair if they continue another mobilization in 2023, 2024, etc.

    There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.


    West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpile
     
    The West is already donating heavy weapons to Ukraine, while it see them being tested in this civil war of the old USSR. The West is watching different parts of the Soviet Union or Russian empire destroying each other.

    Of course, we know the West will replace weapons they donate, with new ones, as they are building the factories for this, so they will begin to replace them in 2025 or 2028.

    "BAE Systems back on war footing to replenish ammunition"
    https://archive.li/iZp53

    https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/

    Western countries are generally well-organized and have accountants. They will ramp the replacement of those donated weapons by 2028.

    For comparison, there is the example of less organized Poland, who are probably going to damage their finances. As Poland is now planning to waste resources building an unnecessary large army and a lot of equipment, they will likely not need to use.


    Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/

     

    This is a strange or incorrect comparison, of the Russian Federation with Nazi Germany.

    1930s Germany was a very advanced country. They had the modern economies, technology. They had the most efficient army. This is a world leader in education and industry. They conquered powerful countries like France and Poland within 4/5 weeks. Then soon Germany was fighting with the British empire, then as suicide adding war with both USA and USSR in 1941.

    Germany is very efficient, advanced, with modern industries etc. It's not comparable to postsoviet border conflicts of degraded and asset-stripped fragments of the USSR. Russia has invaded a third world country of Ukraine, while the West drops some weapons on them, and now someone started a fire in this historical trash can.
    -

    From the external view, this conflict is similar to the Iran-Iraq war, although in that example the both sides received weapons.
    The picture on the map is like Iran-Iraq war.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09TnwicyQx8

    In the second year, both Iran and Iraq are going to trenches, low ammunition, etc. The 1981 in the Iran-Iraq war is matching quite similarity with 2023 in the Russia-Ukraine war.


    contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive

     

    Why are you adding China and Iran in the discussion?

    The similar countries and armies, are Russia and Ukraine. These are both parts of the Soviet army, which inherit the world's largest stock of weapons, but don't produce many new weapons. It's a question of the countries using the old armies on one side. But the changing of the balance after 2022 is Ukraine has a supply from the West, while China isn't supplying Russia.


    politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual

     

    What is the relation with sexuality? This idea of an "Eastern axis" is also quite imaginary.

    If there was "Eastern axis", Russia would have modern tanks from China. China produces a lot of modern equipment. But today, instead of the advanced Chinese equipment, the Russian soldiers are driving in a T-62 and BMP-1 i.e. equipment which is 60 years old.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP

  443. @Dmitry
    @QCIC

    With the internal-combustion engine automobiles, only cars made in China by Western companies have been competitive. Chinese local products of the internal-combustion engine automobiles were not competitive or equivalent.

    However, this change of the powertrain to EVs, is an opportunity for Chinese automobiles to become competitive, as the product is changing and the Western companies have not been investing until later in this product.

    This is already a situation in the EV market where Chinese local OEMs like BYD or SAIC Motor are competitive including the price, in relation to Western companies.

    A lot of the Chinese EVs are giving better range and value in comparison to the expensive EVs from the VW.

    This kind of Chinese car is more what the world needs for cities than a Tesla Cybertruck.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zlt7qnRrZ0g


    Chinese can and do mass produce any and all consumer product
     
    This isn't true for a few products like CPUs. Also there is question of the importing of the technology design. For example, with systems on a chip, they need to import the Western designs.

    Question for China, is their income increased rapidly in the last twenty years. As a result, they are now walking to the beginning of a middle income trap.

    The manufacturing in China has been competitive because of the lower cost of labor. But if incomes rise, they undermine competitiveness of those industries.

    Although this isn't an emergency, as incomes are still low in China with 600 million people with income lower than $141 per month ( https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-06-06/opinion-china-has-600-million-people-with-monthly-income-less-than-141-is-that-true-101564071.html ) and a lot of the rural population which can still immigrate to cities, which is more labor to be used by the bourgeoisie.

    Price of the manufacturing in China is higher than a ten years ago, although the average quality is also probably higher. There are now some good Chinese brands. Still even with the most successful situation in China's economy, there will be inevitable process of offshoring of manufacturing to poorer countries like India, Indonesia or Vietnam.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean, @Wokechoke

    Back in 1994 I predicted this about China.

    It is projected to be the largest economy on earth, but it will have per capita income on a very low end. The Little Emperors will start swarming out of the hive looking for wives and loot. The people will be poor but the army will be a frenzied technological juggernaut.

  444. @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail


    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn’t a stable way to pursue peace.
     
    The Ukrainian protesters didn't believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn't exactly indicate a high moral compass. Flipping control of the Ukrainian parliament in 2010 without any new elections, changing the election laws so that pro-Yanukovych parties would win a majority of parliamentary seats in 2012 even though the opposition won a majority of the popular vote in that election, pressuring several judges on Ukraine's Supreme Court to resign and replacing them with pro-Yanukovych loyalists, et cetera.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.
     
    They would have been if they didn't give the Donbass veto power over Ukrainian domestic and foreign policies, at least as per the Russian interpretation of these accords. Texas doesn't have veto power over US domestic and foreign policies, after all.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.
     
    Versailles's territorial settlement was actually reasonably fair, other than of course not allowing Austria to unify with Germany, which could have been--and actually was--rectified eventually. The Versailles reparations settlement I'll leave for others to judge, but AFAIK it was already overturned by 1932, before Hitler even came to power in Germany.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @sudden death

    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass. Flipping control of the Ukrainian parliament in 2010 without any new elections, changing the election laws so that pro-Yanukovych parties would win a majority of parliamentary seats in 2012 even though the opposition won a majority of the popular vote in that election, pressuring several judges on Ukraine’s Supreme Court to resign and replacing them with pro-Yanukovych loyalists, et cetera.

    And we see how some of these protestors acted. The fact of the matter is that the opposition signing that agreement had violated it. Expand on this ‘flipping the parliament” spin which I gather you got somewhere. Did he legally violate anything?

    They would have been if they didn’t give the Donbass veto power over Ukrainian domestic and foreign policies, at least as per the Russian interpretation of these accords. Texas doesn’t have veto power over US domestic and foreign policies, after all.

    Another false equivalency whataboutism – this time with Texas. Ukraine’s Commie drawn boundary was (in historical terms) recently created when compared to that of the mainland US. Furthermore, Ukraine already had a neutrality provision at the time.

    Versailles’s territorial settlement was actually reasonably fair, other than of course not allowing Austria to unify with Germany, which could have been–and actually was–rectified eventually. The Versailles reparations settlement I’ll leave for others to judge, but AFAIK it was already overturned by 1932, before Hitler even came to power in Germany.

    You’re leaving out several key factors contradicting “reasonably fair”. Minsk Accords were more reasonably fair.

  445. @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail


    Neocon, neolib, svido talking points with a misleading timeline. Overthrowing a democratically elected president, in contradiction to an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement, followed by a series of put mildly divisive policies put forth by the coup regime, isn’t a stable way to pursue peace.
     
    The Ukrainian protesters didn't believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn't exactly indicate a high moral compass. Flipping control of the Ukrainian parliament in 2010 without any new elections, changing the election laws so that pro-Yanukovych parties would win a majority of parliamentary seats in 2012 even though the opposition won a majority of the popular vote in that election, pressuring several judges on Ukraine's Supreme Court to resign and replacing them with pro-Yanukovych loyalists, et cetera.

    The Minsk Accords were reasonably written up in a way giving equal consideration to the affected parties.
     
    They would have been if they didn't give the Donbass veto power over Ukrainian domestic and foreign policies, at least as per the Russian interpretation of these accords. Texas doesn't have veto power over US domestic and foreign policies, after all.

    Your Versailles reference is a whataboutism false equivalency stretch, in that it can be reasonably argued that said treaty was unfair to Germany. In comparison, the Minsk Accords are far more balanced.
     
    Versailles's territorial settlement was actually reasonably fair, other than of course not allowing Austria to unify with Germany, which could have been--and actually was--rectified eventually. The Versailles reparations settlement I'll leave for others to judge, but AFAIK it was already overturned by 1932, before Hitler even came to power in Germany.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @sudden death

    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass.

    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory:

    And RF was arguably the most important side, which could guarantee anything about Yanukovich, but RF special official envoy for that deal Vladimir Lukin said quite clearly “…we decided we do not need to tie ourselves with formal agreements, mandatory signings…”

    Вот как конкретизировал мотивы неподписания Владимир Лукин. “Мы его не подписали. Мы решили, что не надо себя связывать какими-то формальными соглашениями, обязательствами и подписями, потому что были вопросы и проблемы, с каким субъектом переговоров мы будем иметь дело в ближайшее время, как будут развиваться события, кто будет отвечать за те решения, которые принимались, и кто за что отвечает вообще”, – сказал российский омбудсмен.

    https://www.1tv.ru/news/2014-02-21/52462-vladimir_lukin_ne_podpisal_soglashenie_mezhdu_vlastyu_i_oppozitsiey_na_ukraine

    Laughably, it was exactly RF, which later somehow started to making most fuss about the agreement, while not being a supporter or official participator at all at the time.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @sudden death

    Sure, that is your "argument": signatures and certification are absolutely required when it comes to Russia, but totally unimportant when it comes to Ukraine or Nato? So why do you even bring up the "Budapest Memorandum", it was just a piece of unratified paper. Same as "promises" not to exapnd Nato.

    This is not a paper-game: you either have honor or you don't and no piece of paper can change that. Both Ukraine and Nato countries have demonstrated that they lack any sense of honor and will hide behind any excuse not to keep their word. Why should Russia be better?

    That unfortunately means that today's Ukraine and its Nato sponsors are not agreement-capable. So we are back to force and force will decide this. It is quite stupid for the weaker side (that would be Kiev) to decide to move the fight to the realm of pure force. But they did it. Now for the consequences. That's what happens when you don't fulfill your agreements.

    Replies: @sudden death

    , @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory
     
    The RF oversaw the negotiating process of that document and didn't condemn it, with Sikorski lauding Russia's role on that matter. The same Sikorski didn't admonish the regime which violated that agreement.

    Replies: @sudden death

  446. @Greasy William
    @YetAnotherAnon


    I keep getting this argument from people who think an economy based on selling houses and coffee to each other is the same as an economy that makes things and/or produces oil/ores/metals.
     
    GDP is the total wealth an economy produces. That number tends to be correlated with its potential to manufacture goods. Russia, however, is an industrial economy whereas the Western economies are increasingly post industrial and the manufacturing capacity that the Western economies due have tends to be for smaller amounts of high end goods, as opposed to producing large amounts of the "boring" stuff a country at war needs.

    But mainly the issue is that Russia has managed its war economy with vastly greater efficiency than has the West.

    It is also important to keep in mind that war production is a complex and multifaceted issue which can't always be determined at face value. Look at the way that labor and energy starved Nazi Germany was able to produce sufficient armaments for a war against the combined forces of the US, UK, Canada and USSR all the way until mid 1944, when the Allied strategic bombing campaign began to cripple the German war economy.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Dmitry, @LondonBob

    Western arms manufacturers are private companies, they know the war is won by Russia, similarly they know the West doesn’t have the finances to increase defence spending, despite claims by politicians, therefore they aren’t going to massively expand production. Russia had inefficient state owned arms manufacturers, easy to get these workers to go from working four days a week, six hours a day, to ten hours a day, six days a week.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @LondonBob

    Russia has also hired new workers and is producing all forms of ammunition 24/7. That is a good point that the massive amount of slack in the capacity utilization of the Russian armaments industry means that is easy to rapidly expand production when necessary. Excellent point.

    Even still, Russia is expanding its arms industry and its armed forces.

    The idea that unsustainable levels of peacetime defense spending are what brought down the Soviet Union is rank nonsense. The Soviets collapsed due to the inefficiencies of centrally planned state socialism over all aspects of the civilian economy. Contemporary Russia (and China) have avoided this mistake. They are using a mixed economic model more similar to that of Nazi Germany, which is vastly more productive and resilient. For example: the Soviet Union was a net food importer, the Russian Federation is the second largest food exporter in the world.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    , @John Johnson
    @LondonBob

    Western arms manufacturers are private companies, they know the war is won by Russia, similarly they know the West doesn’t have the finances to increase defence spending, despite claims by politicians, therefore they aren’t going to massively expand production.

    Wow you definitely don't follow US politics or the budget.

    Both Republicans and Democrats are always looking for excuses to write defense industry checks. It's one of the few things they can agree on.

    So far donations to Ukraine haven't been more than 1% of the military budget. It's mostly old stock.

    Russia had inefficient state owned arms manufacturers, easy to get these workers to go from working four days a week, six hours a day, to ten hours a day, six days a week.

    Bank of Russia had to raise the interest rate a full point because the country is short on male workers
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-russia-hikes-rates-by-a-full-point-as-country-struggles-to-find-workers-after-sending-men-to-fight-9045281b

    Which contradicts what both MacGregor and Ritter have been telling us about Russia's minimal losses.


  447. More patriot systems are needed. Some f-16’s would be helpful too.

  448. @Sher Singh
    https://twitter.com/Kathleen_Tyson_/status/1682622906939895810

    Thoughts?

    Replies: @LondonBob

    The US won’t be fighting anyone anytime soon.

    • Agree: Sher Singh
  449. The end of the grain deal looks to be the beginning of the end, surprised it lasted so long. Sends Ukraine further in to economic despair and the supply lines for arms just became hugely complicated.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @LondonBob

    It looked bad last year too, but then after some well placed international pressure, it changed. Lately, kremlin talking heads are indicating that they want to have sanctions lessened, this is not the way to do that.

  450. @LondonBob
    The end of the grain deal looks to be the beginning of the end, surprised it lasted so long. Sends Ukraine further in to economic despair and the supply lines for arms just became hugely complicated.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    It looked bad last year too, but then after some well placed international pressure, it changed. Lately, kremlin talking heads are indicating that they want to have sanctions lessened, this is not the way to do that.

  451. @Mr. Hack
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Your stupid misdirection wont work. Odesites know from where the missile attacks came from.

    Greetings to Russia from Odesa Mayor Genadi Trukhanov (starting in Russian at 0:35), I'm sure that his feelings about Russians is shared by many millions of Ukrainians around the world.

    https://youtu.be/90PFlRsvSqg

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    “Odesites know from where the missile attacks came from.”

    And where do the anti-missile missiles, that scatter chunks of metal to take out an incoming missile, come from?

    If that cathedral damage was from a high explosive missile, it would be a lot more severe. Don’t worry, most people are fooled that “it was a Russian attack”. Your propaganda mill is working just fine, as it should with so much money and brains behind it.

    Just not all of us are fooled. Why should Russia attack an Orthodox cathedral? That’s Bandera stuff.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/22/ukraine-security-service-raids-1000-year-old-monastery-in-kyiv

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Get real. Russian missiles destroyed 25 other buildings in the area, but the cathedral was destroyed by Ukrainian anti missiles? And even if that were true (but it isn't), anti-missiles wouldn't be necessary if the Russian military hadn't felt the need to bomb large swaths of civilian areas in the first place, right?


    If that cathedral damage was from a high explosive missile, it would be a lot more severe.
     
    Oh, it's pretty severe allright:

    The destruction is enormous, half of the cathedral is now roofless,” said Archdeacon Andrii Palchuk...Palchuk said the damage was caused by a direct hit from a Russian missile that penetrated the building down to the basement. Two people inside were wounded.
     

    Why should Russia attack an Orthodox cathedral? That’s Bandera stuff.
     
    Actually, its commie stuff as the cathedral was targeted and bombed during WWII for destruction by them. Whether commie or fascist, Russians seem to have this ingrain hatred of everything Ukrainian.
  452. 1️⃣No one can predict when the war will end.
    🔹The war will not end with reaching the 1991 state borders of Ukraine.
    🔹A peace agreement with Russia will mark the end of the war.
    🔹Ukraine will not become a NATO member until then.
    🔹Turkey will not open the Bosphorus to NATO warships (and Russia’s) until the war is over.

    2️⃣Russia is preparing for a long war and can withstand it.

    🔹Russia’s economy has withstood sanctions, adapted, and reoriented to the Global East.

    ◾️Oil:
    The Black Sea is becoming an increasingly important source of revenue for Russia to continue the war – a record 5 million tonnes of crude oil in each of the last 4 months and 4 million tonnes of diesel fuel from the Black Sea. Revenues also remain steady, some of them are used to purchase “parallel imports”.

    The number of violations on marine oil and petroleum embargo keeps growing. Dozens of tankers under the embargo make several direct voyages a month to ports in the US, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Greece.

    ◾️Grain:

    In 2023, Russia’s grain transshipment increased by 2.2 times, and mineral fertilizers by 1.6 times. Cargo turnover of the Black Sea ports for the first half of 2023: Novorossiysk – (+11.0%), Tuapse – (+38.5%), Kavkaz port – (up 2.2 times), Rostov-on-Don – (+35.7%).

    3️⃣Even partial isolation of Russia seems impossible in the current global economy.

    🔹Russia has renewed and even surpassed its 2021 figures for imports of complex goods/devices/dual-use components.

    4️⃣The global world seems to be getting more and more divided into 2 parts based on its attitude to the Great War.

    5️⃣It is premature to hope for a rapid disintegration of Russia.

    OK, his solution is “start WW3”, but his diagnosis seems unarguable.

  453. @LondonBob
    @Greasy William

    Western arms manufacturers are private companies, they know the war is won by Russia, similarly they know the West doesn't have the finances to increase defence spending, despite claims by politicians, therefore they aren't going to massively expand production. Russia had inefficient state owned arms manufacturers, easy to get these workers to go from working four days a week, six hours a day, to ten hours a day, six days a week.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @John Johnson

    Russia has also hired new workers and is producing all forms of ammunition 24/7. That is a good point that the massive amount of slack in the capacity utilization of the Russian armaments industry means that is easy to rapidly expand production when necessary. Excellent point.

    Even still, Russia is expanding its arms industry and its armed forces.

    The idea that unsustainable levels of peacetime defense spending are what brought down the Soviet Union is rank nonsense. The Soviets collapsed due to the inefficiencies of centrally planned state socialism over all aspects of the civilian economy. Contemporary Russia (and China) have avoided this mistake. They are using a mixed economic model more similar to that of Nazi Germany, which is vastly more productive and resilient. For example: the Soviet Union was a net food importer, the Russian Federation is the second largest food exporter in the world.

    • Agree: Sher Singh
    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @Greasy William

    I just bought a Ukranian knife - not as a form of race treachery, but just cus it's cool.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  454. Was reading in a book recently that there are accounts of eagles in captivity living 100 years, but can find no number remotely that high on the internet.

    Perhaps, it if some sort of age inflation due to the illiteracy of an earlier age.

    Anyway, I wonder if Eugene McCarthy has ever considered that man could increase his lifespan dramatically by hibridizing with the Greenland shark, the ocean quahog, or the immortal jellyfish.

  455. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Mr. Hack

    "Odesites know from where the missile attacks came from."

    And where do the anti-missile missiles, that scatter chunks of metal to take out an incoming missile, come from?

    If that cathedral damage was from a high explosive missile, it would be a lot more severe. Don't worry, most people are fooled that "it was a Russian attack". Your propaganda mill is working just fine, as it should with so much money and brains behind it.

    Just not all of us are fooled. Why should Russia attack an Orthodox cathedral? That's Bandera stuff.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/22/ukraine-security-service-raids-1000-year-old-monastery-in-kyiv

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Get real. Russian missiles destroyed 25 other buildings in the area, but the cathedral was destroyed by Ukrainian anti missiles? And even if that were true (but it isn’t), anti-missiles wouldn’t be necessary if the Russian military hadn’t felt the need to bomb large swaths of civilian areas in the first place, right?

    If that cathedral damage was from a high explosive missile, it would be a lot more severe.

    Oh, it’s pretty severe allright:

    The destruction is enormous, half of the cathedral is now roofless,” said Archdeacon Andrii Palchuk…Palchuk said the damage was caused by a direct hit from a Russian missile that penetrated the building down to the basement. Two people inside were wounded.

    Why should Russia attack an Orthodox cathedral? That’s Bandera stuff.

    Actually, its commie stuff as the cathedral was targeted and bombed during WWII for destruction by them. Whether commie or fascist, Russians seem to have this ingrain hatred of everything Ukrainian.

  456. A123 says: • Website

    Palestinian Jews deliver a savage blow to powerless Not-The-President Biden: (1)

    Israel’s parliament, or Knesset, passed the first of several judicial reforms proposed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government on Monday, defying protests and pressure from the White House.

    The new law prevents courts from using their own idea of “reasonableness” in blocking government policies. Critics had long argued that the “reasonableness” doctrine allowed the left-leaning judiciary to abuse its power, and that it tended to do so more often against Israel’s conservative governments.

    Yet more proof that Washington is currently devoid of agency or influence. Even relatively small nations are in “point & laugh” mode.
    ___

    Fake Stream Media outlets have also been busy mischaracterizing the nature of those on the street. Nary a word for this: (2)

    Over 200,000 Gather in Tel Aviv to SUPPORT Judicial Reform

    Supporters of the government’s judicial reform legislation are gathering on Kaplan St. in Tel Aviv for a rally parallel to the expected passing of the bill to reduce the reasonableness standard in its second and third readings in the Knesset. The demonstrators’ message to the coalition members in the Knesset: “The nation is with you, complete the legislation. 64 seats are not second-class citizens.”

    Minister of Transportation Miri Regev: “I know the abilities of the elite to try to harm any reform. They tried to silence us, mocked us. They tried to prevent it with beautiful, artificial words, just like they are trying to do today. They are concerned with maintaining their centers of power, and we are concerned with the reform.”

    Why is global media covering only the anti-reform protests?

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2023/07/24/netanyahu-defies-biden-opposition-protests-passes-first-judicial-reform/

    (2) https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/374565

  457. Looks like a whole bunch of good commenters here have decided to all take their yearly vacations at the same time, or….?

    GermanReader, LatW, AP, Ivashka Basibusuk, Barbarossa…

    Even some sub-par ones like Gerard, Professor TN. 🙂

    I was just getting used to AK’s sudden reappearance…but he seems to be gone again?….

    Perhaps, there’s a changing of the guard going on here?

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Mr. Hack

    GR is too busy reading advanced review copies of upcoming books on the Roman Empire.

    AP is too busy searching for the most kingly Habsburg, or sultan-like Osmanoğlu, depending on whom you ask.

    Barb is too busy perfecting cattle-raid Lazer tag, and developing a new, well-behaved breed of urban, midget goat, to mow the grass in the ex-Soviet sphere.

    I leave it to your imagination to fill in the other blanks.

  458. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity -

    Or Americans could welcome the demise of the Empire as a liberating moment of possibility. Those who sense the impending twilight of empire as a way of life could greet the erosion of our hegemony, not with lamentation about the best days behind us, but with gratitude and even jubilation at the prospect of a better and lovelier country. Once relieved of the burdens of empire, and dispelled of the illusion that the world cannot survive without the escutcheon of American superintendence, we would surely be weaker. But we would also be wiser, freer to assess and rearrange our affairs by truer, saner, and more generous standards than productivity and technological innovation. Such a deliberate renunciation of capitalist enchantment will be arduous and sharply vilified, condemned as lethal and improvident heresy by the patricians and curates of the plutocracy. But the only alternative to apostasy from Mammonism will be a perdition of corporate thralldom perpetuated with unending and unavailing war.
     
    Surely true.

    Most people on Unz and the Far Right hope for the dissolution of American empire because they want the even crueler and more despotic regimes of China and Russia to prevail - they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.

    But it's possible to hope for the end of American empire in order to imagine a new more joyous, sane, generous, and happy kind of life, released from the degrading and mind numbing imperatives of technological progress and economic growth divorced from any vision of human flourishing, one in which a Romantic vision of the "sacramentality" of the world holds sway - matter as infused with divinity, and beauty and true human flourishing restored to the center of life.

    Such is my hope and optimism.

    Of course, I do not expect such an attitude to sweep the nation, but the decline of American empire will create space for individuals and communities to start living alternatively, in ways that go radically against the now dominant culture.

    And indeed we can all do that right now - amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power - those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as "ontological wonder".

    And in the end it is only a matter of right seeing - as Henry Miller said, the world is a paradise, we don't have to search for utopia. We just have to fit ourselves to live in it.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity –

    Surely true.

    That is surely some winning prose, but as is typically the case with leftist idealism, it is too detached from reality, and is thus dangerous to take too seriously.

    – they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.

    Poppycock. The alt right isn’t driven by some ‘need’ to inflict cruelty on people. You may fairly maintain that ‘cruelty’ (however you define it) is what would result from alt right policies, but it’s a bit much for you to insist – rather uncharitably and, for you, uncharacteristically – that cruelty, of itself, is what we’re after.

    And indeed we can all do that right now – amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power – those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as “ontological wonder”.

    There’s little doubt you and I would disagree on what constitutes the ‘wreckage,’ but I’m not here today to rehash our disagreements. I would like to talk about something else entirely. You strike me as the archetypal eternal seeker, and a question I have for you is: have you ever felt entirely at home in the world? For someone who spends as much time mourning the passing of the old ways as I do, it may surprise you that my answer to the same question is: I really don’t think I have.

    From the youngest, I have had had abiding sense that I don’t quite belong here. And I don’t mean that in the superficial sense that I have felt awkward or out of place, which I’m sure for young people is quite common. I mean more in the sense that this world, regardless of how poorly or how well it arranges its affairs, is not really my home; it’s a staging post, and that I and people like me – nowadays, I’d say humanity at large (but I didn’t always think this) – are journeying from and are destined for some place else.

    Why exactly we had to ‘stop’ here on earth (or anywhere on the material plane) is unclear, or has been forgotten, but we are tasked with finding that reason, resupplying, retooling, and then continuing the journey. Of course, humankind has known many journeys. We have travelled from ignorance to understanding, poverty to opulence, bondage to liberation, and most recently, appearance to substance. But the ultimate journey, in this view, is from immanence to transcendence; and the question is how do we do it?

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @silviosilver

    The fellow may be distracting himself from his mom's Freud studies and her belief he wanted to schtup her.

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    The decline of American empire is an unavoidable fact - and not because of the rise of China, which doesn't seem so formidable anymore, but because the dominant global philosophy of scientific reductionism is gradually exhausting the whole world of it's vitality and exuberance, and disconnecting us from any creative contact with genuine reality.

    But ones attitude to this unavoidable fact can take variable forms - and there is nothing unrealistic in thinking that this decline will loosen the grip of that devitalizing philosophy, providing space for individuals and groups to chart a new course that restores them to health and vitality.

    This sense of reduced possibilities, this impoverished sense of what's realistic, is itself a notable feature of the dominant reductionist philosophy - as David Graeber said, there has been a war on the human imagination.

    No, I stand by that - a significant portion of the psychology of the Alt-Right is simple cruelty. I understand cruelty to be an attempt to increase one's sense of self worth by causing pain to, or degrading and humiliating, other people.

    It's a classic and timeless human response to feelings of worthlessness, based on the idea that for me to be up you have to be down.

    Now, that doesn't necessarily exhaust the motivations of people drawn to the Alt-Right, or imply that it's positions contain zero merit whatsoever, or that such people aren't themselves victims of the dislocating forces of modernity and capitalism, and deserving a measure of compassion.

    I even think some Alt-Right critiques can shed genuine light on negative social trends, although rarely in the precise way it's formulated, and the preferred solutions are uniformly calculated to exacerbate the problem.

    But one can be against immigration without the special venom and spite of someone like Vox Day, for instance, or one can be a nationalist without the malice, spite, and sneering contempt of someone like Ivashka here, for instance.

    Isaiah Berling famously said that in the Britain of his time, an anti-Semite is someone who hates Jews more than is strictly necessary. The Alt-Right are people who hate immigrants, and other groups in general, more than would be strictly necessary for a decent and sane nationalist - although I'm worried that tepid formula doesn't come close to exhausting the full moral depravity of the Alt-Right on a whole range of issues.

    I'm going to answer your questions about feeling at home in the world in another comment. It's an interesting and important question.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    No, I have definitely not ever felt entirely at home in the world :) And to be honest, I don't think anyone really does, however much some people may kid themselves they do, or try and ignore their feelings of alienation out of an ideological commitment to the platitudes of scientific progress, which assure us we must be so much happier now that our material needs are so amply and abundantly met.

    I quite like the Gnostic way of formulating this disquieting sense of unease in our world - we are exiled royalty, children of kings who have been banished from the magnificence of our true home and cast under an evil enchantment to forget our true origins - although the Gnostic vision as a whole has too many malign and puerile elements to be accepted, it's central mythos is quite powerful and vivid.

    Theologians have a phrase - "ontological poverty" - which describes the radical insufficiency of the world of matter just as it is, disconnected from any supernatural context enfolding it and flowing into it.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling - but upon reflection, not really, as your comments often betray a longing for another world, as in your most recent comment that our destiny is in the stars. And it is.

    I always longed for another more magical world - I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    And I was never really able to compromise with the mundane world of "adult" reality, as we are all supposed to do - to become "realistic" and settle down to a tedious life of stability making money, as all good adults in modern civilization are supposed to do. My traipsing around India and SEA and other exotic parts of the world was my formal rejection of the "deal" offered by modern civilization - material comfort and security in exchange for your soul.

    And the older I get, the more recalcitrant I get :)

    To get back to you, I would contrast you with someone like Dmitry, who resembles - at least on paper - Nietzsche's Last Man - all transcendent longings seemingly expunged from his nature and his highest aspiration a banal and stupefying physical comfort and security. But even for him I suspect it's just a childish ideological commitment to the ideals of modern progress, and he's setting himself up for one hell of a midlife crisis.- I sometimes forget how young and immature he is.

    I know many secular atheists who present an image of supreme self satisfaction, but are in fact chronically frustrated and often depressed.

    But you, you always struck me as having some kind of passionate and fiery aspiration - in your case, I'd say you have misdirected longing for transcendence, not it's absence, as in Dmitry.

    Which is actually the major theme of that book, The Enchantments of Mammon. The standard account made famous by Max Weber is that capitalism disenchanted the world by stripping it of everything sacred, but this book argues that in fact capitalism is shot through with sacred and enchanted thinking, and is more a case of mis-enchahtment than dis-enchantment.

    Which means that humanity cannot get rid of it's longing for enchantment - we can't disenchant the world, we can only wrongly direct our yearning fjr transcendence. Which makes the task of return to correct vision easier.

    As for "how", you ask - why, it is a matter of vision, of cultivating sight. The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars - but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright (of course, there's nothing wrong with also getting to the stars, and there may be untold beauties awaiting us there - but more matter, as matter, don't save you,)

    When I go into nature, I do not see "mere matter" - I see gleams of a higher glory shining through, I see a higher dimension shining through, hints and more than hints, of another world.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning - a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    For some incomprehensible reason, the modern world has decided that there reality is one-dimensional, and there are no "levels" to reality. We will be chronically frustrated until we learn again to widen out and see the larger reality enfolding us.

    And for that, all the spiritual traditions of the world are at our fingertips to help us, and the great Romantic tradition of Europe - these are men and women who fought back hard at the kind of dull, impoverished vision being foisted upon us by an emerging modernity.

    We can learn to see again.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @silviosilver

  459. @Greasy William
    @Dmitry

    The numbers you cited are interesting and I admit that I was unaware of them. That said, the fact remains that Russia is one of only 3 countries that produces a 5th generation fighter and Russia is one of only 5 countries that produces modern jet engines. Russia is also one of only 4 countries that produces all of the major weapons platforms that it uses.

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions, whereas the West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine's already insufficient artillery usage. The West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpiles that this war has depleted.

    I don't think any serious analysis disputes just how much of a basket case the Russia/Iran/China axis is. All three states are corrupt, thugocracies who are facing severe demographic winter. Even if these evil states are able to achieve their goals (G-d forbid) they will implode soon after due to their unsolvable internal problems. However, Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive in their war with the combined forces of the US, Canada, the UK and the USSR.

    And again, nobody disputes that the combined resources of the Western alliance totally dwarf the combined strength of Russia/Iran/China, let alone Russia by itself. That is not the question. The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously "no" and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Dmitry

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions

    How can we assume that when the Ukrainians are still picking up Russian POWs without body armor or even proper boots? What is the excuse for not providing enough boots at this point?

    The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.

    • Replies: @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.
     
    And they were wrong to do so because America was committed to victory in both cases. The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I agree that the United States can win this war if it gets its act together. It's just that I have seen no evidence that the most incompetent admin in US history will do so.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @A123

  460. @LondonBob
    @Greasy William

    Western arms manufacturers are private companies, they know the war is won by Russia, similarly they know the West doesn't have the finances to increase defence spending, despite claims by politicians, therefore they aren't going to massively expand production. Russia had inefficient state owned arms manufacturers, easy to get these workers to go from working four days a week, six hours a day, to ten hours a day, six days a week.

    Replies: @Greasy William, @John Johnson

    Western arms manufacturers are private companies, they know the war is won by Russia, similarly they know the West doesn’t have the finances to increase defence spending, despite claims by politicians, therefore they aren’t going to massively expand production.

    Wow you definitely don’t follow US politics or the budget.

    Both Republicans and Democrats are always looking for excuses to write defense industry checks. It’s one of the few things they can agree on.

    So far donations to Ukraine haven’t been more than 1% of the military budget. It’s mostly old stock.

    Russia had inefficient state owned arms manufacturers, easy to get these workers to go from working four days a week, six hours a day, to ten hours a day, six days a week.

    Bank of Russia had to raise the interest rate a full point because the country is short on male workers
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-russia-hikes-rates-by-a-full-point-as-country-struggles-to-find-workers-after-sending-men-to-fight-9045281b

    Which contradicts what both MacGregor and Ritter have been telling us about Russia’s minimal losses.

  461. @Mr. Hack
    Looks like a whole bunch of good commenters here have decided to all take their yearly vacations at the same time, or....?

    GermanReader, LatW, AP, Ivashka Basibusuk, Barbarossa...

    Even some sub-par ones like Gerard, Professor TN. :-)

    I was just getting used to AK's sudden reappearance...but he seems to be gone again?....

    Perhaps, there's a changing of the guard going on here?

    Replies: @songbird

    GR is too busy reading advanced review copies of upcoming books on the Roman Empire.

    AP is too busy searching for the most kingly Habsburg, or sultan-like Osmanoğlu, depending on whom you ask.

    Barb is too busy perfecting cattle-raid Lazer tag, and developing a new, well-behaved breed of urban, midget goat, to mow the grass in the ex-Soviet sphere.

    I leave it to your imagination to fill in the other blanks.

  462. @sudden death
    @Mr. XYZ


    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass.
     
    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory:

    https://zn.ua/img/forall/u/0/-1/users/Feb2014/84317.jpg

    And RF was arguably the most important side, which could guarantee anything about Yanukovich, but RF special official envoy for that deal Vladimir Lukin said quite clearly “…we decided we do not need to tie ourselves with formal agreements, mandatory signings…”


    Вот как конкретизировал мотивы неподписания Владимир Лукин. “Мы его не подписали. Мы решили, что не надо себя связывать какими-то формальными соглашениями, обязательствами и подписями, потому что были вопросы и проблемы, с каким субъектом переговоров мы будем иметь дело в ближайшее время, как будут развиваться события, кто будет отвечать за те решения, которые принимались, и кто за что отвечает вообще”, – сказал российский омбудсмен.
     
    https://www.1tv.ru/news/2014-02-21/52462-vladimir_lukin_ne_podpisal_soglashenie_mezhdu_vlastyu_i_oppozitsiey_na_ukraine

    Laughably, it was exactly RF, which later somehow started to making most fuss about the agreement, while not being a supporter or official participator at all at the time.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mikhail

    Sure, that is your “argument”: signatures and certification are absolutely required when it comes to Russia, but totally unimportant when it comes to Ukraine or Nato? So why do you even bring up the “Budapest Memorandum”, it was just a piece of unratified paper. Same as “promises” not to exapnd Nato.

    This is not a paper-game: you either have honor or you don’t and no piece of paper can change that. Both Ukraine and Nato countries have demonstrated that they lack any sense of honor and will hide behind any excuse not to keep their word. Why should Russia be better?

    That unfortunately means that today’s Ukraine and its Nato sponsors are not agreement-capable. So we are back to force and force will decide this. It is quite stupid for the weaker side (that would be Kiev) to decide to move the fight to the realm of pure force. But they did it. Now for the consequences. That’s what happens when you don’t fulfill your agreements.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Beckow

    This wordy mess of yours is good example why nobody important is taking kremlinite whinings seriously - there is a situation when RF refuses even to sign and acknowledge something as mandatory, but it later starts demanding to consider as such still without having signed, but now you bring up the official document, which was signed by RF as some counter example?

    Also who on earth is taking some unnoficial conversational words possibly uttered by some politician as some kind of legal imperative equal to an official treaty? Only either moron with room temperature IQ or somebody pretending to be such, therefore they are constantly justifiably getting reactions at the highest levels about those type of whinings with absurdist comparisons being just laughable nonsense.

    Replies: @Beckow

  463. @Sean
    @Beckow


    https://fortune.com/2021/03/05/saudis-americas-frackers-drill-gone-forever/

    Russia, Saudi Arabia’s most important OPEC+ partner, has tried to convince Riyadh for several months to increase output, fearing that rising oil prices would ultimately awaken rival shale producers. The Saudis are certain the American industry has reformed itself.

    If the prince is right, OPEC+ will be able to both push prices higher now and recover market share later without worrying that rivals in Texas, Oklahoma and North Dakota will flood the market. But if Riyadh has miscalculated— and it’s got shale wrong before — the danger will be lower prices and production down the line.
     

    In any case Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.

    America won because it made what was at the time a very speculative investment in fracking

    Poland intends to sponge off of America, with its cheap fracked energy.

    Britain damped down North Sea development for Green reasons, and a result was already paying three times as much as other countries for energy before the 2022 invasion

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Beckow

    …Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.

    That sounds like sour grapes…:)

    The best paying customers are the ones who pay the most. Why would China, Korea, Turkey or the others be worse than Europe? Europe “freezes” what they pay you, plays games, sues endlessly, etc… with the other customers there is just money: they pay and take the gas.

    Technology is not static and you should know that. There is no magical “technology” that Russia, or China, don’t have. These are complex enterprises, but if there is money to be made, the technology will be developed. You can equally say that US lost the ability to sell at a huge profit its technology and Europe lost the ability to benefit from the plentiful resources of Siberia.

    Time will tell who gains or loses more. If history is any guide, it is the physical ownership of resources that matters – not being an intermediary or claiming a “know-how”. The desperate attempt by the West to reverse the situation by provoking this war with Russia tells us that the smart people in the West know this. But maybe you don’t.

  464. …Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.

    The best paying customers are the ones who pay the most. Why would China, Korea, Turkey or the others be worse than Europe?

    Germany has some of the best mining companies in the world.

    You can’t just replace them by dialing up China or Korea. It doesn’t work that way. We are talking about decades of specialized technological development. The free market actually doesn’t demand adequate competition in every area. In fact this is a problem with specialized technology. It can lead to tolerated monopolies like Microsoft of the 90s.

    Technology is not static and you should know that. There is no magical “technology” that Russia, or China, don’t have.

    Technology is not perfectly spread across all countries nor will it ever be. That is egalitarian mythos.

    I warned about Russia being dependent on Western technology early in the war and was mocked.

    I was told by Putin defenders that they could simply import parts from China. In fact I was called an idiot for even suggesting that it isn’t possible to just call China for a random part. Ching Chang I guess is a magic wizard who can replace a Swiss water pump bearing shaft off an industrial driller. Just describe it to him.

    Still waiting on those airplane parts.

    Major plane makers Boeing and Airbus halted deliveries of new foreign jets and spare parts, forcing Russian airlines to “cannibalize” grounded aircraft.
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/10/sanctioned-russian-aviation-sector-hit-by-slew-of-incidents-in-new-year-a79903

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    We were discussing energy and you switched to 'airplane parts'. That seems your favorite way to avoid rational discussion, like pretending that you confuse Mariupol for Melitopol.

    Focus: Russia is able to sell its energy. Period. The "quality" of customers is measured in business by how much they reliably pay. Germany has proven to be very unreliable customer, that will be very bad for them and the German businessmen know it.

    The good-enough technology is available to drill and ship oil and gas, that's all that matters - you can use your "Swiss bearing shaft" to fix the broken Leopard tanks that were too 'complex' to perform in an actual war. If some specialized technology is not available, the Russian resources will stay in the ground for now and become more valuable over time. Who wins and who loses?

    You should also get of your sophomoric high horse with the 'Germany is the best" obsession of the right-leaning quasi-fascist Western morons. Germany is actually not that great, their infrastructure and transport are old and overused, autobahns and trains are not what they used to be. German cars are over-engineered, expensive to maintain and often uncomfortable. Germany itself is about 20-25% non-German, the cities are very dirty. It is a declining country that has shot itself in the foot by joining the war on Russia. German manufacturing is down, the economy is in a recession, prices have exploded. They have enough problems on their own and only themselves to blame.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    , @Sean
    @John Johnson

    Russia has been under sanctions forever, it (and Moldovia) was still being subject to the The Jackson-Vanik amendment in 2012-- long after the rationale of punishing the USSR for not letting Jews immigrate to Israel was not applicable. Jackson-Vanik was only repealed to be replaced by the Maginsky Act, which was ostensibly about the Russia four flusher Browder involved in a scheme to buy the Russian Arctic fishing fleet for a tenth of its value. The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever, and that is because Russia's nuclear arsenal is essentially equivalent to the US of A's, which seems all wrong to Washington as the Kremlin rules what s and has always been a backward country.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population's ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication. Indeed, if anything commercial society tends to make men weak, dishonourable and unconcerned for their community. Russians drink too much and are not all that great workers ( Chinese did the heavy lifting in construction of big gas pipelines from Siberia to China), yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost. It is the justification for the way their society has always been led, and when in the warfare command economy mode those things get prioritised more easily that in the West.

    What you are saying about Russia economic and industrial shortcomings is true, but unless the West starts to fully mobilise and concentrate its productive capacity for supplying Ukraine, I don't think the losses will break the Russian army or population's morale, of come close to making the Kremlin reconsider its commitment to winning by their own lights. Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal; I cannot see any rapprochement between the Kremlin and Washington being possible if hostilities go on for another year or two at the current intensity. What will weaken Russia's position is going to be nothing to do with the war in Ukraine because in prioritising it they will they will accept betting close to China, which will become very involved in exploiting Siberia-making China' a far more important country than it would otherwise be.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Airlines are a great sanctions target. The availability of leased planes, insurance and operating cash usually are contingent on airlines operating and maintaining planes by the book. So no parts, no money and no flying. I think there is a black market for aircraft spares, but that probably works best for low profile countries like Venezuela.

    Russia's difficulty producing civilian planes after 1990 is an interesting topic. My guess is the West wanted to keep the Russians captive for air travel even on Russian-built planes. This was a strange saga of interactions between Russia, Ukraine and the West.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  465. @sudden death
    @Mr. XYZ


    The Ukrainian protesters didn’t believe that Yanukovych would be faithful to this power-sharing agreement. His previous behavior didn’t exactly indicate a high moral compass.
     
    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory:

    https://zn.ua/img/forall/u/0/-1/users/Feb2014/84317.jpg

    And RF was arguably the most important side, which could guarantee anything about Yanukovich, but RF special official envoy for that deal Vladimir Lukin said quite clearly “…we decided we do not need to tie ourselves with formal agreements, mandatory signings…”


    Вот как конкретизировал мотивы неподписания Владимир Лукин. “Мы его не подписали. Мы решили, что не надо себя связывать какими-то формальными соглашениями, обязательствами и подписями, потому что были вопросы и проблемы, с каким субъектом переговоров мы будем иметь дело в ближайшее время, как будут развиваться события, кто будет отвечать за те решения, которые принимались, и кто за что отвечает вообще”, – сказал российский омбудсмен.
     
    https://www.1tv.ru/news/2014-02-21/52462-vladimir_lukin_ne_podpisal_soglashenie_mezhdu_vlastyu_i_oppozitsiey_na_ukraine

    Laughably, it was exactly RF, which later somehow started to making most fuss about the agreement, while not being a supporter or official participator at all at the time.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mikhail

    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory

    The RF oversaw the negotiating process of that document and didn’t condemn it, with Sikorski lauding Russia’s role on that matter. The same Sikorski didn’t admonish the regime which violated that agreement.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    As one of the excuses for non signing RF also said about that agreement being not clear to them, allegedly they had no idea who is responsible for what in there - so they oversaw and didn't condemn such shitty agreement, which then they refused to sign for being legally shitty and unclear;) But also literally next day suddenly it all became very crystally clear deal to RF about who is responsible for what violations of that unsignable unclear agreement, lol

    Replies: @Mikhail

  466. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity –

    Surely true.
     

    That is surely some winning prose, but as is typically the case with leftist idealism, it is too detached from reality, and is thus dangerous to take too seriously.

    – they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.
     
    Poppycock. The alt right isn't driven by some 'need' to inflict cruelty on people. You may fairly maintain that 'cruelty' (however you define it) is what would result from alt right policies, but it's a bit much for you to insist - rather uncharitably and, for you, uncharacteristically - that cruelty, of itself, is what we're after.

    And indeed we can all do that right now – amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power – those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as “ontological wonder”.
     
    There's little doubt you and I would disagree on what constitutes the 'wreckage,' but I'm not here today to rehash our disagreements. I would like to talk about something else entirely. You strike me as the archetypal eternal seeker, and a question I have for you is: have you ever felt entirely at home in the world? For someone who spends as much time mourning the passing of the old ways as I do, it may surprise you that my answer to the same question is: I really don't think I have.

    From the youngest, I have had had abiding sense that I don't quite belong here. And I don't mean that in the superficial sense that I have felt awkward or out of place, which I'm sure for young people is quite common. I mean more in the sense that this world, regardless of how poorly or how well it arranges its affairs, is not really my home; it's a staging post, and that I and people like me - nowadays, I'd say humanity at large (but I didn't always think this) - are journeying from and are destined for some place else.

    Why exactly we had to 'stop' here on earth (or anywhere on the material plane) is unclear, or has been forgotten, but we are tasked with finding that reason, resupplying, retooling, and then continuing the journey. Of course, humankind has known many journeys. We have travelled from ignorance to understanding, poverty to opulence, bondage to liberation, and most recently, appearance to substance. But the ultimate journey, in this view, is from immanence to transcendence; and the question is how do we do it?

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The fellow may be distracting himself from his mom’s Freud studies and her belief he wanted to schtup her.

  467. Ukraine Offensive – Is it Failing? w/Larry Johnson fmr CIA

    Interesting discussion, which includes the claim that Wikipedia had listed the Odessa church as being bombed before it happened.

  468. @John Johnson

    …Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.
     
    The best paying customers are the ones who pay the most. Why would China, Korea, Turkey or the others be worse than Europe?

    Germany has some of the best mining companies in the world.

    You can't just replace them by dialing up China or Korea. It doesn't work that way. We are talking about decades of specialized technological development. The free market actually doesn't demand adequate competition in every area. In fact this is a problem with specialized technology. It can lead to tolerated monopolies like Microsoft of the 90s.

    Technology is not static and you should know that. There is no magical “technology” that Russia, or China, don’t have.

    Technology is not perfectly spread across all countries nor will it ever be. That is egalitarian mythos.

    I warned about Russia being dependent on Western technology early in the war and was mocked.

    I was told by Putin defenders that they could simply import parts from China. In fact I was called an idiot for even suggesting that it isn't possible to just call China for a random part. Ching Chang I guess is a magic wizard who can replace a Swiss water pump bearing shaft off an industrial driller. Just describe it to him.

    Still waiting on those airplane parts.

    Major plane makers Boeing and Airbus halted deliveries of new foreign jets and spare parts, forcing Russian airlines to “cannibalize” grounded aircraft.
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/10/sanctioned-russian-aviation-sector-hit-by-slew-of-incidents-in-new-year-a79903

    Replies: @Beckow, @Sean, @QCIC

    We were discussing energy and you switched to ‘airplane parts’. That seems your favorite way to avoid rational discussion, like pretending that you confuse Mariupol for Melitopol.

    Focus: Russia is able to sell its energy. Period. The “quality” of customers is measured in business by how much they reliably pay. Germany has proven to be very unreliable customer, that will be very bad for them and the German businessmen know it.

    The good-enough technology is available to drill and ship oil and gas, that’s all that matters – you can use your “Swiss bearing shaft” to fix the broken Leopard tanks that were too ‘complex’ to perform in an actual war. If some specialized technology is not available, the Russian resources will stay in the ground for now and become more valuable over time. Who wins and who loses?

    You should also get of your sophomoric high horse with the ‘Germany is the best” obsession of the right-leaning quasi-fascist Western morons. Germany is actually not that great, their infrastructure and transport are old and overused, autobahns and trains are not what they used to be. German cars are over-engineered, expensive to maintain and often uncomfortable. Germany itself is about 20-25% non-German, the cities are very dirty. It is a declining country that has shot itself in the foot by joining the war on Russia. German manufacturing is down, the economy is in a recession, prices have exploded. They have enough problems on their own and only themselves to blame.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Beckow

    Just for fun, here is a modern, stylish (haircut!), weeping German or a German suddenly on his own, without all the apparatus of German bureaucracy to help him to make sense of the world... still, he is a good German since he thinks about "children not having milk or something"..
    Even more funny, he apparently comes from Bavaria as he flies to Muenich, that great capital of Deutschtum!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KUwJxBrQ7io

    IMHO, he embodies the German need to be a member of a flock and not on your own. He did well, he got tickets back home, most likely will get reimbursement if he tries, and still crying.... no one takes care of you here...

  469. We were discussing energy and you switched to ‘airplane parts’. That seems your favorite way to avoid rational discussion, like pretending that you confuse Mariupol for Melitopol.

    I didn’t confuse Mariupol for Melitopol. You didn’t read the whole thread. I never brought up Melitopol and that is in my history that you seem unable to use:
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Melitopol&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    Even bringing that up shows desperation on your part.

    Focus: Russia is able to sell its energy. Period. The “quality” of customers is measured in business by how much they reliably pay.

    You’re wrong there as well. It isn’t a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay.

    The good-enough technology is available to drill and ship oil and gas, that’s all that matters – you can use your “Swiss bearing shaft” to fix the broken Leopard tanks that were too ‘complex’ to perform in an actual war.

    The Putin defenders were confident that “good enough Chinese technology” would keep Russian planes in the air. That didn’t happen.

    You have the same confidence that Russia will be able to withstand sanctions by being a gas station.

    Not sure how you can have any confidence in the dwarf’s economic plans given that he believed in the same Fortress Roosa and now admits they have war production limitations in certain areas. Which means MacGregor and Ritter were wrong yet again. Both claimed Russia can produce anything needed for war and that the US outsourced all of their defense manufacturing. False and false.

    You should also get of your sophomoric high horse with the ‘Germany is the best” obsession of the right-leaning quasi-fascist Western morons.

    I have never said that Germany is the best. They have long trailed the US in numerous areas like microchips and humor. I pointed out years ago that they were surpassed by Ford on reliability for cars.

    They are a world leader in areas like chemistry and pharmaceuticals. That was also true in the 1920s. Russia doesn’t even lead the world in Vodka sales. Even before the war we were importing more Vodka from Finland and Sweden.

    You sound like a paranoid liberal that gets upset if anyone says anything positive about Germany. It’s actually not fascist to point out the characteristics of a world economic leader.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    Germany is a very liberal country- probably the most liberal in real terms in the West, maybe Sweden or Canada are worse. I don't generally agree with liberals on anything.


    It isn’t a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay...blabla...
     
    That is incoherent nonsense. You don't seem to understand the first thing about business: you sell if the customer pays. If China pays, you sell to them. Germany participated in trying to expropriate back the money they previously paid to Russia for energy. Then they allowed their pipelines to be blown up by an "ally". That is literally a definition of being a bad customer. Bad customers don't get good deals, and Germany will suffer for decades for that mistake. Russia will sell, Germany will pay more and have less reliable supply. All else that you write here are sour grapes and silly boasting.

    The "Vodka" nonsense is so inconsequential that it only highlights your pathological hatred of Russia or anything Russian, it shows in your dwarfish vocabulary - we all can do it, Biden is a senile old man, Macron is a weirdo, there is the Indian guy in UK, etc...it is unserious and makes you look like a petty moron. Maybe because you are.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  470. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    We were discussing energy and you switched to 'airplane parts'. That seems your favorite way to avoid rational discussion, like pretending that you confuse Mariupol for Melitopol.

    Focus: Russia is able to sell its energy. Period. The "quality" of customers is measured in business by how much they reliably pay. Germany has proven to be very unreliable customer, that will be very bad for them and the German businessmen know it.

    The good-enough technology is available to drill and ship oil and gas, that's all that matters - you can use your "Swiss bearing shaft" to fix the broken Leopard tanks that were too 'complex' to perform in an actual war. If some specialized technology is not available, the Russian resources will stay in the ground for now and become more valuable over time. Who wins and who loses?

    You should also get of your sophomoric high horse with the 'Germany is the best" obsession of the right-leaning quasi-fascist Western morons. Germany is actually not that great, their infrastructure and transport are old and overused, autobahns and trains are not what they used to be. German cars are over-engineered, expensive to maintain and often uncomfortable. Germany itself is about 20-25% non-German, the cities are very dirty. It is a declining country that has shot itself in the foot by joining the war on Russia. German manufacturing is down, the economy is in a recession, prices have exploded. They have enough problems on their own and only themselves to blame.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    Just for fun, here is a modern, stylish (haircut!), weeping German or a German suddenly on his own, without all the apparatus of German bureaucracy to help him to make sense of the world… still, he is a good German since he thinks about “children not having milk or something”..
    Even more funny, he apparently comes from Bavaria as he flies to Muenich, that great capital of Deutschtum!

    IMHO, he embodies the German need to be a member of a flock and not on your own. He did well, he got tickets back home, most likely will get reimbursement if he tries, and still crying…. no one takes care of you here…

  471. @John Johnson

    …Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.
     
    The best paying customers are the ones who pay the most. Why would China, Korea, Turkey or the others be worse than Europe?

    Germany has some of the best mining companies in the world.

    You can't just replace them by dialing up China or Korea. It doesn't work that way. We are talking about decades of specialized technological development. The free market actually doesn't demand adequate competition in every area. In fact this is a problem with specialized technology. It can lead to tolerated monopolies like Microsoft of the 90s.

    Technology is not static and you should know that. There is no magical “technology” that Russia, or China, don’t have.

    Technology is not perfectly spread across all countries nor will it ever be. That is egalitarian mythos.

    I warned about Russia being dependent on Western technology early in the war and was mocked.

    I was told by Putin defenders that they could simply import parts from China. In fact I was called an idiot for even suggesting that it isn't possible to just call China for a random part. Ching Chang I guess is a magic wizard who can replace a Swiss water pump bearing shaft off an industrial driller. Just describe it to him.

    Still waiting on those airplane parts.

    Major plane makers Boeing and Airbus halted deliveries of new foreign jets and spare parts, forcing Russian airlines to “cannibalize” grounded aircraft.
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/10/sanctioned-russian-aviation-sector-hit-by-slew-of-incidents-in-new-year-a79903

    Replies: @Beckow, @Sean, @QCIC

    Russia has been under sanctions forever, it (and Moldovia) was still being subject to the The Jackson-Vanik amendment in 2012– long after the rationale of punishing the USSR for not letting Jews immigrate to Israel was not applicable. Jackson-Vanik was only repealed to be replaced by the Maginsky Act, which was ostensibly about the Russia four flusher Browder involved in a scheme to buy the Russian Arctic fishing fleet for a tenth of its value. The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever, and that is because Russia’s nuclear arsenal is essentially equivalent to the US of A’s, which seems all wrong to Washington as the Kremlin rules what s and has always been a backward country.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population’s ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication. Indeed, if anything commercial society tends to make men weak, dishonourable and unconcerned for their community. Russians drink too much and are not all that great workers ( Chinese did the heavy lifting in construction of big gas pipelines from Siberia to China), yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost. It is the justification for the way their society has always been led, and when in the warfare command economy mode those things get prioritised more easily that in the West.

    What you are saying about Russia economic and industrial shortcomings is true, but unless the West starts to fully mobilise and concentrate its productive capacity for supplying Ukraine, I don’t think the losses will break the Russian army or population’s morale, of come close to making the Kremlin reconsider its commitment to winning by their own lights. Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal; I cannot see any rapprochement between the Kremlin and Washington being possible if hostilities go on for another year or two at the current intensity. What will weaken Russia’s position is going to be nothing to do with the war in Ukraine because in prioritising it they will they will accept betting close to China, which will become very involved in exploiting Siberia-making China’ a far more important country than it would otherwise be.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Sean

    Russia has been under sanctions forever

    Limited sanctions. The oil and gas were still flowing.

    It was Putin that was hoping to freeze old German ladies after the sanctions, remember?

    A real dwarf of the ages.

    The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever

    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population’s ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication.
    ...
    yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost.

    That's a myth. Their war record is a mix.

    The Russian pattern is underestimating a smaller enemy and getting a spanking for it.

    Crimean war - Lost
    Russo-Japanese war - Lost with biggest naval upset in history
    WW1 - Was losing to Germans with massive humiliation at Tannenberg and then lost to Communist revolution
    Soviet-Polish war - Lost
    Winter War - Draw but with humiliation of Red Army
    WW2 - Won but lost millions in a series of early humiliating battles
    Afghan war - Lost

    Note that in all the preceding wars they outnumbered the enemy.

    Ukraine fits the pattern of underestimation followed by humiliation.

    Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal

    As with Putin's fans you underestimate the complexity of the problems and parts that are currently blocked by sanctions. The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies. It isn't possible to solve these problems within 10 years and especially give that there is a shortage of male workers. Putin didn't seem to notice how much they increased their dependencies since 1991. There are videos of Russian planes literally falling apart in the skies because they are half assing the maintenance.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Sean

  472. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.

    Your mentality in how you approach adversity and challenges makes a huge difference in how successfully you navigate them, and defeatism can be paralyzing while the right attitude of resilience and fortitude can make the difference between succumbing or pulling through.

    You know me, I tend to emphasis innate characteristics far less than mentality and outlook in all life outcomes :)

    It's extremely important to approach life with a basic sense of trust, I'd say, that we've lost. The rise in fear today stems partly from the loss of this baseline "faith in the universe" that I think comes from our overly mechanistic thinking. We no longer see the world as our home, but as trying to kill us. Of course, one must take reasonable precautions, but you can't do anything without trust.

    You're right, I wouldn't have developed hypothermia - I would have walked faster, my body would have activated various mechanisms, and I would have been fine.

    A few times lately at the end of very long hikes, with aching feet and tired muscles, feeling I have just enough energy left to reach my car, I suddenly thought I lost my way - within seconds, pain in my feet and limbs gone and I'm flying effortlessly .Our body knows how to care of us.

    As for PTSD, certainly I'm not making light of anyone's suffering - I have sympathy for all suffering, even if it's self inflicted.

    But I think you're completely right that the way we "frame" adversity in modern life - the "context" we give it - makes us so much less able to cope with it well, and that's a huge factor in the prevalence of PTSD.

    With the loss of any higher goals, pain - or even discomfort - becomes unbearable. We used to have a different narrative in which it was understood that one endures discomfort and pain in order to achieve higher satisfactions.

    Another factor is the perspective provided by belief in another world, now lost, which inevitably puts the travails of this one in a larger context.

    With the collapse of these other dimensions, the only goal left modern culture is to progressively eliminate pain and discomfort - that is in fact the modern concept of flourishing.

    Flourishing in modern times means to eliminate as much pain and discomfort from your life as possible - that is its notion of the "good".

    Problem is, the best things in life can only be purchased with pain and discomfort :) Even trivially, a long day of scrambling through mountains involves all sorts of discomforts and deprivations for the higher satisfaction of connecting to nature and beauty.

    A society that conceives of human flourishing as the mere reduction of pain, and has lost all sight of higher types of flourishing, is one that is fragile.

    And you're also right that there is this weird new trend of of pathologizing summer - how odd! Heat seems to be a huge bogeyman these days.

    I remember being in Greece in the late 2000s and it was crazy hot, over 100 for days on end, and no one made a big deal of it. In the 90s in NY when I was a teenager I remember we had a week of over 100 degrees - something we never have anymore in NY - and we noticed it but didn't make a big deal of it. I drove around in the convertible I had at the time with my friends and we had a blast.

    And as you say, it's all relative - tons of people live in hot regions of the world. I spent years of my life travelling through sweltering India and SEA and you survive just fine - you get used to it.

    Possibly this has something to do with global warming being so feared today, but I think it's the general fragility and sense that any discomfort is terrible.

    (None of this, of course, is to say that I do not consider crisp cold mountains mornings one of the best things on earth)

    So good for you - I hope you're having a blast out there today in the mountains in the heat, and definitely not cowering inside!

    Replies: @Mikel

    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.

    Thank you. I also liked this remark of yours. Keep repeating such remarks as often as you can please 🙂

    So your return to this blog reminded me that I have unfinished business with McGilchrist. I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion. I remember Barbarossa having the same problem with The Master and His Emissary. Not sure if he finished it. Besides, that summer I received my sister’s visit, who brought a manuscript with my late father’s memoirs and that took precedence.

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he’s actually a much better speaker than writer. It’s also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that’s my impression.

    These are the two videos I have watched in full (although the second one is a podcast with no image):

    I can’t really recommend the first video. It starts very well but, little by little, Jordan Peterson does his thing, takes over the dialogue and, instead of letting the interviewee expand on his points, he tries to make them for him in his characteristically dogmatic, strident way.

    The second one is much better but only half of the conversation with the equally charismatic Sam Harris is available. An interesting aspect of this second video is that Harris is an atheist so seeing what both have a common understanding on is clarifying.

    But I have a couple of problems with McGilchrist. The first one is that, even though he has a deep knowledge of the scientific literature, which he uses profusely in his books, he doesn’t talk like a real scientist. At least not like the ones I like listening to, who always qualify their statements with some uncertainty and stress the points that we still don’t know or where further research is necessary. Iain seems to have arrived at some strong conclusions and he seems to find it his mission to let the rest of the world know about them. In fact, I’m still not totally convinced that the brain lateralization that is the crucial point of his essays works in the rather simplistic way that he describes. Perhaps he’s letting his left-brain do too much work on this subject himself, not leaving some room for exceptions and uncertainties? I never got how he solves the paradox of the left-handed people and some others.

    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views. The first part of the second video, where he explains his education and career, is very revealing in this respect. He confesses that he always wanted to study philosophy and theology but ended up taking a route that led him to psychiatry. So perhaps it’s not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?

    In any case, thank you for doing the work of finding such insightful authors and bringing them to our attention. I’m sure I’ll keep reading and listening to Iain much more.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion.
     
    My thoughts exactly!

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he’s actually a much better speaker than writer.
     
    I have listened to at least a dozen of his youtubes. I find that, at any time during his lecture, I can follow his line of reasoning well enough, yet at the end of it I am very hard pressed to restate what his central thesis is. That concerns me. Either I'm just not getting it or his thesis is more elusive than it seems. If I contrast him with Rupert Sheldrake, who floats even whackier ... er, more speculative ideas, I find have much less trouble restating what his core points are.

    It’s also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that’s my impression.
     
    Really? McGilchrist's accent sounds decidedly English to me. If it isn't, it is still very, very far removed what I'd consider an obvious Scottish accent.

    (PS - also agree about Peterson butting in way too much.)

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I agree - Mcgilchrist can actually be quite a pleasure to listen to :) Whether he's Scottish or English I will leave to you and Silviosilver and the rest to figure out, although my vote's on Oxford English, but he does have a very pleasing and eloquent delivery.

    In a way its unfortunate that Mcgilchrist chose to put the heavy scientific stuff first, and the more exciting and significant part that talks about the cultural, social, and spiritual implications of it all of it all second, because as he himself demonstrates - and the history of science demonstrates - our first point of contact with reality ought to be imagination and intuition, and only later do we turn to rigorous logic, evidence, and experiment to bear our intuitions out.

    First, we get a sense of the "shape" of reality, and then we can use our analytical minds to try and verify it in detail. This is how all the great scientists worked. As the Romantics knew, and as Mcgilchrist shows, imagination and intuition are valid approaches to genuine reality, summarizing on an unconscious level vast amounts of facts and knowledge too enormous and dense to be approached, at least initially, by the analytical mind.

    The modern world has this prejudice that our picture of reality is built from the ground up - that it "emerges" from a mass of experiments or facts. But the history of science shows the opposite.

    My advice would be to actually start with the second part of the book, where he describes in immense detail the cultural, intellectual, and social implications of his thesis, and grasp this larger picture on an imaginative and intuitive level - its an extremely compelling picture of how the modern world functions, true on an immediate, intuitive level.

    Once one sees the whole, then one should turn to the nitty gritty scientific details, at points of skepticism, and delve into that.

    I think he put the scientific part first as a concession to the prejudices of our left brained culture, which he is attempting ultimately to change.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that! He stresses the necessity of leaving room for uncertainty and doubt, and extreme certainty is actually the domain of the left hemisphere whose overuse he's criticizing. He has entire videos and passages on just this point.

    He's someone who feels that he's made a crucial discovery of vital importance to our culture, so of course he's going to try and present his case as strongly as possible - and much of his confidence is simply what's consistent with the available state of evidence. Have you found him to claim a level of assurance that you thought went far beyond what the evidence might allow? Scientists generally talk with a high level of assurance in areas where it's felt the evidence warrants it.

    For all that, he's a human being, and I'm sure to some extent there's an element of rhetoric and overconfidence occasionally, as well, and probably some succumbing to the very left hemisphere dominant tendencies he's deploring. Sure, why not?


    So perhaps it’s not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?
     
    Certainly, but this in no way impugns the credibility of his findings. Mcgilchrist himself demonstrates from the history of science that the boldest findings originate in an intuitive and imaginative grasp of the "shape" of reality which is then yielded to the analytical "knife" of the left hemisphere to verify in detail.

    So definitely, he started with a sense of how the world is - he's quite candid about that, actually, that he was always intuitively uneasy about the standard scientific narrative.

    But Einstein also started with an imaginative grasp of the shape of reality.

    I'm afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture which are precisely the issue in question :) Although I'm happy to concede that you're right to some small degree, as well.

    As for those two videos, I didn't think they were the best ones with him. There's a really good one on Unherd I'll try and find.

    Replies: @Mikel

  473. @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    Great map, thanks. It suggests that the Hindu heartlands are the poorest and the Dravidian south and the Northwest are better off.
     
    Do you think that there are genetic reasons for the greater literacy in the south and northeast of India?

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/58/India_literacy_rate_map_en.svg/1639px-India_literacy_rate_map_en.svg.png

    Interesting that Mizoram also has high literacy in spite of it being tribal.

    Regional Russian literacy in 1897 predicts just how smart Russian regions are in the early 21st century:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/literacy-predicts-russian-iq/

    Replies: @CCG

    Over 87% of Mizoram’s Indian residents are Christians (mostly Presbyterian). British Protestant missionaries started building schools in the area from the 1890s onwards. The missionaries also created the Mizo alphabet based on Roman script. In the 1941 census, the region had the highest literacy rate in India.

  474. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.
     
    Thank you. I also liked this remark of yours. Keep repeating such remarks as often as you can please :-)

    So your return to this blog reminded me that I have unfinished business with McGilchrist. I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion. I remember Barbarossa having the same problem with The Master and His Emissary. Not sure if he finished it. Besides, that summer I received my sister's visit, who brought a manuscript with my late father's memoirs and that took precedence.

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he's actually a much better speaker than writer. It's also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that's my impression.

    These are the two videos I have watched in full (although the second one is a podcast with no image):

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6Vkhov_qx8

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJRx9wItvKo

    I can't really recommend the first video. It starts very well but, little by little, Jordan Peterson does his thing, takes over the dialogue and, instead of letting the interviewee expand on his points, he tries to make them for him in his characteristically dogmatic, strident way.

    The second one is much better but only half of the conversation with the equally charismatic Sam Harris is available. An interesting aspect of this second video is that Harris is an atheist so seeing what both have a common understanding on is clarifying.

    But I have a couple of problems with McGilchrist. The first one is that, even though he has a deep knowledge of the scientific literature, which he uses profusely in his books, he doesn't talk like a real scientist. At least not like the ones I like listening to, who always qualify their statements with some uncertainty and stress the points that we still don't know or where further research is necessary. Iain seems to have arrived at some strong conclusions and he seems to find it his mission to let the rest of the world know about them. In fact, I'm still not totally convinced that the brain lateralization that is the crucial point of his essays works in the rather simplistic way that he describes. Perhaps he's letting his left-brain do too much work on this subject himself, not leaving some room for exceptions and uncertainties? I never got how he solves the paradox of the left-handed people and some others.

    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views. The first part of the second video, where he explains his education and career, is very revealing in this respect. He confesses that he always wanted to study philosophy and theology but ended up taking a route that led him to psychiatry. So perhaps it's not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?

    In any case, thank you for doing the work of finding such insightful authors and bringing them to our attention. I'm sure I'll keep reading and listening to Iain much more.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion.

    My thoughts exactly!

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he’s actually a much better speaker than writer.

    I have listened to at least a dozen of his youtubes. I find that, at any time during his lecture, I can follow his line of reasoning well enough, yet at the end of it I am very hard pressed to restate what his central thesis is. That concerns me. Either I’m just not getting it or his thesis is more elusive than it seems. If I contrast him with Rupert Sheldrake, who floats even whackier … er, more speculative ideas, I find have much less trouble restating what his core points are.

    It’s also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that’s my impression.

    Really? McGilchrist’s accent sounds decidedly English to me. If it isn’t, it is still very, very far removed what I’d consider an obvious Scottish accent.

    (PS – also agree about Peterson butting in way too much.)

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    McGilchrist’s accent sounds decidedly English to me.
     
    Strange. You should be vastly better than me at picking up accents in English but I spent one year in Scotland and his intonation is very Scottish in my view, as well as the way he pronounces some words. I would never put his accent as an example of BBC-English.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  475. @John Johnson
    We were discussing energy and you switched to ‘airplane parts’. That seems your favorite way to avoid rational discussion, like pretending that you confuse Mariupol for Melitopol.

    I didn't confuse Mariupol for Melitopol. You didn't read the whole thread. I never brought up Melitopol and that is in my history that you seem unable to use:
    https://www.unz.com/?s=Melitopol&Action=Search&ptype=all&commentsearch=only&commenter=John+Johnson

    Even bringing that up shows desperation on your part.

    Focus: Russia is able to sell its energy. Period. The “quality” of customers is measured in business by how much they reliably pay.

    You're wrong there as well. It isn't a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay.

    The good-enough technology is available to drill and ship oil and gas, that’s all that matters – you can use your “Swiss bearing shaft” to fix the broken Leopard tanks that were too ‘complex’ to perform in an actual war.

    The Putin defenders were confident that "good enough Chinese technology" would keep Russian planes in the air. That didn't happen.

    You have the same confidence that Russia will be able to withstand sanctions by being a gas station.

    Not sure how you can have any confidence in the dwarf's economic plans given that he believed in the same Fortress Roosa and now admits they have war production limitations in certain areas. Which means MacGregor and Ritter were wrong yet again. Both claimed Russia can produce anything needed for war and that the US outsourced all of their defense manufacturing. False and false.

    You should also get of your sophomoric high horse with the ‘Germany is the best” obsession of the right-leaning quasi-fascist Western morons.

    I have never said that Germany is the best. They have long trailed the US in numerous areas like microchips and humor. I pointed out years ago that they were surpassed by Ford on reliability for cars.

    They are a world leader in areas like chemistry and pharmaceuticals. That was also true in the 1920s. Russia doesn't even lead the world in Vodka sales. Even before the war we were importing more Vodka from Finland and Sweden.

    You sound like a paranoid liberal that gets upset if anyone says anything positive about Germany. It's actually not fascist to point out the characteristics of a world economic leader.

    Replies: @Beckow

    Germany is a very liberal country- probably the most liberal in real terms in the West, maybe Sweden or Canada are worse. I don’t generally agree with liberals on anything.

    It isn’t a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay…blabla…

    That is incoherent nonsense. You don’t seem to understand the first thing about business: you sell if the customer pays. If China pays, you sell to them. Germany participated in trying to expropriate back the money they previously paid to Russia for energy. Then they allowed their pipelines to be blown up by an “ally”. That is literally a definition of being a bad customer. Bad customers don’t get good deals, and Germany will suffer for decades for that mistake. Russia will sell, Germany will pay more and have less reliable supply. All else that you write here are sour grapes and silly boasting.

    The “Vodka” nonsense is so inconsequential that it only highlights your pathological hatred of Russia or anything Russian, it shows in your dwarfish vocabulary – we all can do it, Biden is a senile old man, Macron is a weirdo, there is the Indian guy in UK, etc…it is unserious and makes you look like a petty moron. Maybe because you are.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    Germany is a very liberal country- probably the most liberal in real terms in the West, maybe Sweden or Canada are worse. I don’t generally agree with liberals on anything.

    And your point is what? I don't care for liberal politics anywhere. But liberals get offended if anyone makes positive remarks about Germans or Whites in general. Maybe you haven't noticed.


    It isn’t a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay…blabla…
     
    That is incoherent nonsense. You don’t seem to understand the first thing about business: you sell if the customer pays. If China pays, you sell to them.

    It probably seems incoherent because you have never taken an econ class. The widget is the default product in economics and would be akin to producing something like shoes or toys. Oil and gas are more complex.
    https://conversableeconomist.com/2022/08/15/a-brief-history-of-widgets/

    If the customer has a direct pipeline for your gas then it isn't as simple as exporting it to another country. The profit margin is less even if the market price is the same. It isn't like selling donuts or hats where you just sell it to someone else.

    It's like saying a cable company can simply find new customers instead of serving existing lines.

    No it isn't that simple because creating new lines of access changes the equation. You aren't able to deliver through an existing pipeline.

    Russia will sell, Germany will pay more and have less reliable supply. All else that you write here are sour grapes and silly boasting.

    Sour grapes? It was Putin's fans that scolded me at the start of the war for not believing in Fortress Roosa. Yes they will export gas to amoral countries that buy it. Kind of a duh. Doesn't change the fact that sanctions are hurting them and they aren't an island economy. The Ruble hit a low recently in case you missed it. I guess that is the "multi-polar" world that Putin's fans told me would develop as a result of the sanctions.

    Economist suggests Russian inflation is actually at 60%
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russian-inflation-raging-60-not-180204172.html

  476. What percentage of the target audience for Barbie is gay, and why does it appeal to them?

    • Replies: @LondonBob
    @songbird

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign, completely different audiences. I enjoyed Oppenheimer, but at three hours it was a bit much.

    Women do tend to allow gays to annex their territory.

    Replies: @A123, @John Johnson

    , @Anatoly Karlin
    @songbird

    Barbie is strongly endorsed by elite human capital.

    https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1685068160578273280

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  477. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion.
     
    My thoughts exactly!

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he’s actually a much better speaker than writer.
     
    I have listened to at least a dozen of his youtubes. I find that, at any time during his lecture, I can follow his line of reasoning well enough, yet at the end of it I am very hard pressed to restate what his central thesis is. That concerns me. Either I'm just not getting it or his thesis is more elusive than it seems. If I contrast him with Rupert Sheldrake, who floats even whackier ... er, more speculative ideas, I find have much less trouble restating what his core points are.

    It’s also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that’s my impression.
     
    Really? McGilchrist's accent sounds decidedly English to me. If it isn't, it is still very, very far removed what I'd consider an obvious Scottish accent.

    (PS - also agree about Peterson butting in way too much.)

    Replies: @Mikel

    McGilchrist’s accent sounds decidedly English to me.

    Strange. You should be vastly better than me at picking up accents in English but I spent one year in Scotland and his intonation is very Scottish in my view, as well as the way he pronounces some words. I would never put his accent as an example of BBC-English.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I spent one year in Scotland and his intonation is very Scottish in my view
     
    That is very strange then. Because, good lord, McGilchrist doesn't typically Scottish to me whatsoever. If there is some Scottish aspect to his accent, I would still wholeheartedly maintain that is he is vastly closer to English Received Pronunciation than he is to typical Scottish.

    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you (to name a couple of prominent political Scots)? Or perhaps better, could you give me an example of some Scot that you think McGilchrist sounds like? (I am asking out of curiosity, not because I'm trying to 'prove' my point. It would be quite interesting to me if Salmond and McGilchrist sound similar to you.)

    Replies: @Mikel

  478. @Sean
    @John Johnson

    Russia has been under sanctions forever, it (and Moldovia) was still being subject to the The Jackson-Vanik amendment in 2012-- long after the rationale of punishing the USSR for not letting Jews immigrate to Israel was not applicable. Jackson-Vanik was only repealed to be replaced by the Maginsky Act, which was ostensibly about the Russia four flusher Browder involved in a scheme to buy the Russian Arctic fishing fleet for a tenth of its value. The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever, and that is because Russia's nuclear arsenal is essentially equivalent to the US of A's, which seems all wrong to Washington as the Kremlin rules what s and has always been a backward country.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population's ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication. Indeed, if anything commercial society tends to make men weak, dishonourable and unconcerned for their community. Russians drink too much and are not all that great workers ( Chinese did the heavy lifting in construction of big gas pipelines from Siberia to China), yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost. It is the justification for the way their society has always been led, and when in the warfare command economy mode those things get prioritised more easily that in the West.

    What you are saying about Russia economic and industrial shortcomings is true, but unless the West starts to fully mobilise and concentrate its productive capacity for supplying Ukraine, I don't think the losses will break the Russian army or population's morale, of come close to making the Kremlin reconsider its commitment to winning by their own lights. Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal; I cannot see any rapprochement between the Kremlin and Washington being possible if hostilities go on for another year or two at the current intensity. What will weaken Russia's position is going to be nothing to do with the war in Ukraine because in prioritising it they will they will accept betting close to China, which will become very involved in exploiting Siberia-making China' a far more important country than it would otherwise be.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Russia has been under sanctions forever

    Limited sanctions. The oil and gas were still flowing.

    It was Putin that was hoping to freeze old German ladies after the sanctions, remember?

    A real dwarf of the ages.

    The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever

    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population’s ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication.

    yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost.

    That’s a myth. Their war record is a mix.

    The Russian pattern is underestimating a smaller enemy and getting a spanking for it.

    Crimean war – Lost
    Russo-Japanese war – Lost with biggest naval upset in history
    WW1 – Was losing to Germans with massive humiliation at Tannenberg and then lost to Communist revolution
    Soviet-Polish war – Lost
    Winter War – Draw but with humiliation of Red Army
    WW2 – Won but lost millions in a series of early humiliating battles
    Afghan war – Lost

    Note that in all the preceding wars they outnumbered the enemy.

    Ukraine fits the pattern of underestimation followed by humiliation.

    Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal

    As with Putin’s fans you underestimate the complexity of the problems and parts that are currently blocked by sanctions. The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies. It isn’t possible to solve these problems within 10 years and especially give that there is a shortage of male workers. Putin didn’t seem to notice how much they increased their dependencies since 1991. There are videos of Russian planes literally falling apart in the skies because they are half assing the maintenance.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You are one weird guy. Let's see US:

    Korean War - Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war - Lost
    Syria - Lost
    Libya - I don't know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn't a victory

    Am I forgetting something?

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg. If that is not a victory, what would be? Maybe what happened to Germany in WW2? Or Poland? also "victories" or "draws"?
    WW2 "Russia won, but.."...are you mental? that is pathology, get some help.

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of "Russia", it is not healthy.

    Replies: @A123, @John Johnson

    , @Sean
    @John Johnson

    In the early 80s the USSR may have had the edge on the US in ICBMs, and worry about a tactical nuclear war being fought on their territory, hence the German (and Austrian) aversion to all things nuclear expressed in the Green party's astounding success in Germany. Merkel brought the Greens into her government coalition and to keep them happy she announced the phase out of civil nuclear power, which was accelerated after Fukashima. The reliance of German productive capacity on low cost Russian energy was because of the aforementioned abandonment of nuclear power, and the manufacturing industry exports of Germany--the basis of Germany interest in the EU--is now heading for serious trouble if it continues to be such reliable ally of the US, which is demanding doubled military spending. Russia's war is applying pressure to Germany as a wedge against Superpower America's leadership of the Western alliance.


    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow
     
    What Washington is trying to get Russia to put on the table for a settlement (US telling Ukraine it ought to look at such a deal) is unclear, but I doubt Germany thinks a war that so exhausted Russia that is was willing to withdraw to its internationally recognised borders is one that is in Germany's interests because Russia shows no sign whatsoever of doing that. Perhaps Russia could be brought to the point that it would withdraw completely to Russia proper but that would be require a sudden massive amping up of help to Ukraine, which would be risky as the Russians might panic (the Germans certainly would). The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe " The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies." Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  479. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    Germany is a very liberal country- probably the most liberal in real terms in the West, maybe Sweden or Canada are worse. I don't generally agree with liberals on anything.


    It isn’t a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay...blabla...
     
    That is incoherent nonsense. You don't seem to understand the first thing about business: you sell if the customer pays. If China pays, you sell to them. Germany participated in trying to expropriate back the money they previously paid to Russia for energy. Then they allowed their pipelines to be blown up by an "ally". That is literally a definition of being a bad customer. Bad customers don't get good deals, and Germany will suffer for decades for that mistake. Russia will sell, Germany will pay more and have less reliable supply. All else that you write here are sour grapes and silly boasting.

    The "Vodka" nonsense is so inconsequential that it only highlights your pathological hatred of Russia or anything Russian, it shows in your dwarfish vocabulary - we all can do it, Biden is a senile old man, Macron is a weirdo, there is the Indian guy in UK, etc...it is unserious and makes you look like a petty moron. Maybe because you are.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Germany is a very liberal country- probably the most liberal in real terms in the West, maybe Sweden or Canada are worse. I don’t generally agree with liberals on anything.

    And your point is what? I don’t care for liberal politics anywhere. But liberals get offended if anyone makes positive remarks about Germans or Whites in general. Maybe you haven’t noticed.

    It isn’t a simple widget market because of pipelines. Quality in this case is related to access as it is not purely a market based on ability to pay…blabla…

    That is incoherent nonsense. You don’t seem to understand the first thing about business: you sell if the customer pays. If China pays, you sell to them.

    It probably seems incoherent because you have never taken an econ class. The widget is the default product in economics and would be akin to producing something like shoes or toys. Oil and gas are more complex.
    https://conversableeconomist.com/2022/08/15/a-brief-history-of-widgets/

    If the customer has a direct pipeline for your gas then it isn’t as simple as exporting it to another country. The profit margin is less even if the market price is the same. It isn’t like selling donuts or hats where you just sell it to someone else.

    It’s like saying a cable company can simply find new customers instead of serving existing lines.

    No it isn’t that simple because creating new lines of access changes the equation. You aren’t able to deliver through an existing pipeline.

    Russia will sell, Germany will pay more and have less reliable supply. All else that you write here are sour grapes and silly boasting.

    Sour grapes? It was Putin’s fans that scolded me at the start of the war for not believing in Fortress Roosa. Yes they will export gas to amoral countries that buy it. Kind of a duh. Doesn’t change the fact that sanctions are hurting them and they aren’t an island economy. The Ruble hit a low recently in case you missed it. I guess that is the “multi-polar” world that Putin’s fans told me would develop as a result of the sanctions.

    Economist suggests Russian inflation is actually at 60%
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russian-inflation-raging-60-not-180204172.html

  480. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    Russia has been under sanctions forever

    Limited sanctions. The oil and gas were still flowing.

    It was Putin that was hoping to freeze old German ladies after the sanctions, remember?

    A real dwarf of the ages.

    The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever

    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population’s ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication.
    ...
    yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost.

    That's a myth. Their war record is a mix.

    The Russian pattern is underestimating a smaller enemy and getting a spanking for it.

    Crimean war - Lost
    Russo-Japanese war - Lost with biggest naval upset in history
    WW1 - Was losing to Germans with massive humiliation at Tannenberg and then lost to Communist revolution
    Soviet-Polish war - Lost
    Winter War - Draw but with humiliation of Red Army
    WW2 - Won but lost millions in a series of early humiliating battles
    Afghan war - Lost

    Note that in all the preceding wars they outnumbered the enemy.

    Ukraine fits the pattern of underestimation followed by humiliation.

    Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal

    As with Putin's fans you underestimate the complexity of the problems and parts that are currently blocked by sanctions. The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies. It isn't possible to solve these problems within 10 years and especially give that there is a shortage of male workers. Putin didn't seem to notice how much they increased their dependencies since 1991. There are videos of Russian planes literally falling apart in the skies because they are half assing the maintenance.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Sean

    You are one weird guy. Let’s see US:

    Korean War – Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war – Lost
    Syria – Lost
    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory

    Am I forgetting something?

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg. If that is not a victory, what would be? Maybe what happened to Germany in WW2? Or Poland? also “victories” or “draws”?
    WW2 “Russia won, but..“…are you mental? that is pathology, get some help.

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of “Russia”, it is not healthy.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow


    Let’s see US:

    Korean War – Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war – Lost
    Syria – Lost
    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory
     
    You are vastly over estimating U.S. commitment. A better summary reads.

    Afghan war – Killed bin Laden, walked away
    Iraq war – Won the fight, refused to partition (Thanks GW)
    Syria – No one cares, in place only to deal with Iranian agression
    Ukraine -- No one cares, walk away in progress

    Regime change in Syria ended with Trump, assuming Obama was actually serious. The mission became clear when Trump moved American forces out of the kill sack between Turkish and Syrian/Russian lines. At this point everyone serious understands that it is 100% about containing sociopath Khamenei.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You are one weird guy. Let’s see US:

    How does that negate anything I said about Russia? Is everything just two sides in your mind?

    Iraq war – Lost

    Last I checked Saddam didn't win and they have elections.

    The question is whether or not removing his government was worth the effort.

    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

    Am I forgetting something?

    Yea just two world wars if we are going back to the Crimean war.

    The US also managed to keep their Communists in check.

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg.

    It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country but accepted the treaty:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of “Russia”, it is not healthy.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That's not true. They have a mixed record.

    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Beckow

  481. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You are one weird guy. Let's see US:

    Korean War - Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war - Lost
    Syria - Lost
    Libya - I don't know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn't a victory

    Am I forgetting something?

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg. If that is not a victory, what would be? Maybe what happened to Germany in WW2? Or Poland? also "victories" or "draws"?
    WW2 "Russia won, but.."...are you mental? that is pathology, get some help.

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of "Russia", it is not healthy.

    Replies: @A123, @John Johnson

    Let’s see US:

    Korean War – Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war – Lost
    Syria – Lost
    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory

    You are vastly over estimating U.S. commitment. A better summary reads.

    Afghan war – Killed bin Laden, walked away
    Iraq war – Won the fight, refused to partition (Thanks GW)
    Syria – No one cares, in place only to deal with Iranian agression
    Ukraine — No one cares, walk away in progress

    Regime change in Syria ended with Trump, assuming Obama was actually serious. The mission became clear when Trump moved American forces out of the kill sack between Turkish and Syrian/Russian lines. At this point everyone serious understands that it is 100% about containing sociopath Khamenei.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @A123

    Of course, when you lose you have to say "but we didn't care". You left out Vietnam and it took 20 years in Afghanistan to walk away. I guess a very slow not-caring?

    I listed it of the top of my head for comparison. The reality is that none of these far away wars are worth fighting and they almost always end in a disaster. The problem is that even today with Ukraine the narrative is that "Ukraine is ours" and Russia is invading from somewhere far away. That is an absurd misreading of the geography...or more likely a conscious lie by the desperate empire builders.

    I agree that the walk-away from Ukraine has started...the media coverage has shifted, the politicians are less vocal. The idea is to let it quietly disappear into the background. But the enthusiasm for the war is clearly gone. How about all the hapless Ukies who were sent to die to keep the neo-con flames burning? It is actually very sad.

    Replies: @A123

  482. @A123
    @Beckow


    Let’s see US:

    Korean War – Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war – Lost
    Syria – Lost
    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory
     
    You are vastly over estimating U.S. commitment. A better summary reads.

    Afghan war – Killed bin Laden, walked away
    Iraq war – Won the fight, refused to partition (Thanks GW)
    Syria – No one cares, in place only to deal with Iranian agression
    Ukraine -- No one cares, walk away in progress

    Regime change in Syria ended with Trump, assuming Obama was actually serious. The mission became clear when Trump moved American forces out of the kill sack between Turkish and Syrian/Russian lines. At this point everyone serious understands that it is 100% about containing sociopath Khamenei.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Beckow

    Of course, when you lose you have to say “but we didn’t care“. You left out Vietnam and it took 20 years in Afghanistan to walk away. I guess a very slow not-caring?

    I listed it of the top of my head for comparison. The reality is that none of these far away wars are worth fighting and they almost always end in a disaster. The problem is that even today with Ukraine the narrative is that “Ukraine is ours” and Russia is invading from somewhere far away. That is an absurd misreading of the geography…or more likely a conscious lie by the desperate empire builders.

    I agree that the walk-away from Ukraine has started…the media coverage has shifted, the politicians are less vocal. The idea is to let it quietly disappear into the background. But the enthusiasm for the war is clearly gone. How about all the hapless Ukies who were sent to die to keep the neo-con flames burning? It is actually very sad.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow

    Of course you left out the huge time gap your summary. Korea and Vietnam both started in the 1950's. Vietnam ended in the 70's. It is much more fruitful to look at post USSR conflicts. Jump forward three decades:

    Afghan war -- U.S. regular troops -- Started 2001
    Iraq war -- U.S. regular troops -- Started 2003
    Syria -- U.S. regular troops -- Started 2014
    Ukraine — U.S. regular troops -- none

    In Syria U.S. troop levels were never particularly large (IIRC always less than 10,000). Hardly an epic commitment. You cannot lose if you are not on the field

    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake. This is Not-The-President Biden's corruption & personal failure. Walking away is easy and near painless.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  483. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    You are one weird guy. Let's see US:

    Korean War - Draw
    Vietnam war – Lost
    Afghan war – Lost
    Iraq war - Lost
    Syria - Lost
    Libya - I don't know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn't a victory

    Am I forgetting something?

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg. If that is not a victory, what would be? Maybe what happened to Germany in WW2? Or Poland? also "victories" or "draws"?
    WW2 "Russia won, but.."...are you mental? that is pathology, get some help.

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of "Russia", it is not healthy.

    Replies: @A123, @John Johnson

    You are one weird guy. Let’s see US:

    How does that negate anything I said about Russia? Is everything just two sides in your mind?

    Iraq war – Lost

    Last I checked Saddam didn’t win and they have elections.

    The question is whether or not removing his government was worth the effort.

    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

    Am I forgetting something?

    Yea just two world wars if we are going back to the Crimean war.

    The US also managed to keep their Communists in check.

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg.

    It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country but accepted the treaty:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of “Russia”, it is not healthy.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That’s not true. They have a mixed record.

    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.

    • LOL: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.
     
    Yep, not killing Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin was Nicholas II's biggest mistake in hindsight. Would have likely made him an international pariah, of course, but would have still been worth it, for Russia's sake. Maybe Putin is overcorrecting based on this mistake by killing his own critics, and rather eagerly at that?

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

     

    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what's your specific source for that?

    Last I checked Saddam didn’t win and they have elections.
     
    Yep. Also ISIS was defeated. But Iraq's Shi'a militias are becoming more of a pain in the neck. They're also enriching themselves, of course:

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/iraq-quietly-falling-apart

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq's HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wokechoke

    , @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...How does that negate anything I said about Russia?
     
    You left out the context. Your obsessive focus only on the faults and weaknesses of one side is deceptive. As would be only screaming about the "one-mistreated-black-man" in a situation where the crime statistics show the opposite. Your focus on Russia and ignoring that US-Nato has fought (and mostly lost) half a dozen aggressive wars is dishonest. Nobody outside your inner circle in the West sees it that way. The fact that you don't get that is another big issue - like a child who thinks that if he cries loud enough he will get his way. Grow up.

    Winter war...It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country
     
    False, Russia only asked that Finland move far enough from StPetersburg so the Finnish artillery couldnt shell the city. Russia offered as compensation land in the north. Finland rejected the deal, lost the war and permanently lost a lot more territory, incl. Vyborg. Russia won and Finland lost, period. Get over your silly hallucinations to deny the obvious. Only sore losers do that.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That’s not true. They have a mixed record.
     
    Every country has a mixed record but Russia has been more successful than most. Russia always won when it really mattered - they won the big wars. Russia's size tells you all you need to know. This war is a big one for Russia and they can't lose. Try to think through what that means and stop escaping into silliness.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  484. Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.

    The Bolshes might very well have never come out on top, were it not for the Machiavellian manner of the Germans and Pilsudski.

    Past and present, Western establishment has schizo imagery of Russia, ranging from it being brutal to noting how Lenin was treated.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mikhail

    The Czar was very liberal in terms of dealing with these revolutionaries.

  485. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @A123

    Of course, when you lose you have to say "but we didn't care". You left out Vietnam and it took 20 years in Afghanistan to walk away. I guess a very slow not-caring?

    I listed it of the top of my head for comparison. The reality is that none of these far away wars are worth fighting and they almost always end in a disaster. The problem is that even today with Ukraine the narrative is that "Ukraine is ours" and Russia is invading from somewhere far away. That is an absurd misreading of the geography...or more likely a conscious lie by the desperate empire builders.

    I agree that the walk-away from Ukraine has started...the media coverage has shifted, the politicians are less vocal. The idea is to let it quietly disappear into the background. But the enthusiasm for the war is clearly gone. How about all the hapless Ukies who were sent to die to keep the neo-con flames burning? It is actually very sad.

    Replies: @A123

    Of course you left out the huge time gap your summary. Korea and Vietnam both started in the 1950’s. Vietnam ended in the 70’s. It is much more fruitful to look at post USSR conflicts. Jump forward three decades:

    Afghan war — U.S. regular troops — Started 2001
    Iraq war — U.S. regular troops — Started 2003
    Syria — U.S. regular troops — Started 2014
    Ukraine — U.S. regular troops — none

    In Syria U.S. troop levels were never particularly large (IIRC always less than 10,000). Hardly an epic commitment. You cannot lose if you are not on the field

    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake. This is Not-The-President Biden’s corruption & personal failure. Walking away is easy and near painless.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    Technically, Korea never ended. There's been no peace treaty for Korea.


    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake. This is Not-The-President Biden’s corruption & personal failure. Walking away is easy and near painless.

     

    But why exactly should Westerners give up on the idea of further EU expansion?

    Replies: @A123

  486. Imagine just how nice Europe and the Middle East would have looked had Germany and Russia allied together to dismember Austria-Hungary:

    The Banat should be split between Romania and Serbia (and barely Hungary) as in real life, though.

  487. @A123
    @Beckow

    Of course you left out the huge time gap your summary. Korea and Vietnam both started in the 1950's. Vietnam ended in the 70's. It is much more fruitful to look at post USSR conflicts. Jump forward three decades:

    Afghan war -- U.S. regular troops -- Started 2001
    Iraq war -- U.S. regular troops -- Started 2003
    Syria -- U.S. regular troops -- Started 2014
    Ukraine — U.S. regular troops -- none

    In Syria U.S. troop levels were never particularly large (IIRC always less than 10,000). Hardly an epic commitment. You cannot lose if you are not on the field

    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake. This is Not-The-President Biden's corruption & personal failure. Walking away is easy and near painless.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Technically, Korea never ended. There’s been no peace treaty for Korea.

    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake. This is Not-The-President Biden’s corruption & personal failure. Walking away is easy and near painless.

    But why exactly should Westerners give up on the idea of further EU expansion?

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ



    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake.
     
    But why exactly should Westerners give up on the idea of further EU expansion?
     
    Why do you use the term Westerners? It is highly confusing.

    • America has nothing to do with EU expansion.
    • If Europe wants to expand the EU, that is up to Europe.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  488. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You are one weird guy. Let’s see US:

    How does that negate anything I said about Russia? Is everything just two sides in your mind?

    Iraq war – Lost

    Last I checked Saddam didn't win and they have elections.

    The question is whether or not removing his government was worth the effort.

    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

    Am I forgetting something?

    Yea just two world wars if we are going back to the Crimean war.

    The US also managed to keep their Communists in check.

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg.

    It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country but accepted the treaty:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of “Russia”, it is not healthy.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That's not true. They have a mixed record.

    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Beckow

    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.

    Yep, not killing Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin was Nicholas II’s biggest mistake in hindsight. Would have likely made him an international pariah, of course, but would have still been worth it, for Russia’s sake. Maybe Putin is overcorrecting based on this mistake by killing his own critics, and rather eagerly at that?

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what’s your specific source for that?

    Last I checked Saddam didn’t win and they have elections.

    Yep. Also ISIS was defeated. But Iraq’s Shi’a militias are becoming more of a pain in the neck. They’re also enriching themselves, of course:

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/iraq-quietly-falling-apart

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq’s HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ


    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.
     
    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what’s your specific source for that?

    There was a mistaken assumption that an American drone killed him which was based on an incorrect Fox report. NATO wanted him alive to face charges and they had limitations of involvement via the UN. They actually weren't allowed to target him. A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun. He was in fact alive on camera and someone shouted to not kill him:
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-gaddafi-finalhours/gaddafi-caught-like-rat-in-a-drain-humiliated-and-shot-idUSTRE79K43S20111021

    There were no NATO soldiers on the ground when he was killed.

    Various alt-right and anti-US websites have turned that event into the US killing Gaddafi.

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq’s HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Completely agree. They needed a monarchy with limited direct parliament to remove any future kings that go nasty. Western style democracy never made sense given what happened in Iran. What happens if 52% vote in ISIS? A lot of US involvement in the Arab world is based on both right and left race denial. Sometimes it works but when it doesn't it can really go south.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Yeah just what kinda Tyrant was he after all?

  489. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    Technically, Korea never ended. There's been no peace treaty for Korea.


    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake. This is Not-The-President Biden’s corruption & personal failure. Walking away is easy and near painless.

     

    But why exactly should Westerners give up on the idea of further EU expansion?

    Replies: @A123

    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake.

    But why exactly should Westerners give up on the idea of further EU expansion?

    Why do you use the term Westerners? It is highly confusing.

    • America has nothing to do with EU expansion.
    • If Europe wants to expand the EU, that is up to Europe.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    Americans have a deep connection with Europe since at least WWI and especially since WWII. You don't think that the Marshall Plan helped pave the way for deeper European integration during Europe's post-WWII economic recovery, for instance?

    Replies: @A123

  490. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.
     
    Yep, not killing Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin was Nicholas II's biggest mistake in hindsight. Would have likely made him an international pariah, of course, but would have still been worth it, for Russia's sake. Maybe Putin is overcorrecting based on this mistake by killing his own critics, and rather eagerly at that?

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

     

    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what's your specific source for that?

    Last I checked Saddam didn’t win and they have elections.
     
    Yep. Also ISIS was defeated. But Iraq's Shi'a militias are becoming more of a pain in the neck. They're also enriching themselves, of course:

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/iraq-quietly-falling-apart

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq's HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wokechoke

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what’s your specific source for that?

    There was a mistaken assumption that an American drone killed him which was based on an incorrect Fox report. NATO wanted him alive to face charges and they had limitations of involvement via the UN. They actually weren’t allowed to target him. A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun. He was in fact alive on camera and someone shouted to not kill him:
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-gaddafi-finalhours/gaddafi-caught-like-rat-in-a-drain-humiliated-and-shot-idUSTRE79K43S20111021

    There were no NATO soldiers on the ground when he was killed.

    Various alt-right and anti-US websites have turned that event into the US killing Gaddafi.

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq’s HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Completely agree. They needed a monarchy with limited direct parliament to remove any future kings that go nasty. Western style democracy never made sense given what happened in Iran. What happens if 52% vote in ISIS? A lot of US involvement in the Arab world is based on both right and left race denial. Sometimes it works but when it doesn’t it can really go south.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @John Johnson


    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.
     
    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There's plenty of visual evidence. We're always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere. The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas. But this time it didn't lead NATO to any "humanitarian" intervention, military or otherwise, against the perpetrators.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Yes, I know that there were no NATO troops on the ground in Libya when Gaddafi was killed.


    Completely agree. They needed a monarchy with limited direct parliament to remove any future kings that go nasty. Western style democracy never made sense given what happened in Iran. What happens if 52% vote in ISIS? A lot of US involvement in the Arab world is based on both right and left race denial. Sometimes it works but when it doesn’t it can really go south.
     
    Iraq won't vote in ISIS because Shi'ites and Kurds (80% of Iraq's total population) hate ISIS with a burning passion. But Egyptians did vote in the Muslim Brotherhood in 2012. So, maybe Egyptians really do need a neo-Pharaoh instead. Much more glory that way too. But as with your suggestion, there should be a limited parliament that can depose/remove him if he ever decides to misbehave and/or misgovern.

    Heck, even a female Egyptian Neo-Pharaoh might be a good idea. There is historical precedent for this in the form of Cleopatra. Egyptian m*noids should abandon their sexism and embrace full-on gender equality!
  491. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ


    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.
     
    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what’s your specific source for that?

    There was a mistaken assumption that an American drone killed him which was based on an incorrect Fox report. NATO wanted him alive to face charges and they had limitations of involvement via the UN. They actually weren't allowed to target him. A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun. He was in fact alive on camera and someone shouted to not kill him:
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-gaddafi-finalhours/gaddafi-caught-like-rat-in-a-drain-humiliated-and-shot-idUSTRE79K43S20111021

    There were no NATO soldiers on the ground when he was killed.

    Various alt-right and anti-US websites have turned that event into the US killing Gaddafi.

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq’s HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Completely agree. They needed a monarchy with limited direct parliament to remove any future kings that go nasty. Western style democracy never made sense given what happened in Iran. What happens if 52% vote in ISIS? A lot of US involvement in the Arab world is based on both right and left race denial. Sometimes it works but when it doesn't it can really go south.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ

    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.

    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There’s plenty of visual evidence. We’re always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere. The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas. But this time it didn’t lead NATO to any “humanitarian” intervention, military or otherwise, against the perpetrators.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikel

    AFAIC, Ukraine should have just let the Donbass go in exchange for NATO membership before the start of the war. But unfortunately such a deal wasn't actually on the table. What a shame! And now Ukrainian attitudes might be hardened due to the war.

    , @John Johnson
    @Mikel


    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.
     
    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There’s plenty of visual evidence.

    Sodomized with the bayonet which was part of the gun. You're being pedantic.

    We’re always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Not sure what you are saying.

    The rebellion started without NATO and the no-fly zone was approved by the UN security council. Not everything on planet earth is the will of the United States.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere.

    Gadaffi used to pick out 14 year olds from schools to rape. As in he would show up to a school to make a speech and pick the girls.

    The guy was a real SOB and hated by practically everyone.

    The rebels would have caught him even if NATO wasn't involved. His time was up.

    The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas.

    Which event are you referring to exactly?

    By uprising do you mean pro-Russian separatists trying to create their own puppet states? Who were angry over a corrupt pro-Russian being removed? The president that was disavowed by his own pro-Russian party as a criminal? Which means they were violating Ukrainian laws over a criminal losing his power? You are comparing that to removing a child raping dictator who was in power since the 1970s and kept the bodies of his enemies in a walk in freezer? Is that right?

    Replies: @Mikel

  492. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ



    The number of regular troops in Ukraine is still zero, which means no American prestige is at stake.
     
    But why exactly should Westerners give up on the idea of further EU expansion?
     
    Why do you use the term Westerners? It is highly confusing.

    • America has nothing to do with EU expansion.
    • If Europe wants to expand the EU, that is up to Europe.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Americans have a deep connection with Europe since at least WWI and especially since WWII. You don’t think that the Marshall Plan helped pave the way for deeper European integration during Europe’s post-WWII economic recovery, for instance?

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ



    • America has nothing to do with EU expansion.
    • If Europe wants to expand the EU, that is up to Europe.
     
    Americans have a deep connection with Europe
     
    Let me fix that for you:

    Americans HAD a deep connection with Europe.

    Yes, there still are affinities, especially with Brexit UK. However, that has nothing to do with EU expansionary glut bloating. How many Americans can find these on a globe -- Moldova? Bulgaria? Ukraine? Heck... How many can find the EU?

    The idea that Main Street Americans have a passionate commitment to EU expansion is absurd.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  493. @Mikel
    @John Johnson


    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.
     
    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There's plenty of visual evidence. We're always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere. The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas. But this time it didn't lead NATO to any "humanitarian" intervention, military or otherwise, against the perpetrators.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    AFAIC, Ukraine should have just let the Donbass go in exchange for NATO membership before the start of the war. But unfortunately such a deal wasn’t actually on the table. What a shame! And now Ukrainian attitudes might be hardened due to the war.

  494. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ


    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.
     
    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what’s your specific source for that?

    There was a mistaken assumption that an American drone killed him which was based on an incorrect Fox report. NATO wanted him alive to face charges and they had limitations of involvement via the UN. They actually weren't allowed to target him. A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun. He was in fact alive on camera and someone shouted to not kill him:
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-gaddafi-finalhours/gaddafi-caught-like-rat-in-a-drain-humiliated-and-shot-idUSTRE79K43S20111021

    There were no NATO soldiers on the ground when he was killed.

    Various alt-right and anti-US websites have turned that event into the US killing Gaddafi.

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq’s HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Completely agree. They needed a monarchy with limited direct parliament to remove any future kings that go nasty. Western style democracy never made sense given what happened in Iran. What happens if 52% vote in ISIS? A lot of US involvement in the Arab world is based on both right and left race denial. Sometimes it works but when it doesn't it can really go south.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ

    Yes, I know that there were no NATO troops on the ground in Libya when Gaddafi was killed.

    Completely agree. They needed a monarchy with limited direct parliament to remove any future kings that go nasty. Western style democracy never made sense given what happened in Iran. What happens if 52% vote in ISIS? A lot of US involvement in the Arab world is based on both right and left race denial. Sometimes it works but when it doesn’t it can really go south.

    Iraq won’t vote in ISIS because Shi’ites and Kurds (80% of Iraq’s total population) hate ISIS with a burning passion. But Egyptians did vote in the Muslim Brotherhood in 2012. So, maybe Egyptians really do need a neo-Pharaoh instead. Much more glory that way too. But as with your suggestion, there should be a limited parliament that can depose/remove him if he ever decides to misbehave and/or misgovern.

    Heck, even a female Egyptian Neo-Pharaoh might be a good idea. There is historical precedent for this in the form of Cleopatra. Egyptian m*noids should abandon their sexism and embrace full-on gender equality!

  495. A123 says: • Website

    College Football begins in 5 WEEKS. Here in the South that is Im-Poor-Tan-Tant. Oh yeahh…

    Knowing that you are all uncivilized, I will resort to an old Southern tradition. Grifting… If enough people lol, thank or agree. I will share a SEC Cheerleaders highlight reel.

    When? What do you mean when? I have to watch a bunch of them to find the right one.

    😆 PEACE 😂

  496. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    McGilchrist’s accent sounds decidedly English to me.
     
    Strange. You should be vastly better than me at picking up accents in English but I spent one year in Scotland and his intonation is very Scottish in my view, as well as the way he pronounces some words. I would never put his accent as an example of BBC-English.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    I spent one year in Scotland and his intonation is very Scottish in my view

    That is very strange then. Because, good lord, McGilchrist doesn’t typically Scottish to me whatsoever. If there is some Scottish aspect to his accent, I would still wholeheartedly maintain that is he is vastly closer to English Received Pronunciation than he is to typical Scottish.

    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you (to name a couple of prominent political Scots)? Or perhaps better, could you give me an example of some Scot that you think McGilchrist sounds like? (I am asking out of curiosity, not because I’m trying to ‘prove’ my point. It would be quite interesting to me if Salmond and McGilchrist sound similar to you.)

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you
     
    I've just listened to two random clips of them speaking and my answer is actually yes. Their accent is much stronger but there is a similarity in how the three of them pronounce some vowels and intone sentences. Just to set an example, when McGilchrist says "through", I'm hearing kind of a long "thruugh" that to me is typically Scottish. I think he sometimes slightly rolls his "r"s too.

    But there are very different Scottish dialects. I never really managed to fully understand Aberdonian, the one I got acquainted with, and the few times I heard Glaswegian it was an unintelligible language. All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination. It would be interesting to hear someone else chime in.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Emil Nikola Richard, @silviosilver

  497. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    Americans have a deep connection with Europe since at least WWI and especially since WWII. You don't think that the Marshall Plan helped pave the way for deeper European integration during Europe's post-WWII economic recovery, for instance?

    Replies: @A123

    • America has nothing to do with EU expansion.
    • If Europe wants to expand the EU, that is up to Europe.

    Americans have a deep connection with Europe

    Let me fix that for you:

    Americans HAD a deep connection with Europe.

    Yes, there still are affinities, especially with Brexit UK. However, that has nothing to do with EU expansionary glut bloating. How many Americans can find these on a globe — Moldova? Bulgaria? Ukraine? Heck… How many can find the EU?

    The idea that Main Street Americans have a passionate commitment to EU expansion is absurd.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    34% of Americans can find Ukraine on a map, though this figure is a bit misleading since many Americans only narrowly missed finding Ukraine on a map:

    https://pro.morningconsult.com/instant-intel/can-americans-find-ukraine-on-a-map

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FLKPxXXX0AAt3h2.jpg:large

    Counting the near-misses in regards to this could potentially get Americans to 50+% Ukraine recognition on a blank map of Europe.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Wokechoke

  498. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.
     
    Yep, not killing Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin was Nicholas II's biggest mistake in hindsight. Would have likely made him an international pariah, of course, but would have still been worth it, for Russia's sake. Maybe Putin is overcorrecting based on this mistake by killing his own critics, and rather eagerly at that?

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

     

    Do you have a link to the last part, please? I mean, it does sound believable that the US would have wanted to put Gaddafi on trial rather than executing him without any trial, but what's your specific source for that?

    Last I checked Saddam didn’t win and they have elections.
     
    Yep. Also ISIS was defeated. But Iraq's Shi'a militias are becoming more of a pain in the neck. They're also enriching themselves, of course:

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/iraq-quietly-falling-apart

    The mistake was in expecting a Jeffersonian democracy in a country with Iraq's HBD profile. At best, Iraq can only get a flawed democracy, which of course is still better for Iraqis than Saddam Hussein, most likely.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Wokechoke

    Yeah just what kinda Tyrant was he after all?

  499. @Mikhail

    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.
     
    The Bolshes might very well have never come out on top, were it not for the Machiavellian manner of the Germans and Pilsudski.

    Past and present, Western establishment has schizo imagery of Russia, ranging from it being brutal to noting how Lenin was treated.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    The Czar was very liberal in terms of dealing with these revolutionaries.

  500. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I spent one year in Scotland and his intonation is very Scottish in my view
     
    That is very strange then. Because, good lord, McGilchrist doesn't typically Scottish to me whatsoever. If there is some Scottish aspect to his accent, I would still wholeheartedly maintain that is he is vastly closer to English Received Pronunciation than he is to typical Scottish.

    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you (to name a couple of prominent political Scots)? Or perhaps better, could you give me an example of some Scot that you think McGilchrist sounds like? (I am asking out of curiosity, not because I'm trying to 'prove' my point. It would be quite interesting to me if Salmond and McGilchrist sound similar to you.)

    Replies: @Mikel

    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you

    I’ve just listened to two random clips of them speaking and my answer is actually yes. Their accent is much stronger but there is a similarity in how the three of them pronounce some vowels and intone sentences. Just to set an example, when McGilchrist says “through”, I’m hearing kind of a long “thruugh” that to me is typically Scottish. I think he sometimes slightly rolls his “r”s too.

    But there are very different Scottish dialects. I never really managed to fully understand Aberdonian, the one I got acquainted with, and the few times I heard Glaswegian it was an unintelligible language. All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination. It would be interesting to hear someone else chime in.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination.
     
    Sure, and the same goes for me. I don't claim any great expertise in identifying Scottish accents. Whenever I hear somebody of obvious Anglo appearance speak fluent English in a way that sounds "off key" to me, my tendency is to assume it's an Irish accent. I've been corrected a few times that, "oh no, I'm actually Scottish." To people more familiar with these accents, it's perfectly possible they'd consider it crazy I'd ever confuse them. That's why I called it "strange" when you said you'd lived there. If you've been exposed to it for that long, I really ought to defer to your judgment, and yet to me McGilchrist sounds so different to what I think of Scottish, it would never in a million years have occurred to me to describe his accent that way. As you say, it would be most interesting to hear other folks chime in.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Whenever I hear a real Scot I cannot understand a fourth of what they are saying. It is a maddening accent. I understand all of McGilchrist's words though they make little sense.

    I vote not true scotsman.

    He is a doctor. Keeping it real is not usually on their list.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    Just to set an example, when McGilchrist
     
    Remember how you asked me to correct you whenever the need arose? Okay so in that spirit, it's better to say "to give you an example" or "as an example." To set an example means to be, or to promote, a model of proper behavior. "The captain's brave stand set an example for the troops."
  501. @John Johnson

    …Russia has irrevocably lost its best paying customers (West Europe), and access to US technology to exploit Siberia.
     
    The best paying customers are the ones who pay the most. Why would China, Korea, Turkey or the others be worse than Europe?

    Germany has some of the best mining companies in the world.

    You can't just replace them by dialing up China or Korea. It doesn't work that way. We are talking about decades of specialized technological development. The free market actually doesn't demand adequate competition in every area. In fact this is a problem with specialized technology. It can lead to tolerated monopolies like Microsoft of the 90s.

    Technology is not static and you should know that. There is no magical “technology” that Russia, or China, don’t have.

    Technology is not perfectly spread across all countries nor will it ever be. That is egalitarian mythos.

    I warned about Russia being dependent on Western technology early in the war and was mocked.

    I was told by Putin defenders that they could simply import parts from China. In fact I was called an idiot for even suggesting that it isn't possible to just call China for a random part. Ching Chang I guess is a magic wizard who can replace a Swiss water pump bearing shaft off an industrial driller. Just describe it to him.

    Still waiting on those airplane parts.

    Major plane makers Boeing and Airbus halted deliveries of new foreign jets and spare parts, forcing Russian airlines to “cannibalize” grounded aircraft.
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/10/sanctioned-russian-aviation-sector-hit-by-slew-of-incidents-in-new-year-a79903

    Replies: @Beckow, @Sean, @QCIC

    Airlines are a great sanctions target. The availability of leased planes, insurance and operating cash usually are contingent on airlines operating and maintaining planes by the book. So no parts, no money and no flying. I think there is a black market for aircraft spares, but that probably works best for low profile countries like Venezuela.

    Russia’s difficulty producing civilian planes after 1990 is an interesting topic. My guess is the West wanted to keep the Russians captive for air travel even on Russian-built planes. This was a strange saga of interactions between Russia, Ukraine and the West.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Russia’s difficulty producing civilian planes after 1990 is an interesting topic. My guess is the West wanted to keep the Russians captive for air travel even on Russian-built planes. This was a strange saga of interactions between Russia, Ukraine and the West.

    I really doubt there was some plan to keep them captive.

    The Russians probably just figured they should buy from Boeing and Airbus like everyone else.

    That was the period where Russia was being divided up by overnight billionaires with KGB connections. They were more interested in buying yachts than investing in local industry for the sake of Russian interest.

    Shock doctrine is a terrible idea and unsurprisingly was promoted by libertarian hero Milton Friedman. It's madness to suggest that some KGB ass kisser should wake up a billionaire thanks to his lucky free market stars. Some ass kisser that has no clue about how to run a company.

    Russia's switch from Communism to capitalism is indeed an interesting subject. I believe there would be less tension and far fewer mafia type leaders like Putin if they would have used a mixed model. I certainly don't support globalism or libertarianism. In fact ex-Soviet states should have been encouraged to develop industries for where there are few competitors in the West. To be clear I don't blame the West for what happened in the 90s even if the Milton Friedmans pushed their noxious ideas. Russian leaders knew of the alternatives but decided to let 'r rip.

    Replies: @QCIC

  502. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you
     
    I've just listened to two random clips of them speaking and my answer is actually yes. Their accent is much stronger but there is a similarity in how the three of them pronounce some vowels and intone sentences. Just to set an example, when McGilchrist says "through", I'm hearing kind of a long "thruugh" that to me is typically Scottish. I think he sometimes slightly rolls his "r"s too.

    But there are very different Scottish dialects. I never really managed to fully understand Aberdonian, the one I got acquainted with, and the few times I heard Glaswegian it was an unintelligible language. All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination. It would be interesting to hear someone else chime in.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Emil Nikola Richard, @silviosilver

    All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination.

    Sure, and the same goes for me. I don’t claim any great expertise in identifying Scottish accents. Whenever I hear somebody of obvious Anglo appearance speak fluent English in a way that sounds “off key” to me, my tendency is to assume it’s an Irish accent. I’ve been corrected a few times that, “oh no, I’m actually Scottish.” To people more familiar with these accents, it’s perfectly possible they’d consider it crazy I’d ever confuse them. That’s why I called it “strange” when you said you’d lived there. If you’ve been exposed to it for that long, I really ought to defer to your judgment, and yet to me McGilchrist sounds so different to what I think of Scottish, it would never in a million years have occurred to me to describe his accent that way. As you say, it would be most interesting to hear other folks chime in.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @silviosilver

    McGilchirst sounds mainly English to me, but with some slight Scottish influence. In my experience sometimes very educated Irish people can also sound like this, but with a slight Irish touch instead of a Scottish one.


    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views.
     
    From what I could tell of that interview with Jordan Peterson, McGilchrist's ideas are another installment in a saga that started in the 19th century when the attacks on the Enlightenment combination of mechanical philosophy + supremacy of Enligtenment Reason + political liberalism started to build momentum. There was Darwin, Marx, Freud (and/or Jung), Nietzsche and all the others.

    Probably it's not surprising that after a strong assertion of the supremacy of Liberalism and the legacy of the 18th century Enlightenment earlier in this century, around the time of the War on Terror, you can see the renewal of the same counter tendencies (present in both the Woke movement and someone like Peterson, the Jungian).

    Replies: @Mikel

  503. @Mikel
    @John Johnson


    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.
     
    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There's plenty of visual evidence. We're always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere. The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas. But this time it didn't lead NATO to any "humanitarian" intervention, military or otherwise, against the perpetrators.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.

    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There’s plenty of visual evidence.

    Sodomized with the bayonet which was part of the gun. You’re being pedantic.

    We’re always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Not sure what you are saying.

    The rebellion started without NATO and the no-fly zone was approved by the UN security council. Not everything on planet earth is the will of the United States.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere.

    Gadaffi used to pick out 14 year olds from schools to rape. As in he would show up to a school to make a speech and pick the girls.

    The guy was a real SOB and hated by practically everyone.

    The rebels would have caught him even if NATO wasn’t involved. His time was up.

    The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas.

    Which event are you referring to exactly?

    By uprising do you mean pro-Russian separatists trying to create their own puppet states? Who were angry over a corrupt pro-Russian being removed? The president that was disavowed by his own pro-Russian party as a criminal? Which means they were violating Ukrainian laws over a criminal losing his power? You are comparing that to removing a child raping dictator who was in power since the 1970s and kept the bodies of his enemies in a walk in freezer? Is that right?

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @John Johnson


    The rebellion started without NATO and the no-fly zone was approved by the UN
     
    Sorry to be blunt but that's all a load of BS. NATO immediately volunteered to be the world policeman once again and took upon itself the task of imposing the "no fly zone" but it just converted it into a ground attack operation. The very link you posted shows how they even bombarded Gaddafi's convoy (they had already killed part of his family from the air) and became the sodomizing rebels' air force, which was never part of the UN mandate.

    It was a gang rape really. Western leaders clearly decided to take advantage of the revolts, no matter who the opposing forces were, and take revenge on Gaddafi for his past deeds, even though they had previously decided to forget them and he was welcomed in Western capitals again. He had even negotiated a surrender of his weapons programs. There was nothing legal about any of this. In fact, NATO couldn't help killing a good number of civilians with its air attacks, as reported later by Western humanitarian organizations: the very fact they were supposed to prevent with the "no fly zone".

    The idea that the rebels would have won without NATO's help is also more than questionable. Gaddafi's forces had driven the rebels back all the way to Benghazi, where the rebellion started, jus before NATO intervened and turned the tide completely.

    NATO fully deserves the credit for turning a semi-functioning Arab satrapy with the most decent economic indicators in Africa into the current lawless jungle where thousands are sold as slaves or smuggled to Europe non-stop in floating coffins.

    You are comparing that to removing a child raping dictator who was in power since the 1970s and kept the bodies of his enemies in a walk in freezer? Is that right?
     
    You sound deranged. Those frozen bodies and raped children are all the product of your imagination and nothing that I said or implied.

    All I said is that in the course of a few years we saw how part of the population in two different nations broke the law and rebelled against their governments, which both decided to respond by shelling civilian areas. In one case NATO intervened militarily against one of them to theoretically stop those shellings and in the other NATO not only did not intervene but actually sided with the government that was doing the shelling its own civilians. That's all there is to it. Two incontrovertible historical facts that no smokescreens of what a bastard Gaddafi was can possibly erase. The world is full of bastards (anyone who shells its own civilians is) but that doesn't give NATO the right to impose governments anywhere it likes.
  504. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Airlines are a great sanctions target. The availability of leased planes, insurance and operating cash usually are contingent on airlines operating and maintaining planes by the book. So no parts, no money and no flying. I think there is a black market for aircraft spares, but that probably works best for low profile countries like Venezuela.

    Russia's difficulty producing civilian planes after 1990 is an interesting topic. My guess is the West wanted to keep the Russians captive for air travel even on Russian-built planes. This was a strange saga of interactions between Russia, Ukraine and the West.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Russia’s difficulty producing civilian planes after 1990 is an interesting topic. My guess is the West wanted to keep the Russians captive for air travel even on Russian-built planes. This was a strange saga of interactions between Russia, Ukraine and the West.

    I really doubt there was some plan to keep them captive.

    The Russians probably just figured they should buy from Boeing and Airbus like everyone else.

    That was the period where Russia was being divided up by overnight billionaires with KGB connections. They were more interested in buying yachts than investing in local industry for the sake of Russian interest.

    Shock doctrine is a terrible idea and unsurprisingly was promoted by libertarian hero Milton Friedman. It’s madness to suggest that some KGB ass kisser should wake up a billionaire thanks to his lucky free market stars. Some ass kisser that has no clue about how to run a company.

    Russia’s switch from Communism to capitalism is indeed an interesting subject. I believe there would be less tension and far fewer mafia type leaders like Putin if they would have used a mixed model. I certainly don’t support globalism or libertarianism. In fact ex-Soviet states should have been encouraged to develop industries for where there are few competitors in the West. To be clear I don’t blame the West for what happened in the 90s even if the Milton Friedmans pushed their noxious ideas. Russian leaders knew of the alternatives but decided to let ‘r rip.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Russia has a large military aviation industry. I think it is natural for them to keep the civilian sector alive to balance things out. The US does this.

    The West has always worked to take Russia down militarily. Western aviation companies do not want more competition. I think they controlled Russia by joint ventures requiring Western content in new aircraft designs to get project funding. This made the new planes totally vulnerable to sanctions since there is no black market for the parts. The SSJ100 and MC-21 are examples.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  505. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    Russia has been under sanctions forever

    Limited sanctions. The oil and gas were still flowing.

    It was Putin that was hoping to freeze old German ladies after the sanctions, remember?

    A real dwarf of the ages.

    The truth is the US feels Russia ought to be under sanctions whatever

    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow.

    But Russia has always been formidable in war because of its population’s ethos and willingness to fight and die; military strength is not merely a reflection of capitalist sophistication.
    ...
    yet they do have a habit of blundering through to victory at however great a cost.

    That's a myth. Their war record is a mix.

    The Russian pattern is underestimating a smaller enemy and getting a spanking for it.

    Crimean war - Lost
    Russo-Japanese war - Lost with biggest naval upset in history
    WW1 - Was losing to Germans with massive humiliation at Tannenberg and then lost to Communist revolution
    Soviet-Polish war - Lost
    Winter War - Draw but with humiliation of Red Army
    WW2 - Won but lost millions in a series of early humiliating battles
    Afghan war - Lost

    Note that in all the preceding wars they outnumbered the enemy.

    Ukraine fits the pattern of underestimation followed by humiliation.

    Eventually Russia will find workarounds for technical problems because Russia has now broken with the West and the attempt to defeat it in Ukraine will surely hurt Russia a great deal

    As with Putin's fans you underestimate the complexity of the problems and parts that are currently blocked by sanctions. The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies. It isn't possible to solve these problems within 10 years and especially give that there is a shortage of male workers. Putin didn't seem to notice how much they increased their dependencies since 1991. There are videos of Russian planes literally falling apart in the skies because they are half assing the maintenance.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Sean

    In the early 80s the USSR may have had the edge on the US in ICBMs, and worry about a tactical nuclear war being fought on their territory, hence the German (and Austrian) aversion to all things nuclear expressed in the Green party’s astounding success in Germany. Merkel brought the Greens into her government coalition and to keep them happy she announced the phase out of civil nuclear power, which was accelerated after Fukashima. The reliance of German productive capacity on low cost Russian energy was because of the aforementioned abandonment of nuclear power, and the manufacturing industry exports of Germany–the basis of Germany interest in the EU–is now heading for serious trouble if it continues to be such reliable ally of the US, which is demanding doubled military spending. Russia’s war is applying pressure to Germany as a wedge against Superpower America’s leadership of the Western alliance.

    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow

    What Washington is trying to get Russia to put on the table for a settlement (US telling Ukraine it ought to look at such a deal) is unclear, but I doubt Germany thinks a war that so exhausted Russia that is was willing to withdraw to its internationally recognised borders is one that is in Germany’s interests because Russia shows no sign whatsoever of doing that. Perhaps Russia could be brought to the point that it would withdraw completely to Russia proper but that would be require a sudden massive amping up of help to Ukraine, which would be risky as the Russians might panic (the Germans certainly would). The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe ” The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies.” Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe ” The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies.”

    Because one side will compromise before the time it takes for Russia to resolve their import dependencies.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years where the border is in flux. Such long wars with ongoing border skirmishes are part of the past.

    Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    Surprisingly well? That is what you call losing at Tannenberg and then holding the border until the Communists made a deal with the Germans to leave before it was over?

    The 1917 revolution in part happened because their economy was racked by war. The war effort was poorly planned and Nicholas II ignored the civil unrest that was developing from a lack of food.

    Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    I don't think psychology is the main limitation.

    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren't getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1Q4xuZh4cs

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Sean

  506. @John Johnson
    @Greasy William

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions

    How can we assume that when the Ukrainians are still picking up Russian POWs without body armor or even proper boots? What is the excuse for not providing enough boots at this point?

    The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.

    Replies: @Greasy William

    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.

    And they were wrong to do so because America was committed to victory in both cases. The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I agree that the United States can win this war if it gets its act together. It’s just that I have seen no evidence that the most incompetent admin in US history will do so.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Greasy William

    And they were wrong to do so because America was committed to victory in both cases. The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I agree that the United States can win this war if it gets its act together. It’s just that I have seen no evidence that the most incompetent admin in US history will do so.

    It is up to Ukraine to win the war.

    I'm not a fan of Biden and he should have pushed for more Bradleys and M1s earlier in the war.

    But there are congressional Republicans that would have given Ukraine much less.

    , @A123
    @Greasy William


    The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.
     
    I concur.

    I have made a very similar point. The MAGA led House controls appropriations. It is already pushing decreases and full audit accountability. Upcoming election politics will result in further cuts next year.

    America is not committed. Just the opposite. It is walking away from the Veggie-in-Chief's folly.

    PEACE 😇
  507. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination.
     
    Sure, and the same goes for me. I don't claim any great expertise in identifying Scottish accents. Whenever I hear somebody of obvious Anglo appearance speak fluent English in a way that sounds "off key" to me, my tendency is to assume it's an Irish accent. I've been corrected a few times that, "oh no, I'm actually Scottish." To people more familiar with these accents, it's perfectly possible they'd consider it crazy I'd ever confuse them. That's why I called it "strange" when you said you'd lived there. If you've been exposed to it for that long, I really ought to defer to your judgment, and yet to me McGilchrist sounds so different to what I think of Scottish, it would never in a million years have occurred to me to describe his accent that way. As you say, it would be most interesting to hear other folks chime in.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    McGilchirst sounds mainly English to me, but with some slight Scottish influence. In my experience sometimes very educated Irish people can also sound like this, but with a slight Irish touch instead of a Scottish one.

    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views.

    From what I could tell of that interview with Jordan Peterson, McGilchrist’s ideas are another installment in a saga that started in the 19th century when the attacks on the Enlightenment combination of mechanical philosophy + supremacy of Enligtenment Reason + political liberalism started to build momentum. There was Darwin, Marx, Freud (and/or Jung), Nietzsche and all the others.

    Probably it’s not surprising that after a strong assertion of the supremacy of Liberalism and the legacy of the 18th century Enlightenment earlier in this century, around the time of the War on Terror, you can see the renewal of the same counter tendencies (present in both the Woke movement and someone like Peterson, the Jungian).

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @Coconuts


    McGilchirst sounds mainly English to me, but with some slight Scottish influence.
     
    Thanks for chiming in from the UK. I'm going to stand corrected then. Somehow, when I first listened to him a few days ago I got immediately transported to Scotland and thought that's how anyone else would feel listening to him. I didn't really mean a slight accent but an easily identifiable Scottish one. However, I have never been too good at recognizing accents in English so I guess my mind tricked me (the left side of my brain playing its games, obviously).

    I am going to say one more thing on this subject though. What I personally hear in this video is a guy speaking in a clear American accent, another one speaking in a pretty standard UK-English accent and another one (McGilchrist) speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds "Scottish":

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n8TMJuxdMVo

    Replies: @silviosilver

  508. U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    OFFICE OF THE SPOKESPERSON

    NOVEMBER 10, 2021

    The following is the text of the U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership signed by U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba in Washington, D.C. on November 10, 2021U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    Guided by the April 3, 2008 Bucharest Summit Declaration of the NATO North Atlantic Council and as reaffirmed in the June 14, 2021 Brussels Summit Communique of the NATO North Atlantic Council, the United States supports Ukraine’s right to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO.

    The Russian build up for the invasion started, and Bliken spoke of “The unwavering commitment of the United States to Ukraine’s territorial integrity, sovereignty, its independence… that is a view that not only the United States holds but all of our NATO allies hold as well”. In the Obama administration, VP Biden had the Ukraine portfolio. Blinken was the point man So those two cannot be said to have not understood the issues.

  509. @songbird
    What percentage of the target audience for Barbie is gay, and why does it appeal to them?

    Replies: @LondonBob, @Anatoly Karlin

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign, completely different audiences. I enjoyed Oppenheimer, but at three hours it was a bit much.

    Women do tend to allow gays to annex their territory.

    • Replies: @A123
    @LondonBob


    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign
     
    The studios did not come up with it, so it really does not qualify as a 'marketing campaign'.

    It is largely a joke that went viral. Though some of the trades are using it as a shorthand for the high number of tickets sold this weekend. Barbie has already crushed The Flash and will soon pass Dial of Destiny (1).

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Barbie-(2023)/Flash-The/Indiana-Jones-and-the-Dial-of-Destiny-(2023)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
    , @John Johnson
    @LondonBob

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign, completely different audiences. I enjoyed Oppenheimer, but at three hours it was a bit much.

    Thank God for that. Wife wanted to see it until she heard about it being 3 hours.

    I really have zero interest. I've watched a documentary and that was enough. He helps build the bomb and they drop it. What are they going to show me for 3 hours? Him shopping at the grocery store?

    I like WW2 movies but didn't like Dunkirk. The lack of blood was weird and distracting.

    Women do tend to allow gays to annex their territory.

    Barbenheimer is proof that America has too many bored and aimless singles.

    Dune 2 is getting delayed which was the rare movie that I wanted to see in Imax.

    Of course.

  510. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you
     
    I've just listened to two random clips of them speaking and my answer is actually yes. Their accent is much stronger but there is a similarity in how the three of them pronounce some vowels and intone sentences. Just to set an example, when McGilchrist says "through", I'm hearing kind of a long "thruugh" that to me is typically Scottish. I think he sometimes slightly rolls his "r"s too.

    But there are very different Scottish dialects. I never really managed to fully understand Aberdonian, the one I got acquainted with, and the few times I heard Glaswegian it was an unintelligible language. All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination. It would be interesting to hear someone else chime in.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Emil Nikola Richard, @silviosilver

    Whenever I hear a real Scot I cannot understand a fourth of what they are saying. It is a maddening accent. I understand all of McGilchrist’s words though they make little sense.

    I vote not true scotsman.

    He is a doctor. Keeping it real is not usually on their list.

    • Thanks: Mikel
    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Whenever I hear a real Scot I cannot understand a fourth of what they are saying.
     
    How do you fare with Australian accents? To stick with politicians, I'm sure you wouldn't have any trouble understanding former PM Kevin Rudd (a once strong libtard who has recently quietly redefined himself as a foreign policy realist, esp wrt China). Former PM John Howard or current PM Anthony Albanese might give you some more trouble, somewhat mitigated by their both speaking slowly. An older accent - fast fading from real life speech - like former Queensland premier Joh Bjelke-Petersen, especially when in conversational flow rather than delivering a prepared speech, might test you.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  511. @Sean
    @John Johnson

    In the early 80s the USSR may have had the edge on the US in ICBMs, and worry about a tactical nuclear war being fought on their territory, hence the German (and Austrian) aversion to all things nuclear expressed in the Green party's astounding success in Germany. Merkel brought the Greens into her government coalition and to keep them happy she announced the phase out of civil nuclear power, which was accelerated after Fukashima. The reliance of German productive capacity on low cost Russian energy was because of the aforementioned abandonment of nuclear power, and the manufacturing industry exports of Germany--the basis of Germany interest in the EU--is now heading for serious trouble if it continues to be such reliable ally of the US, which is demanding doubled military spending. Russia's war is applying pressure to Germany as a wedge against Superpower America's leadership of the Western alliance.


    The truth is that the dwarf could move his orc army back to his borders and the gas would flow
     
    What Washington is trying to get Russia to put on the table for a settlement (US telling Ukraine it ought to look at such a deal) is unclear, but I doubt Germany thinks a war that so exhausted Russia that is was willing to withdraw to its internationally recognised borders is one that is in Germany's interests because Russia shows no sign whatsoever of doing that. Perhaps Russia could be brought to the point that it would withdraw completely to Russia proper but that would be require a sudden massive amping up of help to Ukraine, which would be risky as the Russians might panic (the Germans certainly would). The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe " The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies." Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe ” The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies.”

    Because one side will compromise before the time it takes for Russia to resolve their import dependencies.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years where the border is in flux. Such long wars with ongoing border skirmishes are part of the past.

    Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    Surprisingly well? That is what you call losing at Tannenberg and then holding the border until the Communists made a deal with the Germans to leave before it was over?

    The 1917 revolution in part happened because their economy was racked by war. The war effort was poorly planned and Nicholas II ignored the civil unrest that was developing from a lack of food.

    Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    I don’t think psychology is the main limitation.

    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren’t getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @John Johnson

    Surprised to see that the Russian soldier needs to open the tin with a knife. No can openers? Better yet, modern tins of meat/fish most often include a snap on the top that you can pull back, like on Baltic sprats. And what's up with the blue and violet stuff? yuch!

    Ukrainian troop are fed much better and are often provided with bread and borsch and other great Ukrainian food that is lovingly made by the folks back home (or on the front lines), who appreciate what the soldiers are going through on the front lines. Kitchens are set-up all over Ukraine to prepare such meals.

    https://youtu.be/gyJIOrTOAw4

    Russian soldiers go back home and get a good home cooked meal!

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Sean
    @John Johnson


    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren’t getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?

     

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action. Prolly the Russian and Ukrainian armies both have units suitable for offensive action being carefully husbanded.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years
     
    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    I would note that Russian has been unable to advance West from Donetsk since 24th Fed 2022 at all, and that is because the Ukrainians had a very strongly fortified defence line to stop them where they were expected. So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced, which led to the Russians adding further defences in that area, and they are continually adding to them. Ukraine is not even at the first line yet.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F1oupkcXoAEjw5F?format=jpg&name=900x900

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Beckow, @John Johnson

  512. @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.
     
    And they were wrong to do so because America was committed to victory in both cases. The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I agree that the United States can win this war if it gets its act together. It's just that I have seen no evidence that the most incompetent admin in US history will do so.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @A123

    And they were wrong to do so because America was committed to victory in both cases. The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I agree that the United States can win this war if it gets its act together. It’s just that I have seen no evidence that the most incompetent admin in US history will do so.

    It is up to Ukraine to win the war.

    I’m not a fan of Biden and he should have pushed for more Bradleys and M1s earlier in the war.

    But there are congressional Republicans that would have given Ukraine much less.

  513. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    Russia’s difficulty producing civilian planes after 1990 is an interesting topic. My guess is the West wanted to keep the Russians captive for air travel even on Russian-built planes. This was a strange saga of interactions between Russia, Ukraine and the West.

    I really doubt there was some plan to keep them captive.

    The Russians probably just figured they should buy from Boeing and Airbus like everyone else.

    That was the period where Russia was being divided up by overnight billionaires with KGB connections. They were more interested in buying yachts than investing in local industry for the sake of Russian interest.

    Shock doctrine is a terrible idea and unsurprisingly was promoted by libertarian hero Milton Friedman. It's madness to suggest that some KGB ass kisser should wake up a billionaire thanks to his lucky free market stars. Some ass kisser that has no clue about how to run a company.

    Russia's switch from Communism to capitalism is indeed an interesting subject. I believe there would be less tension and far fewer mafia type leaders like Putin if they would have used a mixed model. I certainly don't support globalism or libertarianism. In fact ex-Soviet states should have been encouraged to develop industries for where there are few competitors in the West. To be clear I don't blame the West for what happened in the 90s even if the Milton Friedmans pushed their noxious ideas. Russian leaders knew of the alternatives but decided to let 'r rip.

    Replies: @QCIC

    Russia has a large military aviation industry. I think it is natural for them to keep the civilian sector alive to balance things out. The US does this.

    The West has always worked to take Russia down militarily. Western aviation companies do not want more competition. I think they controlled Russia by joint ventures requiring Western content in new aircraft designs to get project funding. This made the new planes totally vulnerable to sanctions since there is no black market for the parts. The SSJ100 and MC-21 are examples.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    I think they controlled Russia by joint ventures requiring Western content in new aircraft designs to get project funding. This made the new planes totally vulnerable to sanctions since there is no black market for the parts. The SSJ100 and MC-21 are examples.

    Nothing was stopping Putin from investing 1.5 billion into civilian airline designs instead of a gaudy mansion by the sea with a massive underground bunker.

    https://nypost.com/2023/05/18/inside-vladimir-putins-top-secret-bunker-on-the-black-sea/

    The Japanese made a lot of wise investments after losing WW2.

    Nothing stopped Russia from doing the same after 1991.

    How many Russian products have you purchased in the last 5 years? The typical US grocery store probably has more foodstuff from Romania.

  514. A123 says: • Website
    @LondonBob
    @songbird

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign, completely different audiences. I enjoyed Oppenheimer, but at three hours it was a bit much.

    Women do tend to allow gays to annex their territory.

    Replies: @A123, @John Johnson

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign

    The studios did not come up with it, so it really does not qualify as a ‘marketing campaign’.

    It is largely a joke that went viral. Though some of the trades are using it as a shorthand for the high number of tickets sold this weekend. Barbie has already crushed The Flash and will soon pass Dial of Destiny (1).

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Barbie-(2023)/Flash-The/Indiana-Jones-and-the-Dial-of-Destiny-(2023)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

  515. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    Does McGilchrist sound like, say, Alex Salmond or Nicola Sturgeon to you
     
    I've just listened to two random clips of them speaking and my answer is actually yes. Their accent is much stronger but there is a similarity in how the three of them pronounce some vowels and intone sentences. Just to set an example, when McGilchrist says "through", I'm hearing kind of a long "thruugh" that to me is typically Scottish. I think he sometimes slightly rolls his "r"s too.

    But there are very different Scottish dialects. I never really managed to fully understand Aberdonian, the one I got acquainted with, and the few times I heard Glaswegian it was an unintelligible language. All I can say is what sounds Scottish to me, which may or may not be totally a product of my imagination. It would be interesting to hear someone else chime in.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Emil Nikola Richard, @silviosilver

    Just to set an example, when McGilchrist

    Remember how you asked me to correct you whenever the need arose? Okay so in that spirit, it’s better to say “to give you an example” or “as an example.” To set an example means to be, or to promote, a model of proper behavior. “The captain’s brave stand set an example for the troops.”

    • Thanks: Mikel
  516. A123 says: • Website
    @Greasy William
    @John Johnson


    Germany made that same assumption in WW1 and WW2. We will win before the Americans can ramp up their war production.
     
    And they were wrong to do so because America was committed to victory in both cases. The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I agree that the United States can win this war if it gets its act together. It's just that I have seen no evidence that the most incompetent admin in US history will do so.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @A123

    The contemporary United States has given no indication whatsoever that it is politically capable of committing resources to the conflict on a scale greater than it is right now.

    I concur.

    I have made a very similar point. The MAGA led House controls appropriations. It is already pushing decreases and full audit accountability. Upcoming election politics will result in further cuts next year.

    America is not committed. Just the opposite. It is walking away from the Veggie-in-Chief’s folly.

    PEACE 😇

  517. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Whenever I hear a real Scot I cannot understand a fourth of what they are saying. It is a maddening accent. I understand all of McGilchrist's words though they make little sense.

    I vote not true scotsman.

    He is a doctor. Keeping it real is not usually on their list.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Whenever I hear a real Scot I cannot understand a fourth of what they are saying.

    How do you fare with Australian accents? To stick with politicians, I’m sure you wouldn’t have any trouble understanding former PM Kevin Rudd (a once strong libtard who has recently quietly redefined himself as a foreign policy realist, esp wrt China). Former PM John Howard or current PM Anthony Albanese might give you some more trouble, somewhat mitigated by their both speaking slowly. An older accent – fast fading from real life speech – like former Queensland premier Joh Bjelke-Petersen, especially when in conversational flow rather than delivering a prepared speech, might test you.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @silviosilver

    No problem with their accents.

    My brain rotates clockwise however.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  518. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Russia has a large military aviation industry. I think it is natural for them to keep the civilian sector alive to balance things out. The US does this.

    The West has always worked to take Russia down militarily. Western aviation companies do not want more competition. I think they controlled Russia by joint ventures requiring Western content in new aircraft designs to get project funding. This made the new planes totally vulnerable to sanctions since there is no black market for the parts. The SSJ100 and MC-21 are examples.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I think they controlled Russia by joint ventures requiring Western content in new aircraft designs to get project funding. This made the new planes totally vulnerable to sanctions since there is no black market for the parts. The SSJ100 and MC-21 are examples.

    Nothing was stopping Putin from investing 1.5 billion into civilian airline designs instead of a gaudy mansion by the sea with a massive underground bunker.

    https://nypost.com/2023/05/18/inside-vladimir-putins-top-secret-bunker-on-the-black-sea/

    The Japanese made a lot of wise investments after losing WW2.

    Nothing stopped Russia from doing the same after 1991.

    How many Russian products have you purchased in the last 5 years? The typical US grocery store probably has more foodstuff from Romania.

  519. @LondonBob
    @songbird

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign, completely different audiences. I enjoyed Oppenheimer, but at three hours it was a bit much.

    Women do tend to allow gays to annex their territory.

    Replies: @A123, @John Johnson

    Barbenheimer is the most ridiculous marketing campaign, completely different audiences. I enjoyed Oppenheimer, but at three hours it was a bit much.

    Thank God for that. Wife wanted to see it until she heard about it being 3 hours.

    I really have zero interest. I’ve watched a documentary and that was enough. He helps build the bomb and they drop it. What are they going to show me for 3 hours? Him shopping at the grocery store?

    I like WW2 movies but didn’t like Dunkirk. The lack of blood was weird and distracting.

    Women do tend to allow gays to annex their territory.

    Barbenheimer is proof that America has too many bored and aimless singles.

    Dune 2 is getting delayed which was the rare movie that I wanted to see in Imax.

    Of course.

  520. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe ” The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies.”

    Because one side will compromise before the time it takes for Russia to resolve their import dependencies.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years where the border is in flux. Such long wars with ongoing border skirmishes are part of the past.

    Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    Surprisingly well? That is what you call losing at Tannenberg and then holding the border until the Communists made a deal with the Germans to leave before it was over?

    The 1917 revolution in part happened because their economy was racked by war. The war effort was poorly planned and Nicholas II ignored the civil unrest that was developing from a lack of food.

    Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    I don't think psychology is the main limitation.

    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren't getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1Q4xuZh4cs

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Sean

    Surprised to see that the Russian soldier needs to open the tin with a knife. No can openers? Better yet, modern tins of meat/fish most often include a snap on the top that you can pull back, like on Baltic sprats. And what’s up with the blue and violet stuff? yuch!

    Ukrainian troop are fed much better and are often provided with bread and borsch and other great Ukrainian food that is lovingly made by the folks back home (or on the front lines), who appreciate what the soldiers are going through on the front lines. Kitchens are set-up all over Ukraine to prepare such meals.

    Russian soldiers go back home and get a good home cooked meal!

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    Surprised to see that the Russian soldier needs to open the tin with a knife. No can openers?

    Yea I thought the same thing. Very bad for a knife to use it as a can opener.

    They really can't provide a church key per squad?

    Better yet, modern tins of meat/fish most often include a snap on the top that you can pull back, like on Baltic sprats. And what’s up with the blue and violet stuff? yuch!

    Looks scary AF. Why would food be colored blue?

    Have you tried the latest MREs? They are delicious and come with a heating element for the main course.

  521. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The only prudent way to try defeat Russia is the frog boiling method to dishearten them, so it is far from obvious why anyone can believe ” The war will be over before Russia figures out how to replace all of their import dependencies.”

    Because one side will compromise before the time it takes for Russia to resolve their import dependencies.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years where the border is in flux. Such long wars with ongoing border skirmishes are part of the past.

    Russia did surprisingly well fighting the Germans in WW1, which as many have said the war in Ukraine is begining to closely resemble. Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    Surprisingly well? That is what you call losing at Tannenberg and then holding the border until the Communists made a deal with the Germans to leave before it was over?

    The 1917 revolution in part happened because their economy was racked by war. The war effort was poorly planned and Nicholas II ignored the civil unrest that was developing from a lack of food.

    Static battles suit the fatalistic Russian mindset.

    I don't think psychology is the main limitation.

    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren't getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1Q4xuZh4cs

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Sean

    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren’t getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action. Prolly the Russian and Ukrainian armies both have units suitable for offensive action being carefully husbanded.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years

    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    I would note that Russian has been unable to advance West from Donetsk since 24th Fed 2022 at all, and that is because the Ukrainians had a very strongly fortified defence line to stop them where they were expected. So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced, which led to the Russians adding further defences in that area, and they are continually adding to them. Ukraine is not even at the first line yet.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F1oupkcXoAEjw5F?format=jpg&name=900×900

    • LOL: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Sean

    So why are the Ukrainian troops better equipped, dressed, fed and motivated than the Russian ones? The oligarchs in Russia must be greedier than those in Ukraine. Russia is a much richer country than Ukraine, and had much more time to prepare for this war. Bad planning and bad motivation come immediately to mind.

    Replies: @Sean

    , @Beckow
    @Sean


    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.
     
    Correct. From that follow a few inevitable consequences:
    - Ukraine and Nato have to win to achieve their goals - that is almost impossible
    - Russia can sit back as long as its economy is functioning - it will function well enough
    - Over time all sides get worn out, Ukraine the most - it is not sustainable for Kiev
    - If Russia accepts Ukraine in Nato, they may as well pack up and shut down the shop - that was true before the war and Nato-Kiev ignoring it is why we have the bloodshed.

    The Western inability to acknowledge the Ukraine-in-Nato reality will have to change. Given how retarded and hypocritical the official Western thinking has become, it is hard to see how that will happen. Maybe over time they can let it slowly wither on the vine - but what about all the Ukie sacrifices? What the f..k is that for?

    Replies: @A123

    , @John Johnson
    @Sean

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action.

    So you believe it is acceptable to feed mobilized men on the front that food? Is that right? As long as they are basically cannon fodder?

    I just watched a video showing a Moscow grocery with canned food on the shelves. Is that acceptable?

    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.

    A compromise could end the war with Jan 2021 borders and no NATO for Ukraine.

    Putin may ultimately take what he can get.

    So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced

    Could easily happen through a collapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.

    Poorly fed and demoralized Russians simply walk away which is similar to what happened in WW1.

    Replies: @Sean

  522. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren’t getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?

     

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action. Prolly the Russian and Ukrainian armies both have units suitable for offensive action being carefully husbanded.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years
     
    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    I would note that Russian has been unable to advance West from Donetsk since 24th Fed 2022 at all, and that is because the Ukrainians had a very strongly fortified defence line to stop them where they were expected. So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced, which led to the Russians adding further defences in that area, and they are continually adding to them. Ukraine is not even at the first line yet.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F1oupkcXoAEjw5F?format=jpg&name=900x900

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Beckow, @John Johnson

    So why are the Ukrainian troops better equipped, dressed, fed and motivated than the Russian ones? The oligarchs in Russia must be greedier than those in Ukraine. Russia is a much richer country than Ukraine, and had much more time to prepare for this war. Bad planning and bad motivation come immediately to mind.

    • LOL: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Sean
    @Mr. Hack


    The oligarchs in Russia must be greedier than those in Ukraine. Russia is a much richer country than Ukraine
     
    Russia has accumulation of military wherewithal (artillery, shells ECT) raw materials and but it is not a rich country and must set priorities.

    So why are the Ukrainian troops better equipped, dressed, fed and motivated than the Russian ones?
     
    Morale is a function of victories. as can be seen by the way Ukrainian army morale had been restored by two big advances last year, and of late prolly is declining a bit relative to the Russians' given the disappointing results of the much vaunted Ukrainian counter-attack .
  523. @silviosilver
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Whenever I hear a real Scot I cannot understand a fourth of what they are saying.
     
    How do you fare with Australian accents? To stick with politicians, I'm sure you wouldn't have any trouble understanding former PM Kevin Rudd (a once strong libtard who has recently quietly redefined himself as a foreign policy realist, esp wrt China). Former PM John Howard or current PM Anthony Albanese might give you some more trouble, somewhat mitigated by their both speaking slowly. An older accent - fast fading from real life speech - like former Queensland premier Joh Bjelke-Petersen, especially when in conversational flow rather than delivering a prepared speech, might test you.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    No problem with their accents.

    My brain rotates clockwise however.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    What about the accents of these fellow equals?

    I'm not sure how much I really understood of any of that. Most of them I understood at least something; some of them I understood virtually all of it; but with some, essentially nothing.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  524. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @silviosilver

    No problem with their accents.

    My brain rotates clockwise however.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    What about the accents of these fellow equals?

    I’m not sure how much I really understood of any of that. Most of them I understood at least something; some of them I understood virtually all of it; but with some, essentially nothing.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @silviosilver

    Many of those fellows cannot read the street sign for their address.

    When they have a riot they burn down their own neighborhood. That is how ignorant they are.

    Did you see the Lex Friedman Kanye West interview? One of the funniest things on the internet is those guys arguing on whether the history of the jews or the negroes is more tragic. You have to sit through a lot of dead air to get there. Maybe put it on background while cleaning the house and attend .2 to the dead air.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  525. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren’t getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?

     

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action. Prolly the Russian and Ukrainian armies both have units suitable for offensive action being carefully husbanded.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years
     
    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    I would note that Russian has been unable to advance West from Donetsk since 24th Fed 2022 at all, and that is because the Ukrainians had a very strongly fortified defence line to stop them where they were expected. So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced, which led to the Russians adding further defences in that area, and they are continually adding to them. Ukraine is not even at the first line yet.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F1oupkcXoAEjw5F?format=jpg&name=900x900

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Beckow, @John Johnson

    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    Correct. From that follow a few inevitable consequences:
    – Ukraine and Nato have to win to achieve their goals – that is almost impossible
    – Russia can sit back as long as its economy is functioning – it will function well enough
    – Over time all sides get worn out, Ukraine the most – it is not sustainable for Kiev
    – If Russia accepts Ukraine in Nato, they may as well pack up and shut down the shop – that was true before the war and Nato-Kiev ignoring it is why we have the bloodshed.

    The Western inability to acknowledge the Ukraine-in-Nato reality will have to change. Given how retarded and hypocritical the official Western thinking has become, it is hard to see how that will happen. Maybe over time they can let it slowly wither on the vine – but what about all the Ukie sacrifices? What the f..k is that for?

    • Replies: @A123
    @Beckow

    I largely concur.


    – If Russia accepts Ukraine in Nato, they may as well pack up and shut down the shop

     

    Correct. The situation is well past the point of no return. Russia would resort to nukes before losing.

    – Russia can sit back as long as its economy is functioning – it will function well enough
    – Over time all sides get worn out, Ukraine the most – it is not sustainable for Kiev
     
    Russia is in the black. They would rather spend money on other things, but can sustain current expenditures for a decade or more if needed.

    Ukraine is bleeding money, totally dependant on outside transfers.

    Maybe over time they can let it slowly wither on the vine – but what about all the Ukie sacrifices? What the f..k is that for?
     
    America has nothing at stake and is walking away. Will Europe increase funding for Kiev aggression? If not, it will wither on the vine sooner rather than later.

    Christian Russian & Ukrainian youth have died & suffered for very little. Kiev brutalizing Russian ethnics was stupid and started this conflict. There was a chance with the Minsk deal, but Kiev walked away. The smart thing for Zelensky to do is realize that loss is inevitable and seek an immediate armistice.

    Ukraine would have done better by making a deal earlier. Now they must accept larger concessions. The general parameters of the peace deal are predictable and inevitable.
        -- Separation along something similar to the current line
        -- Sharp limits on Ukraine militarization, including no NATO ever
        -- A wide DMZ along most of the new border

    The DMZ would not be a No-Go land like Korea's. However, few people will choose that life. Mostly elderly and those with professions tied to the land. Sparsely populated with little to no opportunity for provocative head butting.

    Russia does not care if Ukraine joins the EU, so in terms of a peace deal that door will remain open. However, the question is, "Are EU member nations willing to unanimously admit Ukraine?"

    PEACE 😇
  526. @Mr. Hack
    @John Johnson

    Surprised to see that the Russian soldier needs to open the tin with a knife. No can openers? Better yet, modern tins of meat/fish most often include a snap on the top that you can pull back, like on Baltic sprats. And what's up with the blue and violet stuff? yuch!

    Ukrainian troop are fed much better and are often provided with bread and borsch and other great Ukrainian food that is lovingly made by the folks back home (or on the front lines), who appreciate what the soldiers are going through on the front lines. Kitchens are set-up all over Ukraine to prepare such meals.

    https://youtu.be/gyJIOrTOAw4

    Russian soldiers go back home and get a good home cooked meal!

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Surprised to see that the Russian soldier needs to open the tin with a knife. No can openers?

    Yea I thought the same thing. Very bad for a knife to use it as a can opener.

    They really can’t provide a church key per squad?

    Better yet, modern tins of meat/fish most often include a snap on the top that you can pull back, like on Baltic sprats. And what’s up with the blue and violet stuff? yuch!

    Looks scary AF. Why would food be colored blue?

    Have you tried the latest MREs? They are delicious and come with a heating element for the main course.

  527. @John Johnson
    @Beckow

    You are one weird guy. Let’s see US:

    How does that negate anything I said about Russia? Is everything just two sides in your mind?

    Iraq war – Lost

    Last I checked Saddam didn't win and they have elections.

    The question is whether or not removing his government was worth the effort.

    Libya – I don’t know what the hell happened there, but it certainly wasn’t a victory

    There was never a war against Libya by the US. NATO aided the rebellion with airstrikes. Gaddafi was executed by the rebels which was against the request of the US.

    Am I forgetting something?

    Yea just two world wars if we are going back to the Crimean war.

    The US also managed to keep their Communists in check.

    Your list about Russia is strange:
    Winter war was a victory, Finland lost and permanently gave up large territory with its second city, Vyborg.

    It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country but accepted the treaty:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    Should we also list losses of Germany, France and Britain? Or, god forbid, Italy or Poland? You really need to get over the hatred of “Russia”, it is not healthy.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That's not true. They have a mixed record.

    Hitler never would have rose to power if Imperial Russia had kept its Communists in check. Hundreds of millions would be alive if Nicholas simply put a bullet in Lenin instead of letting him walk.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Beckow

    …How does that negate anything I said about Russia?

    You left out the context. Your obsessive focus only on the faults and weaknesses of one side is deceptive. As would be only screaming about the “one-mistreated-black-man” in a situation where the crime statistics show the opposite. Your focus on Russia and ignoring that US-Nato has fought (and mostly lost) half a dozen aggressive wars is dishonest. Nobody outside your inner circle in the West sees it that way. The fact that you don’t get that is another big issue – like a child who thinks that if he cries loud enough he will get his way. Grow up.

    Winter war…It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country

    False, Russia only asked that Finland move far enough from StPetersburg so the Finnish artillery couldnt shell the city. Russia offered as compensation land in the north. Finland rejected the deal, lost the war and permanently lost a lot more territory, incl. Vyborg. Russia won and Finland lost, period. Get over your silly hallucinations to deny the obvious. Only sore losers do that.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That’s not true. They have a mixed record.

    Every country has a mixed record but Russia has been more successful than most. Russia always won when it really mattered – they won the big wars. Russia’s size tells you all you need to know. This war is a big one for Russia and they can’t lose. Try to think through what that means and stop escaping into silliness.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …How does that negate anything I said about Russia?
     
    You left out the context. Your obsessive focus only on the faults and weaknesses of one side is deceptive.

    It was a response to your statement about Russia that I quoted. The US is not fighting on the other side and their war record is irrelevant to your original point. The US is providing Ukraine with military aid along with over a dozen countries (including non-NATO Pakistan).

    That cost Finland permanently a lot more territory, including Vyborg. Russia won the war and Finland lost. Get over your silly hallucinations to deny the obvious. Only sore losers do that.

    Wikipedia doesn't list it as a Russian victory. Stalin intended to take the entire country and ended with 9% that he eventually gave back. A victory would be taking the entire country and adding it to the USSR. But feel free to go engage in Wikipedia edit wars. Maybe start with name calling.

    Every country has a mixed record but Russia has been more successful than most. Russia always won when it really mattered – they won the big wars.

    No they didn't win every big war. The Communists cut a deal with the Germans before WW1 had ended.

    Imperial Russia no longer existed as a result of the 1917 revolution. You didn't win a war if your own people create a revolution and make a deal with the enemy where you lose territory. Nicholas II certainly didn't win by being shot with his family.

    The Communist goal was to end the concept of national identity and Russia was the first target. The Germans were happy to help in order to get them out of the war. That is why they escorted Lenin back to Moscow.

    Replies: @Beckow

  528. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    What are these soldiers being expected to eat? They aren’t getting proper food and we are to believe their ammo supplies are reliable for a long war?

     

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action. Prolly the Russian and Ukrainian armies both have units suitable for offensive action being carefully husbanded.

    Neither side can afford war of 5-10 years
     
    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    I would note that Russian has been unable to advance West from Donetsk since 24th Fed 2022 at all, and that is because the Ukrainians had a very strongly fortified defence line to stop them where they were expected. So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced, which led to the Russians adding further defences in that area, and they are continually adding to them. Ukraine is not even at the first line yet.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F1oupkcXoAEjw5F?format=jpg&name=900x900

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @Beckow, @John Johnson

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action.

    So you believe it is acceptable to feed mobilized men on the front that food? Is that right? As long as they are basically cannon fodder?

    I just watched a video showing a Moscow grocery with canned food on the shelves. Is that acceptable?

    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.

    A compromise could end the war with Jan 2021 borders and no NATO for Ukraine.

    Putin may ultimately take what he can get.

    So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced

    Could easily happen through a collapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.

    Poorly fed and demoralized Russians simply walk away which is similar to what happened in WW1.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @John Johnson


    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.
     
    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine's Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn't they?

    U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    OFFICE OF THE SPOKESPERSON

    NOVEMBER 10, 2021

    The following is the text of the U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership signed by U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba in Washington, D.C. on November 10, 2021U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    Guided by the April 3, 2008 Bucharest Summit Declaration of the NATO North Atlantic Council and as reaffirmed in the June 14, 2021 Brussels Summit Communique of the NATO North Atlantic Council, the United States supports Ukraine’s right to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO.
     
    The Russians did not seems to think that Ukraine could not join NATO because the build up for the invasion started. In December 2021 Bliken spoke of “The unwavering commitment of the United States to Ukraine’s territorial integrity, sovereignty, its independence… that is a view that not only the United States holds but all of our NATO allies hold as well". The Kremlin seems to have believed him because they invaded Ukraine two months later.

    {C]ollapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.
     
    Realistically, a collapse in Russian troops' morale would be predictably be caused by Ukraine effortlessly advancing through Russia's defence lines and racing for the sea. Yet the Ukrainiana' plan for doing that was an outdated mobile warfare by armoured forces offensive, which has signally failed.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Wokechoke

  529. @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...How does that negate anything I said about Russia?
     
    You left out the context. Your obsessive focus only on the faults and weaknesses of one side is deceptive. As would be only screaming about the "one-mistreated-black-man" in a situation where the crime statistics show the opposite. Your focus on Russia and ignoring that US-Nato has fought (and mostly lost) half a dozen aggressive wars is dishonest. Nobody outside your inner circle in the West sees it that way. The fact that you don't get that is another big issue - like a child who thinks that if he cries loud enough he will get his way. Grow up.

    Winter war...It was a draw because Stalin had planned on taking the entire country
     
    False, Russia only asked that Finland move far enough from StPetersburg so the Finnish artillery couldnt shell the city. Russia offered as compensation land in the north. Finland rejected the deal, lost the war and permanently lost a lot more territory, incl. Vyborg. Russia won and Finland lost, period. Get over your silly hallucinations to deny the obvious. Only sore losers do that.

    I was responding to your assertion that Russia is always formidable in war. That’s not true. They have a mixed record.
     
    Every country has a mixed record but Russia has been more successful than most. Russia always won when it really mattered - they won the big wars. Russia's size tells you all you need to know. This war is a big one for Russia and they can't lose. Try to think through what that means and stop escaping into silliness.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    …How does that negate anything I said about Russia?

    You left out the context. Your obsessive focus only on the faults and weaknesses of one side is deceptive.

    It was a response to your statement about Russia that I quoted. The US is not fighting on the other side and their war record is irrelevant to your original point. The US is providing Ukraine with military aid along with over a dozen countries (including non-NATO Pakistan).

    That cost Finland permanently a lot more territory, including Vyborg. Russia won the war and Finland lost. Get over your silly hallucinations to deny the obvious. Only sore losers do that.

    Wikipedia doesn’t list it as a Russian victory. Stalin intended to take the entire country and ended with 9% that he eventually gave back. A victory would be taking the entire country and adding it to the USSR. But feel free to go engage in Wikipedia edit wars. Maybe start with name calling.

    Every country has a mixed record but Russia has been more successful than most. Russia always won when it really mattered – they won the big wars.

    No they didn’t win every big war. The Communists cut a deal with the Germans before WW1 had ended.

    Imperial Russia no longer existed as a result of the 1917 revolution. You didn’t win a war if your own people create a revolution and make a deal with the enemy where you lose territory. Nicholas II certainly didn’t win by being shot with his family.

    The Communist goal was to end the concept of national identity and Russia was the first target. The Germans were happy to help in order to get them out of the war. That is why they escorted Lenin back to Moscow.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    Oh, boy..."wiki doesn't say it was a victory...", even for you that is one crazily stupid statement. How about the State Department? Did you check with them if the Afghanistan or Iraq wars are listed as victories? I wonder what they would say...

    Few corrections: US is fighting on the Kiev's side, so its record is very relevant. You equated US previously to Luxembourg, now it is "Pakistan", I guess you are moving up. But still very, very stupid. Comparing how powers did in wars is legitimate - only listing one side is deceptive.

    WW1 was won primarily by France, they dictated the peace terms. WW2 in Europe was won by the Soviet Union. Russia abandoned WW1 due to the Bolshie Revolution, it was a civil war disaster, but WW2 was a direct continuation of WW1, Russia recovered all its losses.

    Cold War was not a war and it ended with a reconciliation that the West than declared a "victory" and tried to take an advantage off - the Ukraine war is de facto the Cold War that wasn't. At the end of this war we will know who won the Cold War. You are jumping the gun, history takes a long time.

    Finland lost the war. They didn't get back the "territory" as you falsely claim. (Why do you lie so much?) Here is the very biased wiki:


    Finland lost industrialised territory and 9% of Finnish territory. The ceded territory included 13 percent of Finland's economic assets, 12 percent of Finland's population, 422,000 to 450,000 Karelians... The Hanko peninsula was leased to the Soviet Union as a military base for 30 years. The region of Petsamo, captured by the Red Army during the war, was returned to Finland according to the treaty.

    Finnish concessions and territorial losses exceeded Soviet pre-war demands. Before the war, the Soviet Union demanded for the frontier with Finland on the Karelian Isthmus to be moved westward to a point 30 kilometres east of Vyborg...

     

    Russia's demands before the war were arrogant, but justified given that Finland was a German ally who could destroy St.Petersburg with artillery. Finland ended up losing a lot more. Russia won the war. You are a sore loser.

    Look, this is not about name calling, but you are clearly a moron or you choose to play one here. Whatever... Since you don't engage on a substantive level in this discussion, I will just let you go.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  530. A123 says: • Website
    @Beckow
    @Sean


    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.
     
    Correct. From that follow a few inevitable consequences:
    - Ukraine and Nato have to win to achieve their goals - that is almost impossible
    - Russia can sit back as long as its economy is functioning - it will function well enough
    - Over time all sides get worn out, Ukraine the most - it is not sustainable for Kiev
    - If Russia accepts Ukraine in Nato, they may as well pack up and shut down the shop - that was true before the war and Nato-Kiev ignoring it is why we have the bloodshed.

    The Western inability to acknowledge the Ukraine-in-Nato reality will have to change. Given how retarded and hypocritical the official Western thinking has become, it is hard to see how that will happen. Maybe over time they can let it slowly wither on the vine - but what about all the Ukie sacrifices? What the f..k is that for?

    Replies: @A123

    I largely concur.

    – If Russia accepts Ukraine in Nato, they may as well pack up and shut down the shop

    Correct. The situation is well past the point of no return. Russia would resort to nukes before losing.

    – Russia can sit back as long as its economy is functioning – it will function well enough
    – Over time all sides get worn out, Ukraine the most – it is not sustainable for Kiev

    Russia is in the black. They would rather spend money on other things, but can sustain current expenditures for a decade or more if needed.

    Ukraine is bleeding money, totally dependant on outside transfers.

    Maybe over time they can let it slowly wither on the vine – but what about all the Ukie sacrifices? What the f..k is that for?

    America has nothing at stake and is walking away. Will Europe increase funding for Kiev aggression? If not, it will wither on the vine sooner rather than later.

    Christian Russian & Ukrainian youth have died & suffered for very little. Kiev brutalizing Russian ethnics was stupid and started this conflict. There was a chance with the Minsk deal, but Kiev walked away. The smart thing for Zelensky to do is realize that loss is inevitable and seek an immediate armistice.

    Ukraine would have done better by making a deal earlier. Now they must accept larger concessions. The general parameters of the peace deal are predictable and inevitable.
        — Separation along something similar to the current line
        — Sharp limits on Ukraine militarization, including no NATO ever
        — A wide DMZ along most of the new border

    The DMZ would not be a No-Go land like Korea’s. However, few people will choose that life. Mostly elderly and those with professions tied to the land. Sparsely populated with little to no opportunity for provocative head butting.

    Russia does not care if Ukraine joins the EU, so in terms of a peace deal that door will remain open. However, the question is, “Are EU member nations willing to unanimously admit Ukraine?”

    PEACE 😇

    • Agree: Beckow
  531. @Coconuts
    @silviosilver

    McGilchirst sounds mainly English to me, but with some slight Scottish influence. In my experience sometimes very educated Irish people can also sound like this, but with a slight Irish touch instead of a Scottish one.


    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views.
     
    From what I could tell of that interview with Jordan Peterson, McGilchrist's ideas are another installment in a saga that started in the 19th century when the attacks on the Enlightenment combination of mechanical philosophy + supremacy of Enligtenment Reason + political liberalism started to build momentum. There was Darwin, Marx, Freud (and/or Jung), Nietzsche and all the others.

    Probably it's not surprising that after a strong assertion of the supremacy of Liberalism and the legacy of the 18th century Enlightenment earlier in this century, around the time of the War on Terror, you can see the renewal of the same counter tendencies (present in both the Woke movement and someone like Peterson, the Jungian).

    Replies: @Mikel

    McGilchirst sounds mainly English to me, but with some slight Scottish influence.

    Thanks for chiming in from the UK. I’m going to stand corrected then. Somehow, when I first listened to him a few days ago I got immediately transported to Scotland and thought that’s how anyone else would feel listening to him. I didn’t really mean a slight accent but an easily identifiable Scottish one. However, I have never been too good at recognizing accents in English so I guess my mind tricked me (the left side of my brain playing its games, obviously).

    I am going to say one more thing on this subject though. What I personally hear in this video is a guy speaking in a clear American accent, another one speaking in a pretty standard UK-English accent and another one (McGilchrist) speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds “Scottish”:

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds “Scottish”:
     
    This is getting bizarre, lol. In this video, McGilchrist sounds more Scottish to me than in any of the handful of videos I sampled before my original reply to you. I mean, he still sounds mainly English, but I hear more definite hints of Scottish influence in this vid than in any of the others.

    Also, since he features in this video, how well do you understand Michael Levin's position? (His views, not his accent!) I find him intriguing, but most of his stuff is pitched at a level that is simply too advanced for me. I find Donald Hoffman similarly intriguing, but as soon as he moves beyond a basic level - and he does this a lot, you could never accuse him of dumbing anything down - I quickly get lost.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikel

  532. @Greasy William
    @LondonBob

    Russia has also hired new workers and is producing all forms of ammunition 24/7. That is a good point that the massive amount of slack in the capacity utilization of the Russian armaments industry means that is easy to rapidly expand production when necessary. Excellent point.

    Even still, Russia is expanding its arms industry and its armed forces.

    The idea that unsustainable levels of peacetime defense spending are what brought down the Soviet Union is rank nonsense. The Soviets collapsed due to the inefficiencies of centrally planned state socialism over all aspects of the civilian economy. Contemporary Russia (and China) have avoided this mistake. They are using a mixed economic model more similar to that of Nazi Germany, which is vastly more productive and resilient. For example: the Soviet Union was a net food importer, the Russian Federation is the second largest food exporter in the world.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    I just bought a Ukranian knife – not as a form of race treachery, but just cus it’s cool.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  533. @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …How does that negate anything I said about Russia?
     
    You left out the context. Your obsessive focus only on the faults and weaknesses of one side is deceptive.

    It was a response to your statement about Russia that I quoted. The US is not fighting on the other side and their war record is irrelevant to your original point. The US is providing Ukraine with military aid along with over a dozen countries (including non-NATO Pakistan).

    That cost Finland permanently a lot more territory, including Vyborg. Russia won the war and Finland lost. Get over your silly hallucinations to deny the obvious. Only sore losers do that.

    Wikipedia doesn't list it as a Russian victory. Stalin intended to take the entire country and ended with 9% that he eventually gave back. A victory would be taking the entire country and adding it to the USSR. But feel free to go engage in Wikipedia edit wars. Maybe start with name calling.

    Every country has a mixed record but Russia has been more successful than most. Russia always won when it really mattered – they won the big wars.

    No they didn't win every big war. The Communists cut a deal with the Germans before WW1 had ended.

    Imperial Russia no longer existed as a result of the 1917 revolution. You didn't win a war if your own people create a revolution and make a deal with the enemy where you lose territory. Nicholas II certainly didn't win by being shot with his family.

    The Communist goal was to end the concept of national identity and Russia was the first target. The Germans were happy to help in order to get them out of the war. That is why they escorted Lenin back to Moscow.

    Replies: @Beckow

    Oh, boy…”wiki doesn’t say it was a victory…“, even for you that is one crazily stupid statement. How about the State Department? Did you check with them if the Afghanistan or Iraq wars are listed as victories? I wonder what they would say…

    Few corrections: US is fighting on the Kiev’s side, so its record is very relevant. You equated US previously to Luxembourg, now it is “Pakistan”, I guess you are moving up. But still very, very stupid. Comparing how powers did in wars is legitimate – only listing one side is deceptive.

    WW1 was won primarily by France, they dictated the peace terms. WW2 in Europe was won by the Soviet Union. Russia abandoned WW1 due to the Bolshie Revolution, it was a civil war disaster, but WW2 was a direct continuation of WW1, Russia recovered all its losses.

    Cold War was not a war and it ended with a reconciliation that the West than declared a “victory” and tried to take an advantage off – the Ukraine war is de facto the Cold War that wasn’t. At the end of this war we will know who won the Cold War. You are jumping the gun, history takes a long time.

    Finland lost the war. They didn’t get back the “territory” as you falsely claim. (Why do you lie so much?) Here is the very biased wiki:

    Finland lost industrialised territory and 9% of Finnish territory. The ceded territory included 13 percent of Finland’s economic assets, 12 percent of Finland’s population, 422,000 to 450,000 Karelians… The Hanko peninsula was leased to the Soviet Union as a military base for 30 years. The region of Petsamo, captured by the Red Army during the war, was returned to Finland according to the treaty.

    Finnish concessions and territorial losses exceeded Soviet pre-war demands. Before the war, the Soviet Union demanded for the frontier with Finland on the Karelian Isthmus to be moved westward to a point 30 kilometres east of Vyborg…

    Russia’s demands before the war were arrogant, but justified given that Finland was a German ally who could destroy St.Petersburg with artillery. Finland ended up losing a lot more. Russia won the war. You are a sore loser.

    Look, this is not about name calling, but you are clearly a moron or you choose to play one here. Whatever… Since you don’t engage on a substantive level in this discussion, I will just let you go.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    WW1 was won primarily by France, they dictated the peace terms.
     
    France would not have won WWI without the US, its unsecured loans to the Entente, and the fact that the US provided the Entente with an almost limitless supply of manpower that possibly convinced the Germans that they could not fight on in an attempt to bleed the Entente to exhaustion.
  534. @Mikel
    @Coconuts


    McGilchirst sounds mainly English to me, but with some slight Scottish influence.
     
    Thanks for chiming in from the UK. I'm going to stand corrected then. Somehow, when I first listened to him a few days ago I got immediately transported to Scotland and thought that's how anyone else would feel listening to him. I didn't really mean a slight accent but an easily identifiable Scottish one. However, I have never been too good at recognizing accents in English so I guess my mind tricked me (the left side of my brain playing its games, obviously).

    I am going to say one more thing on this subject though. What I personally hear in this video is a guy speaking in a clear American accent, another one speaking in a pretty standard UK-English accent and another one (McGilchrist) speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds "Scottish":

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n8TMJuxdMVo

    Replies: @silviosilver

    speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds “Scottish”:

    This is getting bizarre, lol. In this video, McGilchrist sounds more Scottish to me than in any of the handful of videos I sampled before my original reply to you. I mean, he still sounds mainly English, but I hear more definite hints of Scottish influence in this vid than in any of the others.

    Also, since he features in this video, how well do you understand Michael Levin’s position? (His views, not his accent!) I find him intriguing, but most of his stuff is pitched at a level that is simply too advanced for me. I find Donald Hoffman similarly intriguing, but as soon as he moves beyond a basic level – and he does this a lot, you could never accuse him of dumbing anything down – I quickly get lost.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @silviosilver

    Oh, boy…”wiki doesn’t say it was a victory…“, even for you that is one crazily stupid statement.

    Wikipedia lists the Polish-Soviet War as victory

    Result
    Polish victory
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish%E2%80%93Soviet_War

    Crimean war shows Allied victory

    Result Allied victory
    Allied victory
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War

    While Winter war shows it ending in a peace treaty
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    It isn't a military victory when a much larger state tries to take a smaller country and only gets a slice after losing a series of battles. Stalin wanted all of Finland and only compromised after Russians were cut down by Finns. Hitler was in fact motivated to invade the USSR after the Red Army's poor performance.

    Maybe go get into an edit war instead of taking it personally that I quoted Wikipedia. Geez calm down.

    US is fighting on the Kiev’s side, so its record is very relevant.

    No they are not fighting. They are supplying arms. Is Pakistan fighting on the side of Ukraine by supplying arms? Do we need to go over Pakistan's war records because you are upset with me for pointing out that Russia has a mixed record and does not always win?

    Russia’s demands before the war were arrogant, but justified given that Finland was a German ally who could destroy St.Petersburg with artillery. Finland ended up losing a lot more. Russia won the war. You are a sore loser.

    It was a complex deal that was made because Stalin was afraid of simply taking Finland like he did with the Baltics. Stalin chose to not take all of Finland at the end of WW2 and allowed them land/sovereignty while gobbling up Eastern European states that didn't align with Nazis.

    I'm not sore over the Winter War. If anything it is an embarrassment to the Russians. I actually don't get emotional over wars that didn't involve my country and happened over 70 years ago. You on the other hand are clearly emotionally tied to the pro-Putin fantasy that "Russia always prevails" which has never been true. They are in fact still butt-hurt over getting an ass kicking by Poles and that included some Ukrainians that weren't convinced the whole Communism thing was a good idea.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk. Nicholas II had no problem cutting down all kinds of Europeans with machine guns but didn't have the fortitude to take out a lone Communist.

    The Nazis never would have rose to power if the Russians took out Lenin as the Germans did to their Communist leader (Rosa Luxemburg). A loser Tsar just like Putin that failed to act in the best interest of his country and Europe had to suffer. Ironically the person that got closest to killing Lenin was a left-wing Jew (Fanny Kaplan).

    Now we have a loser dwarf causing suffering with his needless war. So let's send another 100k Russian Slavs to the front with blue food and lousy boots cause the Tsar can't admit this was an awful idea. We don't have democracy because it works well. We have democracy because bitter little men like Putin make a complete mess of dictatorial powers for their own pathetic egos.

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @Mikel
    @silviosilver

    OK, so there's some hope. I clearly overstated how Scottish he sounds, as several people (one of them from the UK) didn't get that impression, but my perception was not entirely made up.

    As for your question, I didn't know who this Michael Levin was until yesterday (I only knew about Michael Levin the philosopher and IQ writer) and I only listened to 1/3 of that video yesterday so I can't say much. But I did get the impression that these gentlemen were mainly engaged in butting their high intellects against each other without getting anywhere in particular. I'm not planning to listen to the rest.

    In general, I'm not getting much from these philosophical videos with McGilchrist. There is a reason why people write books, they're much better designed to convey ideas in a comprehensive and structured way. Only McG takes that to the extreme but I fear I have no way out but to retake the last part of his essay. Perhaps when the days get shorter and experiencing the heat outdoors doesn't make me feel sleepy in the evenings.

    There is a lot of excellent stuff on YT though, especially in the science, history and hobbies sections. There may be some video out there where McG gets challenged in some debate, rather than a polite philosophical conversation, and that should be much more interesting.

  535. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity –

    Surely true.
     

    That is surely some winning prose, but as is typically the case with leftist idealism, it is too detached from reality, and is thus dangerous to take too seriously.

    – they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.
     
    Poppycock. The alt right isn't driven by some 'need' to inflict cruelty on people. You may fairly maintain that 'cruelty' (however you define it) is what would result from alt right policies, but it's a bit much for you to insist - rather uncharitably and, for you, uncharacteristically - that cruelty, of itself, is what we're after.

    And indeed we can all do that right now – amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power – those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as “ontological wonder”.
     
    There's little doubt you and I would disagree on what constitutes the 'wreckage,' but I'm not here today to rehash our disagreements. I would like to talk about something else entirely. You strike me as the archetypal eternal seeker, and a question I have for you is: have you ever felt entirely at home in the world? For someone who spends as much time mourning the passing of the old ways as I do, it may surprise you that my answer to the same question is: I really don't think I have.

    From the youngest, I have had had abiding sense that I don't quite belong here. And I don't mean that in the superficial sense that I have felt awkward or out of place, which I'm sure for young people is quite common. I mean more in the sense that this world, regardless of how poorly or how well it arranges its affairs, is not really my home; it's a staging post, and that I and people like me - nowadays, I'd say humanity at large (but I didn't always think this) - are journeying from and are destined for some place else.

    Why exactly we had to 'stop' here on earth (or anywhere on the material plane) is unclear, or has been forgotten, but we are tasked with finding that reason, resupplying, retooling, and then continuing the journey. Of course, humankind has known many journeys. We have travelled from ignorance to understanding, poverty to opulence, bondage to liberation, and most recently, appearance to substance. But the ultimate journey, in this view, is from immanence to transcendence; and the question is how do we do it?

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The decline of American empire is an unavoidable fact – and not because of the rise of China, which doesn’t seem so formidable anymore, but because the dominant global philosophy of scientific reductionism is gradually exhausting the whole world of it’s vitality and exuberance, and disconnecting us from any creative contact with genuine reality.

    But ones attitude to this unavoidable fact can take variable forms – and there is nothing unrealistic in thinking that this decline will loosen the grip of that devitalizing philosophy, providing space for individuals and groups to chart a new course that restores them to health and vitality.

    This sense of reduced possibilities, this impoverished sense of what’s realistic, is itself a notable feature of the dominant reductionist philosophy – as David Graeber said, there has been a war on the human imagination.

    No, I stand by that – a significant portion of the psychology of the Alt-Right is simple cruelty. I understand cruelty to be an attempt to increase one’s sense of self worth by causing pain to, or degrading and humiliating, other people.

    It’s a classic and timeless human response to feelings of worthlessness, based on the idea that for me to be up you have to be down.

    Now, that doesn’t necessarily exhaust the motivations of people drawn to the Alt-Right, or imply that it’s positions contain zero merit whatsoever, or that such people aren’t themselves victims of the dislocating forces of modernity and capitalism, and deserving a measure of compassion.

    I even think some Alt-Right critiques can shed genuine light on negative social trends, although rarely in the precise way it’s formulated, and the preferred solutions are uniformly calculated to exacerbate the problem.

    But one can be against immigration without the special venom and spite of someone like Vox Day, for instance, or one can be a nationalist without the malice, spite, and sneering contempt of someone like Ivashka here, for instance.

    Isaiah Berling famously said that in the Britain of his time, an anti-Semite is someone who hates Jews more than is strictly necessary. The Alt-Right are people who hate immigrants, and other groups in general, more than would be strictly necessary for a decent and sane nationalist – although I’m worried that tepid formula doesn’t come close to exhausting the full moral depravity of the Alt-Right on a whole range of issues.

    I’m going to answer your questions about feeling at home in the world in another comment. It’s an interesting and important question.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Is there one human on the planet who self-identifies as alt.right since summer 2017? I can't think of one. You are writing about something I believe does not now exist.

  536. Want to plant oak and maple trees on property.
    Any tips or just go for it?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Sher Singh

    Was going to say plant one of these Moon trees, but apparently no oak or maple.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_tree

    Just make sure you don't plant too close to your house because trees can do a lot of damage to the roof (especially by encouraging squirrels) and foundation. They can also break water pipes.

    If the tree splits at the bottom, cut it down. Such trees tend to rot hollow, at center.

    Don't think this is a great time to plant. Would wait until autumn.

    Replies: @A123

  537. Ukrainian Offensive Nears 2 Month Mark: Little Left to Replace Heavy Losses

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Ukrainian Offensive Nears 2 Month Mark: Little Left to Replace Heavy Losses

    Your source is a known Russian defender talking to a web cam.

    Well I'm convinced.

    MacGregor and Ritter told us last year that Ukraine was down to old men and boys. Inside sources they told us.

    Ritter's latest claim is that the F16s won't hit a single target.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  538. @silviosilver
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    What about the accents of these fellow equals?

    I'm not sure how much I really understood of any of that. Most of them I understood at least something; some of them I understood virtually all of it; but with some, essentially nothing.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Many of those fellows cannot read the street sign for their address.

    When they have a riot they burn down their own neighborhood. That is how ignorant they are.

    Did you see the Lex Friedman Kanye West interview? One of the funniest things on the internet is those guys arguing on whether the history of the jews or the negroes is more tragic. You have to sit through a lot of dead air to get there. Maybe put it on background while cleaning the house and attend .2 to the dead air.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Emil Nikola Richard


    Did you see the Lex Friedman Kanye West interview?
     
    No, I couldn't care less about anything that silly groid (or any other silly groid) thinks. I was entertained by the spectacle, but unlike many on the diss right, I couldn't see anything useful emerging from it. If it has any enduring power to sour black-Jew relations, okay good, but I doubt that matters very much in the grand scheme of things. (Troubled relations have never prevented Jews from using blacks as an anti-white battering ram before and won't any time soon.)

    Lex gets some very good interviewees (twits like Kanye are the exception) and asks intelligent questions. His monotone delivery grates on me so I haven't listened to as many as I would like.
  539. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    The decline of American empire is an unavoidable fact - and not because of the rise of China, which doesn't seem so formidable anymore, but because the dominant global philosophy of scientific reductionism is gradually exhausting the whole world of it's vitality and exuberance, and disconnecting us from any creative contact with genuine reality.

    But ones attitude to this unavoidable fact can take variable forms - and there is nothing unrealistic in thinking that this decline will loosen the grip of that devitalizing philosophy, providing space for individuals and groups to chart a new course that restores them to health and vitality.

    This sense of reduced possibilities, this impoverished sense of what's realistic, is itself a notable feature of the dominant reductionist philosophy - as David Graeber said, there has been a war on the human imagination.

    No, I stand by that - a significant portion of the psychology of the Alt-Right is simple cruelty. I understand cruelty to be an attempt to increase one's sense of self worth by causing pain to, or degrading and humiliating, other people.

    It's a classic and timeless human response to feelings of worthlessness, based on the idea that for me to be up you have to be down.

    Now, that doesn't necessarily exhaust the motivations of people drawn to the Alt-Right, or imply that it's positions contain zero merit whatsoever, or that such people aren't themselves victims of the dislocating forces of modernity and capitalism, and deserving a measure of compassion.

    I even think some Alt-Right critiques can shed genuine light on negative social trends, although rarely in the precise way it's formulated, and the preferred solutions are uniformly calculated to exacerbate the problem.

    But one can be against immigration without the special venom and spite of someone like Vox Day, for instance, or one can be a nationalist without the malice, spite, and sneering contempt of someone like Ivashka here, for instance.

    Isaiah Berling famously said that in the Britain of his time, an anti-Semite is someone who hates Jews more than is strictly necessary. The Alt-Right are people who hate immigrants, and other groups in general, more than would be strictly necessary for a decent and sane nationalist - although I'm worried that tepid formula doesn't come close to exhausting the full moral depravity of the Alt-Right on a whole range of issues.

    I'm going to answer your questions about feeling at home in the world in another comment. It's an interesting and important question.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Is there one human on the planet who self-identifies as alt.right since summer 2017? I can’t think of one. You are writing about something I believe does not now exist.

  540. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds “Scottish”:
     
    This is getting bizarre, lol. In this video, McGilchrist sounds more Scottish to me than in any of the handful of videos I sampled before my original reply to you. I mean, he still sounds mainly English, but I hear more definite hints of Scottish influence in this vid than in any of the others.

    Also, since he features in this video, how well do you understand Michael Levin's position? (His views, not his accent!) I find him intriguing, but most of his stuff is pitched at a level that is simply too advanced for me. I find Donald Hoffman similarly intriguing, but as soon as he moves beyond a basic level - and he does this a lot, you could never accuse him of dumbing anything down - I quickly get lost.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikel

    Oh, boy…”wiki doesn’t say it was a victory…“, even for you that is one crazily stupid statement.

    Wikipedia lists the Polish-Soviet War as victory

    Result
    Polish victory
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish%E2%80%93Soviet_War

    Crimean war shows Allied victory

    Result Allied victory
    Allied victory
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War

    While Winter war shows it ending in a peace treaty
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    It isn’t a military victory when a much larger state tries to take a smaller country and only gets a slice after losing a series of battles. Stalin wanted all of Finland and only compromised after Russians were cut down by Finns. Hitler was in fact motivated to invade the USSR after the Red Army’s poor performance.

    Maybe go get into an edit war instead of taking it personally that I quoted Wikipedia. Geez calm down.

    US is fighting on the Kiev’s side, so its record is very relevant.

    No they are not fighting. They are supplying arms. Is Pakistan fighting on the side of Ukraine by supplying arms? Do we need to go over Pakistan’s war records because you are upset with me for pointing out that Russia has a mixed record and does not always win?

    Russia’s demands before the war were arrogant, but justified given that Finland was a German ally who could destroy St.Petersburg with artillery. Finland ended up losing a lot more. Russia won the war. You are a sore loser.

    It was a complex deal that was made because Stalin was afraid of simply taking Finland like he did with the Baltics. Stalin chose to not take all of Finland at the end of WW2 and allowed them land/sovereignty while gobbling up Eastern European states that didn’t align with Nazis.

    I’m not sore over the Winter War. If anything it is an embarrassment to the Russians. I actually don’t get emotional over wars that didn’t involve my country and happened over 70 years ago. You on the other hand are clearly emotionally tied to the pro-Putin fantasy that “Russia always prevails” which has never been true. They are in fact still butt-hurt over getting an ass kicking by Poles and that included some Ukrainians that weren’t convinced the whole Communism thing was a good idea.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk. Nicholas II had no problem cutting down all kinds of Europeans with machine guns but didn’t have the fortitude to take out a lone Communist.

    The Nazis never would have rose to power if the Russians took out Lenin as the Germans did to their Communist leader (Rosa Luxemburg). A loser Tsar just like Putin that failed to act in the best interest of his country and Europe had to suffer. Ironically the person that got closest to killing Lenin was a left-wing Jew (Fanny Kaplan).

    Now we have a loser dwarf causing suffering with his needless war. So let’s send another 100k Russian Slavs to the front with blue food and lousy boots cause the Tsar can’t admit this was an awful idea. We don’t have democracy because it works well. We have democracy because bitter little men like Putin make a complete mess of dictatorial powers for their own pathetic egos.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...Result: Polish victory
     
    It was the only Polish victory since the late 17th century - 300 years!!! Something to think about given that Poland prides itself to be a country with a martial spirit.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk.
     
    Nicholas II was overthrown in February 2017 and Lenin came from Switzerland exile in April - they never overlapped, how could he have him shot? You are quite ignorant, almost comically so.

    Same with Finland - you lied that they got their lost lands back after WW2. They didn't. Russia won the Winter war, if that embarrasses you, we can't help you. But your sour grapes are no way to go through life.

    You are quoting "wiki" like it is the holy script. It is similar to quoting the Great Soviet Encyclopedia - there are some facts, but it was very heavily edited for a particular point of view. Or the Otto's Encyclopedia - published under the Habsburgs - it lists the years and numbers mostly ok, but the Emperors can do no wrong and the German culture is superior. Wiki is the same, all of its political-history sections may as well be written by the US state department. Grow up.

    I am sensing that you are increasingly hysterical because Russia is slowly winning the war. You are so emotionally invested in your hatreds that this will be very hard on you.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  541. @Mikhail
    Ukrainian Offensive Nears 2 Month Mark: Little Left to Replace Heavy Losses

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKFiJ37Uwi8

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Ukrainian Offensive Nears 2 Month Mark: Little Left to Replace Heavy Losses

    Your source is a known Russian defender talking to a web cam.

    Well I’m convinced.

    MacGregor and Ritter told us last year that Ukraine was down to old men and boys. Inside sources they told us.

    Ritter’s latest claim is that the F16s won’t hit a single target.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    Sure beats your sources.

  542. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    speaking in quite a different way from the previous one that to my confused ears sounds “Scottish”:
     
    This is getting bizarre, lol. In this video, McGilchrist sounds more Scottish to me than in any of the handful of videos I sampled before my original reply to you. I mean, he still sounds mainly English, but I hear more definite hints of Scottish influence in this vid than in any of the others.

    Also, since he features in this video, how well do you understand Michael Levin's position? (His views, not his accent!) I find him intriguing, but most of his stuff is pitched at a level that is simply too advanced for me. I find Donald Hoffman similarly intriguing, but as soon as he moves beyond a basic level - and he does this a lot, you could never accuse him of dumbing anything down - I quickly get lost.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mikel

    OK, so there’s some hope. I clearly overstated how Scottish he sounds, as several people (one of them from the UK) didn’t get that impression, but my perception was not entirely made up.

    As for your question, I didn’t know who this Michael Levin was until yesterday (I only knew about Michael Levin the philosopher and IQ writer) and I only listened to 1/3 of that video yesterday so I can’t say much. But I did get the impression that these gentlemen were mainly engaged in butting their high intellects against each other without getting anywhere in particular. I’m not planning to listen to the rest.

    In general, I’m not getting much from these philosophical videos with McGilchrist. There is a reason why people write books, they’re much better designed to convey ideas in a comprehensive and structured way. Only McG takes that to the extreme but I fear I have no way out but to retake the last part of his essay. Perhaps when the days get shorter and experiencing the heat outdoors doesn’t make me feel sleepy in the evenings.

    There is a lot of excellent stuff on YT though, especially in the science, history and hobbies sections. There may be some video out there where McG gets challenged in some debate, rather than a polite philosophical conversation, and that should be much more interesting.

  543. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    From The Enchantments of Mammon, How Capitalism Became the Religion of Modernity –

    Surely true.
     

    That is surely some winning prose, but as is typically the case with leftist idealism, it is too detached from reality, and is thus dangerous to take too seriously.

    – they sense some weakening of the hegemony of cruelty in the American way of life, and are scrambling to revive it. Such is the Alt-Right.
     
    Poppycock. The alt right isn't driven by some 'need' to inflict cruelty on people. You may fairly maintain that 'cruelty' (however you define it) is what would result from alt right policies, but it's a bit much for you to insist - rather uncharitably and, for you, uncharacteristically - that cruelty, of itself, is what we're after.

    And indeed we can all do that right now – amid the wreckage of the ruins, we can live rightly and well, a life not based on possessions, money, and power – those things are what must be given up if we are to recover a fresh way of seeing that can be described as “ontological wonder”.
     
    There's little doubt you and I would disagree on what constitutes the 'wreckage,' but I'm not here today to rehash our disagreements. I would like to talk about something else entirely. You strike me as the archetypal eternal seeker, and a question I have for you is: have you ever felt entirely at home in the world? For someone who spends as much time mourning the passing of the old ways as I do, it may surprise you that my answer to the same question is: I really don't think I have.

    From the youngest, I have had had abiding sense that I don't quite belong here. And I don't mean that in the superficial sense that I have felt awkward or out of place, which I'm sure for young people is quite common. I mean more in the sense that this world, regardless of how poorly or how well it arranges its affairs, is not really my home; it's a staging post, and that I and people like me - nowadays, I'd say humanity at large (but I didn't always think this) - are journeying from and are destined for some place else.

    Why exactly we had to 'stop' here on earth (or anywhere on the material plane) is unclear, or has been forgotten, but we are tasked with finding that reason, resupplying, retooling, and then continuing the journey. Of course, humankind has known many journeys. We have travelled from ignorance to understanding, poverty to opulence, bondage to liberation, and most recently, appearance to substance. But the ultimate journey, in this view, is from immanence to transcendence; and the question is how do we do it?

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    No, I have definitely not ever felt entirely at home in the world 🙂 And to be honest, I don’t think anyone really does, however much some people may kid themselves they do, or try and ignore their feelings of alienation out of an ideological commitment to the platitudes of scientific progress, which assure us we must be so much happier now that our material needs are so amply and abundantly met.

    I quite like the Gnostic way of formulating this disquieting sense of unease in our world – we are exiled royalty, children of kings who have been banished from the magnificence of our true home and cast under an evil enchantment to forget our true origins – although the Gnostic vision as a whole has too many malign and puerile elements to be accepted, it’s central mythos is quite powerful and vivid.

    Theologians have a phrase – “ontological poverty” – which describes the radical insufficiency of the world of matter just as it is, disconnected from any supernatural context enfolding it and flowing into it.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling – but upon reflection, not really, as your comments often betray a longing for another world, as in your most recent comment that our destiny is in the stars. And it is.

    I always longed for another more magical world – I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    And I was never really able to compromise with the mundane world of “adult” reality, as we are all supposed to do – to become “realistic” and settle down to a tedious life of stability making money, as all good adults in modern civilization are supposed to do. My traipsing around India and SEA and other exotic parts of the world was my formal rejection of the “deal” offered by modern civilization – material comfort and security in exchange for your soul.

    And the older I get, the more recalcitrant I get 🙂

    To get back to you, I would contrast you with someone like Dmitry, who resembles – at least on paper – Nietzsche’s Last Man – all transcendent longings seemingly expunged from his nature and his highest aspiration a banal and stupefying physical comfort and security. But even for him I suspect it’s just a childish ideological commitment to the ideals of modern progress, and he’s setting himself up for one hell of a midlife crisis.- I sometimes forget how young and immature he is.

    I know many secular atheists who present an image of supreme self satisfaction, but are in fact chronically frustrated and often depressed.

    But you, you always struck me as having some kind of passionate and fiery aspiration – in your case, I’d say you have misdirected longing for transcendence, not it’s absence, as in Dmitry.

    Which is actually the major theme of that book, The Enchantments of Mammon. The standard account made famous by Max Weber is that capitalism disenchanted the world by stripping it of everything sacred, but this book argues that in fact capitalism is shot through with sacred and enchanted thinking, and is more a case of mis-enchahtment than dis-enchantment.

    Which means that humanity cannot get rid of it’s longing for enchantment – we can’t disenchant the world, we can only wrongly direct our yearning fjr transcendence. Which makes the task of return to correct vision easier.

    As for “how”, you ask – why, it is a matter of vision, of cultivating sight. The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars – but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright (of course, there’s nothing wrong with also getting to the stars, and there may be untold beauties awaiting us there – but more matter, as matter, don’t save you,)

    When I go into nature, I do not see “mere matter” – I see gleams of a higher glory shining through, I see a higher dimension shining through, hints and more than hints, of another world.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning – a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    For some incomprehensible reason, the modern world has decided that there reality is one-dimensional, and there are no “levels” to reality. We will be chronically frustrated until we learn again to widen out and see the larger reality enfolding us.

    And for that, all the spiritual traditions of the world are at our fingertips to help us, and the great Romantic tradition of Europe – these are men and women who fought back hard at the kind of dull, impoverished vision being foisted upon us by an emerging modernity.

    We can learn to see again.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Couldn't you just accept that the world may be beautiful without insisting on hidden dimensions which must provide it with its beauty...? Be wary too... as it is common in fables, the hideous is as much popular, if not more, than the beautiful in the realm of the hidden... there is always some Mordor, some bad witch.

    These Gnostic dreams about our stolen powers, those lamentations of "the dispossessed", I would leave too - if you were once a king, who were your subjects...?

    And SE Asians can be extremely money and lineage oriented, the worship of lineage being substantial part of religiosity there, which infected even Buddhism (Tibetan Buddhism especially).

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Ah, good to you see you're still around. I was beginning to curse, "Where is that bloviating bear dancer when you want to talk to him! When you don't, you can hardly shut him up." (Note: I have been accused - irl, too - of never shutting up myself, so I am no better.) :)

    So it seems my suspicions were right: you are a kindred - if wayward - soul.


    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling
     
    Eh, I may strike a pose as a hardy realist unafraid to confront head-on the harsh realities of our earthly existence, but that's certainly not where I want to live.

    I always longed for another more magical world – I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.
     
    As did I. Totally immersed in fantasy. I couldn't say those worlds felt "more real" to me, but they certainly felt more important. Our task, as I saw it, was to make this world, our world, more like those worlds. And to my delight, science seemed to offer the tools with which to do it. Fantasy worlds had to rely on "tricks" like magic, but we had the real magic. Religion was nice, but kinda quaint, and prayer didn't seem to do anything. But our scientific incantations - our chemical formulas, our mathematical equations - these actually worked.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning – a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.
     
    Nature has never had this effect on me, I don't think. But video games did. Video games were my other great obsession. Not just for the simple thrills they provided (though that was certainly part of it), but because I saw them as a kind of "portal" through which we could at least glimpse other worlds, if not enter them fully. This felt more real than passively watching films, or exercising my imagination through the pages of books, or when I was younger, through endless, endless playacting.

    That said, I did have some physical "sacred spaces" too. In dreams, I would sometimes find myself there, and then from there I would literally (in the dream) enter new worlds. I used to term these "magic dreams." These were painfully beautiful and the memory of them would haunt me for days afterwards. I still remember many of them. Maybe the most powerful one, when I was about five, left me in tears the whole next day - it was so beautiful I wanted to go back, and I was crying and upset because I couldn't. This distressed my mother, but I either couldn't find the words or I was too embarrassed to explain why I was crying. (Weird kid, I guess.)

    The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars – but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright
     
    It's the journey, not the destination, that excites me. It's like they say, "half the fun is getting there."
    But you have to set a destination else you lose the effect. You can't just suggest to friends "you wanna go for a drive?" Well where to? "It doesn't matter, we'll just drive around." That's not nearly as fun as actually going somewhere.
    , @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Ah, good to you see you’re still around. I was beginning to curse, “Where is that bloviating bear dancer when you want to talk to him! When you don’t, you can hardly shut him up.” (Note: I have been accused – irl, too – of never shutting up myself, so I am no better.) 🙂

    So it seems my suspicions were right: you are a kindred – if wayward – soul.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling

    Eh, I may strike a pose as a hardy realist unafraid to confront head-on the harsh realities of our earthly existence, but that’s certainly not where I want to live.

    I always longed for another more magical world – I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    As did I. Totally immersed in fantasy. I couldn’t say those worlds felt “more real” to me, but they certainly felt more important. Our task, as I saw it, was to make this world, our world, more like those worlds. And to my delight, science seemed to offer the tools with which to do it. Fantasy worlds had to rely on “tricks” like magic, but we had the real magic. Religion was nice, but kinda quaint, and prayer didn’t seem to do anything. But our scientific incantations – our chemical formulas, our mathematical equations – these actually worked.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning – a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    Nature has never had this effect on me, I don’t think. But video games did. Video games were my other great obsession. Not just for the simple thrills they provided (though that was certainly part of it), but because I saw them as a kind of “portal” through which we could at least glimpse other worlds, if not enter them fully. This felt more real than passively watching films, or exercising my imagination through the pages of books, or when I was younger, through endless, endless playacting.

    That said, I did have some physical “sacred spaces” too. In dreams, I would sometimes find myself there, and then from there I would literally (in the dream) enter new worlds. I used to term these “magic dreams.” These were painfully beautiful and the memory of them would haunt me for days afterwards. I still remember many of them. Maybe the most powerful one, when I was about five, left me in tears the whole next day – it was so beautiful I wanted to go back, and I was crying and upset because I couldn’t. This distressed my mother, but I either couldn’t find the words or I was too embarrassed to explain why I was crying. (Weird kid, I guess.)

    The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars – but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright

    It’s the journey, not the destination, that excites me. It’s like they say, “half the fun is getting there.”
    But you have to set a destination else you lose the effect. You can’t just suggest to friends “you wanna go for a drive?” Well where to? “It doesn’t matter, we’ll just drive around.” That’s not nearly as fun as actually going somewhere.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  544. @Sher Singh
    Want to plant oak and maple trees on property.
    Any tips or just go for it?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @songbird

    Was going to say plant one of these Moon trees, but apparently no oak or maple.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_tree

    Just make sure you don’t plant too close to your house because trees can do a lot of damage to the roof (especially by encouraging squirrels) and foundation. They can also break water pipes.

    If the tree splits at the bottom, cut it down. Such trees tend to rot hollow, at center.

    Don’t think this is a great time to plant. Would wait until autumn.

    • Replies: @A123
    @songbird

    Make sure you pick a variety that matches the local climate.

    In the South, white oak is common. In the North, it is mostly bur oak. Some of the more exotic oak varieties have poisonous acorns, so they are probably best avoided.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @songbird

  545. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    You make some excellent points in both of your comments, Mikel.
     
    Thank you. I also liked this remark of yours. Keep repeating such remarks as often as you can please :-)

    So your return to this blog reminded me that I have unfinished business with McGilchrist. I read a good portion of The Matter with Things but eventually I gave up and left it for later, knowing that the most interesting part is supposed to arrive in the last chapters. His prose is just too dense. He repeats and belabors each point to exhaustion. Long after you have concluded that OK, he seems to be right here, he goes on and on with additional examples and discussion. I remember Barbarossa having the same problem with The Master and His Emissary. Not sure if he finished it. Besides, that summer I received my sister's visit, who brought a manuscript with my late father's memoirs and that took precedence.

    But instead of retaking the book, a pretty intimidating task, I have spent several evenings watching some YT videos (he has lots of them) and I have found that he's actually a much better speaker than writer. It's also nice listening to his Scottish accent. For some reason Scots, even highly educated ones, are more prone to keeping their accent than other native English speakers, who adopt a more standard pronunciation when they become higher status. Or at least that's my impression.

    These are the two videos I have watched in full (although the second one is a podcast with no image):

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6Vkhov_qx8

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJRx9wItvKo

    I can't really recommend the first video. It starts very well but, little by little, Jordan Peterson does his thing, takes over the dialogue and, instead of letting the interviewee expand on his points, he tries to make them for him in his characteristically dogmatic, strident way.

    The second one is much better but only half of the conversation with the equally charismatic Sam Harris is available. An interesting aspect of this second video is that Harris is an atheist so seeing what both have a common understanding on is clarifying.

    But I have a couple of problems with McGilchrist. The first one is that, even though he has a deep knowledge of the scientific literature, which he uses profusely in his books, he doesn't talk like a real scientist. At least not like the ones I like listening to, who always qualify their statements with some uncertainty and stress the points that we still don't know or where further research is necessary. Iain seems to have arrived at some strong conclusions and he seems to find it his mission to let the rest of the world know about them. In fact, I'm still not totally convinced that the brain lateralization that is the crucial point of his essays works in the rather simplistic way that he describes. Perhaps he's letting his left-brain do too much work on this subject himself, not leaving some room for exceptions and uncertainties? I never got how he solves the paradox of the left-handed people and some others.

    The other problem I have, possibly related to the previous one, is that he comes off sometimes as a man who maybe used his high intellect to arrive at some pre-established conclusions, in a Bentley Hart way, or at least at conclusions that would be more or less consistent with his pre-established views. The first part of the second video, where he explains his education and career, is very revealing in this respect. He confesses that he always wanted to study philosophy and theology but ended up taking a route that led him to psychiatry. So perhaps it's not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?

    In any case, thank you for doing the work of finding such insightful authors and bringing them to our attention. I'm sure I'll keep reading and listening to Iain much more.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I agree – Mcgilchrist can actually be quite a pleasure to listen to 🙂 Whether he’s Scottish or English I will leave to you and Silviosilver and the rest to figure out, although my vote’s on Oxford English, but he does have a very pleasing and eloquent delivery.

    In a way its unfortunate that Mcgilchrist chose to put the heavy scientific stuff first, and the more exciting and significant part that talks about the cultural, social, and spiritual implications of it all of it all second, because as he himself demonstrates – and the history of science demonstrates – our first point of contact with reality ought to be imagination and intuition, and only later do we turn to rigorous logic, evidence, and experiment to bear our intuitions out.

    First, we get a sense of the “shape” of reality, and then we can use our analytical minds to try and verify it in detail. This is how all the great scientists worked. As the Romantics knew, and as Mcgilchrist shows, imagination and intuition are valid approaches to genuine reality, summarizing on an unconscious level vast amounts of facts and knowledge too enormous and dense to be approached, at least initially, by the analytical mind.

    The modern world has this prejudice that our picture of reality is built from the ground up – that it “emerges” from a mass of experiments or facts. But the history of science shows the opposite.

    My advice would be to actually start with the second part of the book, where he describes in immense detail the cultural, intellectual, and social implications of his thesis, and grasp this larger picture on an imaginative and intuitive level – its an extremely compelling picture of how the modern world functions, true on an immediate, intuitive level.

    Once one sees the whole, then one should turn to the nitty gritty scientific details, at points of skepticism, and delve into that.

    I think he put the scientific part first as a concession to the prejudices of our left brained culture, which he is attempting ultimately to change.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that! He stresses the necessity of leaving room for uncertainty and doubt, and extreme certainty is actually the domain of the left hemisphere whose overuse he’s criticizing. He has entire videos and passages on just this point.

    He’s someone who feels that he’s made a crucial discovery of vital importance to our culture, so of course he’s going to try and present his case as strongly as possible – and much of his confidence is simply what’s consistent with the available state of evidence. Have you found him to claim a level of assurance that you thought went far beyond what the evidence might allow? Scientists generally talk with a high level of assurance in areas where it’s felt the evidence warrants it.

    For all that, he’s a human being, and I’m sure to some extent there’s an element of rhetoric and overconfidence occasionally, as well, and probably some succumbing to the very left hemisphere dominant tendencies he’s deploring. Sure, why not?

    So perhaps it’s not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?

    Certainly, but this in no way impugns the credibility of his findings. Mcgilchrist himself demonstrates from the history of science that the boldest findings originate in an intuitive and imaginative grasp of the “shape” of reality which is then yielded to the analytical “knife” of the left hemisphere to verify in detail.

    So definitely, he started with a sense of how the world is – he’s quite candid about that, actually, that he was always intuitively uneasy about the standard scientific narrative.

    But Einstein also started with an imaginative grasp of the shape of reality.

    I’m afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture which are precisely the issue in question 🙂 Although I’m happy to concede that you’re right to some small degree, as well.

    As for those two videos, I didn’t think they were the best ones with him. There’s a really good one on Unherd I’ll try and find.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I’m afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture
     
    I just pointed out two problems that I have with the part of McG's ideas that I am familiar with but I still don't know what his main conclusions in the last part of the book are in any detail. I've just had some glimpses in the videos I've posted above but I can't really offer any critique of his core thesis yet. I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.

    His point about the scientific method being built on a fictional structure of pure observation and rational building of hypotheses is a very good one. It is certainly true that in the initial stages of the method, when scientists formulate their hypotheses, intuition plays a central role. But, other than having an imperfect diagram of how science works in practice, I'm not sure this insight is too important. I doubt any practicing scientist would have any problem admitting that intuition, imagination and perhaps even dreams and fantasy play a central role in their everyday jobs.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that!
     
    Are you sure about that? On the matter of brain lateralization, the one subject I read more than enough on, I don't see him leaving any room for doubt. Ironically, his description of how the left brain and the right brain work looks tremendously left-brained and mechanistic. He describes a very rigid scheme, page after page, example after example, with no uncertainty or pending research mentioned that I remember at all. This is all the more important considering that, as explained in the Sam Harris video, his findings run against what was previously thought to be the correct paradigm and, as far as I have been able to see, his interpretation is still not the consensus view. The general view among researchers seems to be that the exact mechanisms of how our brains work are still largely a mystery and there is quite a lot of overlap and redundancy in our brain structures.

    We'll see how important his description of the brain lateralization is for his subsequent conclusions.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  546. Was George MacDonald Fraser right when he said that Nixon, Johnson and Billy Graham were all descendents or Border Reivers and all had the typical physiognomy of that region? As well that it was some sort of cosmic alignment when they were all standing together at Nixon’s inauguration?

    Can we digitally de-age them and put them in a movie about Reivers, where they are leading bands on opposing sides?

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    Billy Graham was a pop star. Some of our grandmothers swooned when he preached. If he was any kind of border reiver physiognomy he was top 1%. He had a Hollywood personal trainer.

    https://static.billygraham.org/sites/billygrahamlibrary.org/uploads/prod/2020/10/63-6738_edit_web-scaled.jpg

    Replies: @songbird

  547. @John Johnson
    @Mikel


    A rebel mob initially took him alive but then shot and sodomized him with a gun.
     
    Wrong. The NATO-supported rebels actually sodomized him with a long knife. There’s plenty of visual evidence.

    Sodomized with the bayonet which was part of the gun. You're being pedantic.

    We’re always very careful at picking up our allies.

    Not sure what you are saying.

    The rebellion started without NATO and the no-fly zone was approved by the UN security council. Not everything on planet earth is the will of the United States.

    Ironically, the official reason why NATO countries decided to intervene in support of the rebels is that Gadaffi was responding to the uprising by bombing civilian areas in Misurata and elsewhere.

    Gadaffi used to pick out 14 year olds from schools to rape. As in he would show up to a school to make a speech and pick the girls.

    The guy was a real SOB and hated by practically everyone.

    The rebels would have caught him even if NATO wasn't involved. His time was up.

    The same practice that just a couple of years later our Ukrainian allies used in response to the uprising in Donbas.

    Which event are you referring to exactly?

    By uprising do you mean pro-Russian separatists trying to create their own puppet states? Who were angry over a corrupt pro-Russian being removed? The president that was disavowed by his own pro-Russian party as a criminal? Which means they were violating Ukrainian laws over a criminal losing his power? You are comparing that to removing a child raping dictator who was in power since the 1970s and kept the bodies of his enemies in a walk in freezer? Is that right?

    Replies: @Mikel

    The rebellion started without NATO and the no-fly zone was approved by the UN

    Sorry to be blunt but that’s all a load of BS. NATO immediately volunteered to be the world policeman once again and took upon itself the task of imposing the “no fly zone” but it just converted it into a ground attack operation. The very link you posted shows how they even bombarded Gaddafi’s convoy (they had already killed part of his family from the air) and became the sodomizing rebels’ air force, which was never part of the UN mandate.

    It was a gang rape really. Western leaders clearly decided to take advantage of the revolts, no matter who the opposing forces were, and take revenge on Gaddafi for his past deeds, even though they had previously decided to forget them and he was welcomed in Western capitals again. He had even negotiated a surrender of his weapons programs. There was nothing legal about any of this. In fact, NATO couldn’t help killing a good number of civilians with its air attacks, as reported later by Western humanitarian organizations: the very fact they were supposed to prevent with the “no fly zone”.

    The idea that the rebels would have won without NATO’s help is also more than questionable. Gaddafi’s forces had driven the rebels back all the way to Benghazi, where the rebellion started, jus before NATO intervened and turned the tide completely.

    NATO fully deserves the credit for turning a semi-functioning Arab satrapy with the most decent economic indicators in Africa into the current lawless jungle where thousands are sold as slaves or smuggled to Europe non-stop in floating coffins.

    You are comparing that to removing a child raping dictator who was in power since the 1970s and kept the bodies of his enemies in a walk in freezer? Is that right?

    You sound deranged. Those frozen bodies and raped children are all the product of your imagination and nothing that I said or implied.

    All I said is that in the course of a few years we saw how part of the population in two different nations broke the law and rebelled against their governments, which both decided to respond by shelling civilian areas. In one case NATO intervened militarily against one of them to theoretically stop those shellings and in the other NATO not only did not intervene but actually sided with the government that was doing the shelling its own civilians. That’s all there is to it. Two incontrovertible historical facts that no smokescreens of what a bastard Gaddafi was can possibly erase. The world is full of bastards (anyone who shells its own civilians is) but that doesn’t give NATO the right to impose governments anywhere it likes.

  548. If supplemental testosterone was handed out to more Democrats, would more be like RFK, Jr. (who takes it)?

  549. @songbird
    @Sher Singh

    Was going to say plant one of these Moon trees, but apparently no oak or maple.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_tree

    Just make sure you don't plant too close to your house because trees can do a lot of damage to the roof (especially by encouraging squirrels) and foundation. They can also break water pipes.

    If the tree splits at the bottom, cut it down. Such trees tend to rot hollow, at center.

    Don't think this is a great time to plant. Would wait until autumn.

    Replies: @A123

    Make sure you pick a variety that matches the local climate.

    In the South, white oak is common. In the North, it is mostly bur oak. Some of the more exotic oak varieties have poisonous acorns, so they are probably best avoided.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @A123

    My dad just went and bought a bunch of saplings for ੭੫% off.

    Also, as for EDC discussion.

    My gear's somehow changed entirely from American to Ukrainian.

    Ukrainian Knife & Hatchet, but definitely American LBE all day!

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @A123

    , @songbird
    @A123

    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.

    Makes me wonder what they did in the old days, when they drove cattle into the woods to hide them from invading armies. How they kept them from the oaks.
    Maybe, the woods were so managed that they didn't have oaks in easy reach of the cattle.

    Replies: @Mikel

  550. @songbird
    Was George MacDonald Fraser right when he said that Nixon, Johnson and Billy Graham were all descendents or Border Reivers and all had the typical physiognomy of that region? As well that it was some sort of cosmic alignment when they were all standing together at Nixon's inauguration?

    Can we digitally de-age them and put them in a movie about Reivers, where they are leading bands on opposing sides?

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Billy Graham was a pop star. Some of our grandmothers swooned when he preached. If he was any kind of border reiver physiognomy he was top 1%. He had a Hollywood personal trainer.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Add TS Elliot and Neil Armstrong to the cast as also being descended from Reivers.



    Billy Graham was a pop star. Some of our grandmothers swooned when he preached. If he was any kind of border reiver physiognomy he was top 1%.
     
    Probably the influence of all the beautiful slave women the Grahams captured, though I don't think it showed in his daughters.
  551. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    No, I have definitely not ever felt entirely at home in the world :) And to be honest, I don't think anyone really does, however much some people may kid themselves they do, or try and ignore their feelings of alienation out of an ideological commitment to the platitudes of scientific progress, which assure us we must be so much happier now that our material needs are so amply and abundantly met.

    I quite like the Gnostic way of formulating this disquieting sense of unease in our world - we are exiled royalty, children of kings who have been banished from the magnificence of our true home and cast under an evil enchantment to forget our true origins - although the Gnostic vision as a whole has too many malign and puerile elements to be accepted, it's central mythos is quite powerful and vivid.

    Theologians have a phrase - "ontological poverty" - which describes the radical insufficiency of the world of matter just as it is, disconnected from any supernatural context enfolding it and flowing into it.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling - but upon reflection, not really, as your comments often betray a longing for another world, as in your most recent comment that our destiny is in the stars. And it is.

    I always longed for another more magical world - I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    And I was never really able to compromise with the mundane world of "adult" reality, as we are all supposed to do - to become "realistic" and settle down to a tedious life of stability making money, as all good adults in modern civilization are supposed to do. My traipsing around India and SEA and other exotic parts of the world was my formal rejection of the "deal" offered by modern civilization - material comfort and security in exchange for your soul.

    And the older I get, the more recalcitrant I get :)

    To get back to you, I would contrast you with someone like Dmitry, who resembles - at least on paper - Nietzsche's Last Man - all transcendent longings seemingly expunged from his nature and his highest aspiration a banal and stupefying physical comfort and security. But even for him I suspect it's just a childish ideological commitment to the ideals of modern progress, and he's setting himself up for one hell of a midlife crisis.- I sometimes forget how young and immature he is.

    I know many secular atheists who present an image of supreme self satisfaction, but are in fact chronically frustrated and often depressed.

    But you, you always struck me as having some kind of passionate and fiery aspiration - in your case, I'd say you have misdirected longing for transcendence, not it's absence, as in Dmitry.

    Which is actually the major theme of that book, The Enchantments of Mammon. The standard account made famous by Max Weber is that capitalism disenchanted the world by stripping it of everything sacred, but this book argues that in fact capitalism is shot through with sacred and enchanted thinking, and is more a case of mis-enchahtment than dis-enchantment.

    Which means that humanity cannot get rid of it's longing for enchantment - we can't disenchant the world, we can only wrongly direct our yearning fjr transcendence. Which makes the task of return to correct vision easier.

    As for "how", you ask - why, it is a matter of vision, of cultivating sight. The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars - but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright (of course, there's nothing wrong with also getting to the stars, and there may be untold beauties awaiting us there - but more matter, as matter, don't save you,)

    When I go into nature, I do not see "mere matter" - I see gleams of a higher glory shining through, I see a higher dimension shining through, hints and more than hints, of another world.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning - a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    For some incomprehensible reason, the modern world has decided that there reality is one-dimensional, and there are no "levels" to reality. We will be chronically frustrated until we learn again to widen out and see the larger reality enfolding us.

    And for that, all the spiritual traditions of the world are at our fingertips to help us, and the great Romantic tradition of Europe - these are men and women who fought back hard at the kind of dull, impoverished vision being foisted upon us by an emerging modernity.

    We can learn to see again.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @silviosilver

    Couldn’t you just accept that the world may be beautiful without insisting on hidden dimensions which must provide it with its beauty…? Be wary too… as it is common in fables, the hideous is as much popular, if not more, than the beautiful in the realm of the hidden… there is always some Mordor, some bad witch.

    These Gnostic dreams about our stolen powers, those lamentations of “the dispossessed”, I would leave too – if you were once a king, who were your subjects…?

    And SE Asians can be extremely money and lineage oriented, the worship of lineage being substantial part of religiosity there, which infected even Buddhism (Tibetan Buddhism especially).

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Beauty "is" the hidden dimension. It's a dimension beyond mere matter.

    Excluding beauty as unreal - because only matter is real, in our modern reductionist view - has led to the creation of our drab, dull cityscapes, for instance.

    The reductionist view - in which there are no dimensions beyond mere matter, and everything is nothing "but" matter - is not only incoherent, but leads to monstrosities.

    But you're free to believe what you want - the strange ideological commitment to an incoherent dogma that palpably makes life worse will be seen by future generations as a strange chapter in the history of human psychology.

    The Gnostic stuff is a myth meant to illustrate deeper truths - you're taking it in the typically stupid modern left hemisphere way which takes everything over literally.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

  552. @John Johnson
    @silviosilver

    Oh, boy…”wiki doesn’t say it was a victory…“, even for you that is one crazily stupid statement.

    Wikipedia lists the Polish-Soviet War as victory

    Result
    Polish victory
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish%E2%80%93Soviet_War

    Crimean war shows Allied victory

    Result Allied victory
    Allied victory
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War

    While Winter war shows it ending in a peace treaty
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Peace_Treaty

    It isn't a military victory when a much larger state tries to take a smaller country and only gets a slice after losing a series of battles. Stalin wanted all of Finland and only compromised after Russians were cut down by Finns. Hitler was in fact motivated to invade the USSR after the Red Army's poor performance.

    Maybe go get into an edit war instead of taking it personally that I quoted Wikipedia. Geez calm down.

    US is fighting on the Kiev’s side, so its record is very relevant.

    No they are not fighting. They are supplying arms. Is Pakistan fighting on the side of Ukraine by supplying arms? Do we need to go over Pakistan's war records because you are upset with me for pointing out that Russia has a mixed record and does not always win?

    Russia’s demands before the war were arrogant, but justified given that Finland was a German ally who could destroy St.Petersburg with artillery. Finland ended up losing a lot more. Russia won the war. You are a sore loser.

    It was a complex deal that was made because Stalin was afraid of simply taking Finland like he did with the Baltics. Stalin chose to not take all of Finland at the end of WW2 and allowed them land/sovereignty while gobbling up Eastern European states that didn't align with Nazis.

    I'm not sore over the Winter War. If anything it is an embarrassment to the Russians. I actually don't get emotional over wars that didn't involve my country and happened over 70 years ago. You on the other hand are clearly emotionally tied to the pro-Putin fantasy that "Russia always prevails" which has never been true. They are in fact still butt-hurt over getting an ass kicking by Poles and that included some Ukrainians that weren't convinced the whole Communism thing was a good idea.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk. Nicholas II had no problem cutting down all kinds of Europeans with machine guns but didn't have the fortitude to take out a lone Communist.

    The Nazis never would have rose to power if the Russians took out Lenin as the Germans did to their Communist leader (Rosa Luxemburg). A loser Tsar just like Putin that failed to act in the best interest of his country and Europe had to suffer. Ironically the person that got closest to killing Lenin was a left-wing Jew (Fanny Kaplan).

    Now we have a loser dwarf causing suffering with his needless war. So let's send another 100k Russian Slavs to the front with blue food and lousy boots cause the Tsar can't admit this was an awful idea. We don't have democracy because it works well. We have democracy because bitter little men like Putin make a complete mess of dictatorial powers for their own pathetic egos.

    Replies: @Beckow

    …Result: Polish victory

    It was the only Polish victory since the late 17th century – 300 years!!! Something to think about given that Poland prides itself to be a country with a martial spirit.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk.

    Nicholas II was overthrown in February 2017 and Lenin came from Switzerland exile in April – they never overlapped, how could he have him shot? You are quite ignorant, almost comically so.

    Same with Finland – you lied that they got their lost lands back after WW2. They didn’t. Russia won the Winter war, if that embarrasses you, we can’t help you. But your sour grapes are no way to go through life.

    You are quoting “wiki” like it is the holy script. It is similar to quoting the Great Soviet Encyclopedia – there are some facts, but it was very heavily edited for a particular point of view. Or the Otto’s Encyclopedia – published under the Habsburgs – it lists the years and numbers mostly ok, but the Emperors can do no wrong and the German culture is superior. Wiki is the same, all of its political-history sections may as well be written by the US state department. Grow up.

    I am sensing that you are increasingly hysterical because Russia is slowly winning the war. You are so emotionally invested in your hatreds that this will be very hard on you.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Beckow


    …Result: Polish victory
     
    It was the only Polish victory since the late 17th century – 300 years!!!

    Not seeing your math on 300 years. They were divided and occupied by various Imperial powers in 1772.


    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk.
     
    Nicholas II was overthrown in February 2017 and Lenin came from Switzerland exile in April – they never overlapped, how could he have him shot?

    Comically so? Who do you think was in charge when he was exiled to Siberia for 3 years?

    Nicholas II started his reign in 1894. Lenin was arrested in 1895.

    Lenin returned to St. Petersburg in 1905.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_uprising_of_1905

    Stop making excuses. Nicholas II wimped out.

    Nicholas II had secret agents that operated all over Europe. Lenin was nearly killed by a left-wing Jewess who walked right up to him:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fanny_Kaplan

    She had more balls than the Tsar.

    Russians are natural slaves. That is why they fell to Communist influence. It's in their culture/genes to submit to authority. Anyone with a set of balls moved West.

    I am sensing that you are increasingly hysterical because Russia is slowly winning the war.

    Hysterical? This war started with everyone decreeing that it was over and Ukraine will be gone.

    Putin can at best walk away with a slice of Ukraine and have his state tv call that a win. But according to his original goals the war is a failure and the world views him as a loser.

    A free Ukraine will remain and Putin's dream of eliminating them as a state has been shattered.

    If you want to see an emotional mess then look at the latest MacGregor video. He is starting to develop a dark side look. His veins are popping out of his face.

  553. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Couldn't you just accept that the world may be beautiful without insisting on hidden dimensions which must provide it with its beauty...? Be wary too... as it is common in fables, the hideous is as much popular, if not more, than the beautiful in the realm of the hidden... there is always some Mordor, some bad witch.

    These Gnostic dreams about our stolen powers, those lamentations of "the dispossessed", I would leave too - if you were once a king, who were your subjects...?

    And SE Asians can be extremely money and lineage oriented, the worship of lineage being substantial part of religiosity there, which infected even Buddhism (Tibetan Buddhism especially).

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Beauty “is” the hidden dimension. It’s a dimension beyond mere matter.

    Excluding beauty as unreal – because only matter is real, in our modern reductionist view – has led to the creation of our drab, dull cityscapes, for instance.

    The reductionist view – in which there are no dimensions beyond mere matter, and everything is nothing “but” matter – is not only incoherent, but leads to monstrosities.

    But you’re free to believe what you want – the strange ideological commitment to an incoherent dogma that palpably makes life worse will be seen by future generations as a strange chapter in the history of human psychology.

    The Gnostic stuff is a myth meant to illustrate deeper truths – you’re taking it in the typically stupid modern left hemisphere way which takes everything over literally.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, in no way I am a naïve materialist - I would rather describe myself as a phenomenologist, and in the broad sense of being aware that the unknown is likely bigger than the known, and the former in no way must be reducible to the latter (which is crucial to materialism). I was even criticized here by Mikel for doubting too much the established science ;)

    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk...;)
    Originally I perceived you as a quasi-Buddhist, but now I would say your worldview is perhaps closest to shamanism...

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The Gnostic stuff is a myth meant to illustrate deeper truths – you’re taking it in the typically stupid modern left hemisphere way which takes everything over literally.
     
    Oh, c'mon, Zen does that too sometimes. Takes things literally.

    You should not disregard the literal sense too... the OT still makes much more sense when read literally than through gematria :)
    When you lose the literal sense of the text, you just cling to your own "deeper" reading as it were your literal reading.

    Interesting note in this context:

    https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/crushed-by-denial-zion-in-the-book-of-lamentations/

    "The Book of Jeremiah – chronicling the events in Jerusalem just before and just after the destruction of the Temple – attests to the fact that the masses were infected with this phenomenon. Their identity was tied up with what some call “Zion theology”: God loves the people in Zion, the city of Zion, the Temple of Zion, and the Davidic king in Zion. They cannot conceive of any element of that belief going awry. Even after the Temple is destroyed, even after all the destruction, shockingly, nothing changes. Rather than acknowledging to Jeremiah that he had been right in his prognostications, the people scorn him. "

    (..)

    "Enter the Book of Lamentations. By my reading, this book is a series of discussions between two characters: the narrator – Jeremiah according to tradition – and the Daughter Zion, the remnant community, that remains ensconced in its belief in Zion theology. Their dialogues resemble therapy sessions. Jeremiah the mentor seeks to get Daughter Zion to see the world for what it really is – a world where the Almighty does not love Israel, Jerusalem, the Temple, and the Davidic King, and has caused her downfall. But to bring Daughter Zion to this realization is utterly shattering for her, and much of the dialogue is Jeremiah’s attempt to help her pick up the pieces. "

  554. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Beauty "is" the hidden dimension. It's a dimension beyond mere matter.

    Excluding beauty as unreal - because only matter is real, in our modern reductionist view - has led to the creation of our drab, dull cityscapes, for instance.

    The reductionist view - in which there are no dimensions beyond mere matter, and everything is nothing "but" matter - is not only incoherent, but leads to monstrosities.

    But you're free to believe what you want - the strange ideological commitment to an incoherent dogma that palpably makes life worse will be seen by future generations as a strange chapter in the history of human psychology.

    The Gnostic stuff is a myth meant to illustrate deeper truths - you're taking it in the typically stupid modern left hemisphere way which takes everything over literally.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

    Well, in no way I am a naïve materialist – I would rather describe myself as a phenomenologist, and in the broad sense of being aware that the unknown is likely bigger than the known, and the former in no way must be reducible to the latter (which is crucial to materialism). I was even criticized here by Mikel for doubting too much the established science 😉

    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk…;)
    Originally I perceived you as a quasi-Buddhist, but now I would say your worldview is perhaps closest to shamanism…

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Philosopher Stephen R L Clarke has two excellent essays, Why We Believe in Fairies, and How to Believe in Fairies. Worth your time reading.

    Every single culture believed in something like fairies, and nature, woods, mountains, streams, are undoubtedly infused with spiritual entities of some kind. We have just lost the ability to see.

    You are trying to reduce me to a "category" - am I a Buddhist? Am I a shaman? I don't believe these are mutually exclusive categories. I don't see religions as rival creeds or rival sets of propositions - this is a modern view. Religions are different approaches to the one central Mystery, and ought to be judged by how well or how poorly they do this - and each one does different things well. This is actually the older view. Of course, one may choose one particular religious tradition as offering the best approach to ultimate truth, or the best formulations, but there is no reason that should cut one off from learning from other traditions. And all high religions are highly syncretic for this reason - what would Christianity be without neo-Platonism? And what may it become today after engaging with Buddhism or Hinduism?

    I also think the Pagan consciousness, with it's sense of nature as sacred, and the world of nature as enchanted with spiritual entities of various kinds, is a crucial sensibility to recover for those of us who are trying to reconstruct a wider, healthier vision and path amid the looming wreckage of the mainstream scientific reductionist culture.

    We have to get back everything good that we lost, and also forge ahead to new vistas - howe cannot merely return to the past, a highly flawed past that ultimately culminated in modern nihilism out of its own contradictions and deficiencies.

    How is Zen literalism? It seems connection to a world beyond language and concepts.

    I would argue that the Old Testament makes no sense taken literally - at least not as a religious document, which is how it's compilers intended it to be used. Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually.

    It's trivial to point out that the OT makes no sense juxtaposed with the New if taken literally, and yet the brightest and most theologically inspired Christian thinkers all insisted on keeping it with the New - why do you suppose that is?

    But even Jews, who compiled these works, probably rather late during Hellenistic times when Jews were philosophically sophisticated, thought they were supposed to be read spiritually and not literally.

    The letter kills, but the spirit gives life..

    Replies: @A123

    , @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk…;)
     
    Say he does believe that, is that the worst thing in the world? I once soured on a girl I was seeing when one day the topic turned to religion/metaphysics and she confided to me that she thought it most likely we were created by extraterrestrials (something like Raelism, I gather - I didn't probe further). My heart sank and my thoughts were something like "fuck me, how'd I chance on this prize specimen female gullibility..." The sad thing is she was otherwise a ton of fun and we gelled really well. I didn't break up with her specifically because of that, but I never looked at her the same way afterwards. That was extremely stupid on my part.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  555. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Beauty "is" the hidden dimension. It's a dimension beyond mere matter.

    Excluding beauty as unreal - because only matter is real, in our modern reductionist view - has led to the creation of our drab, dull cityscapes, for instance.

    The reductionist view - in which there are no dimensions beyond mere matter, and everything is nothing "but" matter - is not only incoherent, but leads to monstrosities.

    But you're free to believe what you want - the strange ideological commitment to an incoherent dogma that palpably makes life worse will be seen by future generations as a strange chapter in the history of human psychology.

    The Gnostic stuff is a myth meant to illustrate deeper truths - you're taking it in the typically stupid modern left hemisphere way which takes everything over literally.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

    The Gnostic stuff is a myth meant to illustrate deeper truths – you’re taking it in the typically stupid modern left hemisphere way which takes everything over literally.

    Oh, c’mon, Zen does that too sometimes. Takes things literally.

    You should not disregard the literal sense too… the OT still makes much more sense when read literally than through gematria 🙂
    When you lose the literal sense of the text, you just cling to your own “deeper” reading as it were your literal reading.

    Interesting note in this context:

    https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/crushed-by-denial-zion-in-the-book-of-lamentations/

    “The Book of Jeremiah – chronicling the events in Jerusalem just before and just after the destruction of the Temple – attests to the fact that the masses were infected with this phenomenon. Their identity was tied up with what some call “Zion theology”: God loves the people in Zion, the city of Zion, the Temple of Zion, and the Davidic king in Zion. They cannot conceive of any element of that belief going awry. Even after the Temple is destroyed, even after all the destruction, shockingly, nothing changes. Rather than acknowledging to Jeremiah that he had been right in his prognostications, the people scorn him. ”

    (..)

    “Enter the Book of Lamentations. By my reading, this book is a series of discussions between two characters: the narrator – Jeremiah according to tradition – and the Daughter Zion, the remnant community, that remains ensconced in its belief in Zion theology. Their dialogues resemble therapy sessions. Jeremiah the mentor seeks to get Daughter Zion to see the world for what it really is – a world where the Almighty does not love Israel, Jerusalem, the Temple, and the Davidic King, and has caused her downfall. But to bring Daughter Zion to this realization is utterly shattering for her, and much of the dialogue is Jeremiah’s attempt to help her pick up the pieces. ”

  556. @A123
    @songbird

    Make sure you pick a variety that matches the local climate.

    In the South, white oak is common. In the North, it is mostly bur oak. Some of the more exotic oak varieties have poisonous acorns, so they are probably best avoided.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @songbird

    My dad just went and bought a bunch of saplings for ੭੫% off.

    Also, as for EDC discussion.

    My gear’s somehow changed entirely from American to Ukrainian.

    Ukrainian Knife & Hatchet, but definitely American LBE all day!

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @A123
    @Sher Singh


    My dad just went and bought a bunch of saplings for ੭੫% off.
     
    Definitely keep them away from your house. Do you have a good idea of the canopy size and height? If not, you may want to err on the side of safety. Plant them at least 20 yards from from the dwelling and 10 yards apart.
    ___

    My current struggle is -- I found the perfect sword... But it is made in China.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_MlWuqIasLY

    So do I choose principles? Or, OMG that is so awesome? The pre-order at KoA shows a different scabbard that gets rid of the undesired metal top piece. Link in Skallagrim's video.
    ___

    Did Jatt Arya ever report on the knife he bought? It was an unusual "ball bearing" steel, and I am genuinely interested in how it performed.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  557. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    There are huge differences between units in the same army. especially in wartime when priorities are set. You cannot assume that because some mobilised reservist formations with a high proportion of bolshie middle aged men are being kept short of stuff in static positions that there are not superbly equipped units of determined soldiers itching to get into action.

    So you believe it is acceptable to feed mobilized men on the front that food? Is that right? As long as they are basically cannon fodder?

    I just watched a video showing a Moscow grocery with canned food on the shelves. Is that acceptable?

    As long as the war goes on Ukraine can not join NATO. Therefore Russia cannot end the war unless it accepts, in principle, that Ukraine can join NATO. They will not do that within five years.

    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.

    A compromise could end the war with Jan 2021 borders and no NATO for Ukraine.

    Putin may ultimately take what he can get.

    So I fail to see why anyone might suppose the Ukrainian army is going to be able to break through Russian fortifications in a direction long ago pre announced

    Could easily happen through a collapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.

    Poorly fed and demoralized Russians simply walk away which is similar to what happened in WW1.

    Replies: @Sean

    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.

    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine’s Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn’t they?

    U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    OFFICE OF THE SPOKESPERSON

    NOVEMBER 10, 2021

    The following is the text of the U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership signed by U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba in Washington, D.C. on November 10, 2021U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    Guided by the April 3, 2008 Bucharest Summit Declaration of the NATO North Atlantic Council and as reaffirmed in the June 14, 2021 Brussels Summit Communique of the NATO North Atlantic Council, the United States supports Ukraine’s right to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO.

    The Russians did not seems to think that Ukraine could not join NATO because the build up for the invasion started. In December 2021 Bliken spoke of “The unwavering commitment of the United States to Ukraine’s territorial integrity, sovereignty, its independence… that is a view that not only the United States holds but all of our NATO allies hold as well”. The Kremlin seems to have believed him because they invaded Ukraine two months later.

    {C]ollapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.

    Realistically, a collapse in Russian troops’ morale would be predictably be caused by Ukraine effortlessly advancing through Russia’s defence lines and racing for the sea. Yet the Ukrainiana’ plan for doing that was an outdated mobile warfare by armoured forces offensive, which has signally failed.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Sean


    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine’s Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn’t they?
     
    How did Ukraine understand the Minsk Agreements in regards to Ukraine's EU aspirations?

    Replies: @Sean

    , @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    The arussians might push NATOs shit in.

  558. @Beckow
    @sudden death

    Sure, that is your "argument": signatures and certification are absolutely required when it comes to Russia, but totally unimportant when it comes to Ukraine or Nato? So why do you even bring up the "Budapest Memorandum", it was just a piece of unratified paper. Same as "promises" not to exapnd Nato.

    This is not a paper-game: you either have honor or you don't and no piece of paper can change that. Both Ukraine and Nato countries have demonstrated that they lack any sense of honor and will hide behind any excuse not to keep their word. Why should Russia be better?

    That unfortunately means that today's Ukraine and its Nato sponsors are not agreement-capable. So we are back to force and force will decide this. It is quite stupid for the weaker side (that would be Kiev) to decide to move the fight to the realm of pure force. But they did it. Now for the consequences. That's what happens when you don't fulfill your agreements.

    Replies: @sudden death

    This wordy mess of yours is good example why nobody important is taking kremlinite whinings seriously – there is a situation when RF refuses even to sign and acknowledge something as mandatory, but it later starts demanding to consider as such still without having signed, but now you bring up the official document, which was signed by RF as some counter example?

    Also who on earth is taking some unnoficial conversational words possibly uttered by some politician as some kind of legal imperative equal to an official treaty? Only either moron with room temperature IQ or somebody pretending to be such, therefore they are constantly justifiably getting reactions at the highest levels about those type of whinings with absurdist comparisons being just laughable nonsense.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @sudden death

    Exactly as I wrote: when Ukraine-Nato don't observe their side of an agreement and hide in paper excuses, like no signature or "it was only a verbal promise", you are ok with it.

    When Russia does the same with the Budapest Memorandum, that was not ratified by Russia, you go ballistic.

    When I steal your cow, it is good. When you steal my cow, it is bad.
    And you wonder why nobody takes you seriously...

    Replies: @sudden death

  559. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    Billy Graham was a pop star. Some of our grandmothers swooned when he preached. If he was any kind of border reiver physiognomy he was top 1%. He had a Hollywood personal trainer.

    https://static.billygraham.org/sites/billygrahamlibrary.org/uploads/prod/2020/10/63-6738_edit_web-scaled.jpg

    Replies: @songbird

    Add TS Elliot and Neil Armstrong to the cast as also being descended from Reivers.

    Billy Graham was a pop star. Some of our grandmothers swooned when he preached. If he was any kind of border reiver physiognomy he was top 1%.

    Probably the influence of all the beautiful slave women the Grahams captured, though I don’t think it showed in his daughters.

  560. @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    Yanukovich ran out out of Kiev after RF itself officially refused to sign or acknowledge that power sharing agreement as mandatory
     
    The RF oversaw the negotiating process of that document and didn't condemn it, with Sikorski lauding Russia's role on that matter. The same Sikorski didn't admonish the regime which violated that agreement.

    Replies: @sudden death

    As one of the excuses for non signing RF also said about that agreement being not clear to them, allegedly they had no idea who is responsible for what in there – so they oversaw and didn’t condemn such shitty agreement, which then they refused to sign for being legally shitty and unclear;) But also literally next day suddenly it all became very crystally clear deal to RF about who is responsible for what violations of that unsignable unclear agreement, lol

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    Spin all you want, the RF never condemned it with Sikorski lauding Russia's role in the development of that agreement, which the collective West then went against along with the svido coup plotters.

    Replies: @sudden death

  561. @Mr. Hack
    @Sean

    So why are the Ukrainian troops better equipped, dressed, fed and motivated than the Russian ones? The oligarchs in Russia must be greedier than those in Ukraine. Russia is a much richer country than Ukraine, and had much more time to prepare for this war. Bad planning and bad motivation come immediately to mind.

    Replies: @Sean

    The oligarchs in Russia must be greedier than those in Ukraine. Russia is a much richer country than Ukraine

    Russia has accumulation of military wherewithal (artillery, shells ECT) raw materials and but it is not a rich country and must set priorities.

    So why are the Ukrainian troops better equipped, dressed, fed and motivated than the Russian ones?

    Morale is a function of victories. as can be seen by the way Ukrainian army morale had been restored by two big advances last year, and of late prolly is declining a bit relative to the Russians’ given the disappointing results of the much vaunted Ukrainian counter-attack .

  562. A123 says: • Website

    The number of rumors about Kathleen Kennedy’s demise are growing.

    Mike Zeroh indicates that John Favreau has fired 100% of the staff that ruined Mandalorian Season 3. George Lucas, Timothy Zahn, and an entirely new writing crew will resurrect Season 4. Luke Skinwalker, errr… Skywalker will return.

    Doomcock, despite the silly name & mask, has a track record of reliability. Apparently Kathleen Kennedy is on “extended personal leave”. She not allowed on company property and is excluded from corporate email. Due to unusual contract provisions, firing her is extraordinarily difficult. So, they have settled on publicly stripping her of status. A zombie with title but no authority.

    Hopefully this means the Rey Palpatine movie is dead.

    PEACE 😇

  563. A123 says: • Website
    @Sher Singh
    @A123

    My dad just went and bought a bunch of saplings for ੭੫% off.

    Also, as for EDC discussion.

    My gear's somehow changed entirely from American to Ukrainian.

    Ukrainian Knife & Hatchet, but definitely American LBE all day!

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @A123

    My dad just went and bought a bunch of saplings for ੭੫% off.

    Definitely keep them away from your house. Do you have a good idea of the canopy size and height? If not, you may want to err on the side of safety. Plant them at least 20 yards from from the dwelling and 10 yards apart.
    ___

    My current struggle is — I found the perfect sword… But it is made in China.

    So do I choose principles? Or, OMG that is so awesome? The pre-order at KoA shows a different scabbard that gets rid of the undesired metal top piece. Link in Skallagrim’s video.
    ___

    Did Jatt Arya ever report on the knife he bought? It was an unusual “ball bearing” steel, and I am genuinely interested in how it performed.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @A123

    Was way too heavy for the size - making me think it's a soft steel/poor treat masked by heft.
    It weighed 1kg for a 17" blade - my Talwar weighs 1.2kg for a 28" blade.

    Got the Beavercraft AX1 600g & the BPS HK5 weighs 150g.

    Gonna be testing, and will replace my current Ka-bar & 4" Cold Steel Knife.
    For Basic bushcraft & camp tasks incl skinning respectively.

    Testing a Cold Steel Leatherneck SF as well, but I'm just gonna switch to Knife, Sword, Axe.
    Ditch the dagger||

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @A123

  564. Sher Singh says:
    @A123
    @Sher Singh


    My dad just went and bought a bunch of saplings for ੭੫% off.
     
    Definitely keep them away from your house. Do you have a good idea of the canopy size and height? If not, you may want to err on the side of safety. Plant them at least 20 yards from from the dwelling and 10 yards apart.
    ___

    My current struggle is -- I found the perfect sword... But it is made in China.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_MlWuqIasLY

    So do I choose principles? Or, OMG that is so awesome? The pre-order at KoA shows a different scabbard that gets rid of the undesired metal top piece. Link in Skallagrim's video.
    ___

    Did Jatt Arya ever report on the knife he bought? It was an unusual "ball bearing" steel, and I am genuinely interested in how it performed.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    Was way too heavy for the size – making me think it’s a soft steel/poor treat masked by heft.
    It weighed 1kg for a 17″ blade – my Talwar weighs 1.2kg for a 28″ blade.

    Got the Beavercraft AX1 600g & the BPS HK5 weighs 150g.

    Gonna be testing, and will replace my current Ka-bar & 4″ Cold Steel Knife.
    For Basic bushcraft & camp tasks incl skinning respectively.

    Testing a Cold Steel Leatherneck SF as well, but I’m just gonna switch to Knife, Sword, Axe.
    Ditch the dagger||

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @A123
    @Sher Singh


    Talwar weighs 1.2kg for a 28″ blade.
     
    The Balaur Arms Type XVIIIc is 1.5 kg for a 35" blade.

    Was way too heavy for the size – making me think it’s a soft steel/poor treat masked by heft. It weighed 1kg for a 17″ blade
     
    Ball bearing steel has to be incredibly hard. I found the choice odd. My guess was they were using a slower quench to make it less brittle.
    ___

    You can obtain a 20" blade in 5160 that is less than a kilo. That includes features like a knuckle bow and full tang knife construction.

    https://www.kultofathena.com/product/landsknecht-emporium-gustav-messer-with-scabbard-beechwood-grip/

    If I needed a blade for EDC this would be the obvious choice. The XVIIIc is so long I suspect it would be awkward for carry in crowded environments.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  565. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Ukrainian Offensive Nears 2 Month Mark: Little Left to Replace Heavy Losses

    Your source is a known Russian defender talking to a web cam.

    Well I'm convinced.

    MacGregor and Ritter told us last year that Ukraine was down to old men and boys. Inside sources they told us.

    Ritter's latest claim is that the F16s won't hit a single target.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Sure beats your sources.

  566. @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    As one of the excuses for non signing RF also said about that agreement being not clear to them, allegedly they had no idea who is responsible for what in there - so they oversaw and didn't condemn such shitty agreement, which then they refused to sign for being legally shitty and unclear;) But also literally next day suddenly it all became very crystally clear deal to RF about who is responsible for what violations of that unsignable unclear agreement, lol

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Spin all you want, the RF never condemned it with Sikorski lauding Russia’s role in the development of that agreement, which the collective West then went against along with the svido coup plotters.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    Sikorski, who signed agreement himself too, also explained very clearly about Yanukovich violating that agreement instantly:


    What happened the night you and the German and French foreign ministers made that deal with former president Yanukovych? Why did it fall apart?

    Point one of the agreement was that the previous constitution would be brought back, with less presidential power and more parliamentary [power]. The president and the parliament had 48 hours to sign on. The parliament voted it through the same day, within two hours. Then the next day the president announced on TV that he would not sign it into law. So the parliament voted him out of office.
     
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/talking-with-polands-foreign-minister-about-the-ukraine-crisis-and-russias-next-moves/2014/04/17/f1811e84-c5ad-11e3-bf7a-be01a9b69cf1_story.html

    Replies: @Mikhail

  567. A123 says: • Website
    @Sher Singh
    @A123

    Was way too heavy for the size - making me think it's a soft steel/poor treat masked by heft.
    It weighed 1kg for a 17" blade - my Talwar weighs 1.2kg for a 28" blade.

    Got the Beavercraft AX1 600g & the BPS HK5 weighs 150g.

    Gonna be testing, and will replace my current Ka-bar & 4" Cold Steel Knife.
    For Basic bushcraft & camp tasks incl skinning respectively.

    Testing a Cold Steel Leatherneck SF as well, but I'm just gonna switch to Knife, Sword, Axe.
    Ditch the dagger||

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @A123

    Talwar weighs 1.2kg for a 28″ blade.

    The Balaur Arms Type XVIIIc is 1.5 kg for a 35″ blade.

    Was way too heavy for the size – making me think it’s a soft steel/poor treat masked by heft. It weighed 1kg for a 17″ blade

    Ball bearing steel has to be incredibly hard. I found the choice odd. My guess was they were using a slower quench to make it less brittle.
    ___

    You can obtain a 20″ blade in 5160 that is less than a kilo. That includes features like a knuckle bow and full tang knife construction.

    https://www.kultofathena.com/product/landsknecht-emporium-gustav-messer-with-scabbard-beechwood-grip/

    If I needed a blade for EDC this would be the obvious choice. The XVIIIc is so long I suspect it would be awkward for carry in crowded environments.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @A123

    Naa bro, those are nice & I need to check out Kult more.

    A simple 5.5" utility blade + a small hatchet is Good ENOUGH.

    I carry a Talwar 3ft for religious purposes, anyway.

    This is just extra icing for when I need a quick draw or utility purposes.

    Trees are Red Oak + Red Maple btw.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @songbird

  568. @A123
    @songbird

    Make sure you pick a variety that matches the local climate.

    In the South, white oak is common. In the North, it is mostly bur oak. Some of the more exotic oak varieties have poisonous acorns, so they are probably best avoided.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @songbird

    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.

    Makes me wonder what they did in the old days, when they drove cattle into the woods to hide them from invading armies. How they kept them from the oaks.
    Maybe, the woods were so managed that they didn’t have oaks in easy reach of the cattle.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @songbird


    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.
     
    Pigs on the other hand love them. Ham from pigs fattened with wild acorns in oak groves is one of the most expensive in Spain.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @songbird

  569. @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    Spin all you want, the RF never condemned it with Sikorski lauding Russia's role in the development of that agreement, which the collective West then went against along with the svido coup plotters.

    Replies: @sudden death

    Sikorski, who signed agreement himself too, also explained very clearly about Yanukovich violating that agreement instantly:

    What happened the night you and the German and French foreign ministers made that deal with former president Yanukovych? Why did it fall apart?

    Point one of the agreement was that the previous constitution would be brought back, with less presidential power and more parliamentary [power]. The president and the parliament had 48 hours to sign on. The parliament voted it through the same day, within two hours. Then the next day the president announced on TV that he would not sign it into law. So the parliament voted him out of office.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/talking-with-polands-foreign-minister-about-the-ukraine-crisis-and-russias-next-moves/2014/04/17/f1811e84-c5ad-11e3-bf7a-be01a9b69cf1_story.html

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    Be interesting to see the full unedited agreement to verify that claim.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Mikhail

  570. @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    Sikorski, who signed agreement himself too, also explained very clearly about Yanukovich violating that agreement instantly:


    What happened the night you and the German and French foreign ministers made that deal with former president Yanukovych? Why did it fall apart?

    Point one of the agreement was that the previous constitution would be brought back, with less presidential power and more parliamentary [power]. The president and the parliament had 48 hours to sign on. The parliament voted it through the same day, within two hours. Then the next day the president announced on TV that he would not sign it into law. So the parliament voted him out of office.
     
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/talking-with-polands-foreign-minister-about-the-ukraine-crisis-and-russias-next-moves/2014/04/17/f1811e84-c5ad-11e3-bf7a-be01a9b69cf1_story.html

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Be interesting to see the full unedited agreement to verify that claim.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    Text is clearly visible, including point one, in this photo of the original signed agreement:

    https://zn.ua/img/forall/u/0/-1/users/Feb2014/84317.jpg

    , @Mikhail
    @Mikhail

    That's the best you can come up with? Let's to see the whole unedited thing, listing the source it came from.

    Replies: @sudden death

  571. @sudden death
    @Beckow

    This wordy mess of yours is good example why nobody important is taking kremlinite whinings seriously - there is a situation when RF refuses even to sign and acknowledge something as mandatory, but it later starts demanding to consider as such still without having signed, but now you bring up the official document, which was signed by RF as some counter example?

    Also who on earth is taking some unnoficial conversational words possibly uttered by some politician as some kind of legal imperative equal to an official treaty? Only either moron with room temperature IQ or somebody pretending to be such, therefore they are constantly justifiably getting reactions at the highest levels about those type of whinings with absurdist comparisons being just laughable nonsense.

    Replies: @Beckow

    Exactly as I wrote: when Ukraine-Nato don’t observe their side of an agreement and hide in paper excuses, like no signature or “it was only a verbal promise“, you are ok with it.

    When Russia does the same with the Budapest Memorandum, that was not ratified by Russia, you go ballistic.

    When I steal your cow, it is good. When you steal my cow, it is bad.
    And you wonder why nobody takes you seriously…

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Beckow

    Kremlinites and you among them are claiming about watermelon and wallnut both begining with same letter and looking round from afar, therefore those being absolutely the same equally comparable things, lol


    no signature or “it was only a verbal promise“
     
    And Budapest memo is written and signed by RF, so it's not comparable at all in this instance.

    Not even mentioning that RF later signed and ratified fully those bilateral international treaties and agreements with UA, which repeated the main clauses of Budapest memo, regarding UA territorial integrity and 1991 borders.

    Replies: @Beckow

  572. @songbird
    @A123

    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.

    Makes me wonder what they did in the old days, when they drove cattle into the woods to hide them from invading armies. How they kept them from the oaks.
    Maybe, the woods were so managed that they didn't have oaks in easy reach of the cattle.

    Replies: @Mikel

    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.

    Pigs on the other hand love them. Ham from pigs fattened with wild acorns in oak groves is one of the most expensive in Spain.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Animals are geniuses at not eating food that disagrees with them. Evolution has backward steps.
    : )

    , @songbird
    @Mikel

    Irish annals used to record particularly good years for acorns, saying stuff like "even the runts of the litter were fattened."

    There was also an expression: mucc mure remi-thuit mess, which meant a pig that dies before the acorn crop, meaning "a lost opportunity."

    Not sure why pigs can eat acorns. If it is just because they shell them with their teeth, or have other adaptions.

  573. @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    Be interesting to see the full unedited agreement to verify that claim.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Mikhail

    Text is clearly visible, including point one, in this photo of the original signed agreement:

  574. @Beckow
    @sudden death

    Exactly as I wrote: when Ukraine-Nato don't observe their side of an agreement and hide in paper excuses, like no signature or "it was only a verbal promise", you are ok with it.

    When Russia does the same with the Budapest Memorandum, that was not ratified by Russia, you go ballistic.

    When I steal your cow, it is good. When you steal my cow, it is bad.
    And you wonder why nobody takes you seriously...

    Replies: @sudden death

    Kremlinites and you among them are claiming about watermelon and wallnut both begining with same letter and looking round from afar, therefore those being absolutely the same equally comparable things, lol

    no signature or “it was only a verbal promise“

    And Budapest memo is written and signed by RF, so it’s not comparable at all in this instance.

    Not even mentioning that RF later signed and ratified fully those bilateral international treaties and agreements with UA, which repeated the main clauses of Budapest memo, regarding UA territorial integrity and 1991 borders.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @sudden death


    RF later signed and ratified fully those bilateral international

     

    Well, no matter how much you try, RF never ratified the Budapest Memorandum - so it is just like all the other verbal promises, exchanges or memoranda: it is not enforceable.

    There is also another major factor: US reserves the right to unilaterally leave any treaty that no longer suits them. They did with ABM, they attacked Serbia and Iraq openly violating the UN Charter that they signed. So why exactly should Russia be held to a higher standard?

    Can you answer that sincerely? And don't answer with gobbledygook distractions again. Try to answer it honestly - I am really curious why would you think that country X can, but country Y cannot. No "rules-based' system can work that way.

    Replies: @sudden death

  575. @Mikel
    @songbird


    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.
     
    Pigs on the other hand love them. Ham from pigs fattened with wild acorns in oak groves is one of the most expensive in Spain.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @songbird

    Animals are geniuses at not eating food that disagrees with them. Evolution has backward steps.
    : )

  576. @A123
    @Sher Singh


    Talwar weighs 1.2kg for a 28″ blade.
     
    The Balaur Arms Type XVIIIc is 1.5 kg for a 35" blade.

    Was way too heavy for the size – making me think it’s a soft steel/poor treat masked by heft. It weighed 1kg for a 17″ blade
     
    Ball bearing steel has to be incredibly hard. I found the choice odd. My guess was they were using a slower quench to make it less brittle.
    ___

    You can obtain a 20" blade in 5160 that is less than a kilo. That includes features like a knuckle bow and full tang knife construction.

    https://www.kultofathena.com/product/landsknecht-emporium-gustav-messer-with-scabbard-beechwood-grip/

    If I needed a blade for EDC this would be the obvious choice. The XVIIIc is so long I suspect it would be awkward for carry in crowded environments.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    Naa bro, those are nice & I need to check out Kult more.

    A simple 5.5″ utility blade + a small hatchet is Good ENOUGH.

    I carry a Talwar 3ft for religious purposes, anyway.

    This is just extra icing for when I need a quick draw or utility purposes.

    Trees are Red Oak + Red Maple btw.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Sher Singh


    Trees are Red Oak + Red Maple btw.
     
    People might accuse you of having communist or Canadian sympathies, if all your trees turn red in autumn.

    Should have planted elm ("friend of cattle") instead.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  577. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ



    • America has nothing to do with EU expansion.
    • If Europe wants to expand the EU, that is up to Europe.
     
    Americans have a deep connection with Europe
     
    Let me fix that for you:

    Americans HAD a deep connection with Europe.

    Yes, there still are affinities, especially with Brexit UK. However, that has nothing to do with EU expansionary glut bloating. How many Americans can find these on a globe -- Moldova? Bulgaria? Ukraine? Heck... How many can find the EU?

    The idea that Main Street Americans have a passionate commitment to EU expansion is absurd.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    34% of Americans can find Ukraine on a map, though this figure is a bit misleading since many Americans only narrowly missed finding Ukraine on a map:

    https://pro.morningconsult.com/instant-intel/can-americans-find-ukraine-on-a-map

    Counting the near-misses in regards to this could potentially get Americans to 50+% Ukraine recognition on a blank map of Europe.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    I think less than 20% of Americans could find Ukraine on a blank map in February 2021.

    , @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    You know they say that when you notice a trend or a thing it’s often over, or about to vanish.

  578. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I agree - Mcgilchrist can actually be quite a pleasure to listen to :) Whether he's Scottish or English I will leave to you and Silviosilver and the rest to figure out, although my vote's on Oxford English, but he does have a very pleasing and eloquent delivery.

    In a way its unfortunate that Mcgilchrist chose to put the heavy scientific stuff first, and the more exciting and significant part that talks about the cultural, social, and spiritual implications of it all of it all second, because as he himself demonstrates - and the history of science demonstrates - our first point of contact with reality ought to be imagination and intuition, and only later do we turn to rigorous logic, evidence, and experiment to bear our intuitions out.

    First, we get a sense of the "shape" of reality, and then we can use our analytical minds to try and verify it in detail. This is how all the great scientists worked. As the Romantics knew, and as Mcgilchrist shows, imagination and intuition are valid approaches to genuine reality, summarizing on an unconscious level vast amounts of facts and knowledge too enormous and dense to be approached, at least initially, by the analytical mind.

    The modern world has this prejudice that our picture of reality is built from the ground up - that it "emerges" from a mass of experiments or facts. But the history of science shows the opposite.

    My advice would be to actually start with the second part of the book, where he describes in immense detail the cultural, intellectual, and social implications of his thesis, and grasp this larger picture on an imaginative and intuitive level - its an extremely compelling picture of how the modern world functions, true on an immediate, intuitive level.

    Once one sees the whole, then one should turn to the nitty gritty scientific details, at points of skepticism, and delve into that.

    I think he put the scientific part first as a concession to the prejudices of our left brained culture, which he is attempting ultimately to change.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that! He stresses the necessity of leaving room for uncertainty and doubt, and extreme certainty is actually the domain of the left hemisphere whose overuse he's criticizing. He has entire videos and passages on just this point.

    He's someone who feels that he's made a crucial discovery of vital importance to our culture, so of course he's going to try and present his case as strongly as possible - and much of his confidence is simply what's consistent with the available state of evidence. Have you found him to claim a level of assurance that you thought went far beyond what the evidence might allow? Scientists generally talk with a high level of assurance in areas where it's felt the evidence warrants it.

    For all that, he's a human being, and I'm sure to some extent there's an element of rhetoric and overconfidence occasionally, as well, and probably some succumbing to the very left hemisphere dominant tendencies he's deploring. Sure, why not?


    So perhaps it’s not surprising that his psychiatric research led him to conclusions with clear philosophical and even theological implications?
     
    Certainly, but this in no way impugns the credibility of his findings. Mcgilchrist himself demonstrates from the history of science that the boldest findings originate in an intuitive and imaginative grasp of the "shape" of reality which is then yielded to the analytical "knife" of the left hemisphere to verify in detail.

    So definitely, he started with a sense of how the world is - he's quite candid about that, actually, that he was always intuitively uneasy about the standard scientific narrative.

    But Einstein also started with an imaginative grasp of the shape of reality.

    I'm afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture which are precisely the issue in question :) Although I'm happy to concede that you're right to some small degree, as well.

    As for those two videos, I didn't think they were the best ones with him. There's a really good one on Unherd I'll try and find.

    Replies: @Mikel

    I’m afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture

    I just pointed out two problems that I have with the part of McG’s ideas that I am familiar with but I still don’t know what his main conclusions in the last part of the book are in any detail. I’ve just had some glimpses in the videos I’ve posted above but I can’t really offer any critique of his core thesis yet. I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.

    His point about the scientific method being built on a fictional structure of pure observation and rational building of hypotheses is a very good one. It is certainly true that in the initial stages of the method, when scientists formulate their hypotheses, intuition plays a central role. But, other than having an imperfect diagram of how science works in practice, I’m not sure this insight is too important. I doubt any practicing scientist would have any problem admitting that intuition, imagination and perhaps even dreams and fantasy play a central role in their everyday jobs.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that!

    Are you sure about that? On the matter of brain lateralization, the one subject I read more than enough on, I don’t see him leaving any room for doubt. Ironically, his description of how the left brain and the right brain work looks tremendously left-brained and mechanistic. He describes a very rigid scheme, page after page, example after example, with no uncertainty or pending research mentioned that I remember at all. This is all the more important considering that, as explained in the Sam Harris video, his findings run against what was previously thought to be the correct paradigm and, as far as I have been able to see, his interpretation is still not the consensus view. The general view among researchers seems to be that the exact mechanisms of how our brains work are still largely a mystery and there is quite a lot of overlap and redundancy in our brain structures.

    We’ll see how important his description of the brain lateralization is for his subsequent conclusions.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.
     
    Absolutely you ought to start doubting it. And you shouldn't wait around for McGilchrist or anyone else to show you the way (they can help), but proactively attack the problem yourself. We massively shortchange ourselves when we allow scientism to rule out this exciting possibility, and rule out that exciting possibility, and rule out all the enchantment in life. We grant scientism a veto over our imaginations and tell ourselves we have no right to complain. And why? Because the scientistic little bitch boys can't imagine there's any way to square such enchanted notions with the picture of reality their methods have built up. But that picture of reality is incomplete, and worse (for them), it's necessarily incomplete, and worse still, it must forever be incomplete. And if that's the case, we need to cancel their veto posthaste. Because life is about living, not about arriving at the precise solution to a mathematical conundrum.

    How can I, who have banged on so much about objectivity and realism, and dismissed so many viewpoints as subjective and unworthy of attention, say such things? Well, the shortest answer is: I was a fucking idiot. But another short answer is: there is 'mere reality' and there is 'ultimate reality.' Mere reality is the way things appear to us, given the kinds of beings we are, given the kinds of instruments we possess; and from this perspective, there are indeed more objective and less objective ways of perceiving the world and arriving at conclusions about it; and at any one time there could very well be a "most objective" perspective to which all other perspectives ought to give way. But we are in no way justified in leaping from this perspective to the all-encompassing conclusion we have comprehended ultimate reality. We have no right to claim that.

    Imagine a bat going about its life. Given the kind of being it is, given the kinds of instruments for processing the information coming at it it possesses, it too would have more objective and less objectives perspectives on the (mere) reality surrounding it. And when it adheres to the more objective perspective, it finds it can more successfully evade predators and stalk its prey than it can with less objective perspectives. Fine. But what a fool that bat would be to imagine it has successfully comprehended ultimate reality. It has comprehended but a miniscule portion of our mere reality, but the poor thing has no way of knowing that. Well, what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I think the standard scientific approach these days is to study an issue from the standpoint of "objectivity", without any preconceptions, predilections, emotional involvement, or disposition towards the outcome.

    Even on this forum, I've been told by various people that my conclusions must be illegitimate because I'm vested in the outcome, or already have a strong sense of what it might be. There is this idea today that the larger picture "emerges" from a mass of details that one has accumulated, rather than that one starts with a larger picture and then attempts to prove it.

    I think that's the dominant view these days, but this flatly contradicts the history of science. So I do think this "reversal" of perspective is important :) Of course, it's important to keep in mind that ones initial theories at the very least will develop, quite possibly in unforeseen ways, and undergo significant modification, or even complete reversal. There is certainly an element of serendipity and exploration involved, and that's perhaps where "objectivity" comes in.- and excitement.

    To be honest, I'm struggling to understand the nature of your objections to Mcgilchrist presenting in detail the evidence for his conclusions - it's almost as if you're suggesting that presenting a very good case is itself a form of closed minded rigidity :)

    The man has accumulated evidence for his thesis over the course of several decades, and it seems to overwhelmingly validate the broad outlines of his theory - at what point does it become legitimate to talk with a high measure of confidence? Surely, it is scientifically legitimate to do a comprehensive and exhaustive survey of the evidence and if one feels it warrants it, come to conclusions with a high level of confidence, and offer it to the judgement of his peers and the general public. And that is no more than he is doing.

    Now, if Mcgilchrist refuses to consider objections to his position, or alternative explanations of the data, and shuts down conversations, ignores questions, and generally behaved like a dogmatic idiot, that would be closed minded.

    Nor does he pretend that there aren't areas that are left murky and where more research is required - he admits it where the data is inconclusive or insufficient, and welcomes more research. But he does maintain that enough data already exists to validate the broad outlines of his theory - and it is up to his scientific peers and the general public to question that if they feel he's wrong.

    But everyone is allowed to disagree, and sift through his evidence, and scrutinize his findings - and question him. He welcomes that - as do I!

    Moreover, let's "zoom out" from the nitty gritty details and consider the thrust of his argument - his thesis is that we must develop a larger, broader, more inclusive type of consciousness, that takes in the wider picture. He calls on us to see more, not less, to include the vision of the left hemisphere but put in a more comprehensive frame. By its nature such a position is a call to greater flexibility than one that insists we must limit ourselves entirely to left hemisphere thinking, which is characteristic of the modern world.

    And finally, one central implication of his call to return to hemispheric balance is an appreciation for the vague, the ambiguous, the uncertain, that which does not admit of precisely formulation but is nevertheless hugely important for our lives and real - and he discusses these issues st length.

    Now, I suppose on the "meta" level a call to bring non-dogmatic and open-minded is itself dogmatic and closed-minded :) But I don't think you meant logic puzzles such as that.

    (P.S. - sorry if I came on a bit too strong in this comment :) And please always feel free to disagree with me or utterly reject what I'm saying, regardless of what I say. )

    Replies: @Mikel

  579. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.
     
    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine's Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn't they?

    U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    OFFICE OF THE SPOKESPERSON

    NOVEMBER 10, 2021

    The following is the text of the U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership signed by U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba in Washington, D.C. on November 10, 2021U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    Guided by the April 3, 2008 Bucharest Summit Declaration of the NATO North Atlantic Council and as reaffirmed in the June 14, 2021 Brussels Summit Communique of the NATO North Atlantic Council, the United States supports Ukraine’s right to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO.
     
    The Russians did not seems to think that Ukraine could not join NATO because the build up for the invasion started. In December 2021 Bliken spoke of “The unwavering commitment of the United States to Ukraine’s territorial integrity, sovereignty, its independence… that is a view that not only the United States holds but all of our NATO allies hold as well". The Kremlin seems to have believed him because they invaded Ukraine two months later.

    {C]ollapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.
     
    Realistically, a collapse in Russian troops' morale would be predictably be caused by Ukraine effortlessly advancing through Russia's defence lines and racing for the sea. Yet the Ukrainiana' plan for doing that was an outdated mobile warfare by armoured forces offensive, which has signally failed.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Wokechoke

    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine’s Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn’t they?

    How did Ukraine understand the Minsk Agreements in regards to Ukraine’s EU aspirations?

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Mr. XYZ

    It was seen as likely to prevent Ukraine getting closer to the EU, addition to preventing ukraine ever joining Nato. But the nationalists would not entertain any hint of special status for Donbass; that was seen as to high a price for peace. In August 2015 Poroshenko tried to bring in a financial bill for Donbass. far-right groups rioted outside Ukraine’s parliament killing four police. The threats be the same groups in 2019 to tople Zelenskiy were not idle ones. They may not have understood that the alternative to Misk2 type arangements was not merely continuation of the relatively low leve conflict that started in 2014 but something orders of magnitude more bloody (ie a full scale Russian invasion) Most of these nationalists who made Zelensiy do a U turn in 2019 are prolly already KIA.

  580. @Beckow
    @John Johnson

    Oh, boy..."wiki doesn't say it was a victory...", even for you that is one crazily stupid statement. How about the State Department? Did you check with them if the Afghanistan or Iraq wars are listed as victories? I wonder what they would say...

    Few corrections: US is fighting on the Kiev's side, so its record is very relevant. You equated US previously to Luxembourg, now it is "Pakistan", I guess you are moving up. But still very, very stupid. Comparing how powers did in wars is legitimate - only listing one side is deceptive.

    WW1 was won primarily by France, they dictated the peace terms. WW2 in Europe was won by the Soviet Union. Russia abandoned WW1 due to the Bolshie Revolution, it was a civil war disaster, but WW2 was a direct continuation of WW1, Russia recovered all its losses.

    Cold War was not a war and it ended with a reconciliation that the West than declared a "victory" and tried to take an advantage off - the Ukraine war is de facto the Cold War that wasn't. At the end of this war we will know who won the Cold War. You are jumping the gun, history takes a long time.

    Finland lost the war. They didn't get back the "territory" as you falsely claim. (Why do you lie so much?) Here is the very biased wiki:


    Finland lost industrialised territory and 9% of Finnish territory. The ceded territory included 13 percent of Finland's economic assets, 12 percent of Finland's population, 422,000 to 450,000 Karelians... The Hanko peninsula was leased to the Soviet Union as a military base for 30 years. The region of Petsamo, captured by the Red Army during the war, was returned to Finland according to the treaty.

    Finnish concessions and territorial losses exceeded Soviet pre-war demands. Before the war, the Soviet Union demanded for the frontier with Finland on the Karelian Isthmus to be moved westward to a point 30 kilometres east of Vyborg...

     

    Russia's demands before the war were arrogant, but justified given that Finland was a German ally who could destroy St.Petersburg with artillery. Finland ended up losing a lot more. Russia won the war. You are a sore loser.

    Look, this is not about name calling, but you are clearly a moron or you choose to play one here. Whatever... Since you don't engage on a substantive level in this discussion, I will just let you go.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    WW1 was won primarily by France, they dictated the peace terms.

    France would not have won WWI without the US, its unsecured loans to the Entente, and the fact that the US provided the Entente with an almost limitless supply of manpower that possibly convinced the Germans that they could not fight on in an attempt to bleed the Entente to exhaustion.

  581. @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    34% of Americans can find Ukraine on a map, though this figure is a bit misleading since many Americans only narrowly missed finding Ukraine on a map:

    https://pro.morningconsult.com/instant-intel/can-americans-find-ukraine-on-a-map

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FLKPxXXX0AAt3h2.jpg:large

    Counting the near-misses in regards to this could potentially get Americans to 50+% Ukraine recognition on a blank map of Europe.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Wokechoke

    I think less than 20% of Americans could find Ukraine on a blank map in February 2021.

  582. Ukraine Offensive Achieving NOTHING w/Col Doug Macgregor (ret)

    Dueling Drone & Missile Strikes, Grain Deal Ends in Fire & Fury on Ukraine’s Ports, US Officials Admit Kiev Forces Lacked Strength to Carry Out Offensive and more…

    https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/dueling-drone-and-missile-strikes?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2#details

    Scott Ritter Extra Ep. 85: Ask the Inspector

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    MacGregor and Ritter are lucky that cope is a legal drug.


    The war is really over for the Ukrainians. They have been ground into bits, there is no question about that despite what we hear from our mainstream media. So, the real question for us at this stage is, Tucker, are we going to live with the Russian people and their government or we going to continue to pursue this sort of regime change dressed up as a Ukrainian war?

    MacGregor March 2022
    https://strategic-culture.org/news/2022/03/23/larry-johnson-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    Replies: @Mikhail

  583. @sudden death
    @Beckow

    Kremlinites and you among them are claiming about watermelon and wallnut both begining with same letter and looking round from afar, therefore those being absolutely the same equally comparable things, lol


    no signature or “it was only a verbal promise“
     
    And Budapest memo is written and signed by RF, so it's not comparable at all in this instance.

    Not even mentioning that RF later signed and ratified fully those bilateral international treaties and agreements with UA, which repeated the main clauses of Budapest memo, regarding UA territorial integrity and 1991 borders.

    Replies: @Beckow

    RF later signed and ratified fully those bilateral international

    Well, no matter how much you try, RF never ratified the Budapest Memorandum – so it is just like all the other verbal promises, exchanges or memoranda: it is not enforceable.

    There is also another major factor: US reserves the right to unilaterally leave any treaty that no longer suits them. They did with ABM, they attacked Serbia and Iraq openly violating the UN Charter that they signed. So why exactly should Russia be held to a higher standard?

    Can you answer that sincerely? And don’t answer with gobbledygook distractions again. Try to answer it honestly – I am really curious why would you think that country X can, but country Y cannot. No “rules-based’ system can work that way.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Beckow

    RF didn't leave any signed and ratified treaty with UA prior 2014, nor in 2014 or later. Also when did US annex and made new inner US states out of Iraq or Serbia lands? Therefore once again you're whining with reasoning about watermelon and walnut allegedly being the same thing;)

    btw, RF didn't get any sanctions for recognizing/supporting new independent Abkhazia and South Ossetia states made out of Georgia lands in 2008 or later, because that indeed was very similar and comparable to the previous Western actions elsewhere.


    RF never ratified the Budapest Memorandum – so it is just like all the other verbal promises, exchanges or memoranda: it is not enforceable.
     
    This line of reasonong also means UA has the right to own nuclear weapons in order to defend itself fom RF.

    Replies: @Beckow

  584. @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    Be interesting to see the full unedited agreement to verify that claim.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Mikhail

    That’s the best you can come up with? Let’s to see the whole unedited thing, listing the source it came from.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    Full text in RF state owned media resource is not anyhow different in meaning from the original Ukrainian text in photo and Sikorski's description of point one:

    https://ria.ru/20140221/996319889.html

    Replies: @Mikhail

  585. @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    34% of Americans can find Ukraine on a map, though this figure is a bit misleading since many Americans only narrowly missed finding Ukraine on a map:

    https://pro.morningconsult.com/instant-intel/can-americans-find-ukraine-on-a-map

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FLKPxXXX0AAt3h2.jpg:large

    Counting the near-misses in regards to this could potentially get Americans to 50+% Ukraine recognition on a blank map of Europe.

    Replies: @QCIC, @Wokechoke

    You know they say that when you notice a trend or a thing it’s often over, or about to vanish.

  586. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @silviosilver

    Many of those fellows cannot read the street sign for their address.

    When they have a riot they burn down their own neighborhood. That is how ignorant they are.

    Did you see the Lex Friedman Kanye West interview? One of the funniest things on the internet is those guys arguing on whether the history of the jews or the negroes is more tragic. You have to sit through a lot of dead air to get there. Maybe put it on background while cleaning the house and attend .2 to the dead air.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Did you see the Lex Friedman Kanye West interview?

    No, I couldn’t care less about anything that silly groid (or any other silly groid) thinks. I was entertained by the spectacle, but unlike many on the diss right, I couldn’t see anything useful emerging from it. If it has any enduring power to sour black-Jew relations, okay good, but I doubt that matters very much in the grand scheme of things. (Troubled relations have never prevented Jews from using blacks as an anti-white battering ram before and won’t any time soon.)

    Lex gets some very good interviewees (twits like Kanye are the exception) and asks intelligent questions. His monotone delivery grates on me so I haven’t listened to as many as I would like.

  587. @Beckow
    @John Johnson


    ...Result: Polish victory
     
    It was the only Polish victory since the late 17th century - 300 years!!! Something to think about given that Poland prides itself to be a country with a martial spirit.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk.
     
    Nicholas II was overthrown in February 2017 and Lenin came from Switzerland exile in April - they never overlapped, how could he have him shot? You are quite ignorant, almost comically so.

    Same with Finland - you lied that they got their lost lands back after WW2. They didn't. Russia won the Winter war, if that embarrasses you, we can't help you. But your sour grapes are no way to go through life.

    You are quoting "wiki" like it is the holy script. It is similar to quoting the Great Soviet Encyclopedia - there are some facts, but it was very heavily edited for a particular point of view. Or the Otto's Encyclopedia - published under the Habsburgs - it lists the years and numbers mostly ok, but the Emperors can do no wrong and the German culture is superior. Wiki is the same, all of its political-history sections may as well be written by the US state department. Grow up.

    I am sensing that you are increasingly hysterical because Russia is slowly winning the war. You are so emotionally invested in your hatreds that this will be very hard on you.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    …Result: Polish victory

    It was the only Polish victory since the late 17th century – 300 years!!!

    Not seeing your math on 300 years. They were divided and occupied by various Imperial powers in 1772.

    Most of our problems in fact result from Nicholas II going soft and letting Lenin walk.

    Nicholas II was overthrown in February 2017 and Lenin came from Switzerland exile in April – they never overlapped, how could he have him shot?

    Comically so? Who do you think was in charge when he was exiled to Siberia for 3 years?

    Nicholas II started his reign in 1894. Lenin was arrested in 1895.

    Lenin returned to St. Petersburg in 1905.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_uprising_of_1905

    Stop making excuses. Nicholas II wimped out.

    Nicholas II had secret agents that operated all over Europe. Lenin was nearly killed by a left-wing Jewess who walked right up to him:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fanny_Kaplan

    She had more balls than the Tsar.

    Russians are natural slaves. That is why they fell to Communist influence. It’s in their culture/genes to submit to authority. Anyone with a set of balls moved West.

    I am sensing that you are increasingly hysterical because Russia is slowly winning the war.

    Hysterical? This war started with everyone decreeing that it was over and Ukraine will be gone.

    Putin can at best walk away with a slice of Ukraine and have his state tv call that a win. But according to his original goals the war is a failure and the world views him as a loser.

    A free Ukraine will remain and Putin’s dream of eliminating them as a state has been shattered.

    If you want to see an emotional mess then look at the latest MacGregor video. He is starting to develop a dark side look. His veins are popping out of his face.

  588. @Mikhail
    Ukraine Offensive Achieving NOTHING w/Col Doug Macgregor (ret)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-zs24H1L5A

    Dueling Drone & Missile Strikes, Grain Deal Ends in Fire & Fury on Ukraine's Ports, US Officials Admit Kiev Forces Lacked Strength to Carry Out Offensive and more...

    https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/dueling-drone-and-missile-strikes?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2#details

    Scott Ritter Extra Ep. 85: Ask the Inspector

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_clJIA3Zo8

    Replies: @John Johnson

    MacGregor and Ritter are lucky that cope is a legal drug.

    The war is really over for the Ukrainians. They have been ground into bits, there is no question about that despite what we hear from our mainstream media. So, the real question for us at this stage is, Tucker, are we going to live with the Russian people and their government or we going to continue to pursue this sort of regime change dressed up as a Ukrainian war?

    MacGregor March 2022
    https://strategic-culture.org/news/2022/03/23/larry-johnson-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus, Lloyd Austin, Mark Hertling and Jack Keane.

    Summer Operation | The Russian Offensive In Svatovo Is Gaining Momentum. Military Summary 2023.07.25

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vdUKT9zv3I

    Replies: @John Johnson

  589. MacGregor declaring 4 months ago that Ukraine is destroyed and nothing remains.

    He also explains how a Russian offensive is coming and the southern front is about to collapse for the Ukrainains:

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    The collective West hasn't yet come to reality which will prolong though not change the eventual outcome which can take varying forms.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt -


    The Kiev regime is somewhat like a car which has become a money pit to the degree that the owner increases the thought of ditching it. For its part, Russia would like to do other things with its budget and resources. It definitely didn’t want this conflict, waiting years for a peaceful option to be honored in the form of the Minsk Accords, as well as trying to have a new security arrangement with the collective West.

    Russia views securing geopolitical stability on its border as a necessity that it can’t ignore and will successfully see enacted in one way or another, albeit with some hardship which their opponents have experienced in varying degrees as well.

    The Kiev regime and its main backers wishfully hoped for heightened civil conflict between some (definitely not all) Wagner Group personnel and the Russian armed forces. That incident dwindled with a reality giving Putin (in my opinion and that of some others) the continued greater odds of outlasting (in the role of head of state) Biden and Zelensky, as well as the current leaders in France, Germany and the UK. In turn, new leadership among the leading Western nations potentially increases the likelihood of ending the proxy war.
     

    Replies: @John Johnson

  590. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I’m afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture
     
    I just pointed out two problems that I have with the part of McG's ideas that I am familiar with but I still don't know what his main conclusions in the last part of the book are in any detail. I've just had some glimpses in the videos I've posted above but I can't really offer any critique of his core thesis yet. I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.

    His point about the scientific method being built on a fictional structure of pure observation and rational building of hypotheses is a very good one. It is certainly true that in the initial stages of the method, when scientists formulate their hypotheses, intuition plays a central role. But, other than having an imperfect diagram of how science works in practice, I'm not sure this insight is too important. I doubt any practicing scientist would have any problem admitting that intuition, imagination and perhaps even dreams and fantasy play a central role in their everyday jobs.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that!
     
    Are you sure about that? On the matter of brain lateralization, the one subject I read more than enough on, I don't see him leaving any room for doubt. Ironically, his description of how the left brain and the right brain work looks tremendously left-brained and mechanistic. He describes a very rigid scheme, page after page, example after example, with no uncertainty or pending research mentioned that I remember at all. This is all the more important considering that, as explained in the Sam Harris video, his findings run against what was previously thought to be the correct paradigm and, as far as I have been able to see, his interpretation is still not the consensus view. The general view among researchers seems to be that the exact mechanisms of how our brains work are still largely a mystery and there is quite a lot of overlap and redundancy in our brain structures.

    We'll see how important his description of the brain lateralization is for his subsequent conclusions.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.

    Absolutely you ought to start doubting it. And you shouldn’t wait around for McGilchrist or anyone else to show you the way (they can help), but proactively attack the problem yourself. We massively shortchange ourselves when we allow scientism to rule out this exciting possibility, and rule out that exciting possibility, and rule out all the enchantment in life. We grant scientism a veto over our imaginations and tell ourselves we have no right to complain. And why? Because the scientistic little bitch boys can’t imagine there’s any way to square such enchanted notions with the picture of reality their methods have built up. But that picture of reality is incomplete, and worse (for them), it’s necessarily incomplete, and worse still, it must forever be incomplete. And if that’s the case, we need to cancel their veto posthaste. Because life is about living, not about arriving at the precise solution to a mathematical conundrum.

    How can I, who have banged on so much about objectivity and realism, and dismissed so many viewpoints as subjective and unworthy of attention, say such things? Well, the shortest answer is: I was a fucking idiot. But another short answer is: there is ‘mere reality’ and there is ‘ultimate reality.’ Mere reality is the way things appear to us, given the kinds of beings we are, given the kinds of instruments we possess; and from this perspective, there are indeed more objective and less objective ways of perceiving the world and arriving at conclusions about it; and at any one time there could very well be a “most objective” perspective to which all other perspectives ought to give way. But we are in no way justified in leaping from this perspective to the all-encompassing conclusion we have comprehended ultimate reality. We have no right to claim that.

    Imagine a bat going about its life. Given the kind of being it is, given the kinds of instruments for processing the information coming at it it possesses, it too would have more objective and less objectives perspectives on the (mere) reality surrounding it. And when it adheres to the more objective perspective, it finds it can more successfully evade predators and stalk its prey than it can with less objective perspectives. Fine. But what a fool that bat would be to imagine it has successfully comprehended ultimate reality. It has comprehended but a miniscule portion of our mere reality, but the poor thing has no way of knowing that. Well, what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.
     
    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs. But realizing this doesn't lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods. Science probably does impose limits on how sophisticated a religion must be to be credible in the modern world.

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish. Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn't mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems. All the evidence continues to point in the direction that yes, we are all going to vanish forever in the not too distant future, as we see all organisms around us do, which is quite disconcerting and disquieting for the human mind.

    I don't know how other people go about this because these are subjects that you don't often talk about with family and friends, or rather change the subject to more pleasant matters when you start getting too deep into them, but an additional problem I've had since childhood is that I can't even imagine an alternative destiny for my existence that would be clearly better than simple disappearance. All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don't know how to do that. The fact that science doesn't offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn't do much for me.

    Replies: @AP, @silviosilver, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  591. Not gloating but this is why the Russians release the maniacs.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66308584

    Easier to kill on the front.

  592. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    MacGregor and Ritter are lucky that cope is a legal drug.


    The war is really over for the Ukrainians. They have been ground into bits, there is no question about that despite what we hear from our mainstream media. So, the real question for us at this stage is, Tucker, are we going to live with the Russian people and their government or we going to continue to pursue this sort of regime change dressed up as a Ukrainian war?

    MacGregor March 2022
    https://strategic-culture.org/news/2022/03/23/larry-johnson-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    Replies: @Mikhail

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus, Lloyd Austin, Mark Hertling and Jack Keane.

    Summer Operation | The Russian Offensive In Svatovo Is Gaining Momentum. Military Summary 2023.07.25

    • Agree: LondonBob
    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus,

    Not at all.

    I listen to Petraeus and he doesn't make monthly declarations about how one side is doomed.

    He has in fact said that Russia can still win and they did a good job on their defensive lines.

    When has MacGregor or Ritter said anything positive about Ukraine? It's all cheerleading.

    Danny Davis isn't a cheerleader. Not sure why you would slime him with MacGregor and Ritter. He takes the opinion that Putin is evil but should be appeased with Donbas and Crimea.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Sean

  593. @John Johnson
    MacGregor declaring 4 months ago that Ukraine is destroyed and nothing remains.

    He also explains how a Russian offensive is coming and the southern front is about to collapse for the Ukrainains:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a5U9Zmu8wlY&t=2s

    Replies: @Mikhail

    The collective West hasn’t yet come to reality which will prolong though not change the eventual outcome which can take varying forms.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt –

    The Kiev regime is somewhat like a car which has become a money pit to the degree that the owner increases the thought of ditching it. For its part, Russia would like to do other things with its budget and resources. It definitely didn’t want this conflict, waiting years for a peaceful option to be honored in the form of the Minsk Accords, as well as trying to have a new security arrangement with the collective West.

    Russia views securing geopolitical stability on its border as a necessity that it can’t ignore and will successfully see enacted in one way or another, albeit with some hardship which their opponents have experienced in varying degrees as well.

    The Kiev regime and its main backers wishfully hoped for heightened civil conflict between some (definitely not all) Wagner Group personnel and the Russian armed forces. That incident dwindled with a reality giving Putin (in my opinion and that of some others) the continued greater odds of outlasting (in the role of head of state) Biden and Zelensky, as well as the current leaders in France, Germany and the UK. In turn, new leadership among the leading Western nations potentially increases the likelihood of ending the proxy war.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Excerpt –

    Did you really just quote yourself?

    The collective West hasn’t yet come to reality which will prolong though not change the eventual outcome which can take varying forms.

    Putin defenders said the same thing when Kiev was attacked. No point in trying. Everyone knows the outcome. The entire state will fall.

    Submit to a homicidal dwarf and his totalitarian empire so he doesn't kill you.

    Sorry but the Putin defending bloggers and paid hacks like Ritter will look like Soviet defenders in 1991.

    Basically holding their dick in their hand and wondering what the hell happened. But I guess Ritter has some experience in that area.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  594. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus, Lloyd Austin, Mark Hertling and Jack Keane.

    Summer Operation | The Russian Offensive In Svatovo Is Gaining Momentum. Military Summary 2023.07.25

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vdUKT9zv3I

    Replies: @John Johnson

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus,

    Not at all.

    I listen to Petraeus and he doesn’t make monthly declarations about how one side is doomed.

    He has in fact said that Russia can still win and they did a good job on their defensive lines.

    When has MacGregor or Ritter said anything positive about Ukraine? It’s all cheerleading.

    Danny Davis isn’t a cheerleader. Not sure why you would slime him with MacGregor and Ritter. He takes the opinion that Putin is evil but should be appeased with Donbas and Crimea.

    • Disagree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn't appear to be getting weaker but stronger - that the longer the conflict, the greater the potential for the Kiev regime to lose more territory.

    Petraeus absurdly said that Kiev regime forces are better trained, motivated and equipped than their Russian opponent. That he gets something obviously evident on another matter, which others have already noted, makes him subpar establishment.

    Not to be overlooked is svido favorite Ben Hodges, who said that the Kiev regime will take Crimea by the end of this year.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Sean
    @John Johnson


    Sun 2 Oct 2022
    Petraeus: US would destroy Russia’s troops if Putin uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine [...] “The battlefield reality he faces is, I think, irreversible,” he said. “No amount of shambolic mobilization, which is the only way to describe it; no amount of annexation; no amount of even veiled nuclear threats can actually get him out of this particular situation.

    “At some point there’s going to have to be recognition of that. At some point there’s going to have to be some kind of beginning of negotiations, as [Ukrainian] President [Volodymyr] Zelenskiy has said, will be the ultimate end.”
     
    Petraeus and others are of course putting up a front, but the truth is |Americans would not dare attack Russian troops in Ukraine because that would be too likely to result in a nuclear weapon being used against American forces. Petraeus was saying Russia's position was untenable when they seemed unwilling and or unable to actually hold their ground. The battle field reality in 2023 is the Russian mobilisaton enabled them to stand and fight.

    Danny Davis isn’t a cheerleader. Not sure why you would slime him with MacGregor and Ritter. He takes the opinion that Putin is evil
     
    Ukraine left, not the Soviet Union under Stalin but the Russian Federation. And the Russia Federation under Yeltsin. Putin became leader after that happened. when Ukraine was already looking to NATO. Ukraine was never given carte blanch to form any alliances it saw fit to. As a sovereign country it could take decision, but those decisions were gong to have consequences to the extent they impinged on Russian security. Russia made clear it was not going to take a hit geopolitically, and they did not accept the mora arbitration of those whose security was not being eroded. Putin can certainly be criticised for not making it much more explicit that unless Russia got some satisfaction it was going to go into full on war mode

    [B]ut should be appeased with Donbas and Crimea.
     
    Appease is the wrong word in relation to Crimea because Russia already has Crimea so it does not need to be given it, as General Milley said some time ago Ukraine has already achieved as much as can reasonably be expected . As for Davis he thinks the Russians are not going to vacate what they currently hold, may be able to take more, and Ukraine will not be able to evict them, so Ukraine ought to start thinking about whether the sacrifice of young men entailed by further fighting at the current high and still rising intensity will achieve anything for the country and its future.

    Why Ukraine’s counter-offensive is failing
    Diplomacy is more important than ever as Kyiv simply doesn’t have the human resources or physical infrastructure to achieve its goals.
    JULY 19, 2023
    Written by
    Daniel L. Davis [...]

    Trying to put a good face on the situation, Western officials and analysts told the Washington Post on Tuesday that “Ukraine’s military has so far embraced an attrition-based approach aimed largely at creating vulnerabilities in Russian lines.” That is not accurate. The UAF haven’t “embraced” an attrition-based approach, they have changed tactics to leading with small groups of dismounted infantry to try and penetrate Russia’s leading trench lines out of sheer necessity. Leading with armor simply won’t work, and if Ukraine had persisted in trying large armored assaults, they would have continued dying in large numbers.

    The problem for Kyiv is that this “approach” is virtually certain to fail. The military geography of this entire region of Ukraine is characterized by open, flat terrain, interspersed with thin forest strips. Because Russia owns the skies and has considerable drone capacity, any time the Ukrainian soldiers move in the open, they are immediately subjected to artillery or mortar fire. If any armored vehicles move in the open, they are likewise quickly destroyed. The best the UAF can do is infiltrate small numbers of infantrymen into trenches where Russian forces are located.

    It’s not that Zelensky’s forces are “going slowly” forward, it’s that they aren’t attaining any of their initial tactical objectives on the way to the Azov coast and it’s precisely because the combat fundamentals necessary to win are largely (and in some cases entirely) absent. They flatly don’t have the human resources or physical infrastructure necessary to succeed.

    Now, it is always possible that Russia could suffer sudden political collapse, such as what happened in 1917, and Ukraine could still emerge successful. That, however, is extremely unlikely and Kyiv would be unwise to base their future hopes upon such an event.

    To continue trying will tragically result in yet more UAF troops being killed, Ukrainian cities destroyed, and push prospects for peace ever further away
     
  595. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    The collective West hasn't yet come to reality which will prolong though not change the eventual outcome which can take varying forms.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/17072023-nato-summit-aftermath-oped/

    Excerpt -


    The Kiev regime is somewhat like a car which has become a money pit to the degree that the owner increases the thought of ditching it. For its part, Russia would like to do other things with its budget and resources. It definitely didn’t want this conflict, waiting years for a peaceful option to be honored in the form of the Minsk Accords, as well as trying to have a new security arrangement with the collective West.

    Russia views securing geopolitical stability on its border as a necessity that it can’t ignore and will successfully see enacted in one way or another, albeit with some hardship which their opponents have experienced in varying degrees as well.

    The Kiev regime and its main backers wishfully hoped for heightened civil conflict between some (definitely not all) Wagner Group personnel and the Russian armed forces. That incident dwindled with a reality giving Putin (in my opinion and that of some others) the continued greater odds of outlasting (in the role of head of state) Biden and Zelensky, as well as the current leaders in France, Germany and the UK. In turn, new leadership among the leading Western nations potentially increases the likelihood of ending the proxy war.
     

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Excerpt –

    Did you really just quote yourself?

    The collective West hasn’t yet come to reality which will prolong though not change the eventual outcome which can take varying forms.

    Putin defenders said the same thing when Kiev was attacked. No point in trying. Everyone knows the outcome. The entire state will fall.

    Submit to a homicidal dwarf and his totalitarian empire so he doesn’t kill you.

    Sorry but the Putin defending bloggers and paid hacks like Ritter will look like Soviet defenders in 1991.

    Basically holding their dick in their hand and wondering what the hell happened. But I guess Ritter has some experience in that area.

    • Troll: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    Regarding the SMO, Kiev was never attacked as in taking it over. NAFO trolls aside, Zelensky is the dwarf figure at the top of a corrupt, lying, undemocratic and neo-Nazi influenced entity with blood on its hands prior to 2/24/22 and thereafter.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  596. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    Ukraine could not join NATO before the war.
     
    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine's Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn't they?

    U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    OFFICE OF THE SPOKESPERSON

    NOVEMBER 10, 2021

    The following is the text of the U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership signed by U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba in Washington, D.C. on November 10, 2021U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership
    MEDIA NOTE

    Guided by the April 3, 2008 Bucharest Summit Declaration of the NATO North Atlantic Council and as reaffirmed in the June 14, 2021 Brussels Summit Communique of the NATO North Atlantic Council, the United States supports Ukraine’s right to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO.
     
    The Russians did not seems to think that Ukraine could not join NATO because the build up for the invasion started. In December 2021 Bliken spoke of “The unwavering commitment of the United States to Ukraine’s territorial integrity, sovereignty, its independence… that is a view that not only the United States holds but all of our NATO allies hold as well". The Kremlin seems to have believed him because they invaded Ukraine two months later.

    {C]ollapse in Russian morale and the opening of a salient.
     
    Realistically, a collapse in Russian troops' morale would be predictably be caused by Ukraine effortlessly advancing through Russia's defence lines and racing for the sea. Yet the Ukrainiana' plan for doing that was an outdated mobile warfare by armoured forces offensive, which has signally failed.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Wokechoke

    The arussians might push NATOs shit in.

  597. Dmitry says:
    @Greasy William
    @Dmitry

    The numbers you cited are interesting and I admit that I was unaware of them. That said, the fact remains that Russia is one of only 3 countries that produces a 5th generation fighter and Russia is one of only 5 countries that produces modern jet engines. Russia is also one of only 4 countries that produces all of the major weapons platforms that it uses.

    Several months into the war, Russian military industry was already working around the clock and resources were being diverted from the civilian economy into the war economy. So far, Russia appears able to replace lost equipment and expanded munitions, whereas the West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine's already insufficient artillery usage. The West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpiles that this war has depleted.

    I don't think any serious analysis disputes just how much of a basket case the Russia/Iran/China axis is. All three states are corrupt, thugocracies who are facing severe demographic winter. Even if these evil states are able to achieve their goals (G-d forbid) they will implode soon after due to their unsolvable internal problems. However, Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive in their war with the combined forces of the US, Canada, the UK and the USSR.

    And again, nobody disputes that the combined resources of the Western alliance totally dwarf the combined strength of Russia/Iran/China, let alone Russia by itself. That is not the question. The issue is, is the Western alliance politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously "no" and only a flagrant homosexual would say otherwise.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Dmitry

    was unaware of them.

    Well, it’s usually commonly known information.

    replace lost equipment and expanded munitions

    This is replaced using mainly equipment from the storage, it’s almost all not new equipment which has been produced since 1991.

    As a result, the war is a bit like a retrospectively viewing museum of Soviet historical equipment, as the war begins in 2022 with more equipment like 1980s BMP-3, while in 2023 the soldiers are often using 1960s BMP-1 and there are even reports about soldiers using 1950s T-55.

    It’s not acceptable protection for soldiers to use the BMP-1. In the 2020s, it’s kind of war crime to use this 1960s equipment, even if it was against another museum army. Although in 2023, Ukraine is now receiving Western equipment, quite a lot of this is also often from the museum, including low quality of Soviet exported equipment Poland doesn’t need.

    For perspective, the situation of the army in Ukraine, is like if Stalin is fighting in 1945, using weapons and equipment of 1885.

    A lot of these equipment are 60 years old, so it’s like fighting in the 1940s, with equipment of the 1880s.

    When Stalin was fighting in 1945, the army had equipment which was more modern than in 1941. But in 2023, the equipment of the army is already becoming decades older than in 2022.

    Of course, Stalin was fighting with a serious country, while in Russia there is still the advantage of the low level of Ukraine’s military.

    For similar example, you can see if America was fighting in 1966 with Vietnam with significant proportion of the equipment of 1916, after more modern equipment of 1930 was destroyed in 1965 .

    West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine’s already insufficient artillery usage.

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries’ artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.

    This is in war is 1,4 years from the beginning. It could probably continue to 2030, if you consider similar wars like Iran-Iraq war from 1980 to 1988.

    In terms of the West, by supplying Ukraine with weapons and training, they are clouding the future for Russia, because of this postsoviet border conflict which wasn’t expected to have such kind of negative response by the West.

    In response to some anti-Western rhetoric in Russia, the West respond to the postsoviet conflict, by boiling the frog in Moscow. There has been the first mobilization in Russia in autumn 2022. The long term future for the country is going to be damaged in ways which will be difficult to repair if they continue another mobilization in 2023, 2024, etc.

    There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.

    West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpile

    The West is already donating heavy weapons to Ukraine, while it see them being tested in this civil war of the old USSR. The West is watching different parts of the Soviet Union or Russian empire destroying each other.

    Of course, we know the West will replace weapons they donate, with new ones, as they are building the factories for this, so they will begin to replace them in 2025 or 2028.

    “BAE Systems back on war footing to replenish ammunition”
    https://archive.li/iZp53

    https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/

    Western countries are generally well-organized and have accountants. They will ramp the replacement of those donated weapons by 2028.

    For comparison, there is the example of less organized Poland, who are probably going to damage their finances. As Poland is now planning to waste resources building an unnecessary large army and a lot of equipment, they will likely not need to use.

    Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/

    This is a strange or incorrect comparison, of the Russian Federation with Nazi Germany.

    1930s Germany was a very advanced country. They had the modern economies, technology. They had the most efficient army. This is a world leader in education and industry. They conquered powerful countries like France and Poland within 4/5 weeks. Then soon Germany was fighting with the British empire, then as suicide adding war with both USA and USSR in 1941.

    Germany is very efficient, advanced, with modern industries etc. It’s not comparable to postsoviet border conflicts of degraded and asset-stripped fragments of the USSR. Russia has invaded a third world country of Ukraine, while the West drops some weapons on them, and now someone started a fire in this historical trash can.

    From the external view, this conflict is similar to the Iran-Iraq war, although in that example the both sides received weapons.
    The picture on the map is like Iran-Iraq war.

    In the second year, both Iran and Iraq are going to trenches, low ammunition, etc. The 1981 in the Iran-Iraq war is matching quite similarity with 2023 in the Russia-Ukraine war.

    contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive

    Why are you adding China and Iran in the discussion?

    The similar countries and armies, are Russia and Ukraine. These are both parts of the Soviet army, which inherit the world’s largest stock of weapons, but don’t produce many new weapons. It’s a question of the countries using the old armies on one side. But the changing of the balance after 2022 is Ukraine has a supply from the West, while China isn’t supplying Russia.

    politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual

    What is the relation with sexuality? This idea of an “Eastern axis” is also quite imaginary.

    If there was “Eastern axis”, Russia would have modern tanks from China. China produces a lot of modern equipment. But today, instead of the advanced Chinese equipment, the Russian soldiers are driving in a T-62 and BMP-1 i.e. equipment which is 60 years old.

    • Disagree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Dmitry

    You really don't think they've an abundance of upgraded T-72s and T-90s?

    , @AP
    @Dmitry


    at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.
     
    Again, you repeat the fantasy that Poles see Ukraine as an enemy rather than as a partner, leading them to hope that the war continues. Most Poles want the war to end as quickly as possible, with a Russian defeat.

    Ukrainians are among the most liked people by Poles:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-4.png

    And among the least disliked:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-3.png

    But Russians are most disliked.

    And although Polish attitudes towards Ukrainians have improved a lot (and towards Russians has declined a lot) as a consequence of the war, even before the war Poles liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them, and disliked Russians more than they liked them.

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries’ artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.
     
    Ukrainians have also developed some sophisticated software that helps them to integrate their weapons systems.

    https://www.newamerica.org/future-frontlines/blogs/how-ukraines-uber-for-artillery-is-leading-the-software-war-against-russia/

    And other innovations:



    https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1684348509590364161?s=20

    Replies: @Dmitry

  598. @A123
    @Dmitry

    The economic myths about China are amazing. The EV car boom is one of them.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1SEfwoqKRU8

    People complain about graft in America & rightly so. The issues with CCP ventures are much deeper & wider.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Dmitry

    China has an EV boom in terms of the domestic import substitution.

    Some of the Chinese EVs are very good, in terms of international standards, in relation to their price in the Chinese market.

    This year, they have been exporting them less aggressively than expected. Also the price for export has been a lot higher than in China.

    For example, if you look at the EV sales in Europe and don’t include Tesla as a Chinese brand. The flood of the Chinese EVs is still not yet in Europe.

    This main Chinese brand in Europe this year is only MG (SAIC Motor). BYD maybe will begin to have an influence only in the end of this year.

  599. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Excerpt –

    Did you really just quote yourself?

    The collective West hasn’t yet come to reality which will prolong though not change the eventual outcome which can take varying forms.

    Putin defenders said the same thing when Kiev was attacked. No point in trying. Everyone knows the outcome. The entire state will fall.

    Submit to a homicidal dwarf and his totalitarian empire so he doesn't kill you.

    Sorry but the Putin defending bloggers and paid hacks like Ritter will look like Soviet defenders in 1991.

    Basically holding their dick in their hand and wondering what the hell happened. But I guess Ritter has some experience in that area.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Regarding the SMO, Kiev was never attacked as in taking it over. NAFO trolls aside, Zelensky is the dwarf figure at the top of a corrupt, lying, undemocratic and neo-Nazi influenced entity with blood on its hands prior to 2/24/22 and thereafter.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Regarding the SMO, Kiev was never attacked as in taking it over.

    Why were hundreds of tanks sent to Kiev?

    Wikipedia seems to list a full scale battle.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Kyiv_(2022)

    You are saying that Putin didn't intend to take Kiev, is that right? He put a bounty on Zelensky and sent hundreds of tanks along with a 40 mile supply column at Kiev for what purpose exactly?

    Replies: @Mikhail

  600. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus,

    Not at all.

    I listen to Petraeus and he doesn't make monthly declarations about how one side is doomed.

    He has in fact said that Russia can still win and they did a good job on their defensive lines.

    When has MacGregor or Ritter said anything positive about Ukraine? It's all cheerleading.

    Danny Davis isn't a cheerleader. Not sure why you would slime him with MacGregor and Ritter. He takes the opinion that Putin is evil but should be appeased with Donbas and Crimea.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Sean

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn’t appear to be getting weaker but stronger – that the longer the conflict, the greater the potential for the Kiev regime to lose more territory.

    Petraeus absurdly said that Kiev regime forces are better trained, motivated and equipped than their Russian opponent. That he gets something obviously evident on another matter, which others have already noted, makes him subpar establishment.

    Not to be overlooked is svido favorite Ben Hodges, who said that the Kiev regime will take Crimea by the end of this year.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn’t appear to be getting weaker but stronger

    His name is Daniel Davis. You don't refer to a man by the informal version of his name unless it is requested.

    He supports appeasing Putin with land which is different from MacGregor and Ritter who still talk of marching on Kiev. Ritter just claimed that the F16s won't hit a single target. You don't find that to be outlandish and bombastic?

    There aren't enough Ritters to change how the world views the Russian military.

    Watch this failed Russian assault:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ch4J_HiVwWw

    BMP driver doesn't even have the sense to use smoke or the buildings for cover. Most likely drunk.

    Yea I'm sure an army of 150k conscripts in T-55s will assault Kiev any day now there Scott.

    Replies: @Sean, @Mikhail

  601. @Dmitry
    @Greasy William


    was unaware of them.

     

    Well, it's usually commonly known information.

    replace lost equipment and expanded munitions
     
    This is replaced using mainly equipment from the storage, it's almost all not new equipment which has been produced since 1991.

    As a result, the war is a bit like a retrospectively viewing museum of Soviet historical equipment, as the war begins in 2022 with more equipment like 1980s BMP-3, while in 2023 the soldiers are often using 1960s BMP-1 and there are even reports about soldiers using 1950s T-55.

    It's not acceptable protection for soldiers to use the BMP-1. In the 2020s, it's kind of war crime to use this 1960s equipment, even if it was against another museum army. Although in 2023, Ukraine is now receiving Western equipment, quite a lot of this is also often from the museum, including low quality of Soviet exported equipment Poland doesn't need.

    For perspective, the situation of the army in Ukraine, is like if Stalin is fighting in 1945, using weapons and equipment of 1885.

    A lot of these equipment are 60 years old, so it's like fighting in the 1940s, with equipment of the 1880s.

    When Stalin was fighting in 1945, the army had equipment which was more modern than in 1941. But in 2023, the equipment of the army is already becoming decades older than in 2022.

    Of course, Stalin was fighting with a serious country, while in Russia there is still the advantage of the low level of Ukraine's military.

    For similar example, you can see if America was fighting in 1966 with Vietnam with significant proportion of the equipment of 1916, after more modern equipment of 1930 was destroyed in 1965 .


    West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine’s already insufficient artillery usage.

     

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries' artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.

    This is in war is 1,4 years from the beginning. It could probably continue to 2030, if you consider similar wars like Iran-Iraq war from 1980 to 1988.

    In terms of the West, by supplying Ukraine with weapons and training, they are clouding the future for Russia, because of this postsoviet border conflict which wasn't expected to have such kind of negative response by the West.

    In response to some anti-Western rhetoric in Russia, the West respond to the postsoviet conflict, by boiling the frog in Moscow. There has been the first mobilization in Russia in autumn 2022. The long term future for the country is going to be damaged in ways which will be difficult to repair if they continue another mobilization in 2023, 2024, etc.

    There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.


    West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpile
     
    The West is already donating heavy weapons to Ukraine, while it see them being tested in this civil war of the old USSR. The West is watching different parts of the Soviet Union or Russian empire destroying each other.

    Of course, we know the West will replace weapons they donate, with new ones, as they are building the factories for this, so they will begin to replace them in 2025 or 2028.

    "BAE Systems back on war footing to replenish ammunition"
    https://archive.li/iZp53

    https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/

    Western countries are generally well-organized and have accountants. They will ramp the replacement of those donated weapons by 2028.

    For comparison, there is the example of less organized Poland, who are probably going to damage their finances. As Poland is now planning to waste resources building an unnecessary large army and a lot of equipment, they will likely not need to use.


    Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/

     

    This is a strange or incorrect comparison, of the Russian Federation with Nazi Germany.

    1930s Germany was a very advanced country. They had the modern economies, technology. They had the most efficient army. This is a world leader in education and industry. They conquered powerful countries like France and Poland within 4/5 weeks. Then soon Germany was fighting with the British empire, then as suicide adding war with both USA and USSR in 1941.

    Germany is very efficient, advanced, with modern industries etc. It's not comparable to postsoviet border conflicts of degraded and asset-stripped fragments of the USSR. Russia has invaded a third world country of Ukraine, while the West drops some weapons on them, and now someone started a fire in this historical trash can.
    -

    From the external view, this conflict is similar to the Iran-Iraq war, although in that example the both sides received weapons.
    The picture on the map is like Iran-Iraq war.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09TnwicyQx8

    In the second year, both Iran and Iraq are going to trenches, low ammunition, etc. The 1981 in the Iran-Iraq war is matching quite similarity with 2023 in the Russia-Ukraine war.


    contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive

     

    Why are you adding China and Iran in the discussion?

    The similar countries and armies, are Russia and Ukraine. These are both parts of the Soviet army, which inherit the world's largest stock of weapons, but don't produce many new weapons. It's a question of the countries using the old armies on one side. But the changing of the balance after 2022 is Ukraine has a supply from the West, while China isn't supplying Russia.


    politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual

     

    What is the relation with sexuality? This idea of an "Eastern axis" is also quite imaginary.

    If there was "Eastern axis", Russia would have modern tanks from China. China produces a lot of modern equipment. But today, instead of the advanced Chinese equipment, the Russian soldiers are driving in a T-62 and BMP-1 i.e. equipment which is 60 years old.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP

    You really don’t think they’ve an abundance of upgraded T-72s and T-90s?

  602. @Mikhail
    @Mikhail

    That's the best you can come up with? Let's to see the whole unedited thing, listing the source it came from.

    Replies: @sudden death

    Full text in RF state owned media resource is not anyhow different in meaning from the original Ukrainian text in photo and Sikorski’s description of point one:

    https://ria.ru/20140221/996319889.html

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    Another issue is believing Sikorski's claim that you earlier referenced, as Yanukovych was overthrown within something like 72 hours - hardly much time for him to have acted on anything. Would like to get his take on that particular.

  603. @Mr. XYZ
    @Sean


    Then the Minsk 2 arrangement where is got back that part of the Donbass it had lost control over in return for giving the heavily pro Russian Donbass what was in effect a veto over Ukraine’s Nato membership would have been something for nothing; so why did Zelenskiy reject the modified Minsk2 deal that Russia was offering in 2019 and increasingly prefer to put his faith in Washington especially after he was talking tothe new administration of Biden in which Bliken was running Ukraine policy (lB7B were hawks on Ukraine since having responsibility for it under Obama). Ukraine thought they had substantive security guarantees from Biden, and why wouldn’t they?
     
    How did Ukraine understand the Minsk Agreements in regards to Ukraine's EU aspirations?

    Replies: @Sean

    It was seen as likely to prevent Ukraine getting closer to the EU, addition to preventing ukraine ever joining Nato. But the nationalists would not entertain any hint of special status for Donbass; that was seen as to high a price for peace. In August 2015 Poroshenko tried to bring in a financial bill for Donbass. far-right groups rioted outside Ukraine’s parliament killing four police. The threats be the same groups in 2019 to tople Zelenskiy were not idle ones. They may not have understood that the alternative to Misk2 type arangements was not merely continuation of the relatively low leve conflict that started in 2014 but something orders of magnitude more bloody (ie a full scale Russian invasion) Most of these nationalists who made Zelensiy do a U turn in 2019 are prolly already KIA.

  604. @Beckow
    @sudden death


    RF later signed and ratified fully those bilateral international

     

    Well, no matter how much you try, RF never ratified the Budapest Memorandum - so it is just like all the other verbal promises, exchanges or memoranda: it is not enforceable.

    There is also another major factor: US reserves the right to unilaterally leave any treaty that no longer suits them. They did with ABM, they attacked Serbia and Iraq openly violating the UN Charter that they signed. So why exactly should Russia be held to a higher standard?

    Can you answer that sincerely? And don't answer with gobbledygook distractions again. Try to answer it honestly - I am really curious why would you think that country X can, but country Y cannot. No "rules-based' system can work that way.

    Replies: @sudden death

    RF didn’t leave any signed and ratified treaty with UA prior 2014, nor in 2014 or later. Also when did US annex and made new inner US states out of Iraq or Serbia lands? Therefore once again you’re whining with reasoning about watermelon and walnut allegedly being the same thing;)

    btw, RF didn’t get any sanctions for recognizing/supporting new independent Abkhazia and South Ossetia states made out of Georgia lands in 2008 or later, because that indeed was very similar and comparable to the previous Western actions elsewhere.

    RF never ratified the Budapest Memorandum – so it is just like all the other verbal promises, exchanges or memoranda: it is not enforceable.

    This line of reasonong also means UA has the right to own nuclear weapons in order to defend itself fom RF.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @sudden death

    You didn't answer my question, instead you said that the magnitude of the violations was less with the US, that they didn't "annex" the attacked territories. Well, but they happened first - so that is a precedent for the others. How far they take it depends on circumstances: Crimea and Donbas are much more legitimately "Russian" (in some sense) than Iraq or Serbia would be American. The cookie crumbles differently based on circumstances.

    Let me try again:

    US reserves the right to unilaterally leave any treaty that no longer suits them. They did with ABM, they attacked Serbia and Iraq openly violating the UN Charter that they signed. So why exactly should Russia be held to a higher standard?

    Why country X can, but country Y cannot? Any “rules-based’ system can't work that way.

    Tell us why. The above is true and maybe there is an answer in your mind that Nato can because they are special or you just don't care - but then don't talk about broken treaties. This is very fundamental, your avoiding it is a de facto concession that you have no argument - it is up to the force.


    This line of reasonong also means UA has the right to own nuclear weapons in order to defend itself fom RF.
     
    Of course they do. Any country that can make nukes and get away with it has the right. Correspondingly, Russia has the "right" to try to prevent it - by any means necessary. Look at the Iran case - they can if they can get away with, but the others will do their utmost to prevent it.

    You still don't understand that we live in a post-rules world. The primary reason is that US-Nato broke all the rules and got away with it for decades. These are the wages of the bombed children in Serbia and Iraq coming back to haunt us.

    Replies: @sudden death

  605. @Mikel
    @songbird


    Acorns are often considered toxic to cattle.
     
    Pigs on the other hand love them. Ham from pigs fattened with wild acorns in oak groves is one of the most expensive in Spain.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @songbird

    Irish annals used to record particularly good years for acorns, saying stuff like “even the runts of the litter were fattened.”

    There was also an expression: mucc mure remi-thuit mess, which meant a pig that dies before the acorn crop, meaning “a lost opportunity.”

    Not sure why pigs can eat acorns. If it is just because they shell them with their teeth, or have other adaptions.

  606. Was reading about the Reivers.

    Supposedly, one trick they used was to fill the floor of the base of their towers with burning peat, when they had to abandon them.

    The peat would smoulder for days. The smoke made it impossible to get men inside with crowbars, while the heat made it impossible to lay gunpowder.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    https://www.amazon.com/Reivers-William-Faulkner/dp/0679741925

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D7GlM_Wb_iE&ab_channel=KloklineCinema

  607. A123 says: • Website

    Hungary to protect Hungarians: (1)

    Hungary will protect the interests of Hungarian farmers by any means and at all costs, even if the European Union does not extend the EU ban on imports of Ukrainian grain after Sept. 15, Hungarian Agriculture Minister István Nagy said in Brussels on Tuesday.

    “We must insist that the measure be maintained, as we cannot allow Hungarian reservoirs to be refilled with Ukrainian stocks,” he stressed.

    “The measure must be extended until after the harvest to make room for our own harvest. If no Ukrainian grain arrives in the country, there will be room for Hungarian crops,” Nagy said.

    Hungary has also proposed that the EU should grant transit fee subsidies to Ukrainian grain shipments to ensure that Ukrainian grain can reach traditional markets from Europe.

    “Don’t make the internal markets of the European Union more difficult, but get (the grain) to where the lack of it is very dangerous, as starvation could create a wave of migration that would again put a strain on the European Union’s economy and create other very difficult problems,” he added.

    That this even needs a story is kind of sad. Countries should protect their citizens.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://rmx.news/economy/hungary-will-defy-brussels-to-defend-its-farmers-from-ukrainian-grain/

  608. @Sher Singh
    @A123

    Naa bro, those are nice & I need to check out Kult more.

    A simple 5.5" utility blade + a small hatchet is Good ENOUGH.

    I carry a Talwar 3ft for religious purposes, anyway.

    This is just extra icing for when I need a quick draw or utility purposes.

    Trees are Red Oak + Red Maple btw.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @songbird

    Trees are Red Oak + Red Maple btw.

    People might accuse you of having communist or Canadian sympathies, if all your trees turn red in autumn.

    Should have planted elm (“friend of cattle”) instead.

    • LOL: Sher Singh
    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @songbird

    Red is also a womanly/feminine color so there's that.

    The Ukr Axe & Knife were a no go.

    The Coldsteel Leatherneck Semper-fi is good.

    Replacing my Ka-bar as EDC/GP. Good for skin, light bush & ;).
    ਅਕਾਲ

    https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1100267815883264070/1133796006023155824/image.png

    Replies: @QCIC

  609. @songbird
    Was reading about the Reivers.

    Supposedly, one trick they used was to fill the floor of the base of their towers with burning peat, when they had to abandon them.

    The peat would smoulder for days. The smoke made it impossible to get men inside with crowbars, while the heat made it impossible to lay gunpowder.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    • Thanks: songbird
  610. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, in no way I am a naïve materialist - I would rather describe myself as a phenomenologist, and in the broad sense of being aware that the unknown is likely bigger than the known, and the former in no way must be reducible to the latter (which is crucial to materialism). I was even criticized here by Mikel for doubting too much the established science ;)

    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk...;)
    Originally I perceived you as a quasi-Buddhist, but now I would say your worldview is perhaps closest to shamanism...

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    Philosopher Stephen R L Clarke has two excellent essays, Why We Believe in Fairies, and How to Believe in Fairies. Worth your time reading.

    Every single culture believed in something like fairies, and nature, woods, mountains, streams, are undoubtedly infused with spiritual entities of some kind. We have just lost the ability to see.

    You are trying to reduce me to a “category” – am I a Buddhist? Am I a shaman? I don’t believe these are mutually exclusive categories. I don’t see religions as rival creeds or rival sets of propositions – this is a modern view. Religions are different approaches to the one central Mystery, and ought to be judged by how well or how poorly they do this – and each one does different things well. This is actually the older view. Of course, one may choose one particular religious tradition as offering the best approach to ultimate truth, or the best formulations, but there is no reason that should cut one off from learning from other traditions. And all high religions are highly syncretic for this reason – what would Christianity be without neo-Platonism? And what may it become today after engaging with Buddhism or Hinduism?

    I also think the Pagan consciousness, with it’s sense of nature as sacred, and the world of nature as enchanted with spiritual entities of various kinds, is a crucial sensibility to recover for those of us who are trying to reconstruct a wider, healthier vision and path amid the looming wreckage of the mainstream scientific reductionist culture.

    We have to get back everything good that we lost, and also forge ahead to new vistas – howe cannot merely return to the past, a highly flawed past that ultimately culminated in modern nihilism out of its own contradictions and deficiencies.

    How is Zen literalism? It seems connection to a world beyond language and concepts.

    I would argue that the Old Testament makes no sense taken literally – at least not as a religious document, which is how it’s compilers intended it to be used. Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually.

    It’s trivial to point out that the OT makes no sense juxtaposed with the New if taken literally, and yet the brightest and most theologically inspired Christian thinkers all insisted on keeping it with the New – why do you suppose that is?

    But even Jews, who compiled these works, probably rather late during Hellenistic times when Jews were philosophically sophisticated, thought they were supposed to be read spiritually and not literally.

    The letter kills, but the spirit gives life..

    • Replies: @A123
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I would argue that the Old Testament makes no sense taken literally – at least not as a religious document, which is how it’s compilers intended it to be used. Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually.

    It’s trivial to point out that the OT makes no sense juxtaposed with the New if taken literally, and yet the brightest and most theologically inspired Christian thinkers all insisted on keeping it with the New – why do you suppose that is?
     
    You answered you own question... Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually. When looked through that lens the OT provides some solid rules, while the NT modifies them a bit and makes them more practicable.

    I would also add that both the OT and NT were works of flawed men when originally written. Since then they have been subjected to multiple rounds of editing & translation. Overly literal textualism is guaranteed to be problematic.

    PEACE 😇
  611. A123 says: • Website
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Philosopher Stephen R L Clarke has two excellent essays, Why We Believe in Fairies, and How to Believe in Fairies. Worth your time reading.

    Every single culture believed in something like fairies, and nature, woods, mountains, streams, are undoubtedly infused with spiritual entities of some kind. We have just lost the ability to see.

    You are trying to reduce me to a "category" - am I a Buddhist? Am I a shaman? I don't believe these are mutually exclusive categories. I don't see religions as rival creeds or rival sets of propositions - this is a modern view. Religions are different approaches to the one central Mystery, and ought to be judged by how well or how poorly they do this - and each one does different things well. This is actually the older view. Of course, one may choose one particular religious tradition as offering the best approach to ultimate truth, or the best formulations, but there is no reason that should cut one off from learning from other traditions. And all high religions are highly syncretic for this reason - what would Christianity be without neo-Platonism? And what may it become today after engaging with Buddhism or Hinduism?

    I also think the Pagan consciousness, with it's sense of nature as sacred, and the world of nature as enchanted with spiritual entities of various kinds, is a crucial sensibility to recover for those of us who are trying to reconstruct a wider, healthier vision and path amid the looming wreckage of the mainstream scientific reductionist culture.

    We have to get back everything good that we lost, and also forge ahead to new vistas - howe cannot merely return to the past, a highly flawed past that ultimately culminated in modern nihilism out of its own contradictions and deficiencies.

    How is Zen literalism? It seems connection to a world beyond language and concepts.

    I would argue that the Old Testament makes no sense taken literally - at least not as a religious document, which is how it's compilers intended it to be used. Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually.

    It's trivial to point out that the OT makes no sense juxtaposed with the New if taken literally, and yet the brightest and most theologically inspired Christian thinkers all insisted on keeping it with the New - why do you suppose that is?

    But even Jews, who compiled these works, probably rather late during Hellenistic times when Jews were philosophically sophisticated, thought they were supposed to be read spiritually and not literally.

    The letter kills, but the spirit gives life..

    Replies: @A123

    I would argue that the Old Testament makes no sense taken literally – at least not as a religious document, which is how it’s compilers intended it to be used. Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually.

    It’s trivial to point out that the OT makes no sense juxtaposed with the New if taken literally, and yet the brightest and most theologically inspired Christian thinkers all insisted on keeping it with the New – why do you suppose that is?

    You answered you own question… Spiritual texts have to be read spiritually. When looked through that lens the OT provides some solid rules, while the NT modifies them a bit and makes them more practicable.

    I would also add that both the OT and NT were works of flawed men when originally written. Since then they have been subjected to multiple rounds of editing & translation. Overly literal textualism is guaranteed to be problematic.

    PEACE 😇

    • Agree: HeavilyMarbledSteak
  612. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    No, I have definitely not ever felt entirely at home in the world :) And to be honest, I don't think anyone really does, however much some people may kid themselves they do, or try and ignore their feelings of alienation out of an ideological commitment to the platitudes of scientific progress, which assure us we must be so much happier now that our material needs are so amply and abundantly met.

    I quite like the Gnostic way of formulating this disquieting sense of unease in our world - we are exiled royalty, children of kings who have been banished from the magnificence of our true home and cast under an evil enchantment to forget our true origins - although the Gnostic vision as a whole has too many malign and puerile elements to be accepted, it's central mythos is quite powerful and vivid.

    Theologians have a phrase - "ontological poverty" - which describes the radical insufficiency of the world of matter just as it is, disconnected from any supernatural context enfolding it and flowing into it.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling - but upon reflection, not really, as your comments often betray a longing for another world, as in your most recent comment that our destiny is in the stars. And it is.

    I always longed for another more magical world - I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    And I was never really able to compromise with the mundane world of "adult" reality, as we are all supposed to do - to become "realistic" and settle down to a tedious life of stability making money, as all good adults in modern civilization are supposed to do. My traipsing around India and SEA and other exotic parts of the world was my formal rejection of the "deal" offered by modern civilization - material comfort and security in exchange for your soul.

    And the older I get, the more recalcitrant I get :)

    To get back to you, I would contrast you with someone like Dmitry, who resembles - at least on paper - Nietzsche's Last Man - all transcendent longings seemingly expunged from his nature and his highest aspiration a banal and stupefying physical comfort and security. But even for him I suspect it's just a childish ideological commitment to the ideals of modern progress, and he's setting himself up for one hell of a midlife crisis.- I sometimes forget how young and immature he is.

    I know many secular atheists who present an image of supreme self satisfaction, but are in fact chronically frustrated and often depressed.

    But you, you always struck me as having some kind of passionate and fiery aspiration - in your case, I'd say you have misdirected longing for transcendence, not it's absence, as in Dmitry.

    Which is actually the major theme of that book, The Enchantments of Mammon. The standard account made famous by Max Weber is that capitalism disenchanted the world by stripping it of everything sacred, but this book argues that in fact capitalism is shot through with sacred and enchanted thinking, and is more a case of mis-enchahtment than dis-enchantment.

    Which means that humanity cannot get rid of it's longing for enchantment - we can't disenchant the world, we can only wrongly direct our yearning fjr transcendence. Which makes the task of return to correct vision easier.

    As for "how", you ask - why, it is a matter of vision, of cultivating sight. The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars - but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright (of course, there's nothing wrong with also getting to the stars, and there may be untold beauties awaiting us there - but more matter, as matter, don't save you,)

    When I go into nature, I do not see "mere matter" - I see gleams of a higher glory shining through, I see a higher dimension shining through, hints and more than hints, of another world.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning - a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    For some incomprehensible reason, the modern world has decided that there reality is one-dimensional, and there are no "levels" to reality. We will be chronically frustrated until we learn again to widen out and see the larger reality enfolding us.

    And for that, all the spiritual traditions of the world are at our fingertips to help us, and the great Romantic tradition of Europe - these are men and women who fought back hard at the kind of dull, impoverished vision being foisted upon us by an emerging modernity.

    We can learn to see again.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @silviosilver

    Ah, good to you see you’re still around. I was beginning to curse, “Where is that bloviating bear dancer when you want to talk to him! When you don’t, you can hardly shut him up.” (Note: I have been accused – irl, too – of never shutting up myself, so I am no better.) 🙂

    So it seems my suspicions were right: you are a kindred – if wayward – soul.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling

    Eh, I may strike a pose as a hardy realist unafraid to confront head-on the harsh realities of our earthly existence, but that’s certainly not where I want to live.

    I always longed for another more magical world – I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    As did I. Totally immersed in fantasy. I couldn’t say those worlds felt “more real” to me, but they certainly felt more important. Our task, as I saw it, was to make this world, our world, more like those worlds. And to my delight, science seemed to offer the tools with which to do it. Fantasy worlds had to rely on “tricks” like magic, but we had the real magic. Religion was nice, but kinda quaint, and prayer didn’t seem to do anything. But our scientific incantations – our chemical formulas, our mathematical equations – these actually worked.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning – a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    Nature has never had this effect on me, I don’t think. But video games did. Video games were my other great obsession. Not just for the simple thrills they provided (though that was certainly part of it), but because I saw them as a kind of “portal” through which we could at least glimpse other worlds, if not enter them fully. This felt more real than passively watching films, or exercising my imagination through the pages of books, or when I was younger, through endless, endless playacting.

    That said, I did have some physical “sacred spaces” too. In dreams, I would sometimes find myself there, and then from there I would literally (in the dream) enter new worlds. I used to term these “magic dreams.” These were painfully beautiful and the memory of them would haunt me for days afterwards. I still remember many of them. Maybe the most powerful one, when I was about five, left me in tears the whole next day – it was so beautiful I wanted to go back, and I was crying and upset because I couldn’t. This distressed my mother, but I either couldn’t find the words or I was too embarrassed to explain why I was crying. (Weird kid, I guess.)

    The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars – but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright

    It’s the journey, not the destination, that excites me. It’s like they say, “half the fun is getting there.”
    But you have to set a destination else you lose the effect. You can’t just suggest to friends “you wanna go for a drive?” Well where to? “It doesn’t matter, we’ll just drive around.” That’s not nearly as fun as actually going somewhere.

  613. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    No, I have definitely not ever felt entirely at home in the world :) And to be honest, I don't think anyone really does, however much some people may kid themselves they do, or try and ignore their feelings of alienation out of an ideological commitment to the platitudes of scientific progress, which assure us we must be so much happier now that our material needs are so amply and abundantly met.

    I quite like the Gnostic way of formulating this disquieting sense of unease in our world - we are exiled royalty, children of kings who have been banished from the magnificence of our true home and cast under an evil enchantment to forget our true origins - although the Gnostic vision as a whole has too many malign and puerile elements to be accepted, it's central mythos is quite powerful and vivid.

    Theologians have a phrase - "ontological poverty" - which describes the radical insufficiency of the world of matter just as it is, disconnected from any supernatural context enfolding it and flowing into it.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling - but upon reflection, not really, as your comments often betray a longing for another world, as in your most recent comment that our destiny is in the stars. And it is.

    I always longed for another more magical world - I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    And I was never really able to compromise with the mundane world of "adult" reality, as we are all supposed to do - to become "realistic" and settle down to a tedious life of stability making money, as all good adults in modern civilization are supposed to do. My traipsing around India and SEA and other exotic parts of the world was my formal rejection of the "deal" offered by modern civilization - material comfort and security in exchange for your soul.

    And the older I get, the more recalcitrant I get :)

    To get back to you, I would contrast you with someone like Dmitry, who resembles - at least on paper - Nietzsche's Last Man - all transcendent longings seemingly expunged from his nature and his highest aspiration a banal and stupefying physical comfort and security. But even for him I suspect it's just a childish ideological commitment to the ideals of modern progress, and he's setting himself up for one hell of a midlife crisis.- I sometimes forget how young and immature he is.

    I know many secular atheists who present an image of supreme self satisfaction, but are in fact chronically frustrated and often depressed.

    But you, you always struck me as having some kind of passionate and fiery aspiration - in your case, I'd say you have misdirected longing for transcendence, not it's absence, as in Dmitry.

    Which is actually the major theme of that book, The Enchantments of Mammon. The standard account made famous by Max Weber is that capitalism disenchanted the world by stripping it of everything sacred, but this book argues that in fact capitalism is shot through with sacred and enchanted thinking, and is more a case of mis-enchahtment than dis-enchantment.

    Which means that humanity cannot get rid of it's longing for enchantment - we can't disenchant the world, we can only wrongly direct our yearning fjr transcendence. Which makes the task of return to correct vision easier.

    As for "how", you ask - why, it is a matter of vision, of cultivating sight. The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars - but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright (of course, there's nothing wrong with also getting to the stars, and there may be untold beauties awaiting us there - but more matter, as matter, don't save you,)

    When I go into nature, I do not see "mere matter" - I see gleams of a higher glory shining through, I see a higher dimension shining through, hints and more than hints, of another world.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning - a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    For some incomprehensible reason, the modern world has decided that there reality is one-dimensional, and there are no "levels" to reality. We will be chronically frustrated until we learn again to widen out and see the larger reality enfolding us.

    And for that, all the spiritual traditions of the world are at our fingertips to help us, and the great Romantic tradition of Europe - these are men and women who fought back hard at the kind of dull, impoverished vision being foisted upon us by an emerging modernity.

    We can learn to see again.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @silviosilver

    Ah, good to you see you’re still around. I was beginning to curse, “Where is that bloviating bear dancer when you want to talk to him! When you don’t, you can hardly shut him up.” (Note: I have been accused – irl, too – of never shutting up myself, so I am no better.) 🙂

    So it seems my suspicions were right: you are a kindred – if wayward – soul.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling

    Eh, I may strike a pose as a hardy realist unafraid to confront head-on the harsh realities of our earthly existence, but that’s certainly not where I want to live.

    I always longed for another more magical world – I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    As did I. Totally immersed in fantasy. I couldn’t say those worlds felt “more real” to me, but they certainly felt more important. Our task, as I saw it, was to make this world, our world, more like those worlds. And to my delight, science seemed to offer the tools with which to do it. Fantasy worlds had to rely on “tricks” like magic, but we had the real magic. Religion was nice, but kinda quaint, and prayer didn’t seem to do anything. But our scientific incantations – our chemical formulas, our mathematical equations – these actually worked.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning – a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    Nature has never had this effect on me, I don’t think. But video games did. Video games were my other great obsession. Not just for the simple thrills they provided (though that was certainly part of it), but because I saw them as a kind of “portal” through which we could at least glimpse other worlds, if not enter them fully. This felt more real than passively watching films, or exercising my imagination through the pages of books, or when I was younger, through endless, endless playacting.

    That said, I did have some physical “sacred spaces” too. In dreams, I would sometimes find myself there, and then from there I would literally (in the dream) enter new worlds. I used to term these “magic dreams.” These were painfully beautiful and the memory of them would haunt me for days afterwards. I still remember many of them. Maybe the most powerful one, when I was about five, left me in tears the whole next day – it was so beautiful I wanted to go back, and I was crying and upset because I couldn’t. This distressed my mother, but I either couldn’t find the words or I was too embarrassed to explain why I was crying. (Weird kid, I guess.)

    The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars – but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright

    It’s the journey, not the destination, that excites me. It’s like they say, “half the fun is getting there.”
    But you have to set a destination else you lose the effect. You can’t just suggest to friends “you wanna go for a drive?” Well where to? “It doesn’t matter, we’ll just drive around.” That’s not nearly as fun as actually going somewhere.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Yes, I'm quite the bloviator :) I come from a family of bloviators, I come from a race of bloviators, and I am myself a proud bloviator who never knows when to shut up, and such I will die, probably killed by some third world mob for not knowing when it is good for me to stop bloviating.

    I totally hear you about video games, although weirdly I never got into them. But the world-building in video games always seemed massively appealing to me and a way to get lost in other worlds. I really don't know why I never got into them!

    As for science, it started as a continuation of magic, and sci-fi definitely goes some way towards satisfying that sense of wonder we all crave. Science has a sort of dual character - on the one hand it is the expression of our desire for mere control and domination, but on the other hand it has also always been an expression of our desire for wonder and delight in exploring the wonderful mysteries of the universe.

    So perhaps there is a "good" science and a "bad" science - and what has happened today is we have fallen entirely under the malign spell of the "bad" science, the one that has lost its sense of wonder and mystery and has become about mere control.

    That, too, is why science is stagnating - the loss of the dimension of imagination in favor of narrow minded bureaucratic control.

    Lately I've begun to think of the dichotomy of journey and destination as false - we are journeying into the Infinite, and while we have a general direction and signposts along the way, the nature of the journey is that we can never know beforehand where we will end up - except that its into the infinitely expanding Good, the Beautiful, and the True, to use that hoary old religious expression that has never been bettered.

    Paul Kingsnorth has a nice line in one of his religiously infused novels "to cross wall, abandon maps".

    Part of recovering a more vital and exuberant consciousness will surely be to abandon maps - excessive mapping is a left hemisphere phenomenon, and having too clear a map will inevitably cut us off from engagement - from encountering - the larger and mysterious Reality that is out there. We will be stuck in the maps and not the reality.

    And surely one of the factors keeping modern civilization stagnant and stuck is excessive reliance on maps.

    I used to be - and still am - attracted to the Taoist and Zen sense that "there is nowhere go, we are there already" and the call to "aimless wandering". On the level of intuition I dimly perceived that our excessive maps are killing us. Read poorly, this may seem a call to stagnation, but the deeper you read in the texts and the more you develop your own ability to read spiritual texts the more clear it becomes that it is s call, one, to see the "extra" dimension, the dimension of the Infinite, that even now infuses "mere" matter with sacredness, with beauty and wonder, and also a call to abandon maps in our wandering into this infinite in favor of a direct creative encounter with Reality, which is beyond any map our puny minds can conceive.

    The problem with technological progress as an infinite frontier is that it substitutes mere multiplication for "qualitative" gain - multiplying physical reality will not gain us access to the realm of infinite "quality" we crave, the realm of wonder amd value. Theologians have called this the "bad infinite" as opposed to the "good infinite".

    Of course, science as expanding the frontier of wonder, as revealing ever new vistas of the strange and mysterious wonder of our world, is no bad thing, and even control of our environment is healthy and good to some extent.

    But technology as multiplication of "mere" matter is no substitute for the wonder we crave - it is no gain in dimension, only in quantity - and science as reductionism and excessive reliance on abstract maps is no genuine encounter with the mysterious Real we crave.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  614. @sudden death
    @Beckow

    RF didn't leave any signed and ratified treaty with UA prior 2014, nor in 2014 or later. Also when did US annex and made new inner US states out of Iraq or Serbia lands? Therefore once again you're whining with reasoning about watermelon and walnut allegedly being the same thing;)

    btw, RF didn't get any sanctions for recognizing/supporting new independent Abkhazia and South Ossetia states made out of Georgia lands in 2008 or later, because that indeed was very similar and comparable to the previous Western actions elsewhere.


    RF never ratified the Budapest Memorandum – so it is just like all the other verbal promises, exchanges or memoranda: it is not enforceable.
     
    This line of reasonong also means UA has the right to own nuclear weapons in order to defend itself fom RF.

    Replies: @Beckow

    You didn’t answer my question, instead you said that the magnitude of the violations was less with the US, that they didn’t “annex” the attacked territories. Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others. How far they take it depends on circumstances: Crimea and Donbas are much more legitimately “Russian” (in some sense) than Iraq or Serbia would be American. The cookie crumbles differently based on circumstances.

    Let me try again:

    US reserves the right to unilaterally leave any treaty that no longer suits them. They did with ABM, they attacked Serbia and Iraq openly violating the UN Charter that they signed. So why exactly should Russia be held to a higher standard?

    Why country X can, but country Y cannot? Any “rules-based’ system can’t work that way.

    Tell us why. The above is true and maybe there is an answer in your mind that Nato can because they are special or you just don’t care – but then don’t talk about broken treaties. This is very fundamental, your avoiding it is a de facto concession that you have no argument – it is up to the force.

    This line of reasonong also means UA has the right to own nuclear weapons in order to defend itself fom RF.

    Of course they do. Any country that can make nukes and get away with it has the right. Correspondingly, Russia has the “right” to try to prevent it – by any means necessary. Look at the Iran case – they can if they can get away with, but the others will do their utmost to prevent it.

    You still don’t understand that we live in a post-rules world. The primary reason is that US-Nato broke all the rules and got away with it for decades. These are the wages of the bombed children in Serbia and Iraq coming back to haunt us.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Beckow


    Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.
     
    Not first at all - RF army together with "volunteers" attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.

    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it's kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mikhail, @AP

  615. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    Regarding the SMO, Kiev was never attacked as in taking it over. NAFO trolls aside, Zelensky is the dwarf figure at the top of a corrupt, lying, undemocratic and neo-Nazi influenced entity with blood on its hands prior to 2/24/22 and thereafter.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Regarding the SMO, Kiev was never attacked as in taking it over.

    Why were hundreds of tanks sent to Kiev?

    Wikipedia seems to list a full scale battle.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Kyiv_(2022)

    You are saying that Putin didn’t intend to take Kiev, is that right? He put a bounty on Zelensky and sent hundreds of tanks along with a 40 mile supply column at Kiev for what purpose exactly?

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn't enough to take a city of that size. It did seem to help bring the Kiev regime to the negotiating table in Istanbul and led to what numerous sources believe was an agreeable settlement thwarted by Anglo-American, neocon-neolib, geopolitical mischief makers, along the lines of Lindsey Graham, who is on record for wanting to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian.

    Substantive proof (not BS) that Putin had a bounty on Zelensky?

    Replies: @AP

  616. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    When all is said and done Ritter, Macgregor, Danny Davis among some others will be shown to be far more accurate than the likes of Ben Hodges, David Petraeus,

    Not at all.

    I listen to Petraeus and he doesn't make monthly declarations about how one side is doomed.

    He has in fact said that Russia can still win and they did a good job on their defensive lines.

    When has MacGregor or Ritter said anything positive about Ukraine? It's all cheerleading.

    Danny Davis isn't a cheerleader. Not sure why you would slime him with MacGregor and Ritter. He takes the opinion that Putin is evil but should be appeased with Donbas and Crimea.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Sean

    Sun 2 Oct 2022
    Petraeus: US would destroy Russia’s troops if Putin uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine […] “The battlefield reality he faces is, I think, irreversible,” he said. “No amount of shambolic mobilization, which is the only way to describe it; no amount of annexation; no amount of even veiled nuclear threats can actually get him out of this particular situation.

    “At some point there’s going to have to be recognition of that. At some point there’s going to have to be some kind of beginning of negotiations, as [Ukrainian] President [Volodymyr] Zelenskiy has said, will be the ultimate end.”

    Petraeus and others are of course putting up a front, but the truth is |Americans would not dare attack Russian troops in Ukraine because that would be too likely to result in a nuclear weapon being used against American forces. Petraeus was saying Russia’s position was untenable when they seemed unwilling and or unable to actually hold their ground. The battle field reality in 2023 is the Russian mobilisaton enabled them to stand and fight.

    Danny Davis isn’t a cheerleader. Not sure why you would slime him with MacGregor and Ritter. He takes the opinion that Putin is evil

    Ukraine left, not the Soviet Union under Stalin but the Russian Federation. And the Russia Federation under Yeltsin. Putin became leader after that happened. when Ukraine was already looking to NATO. Ukraine was never given carte blanch to form any alliances it saw fit to. As a sovereign country it could take decision, but those decisions were gong to have consequences to the extent they impinged on Russian security. Russia made clear it was not going to take a hit geopolitically, and they did not accept the mora arbitration of those whose security was not being eroded. Putin can certainly be criticised for not making it much more explicit that unless Russia got some satisfaction it was going to go into full on war mode

    [B]ut should be appeased with Donbas and Crimea.

    Appease is the wrong word in relation to Crimea because Russia already has Crimea so it does not need to be given it, as General Milley said some time ago Ukraine has already achieved as much as can reasonably be expected . As for Davis he thinks the Russians are not going to vacate what they currently hold, may be able to take more, and Ukraine will not be able to evict them, so Ukraine ought to start thinking about whether the sacrifice of young men entailed by further fighting at the current high and still rising intensity will achieve anything for the country and its future.

    Why Ukraine’s counter-offensive is failing
    Diplomacy is more important than ever as Kyiv simply doesn’t have the human resources or physical infrastructure to achieve its goals.
    JULY 19, 2023
    Written by
    Daniel L. Davis […]

    Trying to put a good face on the situation, Western officials and analysts told the Washington Post on Tuesday that “Ukraine’s military has so far embraced an attrition-based approach aimed largely at creating vulnerabilities in Russian lines.” That is not accurate. The UAF haven’t “embraced” an attrition-based approach, they have changed tactics to leading with small groups of dismounted infantry to try and penetrate Russia’s leading trench lines out of sheer necessity. Leading with armor simply won’t work, and if Ukraine had persisted in trying large armored assaults, they would have continued dying in large numbers.

    The problem for Kyiv is that this “approach” is virtually certain to fail. The military geography of this entire region of Ukraine is characterized by open, flat terrain, interspersed with thin forest strips. Because Russia owns the skies and has considerable drone capacity, any time the Ukrainian soldiers move in the open, they are immediately subjected to artillery or mortar fire. If any armored vehicles move in the open, they are likewise quickly destroyed. The best the UAF can do is infiltrate small numbers of infantrymen into trenches where Russian forces are located.

    It’s not that Zelensky’s forces are “going slowly” forward, it’s that they aren’t attaining any of their initial tactical objectives on the way to the Azov coast and it’s precisely because the combat fundamentals necessary to win are largely (and in some cases entirely) absent. They flatly don’t have the human resources or physical infrastructure necessary to succeed.

    Now, it is always possible that Russia could suffer sudden political collapse, such as what happened in 1917, and Ukraine could still emerge successful. That, however, is extremely unlikely and Kyiv would be unwise to base their future hopes upon such an event.

    To continue trying will tragically result in yet more UAF troops being killed, Ukrainian cities destroyed, and push prospects for peace ever further away

  617. @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn't appear to be getting weaker but stronger - that the longer the conflict, the greater the potential for the Kiev regime to lose more territory.

    Petraeus absurdly said that Kiev regime forces are better trained, motivated and equipped than their Russian opponent. That he gets something obviously evident on another matter, which others have already noted, makes him subpar establishment.

    Not to be overlooked is svido favorite Ben Hodges, who said that the Kiev regime will take Crimea by the end of this year.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn’t appear to be getting weaker but stronger

    His name is Daniel Davis. You don’t refer to a man by the informal version of his name unless it is requested.

    He supports appeasing Putin with land which is different from MacGregor and Ritter who still talk of marching on Kiev. Ritter just claimed that the F16s won’t hit a single target. You don’t find that to be outlandish and bombastic?

    There aren’t enough Ritters to change how the world views the Russian military.

    Watch this failed Russian assault:

    BMP driver doesn’t even have the sense to use smoke or the buildings for cover. Most likely drunk.

    Yea I’m sure an army of 150k conscripts in T-55s will assault Kiev any day now there Scott.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @John Johnson

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight? While the Russians' morale might collapse so might Ukrainians'.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @John Johnson

    , @Mikhail
    @John Johnson


    His name is Daniel Davis. You don’t refer to a man by the informal version of his name unless it is requested.
     
    You aren't in a good position to lecture on proper manner. He has been referred to as Danny Davis.

    He supports appeasing Putin with land which is different from MacGregor and Ritter who still talk of marching on Kiev.
     
    He gives credence to the view that Russia is getting stronger and that the Kiev regime risks losing more land, the longer the armed conflict.

    Yea I’m sure an army of 150k conscripts in T-55s will assault Kiev any day now there Scott.
     
    Kiev regime wishes it had a better existing stock of well operating T-55s. Meantime, Russia has an ample number of T-90s and upgraded T-72s.
  618. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.
     
    Absolutely you ought to start doubting it. And you shouldn't wait around for McGilchrist or anyone else to show you the way (they can help), but proactively attack the problem yourself. We massively shortchange ourselves when we allow scientism to rule out this exciting possibility, and rule out that exciting possibility, and rule out all the enchantment in life. We grant scientism a veto over our imaginations and tell ourselves we have no right to complain. And why? Because the scientistic little bitch boys can't imagine there's any way to square such enchanted notions with the picture of reality their methods have built up. But that picture of reality is incomplete, and worse (for them), it's necessarily incomplete, and worse still, it must forever be incomplete. And if that's the case, we need to cancel their veto posthaste. Because life is about living, not about arriving at the precise solution to a mathematical conundrum.

    How can I, who have banged on so much about objectivity and realism, and dismissed so many viewpoints as subjective and unworthy of attention, say such things? Well, the shortest answer is: I was a fucking idiot. But another short answer is: there is 'mere reality' and there is 'ultimate reality.' Mere reality is the way things appear to us, given the kinds of beings we are, given the kinds of instruments we possess; and from this perspective, there are indeed more objective and less objective ways of perceiving the world and arriving at conclusions about it; and at any one time there could very well be a "most objective" perspective to which all other perspectives ought to give way. But we are in no way justified in leaping from this perspective to the all-encompassing conclusion we have comprehended ultimate reality. We have no right to claim that.

    Imagine a bat going about its life. Given the kind of being it is, given the kinds of instruments for processing the information coming at it it possesses, it too would have more objective and less objectives perspectives on the (mere) reality surrounding it. And when it adheres to the more objective perspective, it finds it can more successfully evade predators and stalk its prey than it can with less objective perspectives. Fine. But what a fool that bat would be to imagine it has successfully comprehended ultimate reality. It has comprehended but a miniscule portion of our mere reality, but the poor thing has no way of knowing that. Well, what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.

    Replies: @Mikel

    what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs. But realizing this doesn’t lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods. Science probably does impose limits on how sophisticated a religion must be to be credible in the modern world.

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish. Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems. All the evidence continues to point in the direction that yes, we are all going to vanish forever in the not too distant future, as we see all organisms around us do, which is quite disconcerting and disquieting for the human mind.

    I don’t know how other people go about this because these are subjects that you don’t often talk about with family and friends, or rather change the subject to more pleasant matters when you start getting too deep into them, but an additional problem I’ve had since childhood is that I can’t even imagine an alternative destiny for my existence that would be clearly better than simple disappearance. All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don’t know how to do that. The fact that science doesn’t offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn’t do much for me.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mikel


    "what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all."

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.
     
    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.
     
    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no "unknown" world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones - thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are "soothing"- as you are of "ultimate reality."

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.
     
    But why must it be? Why is futility more "realistic" than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point
     
    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ's Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don't follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Coconuts, @silviosilver

    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    But realizing this doesn’t lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods.
     
    No, of course not. Similar to AP realizing the necessarily incomplete character of scientism at 20 (thereby beating the rest of us :) ), I had come across hints that this was the case early on in my militant atheist stage of my mid-20's, but I dismissed them out of hand precisely because of the fear that rejecting scientism would open the door to all manner of "anything goes" lunacy. And one could probably detect from my posts that some version of that fear lingered on until very recently. Well, one point I could make is that that fear, whether well founded or not, has been rendered irrelevant by events. Look around you: anything goes lunacy is already here, and is being imposed on us at the cost of cancelling our livelihoods. More germanely, though, we should note at the outset that religions and all supernatural belief systems fare worst when they clash directly with what has been or can be established by the objective standards of 'mere reality'; we should note that rather obvious point, and then leave it aside and move on to more important matters where it is far from clear that 'mere reality'-based scientism gets the last word.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don’t know how to do that. The fact that science doesn’t offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn’t do much for me.
     
    Whoa, slow down, pardner. I had no intention of turning your worldview upside down in one fell swoop. Undermining scientism is but the first step in what for many people is a lifelong journey. By undermining scientism, we are merely establishing the possibility - not the certainty - of, to use your terminology, 'non-futility.' To undermine scientism is thus to break free from the 'mind-forged manacles' that insist the quest for non-futility is itself futile. As Benvolio counsels lovelorn Romeo: "give liberty to thine eyes, examine other beauties", I too invite you to give liberty to thy mind, examine other philosophies.

    Worth addressing too is the question of whether you should even want to examine other philosophies. I think you answer this yourself with your very use of the word 'futility' to describe the human condition. What you leave unsaid is the implication, futility thus despair. A plaque near the entrance of my favorite childhood library was emblazoned with a quote from Carlyle: "All that mankind has done, thought, gained, or been; it is lying as in magic preservation in the pages of books." If materialism is true, then all that we have done, thought, gained, or been - all of it, down to the barest trace - shall someday be laid waste by the tragic annihilation of entropy. What hope, after such knowledge? If there is to be any, it must lie in the immaterial plane. It is there that we must seek after the hope, however faintly it glimmers, that things of this world - perhaps some great task we must and can only accomplish in this world (to give you a hint of where my interests lie) - may just be able to secure enduring import in a world beyond.
    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?)
     
    Fair questions, but it's important to note they are derived from the understanding bequeathed to us by our model of mere reality. The 'metaphysics' of ultimate reality may be such that the apparent contradictions implicit in your question are completely obviated. So I put it to you in all seriousness, why not all these versions of yourself? Perhaps simultaneously, or perhaps 'manifesting' according to the exigencies (such as they may be) of the moment? If you think little of these suggestions, I encourage you to come up with some of your own. The value of exercises like this it to train yourself to take other possibilities seriously, instead of reflexively dismissing them because they're too hard to square with the reigning paradigm of mere reality.

    floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.
     
    Well, if all we were going to do is 'float around' doing nothing, then hell yeah, I'll take sweet death - final death, the end - any day. But actually, since our common sense notions of time are already under assault by both physicists and metaphysicians, the metaphysics of time - do check it out - is an accessible way of training the mind to accept the possibility that ultimate reality may be wildly, radically different to mere reality. It really need bear no relation to it at all. To go back to the bat, imagine you could somehow introduce it to the world of visible light - "holy fuck," it'd think, "this is like absolutely nothing I could have conceived of in my wildest dreams." I would urge us all to be open to the possibility that the same might be true for us.
    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I think you may have to delve into "epistemology" in general - the inquiry into how we know anything at all, in order to really see where we stand in relation to "reality" :)

    The important thing is not so much believing in any set of propositions - religion is not in the end a set of propositions - but to liberate oneself from the dogmatic assertion of modern times that there cannot exist anything beyond matter.

    The idea that there is nothing beyond the physical - or no teleogy to the universe - isn't proven by science - its an ideological commitment, a dogma.

    Science started as a technique whose purpose was to gain control of nature - it had to exclude from consideration anything that wasn't relevant to this. All techniques have to demarcate their area of inquiry by excluding non-relevant considerations. Over time, it transformed into a metaphysics - a claim about ultimate reality - the dogmatic belief that anything science cannot measure doesn't exist.

    But that's simply a category error. Obviously, you will not "discover" what you have chosen to exclude from sight as a way to demarcate your area of inquiry.

    Its like saying you're only going to study forests - you've pre-set the boundaries of your inquiry - and then decided that mountains and oceans don't exist because you haven't found them in forests.

    Future historians will regard the past few hundred years as one of the weirdest chapters in the intellectual history of the human race.

    It's a shocking discovery for those of us reared on dogmatism, like myself - but all our knowledge contains an element of faith. We can't prove one thing causes another, the most basic element of knowledge. We can't prove the sun will rise tomorrow or gravity will still obtain tomorrow - science has no true laws, just the observation of past regularities. We can't even prove we exist, or our minds truly are accessing reality.

    Life itself in the end is a leap of faith - pure rationality cannot access reality, it is a form of insanity, like schizophrenia.

    Propositional religious claims may be false, or lacking in any proof, but "naturalism" is equally an incoherent dogma that is believed in as an ideological commitment.

    But the important things isn't to believe in propositions, but to come into contact with a larger reality that may be called "supernatural" - or a larger dimension to reality - than mere matter. And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not :)

    And reason and science themselves, in their limited domains, provide significant evidence for the existence of the supernatural and teleology, although it does not - and cannot - prove this. But faith in the supernatural does not stand on a significantly different footing than much of what we claim we "know", once one delves into epistemology.

    And again religion isn't primarily about a set of propositional truths, but about direct contact with a "larger" reality - as in Zen and mysticism. The propositional "truths" of religion are mere attempts to express in language what is at the limits of the expressible, not dogmatic assertions - it's a modern corruption that they've become literal dogmatic assertions.

    For instance, the Hindu idea that the world is the "play" of Brahman - to take this as a propositional truth one must dogmatically assent to is misplaced. It expresses at the limits of language the sense of wonder at why anything exists rather than nothing - and the intuitive sense here is, why, if something exists at all, it must be for joy! Why else exist? Of course, the "naturalistic" explanation, that the world just "is", is incoherent on its own terms - the natural system of cause and effect just suddenly stops at the limits of the system, and we can't inquire further.

    Or that Jesus is God - as a literal propositional truth, who knows? But as a significant mystery - a man comes who tells us to live completely opposite to the supposed common sense rules of life and becomes the basis of a world religion - there is something there, but who knows precisely what.

    Religion is more a state of receptive open mindedness to the larger mysteries around us and a direct contact with a larger reality than any set of dogmatic propositional truths, and religious language isn't literal but at the limits of the expressible.

    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them :)

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Mikel

  619. @songbird
    @Sher Singh


    Trees are Red Oak + Red Maple btw.
     
    People might accuse you of having communist or Canadian sympathies, if all your trees turn red in autumn.

    Should have planted elm ("friend of cattle") instead.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    Red is also a womanly/feminine color so there’s that.

    The Ukr Axe & Knife were a no go.

    The Coldsteel Leatherneck Semper-fi is good.

    Replacing my Ka-bar as EDC/GP. Good for skin, light bush & ;).
    ਅਕਾਲ

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Sher Singh

    Your trees remind me of a great song by Rush. The song reminds me of Ukraine. Other versions are more lively but this has the lyrics if you do not know them.



    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_D0wkLyCXE

    Replies: @QCIC

  620. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn’t appear to be getting weaker but stronger

    His name is Daniel Davis. You don't refer to a man by the informal version of his name unless it is requested.

    He supports appeasing Putin with land which is different from MacGregor and Ritter who still talk of marching on Kiev. Ritter just claimed that the F16s won't hit a single target. You don't find that to be outlandish and bombastic?

    There aren't enough Ritters to change how the world views the Russian military.

    Watch this failed Russian assault:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ch4J_HiVwWw

    BMP driver doesn't even have the sense to use smoke or the buildings for cover. Most likely drunk.

    Yea I'm sure an army of 150k conscripts in T-55s will assault Kiev any day now there Scott.

    Replies: @Sean, @Mikhail

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight? While the Russians’ morale might collapse so might Ukrainians’.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Sean

    Well, Ukraine are gaining ground round Bakhmut and Zaporozhye while Russia is gaining ground south of Kharkov.

    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia. But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished and now maybe 100,000 young Ukrainian men are dead.

    It's too depressing watching the funerals of the poor guys.

    https://t.me/llordofwar/179131

    By the way they're snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.

    Replies: @Sean, @AP

    , @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight?

    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven't arrived.

    Odds of an attack on Kiev are nil unless Putin can talk Belarus into it. Even in that scenario it would be extremely difficult because the north has natural defenses and is now mined. That is why Putin hasn't built up an attack force across the border.

    You also can't occupy a defiant city of 3 million with demoralized conscripts. There will be AK-47s in windows and women leading Russian men down dark alleys. They weren't able to even get into the city with regulars on their first attempt. Putin just wants his Donbas slice so he can get out while he still has a head.

    While the Russians’ morale might collapse so might Ukrainians’.

    I see no reason to believe that. Ukraine could run low on men but not morale.

    Putin's defenders imagine courageous Slavs and not fringe of the empire minorities like this guy:

    https://youtu.be/LSS43oC-zyg?t=18

    Ukraine just needs to find a point in the line where enough disillusioned minorities decide to walk or better yet kill their commanders.

    A similar strategy to what the Russians did at Stalingrad. They pushed on the weaker Italian and Romanian line.

    Replies: @Sean

  621. @Sean
    @John Johnson

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight? While the Russians' morale might collapse so might Ukrainians'.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @John Johnson

    Well, Ukraine are gaining ground round Bakhmut and Zaporozhye while Russia is gaining ground south of Kharkov.

    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia. But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished and now maybe 100,000 young Ukrainian men are dead.

    It’s too depressing watching the funerals of the poor guys.

    https://t.me/llordofwar/179131

    By the way they’re snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Its not clear what the current Russian objectives are but Ukraine wants to get back everything taken since 2013, but they are only going to lose more. Ukraine won't. but it ought to ask for a ceasefire.

    , @AP
    @YetAnotherAnon


    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia
     
    He was, but not on Putin's terms and Russia wasn't interested. That's because Zelensky wanted to improve relations with Russia, but was also steadfastly pro-integration with the EU and Russia was determined to prevent that. Zelensky was never the pro-Russia candidate (that was Boyko) but the softer alternative to Poroshenko.

    But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished
     
    With your posts you prove that you have no idea what his voters wished. You've probably never spoken to any of them (at least, none who voted for him in the first round). Anything you've read from Ukraine (if anything) probably came from Boyko and Medvedchuk who were a completely different voting bloc.

    By the way they’re snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.
     
    So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets. You can see videos of restaurants or the streets, there are still plenty of men hanging out.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

  622. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Sean

    Well, Ukraine are gaining ground round Bakhmut and Zaporozhye while Russia is gaining ground south of Kharkov.

    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia. But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished and now maybe 100,000 young Ukrainian men are dead.

    It's too depressing watching the funerals of the poor guys.

    https://t.me/llordofwar/179131

    By the way they're snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.

    Replies: @Sean, @AP

    Its not clear what the current Russian objectives are but Ukraine wants to get back everything taken since 2013, but they are only going to lose more. Ukraine won’t. but it ought to ask for a ceasefire.

  623. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Danny Davis reasonably concludes that the Kiev regime is getting pummeled and will eventually lose in one degree or another. Davis added that Russia doesn’t appear to be getting weaker but stronger

    His name is Daniel Davis. You don't refer to a man by the informal version of his name unless it is requested.

    He supports appeasing Putin with land which is different from MacGregor and Ritter who still talk of marching on Kiev. Ritter just claimed that the F16s won't hit a single target. You don't find that to be outlandish and bombastic?

    There aren't enough Ritters to change how the world views the Russian military.

    Watch this failed Russian assault:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ch4J_HiVwWw

    BMP driver doesn't even have the sense to use smoke or the buildings for cover. Most likely drunk.

    Yea I'm sure an army of 150k conscripts in T-55s will assault Kiev any day now there Scott.

    Replies: @Sean, @Mikhail

    His name is Daniel Davis. You don’t refer to a man by the informal version of his name unless it is requested.

    You aren’t in a good position to lecture on proper manner. He has been referred to as Danny Davis.

    He supports appeasing Putin with land which is different from MacGregor and Ritter who still talk of marching on Kiev.

    He gives credence to the view that Russia is getting stronger and that the Kiev regime risks losing more land, the longer the armed conflict.

    Yea I’m sure an army of 150k conscripts in T-55s will assault Kiev any day now there Scott.

    Kiev regime wishes it had a better existing stock of well operating T-55s. Meantime, Russia has an ample number of T-90s and upgraded T-72s.

  624. AP says:
    @YetAnotherAnon
    @Sean

    Well, Ukraine are gaining ground round Bakhmut and Zaporozhye while Russia is gaining ground south of Kharkov.

    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia. But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished and now maybe 100,000 young Ukrainian men are dead.

    It's too depressing watching the funerals of the poor guys.

    https://t.me/llordofwar/179131

    By the way they're snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.

    Replies: @Sean, @AP

    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia

    He was, but not on Putin’s terms and Russia wasn’t interested. That’s because Zelensky wanted to improve relations with Russia, but was also steadfastly pro-integration with the EU and Russia was determined to prevent that. Zelensky was never the pro-Russia candidate (that was Boyko) but the softer alternative to Poroshenko.

    But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished

    With your posts you prove that you have no idea what his voters wished. You’ve probably never spoken to any of them (at least, none who voted for him in the first round). Anything you’ve read from Ukraine (if anything) probably came from Boyko and Medvedchuk who were a completely different voting bloc.

    By the way they’re snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.

    So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets. You can see videos of restaurants or the streets, there are still plenty of men hanging out.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @AP

    "So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets."

    Maybe your family are "connected" (or maybe they're in Crimea!).

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.

    https://sputnikglobe.com/20220411/genocide-of-donbass-civilians-women-elderly-and-children-1094619604.html

    This link is bearable. What a lovely mother and child.

    https://remember.wiki/en/people/zhuk-krystyna-serheevna/

    Replies: @AP

  625. @John Johnson
    @Mikhail

    Regarding the SMO, Kiev was never attacked as in taking it over.

    Why were hundreds of tanks sent to Kiev?

    Wikipedia seems to list a full scale battle.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Kyiv_(2022)

    You are saying that Putin didn't intend to take Kiev, is that right? He put a bounty on Zelensky and sent hundreds of tanks along with a 40 mile supply column at Kiev for what purpose exactly?

    Replies: @Mikhail

    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn’t enough to take a city of that size. It did seem to help bring the Kiev regime to the negotiating table in Istanbul and led to what numerous sources believe was an agreeable settlement thwarted by Anglo-American, neocon-neolib, geopolitical mischief makers, along the lines of Lindsey Graham, who is on record for wanting to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian.

    Substantive proof (not BS) that Putin had a bounty on Zelensky?

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mikhail


    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn’t enough to take a city of that size.
     
    It is if you assume that the Ukrainians will not resist much. That's exactly what Russians and many pro-Russians posters assumed. Beckow was insisting that the Ukrainian leadership would all flee abroad and the troops would mostly desert rather than face arrest by the new authorities. 50,000 troops, riot police with mobile detention centers would be enough to take care of scattered troublemakers and restore order in such a case.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ

  626. @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    Full text in RF state owned media resource is not anyhow different in meaning from the original Ukrainian text in photo and Sikorski's description of point one:

    https://ria.ru/20140221/996319889.html

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Another issue is believing Sikorski’s claim that you earlier referenced, as Yanukovych was overthrown within something like 72 hours – hardly much time for him to have acted on anything. Would like to get his take on that particular.

  627. AP says:
    @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.
     
    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs. But realizing this doesn't lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods. Science probably does impose limits on how sophisticated a religion must be to be credible in the modern world.

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish. Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn't mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems. All the evidence continues to point in the direction that yes, we are all going to vanish forever in the not too distant future, as we see all organisms around us do, which is quite disconcerting and disquieting for the human mind.

    I don't know how other people go about this because these are subjects that you don't often talk about with family and friends, or rather change the subject to more pleasant matters when you start getting too deep into them, but an additional problem I've had since childhood is that I can't even imagine an alternative destiny for my existence that would be clearly better than simple disappearance. All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don't know how to do that. The fact that science doesn't offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn't do much for me.

    Replies: @AP, @silviosilver, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    “what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.”

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.

    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.

    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones – thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are “soothing”- as you are of “ultimate reality.”

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.

    But why must it be? Why is futility more “realistic” than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point

    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ’s Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don’t follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @AP


    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?
     
    I don't think so at all. My position is rather the contrary: just because something is soothing it doesn't make it right. But I welcome anyone to embrace whatever soothing faith they like if they are capable of believing in it.

    ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning
     
    Futility and meaning are probably not the right words. There seems to be a clear evolutionary meaning to our existence as members of a species, even if we are unable to transcend our death as individuals. And there is an element of futility in our existence, as everything we do is ultimately meaningless and will cease to have any importance once we're dead, but more adequate words to describe our existence as the only animals conscious of our mortality could probably be perplexity or tragedy.

    Given the limitations of our ape brains, I recognize that we cannot discard out of hand that when we see our fellow humans and other organisms perish and disappear forever from this universe, our brains are tricking us and they are actually transitioning (at least humans) to some supernatural dimension that, again, our brains are incapable of sensing. But, other than wanting that be true, I don't see why I should believe that that is what actually happens in the absence of any evidence.

    Given the limitations of my ape brain and the impossibility of totally discarding it, I may choose to believe that thunder is caused by angry gods but I'm not sure that holding such evidence-free beliefs is not just rational but even natural for a human.

    Replies: @AP

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Miracles such as Christ’s Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths)
     
    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn't automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you'd have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_F%C3%A1tima

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Medjugorje

    A lot of people claimed to have seen Mary and/or Jesus:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Visions_of_Jesus_and_Mary

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?

    Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.
     
    You think that atheists and agnostics don't have worries? Especially if they're not rich? They simply don't worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.

    Replies: @AP

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.
     
    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all. Most of them never accepted Jesus Christ as their Messiah.

    It's quite interesting, isn't it? Christ's message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ and were the most familiar with him and his message during Jesus's own lifetime. As a present-day skeptic would say, if most Palestinian Jews weren't convinced by Jesus's Divinity, why should we be, over 2,000 years later? And where's our own equivalent of the proof of Jesus's Resurrection that Doubting Thomas got? He didn't rely on faith to believe in it but actually saw Jesus appear live in front of him, with him being allowed to touch Jesus--at least that's how this story goes. Why can't contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.

    Replies: @AP, @Dmitry

    , @Coconuts
    @AP


    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.
     
    I heard about another interesting explanation for this that relies on some psychological data (this was via Ed Dutton), the correlations between autism and atheism and schizophrenic tendencies and religious belief. If autism is characterised by a lack of theory of mind, schizophrenia is having too much theory of mind and attributing too much agency to things.

    I wonder if McGilchrist is partly working with similar data and case studies in his work.

    In terms of arguments against scientism, I think there is at least one strong one. It depends on the science component of scientism having a relatively specific definition and not being used in too open ended a way, i.e. not just as referring to any organised body of knowledge.

    So, if scientism is taken as meaning the belief that the natural sciences are our only source of knowledge of reality, and you add the common conviction that biology and chemistry should ultimately be reducible to physics, you have physics as constituting our only source of knowledge of reality; everything that is real should be reducible to and describable by physics. Anything else is illusion. Again, to make this something testable you need a relatively restricted definition of the content of physics, something like what we currently understand by that term and not including new irreducible elements (say like consciousness).

    What empirical/mathematical data from current physics could prove that it is our only source of knowledge of reality? Usual conclusion is that it is hard to imagine what this data could be. It's probably one of the reasons even a lot of analytical philosophers who are sympathetic to the central role of the natural sciences in knowledge don't believe in physicalist scientism in this strong form.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird

    , @silviosilver
    @AP


    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.
     
    You "suppose," do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn't a chance you'll purely reason your way through to that conclusion. And if you ever think you have, the simple test of trying to walk a skeptic through your chain of reasoning ought to be enough to disabuse you.

    But so what if it's a leap of faith? Is faith any less than reason? It certainly is with respect to the material world. As atheists rightly never tire of reminding us, faith is a useless means of attaining knowledge of the material world. But faith is the precise means - the ultimate means - through which we attain knowledge of God.

    There's really no other way. Reason can guide us. Through reason, we can establish plausibility - the very plausibility that is the engine of faith (if it stops running, faith shrivels and dies). This preparatory work is no mean feat. It doesn't come easy. We have to labor to achieve it. But even when we have, the final step will always be a leap of faith.

    You can liken to someone following a treasure map, down the valley, through the woods, up the mountainside, for perilous days and nights, until finally the treasure lies within sight - on the other side of a ravine. The treasure hunter's heart races - it's a long way down! But there's a good chance he'll make it. He's come this far, to hell with it, he leaps. Perhaps someone else who'd merely stumbled across the treasure-within-sight might be tempted, but phew, that's a steep fall, he chooses not to risk it.

    Replies: @AP, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  628. AP says:
    @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn't enough to take a city of that size. It did seem to help bring the Kiev regime to the negotiating table in Istanbul and led to what numerous sources believe was an agreeable settlement thwarted by Anglo-American, neocon-neolib, geopolitical mischief makers, along the lines of Lindsey Graham, who is on record for wanting to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian.

    Substantive proof (not BS) that Putin had a bounty on Zelensky?

    Replies: @AP

    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn’t enough to take a city of that size.

    It is if you assume that the Ukrainians will not resist much. That’s exactly what Russians and many pro-Russians posters assumed. Beckow was insisting that the Ukrainian leadership would all flee abroad and the troops would mostly desert rather than face arrest by the new authorities. 50,000 troops, riot police with mobile detention centers would be enough to take care of scattered troublemakers and restore order in such a case.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @AP


    It is if you assume that the Ukrainians will not resist much. That’s exactly what Russians and many pro-Russians posters assumed.
     
    People who from what I offhand recall aren't known for being so military expert savvy.

    Beckow was insisting that the Ukrainian leadership would all flee abroad and the troops would mostly desert rather than face arrest by the new authorities. 50,000 troops, riot police with mobile detention centers would be enough to take care of scattered troublemakers and restore order in such a case.
     
    Western mass media was keen on suggesting such. I'd my extreme doubt from the get go.
    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    The assumption might have been that Ukrainians would act like Czechs under Nazi rule. And without Western support, maybe they would have, eventually. Once all of the brave Ukrainians would have been killed or sent to gulags.

  629. Would be funny if the Norks started making movies starring that guy who just defected as the bad guy, representing imperial America.

  630. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I’m afraid your objections mostly reflect left hemisphere dominant tendencies prevalent in our culture
     
    I just pointed out two problems that I have with the part of McG's ideas that I am familiar with but I still don't know what his main conclusions in the last part of the book are in any detail. I've just had some glimpses in the videos I've posted above but I can't really offer any critique of his core thesis yet. I would actually love to be convinced by him that my pessimistic, existentialist view of life is wrong. Or at least to start doubting it.

    His point about the scientific method being built on a fictional structure of pure observation and rational building of hypotheses is a very good one. It is certainly true that in the initial stages of the method, when scientists formulate their hypotheses, intuition plays a central role. But, other than having an imperfect diagram of how science works in practice, I'm not sure this insight is too important. I doubt any practicing scientist would have any problem admitting that intuition, imagination and perhaps even dreams and fantasy play a central role in their everyday jobs.

    As for leaving room for uncertainty, Mcgilchrist is actually huge on that!
     
    Are you sure about that? On the matter of brain lateralization, the one subject I read more than enough on, I don't see him leaving any room for doubt. Ironically, his description of how the left brain and the right brain work looks tremendously left-brained and mechanistic. He describes a very rigid scheme, page after page, example after example, with no uncertainty or pending research mentioned that I remember at all. This is all the more important considering that, as explained in the Sam Harris video, his findings run against what was previously thought to be the correct paradigm and, as far as I have been able to see, his interpretation is still not the consensus view. The general view among researchers seems to be that the exact mechanisms of how our brains work are still largely a mystery and there is quite a lot of overlap and redundancy in our brain structures.

    We'll see how important his description of the brain lateralization is for his subsequent conclusions.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think the standard scientific approach these days is to study an issue from the standpoint of “objectivity”, without any preconceptions, predilections, emotional involvement, or disposition towards the outcome.

    Even on this forum, I’ve been told by various people that my conclusions must be illegitimate because I’m vested in the outcome, or already have a strong sense of what it might be. There is this idea today that the larger picture “emerges” from a mass of details that one has accumulated, rather than that one starts with a larger picture and then attempts to prove it.

    I think that’s the dominant view these days, but this flatly contradicts the history of science. So I do think this “reversal” of perspective is important 🙂 Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that ones initial theories at the very least will develop, quite possibly in unforeseen ways, and undergo significant modification, or even complete reversal. There is certainly an element of serendipity and exploration involved, and that’s perhaps where “objectivity” comes in.- and excitement.

    To be honest, I’m struggling to understand the nature of your objections to Mcgilchrist presenting in detail the evidence for his conclusions – it’s almost as if you’re suggesting that presenting a very good case is itself a form of closed minded rigidity 🙂

    The man has accumulated evidence for his thesis over the course of several decades, and it seems to overwhelmingly validate the broad outlines of his theory – at what point does it become legitimate to talk with a high measure of confidence? Surely, it is scientifically legitimate to do a comprehensive and exhaustive survey of the evidence and if one feels it warrants it, come to conclusions with a high level of confidence, and offer it to the judgement of his peers and the general public. And that is no more than he is doing.

    Now, if Mcgilchrist refuses to consider objections to his position, or alternative explanations of the data, and shuts down conversations, ignores questions, and generally behaved like a dogmatic idiot, that would be closed minded.

    Nor does he pretend that there aren’t areas that are left murky and where more research is required – he admits it where the data is inconclusive or insufficient, and welcomes more research. But he does maintain that enough data already exists to validate the broad outlines of his theory – and it is up to his scientific peers and the general public to question that if they feel he’s wrong.

    But everyone is allowed to disagree, and sift through his evidence, and scrutinize his findings – and question him. He welcomes that – as do I!

    Moreover, let’s “zoom out” from the nitty gritty details and consider the thrust of his argument – his thesis is that we must develop a larger, broader, more inclusive type of consciousness, that takes in the wider picture. He calls on us to see more, not less, to include the vision of the left hemisphere but put in a more comprehensive frame. By its nature such a position is a call to greater flexibility than one that insists we must limit ourselves entirely to left hemisphere thinking, which is characteristic of the modern world.

    And finally, one central implication of his call to return to hemispheric balance is an appreciation for the vague, the ambiguous, the uncertain, that which does not admit of precisely formulation but is nevertheless hugely important for our lives and real – and he discusses these issues st length.

    Now, I suppose on the “meta” level a call to bring non-dogmatic and open-minded is itself dogmatic and closed-minded 🙂 But I don’t think you meant logic puzzles such as that.

    (P.S. – sorry if I came on a bit too strong in this comment 🙂 And please always feel free to disagree with me or utterly reject what I’m saying, regardless of what I say. )

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    To be honest, I’m struggling to understand the nature of your objections to Mcgilchrist presenting in detail the evidence for his conclusions
     
    Well, let me clarify that I only expressed some mild objections to McGilchrist's way of presenting his ideas. I knew very little about brain hemispheres when I started reading his book but I have read lots of scientific books and essays and I have developed a tendency to find scientists who recognize uncertainties and doubts more credible.

    Only yesterday I watched an interview with Roger Penrose, one of the most prominent physicists alive, and he kept answering "I don't know", "I have no idea", "I don't have much to say about that" when he was asked about deep philosophical questions or simply things outside of his knowledge. This is a guy with very provocative ideas about the big bang, the collapse of the wave function or the nature of mathematics.

    But also I think that my initial intuition that his categorical representation of how the two brain hemispheres work was too simplistic was not unwarranted. Since so far I can only talk about the scientific part of his book, let's do a first pass and see what Wikipedia has to say about it:

    Some excerpts from the entry "Lateralization of brain function":

    Function lateralization, such as semantics, intonation, accentuation, and prosody, has since been called into question and largely been found to have a neuronal basis in both hemispheres.[6]
    .../...
    While language production is left-lateralized in up to 90% of right-handers, it is more bilateral, or even right-lateralized, in approximately 50% of left-handers.[8]
    .../...
    If a specific region of the brain, or even an entire hemisphere, is injured or destroyed, its functions can sometimes be assumed by a neighboring region in the same hemisphere or the corresponding region in the other hemisphere, depending upon the area damaged and the patient's age.[20] When injury interferes with pathways from one area to another, alternative (indirect) connections may develop to communicate information with detached areas, despite the inefficiencies.
    .../..
    Although certain functions show a degree of lateralization in the brain - with language predominantly processed in the left hemisphere, and spatial and nonverbal reasoning in the right - these functions are not exclusively tied to one hemisphere.[22]
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lateralization_of_brain_function

    Not a ringing endorsement of McGilchrist's first part of The Matter with Things, I would say.

    As for his book The Master and his Emissary, that I think deals with the scientific part of his later volume, some critiques he received (along with laudatory reception from some others) also from Wikipedia:

    "the findings of brain science are nowhere near fine-grained enough yet to support the large psychological and cultural conclusions Iain McGilchrist draws".[2]
    .../...
    A negative review in The Economist stated that the book resorted to "generalisations of breathtaking sweep" and that the second part of the book "has plainly become untethered from its moorings in brain science".[12] Likewise, Michael Corbalis said of the work, that "Although widely acclaimed, this book goes far beyond the neurological facts."[13]
    .../...
    Owen Flanagan alleged many shortcomings of the book and delivered a dismissive statement: "The fact is, hemispheric differences are not well understood.
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Master_and_His_Emissary

    So perhaps some degree of skepticism before taking everything he says about the brain hemispheres at face value is the right approach.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  631. @Sher Singh
    @songbird

    Red is also a womanly/feminine color so there's that.

    The Ukr Axe & Knife were a no go.

    The Coldsteel Leatherneck Semper-fi is good.

    Replacing my Ka-bar as EDC/GP. Good for skin, light bush & ;).
    ਅਕਾਲ

    https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1100267815883264070/1133796006023155824/image.png

    Replies: @QCIC

    Your trees remind me of a great song by Rush. The song reminds me of Ukraine. Other versions are more lively but this has the lyrics if you do not know them.

    [MORE]

    • Thanks: Sher Singh
    • Replies: @QCIC
    @QCIC

    Probably obvious to all:

    Rush is a Canadian band. The Oaks represent England and the Maples Canada.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  632. AP says:
    @Dmitry
    @Greasy William


    was unaware of them.

     

    Well, it's usually commonly known information.

    replace lost equipment and expanded munitions
     
    This is replaced using mainly equipment from the storage, it's almost all not new equipment which has been produced since 1991.

    As a result, the war is a bit like a retrospectively viewing museum of Soviet historical equipment, as the war begins in 2022 with more equipment like 1980s BMP-3, while in 2023 the soldiers are often using 1960s BMP-1 and there are even reports about soldiers using 1950s T-55.

    It's not acceptable protection for soldiers to use the BMP-1. In the 2020s, it's kind of war crime to use this 1960s equipment, even if it was against another museum army. Although in 2023, Ukraine is now receiving Western equipment, quite a lot of this is also often from the museum, including low quality of Soviet exported equipment Poland doesn't need.

    For perspective, the situation of the army in Ukraine, is like if Stalin is fighting in 1945, using weapons and equipment of 1885.

    A lot of these equipment are 60 years old, so it's like fighting in the 1940s, with equipment of the 1880s.

    When Stalin was fighting in 1945, the army had equipment which was more modern than in 1941. But in 2023, the equipment of the army is already becoming decades older than in 2022.

    Of course, Stalin was fighting with a serious country, while in Russia there is still the advantage of the low level of Ukraine's military.

    For similar example, you can see if America was fighting in 1966 with Vietnam with significant proportion of the equipment of 1916, after more modern equipment of 1930 was destroyed in 1965 .


    West estimates that it will take an additional 2 years from now before they are even able to cover 3/4 of Ukraine’s already insufficient artillery usage.

     

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries' artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.

    This is in war is 1,4 years from the beginning. It could probably continue to 2030, if you consider similar wars like Iran-Iraq war from 1980 to 1988.

    In terms of the West, by supplying Ukraine with weapons and training, they are clouding the future for Russia, because of this postsoviet border conflict which wasn't expected to have such kind of negative response by the West.

    In response to some anti-Western rhetoric in Russia, the West respond to the postsoviet conflict, by boiling the frog in Moscow. There has been the first mobilization in Russia in autumn 2022. The long term future for the country is going to be damaged in ways which will be difficult to repair if they continue another mobilization in 2023, 2024, etc.

    There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.


    West is yet to produce a plan even for the replenishment of the NATO stockpile
     
    The West is already donating heavy weapons to Ukraine, while it see them being tested in this civil war of the old USSR. The West is watching different parts of the Soviet Union or Russian empire destroying each other.

    Of course, we know the West will replace weapons they donate, with new ones, as they are building the factories for this, so they will begin to replace them in 2025 or 2028.

    "BAE Systems back on war footing to replenish ammunition"
    https://archive.li/iZp53

    https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/

    Western countries are generally well-organized and have accountants. They will ramp the replacement of those donated weapons by 2028.

    For comparison, there is the example of less organized Poland, who are probably going to damage their finances. As Poland is now planning to waste resources building an unnecessary large army and a lot of equipment, they will likely not need to use.


    Nazi Germany was every bit the basket case that contemporary Russia/

     

    This is a strange or incorrect comparison, of the Russian Federation with Nazi Germany.

    1930s Germany was a very advanced country. They had the modern economies, technology. They had the most efficient army. This is a world leader in education and industry. They conquered powerful countries like France and Poland within 4/5 weeks. Then soon Germany was fighting with the British empire, then as suicide adding war with both USA and USSR in 1941.

    Germany is very efficient, advanced, with modern industries etc. It's not comparable to postsoviet border conflicts of degraded and asset-stripped fragments of the USSR. Russia has invaded a third world country of Ukraine, while the West drops some weapons on them, and now someone started a fire in this historical trash can.
    -

    From the external view, this conflict is similar to the Iran-Iraq war, although in that example the both sides received weapons.
    The picture on the map is like Iran-Iraq war.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09TnwicyQx8

    In the second year, both Iran and Iraq are going to trenches, low ammunition, etc. The 1981 in the Iran-Iraq war is matching quite similarity with 2023 in the Russia-Ukraine war.


    contemporary Russia/Iran/China are and they still were able to be competitive

     

    Why are you adding China and Iran in the discussion?

    The similar countries and armies, are Russia and Ukraine. These are both parts of the Soviet army, which inherit the world's largest stock of weapons, but don't produce many new weapons. It's a question of the countries using the old armies on one side. But the changing of the balance after 2022 is Ukraine has a supply from the West, while China isn't supplying Russia.


    politically capable of utilizing its vast economic and military potential to defeat the new Eastern Axis. The answer to that question is obviously “no” and only a flagrant homosexual

     

    What is the relation with sexuality? This idea of an "Eastern axis" is also quite imaginary.

    If there was "Eastern axis", Russia would have modern tanks from China. China produces a lot of modern equipment. But today, instead of the advanced Chinese equipment, the Russian soldiers are driving in a T-62 and BMP-1 i.e. equipment which is 60 years old.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP

    at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.

    Again, you repeat the fantasy that Poles see Ukraine as an enemy rather than as a partner, leading them to hope that the war continues. Most Poles want the war to end as quickly as possible, with a Russian defeat.

    Ukrainians are among the most liked people by Poles:

    And among the least disliked:

    But Russians are most disliked.

    And although Polish attitudes towards Ukrainians have improved a lot (and towards Russians has declined a lot) as a consequence of the war, even before the war Poles liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them, and disliked Russians more than they liked them.

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries’ artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.

    Ukrainians have also developed some sophisticated software that helps them to integrate their weapons systems.

    https://www.newamerica.org/future-frontlines/blogs/how-ukraines-uber-for-artillery-is-leading-the-software-war-against-russia/

    And other innovations:

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @AP

    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland "enemy of the enemy is a friend" when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion. Poland are in a kind of vicarious war zone at the moment when they feel they are fighting Russia.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    This is 2020 after years of the formal alliance between Ukraine and Poland, also 6 years of Ukraine fighting Russia. Ukrainians in 2020 are having the higher level of likes from the Polish liberals after Euromaidan in Kiev, while the higher proportion of dislikes continues from the Polish conservatives.

    https://i.imgur.com/RCtE8n4.jpg
    For 2020. The red color is indicating the dislikes. Ukraine has the highest level of 33%, except for Muslims/Russians/Roma.
    https://www.cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/public_opinion/2020/03_2020.pdf

    -

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.

    In 2013, the Euromaidan events in Ukraine. Because of Euromaidan Ukraine begins to be popular with the Polish liberals who can see the dream of democracy in Kiev, while Ukraine was mostly as unpopular with Polish conservatives as before, who oppose the Ukrainian nationalism. The divergence in 2013/2014, as Russia continues to be unpopular for both the Polish conservatives and liberals.

    https://i.imgur.com/nM0atOs.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/news/2015/03/newsletter.php

    Replies: @silviosilver, @AP

  633. @AP
    @Mikel


    "what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all."

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.
     
    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.
     
    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no "unknown" world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones - thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are "soothing"- as you are of "ultimate reality."

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.
     
    But why must it be? Why is futility more "realistic" than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point
     
    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ's Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don't follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Coconuts, @silviosilver

    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    I don’t think so at all. My position is rather the contrary: just because something is soothing it doesn’t make it right. But I welcome anyone to embrace whatever soothing faith they like if they are capable of believing in it.

    ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning

    Futility and meaning are probably not the right words. There seems to be a clear evolutionary meaning to our existence as members of a species, even if we are unable to transcend our death as individuals. And there is an element of futility in our existence, as everything we do is ultimately meaningless and will cease to have any importance once we’re dead, but more adequate words to describe our existence as the only animals conscious of our mortality could probably be perplexity or tragedy.

    Given the limitations of our ape brains, I recognize that we cannot discard out of hand that when we see our fellow humans and other organisms perish and disappear forever from this universe, our brains are tricking us and they are actually transitioning (at least humans) to some supernatural dimension that, again, our brains are incapable of sensing. But, other than wanting that be true, I don’t see why I should believe that that is what actually happens in the absence of any evidence.

    Given the limitations of my ape brain and the impossibility of totally discarding it, I may choose to believe that thunder is caused by angry gods but I’m not sure that holding such evidence-free beliefs is not just rational but even natural for a human.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mikel


    "Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?"

    I don’t think so at all. My position is rather the contrary: just because something is soothing it doesn’t make it right. But I welcome anyone to embrace whatever soothing faith they like if they are capable of believing in it.
     
    You had mentioned that the idea of a heaven was distasteful and disturbing to you: "All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death."

    So might the idea of quiet nothingness be relatively soothing for you, compared to the disquieting idea of heaven, or possibility of falling into the horrific hell?

    There seems to be a clear evolutionary meaning to our existence as members of a species, even if we are unable to transcend our death as individuals
     
    You do not find greater meaning in the individual consciousness?

    And there is an element of futility in our existence, as everything we do is ultimately meaningless and will cease to have any importance once we’re dead
     
    Based on the scientistic belief.

    Given the limitations of our ape brains, I recognize that we cannot discard out of hand that when we see our fellow humans and other organisms perish and disappear forever from this universe, our brains are tricking us and they are actually transitioning (at least humans) to some supernatural dimension that, again, our brains are incapable of sensing. But, other than wanting that be true, I don’t see why I should believe that that is what actually happens in the absence of any evidence.
     
    There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.

    Given the limitations of my ape brain and the impossibility of totally discarding it, I may choose to believe that thunder is caused by angry gods but I’m not sure that holding such evidence-free beliefs is not just rational but even natural for a human.
     
    Well, thunder follows certain rules and can be reliably measured. The Resurrection, does not. Occasionally things also happen today that do not follow the rules. I have not had such a rule-breaking experience myself, but an example from someone I knew: her English-born grandmother had a powerful dream of being in the childhood garden with her sister. This was a unique experience for her - she woke up disturbed enough that she called England to see how her sister (who had been ill, but not in known danger of dying soon) was doing - her sister had just died and in her delirium, had talking about the same garden at the same time as the dream. A follower of the scientistic faith can dismiss something like this as coincidences and invoke Probabality, a maneuver that is akin to older explanations of unexplainable phenomena that invoke the gods, such as thunder being caused by angry ones. But it is more realistic to accept that this simply reflects something beyond our understanding, something that disproves the idea of mind = brain which is all that we can reliably measure with our limited abilities.

    Many of us have either had experiences that are beyond the rules, or known someone who has:

    https://today.yougov.com/topics/society/articles-reports/2022/10/20/paranormal-encounters-yougov-poll-october-12-2022

    https://i.imgur.com/Sqepdsg.png

    They cut across ages (other than the elderly), regions, sex, political affiliations . There is an interesting "midwit" effect though, in which the least and most intelligent have had more such experiences than those in the middle (income can be proxy for intelligence).

    But these experiences, that don't follow the rules that enable us to understand and control the physical world rather effectively, can be shrugged off as probability, something rare and weird but not real.

    Replies: @Mikel

  634. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I think the standard scientific approach these days is to study an issue from the standpoint of "objectivity", without any preconceptions, predilections, emotional involvement, or disposition towards the outcome.

    Even on this forum, I've been told by various people that my conclusions must be illegitimate because I'm vested in the outcome, or already have a strong sense of what it might be. There is this idea today that the larger picture "emerges" from a mass of details that one has accumulated, rather than that one starts with a larger picture and then attempts to prove it.

    I think that's the dominant view these days, but this flatly contradicts the history of science. So I do think this "reversal" of perspective is important :) Of course, it's important to keep in mind that ones initial theories at the very least will develop, quite possibly in unforeseen ways, and undergo significant modification, or even complete reversal. There is certainly an element of serendipity and exploration involved, and that's perhaps where "objectivity" comes in.- and excitement.

    To be honest, I'm struggling to understand the nature of your objections to Mcgilchrist presenting in detail the evidence for his conclusions - it's almost as if you're suggesting that presenting a very good case is itself a form of closed minded rigidity :)

    The man has accumulated evidence for his thesis over the course of several decades, and it seems to overwhelmingly validate the broad outlines of his theory - at what point does it become legitimate to talk with a high measure of confidence? Surely, it is scientifically legitimate to do a comprehensive and exhaustive survey of the evidence and if one feels it warrants it, come to conclusions with a high level of confidence, and offer it to the judgement of his peers and the general public. And that is no more than he is doing.

    Now, if Mcgilchrist refuses to consider objections to his position, or alternative explanations of the data, and shuts down conversations, ignores questions, and generally behaved like a dogmatic idiot, that would be closed minded.

    Nor does he pretend that there aren't areas that are left murky and where more research is required - he admits it where the data is inconclusive or insufficient, and welcomes more research. But he does maintain that enough data already exists to validate the broad outlines of his theory - and it is up to his scientific peers and the general public to question that if they feel he's wrong.

    But everyone is allowed to disagree, and sift through his evidence, and scrutinize his findings - and question him. He welcomes that - as do I!

    Moreover, let's "zoom out" from the nitty gritty details and consider the thrust of his argument - his thesis is that we must develop a larger, broader, more inclusive type of consciousness, that takes in the wider picture. He calls on us to see more, not less, to include the vision of the left hemisphere but put in a more comprehensive frame. By its nature such a position is a call to greater flexibility than one that insists we must limit ourselves entirely to left hemisphere thinking, which is characteristic of the modern world.

    And finally, one central implication of his call to return to hemispheric balance is an appreciation for the vague, the ambiguous, the uncertain, that which does not admit of precisely formulation but is nevertheless hugely important for our lives and real - and he discusses these issues st length.

    Now, I suppose on the "meta" level a call to bring non-dogmatic and open-minded is itself dogmatic and closed-minded :) But I don't think you meant logic puzzles such as that.

    (P.S. - sorry if I came on a bit too strong in this comment :) And please always feel free to disagree with me or utterly reject what I'm saying, regardless of what I say. )

    Replies: @Mikel

    To be honest, I’m struggling to understand the nature of your objections to Mcgilchrist presenting in detail the evidence for his conclusions

    Well, let me clarify that I only expressed some mild objections to McGilchrist’s way of presenting his ideas. I knew very little about brain hemispheres when I started reading his book but I have read lots of scientific books and essays and I have developed a tendency to find scientists who recognize uncertainties and doubts more credible.

    Only yesterday I watched an interview with Roger Penrose, one of the most prominent physicists alive, and he kept answering “I don’t know”, “I have no idea”, “I don’t have much to say about that” when he was asked about deep philosophical questions or simply things outside of his knowledge. This is a guy with very provocative ideas about the big bang, the collapse of the wave function or the nature of mathematics.

    But also I think that my initial intuition that his categorical representation of how the two brain hemispheres work was too simplistic was not unwarranted. Since so far I can only talk about the scientific part of his book, let’s do a first pass and see what Wikipedia has to say about it:

    Some excerpts from the entry “Lateralization of brain function”:

    Function lateralization, such as semantics, intonation, accentuation, and prosody, has since been called into question and largely been found to have a neuronal basis in both hemispheres.[6]
    …/…
    While language production is left-lateralized in up to 90% of right-handers, it is more bilateral, or even right-lateralized, in approximately 50% of left-handers.[8]
    …/…
    If a specific region of the brain, or even an entire hemisphere, is injured or destroyed, its functions can sometimes be assumed by a neighboring region in the same hemisphere or the corresponding region in the other hemisphere, depending upon the area damaged and the patient’s age.[20] When injury interferes with pathways from one area to another, alternative (indirect) connections may develop to communicate information with detached areas, despite the inefficiencies.
    …/..
    Although certain functions show a degree of lateralization in the brain – with language predominantly processed in the left hemisphere, and spatial and nonverbal reasoning in the right – these functions are not exclusively tied to one hemisphere.[22]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lateralization_of_brain_function

    Not a ringing endorsement of McGilchrist’s first part of The Matter with Things, I would say.

    As for his book The Master and his Emissary, that I think deals with the scientific part of his later volume, some critiques he received (along with laudatory reception from some others) also from Wikipedia:

    “the findings of brain science are nowhere near fine-grained enough yet to support the large psychological and cultural conclusions Iain McGilchrist draws”.[2]
    …/…
    A negative review in The Economist stated that the book resorted to “generalisations of breathtaking sweep” and that the second part of the book “has plainly become untethered from its moorings in brain science”.[12] Likewise, Michael Corbalis said of the work, that “Although widely acclaimed, this book goes far beyond the neurological facts.”[13]
    …/…
    Owen Flanagan alleged many shortcomings of the book and delivered a dismissive statement: “The fact is, hemispheric differences are not well understood.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Master_and_His_Emissary

    So perhaps some degree of skepticism before taking everything he says about the brain hemispheres at face value is the right approach.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel


    Although certain functions show a degree of lateralization in the brain – with language predominantly processed in the left hemisphere, and spatial and nonverbal reasoning in the right – these functions are not exclusively tied to one hemisphere.[22].....Not a ringing endorsement of McGilchrist’s first part of The Matter with Things, I would say.
     
    This is a confusion - Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds - just in a characteristically different way.

    He talks a lot about how his theory is often confused with the older theory - which he agrees is discredited - that specific brain functions are entirely lateralized.

    I gotta run and can't write more now, and still have to answer Silvio - but of course there will be critics of his work, as there should be, and you should absolutely bring them here and reserve your judgement and be skeptical until you feel satisfied - if ever.

    Uncritical assent is not what is wanted :)

    Make up your own mind, use critical thinking and reasonable skepticism, and feel free to bring anything you find that discredits him here - all of that is part of the fun and exciting process of finding about reality.

    I think you're making a category error comparing Penrose to Mcgilchrist - physics deals with the structure of the universe and the frontiers of knowledge, there are obviously unplumbed mysteries in a field so vast. Narrow the scope of inquiry, and physics can answer quite confidently - there are certainly topics on which Penrose will discourse with high confidence.

    Mcgilchrist talks at length about the mysteriousness of ultimate reality, but within the quite narrow scope of his inquiry into brain laterization, he obviously feels the evidence is quite compelling. And even here, he admits there are dimensions to the problem that are quite mysterious, as there is to everything.

    Penrose is great by the way...

    Anyways gotta run but I'll be back tomorrow.

    Replies: @Mikel

  635. @AP
    @Mikhail


    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn’t enough to take a city of that size.
     
    It is if you assume that the Ukrainians will not resist much. That's exactly what Russians and many pro-Russians posters assumed. Beckow was insisting that the Ukrainian leadership would all flee abroad and the troops would mostly desert rather than face arrest by the new authorities. 50,000 troops, riot police with mobile detention centers would be enough to take care of scattered troublemakers and restore order in such a case.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ

    It is if you assume that the Ukrainians will not resist much. That’s exactly what Russians and many pro-Russians posters assumed.

    People who from what I offhand recall aren’t known for being so military expert savvy.

    Beckow was insisting that the Ukrainian leadership would all flee abroad and the troops would mostly desert rather than face arrest by the new authorities. 50,000 troops, riot police with mobile detention centers would be enough to take care of scattered troublemakers and restore order in such a case.

    Western mass media was keen on suggesting such. I’d my extreme doubt from the get go.

  636. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    To be honest, I’m struggling to understand the nature of your objections to Mcgilchrist presenting in detail the evidence for his conclusions
     
    Well, let me clarify that I only expressed some mild objections to McGilchrist's way of presenting his ideas. I knew very little about brain hemispheres when I started reading his book but I have read lots of scientific books and essays and I have developed a tendency to find scientists who recognize uncertainties and doubts more credible.

    Only yesterday I watched an interview with Roger Penrose, one of the most prominent physicists alive, and he kept answering "I don't know", "I have no idea", "I don't have much to say about that" when he was asked about deep philosophical questions or simply things outside of his knowledge. This is a guy with very provocative ideas about the big bang, the collapse of the wave function or the nature of mathematics.

    But also I think that my initial intuition that his categorical representation of how the two brain hemispheres work was too simplistic was not unwarranted. Since so far I can only talk about the scientific part of his book, let's do a first pass and see what Wikipedia has to say about it:

    Some excerpts from the entry "Lateralization of brain function":

    Function lateralization, such as semantics, intonation, accentuation, and prosody, has since been called into question and largely been found to have a neuronal basis in both hemispheres.[6]
    .../...
    While language production is left-lateralized in up to 90% of right-handers, it is more bilateral, or even right-lateralized, in approximately 50% of left-handers.[8]
    .../...
    If a specific region of the brain, or even an entire hemisphere, is injured or destroyed, its functions can sometimes be assumed by a neighboring region in the same hemisphere or the corresponding region in the other hemisphere, depending upon the area damaged and the patient's age.[20] When injury interferes with pathways from one area to another, alternative (indirect) connections may develop to communicate information with detached areas, despite the inefficiencies.
    .../..
    Although certain functions show a degree of lateralization in the brain - with language predominantly processed in the left hemisphere, and spatial and nonverbal reasoning in the right - these functions are not exclusively tied to one hemisphere.[22]
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lateralization_of_brain_function

    Not a ringing endorsement of McGilchrist's first part of The Matter with Things, I would say.

    As for his book The Master and his Emissary, that I think deals with the scientific part of his later volume, some critiques he received (along with laudatory reception from some others) also from Wikipedia:

    "the findings of brain science are nowhere near fine-grained enough yet to support the large psychological and cultural conclusions Iain McGilchrist draws".[2]
    .../...
    A negative review in The Economist stated that the book resorted to "generalisations of breathtaking sweep" and that the second part of the book "has plainly become untethered from its moorings in brain science".[12] Likewise, Michael Corbalis said of the work, that "Although widely acclaimed, this book goes far beyond the neurological facts."[13]
    .../...
    Owen Flanagan alleged many shortcomings of the book and delivered a dismissive statement: "The fact is, hemispheric differences are not well understood.
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Master_and_His_Emissary

    So perhaps some degree of skepticism before taking everything he says about the brain hemispheres at face value is the right approach.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Although certain functions show a degree of lateralization in the brain – with language predominantly processed in the left hemisphere, and spatial and nonverbal reasoning in the right – these functions are not exclusively tied to one hemisphere.[22]…..Not a ringing endorsement of McGilchrist’s first part of The Matter with Things, I would say.

    This is a confusion – Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds – just in a characteristically different way.

    He talks a lot about how his theory is often confused with the older theory – which he agrees is discredited – that specific brain functions are entirely lateralized.

    I gotta run and can’t write more now, and still have to answer Silvio – but of course there will be critics of his work, as there should be, and you should absolutely bring them here and reserve your judgement and be skeptical until you feel satisfied – if ever.

    Uncritical assent is not what is wanted 🙂

    Make up your own mind, use critical thinking and reasonable skepticism, and feel free to bring anything you find that discredits him here – all of that is part of the fun and exciting process of finding about reality.

    I think you’re making a category error comparing Penrose to Mcgilchrist – physics deals with the structure of the universe and the frontiers of knowledge, there are obviously unplumbed mysteries in a field so vast. Narrow the scope of inquiry, and physics can answer quite confidently – there are certainly topics on which Penrose will discourse with high confidence.

    Mcgilchrist talks at length about the mysteriousness of ultimate reality, but within the quite narrow scope of his inquiry into brain laterization, he obviously feels the evidence is quite compelling. And even here, he admits there are dimensions to the problem that are quite mysterious, as there is to everything.

    Penrose is great by the way…

    Anyways gotta run but I’ll be back tomorrow.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    This is a confusion – Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds – just in a characteristically different way.
     
    Yes, you are right there. When I selected that quote I was thinking more about the way he talks about the "left brain doing this" or "the left brain saying that" in these latest videos I've seen than about what he wrote in a more formal manner in his book, though as some critics in his field have said, he also makes very bold claims in his books.

    In order to explain what I mean by honest scientists that convey trust by admitting uncertainties and recognizing the need to continue carrying out experiments that actually challenge their hypotheses it may be helpful to provide some examples. This is a video I watched some weeks ago of another neuroscientist (same field as McGil) that I found quite fascinating. This guy is a big proponent of psychedelics as a treatment for severe depression and PTSD. He's gathered lots of evidence showing their effectiveness with many patients he's treated but he's also an honest researcher and he keeps stressing during the interview how much is still unknown. A real pleasure to listen to:

    https://youtu.be/fcxjwA4C4Cw?list=PLPNW_gerXa4Pc8S2qoUQc5e8Ir97RLuVW

    And here is the also fascinating Penrose interview I mentioned. Be warned though that the interviewer is Jordan Peterson so half or more of the video is him talking about his own thoughts, that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself. Penrose sometimes seems to clearly lose hos patience with him:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi9ys2j1ncg

    One of the best moments of the video in my view is when Petersen and his colleague ask him how the human mind is able to access the world of mathematics, subjects he's been talking about for a long while and he simply says "Well, that I don't know".

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

  637. @AP
    @Mikel


    "what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all."

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.
     
    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.
     
    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no "unknown" world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones - thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are "soothing"- as you are of "ultimate reality."

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.
     
    But why must it be? Why is futility more "realistic" than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point
     
    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ's Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don't follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Coconuts, @silviosilver

    Miracles such as Christ’s Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths)

    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn’t automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you’d have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_F%C3%A1tima

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Medjugorje

    A lot of people claimed to have seen Mary and/or Jesus:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Visions_of_Jesus_and_Mary

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?

    Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    You think that atheists and agnostics don’t have worries? Especially if they’re not rich? They simply don’t worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn’t automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you’d have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:
     
    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?
     
    I suspect some were real, others were not.

    You think that atheists and agnostics don’t have worries? Especially if they’re not rich? They simply don’t worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.
     
    Well, that's a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

  638. @AP
    @Mikhail


    The Russian troop presence of around 50,000 that was just outside Kiev isn’t enough to take a city of that size.
     
    It is if you assume that the Ukrainians will not resist much. That's exactly what Russians and many pro-Russians posters assumed. Beckow was insisting that the Ukrainian leadership would all flee abroad and the troops would mostly desert rather than face arrest by the new authorities. 50,000 troops, riot police with mobile detention centers would be enough to take care of scattered troublemakers and restore order in such a case.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ

    The assumption might have been that Ukrainians would act like Czechs under Nazi rule. And without Western support, maybe they would have, eventually. Once all of the brave Ukrainians would have been killed or sent to gulags.

  639. AP says:
    @Mikel
    @AP


    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?
     
    I don't think so at all. My position is rather the contrary: just because something is soothing it doesn't make it right. But I welcome anyone to embrace whatever soothing faith they like if they are capable of believing in it.

    ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning
     
    Futility and meaning are probably not the right words. There seems to be a clear evolutionary meaning to our existence as members of a species, even if we are unable to transcend our death as individuals. And there is an element of futility in our existence, as everything we do is ultimately meaningless and will cease to have any importance once we're dead, but more adequate words to describe our existence as the only animals conscious of our mortality could probably be perplexity or tragedy.

    Given the limitations of our ape brains, I recognize that we cannot discard out of hand that when we see our fellow humans and other organisms perish and disappear forever from this universe, our brains are tricking us and they are actually transitioning (at least humans) to some supernatural dimension that, again, our brains are incapable of sensing. But, other than wanting that be true, I don't see why I should believe that that is what actually happens in the absence of any evidence.

    Given the limitations of my ape brain and the impossibility of totally discarding it, I may choose to believe that thunder is caused by angry gods but I'm not sure that holding such evidence-free beliefs is not just rational but even natural for a human.

    Replies: @AP

    “Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?”

    I don’t think so at all. My position is rather the contrary: just because something is soothing it doesn’t make it right. But I welcome anyone to embrace whatever soothing faith they like if they are capable of believing in it.

    You had mentioned that the idea of a heaven was distasteful and disturbing to you: “All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.”

    So might the idea of quiet nothingness be relatively soothing for you, compared to the disquieting idea of heaven, or possibility of falling into the horrific hell?

    There seems to be a clear evolutionary meaning to our existence as members of a species, even if we are unable to transcend our death as individuals

    You do not find greater meaning in the individual consciousness?

    And there is an element of futility in our existence, as everything we do is ultimately meaningless and will cease to have any importance once we’re dead

    Based on the scientistic belief.

    Given the limitations of our ape brains, I recognize that we cannot discard out of hand that when we see our fellow humans and other organisms perish and disappear forever from this universe, our brains are tricking us and they are actually transitioning (at least humans) to some supernatural dimension that, again, our brains are incapable of sensing. But, other than wanting that be true, I don’t see why I should believe that that is what actually happens in the absence of any evidence.

    There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.

    Given the limitations of my ape brain and the impossibility of totally discarding it, I may choose to believe that thunder is caused by angry gods but I’m not sure that holding such evidence-free beliefs is not just rational but even natural for a human.

    Well, thunder follows certain rules and can be reliably measured. The Resurrection, does not. Occasionally things also happen today that do not follow the rules. I have not had such a rule-breaking experience myself, but an example from someone I knew: her English-born grandmother had a powerful dream of being in the childhood garden with her sister. This was a unique experience for her – she woke up disturbed enough that she called England to see how her sister (who had been ill, but not in known danger of dying soon) was doing – her sister had just died and in her delirium, had talking about the same garden at the same time as the dream. A follower of the scientistic faith can dismiss something like this as coincidences and invoke Probabality, a maneuver that is akin to older explanations of unexplainable phenomena that invoke the gods, such as thunder being caused by angry ones. But it is more realistic to accept that this simply reflects something beyond our understanding, something that disproves the idea of mind = brain which is all that we can reliably measure with our limited abilities.

    Many of us have either had experiences that are beyond the rules, or known someone who has:

    https://today.yougov.com/topics/society/articles-reports/2022/10/20/paranormal-encounters-yougov-poll-october-12-2022

    They cut across ages (other than the elderly), regions, sex, political affiliations . There is an interesting “midwit” effect though, in which the least and most intelligent have had more such experiences than those in the middle (income can be proxy for intelligence).

    But these experiences, that don’t follow the rules that enable us to understand and control the physical world rather effectively, can be shrugged off as probability, something rare and weird but not real.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @AP


    So might the idea of quiet nothingness be relatively soothing for you, compared to the disquieting idea of heaven, or possibility of falling into the horrific hell?
     
    No, not at all. If I had a vote, I'd definitely vote for Heaven rather than Nothingness. We'll then see what that heaven is like but at least it gives you a new chance to stay in the game. I don't know why but I've always taken it for granted that if there is something after life for me it should be of the benevolent kind, let's call it Heaven. And my guess is that if God takes the trouble to give you that new chance, perhaps it wouldn't be too selfish to ask that He takes away from your mind any fears you may have of entering such a weird, unimaginable place as well.

    But you are right. Once we admit the possibility of an afterlife, there is no reason to assume that it will be any good. Call me an optimistic existentialist if you want but I've never seriously considered Hell as a possibility for my afterlife. I do commit my sins, certainly, but as you know from past discussions, I am also quite a principled person on certain moral matters and, quite honestly, I would be more concerned about you than about me if the threat of Hell is to be taken literally.

    You do not find greater meaning in the individual consciousness?
     
    As Penrose would say, I'm not sure what to say about this. But it brings to my mind something that I think Bashibuzuk mentioned a while ago, in the sense that we should at least be grateful to have been given the gift of existence. It would have been better to exist without anxiety for the afterlife but it's a good point.


    There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.
     
    Yes, of course. I should have said absence of any evidence for me. If I had ever experienced paranormal phenomena or religious apparitions, my opinions would be totally different. But neither I nor anyone I know has ever experienced such things. What's more, the people I've met who claimed to have seen that type of things never sounded any trustworthy at all so I am where I am.

    Replies: @AP

  640. @AP
    @Mikel


    "what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all."

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.
     
    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.
     
    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no "unknown" world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones - thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are "soothing"- as you are of "ultimate reality."

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.
     
    But why must it be? Why is futility more "realistic" than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point
     
    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ's Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don't follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Coconuts, @silviosilver

    In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all. Most of them never accepted Jesus Christ as their Messiah.

    It’s quite interesting, isn’t it? Christ’s message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ and were the most familiar with him and his message during Jesus’s own lifetime. As a present-day skeptic would say, if most Palestinian Jews weren’t convinced by Jesus’s Divinity, why should we be, over 2,000 years later? And where’s our own equivalent of the proof of Jesus’s Resurrection that Doubting Thomas got? He didn’t rely on faith to believe in it but actually saw Jesus appear live in front of him, with him being allowed to touch Jesus–at least that’s how this story goes. Why can’t contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all.
     
    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    It’s quite interesting, isn’t it? Christ’s message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ
     
    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.

    Why can’t contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.
     
    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ

    Although in Gospels, Jesus is sometimes rejected by the local population (i.e. in Nazareth), he is also popular with local people in other villages. This had also some limits, as some of the villages where he seemed to be popular, are sometimes disobeying him https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Woes_to_the_unrepentant_cities

    The popularity of Jesus with local population, attracting a group of the followers (people walking behind him), is not indicating so much about the spiritual level of the religious leader, as the cult leader are usually charismatic leaders who will have many followers.

    You don't need to be Muhammad or Jesus, or the 19th century criminal Joseph Smith writing the Book of Mormon, even New York businessmen like Trump can be very popular with the people he knows and could have a large number of followers walking behind him in ancient epochs as he makes his miracles in different villages.

    So, whether he is accepted or not accepted, is not a very reliable indicator in either direction.
    -


    A more common problem for later observers to "verify" Jesus, is the views and prophecies Gospels says he promotes, are often not matching the subsequent events under the more natural interpretations.

    He says many times the world will end very soon, his followers don't need to worry because it's the end times.

    Although events are likely re-written decades after Jesus died, for example prophecy of Jesus in Gospel of Mark is likely re-written to include discussing parts about the destruction of Jerusalem, which was around 70 AD, when the book was written. Jesus says the events will be "in this generation". https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matthew%2024:1-35

    The first Gospel is written 30-40 years after Jesus died. 70 AD is the year Romans destroy Jerusalem. After sieging Jerusalem for months, the Roman destroy the Second Temple.

    The prophecy of Jesus, begins with the destruction of the Second Temple in Jerusalem, and the mastertext (Gospel of Mark) of the other Gospels, is written at this time when the Temple is destroyed.

    It was seeming to be the generation which had known Jesus and saw the destruction of the Temple, which is the same time the Gospel (which other Gospels are based) is written. The prophecy of Jesus begins with the same event, when the text is written as the people who knew Jesus are likely mostly dead already at the time the first Gospel is written.

    So, after the subsequent years when the other Gospels are written, almost everyone who was living in the time of Jesus is dead. The Apostles would have been dead, there were no apocalypse in their lifetime.

    In later centuries, there is need to re-interpret the prophecy, if you want to still verify Jesus. For example, the most popular perspective nowadays, is to to re-interpret prophecy of Jesus, that it will be “within a single generation” (the events of the end times), not “this generation” (of the Apostles) that will see the end times.

    If we assume Jesus must be correct then re-interpret the prophecy “this generation” to “within a single generation”, then it means the Temple will have to be rebuilt, before the times of the tribulation.

    Jesus was not talking about the Temple he knew, but only a different Temple, which will be rebuilt multiple thousands of years in the future, even more future than our time so we don't know if it will be true or not. It's logically possible, but probably not a natural interpretation, to guess Jesus would have been very interested in events of thousands of years in the future, but not worrying his followers believed he was talking about his own time.

    Of course, the more realistic alternative to still allow the idea Jesus was saying the truth, is the Gospels was partly invented or inaccurately written, where he didn't really say those things like "in this generation". That alternative introduces a new difficulty though, if you would be suspicious of the Gospels, with the question how we can access reliable information about Jesus?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  641. AP says:
    @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Miracles such as Christ’s Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths)
     
    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn't automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you'd have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_F%C3%A1tima

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Medjugorje

    A lot of people claimed to have seen Mary and/or Jesus:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Visions_of_Jesus_and_Mary

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?

    Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.
     
    You think that atheists and agnostics don't have worries? Especially if they're not rich? They simply don't worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.

    Replies: @AP

    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn’t automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you’d have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:

    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?

    I suspect some were real, others were not.

    You think that atheists and agnostics don’t have worries? Especially if they’re not rich? They simply don’t worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.

    Well, that’s a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @AP

    You have this touching belief in the accuracy of what you call "eyewitnesses" from 2,000 years ago.

    Actually, the New Testament was put together in its initial version 35-50 years after the supposed events by a committee that had a mission to consolidate and spread Christianity. They had some recollections and a few stories that had circulated among the believers. They also had some skilled writers - what we would call today the Marketing Dept.

    It was then rewritten and edited for 200 years, adding and dropping passages, translating words differently, etc... the final-enough version was agreed on sometimes in the 4th century in both Greek and Latin. So much for the eyewitnesses.

    They probably even believed some of it, but given our human nature, there was a huge amount of self-serving behavior. When you try to start a religion (in effect a new ideology) you will over-simplify, mythologize and cut corners. Look at our Polish-Ukie friends for a recent example of how this process works...:)

    It is an ok narrative: the Jesus and disciples, myths, flights of fancy...a heavily edited beautified set of unverifiable stories. The kind of stories about miracles, salvation and the ultimate good life that humans have been telling to each other since the Stone Age. But it is a fictionalized account of events that may or may not happened. Thus the belief part.

    I find it amusing that someone like you, who often rails against the more recent utopian ideologies is so defensive about the much more primitive ancient stuff. Christianity is responsible for an order of magnitude more suffering, genocides and brutal murders than the modern day "socialism". But you are a simpleton raised on these beliefs and you have the weird belief in the approved authority of the day - as I said, you would be a great commie - so "Apostle Matthew" wouldn't lie to you. If there was an "Apostle Matthew".

    Replies: @AP

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.
     
    You don't think that some of the people who claimed to have seen Jesus and/or Mary in later centuries would have been prepared to get martyred for this belief of theirs, if push would have come to shove? Maybe not every single one of them would have, but I suspect that a good number of them would have. Almost certainly at least some of them.

    One could get martyred for a belief that one genuinely holds but is actually false. A lot of Muslims are willing to die for Islam, for instance. Such a willingness might have made sense independently of Islam's religious teachings very early on considering that fighting for Islam during its first century gave one the chance to experience wealth and glory (due to all of the Muslim conquests), but the days of Muslim conquests are long gone and yet many people are still willing to die for Islam even right now.

    Heck, Ashley Babbitt was willing to die for the idea that the 2020 election was rigged against Trump, and I suspect that she would have been very far from the only Trumpist who would have actually been willing to die for this belief if push would have come to shove.

    There's also this article about this topic:

    https://medium.com/deconstructing-christianity/jesus-disciples-wouldn-t-be-willing-to-die-for-their-lies-91bab34ad826

    FWIW, I'm personally inclined to believe that Jesus's disciples really did believe that they saw him after his death. I'm just not exactly sure that this is actually what they saw. Without a time machine, I suspect that we'll never know for sure.

    I suspect some were real, others were not.
     
    That's possible, especially if one is a believer.

    Well, that’s a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.
     
    Well, society tries to police bad behavior, whether through laws or through shaming (in cases where laws are inappropriate). Sometimes society goes too far in regards to this, and sometimes society is too lenient, but still, using contemporary moral practice to judge people (either legally or socially) sounds better than using a 2,000 year-old book to do this, no? It's like Muslims who don't believe that having sex with a nine year old is wrong because Muhammad apparently did it even though times and moral values have significantly changed since then. Christianity doesn't have the same problem with radicalism relative to Islam, but still, it does have its bad apples, such as in Sub-Saharan Africa, especially in countries like Uganda that are knows for their extremely visceral and very violent homophobia.

    If one fears Hell and is thus disinclined to do certain things, then that's on them. I do wonder if Heaven will be less interesting if a lot of the interesting people are going to be in Hell, though. Interestingly enough, I had this one left-wing revisionist community college professor a decade ago who proposed a revisionist interpretation of Lucifer's/Satan's struggle against God, arguing that Lucifer was a righteous fighter against God's tyranny in Heaven. Interesting twist, no doubt.

    If we're ever able to revive cryonically preserved people, then maybe they would be able to tell us about whether or not they've actually been in Heaven and/or Hell. Though I suppose that the answers would not be satisfactory since Christians could say that one doesn't actually get to Heaven and/or Hell until one's body actually fully decomposes (not something that I myself would be very eager to bet on for fear of being wrong!) while non-religious people could point out that if one has a near-death experience, then one's brain could trick one's body into seeing what it wants/expects one to see at that specific point in time (seeing Jesus/Heaven if one is a Christian who is having a near-death experience, for instance).

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  642. AP says:
    @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.
     
    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all. Most of them never accepted Jesus Christ as their Messiah.

    It's quite interesting, isn't it? Christ's message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ and were the most familiar with him and his message during Jesus's own lifetime. As a present-day skeptic would say, if most Palestinian Jews weren't convinced by Jesus's Divinity, why should we be, over 2,000 years later? And where's our own equivalent of the proof of Jesus's Resurrection that Doubting Thomas got? He didn't rely on faith to believe in it but actually saw Jesus appear live in front of him, with him being allowed to touch Jesus--at least that's how this story goes. Why can't contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.

    Replies: @AP, @Dmitry

    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all.

    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    It’s quite interesting, isn’t it? Christ’s message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ

    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.

    Why can’t contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.

    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @AP


    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.
     
    Didn't they do well in predominately Muslim countries?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.
     
    In response to that, you're correct:

    https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/04/the_ghetto_of_t.html

    Before Jews began participating in Christian-dominated societies, they didn't accomplish much. Israel as a Jewish-dominated society has managed to do pretty well, but even it was influenced by certain ideas coming from Christian-dominated Europe, such as nationalism and democracy.

    As a side note, it's interesting that among elite human capital (EHC) nowadays, there is greater skepticism of Jesus's divinity than there is among the proles:

    https://www.mdpi.com/2624-8611/2/1/3

    Previous research has documented a negative relationship between cognitive ability and religious belief [10,11,14]. Among the religious, the strength of religiosity has also been found to be negatively associated with cognitive ability [15]. Our results replicated both of these findings. On the other hand, the relationship between cognitive ability and the strength of religious convictions was absent or reversed in nonreligious groups like atheists and agnostics. Generally speaking, these results supported the general thrust of Nyborg’s and many others’ findings with regards to religiousness and cognitive ability [10,15].
     
    https://www.discovermagazine.com/mind/religion-and-iq

    https://images.ctfassets.net/cnu0m8re1exe/7q6khyNz9ZKq1rCRXjmr9/3d3bcf2230e22c427b21c34861ea21b0/IQbyreligion.jpg

    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.
     
    What were their greatest desires? I mean, I would think that if they would have actually witnessed Jesus do what he is claimed to have done (come back from the dead, especially, but also perform actual miracles), then maybe a good number of them would have concluded that they are mistaken about what God actually wants from them.

    For an analogy, I would suspect that a lot of Jews did not want to open up to Christian society in the 18th-19th centuries and beyond, but they realized that doing so was the best way to uplift their own people as well as for their own people to achieve greater success and prosperity. But with Jesus, most of them simply never had the conviction that he was the real deal. I suspect that a lot of Jews would have acknowledged it if they themselves would have realized that they were mistaken about God's intentions, but they would have actually needed to make sure that they were speaking with God beforehand. I don't know, maybe I'm too optimistic. If God was able to magically recreate the Twin Towers (with everyone inside of them, including the 9/11 terrorists themselves) one year after 9/11, would a lot of Muslims worldwide be converting to Christianity afterwards, or would a lot of them think that it was the work of whatever Islam's equivalent of the Devil is?

    (Some Muslims apparently believe in jinns: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jinn )

    As a side note, I wonder what exactly God's purpose was in making Islam so successful during the first century of its existence. If Christianity was God's vision, why allow a rival religion to take away so much territory from Christendom, most of which Christendom never got back (and certainly not permanently)?

    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.
     
    Did the Apostle Thomas demand that God give him a show? What's the meaningful difference between him asking for personal proof of this and present-day Doubting Thomases such as myself likewise asking for personal proof of this?

    Providing such proof should be effortless for a nearly all-powerful being such as God, would it not?
    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn't even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line and their descendants who moved abroad to places like the US (especially the Northern and Western US):

    https://i.ytimg.com/vi/HnkCes0yDw4/maxresdefault.jpg

    https://external-preview.redd.it/zjyrahrM86OVOSov2bpHQwiJ10y09AaAR98JRXcOdoc.png?auto=webp&s=8fdb7312a5fd203ac14f97c7db4b0497bfe889c7

    I have no doubt that Communism hurt Eastern Europe in regards to this (Russian accomplishment would have been more significant in the 20th century without the Communist-induced brain drain during the Russian Civil War), but it almost certainly wasn't decisive in regards to this.

    Replies: @AP

  643. More Grain Deal Aftermath, the World Markets Don’t Need Ukrainian Grain After All, Russia Isn’t Interested in Negotiations Except on Its Terms…

    https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/more-grain-deal-aftermath-the-world?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2#details

    A Counter Revolution & the Ukraine Russian War w/Alastair Crooke

  644. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all.
     
    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    It’s quite interesting, isn’t it? Christ’s message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ
     
    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.

    Why can’t contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.
     
    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    Didn’t they do well in predominately Muslim countries?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail

    Those were Sephardi/Mizrahi Jews. And Yes, they probably did do well relative to their Muslim neighbors, but not relative to their Ashkenazi co-religionists in Europe.

    In Israel, Ashkenazi Jews have an almost 15 point average IQ advantage over Oriental Jews:

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17052383/


    A number of studies have found that Ashkenazi Jews in the United States have a high average IQ. It has been proposed by Cochran, Hardy and Harpending (2006) that this can be explained by the occupational constraints imposed on the Ashkenazi for many centuries in Europe, when they were largely confined to money-lending. They propose that this selected for the high verbal and mathematical intelligence that has several times been found in American Ashkenazim. The current study investigates how far this theory holds for European and Oriental Jews in Israel. A review of studies shows that Oriental Jews in Israel have an average IQ 14 points lower than that of European (largely Ashkenazi) Jews. It is proposed that this difference can be explained in terms of the Cochran, Hardy and Harpending theory because Oriental Jews were permitted to engage in a much wider range of occupations and hence did not come under the selection pressure to develop the high verbal and mathematical intelligence that was present for Ashkenazim.
     
    Of course, the Woke Leftist will simply say that this is due to Ashkenazi privilege in Israel rather than due to genetics (which is by far the most likely explanation for this).

    Replies: @Mikhail

  645. @Sean
    @John Johnson

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight? While the Russians' morale might collapse so might Ukrainians'.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @John Johnson

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight?

    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven’t arrived.

    Odds of an attack on Kiev are nil unless Putin can talk Belarus into it. Even in that scenario it would be extremely difficult because the north has natural defenses and is now mined. That is why Putin hasn’t built up an attack force across the border.

    You also can’t occupy a defiant city of 3 million with demoralized conscripts. There will be AK-47s in windows and women leading Russian men down dark alleys. They weren’t able to even get into the city with regulars on their first attempt. Putin just wants his Donbas slice so he can get out while he still has a head.

    While the Russians’ morale might collapse so might Ukrainians’.

    I see no reason to believe that. Ukraine could run low on men but not morale.

    Putin’s defenders imagine courageous Slavs and not fringe of the empire minorities like this guy:

    Ukraine just needs to find a point in the line where enough disillusioned minorities decide to walk or better yet kill their commanders.

    A similar strategy to what the Russians did at Stalingrad. They pushed on the weaker Italian and Romanian line.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @John Johnson


    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven’t arrived.
     
    Ukraine has theatre parity in everything except jet fighters--which the Russians cannot used over the battlefield because of the profusion of Stingers)--although Ukraine has enough fighters launch Storm Shadow attacks on Russia command and control and supply hubs.. In long range precision precision missiles capable of hitting hardened command bunkers, Ukraine has an advantage. Russia has AA systems designed to shoot down F16s, and hundreds of planes of it own at least as good as the F16, so mere parity would require Ukraine to be given hundreds of F16. The planes are just an excuse anyway because the main problem in coming to grips with the Russian defence line is getting through minefields while under observation from omnipresent drones (drones are a big reason why aircraft are less important and howitzers are dominating).The Ukrainians have been given been given advanced equipment for winning artillery duels and they can establish dominance at points of their choosing, plus they have lots of drones.

    The problem is the concentration of a powerful force to send through the breach in enemy lines and sustain a deep drive into the enemy areas to fully exploit requires the forming up of the units beforehad , and such a concentration is now immediately located by surveillance drones and attacked by artillery and kamikaze drones. Modern warfare in not what everyone (including the Russians and Americans) thought it was.


    That POW fellow was a bolshie convict, it's no secret that convicts are there to soak up firepower and preserve the real RF trained soldiers who were too few in number; Ukraine started with a very substantial manpower advantage on the battlefield but that is inexorably declining not because of convicts but a tardy Russian mobilisation still ongoing (hundreds of thousands more set of body armour have just been ordered from China).

    In trying get back everything taken from it, Ukraine is of course doing what any country would if it did not know what might be achieved at moderate cost by a determined offensive, but there is soon going to come a point a point after Kiev current offensive has culminated that they will be under no illusions about the possibility of driving the Russians back , and continuing as Russia begins to have a manpower advantage will entail risking the loss of more Ukrainian territory. This idea that Russia has done its worst already was Ukraine's cardinal error in the run up to the 2022 invasion, which they did not think Russia could or would do seeing the preparations as sabre rattling because Russia was too intimidated by the military might of America.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @YetAnotherAnon

  646. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.
     
    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs. But realizing this doesn't lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods. Science probably does impose limits on how sophisticated a religion must be to be credible in the modern world.

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish. Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn't mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems. All the evidence continues to point in the direction that yes, we are all going to vanish forever in the not too distant future, as we see all organisms around us do, which is quite disconcerting and disquieting for the human mind.

    I don't know how other people go about this because these are subjects that you don't often talk about with family and friends, or rather change the subject to more pleasant matters when you start getting too deep into them, but an additional problem I've had since childhood is that I can't even imagine an alternative destiny for my existence that would be clearly better than simple disappearance. All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don't know how to do that. The fact that science doesn't offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn't do much for me.

    Replies: @AP, @silviosilver, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    But realizing this doesn’t lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods.

    No, of course not. Similar to AP realizing the necessarily incomplete character of scientism at 20 (thereby beating the rest of us 🙂 ), I had come across hints that this was the case early on in my militant atheist stage of my mid-20’s, but I dismissed them out of hand precisely because of the fear that rejecting scientism would open the door to all manner of “anything goes” lunacy. And one could probably detect from my posts that some version of that fear lingered on until very recently. Well, one point I could make is that that fear, whether well founded or not, has been rendered irrelevant by events. Look around you: anything goes lunacy is already here, and is being imposed on us at the cost of cancelling our livelihoods. More germanely, though, we should note at the outset that religions and all supernatural belief systems fare worst when they clash directly with what has been or can be established by the objective standards of ‘mere reality’; we should note that rather obvious point, and then leave it aside and move on to more important matters where it is far from clear that ‘mere reality’-based scientism gets the last word.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don’t know how to do that. The fact that science doesn’t offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn’t do much for me.

    Whoa, slow down, pardner. I had no intention of turning your worldview upside down in one fell swoop. Undermining scientism is but the first step in what for many people is a lifelong journey. By undermining scientism, we are merely establishing the possibility – not the certainty – of, to use your terminology, ‘non-futility.’ To undermine scientism is thus to break free from the ‘mind-forged manacles’ that insist the quest for non-futility is itself futile. As Benvolio counsels lovelorn Romeo: “give liberty to thine eyes, examine other beauties”, I too invite you to give liberty to thy mind, examine other philosophies.

    Worth addressing too is the question of whether you should even want to examine other philosophies. I think you answer this yourself with your very use of the word ‘futility’ to describe the human condition. What you leave unsaid is the implication, futility thus despair. A plaque near the entrance of my favorite childhood library was emblazoned with a quote from Carlyle: “All that mankind has done, thought, gained, or been; it is lying as in magic preservation in the pages of books.” If materialism is true, then all that we have done, thought, gained, or been – all of it, down to the barest trace – shall someday be laid waste by the tragic annihilation of entropy. What hope, after such knowledge? If there is to be any, it must lie in the immaterial plane. It is there that we must seek after the hope, however faintly it glimmers, that things of this world – perhaps some great task we must and can only accomplish in this world (to give you a hint of where my interests lie) – may just be able to secure enduring import in a world beyond.

  647. Ex-CIA: US Pentagon PANICS Over NEW Ukraine Leak

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Mikhail

    He doesn't seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.


    Analysis: Ukraine rolls back 6 months of Russian gains in 5 weeks

    Assessment of Ukraine’s counteroffensive suggests it has retaken 253sq km (98sq miles) of its territory since June.
     

    This isn't a massive amount, but it shows that Ukraine isn't losing ground.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/12/analysis-ukraine-rolls-back-6-months-of-russian-gains-in-5-weeks#:~:text=https%3A//www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/12/analysis%2Dukraine%2Drolls%2Dback%2D6%2Dmonths%2Dof%2Drussian%2Dgains%2Din%2D5%2Dweeks

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  648. @AP
    @Dmitry


    at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.
     
    Again, you repeat the fantasy that Poles see Ukraine as an enemy rather than as a partner, leading them to hope that the war continues. Most Poles want the war to end as quickly as possible, with a Russian defeat.

    Ukrainians are among the most liked people by Poles:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-4.png

    And among the least disliked:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-3.png

    But Russians are most disliked.

    And although Polish attitudes towards Ukrainians have improved a lot (and towards Russians has declined a lot) as a consequence of the war, even before the war Poles liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them, and disliked Russians more than they liked them.

    Ukraine is already using some significant quantity of developed countries’ artillery. They have also received some modern equipment of developed countries like CAESAR artillery guns from France and missiles from Great Britain.
     
    Ukrainians have also developed some sophisticated software that helps them to integrate their weapons systems.

    https://www.newamerica.org/future-frontlines/blogs/how-ukraines-uber-for-artillery-is-leading-the-software-war-against-russia/

    And other innovations:



    https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1684348509590364161?s=20

    Replies: @Dmitry

    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland “enemy of the enemy is a friend” when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion. Poland are in a kind of vicarious war zone at the moment when they feel they are fighting Russia.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    This is 2020 after years of the formal alliance between Ukraine and Poland, also 6 years of Ukraine fighting Russia. Ukrainians in 2020 are having the higher level of likes from the Polish liberals after Euromaidan in Kiev, while the higher proportion of dislikes continues from the Polish conservatives.

    For 2020. The red color is indicating the dislikes. Ukraine has the highest level of 33%, except for Muslims/Russians/Roma.
    https://www.cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/public_opinion/2020/03_2020.pdf

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.

    In 2013, the Euromaidan events in Ukraine. Because of Euromaidan Ukraine begins to be popular with the Polish liberals who can see the dream of democracy in Kiev, while Ukraine was mostly as unpopular with Polish conservatives as before, who oppose the Ukrainian nationalism. The divergence in 2013/2014, as Russia continues to be unpopular for both the Polish conservatives and liberals.

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/news/2015/03/newsletter.php

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Dmitry

    Your own data here demonstrate that Polish animosity has been steadily lessening for years. Your attitude seems to be that if Polish feelings have changed based on recent events, then those feelings somehow aren't real. But why not? Recent events must surely qualify as legitimate reasons for attitudinal changes. I'm sure there are numerous other reasons for changing feelings: improved living standards, fading memories, dying off of those who lived through WWII, the dispersion and adoption of liberal values. It's not necessary that Poles now somehow feel convinced that Ukrainians are super-likeable people for attitudes to have changed. Could attitudes change back? Of course they could. Poles, if they wanted, could come up with ample reasons to loath Ukrainians. But as things now stand, despite the fact that plenty of Poles still hate Ukrainians, it seems to me quite inaccurate to characterize the Polish attitude to be predominantly based on loathing.

    Replies: @Dmitry

    , @AP
    @Dmitry


    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland “enemy of the enemy is a friend” when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion
     
    And you were wrong then as you are now.

    This war has catapulted positive Polish sentiment towards Ukrainians above most other nations, but even before the war Ukrainians were liked more than they were disliked. So your claim that Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times and wrong when considering pre-war sentiments.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.
     
    But they were still more liked than they were disliked. In 2020, 35% of Poles liked Ukrainians and 33% disliked them, with 28% being neutral (in contrast, 26% liked Russians and 42% disliked them).

    This is rather different from the picture you are trying to paint. Both in terms of Ukrainians being hated by Poles and in terms of Ukrainians and Russians being lumped together as enemies by Poles. You were wrong on both counts.

    In January 2022, before the invasion, 46% of Poles liked Ukrainians and only 25% disliked them.

    So your claims were wrong for 2020 and 2022 as they were for 2023.

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.
     
    They were equally disliked (Russians slightly more disliked but almost the same) for only 3 years, 2010-2012, when dislike for Russians had briefly dropped to a record low. This brief period coincided with the Yanukovich presidency.

    But from 2003 until 2010 Russians were far more disliked than Ukrainians, and again from 2013. The difference from 2004 to 2008 was enormous.

    Prior to 2003, Poles disliked Ukrainians more than they disliked Russians.

    So overall, your claim is false. You are cherry-picking the years 2010-2012, or going back more than 20 years to before the Orange Revolution.

    Replies: @Dmitry

  649. In relation to some of our previous forum discussions, there was on YouTube an interesting American promotion of the Soviet Union in 1990, which indicates the positive way American media wants to review Russia in 1990 in the epoch of their victory in the Cold War.

    America had some romantic dreams for Russia in this year. In relation to the forum, the 1990 view of National Geographic, reminds of AP’s and Karlin’s view of Russia, including the removal of the Soviet symbols and focus on lost religion.

    This type of American view had also influence on the Russian government’s self-conception after 1991, where the country continues to secularize, the government artificially promote this image of a religious importance in the society that doesn’t exist.

    Superficial promotion of religion by the government in Russia, has not been monocausal and would have many different reasons, partly related to moving the budget to the construction industry.

    But some portion of the Russian government’s motivation, is because religion is prestigious in American society and in the last 30 years the Russian government cargo cults the American society. The culture which was superficially promoted by the officials in the 30 years of postsoviet history, was often to something the officials believe the American society will be appreciating or supporting.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Dmitry

    I saw a flyer to visit true scotsman siberian shamans at a Terence McKenna talk at Berkeley in the early '90s. It was a 1% er fantasy island vacation and the price was in the category of "if you have to ask you can't afford it" and I rapidly forgot the number. I was under the impression the commies had destroyed every siberian shaman they could find but perhaps I have many ignoramus prejudices.

    I gobbled up Eliade Forge & Crucible and Shamanism in a few sittings as soon as I could get my hands on a copy of them. Forge & Crucible was one of those books that the library had to keep buying because readers wore them out. At that time and place it was bigger than Madonna.

  650. @Dmitry
    @AP

    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland "enemy of the enemy is a friend" when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion. Poland are in a kind of vicarious war zone at the moment when they feel they are fighting Russia.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    This is 2020 after years of the formal alliance between Ukraine and Poland, also 6 years of Ukraine fighting Russia. Ukrainians in 2020 are having the higher level of likes from the Polish liberals after Euromaidan in Kiev, while the higher proportion of dislikes continues from the Polish conservatives.

    https://i.imgur.com/RCtE8n4.jpg
    For 2020. The red color is indicating the dislikes. Ukraine has the highest level of 33%, except for Muslims/Russians/Roma.
    https://www.cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/public_opinion/2020/03_2020.pdf

    -

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.

    In 2013, the Euromaidan events in Ukraine. Because of Euromaidan Ukraine begins to be popular with the Polish liberals who can see the dream of democracy in Kiev, while Ukraine was mostly as unpopular with Polish conservatives as before, who oppose the Ukrainian nationalism. The divergence in 2013/2014, as Russia continues to be unpopular for both the Polish conservatives and liberals.

    https://i.imgur.com/nM0atOs.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/news/2015/03/newsletter.php

    Replies: @silviosilver, @AP

    Your own data here demonstrate that Polish animosity has been steadily lessening for years. Your attitude seems to be that if Polish feelings have changed based on recent events, then those feelings somehow aren’t real. But why not? Recent events must surely qualify as legitimate reasons for attitudinal changes. I’m sure there are numerous other reasons for changing feelings: improved living standards, fading memories, dying off of those who lived through WWII, the dispersion and adoption of liberal values. It’s not necessary that Poles now somehow feel convinced that Ukrainians are super-likeable people for attitudes to have changed. Could attitudes change back? Of course they could. Poles, if they wanted, could come up with ample reasons to loath Ukrainians. But as things now stand, despite the fact that plenty of Poles still hate Ukrainians, it seems to me quite inaccurate to characterize the Polish attitude to be predominantly based on loathing.

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @silviosilver


    lessening for years

     

    We know Ukraine becomes fashionable with part of the Polish liberals and opposition, especially after Euromaidan. Poland's liberal opposition politicians became quite pro-Ukraine since 9 years ago. For the Polish political liberals, Ukraine becomes described as a people who sacrifice for democracy in Kiev in 2013/2014, who are enlightened Europeans who will join the EU and form a barrier against Russia.

    But this is a limited "popularity" in relation to the view of the population to other countries. If you know Poles, they really don't like Germans, as one of the most stereotypical views. While in the CBOS poll in 2020, Germans are more popular than Ukrainians.

    You know the predictable way to offend Poles' national feeling. You say "Poland's culture is similar to Germany".

    If you are receiving lower poll numbers than Germans, in Poland, this is not an indicator of popularity, to say this mildly. But Ukrainians were able to poll less popular than Germans in Poland.


    it seems to me quite inaccurate to characterize the Polish attitude to be predominantly based on loathing.
     
    Well, Ukrainians are the most unpopular nationality in Europe for Poles or the neighbors if you don't include Russia/Belarus. At the same time this is just comparative, the ratings are divided evenly between like, indifferent and dislike.

    In relation to the trend and the future, I don't think the negative people's attitude to Ukraine in Poland is sustainable, as Ukraine is destroying Russia's army, which is Poland's enemy.

    I wrote a more about it a few days ago. "I don’t think this would be sustainable now. Ukraine is destroying the mythological enemy of Poland since 2022. It is joining the EU and NATO is going to be the defense of the Southern Poland against Russia. There will be large quantity of military collaboration between Poland and Ukraine.

    Ukraine is also source of the labor for Poland’s economy, so the relations with Ukraine are prioritized by business."
    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-223/#comment-6062014

    Replies: @Mikel

  651. @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.
     
    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all. Most of them never accepted Jesus Christ as their Messiah.

    It's quite interesting, isn't it? Christ's message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ and were the most familiar with him and his message during Jesus's own lifetime. As a present-day skeptic would say, if most Palestinian Jews weren't convinced by Jesus's Divinity, why should we be, over 2,000 years later? And where's our own equivalent of the proof of Jesus's Resurrection that Doubting Thomas got? He didn't rely on faith to believe in it but actually saw Jesus appear live in front of him, with him being allowed to touch Jesus--at least that's how this story goes. Why can't contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.

    Replies: @AP, @Dmitry

    Although in Gospels, Jesus is sometimes rejected by the local population (i.e. in Nazareth), he is also popular with local people in other villages. This had also some limits, as some of the villages where he seemed to be popular, are sometimes disobeying him https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Woes_to_the_unrepentant_cities

    The popularity of Jesus with local population, attracting a group of the followers (people walking behind him), is not indicating so much about the spiritual level of the religious leader, as the cult leader are usually charismatic leaders who will have many followers.

    You don’t need to be Muhammad or Jesus, or the 19th century criminal Joseph Smith writing the Book of Mormon, even New York businessmen like Trump can be very popular with the people he knows and could have a large number of followers walking behind him in ancient epochs as he makes his miracles in different villages.

    So, whether he is accepted or not accepted, is not a very reliable indicator in either direction.

    A more common problem for later observers to “verify” Jesus, is the views and prophecies Gospels says he promotes, are often not matching the subsequent events under the more natural interpretations.

    He says many times the world will end very soon, his followers don’t need to worry because it’s the end times.

    Although events are likely re-written decades after Jesus died, for example prophecy of Jesus in Gospel of Mark is likely re-written to include discussing parts about the destruction of Jerusalem, which was around 70 AD, when the book was written. Jesus says the events will be “in this generation”. https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matthew%2024:1-35

    The first Gospel is written 30-40 years after Jesus died. 70 AD is the year Romans destroy Jerusalem. After sieging Jerusalem for months, the Roman destroy the Second Temple.

    The prophecy of Jesus, begins with the destruction of the Second Temple in Jerusalem, and the mastertext (Gospel of Mark) of the other Gospels, is written at this time when the Temple is destroyed.

    It was seeming to be the generation which had known Jesus and saw the destruction of the Temple, which is the same time the Gospel (which other Gospels are based) is written. The prophecy of Jesus begins with the same event, when the text is written as the people who knew Jesus are likely mostly dead already at the time the first Gospel is written.

    So, after the subsequent years when the other Gospels are written, almost everyone who was living in the time of Jesus is dead. The Apostles would have been dead, there were no apocalypse in their lifetime.

    In later centuries, there is need to re-interpret the prophecy, if you want to still verify Jesus. For example, the most popular perspective nowadays, is to to re-interpret prophecy of Jesus, that it will be “within a single generation” (the events of the end times), not “this generation” (of the Apostles) that will see the end times.

    If we assume Jesus must be correct then re-interpret the prophecy “this generation” to “within a single generation”, then it means the Temple will have to be rebuilt, before the times of the tribulation.

    Jesus was not talking about the Temple he knew, but only a different Temple, which will be rebuilt multiple thousands of years in the future, even more future than our time so we don’t know if it will be true or not. It’s logically possible, but probably not a natural interpretation, to guess Jesus would have been very interested in events of thousands of years in the future, but not worrying his followers believed he was talking about his own time.

    Of course, the more realistic alternative to still allow the idea Jesus was saying the truth, is the Gospels was partly invented or inaccurately written, where he didn’t really say those things like “in this generation”. That alternative introduces a new difficulty though, if you would be suspicious of the Gospels, with the question how we can access reliable information about Jesus?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry

    Worth noting that Paul of Tarsus (the future St. Paul) wrote about Jesus in the early 50s AD and mentioned about how Jesus was seen by a crowd of 500 people after his death. But of course this doesn't necessarily mean that their vision was accurate. They could have seen a charlatan pretending to be Jesus. Or, possibly more likely, they could have seen some kind of natural phenomenon that they mistook for the risen Christ.

    Plenty of Egyptians claimed to have seen Mary, the Mother of Jesus, in the 20th and 21st centuries:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Zeitoun

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4e/Zeitun.gif

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Warraq

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/4/49/Apparitions_at_Warraq.jpg

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Assiut

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9f/A_photo_of_an_apparition_in_Asyut_%28September_15th_2000%29..jpg

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/ae/8_September_2000_at_4-26_am..jpg

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/98/Apparition_in_Assiut%2C_15_September_2000.jpg

    But what exactly did these Egyptians REALLY see is the big and crucial question here.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  652. @silviosilver
    @Dmitry

    Your own data here demonstrate that Polish animosity has been steadily lessening for years. Your attitude seems to be that if Polish feelings have changed based on recent events, then those feelings somehow aren't real. But why not? Recent events must surely qualify as legitimate reasons for attitudinal changes. I'm sure there are numerous other reasons for changing feelings: improved living standards, fading memories, dying off of those who lived through WWII, the dispersion and adoption of liberal values. It's not necessary that Poles now somehow feel convinced that Ukrainians are super-likeable people for attitudes to have changed. Could attitudes change back? Of course they could. Poles, if they wanted, could come up with ample reasons to loath Ukrainians. But as things now stand, despite the fact that plenty of Poles still hate Ukrainians, it seems to me quite inaccurate to characterize the Polish attitude to be predominantly based on loathing.

    Replies: @Dmitry

    lessening for years

    We know Ukraine becomes fashionable with part of the Polish liberals and opposition, especially after Euromaidan. Poland’s liberal opposition politicians became quite pro-Ukraine since 9 years ago. For the Polish political liberals, Ukraine becomes described as a people who sacrifice for democracy in Kiev in 2013/2014, who are enlightened Europeans who will join the EU and form a barrier against Russia.

    But this is a limited “popularity” in relation to the view of the population to other countries. If you know Poles, they really don’t like Germans, as one of the most stereotypical views. While in the CBOS poll in 2020, Germans are more popular than Ukrainians.

    You know the predictable way to offend Poles’ national feeling. You say “Poland’s culture is similar to Germany”.

    If you are receiving lower poll numbers than Germans, in Poland, this is not an indicator of popularity, to say this mildly. But Ukrainians were able to poll less popular than Germans in Poland.

    it seems to me quite inaccurate to characterize the Polish attitude to be predominantly based on loathing.

    Well, Ukrainians are the most unpopular nationality in Europe for Poles or the neighbors if you don’t include Russia/Belarus. At the same time this is just comparative, the ratings are divided evenly between like, indifferent and dislike.

    In relation to the trend and the future, I don’t think the negative people’s attitude to Ukraine in Poland is sustainable, as Ukraine is destroying Russia’s army, which is Poland’s enemy.

    I wrote a more about it a few days ago. “I don’t think this would be sustainable now. Ukraine is destroying the mythological enemy of Poland since 2022. It is joining the EU and NATO is going to be the defense of the Southern Poland against Russia. There will be large quantity of military collaboration between Poland and Ukraine.

    Ukraine is also source of the labor for Poland’s economy, so the relations with Ukraine are prioritized by business.”
    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-223/#comment-6062014

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @Dmitry

    For whatever it's worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were "the worst type of Russians" now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it's not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it's very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP, @Dmitry

  653. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, in no way I am a naïve materialist - I would rather describe myself as a phenomenologist, and in the broad sense of being aware that the unknown is likely bigger than the known, and the former in no way must be reducible to the latter (which is crucial to materialism). I was even criticized here by Mikel for doubting too much the established science ;)

    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk...;)
    Originally I perceived you as a quasi-Buddhist, but now I would say your worldview is perhaps closest to shamanism...

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk…;)

    Say he does believe that, is that the worst thing in the world? I once soured on a girl I was seeing when one day the topic turned to religion/metaphysics and she confided to me that she thought it most likely we were created by extraterrestrials (something like Raelism, I gather – I didn’t probe further). My heart sank and my thoughts were something like “fuck me, how’d I chance on this prize specimen female gullibility…” The sad thing is she was otherwise a ton of fun and we gelled really well. I didn’t break up with her specifically because of that, but I never looked at her the same way afterwards. That was extremely stupid on my part.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman). Belief in aliens has been ridiculed for a long time much more than a belief in fairies, where in fact it is much more based on facts than belief in fairies, which is supported only by Celtic mythology.
    As for aliens, you have sightings since records started:
    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_reported_UFO_sightings

    2) descriptions of similar gods in many mythologies and religions, which bestows certain unity of perception upon the phenomenon

    3) crop circles counted in thousands
    https://www.cropcirclecenter.com/

    4) recent monoliths phenomenon

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_works_similar_to_the_2020_Utah_monolith

    5) strange phenomenona around the world which cannot be easily explained naturally (geoglyphs visible only from air, tektites etc)


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens...?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird, @silviosilver

  654. @AP
    @Mikel


    "what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all."

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.
     
    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.
     
    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no "unknown" world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones - thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are "soothing"- as you are of "ultimate reality."

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.
     
    But why must it be? Why is futility more "realistic" than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point
     
    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ's Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don't follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Coconuts, @silviosilver

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I heard about another interesting explanation for this that relies on some psychological data (this was via Ed Dutton), the correlations between autism and atheism and schizophrenic tendencies and religious belief. If autism is characterised by a lack of theory of mind, schizophrenia is having too much theory of mind and attributing too much agency to things.

    I wonder if McGilchrist is partly working with similar data and case studies in his work.

    In terms of arguments against scientism, I think there is at least one strong one. It depends on the science component of scientism having a relatively specific definition and not being used in too open ended a way, i.e. not just as referring to any organised body of knowledge.

    So, if scientism is taken as meaning the belief that the natural sciences are our only source of knowledge of reality, and you add the common conviction that biology and chemistry should ultimately be reducible to physics, you have physics as constituting our only source of knowledge of reality; everything that is real should be reducible to and describable by physics. Anything else is illusion. Again, to make this something testable you need a relatively restricted definition of the content of physics, something like what we currently understand by that term and not including new irreducible elements (say like consciousness).

    What empirical/mathematical data from current physics could prove that it is our only source of knowledge of reality? Usual conclusion is that it is hard to imagine what this data could be. It’s probably one of the reasons even a lot of analytical philosophers who are sympathetic to the central role of the natural sciences in knowledge don’t believe in physicalist scientism in this strong form.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Mcgilchrist says that Schizophrenia is a type of delusional thinking that is wholly characteristic of extreme rationality - it's a disease where you only use your rational, analytical mind to approach reality, and not intuition, imagination, common sense, etc. You never look at the actual world but only use abstract maps. It's entirely a left hemisphere disease, according to him.

    Apparently, there is no record of schizophrenia existing in ancient times, and it's one of the diseases of modernity, and it's prevalence has skyrocketed in modern times!

    I don't think you can deny that Ron Unz is incipiently schizophrenic - and this site in general, and the Alt-Right in general, and the Woke left in general is, and certain commenters on this specific forum, and the modern world in general.

    It's impossible to look at the modern world in general and not see that some kind of fear-based, delusional insanity is going on that has to do with over-rational and over analytical thinking that is out of touch with actual, warm blooded reality.

    The great 18th century Italian thinker and poet Leopardi commented that there is a "barbarism of reason" as well as of unreason - and we are in it.

    Replies: @Sean

    , @songbird
    @Coconuts

    There's a 1986 horror movie "From Beyond", loosely based on a Lovecraft story. (Though, I don't recommend it because it is body horror - which I generally find distasteful).

    But it had what I thought was a really clever idea. These two scientists were involved in experiments designed to bridge the gap between other dimensions, and someone proposed that schizophrenics already had some kind of sensory shift in this direction, letting them partly perceive this other dimension that was filled with monsters. And they tried to carry through the experiments in the name of helping them.

  655. @AP
    @Mikel


    "what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all."

    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs.
     
    I reached the same conclusion around age 20, after taking scienticism for granted in my teens (I was not raised by religious people).

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish.
     
    Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?

    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no "unknown" world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.

    I hope you are not as suspicious of friends, neighbors, loved ones - thinking that positive assumptions about them or their motivations are probably wrong because they are "soothing"- as you are of "ultimate reality."

    Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn’t mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems.
     
    But why must it be? Why is futility more "realistic" than the alternative? If you accept (correctly) that the ultimate reality is unknowable by our brains and senses, than the next logical step is that ultimate futility is no more likely than ultimate meaning.

    All the evidence continues to point
     
    Evidence from ape brains and senses.

    Miracles such as Christ's Resurrection (the New Testament consists of eyewitness accounts, not stories as in the Old Testament or Greek and other myths) or other phenomena are counterevidence that something else is going on, things that cannot be measured because they don't follow the general rules. In conjunction with that, humility suggests that perhaps the collective historical wisdom of the Western people (the creators of the greatest and most beautiful arts, of science itself, of the best society, etc.) and the beliefs underpinning their achievements and knowledge were probably more likely to be true than the rebellious and proud musings of less-intelligent moderns who just managed to muck things up. Or of peoples without such achievements.

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    But the idea that futility is more realistic than something else, is unreasonable.

    Replies: @Mikel, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Coconuts, @silviosilver

    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.

    You “suppose,” do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn’t a chance you’ll purely reason your way through to that conclusion. And if you ever think you have, the simple test of trying to walk a skeptic through your chain of reasoning ought to be enough to disabuse you.

    But so what if it’s a leap of faith? Is faith any less than reason? It certainly is with respect to the material world. As atheists rightly never tire of reminding us, faith is a useless means of attaining knowledge of the material world. But faith is the precise means – the ultimate means – through which we attain knowledge of God.

    There’s really no other way. Reason can guide us. Through reason, we can establish plausibility – the very plausibility that is the engine of faith (if it stops running, faith shrivels and dies). This preparatory work is no mean feat. It doesn’t come easy. We have to labor to achieve it. But even when we have, the final step will always be a leap of faith.

    You can liken to someone following a treasure map, down the valley, through the woods, up the mountainside, for perilous days and nights, until finally the treasure lies within sight – on the other side of a ravine. The treasure hunter’s heart races – it’s a long way down! But there’s a good chance he’ll make it. He’s come this far, to hell with it, he leaps. Perhaps someone else who’d merely stumbled across the treasure-within-sight might be tempted, but phew, that’s a steep fall, he chooses not to risk it.

    • Replies: @AP
    @silviosilver

    I agree in general with this post and your other ones. On this topic I may have reached the same conclusion as you did when I was younger, but you are able to describe the process in this and in your other posts far better than I am. I’ll just defer to your points. But one quibble:


    You “suppose,” do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn’t a chance you’ll purely reason your way through to that conclusion
     
    I think there is such a chance. Accept rationally that phenomena exist that can’t be truly measured or understood by science and that biological apes we are no more capable of truly knowing ultimate reality as are bats, as you aptly stated. This opens the door to various possibilities. So far, we are in the territory of reason, no faith necessary.

    Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so. One could examine various spiritual traditions and their fruits and reason oneself into deciding that a particular faith is most likely to be the true one. A very rough outline for reasoning one’s way into accepting Christianity as the most likely true faith might be to consider its impact on ethics, the nature of its miracles, the art it’s adherents and its world have produced, the impact it has had on mankind’s ability to control the physical world, the fact that it has spread around the world, etc. Would Ultimate Reality have been discovered only by the Aztecs, whose world was so quickly swept away by the Christians? The God of the resurrected Christ, of Bach, Dostoyevsky, Augustine, Pasteur, etc. is more reasonably likely than animal-headed gods of primitive tribals.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    By the way, I just want to say lately that your comments here on this topic have been exceptionally good, beyond what you'd expect from someone whose views have recently changed.

    But more so, I want to point out how refreshing it is to see someone in the process of growth and change. One of my gripes - and something I have always found so strange - is that so many people never change, evolve, grow.

    They just mine the same old exhausted vein or same old field past the point of all fertility.

    Steve Sailer, for instance, just writes the same old thing from the same old perspective, over and over again. He had what might be called I suppose a mildly interesting idea - that a substantial portion of human life has beneath the surface as it's motivation the pettiest concerns of ego. Not so original perhaps, but interesting to explore for a while.

    But my God, it's been years, and he hasn't learned anything more about life! No broadening of vision, no evolution towards a larger perspective taking in other dimensions of human life. No change at all.

    Ron Unz's articles are the just the same thing, over and over, and so are nearly all columnists here. And the commenters - I used to enjoy reading the anti-Semitic articles for some fun exchanges, but all the commenters on those articles seem to have settled down into ritualistically intoning the same solemn deprecations in what can only be described as some sort of bizarre religious ceremony.

    I have always felt life is a process of growth and change. My own life saw me go from materialist atheist to someone awakened to the religious approach to life, but even my religious beliefs continue to evolve in dramatic ways even on this site. I dont think the same way I did two years ago, and I'm constantly seeking out new authors.

    I think this strange modern stasis and stagnation is another reflection of the topic under discussion here, radical loss of connection to the imagination - the faculty that puts us in touch with larger realities outside our preconceived notions - and our descent into narrow minded left hemisphere thinking.

    So wherever you end up - even if it's some place I would violently disagree with - it's just refreshing to see someone change.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  656. There is another argument against ‘classical’ empiricism, the idea that all knowledge of external reality derives from sense data. From this pov the rest is internal to the mind, concerns relations of ideas and sensations etc.

    Here the argument is that the foundational claim of that sort of empiricism (e.g. Hume’s Fork) is self-refuting, in that there is no plausible way to prove using sense data alone that it is our only source of knowledge of an external world and that all other rational knowledge is just about relations of ideas or sensations within the mind. This kind of thing partly inspired Kant to amend empiricism, and all of the guys who followed him.

    The reason ‘heroic’ or idealistic versions of materialism became unpopular could be related to totalitarianism, because Marxism, Fascism and different forms of radical nationalism in the early 20th century often involved this sort of materialism. After 1945 in the West empiricism and scientism seemed in some way safer and more compatible with liberal democracy, this may also be why hedonism has been encouraged, because it makes people more placid and less dangerous to each other.

  657. A123 says: • Website

    Today’s Hungary news:

        • Continues to buy Russian oil
        • Blocks Ukrainian grain (1)
        • Rewarded with Israeli technology (2)

    The Hungarian armed forces will replace its Soviet radars this year with EL-2084 active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars manufactured by Israel’s ELTA Systems Ltd., daily Magyar Hírlap reports.

    Hungary signed a contract for the delivery of 11 ELM-2084 radars at an undisclosed value; the radars have been produced by ELTA in Israel since 2010. One EL-2084 unit — consisting of a radar unit, a control module, a cooling unit and a power generator — costs between $12 million and $15 million, depending on the size of the order.

    OK… purchasing may not be a reward, but it shows that the European Empire’s attempt to isolate Russia is failing. And, Israel is willing to support those who undermine Brussels.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6076696

    (2) https://rmx.news/defense/hungary-to-receive-israeli-high-tech-radars/

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @A123

    In terms of overall spin, from an anti-Russian Brit establishment propaganda site:

    https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1139260/hungary-minister-wants-russia-in-paris

    Good for him. Not like this hypocritically sleazy reply on the matter:

    https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1138046/shriver-russia-absence

    Related:

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/05072023-cancel-the-2024-paris-summer-olympics-idea-oped/

    , @Mr. Hack
    @A123


    The Hungarian armed forces will replace its Soviet radars this year with EL-2084 active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars manufactured by Israel’s ELTA Systems Ltd., daily Magyar Hírlap reports.
     
    Just wondering against whom the Hungarians are planning to use these new high tech radar systems?

    Russia, their big friend, or NATO members, their allies? Just asking.....
  658. @Dmitry
    In relation to some of our previous forum discussions, there was on YouTube an interesting American promotion of the Soviet Union in 1990, which indicates the positive way American media wants to review Russia in 1990 in the epoch of their victory in the Cold War.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cam-F_4Vw8

    America had some romantic dreams for Russia in this year. In relation to the forum, the 1990 view of National Geographic, reminds of AP's and Karlin's view of Russia, including the removal of the Soviet symbols and focus on lost religion.

    This type of American view had also influence on the Russian government's self-conception after 1991, where the country continues to secularize, the government artificially promote this image of a religious importance in the society that doesn't exist.

    Superficial promotion of religion by the government in Russia, has not been monocausal and would have many different reasons, partly related to moving the budget to the construction industry.

    But some portion of the Russian government's motivation, is because religion is prestigious in American society and in the last 30 years the Russian government cargo cults the American society. The culture which was superficially promoted by the officials in the 30 years of postsoviet history, was often to something the officials believe the American society will be appreciating or supporting.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    I saw a flyer to visit true scotsman siberian shamans at a Terence McKenna talk at Berkeley in the early ’90s. It was a 1% er fantasy island vacation and the price was in the category of “if you have to ask you can’t afford it” and I rapidly forgot the number. I was under the impression the commies had destroyed every siberian shaman they could find but perhaps I have many ignoramus prejudices.

    I gobbled up Eliade Forge & Crucible and Shamanism in a few sittings as soon as I could get my hands on a copy of them. Forge & Crucible was one of those books that the library had to keep buying because readers wore them out. At that time and place it was bigger than Madonna.

  659. @A123
    Today's Hungary news:

        • Continues to buy Russian oil
        • Blocks Ukrainian grain (1)
        • Rewarded with Israeli technology (2)

    The Hungarian armed forces will replace its Soviet radars this year with EL-2084 active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars manufactured by Israel’s ELTA Systems Ltd., daily Magyar Hírlap reports.

    Hungary signed a contract for the delivery of 11 ELM-2084 radars at an undisclosed value; the radars have been produced by ELTA in Israel since 2010. One EL-2084 unit — consisting of a radar unit, a control module, a cooling unit and a power generator — costs between $12 million and $15 million, depending on the size of the order.
     
    OK... purchasing may not be a reward, but it shows that the European Empire's attempt to isolate Russia is failing. And, Israel is willing to support those who undermine Brussels.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6076696

    (2) https://rmx.news/defense/hungary-to-receive-israeli-high-tech-radars/

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. Hack

    In terms of overall spin, from an anti-Russian Brit establishment propaganda site:

    https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1139260/hungary-minister-wants-russia-in-paris

    Good for him. Not like this hypocritically sleazy reply on the matter:

    https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1138046/shriver-russia-absence

    Related:

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/05072023-cancel-the-2024-paris-summer-olympics-idea-oped/

  660. AP says:
    @Dmitry
    @AP

    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland "enemy of the enemy is a friend" when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion. Poland are in a kind of vicarious war zone at the moment when they feel they are fighting Russia.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    This is 2020 after years of the formal alliance between Ukraine and Poland, also 6 years of Ukraine fighting Russia. Ukrainians in 2020 are having the higher level of likes from the Polish liberals after Euromaidan in Kiev, while the higher proportion of dislikes continues from the Polish conservatives.

    https://i.imgur.com/RCtE8n4.jpg
    For 2020. The red color is indicating the dislikes. Ukraine has the highest level of 33%, except for Muslims/Russians/Roma.
    https://www.cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/public_opinion/2020/03_2020.pdf

    -

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.

    In 2013, the Euromaidan events in Ukraine. Because of Euromaidan Ukraine begins to be popular with the Polish liberals who can see the dream of democracy in Kiev, while Ukraine was mostly as unpopular with Polish conservatives as before, who oppose the Ukrainian nationalism. The divergence in 2013/2014, as Russia continues to be unpopular for both the Polish conservatives and liberals.

    https://i.imgur.com/nM0atOs.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/news/2015/03/newsletter.php

    Replies: @silviosilver, @AP

    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland “enemy of the enemy is a friend” when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion

    And you were wrong then as you are now.

    This war has catapulted positive Polish sentiment towards Ukrainians above most other nations, but even before the war Ukrainians were liked more than they were disliked. So your claim that Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times and wrong when considering pre-war sentiments.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    But they were still more liked than they were disliked. In 2020, 35% of Poles liked Ukrainians and 33% disliked them, with 28% being neutral (in contrast, 26% liked Russians and 42% disliked them).

    This is rather different from the picture you are trying to paint. Both in terms of Ukrainians being hated by Poles and in terms of Ukrainians and Russians being lumped together as enemies by Poles. You were wrong on both counts.

    In January 2022, before the invasion, 46% of Poles liked Ukrainians and only 25% disliked them.

    So your claims were wrong for 2020 and 2022 as they were for 2023.

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.

    They were equally disliked (Russians slightly more disliked but almost the same) for only 3 years, 2010-2012, when dislike for Russians had briefly dropped to a record low. This brief period coincided with the Yanukovich presidency.

    But from 2003 until 2010 Russians were far more disliked than Ukrainians, and again from 2013. The difference from 2004 to 2008 was enormous.

    Prior to 2003, Poles disliked Ukrainians more than they disliked Russians.

    So overall, your claim is false. You are cherry-picking the years 2010-2012, or going back more than 20 years to before the Orange Revolution.

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @AP


    liked than they were disliked. In 2020, 35% of Poles liked Ukrainians and 33% disliked them
     
    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    These surveys are comparative as most people don't say to the survey they have negative views to any nationality and it's more healthy people like other naitonalities, than to dislike other nationalities.

    The normal or healthy people who respond to the survey, will not dislike any nationality in the survey. It's usually a sign of an unhappy person, to dislike another nationality.

    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland's government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society. For Poles, disliking Germans is a kind of patriotic duty.


    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times

     

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine, while asking Germany to refund them or pay for new safe equipment to replace it.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.


    years 2010-2012, or going back more than 20 years to before the Orange Revolution.
     
    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.

    There was a difference with liberals in Poland who view the pro-democracy events in Kiev in 2004 and 2013 etc.

    Especially after 2013, people like Donald Tusk become more Ukrainian nationalists than Poroshenko or Zelensky. The educated and wealthy population in Poland are mainly liberals, so it's true the liberals' more pro-Ukraine view is a more elite view of Poland.

    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.
    https://neweasterneurope.eu/2017/10/31/poland-ukraine-relations-ball-court/

    Replies: @AP

  661. For those who are human.

    July 27th in Donbass is the day of remembrance of child victims of the war. Since 2014 Ukraine killed 286 Donbass children. This day commemorates “bloody Sunday”,July 27th, 2014. On that day massive Ukrainian shelling of downtown Gorlovka killed 22 civilians, including children, women, and the elderly.

    • Thanks: QCIC
  662. In the Border Country, ‘riding’ and ‘raiding’ were the same word, as well as ‘road’ and ‘raid.’

    When LBJ’s family went ‘riding’, they were going ‘raiding.’

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    The guys who conquered the Comanches were a wild bunch.

    https://www.amazon.com/Blood-Meridian-Evening-Redness-West/dp/0679728759

    Replies: @songbird

  663. @Mikhail
    Ex-CIA: US Pentagon PANICS Over NEW Ukraine Leak

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryA60R6aYDY

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    He doesn’t seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.

    Analysis: Ukraine rolls back 6 months of Russian gains in 5 weeks

    Assessment of Ukraine’s counteroffensive suggests it has retaken 253sq km (98sq miles) of its territory since June.

    This isn’t a massive amount, but it shows that Ukraine isn’t losing ground.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/12/analysis-ukraine-rolls-back-6-months-of-russian-gains-in-5-weeks#:~:text=https%3A//www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/12/analysis%2Dukraine%2Drolls%2Dback%2D6%2Dmonths%2Dof%2Drussian%2Dgains%2Din%2D5%2Dweeks

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    He doesn’t seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.

    Well that is Larry C "war is over and now in mop-up stage" Johnson.
    https://www.europereloaded.com/larry-c-johnson-the-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    Another American that has sold his soul and remaining credibility to a homicidal dwarf dictator.

    They speak of NATO wanting to dismantle Russia as if they are offended by the idea in principle.

    Their longstanding argument is that the world should stand back and let Russia dismantle Ukraine.

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. Hack

  664. @A123
    Today's Hungary news:

        • Continues to buy Russian oil
        • Blocks Ukrainian grain (1)
        • Rewarded with Israeli technology (2)

    The Hungarian armed forces will replace its Soviet radars this year with EL-2084 active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars manufactured by Israel’s ELTA Systems Ltd., daily Magyar Hírlap reports.

    Hungary signed a contract for the delivery of 11 ELM-2084 radars at an undisclosed value; the radars have been produced by ELTA in Israel since 2010. One EL-2084 unit — consisting of a radar unit, a control module, a cooling unit and a power generator — costs between $12 million and $15 million, depending on the size of the order.
     
    OK... purchasing may not be a reward, but it shows that the European Empire's attempt to isolate Russia is failing. And, Israel is willing to support those who undermine Brussels.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6076696

    (2) https://rmx.news/defense/hungary-to-receive-israeli-high-tech-radars/

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. Hack

    The Hungarian armed forces will replace its Soviet radars this year with EL-2084 active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars manufactured by Israel’s ELTA Systems Ltd., daily Magyar Hírlap reports.

    Just wondering against whom the Hungarians are planning to use these new high tech radar systems?

    Russia, their big friend, or NATO members, their allies? Just asking…..

  665. @Coconuts
    @AP


    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.
     
    I heard about another interesting explanation for this that relies on some psychological data (this was via Ed Dutton), the correlations between autism and atheism and schizophrenic tendencies and religious belief. If autism is characterised by a lack of theory of mind, schizophrenia is having too much theory of mind and attributing too much agency to things.

    I wonder if McGilchrist is partly working with similar data and case studies in his work.

    In terms of arguments against scientism, I think there is at least one strong one. It depends on the science component of scientism having a relatively specific definition and not being used in too open ended a way, i.e. not just as referring to any organised body of knowledge.

    So, if scientism is taken as meaning the belief that the natural sciences are our only source of knowledge of reality, and you add the common conviction that biology and chemistry should ultimately be reducible to physics, you have physics as constituting our only source of knowledge of reality; everything that is real should be reducible to and describable by physics. Anything else is illusion. Again, to make this something testable you need a relatively restricted definition of the content of physics, something like what we currently understand by that term and not including new irreducible elements (say like consciousness).

    What empirical/mathematical data from current physics could prove that it is our only source of knowledge of reality? Usual conclusion is that it is hard to imagine what this data could be. It's probably one of the reasons even a lot of analytical philosophers who are sympathetic to the central role of the natural sciences in knowledge don't believe in physicalist scientism in this strong form.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird

    Mcgilchrist says that Schizophrenia is a type of delusional thinking that is wholly characteristic of extreme rationality – it’s a disease where you only use your rational, analytical mind to approach reality, and not intuition, imagination, common sense, etc. You never look at the actual world but only use abstract maps. It’s entirely a left hemisphere disease, according to him.

    Apparently, there is no record of schizophrenia existing in ancient times, and it’s one of the diseases of modernity, and it’s prevalence has skyrocketed in modern times!

    I don’t think you can deny that Ron Unz is incipiently schizophrenic – and this site in general, and the Alt-Right in general, and the Woke left in general is, and certain commenters on this specific forum, and the modern world in general.

    It’s impossible to look at the modern world in general and not see that some kind of fear-based, delusional insanity is going on that has to do with over-rational and over analytical thinking that is out of touch with actual, warm blooded reality.

    The great 18th century Italian thinker and poet Leopardi commented that there is a “barbarism of reason” as well as of unreason – and we are in it.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Leopaldi is a strange person to quote, because although he said Christianity was a delusional ideology he saw it as the antidote to seeing things as they are, which rationalism led to the ancient world progressing rapidly and the collapse of their polities. In other words: knowing the true meaning of life makes us sane as individuals--and leads to societal breakdown.

    As the Twilight Zone fashion episode Need To Know ends with the Narrator intoning "Man's a questioning creature. Constantly striving for answers. But there is some knowledge for which he is not yet ready. Secrets that once learned overwhelm him. Secrets that are best left for now undisturbed... in the Twilight Zone."

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  666. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.
     
    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs. But realizing this doesn't lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods. Science probably does impose limits on how sophisticated a religion must be to be credible in the modern world.

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish. Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn't mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems. All the evidence continues to point in the direction that yes, we are all going to vanish forever in the not too distant future, as we see all organisms around us do, which is quite disconcerting and disquieting for the human mind.

    I don't know how other people go about this because these are subjects that you don't often talk about with family and friends, or rather change the subject to more pleasant matters when you start getting too deep into them, but an additional problem I've had since childhood is that I can't even imagine an alternative destiny for my existence that would be clearly better than simple disappearance. All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don't know how to do that. The fact that science doesn't offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn't do much for me.

    Replies: @AP, @silviosilver, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?)

    Fair questions, but it’s important to note they are derived from the understanding bequeathed to us by our model of mere reality. The ‘metaphysics’ of ultimate reality may be such that the apparent contradictions implicit in your question are completely obviated. So I put it to you in all seriousness, why not all these versions of yourself? Perhaps simultaneously, or perhaps ‘manifesting’ according to the exigencies (such as they may be) of the moment? If you think little of these suggestions, I encourage you to come up with some of your own. The value of exercises like this it to train yourself to take other possibilities seriously, instead of reflexively dismissing them because they’re too hard to square with the reigning paradigm of mere reality.

    floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    Well, if all we were going to do is ‘float around’ doing nothing, then hell yeah, I’ll take sweet death – final death, the end – any day. But actually, since our common sense notions of time are already under assault by both physicists and metaphysicians, the metaphysics of time – do check it out – is an accessible way of training the mind to accept the possibility that ultimate reality may be wildly, radically different to mere reality. It really need bear no relation to it at all. To go back to the bat, imagine you could somehow introduce it to the world of visible light – “holy fuck,” it’d think, “this is like absolutely nothing I could have conceived of in my wildest dreams.” I would urge us all to be open to the possibility that the same might be true for us.

  667. @Coconuts
    @AP


    And for many, scienticism is more soothing. Why worry about sin, when one can do what one wants (without running afoul of the law) since there is no “unknown” world to concern oneself with? Scienticism opens the door to worry-free hedonism.
     
    I heard about another interesting explanation for this that relies on some psychological data (this was via Ed Dutton), the correlations between autism and atheism and schizophrenic tendencies and religious belief. If autism is characterised by a lack of theory of mind, schizophrenia is having too much theory of mind and attributing too much agency to things.

    I wonder if McGilchrist is partly working with similar data and case studies in his work.

    In terms of arguments against scientism, I think there is at least one strong one. It depends on the science component of scientism having a relatively specific definition and not being used in too open ended a way, i.e. not just as referring to any organised body of knowledge.

    So, if scientism is taken as meaning the belief that the natural sciences are our only source of knowledge of reality, and you add the common conviction that biology and chemistry should ultimately be reducible to physics, you have physics as constituting our only source of knowledge of reality; everything that is real should be reducible to and describable by physics. Anything else is illusion. Again, to make this something testable you need a relatively restricted definition of the content of physics, something like what we currently understand by that term and not including new irreducible elements (say like consciousness).

    What empirical/mathematical data from current physics could prove that it is our only source of knowledge of reality? Usual conclusion is that it is hard to imagine what this data could be. It's probably one of the reasons even a lot of analytical philosophers who are sympathetic to the central role of the natural sciences in knowledge don't believe in physicalist scientism in this strong form.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird

    There’s a 1986 horror movie “From Beyond”, loosely based on a Lovecraft story. (Though, I don’t recommend it because it is body horror – which I generally find distasteful).

    But it had what I thought was a really clever idea. These two scientists were involved in experiments designed to bridge the gap between other dimensions, and someone proposed that schizophrenics already had some kind of sensory shift in this direction, letting them partly perceive this other dimension that was filled with monsters. And they tried to carry through the experiments in the name of helping them.

  668. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    what grounds do we have for our scientistic certainty that we are not in the position of the bat ourselves? As far as I can see, we have no grounds at all.
     
    I agree with this. The idea that our brains have reached some magical threshold that, unlike any other species, allows us to understand what you call ultimate reality is unsound. It is much more rational to think that, like bats, we also live in a state of desperate ignorance imposed by the limits of our brain and sensory organs. But realizing this doesn't lead me to believe that therefore anything goes and perhaps our ancestors were right in believing that thunder is caused by angry gods. Science probably does impose limits on how sophisticated a religion must be to be credible in the modern world.

    Besides, the big problem for me is how to go from the realization that science, being a product of our brains, is as imperfect and incomplete as them, to acquiring some sort of belief that soothes my existential anguish. Just because I will always be unable to understand ultimate reality it doesn't mean that my existence, and the existence of everyone I care about, is not as futile as it seems. All the evidence continues to point in the direction that yes, we are all going to vanish forever in the not too distant future, as we see all organisms around us do, which is quite disconcerting and disquieting for the human mind.

    I don't know how other people go about this because these are subjects that you don't often talk about with family and friends, or rather change the subject to more pleasant matters when you start getting too deep into them, but an additional problem I've had since childhood is that I can't even imagine an alternative destiny for my existence that would be clearly better than simple disappearance. All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death.

    So thank you for your encouragement to abandon my fatalistic view of human existence but I don't know how to do that. The fact that science doesn't offer any solid answers to existential matters and is no real alternative to religion doesn't do much for me.

    Replies: @AP, @silviosilver, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think you may have to delve into “epistemology” in general – the inquiry into how we know anything at all, in order to really see where we stand in relation to “reality” 🙂

    The important thing is not so much believing in any set of propositions – religion is not in the end a set of propositions – but to liberate oneself from the dogmatic assertion of modern times that there cannot exist anything beyond matter.

    The idea that there is nothing beyond the physical – or no teleogy to the universe – isn’t proven by science – its an ideological commitment, a dogma.

    Science started as a technique whose purpose was to gain control of nature – it had to exclude from consideration anything that wasn’t relevant to this. All techniques have to demarcate their area of inquiry by excluding non-relevant considerations. Over time, it transformed into a metaphysics – a claim about ultimate reality – the dogmatic belief that anything science cannot measure doesn’t exist.

    But that’s simply a category error. Obviously, you will not “discover” what you have chosen to exclude from sight as a way to demarcate your area of inquiry.

    Its like saying you’re only going to study forests – you’ve pre-set the boundaries of your inquiry – and then decided that mountains and oceans don’t exist because you haven’t found them in forests.

    Future historians will regard the past few hundred years as one of the weirdest chapters in the intellectual history of the human race.

    It’s a shocking discovery for those of us reared on dogmatism, like myself – but all our knowledge contains an element of faith. We can’t prove one thing causes another, the most basic element of knowledge. We can’t prove the sun will rise tomorrow or gravity will still obtain tomorrow – science has no true laws, just the observation of past regularities. We can’t even prove we exist, or our minds truly are accessing reality.

    Life itself in the end is a leap of faith – pure rationality cannot access reality, it is a form of insanity, like schizophrenia.

    Propositional religious claims may be false, or lacking in any proof, but “naturalism” is equally an incoherent dogma that is believed in as an ideological commitment.

    But the important things isn’t to believe in propositions, but to come into contact with a larger reality that may be called “supernatural” – or a larger dimension to reality – than mere matter. And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not 🙂

    And reason and science themselves, in their limited domains, provide significant evidence for the existence of the supernatural and teleology, although it does not – and cannot – prove this. But faith in the supernatural does not stand on a significantly different footing than much of what we claim we “know”, once one delves into epistemology.

    And again religion isn’t primarily about a set of propositional truths, but about direct contact with a “larger” reality – as in Zen and mysticism. The propositional “truths” of religion are mere attempts to express in language what is at the limits of the expressible, not dogmatic assertions – it’s a modern corruption that they’ve become literal dogmatic assertions.

    For instance, the Hindu idea that the world is the “play” of Brahman – to take this as a propositional truth one must dogmatically assent to is misplaced. It expresses at the limits of language the sense of wonder at why anything exists rather than nothing – and the intuitive sense here is, why, if something exists at all, it must be for joy! Why else exist? Of course, the “naturalistic” explanation, that the world just “is”, is incoherent on its own terms – the natural system of cause and effect just suddenly stops at the limits of the system, and we can’t inquire further.

    Or that Jesus is God – as a literal propositional truth, who knows? But as a significant mystery – a man comes who tells us to live completely opposite to the supposed common sense rules of life and becomes the basis of a world religion – there is something there, but who knows precisely what.

    Religion is more a state of receptive open mindedness to the larger mysteries around us and a direct contact with a larger reality than any set of dogmatic propositional truths, and religious language isn’t literal but at the limits of the expressible.

    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them 🙂

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not
     
    Sorry, but I must speak up here for nature "indifferentists" like myself. We too are capable of great loves which, whether we accept it or not, point us to a larger dimension to reality (or beyond 'mere reality'). By reducing everything to the material, we completely unnecessarily rob ourselves of this vantage point. As a passage in Ben Jeffrey's "Anti-Matter: Michel Houellebecq and Depressive Realism" puts it:

    The villainy of materialism is that it undermines [things that find their best expression in non-biological, non-material terms]: for instance, when it tells us that love is only a disguise for the urge to reproduce. Along this road we lose the use of a very fundamental and comforting terminology, or at least are obliged to admit that it gives a false or misleading account of human behaviour. It emerges that there is basically no getting over yourself, no escapingyour skull – and the more you are led to feel this way themore you are inclined to see life as isolated and vanishing.
     
    On "nature indifferentism," sticking solely to landscapes, yes, part of nature is breathtakingly beautiful, but only a part. Other parts are mostly featureless (desert sands), butt ugly (arttic tundra) or plain terrifying (the murky ocean deep). I can't help seeing it as a false move to substitute one part - beauty - for the whole. So overall, I'm "indifferent."

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them 🙂
     
    You are being quite a good example of the "science cannot answer all questions therefore everything goes" attitude that Silvio and I were discussing the other day.

    But in a way you are right. If I completely open my mind to the world of fairies and actually go to the mountains with the explicit purpose of finding them, there is little doubt that I will find them. Our minds can do that for us and much more. In fact, why go to the mountains for that purpose at all? It may be harder to find fairies in a city but, as you said, city parks also have them, if you know where and how to look, and I'm sure you can also find them in your bedroom if you just try and want it hard enough.

    But I personally don't find this kind of suggestion-induced experience useful in my life. Since childhood I have found nature glorious just the way it is and I fear that trying to add magical elements to my experience would actually break all the charm. I'm quite content with continuing to experience the great outdoors the way I always have, with no fairies or monsters.

    As for your suggestion that my mild hallucinatory feelings in moments of deep exhaustion were the product of my mind being open to new dimensions of reality, no, I think we can discard that (it wasn't a 4,500 mt mountain btw, it was 5,400 mt one: Cerro El Plomo). One of the well known symptoms of acute altitude sickness is full-on hallucinations. I remember this documentary on deaths on the Everest where they showed a guy who was sick and stuck at a very high altitude. He was so far gone that, at some point, he started undressing himself, in absolutely frigid temperatures. If I remember correctly, they couldn't do anything for him. Helicopters cannot reach those heights and trying to carry a person in that state down to safety is a tremendous risk. That's how the highest parts of the Everest normal route have become strewn with corpses. You might think that this guy was just experiencing different dimension of reality due to the exceptional circumstances of the moment, but I'm pretty sure that it was rather brain edema, a well known consequence of altitude sickness, and liquid compressing his brain was making him live a fatal hallucination. That's all.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Emil Nikola Richard

  669. @songbird
    In the Border Country, 'riding' and 'raiding' were the same word, as well as 'road' and 'raid.'

    When LBJ's family went 'riding', they were going 'raiding.'

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    The guys who conquered the Comanches were a wild bunch.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I remember from reading GMF that there was some character that made a snuff pouch out of some Indian's testes. (He must have been a homo).

  670. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Ah, good to you see you’re still around. I was beginning to curse, “Where is that bloviating bear dancer when you want to talk to him! When you don’t, you can hardly shut him up.” (Note: I have been accused – irl, too – of never shutting up myself, so I am no better.) 🙂

    So it seems my suspicions were right: you are a kindred – if wayward – soul.

    I am actually somewhat surprised that you, who seem to locate all your ambitions and happiness in the physical things of this world, admit to such a feeling

    Eh, I may strike a pose as a hardy realist unafraid to confront head-on the harsh realities of our earthly existence, but that’s certainly not where I want to live.

    I always longed for another more magical world – I grew up steeped in fantasy books, and the world described in them often felt more real than this one.

    As did I. Totally immersed in fantasy. I couldn’t say those worlds felt “more real” to me, but they certainly felt more important. Our task, as I saw it, was to make this world, our world, more like those worlds. And to my delight, science seemed to offer the tools with which to do it. Fantasy worlds had to rely on “tricks” like magic, but we had the real magic. Religion was nice, but kinda quaint, and prayer didn’t seem to do anything. But our scientific incantations – our chemical formulas, our mathematical equations – these actually worked.

    In fact, the dominant emotion in me in nature is actually an almost painful sense of yearning – a sense that I have a entered a place that is the doorway to a world of pure magic.

    Nature has never had this effect on me, I don’t think. But video games did. Video games were my other great obsession. Not just for the simple thrills they provided (though that was certainly part of it), but because I saw them as a kind of “portal” through which we could at least glimpse other worlds, if not enter them fully. This felt more real than passively watching films, or exercising my imagination through the pages of books, or when I was younger, through endless, endless playacting.

    That said, I did have some physical “sacred spaces” too. In dreams, I would sometimes find myself there, and then from there I would literally (in the dream) enter new worlds. I used to term these “magic dreams.” These were painfully beautiful and the memory of them would haunt me for days afterwards. I still remember many of them. Maybe the most powerful one, when I was about five, left me in tears the whole next day – it was so beautiful I wanted to go back, and I was crying and upset because I couldn’t. This distressed my mother, but I either couldn’t find the words or I was too embarrassed to explain why I was crying. (Weird kid, I guess.)

    The central mistake is to think we must physically get to the stars – but you will find them as drab and ordinary as earthly matter if you cannot see aright

    It’s the journey, not the destination, that excites me. It’s like they say, “half the fun is getting there.”
    But you have to set a destination else you lose the effect. You can’t just suggest to friends “you wanna go for a drive?” Well where to? “It doesn’t matter, we’ll just drive around.” That’s not nearly as fun as actually going somewhere.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yes, I’m quite the bloviator 🙂 I come from a family of bloviators, I come from a race of bloviators, and I am myself a proud bloviator who never knows when to shut up, and such I will die, probably killed by some third world mob for not knowing when it is good for me to stop bloviating.

    I totally hear you about video games, although weirdly I never got into them. But the world-building in video games always seemed massively appealing to me and a way to get lost in other worlds. I really don’t know why I never got into them!

    As for science, it started as a continuation of magic, and sci-fi definitely goes some way towards satisfying that sense of wonder we all crave. Science has a sort of dual character – on the one hand it is the expression of our desire for mere control and domination, but on the other hand it has also always been an expression of our desire for wonder and delight in exploring the wonderful mysteries of the universe.

    So perhaps there is a “good” science and a “bad” science – and what has happened today is we have fallen entirely under the malign spell of the “bad” science, the one that has lost its sense of wonder and mystery and has become about mere control.

    That, too, is why science is stagnating – the loss of the dimension of imagination in favor of narrow minded bureaucratic control.

    Lately I’ve begun to think of the dichotomy of journey and destination as false – we are journeying into the Infinite, and while we have a general direction and signposts along the way, the nature of the journey is that we can never know beforehand where we will end up – except that its into the infinitely expanding Good, the Beautiful, and the True, to use that hoary old religious expression that has never been bettered.

    Paul Kingsnorth has a nice line in one of his religiously infused novels “to cross wall, abandon maps”.

    Part of recovering a more vital and exuberant consciousness will surely be to abandon maps – excessive mapping is a left hemisphere phenomenon, and having too clear a map will inevitably cut us off from engagement – from encountering – the larger and mysterious Reality that is out there. We will be stuck in the maps and not the reality.

    And surely one of the factors keeping modern civilization stagnant and stuck is excessive reliance on maps.

    I used to be – and still am – attracted to the Taoist and Zen sense that “there is nowhere go, we are there already” and the call to “aimless wandering”. On the level of intuition I dimly perceived that our excessive maps are killing us. Read poorly, this may seem a call to stagnation, but the deeper you read in the texts and the more you develop your own ability to read spiritual texts the more clear it becomes that it is s call, one, to see the “extra” dimension, the dimension of the Infinite, that even now infuses “mere” matter with sacredness, with beauty and wonder, and also a call to abandon maps in our wandering into this infinite in favor of a direct creative encounter with Reality, which is beyond any map our puny minds can conceive.

    The problem with technological progress as an infinite frontier is that it substitutes mere multiplication for “qualitative” gain – multiplying physical reality will not gain us access to the realm of infinite “quality” we crave, the realm of wonder amd value. Theologians have called this the “bad infinite” as opposed to the “good infinite”.

    Of course, science as expanding the frontier of wonder, as revealing ever new vistas of the strange and mysterious wonder of our world, is no bad thing, and even control of our environment is healthy and good to some extent.

    But technology as multiplication of “mere” matter is no substitute for the wonder we crave – it is no gain in dimension, only in quantity – and science as reductionism and excessive reliance on abstract maps is no genuine encounter with the mysterious Real we crave.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I used to be – and still am – attracted to the Taoist and Zen sense that “there is nowhere go, we are there already” and the call to “aimless wandering”.
     
    Well, if your adoption of this outlook causes you to be indifferent to journeying somewhere specific or simply staying put where you are, then you are one hell of a rarity. And I think it would take some really stern dogmatism to deny the experience of most of other people that one of choices is vastly more fun than the other.

    And really, just because you plan to journey somewhere specific doesn't mean you have to act like a 'vacation commando,' sticking tightly to the plan, anxiously controlling every aspect and counting off the seconds until the next 'operation' on your itinerary is set to commence. You can travel fast or slow, make unscheduled stops or detours along the way, rewrite or completely toss out the itinerary altogether. Setting the destination is more a way to catalyze the journey than its raison d'etre.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  671. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I think you may have to delve into "epistemology" in general - the inquiry into how we know anything at all, in order to really see where we stand in relation to "reality" :)

    The important thing is not so much believing in any set of propositions - religion is not in the end a set of propositions - but to liberate oneself from the dogmatic assertion of modern times that there cannot exist anything beyond matter.

    The idea that there is nothing beyond the physical - or no teleogy to the universe - isn't proven by science - its an ideological commitment, a dogma.

    Science started as a technique whose purpose was to gain control of nature - it had to exclude from consideration anything that wasn't relevant to this. All techniques have to demarcate their area of inquiry by excluding non-relevant considerations. Over time, it transformed into a metaphysics - a claim about ultimate reality - the dogmatic belief that anything science cannot measure doesn't exist.

    But that's simply a category error. Obviously, you will not "discover" what you have chosen to exclude from sight as a way to demarcate your area of inquiry.

    Its like saying you're only going to study forests - you've pre-set the boundaries of your inquiry - and then decided that mountains and oceans don't exist because you haven't found them in forests.

    Future historians will regard the past few hundred years as one of the weirdest chapters in the intellectual history of the human race.

    It's a shocking discovery for those of us reared on dogmatism, like myself - but all our knowledge contains an element of faith. We can't prove one thing causes another, the most basic element of knowledge. We can't prove the sun will rise tomorrow or gravity will still obtain tomorrow - science has no true laws, just the observation of past regularities. We can't even prove we exist, or our minds truly are accessing reality.

    Life itself in the end is a leap of faith - pure rationality cannot access reality, it is a form of insanity, like schizophrenia.

    Propositional religious claims may be false, or lacking in any proof, but "naturalism" is equally an incoherent dogma that is believed in as an ideological commitment.

    But the important things isn't to believe in propositions, but to come into contact with a larger reality that may be called "supernatural" - or a larger dimension to reality - than mere matter. And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not :)

    And reason and science themselves, in their limited domains, provide significant evidence for the existence of the supernatural and teleology, although it does not - and cannot - prove this. But faith in the supernatural does not stand on a significantly different footing than much of what we claim we "know", once one delves into epistemology.

    And again religion isn't primarily about a set of propositional truths, but about direct contact with a "larger" reality - as in Zen and mysticism. The propositional "truths" of religion are mere attempts to express in language what is at the limits of the expressible, not dogmatic assertions - it's a modern corruption that they've become literal dogmatic assertions.

    For instance, the Hindu idea that the world is the "play" of Brahman - to take this as a propositional truth one must dogmatically assent to is misplaced. It expresses at the limits of language the sense of wonder at why anything exists rather than nothing - and the intuitive sense here is, why, if something exists at all, it must be for joy! Why else exist? Of course, the "naturalistic" explanation, that the world just "is", is incoherent on its own terms - the natural system of cause and effect just suddenly stops at the limits of the system, and we can't inquire further.

    Or that Jesus is God - as a literal propositional truth, who knows? But as a significant mystery - a man comes who tells us to live completely opposite to the supposed common sense rules of life and becomes the basis of a world religion - there is something there, but who knows precisely what.

    Religion is more a state of receptive open mindedness to the larger mysteries around us and a direct contact with a larger reality than any set of dogmatic propositional truths, and religious language isn't literal but at the limits of the expressible.

    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them :)

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Mikel

    And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not

    Sorry, but I must speak up here for nature “indifferentists” like myself. We too are capable of great loves which, whether we accept it or not, point us to a larger dimension to reality (or beyond ‘mere reality’). By reducing everything to the material, we completely unnecessarily rob ourselves of this vantage point. As a passage in Ben Jeffrey’s “Anti-Matter: Michel Houellebecq and Depressive Realism” puts it:

    The villainy of materialism is that it undermines [things that find their best expression in non-biological, non-material terms]: for instance, when it tells us that love is only a disguise for the urge to reproduce. Along this road we lose the use of a very fundamental and comforting terminology, or at least are obliged to admit that it gives a false or misleading account of human behaviour. It emerges that there is basically no getting over yourself, no escapingyour skull – and the more you are led to feel this way themore you are inclined to see life as isolated and vanishing.

    On “nature indifferentism,” sticking solely to landscapes, yes, part of nature is breathtakingly beautiful, but only a part. Other parts are mostly featureless (desert sands), butt ugly (arttic tundra) or plain terrifying (the murky ocean deep). I can’t help seeing it as a false move to substitute one part – beauty – for the whole. So overall, I’m “indifferent.”

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    It all comes back to cultivating "right vision". I have my preferences in natural beauty, but I am increasingly cultivating the ability to see beauty in all types of natural terrain.

    And as all mystics and religious writers knew, right vision depends on right living to a significant extent. At times when I am more egotistic, selfish, aggressive, or attached, the beauty and magic of the natural world actually dims before my eyes and I find it harder to see it! It's quite incredible.

    However, you're quite correct that some places are far more beautiful than others, and some places rather ordinary. Mankind has always had the sense that some places are especially "sacred", infused with the divine energy to a particularly high degree.

    Even though the mystic vision is that the world is a paradise, the religious vision has always granted that there is some sort of corruption or distortion in the world that makes that more apparent in some places, or that places the world in need of redemption or repair.

    So it's not so much seeing nature entirely and perfectly as Divine - there are dark, destructive forces in nature too - but as "shot through" with the numinous, as a theophany that reveals the divine Glory, but often imperfectly. There is another dimension and a more perfect world peering through.

    And in the end, I am astonished at how much beautiful nature there is, and at how soothed and consoled I am by even being in an ordinary forest that isn't particularly interesting.

    But I do think appreciating nature is an essential aspect of the religious vision, and we are impoverished to the extent we are not.

  672. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    The guys who conquered the Comanches were a wild bunch.

    https://www.amazon.com/Blood-Meridian-Evening-Redness-West/dp/0679728759

    Replies: @songbird

    I remember from reading GMF that there was some character that made a snuff pouch out of some Indian’s testes. (He must have been a homo).

  673. TG 1233: Who Is Igor Strelkov And Why Is He Under Arrest?

  674. The Battle of Rabotino…

    Sounds like a growing pile of scrap metal.

  675. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Yes, I'm quite the bloviator :) I come from a family of bloviators, I come from a race of bloviators, and I am myself a proud bloviator who never knows when to shut up, and such I will die, probably killed by some third world mob for not knowing when it is good for me to stop bloviating.

    I totally hear you about video games, although weirdly I never got into them. But the world-building in video games always seemed massively appealing to me and a way to get lost in other worlds. I really don't know why I never got into them!

    As for science, it started as a continuation of magic, and sci-fi definitely goes some way towards satisfying that sense of wonder we all crave. Science has a sort of dual character - on the one hand it is the expression of our desire for mere control and domination, but on the other hand it has also always been an expression of our desire for wonder and delight in exploring the wonderful mysteries of the universe.

    So perhaps there is a "good" science and a "bad" science - and what has happened today is we have fallen entirely under the malign spell of the "bad" science, the one that has lost its sense of wonder and mystery and has become about mere control.

    That, too, is why science is stagnating - the loss of the dimension of imagination in favor of narrow minded bureaucratic control.

    Lately I've begun to think of the dichotomy of journey and destination as false - we are journeying into the Infinite, and while we have a general direction and signposts along the way, the nature of the journey is that we can never know beforehand where we will end up - except that its into the infinitely expanding Good, the Beautiful, and the True, to use that hoary old religious expression that has never been bettered.

    Paul Kingsnorth has a nice line in one of his religiously infused novels "to cross wall, abandon maps".

    Part of recovering a more vital and exuberant consciousness will surely be to abandon maps - excessive mapping is a left hemisphere phenomenon, and having too clear a map will inevitably cut us off from engagement - from encountering - the larger and mysterious Reality that is out there. We will be stuck in the maps and not the reality.

    And surely one of the factors keeping modern civilization stagnant and stuck is excessive reliance on maps.

    I used to be - and still am - attracted to the Taoist and Zen sense that "there is nowhere go, we are there already" and the call to "aimless wandering". On the level of intuition I dimly perceived that our excessive maps are killing us. Read poorly, this may seem a call to stagnation, but the deeper you read in the texts and the more you develop your own ability to read spiritual texts the more clear it becomes that it is s call, one, to see the "extra" dimension, the dimension of the Infinite, that even now infuses "mere" matter with sacredness, with beauty and wonder, and also a call to abandon maps in our wandering into this infinite in favor of a direct creative encounter with Reality, which is beyond any map our puny minds can conceive.

    The problem with technological progress as an infinite frontier is that it substitutes mere multiplication for "qualitative" gain - multiplying physical reality will not gain us access to the realm of infinite "quality" we crave, the realm of wonder amd value. Theologians have called this the "bad infinite" as opposed to the "good infinite".

    Of course, science as expanding the frontier of wonder, as revealing ever new vistas of the strange and mysterious wonder of our world, is no bad thing, and even control of our environment is healthy and good to some extent.

    But technology as multiplication of "mere" matter is no substitute for the wonder we crave - it is no gain in dimension, only in quantity - and science as reductionism and excessive reliance on abstract maps is no genuine encounter with the mysterious Real we crave.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    I used to be – and still am – attracted to the Taoist and Zen sense that “there is nowhere go, we are there already” and the call to “aimless wandering”.

    Well, if your adoption of this outlook causes you to be indifferent to journeying somewhere specific or simply staying put where you are, then you are one hell of a rarity. And I think it would take some really stern dogmatism to deny the experience of most of other people that one of choices is vastly more fun than the other.

    And really, just because you plan to journey somewhere specific doesn’t mean you have to act like a ‘vacation commando,’ sticking tightly to the plan, anxiously controlling every aspect and counting off the seconds until the next ‘operation’ on your itinerary is set to commence. You can travel fast or slow, make unscheduled stops or detours along the way, rewrite or completely toss out the itinerary altogether. Setting the destination is more a way to catalyze the journey than its raison d’etre.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    I probably didn't explain it well, but I definitely agree that the journey should have a destination. For instance, I don't think the spiritual journey can just as well be a descent into evil.

    But I do think a significant part of the journey ought to be a process of letting go, of exploration, and a "discovery" rather than a clear map - although certainly, you are going in one general direction.

    Spiritually, this means a certain "letting go" in order to come into contact with a larger Reality that exceeds all your expectations and preconceived notions.

    In creative endeavors, certainly there is an element of intentional guidance - but there must be an element of imaginative receptivity to a larger reality beyond your preconceived notions, beyond your map, or there will be no genuine creativity.

    And perhaps that is why there is no creativity today, especially in science - we have lost our imaginative receptivity to a reality that isn't on our maps. We have too many maps.

  676. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not
     
    Sorry, but I must speak up here for nature "indifferentists" like myself. We too are capable of great loves which, whether we accept it or not, point us to a larger dimension to reality (or beyond 'mere reality'). By reducing everything to the material, we completely unnecessarily rob ourselves of this vantage point. As a passage in Ben Jeffrey's "Anti-Matter: Michel Houellebecq and Depressive Realism" puts it:

    The villainy of materialism is that it undermines [things that find their best expression in non-biological, non-material terms]: for instance, when it tells us that love is only a disguise for the urge to reproduce. Along this road we lose the use of a very fundamental and comforting terminology, or at least are obliged to admit that it gives a false or misleading account of human behaviour. It emerges that there is basically no getting over yourself, no escapingyour skull – and the more you are led to feel this way themore you are inclined to see life as isolated and vanishing.
     
    On "nature indifferentism," sticking solely to landscapes, yes, part of nature is breathtakingly beautiful, but only a part. Other parts are mostly featureless (desert sands), butt ugly (arttic tundra) or plain terrifying (the murky ocean deep). I can't help seeing it as a false move to substitute one part - beauty - for the whole. So overall, I'm "indifferent."

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    It all comes back to cultivating “right vision”. I have my preferences in natural beauty, but I am increasingly cultivating the ability to see beauty in all types of natural terrain.

    And as all mystics and religious writers knew, right vision depends on right living to a significant extent. At times when I am more egotistic, selfish, aggressive, or attached, the beauty and magic of the natural world actually dims before my eyes and I find it harder to see it! It’s quite incredible.

    However, you’re quite correct that some places are far more beautiful than others, and some places rather ordinary. Mankind has always had the sense that some places are especially “sacred”, infused with the divine energy to a particularly high degree.

    Even though the mystic vision is that the world is a paradise, the religious vision has always granted that there is some sort of corruption or distortion in the world that makes that more apparent in some places, or that places the world in need of redemption or repair.

    So it’s not so much seeing nature entirely and perfectly as Divine – there are dark, destructive forces in nature too – but as “shot through” with the numinous, as a theophany that reveals the divine Glory, but often imperfectly. There is another dimension and a more perfect world peering through.

    And in the end, I am astonished at how much beautiful nature there is, and at how soothed and consoled I am by even being in an ordinary forest that isn’t particularly interesting.

    But I do think appreciating nature is an essential aspect of the religious vision, and we are impoverished to the extent we are not.

  677. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I used to be – and still am – attracted to the Taoist and Zen sense that “there is nowhere go, we are there already” and the call to “aimless wandering”.
     
    Well, if your adoption of this outlook causes you to be indifferent to journeying somewhere specific or simply staying put where you are, then you are one hell of a rarity. And I think it would take some really stern dogmatism to deny the experience of most of other people that one of choices is vastly more fun than the other.

    And really, just because you plan to journey somewhere specific doesn't mean you have to act like a 'vacation commando,' sticking tightly to the plan, anxiously controlling every aspect and counting off the seconds until the next 'operation' on your itinerary is set to commence. You can travel fast or slow, make unscheduled stops or detours along the way, rewrite or completely toss out the itinerary altogether. Setting the destination is more a way to catalyze the journey than its raison d'etre.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I probably didn’t explain it well, but I definitely agree that the journey should have a destination. For instance, I don’t think the spiritual journey can just as well be a descent into evil.

    But I do think a significant part of the journey ought to be a process of letting go, of exploration, and a “discovery” rather than a clear map – although certainly, you are going in one general direction.

    Spiritually, this means a certain “letting go” in order to come into contact with a larger Reality that exceeds all your expectations and preconceived notions.

    In creative endeavors, certainly there is an element of intentional guidance – but there must be an element of imaginative receptivity to a larger reality beyond your preconceived notions, beyond your map, or there will be no genuine creativity.

    And perhaps that is why there is no creativity today, especially in science – we have lost our imaginative receptivity to a reality that isn’t on our maps. We have too many maps.

  678. AP says:
    @silviosilver
    @AP


    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.
     
    You "suppose," do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn't a chance you'll purely reason your way through to that conclusion. And if you ever think you have, the simple test of trying to walk a skeptic through your chain of reasoning ought to be enough to disabuse you.

    But so what if it's a leap of faith? Is faith any less than reason? It certainly is with respect to the material world. As atheists rightly never tire of reminding us, faith is a useless means of attaining knowledge of the material world. But faith is the precise means - the ultimate means - through which we attain knowledge of God.

    There's really no other way. Reason can guide us. Through reason, we can establish plausibility - the very plausibility that is the engine of faith (if it stops running, faith shrivels and dies). This preparatory work is no mean feat. It doesn't come easy. We have to labor to achieve it. But even when we have, the final step will always be a leap of faith.

    You can liken to someone following a treasure map, down the valley, through the woods, up the mountainside, for perilous days and nights, until finally the treasure lies within sight - on the other side of a ravine. The treasure hunter's heart races - it's a long way down! But there's a good chance he'll make it. He's come this far, to hell with it, he leaps. Perhaps someone else who'd merely stumbled across the treasure-within-sight might be tempted, but phew, that's a steep fall, he chooses not to risk it.

    Replies: @AP, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I agree in general with this post and your other ones. On this topic I may have reached the same conclusion as you did when I was younger, but you are able to describe the process in this and in your other posts far better than I am. I’ll just defer to your points. But one quibble:

    You “suppose,” do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn’t a chance you’ll purely reason your way through to that conclusion

    I think there is such a chance. Accept rationally that phenomena exist that can’t be truly measured or understood by science and that biological apes we are no more capable of truly knowing ultimate reality as are bats, as you aptly stated. This opens the door to various possibilities. So far, we are in the territory of reason, no faith necessary.

    Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so. One could examine various spiritual traditions and their fruits and reason oneself into deciding that a particular faith is most likely to be the true one. A very rough outline for reasoning one’s way into accepting Christianity as the most likely true faith might be to consider its impact on ethics, the nature of its miracles, the art it’s adherents and its world have produced, the impact it has had on mankind’s ability to control the physical world, the fact that it has spread around the world, etc. Would Ultimate Reality have been discovered only by the Aztecs, whose world was so quickly swept away by the Christians? The God of the resurrected Christ, of Bach, Dostoyevsky, Augustine, Pasteur, etc. is more reasonably likely than animal-headed gods of primitive tribals.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @AP


    Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so.
     
    I think it's valid to draw a distinction between reasonable faith and blind faith, although there's ultimately overlap and at the "highest" levels probably no effective difference. (If you're going to say your faith is "unshakeable," then how you got there, through reason, zeal or simply naievete, doesn't seem to matter.) I take you to be an advocate of reasonable faith, as am I. The bolded statement above indicates to me that you believe an even higher level of belief of God is that which is achieved through reason alone, without any leap of faith. I just don't see why that should be so.

    Earlier I allowed that faith is a useless means to knowledge of mere reality - you might have faith in physical laws, but you're not going to faith your way to physical laws. But I maintained that faith is the proper means of knowing God. Maybe we should take this further and say that faith is the means by which God wants to be known. He doesn't want people who are tricked into believing in him, and this includes people who are merely rationally convinced to believe in him. Why? Because people who are rationally convinced can be rationally unconvinced. If some argument today leads them to believe in God, another argument tomorrow might convince them to abandon faith in God.

    So rational reasons might be necessary, or at least helpful, but they cannot be enough. Evangelists who think feeding people rational reasons is sufficient are like an army that gives recruits perfunctory training and poor equipment and sends them into battle while knowing the enemy is better trained and better equipped. I want to say we mustn't shy away from defending faith qua faith. It's not "cool," our peers will jeer us, and we ourselves might feel sheepish. But if faith is the sine qua non of knowing God, then we mustn't let that deter us.

    Replies: @AP

  679. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn’t automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you’d have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:
     
    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?
     
    I suspect some were real, others were not.

    You think that atheists and agnostics don’t have worries? Especially if they’re not rich? They simply don’t worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.
     
    Well, that's a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

    You have this touching belief in the accuracy of what you call “eyewitnesses” from 2,000 years ago.

    Actually, the New Testament was put together in its initial version 35-50 years after the supposed events by a committee that had a mission to consolidate and spread Christianity. They had some recollections and a few stories that had circulated among the believers. They also had some skilled writers – what we would call today the Marketing Dept.

    It was then rewritten and edited for 200 years, adding and dropping passages, translating words differently, etc… the final-enough version was agreed on sometimes in the 4th century in both Greek and Latin. So much for the eyewitnesses.

    They probably even believed some of it, but given our human nature, there was a huge amount of self-serving behavior. When you try to start a religion (in effect a new ideology) you will over-simplify, mythologize and cut corners. Look at our Polish-Ukie friends for a recent example of how this process works…:)

    It is an ok narrative: the Jesus and disciples, myths, flights of fancy…a heavily edited beautified set of unverifiable stories. The kind of stories about miracles, salvation and the ultimate good life that humans have been telling to each other since the Stone Age. But it is a fictionalized account of events that may or may not happened. Thus the belief part.

    I find it amusing that someone like you, who often rails against the more recent utopian ideologies is so defensive about the much more primitive ancient stuff. Christianity is responsible for an order of magnitude more suffering, genocides and brutal murders than the modern day “socialism”. But you are a simpleton raised on these beliefs and you have the weird belief in the approved authority of the day – as I said, you would be a great commie – so “Apostle Matthew” wouldn’t lie to you. If there was an “Apostle Matthew”.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Beckow


    You have this touching belief in the accuracy of what you call “eyewitnesses” from 2,000 years ago.

    Actually, the New Testament was put together in its initial version 35-50 years after the supposed events
     
    Sure, which is why some inconsequential details are inconsistent.

    But the initial writings came 35 years after the fact, not 2,000.

    It is an ok narrative
     
    Beckow, as proud as he is stupid, considers it an “okay narrative.” Good to know.

    Christianity is responsible for an order of magnitude more suffering, genocides and brutal murders than the modern day “socialism”

     

    Comparing 2000 years of history to 150? Christians have done evil but have also done good. The balance is not so favorable for socialists.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  680. AP says:
    @Beckow
    @AP

    You have this touching belief in the accuracy of what you call "eyewitnesses" from 2,000 years ago.

    Actually, the New Testament was put together in its initial version 35-50 years after the supposed events by a committee that had a mission to consolidate and spread Christianity. They had some recollections and a few stories that had circulated among the believers. They also had some skilled writers - what we would call today the Marketing Dept.

    It was then rewritten and edited for 200 years, adding and dropping passages, translating words differently, etc... the final-enough version was agreed on sometimes in the 4th century in both Greek and Latin. So much for the eyewitnesses.

    They probably even believed some of it, but given our human nature, there was a huge amount of self-serving behavior. When you try to start a religion (in effect a new ideology) you will over-simplify, mythologize and cut corners. Look at our Polish-Ukie friends for a recent example of how this process works...:)

    It is an ok narrative: the Jesus and disciples, myths, flights of fancy...a heavily edited beautified set of unverifiable stories. The kind of stories about miracles, salvation and the ultimate good life that humans have been telling to each other since the Stone Age. But it is a fictionalized account of events that may or may not happened. Thus the belief part.

    I find it amusing that someone like you, who often rails against the more recent utopian ideologies is so defensive about the much more primitive ancient stuff. Christianity is responsible for an order of magnitude more suffering, genocides and brutal murders than the modern day "socialism". But you are a simpleton raised on these beliefs and you have the weird belief in the approved authority of the day - as I said, you would be a great commie - so "Apostle Matthew" wouldn't lie to you. If there was an "Apostle Matthew".

    Replies: @AP

    You have this touching belief in the accuracy of what you call “eyewitnesses” from 2,000 years ago.

    Actually, the New Testament was put together in its initial version 35-50 years after the supposed events

    Sure, which is why some inconsequential details are inconsistent.

    But the initial writings came 35 years after the fact, not 2,000.

    It is an ok narrative

    Beckow, as proud as he is stupid, considers it an “okay narrative.” Good to know.

    Christianity is responsible for an order of magnitude more suffering, genocides and brutal murders than the modern day “socialism”

    Comparing 2000 years of history to 150? Christians have done evil but have also done good. The balance is not so favorable for socialists.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    But the initial writings came 35 years after the fact, not 2,000.
     
    Paul of Tarsus began writing 20-ish years after Jesus's death, no? But Yes, the first Gospel *that we are currently aware of* was written around AD 70. Interestingly enough, that Gospel, specifically the Gospel of Mark, doesn't actually mention any post-Resurrection appearances by Jesus in its original version, though Paul of Tarsus's earlier writings do.

    The balance is not so favorable for socialists.
     
    Exclude the Communists and things should look considerably better, no? In democratic countries, the non-Communist left's main weakness was pushing through blank slatism. That, unfortunately, was deeply regretful. Though I don't know just how committed they were to this idea before WWII and especially WWI. AFAIK, leftists also supported colonialism until the World Wars.
  681. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The longer the war goes on the more chance that Kiev is attacked again, and all indications are that Ukraine is not going to get any territory currently Russia occupied back on the battlefield, so why are Kiev continuing to fight?

    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven't arrived.

    Odds of an attack on Kiev are nil unless Putin can talk Belarus into it. Even in that scenario it would be extremely difficult because the north has natural defenses and is now mined. That is why Putin hasn't built up an attack force across the border.

    You also can't occupy a defiant city of 3 million with demoralized conscripts. There will be AK-47s in windows and women leading Russian men down dark alleys. They weren't able to even get into the city with regulars on their first attempt. Putin just wants his Donbas slice so he can get out while he still has a head.

    While the Russians’ morale might collapse so might Ukrainians’.

    I see no reason to believe that. Ukraine could run low on men but not morale.

    Putin's defenders imagine courageous Slavs and not fringe of the empire minorities like this guy:

    https://youtu.be/LSS43oC-zyg?t=18

    Ukraine just needs to find a point in the line where enough disillusioned minorities decide to walk or better yet kill their commanders.

    A similar strategy to what the Russians did at Stalingrad. They pushed on the weaker Italian and Romanian line.

    Replies: @Sean

    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven’t arrived.

    Ukraine has theatre parity in everything except jet fighters–which the Russians cannot used over the battlefield because of the profusion of Stingers)–although Ukraine has enough fighters launch Storm Shadow attacks on Russia command and control and supply hubs.. In long range precision precision missiles capable of hitting hardened command bunkers, Ukraine has an advantage. Russia has AA systems designed to shoot down F16s, and hundreds of planes of it own at least as good as the F16, so mere parity would require Ukraine to be given hundreds of F16. The planes are just an excuse anyway because the main problem in coming to grips with the Russian defence line is getting through minefields while under observation from omnipresent drones (drones are a big reason why aircraft are less important and howitzers are dominating).The Ukrainians have been given been given advanced equipment for winning artillery duels and they can establish dominance at points of their choosing, plus they have lots of drones.

    The problem is the concentration of a powerful force to send through the breach in enemy lines and sustain a deep drive into the enemy areas to fully exploit requires the forming up of the units beforehad , and such a concentration is now immediately located by surveillance drones and attacked by artillery and kamikaze drones. Modern warfare in not what everyone (including the Russians and Americans) thought it was.

    That POW fellow was a bolshie convict, it’s no secret that convicts are there to soak up firepower and preserve the real RF trained soldiers who were too few in number; Ukraine started with a very substantial manpower advantage on the battlefield but that is inexorably declining not because of convicts but a tardy Russian mobilisation still ongoing (hundreds of thousands more set of body armour have just been ordered from China).

    In trying get back everything taken from it, Ukraine is of course doing what any country would if it did not know what might be achieved at moderate cost by a determined offensive, but there is soon going to come a point a point after Kiev current offensive has culminated that they will be under no illusions about the possibility of driving the Russians back , and continuing as Russia begins to have a manpower advantage will entail risking the loss of more Ukrainian territory. This idea that Russia has done its worst already was Ukraine’s cardinal error in the run up to the 2022 invasion, which they did not think Russia could or would do seeing the preparations as sabre rattling because Russia was too intimidated by the military might of America.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Sean

    Russia has AA systems designed to shoot down F16s, and hundreds of planes of it own at least as good as the F16, so mere parity would require Ukraine to be given hundreds of F16. The planes are just an excuse anyway because the main problem in coming to grips with the Russian defence line is getting through minefields while under observation from omnipresent drones (drones are a big reason why aircraft are less important and howitzers are dominating).

    Russia has AA systems that are attacked daily by drones and artillery.

    Ukraine isn't going to send out F16s without clearing a path. Sure they will lose a few but that is war.

    The F16s will be useful in shock and harassment tactics. Keep the enemy up few a few days before moving troops forward. Being able to call in an airstrike is also a major boost to infantry morale. They can also be called in to scare off enemy helicopters.

    and continuing as Russia begins to have a manpower advantage will entail risking the loss of more Ukrainian territory

    Russia has the manpower advantage but the quality of conscripts continues to decline. This is an old problem in war whereby conscripting randos leads to more conscription as they aren't equivalent to professional troops.

    I fully accept the possibility that Ukraine could hit a wall at some point which would require accepting land losses. That has always be true. But that certainly isn't today given that their F16s and M1s haven't arrived. Putin's defenders that want them to quit have been saying that from day one. It has nothing to do with the best interest of Ukraine. Those defenders supported the end of Ukraine.

    But we could also see a situation where the Russian line collapses and the people at home accept that Putin is a war dunce. Most Russians are still trying to convince themselves that Putin is playing 4d chess. Demoralization of the Russian military and public should be the main goal. I actually don't think the traditional mentality of trying to take every inch of land makes sense. That is what lead to huge mistakes in WW1. But I also understand that Ukraine is under pressure from the West to show gains. I have been very critical of that expectation. Ukraine's generals should fight the war as they see fit. If that means slow attrition then so be it.

    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Sean

    I must say, Sean, I'm very impressed that you're using reason and logic on JJ. I just haven't got the patience.

  682. @Beckow
    @sudden death

    You didn't answer my question, instead you said that the magnitude of the violations was less with the US, that they didn't "annex" the attacked territories. Well, but they happened first - so that is a precedent for the others. How far they take it depends on circumstances: Crimea and Donbas are much more legitimately "Russian" (in some sense) than Iraq or Serbia would be American. The cookie crumbles differently based on circumstances.

    Let me try again:

    US reserves the right to unilaterally leave any treaty that no longer suits them. They did with ABM, they attacked Serbia and Iraq openly violating the UN Charter that they signed. So why exactly should Russia be held to a higher standard?

    Why country X can, but country Y cannot? Any “rules-based’ system can't work that way.

    Tell us why. The above is true and maybe there is an answer in your mind that Nato can because they are special or you just don't care - but then don't talk about broken treaties. This is very fundamental, your avoiding it is a de facto concession that you have no argument - it is up to the force.


    This line of reasonong also means UA has the right to own nuclear weapons in order to defend itself fom RF.
     
    Of course they do. Any country that can make nukes and get away with it has the right. Correspondingly, Russia has the "right" to try to prevent it - by any means necessary. Look at the Iran case - they can if they can get away with, but the others will do their utmost to prevent it.

    You still don't understand that we live in a post-rules world. The primary reason is that US-Nato broke all the rules and got away with it for decades. These are the wages of the bombed children in Serbia and Iraq coming back to haunt us.

    Replies: @sudden death

    Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.

    Not first at all – RF army together with “volunteers” attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.

    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it’s kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.

    • Disagree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    Not first at all – RF army together with “volunteers” attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.
     
    No one asked Moldova to become part of the USSR. Conversely, no one asked Pridnestrovie (Transnistria and other closely related spellings) to become part of the Moldvaian SSR or that territory as an independent entity.

    As for what happened in the early 1990s, nationalists with a pro-Romanian bent engaged in trouble making in the pro-Russian Pridnestrovie area. The Russian army stationed there with the clear support of the majority of Pridnestrovie's population successfully fought back, resulting in the present frozen conflict status.

    , @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it’s kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.
     
    Russia has never recognized Pridnestrovie's declared independence or desire to reunite with Russia. Hence, Kosovo does see as a modern day precedent.

    https://www.rt.com/russia/554574-putin-kosovo-un-chief/

    Replies: @sudden death

    , @AP
    @sudden death


    “Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.”

    Not first at all – RF army together with “volunteers” attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering
     
    The other precedent set by Russia that Beckow conveniently ignores is that long before Donbas was bombed by Kiev, Russia bombed rebellious Chechnya. Russia did it in 1994-1995. 30,000-40,000 civilians died there, according to Russian government statistics (other figures double that amount). About 10 times the number of civilians killed in Donbas from 2014-2022. In a much less populated region.

    So Russia set the precedent of how to treat civilians in rebel territory, though the Kiev government was an order of magnitude more gentle and humane than was Russia.

    Replies: @Mikhail

  683. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel


    Although certain functions show a degree of lateralization in the brain – with language predominantly processed in the left hemisphere, and spatial and nonverbal reasoning in the right – these functions are not exclusively tied to one hemisphere.[22].....Not a ringing endorsement of McGilchrist’s first part of The Matter with Things, I would say.
     
    This is a confusion - Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds - just in a characteristically different way.

    He talks a lot about how his theory is often confused with the older theory - which he agrees is discredited - that specific brain functions are entirely lateralized.

    I gotta run and can't write more now, and still have to answer Silvio - but of course there will be critics of his work, as there should be, and you should absolutely bring them here and reserve your judgement and be skeptical until you feel satisfied - if ever.

    Uncritical assent is not what is wanted :)

    Make up your own mind, use critical thinking and reasonable skepticism, and feel free to bring anything you find that discredits him here - all of that is part of the fun and exciting process of finding about reality.

    I think you're making a category error comparing Penrose to Mcgilchrist - physics deals with the structure of the universe and the frontiers of knowledge, there are obviously unplumbed mysteries in a field so vast. Narrow the scope of inquiry, and physics can answer quite confidently - there are certainly topics on which Penrose will discourse with high confidence.

    Mcgilchrist talks at length about the mysteriousness of ultimate reality, but within the quite narrow scope of his inquiry into brain laterization, he obviously feels the evidence is quite compelling. And even here, he admits there are dimensions to the problem that are quite mysterious, as there is to everything.

    Penrose is great by the way...

    Anyways gotta run but I'll be back tomorrow.

    Replies: @Mikel

    This is a confusion – Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds – just in a characteristically different way.

    Yes, you are right there. When I selected that quote I was thinking more about the way he talks about the “left brain doing this” or “the left brain saying that” in these latest videos I’ve seen than about what he wrote in a more formal manner in his book, though as some critics in his field have said, he also makes very bold claims in his books.

    In order to explain what I mean by honest scientists that convey trust by admitting uncertainties and recognizing the need to continue carrying out experiments that actually challenge their hypotheses it may be helpful to provide some examples. This is a video I watched some weeks ago of another neuroscientist (same field as McGil) that I found quite fascinating. This guy is a big proponent of psychedelics as a treatment for severe depression and PTSD. He’s gathered lots of evidence showing their effectiveness with many patients he’s treated but he’s also an honest researcher and he keeps stressing during the interview how much is still unknown. A real pleasure to listen to:

    And here is the also fascinating Penrose interview I mentioned. Be warned though that the interviewer is Jordan Peterson so half or more of the video is him talking about his own thoughts, that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself. Penrose sometimes seems to clearly lose hos patience with him:

    One of the best moments of the video in my view is when Petersen and his colleague ask him how the human mind is able to access the world of mathematics, subjects he’s been talking about for a long while and he simply says “Well, that I don’t know”.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Did Sir Roger bring Jope to tears?

    One thing these brain guys will never tell you. Just about every thing we think we know comes from broken brains. The split brain stuff comes from epilepsy patients who were so messed up their doctors bisected their corpus callosum as a last resort to attenuate their seizures. That actually is nothing. The greatest work in brain anatomy was done by Aleksander Luria in the 1940's who had a huge supply of broken brains of horribly wounded Soviet army veterans.

    https://www.amazon.com/Working-Brain-Aleksandr-R-Luria/dp/046509208X

    Some of us hope that Luria's work will never be matched for hundreds of years.

    Julian Jaynes' split brain is more fun to read about. : )

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    In a way it's funny that I'm arguing with you, because I actually am extremely sympathetic to your larger point, that we should remain open minded, skeptical, and avoid becoming dogmatic, and never pretend to a level of certainty that we just don't have.

    In fact my critique of modernity is precisely that it has become dogmatic and closed minded!

    So I'll take your point about Mcgilchrist, because it's coming from the right place. But either way, in the end it's up to us to assess Mcgilchrist's thesis, and evaluate the evidence he provides, and come to our own conclusions, and of course the scientific community (nor should we, as laymen, blindly defer to the scientific consensus, as it's often politicized and wrong, but we should always take it under advisement).

    In my personal opinion, even if he's got some of the details wrong, there's enough evidence to suggest that he's gotten the larger picture right, even at this stage. But I can perfectly understand if others want to still reserve judgement, and await further scientific validation.

    Even with all caveats and all due caution, I think Mcgilchrist has shed considerable light on the nature of modern society, and has illuminated what might be called "styles" of thinking - or mental tendencies - and has made some kind of contribution to our understanding of the human condition.

    And finally, it's worth remembering that he's challenging the basic underpinning of modern society, and this will naturally create massive resistance and pushback. He's after all calling for a major transformation and paradigm shift, and that never goes without severe challenge.

    Thanks for the videos.

    The mind's access to mathematics or reality are some of the "hard" problems of consciousness, for which the current state of physics has no answer, and actually points to deficiencies in our current understanding of the world.

    That's why there is an emerging movement among scientists called "panpsychism", in which it's thought that consciousness is a basic, irreducible constituent of matter.

    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself.
     
    I remember listening to that interview when it came out. I had the impression that Peterson was in over his head and I wished even more than usual that he'd put a sock in it and let the interviewee develop his answers. At the same time, I think Penrose struggles to convey his own thoughts in a 'dumbed down' fashion. I've never gotten anything out of listening to him. (Not that I'm blaming him for that; he's under no obligation to reach for a popular audience.)
  684. @silviosilver
    @AP


    I suppose at this stage there is a sort of leap of faith, though not without reason.
     
    You "suppose," do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn't a chance you'll purely reason your way through to that conclusion. And if you ever think you have, the simple test of trying to walk a skeptic through your chain of reasoning ought to be enough to disabuse you.

    But so what if it's a leap of faith? Is faith any less than reason? It certainly is with respect to the material world. As atheists rightly never tire of reminding us, faith is a useless means of attaining knowledge of the material world. But faith is the precise means - the ultimate means - through which we attain knowledge of God.

    There's really no other way. Reason can guide us. Through reason, we can establish plausibility - the very plausibility that is the engine of faith (if it stops running, faith shrivels and dies). This preparatory work is no mean feat. It doesn't come easy. We have to labor to achieve it. But even when we have, the final step will always be a leap of faith.

    You can liken to someone following a treasure map, down the valley, through the woods, up the mountainside, for perilous days and nights, until finally the treasure lies within sight - on the other side of a ravine. The treasure hunter's heart races - it's a long way down! But there's a good chance he'll make it. He's come this far, to hell with it, he leaps. Perhaps someone else who'd merely stumbled across the treasure-within-sight might be tempted, but phew, that's a steep fall, he chooses not to risk it.

    Replies: @AP, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    By the way, I just want to say lately that your comments here on this topic have been exceptionally good, beyond what you’d expect from someone whose views have recently changed.

    But more so, I want to point out how refreshing it is to see someone in the process of growth and change. One of my gripes – and something I have always found so strange – is that so many people never change, evolve, grow.

    They just mine the same old exhausted vein or same old field past the point of all fertility.

    Steve Sailer, for instance, just writes the same old thing from the same old perspective, over and over again. He had what might be called I suppose a mildly interesting idea – that a substantial portion of human life has beneath the surface as it’s motivation the pettiest concerns of ego. Not so original perhaps, but interesting to explore for a while.

    But my God, it’s been years, and he hasn’t learned anything more about life! No broadening of vision, no evolution towards a larger perspective taking in other dimensions of human life. No change at all.

    Ron Unz’s articles are the just the same thing, over and over, and so are nearly all columnists here. And the commenters – I used to enjoy reading the anti-Semitic articles for some fun exchanges, but all the commenters on those articles seem to have settled down into ritualistically intoning the same solemn deprecations in what can only be described as some sort of bizarre religious ceremony.

    I have always felt life is a process of growth and change. My own life saw me go from materialist atheist to someone awakened to the religious approach to life, but even my religious beliefs continue to evolve in dramatic ways even on this site. I dont think the same way I did two years ago, and I’m constantly seeking out new authors.

    I think this strange modern stasis and stagnation is another reflection of the topic under discussion here, radical loss of connection to the imagination – the faculty that puts us in touch with larger realities outside our preconceived notions – and our descent into narrow minded left hemisphere thinking.

    So wherever you end up – even if it’s some place I would violently disagree with – it’s just refreshing to see someone change.

    • Thanks: silviosilver
    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    beyond what you’d expect from someone whose views have recently changed.
     
    The change isn't quite as recent as you might think. These ideas have been percolating in my mind for a while, without me fully embracing them. It's like latent heat in physics. You can transfer heat to, say, a solid, and it will absorb the heat and absorb it, absorb it, absorb it, without any apparent physical change occurring, and then at some certain point, ta-da, you get a phase transition to a liquid. I guess that's the best way to put it.

    As for Sailer, well come on, he's not propounding a life philosophy, he's attempting to advance a political cause. You or I may have heard the same thing a thousand times, but it doesn't mean everyone has. Until he sees his perspectives reflected in actual policy - which seems as far off as ever (but appearances can be deceiving) - it makes sense to continue beavering away.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  685. @sudden death
    @Beckow


    Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.
     
    Not first at all - RF army together with "volunteers" attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.

    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it's kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mikhail, @AP

    Not first at all – RF army together with “volunteers” attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.

    No one asked Moldova to become part of the USSR. Conversely, no one asked Pridnestrovie (Transnistria and other closely related spellings) to become part of the Moldvaian SSR or that territory as an independent entity.

    As for what happened in the early 1990s, nationalists with a pro-Romanian bent engaged in trouble making in the pro-Russian Pridnestrovie area. The Russian army stationed there with the clear support of the majority of Pridnestrovie’s population successfully fought back, resulting in the present frozen conflict status.

  686. @sudden death
    @Beckow


    Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.
     
    Not first at all - RF army together with "volunteers" attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.

    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it's kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mikhail, @AP

    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it’s kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.

    Russia has never recognized Pridnestrovie’s declared independence or desire to reunite with Russia. Hence, Kosovo does see as a modern day precedent.

    https://www.rt.com/russia/554574-putin-kosovo-un-chief/

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikhail

    Gonna use the beckowite type framing here - you said that the magnitude of the violations was less with the RF treatment of Moldova as they didn’t “recognize” officially the Transnistria's independence, while separating and ruling it de facto. Well, but RF did it first after Cold War – so that is still the first precedent for the others. How far they take it depends on circumstances and the cookie crumbles differently based on circumstances;)

  687. THE REAL UKRAINE – WITH KIEV INSIDER ANDRII TELIZHENKO

  688. @Mr. Hack
    @Mikhail

    He doesn't seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.


    Analysis: Ukraine rolls back 6 months of Russian gains in 5 weeks

    Assessment of Ukraine’s counteroffensive suggests it has retaken 253sq km (98sq miles) of its territory since June.
     

    This isn't a massive amount, but it shows that Ukraine isn't losing ground.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/12/analysis-ukraine-rolls-back-6-months-of-russian-gains-in-5-weeks#:~:text=https%3A//www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/12/analysis%2Dukraine%2Drolls%2Dback%2D6%2Dmonths%2Dof%2Drussian%2Dgains%2Din%2D5%2Dweeks

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    He doesn’t seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.

    Well that is Larry C “war is over and now in mop-up stage” Johnson.
    https://www.europereloaded.com/larry-c-johnson-the-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    Another American that has sold his soul and remaining credibility to a homicidal dwarf dictator.

    They speak of NATO wanting to dismantle Russia as if they are offended by the idea in principle.

    Their longstanding argument is that the world should stand back and let Russia dismantle Ukraine.

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Mr. Hack
    @John Johnson


    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.
     
    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10's of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I've never read any estimate as high as this. I wasn't even aware that the Ukrainian forces were anywhere as high as 5 million soldiers, dead or alive? Please elaborate.

    Replies: @sudden death, @John Johnson

  689. Watch this British Starstreak take out a Russian helicopter:

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @John Johnson

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    (and that video being The Sun, I wouldn't even take it as gospel. The other day the Mail gleefully posted video of what they said was a Russian tank being destroyed, before people started pointing out en masse that it looked awfully like a Leopard.)

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Wokechoke, @John Johnson

  690. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    This is a confusion – Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds – just in a characteristically different way.
     
    Yes, you are right there. When I selected that quote I was thinking more about the way he talks about the "left brain doing this" or "the left brain saying that" in these latest videos I've seen than about what he wrote in a more formal manner in his book, though as some critics in his field have said, he also makes very bold claims in his books.

    In order to explain what I mean by honest scientists that convey trust by admitting uncertainties and recognizing the need to continue carrying out experiments that actually challenge their hypotheses it may be helpful to provide some examples. This is a video I watched some weeks ago of another neuroscientist (same field as McGil) that I found quite fascinating. This guy is a big proponent of psychedelics as a treatment for severe depression and PTSD. He's gathered lots of evidence showing their effectiveness with many patients he's treated but he's also an honest researcher and he keeps stressing during the interview how much is still unknown. A real pleasure to listen to:

    https://youtu.be/fcxjwA4C4Cw?list=PLPNW_gerXa4Pc8S2qoUQc5e8Ir97RLuVW

    And here is the also fascinating Penrose interview I mentioned. Be warned though that the interviewer is Jordan Peterson so half or more of the video is him talking about his own thoughts, that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself. Penrose sometimes seems to clearly lose hos patience with him:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi9ys2j1ncg

    One of the best moments of the video in my view is when Petersen and his colleague ask him how the human mind is able to access the world of mathematics, subjects he's been talking about for a long while and he simply says "Well, that I don't know".

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    Did Sir Roger bring Jope to tears?

    One thing these brain guys will never tell you. Just about every thing we think we know comes from broken brains. The split brain stuff comes from epilepsy patients who were so messed up their doctors bisected their corpus callosum as a last resort to attenuate their seizures. That actually is nothing. The greatest work in brain anatomy was done by Aleksander Luria in the 1940’s who had a huge supply of broken brains of horribly wounded Soviet army veterans.

    Some of us hope that Luria’s work will never be matched for hundreds of years.

    Julian Jaynes’ split brain is more fun to read about. : )

  691. To return to our discussion of the recent attempt to pathologize summer, New York currently has an excessive heat warning in place, with all the attendant alarmist advice to stay indoors etc.

    And yet 90 degrees is extremely common in NY. Even a few years ago no one would bat an eyelash, it wouldn’t even be cause for comment – just a normal summer day.

    The truly weird thing is that this dramatic change in how we are expected to see a hot day is being carried out as if we’re supposed to completely forget that just a few years ago this was no big deal, as if many of us have no memories of our childhoods in NY, without any acknowledgement that this a dramatic shift in perspective.

    • Agree: Mikel
    • Replies: @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The truly weird thing is that this dramatic change in how we are expected to see a hot day is being carried out as if we’re supposed to completely forget that just a few years ago this was no big deal
     
    LOL. Take your electrolytes with you wherever you go anyway. This idea that the bushmen of the Kalahari and the tropical jungle tribes are able to survive without them has all the hallmarks of a Russian disinformation campaign.

    Now, this wouldn't so bad if it was just climate change anxiety (although I think that never in the history of science has a theory needed so much exaggeration and distortion to show its validity). But it goes well beyond that, I'm afraid, and is just another manifestation of a social order that weakens the minds and bodies of its members. The other day I was at Home Depot buying some hardware and I couldn't find enough pieces but luckily I saw that they had a full box on the higher shelves, some 8-9' from the ground. Naturally enough, I put my foot on the first shelf, stretched my arm and began taking the extra ones I needed. A young employee immediately came to my rescue and explained in horror how those high shelves can only be accessed by employees due to so many accidents having occurred to customers. It was laughable really.

    But it didn't end there. He made me wait until he came back with a huge security ladder with railings on the sides, that he carefully climbed to get to the box and bring it down. A good 15 minutes of wait for a task that I was seconds away from completing. This was a very young guy in his late teens or early twenties who sincerely believed in the necessity of all these bureaucratic safety measures, most likely devised by physically unfit people much older than him for the rest of us who venture in the dangerous aisles of the store. When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them. In those times you just wouldn't dare to insult an older but fit man by preventing him to take something from a shelf perfectly within his reach.

    Replies: @A123, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  692. AP says:
    @sudden death
    @Beckow


    Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.
     
    Not first at all - RF army together with "volunteers" attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering RF.

    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it's kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mikhail, @AP

    “Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.”

    Not first at all – RF army together with “volunteers” attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering

    The other precedent set by Russia that Beckow conveniently ignores is that long before Donbas was bombed by Kiev, Russia bombed rebellious Chechnya. Russia did it in 1994-1995. 30,000-40,000 civilians died there, according to Russian government statistics (other figures double that amount). About 10 times the number of civilians killed in Donbas from 2014-2022. In a much less populated region.

    So Russia set the precedent of how to treat civilians in rebel territory, though the Kiev government was an order of magnitude more gentle and humane than was Russia.

    • Disagree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @AP


    The other precedent set by Russia that Beckow conveniently ignores is that long before Donbas was bombed by Kiev, Russia bombed rebellious Chechnya. Russia did it in 1994-1995. 30,000-40,000 civilians died there, according to Russian government statistics (other figures double that amount). About 10 times the number of civilians killed in Donbas from 2014-2022. In a much less populated region.

    So Russia set the precedent of how to treat civilians in rebel territory, though the Kiev government was an order of magnitude more gentle and humane than was Russia.
     

    Yeah right! Like the svidos honoring Bandera, who thru violence achieved considerable influence, nurturing regimes regularly being more harsh to individuals and orgs not having the Banderite svido lean.

    In the post-Soviet era, Chechnya twice had considerable autonomy that led to violent mayhem in that territory which expanded elsewhere. Now, things there have substantially subsided for the better. Overall faults included, there's no comparing the Russian government of that time to the first two post-Soviet Chechen regimes.

    As for setting precedents, it's all a matter of when the timeline is started, with the US in Southeast Asia, Britain in India among numerous examples before what happened in 1990s era Chechnya. Related -

    https://mronline.org/2022/12/14/british-empire-killed-165-million-indians-in-40-years/

  693. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    Mcgilchrist says that Schizophrenia is a type of delusional thinking that is wholly characteristic of extreme rationality - it's a disease where you only use your rational, analytical mind to approach reality, and not intuition, imagination, common sense, etc. You never look at the actual world but only use abstract maps. It's entirely a left hemisphere disease, according to him.

    Apparently, there is no record of schizophrenia existing in ancient times, and it's one of the diseases of modernity, and it's prevalence has skyrocketed in modern times!

    I don't think you can deny that Ron Unz is incipiently schizophrenic - and this site in general, and the Alt-Right in general, and the Woke left in general is, and certain commenters on this specific forum, and the modern world in general.

    It's impossible to look at the modern world in general and not see that some kind of fear-based, delusional insanity is going on that has to do with over-rational and over analytical thinking that is out of touch with actual, warm blooded reality.

    The great 18th century Italian thinker and poet Leopardi commented that there is a "barbarism of reason" as well as of unreason - and we are in it.

    Replies: @Sean

    Leopaldi is a strange person to quote, because although he said Christianity was a delusional ideology he saw it as the antidote to seeing things as they are, which rationalism led to the ancient world progressing rapidly and the collapse of their polities. In other words: knowing the true meaning of life makes us sane as individuals–and leads to societal breakdown.

    As the Twilight Zone fashion episode Need To Know ends with the Narrator intoning “Man’s a questioning creature. Constantly striving for answers. But there is some knowledge for which he is not yet ready. Secrets that once learned overwhelm him. Secrets that are best left for now undisturbed… in the Twilight Zone.”

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Yeah, Leopardi accepted the emerging conclusion of the shallow rationalist age he lived in that reason demonstrates God doesn't exist - that knowledge can only ever equal the evidence of our senses as interpreted by rationality.

    Even though he trapped himself in this false notion of reality, he was astute enough to realize that it would destroy society - he was not one of the naive and shallow optimists who thought the Age of Reason - as a stripped down, bleak, impoverished view of reality - would usher in a new utopia, as so many others were.

    Hence his dictum - "the barbarism of reason". Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.

    One look at our modern buildings, bare, stripped of ornament, and it's clear we are indeed a race of primitive barbarians.

    As one of the stage posts on my journey from atheism to a more open minded religious sensitivity to expanded possibilities, I was hugely enamored of John Gray, who brought Leopardi to my attention.

    For many, the first step in prying loose the despotism of reason is to unravel the shallow optimism of its champions, and become aware of its contradictions and paradoxes.

    Replies: @Sean, @silviosilver

  694. @AP
    @Mikel


    "Why do you think something is necessarily wrong, because it may be soothing?"

    I don’t think so at all. My position is rather the contrary: just because something is soothing it doesn’t make it right. But I welcome anyone to embrace whatever soothing faith they like if they are capable of believing in it.
     
    You had mentioned that the idea of a heaven was distasteful and disturbing to you: "All these scenarios of heavens (let alone hells) where some continuation of you (which you: the 25 year old one, the decrepit one who finally dies barely knowing who he is, the innocent child you once were?) floats around forever are just as weird and disquieting as final death."

    So might the idea of quiet nothingness be relatively soothing for you, compared to the disquieting idea of heaven, or possibility of falling into the horrific hell?

    There seems to be a clear evolutionary meaning to our existence as members of a species, even if we are unable to transcend our death as individuals
     
    You do not find greater meaning in the individual consciousness?

    And there is an element of futility in our existence, as everything we do is ultimately meaningless and will cease to have any importance once we’re dead
     
    Based on the scientistic belief.

    Given the limitations of our ape brains, I recognize that we cannot discard out of hand that when we see our fellow humans and other organisms perish and disappear forever from this universe, our brains are tricking us and they are actually transitioning (at least humans) to some supernatural dimension that, again, our brains are incapable of sensing. But, other than wanting that be true, I don’t see why I should believe that that is what actually happens in the absence of any evidence.
     
    There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.

    Given the limitations of my ape brain and the impossibility of totally discarding it, I may choose to believe that thunder is caused by angry gods but I’m not sure that holding such evidence-free beliefs is not just rational but even natural for a human.
     
    Well, thunder follows certain rules and can be reliably measured. The Resurrection, does not. Occasionally things also happen today that do not follow the rules. I have not had such a rule-breaking experience myself, but an example from someone I knew: her English-born grandmother had a powerful dream of being in the childhood garden with her sister. This was a unique experience for her - she woke up disturbed enough that she called England to see how her sister (who had been ill, but not in known danger of dying soon) was doing - her sister had just died and in her delirium, had talking about the same garden at the same time as the dream. A follower of the scientistic faith can dismiss something like this as coincidences and invoke Probabality, a maneuver that is akin to older explanations of unexplainable phenomena that invoke the gods, such as thunder being caused by angry ones. But it is more realistic to accept that this simply reflects something beyond our understanding, something that disproves the idea of mind = brain which is all that we can reliably measure with our limited abilities.

    Many of us have either had experiences that are beyond the rules, or known someone who has:

    https://today.yougov.com/topics/society/articles-reports/2022/10/20/paranormal-encounters-yougov-poll-october-12-2022

    https://i.imgur.com/Sqepdsg.png

    They cut across ages (other than the elderly), regions, sex, political affiliations . There is an interesting "midwit" effect though, in which the least and most intelligent have had more such experiences than those in the middle (income can be proxy for intelligence).

    But these experiences, that don't follow the rules that enable us to understand and control the physical world rather effectively, can be shrugged off as probability, something rare and weird but not real.

    Replies: @Mikel

    So might the idea of quiet nothingness be relatively soothing for you, compared to the disquieting idea of heaven, or possibility of falling into the horrific hell?

    No, not at all. If I had a vote, I’d definitely vote for Heaven rather than Nothingness. We’ll then see what that heaven is like but at least it gives you a new chance to stay in the game. I don’t know why but I’ve always taken it for granted that if there is something after life for me it should be of the benevolent kind, let’s call it Heaven. And my guess is that if God takes the trouble to give you that new chance, perhaps it wouldn’t be too selfish to ask that He takes away from your mind any fears you may have of entering such a weird, unimaginable place as well.

    But you are right. Once we admit the possibility of an afterlife, there is no reason to assume that it will be any good. Call me an optimistic existentialist if you want but I’ve never seriously considered Hell as a possibility for my afterlife. I do commit my sins, certainly, but as you know from past discussions, I am also quite a principled person on certain moral matters and, quite honestly, I would be more concerned about you than about me if the threat of Hell is to be taken literally.

    You do not find greater meaning in the individual consciousness?

    As Penrose would say, I’m not sure what to say about this. But it brings to my mind something that I think Bashibuzuk mentioned a while ago, in the sense that we should at least be grateful to have been given the gift of existence. It would have been better to exist without anxiety for the afterlife but it’s a good point.

    There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.

    Yes, of course. I should have said absence of any evidence for me. If I had ever experienced paranormal phenomena or religious apparitions, my opinions would be totally different. But neither I nor anyone I know has ever experienced such things. What’s more, the people I’ve met who claimed to have seen that type of things never sounded any trustworthy at all so I am where I am.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mikel


    Call me an optimistic existentialist if you want but I’ve never seriously considered Hell as a possibility for my afterlife. I do commit my sins, certainly, but as you know from past discussions, I am also quite a principled person on certain moral matters and, quite honestly, I would be more concerned about you than about me if the threat of Hell is to be taken literally.
     
    I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas - I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors who probably had been far more devout than I am. And I suspect that I would not have the stomach to burn someone at the stake (or encourage someone else to), even if this were the right thing to do.

    But it brings to my mind something that I think Bashibuzuk mentioned a while ago, in the sense that we should at least be grateful to have been given the gift of existence. It would have been better to exist without anxiety for the afterlife but it’s a good point.
     
    An excellent point.

    "There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence."

    Yes, of course. I should have said absence of any evidence for me. If I had ever experienced paranormal phenomena or religious apparitions, my opinions would be totally different. But neither I nor anyone I know has ever experienced such things.
     

    About 20% of people have. They don't always admit to it, but if you ask around someone might share a story.

    I have not had such an experience, but I know two credible, completely normal who have. My friend with the grandmother's dream that I described, and my brother-in-law with the footsteps in his dorm. There is nothing particularly Christian about those phenomena (though the latter stopped after a priest was brought in) but they were enough to blow a hole in the idea that nothing exists that can't be explained by Science (I have also once spoken to a priest who was present during an exorcism and described it to me, but even though I do not think he lied or made things up this source admittedly can be considered a biased one).

    I've also debunked a "paranormal" experience. Once when staying at a cabin in the White Mountains we heard rhythmic thumping on a bedroom wall. Naturally the kids didn't want to sleep in that room so I did. It really sounded like a person tapping the wall hard and in rhythm. The next morning I saw a woodpecker in the general area. I youtubed what a woodpecker tapping on an exterior wall sounds like in the interior, it was a match. The "ghost" had been that bird. Interesting that it sounds different than from the outside.

    Replies: @Mikel

  695. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven’t arrived.
     
    Ukraine has theatre parity in everything except jet fighters--which the Russians cannot used over the battlefield because of the profusion of Stingers)--although Ukraine has enough fighters launch Storm Shadow attacks on Russia command and control and supply hubs.. In long range precision precision missiles capable of hitting hardened command bunkers, Ukraine has an advantage. Russia has AA systems designed to shoot down F16s, and hundreds of planes of it own at least as good as the F16, so mere parity would require Ukraine to be given hundreds of F16. The planes are just an excuse anyway because the main problem in coming to grips with the Russian defence line is getting through minefields while under observation from omnipresent drones (drones are a big reason why aircraft are less important and howitzers are dominating).The Ukrainians have been given been given advanced equipment for winning artillery duels and they can establish dominance at points of their choosing, plus they have lots of drones.

    The problem is the concentration of a powerful force to send through the breach in enemy lines and sustain a deep drive into the enemy areas to fully exploit requires the forming up of the units beforehad , and such a concentration is now immediately located by surveillance drones and attacked by artillery and kamikaze drones. Modern warfare in not what everyone (including the Russians and Americans) thought it was.


    That POW fellow was a bolshie convict, it's no secret that convicts are there to soak up firepower and preserve the real RF trained soldiers who were too few in number; Ukraine started with a very substantial manpower advantage on the battlefield but that is inexorably declining not because of convicts but a tardy Russian mobilisation still ongoing (hundreds of thousands more set of body armour have just been ordered from China).

    In trying get back everything taken from it, Ukraine is of course doing what any country would if it did not know what might be achieved at moderate cost by a determined offensive, but there is soon going to come a point a point after Kiev current offensive has culminated that they will be under no illusions about the possibility of driving the Russians back , and continuing as Russia begins to have a manpower advantage will entail risking the loss of more Ukrainian territory. This idea that Russia has done its worst already was Ukraine's cardinal error in the run up to the 2022 invasion, which they did not think Russia could or would do seeing the preparations as sabre rattling because Russia was too intimidated by the military might of America.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @YetAnotherAnon

    Russia has AA systems designed to shoot down F16s, and hundreds of planes of it own at least as good as the F16, so mere parity would require Ukraine to be given hundreds of F16. The planes are just an excuse anyway because the main problem in coming to grips with the Russian defence line is getting through minefields while under observation from omnipresent drones (drones are a big reason why aircraft are less important and howitzers are dominating).

    Russia has AA systems that are attacked daily by drones and artillery.

    Ukraine isn’t going to send out F16s without clearing a path. Sure they will lose a few but that is war.

    The F16s will be useful in shock and harassment tactics. Keep the enemy up few a few days before moving troops forward. Being able to call in an airstrike is also a major boost to infantry morale. They can also be called in to scare off enemy helicopters.

    and continuing as Russia begins to have a manpower advantage will entail risking the loss of more Ukrainian territory

    Russia has the manpower advantage but the quality of conscripts continues to decline. This is an old problem in war whereby conscripting randos leads to more conscription as they aren’t equivalent to professional troops.

    I fully accept the possibility that Ukraine could hit a wall at some point which would require accepting land losses. That has always be true. But that certainly isn’t today given that their F16s and M1s haven’t arrived. Putin’s defenders that want them to quit have been saying that from day one. It has nothing to do with the best interest of Ukraine. Those defenders supported the end of Ukraine.

    But we could also see a situation where the Russian line collapses and the people at home accept that Putin is a war dunce. Most Russians are still trying to convince themselves that Putin is playing 4d chess. Demoralization of the Russian military and public should be the main goal. I actually don’t think the traditional mentality of trying to take every inch of land makes sense. That is what lead to huge mistakes in WW1. But I also understand that Ukraine is under pressure from the West to show gains. I have been very critical of that expectation. Ukraine’s generals should fight the war as they see fit. If that means slow attrition then so be it.

  696. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    This is a confusion – Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds – just in a characteristically different way.
     
    Yes, you are right there. When I selected that quote I was thinking more about the way he talks about the "left brain doing this" or "the left brain saying that" in these latest videos I've seen than about what he wrote in a more formal manner in his book, though as some critics in his field have said, he also makes very bold claims in his books.

    In order to explain what I mean by honest scientists that convey trust by admitting uncertainties and recognizing the need to continue carrying out experiments that actually challenge their hypotheses it may be helpful to provide some examples. This is a video I watched some weeks ago of another neuroscientist (same field as McGil) that I found quite fascinating. This guy is a big proponent of psychedelics as a treatment for severe depression and PTSD. He's gathered lots of evidence showing their effectiveness with many patients he's treated but he's also an honest researcher and he keeps stressing during the interview how much is still unknown. A real pleasure to listen to:

    https://youtu.be/fcxjwA4C4Cw?list=PLPNW_gerXa4Pc8S2qoUQc5e8Ir97RLuVW

    And here is the also fascinating Penrose interview I mentioned. Be warned though that the interviewer is Jordan Peterson so half or more of the video is him talking about his own thoughts, that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself. Penrose sometimes seems to clearly lose hos patience with him:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi9ys2j1ncg

    One of the best moments of the video in my view is when Petersen and his colleague ask him how the human mind is able to access the world of mathematics, subjects he's been talking about for a long while and he simply says "Well, that I don't know".

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    In a way it’s funny that I’m arguing with you, because I actually am extremely sympathetic to your larger point, that we should remain open minded, skeptical, and avoid becoming dogmatic, and never pretend to a level of certainty that we just don’t have.

    In fact my critique of modernity is precisely that it has become dogmatic and closed minded!

    So I’ll take your point about Mcgilchrist, because it’s coming from the right place. But either way, in the end it’s up to us to assess Mcgilchrist’s thesis, and evaluate the evidence he provides, and come to our own conclusions, and of course the scientific community (nor should we, as laymen, blindly defer to the scientific consensus, as it’s often politicized and wrong, but we should always take it under advisement).

    In my personal opinion, even if he’s got some of the details wrong, there’s enough evidence to suggest that he’s gotten the larger picture right, even at this stage. But I can perfectly understand if others want to still reserve judgement, and await further scientific validation.

    Even with all caveats and all due caution, I think Mcgilchrist has shed considerable light on the nature of modern society, and has illuminated what might be called “styles” of thinking – or mental tendencies – and has made some kind of contribution to our understanding of the human condition.

    And finally, it’s worth remembering that he’s challenging the basic underpinning of modern society, and this will naturally create massive resistance and pushback. He’s after all calling for a major transformation and paradigm shift, and that never goes without severe challenge.

    Thanks for the videos.

    The mind’s access to mathematics or reality are some of the “hard” problems of consciousness, for which the current state of physics has no answer, and actually points to deficiencies in our current understanding of the world.

    That’s why there is an emerging movement among scientists called “panpsychism”, in which it’s thought that consciousness is a basic, irreducible constituent of matter.

  697. What exactly is this song about?

    Cashing in?

    I read through the comments on this YouTube video. Immediately everyone bullshits about how it’s not racist to utter such sentiments. Of course the violence is about niggers and their Jewish enablers.

    As soon as anyone in a small town does anything useful CNN show up and the militant white Guy grovels, or the local cops arrest the protesting whites.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Wokechoke

    I read four comments and didn't see what you saw.

    Aldean was the performer onstage when some military unit nobody is curious about sprayed the Las Vegas audience with machine gun fire. If anybody ever asked him about that or he ever made a comment I didn't see it. He gets paid by a multinational corporation, no?

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c7/Bertelsmann-Signet.jpg

    Replies: @John Johnson

  698. @AP
    @sudden death


    “Well, but they happened first – so that is a precedent for the others.”

    Not first at all – RF army together with “volunteers” attacked Moldova back in 1992 and carved up new puppet Transnistria statelet, which was not even bordering
     
    The other precedent set by Russia that Beckow conveniently ignores is that long before Donbas was bombed by Kiev, Russia bombed rebellious Chechnya. Russia did it in 1994-1995. 30,000-40,000 civilians died there, according to Russian government statistics (other figures double that amount). About 10 times the number of civilians killed in Donbas from 2014-2022. In a much less populated region.

    So Russia set the precedent of how to treat civilians in rebel territory, though the Kiev government was an order of magnitude more gentle and humane than was Russia.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    The other precedent set by Russia that Beckow conveniently ignores is that long before Donbas was bombed by Kiev, Russia bombed rebellious Chechnya. Russia did it in 1994-1995. 30,000-40,000 civilians died there, according to Russian government statistics (other figures double that amount). About 10 times the number of civilians killed in Donbas from 2014-2022. In a much less populated region.

    So Russia set the precedent of how to treat civilians in rebel territory, though the Kiev government was an order of magnitude more gentle and humane than was Russia.

    Yeah right! Like the svidos honoring Bandera, who thru violence achieved considerable influence, nurturing regimes regularly being more harsh to individuals and orgs not having the Banderite svido lean.

    In the post-Soviet era, Chechnya twice had considerable autonomy that led to violent mayhem in that territory which expanded elsewhere. Now, things there have substantially subsided for the better. Overall faults included, there’s no comparing the Russian government of that time to the first two post-Soviet Chechen regimes.

    As for setting precedents, it’s all a matter of when the timeline is started, with the US in Southeast Asia, Britain in India among numerous examples before what happened in 1990s era Chechnya. Related –

    https://mronline.org/2022/12/14/british-empire-killed-165-million-indians-in-40-years/

  699. @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    He doesn’t seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.

    Well that is Larry C "war is over and now in mop-up stage" Johnson.
    https://www.europereloaded.com/larry-c-johnson-the-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    Another American that has sold his soul and remaining credibility to a homicidal dwarf dictator.

    They speak of NATO wanting to dismantle Russia as if they are offended by the idea in principle.

    Their longstanding argument is that the world should stand back and let Russia dismantle Ukraine.

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. Hack

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    Based on what? An inside source?

    You do realize that they have 43 million people and half are women?

    Might want to do the math before using made-up stats.

    "they're literally down to old men and boys"

    - MacGregor last year

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Wokechoke

  700. In absence of Strelkov, another fanatical pro-RF (but still critical about officially pushed propjunk) source about military developments in UA southern front:

    Totals for the day, if you filter out the lies of military rats – chochols captured Staromaiorskoe village, also reached the main line of Surovikin. I conclude that the front has collapsed, but so far they are hiding it from us. Now it becomes logical why the chochols declared the introduction of the main forces into battle. Considering that they have passed all the gray zone, and there were at least 3 kilometers of minefields and trenches in depth, then in principle it is really time to pull up the main reserves into these gaps. Well, again, it became clear why general Popov was removed from the 58th Army. He tried to prevent this collapse and warned about the impending catastrophe that is unfolding right before our eyes.

    https://t.me/apwagner/10665

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @sudden death

    https://i.postimg.cc/kXfqvn07/staromaiorskoe.jpg

    Replies: @Sean

  701. @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Leopaldi is a strange person to quote, because although he said Christianity was a delusional ideology he saw it as the antidote to seeing things as they are, which rationalism led to the ancient world progressing rapidly and the collapse of their polities. In other words: knowing the true meaning of life makes us sane as individuals--and leads to societal breakdown.

    As the Twilight Zone fashion episode Need To Know ends with the Narrator intoning "Man's a questioning creature. Constantly striving for answers. But there is some knowledge for which he is not yet ready. Secrets that once learned overwhelm him. Secrets that are best left for now undisturbed... in the Twilight Zone."

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yeah, Leopardi accepted the emerging conclusion of the shallow rationalist age he lived in that reason demonstrates God doesn’t exist – that knowledge can only ever equal the evidence of our senses as interpreted by rationality.

    Even though he trapped himself in this false notion of reality, he was astute enough to realize that it would destroy society – he was not one of the naive and shallow optimists who thought the Age of Reason – as a stripped down, bleak, impoverished view of reality – would usher in a new utopia, as so many others were.

    Hence his dictum – “the barbarism of reason”. Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.

    One look at our modern buildings, bare, stripped of ornament, and it’s clear we are indeed a race of primitive barbarians.

    As one of the stage posts on my journey from atheism to a more open minded religious sensitivity to expanded possibilities, I was hugely enamored of John Gray, who brought Leopardi to my attention.

    For many, the first step in prying loose the despotism of reason is to unravel the shallow optimism of its champions, and become aware of its contradictions and paradoxes.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Understanding stuff is overrated and get in the way of taking decisions. One get what one wants by willpower, mainly. The most important paradox is that the full development of the individual's understanding of and development of their potentialities is deleterious to the country in which they live. The lack of concern for the individual in Russia is a huge force multiplier for it.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Hence his dictum – “the barbarism of reason”. Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.
     
    I suspect he thought that life would just become a meaner, colder version of what already existed. It's possible he and men like him could foresee, or at least be unsurprised by, the totalitarian cruelties we inflicted on each other in the 20th century. What they probably didn't foresee, and would be astounded by, is the degeneracy and depravity our personal lives would sink to as we increasingly cut ourselves off from the transcendent, from a holistic connection to nature, and from the unchosen ties that once bound us to our fellow men; not merely swallowed up by the vortex of individualism, but willingly throwing ourselves into it - on account of there being no plausible alternative.

    I am reading Louis Betty's "Without God - Michel Houellebecq and Materialist Horror" (in which I found the earlier quote from Ben Jeffrey). The title might be a little misleading, since it is by no means a typical work in apologetics. Betty simply writes as a typical literary critic, albeit one who doesn't tediously dwell on 'racism', sexism, colonialism etc ad nauseam. It helps to be familiar with Houellebecq's fiction, but a quote from the introduction makes the preceding point exceedingly well:

    Aside from modern liberalism, all humanistic attempts to organize society according to nontheological principles (Marxism, socialism, communism, etc.) have been failures, and if the liberal model has succeeded, this is only because it is the most natural form of social organization, and thus the worst (see Houellebecq 2011, 124–25). The unbinding of humanity from God lies at the heart of the historical narrative the reader encounters in Houellebecq’s work: lacking a set of moral principles legitimated by a higher power and unable to find meaningful answers to existential questions, human beings descend into selfishness and narcissism and can only stymie their mortal
    terror by recourse to the carnal distractions of sexuality. Modern capitalism is the mode of social organization best suited to, and best suited to maintain, such a worldview. Materialism—that is, the limiting of all that is real to the physical, which rules out the existence of God, soul, and spirit and with them any transcendent meaning to human life—thus produces an environment in which consumption becomes the norm. Such is the historical narrative that Houellebecq’s fiction enacts, with modern economic liberalism emerging as the last, devastating consequence of humanity’s despiritualization.

    “Materialist horror” is the term most appropriate to describe this worldview, for what readers discover throughout Houellebecq’s fiction are societies and persons in which the terminal social and psychological consequences of materialism are being played out. It is little wonder, then, that these texts are so often apocalyptic in tone. The Elementary Particles and The Possibility of an Island, for example, depict the outright disappearance of a depressive and morally derelict human race. Desplechin, Djerzinski’s colleague in Particles, says of the decline of Western civilization at the turn of the twenty-first century: “There is no power in the world—economic, political, religious or social—that can compete with rational certainty. The West has sacrificed everything to this need: religion, happiness, hope—and, finally, its own life. You have to remember that when passing judgment on Western civilization”.
     
    I have read most or possibly all of Houellebecq's novels. (I don't remember them well. I'm currently slogging through Aneantir in French - way above my level, but I'm persevering on the basis of a language-acquisition theory that says this helps the process. The plot is unusually interesting for a Houellebecq novel, and highly topical.) When I first began reading him years ago, I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by. Even then, though, I would have to put the book down in disgust, feeling icky about having dragged myself through that human muck. But hey, this is life, I'd tell myself, this is what the human animal is really like; you can avert your gaze all you want, but there's no denying it. Well, that was then. More recently, I began to view his character's sicksouled individualism as a mirror held up to the materialist worldview, rather than a tacit endorsement of it, as I had earlier thought. What luck, then, to stumble across a literary critic in Betty who tells me precisely what I now want to hear.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Coconuts

  702. @sudden death
    In absence of Strelkov, another fanatical pro-RF (but still critical about officially pushed propjunk) source about military developments in UA southern front:

    Totals for the day, if you filter out the lies of military rats - chochols captured Staromaiorskoe village, also reached the main line of Surovikin. I conclude that the front has collapsed, but so far they are hiding it from us. Now it becomes logical why the chochols declared the introduction of the main forces into battle. Considering that they have passed all the gray zone, and there were at least 3 kilometers of minefields and trenches in depth, then in principle it is really time to pull up the main reserves into these gaps. Well, again, it became clear why general Popov was removed from the 58th Army. He tried to prevent this collapse and warned about the impending catastrophe that is unfolding right before our eyes.
     
    https://t.me/apwagner/10665

    Replies: @sudden death

    • Replies: @Sean
    @sudden death

    Girkin and Wagnerites are banking on a repeat of the Ukrainian advances of last year; advances unhindered by mines, all-round fire plans, or continuous occupied lines. This time the Russians are all set up and waiting; Ukraine is heading into the obstacle course from hell.


    Long before the end of WW1 the foremost part of the front line had ceased to be where the enemy was intended to be stopped. The very front of the front line is outposts and then the defences get progressively denser and replete with inviting avenues it would be folly to take.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  703. Russia has AA systems that are attacked daily by drones and artillery.

    Ukraine has many highly effective Stingers on the battlefield and such AA weapons keep Russian air power launching their AT missiles and glide bombs from well away. The idea that Ukrainians will use their F16 fighter jets for shooting down Russian ground attack aircraft such as the small primitive SU25 is unrealistic in much the same way are tank versus tank battles. Why are AA even a worthwhile target when there are no western jets flying for Ukraine. Do the Ukrainians need F16s to destroy the AA missiles that will have nothing to shoot at until the Ukrainians get F16s?
    An unacknowledged reason for why America has been so slow to supply F16 (and M1) and has made sure that only old models are going to be given to Kiev is fear that Russia’s strength in AA missiles will lead to the US most high profile weapons being all too easily shot out of the sky,or blown up left right and centre by AT missile welding Russian infantry hidden in tree-lines.

    For all their aircraft the Russian fiasco in their attack on Vulhedar bears an extremely close resemblance to what is happening to the Ukrainians at present. Start at 3:03 and see for yourself that defence with mines and drone pinpointed artillery is more than a match for any offence ‘combined arms’ or not.

    Russia has the manpower advantage but the quality of conscripts continues to decline. This is an old problem in war whereby conscripting random leads to more conscription as they aren’t equivalent to professional troops.

    I would say the initial assault especially on Kiev was done with inadequate numbers on infantry in the invasion force (prolly deliberate to maintain the element of surprise during the buildup), and the units contained the best troops Russia had, but Ukraine wasn’t intimidated by the VDV and an appreciable number of the most irreplaceable soldiers Russia had were killed. Russia is slowly going back to its traditional emphasis on mass effect, which is why for every one the Ukrainians kill there are multiple replacements; while these are indeed are not as good in intrinsic quality individually there are a lot of them, and with the benefit of combat experience in the theatre training and support is improving all the time. There are also still Russians volunteering, something the attacks into Russia can take credit for. Meanwhile the foreign volunteer fighters for Ukraine are leaving at an increasingly high rate. I think Ukraine’s ambitious offensive is bringing it closer to a morale crisis that Russia’s more limited strategy is.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    You need to put your reading glasses on then. Many variations on its Right n wrong not black and white.

  704. Did not realize it previously, but seems likely the term ‘loose woman’ had an origin meaning something like ‘homeless’ or ‘without a fixed address.’

    At least ‘loose man’ had a meaning like that.

  705. @sudden death
    @sudden death

    https://i.postimg.cc/kXfqvn07/staromaiorskoe.jpg

    Replies: @Sean

    Girkin and Wagnerites are banking on a repeat of the Ukrainian advances of last year; advances unhindered by mines, all-round fire plans, or continuous occupied lines. This time the Russians are all set up and waiting; Ukraine is heading into the obstacle course from hell.

    Long before the end of WW1 the foremost part of the front line had ceased to be where the enemy was intended to be stopped. The very front of the front line is outposts and then the defences get progressively denser and replete with inviting avenues it would be folly to take.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    Who is going to do the advancing though?


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine#/media/File:Ukraine_population_pyramid_in_2023.svg

    Replies: @Sean

  706. @Wokechoke
    What exactly is this song about?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b1_RKu-ESCY&t=178s

    Cashing in?

    I read through the comments on this YouTube video. Immediately everyone bullshits about how it’s not racist to utter such sentiments. Of course the violence is about niggers and their Jewish enablers.

    As soon as anyone in a small town does anything useful CNN show up and the militant white Guy grovels, or the local cops arrest the protesting whites.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    I read four comments and didn’t see what you saw.

    Aldean was the performer onstage when some military unit nobody is curious about sprayed the Las Vegas audience with machine gun fire. If anybody ever asked him about that or he ever made a comment I didn’t see it. He gets paid by a multinational corporation, no?

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Aldean was the performer onstage when some military unit nobody is curious about sprayed the Las Vegas audience with machine gun fire.

    Military unit?

    No it was just a nutcase with guns that had bumpstocks.

    It doesn't take a military unit to shoot into a crowd.

    Find a better conspiracy theory.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  707. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    Based on what? An inside source?

    You do realize that they have 43 million people and half are women?

    Might want to do the math before using made-up stats.

    “they’re literally down to old men and boys”

    – MacGregor last year

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    They had around 40 million…had being the operative word.

    Germany had their population post 2022 increase 1% based on Ukies alone. Can’t imagine how the much smaller Poland has swelled up.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    , @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine#/media/File:Ukraine_population_pyramid_in_2023.svg

    The incredible vanishing military age cohort.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine

  708. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Wokechoke

    I read four comments and didn't see what you saw.

    Aldean was the performer onstage when some military unit nobody is curious about sprayed the Las Vegas audience with machine gun fire. If anybody ever asked him about that or he ever made a comment I didn't see it. He gets paid by a multinational corporation, no?

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c7/Bertelsmann-Signet.jpg

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Aldean was the performer onstage when some military unit nobody is curious about sprayed the Las Vegas audience with machine gun fire.

    Military unit?

    No it was just a nutcase with guns that had bumpstocks.

    It doesn’t take a military unit to shoot into a crowd.

    Find a better conspiracy theory.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    I did not know that his concert, or a concert he was in was that concert Paddock shot up.

    It’s a small world. I guess someone tried it in a desert city though! Paddock was a strange brew of interracial dating libertarian do as you please Democratic Liberalism. On a lighter note….

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYBRRaL6j9o


    Here’s a fascinating film about the past of Rhodesia and the future of America though.

    Basil grew up in a town with 200 human beings.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  709. AP says:
    @Mikel
    @AP


    So might the idea of quiet nothingness be relatively soothing for you, compared to the disquieting idea of heaven, or possibility of falling into the horrific hell?
     
    No, not at all. If I had a vote, I'd definitely vote for Heaven rather than Nothingness. We'll then see what that heaven is like but at least it gives you a new chance to stay in the game. I don't know why but I've always taken it for granted that if there is something after life for me it should be of the benevolent kind, let's call it Heaven. And my guess is that if God takes the trouble to give you that new chance, perhaps it wouldn't be too selfish to ask that He takes away from your mind any fears you may have of entering such a weird, unimaginable place as well.

    But you are right. Once we admit the possibility of an afterlife, there is no reason to assume that it will be any good. Call me an optimistic existentialist if you want but I've never seriously considered Hell as a possibility for my afterlife. I do commit my sins, certainly, but as you know from past discussions, I am also quite a principled person on certain moral matters and, quite honestly, I would be more concerned about you than about me if the threat of Hell is to be taken literally.

    You do not find greater meaning in the individual consciousness?
     
    As Penrose would say, I'm not sure what to say about this. But it brings to my mind something that I think Bashibuzuk mentioned a while ago, in the sense that we should at least be grateful to have been given the gift of existence. It would have been better to exist without anxiety for the afterlife but it's a good point.


    There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.
     
    Yes, of course. I should have said absence of any evidence for me. If I had ever experienced paranormal phenomena or religious apparitions, my opinions would be totally different. But neither I nor anyone I know has ever experienced such things. What's more, the people I've met who claimed to have seen that type of things never sounded any trustworthy at all so I am where I am.

    Replies: @AP

    Call me an optimistic existentialist if you want but I’ve never seriously considered Hell as a possibility for my afterlife. I do commit my sins, certainly, but as you know from past discussions, I am also quite a principled person on certain moral matters and, quite honestly, I would be more concerned about you than about me if the threat of Hell is to be taken literally.

    I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas – I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors who probably had been far more devout than I am. And I suspect that I would not have the stomach to burn someone at the stake (or encourage someone else to), even if this were the right thing to do.

    But it brings to my mind something that I think Bashibuzuk mentioned a while ago, in the sense that we should at least be grateful to have been given the gift of existence. It would have been better to exist without anxiety for the afterlife but it’s a good point.

    An excellent point.

    “There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence.”

    Yes, of course. I should have said absence of any evidence for me. If I had ever experienced paranormal phenomena or religious apparitions, my opinions would be totally different. But neither I nor anyone I know has ever experienced such things.

    About 20% of people have. They don’t always admit to it, but if you ask around someone might share a story.

    I have not had such an experience, but I know two credible, completely normal who have. My friend with the grandmother’s dream that I described, and my brother-in-law with the footsteps in his dorm. There is nothing particularly Christian about those phenomena (though the latter stopped after a priest was brought in) but they were enough to blow a hole in the idea that nothing exists that can’t be explained by Science (I have also once spoken to a priest who was present during an exorcism and described it to me, but even though I do not think he lied or made things up this source admittedly can be considered a biased one).

    I’ve also debunked a “paranormal” experience. Once when staying at a cabin in the White Mountains we heard rhythmic thumping on a bedroom wall. Naturally the kids didn’t want to sleep in that room so I did. It really sounded like a person tapping the wall hard and in rhythm. The next morning I saw a woodpecker in the general area. I youtubed what a woodpecker tapping on an exterior wall sounds like in the interior, it was a match. The “ghost” had been that bird. Interesting that it sounds different than from the outside.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @AP


    I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas – I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors
     
    That is true. If Crusaders, Conquistadors and Inquisitioners make the cut, you should be totally safe. In fact, I don't think that defending their actions online, or those of Poroshenko, is even technically a transgression of the 6th Commandment. But I think I should be even safer on that front. I even fought for peace when it wasn't too safe to do so in the old country and once received some physical injuries for it. My record with some other commandments is more problematic though. But I would trust a truly benevolent God to give me a pass on account of weakness being the culprit rather than malice.

    Replies: @AP

  710. @John Johnson
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Aldean was the performer onstage when some military unit nobody is curious about sprayed the Las Vegas audience with machine gun fire.

    Military unit?

    No it was just a nutcase with guns that had bumpstocks.

    It doesn't take a military unit to shoot into a crowd.

    Find a better conspiracy theory.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    I did not know that his concert, or a concert he was in was that concert Paddock shot up.

    It’s a small world. I guess someone tried it in a desert city though! Paddock was a strange brew of interracial dating libertarian do as you please Democratic Liberalism. On a lighter note….

    Here’s a fascinating film about the past of Rhodesia and the future of America though.

    Basil grew up in a town with 200 human beings.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    I did not know that his concert, or a concert he was in was that concert Paddock shot up.

    Yea he dropped the mic and ran. It just added to the confusion since it wasn't clear as to what was happening.

    Here’s a fascinating film about the past of Rhodesia and the future of America though.

    I'll check it out on my next trip.

    I actually watched Siege of Jadotville recently which also involves Whites in Africa. Check it out on Netflix.

  711. @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    Based on what? An inside source?

    You do realize that they have 43 million people and half are women?

    Might want to do the math before using made-up stats.

    "they're literally down to old men and boys"

    - MacGregor last year

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Wokechoke

    They had around 40 million…had being the operative word.

    Germany had their population post 2022 increase 1% based on Ukies alone. Can’t imagine how the much smaller Poland has swelled up.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    Poland increased by around 10% IIRC. As a result of Ukrainian refugees, Poland experienced Sub-Saharan African population growth for a year. In fact, even better than Sub-Saharan African population growth. MUCH better.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    , @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    They had around 40 million…had being the operative word.

    Germany had their population post 2022 increase 1% based on Ukies alone. Can’t imagine how the much smaller Poland has swelled up.

    Which would mostly be from women and children. Military age men weren't allowed to leave.

    Russia just raised the conscription age to 30
    https://www.ft.com/content/760cc6c5-9d91-493d-94ca-86215c552fd7

    My guess is that Ukraine has the better kill ratio (at least 3:1) but they are still more vulnerable to running out of men.

    I suspect their higher kill ratio is in part due to Russia not providing adequate medical care. There are reports from conscripts where they were told to leave injured soldiers and continue pushing forward. Wouldn't surprise me at all if Chechens follow in to finish off the wounded.

    If the kill ratio was equal or in favor to Russia then they wouldn't be expanding conscription efforts.

  712. @Sean
    @sudden death

    Girkin and Wagnerites are banking on a repeat of the Ukrainian advances of last year; advances unhindered by mines, all-round fire plans, or continuous occupied lines. This time the Russians are all set up and waiting; Ukraine is heading into the obstacle course from hell.


    Long before the end of WW1 the foremost part of the front line had ceased to be where the enemy was intended to be stopped. The very front of the front line is outposts and then the defences get progressively denser and replete with inviting avenues it would be folly to take.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Who is going to do the advancing though?

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Wokechoke

    Ukraine has the men, but not the know how. Western militarielong ago abandoned the concept of a front line for on of a zonal battlefield of deop maneuver without distinct points of contact, and breaching was glossed over when the Ukrainians were given Western training. The mistake made by Russia in the initial invasion and Ukraine currently is failure to employ the maximum number of troops for mass effect

  713. When did donkeys first make it to Northern Europe in appreciable numbers, and why did it (presumably) take so long?

    Was it because Roman donkeys were too big to be useful after the collapse? Because horses were already that small? Because you need something like a horse-collar to have a donkey cart?

  714. This is the most hilarious thing I have seen in r/askhistorians in weeks.

    What was happening publicly in Ireland that caused Sinead O’Connor to know by 1992 that there was rampant abuse in the Catholic Church?
    by u/typewritten in AskHistorians

    94% upvotes, 900 karma, 63 comments, every comment removed.

  715. @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    Around 6 million eligible Ukie men did run off though. So it’s the same difference.

    Based on what? An inside source?

    You do realize that they have 43 million people and half are women?

    Might want to do the math before using made-up stats.

    "they're literally down to old men and boys"

    - MacGregor last year

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Wokechoke

    The incredible vanishing military age cohort.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine

  716. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all.
     
    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    It’s quite interesting, isn’t it? Christ’s message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ
     
    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.

    Why can’t contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.
     
    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    In response to that, you’re correct:

    https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/04/the_ghetto_of_t.html

    Before Jews began participating in Christian-dominated societies, they didn’t accomplish much. Israel as a Jewish-dominated society has managed to do pretty well, but even it was influenced by certain ideas coming from Christian-dominated Europe, such as nationalism and democracy.

    As a side note, it’s interesting that among elite human capital (EHC) nowadays, there is greater skepticism of Jesus’s divinity than there is among the proles:

    https://www.mdpi.com/2624-8611/2/1/3

    Previous research has documented a negative relationship between cognitive ability and religious belief [10,11,14]. Among the religious, the strength of religiosity has also been found to be negatively associated with cognitive ability [15]. Our results replicated both of these findings. On the other hand, the relationship between cognitive ability and the strength of religious convictions was absent or reversed in nonreligious groups like atheists and agnostics. Generally speaking, these results supported the general thrust of Nyborg’s and many others’ findings with regards to religiousness and cognitive ability [10,15].

    https://www.discovermagazine.com/mind/religion-and-iq

    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.

    What were their greatest desires? I mean, I would think that if they would have actually witnessed Jesus do what he is claimed to have done (come back from the dead, especially, but also perform actual miracles), then maybe a good number of them would have concluded that they are mistaken about what God actually wants from them.

    For an analogy, I would suspect that a lot of Jews did not want to open up to Christian society in the 18th-19th centuries and beyond, but they realized that doing so was the best way to uplift their own people as well as for their own people to achieve greater success and prosperity. But with Jesus, most of them simply never had the conviction that he was the real deal. I suspect that a lot of Jews would have acknowledged it if they themselves would have realized that they were mistaken about God’s intentions, but they would have actually needed to make sure that they were speaking with God beforehand. I don’t know, maybe I’m too optimistic. If God was able to magically recreate the Twin Towers (with everyone inside of them, including the 9/11 terrorists themselves) one year after 9/11, would a lot of Muslims worldwide be converting to Christianity afterwards, or would a lot of them think that it was the work of whatever Islam’s equivalent of the Devil is?

    (Some Muslims apparently believe in jinns: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jinn )

    As a side note, I wonder what exactly God’s purpose was in making Islam so successful during the first century of its existence. If Christianity was God’s vision, why allow a rival religion to take away so much territory from Christendom, most of which Christendom never got back (and certainly not permanently)?

    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.

    Did the Apostle Thomas demand that God give him a show? What’s the meaningful difference between him asking for personal proof of this and present-day Doubting Thomases such as myself likewise asking for personal proof of this?

    Providing such proof should be effortless for a nearly all-powerful being such as God, would it not?

  717. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Just because something involved an eyewitness account or even more than one doesn’t automatically mean that this eyewitness account was interpreting reality correctly. Else, you’d have to take these Marian apparitions at face value, especially considering that they involved multiple eyewitnesses seeing the same thing:
     
    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.

    Were they all telling the truth? All lying? Or somewhere in between?
     
    I suspect some were real, others were not.

    You think that atheists and agnostics don’t have worries? Especially if they’re not rich? They simply don’t worry about an Invisible Sky Daddy.
     
    Well, that's a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Mr. XYZ

    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.

    You don’t think that some of the people who claimed to have seen Jesus and/or Mary in later centuries would have been prepared to get martyred for this belief of theirs, if push would have come to shove? Maybe not every single one of them would have, but I suspect that a good number of them would have. Almost certainly at least some of them.

    One could get martyred for a belief that one genuinely holds but is actually false. A lot of Muslims are willing to die for Islam, for instance. Such a willingness might have made sense independently of Islam’s religious teachings very early on considering that fighting for Islam during its first century gave one the chance to experience wealth and glory (due to all of the Muslim conquests), but the days of Muslim conquests are long gone and yet many people are still willing to die for Islam even right now.

    Heck, Ashley Babbitt was willing to die for the idea that the 2020 election was rigged against Trump, and I suspect that she would have been very far from the only Trumpist who would have actually been willing to die for this belief if push would have come to shove.

    There’s also this article about this topic:

    https://medium.com/deconstructing-christianity/jesus-disciples-wouldn-t-be-willing-to-die-for-their-lies-91bab34ad826

    FWIW, I’m personally inclined to believe that Jesus’s disciples really did believe that they saw him after his death. I’m just not exactly sure that this is actually what they saw. Without a time machine, I suspect that we’ll never know for sure.

    I suspect some were real, others were not.

    That’s possible, especially if one is a believer.

    Well, that’s a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.

    Well, society tries to police bad behavior, whether through laws or through shaming (in cases where laws are inappropriate). Sometimes society goes too far in regards to this, and sometimes society is too lenient, but still, using contemporary moral practice to judge people (either legally or socially) sounds better than using a 2,000 year-old book to do this, no? It’s like Muslims who don’t believe that having sex with a nine year old is wrong because Muhammad apparently did it even though times and moral values have significantly changed since then. Christianity doesn’t have the same problem with radicalism relative to Islam, but still, it does have its bad apples, such as in Sub-Saharan Africa, especially in countries like Uganda that are knows for their extremely visceral and very violent homophobia.

    If one fears Hell and is thus disinclined to do certain things, then that’s on them. I do wonder if Heaven will be less interesting if a lot of the interesting people are going to be in Hell, though. Interestingly enough, I had this one left-wing revisionist community college professor a decade ago who proposed a revisionist interpretation of Lucifer’s/Satan’s struggle against God, arguing that Lucifer was a righteous fighter against God’s tyranny in Heaven. Interesting twist, no doubt.

    If we’re ever able to revive cryonically preserved people, then maybe they would be able to tell us about whether or not they’ve actually been in Heaven and/or Hell. Though I suppose that the answers would not be satisfactory since Christians could say that one doesn’t actually get to Heaven and/or Hell until one’s body actually fully decomposes (not something that I myself would be very eager to bet on for fear of being wrong!) while non-religious people could point out that if one has a near-death experience, then one’s brain could trick one’s body into seeing what it wants/expects one to see at that specific point in time (seeing Jesus/Heaven if one is a Christian who is having a near-death experience, for instance).

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    The ironclad crusaders like Tancred and delusional jungle missionaries like Livingstone are far more interesting In many regards than the origins.
    Which are fiction…

  718. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    They had around 40 million…had being the operative word.

    Germany had their population post 2022 increase 1% based on Ukies alone. Can’t imagine how the much smaller Poland has swelled up.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Poland increased by around 10% IIRC. As a result of Ukrainian refugees, Poland experienced Sub-Saharan African population growth for a year. In fact, even better than Sub-Saharan African population growth. MUCH better.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    Rather proves the point.

  719. @Sean

    Russia has AA systems that are attacked daily by drones and artillery.
     
    Ukraine has many highly effective Stingers on the battlefield and such AA weapons keep Russian air power launching their AT missiles and glide bombs from well away. The idea that Ukrainians will use their F16 fighter jets for shooting down Russian ground attack aircraft such as the small primitive SU25 is unrealistic in much the same way are tank versus tank battles. Why are AA even a worthwhile target when there are no western jets flying for Ukraine. Do the Ukrainians need F16s to destroy the AA missiles that will have nothing to shoot at until the Ukrainians get F16s?
    An unacknowledged reason for why America has been so slow to supply F16 (and M1) and has made sure that only old models are going to be given to Kiev is fear that Russia's strength in AA missiles will lead to the US most high profile weapons being all too easily shot out of the sky,or blown up left right and centre by AT missile welding Russian infantry hidden in tree-lines.


    For all their aircraft the Russian fiasco in their attack on Vulhedar bears an extremely close resemblance to what is happening to the Ukrainians at present. Start at 3:03 and see for yourself that defence with mines and drone pinpointed artillery is more than a match for any offence 'combined arms' or not.
    https://youtu.be/ZvJgRrpkaaU?t=183


    Russia has the manpower advantage but the quality of conscripts continues to decline. This is an old problem in war whereby conscripting random leads to more conscription as they aren’t equivalent to professional troops.
     
    I would say the initial assault especially on Kiev was done with inadequate numbers on infantry in the invasion force (prolly deliberate to maintain the element of surprise during the buildup), and the units contained the best troops Russia had, but Ukraine wasn't intimidated by the VDV and an appreciable number of the most irreplaceable soldiers Russia had were killed. Russia is slowly going back to its traditional emphasis on mass effect, which is why for every one the Ukrainians kill there are multiple replacements; while these are indeed are not as good in intrinsic quality individually there are a lot of them, and with the benefit of combat experience in the theatre training and support is improving all the time. There are also still Russians volunteering, something the attacks into Russia can take credit for. Meanwhile the foreign volunteer fighters for Ukraine are leaving at an increasingly high rate. I think Ukraine's ambitious offensive is bringing it closer to a morale crisis that Russia's more limited strategy is.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    You need to put your reading glasses on then. Many variations on its Right n wrong not black and white.

  720. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    Poland increased by around 10% IIRC. As a result of Ukrainian refugees, Poland experienced Sub-Saharan African population growth for a year. In fact, even better than Sub-Saharan African population growth. MUCH better.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    Rather proves the point.

  721. Undermining scientism is but the first step in what for many people is a lifelong journey.

    Yes, it’s shaping up to be like that for me. If I wasn’t open to ideas that go beyond the scientific realm I wouldn’t have taken up the daunting task of reading a book like McGilchrist’s.

    The full realization that science cannot answer all our questions and that, in the grand scheme of things, our minds are in all likelihood limited like any other mammals’ is rather recent for me. My latest effort to take religion seriously was in my late teens, when I read about Taoism, but then I slowly gave up and settled on a materialistic view of the world.

    But I feel it’s going to be a rough journey to go beyond my current skeptic curiosity. There used to be a family doctor in my hometown who was a very devout Christian. He kept complaining and reprimanding us all for having abandoned the faith people used to have in the old days. In order to maximize his audience he used to regularly write letters to the editor of a local newspaper and one of his talking points was how often he saw his dying patients suddenly recover their faith when they saw death nearby. I don’t know what he was trying to achieve with this idea but it had a very negative effect on me. I saw it as a further proof that religion was nothing but a mechanism we use to confront the fear of death.

    I actually found it rather dishonorable to embrace back religion in such a way. Now I would be much more understanding of these people who returned to their faith in a last gesture of hope but I don’t see me doing that. My pride is my enemy, I’m afraid. Which is not very logical because I fully agree with your idea that ‘life is about living’ and enjoying it as much as we can, so if embracing some belief makes life easier for us, why not just go and do it? It’s not so easy though because we are rational animals. As you admitted yourself, not everything goes and we cannot force us to believe that it’s raining when we see a blue, sunny sky. We need our beliefs to meet some minimum standards, I guess.

    If you think little of these suggestions, I encourage you to come up with some of your own.

    I think I’m going to pass on that. Thinking too much about this matter has never done me any good. You never arrive at any firm conclusion but you do get dizzy and disturbed when trying to imagine the afterlife, eternity and such concepts. It may be part of the human condition. Animals have no abstract concept of death but they definitely fear death. In fact, I think that they are much more cowardly than us because they let their survival instincts take over and immediately escape any situation that they feel may bring danger to them. We are by contrast capable of overcoming our instincts and facing situations of grave danger, sometimes even for fun. But I think that, in the same way that an animal is conditioned to just escape from death, the human mind is not equipped to process its own abstract death beyond certain limits.

    Having said all that, if I had to choose a religion just based on what kind of afterlife it promises, I would definitely g0 for one that offers as close an experience to the life I know as possible. I’d be quite content with just being given the chance to start all over again.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I saw it as a further proof that religion was nothing but a mechanism we use to confront the fear of death.
     
    I think the reductionist watchword - "nothing but" - is dealing damage on two fronts here. The first is that it radically cheapens religious experience. The second is that it belittles existential anxieties related to human finitude as almost a "distraction." (That's how it strikes me, anyway. "It's just death bro, there are more important things to worry about.")

    Reductionism is the foundation of the "journey" from appearance to substance I referred to a few posts ago. It's proven extremely useful, and that's why for the longest time I was hesitant to poo-poo it. What has become increasingly clear to me recently, however, is that it is guilty of massive overreach. I'm now willing to even allow for some excesses in the struggle to get that monkey off our backs. So if I say some things that strike a discordant note with you - that send you scurrying back to reductionism's safe embrace, say - understand that this is where I'm coming from.

    My pride is my enemy, I’m afraid. Which is not very logical because I fully agree with your idea that ‘life is about living’ and enjoying it as much as we can, so if embracing some belief makes life easier for us, why not just go and do it?
     
    I have to own up to something here. In that post, I also said something like life not being about arriving at the precise solution to a mathematical conundrum. Then a few posts later I guess I kind of contradicted myself when I said we find ourselves in the material plane of existence in order to achieve "some great task" - which carries at least the strong implication that maybe our happiness ought to be put on hold in the name of solving a puzzle.

    The way I'd resolve that apparent contradiction is to suggest that devoting ourselves to merely solving the "mathematical conundrum" would be like an engineering firm attempting to cost a project without first having a clear idea of what they intend to construct. Achieving "some great task", on the other hand, begins with the end in mind. It says there's a purpose to this life, part of which is discovering that purpose, but the other part of which is fulfilling it; and that all this lends itself to the goal of good living/happiness.

    There's more I want to say, but I have to run. In the next post I'll try to respond to the issue of religious perspectives that are believable.

    But just quickly,

    I think I’m going to pass on that. Thinking too much about this matter has never done me any good. You never arrive at any firm conclusion but you do get dizzy and disturbed when trying to imagine the afterlife, eternity and such concepts.
     
    Oh yeah, I feel you. Indulge me in one more though. What's your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: "When we die, we don't lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up"?

    Something like "Oh fuck off, go peddle that cheap metaphysics to some hippie starchild; I can see you see flogging astrological good luck charms on ebay a few years from now"?

    Or something closer to "Eh, if consciousness is actually a foundational quality of the universe - rather than merely a byproduct of our neurological setup - as some apparently respectable scientists now maintain, the phrasing may be overly saccharine but it does its part to provoke a reconsideration of our being"?

    Replies: @Mikel

  722. Allegedly modern Egyptian man taking a selfie with a 2000-year-old portrait of an Egyptian man from the Roman era in Fayum city:

    By US standards he could be considered as black probably?

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @sudden death

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Keegan#/media/File:Kevin_keegan_panini_card_(cropped).jpg

    England footballer 1970s.

    , @silviosilver
    @sudden death

    By traditional standards, dating back to a time when there was only a binary white/black option available, he'd be considered black. But in this day and age, I think there would be plenty of people - both white and non-white - who'd be hesitant to immediately apply that label. And who'd certainly accept his self-identification as non-black, if that's what he declared. (Also, the guy taking the pic looks blacker to me than the person in the portrait; not necessarily darker, just more afro/less caucasoid features.)

  723. @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack

    He doesn’t seem to base his opinions on any concrete facts.

    Well that is Larry C "war is over and now in mop-up stage" Johnson.
    https://www.europereloaded.com/larry-c-johnson-the-ukrainian-army-has-been-defeated-whats-left-is-mop-up/

    Another American that has sold his soul and remaining credibility to a homicidal dwarf dictator.

    They speak of NATO wanting to dismantle Russia as if they are offended by the idea in principle.

    Their longstanding argument is that the world should stand back and let Russia dismantle Ukraine.

    And his claim that there are 600,000 Ukrainian casualties? another kremlistooge talking head.

    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. Hack

    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.

    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10’s of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I’ve never read any estimate as high as this. I wasn’t even aware that the Ukrainian forces were anywhere as high as 5 million soldiers, dead or alive? Please elaborate.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mr. Hack

    imho, our dear JJ was just mockingly immitating both RF'ian and Western paid Z-propagandons with their gigantic fake UA casualty numbers pulled out of own asses,lol

    Replies: @Mikhail

    , @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack


    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.
     
    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10’s of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I’ve never read any estimate as high as this.

    That was sarcasm. I know it can be hard to tell around here.

    MacGregor keeps referring to his "inside sources" and talks of high Ukrainian losses every month. Someone should tally them up. Probably over a million at this point.

    The same MacGregor that last year told us they were down to old men and boys. Same for Ritter.

    They seem to think their target audience has a 4 week memory.

    Replies: @sudden death

  724. @Mr. Hack
    @John Johnson


    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.
     
    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10's of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I've never read any estimate as high as this. I wasn't even aware that the Ukrainian forces were anywhere as high as 5 million soldiers, dead or alive? Please elaborate.

    Replies: @sudden death, @John Johnson

    imho, our dear JJ was just mockingly immitating both RF’ian and Western paid Z-propagandons with their gigantic fake UA casualty numbers pulled out of own asses,lol

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YztNYiZrzo

  725. @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    I would not dismiss all of them.

    The Apostles said that they witnessed various miracles and they felt so strongly about this that they were willing to be martyred in various places and times, separate from one another.
     
    You don't think that some of the people who claimed to have seen Jesus and/or Mary in later centuries would have been prepared to get martyred for this belief of theirs, if push would have come to shove? Maybe not every single one of them would have, but I suspect that a good number of them would have. Almost certainly at least some of them.

    One could get martyred for a belief that one genuinely holds but is actually false. A lot of Muslims are willing to die for Islam, for instance. Such a willingness might have made sense independently of Islam's religious teachings very early on considering that fighting for Islam during its first century gave one the chance to experience wealth and glory (due to all of the Muslim conquests), but the days of Muslim conquests are long gone and yet many people are still willing to die for Islam even right now.

    Heck, Ashley Babbitt was willing to die for the idea that the 2020 election was rigged against Trump, and I suspect that she would have been very far from the only Trumpist who would have actually been willing to die for this belief if push would have come to shove.

    There's also this article about this topic:

    https://medium.com/deconstructing-christianity/jesus-disciples-wouldn-t-be-willing-to-die-for-their-lies-91bab34ad826

    FWIW, I'm personally inclined to believe that Jesus's disciples really did believe that they saw him after his death. I'm just not exactly sure that this is actually what they saw. Without a time machine, I suspect that we'll never know for sure.

    I suspect some were real, others were not.
     
    That's possible, especially if one is a believer.

    Well, that’s a big thing not to have to worry about. The scientistic belief in nothing other than the measurable and directly observable material world can be soothing like that, especially for those who are determined to act in ways that would be dangerous should He exist.
     
    Well, society tries to police bad behavior, whether through laws or through shaming (in cases where laws are inappropriate). Sometimes society goes too far in regards to this, and sometimes society is too lenient, but still, using contemporary moral practice to judge people (either legally or socially) sounds better than using a 2,000 year-old book to do this, no? It's like Muslims who don't believe that having sex with a nine year old is wrong because Muhammad apparently did it even though times and moral values have significantly changed since then. Christianity doesn't have the same problem with radicalism relative to Islam, but still, it does have its bad apples, such as in Sub-Saharan Africa, especially in countries like Uganda that are knows for their extremely visceral and very violent homophobia.

    If one fears Hell and is thus disinclined to do certain things, then that's on them. I do wonder if Heaven will be less interesting if a lot of the interesting people are going to be in Hell, though. Interestingly enough, I had this one left-wing revisionist community college professor a decade ago who proposed a revisionist interpretation of Lucifer's/Satan's struggle against God, arguing that Lucifer was a righteous fighter against God's tyranny in Heaven. Interesting twist, no doubt.

    If we're ever able to revive cryonically preserved people, then maybe they would be able to tell us about whether or not they've actually been in Heaven and/or Hell. Though I suppose that the answers would not be satisfactory since Christians could say that one doesn't actually get to Heaven and/or Hell until one's body actually fully decomposes (not something that I myself would be very eager to bet on for fear of being wrong!) while non-religious people could point out that if one has a near-death experience, then one's brain could trick one's body into seeing what it wants/expects one to see at that specific point in time (seeing Jesus/Heaven if one is a Christian who is having a near-death experience, for instance).

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    The ironclad crusaders like Tancred and delusional jungle missionaries like Livingstone are far more interesting In many regards than the origins.
    Which are fiction…

  726. @sudden death
    Allegedly modern Egyptian man taking a selfie with a 2000-year-old portrait of an Egyptian man from the Roman era in Fayum city:

    https://i.redd.it/d8s8r0k9kjeb1.jpg

    By US standards he could be considered as black probably?

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @silviosilver

    England footballer 1970s.

  727. @sudden death
    @Mr. Hack

    imho, our dear JJ was just mockingly immitating both RF'ian and Western paid Z-propagandons with their gigantic fake UA casualty numbers pulled out of own asses,lol

    Replies: @Mikhail

  728. @sudden death
    Allegedly modern Egyptian man taking a selfie with a 2000-year-old portrait of an Egyptian man from the Roman era in Fayum city:

    https://i.redd.it/d8s8r0k9kjeb1.jpg

    By US standards he could be considered as black probably?

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @silviosilver

    By traditional standards, dating back to a time when there was only a binary white/black option available, he’d be considered black. But in this day and age, I think there would be plenty of people – both white and non-white – who’d be hesitant to immediately apply that label. And who’d certainly accept his self-identification as non-black, if that’s what he declared. (Also, the guy taking the pic looks blacker to me than the person in the portrait; not necessarily darker, just more afro/less caucasoid features.)

  729. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    I did not know that his concert, or a concert he was in was that concert Paddock shot up.

    It’s a small world. I guess someone tried it in a desert city though! Paddock was a strange brew of interracial dating libertarian do as you please Democratic Liberalism. On a lighter note….

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYBRRaL6j9o


    Here’s a fascinating film about the past of Rhodesia and the future of America though.

    Basil grew up in a town with 200 human beings.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I did not know that his concert, or a concert he was in was that concert Paddock shot up.

    Yea he dropped the mic and ran. It just added to the confusion since it wasn’t clear as to what was happening.

    Here’s a fascinating film about the past of Rhodesia and the future of America though.

    I’ll check it out on my next trip.

    I actually watched Siege of Jadotville recently which also involves Whites in Africa. Check it out on Netflix.

  730. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    They had around 40 million…had being the operative word.

    Germany had their population post 2022 increase 1% based on Ukies alone. Can’t imagine how the much smaller Poland has swelled up.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    They had around 40 million…had being the operative word.

    Germany had their population post 2022 increase 1% based on Ukies alone. Can’t imagine how the much smaller Poland has swelled up.

    Which would mostly be from women and children. Military age men weren’t allowed to leave.

    Russia just raised the conscription age to 30
    https://www.ft.com/content/760cc6c5-9d91-493d-94ca-86215c552fd7

    My guess is that Ukraine has the better kill ratio (at least 3:1) but they are still more vulnerable to running out of men.

    I suspect their higher kill ratio is in part due to Russia not providing adequate medical care. There are reports from conscripts where they were told to leave injured soldiers and continue pushing forward. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if Chechens follow in to finish off the wounded.

    If the kill ratio was equal or in favor to Russia then they wouldn’t be expanding conscription efforts.

  731. @QCIC
    @Sher Singh

    Your trees remind me of a great song by Rush. The song reminds me of Ukraine. Other versions are more lively but this has the lyrics if you do not know them.



    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_D0wkLyCXE

    Replies: @QCIC

    Probably obvious to all:

    Rush is a Canadian band. The Oaks represent England and the Maples Canada.

    • Agree: Sher Singh
    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @QCIC

    https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1100267815883264070/1134343138694144030/B-ETzcaad3r-f-Na.mp4

    "Listen to the gunfire of the Sons of the Tenth Master"
    Guru Gobind Singh

    ਅਕਾਲ

  732. @Mr. Hack
    @John Johnson


    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.
     
    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10's of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I've never read any estimate as high as this. I wasn't even aware that the Ukrainian forces were anywhere as high as 5 million soldiers, dead or alive? Please elaborate.

    Replies: @sudden death, @John Johnson

    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.

    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10’s of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I’ve never read any estimate as high as this.

    That was sarcasm. I know it can be hard to tell around here.

    MacGregor keeps referring to his “inside sources” and talks of high Ukrainian losses every month. Someone should tally them up. Probably over a million at this point.

    The same MacGregor that last year told us they were down to old men and boys. Same for Ritter.

    They seem to think their target audience has a 4 week memory.

    • Thanks: Mr. Hack
    • Replies: @sudden death
    @John Johnson


    They seem to think their target audience has a 4 week memory.
     
    They might be quite right with this particular assumption regarding their follower Zoperation/Putler fan audiences though;)

    Replies: @Mikhail

  733. @John Johnson
    @Mr. Hack


    According my inside sources Ukraine has lost over 5 million soldiers.
     
    This seems incredibly high? You can read all sorts of estimates, on the low side 10’s of thousands upwards of maybe 200,000 on each side (and everything in between). But I’ve never read any estimate as high as this.

    That was sarcasm. I know it can be hard to tell around here.

    MacGregor keeps referring to his "inside sources" and talks of high Ukrainian losses every month. Someone should tally them up. Probably over a million at this point.

    The same MacGregor that last year told us they were down to old men and boys. Same for Ritter.

    They seem to think their target audience has a 4 week memory.

    Replies: @sudden death

    They seem to think their target audience has a 4 week memory.

    They might be quite right with this particular assumption regarding their follower Zoperation/Putler fan audiences though;)

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @sudden death

    As opposed to the opposite svido, neocon-neolib preferred spin that the Russians are running out artillery shells (said months ago), Ukraine has more tanks since 2/242/22, as a result of what it captured and 100,000 Russian armed combatants KIA.

    However you cut it, the Kiev regime is losing and will lose.

  734. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Yeah, Leopardi accepted the emerging conclusion of the shallow rationalist age he lived in that reason demonstrates God doesn't exist - that knowledge can only ever equal the evidence of our senses as interpreted by rationality.

    Even though he trapped himself in this false notion of reality, he was astute enough to realize that it would destroy society - he was not one of the naive and shallow optimists who thought the Age of Reason - as a stripped down, bleak, impoverished view of reality - would usher in a new utopia, as so many others were.

    Hence his dictum - "the barbarism of reason". Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.

    One look at our modern buildings, bare, stripped of ornament, and it's clear we are indeed a race of primitive barbarians.

    As one of the stage posts on my journey from atheism to a more open minded religious sensitivity to expanded possibilities, I was hugely enamored of John Gray, who brought Leopardi to my attention.

    For many, the first step in prying loose the despotism of reason is to unravel the shallow optimism of its champions, and become aware of its contradictions and paradoxes.

    Replies: @Sean, @silviosilver

    Understanding stuff is overrated and get in the way of taking decisions. One get what one wants by willpower, mainly. The most important paradox is that the full development of the individual’s understanding of and development of their potentialities is deleterious to the country in which they live. The lack of concern for the individual in Russia is a huge force multiplier for it.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Very astute and correct comment..

    That's what Mcgilchrist says too in his theory - that in our attempts to "get what we want", to control the world, we lose the ability to understand the world. The two are in some sense opposed to each other.

    The brain functions that help us to "grab" the world are different than the ones that allow us to understand it, and the peculiar collapse of intelligence in our time is a result of overdeveloping the brain functions that help us "get what we want".

    Owen Barfield said that it's a curious fact that the more we learn to control the world, the more less we find meaning it.

    And in every spiritual tradition in the world, there has always been the dichotomy of power and paradise - and the entrance to paradise has always been to relinquish power, or at least an inordinate desire for power.

    It is an ancient truth, that the inordinate quest for power has always worked against human happiness, and blinder our vision and rendered us incapable of understanding.

    So you are quite correct to observe a sort of opposition between understanding and getting what you want.


    The lack of concern for the individual in Russia is a huge force multiplier for it.
     
    This is highly doubtful, or at least cannot be applied universally.

    In Israel, the "force multiplier" that has allowed it to win all its wars is precisely deep concern for the individual - not only is every soldier consulted about where he would prefer to serve, but he's carefully screened for placement in the unit that best matches his abilities. Officers are trained to lead from the front, not order from behind in a position of safety, and every soldier knows the state will go to extreme lengths to not leave him on the battlefield or to rescue him should he be captured.

    Moreover, even low ranking soldiers are encouraged to contribute opinions on unit tactics and share with his unit his assessment of operation failures or successes, even if this contradicts his commanding officer.

    By contrast, the Arab armies Israel has fought show exactly your lack of concern for the individual soldier, and it has not served them well.

    One saw this attitude of contempt for the common individual here with Yahya - I remember after reading him for a while thinking that he helped me understand better the poor performance of Arab armies, and that he would not have inspired me with trust if I was a soldier serving under him.

    Replies: @Sean

  735. @sudden death
    @John Johnson


    They seem to think their target audience has a 4 week memory.
     
    They might be quite right with this particular assumption regarding their follower Zoperation/Putler fan audiences though;)

    Replies: @Mikhail

    As opposed to the opposite svido, neocon-neolib preferred spin that the Russians are running out artillery shells (said months ago), Ukraine has more tanks since 2/242/22, as a result of what it captured and 100,000 Russian armed combatants KIA.

    However you cut it, the Kiev regime is losing and will lose.

  736. @Mikhail
    @AP


    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.
     
    Didn't they do well in predominately Muslim countries?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Those were Sephardi/Mizrahi Jews. And Yes, they probably did do well relative to their Muslim neighbors, but not relative to their Ashkenazi co-religionists in Europe.

    In Israel, Ashkenazi Jews have an almost 15 point average IQ advantage over Oriental Jews:

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17052383/

    A number of studies have found that Ashkenazi Jews in the United States have a high average IQ. It has been proposed by Cochran, Hardy and Harpending (2006) that this can be explained by the occupational constraints imposed on the Ashkenazi for many centuries in Europe, when they were largely confined to money-lending. They propose that this selected for the high verbal and mathematical intelligence that has several times been found in American Ashkenazim. The current study investigates how far this theory holds for European and Oriental Jews in Israel. A review of studies shows that Oriental Jews in Israel have an average IQ 14 points lower than that of European (largely Ashkenazi) Jews. It is proposed that this difference can be explained in terms of the Cochran, Hardy and Harpending theory because Oriental Jews were permitted to engage in a much wider range of occupations and hence did not come under the selection pressure to develop the high verbal and mathematical intelligence that was present for Ashkenazim.

    Of course, the Woke Leftist will simply say that this is due to Ashkenazi privilege in Israel rather than due to genetics (which is by far the most likely explanation for this).

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ

    Too much of a generalization?

    Persian Jews don't come across as being so backwards when compared to Ashkenazi Jews. Sephardic Jews are the ones who had to flee Spain with the Muslims. These particular Jews don't come across as being so behind the times as well.

    Persian Jews and many of the Jews from Central Asia and Arab countries aren't Sephardic Jews. In some circles, there's an incorrect tendency of labeling all non-Ashkenazi Jews as Sephardic. Sephardic Jews use Ladino which is a kind of parallel to Yiddish used by the Ashkenazi Jews.

    After fleeing Spain, many of the Sephardic Jews ended up in the Balkans, with some of them having been in Italy beforehand. A good number of Balkan Sephardic Jews adopted Italian surnames. Reminded a bit of those Albanians with Italian surnames.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  737. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    Per capita, Ashkenazi Jews are probably the most accomplished group of all.
     
    Only when they participated in the world built by Christians. Otherwise their natural talents were rather wasted.

    It’s quite interesting, isn’t it? Christ’s message was mostly accepted by Diaspora Jews and (especially) Gentiles, not by Palestinian Jews, who were the people who lived in the closest proximity to Christ
     
    They had the most to lose from His message, which contradicted their greatest desires.

    Why can’t contemporary Doubting Thomases get similar treatment by Jesus? I myself, for instance, am still waiting for Jesus to do an equivalent demonstration for me.
     
    Pride is bad. You demand that God gives you a show.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line and their descendants who moved abroad to places like the US (especially the Northern and Western US):

    I have no doubt that Communism hurt Eastern Europe in regards to this (Russian accomplishment would have been more significant in the 20th century without the Communist-induced brain drain during the Russian Civil War), but it almost certainly wasn’t decisive in regards to this.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line
     
    Charles Murray was wrong and parochial. The chart based on his claims excludes Spain which liberated so much of the world from evil, ugliness and darkness, and Byzantium.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

  738. @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ

    Although in Gospels, Jesus is sometimes rejected by the local population (i.e. in Nazareth), he is also popular with local people in other villages. This had also some limits, as some of the villages where he seemed to be popular, are sometimes disobeying him https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Woes_to_the_unrepentant_cities

    The popularity of Jesus with local population, attracting a group of the followers (people walking behind him), is not indicating so much about the spiritual level of the religious leader, as the cult leader are usually charismatic leaders who will have many followers.

    You don't need to be Muhammad or Jesus, or the 19th century criminal Joseph Smith writing the Book of Mormon, even New York businessmen like Trump can be very popular with the people he knows and could have a large number of followers walking behind him in ancient epochs as he makes his miracles in different villages.

    So, whether he is accepted or not accepted, is not a very reliable indicator in either direction.
    -


    A more common problem for later observers to "verify" Jesus, is the views and prophecies Gospels says he promotes, are often not matching the subsequent events under the more natural interpretations.

    He says many times the world will end very soon, his followers don't need to worry because it's the end times.

    Although events are likely re-written decades after Jesus died, for example prophecy of Jesus in Gospel of Mark is likely re-written to include discussing parts about the destruction of Jerusalem, which was around 70 AD, when the book was written. Jesus says the events will be "in this generation". https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matthew%2024:1-35

    The first Gospel is written 30-40 years after Jesus died. 70 AD is the year Romans destroy Jerusalem. After sieging Jerusalem for months, the Roman destroy the Second Temple.

    The prophecy of Jesus, begins with the destruction of the Second Temple in Jerusalem, and the mastertext (Gospel of Mark) of the other Gospels, is written at this time when the Temple is destroyed.

    It was seeming to be the generation which had known Jesus and saw the destruction of the Temple, which is the same time the Gospel (which other Gospels are based) is written. The prophecy of Jesus begins with the same event, when the text is written as the people who knew Jesus are likely mostly dead already at the time the first Gospel is written.

    So, after the subsequent years when the other Gospels are written, almost everyone who was living in the time of Jesus is dead. The Apostles would have been dead, there were no apocalypse in their lifetime.

    In later centuries, there is need to re-interpret the prophecy, if you want to still verify Jesus. For example, the most popular perspective nowadays, is to to re-interpret prophecy of Jesus, that it will be “within a single generation” (the events of the end times), not “this generation” (of the Apostles) that will see the end times.

    If we assume Jesus must be correct then re-interpret the prophecy “this generation” to “within a single generation”, then it means the Temple will have to be rebuilt, before the times of the tribulation.

    Jesus was not talking about the Temple he knew, but only a different Temple, which will be rebuilt multiple thousands of years in the future, even more future than our time so we don't know if it will be true or not. It's logically possible, but probably not a natural interpretation, to guess Jesus would have been very interested in events of thousands of years in the future, but not worrying his followers believed he was talking about his own time.

    Of course, the more realistic alternative to still allow the idea Jesus was saying the truth, is the Gospels was partly invented or inaccurately written, where he didn't really say those things like "in this generation". That alternative introduces a new difficulty though, if you would be suspicious of the Gospels, with the question how we can access reliable information about Jesus?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Worth noting that Paul of Tarsus (the future St. Paul) wrote about Jesus in the early 50s AD and mentioned about how Jesus was seen by a crowd of 500 people after his death. But of course this doesn’t necessarily mean that their vision was accurate. They could have seen a charlatan pretending to be Jesus. Or, possibly more likely, they could have seen some kind of natural phenomenon that they mistook for the risen Christ.

    Plenty of Egyptians claimed to have seen Mary, the Mother of Jesus, in the 20th and 21st centuries:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Zeitoun

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Warraq

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Assiut

    But what exactly did these Egyptians REALLY see is the big and crucial question here.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. XYZ

    As a young man, on weekends I often frequented a neighborhood bar in N.E, Minneapolis called "Fitzes". It was located right next door to the neighborhood Ukrainian/Polish deli "Kramarczuks" (that has gone on in a later year to win the prestigious "James Beard" award as an outstanding deli/restaurant in New York city).

    On one propitious night close to closing time on a cold winters night, I left the bar and went across the street and entered my parked car. The streetlights revealed a very crisp and crystal like atmosphere on the streets, something not unexpected after several days of intermittent snows. As I turned on the ignition and I looked into my rear view mirror I could see a very bright lit up white statue of the Virgin Mary standing upright within a stone grotto. It was all so super clear and unexpected. On the radio was playing the beautiful and famous tune "Lady Madonna" sung by Paul McCartney. I sat within the car and took this all in for at least 15 minutes.

    The statue was located outside of the very oldest church built within Minneapolis, the "French church" "Our Lady of Lourdes". Sure, one could say that it was all just a coincidence (I didn't even remember parking my car in such a close configuration to the statue, I couldn't even have parked it any better to get such a direct view in my rear view mirror if I planned doing so), Paul McCartney singing so lovingly about the Madonna too...to me it was no coincidence, but a very real visionary experience...

    https://media-cdn.tripadvisor.com/media/photo-s/1c/6c/64/8b/photo4jpg.jpg

    This is the statue of "Our Lady of Lourdes" within the stone grotto that I saw within my rear view mirror on that fateful evening, a long time ago. It was quite "electrifying" as it was during the middle of the black night, lit up by lights and embraced by the frozen crystalline snow that was piled up all around. Simply amazing!

    https://lourdesmpls.org/

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

  739. @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Understanding stuff is overrated and get in the way of taking decisions. One get what one wants by willpower, mainly. The most important paradox is that the full development of the individual's understanding of and development of their potentialities is deleterious to the country in which they live. The lack of concern for the individual in Russia is a huge force multiplier for it.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Very astute and correct comment..

    That’s what Mcgilchrist says too in his theory – that in our attempts to “get what we want”, to control the world, we lose the ability to understand the world. The two are in some sense opposed to each other.

    The brain functions that help us to “grab” the world are different than the ones that allow us to understand it, and the peculiar collapse of intelligence in our time is a result of overdeveloping the brain functions that help us “get what we want”.

    Owen Barfield said that it’s a curious fact that the more we learn to control the world, the more less we find meaning it.

    And in every spiritual tradition in the world, there has always been the dichotomy of power and paradise – and the entrance to paradise has always been to relinquish power, or at least an inordinate desire for power.

    It is an ancient truth, that the inordinate quest for power has always worked against human happiness, and blinder our vision and rendered us incapable of understanding.

    So you are quite correct to observe a sort of opposition between understanding and getting what you want.

    The lack of concern for the individual in Russia is a huge force multiplier for it.

    This is highly doubtful, or at least cannot be applied universally.

    In Israel, the “force multiplier” that has allowed it to win all its wars is precisely deep concern for the individual – not only is every soldier consulted about where he would prefer to serve, but he’s carefully screened for placement in the unit that best matches his abilities. Officers are trained to lead from the front, not order from behind in a position of safety, and every soldier knows the state will go to extreme lengths to not leave him on the battlefield or to rescue him should he be captured.

    Moreover, even low ranking soldiers are encouraged to contribute opinions on unit tactics and share with his unit his assessment of operation failures or successes, even if this contradicts his commanding officer.

    By contrast, the Arab armies Israel has fought show exactly your lack of concern for the individual soldier, and it has not served them well.

    One saw this attitude of contempt for the common individual here with Yahya – I remember after reading him for a while thinking that he helped me understand better the poor performance of Arab armies, and that he would not have inspired me with trust if I was a soldier serving under him.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0kxD08S1qok

    Soldiers are brave want to avoid shame in front of their comrades, and the conduct of troops in the field is altered when the ethos of the society is.


    https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/disneys-board-oversees-us-cultural
    With a market capitalization of about $160 billion as of July 2023, the Walt Disney Company is one of the three largest entertainment companies in the world, alongside Netflix and Comcast.1 Once a self-contained animation studio and one of the oldest film studios in the world, Disney has expanded into a massive conglomerate that owns blockbuster film studios Pixar, Marvel Studios, and Lucasfilm, of Star Wars fame; TV networks including ABC and ESPN; multiple publishing imprints, multiple streaming services, and a global assortment of theme parks, cruise lines, resorts, and branded merchandise. Due to its prevalence and prestige in entertainment for children and their parents, Disney’s cultural influence amounts to a near-monopoly on the formation of values through media, and thus wields immense generational influence on popular understanding of social norms and even political legitimacy.
     
    Indiana Jones 5 was a product of Disney, which has always been first and foremost social engineering company. "What watching five straight days of Russian TV reveals about Putin’s Russia" a recent MSNBC piece about Kremlin control of all aspect of television and how even health and dance program are spun in aid of Russia's annexations and military operation in Ukraine. The US journalist is most astounded of all by the way Russian reality TV unashamedly depicts a provincial nation of drunken wife beaters. The gender roles in Russia are different to the West, where masculinity has been reconceptualized to no longer be tied up with being ready willing and able to kill and/or making the ultimate sacrifice.

    Although America has military hegemony the role of women in US society and the acceptance, in principle, of women in combat must altered the bellicosity of it soldiers. Most of the avoidable losses the Russians have had in Ukraine were caused by army chief of staff, Gerasimov, who bloviated about post-kinetic cyber, information, or hybrid warfare these were expected to succeeding through psychologic dislocation of the enemy without using much in the way of resources rather than destruction of the enemy army by mass effect methods of killing. Wagner Group in Bakmut was much more in line with Russian culture, which inculcates rash bravado as the epitome of, not just soldierly success. but being male. This authentic Russianness and his disgust at Gerasimov pseudo intellectual aping of Western distaste for real combat being widely shared by Russians explains why Prigozhin has defied all Westen pundits predictions by still being alive and in charge of Wagner. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G2t1KRz5GSA

    Phoebe Waller-Bridge is involved in writing for many many projects for the Disney group. Her break came with her Brit sitcom Fleabag included one episode were her character worried about the size of her back hole after being buggered, and another where she mused on how she masturbated while watching Obama on the news.


    http://www.martin-van-creveld.com/unto-him-your-passion/

    "No known society treats its male and female members in exactly the same way. Pregnancy and giving birth apart, the most important reason for this is physiological. Even in modern societies many jobs require plenty of strength and stamina. Fields in which men, on the average, enjoy clear advantages over women.

    For over a century now, each generation of feminists has proclaimed its own version of “the new women.” She who smoked like a man, drove an automobile like a man, attended university like a man, wore pants like a man, entered the professions and worked like a man, boxed like a man. and even—would you believe it—ejaculated like a man. All this, under the banner of “empowerment”! But underneath little if anything has changed.

    In all known societies, the higher up the slippery pole of power, wealth and fame you climb the fewer the women you meet. Among those you do meet, far fewer have made it by their own efforts as opposed to those of their male relatives.

    Furthermore, whatever success career women have enjoyed has come mainly at the expense of other women. Why? Because, for every successful career woman, there are two or three others who serve her in doing household work, minding children, and so on. To this extent, but also because successful women tend to have fewer children, feminism is self-defeating.

    Whatever success feminism has had has had is mainly due to the prevalence (in the West) of the so-called Long Peace. It will pass (in Israel, my own Israel, it is starting to pass right now). I am not aware of feminism achieving very much in Russia or Ukraine"
     

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  740. @QCIC
    @QCIC

    Probably obvious to all:

    Rush is a Canadian band. The Oaks represent England and the Maples Canada.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    “Listen to the gunfire of the Sons of the Tenth Master”
    Guru Gobind Singh

    ਅਕਾਲ

  741. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    This is a confusion – Mcgilchrist is explicit that each hemisphere participates in every function of our minds – just in a characteristically different way.
     
    Yes, you are right there. When I selected that quote I was thinking more about the way he talks about the "left brain doing this" or "the left brain saying that" in these latest videos I've seen than about what he wrote in a more formal manner in his book, though as some critics in his field have said, he also makes very bold claims in his books.

    In order to explain what I mean by honest scientists that convey trust by admitting uncertainties and recognizing the need to continue carrying out experiments that actually challenge their hypotheses it may be helpful to provide some examples. This is a video I watched some weeks ago of another neuroscientist (same field as McGil) that I found quite fascinating. This guy is a big proponent of psychedelics as a treatment for severe depression and PTSD. He's gathered lots of evidence showing their effectiveness with many patients he's treated but he's also an honest researcher and he keeps stressing during the interview how much is still unknown. A real pleasure to listen to:

    https://youtu.be/fcxjwA4C4Cw?list=PLPNW_gerXa4Pc8S2qoUQc5e8Ir97RLuVW

    And here is the also fascinating Penrose interview I mentioned. Be warned though that the interviewer is Jordan Peterson so half or more of the video is him talking about his own thoughts, that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself. Penrose sometimes seems to clearly lose hos patience with him:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi9ys2j1ncg

    One of the best moments of the video in my view is when Petersen and his colleague ask him how the human mind is able to access the world of mathematics, subjects he's been talking about for a long while and he simply says "Well, that I don't know".

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    that he struggles to articulate coherently and generally making a fool of himself.

    I remember listening to that interview when it came out. I had the impression that Peterson was in over his head and I wished even more than usual that he’d put a sock in it and let the interviewee develop his answers. At the same time, I think Penrose struggles to convey his own thoughts in a ‘dumbed down’ fashion. I’ve never gotten anything out of listening to him. (Not that I’m blaming him for that; he’s under no obligation to reach for a popular audience.)

  742. @AP
    @Mikel


    Call me an optimistic existentialist if you want but I’ve never seriously considered Hell as a possibility for my afterlife. I do commit my sins, certainly, but as you know from past discussions, I am also quite a principled person on certain moral matters and, quite honestly, I would be more concerned about you than about me if the threat of Hell is to be taken literally.
     
    I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas - I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors who probably had been far more devout than I am. And I suspect that I would not have the stomach to burn someone at the stake (or encourage someone else to), even if this were the right thing to do.

    But it brings to my mind something that I think Bashibuzuk mentioned a while ago, in the sense that we should at least be grateful to have been given the gift of existence. It would have been better to exist without anxiety for the afterlife but it’s a good point.
     
    An excellent point.

    "There is the absence of scientific evidence (that is, what can be systematically measured because it falls within the range of our ape senses and follows certain laws our brains have been capable of formulating) but not absence of any evidence."

    Yes, of course. I should have said absence of any evidence for me. If I had ever experienced paranormal phenomena or religious apparitions, my opinions would be totally different. But neither I nor anyone I know has ever experienced such things.
     

    About 20% of people have. They don't always admit to it, but if you ask around someone might share a story.

    I have not had such an experience, but I know two credible, completely normal who have. My friend with the grandmother's dream that I described, and my brother-in-law with the footsteps in his dorm. There is nothing particularly Christian about those phenomena (though the latter stopped after a priest was brought in) but they were enough to blow a hole in the idea that nothing exists that can't be explained by Science (I have also once spoken to a priest who was present during an exorcism and described it to me, but even though I do not think he lied or made things up this source admittedly can be considered a biased one).

    I've also debunked a "paranormal" experience. Once when staying at a cabin in the White Mountains we heard rhythmic thumping on a bedroom wall. Naturally the kids didn't want to sleep in that room so I did. It really sounded like a person tapping the wall hard and in rhythm. The next morning I saw a woodpecker in the general area. I youtubed what a woodpecker tapping on an exterior wall sounds like in the interior, it was a match. The "ghost" had been that bird. Interesting that it sounds different than from the outside.

    Replies: @Mikel

    I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas – I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors

    That is true. If Crusaders, Conquistadors and Inquisitioners make the cut, you should be totally safe. In fact, I don’t think that defending their actions online, or those of Poroshenko, is even technically a transgression of the 6th Commandment. But I think I should be even safer on that front. I even fought for peace when it wasn’t too safe to do so in the old country and once received some physical injuries for it. My record with some other commandments is more problematic though. But I would trust a truly benevolent God to give me a pass on account of weakness being the culprit rather than malice.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mikel


    "I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas – I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors"

    That is true. If Crusaders, Conquistadors and Inquisitioners make the cut, you should be totally safe.
     
    We have opposite perspectives - given that I have not demonstrated their zeal and self-sacrifice, I probably have a lesser chance of getting through than most of them.

    I even fought for peace when it wasn’t too safe to do so in the old country and once received some physical injuries for it.
     
    That is very commendable, depending on circumstances and details.

    My record with some other commandments is more problematic though. But I would trust a truly benevolent God to give me a pass on account of weakness being the culprit rather than malice.
     
    Depends on contrition and such. Nobody is worthy based on their own merits, anyways.
  743. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    By the way, I just want to say lately that your comments here on this topic have been exceptionally good, beyond what you'd expect from someone whose views have recently changed.

    But more so, I want to point out how refreshing it is to see someone in the process of growth and change. One of my gripes - and something I have always found so strange - is that so many people never change, evolve, grow.

    They just mine the same old exhausted vein or same old field past the point of all fertility.

    Steve Sailer, for instance, just writes the same old thing from the same old perspective, over and over again. He had what might be called I suppose a mildly interesting idea - that a substantial portion of human life has beneath the surface as it's motivation the pettiest concerns of ego. Not so original perhaps, but interesting to explore for a while.

    But my God, it's been years, and he hasn't learned anything more about life! No broadening of vision, no evolution towards a larger perspective taking in other dimensions of human life. No change at all.

    Ron Unz's articles are the just the same thing, over and over, and so are nearly all columnists here. And the commenters - I used to enjoy reading the anti-Semitic articles for some fun exchanges, but all the commenters on those articles seem to have settled down into ritualistically intoning the same solemn deprecations in what can only be described as some sort of bizarre religious ceremony.

    I have always felt life is a process of growth and change. My own life saw me go from materialist atheist to someone awakened to the religious approach to life, but even my religious beliefs continue to evolve in dramatic ways even on this site. I dont think the same way I did two years ago, and I'm constantly seeking out new authors.

    I think this strange modern stasis and stagnation is another reflection of the topic under discussion here, radical loss of connection to the imagination - the faculty that puts us in touch with larger realities outside our preconceived notions - and our descent into narrow minded left hemisphere thinking.

    So wherever you end up - even if it's some place I would violently disagree with - it's just refreshing to see someone change.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    beyond what you’d expect from someone whose views have recently changed.

    The change isn’t quite as recent as you might think. These ideas have been percolating in my mind for a while, without me fully embracing them. It’s like latent heat in physics. You can transfer heat to, say, a solid, and it will absorb the heat and absorb it, absorb it, absorb it, without any apparent physical change occurring, and then at some certain point, ta-da, you get a phase transition to a liquid. I guess that’s the best way to put it.

    As for Sailer, well come on, he’s not propounding a life philosophy, he’s attempting to advance a political cause. You or I may have heard the same thing a thousand times, but it doesn’t mean everyone has. Until he sees his perspectives reflected in actual policy – which seems as far off as ever (but appearances can be deceiving) – it makes sense to continue beavering away.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    That's a very good way of explaining inner transformation - it's a gradual process that eventually reaches a tipping point. To be sure, some people experience it as a sudden, blinding flash of insight, but for me it was also gradual

    As for Sailer, I don't mind the element of political activism in Sailer, nor that there are some "sticky" elements in his thinking - heck, there are "sticky" elements to my thinking too. But I think he defines himself primarily as someone who has "figured out how the world works", so he's not just interested in political activism but offering a comprehensive explanation of social dynamics, and perhaps even the human condition.

    And for decade after decade, to demonstrate no evolution, change, or growth in his understanding of the human condition, is astonishing to me. Heck, even within the narrow constraints of his chosen perspective, you'd expect some growth and evolution, even if he can't grasp it's partial, limited nature and graduate to a wider vision that captures more dimensions of human existence.

    I'm not really interested in beating up on Sailer, and he's fairly benign, but he seems to exemplify a general cultural trend - stagnation in the arts and sciences, loss of creativity, stasis.

    And while I wouldn't call him arrogant like some, his air of smug self assurance powerfully suggests the narrow minded left hemisphere predicament of not knowing what it doesn't know.

    I'm not looking at Sailer in isolation but linking him with the general social and intellectual crisis we are undergoing, and I think he's a good example.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  744. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Yeah, Leopardi accepted the emerging conclusion of the shallow rationalist age he lived in that reason demonstrates God doesn't exist - that knowledge can only ever equal the evidence of our senses as interpreted by rationality.

    Even though he trapped himself in this false notion of reality, he was astute enough to realize that it would destroy society - he was not one of the naive and shallow optimists who thought the Age of Reason - as a stripped down, bleak, impoverished view of reality - would usher in a new utopia, as so many others were.

    Hence his dictum - "the barbarism of reason". Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.

    One look at our modern buildings, bare, stripped of ornament, and it's clear we are indeed a race of primitive barbarians.

    As one of the stage posts on my journey from atheism to a more open minded religious sensitivity to expanded possibilities, I was hugely enamored of John Gray, who brought Leopardi to my attention.

    For many, the first step in prying loose the despotism of reason is to unravel the shallow optimism of its champions, and become aware of its contradictions and paradoxes.

    Replies: @Sean, @silviosilver

    Hence his dictum – “the barbarism of reason”. Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.

    I suspect he thought that life would just become a meaner, colder version of what already existed. It’s possible he and men like him could foresee, or at least be unsurprised by, the totalitarian cruelties we inflicted on each other in the 20th century. What they probably didn’t foresee, and would be astounded by, is the degeneracy and depravity our personal lives would sink to as we increasingly cut ourselves off from the transcendent, from a holistic connection to nature, and from the unchosen ties that once bound us to our fellow men; not merely swallowed up by the vortex of individualism, but willingly throwing ourselves into it – on account of there being no plausible alternative.

    I am reading Louis Betty’s “Without God – Michel Houellebecq and Materialist Horror” (in which I found the earlier quote from Ben Jeffrey). The title might be a little misleading, since it is by no means a typical work in apologetics. Betty simply writes as a typical literary critic, albeit one who doesn’t tediously dwell on ‘racism’, sexism, colonialism etc ad nauseam. It helps to be familiar with Houellebecq’s fiction, but a quote from the introduction makes the preceding point exceedingly well:

    Aside from modern liberalism, all humanistic attempts to organize society according to nontheological principles (Marxism, socialism, communism, etc.) have been failures, and if the liberal model has succeeded, this is only because it is the most natural form of social organization, and thus the worst (see Houellebecq 2011, 124–25). The unbinding of humanity from God lies at the heart of the historical narrative the reader encounters in Houellebecq’s work: lacking a set of moral principles legitimated by a higher power and unable to find meaningful answers to existential questions, human beings descend into selfishness and narcissism and can only stymie their mortal
    terror by recourse to the carnal distractions of sexuality. Modern capitalism is the mode of social organization best suited to, and best suited to maintain, such a worldview. Materialism—that is, the limiting of all that is real to the physical, which rules out the existence of God, soul, and spirit and with them any transcendent meaning to human life—thus produces an environment in which consumption becomes the norm. Such is the historical narrative that Houellebecq’s fiction enacts, with modern economic liberalism emerging as the last, devastating consequence of humanity’s despiritualization.

    “Materialist horror” is the term most appropriate to describe this worldview, for what readers discover throughout Houellebecq’s fiction are societies and persons in which the terminal social and psychological consequences of materialism are being played out. It is little wonder, then, that these texts are so often apocalyptic in tone. The Elementary Particles and The Possibility of an Island, for example, depict the outright disappearance of a depressive and morally derelict human race. Desplechin, Djerzinski’s colleague in Particles, says of the decline of Western civilization at the turn of the twenty-first century: “There is no power in the world—economic, political, religious or social—that can compete with rational certainty. The West has sacrificed everything to this need: religion, happiness, hope—and, finally, its own life. You have to remember that when passing judgment on Western civilization”.

    I have read most or possibly all of Houellebecq’s novels. (I don’t remember them well. I’m currently slogging through Aneantir in French – way above my level, but I’m persevering on the basis of a language-acquisition theory that says this helps the process. The plot is unusually interesting for a Houellebecq novel, and highly topical.) When I first began reading him years ago, I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by. Even then, though, I would have to put the book down in disgust, feeling icky about having dragged myself through that human muck. But hey, this is life, I’d tell myself, this is what the human animal is really like; you can avert your gaze all you want, but there’s no denying it. Well, that was then. More recently, I began to view his character’s sicksouled individualism as a mirror held up to the materialist worldview, rather than a tacit endorsement of it, as I had earlier thought. What luck, then, to stumble across a literary critic in Betty who tells me precisely what I now want to hear.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver


    What they probably didn’t foresee, and would be astounded by, is the degeneracy and depravity our personal lives would sink to as we increasingly cut ourselves off from the transcendent, from a holistic connection to nature, and from the unchosen ties that once bound us to our fellow men.
     
    Leopardi had a really penetrating insight into just how awful and grim things are without any approach to reality beyond mere reason - he was a very pessimistic and depressed person himself, but he wrote brilliantly and extensively on the subject in his massive Zibaldone (a huge collection of scattered observations on life - I've read only a fraction). He's one of those writers who - early on - unflinchingly face the implications of their premises and assumptions, without pretense or running away from them. Most people cannot face the true implications of what they unthinkingly profess, and rely on a gradual historical process to bring them to light, as they increasingly manifest in the real world.

    Nietzsche was hugely influenced by him.

    Houellebecq is in a long tradition of writers, very prominent in France, starting probably in the Fin de Siecle, of what might be called "existentialist horror" - the grimness of life without some kind of transcendent dimension.

    I hear what you're saying - it's fun and exciting when you're young to preen yourself on how deep and without illusions you are for seeing life this way, how superior to the mere cattle with their comforting illusions, I was big into that myself. But eventually, it begins to seem shallow and life-sapping - and the real exciting adventure, and the real radical act of non-conformity, becomes to question - what if the "received wisdom" of our time simply isn't true?

    And you begin to percieve, that it isn't "reality" - but only "reality " under certain assumptions, that are unproven.

    That's when the real adventure begins, and life becomes fun again. All sorts of possibilities open up.

    Enjoy Houellebecq and Betty!
    , @Coconuts
    @silviosilver


    ...I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by.
     
    I remember that when I first found Houellebecq, the cynicism towards middle class soixante-huitard and Bobo pieties, it worked more or less equally well for the 'Boomer Truth' British equivalents. And he was using evolutionary psychology and liberal economics to explain their values in reductive/mechanistic terms, which seemed to fit with the spirit of things at the time.

    I always thought he remained, at least to some extent, a romantic, and hoped for some alternative to the world he was describing in love and literature. At the same time he sort of liked wallowing in some aspects of it, the prostitution and consumerism, Monoprix bargains and his parka jackets.

    There is that memorable self-description in Map and the Territory where he inserts himself into the story as a character, lying on a mattresson the floor in his house in Ireland watching cartoons all day, with fragments of partially eaten charcuterie all over the duvet and kitchen cupboards full of cheap wine.

    As HMS already mentioned, this is more or less in the French decadent tradition, and the 19th century decadent tradition in some way pointed to what would follow in the next generation, the revolt against decadence. Maybe something like that will follow again, anti-rationalist and anti-romantic at the same time.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  745. @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail

    Those were Sephardi/Mizrahi Jews. And Yes, they probably did do well relative to their Muslim neighbors, but not relative to their Ashkenazi co-religionists in Europe.

    In Israel, Ashkenazi Jews have an almost 15 point average IQ advantage over Oriental Jews:

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17052383/


    A number of studies have found that Ashkenazi Jews in the United States have a high average IQ. It has been proposed by Cochran, Hardy and Harpending (2006) that this can be explained by the occupational constraints imposed on the Ashkenazi for many centuries in Europe, when they were largely confined to money-lending. They propose that this selected for the high verbal and mathematical intelligence that has several times been found in American Ashkenazim. The current study investigates how far this theory holds for European and Oriental Jews in Israel. A review of studies shows that Oriental Jews in Israel have an average IQ 14 points lower than that of European (largely Ashkenazi) Jews. It is proposed that this difference can be explained in terms of the Cochran, Hardy and Harpending theory because Oriental Jews were permitted to engage in a much wider range of occupations and hence did not come under the selection pressure to develop the high verbal and mathematical intelligence that was present for Ashkenazim.
     
    Of course, the Woke Leftist will simply say that this is due to Ashkenazi privilege in Israel rather than due to genetics (which is by far the most likely explanation for this).

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Too much of a generalization?

    Persian Jews don’t come across as being so backwards when compared to Ashkenazi Jews. Sephardic Jews are the ones who had to flee Spain with the Muslims. These particular Jews don’t come across as being so behind the times as well.

    Persian Jews and many of the Jews from Central Asia and Arab countries aren’t Sephardic Jews. In some circles, there’s an incorrect tendency of labeling all non-Ashkenazi Jews as Sephardic. Sephardic Jews use Ladino which is a kind of parallel to Yiddish used by the Ashkenazi Jews.

    After fleeing Spain, many of the Sephardic Jews ended up in the Balkans, with some of them having been in Italy beforehand. A good number of Balkan Sephardic Jews adopted Italian surnames. Reminded a bit of those Albanians with Italian surnames.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mikhail

    I used the term Oriental Jews, not Sephardic Jews. Persian, et cetera Jews are Mizrahi Jews, not Sephardi Jews.

  746. Ukraine Offensive – From the Inside w/Matt VanDyke Ukraine military enlisted

    Van Dyke is plastered in the Youtube comments section below the video. Napolitano does good diverse journalism by having on the likes of Van Dyke and Jack Devine.

  747. AP says:
    @Mikel
    @AP


    I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas – I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors
     
    That is true. If Crusaders, Conquistadors and Inquisitioners make the cut, you should be totally safe. In fact, I don't think that defending their actions online, or those of Poroshenko, is even technically a transgression of the 6th Commandment. But I think I should be even safer on that front. I even fought for peace when it wasn't too safe to do so in the old country and once received some physical injuries for it. My record with some other commandments is more problematic though. But I would trust a truly benevolent God to give me a pass on account of weakness being the culprit rather than malice.

    Replies: @AP

    “I doubt the second point in terms of personal lives and actions. In terms of ideas – I am far less sanguinary than Christians such as Crusaders and Conquistadors”

    That is true. If Crusaders, Conquistadors and Inquisitioners make the cut, you should be totally safe.

    We have opposite perspectives – given that I have not demonstrated their zeal and self-sacrifice, I probably have a lesser chance of getting through than most of them.

    I even fought for peace when it wasn’t too safe to do so in the old country and once received some physical injuries for it.

    That is very commendable, depending on circumstances and details.

    My record with some other commandments is more problematic though. But I would trust a truly benevolent God to give me a pass on account of weakness being the culprit rather than malice.

    Depends on contrition and such. Nobody is worthy based on their own merits, anyways.

  748. AP says:
    @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn't even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line and their descendants who moved abroad to places like the US (especially the Northern and Western US):

    https://i.ytimg.com/vi/HnkCes0yDw4/maxresdefault.jpg

    https://external-preview.redd.it/zjyrahrM86OVOSov2bpHQwiJ10y09AaAR98JRXcOdoc.png?auto=webp&s=8fdb7312a5fd203ac14f97c7db4b0497bfe889c7

    I have no doubt that Communism hurt Eastern Europe in regards to this (Russian accomplishment would have been more significant in the 20th century without the Communist-induced brain drain during the Russian Civil War), but it almost certainly wasn't decisive in regards to this.

    Replies: @AP

    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line

    Charles Murray was wrong and parochial. The chart based on his claims excludes Spain which liberated so much of the world from evil, ugliness and darkness, and Byzantium.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @AP

    I don't know about Byzantium, but Spain has been unfairly maligned. It was not the early-modern backwater it is often portrayed as.

    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @AP

    My recollection was that Northerm Spain (Asturias, Galicia, Cantabria, Basque Country) was inside the Hajnal Line.

    IMHO it's still quite different from the rest of Spain. And of course the Reconquista really started there with King Pelayo.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pelagius_of_Asturias

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Cueva_de_Covadonga

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    I suspect that his chart excluded *political* figures? I'll have to check, but that's what I suspect.

    You are very much correct that in the political sphere, Spain and the Byzantines have accomplished a lot. And it's possible that the Byzantine Empire also achieved a lot in terms of producing knowledge before it declined and fell. But in terms of historical figures produced, they were still dwarfed by the West:

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-the-west?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/which-european-nations-are-overrepresented?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/notable-people-in-science-europe?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    Liberating a lot of Native Americans from brutal tyranny, for instance, was great from a humanitarian perspective, but it also didn't produce our modern world. The West did that with the Industrial Revolution and everything that subsequently came after it, as well as some of the stuff that came before it, such as the Scientific Revolution.

    Byzantium did have a vital role to play in preventing Islam from expanding into Europe very early on when it prevented the Arabs from conquering Constantinople, though. Had it not done so, would all of Europe have eventually become Muslim and suffered from centuries of decline up to the present-day like the Muslim world eventually did?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    BTW, I've got a question for you, AP: What do you think about Frederick the Great? I suspect that you strongly dislike him for taking Silesia away from Austria and for dismembering the PLC and wish that Tsarina Elizabeth would not have died in 1762 so that she could have finished the war and destroyed Prussia as a Great Power once and for all, right?

    Or do you ultimately believe that despite all of its flaws (such as its visceral Polonophobia), Prussia and later Germany ended up being a better Great Power and even Austrian ally than Russia was?

    As a side note, it's quite interesting that in 1945 the USSR achieved what Russia would have achieved back in 1763 under a surviving Tsarina Elizabeth (or even in 1919 under a non-Bolshevik Russian government that would have been able to continue the war up to the very end), but an astronomically higher cost. The cost of this was by far the smallest back in 1763, much higher in 1919, and astronomically higher yet by 1945. By surviving so long, Prussia paved the way for the destruction of Russia's demographic future, which might have helped pave the way for Russia's eventual invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

  749. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line
     
    Charles Murray was wrong and parochial. The chart based on his claims excludes Spain which liberated so much of the world from evil, ugliness and darkness, and Byzantium.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    I don’t know about Byzantium, but Spain has been unfairly maligned. It was not the early-modern backwater it is often portrayed as.

    • Agree: AP
  750. @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry

    Worth noting that Paul of Tarsus (the future St. Paul) wrote about Jesus in the early 50s AD and mentioned about how Jesus was seen by a crowd of 500 people after his death. But of course this doesn't necessarily mean that their vision was accurate. They could have seen a charlatan pretending to be Jesus. Or, possibly more likely, they could have seen some kind of natural phenomenon that they mistook for the risen Christ.

    Plenty of Egyptians claimed to have seen Mary, the Mother of Jesus, in the 20th and 21st centuries:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Zeitoun

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4e/Zeitun.gif

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Warraq

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/4/49/Apparitions_at_Warraq.jpg

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Our_Lady_of_Assiut

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9f/A_photo_of_an_apparition_in_Asyut_%28September_15th_2000%29..jpg

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/ae/8_September_2000_at_4-26_am..jpg

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/98/Apparition_in_Assiut%2C_15_September_2000.jpg

    But what exactly did these Egyptians REALLY see is the big and crucial question here.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    As a young man, on weekends I often frequented a neighborhood bar in N.E, Minneapolis called “Fitzes”. It was located right next door to the neighborhood Ukrainian/Polish deli “Kramarczuks” (that has gone on in a later year to win the prestigious “James Beard” award as an outstanding deli/restaurant in New York city).

    On one propitious night close to closing time on a cold winters night, I left the bar and went across the street and entered my parked car. The streetlights revealed a very crisp and crystal like atmosphere on the streets, something not unexpected after several days of intermittent snows. As I turned on the ignition and I looked into my rear view mirror I could see a very bright lit up white statue of the Virgin Mary standing upright within a stone grotto. It was all so super clear and unexpected. On the radio was playing the beautiful and famous tune “Lady Madonna” sung by Paul McCartney. I sat within the car and took this all in for at least 15 minutes.

    The statue was located outside of the very oldest church built within Minneapolis, the “French church” “Our Lady of Lourdes”. Sure, one could say that it was all just a coincidence (I didn’t even remember parking my car in such a close configuration to the statue, I couldn’t even have parked it any better to get such a direct view in my rear view mirror if I planned doing so), Paul McCartney singing so lovingly about the Madonna too…to me it was no coincidence, but a very real visionary experience…

    This is the statue of “Our Lady of Lourdes” within the stone grotto that I saw within my rear view mirror on that fateful evening, a long time ago. It was quite “electrifying” as it was during the middle of the black night, lit up by lights and embraced by the frozen crystalline snow that was piled up all around. Simply amazing!

    https://lourdesmpls.org/

    • Thanks: Mr. XYZ
    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. Hack

    Correction: the song on the radio was actually McCartney's outstanding "Let it Be"...

    https://youtu.be/u6T5C-jzSH0


    "When I find myself in times of trouble, Mother Mary comes to me
    Speaking words of wisdom, let it be
    And in my hour of darkness she is standing right in front of me
    Speaking words of wisdom, let it be

     

  751. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    https://i.imgur.com/8dUZ6fk.png

    To return to our discussion of the recent attempt to pathologize summer, New York currently has an excessive heat warning in place, with all the attendant alarmist advice to stay indoors etc.

    And yet 90 degrees is extremely common in NY. Even a few years ago no one would bat an eyelash, it wouldn't even be cause for comment - just a normal summer day.

    The truly weird thing is that this dramatic change in how we are expected to see a hot day is being carried out as if we're supposed to completely forget that just a few years ago this was no big deal, as if many of us have no memories of our childhoods in NY, without any acknowledgement that this a dramatic shift in perspective.

    Replies: @Mikel

    The truly weird thing is that this dramatic change in how we are expected to see a hot day is being carried out as if we’re supposed to completely forget that just a few years ago this was no big deal

    LOL. Take your electrolytes with you wherever you go anyway. This idea that the bushmen of the Kalahari and the tropical jungle tribes are able to survive without them has all the hallmarks of a Russian disinformation campaign.

    Now, this wouldn’t so bad if it was just climate change anxiety (although I think that never in the history of science has a theory needed so much exaggeration and distortion to show its validity). But it goes well beyond that, I’m afraid, and is just another manifestation of a social order that weakens the minds and bodies of its members. The other day I was at Home Depot buying some hardware and I couldn’t find enough pieces but luckily I saw that they had a full box on the higher shelves, some 8-9′ from the ground. Naturally enough, I put my foot on the first shelf, stretched my arm and began taking the extra ones I needed. A young employee immediately came to my rescue and explained in horror how those high shelves can only be accessed by employees due to so many accidents having occurred to customers. It was laughable really.

    But it didn’t end there. He made me wait until he came back with a huge security ladder with railings on the sides, that he carefully climbed to get to the box and bring it down. A good 15 minutes of wait for a task that I was seconds away from completing. This was a very young guy in his late teens or early twenties who sincerely believed in the necessity of all these bureaucratic safety measures, most likely devised by physically unfit people much older than him for the rest of us who venture in the dangerous aisles of the store. When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them. In those times you just wouldn’t dare to insult an older but fit man by preventing him to take something from a shelf perfectly within his reach.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mikel


    When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them.
     
    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.

    • In your day, if you had fallen and cracked your skull on the concrete floor. They would have helped you to the hospital.
    • Today, if someone has a head injury inside a Home Depot, what are the chances of a lawsuit? Even if it is the patron's fault and HD wins, they are not getting that legal cost back.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    Yes, I agree with you it goes far beyond mere fear of climate change, and reflects a a massive shift in mentality. Can you imagine anyone taking bold, creative action in such an environment? Someone improvising, adapting, figuring out new solutions? It's obvious why we're stagnating as a society.

    It's also a massive brake on actually accomplishing projects - in NY, the second Avenue subway extension took, only a mile or so, took years to complete. It would have taken two months a few decades ago. And all across the country, interminable construction projects languish in a sort of eternal limbo - so that I'm actually shocked when something is completed, I'd begun accepting it as simply a permanent part of the landscape.

    It also creates a servile, dependent, mentality, one incapable of initiative, a risk averse and fear based mentality.

    And quite beyond the massive handicap this imposes on the practical level, the psychological dimension of the issue is equally worrying - no spontaneity, no joy, no freedom, but depression and anxiety of the kind that is now global.

    For my part, I think it's important to keep in mind that this mentality did not just "appear out of nowhere", but was long in evolving, and is the inevitable "dialectical" result, as it were, of European culture itself in the shape it began to take in the 18th century. Many prescient writers saw this coming.

    And the way out now, is not a return to a flawed past whose inner dialectical momentum culminated in where we are today, but in understanding what assumptions about life and the nature of reality led us into this impasse, and building a future that recovers what was good and right in the past, but transcends its flaws.

    That's my opinion, anyways :)

    But thanks for sharing these stories which show the absurdity of our times!

  752. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    If they have men willing to fight then they might as well use the Western weapons. I see no reason for them to negotiate or let Putin walk with Donbas at this stage. The tanks and F-16s haven’t arrived.
     
    Ukraine has theatre parity in everything except jet fighters--which the Russians cannot used over the battlefield because of the profusion of Stingers)--although Ukraine has enough fighters launch Storm Shadow attacks on Russia command and control and supply hubs.. In long range precision precision missiles capable of hitting hardened command bunkers, Ukraine has an advantage. Russia has AA systems designed to shoot down F16s, and hundreds of planes of it own at least as good as the F16, so mere parity would require Ukraine to be given hundreds of F16. The planes are just an excuse anyway because the main problem in coming to grips with the Russian defence line is getting through minefields while under observation from omnipresent drones (drones are a big reason why aircraft are less important and howitzers are dominating).The Ukrainians have been given been given advanced equipment for winning artillery duels and they can establish dominance at points of their choosing, plus they have lots of drones.

    The problem is the concentration of a powerful force to send through the breach in enemy lines and sustain a deep drive into the enemy areas to fully exploit requires the forming up of the units beforehad , and such a concentration is now immediately located by surveillance drones and attacked by artillery and kamikaze drones. Modern warfare in not what everyone (including the Russians and Americans) thought it was.


    That POW fellow was a bolshie convict, it's no secret that convicts are there to soak up firepower and preserve the real RF trained soldiers who were too few in number; Ukraine started with a very substantial manpower advantage on the battlefield but that is inexorably declining not because of convicts but a tardy Russian mobilisation still ongoing (hundreds of thousands more set of body armour have just been ordered from China).

    In trying get back everything taken from it, Ukraine is of course doing what any country would if it did not know what might be achieved at moderate cost by a determined offensive, but there is soon going to come a point a point after Kiev current offensive has culminated that they will be under no illusions about the possibility of driving the Russians back , and continuing as Russia begins to have a manpower advantage will entail risking the loss of more Ukrainian territory. This idea that Russia has done its worst already was Ukraine's cardinal error in the run up to the 2022 invasion, which they did not think Russia could or would do seeing the preparations as sabre rattling because Russia was too intimidated by the military might of America.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @YetAnotherAnon

    I must say, Sean, I’m very impressed that you’re using reason and logic on JJ. I just haven’t got the patience.

  753. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line
     
    Charles Murray was wrong and parochial. The chart based on his claims excludes Spain which liberated so much of the world from evil, ugliness and darkness, and Byzantium.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    My recollection was that Northerm Spain (Asturias, Galicia, Cantabria, Basque Country) was inside the Hajnal Line.

    IMHO it’s still quite different from the rest of Spain. And of course the Reconquista really started there with King Pelayo.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pelagius_of_Asturias

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Cueva_de_Covadonga

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Yep, AFAIK, northern Spain (the part of Spain that was liberated from the Muslims first) is indeed within the Hajnal Line:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_European_marriage_pattern

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0c/Hajnal_line.JPG/1024px-Hajnal_line.JPG

  754. @Mr. Hack
    @Mr. XYZ

    As a young man, on weekends I often frequented a neighborhood bar in N.E, Minneapolis called "Fitzes". It was located right next door to the neighborhood Ukrainian/Polish deli "Kramarczuks" (that has gone on in a later year to win the prestigious "James Beard" award as an outstanding deli/restaurant in New York city).

    On one propitious night close to closing time on a cold winters night, I left the bar and went across the street and entered my parked car. The streetlights revealed a very crisp and crystal like atmosphere on the streets, something not unexpected after several days of intermittent snows. As I turned on the ignition and I looked into my rear view mirror I could see a very bright lit up white statue of the Virgin Mary standing upright within a stone grotto. It was all so super clear and unexpected. On the radio was playing the beautiful and famous tune "Lady Madonna" sung by Paul McCartney. I sat within the car and took this all in for at least 15 minutes.

    The statue was located outside of the very oldest church built within Minneapolis, the "French church" "Our Lady of Lourdes". Sure, one could say that it was all just a coincidence (I didn't even remember parking my car in such a close configuration to the statue, I couldn't even have parked it any better to get such a direct view in my rear view mirror if I planned doing so), Paul McCartney singing so lovingly about the Madonna too...to me it was no coincidence, but a very real visionary experience...

    https://media-cdn.tripadvisor.com/media/photo-s/1c/6c/64/8b/photo4jpg.jpg

    This is the statue of "Our Lady of Lourdes" within the stone grotto that I saw within my rear view mirror on that fateful evening, a long time ago. It was quite "electrifying" as it was during the middle of the black night, lit up by lights and embraced by the frozen crystalline snow that was piled up all around. Simply amazing!

    https://lourdesmpls.org/

    Replies: @Mr. Hack

    Correction: the song on the radio was actually McCartney’s outstanding “Let it Be”…

    “When I find myself in times of trouble, Mother Mary comes to me
    Speaking words of wisdom, let it be
    And in my hour of darkness she is standing right in front of me
    Speaking words of wisdom, let it be

    • Thanks: Mr. XYZ
  755. A123 says: • Website
    @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The truly weird thing is that this dramatic change in how we are expected to see a hot day is being carried out as if we’re supposed to completely forget that just a few years ago this was no big deal
     
    LOL. Take your electrolytes with you wherever you go anyway. This idea that the bushmen of the Kalahari and the tropical jungle tribes are able to survive without them has all the hallmarks of a Russian disinformation campaign.

    Now, this wouldn't so bad if it was just climate change anxiety (although I think that never in the history of science has a theory needed so much exaggeration and distortion to show its validity). But it goes well beyond that, I'm afraid, and is just another manifestation of a social order that weakens the minds and bodies of its members. The other day I was at Home Depot buying some hardware and I couldn't find enough pieces but luckily I saw that they had a full box on the higher shelves, some 8-9' from the ground. Naturally enough, I put my foot on the first shelf, stretched my arm and began taking the extra ones I needed. A young employee immediately came to my rescue and explained in horror how those high shelves can only be accessed by employees due to so many accidents having occurred to customers. It was laughable really.

    But it didn't end there. He made me wait until he came back with a huge security ladder with railings on the sides, that he carefully climbed to get to the box and bring it down. A good 15 minutes of wait for a task that I was seconds away from completing. This was a very young guy in his late teens or early twenties who sincerely believed in the necessity of all these bureaucratic safety measures, most likely devised by physically unfit people much older than him for the rest of us who venture in the dangerous aisles of the store. When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them. In those times you just wouldn't dare to insult an older but fit man by preventing him to take something from a shelf perfectly within his reach.

    Replies: @A123, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them.

    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.

    • In your day, if you had fallen and cracked your skull on the concrete floor. They would have helped you to the hospital.
    • Today, if someone has a head injury inside a Home Depot, what are the chances of a lawsuit? Even if it is the patron’s fault and HD wins, they are not getting that legal cost back.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @A123


    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.
     
    No. They are a part of the equation but the real problem is a different one and I can see it everyday.

    Just to carry on with Home Depot stories, I was just astonished not long ago with another HD employee, even younger, working at the rental department. I rented a so called material lift, a device with a pulley that you use to raise stuff up to a height of 12'. I could have easily put in in my van on my own, as I have done several times before, but one of the parts is a bit heavy so I made the mistake of asking him to help me and he volunteered to take care of the heavy part. It was hard to watch, very sad. He went to the store to bring an electric dolly with security straps and put them all ceremoniously, one by one, around the ~70 lbs part, just to transport it a few yards to my van! There was no way that thing could have ever fallen over from the dolly without the straps unless you are a total moron. And it would have been a minor inconvenience anyway. This thick built teenager in the prime years of his life wasn't really helping a customer load an item. He was rather wasting a busy customer's time by mindlessly following ridiculous instructions he has been brainwashed to believe are the only safe way of transporting and loading items.

    Had my much smaller wife been there, we would have loaded the van in a few seconds without even giving it any thought. She has been married to a mountain goat for over 2o years, OK, but she's also just a different generation and even before meeting me she was more physically capable than many modern teenage males.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @A123

  756. @Dmitry
    @silviosilver


    lessening for years

     

    We know Ukraine becomes fashionable with part of the Polish liberals and opposition, especially after Euromaidan. Poland's liberal opposition politicians became quite pro-Ukraine since 9 years ago. For the Polish political liberals, Ukraine becomes described as a people who sacrifice for democracy in Kiev in 2013/2014, who are enlightened Europeans who will join the EU and form a barrier against Russia.

    But this is a limited "popularity" in relation to the view of the population to other countries. If you know Poles, they really don't like Germans, as one of the most stereotypical views. While in the CBOS poll in 2020, Germans are more popular than Ukrainians.

    You know the predictable way to offend Poles' national feeling. You say "Poland's culture is similar to Germany".

    If you are receiving lower poll numbers than Germans, in Poland, this is not an indicator of popularity, to say this mildly. But Ukrainians were able to poll less popular than Germans in Poland.


    it seems to me quite inaccurate to characterize the Polish attitude to be predominantly based on loathing.
     
    Well, Ukrainians are the most unpopular nationality in Europe for Poles or the neighbors if you don't include Russia/Belarus. At the same time this is just comparative, the ratings are divided evenly between like, indifferent and dislike.

    In relation to the trend and the future, I don't think the negative people's attitude to Ukraine in Poland is sustainable, as Ukraine is destroying Russia's army, which is Poland's enemy.

    I wrote a more about it a few days ago. "I don’t think this would be sustainable now. Ukraine is destroying the mythological enemy of Poland since 2022. It is joining the EU and NATO is going to be the defense of the Southern Poland against Russia. There will be large quantity of military collaboration between Poland and Ukraine.

    Ukraine is also source of the labor for Poland’s economy, so the relations with Ukraine are prioritized by business."
    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-223/#comment-6062014

    Replies: @Mikel

    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mikel


    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.
     
    It can change again, as reality can eventually prevail over unchallenged hokey establishment imagery, which itself might see need for a changed path.
    , @AP
    @Mikel


    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed
     
    I’ve known people from Poland since the 90s.

    Previously most Poles thought of Ukrainians as indeed being much like Russians - savage, primitive Eastern semi-kin satisfied with life under a brutal despot. Certainly not as alien as Germans are, but nasty nonetheless. Russians and Ukrainians were lumped together as sort of unevolved Poles. Ukrainians were seen as worse than Russians because of the Volhynia massacres. Even though Stalin killed more Poles than did Bandera, Bandera’s crimes were grassroots.

    Attitudes towards Ukrainians did not shift due to this war but much earlier, at the time of the Orange Revolution 20 years ago. Ukrainians showed that they valued democracy, marking them as different from Russians and more like Poles or other Central Europeans. The Orange Revolution reminded Poles of their own struggle ~12 years earlier. More and more Ukrainians came to work in Poland and Poles saw that they were not so bad and had much in common. Poles became more aware of mutual history, good and bad. They acknowledged that prior to Bandera their own government did bad things to Ukrainians.

    At the same time, Russians kept being disappointing. It became clear that they liked Stalin. And they kept doing bad things.

    This war has further accelerated this process. Poles see Ukrainians as fighting “for us.” They not only like that a mutual enemy is being fought, but they see themselves in the Ukrainians. They were in the same position too, once. And they see that Russians (unlike Germans) are the same monsters they always were. Still willing to mass kill for the sake of conquest.

    Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history
     
    The attitude shift has been long-lasting so I doubt it is transitory. It will probably go down when the war ends, but I very much doubt it will revert to dislike.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Sher Singh

    , @Dmitry
    @Mikel

    If they add the flag before or after February 2022.

    If it's after February 2022, this is mainstream in Europe, as a kind of pan-European solidarity to show they oppose the invasion by the Russian army.

    If it's before February 2022, then it could be indicator of person who is fan of Ukraine. This is possible for some, mainly liberals because of the events in Kiev in 2013. If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.

    It's also true the events in Kiev in 2004 were viewed as romantically representation of peoples' desire for democracy for liberals in Poland. The government of Poland's CBOS report has an interesting discussion about the perception of the 2004 in the society in Poland and how it has been viewed positively in correlation to the level of education.


    Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians”

     

    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, "prostitute") for Hitler.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SDMJt99GsM


    Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO
     
    Raising Ukraine to join NATO, will support the relation of Poland and Ukraine. The armies will become an important collaborator, especially now Belarus has become less independent and Poland is probably losing optimism they could change the government in Minsk.

    The raising of Ukraine to the EU, could have more different directions.

    It encourages Poland to become a more significant investor in Ukraine, as there will be more open market in Ukraine. Currently, Poland benefits from importing workers from Ukraine with a visa.

    For example, Eastern Poland (excluding Warsaw) is one of the most depopulating zones in Europe, with aging population, young people emigrating, the lowest fertility in Poland etc. At the same time, they require agricultural workers for collecting strawberries, collecting apples etc.

    After Euromaidan, Eastern Poland was using many thousands of young Ukrainians for the agricultural work, who enter for a few months to work in the summer.

    Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians were also working as a guest labor in Poland before 2022. In those years, there were a lot of the Ukrainian YouTubers living in Poland, talking about the racism against them.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be "trapped" to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.

    Poland will have less leverage against Ukraine and they will lose the monopoly in terms of the Ukrainian labor importation.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @AP

  757. Looks like the cluster munitions are working as intended:
    https://t.me/rsotmdivision/8918

    Well Ivan it sounds like 100,000 shells are on the way so good luck. Each bomblet can penetrate 2.5 inches of steel which means any BMP in a football size area will be destroyed.

    A great day to die for your dictator.

    • LOL: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @John Johnson

    Right back at you, as the svido, neocon, neolib axis of evil aren't winning and will ultimately fail, which is ethically a good thing.

    Too bad it had to go down like this.

  758. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    beyond what you’d expect from someone whose views have recently changed.
     
    The change isn't quite as recent as you might think. These ideas have been percolating in my mind for a while, without me fully embracing them. It's like latent heat in physics. You can transfer heat to, say, a solid, and it will absorb the heat and absorb it, absorb it, absorb it, without any apparent physical change occurring, and then at some certain point, ta-da, you get a phase transition to a liquid. I guess that's the best way to put it.

    As for Sailer, well come on, he's not propounding a life philosophy, he's attempting to advance a political cause. You or I may have heard the same thing a thousand times, but it doesn't mean everyone has. Until he sees his perspectives reflected in actual policy - which seems as far off as ever (but appearances can be deceiving) - it makes sense to continue beavering away.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    That’s a very good way of explaining inner transformation – it’s a gradual process that eventually reaches a tipping point. To be sure, some people experience it as a sudden, blinding flash of insight, but for me it was also gradual

    As for Sailer, I don’t mind the element of political activism in Sailer, nor that there are some “sticky” elements in his thinking – heck, there are “sticky” elements to my thinking too. But I think he defines himself primarily as someone who has “figured out how the world works”, so he’s not just interested in political activism but offering a comprehensive explanation of social dynamics, and perhaps even the human condition.

    And for decade after decade, to demonstrate no evolution, change, or growth in his understanding of the human condition, is astonishing to me. Heck, even within the narrow constraints of his chosen perspective, you’d expect some growth and evolution, even if he can’t grasp it’s partial, limited nature and graduate to a wider vision that captures more dimensions of human existence.

    I’m not really interested in beating up on Sailer, and he’s fairly benign, but he seems to exemplify a general cultural trend – stagnation in the arts and sciences, loss of creativity, stasis.

    And while I wouldn’t call him arrogant like some, his air of smug self assurance powerfully suggests the narrow minded left hemisphere predicament of not knowing what it doesn’t know.

    I’m not looking at Sailer in isolation but linking him with the general social and intellectual crisis we are undergoing, and I think he’s a good example.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    But I think he defines himself primarily as someone who has “figured out how the world works”, so he’s not just interested in political activism but offering a comprehensive explanation of social dynamics, and perhaps even the human condition.
     
    That's just his sales pitch, you know, "Mr. Noticer" and all that. People are simply more receptive to "Let me explain how things work to you" than they are to "Let me share my political values with you." He's not alone in this. It's characteristic of political ideology to have a "theory of history," an explanation of how things to got to this point, as well as to have some notion of the how things ought to be (Sailer's weak on this, or at least cagey) and a "battle plan" of how to get there. If you're going to publicly hold to a certain set of political values, there are limits on how much you can allow personal growth to alter your political persona.

    And while I wouldn’t call him arrogant like some, his air of smug self assurance powerfully suggests
     
    Oh yes, that was my first impression of him. "Who is this clown with these smug but often extremely shallow takes?" I used to think. But I kept coming back because firstly, I was starved at the time for some no-holds-barred conservative views (rather than the tepid crap mainstream conservatism was feeding me) and he and the whoel Vdare crew supplied it, and later because I realized he really was onto something.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  759. @A123
    @Mikel


    When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them.
     
    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.

    • In your day, if you had fallen and cracked your skull on the concrete floor. They would have helped you to the hospital.
    • Today, if someone has a head injury inside a Home Depot, what are the chances of a lawsuit? Even if it is the patron's fault and HD wins, they are not getting that legal cost back.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mikel

    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.

    No. They are a part of the equation but the real problem is a different one and I can see it everyday.

    Just to carry on with Home Depot stories, I was just astonished not long ago with another HD employee, even younger, working at the rental department. I rented a so called material lift, a device with a pulley that you use to raise stuff up to a height of 12′. I could have easily put in in my van on my own, as I have done several times before, but one of the parts is a bit heavy so I made the mistake of asking him to help me and he volunteered to take care of the heavy part. It was hard to watch, very sad. He went to the store to bring an electric dolly with security straps and put them all ceremoniously, one by one, around the ~70 lbs part, just to transport it a few yards to my van! There was no way that thing could have ever fallen over from the dolly without the straps unless you are a total moron. And it would have been a minor inconvenience anyway. This thick built teenager in the prime years of his life wasn’t really helping a customer load an item. He was rather wasting a busy customer’s time by mindlessly following ridiculous instructions he has been brainwashed to believe are the only safe way of transporting and loading items.

    Had my much smaller wife been there, we would have loaded the van in a few seconds without even giving it any thought. She has been married to a mountain goat for over 2o years, OK, but she’s also just a different generation and even before meeting me she was more physically capable than many modern teenage males.

    • Agree: HeavilyMarbledSteak
    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel

    Lol, that story reminds me of people at the gym who put collars on the bar for deadlifts. On a freaking deadlift, ffs. (Personally, I never use collars on any lifts, but I am a natural born badass rebel. I'll grant that on some lifts they make sense though.) If you don't know what a deadlift is, please google and you'll see immediately how idiotic it is to think the plates sliding off the bar on that lift would be some major safety concern.

    Anyway, we're starting to sound like grouchy middle-aged men here. (I blame Aaron.)

    Actually,... yeah, what the hell, I'll share this... that is probably the first time I've ever referred to myself as middle-aged. I'm in my mid-40's, which is technically well within the middle-aged range, but I don't really feel any different to how I did in my late 20's. I don't even live much differently. There are some things I take more seriously, and the partying lifestyle has slowed down considerably, even if I still periodically fall prey to the siren call of the Dionysian netherworld. But overall, this is assuredly not how I would have predicted I'd "be" at this point in my life if you'd asked me twenty years ago. Maybe the "crisis" is yet to hit?

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @A123
    @Mikel

    Perhaps it is a North/South thing? Or a union restriction? In the rural South, two guys on a 80 lb item = Pick it up and shove it in the back of the truck. Or, the HD guy goes "stand back" and does it himself.

    I will meet you half way. "Blue Cities" are indeed producing a butthurt generation. And, the submission to experimental vaccination shows that even "Red" areas are contaminated by Sheeple.

    PEACE 😇

  760. For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page

    Many such cases. A Czech who is close to me told me in 2010 when a place in Prague tried to rip me off that they must be Russians, as they’re all thieves and scammers. When I pointed out that they had a Ukrainian flag behind the desk he replied “Ukrainians, Russians, same thing”. Today? He’s all in for WW3 if necessary. I even sense he’s becoming a bit anti-American because the US isn’t doing enough to help Ukraine. The term “butthurt belt” is so appropriate for all these countries.

    BTW I’ve mentioned here before how Czechs especially, but also Poles, are sensitive about the whole Central v Eastern European thing. The other day I saw a Romanian language map dividing Europe into geographic regions. The map counted Romania as Central Europe but Bulgaria & Ukraine as Eastern Europe! I wonder if Romanians also believe it is insulting for them to be lumped in with those backwards Bulgarians and Ukrainians of Eastern Europe.

  761. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Hence his dictum – “the barbarism of reason”. Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.
     
    I suspect he thought that life would just become a meaner, colder version of what already existed. It's possible he and men like him could foresee, or at least be unsurprised by, the totalitarian cruelties we inflicted on each other in the 20th century. What they probably didn't foresee, and would be astounded by, is the degeneracy and depravity our personal lives would sink to as we increasingly cut ourselves off from the transcendent, from a holistic connection to nature, and from the unchosen ties that once bound us to our fellow men; not merely swallowed up by the vortex of individualism, but willingly throwing ourselves into it - on account of there being no plausible alternative.

    I am reading Louis Betty's "Without God - Michel Houellebecq and Materialist Horror" (in which I found the earlier quote from Ben Jeffrey). The title might be a little misleading, since it is by no means a typical work in apologetics. Betty simply writes as a typical literary critic, albeit one who doesn't tediously dwell on 'racism', sexism, colonialism etc ad nauseam. It helps to be familiar with Houellebecq's fiction, but a quote from the introduction makes the preceding point exceedingly well:

    Aside from modern liberalism, all humanistic attempts to organize society according to nontheological principles (Marxism, socialism, communism, etc.) have been failures, and if the liberal model has succeeded, this is only because it is the most natural form of social organization, and thus the worst (see Houellebecq 2011, 124–25). The unbinding of humanity from God lies at the heart of the historical narrative the reader encounters in Houellebecq’s work: lacking a set of moral principles legitimated by a higher power and unable to find meaningful answers to existential questions, human beings descend into selfishness and narcissism and can only stymie their mortal
    terror by recourse to the carnal distractions of sexuality. Modern capitalism is the mode of social organization best suited to, and best suited to maintain, such a worldview. Materialism—that is, the limiting of all that is real to the physical, which rules out the existence of God, soul, and spirit and with them any transcendent meaning to human life—thus produces an environment in which consumption becomes the norm. Such is the historical narrative that Houellebecq’s fiction enacts, with modern economic liberalism emerging as the last, devastating consequence of humanity’s despiritualization.

    “Materialist horror” is the term most appropriate to describe this worldview, for what readers discover throughout Houellebecq’s fiction are societies and persons in which the terminal social and psychological consequences of materialism are being played out. It is little wonder, then, that these texts are so often apocalyptic in tone. The Elementary Particles and The Possibility of an Island, for example, depict the outright disappearance of a depressive and morally derelict human race. Desplechin, Djerzinski’s colleague in Particles, says of the decline of Western civilization at the turn of the twenty-first century: “There is no power in the world—economic, political, religious or social—that can compete with rational certainty. The West has sacrificed everything to this need: religion, happiness, hope—and, finally, its own life. You have to remember that when passing judgment on Western civilization”.
     
    I have read most or possibly all of Houellebecq's novels. (I don't remember them well. I'm currently slogging through Aneantir in French - way above my level, but I'm persevering on the basis of a language-acquisition theory that says this helps the process. The plot is unusually interesting for a Houellebecq novel, and highly topical.) When I first began reading him years ago, I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by. Even then, though, I would have to put the book down in disgust, feeling icky about having dragged myself through that human muck. But hey, this is life, I'd tell myself, this is what the human animal is really like; you can avert your gaze all you want, but there's no denying it. Well, that was then. More recently, I began to view his character's sicksouled individualism as a mirror held up to the materialist worldview, rather than a tacit endorsement of it, as I had earlier thought. What luck, then, to stumble across a literary critic in Betty who tells me precisely what I now want to hear.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Coconuts

    What they probably didn’t foresee, and would be astounded by, is the degeneracy and depravity our personal lives would sink to as we increasingly cut ourselves off from the transcendent, from a holistic connection to nature, and from the unchosen ties that once bound us to our fellow men.

    Leopardi had a really penetrating insight into just how awful and grim things are without any approach to reality beyond mere reason – he was a very pessimistic and depressed person himself, but he wrote brilliantly and extensively on the subject in his massive Zibaldone (a huge collection of scattered observations on life – I’ve read only a fraction). He’s one of those writers who – early on – unflinchingly face the implications of their premises and assumptions, without pretense or running away from them. Most people cannot face the true implications of what they unthinkingly profess, and rely on a gradual historical process to bring them to light, as they increasingly manifest in the real world.

    Nietzsche was hugely influenced by him.

    Houellebecq is in a long tradition of writers, very prominent in France, starting probably in the Fin de Siecle, of what might be called “existentialist horror” – the grimness of life without some kind of transcendent dimension.

    I hear what you’re saying – it’s fun and exciting when you’re young to preen yourself on how deep and without illusions you are for seeing life this way, how superior to the mere cattle with their comforting illusions, I was big into that myself. But eventually, it begins to seem shallow and life-sapping – and the real exciting adventure, and the real radical act of non-conformity, becomes to question – what if the “received wisdom” of our time simply isn’t true?

    And you begin to percieve, that it isn’t “reality” – but only “reality ” under certain assumptions, that are unproven.

    That’s when the real adventure begins, and life becomes fun again. All sorts of possibilities open up.

    Enjoy Houellebecq and Betty!

  762. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The truly weird thing is that this dramatic change in how we are expected to see a hot day is being carried out as if we’re supposed to completely forget that just a few years ago this was no big deal
     
    LOL. Take your electrolytes with you wherever you go anyway. This idea that the bushmen of the Kalahari and the tropical jungle tribes are able to survive without them has all the hallmarks of a Russian disinformation campaign.

    Now, this wouldn't so bad if it was just climate change anxiety (although I think that never in the history of science has a theory needed so much exaggeration and distortion to show its validity). But it goes well beyond that, I'm afraid, and is just another manifestation of a social order that weakens the minds and bodies of its members. The other day I was at Home Depot buying some hardware and I couldn't find enough pieces but luckily I saw that they had a full box on the higher shelves, some 8-9' from the ground. Naturally enough, I put my foot on the first shelf, stretched my arm and began taking the extra ones I needed. A young employee immediately came to my rescue and explained in horror how those high shelves can only be accessed by employees due to so many accidents having occurred to customers. It was laughable really.

    But it didn't end there. He made me wait until he came back with a huge security ladder with railings on the sides, that he carefully climbed to get to the box and bring it down. A good 15 minutes of wait for a task that I was seconds away from completing. This was a very young guy in his late teens or early twenties who sincerely believed in the necessity of all these bureaucratic safety measures, most likely devised by physically unfit people much older than him for the rest of us who venture in the dangerous aisles of the store. When I was his age everything was so different. If some manager had asked me to apply those rules I would had just ignored them. In those times you just wouldn't dare to insult an older but fit man by preventing him to take something from a shelf perfectly within his reach.

    Replies: @A123, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yes, I agree with you it goes far beyond mere fear of climate change, and reflects a a massive shift in mentality. Can you imagine anyone taking bold, creative action in such an environment? Someone improvising, adapting, figuring out new solutions? It’s obvious why we’re stagnating as a society.

    It’s also a massive brake on actually accomplishing projects – in NY, the second Avenue subway extension took, only a mile or so, took years to complete. It would have taken two months a few decades ago. And all across the country, interminable construction projects languish in a sort of eternal limbo – so that I’m actually shocked when something is completed, I’d begun accepting it as simply a permanent part of the landscape.

    It also creates a servile, dependent, mentality, one incapable of initiative, a risk averse and fear based mentality.

    And quite beyond the massive handicap this imposes on the practical level, the psychological dimension of the issue is equally worrying – no spontaneity, no joy, no freedom, but depression and anxiety of the kind that is now global.

    For my part, I think it’s important to keep in mind that this mentality did not just “appear out of nowhere”, but was long in evolving, and is the inevitable “dialectical” result, as it were, of European culture itself in the shape it began to take in the 18th century. Many prescient writers saw this coming.

    And the way out now, is not a return to a flawed past whose inner dialectical momentum culminated in where we are today, but in understanding what assumptions about life and the nature of reality led us into this impasse, and building a future that recovers what was good and right in the past, but transcends its flaws.

    That’s my opinion, anyways 🙂

    But thanks for sharing these stories which show the absurdity of our times!

  763. @John Johnson
    Looks like the cluster munitions are working as intended:
    https://t.me/rsotmdivision/8918

    Well Ivan it sounds like 100,000 shells are on the way so good luck. Each bomblet can penetrate 2.5 inches of steel which means any BMP in a football size area will be destroyed.

    A great day to die for your dictator.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    Right back at you, as the svido, neocon, neolib axis of evil aren’t winning and will ultimately fail, which is ethically a good thing.

    Too bad it had to go down like this.

    • Agree: YetAnotherAnon
  764. This looks promising:

  765. @Mikel
    @Dmitry

    For whatever it's worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were "the worst type of Russians" now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it's not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it's very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP, @Dmitry

    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.

    It can change again, as reality can eventually prevail over unchallenged hokey establishment imagery, which itself might see need for a changed path.

  766. @AP
    @YetAnotherAnon


    To think Zelensky was elected on a platform of improving relations with Russia
     
    He was, but not on Putin's terms and Russia wasn't interested. That's because Zelensky wanted to improve relations with Russia, but was also steadfastly pro-integration with the EU and Russia was determined to prevent that. Zelensky was never the pro-Russia candidate (that was Boyko) but the softer alternative to Poroshenko.

    But he governed as his paymasters (rather than his voters) wished
     
    With your posts you prove that you have no idea what his voters wished. You've probably never spoken to any of them (at least, none who voted for him in the first round). Anything you've read from Ukraine (if anything) probably came from Boyko and Medvedchuk who were a completely different voting bloc.

    By the way they’re snatching anyone with a pulse off the streets Ukraine seems short of cannon fodder.
     
    So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets. You can see videos of restaurants or the streets, there are still plenty of men hanging out.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    “So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets.”

    Maybe your family are “connected” (or maybe they’re in Crimea!).

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.

    https://sputnikglobe.com/20220411/genocide-of-donbass-civilians-women-elderly-and-children-1094619604.html

    This link is bearable. What a lovely mother and child.

    https://remember.wiki/en/people/zhuk-krystyna-serheevna/

    • Replies: @AP
    @YetAnotherAnon


    “So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets.”

    Maybe your family are “connected” (or maybe they’re in Crimea!).
     
    My paternal relatives in Lviv are, but my maternal relatives from central Ukraine are not. None have been sent to the front. Some are nervously hoping they don’t get called, but none have fled the country either.

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.
     
    It is indeed horrible that Putin chose to start a civil war in Ukraine that led to inevitable civilian casualties. Putin was doing to Ukraine what the West was doing to Syria (sending in soldiers, volunteers, pouring in weapons), with similar tragic results, though Poroshenko was a lot gentler than Assad.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @YetAnotherAnon

  767. @John Johnson
    Watch this British Starstreak take out a Russian helicopter:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNwGbjlY6vc

    https://i.imgflip.com/545kak.jpg

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    (and that video being The Sun, I wouldn’t even take it as gospel. The other day the Mail gleefully posted video of what they said was a Russian tank being destroyed, before people started pointing out en masse that it looked awfully like a Leopard.)

    • Agree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The gloating part underscores your point and gives more credence to my preferences.

    , @Wokechoke
    @YetAnotherAnon

    JJ was probably stirring up Chechens in the 1990s and has Djoker Tzarnaev on speed dial.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @John Johnson
    @YetAnotherAnon

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    I always wondered about the psychology of someone that finds sharing videos of war more offensive than launching a war.

    Very similar to the modern Westerner who is offended by the idea of viewing an animal being killed less it disrupt their fictional view of meat.

    You have a history of defending a mass murderer and yet you are offended if I post videos of the results.

    I don't actually send men to their deaths by posting videos and unlike Putin I don't have hopeless insecurities that drive an endless need to compensate.

    It isn't by chance that Putin is 5'3 or that Hitler had a weird penis issue where he had to sit to pee. These warmongering freaks all have enough baggage to fill a jumbo jet.

  768. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line
     
    Charles Murray was wrong and parochial. The chart based on his claims excludes Spain which liberated so much of the world from evil, ugliness and darkness, and Byzantium.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    I suspect that his chart excluded *political* figures? I’ll have to check, but that’s what I suspect.

    You are very much correct that in the political sphere, Spain and the Byzantines have accomplished a lot. And it’s possible that the Byzantine Empire also achieved a lot in terms of producing knowledge before it declined and fell. But in terms of historical figures produced, they were still dwarfed by the West:

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-the-west?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/which-european-nations-are-overrepresented?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/notable-people-in-science-europe?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    Liberating a lot of Native Americans from brutal tyranny, for instance, was great from a humanitarian perspective, but it also didn’t produce our modern world. The West did that with the Industrial Revolution and everything that subsequently came after it, as well as some of the stuff that came before it, such as the Scientific Revolution.

    Byzantium did have a vital role to play in preventing Islam from expanding into Europe very early on when it prevented the Arabs from conquering Constantinople, though. Had it not done so, would all of Europe have eventually become Muslim and suffered from centuries of decline up to the present-day like the Muslim world eventually did?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    From my second link here, you can see that the Greco-Turkish (Byzantine and later formerly Byzantine) lands performed roughly comparably to the Poles per capita in regards to producing notable figures in science:

    https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb18c8704-db1f-4db7-83ab-4e8593eff3d9_982x897.png

  769. @AP
    @Beckow


    You have this touching belief in the accuracy of what you call “eyewitnesses” from 2,000 years ago.

    Actually, the New Testament was put together in its initial version 35-50 years after the supposed events
     
    Sure, which is why some inconsequential details are inconsistent.

    But the initial writings came 35 years after the fact, not 2,000.

    It is an ok narrative
     
    Beckow, as proud as he is stupid, considers it an “okay narrative.” Good to know.

    Christianity is responsible for an order of magnitude more suffering, genocides and brutal murders than the modern day “socialism”

     

    Comparing 2000 years of history to 150? Christians have done evil but have also done good. The balance is not so favorable for socialists.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    But the initial writings came 35 years after the fact, not 2,000.

    Paul of Tarsus began writing 20-ish years after Jesus’s death, no? But Yes, the first Gospel *that we are currently aware of* was written around AD 70. Interestingly enough, that Gospel, specifically the Gospel of Mark, doesn’t actually mention any post-Resurrection appearances by Jesus in its original version, though Paul of Tarsus’s earlier writings do.

    The balance is not so favorable for socialists.

    Exclude the Communists and things should look considerably better, no? In democratic countries, the non-Communist left’s main weakness was pushing through blank slatism. That, unfortunately, was deeply regretful. Though I don’t know just how committed they were to this idea before WWII and especially WWI. AFAIK, leftists also supported colonialism until the World Wars.

  770. @YetAnotherAnon
    @AP

    My recollection was that Northerm Spain (Asturias, Galicia, Cantabria, Basque Country) was inside the Hajnal Line.

    IMHO it's still quite different from the rest of Spain. And of course the Reconquista really started there with King Pelayo.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pelagius_of_Asturias

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Cueva_de_Covadonga

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Yep, AFAIK, northern Spain (the part of Spain that was liberated from the Muslims first) is indeed within the Hajnal Line:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_European_marriage_pattern

    • Thanks: YetAnotherAnon
  771. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Very astute and correct comment..

    That's what Mcgilchrist says too in his theory - that in our attempts to "get what we want", to control the world, we lose the ability to understand the world. The two are in some sense opposed to each other.

    The brain functions that help us to "grab" the world are different than the ones that allow us to understand it, and the peculiar collapse of intelligence in our time is a result of overdeveloping the brain functions that help us "get what we want".

    Owen Barfield said that it's a curious fact that the more we learn to control the world, the more less we find meaning it.

    And in every spiritual tradition in the world, there has always been the dichotomy of power and paradise - and the entrance to paradise has always been to relinquish power, or at least an inordinate desire for power.

    It is an ancient truth, that the inordinate quest for power has always worked against human happiness, and blinder our vision and rendered us incapable of understanding.

    So you are quite correct to observe a sort of opposition between understanding and getting what you want.


    The lack of concern for the individual in Russia is a huge force multiplier for it.
     
    This is highly doubtful, or at least cannot be applied universally.

    In Israel, the "force multiplier" that has allowed it to win all its wars is precisely deep concern for the individual - not only is every soldier consulted about where he would prefer to serve, but he's carefully screened for placement in the unit that best matches his abilities. Officers are trained to lead from the front, not order from behind in a position of safety, and every soldier knows the state will go to extreme lengths to not leave him on the battlefield or to rescue him should he be captured.

    Moreover, even low ranking soldiers are encouraged to contribute opinions on unit tactics and share with his unit his assessment of operation failures or successes, even if this contradicts his commanding officer.

    By contrast, the Arab armies Israel has fought show exactly your lack of concern for the individual soldier, and it has not served them well.

    One saw this attitude of contempt for the common individual here with Yahya - I remember after reading him for a while thinking that he helped me understand better the poor performance of Arab armies, and that he would not have inspired me with trust if I was a soldier serving under him.

    Replies: @Sean

    Soldiers are brave want to avoid shame in front of their comrades, and the conduct of troops in the field is altered when the ethos of the society is.

    https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/disneys-board-oversees-us-cultural
    With a market capitalization of about $160 billion as of July 2023, the Walt Disney Company is one of the three largest entertainment companies in the world, alongside Netflix and Comcast.1 Once a self-contained animation studio and one of the oldest film studios in the world, Disney has expanded into a massive conglomerate that owns blockbuster film studios Pixar, Marvel Studios, and Lucasfilm, of Star Wars fame; TV networks including ABC and ESPN; multiple publishing imprints, multiple streaming services, and a global assortment of theme parks, cruise lines, resorts, and branded merchandise. Due to its prevalence and prestige in entertainment for children and their parents, Disney’s cultural influence amounts to a near-monopoly on the formation of values through media, and thus wields immense generational influence on popular understanding of social norms and even political legitimacy.

    Indiana Jones 5 was a product of Disney, which has always been first and foremost social engineering company. “What watching five straight days of Russian TV reveals about Putin’s Russia” a recent MSNBC piece about Kremlin control of all aspect of television and how even health and dance program are spun in aid of Russia’s annexations and military operation in Ukraine. The US journalist is most astounded of all by the way Russian reality TV unashamedly depicts a provincial nation of drunken wife beaters. The gender roles in Russia are different to the West, where masculinity has been reconceptualized to no longer be tied up with being ready willing and able to kill and/or making the ultimate sacrifice.

    Although America has military hegemony the role of women in US society and the acceptance, in principle, of women in combat must altered the bellicosity of it soldiers. Most of the avoidable losses the Russians have had in Ukraine were caused by army chief of staff, Gerasimov, who bloviated about post-kinetic cyber, information, or hybrid warfare these were expected to succeeding through psychologic dislocation of the enemy without using much in the way of resources rather than destruction of the enemy army by mass effect methods of killing. Wagner Group in Bakmut was much more in line with Russian culture, which inculcates rash bravado as the epitome of, not just soldierly success. but being male. This authentic Russianness and his disgust at Gerasimov pseudo intellectual aping of Western distaste for real combat being widely shared by Russians explains why Prigozhin has defied all Westen pundits predictions by still being alive and in charge of Wagner.

    Phoebe Waller-Bridge is involved in writing for many many projects for the Disney group. Her break came with her Brit sitcom Fleabag included one episode were her character worried about the size of her back hole after being buggered, and another where she mused on how she masturbated while watching Obama on the news.

    http://www.martin-van-creveld.com/unto-him-your-passion/

    “No known society treats its male and female members in exactly the same way. Pregnancy and giving birth apart, the most important reason for this is physiological. Even in modern societies many jobs require plenty of strength and stamina. Fields in which men, on the average, enjoy clear advantages over women.

    For over a century now, each generation of feminists has proclaimed its own version of “the new women.” She who smoked like a man, drove an automobile like a man, attended university like a man, wore pants like a man, entered the professions and worked like a man, boxed like a man. and even—would you believe it—ejaculated like a man. All this, under the banner of “empowerment”! But underneath little if anything has changed.

    In all known societies, the higher up the slippery pole of power, wealth and fame you climb the fewer the women you meet. Among those you do meet, far fewer have made it by their own efforts as opposed to those of their male relatives.

    Furthermore, whatever success career women have enjoyed has come mainly at the expense of other women. Why? Because, for every successful career woman, there are two or three others who serve her in doing household work, minding children, and so on. To this extent, but also because successful women tend to have fewer children, feminism is self-defeating.

    Whatever success feminism has had has had is mainly due to the prevalence (in the West) of the so-called Long Peace. It will pass (in Israel, my own Israel, it is starting to pass right now). I am not aware of feminism achieving very much in Russia or Ukraine”

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Kind of a weird response to my comment, but whatever.

    I quite enjoyed Fleabag :) It was good British television.

    Anyways, I don't really understand how you're responding to my comment, but I'd agree with you that women and men are different and should be treated different. I'm left-wing, to a certain (significant) extent, but not Woke.

    I can appreciate that Russian sense of reckless bravado that you're describing, but that's quite a different thing than treating individuals as unimportant, and having no sense of responsibility and compassion, and value for human life, among military leaders, or treating lower class people with contempt or indifference.

    The best military commanders are those who fully share the risks and hardships their soldiers face, or even more, set an example by taking on themselves even greater risk, and have a certain sense of equality with their their men.

    I appreciate aspects of Russian culture, but obviously not the harsh despotism or desire for conquest. The poor military performance of Russian troops today certain suggests a moral deficit.

    As for feminism, there are types of feminism that are in fact positive and good - the patriarchy did exist, and women were oppressed and needed to be liberated. That doesn't mean I support the kind of absurd anti-male feminism that runs all too rampant today, or the idea that the genders are identical - rather, I think they are equal in value, and complementary. Society as a whole benefits when the feminine perspective is included, and overly masculine societies become fragile from excessive harshness. I also think that there is a sense in which men need to be liberated from oppressive social roles - and still do. I'm a Taoist, and believe in general in liberation from oppressive social roles.

    Anyways.

    I wouldn't worry too much about the inclusion of women in the military - this kind of thing represents mankind's eternal desire to be free of sublunary restraints, which can only find its ultimate satisfaction in spirituality. But we are a materialistic society that doesn't know where to find what it is really looking for. In an ultimate sense, gender doesn't exist.

    In the meantime, it is just a gesture towards that infinite horizon, not meant quite as seriously as you think.

    Replies: @Sean

  772. OT but I’m impressed with this Russian driver, who at speed avoids a (presumably Ukrainian) missile strike and just carries on as chunks of debris rain down. The road’s greasy with rain, tram-lines everywhere… fair play driver.

    Maybe you have to stay alert on Russian roads in any event.

    https://t.me/llordofwar/181170

  773. Zelensky impersonation at the 10:20 mark –

  774. @YetAnotherAnon
    @John Johnson

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    (and that video being The Sun, I wouldn't even take it as gospel. The other day the Mail gleefully posted video of what they said was a Russian tank being destroyed, before people started pointing out en masse that it looked awfully like a Leopard.)

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Wokechoke, @John Johnson

    The gloating part underscores your point and gives more credence to my preferences.

  775. Gonna be trying a Canadian Belt Knife in 4116, A mini leatherneck clip point & a mora.

  776. @songbird
    What percentage of the target audience for Barbie is gay, and why does it appeal to them?

    Replies: @LondonBob, @Anatoly Karlin

    Barbie is strongly endorsed by elite human capital.

    • Thanks: Mr. XYZ
    • LOL: songbird
    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    I wonder if any films about the Russo-Ukrainian War, either already made or made sometime in the future, will be endorsed by elite human capital (EHC). EHC appears to like some war-related movies, especially having to do with the most notable wars such as the American Civil War, WWI, and WWII. The Russo-Ukrainian War is a type of cause celebre for the West, not due to the suffering but rather due to Ukraine's valiant and noble struggle against Imperial Moskali Domination (IMD), like with the Poles who rebelled against the Russians in 1863-1864 (who apparently also got some support among Westerners, albeit in a private capacity in that specific case).

    One could even do a Woke film about the Russo-Ukrainian War. For instance, about a Ukrainian lesbian trans woman who is unable to change her legal sex before the war begins and is thus sent into combat and experiences a type of trial by fire and eventually emerges a war hero while also writing about the sadness and futility of war, especially for aggressor countries.

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin, @Mikhail

  777. @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    I suspect that his chart excluded *political* figures? I'll have to check, but that's what I suspect.

    You are very much correct that in the political sphere, Spain and the Byzantines have accomplished a lot. And it's possible that the Byzantine Empire also achieved a lot in terms of producing knowledge before it declined and fell. But in terms of historical figures produced, they were still dwarfed by the West:

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-the-west?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/which-european-nations-are-overrepresented?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/notable-people-in-science-europe?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

    Liberating a lot of Native Americans from brutal tyranny, for instance, was great from a humanitarian perspective, but it also didn't produce our modern world. The West did that with the Industrial Revolution and everything that subsequently came after it, as well as some of the stuff that came before it, such as the Scientific Revolution.

    Byzantium did have a vital role to play in preventing Islam from expanding into Europe very early on when it prevented the Arabs from conquering Constantinople, though. Had it not done so, would all of Europe have eventually become Muslim and suffered from centuries of decline up to the present-day like the Muslim world eventually did?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    From my second link here, you can see that the Greco-Turkish (Byzantine and later formerly Byzantine) lands performed roughly comparably to the Poles per capita in regards to producing notable figures in science:

  778. @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ

    Too much of a generalization?

    Persian Jews don't come across as being so backwards when compared to Ashkenazi Jews. Sephardic Jews are the ones who had to flee Spain with the Muslims. These particular Jews don't come across as being so behind the times as well.

    Persian Jews and many of the Jews from Central Asia and Arab countries aren't Sephardic Jews. In some circles, there's an incorrect tendency of labeling all non-Ashkenazi Jews as Sephardic. Sephardic Jews use Ladino which is a kind of parallel to Yiddish used by the Ashkenazi Jews.

    After fleeing Spain, many of the Sephardic Jews ended up in the Balkans, with some of them having been in Italy beforehand. A good number of Balkan Sephardic Jews adopted Italian surnames. Reminded a bit of those Albanians with Italian surnames.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    I used the term Oriental Jews, not Sephardic Jews. Persian, et cetera Jews are Mizrahi Jews, not Sephardi Jews.

  779. @Anatoly Karlin
    @songbird

    Barbie is strongly endorsed by elite human capital.

    https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1685068160578273280

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    I wonder if any films about the Russo-Ukrainian War, either already made or made sometime in the future, will be endorsed by elite human capital (EHC). EHC appears to like some war-related movies, especially having to do with the most notable wars such as the American Civil War, WWI, and WWII. The Russo-Ukrainian War is a type of cause celebre for the West, not due to the suffering but rather due to Ukraine’s valiant and noble struggle against Imperial Moskali Domination (IMD), like with the Poles who rebelled against the Russians in 1863-1864 (who apparently also got some support among Westerners, albeit in a private capacity in that specific case).

    One could even do a Woke film about the Russo-Ukrainian War. For instance, about a Ukrainian lesbian trans woman who is unable to change her legal sex before the war begins and is thus sent into combat and experiences a type of trial by fire and eventually emerges a war hero while also writing about the sadness and futility of war, especially for aggressor countries.

    • Replies: @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    This movie was already filmed.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xmRnKIEStso

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mikhail
    @Mr. XYZ

    Concerning the contemporary Russia-Kiev regime conflict, there's a movie airing on one of the US cable TV movie channels about a former pacifist who joins the Kiev regime forces after his wife is killed.

    https://www.imdb.com/title/tt19465630/

    Comes across as a takeoff of Enemy at the Gates. Also reminded of the film on the Russo-Georgian skirmish with Andy Garcia playing Saakashvili. Will Zelensky end up like Saak?

  780. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    I wonder if any films about the Russo-Ukrainian War, either already made or made sometime in the future, will be endorsed by elite human capital (EHC). EHC appears to like some war-related movies, especially having to do with the most notable wars such as the American Civil War, WWI, and WWII. The Russo-Ukrainian War is a type of cause celebre for the West, not due to the suffering but rather due to Ukraine's valiant and noble struggle against Imperial Moskali Domination (IMD), like with the Poles who rebelled against the Russians in 1863-1864 (who apparently also got some support among Westerners, albeit in a private capacity in that specific case).

    One could even do a Woke film about the Russo-Ukrainian War. For instance, about a Ukrainian lesbian trans woman who is unable to change her legal sex before the war begins and is thus sent into combat and experiences a type of trial by fire and eventually emerges a war hero while also writing about the sadness and futility of war, especially for aggressor countries.

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin, @Mikhail

    This movie was already filmed.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Anatoly Karlin

    There’s already a substantial subculture of model making about the Battle of Kiev and the Defense of Kharkov. The designers are either Poles or Ukies. Very nicely done 1:35 scale tanks and infantry. Proceeds going to charity of course.

    I wager that the paint scheme can be either Russkie or Ukie.

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    What I find interesting is that the director of that movie has a Ukrainian last name but is actually of moved Bulgarian-Serbian (so, Balkanoid) descent on his father's side:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergei_Bondarchuk


    Sergey Bondarchuk was born in the village of Bilozerka (now in Kherson Raion, Kherson Oblast of Ukraine) on September 25, 1920 in the family of peasants Fyodor Petrovich and Tatyana Vasilievna (nee Tokarenko). The paternal grandfather was ethnically Bulgarian Pyotr Konstantinovich Bondarchuk, the grandmother was ethnically Serbian Matryona Fyodorovna Sirvulya.
     
    What's with all of the crosses in that film, BTW?

    BTW, it looks like this mother might have very well been Ukrainian, based on her last name. So, he was a mixed Ukraino-Balkanoid who lived in Russia.

    Glad to see that Russia also values ethnic diversity among its film directors and that this isn't just a Western thing! ;)

    BTW, if you want another example of a mixed East Slav-Balkanoid who lived in Russia in the 20th century, then here you go:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgy_Malenkov

    Malenkov was born in Orenburg in the Russian Empire. His paternal ancestors immigrated during the 18th century from the area of Ohrid in the Ottoman Rumelia Eyalet (present day North Macedonia).[4][5]
     
    And here's another example of this, but from much earlier:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mikhail_Miloradovich

    Mikhail Miloradovich was the son of Major General Andrei Miloradovich (1726–1798). The Miloradovichs descended from an Eastern Orthodox Serbian noble family from Hum, in present-day Bosnia and Herzegovina who rose to a station of prominent Bosnian Ottoman nobility of Sanjak of Herzegovina..[7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17] The Russian branch of the Miloradovich family was established in 1715, when Mikhail I Miloradovich (the first) (Serbo-Croatian Cyrillic: Михаило Милорадовић), one of three brothers recruited by Peter I to incite rebellion against the Turks four years earlier, fled from Herzegovina to Russia and joined Peter's service as a colonel.[18][19]
     
    Interestingly enough, a New Serbia province existed in Russian-ruled Ukraine in the mid-18th century:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Serbia_(historical_province)

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/04/New_serbia_map.png

    Russian-Balkanoid ties really are long-lasting! Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia. They also understand what it's like to lose a huge national diaspora as a result of a breakup of a giant multinational state that they helped to create (Serbs were probably bigger participants in the creation of Yugoslavia than Russians were in the creation of the USSR, though).

    BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan? The Eastern Slavs went through their own pan-nationalism phase (post-WWII Soviet Union), as did the Czechoslovaks and Southern (pseudo-)Slavs. And Europeans are going through their own pan-nationalism phase right now. So, why not the Iranic peoples as well? With access to Afghanistan's human capital hopefully combined with eventual universal literacy (though maybe one shouldn't be too hopeful about this due to the Taliban), Iran can boost "its" population from almost 100 million to almost 200 million over the long-run. What's not to like? The religious differences can be transcended through an aggressive secularization campaign, though maybe this requires regime change in both Iran and Afghanistan first, in which case already mostly secular Tajikistan can join them in such a Pan-Iranic Union.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/6b/Iranian_languages_distribution.png

    BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better ('coz from a Woke perspective it's not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)? And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed? There's already an African Hindu community in Ghana due to local black African converts to Hinduism. These conversions simply need to be encouraged throughout Christian Africa, and on a much larger scale. Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin

  781. @YetAnotherAnon
    @John Johnson

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    (and that video being The Sun, I wouldn't even take it as gospel. The other day the Mail gleefully posted video of what they said was a Russian tank being destroyed, before people started pointing out en masse that it looked awfully like a Leopard.)

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Wokechoke, @John Johnson

    JJ was probably stirring up Chechens in the 1990s and has Djoker Tzarnaev on speed dial.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    It's Joker Tsarnaev. At least it would be if he was funny instead of being so tragic. And he actually fit in relatively well in US society before his elder brother poisoned his mind by encouraging him to support terrorism. And his older brother was even able to secure a relatively attractive white American hottie for himself:

    https://www.bostonherald.com/wp-content/uploads/migration/2015/05/05/050515tsarmanev001.jpg?w=535

    https://readysteadycut.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/bomb-2-shot2.jpg

    How a hottie like her was able to be attracted to an Islamist POS like Tamerlan Tsarnaev, we'll never know. Maybe she just liked bad boys and viewed him being Muslim as being *extra* authentic and hard-core.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

  782. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    This movie was already filmed.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xmRnKIEStso

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ

    There’s already a substantial subculture of model making about the Battle of Kiev and the Defense of Kharkov. The designers are either Poles or Ukies. Very nicely done 1:35 scale tanks and infantry. Proceeds going to charity of course.

    I wager that the paint scheme can be either Russkie or Ukie.

  783. @Mikhail
    @sudden death


    That was way before any NATO activity in former Yugoslavia or mainland Iraq and without getting any sanctions, so once again it’s kremlinite BS about Western precedent, cause it was RF doing such precedents first after Cold war, not the other way round.
     
    Russia has never recognized Pridnestrovie's declared independence or desire to reunite with Russia. Hence, Kosovo does see as a modern day precedent.

    https://www.rt.com/russia/554574-putin-kosovo-un-chief/

    Replies: @sudden death

    Gonna use the beckowite type framing here – you said that the magnitude of the violations was less with the RF treatment of Moldova as they didn’t “recognize” officially the Transnistria’s independence, while separating and ruling it de facto. Well, but RF did it first after Cold War – so that is still the first precedent for the others. How far they take it depends on circumstances and the cookie crumbles differently based on circumstances;)

  784. @Mikel
    @A123


    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.
     
    No. They are a part of the equation but the real problem is a different one and I can see it everyday.

    Just to carry on with Home Depot stories, I was just astonished not long ago with another HD employee, even younger, working at the rental department. I rented a so called material lift, a device with a pulley that you use to raise stuff up to a height of 12'. I could have easily put in in my van on my own, as I have done several times before, but one of the parts is a bit heavy so I made the mistake of asking him to help me and he volunteered to take care of the heavy part. It was hard to watch, very sad. He went to the store to bring an electric dolly with security straps and put them all ceremoniously, one by one, around the ~70 lbs part, just to transport it a few yards to my van! There was no way that thing could have ever fallen over from the dolly without the straps unless you are a total moron. And it would have been a minor inconvenience anyway. This thick built teenager in the prime years of his life wasn't really helping a customer load an item. He was rather wasting a busy customer's time by mindlessly following ridiculous instructions he has been brainwashed to believe are the only safe way of transporting and loading items.

    Had my much smaller wife been there, we would have loaded the van in a few seconds without even giving it any thought. She has been married to a mountain goat for over 2o years, OK, but she's also just a different generation and even before meeting me she was more physically capable than many modern teenage males.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @A123

    Lol, that story reminds me of people at the gym who put collars on the bar for deadlifts. On a freaking deadlift, ffs. (Personally, I never use collars on any lifts, but I am a natural born badass rebel. I’ll grant that on some lifts they make sense though.) If you don’t know what a deadlift is, please google and you’ll see immediately how idiotic it is to think the plates sliding off the bar on that lift would be some major safety concern.

    Anyway, we’re starting to sound like grouchy middle-aged men here. (I blame Aaron.)

    Actually,… yeah, what the hell, I’ll share this… that is probably the first time I’ve ever referred to myself as middle-aged. I’m in my mid-40’s, which is technically well within the middle-aged range, but I don’t really feel any different to how I did in my late 20’s. I don’t even live much differently. There are some things I take more seriously, and the partying lifestyle has slowed down considerably, even if I still periodically fall prey to the siren call of the Dionysian netherworld. But overall, this is assuredly not how I would have predicted I’d “be” at this point in my life if you’d asked me twenty years ago. Maybe the “crisis” is yet to hit?

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver

    Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I've always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties. Not for pure safety reasons though. My thinking is that if the plates slide asymetrically to one side you're not lifting in good form and risk injury. Am I wrong?

    I don't go to the gym right now anyway. I try to keep my tone with pushups, deadhangs and lots of farm and building work. But if things roll as they should, I'll start going back to the gym early next year. Lifting doesn't give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem. I felt exactly like you in my mid forties, btw. The second part of the 50s are a different matter, I'm afraid. In my personal experience, you do start to notice that you are not as strong or as fast as you once were. But a lot depends on how you exercise. I basically gave up lifting but I actually increased endurance exercise so I must have surely lost some endurance ability since my peak but I don't notice it yet.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @silviosilver

  785. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    This movie was already filmed.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xmRnKIEStso

    Replies: @Wokechoke, @Mr. XYZ

    What I find interesting is that the director of that movie has a Ukrainian last name but is actually of moved Bulgarian-Serbian (so, Balkanoid) descent on his father’s side:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergei_Bondarchuk

    Sergey Bondarchuk was born in the village of Bilozerka (now in Kherson Raion, Kherson Oblast of Ukraine) on September 25, 1920 in the family of peasants Fyodor Petrovich and Tatyana Vasilievna (nee Tokarenko). The paternal grandfather was ethnically Bulgarian Pyotr Konstantinovich Bondarchuk, the grandmother was ethnically Serbian Matryona Fyodorovna Sirvulya.

    What’s with all of the crosses in that film, BTW?

    BTW, it looks like this mother might have very well been Ukrainian, based on her last name. So, he was a mixed Ukraino-Balkanoid who lived in Russia.

    Glad to see that Russia also values ethnic diversity among its film directors and that this isn’t just a Western thing! 😉

    BTW, if you want another example of a mixed East Slav-Balkanoid who lived in Russia in the 20th century, then here you go:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgy_Malenkov

    Malenkov was born in Orenburg in the Russian Empire. His paternal ancestors immigrated during the 18th century from the area of Ohrid in the Ottoman Rumelia Eyalet (present day North Macedonia).[4][5]

    And here’s another example of this, but from much earlier:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mikhail_Miloradovich

    Mikhail Miloradovich was the son of Major General Andrei Miloradovich (1726–1798). The Miloradovichs descended from an Eastern Orthodox Serbian noble family from Hum, in present-day Bosnia and Herzegovina who rose to a station of prominent Bosnian Ottoman nobility of Sanjak of Herzegovina..[7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17] The Russian branch of the Miloradovich family was established in 1715, when Mikhail I Miloradovich (the first) (Serbo-Croatian Cyrillic: Михаило Милорадовић), one of three brothers recruited by Peter I to incite rebellion against the Turks four years earlier, fled from Herzegovina to Russia and joined Peter’s service as a colonel.[18][19]

    Interestingly enough, a New Serbia province existed in Russian-ruled Ukraine in the mid-18th century:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Serbia_(historical_province)

    Russian-Balkanoid ties really are long-lasting! Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia. They also understand what it’s like to lose a huge national diaspora as a result of a breakup of a giant multinational state that they helped to create (Serbs were probably bigger participants in the creation of Yugoslavia than Russians were in the creation of the USSR, though).

    BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan? The Eastern Slavs went through their own pan-nationalism phase (post-WWII Soviet Union), as did the Czechoslovaks and Southern (pseudo-)Slavs. And Europeans are going through their own pan-nationalism phase right now. So, why not the Iranic peoples as well? With access to Afghanistan’s human capital hopefully combined with eventual universal literacy (though maybe one shouldn’t be too hopeful about this due to the Taliban), Iran can boost “its” population from almost 100 million to almost 200 million over the long-run. What’s not to like? The religious differences can be transcended through an aggressive secularization campaign, though maybe this requires regime change in both Iran and Afghanistan first, in which case already mostly secular Tajikistan can join them in such a Pan-Iranic Union.

    BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better (‘coz from a Woke perspective it’s not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)? And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed? There’s already an African Hindu community in Ghana due to local black African converts to Hinduism. These conversions simply need to be encouraged throughout Christian Africa, and on a much larger scale. Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    • Replies: @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    I'll probably write about the film because it predicts the Ukraine War to a tee, despite being based on a novel written in 1969. Talk of world omniscience.

    Bashibuzuk (or what does he call himself now) and even AP could confirm.


    Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia.
     
    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like "Russian privilege" exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

    > BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan?

    > BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better (‘coz from a Woke perspective it’s not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)?

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.

    > And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed?

    It's actually already happening in parts and it's a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.

    > Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

  786. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I find it interesting that it isn’t even all of historical Christendom that has been strongly accomplished throughout history. Not even all of the historical Catholic lands. Rather, Christian European accomplishment is primarily within the Hajnal Line
     
    Charles Murray was wrong and parochial. The chart based on his claims excludes Spain which liberated so much of the world from evil, ugliness and darkness, and Byzantium.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I’ve got a question for you, AP: What do you think about Frederick the Great? I suspect that you strongly dislike him for taking Silesia away from Austria and for dismembering the PLC and wish that Tsarina Elizabeth would not have died in 1762 so that she could have finished the war and destroyed Prussia as a Great Power once and for all, right?

    Or do you ultimately believe that despite all of its flaws (such as its visceral Polonophobia), Prussia and later Germany ended up being a better Great Power and even Austrian ally than Russia was?

    As a side note, it’s quite interesting that in 1945 the USSR achieved what Russia would have achieved back in 1763 under a surviving Tsarina Elizabeth (or even in 1919 under a non-Bolshevik Russian government that would have been able to continue the war up to the very end), but an astronomically higher cost. The cost of this was by far the smallest back in 1763, much higher in 1919, and astronomically higher yet by 1945. By surviving so long, Prussia paved the way for the destruction of Russia’s demographic future, which might have helped pave the way for Russia’s eventual invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

  787. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    What I find interesting is that the director of that movie has a Ukrainian last name but is actually of moved Bulgarian-Serbian (so, Balkanoid) descent on his father's side:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergei_Bondarchuk


    Sergey Bondarchuk was born in the village of Bilozerka (now in Kherson Raion, Kherson Oblast of Ukraine) on September 25, 1920 in the family of peasants Fyodor Petrovich and Tatyana Vasilievna (nee Tokarenko). The paternal grandfather was ethnically Bulgarian Pyotr Konstantinovich Bondarchuk, the grandmother was ethnically Serbian Matryona Fyodorovna Sirvulya.
     
    What's with all of the crosses in that film, BTW?

    BTW, it looks like this mother might have very well been Ukrainian, based on her last name. So, he was a mixed Ukraino-Balkanoid who lived in Russia.

    Glad to see that Russia also values ethnic diversity among its film directors and that this isn't just a Western thing! ;)

    BTW, if you want another example of a mixed East Slav-Balkanoid who lived in Russia in the 20th century, then here you go:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgy_Malenkov

    Malenkov was born in Orenburg in the Russian Empire. His paternal ancestors immigrated during the 18th century from the area of Ohrid in the Ottoman Rumelia Eyalet (present day North Macedonia).[4][5]
     
    And here's another example of this, but from much earlier:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mikhail_Miloradovich

    Mikhail Miloradovich was the son of Major General Andrei Miloradovich (1726–1798). The Miloradovichs descended from an Eastern Orthodox Serbian noble family from Hum, in present-day Bosnia and Herzegovina who rose to a station of prominent Bosnian Ottoman nobility of Sanjak of Herzegovina..[7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17] The Russian branch of the Miloradovich family was established in 1715, when Mikhail I Miloradovich (the first) (Serbo-Croatian Cyrillic: Михаило Милорадовић), one of three brothers recruited by Peter I to incite rebellion against the Turks four years earlier, fled from Herzegovina to Russia and joined Peter's service as a colonel.[18][19]
     
    Interestingly enough, a New Serbia province existed in Russian-ruled Ukraine in the mid-18th century:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Serbia_(historical_province)

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/04/New_serbia_map.png

    Russian-Balkanoid ties really are long-lasting! Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia. They also understand what it's like to lose a huge national diaspora as a result of a breakup of a giant multinational state that they helped to create (Serbs were probably bigger participants in the creation of Yugoslavia than Russians were in the creation of the USSR, though).

    BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan? The Eastern Slavs went through their own pan-nationalism phase (post-WWII Soviet Union), as did the Czechoslovaks and Southern (pseudo-)Slavs. And Europeans are going through their own pan-nationalism phase right now. So, why not the Iranic peoples as well? With access to Afghanistan's human capital hopefully combined with eventual universal literacy (though maybe one shouldn't be too hopeful about this due to the Taliban), Iran can boost "its" population from almost 100 million to almost 200 million over the long-run. What's not to like? The religious differences can be transcended through an aggressive secularization campaign, though maybe this requires regime change in both Iran and Afghanistan first, in which case already mostly secular Tajikistan can join them in such a Pan-Iranic Union.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/6b/Iranian_languages_distribution.png

    BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better ('coz from a Woke perspective it's not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)? And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed? There's already an African Hindu community in Ghana due to local black African converts to Hinduism. These conversions simply need to be encouraged throughout Christian Africa, and on a much larger scale. Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin

    I’ll probably write about the film because it predicts the Ukraine War to a tee, despite being based on a novel written in 1969. Talk of world omniscience.

    Bashibuzuk (or what does he call himself now) and even AP could confirm.

    Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia.

    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like “Russian privilege” exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

    > BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan?

    > BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better (‘coz from a Woke perspective it’s not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)?

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.

    > And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed?

    It’s actually already happening in parts and it’s a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.

    > Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like “Russian privilege” exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

     

    Glad that the huge sacrifices that Russia made for Serbia in 1914-1917 were not *completely* in vain. "We eventually lost all of the other Slavs and pseudo-Slavs, but at least we got to keep the Serbs on our side (to the extent that can be expected of them as a small people)!"

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.
     
    For me personally to abandon my support of proposition nation-states (though I have no problem with network states coexisting side by side with them), I'll first need to see network states that can rival the big nation-states in terms of their GDP, elite science production, et cetera. I mean the big four: The US, the EU, China, and India. Especially the first three here.

    It’s actually already happening in parts and it’s a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.
     
    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn't mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand, thus making this Russia's brand as a newly minted proposition nation. (I encourage Ukraine to do the same with actively seeking huge numbers of converts for Ukrainian Orthodoxy, though without a huge and long-lasting economic boom, a lot of immigrants simply won't want to move to Ukraine.)

    As a side note, I sympathize with the logic of open borders in the sense that immigration restrictions are a form of national origin discrimination. I just don't want to go so far as to destroy existing nation-states in one way or another. I do want to make existing nation-states proposition nations, though, including Israel.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

     

    Pro-feminist, Yes, but I wonder just how much of their pro-LGBTQ+ attitudes is due to their courts rather than due to their populations as a whole? It would be similar to some court(s) in the US mandating the legalization of child sex dolls (which appears to be what some visionary voices among EHC support); this would likely be a good thing (a harm-free sexual outlet for virtuous minor-attracted persons), but this wouldn't be the result of popular sentiment but rather the result of courts taking a bold stand independently and reasonably, possibly even against popular sentiment. (This is why EHC supports independent judiciaries; they don't want to leave all questions to the mob to decide.)

    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course. Maybe you should eventually write an article sharing your current thoughts on Jesus's alleged resurrection and why exactly EHC is more skeptical of it than the proles are (and whether their skepticism in regards to this is actually justified). As an agnostic Jew, I still think that Jesus's alleged resurrection is the most compelling alleged supernatural event, even though it ultimately fails to convince me to actually believe in it (too much uncertainty and room for doubt based on later human experiences with similar alleged phenomena).

    BTW, off-topic, but you might enjoy this old song about Putin, in Russian:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WIOq1bvD2Ak

    Just be careful not to get arrested for listening to it. Seriously. It is *very* good, though. Harsh, rude, and cynical, just like Russia itself. But also very funny.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @AP

    , @Sher Singh
    @Anatoly Karlin


    sufficiently agentic sentient beings
     
    Why's a a smart nigger worth more than a Tiger?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    BTW, have you ever thought about how it's incredibly racist to support open borders since it means that (non-East Asian) people of color can only thrive when they are near a lot of white people (or East Asians, I suppose, but people don't seem to be as passionate about open borders for East Asian countries)?

    (You could blame brain drain for this, but this simply indicates the failure of Third World countries to build functioning countries in the first place and in any case brain drain wouldn't be anywhere near as much of an issue if the Third World had much more brainpower to spare. China, for instance, can even afford to lose 50 million 125+ IQ people because it will still keep that many such people back at home even in such a scenario.

    Replies: @Coconuts

  788. @Wokechoke
    @YetAnotherAnon

    JJ was probably stirring up Chechens in the 1990s and has Djoker Tzarnaev on speed dial.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    It’s Joker Tsarnaev. At least it would be if he was funny instead of being so tragic. And he actually fit in relatively well in US society before his elder brother poisoned his mind by encouraging him to support terrorism. And his older brother was even able to secure a relatively attractive white American hottie for himself:

    How a hottie like her was able to be attracted to an Islamist POS like Tamerlan Tsarnaev, we’ll never know. Maybe she just liked bad boys and viewed him being Muslim as being *extra* authentic and hard-core.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mr. XYZ

    She's a CIA handler you naive young fool.

  789. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    That's a very good way of explaining inner transformation - it's a gradual process that eventually reaches a tipping point. To be sure, some people experience it as a sudden, blinding flash of insight, but for me it was also gradual

    As for Sailer, I don't mind the element of political activism in Sailer, nor that there are some "sticky" elements in his thinking - heck, there are "sticky" elements to my thinking too. But I think he defines himself primarily as someone who has "figured out how the world works", so he's not just interested in political activism but offering a comprehensive explanation of social dynamics, and perhaps even the human condition.

    And for decade after decade, to demonstrate no evolution, change, or growth in his understanding of the human condition, is astonishing to me. Heck, even within the narrow constraints of his chosen perspective, you'd expect some growth and evolution, even if he can't grasp it's partial, limited nature and graduate to a wider vision that captures more dimensions of human existence.

    I'm not really interested in beating up on Sailer, and he's fairly benign, but he seems to exemplify a general cultural trend - stagnation in the arts and sciences, loss of creativity, stasis.

    And while I wouldn't call him arrogant like some, his air of smug self assurance powerfully suggests the narrow minded left hemisphere predicament of not knowing what it doesn't know.

    I'm not looking at Sailer in isolation but linking him with the general social and intellectual crisis we are undergoing, and I think he's a good example.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    But I think he defines himself primarily as someone who has “figured out how the world works”, so he’s not just interested in political activism but offering a comprehensive explanation of social dynamics, and perhaps even the human condition.

    That’s just his sales pitch, you know, “Mr. Noticer” and all that. People are simply more receptive to “Let me explain how things work to you” than they are to “Let me share my political values with you.” He’s not alone in this. It’s characteristic of political ideology to have a “theory of history,” an explanation of how things to got to this point, as well as to have some notion of the how things ought to be (Sailer’s weak on this, or at least cagey) and a “battle plan” of how to get there. If you’re going to publicly hold to a certain set of political values, there are limits on how much you can allow personal growth to alter your political persona.

    And while I wouldn’t call him arrogant like some, his air of smug self assurance powerfully suggests

    Oh yes, that was my first impression of him. “Who is this clown with these smug but often extremely shallow takes?” I used to think. But I kept coming back because firstly, I was starved at the time for some no-holds-barred conservative views (rather than the tepid crap mainstream conservatism was feeding me) and he and the whoel Vdare crew supplied it, and later because I realized he really was onto something.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    I think Sailer is an extremely good example of "nothing but" reductionist thinking - in his world, humans are "nothing but" motivated by the lowest, crassest, pettiest, most egotistic motives. He is genuinely incapable of understanding idealism. He's just another version of the scientific reductionism that is killing us.

    If you want to say he's "onto to something", I'd agree with you - petty ego is actually a huge part of social life. That realization is in fact an important stage in the spiritual life, and Buddhist literature from 2,000 years ago talks about it all the time, for instance. It's also an important part of intellectual life - the French moralistes of the 17th century, like La Rochefoucauld, were brilliant on this subject.

    But to "stop" there is just a dead end. And Sailer "stops" there.

    Whatever your political goals, Silvio, if you don't offer people some larger idealistic vision, you're going nowhere. This kind of reductionist thinking is amusing for a while - even educationally important for a while - but if that's all you got, you got nothing.

    Our political goals may differ, Silvio, and I'm obviously much more left-wing than you (old left, not Woke), but if you're really going through a spiritual awakening, I'm expecting some kind of idealistic vision from you, not dreary nothing but reductionism. And I'm curious what you will come up with, however different from my vision :)

    Now, I don't want to go too deeply into Sailer bashing, because I regard his dead-end vision as of no real political significance. I'm more interested in your increasingly fascinating comments to Mikel and AP, so keep them coming :)

    Replies: @silviosilver

  790. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    I'll probably write about the film because it predicts the Ukraine War to a tee, despite being based on a novel written in 1969. Talk of world omniscience.

    Bashibuzuk (or what does he call himself now) and even AP could confirm.


    Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia.
     
    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like "Russian privilege" exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

    > BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan?

    > BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better (‘coz from a Woke perspective it’s not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)?

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.

    > And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed?

    It's actually already happening in parts and it's a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.

    > Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like “Russian privilege” exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

    Glad that the huge sacrifices that Russia made for Serbia in 1914-1917 were not *completely* in vain. “We eventually lost all of the other Slavs and pseudo-Slavs, but at least we got to keep the Serbs on our side (to the extent that can be expected of them as a small people)!”

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.

    For me personally to abandon my support of proposition nation-states (though I have no problem with network states coexisting side by side with them), I’ll first need to see network states that can rival the big nation-states in terms of their GDP, elite science production, et cetera. I mean the big four: The US, the EU, China, and India. Especially the first three here.

    It’s actually already happening in parts and it’s a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.

    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn’t mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand, thus making this Russia’s brand as a newly minted proposition nation. (I encourage Ukraine to do the same with actively seeking huge numbers of converts for Ukrainian Orthodoxy, though without a huge and long-lasting economic boom, a lot of immigrants simply won’t want to move to Ukraine.)

    As a side note, I sympathize with the logic of open borders in the sense that immigration restrictions are a form of national origin discrimination. I just don’t want to go so far as to destroy existing nation-states in one way or another. I do want to make existing nation-states proposition nations, though, including Israel.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

    Pro-feminist, Yes, but I wonder just how much of their pro-LGBTQ+ attitudes is due to their courts rather than due to their populations as a whole? It would be similar to some court(s) in the US mandating the legalization of child sex dolls (which appears to be what some visionary voices among EHC support); this would likely be a good thing (a harm-free sexual outlet for virtuous minor-attracted persons), but this wouldn’t be the result of popular sentiment but rather the result of courts taking a bold stand independently and reasonably, possibly even against popular sentiment. (This is why EHC supports independent judiciaries; they don’t want to leave all questions to the mob to decide.)

    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course. Maybe you should eventually write an article sharing your current thoughts on Jesus’s alleged resurrection and why exactly EHC is more skeptical of it than the proles are (and whether their skepticism in regards to this is actually justified). As an agnostic Jew, I still think that Jesus’s alleged resurrection is the most compelling alleged supernatural event, even though it ultimately fails to convince me to actually believe in it (too much uncertainty and room for doubt based on later human experiences with similar alleged phenomena).

    BTW, off-topic, but you might enjoy this old song about Putin, in Russian:

    Just be careful not to get arrested for listening to it. Seriously. It is *very* good, though. Harsh, rude, and cynical, just like Russia itself. But also very funny.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course.
     
    This is a typical kind of argument; that hostility to sodomy was something created by white Western European Christians and colonialism. Last time I heard it being used was in relation to Islam; that Islam was pro-sodomy before European colonialism.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ

    , @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn’t mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand
     
    Well, Putin has opened the border to a couple of African countries recently, removing visa restrictions. Of course it would be hard for their people to get all the way to Russia, so the practical effect on immigration is close to zero.

    It would be funny if Russia opened its doors to all central Asia and Africa on the conditions that the immigrants convert to Russian Orthodoxy and learn the Russian language.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  791. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    I'll probably write about the film because it predicts the Ukraine War to a tee, despite being based on a novel written in 1969. Talk of world omniscience.

    Bashibuzuk (or what does he call himself now) and even AP could confirm.


    Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia.
     
    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like "Russian privilege" exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

    > BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan?

    > BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better (‘coz from a Woke perspective it’s not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)?

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.

    > And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed?

    It's actually already happening in parts and it's a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.

    > Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

    sufficiently agentic sentient beings

    Why’s a a smart nigger worth more than a Tiger?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Sher Singh

    Because he can help build Wakanda while the tiger can only eat you?

  792. @Mikel

    Undermining scientism is but the first step in what for many people is a lifelong journey.
     
    Yes, it's shaping up to be like that for me. If I wasn't open to ideas that go beyond the scientific realm I wouldn't have taken up the daunting task of reading a book like McGilchrist's.

    The full realization that science cannot answer all our questions and that, in the grand scheme of things, our minds are in all likelihood limited like any other mammals' is rather recent for me. My latest effort to take religion seriously was in my late teens, when I read about Taoism, but then I slowly gave up and settled on a materialistic view of the world.

    But I feel it's going to be a rough journey to go beyond my current skeptic curiosity. There used to be a family doctor in my hometown who was a very devout Christian. He kept complaining and reprimanding us all for having abandoned the faith people used to have in the old days. In order to maximize his audience he used to regularly write letters to the editor of a local newspaper and one of his talking points was how often he saw his dying patients suddenly recover their faith when they saw death nearby. I don't know what he was trying to achieve with this idea but it had a very negative effect on me. I saw it as a further proof that religion was nothing but a mechanism we use to confront the fear of death.

    I actually found it rather dishonorable to embrace back religion in such a way. Now I would be much more understanding of these people who returned to their faith in a last gesture of hope but I don't see me doing that. My pride is my enemy, I'm afraid. Which is not very logical because I fully agree with your idea that 'life is about living' and enjoying it as much as we can, so if embracing some belief makes life easier for us, why not just go and do it? It's not so easy though because we are rational animals. As you admitted yourself, not everything goes and we cannot force us to believe that it's raining when we see a blue, sunny sky. We need our beliefs to meet some minimum standards, I guess.


    If you think little of these suggestions, I encourage you to come up with some of your own.
     
    I think I'm going to pass on that. Thinking too much about this matter has never done me any good. You never arrive at any firm conclusion but you do get dizzy and disturbed when trying to imagine the afterlife, eternity and such concepts. It may be part of the human condition. Animals have no abstract concept of death but they definitely fear death. In fact, I think that they are much more cowardly than us because they let their survival instincts take over and immediately escape any situation that they feel may bring danger to them. We are by contrast capable of overcoming our instincts and facing situations of grave danger, sometimes even for fun. But I think that, in the same way that an animal is conditioned to just escape from death, the human mind is not equipped to process its own abstract death beyond certain limits.

    Having said all that, if I had to choose a religion just based on what kind of afterlife it promises, I would definitely g0 for one that offers as close an experience to the life I know as possible. I'd be quite content with just being given the chance to start all over again.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    I saw it as a further proof that religion was nothing but a mechanism we use to confront the fear of death.

    I think the reductionist watchword – “nothing but” – is dealing damage on two fronts here. The first is that it radically cheapens religious experience. The second is that it belittles existential anxieties related to human finitude as almost a “distraction.” (That’s how it strikes me, anyway. “It’s just death bro, there are more important things to worry about.”)

    Reductionism is the foundation of the “journey” from appearance to substance I referred to a few posts ago. It’s proven extremely useful, and that’s why for the longest time I was hesitant to poo-poo it. What has become increasingly clear to me recently, however, is that it is guilty of massive overreach. I’m now willing to even allow for some excesses in the struggle to get that monkey off our backs. So if I say some things that strike a discordant note with you – that send you scurrying back to reductionism’s safe embrace, say – understand that this is where I’m coming from.

    My pride is my enemy, I’m afraid. Which is not very logical because I fully agree with your idea that ‘life is about living’ and enjoying it as much as we can, so if embracing some belief makes life easier for us, why not just go and do it?

    I have to own up to something here. In that post, I also said something like life not being about arriving at the precise solution to a mathematical conundrum. Then a few posts later I guess I kind of contradicted myself when I said we find ourselves in the material plane of existence in order to achieve “some great task” – which carries at least the strong implication that maybe our happiness ought to be put on hold in the name of solving a puzzle.

    The way I’d resolve that apparent contradiction is to suggest that devoting ourselves to merely solving the “mathematical conundrum” would be like an engineering firm attempting to cost a project without first having a clear idea of what they intend to construct. Achieving “some great task”, on the other hand, begins with the end in mind. It says there’s a purpose to this life, part of which is discovering that purpose, but the other part of which is fulfilling it; and that all this lends itself to the goal of good living/happiness.

    There’s more I want to say, but I have to run. In the next post I’ll try to respond to the issue of religious perspectives that are believable.

    But just quickly,

    I think I’m going to pass on that. Thinking too much about this matter has never done me any good. You never arrive at any firm conclusion but you do get dizzy and disturbed when trying to imagine the afterlife, eternity and such concepts.

    Oh yeah, I feel you. Indulge me in one more though. What’s your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: “When we die, we don’t lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up”?

    Something like “Oh fuck off, go peddle that cheap metaphysics to some hippie starchild; I can see you see flogging astrological good luck charms on ebay a few years from now”?

    Or something closer to “Eh, if consciousness is actually a foundational quality of the universe – rather than merely a byproduct of our neurological setup – as some apparently respectable scientists now maintain, the phrasing may be overly saccharine but it does its part to provoke a reconsideration of our being”?

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    “It’s just death bro, there are more important things to worry about."
     
    LOL.

    I think I understand your second objection but perhaps I didn't express mine properly. My problem is not that people suddenly see death in front of them and turm to whatever makes the moment more bearable. In fact, I long ago concluded that I won't reject any last sacrament that I get offered when I'm dying. It would be absurd. It's like buying an insurance policy: a small payment that you make in exchange for potentially huge benefits. In an ideal scenario, I should have multiple priests of different faiths offering me their last rites, including some Muslim and definitely some Oriental ones. I would accept them all, as you never know. It's just too difficult to assess all the merits and demerits of the different religions on offer and conclude which one is the best. My problem is with actually believing in something that you found unbeliavable (often ridiculous) when you were in a more sober state of mind. I can't quite imagine myself doing that.

    As for your first objection, I'm not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    What’s your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: “When we die, we don’t lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up”?
     
    If you hadn't offered two options, I would have just gone for something similar to the first one. But having read the second one, I don't find it totally unreasonable. However, I think that it does require the usual leap of faith. I don't know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells. Some mysterious, immaterial part of ourselves may survive if these theories are right but I don't see how anything resembling our current personal beings could continue to exist even under that paradigm.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

  793. @Sher Singh
    @Anatoly Karlin


    sufficiently agentic sentient beings
     
    Why's a a smart nigger worth more than a Tiger?

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Because he can help build Wakanda while the tiger can only eat you?

  794. AP says:
    @Mikel
    @Dmitry

    For whatever it's worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were "the worst type of Russians" now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it's not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it's very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP, @Dmitry

    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed

    I’ve known people from Poland since the 90s.

    Previously most Poles thought of Ukrainians as indeed being much like Russians – savage, primitive Eastern semi-kin satisfied with life under a brutal despot. Certainly not as alien as Germans are, but nasty nonetheless. Russians and Ukrainians were lumped together as sort of unevolved Poles. Ukrainians were seen as worse than Russians because of the Volhynia massacres. Even though Stalin killed more Poles than did Bandera, Bandera’s crimes were grassroots.

    Attitudes towards Ukrainians did not shift due to this war but much earlier, at the time of the Orange Revolution 20 years ago. Ukrainians showed that they valued democracy, marking them as different from Russians and more like Poles or other Central Europeans. The Orange Revolution reminded Poles of their own struggle ~12 years earlier. More and more Ukrainians came to work in Poland and Poles saw that they were not so bad and had much in common. Poles became more aware of mutual history, good and bad. They acknowledged that prior to Bandera their own government did bad things to Ukrainians.

    At the same time, Russians kept being disappointing. It became clear that they liked Stalin. And they kept doing bad things.

    This war has further accelerated this process. Poles see Ukrainians as fighting “for us.” They not only like that a mutual enemy is being fought, but they see themselves in the Ukrainians. They were in the same position too, once. And they see that Russians (unlike Germans) are the same monsters they always were. Still willing to mass kill for the sake of conquest.

    Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history

    The attitude shift has been long-lasting so I doubt it is transitory. It will probably go down when the war ends, but I very much doubt it will revert to dislike.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @AP


    Previously most Poles thought of Ukrainians as indeed being much like Russians – savage, primitive Eastern semi-kin satisfied with life under a brutal despot. Certainly not as alien as Germans are, but nasty nonetheless. Russians and Ukrainians were lumped together as sort of unevolved Poles. Ukrainians were seen as worse than Russians because of the Volhynia massacres. Even though Stalin killed more Poles than did Bandera, Bandera’s crimes were grassroots.
     
    Stalin wasn't Russian with Soviet manner having a multi-ethnic component that included many Ukrainians. The manner of OUN/UPA terror arguably more gross than the Soviets. If OUN/UPA had clout on par with the Soviets, their savagery would be clearer to some others. BTW, I've run into a good share of Poles over the years who agree with these points.
    , @Sher Singh
    @AP

    https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/640459736919048202/1134779463633223760/lmfao.png

  795. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    But I think he defines himself primarily as someone who has “figured out how the world works”, so he’s not just interested in political activism but offering a comprehensive explanation of social dynamics, and perhaps even the human condition.
     
    That's just his sales pitch, you know, "Mr. Noticer" and all that. People are simply more receptive to "Let me explain how things work to you" than they are to "Let me share my political values with you." He's not alone in this. It's characteristic of political ideology to have a "theory of history," an explanation of how things to got to this point, as well as to have some notion of the how things ought to be (Sailer's weak on this, or at least cagey) and a "battle plan" of how to get there. If you're going to publicly hold to a certain set of political values, there are limits on how much you can allow personal growth to alter your political persona.

    And while I wouldn’t call him arrogant like some, his air of smug self assurance powerfully suggests
     
    Oh yes, that was my first impression of him. "Who is this clown with these smug but often extremely shallow takes?" I used to think. But I kept coming back because firstly, I was starved at the time for some no-holds-barred conservative views (rather than the tepid crap mainstream conservatism was feeding me) and he and the whoel Vdare crew supplied it, and later because I realized he really was onto something.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think Sailer is an extremely good example of “nothing but” reductionist thinking – in his world, humans are “nothing but” motivated by the lowest, crassest, pettiest, most egotistic motives. He is genuinely incapable of understanding idealism. He’s just another version of the scientific reductionism that is killing us.

    If you want to say he’s “onto to something”, I’d agree with you – petty ego is actually a huge part of social life. That realization is in fact an important stage in the spiritual life, and Buddhist literature from 2,000 years ago talks about it all the time, for instance. It’s also an important part of intellectual life – the French moralistes of the 17th century, like La Rochefoucauld, were brilliant on this subject.

    But to “stop” there is just a dead end. And Sailer “stops” there.

    Whatever your political goals, Silvio, if you don’t offer people some larger idealistic vision, you’re going nowhere. This kind of reductionist thinking is amusing for a while – even educationally important for a while – but if that’s all you got, you got nothing.

    Our political goals may differ, Silvio, and I’m obviously much more left-wing than you (old left, not Woke), but if you’re really going through a spiritual awakening, I’m expecting some kind of idealistic vision from you, not dreary nothing but reductionism. And I’m curious what you will come up with, however different from my vision 🙂

    Now, I don’t want to go too deeply into Sailer bashing, because I regard his dead-end vision as of no real political significance. I’m more interested in your increasingly fascinating comments to Mikel and AP, so keep them coming 🙂

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Our political goals may differ, Silvio, and I’m obviously much more left-wing than you (old left, not Woke),
     
    If you're referring to economics, we may not be as far apart as you think. If you agree that the fundamental divide between left and right economic views could be stated as disagreement on what 'the economy' (viewed as a totality) is for - for the left, social provisioning with some individual enrichment perhaps being permitted; for the right, individual enrichment, with some social provisioning perhaps being permitted - then I am actually leftwing.

    I've phrased it this way deliberately. It won't do for a libertarian to point out that Adam Smith's butcher is only in it to make a buck for himself, with the only way to do that being to provide his customers with adequate quality meat at a competitive price. It's the totality of economic activity we're interested in when we say 'the economy'; from a central government's point of view, which necessarily involves viewing the economy from a 'whole of life' perspective.

    Now, if the 'whole of life' perspective you bring to the question is that any degree of economic inequality at all is evidence of exploitation and depravity, and you want to constrain the market forces that produce that inequality as much as possible, or perhaps eliminate them entirely, it's only then that I become "rightwing."


    I’m expecting some kind of idealistic vision from you, not dreary nothing but reductionism. And I’m curious what you will come up with, however different from my vision
     
    Describe yours. I've already talked at length about the 'eugenic dream' and the desire for devolution along racial-cultural lines. (I have other ideals too, some more spiritually inspired, but I think it's your turn.)
  796. AP says:
    @YetAnotherAnon
    @AP

    "So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets."

    Maybe your family are "connected" (or maybe they're in Crimea!).

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.

    https://sputnikglobe.com/20220411/genocide-of-donbass-civilians-women-elderly-and-children-1094619604.html

    This link is bearable. What a lovely mother and child.

    https://remember.wiki/en/people/zhuk-krystyna-serheevna/

    Replies: @AP

    “So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets.”

    Maybe your family are “connected” (or maybe they’re in Crimea!).

    My paternal relatives in Lviv are, but my maternal relatives from central Ukraine are not. None have been sent to the front. Some are nervously hoping they don’t get called, but none have fled the country either.

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.

    It is indeed horrible that Putin chose to start a civil war in Ukraine that led to inevitable civilian casualties. Putin was doing to Ukraine what the West was doing to Syria (sending in soldiers, volunteers, pouring in weapons), with similar tragic results, though Poroshenko was a lot gentler than Assad.

    • Disagree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @AP


    It is indeed horrible that Putin chose to start a civil war in Ukraine that led to inevitable civilian casualties. Putin was doing to Ukraine what the West was doing to Syria (sending in soldiers, volunteers, pouring in weapons), with similar tragic results, though Poroshenko was a lot gentler than Assad.
     
    Putin didn't start it. As for your comparison, the armed anti-Assad opposition aren't more gentle than the pro-Russian forces in the former Ukrainian SSR.
    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @AP

    Weren't the soldiers and weapons from the Ukrainian Army, whose members defected to the Donbass/Luhansk forces when they declared UDI? In fact there was no way they could declare independence without the soldiers behind them.

    The Russian government tried to avoid getting involved for seven long years. What was Minsk 2 about? That mother and child died in Year 1.

    When Russia moved into Crimea, there were a LOT of AFU there and Russia gave them the choice to join them or leave and stay with the AFU.

    IIRC over 30,000 stayed with Russia and around 12,000 went back to rump Ukraine.

    I see you stick to the Rules For Radicals propaganda protocol by which "Putin" is used instead of Russia.

    Ambassador Bill Burns, now CIA director, in the Wikileaks cables, 2008.


    “NATO enlargement, particularly to Ukraine, remains “an emotional and neuralgic issue” for Russia, but strategic policy considerations also underlie strong opposition to NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia. In Ukraine, these include fears that the issue could potentially split the country in two, leading to violence, or, some claim, even civil war, which would force Russia to decide whether to intervene.
     
    I think the problem is that the US State Department interpreted Brit ambassador Sir Roderic Lyne’s statement “if you want to start a war with Russia, that’s the best way of doing it” as a how-to rather than a warning.

    Replies: @AP

  797. @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0kxD08S1qok

    Soldiers are brave want to avoid shame in front of their comrades, and the conduct of troops in the field is altered when the ethos of the society is.


    https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/disneys-board-oversees-us-cultural
    With a market capitalization of about $160 billion as of July 2023, the Walt Disney Company is one of the three largest entertainment companies in the world, alongside Netflix and Comcast.1 Once a self-contained animation studio and one of the oldest film studios in the world, Disney has expanded into a massive conglomerate that owns blockbuster film studios Pixar, Marvel Studios, and Lucasfilm, of Star Wars fame; TV networks including ABC and ESPN; multiple publishing imprints, multiple streaming services, and a global assortment of theme parks, cruise lines, resorts, and branded merchandise. Due to its prevalence and prestige in entertainment for children and their parents, Disney’s cultural influence amounts to a near-monopoly on the formation of values through media, and thus wields immense generational influence on popular understanding of social norms and even political legitimacy.
     
    Indiana Jones 5 was a product of Disney, which has always been first and foremost social engineering company. "What watching five straight days of Russian TV reveals about Putin’s Russia" a recent MSNBC piece about Kremlin control of all aspect of television and how even health and dance program are spun in aid of Russia's annexations and military operation in Ukraine. The US journalist is most astounded of all by the way Russian reality TV unashamedly depicts a provincial nation of drunken wife beaters. The gender roles in Russia are different to the West, where masculinity has been reconceptualized to no longer be tied up with being ready willing and able to kill and/or making the ultimate sacrifice.

    Although America has military hegemony the role of women in US society and the acceptance, in principle, of women in combat must altered the bellicosity of it soldiers. Most of the avoidable losses the Russians have had in Ukraine were caused by army chief of staff, Gerasimov, who bloviated about post-kinetic cyber, information, or hybrid warfare these were expected to succeeding through psychologic dislocation of the enemy without using much in the way of resources rather than destruction of the enemy army by mass effect methods of killing. Wagner Group in Bakmut was much more in line with Russian culture, which inculcates rash bravado as the epitome of, not just soldierly success. but being male. This authentic Russianness and his disgust at Gerasimov pseudo intellectual aping of Western distaste for real combat being widely shared by Russians explains why Prigozhin has defied all Westen pundits predictions by still being alive and in charge of Wagner. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G2t1KRz5GSA

    Phoebe Waller-Bridge is involved in writing for many many projects for the Disney group. Her break came with her Brit sitcom Fleabag included one episode were her character worried about the size of her back hole after being buggered, and another where she mused on how she masturbated while watching Obama on the news.


    http://www.martin-van-creveld.com/unto-him-your-passion/

    "No known society treats its male and female members in exactly the same way. Pregnancy and giving birth apart, the most important reason for this is physiological. Even in modern societies many jobs require plenty of strength and stamina. Fields in which men, on the average, enjoy clear advantages over women.

    For over a century now, each generation of feminists has proclaimed its own version of “the new women.” She who smoked like a man, drove an automobile like a man, attended university like a man, wore pants like a man, entered the professions and worked like a man, boxed like a man. and even—would you believe it—ejaculated like a man. All this, under the banner of “empowerment”! But underneath little if anything has changed.

    In all known societies, the higher up the slippery pole of power, wealth and fame you climb the fewer the women you meet. Among those you do meet, far fewer have made it by their own efforts as opposed to those of their male relatives.

    Furthermore, whatever success career women have enjoyed has come mainly at the expense of other women. Why? Because, for every successful career woman, there are two or three others who serve her in doing household work, minding children, and so on. To this extent, but also because successful women tend to have fewer children, feminism is self-defeating.

    Whatever success feminism has had has had is mainly due to the prevalence (in the West) of the so-called Long Peace. It will pass (in Israel, my own Israel, it is starting to pass right now). I am not aware of feminism achieving very much in Russia or Ukraine"
     

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Kind of a weird response to my comment, but whatever.

    I quite enjoyed Fleabag 🙂 It was good British television.

    Anyways, I don’t really understand how you’re responding to my comment, but I’d agree with you that women and men are different and should be treated different. I’m left-wing, to a certain (significant) extent, but not Woke.

    I can appreciate that Russian sense of reckless bravado that you’re describing, but that’s quite a different thing than treating individuals as unimportant, and having no sense of responsibility and compassion, and value for human life, among military leaders, or treating lower class people with contempt or indifference.

    The best military commanders are those who fully share the risks and hardships their soldiers face, or even more, set an example by taking on themselves even greater risk, and have a certain sense of equality with their their men.

    I appreciate aspects of Russian culture, but obviously not the harsh despotism or desire for conquest. The poor military performance of Russian troops today certain suggests a moral deficit.

    As for feminism, there are types of feminism that are in fact positive and good – the patriarchy did exist, and women were oppressed and needed to be liberated. That doesn’t mean I support the kind of absurd anti-male feminism that runs all too rampant today, or the idea that the genders are identical – rather, I think they are equal in value, and complementary. Society as a whole benefits when the feminine perspective is included, and overly masculine societies become fragile from excessive harshness. I also think that there is a sense in which men need to be liberated from oppressive social roles – and still do. I’m a Taoist, and believe in general in liberation from oppressive social roles.

    Anyways.

    I wouldn’t worry too much about the inclusion of women in the military – this kind of thing represents mankind’s eternal desire to be free of sublunary restraints, which can only find its ultimate satisfaction in spirituality. But we are a materialistic society that doesn’t know where to find what it is really looking for. In an ultimate sense, gender doesn’t exist.

    In the meantime, it is just a gesture towards that infinite horizon, not meant quite as seriously as you think.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I can appreciate that Russian sense of reckless bravado that you’re describing, but that’s quite a different thing than treating individuals as unimportant, and having no sense of responsibility and compassion, and value for human life, among military leaders, or treating lower class people with contempt or indifference.
     
    In my view, Putin with his stripped to the waist outdoor pursuits vulgarly performative cult of masculinity PR is deliberately appealing to the lower classes rather than the wealthy or highly educated sectors, and that is why he is classed as a dictatorship by the Western orientated effete elite, and why the ordinary people of Russia overwhelmingly support him

    The poor military performance of Russian troops today certain suggests a moral deficit.
     
    The Russian army planning was by Gerasimov whose idea were heavily influences by fashionable Western ideas of heavy weapons such as tanks and artillery being obsolete (precisely the opposite of what transpired as the Ukrainian fought back).The Ukrainians had interior lines and three soldiers for every two Russians in the invasion force. Put it another way the Russians invaded with one fifth of the troops they ought to have had. The plan was misconceived and when that is taken into account the performance of Russian troops in executing their orders has been really quite good

    I wouldn’t worry too much about the inclusion of women in the military – this kind of thing represents mankind’s eternal desire to be free of sublunary restraints,
     
    There are no such constraints as long as there is peace. In war there is what Oakeshott called "enterprise association", whereby everything is to one end and the individual ceases to matter. Russia is closer to the enterprise association even in peacetime.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  798. @silviosilver
    @Mikel

    Lol, that story reminds me of people at the gym who put collars on the bar for deadlifts. On a freaking deadlift, ffs. (Personally, I never use collars on any lifts, but I am a natural born badass rebel. I'll grant that on some lifts they make sense though.) If you don't know what a deadlift is, please google and you'll see immediately how idiotic it is to think the plates sliding off the bar on that lift would be some major safety concern.

    Anyway, we're starting to sound like grouchy middle-aged men here. (I blame Aaron.)

    Actually,... yeah, what the hell, I'll share this... that is probably the first time I've ever referred to myself as middle-aged. I'm in my mid-40's, which is technically well within the middle-aged range, but I don't really feel any different to how I did in my late 20's. I don't even live much differently. There are some things I take more seriously, and the partying lifestyle has slowed down considerably, even if I still periodically fall prey to the siren call of the Dionysian netherworld. But overall, this is assuredly not how I would have predicted I'd "be" at this point in my life if you'd asked me twenty years ago. Maybe the "crisis" is yet to hit?

    Replies: @Mikel

    Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I’ve always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties. Not for pure safety reasons though. My thinking is that if the plates slide asymetrically to one side you’re not lifting in good form and risk injury. Am I wrong?

    I don’t go to the gym right now anyway. I try to keep my tone with pushups, deadhangs and lots of farm and building work. But if things roll as they should, I’ll start going back to the gym early next year. Lifting doesn’t give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem. I felt exactly like you in my mid forties, btw. The second part of the 50s are a different matter, I’m afraid. In my personal experience, you do start to notice that you are not as strong or as fast as you once were. But a lot depends on how you exercise. I basically gave up lifting but I actually increased endurance exercise so I must have surely lost some endurance ability since my peak but I don’t notice it yet.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Mikel


    blockquote>Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I’ve always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties. Not for pure safety reasons though. My thinking is that if the plates slide asymetrically to one side you’re not lifting in good form and risk injury. Am I wrong?
     
    On the other hand, the collars then don't give you an idea of form in terms of what side you're favoring, which is why it's good to have someone view your lifts when benching.

    I don’t go to the gym right now anyway. I try to keep my tone with pushups, deadhangs and lots of farm and building work. But if things roll as they should, I’ll start going back to the gym early next year. Lifting doesn’t give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem. I felt exactly like you in my mid forties, btw. The second part of the 50s are a different matter, I’m afraid. In my personal experience, you do start to notice that you are not as strong or as fast as you once were. But a lot depends on how you exercise. I basically gave up lifting but I actually increased endurance exercise so I must have surely lost some endurance ability since my peak but I don’t notice it yet.
     
    Rest and nutrition become more key. It also helps to diversify. I've been getting an extra jump with the Jacob's Ladder done preferably every other day, mixed with a smorgasbord of other activities on a daily basis.
    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I’ve always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties.
     
    Oh you wuss! Pfft, Basques...

    Just kidding. There are plenty of lifts it makes perfectly good sense to use collars for. For a very short while I used them on squats, but laziness and (over?)confidence made me quickly give that up. But for deadlifts, come on, anything that would seriously cause you to tilt the bar such that a plate would slide off would almost certainly cause you to drop the bar itself, and there's probably no safer free weight movement to fail on in all of lifting than deadlifts.

    Also, if you're using Olympic bars and plates, they are a generally a snug fit that rarely slides. And these days the sleaves of the bar have slight ridges, so if the bar tilts, the plate gets angled into ridges and is prevented from sliding (or at least massively slowed down - no way is it flying off). This means you wouldn't really notice the effect that Mikhail mentioned, where you're favoring one side of your body over the other, causing the plates to move, because the equipment I'm used to, that wouldn't happen.

    Lifting doesn’t give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem.
     
    I got into 100% for aesthetic reasons. Never really cared all that much about strength. Of course, I have gotten a lot stronger, but that wasn't my focus, and if weights didn't alter my appearance, I wouldn't have bothered. These days I do care a little about the strength - it's fun watching the numbers go up, and it would be quite exciting to hit my best numbers again at this age (no guarantees, but it seems within reach). The importance of the health aspect has skyrocketed, from essentially 0% to maybe around 50% today. If I keep it up into my 50's and beyond, I'm sure health will be the main reason. (I think the health benefits are oversold a bit, actually, but I'd do it even for the placebo effect, in a "I'm doing something, therefore I am helping my health" kind of sense.)
  799. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    I saw it as a further proof that religion was nothing but a mechanism we use to confront the fear of death.
     
    I think the reductionist watchword - "nothing but" - is dealing damage on two fronts here. The first is that it radically cheapens religious experience. The second is that it belittles existential anxieties related to human finitude as almost a "distraction." (That's how it strikes me, anyway. "It's just death bro, there are more important things to worry about.")

    Reductionism is the foundation of the "journey" from appearance to substance I referred to a few posts ago. It's proven extremely useful, and that's why for the longest time I was hesitant to poo-poo it. What has become increasingly clear to me recently, however, is that it is guilty of massive overreach. I'm now willing to even allow for some excesses in the struggle to get that monkey off our backs. So if I say some things that strike a discordant note with you - that send you scurrying back to reductionism's safe embrace, say - understand that this is where I'm coming from.

    My pride is my enemy, I’m afraid. Which is not very logical because I fully agree with your idea that ‘life is about living’ and enjoying it as much as we can, so if embracing some belief makes life easier for us, why not just go and do it?
     
    I have to own up to something here. In that post, I also said something like life not being about arriving at the precise solution to a mathematical conundrum. Then a few posts later I guess I kind of contradicted myself when I said we find ourselves in the material plane of existence in order to achieve "some great task" - which carries at least the strong implication that maybe our happiness ought to be put on hold in the name of solving a puzzle.

    The way I'd resolve that apparent contradiction is to suggest that devoting ourselves to merely solving the "mathematical conundrum" would be like an engineering firm attempting to cost a project without first having a clear idea of what they intend to construct. Achieving "some great task", on the other hand, begins with the end in mind. It says there's a purpose to this life, part of which is discovering that purpose, but the other part of which is fulfilling it; and that all this lends itself to the goal of good living/happiness.

    There's more I want to say, but I have to run. In the next post I'll try to respond to the issue of religious perspectives that are believable.

    But just quickly,

    I think I’m going to pass on that. Thinking too much about this matter has never done me any good. You never arrive at any firm conclusion but you do get dizzy and disturbed when trying to imagine the afterlife, eternity and such concepts.
     
    Oh yeah, I feel you. Indulge me in one more though. What's your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: "When we die, we don't lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up"?

    Something like "Oh fuck off, go peddle that cheap metaphysics to some hippie starchild; I can see you see flogging astrological good luck charms on ebay a few years from now"?

    Or something closer to "Eh, if consciousness is actually a foundational quality of the universe - rather than merely a byproduct of our neurological setup - as some apparently respectable scientists now maintain, the phrasing may be overly saccharine but it does its part to provoke a reconsideration of our being"?

    Replies: @Mikel

    “It’s just death bro, there are more important things to worry about.”

    LOL.

    I think I understand your second objection but perhaps I didn’t express mine properly. My problem is not that people suddenly see death in front of them and turm to whatever makes the moment more bearable. In fact, I long ago concluded that I won’t reject any last sacrament that I get offered when I’m dying. It would be absurd. It’s like buying an insurance policy: a small payment that you make in exchange for potentially huge benefits. In an ideal scenario, I should have multiple priests of different faiths offering me their last rites, including some Muslim and definitely some Oriental ones. I would accept them all, as you never know. It’s just too difficult to assess all the merits and demerits of the different religions on offer and conclude which one is the best. My problem is with actually believing in something that you found unbeliavable (often ridiculous) when you were in a more sober state of mind. I can’t quite imagine myself doing that.

    As for your first objection, I’m not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    What’s your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: “When we die, we don’t lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up”?

    If you hadn’t offered two options, I would have just gone for something similar to the first one. But having read the second one, I don’t find it totally unreasonable. However, I think that it does require the usual leap of faith. I don’t know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells. Some mysterious, immaterial part of ourselves may survive if these theories are right but I don’t see how anything resembling our current personal beings could continue to exist even under that paradigm.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @Mikel


    As for your first objection, I’m not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?
     
    At the same time it doesn't seem unlikely that without mortality there would be no will to live, no children, families and societies.

    Iirc Cicero has an explanation of the Latin term religio as 'binding together', religion can be seen as the way a society or a community collectively represents and explains its own existence, continuation and what its life is about to itself. Most of the developed religions seem to have this character.

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel


    As for your first objection, I’m not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?
     
    To connect to a a transcendent realm, to percieve beauty, wonder, magic, a moral dimension, in life.

    Imagine living eternally as a scientific reductionist, with life eternally being "nothing but" - no beauty, wonder, magic, moral significance, just mechanical forces clashing together meaninglessly, forever.

    Imagine eternal life as Steve Sailer, where life is "nothing but" the cheapest, sleaziest motives, with never anything ennobling or beautiful.

    Religion isn't only about death - but how to live. Nor is it about social utility, but how we live in our inmost selves, alone.

    I see you still think religion is a set of abstract propositional truths one must assent to - one must believe - rather than direct contact with the transcendent realm, reports of which are at the limits of language.

    It's interesting, because there is literally nothing to "believe" in Zen, one of the biggest religions of Asia.

    I see now that positivism is something we must overcome in order to re-appreciate religion....
    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?
     
    Oh for sure. I actually believed this even as an atheist. People get a lot more from their faith than just reassurances about their death. I think Aaron answered this question well, so I'll just go with what he said.

    I don’t know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells.
     
    I could mention some things that helped me work my way up to it, but I don't want to give you the impression that I think I have all the answers. And then I don't want to sound like I'm hounding you, "why Mikel, you simply must find a way... etc" - which I fear is how I'm coming across anyway. One thing I hated on my three steps forward, two steps back journey towards "something plausible" was when I'd think I'm getting close and then I'd hear or read something I thought was insultingly stupid and it'd make me turn away in disgust - "oh please, as if I could really ever believe that nonsense." An additional problem is that it was often a very fine line between "hmm yeah that's reasonable" and "that's preposterous!"

    Replies: @Mikel

  800. @Mikel
    @silviosilver

    Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I've always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties. Not for pure safety reasons though. My thinking is that if the plates slide asymetrically to one side you're not lifting in good form and risk injury. Am I wrong?

    I don't go to the gym right now anyway. I try to keep my tone with pushups, deadhangs and lots of farm and building work. But if things roll as they should, I'll start going back to the gym early next year. Lifting doesn't give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem. I felt exactly like you in my mid forties, btw. The second part of the 50s are a different matter, I'm afraid. In my personal experience, you do start to notice that you are not as strong or as fast as you once were. But a lot depends on how you exercise. I basically gave up lifting but I actually increased endurance exercise so I must have surely lost some endurance ability since my peak but I don't notice it yet.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @silviosilver

    blockquote>Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I’ve always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties. Not for pure safety reasons though. My thinking is that if the plates slide asymetrically to one side you’re not lifting in good form and risk injury. Am I wrong?

    On the other hand, the collars then don’t give you an idea of form in terms of what side you’re favoring, which is why it’s good to have someone view your lifts when benching.

    I don’t go to the gym right now anyway. I try to keep my tone with pushups, deadhangs and lots of farm and building work. But if things roll as they should, I’ll start going back to the gym early next year. Lifting doesn’t give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem. I felt exactly like you in my mid forties, btw. The second part of the 50s are a different matter, I’m afraid. In my personal experience, you do start to notice that you are not as strong or as fast as you once were. But a lot depends on how you exercise. I basically gave up lifting but I actually increased endurance exercise so I must have surely lost some endurance ability since my peak but I don’t notice it yet.

    Rest and nutrition become more key. It also helps to diversify. I’ve been getting an extra jump with the Jacob’s Ladder done preferably every other day, mixed with a smorgasbord of other activities on a daily basis.

  801. @AP
    @YetAnotherAnon


    “So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets.”

    Maybe your family are “connected” (or maybe they’re in Crimea!).
     
    My paternal relatives in Lviv are, but my maternal relatives from central Ukraine are not. None have been sent to the front. Some are nervously hoping they don’t get called, but none have fled the country either.

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.
     
    It is indeed horrible that Putin chose to start a civil war in Ukraine that led to inevitable civilian casualties. Putin was doing to Ukraine what the West was doing to Syria (sending in soldiers, volunteers, pouring in weapons), with similar tragic results, though Poroshenko was a lot gentler than Assad.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @YetAnotherAnon

    It is indeed horrible that Putin chose to start a civil war in Ukraine that led to inevitable civilian casualties. Putin was doing to Ukraine what the West was doing to Syria (sending in soldiers, volunteers, pouring in weapons), with similar tragic results, though Poroshenko was a lot gentler than Assad.

    Putin didn’t start it. As for your comparison, the armed anti-Assad opposition aren’t more gentle than the pro-Russian forces in the former Ukrainian SSR.

  802. @AP
    @Mikel


    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed
     
    I’ve known people from Poland since the 90s.

    Previously most Poles thought of Ukrainians as indeed being much like Russians - savage, primitive Eastern semi-kin satisfied with life under a brutal despot. Certainly not as alien as Germans are, but nasty nonetheless. Russians and Ukrainians were lumped together as sort of unevolved Poles. Ukrainians were seen as worse than Russians because of the Volhynia massacres. Even though Stalin killed more Poles than did Bandera, Bandera’s crimes were grassroots.

    Attitudes towards Ukrainians did not shift due to this war but much earlier, at the time of the Orange Revolution 20 years ago. Ukrainians showed that they valued democracy, marking them as different from Russians and more like Poles or other Central Europeans. The Orange Revolution reminded Poles of their own struggle ~12 years earlier. More and more Ukrainians came to work in Poland and Poles saw that they were not so bad and had much in common. Poles became more aware of mutual history, good and bad. They acknowledged that prior to Bandera their own government did bad things to Ukrainians.

    At the same time, Russians kept being disappointing. It became clear that they liked Stalin. And they kept doing bad things.

    This war has further accelerated this process. Poles see Ukrainians as fighting “for us.” They not only like that a mutual enemy is being fought, but they see themselves in the Ukrainians. They were in the same position too, once. And they see that Russians (unlike Germans) are the same monsters they always were. Still willing to mass kill for the sake of conquest.

    Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history
     
    The attitude shift has been long-lasting so I doubt it is transitory. It will probably go down when the war ends, but I very much doubt it will revert to dislike.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Sher Singh

    Previously most Poles thought of Ukrainians as indeed being much like Russians – savage, primitive Eastern semi-kin satisfied with life under a brutal despot. Certainly not as alien as Germans are, but nasty nonetheless. Russians and Ukrainians were lumped together as sort of unevolved Poles. Ukrainians were seen as worse than Russians because of the Volhynia massacres. Even though Stalin killed more Poles than did Bandera, Bandera’s crimes were grassroots.

    Stalin wasn’t Russian with Soviet manner having a multi-ethnic component that included many Ukrainians. The manner of OUN/UPA terror arguably more gross than the Soviets. If OUN/UPA had clout on par with the Soviets, their savagery would be clearer to some others. BTW, I’ve run into a good share of Poles over the years who agree with these points.

  803. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    However I sense that you are almost on the verge of believing in the world populated by fairies which simply enchant the world before you as you walk…;)
     
    Say he does believe that, is that the worst thing in the world? I once soured on a girl I was seeing when one day the topic turned to religion/metaphysics and she confided to me that she thought it most likely we were created by extraterrestrials (something like Raelism, I gather - I didn't probe further). My heart sank and my thoughts were something like "fuck me, how'd I chance on this prize specimen female gullibility..." The sad thing is she was otherwise a ton of fun and we gelled really well. I didn't break up with her specifically because of that, but I never looked at her the same way afterwards. That was extremely stupid on my part.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman). Belief in aliens has been ridiculed for a long time much more than a belief in fairies, where in fact it is much more based on facts than belief in fairies, which is supported only by Celtic mythology.
    As for aliens, you have sightings since records started:
    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_reported_UFO_sightings

    2) descriptions of similar gods in many mythologies and religions, which bestows certain unity of perception upon the phenomenon

    3) crop circles counted in thousands
    https://www.cropcirclecenter.com/

    4) recent monoliths phenomenon

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_works_similar_to_the_2020_Utah_monolith

    5) strange phenomenona around the world which cannot be easily explained naturally (geoglyphs visible only from air, tektites etc)

    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens…?

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @Another Polish Perspective


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens…?
     
    Possible that inside the UFOs there are fairies being transported and that the monoliths are erected as part of religious rites concerning the veneration of fairies.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Every culture believed in fairies, not just Celtic culture. That's a weird statement, it's only the Celts. You don't have fairies in Poland?

    Confusing UFOs and fairies is on one level a category error - one are beings from another dimension, the other part of the same mundane reality we are. On another level, they are equivalent - both either exist or don't, and are subject to investigation, however magical, and UFOs clearly to some extent fill the mental space that used to be filled by fairies.

    Why can't both exist? I don't know about UFOs, but it seems quite likely - almost certain - that this vast universe contains other life forms than earthly ones.

    And now I must drive up to the forests for the day and meet the fairies that live in NY myself, or UFOs as well, if I'm lucky, so I will be seeing youse all later..

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    , @songbird
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Annals in Ireland record mermaids in the years 558, 571, 887, and 1118, but, perhaps, they were only sea-based aliens.

    AC Doyle endorsed the Cottingley Fairy Photographs. A lot of the mention of fairies is in folklore, which the tellers (who claimed to be witnesses) swore to be true.

    Belief in fairies was said to be fairly strong in the West of Ireland into the 1800s, the most infamous case being the burning of Bridget Cleary:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Bridget_Cleary

    Surely, the Jinn were a similar concept.

    Seems like fairies were more individualistic in their interactions with people, with very little in the way of what might be termed overarching conspiracies. Unlike aliens.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Emil Nikola Richard

    , @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman).
     
    I think Heavy MarblesSteaks will love this story - he's big on serendipity. I was out last night, and I didn't run into her again, but the next closest thing - her best friend (with whom I was quite close too). My plan had been to go out for "a couple of hours," but somehow it turned into an all-nighter. As I was about to leave, another girl I know stopped me at the door, and as I paused to hug her hello, the friend, who is a boisterous packet of energy, spotted me and gave me an enormous "Oh...My....God...where the fuck have you been?!?" (The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything - just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.) I thought she was going to pester me for explanations and I wasn't in any state to invent excuses on the fly, but apparently she was just happy to see me, and we chatted for a long time and ended up going for breakfast. Looks like I might have a chance to rekindle this old flame.

    FWIW, I also met a couple of Polski dudes too. I can tell Polish when I hear it spoken, so I piped up with "Is that Polski?" Friendly people, and I hanged out with them for a while, and they're half the reason I stayed up so late.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @songbird

  804. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Kind of a weird response to my comment, but whatever.

    I quite enjoyed Fleabag :) It was good British television.

    Anyways, I don't really understand how you're responding to my comment, but I'd agree with you that women and men are different and should be treated different. I'm left-wing, to a certain (significant) extent, but not Woke.

    I can appreciate that Russian sense of reckless bravado that you're describing, but that's quite a different thing than treating individuals as unimportant, and having no sense of responsibility and compassion, and value for human life, among military leaders, or treating lower class people with contempt or indifference.

    The best military commanders are those who fully share the risks and hardships their soldiers face, or even more, set an example by taking on themselves even greater risk, and have a certain sense of equality with their their men.

    I appreciate aspects of Russian culture, but obviously not the harsh despotism or desire for conquest. The poor military performance of Russian troops today certain suggests a moral deficit.

    As for feminism, there are types of feminism that are in fact positive and good - the patriarchy did exist, and women were oppressed and needed to be liberated. That doesn't mean I support the kind of absurd anti-male feminism that runs all too rampant today, or the idea that the genders are identical - rather, I think they are equal in value, and complementary. Society as a whole benefits when the feminine perspective is included, and overly masculine societies become fragile from excessive harshness. I also think that there is a sense in which men need to be liberated from oppressive social roles - and still do. I'm a Taoist, and believe in general in liberation from oppressive social roles.

    Anyways.

    I wouldn't worry too much about the inclusion of women in the military - this kind of thing represents mankind's eternal desire to be free of sublunary restraints, which can only find its ultimate satisfaction in spirituality. But we are a materialistic society that doesn't know where to find what it is really looking for. In an ultimate sense, gender doesn't exist.

    In the meantime, it is just a gesture towards that infinite horizon, not meant quite as seriously as you think.

    Replies: @Sean

    I can appreciate that Russian sense of reckless bravado that you’re describing, but that’s quite a different thing than treating individuals as unimportant, and having no sense of responsibility and compassion, and value for human life, among military leaders, or treating lower class people with contempt or indifference.

    In my view, Putin with his stripped to the waist outdoor pursuits vulgarly performative cult of masculinity PR is deliberately appealing to the lower classes rather than the wealthy or highly educated sectors, and that is why he is classed as a dictatorship by the Western orientated effete elite, and why the ordinary people of Russia overwhelmingly support him

    The poor military performance of Russian troops today certain suggests a moral deficit.

    The Russian army planning was by Gerasimov whose idea were heavily influences by fashionable Western ideas of heavy weapons such as tanks and artillery being obsolete (precisely the opposite of what transpired as the Ukrainian fought back).The Ukrainians had interior lines and three soldiers for every two Russians in the invasion force. Put it another way the Russians invaded with one fifth of the troops they ought to have had. The plan was misconceived and when that is taken into account the performance of Russian troops in executing their orders has been really quite good

    I wouldn’t worry too much about the inclusion of women in the military – this kind of thing represents mankind’s eternal desire to be free of sublunary restraints,

    There are no such constraints as long as there is peace. In war there is what Oakeshott called “enterprise association”, whereby everything is to one end and the individual ceases to matter. Russia is closer to the enterprise association even in peacetime.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Obviously, in war, you have to be willing to have soldiers killed. Too risk averse, and performance suffers. Too spendthrift of lives, and performance also suffers. Excessive indifference to the lives of soldiers, and their individual welfare, is as corrosive as it's opposite.

    Many non-Western armies perform poorly not for a lack of weapons, or even lack of fighting skill or aggression or courage, but because of deficiencies in moral factors . War, after all, is an extremely intense moral effort, where ones entire psychological, spiritual, and moral resources are not just mobilized but stretched to their limit.


    Put it another way the Russians invaded with one fifth of the troops they ought to have had. The plan was misconceived and when that is taken into account the performance of Russian troops in executing their orders has been really quite good
     
    Great hindsight.

    Numerically inferior forces frequently defeat vastly larger forces - with almost tedious frequency. In all of Israel wars, they faced vastly larger armies, with state of the art weapons equal to theirs, or often superior. You might want to read up how a handful of tanks on the Golan Heights stopped a Syrian invasion of literally hundreds of tanks - but examples abound from every country in every part of the world. American Marines in the Pacific frequently defeated Japanese garrisons on islands without the "requisite" 3-1 ratio of troops needed for an invading force.

    The Russians obviously thought the Ukrainians were the ones who were deficient in resolve and the moral factors, and that they were supreme in this respect. It proved not to be the case.

    In my view, Putin with his stripped to the waist outdoor pursuits vulgarly performative cult of masculinity PR is deliberately appealing to the lower classes rather than the wealthy or highly educated sectors, and that is why he is classed as a dictatorship by the Western orientated effete elite, and why the ordinary people of Russia overwhelmingly support him
     
    Well, Russia quite clearly is autocratic, and it's hard to really know what most people think in such situations. Still, I'm quite prepared to believe that Putin has some kind of popularity among segments of the population, and for exactly the reasons you describe.

    There is a psychological mechanism where by you identify with your oppressor and see him as actually "symbolizing" you, whereby you somehow mystically live through him and share in his triumphs, even as he exploits you - this sentiment is widely exploited by nationalist elites. Chinese elites are very good at this, horrifically exploiting their people but convincing them that they mystically participate in the success of "China Inc" on the global stage, when in fact the elites are living lives of luxury and privilege at the expense of the common people, who instead have the lovely "9-9-6" work day.
  805. @AP
    @Mikel


    For whatever it’s worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians” now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed
     
    I’ve known people from Poland since the 90s.

    Previously most Poles thought of Ukrainians as indeed being much like Russians - savage, primitive Eastern semi-kin satisfied with life under a brutal despot. Certainly not as alien as Germans are, but nasty nonetheless. Russians and Ukrainians were lumped together as sort of unevolved Poles. Ukrainians were seen as worse than Russians because of the Volhynia massacres. Even though Stalin killed more Poles than did Bandera, Bandera’s crimes were grassroots.

    Attitudes towards Ukrainians did not shift due to this war but much earlier, at the time of the Orange Revolution 20 years ago. Ukrainians showed that they valued democracy, marking them as different from Russians and more like Poles or other Central Europeans. The Orange Revolution reminded Poles of their own struggle ~12 years earlier. More and more Ukrainians came to work in Poland and Poles saw that they were not so bad and had much in common. Poles became more aware of mutual history, good and bad. They acknowledged that prior to Bandera their own government did bad things to Ukrainians.

    At the same time, Russians kept being disappointing. It became clear that they liked Stalin. And they kept doing bad things.

    This war has further accelerated this process. Poles see Ukrainians as fighting “for us.” They not only like that a mutual enemy is being fought, but they see themselves in the Ukrainians. They were in the same position too, once. And they see that Russians (unlike Germans) are the same monsters they always were. Still willing to mass kill for the sake of conquest.

    Perhaps it’s not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history
     
    The attitude shift has been long-lasting so I doubt it is transitory. It will probably go down when the war ends, but I very much doubt it will revert to dislike.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Sher Singh

  806. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    “It’s just death bro, there are more important things to worry about."
     
    LOL.

    I think I understand your second objection but perhaps I didn't express mine properly. My problem is not that people suddenly see death in front of them and turm to whatever makes the moment more bearable. In fact, I long ago concluded that I won't reject any last sacrament that I get offered when I'm dying. It would be absurd. It's like buying an insurance policy: a small payment that you make in exchange for potentially huge benefits. In an ideal scenario, I should have multiple priests of different faiths offering me their last rites, including some Muslim and definitely some Oriental ones. I would accept them all, as you never know. It's just too difficult to assess all the merits and demerits of the different religions on offer and conclude which one is the best. My problem is with actually believing in something that you found unbeliavable (often ridiculous) when you were in a more sober state of mind. I can't quite imagine myself doing that.

    As for your first objection, I'm not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    What’s your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: “When we die, we don’t lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up”?
     
    If you hadn't offered two options, I would have just gone for something similar to the first one. But having read the second one, I don't find it totally unreasonable. However, I think that it does require the usual leap of faith. I don't know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells. Some mysterious, immaterial part of ourselves may survive if these theories are right but I don't see how anything resembling our current personal beings could continue to exist even under that paradigm.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    As for your first objection, I’m not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    At the same time it doesn’t seem unlikely that without mortality there would be no will to live, no children, families and societies.

    Iirc Cicero has an explanation of the Latin term religio as ‘binding together’, religion can be seen as the way a society or a community collectively represents and explains its own existence, continuation and what its life is about to itself. Most of the developed religions seem to have this character.

  807. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman). Belief in aliens has been ridiculed for a long time much more than a belief in fairies, where in fact it is much more based on facts than belief in fairies, which is supported only by Celtic mythology.
    As for aliens, you have sightings since records started:
    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_reported_UFO_sightings

    2) descriptions of similar gods in many mythologies and religions, which bestows certain unity of perception upon the phenomenon

    3) crop circles counted in thousands
    https://www.cropcirclecenter.com/

    4) recent monoliths phenomenon

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_works_similar_to_the_2020_Utah_monolith

    5) strange phenomenona around the world which cannot be easily explained naturally (geoglyphs visible only from air, tektites etc)


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens...?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird, @silviosilver

    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens…?

    Possible that inside the UFOs there are fairies being transported and that the monoliths are erected as part of religious rites concerning the veneration of fairies.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Coconuts

    Did you see Jorjani has claimed he is Tesla reincarnated and the aliens are time-traveling Nazis from our future with underground mars bases and moon bases?

    There is a youtube of him at a live event in a New York bar and at one point there was either an applause track or a hundred people in there cheering him. If he was inserting an applause track surely he would have made it bigger than that.

    I went back and double checked and Closer Encounters is four years after the CIA project started in December 2017 so I wonder what took him so long to catch on.

  808. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    I wonder if any films about the Russo-Ukrainian War, either already made or made sometime in the future, will be endorsed by elite human capital (EHC). EHC appears to like some war-related movies, especially having to do with the most notable wars such as the American Civil War, WWI, and WWII. The Russo-Ukrainian War is a type of cause celebre for the West, not due to the suffering but rather due to Ukraine's valiant and noble struggle against Imperial Moskali Domination (IMD), like with the Poles who rebelled against the Russians in 1863-1864 (who apparently also got some support among Westerners, albeit in a private capacity in that specific case).

    One could even do a Woke film about the Russo-Ukrainian War. For instance, about a Ukrainian lesbian trans woman who is unable to change her legal sex before the war begins and is thus sent into combat and experiences a type of trial by fire and eventually emerges a war hero while also writing about the sadness and futility of war, especially for aggressor countries.

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin, @Mikhail

    Concerning the contemporary Russia-Kiev regime conflict, there’s a movie airing on one of the US cable TV movie channels about a former pacifist who joins the Kiev regime forces after his wife is killed.

    https://www.imdb.com/title/tt19465630/

    Comes across as a takeoff of Enemy at the Gates. Also reminded of the film on the Russo-Georgian skirmish with Andy Garcia playing Saakashvili. Will Zelensky end up like Saak?

  809. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like “Russian privilege” exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

     

    Glad that the huge sacrifices that Russia made for Serbia in 1914-1917 were not *completely* in vain. "We eventually lost all of the other Slavs and pseudo-Slavs, but at least we got to keep the Serbs on our side (to the extent that can be expected of them as a small people)!"

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.
     
    For me personally to abandon my support of proposition nation-states (though I have no problem with network states coexisting side by side with them), I'll first need to see network states that can rival the big nation-states in terms of their GDP, elite science production, et cetera. I mean the big four: The US, the EU, China, and India. Especially the first three here.

    It’s actually already happening in parts and it’s a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.
     
    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn't mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand, thus making this Russia's brand as a newly minted proposition nation. (I encourage Ukraine to do the same with actively seeking huge numbers of converts for Ukrainian Orthodoxy, though without a huge and long-lasting economic boom, a lot of immigrants simply won't want to move to Ukraine.)

    As a side note, I sympathize with the logic of open borders in the sense that immigration restrictions are a form of national origin discrimination. I just don't want to go so far as to destroy existing nation-states in one way or another. I do want to make existing nation-states proposition nations, though, including Israel.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

     

    Pro-feminist, Yes, but I wonder just how much of their pro-LGBTQ+ attitudes is due to their courts rather than due to their populations as a whole? It would be similar to some court(s) in the US mandating the legalization of child sex dolls (which appears to be what some visionary voices among EHC support); this would likely be a good thing (a harm-free sexual outlet for virtuous minor-attracted persons), but this wouldn't be the result of popular sentiment but rather the result of courts taking a bold stand independently and reasonably, possibly even against popular sentiment. (This is why EHC supports independent judiciaries; they don't want to leave all questions to the mob to decide.)

    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course. Maybe you should eventually write an article sharing your current thoughts on Jesus's alleged resurrection and why exactly EHC is more skeptical of it than the proles are (and whether their skepticism in regards to this is actually justified). As an agnostic Jew, I still think that Jesus's alleged resurrection is the most compelling alleged supernatural event, even though it ultimately fails to convince me to actually believe in it (too much uncertainty and room for doubt based on later human experiences with similar alleged phenomena).

    BTW, off-topic, but you might enjoy this old song about Putin, in Russian:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WIOq1bvD2Ak

    Just be careful not to get arrested for listening to it. Seriously. It is *very* good, though. Harsh, rude, and cynical, just like Russia itself. But also very funny.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @AP

    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course.

    This is a typical kind of argument; that hostility to sodomy was something created by white Western European Christians and colonialism. Last time I heard it being used was in relation to Islam; that Islam was pro-sodomy before European colonialism.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Coconuts

    Well this guy swung both ways and the West definitely didn't approve.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mwanga_II_of_Buganda


    For Mwanga, the ultimate humiliation was the male Catholic pages of his harem resisting his sexual advances. According to tradition, the king was the centre of power and authority, and he could dispense with any life as he wished. It was unheard of for mere pages to reject the wishes of a king. Given those conflicting values, Mwanga was determined to rid his kingdom of the new teaching and its followers. Mwanga therefore precipitated a showdown in May 1886 by ordering converts in his court to choose between their new faith and complete obedience to his orders and kingdom.

    It is believed that at least 30 Catholic and Protestant neophytes went to their deaths. Twenty-two of the men, who had converted to Catholicism, were burned alive at Namugongo in June 1886 and later became known as the Uganda Martyrs. Among those executed were two Christians who held the court position of Master of the Pages, Joseph Mukasa Balikuddembe and Charles Lwanga. They had repeatedly defied the king by rescuing royal pages in their care from sexual exploitation by Mwanga.
     

    Replies: @Coconuts, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts

    Islam was historically homophobic, IIRC, due to the hadith(s?) that condemn homosexuality (or at least male homosexuality). So, Islamic homosexuality has little-or-nothing to do with Europeans.

    Interestingly enough, formerly French-controlled Africa appears to be less homophobic than formerly British-controlled Africa:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d1/World_laws_pertaining_to_homosexual_relationships_and_expression.svg

    Even Chad only criminalized homosexuality within the last decade, long after the French had left:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGBT_rights_in_Chad

    AFAIK, France was historically more homophilic than Britain was.

    Replies: @Coconuts

  810. @AP
    @YetAnotherAnon


    “So far, none of my many male relatives in Ukraine have been snatched off the streets.”

    Maybe your family are “connected” (or maybe they’re in Crimea!).
     
    My paternal relatives in Lviv are, but my maternal relatives from central Ukraine are not. None have been sent to the front. Some are nervously hoping they don’t get called, but none have fled the country either.

    Nine years ago yesterday, July 2014. I recommend not looking at the link. RIP Kristina Zhuk and her 10 month old daughter Kira, killed in a Grad attack on Gorlovka.
     
    It is indeed horrible that Putin chose to start a civil war in Ukraine that led to inevitable civilian casualties. Putin was doing to Ukraine what the West was doing to Syria (sending in soldiers, volunteers, pouring in weapons), with similar tragic results, though Poroshenko was a lot gentler than Assad.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @YetAnotherAnon

    Weren’t the soldiers and weapons from the Ukrainian Army, whose members defected to the Donbass/Luhansk forces when they declared UDI? In fact there was no way they could declare independence without the soldiers behind them.

    The Russian government tried to avoid getting involved for seven long years. What was Minsk 2 about? That mother and child died in Year 1.

    When Russia moved into Crimea, there were a LOT of AFU there and Russia gave them the choice to join them or leave and stay with the AFU.

    IIRC over 30,000 stayed with Russia and around 12,000 went back to rump Ukraine.

    I see you stick to the Rules For Radicals propaganda protocol by which “Putin” is used instead of Russia.

    Ambassador Bill Burns, now CIA director, in the Wikileaks cables, 2008.

    “NATO enlargement, particularly to Ukraine, remains “an emotional and neuralgic issue” for Russia, but strategic policy considerations also underlie strong opposition to NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia. In Ukraine, these include fears that the issue could potentially split the country in two, leading to violence, or, some claim, even civil war, which would force Russia to decide whether to intervene.

    I think the problem is that the US State Department interpreted Brit ambassador Sir Roderic Lyne’s statement “if you want to start a war with Russia, that’s the best way of doing it” as a how-to rather than a warning.

    • Replies: @AP
    @YetAnotherAnon


    Weren’t the soldiers and weapons from the Ukrainian Army, whose members defected to the Donbass/Luhansk forces when they declared UDI? In fact there was no way they could declare independence without the soldiers behind them.
     
    The first PM of the breakaway republic, Alexander Borodai, was a Russian native of Moscow:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Borodai

    One of his two vice-PMs, Vladimir Antyufeyev, was a Russian who had previously set up the breakaway Transnistria Republic on Russia's behalf:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimir_Antyufeyev

    And the first military leader was Girkin, a Russian government employee. About 10% of the troops were from Russia. They were Chechen war vets, and the most effective of the troops. Russia always had military advisors with the rebels in Ukraine and its troops were briefly sent in when the rebels were doing poorly in 2014-2015. You think those Russian paratroopers the Ukrainians captured in 2014 really just happened to get lost and wandered across the border?

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28934213

    "Ten Russian soldiers captured in eastern Ukraine crossed the border "by accident", Russian military sources are quoted as saying."

    So the civil war was set up by the Russians. The Russians had some significant local support, but Russia had the initiative and set up the civil war. Without Russian involvement it would have been limited to some street protests with casualties perhaps in the dozens, maybe even over 100, but not thousands.

    The Russian government tried to avoid getting involved for seven long years.
     
    This is a lie (see above).

    The Russian government tried not to openly invade Ukraine for 7 years. It hoped an invasion would have been unnecessary because Ukraine's economy would collapse or Ukraine would surrender its sovereignty without an invasion. This didn't happen.

    But Russia had very been heavily involved, as involved as the USA in Syria if not more so.

    In 2022, Russian actions in Ukraine changed from "USA in Syria" (because it failed) to "USA in Iraq war" (where it is also failing, though it isn't over yet).

    When Russia moved into Crimea, there were a LOT of AFU there and Russia gave them the choice to join them or leave and stay with the AFU.

    IIRC over 30,000 stayed with Russia and around 12,000 went back to rump Ukraine.
     
    Different situation. Crimea was majority Russian and the troops were local boys (i.e., mostly ethic Russians). But here too Russia was heavily involved. When Putin claimed the little green men weren't Russian he was lying.

    I see you stick to the Rules For Radicals propaganda protocol by which “Putin” is used instead of Russia.
     
    Are you formulating a conspiracy theory of some sort? One involving Alinsky? Wasn't Alinsky tied to Obama, the most pro-Russian US president ever?

    Putin and Russia are interchangeable, because Putin has something like 75% Russian support.
  811. @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course.
     
    This is a typical kind of argument; that hostility to sodomy was something created by white Western European Christians and colonialism. Last time I heard it being used was in relation to Islam; that Islam was pro-sodomy before European colonialism.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ

    Well this guy swung both ways and the West definitely didn’t approve.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mwanga_II_of_Buganda

    For Mwanga, the ultimate humiliation was the male Catholic pages of his harem resisting his sexual advances. According to tradition, the king was the centre of power and authority, and he could dispense with any life as he wished. It was unheard of for mere pages to reject the wishes of a king. Given those conflicting values, Mwanga was determined to rid his kingdom of the new teaching and its followers. Mwanga therefore precipitated a showdown in May 1886 by ordering converts in his court to choose between their new faith and complete obedience to his orders and kingdom.

    It is believed that at least 30 Catholic and Protestant neophytes went to their deaths. Twenty-two of the men, who had converted to Catholicism, were burned alive at Namugongo in June 1886 and later became known as the Uganda Martyrs. Among those executed were two Christians who held the court position of Master of the Pages, Joseph Mukasa Balikuddembe and Charles Lwanga. They had repeatedly defied the king by rescuing royal pages in their care from sexual exploitation by Mwanga.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Interesting, the African source on the wiki page suggests that the only evidence that Mwanga did that stuff came from Christian opponents and British missionaries.

    Maybe the missionaries did create these stories to discredit him. And other later Westerners (usually seem to be the ones making the sort of arguments I was talking about) now use them to discredit Christian missionaries and Africans.

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @YetAnotherAnon

    If the stories about him are true, then he was not merely a homosexual/bisexual, but also a rapist, which makes a huge amount of difference.

  812. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    “It’s just death bro, there are more important things to worry about."
     
    LOL.

    I think I understand your second objection but perhaps I didn't express mine properly. My problem is not that people suddenly see death in front of them and turm to whatever makes the moment more bearable. In fact, I long ago concluded that I won't reject any last sacrament that I get offered when I'm dying. It would be absurd. It's like buying an insurance policy: a small payment that you make in exchange for potentially huge benefits. In an ideal scenario, I should have multiple priests of different faiths offering me their last rites, including some Muslim and definitely some Oriental ones. I would accept them all, as you never know. It's just too difficult to assess all the merits and demerits of the different religions on offer and conclude which one is the best. My problem is with actually believing in something that you found unbeliavable (often ridiculous) when you were in a more sober state of mind. I can't quite imagine myself doing that.

    As for your first objection, I'm not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    What’s your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: “When we die, we don’t lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up”?
     
    If you hadn't offered two options, I would have just gone for something similar to the first one. But having read the second one, I don't find it totally unreasonable. However, I think that it does require the usual leap of faith. I don't know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells. Some mysterious, immaterial part of ourselves may survive if these theories are right but I don't see how anything resembling our current personal beings could continue to exist even under that paradigm.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    As for your first objection, I’m not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    To connect to a a transcendent realm, to percieve beauty, wonder, magic, a moral dimension, in life.

    Imagine living eternally as a scientific reductionist, with life eternally being “nothing but” – no beauty, wonder, magic, moral significance, just mechanical forces clashing together meaninglessly, forever.

    Imagine eternal life as Steve Sailer, where life is “nothing but” the cheapest, sleaziest motives, with never anything ennobling or beautiful.

    Religion isn’t only about death – but how to live. Nor is it about social utility, but how we live in our inmost selves, alone.

    I see you still think religion is a set of abstract propositional truths one must assent to – one must believe – rather than direct contact with the transcendent realm, reports of which are at the limits of language.

    It’s interesting, because there is literally nothing to “believe” in Zen, one of the biggest religions of Asia.

    I see now that positivism is something we must overcome in order to re-appreciate religion….

  813. @Mikel
    @silviosilver

    Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I've always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties. Not for pure safety reasons though. My thinking is that if the plates slide asymetrically to one side you're not lifting in good form and risk injury. Am I wrong?

    I don't go to the gym right now anyway. I try to keep my tone with pushups, deadhangs and lots of farm and building work. But if things roll as they should, I'll start going back to the gym early next year. Lifting doesn't give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem. I felt exactly like you in my mid forties, btw. The second part of the 50s are a different matter, I'm afraid. In my personal experience, you do start to notice that you are not as strong or as fast as you once were. But a lot depends on how you exercise. I basically gave up lifting but I actually increased endurance exercise so I must have surely lost some endurance ability since my peak but I don't notice it yet.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @silviosilver

    Well, I hope not to totally lose your respect but I’ve always used barbell collars in the gym for every exercise myself, even when I was in my twenties.

    Oh you wuss! Pfft, Basques…

    Just kidding. There are plenty of lifts it makes perfectly good sense to use collars for. For a very short while I used them on squats, but laziness and (over?)confidence made me quickly give that up. But for deadlifts, come on, anything that would seriously cause you to tilt the bar such that a plate would slide off would almost certainly cause you to drop the bar itself, and there’s probably no safer free weight movement to fail on in all of lifting than deadlifts.

    Also, if you’re using Olympic bars and plates, they are a generally a snug fit that rarely slides. And these days the sleaves of the bar have slight ridges, so if the bar tilts, the plate gets angled into ridges and is prevented from sliding (or at least massively slowed down – no way is it flying off). This means you wouldn’t really notice the effect that Mikhail mentioned, where you’re favoring one side of your body over the other, causing the plates to move, because the equipment I’m used to, that wouldn’t happen.

    Lifting doesn’t give me any pleasure these days but getting a little bulky and vascular is always nice. It helps with self esteem.

    I got into 100% for aesthetic reasons. Never really cared all that much about strength. Of course, I have gotten a lot stronger, but that wasn’t my focus, and if weights didn’t alter my appearance, I wouldn’t have bothered. These days I do care a little about the strength – it’s fun watching the numbers go up, and it would be quite exciting to hit my best numbers again at this age (no guarantees, but it seems within reach). The importance of the health aspect has skyrocketed, from essentially 0% to maybe around 50% today. If I keep it up into my 50’s and beyond, I’m sure health will be the main reason. (I think the health benefits are oversold a bit, actually, but I’d do it even for the placebo effect, in a “I’m doing something, therefore I am helping my health” kind of sense.)

  814. @Wokechoke
    @Sean

    Who is going to do the advancing though?


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine#/media/File:Ukraine_population_pyramid_in_2023.svg

    Replies: @Sean

    Ukraine has the men, but not the know how. Western militarielong ago abandoned the concept of a front line for on of a zonal battlefield of deop maneuver without distinct points of contact, and breaching was glossed over when the Ukrainians were given Western training. The mistake made by Russia in the initial invasion and Ukraine currently is failure to employ the maximum number of troops for mass effect

  815. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman). Belief in aliens has been ridiculed for a long time much more than a belief in fairies, where in fact it is much more based on facts than belief in fairies, which is supported only by Celtic mythology.
    As for aliens, you have sightings since records started:
    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_reported_UFO_sightings

    2) descriptions of similar gods in many mythologies and religions, which bestows certain unity of perception upon the phenomenon

    3) crop circles counted in thousands
    https://www.cropcirclecenter.com/

    4) recent monoliths phenomenon

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_works_similar_to_the_2020_Utah_monolith

    5) strange phenomenona around the world which cannot be easily explained naturally (geoglyphs visible only from air, tektites etc)


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens...?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird, @silviosilver

    Every culture believed in fairies, not just Celtic culture. That’s a weird statement, it’s only the Celts. You don’t have fairies in Poland?

    Confusing UFOs and fairies is on one level a category error – one are beings from another dimension, the other part of the same mundane reality we are. On another level, they are equivalent – both either exist or don’t, and are subject to investigation, however magical, and UFOs clearly to some extent fill the mental space that used to be filled by fairies.

    Why can’t both exist? I don’t know about UFOs, but it seems quite likely – almost certain – that this vast universe contains other life forms than earthly ones.

    And now I must drive up to the forests for the day and meet the fairies that live in NY myself, or UFOs as well, if I’m lucky, so I will be seeing youse all later..

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    You don’t have fairies in Poland?
     
    No, not really. Just "imported" ones. Poland is a land poor in goods - we almost have no native pagan layer, as, for example the Irish with their giants, Japan "the land of 8 thousands gods" (or something like that) or even Finns with their Kalevala.

    Why can’t both exist?
     

    Because of Ockham razor. Remember: you must not multiply beings/entities! At the moment, UFOs are not reducible to anything else, whereas fairies can be easily reducible to, for example, emanation of UFOs, whether technical or not.

    As I understand them, fairies should exist in our world too - this is why they can interact with this world.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  816. Camden wrote that the Borderers speared Salmon in the Solway from their saddle.

  817. A123 says: • Website
    @Mikel
    @A123


    Liability lawsuits are the real problem.
     
    No. They are a part of the equation but the real problem is a different one and I can see it everyday.

    Just to carry on with Home Depot stories, I was just astonished not long ago with another HD employee, even younger, working at the rental department. I rented a so called material lift, a device with a pulley that you use to raise stuff up to a height of 12'. I could have easily put in in my van on my own, as I have done several times before, but one of the parts is a bit heavy so I made the mistake of asking him to help me and he volunteered to take care of the heavy part. It was hard to watch, very sad. He went to the store to bring an electric dolly with security straps and put them all ceremoniously, one by one, around the ~70 lbs part, just to transport it a few yards to my van! There was no way that thing could have ever fallen over from the dolly without the straps unless you are a total moron. And it would have been a minor inconvenience anyway. This thick built teenager in the prime years of his life wasn't really helping a customer load an item. He was rather wasting a busy customer's time by mindlessly following ridiculous instructions he has been brainwashed to believe are the only safe way of transporting and loading items.

    Had my much smaller wife been there, we would have loaded the van in a few seconds without even giving it any thought. She has been married to a mountain goat for over 2o years, OK, but she's also just a different generation and even before meeting me she was more physically capable than many modern teenage males.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @A123

    Perhaps it is a North/South thing? Or a union restriction? In the rural South, two guys on a 80 lb item = Pick it up and shove it in the back of the truck. Or, the HD guy goes “stand back” and does it himself.

    I will meet you half way. “Blue Cities” are indeed producing a butthurt generation. And, the submission to experimental vaccination shows that even “Red” areas are contaminated by Sheeple.

    PEACE 😇

  818. A123 says: • Website

    It keeps getting worse for the White House occupant: (1)

    Director Oliver Stone said he regrets voting for Joe Biden in the 2020 election, warning that the president is dragging the country into a potential World War III with Russia.

    “I voted for him — I made a mistake!” Stone said in a new interview with actor Russell Brand.

    Stone expressed his voter’s remorse by slamming the Biden administration’s handling of the war in Ukraine.

    “This is a potential World War III,” the two-time Oscar-winning director said. “This is the same situation as World War I, in a sense. The stupidity of it — because of the alliances and the fears and the built-up phobias

    Even Hollywood Leftoids are abandoning the sinking ship.

    I hope the DNC puts forth Biden-Harris 2024 as their ticket. It will move Trump well beyond the margin where the Democrats can hope to steal the Presidency again. And, it will benefit MAGA in the down ballot races.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2023/07/28/filmmaker-oliver-stone-regrets-voting-for-joe-biden-i-made-a-mistake/

    • Replies: @AP
    @A123


    Director Oliver Stone said he regrets voting for Joe Biden in the 2020 election, warning that the president is dragging the country into a potential World War III with Russia.

    “I voted for him — I made a mistake!” Stone said in a new interview with actor Russell Brand.
     
    Of course hem a Russian tool, voted for Biden in 2020. Obama had been the most pro-Russian president ever, and Biden had been his VP. It's one reason why I voted for Trump in 2020.
  819. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Every culture believed in fairies, not just Celtic culture. That's a weird statement, it's only the Celts. You don't have fairies in Poland?

    Confusing UFOs and fairies is on one level a category error - one are beings from another dimension, the other part of the same mundane reality we are. On another level, they are equivalent - both either exist or don't, and are subject to investigation, however magical, and UFOs clearly to some extent fill the mental space that used to be filled by fairies.

    Why can't both exist? I don't know about UFOs, but it seems quite likely - almost certain - that this vast universe contains other life forms than earthly ones.

    And now I must drive up to the forests for the day and meet the fairies that live in NY myself, or UFOs as well, if I'm lucky, so I will be seeing youse all later..

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    You don’t have fairies in Poland?

    No, not really. Just “imported” ones. Poland is a land poor in goods – we almost have no native pagan layer, as, for example the Irish with their giants, Japan “the land of 8 thousands gods” (or something like that) or even Finns with their Kalevala.

    Why can’t both exist?

    Because of Ockham razor. Remember: you must not multiply beings/entities! At the moment, UFOs are not reducible to anything else, whereas fairies can be easily reducible to, for example, emanation of UFOs, whether technical or not.

    As I understand them, fairies should exist in our world too – this is why they can interact with this world.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I'm driving right now to the forests of upstate New York, and I will be attending fairy councils, and I will inform that Occam's razor said they don't exist...

    You poor Poles. I'm sure you have a very rich pagan substrate that you just have to reconnect to.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  820. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    You don’t have fairies in Poland?
     
    No, not really. Just "imported" ones. Poland is a land poor in goods - we almost have no native pagan layer, as, for example the Irish with their giants, Japan "the land of 8 thousands gods" (or something like that) or even Finns with their Kalevala.

    Why can’t both exist?
     

    Because of Ockham razor. Remember: you must not multiply beings/entities! At the moment, UFOs are not reducible to anything else, whereas fairies can be easily reducible to, for example, emanation of UFOs, whether technical or not.

    As I understand them, fairies should exist in our world too - this is why they can interact with this world.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I’m driving right now to the forests of upstate New York, and I will be attending fairy councils, and I will inform that Occam’s razor said they don’t exist…

    You poor Poles. I’m sure you have a very rich pagan substrate that you just have to reconnect to.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, the Polish language does not even have a separate word for "fairy": she is usually translated as "wróżka", but wróżka originally meant (and still means) a fortune-teller, as it comes from the verb "wróżyć" which means "to augur what will happen in future".
    It is just that due to films [imported] fairies are now much more popular in Poland than fortune-tellers, who at least inhabited the real world.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  821. @Coconuts
    @Another Polish Perspective


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens…?
     
    Possible that inside the UFOs there are fairies being transported and that the monoliths are erected as part of religious rites concerning the veneration of fairies.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Did you see Jorjani has claimed he is Tesla reincarnated and the aliens are time-traveling Nazis from our future with underground mars bases and moon bases?

    There is a youtube of him at a live event in a New York bar and at one point there was either an applause track or a hundred people in there cheering him. If he was inserting an applause track surely he would have made it bigger than that.

    I went back and double checked and Closer Encounters is four years after the CIA project started in December 2017 so I wonder what took him so long to catch on.

  822. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I'm driving right now to the forests of upstate New York, and I will be attending fairy councils, and I will inform that Occam's razor said they don't exist...

    You poor Poles. I'm sure you have a very rich pagan substrate that you just have to reconnect to.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    Well, the Polish language does not even have a separate word for “fairy”: she is usually translated as “wróżka”, but wróżka originally meant (and still means) a fortune-teller, as it comes from the verb “wróżyć” which means “to augur what will happen in future”.
    It is just that due to films [imported] fairies are now much more popular in Poland than fortune-tellers, who at least inhabited the real world.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Fairies were believed in all across medieval Europe - by fairies, I mean all those magical creatures, like dwarves, elves, trolls. Scandinavian lore on this is very rich, not just the Celtic.

    Interestingly, most early major Christian thinkers believed in some types of magical creatures, and Christ was said to have restored the correct order to these spiritual entities - not banished them or destroyed them.

    The ancient Greeks of course, had their nymphs, dryads, and fauns. Native Americans also had a rich lore of magical creatures dwelling in nature, about which I want to read more.

    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.

    In all cultures, these are understood as some sort of nature spirits, spiritual beings who have a particular relationship to the woods, dells, streams, hills, and mountains, in which they live, and that if we want to see, we too must have such a relationship in some form.

    This is very different than UFOs, which are just mechanical devices built by mortal beings much like ourselves, without any suggestion of spiritual dimensions or magic.

    In a scientific age, it's entirely possible that what people describe as UFOs are actually similar phenomena to fairies, just people use the imaginative repertoire and language of a scientistic age.

    I myself have seen cave trolls on my recent trip to Idaho, in the high snowy passes, and what I think may have been one rock giant. And I'm nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands - it was a night of horror.

    Occam's razor, by the way, isn't some kind of ironclad law - it's a heuristic, only applicable in limited situations, generally when you're not really trying to understand a situation in its totality but just come up with the minimum number of formulas needed to control. When you're trying to control, you want to keep things as simple as possible that gets the job done, obviously. And anyways it doesn't apply here, as UFOs and fairies differ on significant fronts.

    I hate how people trot out Occam's Razor as if it's some kind of higher law - there was an epidemic of this a decade ago, when people were just Occam Razoring any interesting conversation.

    Replies: @AP, @songbird, @Another Polish Perspective

  823. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman). Belief in aliens has been ridiculed for a long time much more than a belief in fairies, where in fact it is much more based on facts than belief in fairies, which is supported only by Celtic mythology.
    As for aliens, you have sightings since records started:
    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_reported_UFO_sightings

    2) descriptions of similar gods in many mythologies and religions, which bestows certain unity of perception upon the phenomenon

    3) crop circles counted in thousands
    https://www.cropcirclecenter.com/

    4) recent monoliths phenomenon

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_works_similar_to_the_2020_Utah_monolith

    5) strange phenomenona around the world which cannot be easily explained naturally (geoglyphs visible only from air, tektites etc)


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens...?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird, @silviosilver

    Annals in Ireland record mermaids in the years 558, 571, 887, and 1118, but, perhaps, they were only sea-based aliens.

    AC Doyle endorsed the Cottingley Fairy Photographs. A lot of the mention of fairies is in folklore, which the tellers (who claimed to be witnesses) swore to be true.

    Belief in fairies was said to be fairly strong in the West of Ireland into the 1800s, the most infamous case being the burning of Bridget Cleary:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Bridget_Cleary

    Surely, the Jinn were a similar concept.

    Seems like fairies were more individualistic in their interactions with people, with very little in the way of what might be termed overarching conspiracies. Unlike aliens.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @songbird

    People in Iceland have the highest rate of belief in fairies today - over 50%!

    The lore surrounding fairies says that, like so many of the good things in life, you need the "sight" to see them. But what don't you need the sight to see!

    And to gain the sight, you have to have dwelled in a particular location for generations, and to have eaten food from that place your whole life - only then, having become part of the soil, can you see the nature spirits that dwell there.

    Maybe that's why, in most of the modern world, no one sees fairies anymore, but they still do in Iceland.

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    There are a minimum of a dozen aliens fairies parallels in Jacques Vallee Passport to Magonia.

    The loss of Jacques Vallee's contributions is the biggest loss of the current deep state production. Now see if I was a conspiracy writer I would speculate they killed his wife who was keeping one of his feet in Reality.

  824. AP says:
    @A123
    It keeps getting worse for the White House occupant: (1)

    Director Oliver Stone said he regrets voting for Joe Biden in the 2020 election, warning that the president is dragging the country into a potential World War III with Russia.

    “I voted for him — I made a mistake!” Stone said in a new interview with actor Russell Brand.

    Stone expressed his voter’s remorse by slamming the Biden administration’s handling of the war in Ukraine.

    “This is a potential World War III,” the two-time Oscar-winning director said. “This is the same situation as World War I, in a sense. The stupidity of it — because of the alliances and the fears and the built-up phobias
     
    Even Hollywood Leftoids are abandoning the sinking ship.

    I hope the DNC puts forth Biden-Harris 2024 as their ticket. It will move Trump well beyond the margin where the Democrats can hope to steal the Presidency again. And, it will benefit MAGA in the down ballot races.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2023/07/28/filmmaker-oliver-stone-regrets-voting-for-joe-biden-i-made-a-mistake/

    Replies: @AP

    Director Oliver Stone said he regrets voting for Joe Biden in the 2020 election, warning that the president is dragging the country into a potential World War III with Russia.

    “I voted for him — I made a mistake!” Stone said in a new interview with actor Russell Brand.

    Of course hem a Russian tool, voted for Biden in 2020. Obama had been the most pro-Russian president ever, and Biden had been his VP. It’s one reason why I voted for Trump in 2020.

  825. AP says:
    @YetAnotherAnon
    @AP

    Weren't the soldiers and weapons from the Ukrainian Army, whose members defected to the Donbass/Luhansk forces when they declared UDI? In fact there was no way they could declare independence without the soldiers behind them.

    The Russian government tried to avoid getting involved for seven long years. What was Minsk 2 about? That mother and child died in Year 1.

    When Russia moved into Crimea, there were a LOT of AFU there and Russia gave them the choice to join them or leave and stay with the AFU.

    IIRC over 30,000 stayed with Russia and around 12,000 went back to rump Ukraine.

    I see you stick to the Rules For Radicals propaganda protocol by which "Putin" is used instead of Russia.

    Ambassador Bill Burns, now CIA director, in the Wikileaks cables, 2008.


    “NATO enlargement, particularly to Ukraine, remains “an emotional and neuralgic issue” for Russia, but strategic policy considerations also underlie strong opposition to NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia. In Ukraine, these include fears that the issue could potentially split the country in two, leading to violence, or, some claim, even civil war, which would force Russia to decide whether to intervene.
     
    I think the problem is that the US State Department interpreted Brit ambassador Sir Roderic Lyne’s statement “if you want to start a war with Russia, that’s the best way of doing it” as a how-to rather than a warning.

    Replies: @AP

    Weren’t the soldiers and weapons from the Ukrainian Army, whose members defected to the Donbass/Luhansk forces when they declared UDI? In fact there was no way they could declare independence without the soldiers behind them.

    The first PM of the breakaway republic, Alexander Borodai, was a Russian native of Moscow:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Borodai

    One of his two vice-PMs, Vladimir Antyufeyev, was a Russian who had previously set up the breakaway Transnistria Republic on Russia’s behalf:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimir_Antyufeyev

    And the first military leader was Girkin, a Russian government employee. About 10% of the troops were from Russia. They were Chechen war vets, and the most effective of the troops. Russia always had military advisors with the rebels in Ukraine and its troops were briefly sent in when the rebels were doing poorly in 2014-2015. You think those Russian paratroopers the Ukrainians captured in 2014 really just happened to get lost and wandered across the border?

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28934213

    “Ten Russian soldiers captured in eastern Ukraine crossed the border “by accident”, Russian military sources are quoted as saying.”

    So the civil war was set up by the Russians. The Russians had some significant local support, but Russia had the initiative and set up the civil war. Without Russian involvement it would have been limited to some street protests with casualties perhaps in the dozens, maybe even over 100, but not thousands.

    The Russian government tried to avoid getting involved for seven long years.

    This is a lie (see above).

    The Russian government tried not to openly invade Ukraine for 7 years. It hoped an invasion would have been unnecessary because Ukraine’s economy would collapse or Ukraine would surrender its sovereignty without an invasion. This didn’t happen.

    But Russia had very been heavily involved, as involved as the USA in Syria if not more so.

    In 2022, Russian actions in Ukraine changed from “USA in Syria” (because it failed) to “USA in Iraq war” (where it is also failing, though it isn’t over yet).

    When Russia moved into Crimea, there were a LOT of AFU there and Russia gave them the choice to join them or leave and stay with the AFU.

    IIRC over 30,000 stayed with Russia and around 12,000 went back to rump Ukraine.

    Different situation. Crimea was majority Russian and the troops were local boys (i.e., mostly ethic Russians). But here too Russia was heavily involved. When Putin claimed the little green men weren’t Russian he was lying.

    I see you stick to the Rules For Radicals propaganda protocol by which “Putin” is used instead of Russia.

    Are you formulating a conspiracy theory of some sort? One involving Alinsky? Wasn’t Alinsky tied to Obama, the most pro-Russian US president ever?

    Putin and Russia are interchangeable, because Putin has something like 75% Russian support.

  826. AP says:
    @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like “Russian privilege” exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

     

    Glad that the huge sacrifices that Russia made for Serbia in 1914-1917 were not *completely* in vain. "We eventually lost all of the other Slavs and pseudo-Slavs, but at least we got to keep the Serbs on our side (to the extent that can be expected of them as a small people)!"

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.
     
    For me personally to abandon my support of proposition nation-states (though I have no problem with network states coexisting side by side with them), I'll first need to see network states that can rival the big nation-states in terms of their GDP, elite science production, et cetera. I mean the big four: The US, the EU, China, and India. Especially the first three here.

    It’s actually already happening in parts and it’s a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.
     
    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn't mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand, thus making this Russia's brand as a newly minted proposition nation. (I encourage Ukraine to do the same with actively seeking huge numbers of converts for Ukrainian Orthodoxy, though without a huge and long-lasting economic boom, a lot of immigrants simply won't want to move to Ukraine.)

    As a side note, I sympathize with the logic of open borders in the sense that immigration restrictions are a form of national origin discrimination. I just don't want to go so far as to destroy existing nation-states in one way or another. I do want to make existing nation-states proposition nations, though, including Israel.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

     

    Pro-feminist, Yes, but I wonder just how much of their pro-LGBTQ+ attitudes is due to their courts rather than due to their populations as a whole? It would be similar to some court(s) in the US mandating the legalization of child sex dolls (which appears to be what some visionary voices among EHC support); this would likely be a good thing (a harm-free sexual outlet for virtuous minor-attracted persons), but this wouldn't be the result of popular sentiment but rather the result of courts taking a bold stand independently and reasonably, possibly even against popular sentiment. (This is why EHC supports independent judiciaries; they don't want to leave all questions to the mob to decide.)

    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course. Maybe you should eventually write an article sharing your current thoughts on Jesus's alleged resurrection and why exactly EHC is more skeptical of it than the proles are (and whether their skepticism in regards to this is actually justified). As an agnostic Jew, I still think that Jesus's alleged resurrection is the most compelling alleged supernatural event, even though it ultimately fails to convince me to actually believe in it (too much uncertainty and room for doubt based on later human experiences with similar alleged phenomena).

    BTW, off-topic, but you might enjoy this old song about Putin, in Russian:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WIOq1bvD2Ak

    Just be careful not to get arrested for listening to it. Seriously. It is *very* good, though. Harsh, rude, and cynical, just like Russia itself. But also very funny.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @AP

    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn’t mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand

    Well, Putin has opened the border to a couple of African countries recently, removing visa restrictions. Of course it would be hard for their people to get all the way to Russia, so the practical effect on immigration is close to zero.

    It would be funny if Russia opened its doors to all central Asia and Africa on the conditions that the immigrants convert to Russian Orthodoxy and learn the Russian language.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Of course it would be hard for their people to get all the way to Russia, so the practical effect on immigration is close to zero.
     
    They can buy plane tickets to Russia if they can afford them, no? Though then they would actually need to find jobs in Russia if they are to avoid starving since I don't know if Russia's welfare state would actually cover people who are not Russian citizens or permanent residents.

    It would be funny if Russia opened its doors to all central Asia and Africa on the conditions that the immigrants convert to Russian Orthodoxy and learn the Russian language.
     
    Converting Muslims to Christianity I suspect would be rather difficult. It hasn't exactly worked out historically when tried, other than in Adjara, where Georgian nationalism made it considerably easier (Georgian national identity was strongly associated with Christianity, increasing the pressure on Adjarans to convert back to their ancestors' Christian faith after Georgia regained its independence in 1991). But converting non-Muslims to Christianity should be considerably easier. Native Americans, Filipinos, and Sub-Saharan Africans were historically converted to Christianity en masse. Even a lot of Koreans have converted to Christianity in recent decades. This would simply be a case of people converting to a different kind of Christianity.

    So long as these conversions to Russian Orthodoxy are indeed sincere, this would seem like a great deal for Russia if it doesn't mind becoming Third Worldified. I suppose that a willingness to convert to Russian Orthodoxy would involve some selection for assimilation, even if these immigrants will still be duller on average than Russians themselves are. Interestingly enough, here in the US, some alt-righters are converting to Russian Orthodoxy:

    https://www.npr.org/2022/05/10/1096741988/orthodox-christian-churches-are-drawing-in-far-right-american-converts

    https://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/responses/american-conversions-to-russian-orthodoxy-amid-the-global-culture-wars

    Apparently longtime Russian Orthodox Christian believers in the US dislike the influx of racists into their ranks, especially if in the long-run there will be so many of them that they will begin to acquire leadership positions in the US Russian Orthodox Church.

    As I told you on Twitter, I also think that it would be a good idea for Ukraine to encourage conversions to Ukrainian Orthodoxy worldwide, including in the Third World. From a Ukrainian nationalist perspective, the positive effect of this would be a larger Ukrainian religious diaspora (albeit not in an ethnic sense) while relatively few of them would probably actually be willing to move to Ukraine so long as Ukraine itself remains relatively poor.

    BTW, this is off-topic, but it seems like the most successful Christian group from a current evolutionary perspective is the Mormons since their fertility is actually eugenic:

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2022/06/new-study-out-will-intelligent-latter-day-saints-and-smart-conservatives-inherit-the-earth/

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/dysgenics-mormons-2048x1331.png

    Conservative fertility is significantly less dysgenic than liberal and even moderate fertility, but it's not eugenic like Mormon fertility is:

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/dysgenics-politics-2048x1331.jpeg

    Do you think that God is responsible for the eugenic Mormon fertility, in spite of the implausibility of their religious narrative (Jesus ending up in North America)?

    Replies: @Dmitry

  827. Iron, which was supposed to be a bane to fairies, seems to be the major underpinning of UFO-ology.

    It was the Big Ear radio telescope which discovered the “Wow signal.” And a big observatory in Hawaii which discovered Oumuamua.

    Despite Avi Loeb’s enthusiasm, in time, it is likely they they will be explained away by scientism as natural phenomenon, just as fairy circles of old.

  828. @songbird
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Annals in Ireland record mermaids in the years 558, 571, 887, and 1118, but, perhaps, they were only sea-based aliens.

    AC Doyle endorsed the Cottingley Fairy Photographs. A lot of the mention of fairies is in folklore, which the tellers (who claimed to be witnesses) swore to be true.

    Belief in fairies was said to be fairly strong in the West of Ireland into the 1800s, the most infamous case being the burning of Bridget Cleary:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Bridget_Cleary

    Surely, the Jinn were a similar concept.

    Seems like fairies were more individualistic in their interactions with people, with very little in the way of what might be termed overarching conspiracies. Unlike aliens.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Emil Nikola Richard

    People in Iceland have the highest rate of belief in fairies today – over 50%!

    The lore surrounding fairies says that, like so many of the good things in life, you need the “sight” to see them. But what don’t you need the sight to see!

    And to gain the sight, you have to have dwelled in a particular location for generations, and to have eaten food from that place your whole life – only then, having become part of the soil, can you see the nature spirits that dwell there.

    Maybe that’s why, in most of the modern world, no one sees fairies anymore, but they still do in Iceland.

    • Thanks: songbird
  829. @songbird
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Annals in Ireland record mermaids in the years 558, 571, 887, and 1118, but, perhaps, they were only sea-based aliens.

    AC Doyle endorsed the Cottingley Fairy Photographs. A lot of the mention of fairies is in folklore, which the tellers (who claimed to be witnesses) swore to be true.

    Belief in fairies was said to be fairly strong in the West of Ireland into the 1800s, the most infamous case being the burning of Bridget Cleary:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Bridget_Cleary

    Surely, the Jinn were a similar concept.

    Seems like fairies were more individualistic in their interactions with people, with very little in the way of what might be termed overarching conspiracies. Unlike aliens.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Emil Nikola Richard

    There are a minimum of a dozen aliens fairies parallels in Jacques Vallee Passport to Magonia.

    The loss of Jacques Vallee’s contributions is the biggest loss of the current deep state production. Now see if I was a conspiracy writer I would speculate they killed his wife who was keeping one of his feet in Reality.

    • Thanks: songbird
  830. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Coconuts

    Well this guy swung both ways and the West definitely didn't approve.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mwanga_II_of_Buganda


    For Mwanga, the ultimate humiliation was the male Catholic pages of his harem resisting his sexual advances. According to tradition, the king was the centre of power and authority, and he could dispense with any life as he wished. It was unheard of for mere pages to reject the wishes of a king. Given those conflicting values, Mwanga was determined to rid his kingdom of the new teaching and its followers. Mwanga therefore precipitated a showdown in May 1886 by ordering converts in his court to choose between their new faith and complete obedience to his orders and kingdom.

    It is believed that at least 30 Catholic and Protestant neophytes went to their deaths. Twenty-two of the men, who had converted to Catholicism, were burned alive at Namugongo in June 1886 and later became known as the Uganda Martyrs. Among those executed were two Christians who held the court position of Master of the Pages, Joseph Mukasa Balikuddembe and Charles Lwanga. They had repeatedly defied the king by rescuing royal pages in their care from sexual exploitation by Mwanga.
     

    Replies: @Coconuts, @Mr. XYZ

    Interesting, the African source on the wiki page suggests that the only evidence that Mwanga did that stuff came from Christian opponents and British missionaries.

    Maybe the missionaries did create these stories to discredit him. And other later Westerners (usually seem to be the ones making the sort of arguments I was talking about) now use them to discredit Christian missionaries and Africans.

  831. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, the Polish language does not even have a separate word for "fairy": she is usually translated as "wróżka", but wróżka originally meant (and still means) a fortune-teller, as it comes from the verb "wróżyć" which means "to augur what will happen in future".
    It is just that due to films [imported] fairies are now much more popular in Poland than fortune-tellers, who at least inhabited the real world.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Fairies were believed in all across medieval Europe – by fairies, I mean all those magical creatures, like dwarves, elves, trolls. Scandinavian lore on this is very rich, not just the Celtic.

    Interestingly, most early major Christian thinkers believed in some types of magical creatures, and Christ was said to have restored the correct order to these spiritual entities – not banished them or destroyed them.

    The ancient Greeks of course, had their nymphs, dryads, and fauns. Native Americans also had a rich lore of magical creatures dwelling in nature, about which I want to read more.

    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.

    In all cultures, these are understood as some sort of nature spirits, spiritual beings who have a particular relationship to the woods, dells, streams, hills, and mountains, in which they live, and that if we want to see, we too must have such a relationship in some form.

    This is very different than UFOs, which are just mechanical devices built by mortal beings much like ourselves, without any suggestion of spiritual dimensions or magic.

    In a scientific age, it’s entirely possible that what people describe as UFOs are actually similar phenomena to fairies, just people use the imaginative repertoire and language of a scientistic age.

    I myself have seen cave trolls on my recent trip to Idaho, in the high snowy passes, and what I think may have been one rock giant. And I’m nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands – it was a night of horror.

    Occam’s razor, by the way, isn’t some kind of ironclad law – it’s a heuristic, only applicable in limited situations, generally when you’re not really trying to understand a situation in its totality but just come up with the minimum number of formulas needed to control. When you’re trying to control, you want to keep things as simple as possible that gets the job done, obviously. And anyways it doesn’t apply here, as UFOs and fairies differ on significant fronts.

    I hate how people trot out Occam’s Razor as if it’s some kind of higher law – there was an epidemic of this a decade ago, when people were just Occam Razoring any interesting conversation.

    • Replies: @AP
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And I’m nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands – it was a night of horror.
     
    Could you describe this please, in detail?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I was once camping in a tent in the White Mountains region, when I heard the most incredible noise. It sounded like a tank, on legs. Like, it was trying to pulp every twig on the ground.

    I have heard that moose typically aren't active at night. Bears have always struck me as being fairly quiet, unless they are running, and whatever this was was not.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.
     
    Yes, Slavs yes, but not Poles. Russian, Ukrainians and Bulgarians have richer mythological world than Poles. Ukrainians even put their pagan goddess Werehynia on the main square in Kiev - not sure how the Uniate Church is feeling about that, though. Anyway, as we all know, they put some pagan symbol on the equipment of their armed forces.

    But in Poland there are no pagan goddesses, and certainly not in the sense of Japan where gods interfere in whatever you do: I recently visited a lecture on paper-making in Echizen, and learnt that paper was given to us by the goddess of paper, Kawakami Gozen (if you didn't know, now you know). Now I just wonder: which god has given me a laptop I write this answer...?

    There is some Slavic mythology on the net, but I sometimes wonder where it did come, because very often I heard about those creatures first time. For example, there is a widespread notion on the net that "The Witcher" represents Slavic mythology, but Andrzej Sapkowski has never claimed that specifically, speaking only about "European folklore".
    As a child I read a lot of fables, and almost immediately moved onto "national fables of the world" as Polish folklore was rather poor, suspended between timeless stories of a boy-idiot-but-not-an-idiot on the quest and mythologization of history like "The sleeping knights of Giewont", "Pan Twardowski" etc...it certainly lacked the living realm of magic like boy-wizard Kullervo in Kalevala or Tolkien, and there weren't many books on it too.

    As for Ockham's razor, I use it rather sparsely, and still think fairies deserve its touch ;)

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  832. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Hence his dictum – “the barbarism of reason”. Excessive rationality clearly impoverishes life, he saw, and strips it of its lustre, and creates conditions that are, in effect, barbaric, understood as life without amenity or amelioration.
     
    I suspect he thought that life would just become a meaner, colder version of what already existed. It's possible he and men like him could foresee, or at least be unsurprised by, the totalitarian cruelties we inflicted on each other in the 20th century. What they probably didn't foresee, and would be astounded by, is the degeneracy and depravity our personal lives would sink to as we increasingly cut ourselves off from the transcendent, from a holistic connection to nature, and from the unchosen ties that once bound us to our fellow men; not merely swallowed up by the vortex of individualism, but willingly throwing ourselves into it - on account of there being no plausible alternative.

    I am reading Louis Betty's "Without God - Michel Houellebecq and Materialist Horror" (in which I found the earlier quote from Ben Jeffrey). The title might be a little misleading, since it is by no means a typical work in apologetics. Betty simply writes as a typical literary critic, albeit one who doesn't tediously dwell on 'racism', sexism, colonialism etc ad nauseam. It helps to be familiar with Houellebecq's fiction, but a quote from the introduction makes the preceding point exceedingly well:

    Aside from modern liberalism, all humanistic attempts to organize society according to nontheological principles (Marxism, socialism, communism, etc.) have been failures, and if the liberal model has succeeded, this is only because it is the most natural form of social organization, and thus the worst (see Houellebecq 2011, 124–25). The unbinding of humanity from God lies at the heart of the historical narrative the reader encounters in Houellebecq’s work: lacking a set of moral principles legitimated by a higher power and unable to find meaningful answers to existential questions, human beings descend into selfishness and narcissism and can only stymie their mortal
    terror by recourse to the carnal distractions of sexuality. Modern capitalism is the mode of social organization best suited to, and best suited to maintain, such a worldview. Materialism—that is, the limiting of all that is real to the physical, which rules out the existence of God, soul, and spirit and with them any transcendent meaning to human life—thus produces an environment in which consumption becomes the norm. Such is the historical narrative that Houellebecq’s fiction enacts, with modern economic liberalism emerging as the last, devastating consequence of humanity’s despiritualization.

    “Materialist horror” is the term most appropriate to describe this worldview, for what readers discover throughout Houellebecq’s fiction are societies and persons in which the terminal social and psychological consequences of materialism are being played out. It is little wonder, then, that these texts are so often apocalyptic in tone. The Elementary Particles and The Possibility of an Island, for example, depict the outright disappearance of a depressive and morally derelict human race. Desplechin, Djerzinski’s colleague in Particles, says of the decline of Western civilization at the turn of the twenty-first century: “There is no power in the world—economic, political, religious or social—that can compete with rational certainty. The West has sacrificed everything to this need: religion, happiness, hope—and, finally, its own life. You have to remember that when passing judgment on Western civilization”.
     
    I have read most or possibly all of Houellebecq's novels. (I don't remember them well. I'm currently slogging through Aneantir in French - way above my level, but I'm persevering on the basis of a language-acquisition theory that says this helps the process. The plot is unusually interesting for a Houellebecq novel, and highly topical.) When I first began reading him years ago, I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by. Even then, though, I would have to put the book down in disgust, feeling icky about having dragged myself through that human muck. But hey, this is life, I'd tell myself, this is what the human animal is really like; you can avert your gaze all you want, but there's no denying it. Well, that was then. More recently, I began to view his character's sicksouled individualism as a mirror held up to the materialist worldview, rather than a tacit endorsement of it, as I had earlier thought. What luck, then, to stumble across a literary critic in Betty who tells me precisely what I now want to hear.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Coconuts

    …I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by.

    I remember that when I first found Houellebecq, the cynicism towards middle class soixante-huitard and Bobo pieties, it worked more or less equally well for the ‘Boomer Truth’ British equivalents. And he was using evolutionary psychology and liberal economics to explain their values in reductive/mechanistic terms, which seemed to fit with the spirit of things at the time.

    I always thought he remained, at least to some extent, a romantic, and hoped for some alternative to the world he was describing in love and literature. At the same time he sort of liked wallowing in some aspects of it, the prostitution and consumerism, Monoprix bargains and his parka jackets.

    There is that memorable self-description in Map and the Territory where he inserts himself into the story as a character, lying on a mattresson the floor in his house in Ireland watching cartoons all day, with fragments of partially eaten charcuterie all over the duvet and kitchen cupboards full of cheap wine.

    As HMS already mentioned, this is more or less in the French decadent tradition, and the 19th century decadent tradition in some way pointed to what would follow in the next generation, the revolt against decadence. Maybe something like that will follow again, anti-rationalist and anti-romantic at the same time.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Coconuts


    I always thought he remained, at least to some extent, a romantic, and hoped for some alternative to the world he was describing in love and literature.
     
    I'd like to think so. I used to be so beholden to market exigencies and technological progress that the whole cyberpunk ethos seemed ineluctable, a fundamental fact of developmental reality that, when it came, would have to be serenely accepted because, love it or hate it, there was literally no alternative. (You can liken this attitude to that of immigration boosters who, as Sailer mocks them, effectively declare, "I for one welcome our new overlords.") When I first encountered Houellebecq, my thoughts were in this vein, that ugly or not, this needs to be said and Houellebecq probably enjoys saying it. Nowadays I completely reject that way of thinking, and I'm not sure about Houellebecq's motives. It's possible he just enjoys dragging us through the mud, perhaps as payback for the world we negligently squandered. "You wanted this, now here, I'm going to pump you full of it till you feel it coming out your nose." Following the publication of Submission, he was asked if he thought his novel would make any difference. He answered, "No. If you want to change the world, write a pamphlet." Was he being forthright? Who knows. It's certainly the answer a pessimist playing "reverse psychology" would give.
  833. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Fairies were believed in all across medieval Europe - by fairies, I mean all those magical creatures, like dwarves, elves, trolls. Scandinavian lore on this is very rich, not just the Celtic.

    Interestingly, most early major Christian thinkers believed in some types of magical creatures, and Christ was said to have restored the correct order to these spiritual entities - not banished them or destroyed them.

    The ancient Greeks of course, had their nymphs, dryads, and fauns. Native Americans also had a rich lore of magical creatures dwelling in nature, about which I want to read more.

    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.

    In all cultures, these are understood as some sort of nature spirits, spiritual beings who have a particular relationship to the woods, dells, streams, hills, and mountains, in which they live, and that if we want to see, we too must have such a relationship in some form.

    This is very different than UFOs, which are just mechanical devices built by mortal beings much like ourselves, without any suggestion of spiritual dimensions or magic.

    In a scientific age, it's entirely possible that what people describe as UFOs are actually similar phenomena to fairies, just people use the imaginative repertoire and language of a scientistic age.

    I myself have seen cave trolls on my recent trip to Idaho, in the high snowy passes, and what I think may have been one rock giant. And I'm nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands - it was a night of horror.

    Occam's razor, by the way, isn't some kind of ironclad law - it's a heuristic, only applicable in limited situations, generally when you're not really trying to understand a situation in its totality but just come up with the minimum number of formulas needed to control. When you're trying to control, you want to keep things as simple as possible that gets the job done, obviously. And anyways it doesn't apply here, as UFOs and fairies differ on significant fronts.

    I hate how people trot out Occam's Razor as if it's some kind of higher law - there was an epidemic of this a decade ago, when people were just Occam Razoring any interesting conversation.

    Replies: @AP, @songbird, @Another Polish Perspective

    And I’m nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands – it was a night of horror.

    Could you describe this please, in detail?

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @AP

    Sure. I was going to write about it here anyways.

    Although maybe it's a little less dramatic than I made it sound, and perhaps you'll make nothing of it :) But it was an intense experience for me nonetheless.

    There is a remote dispersed camping area near the less visited Needles district of Canyonlands, called Lockhart Basin road. It has gorgeous desert scenery and views without limit. I would highly recommend it - free camping in some of the most gorgeous scenery of Utah.

    Lockhart Basin starts maybe an hour and a half drive from the main highway 191, in an area with tons of old Navajo rock paintings and old ruins.

    I'm very big into "feng shui" when it comes to campsite selection, and I like to pick spots with sweeping views of mountains, and that are very open, and with interesting trees and terrain visible. Such sites feel friendly and happy to me.

    So I found the perfect spot and settled down happily, with a good friendly feeling, cooked my dinner, drank my evening coffee (I do that), and was feeling generally satisfied and content, staring at a beautiful sunset.

    It was high summer and way too hot for most normal people who aren't freaks like me, so the whole place was empty and I was the only camper.

    So I settled into my camp chair to read my book. Around 10 pm, I suddenly noticed it was suddenly deathly quiet, in a way it hadn't been before. No wind, no animal noise, no insect noise. Just eerie silence. I start hearing faint pitter-patter noises, as of some animal, but somehow "not right", as of no natural animal I know. It just sounded wrong and off, too quick and rapid somehow, almost like perhaps what a giant insect might make.

    Every time I swing around and look, I see nothing. And then suddenly I start sweating profusely and am gripped with the most intense dread I've ever felt, out of the blue. Just wave after wave of what I can only describe as supernatural dread - you know, not the normal fear you have in the face of some known danger, but that feeling you had as a kid in the face the uncanny, or the night terrors you felt as a kid in a dark room alone fearing ghosts.

    Except I'm an adult, and haven't felt this way in ages, and it's way more intense than anything I felt as a kid!

    And I was completely unable to shake it off. Nothing I thought or did worked. Extremely unnerved, I went into my car and locked the doors.

    And that's when disturbing and terrifying imagery started flashing unbidden through my mind, of a maniacally leering man with a face of pure evil, and then a horrifically misshapen wolf-man creature that oozed pure malice. The images were vivid, oddly specific, and again, I couldn't shake them.

    I had no choice but to keep the windows of my car open because of the heat, but I closed them halfway. I started hearing faint "whoosh" sounds, as of something moving swiftly past my car, but every time I looked again, I saw nothing.

    I used my full adult repertoire of psychological calming skills, rationalization, and self talk, to dispel my terror - but it held its grip with a tenacity that was alao highly unusual. Whatever the fear, I can also at least somewhat calm myself usually.

    I seriously considered just packing up and driving away, but it was late, I was tired - and I felt like I would be a pathetic wimp of I gave in to my fears like that! Throughout the night there were moments of calm, but "the terror" always returned periodically.

    After a largely sleepless night, out of curiosity the next day I researched Navajo myths and legends and discovered the Skinwalker - clicking on Google images, the first thing I see is a picture of a misshapen wolf-man entirely reminiscent of the vivid images flashing through my mind! That was it!

    And get this - this year, last month in the summer again, I returned to that very same spot. In the intervening year my rational mind took over and dismissed the incident as just nerves or fatigue or loneliness - sometimes silence and solitude in the desert can play tricks on you. I had largely forgotten the incident, or buried it's memory, perhaps, as a shameful giving in to irrational fear.

    So this summer I'm in the same camp spot, again sitting in my camp chair reading a book. At around 11 pm I suddenly noticed it's eerily quiet, and a sense of extreme dread - out of nowhere - starts coming over me. And then I remembered last summer!

    No way, not again. I didn't care how late it was, I packed up and drove to a spot a mile down the road - I was hoping it wasn't the entire valley, because it was so beautiful and I wanted to stay somewhere there. And sure enough, I felt wonderful in my new spot, and had a great night's sleep!

    I'm never going back to that spot again, however perfectly it formally fits my aesthetics. I would love it if someone camped there and reported back here! It's the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road. Someone try it!

    The more I go to the red rock country, the more "spooky" I find it - it's still some of my most favorite scenery and I will return again and again, but I'm discovering it has an eerie dimension the more I visit, even on broad daylight.

    Reading more on Navajo culture, I discovered that the Navajo have a keen sense of the uncanny and the eerie, and have a strange dread of death and anything to do with the dead. And this dramatic red land was once home to the Anasazi, the Old Ones, who vanished without a trace, leaving their dwellings intact, and who constructed strangely fortified dwellings on hard to reach cliffs, and yet they had no known enemies - as if they were defending against unseen enemies. The Navajo refuse to go near the abandoned dwellings of the Old Ones.

    And the Indian rock pictographs in the region often portray strangely giant humanoid forms, with elongated limbs.

    Of course, a rational skeptic can easily dismiss my account on any number of grounds. But to someone who has experienced it, it has significance.

    Replies: @AP, @Mikel

  834. @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I can appreciate that Russian sense of reckless bravado that you’re describing, but that’s quite a different thing than treating individuals as unimportant, and having no sense of responsibility and compassion, and value for human life, among military leaders, or treating lower class people with contempt or indifference.
     
    In my view, Putin with his stripped to the waist outdoor pursuits vulgarly performative cult of masculinity PR is deliberately appealing to the lower classes rather than the wealthy or highly educated sectors, and that is why he is classed as a dictatorship by the Western orientated effete elite, and why the ordinary people of Russia overwhelmingly support him

    The poor military performance of Russian troops today certain suggests a moral deficit.
     
    The Russian army planning was by Gerasimov whose idea were heavily influences by fashionable Western ideas of heavy weapons such as tanks and artillery being obsolete (precisely the opposite of what transpired as the Ukrainian fought back).The Ukrainians had interior lines and three soldiers for every two Russians in the invasion force. Put it another way the Russians invaded with one fifth of the troops they ought to have had. The plan was misconceived and when that is taken into account the performance of Russian troops in executing their orders has been really quite good

    I wouldn’t worry too much about the inclusion of women in the military – this kind of thing represents mankind’s eternal desire to be free of sublunary restraints,
     
    There are no such constraints as long as there is peace. In war there is what Oakeshott called "enterprise association", whereby everything is to one end and the individual ceases to matter. Russia is closer to the enterprise association even in peacetime.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Obviously, in war, you have to be willing to have soldiers killed. Too risk averse, and performance suffers. Too spendthrift of lives, and performance also suffers. Excessive indifference to the lives of soldiers, and their individual welfare, is as corrosive as it’s opposite.

    Many non-Western armies perform poorly not for a lack of weapons, or even lack of fighting skill or aggression or courage, but because of deficiencies in moral factors . War, after all, is an extremely intense moral effort, where ones entire psychological, spiritual, and moral resources are not just mobilized but stretched to their limit.

    Put it another way the Russians invaded with one fifth of the troops they ought to have had. The plan was misconceived and when that is taken into account the performance of Russian troops in executing their orders has been really quite good

    Great hindsight.

    Numerically inferior forces frequently defeat vastly larger forces – with almost tedious frequency. In all of Israel wars, they faced vastly larger armies, with state of the art weapons equal to theirs, or often superior. You might want to read up how a handful of tanks on the Golan Heights stopped a Syrian invasion of literally hundreds of tanks – but examples abound from every country in every part of the world. American Marines in the Pacific frequently defeated Japanese garrisons on islands without the “requisite” 3-1 ratio of troops needed for an invading force.

    The Russians obviously thought the Ukrainians were the ones who were deficient in resolve and the moral factors, and that they were supreme in this respect. It proved not to be the case.

    In my view, Putin with his stripped to the waist outdoor pursuits vulgarly performative cult of masculinity PR is deliberately appealing to the lower classes rather than the wealthy or highly educated sectors, and that is why he is classed as a dictatorship by the Western orientated effete elite, and why the ordinary people of Russia overwhelmingly support him

    Well, Russia quite clearly is autocratic, and it’s hard to really know what most people think in such situations. Still, I’m quite prepared to believe that Putin has some kind of popularity among segments of the population, and for exactly the reasons you describe.

    There is a psychological mechanism where by you identify with your oppressor and see him as actually “symbolizing” you, whereby you somehow mystically live through him and share in his triumphs, even as he exploits you – this sentiment is widely exploited by nationalist elites. Chinese elites are very good at this, horrifically exploiting their people but convincing them that they mystically participate in the success of “China Inc” on the global stage, when in fact the elites are living lives of luxury and privilege at the expense of the common people, who instead have the lovely “9-9-6” work day.

  835. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Fairies were believed in all across medieval Europe - by fairies, I mean all those magical creatures, like dwarves, elves, trolls. Scandinavian lore on this is very rich, not just the Celtic.

    Interestingly, most early major Christian thinkers believed in some types of magical creatures, and Christ was said to have restored the correct order to these spiritual entities - not banished them or destroyed them.

    The ancient Greeks of course, had their nymphs, dryads, and fauns. Native Americans also had a rich lore of magical creatures dwelling in nature, about which I want to read more.

    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.

    In all cultures, these are understood as some sort of nature spirits, spiritual beings who have a particular relationship to the woods, dells, streams, hills, and mountains, in which they live, and that if we want to see, we too must have such a relationship in some form.

    This is very different than UFOs, which are just mechanical devices built by mortal beings much like ourselves, without any suggestion of spiritual dimensions or magic.

    In a scientific age, it's entirely possible that what people describe as UFOs are actually similar phenomena to fairies, just people use the imaginative repertoire and language of a scientistic age.

    I myself have seen cave trolls on my recent trip to Idaho, in the high snowy passes, and what I think may have been one rock giant. And I'm nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands - it was a night of horror.

    Occam's razor, by the way, isn't some kind of ironclad law - it's a heuristic, only applicable in limited situations, generally when you're not really trying to understand a situation in its totality but just come up with the minimum number of formulas needed to control. When you're trying to control, you want to keep things as simple as possible that gets the job done, obviously. And anyways it doesn't apply here, as UFOs and fairies differ on significant fronts.

    I hate how people trot out Occam's Razor as if it's some kind of higher law - there was an epidemic of this a decade ago, when people were just Occam Razoring any interesting conversation.

    Replies: @AP, @songbird, @Another Polish Perspective

    I was once camping in a tent in the White Mountains region, when I heard the most incredible noise. It sounded like a tank, on legs. Like, it was trying to pulp every twig on the ground.

    I have heard that moose typically aren’t active at night. Bears have always struck me as being fairly quiet, unless they are running, and whatever this was was not.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    I have seen (or more often heard) deer active at night. One time I startled a buck with huge antlers and he fled smacking into tree trunks several times and I felt like a trespasser. Poor guy. He thought I was a domestic terrorist.

    Replies: @songbird

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @songbird

    So interesting, I had a very similar experience two summers ago in Harriman State Park camping.

    At 3 am was woken up by extremely loud crashing sounds, as of several extremely large animals literally crashing through the woods past my tent.

    We don't have any moose here, and deers with their dainty hooves don't "crash" through the woods. I've seen deer walk through my camp, they don't make a loud noise.

    Could have been bears, but like you say they're also quiet with their padded feet and slow ambling movements,and it would have had to have been several very large adult bears. We don't have grizzlies here.

    I was sick with a slight fever and when you're in that state, nothing bothers you, so I just lay in bed, curious but unfazed.

    But who knows what lurks in these thick East Coast woods?

    There's a whole genre called Appalachian Horror, apparently, that reflects a longstanding sense that these thick dark woods can sometimes be spooky. The Puritans felt it. And various parts of the Appalachian forests have over the years acquired reputations for being haunted.

    Replies: @songbird

  836. @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I was once camping in a tent in the White Mountains region, when I heard the most incredible noise. It sounded like a tank, on legs. Like, it was trying to pulp every twig on the ground.

    I have heard that moose typically aren't active at night. Bears have always struck me as being fairly quiet, unless they are running, and whatever this was was not.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I have seen (or more often heard) deer active at night. One time I startled a buck with huge antlers and he fled smacking into tree trunks several times and I felt like a trespasser. Poor guy. He thought I was a domestic terrorist.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Once witnessed a fawn facing off against a dog. Nothing violent, but a lot of noise and posturing on both sides.

    Alternately, the fawn would call its mother ('maaaaa!') and then leap forward to try to headbutt the dog. And the dog would leap backward, though it had a massive skull that would probably break a baseball bat and was many times larger.

    I was so impressed by the courage of the tiny fawn that I was genuinely afraid that its mother would show up before I could get the dog away.

  837. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Fairies were believed in all across medieval Europe - by fairies, I mean all those magical creatures, like dwarves, elves, trolls. Scandinavian lore on this is very rich, not just the Celtic.

    Interestingly, most early major Christian thinkers believed in some types of magical creatures, and Christ was said to have restored the correct order to these spiritual entities - not banished them or destroyed them.

    The ancient Greeks of course, had their nymphs, dryads, and fauns. Native Americans also had a rich lore of magical creatures dwelling in nature, about which I want to read more.

    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.

    In all cultures, these are understood as some sort of nature spirits, spiritual beings who have a particular relationship to the woods, dells, streams, hills, and mountains, in which they live, and that if we want to see, we too must have such a relationship in some form.

    This is very different than UFOs, which are just mechanical devices built by mortal beings much like ourselves, without any suggestion of spiritual dimensions or magic.

    In a scientific age, it's entirely possible that what people describe as UFOs are actually similar phenomena to fairies, just people use the imaginative repertoire and language of a scientistic age.

    I myself have seen cave trolls on my recent trip to Idaho, in the high snowy passes, and what I think may have been one rock giant. And I'm nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands - it was a night of horror.

    Occam's razor, by the way, isn't some kind of ironclad law - it's a heuristic, only applicable in limited situations, generally when you're not really trying to understand a situation in its totality but just come up with the minimum number of formulas needed to control. When you're trying to control, you want to keep things as simple as possible that gets the job done, obviously. And anyways it doesn't apply here, as UFOs and fairies differ on significant fronts.

    I hate how people trot out Occam's Razor as if it's some kind of higher law - there was an epidemic of this a decade ago, when people were just Occam Razoring any interesting conversation.

    Replies: @AP, @songbird, @Another Polish Perspective

    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.

    Yes, Slavs yes, but not Poles. Russian, Ukrainians and Bulgarians have richer mythological world than Poles. Ukrainians even put their pagan goddess Werehynia on the main square in Kiev – not sure how the Uniate Church is feeling about that, though. Anyway, as we all know, they put some pagan symbol on the equipment of their armed forces.

    But in Poland there are no pagan goddesses, and certainly not in the sense of Japan where gods interfere in whatever you do: I recently visited a lecture on paper-making in Echizen, and learnt that paper was given to us by the goddess of paper, Kawakami Gozen (if you didn’t know, now you know). Now I just wonder: which god has given me a laptop I write this answer…?

    There is some Slavic mythology on the net, but I sometimes wonder where it did come, because very often I heard about those creatures first time. For example, there is a widespread notion on the net that “The Witcher” represents Slavic mythology, but Andrzej Sapkowski has never claimed that specifically, speaking only about “European folklore”.
    As a child I read a lot of fables, and almost immediately moved onto “national fables of the world” as Polish folklore was rather poor, suspended between timeless stories of a boy-idiot-but-not-an-idiot on the quest and mythologization of history like “The sleeping knights of Giewont”, “Pan Twardowski” etc…it certainly lacked the living realm of magic like boy-wizard Kullervo in Kalevala or Tolkien, and there weren’t many books on it too.

    As for Ockham’s razor, I use it rather sparsely, and still think fairies deserve its touch 😉

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Another Polish Perspective

    A Polish national, Igor Witkowski, might be the one individual most responsible for the prevalence of current Nazi flying saucer fables.

    The Truth about the Wunderwaffe.

    https://www.amazon.com/Truth-About-Wunderwaffe-Igor-Witkowski/dp/1618613383

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Luckily, these days, you have the entire worlds storehouse of myth and legend to nourish your spirit. They belong to mankind. I was reared on European fantastical literature, but have since been immeasurably enriched by the fantastical literature of India, Japan, and Islam, and China.

    Use Occam's Razor as much as you want, just use it for what it was designed for - remember, science isn't explanatory, it's descriptive. It describes observed regularities.

    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us - for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can't fathom.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love - the earth loves it's own. Now we call it "gravity" - which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.

    The scientific theory of gravity doesn't contradict the medieval - it just sticks entirely to the descriptive level and excludes the explanatory.

    That may be ok for accomplishing things, but not for understanding the nature of our world.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  838. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.
     
    Yes, Slavs yes, but not Poles. Russian, Ukrainians and Bulgarians have richer mythological world than Poles. Ukrainians even put their pagan goddess Werehynia on the main square in Kiev - not sure how the Uniate Church is feeling about that, though. Anyway, as we all know, they put some pagan symbol on the equipment of their armed forces.

    But in Poland there are no pagan goddesses, and certainly not in the sense of Japan where gods interfere in whatever you do: I recently visited a lecture on paper-making in Echizen, and learnt that paper was given to us by the goddess of paper, Kawakami Gozen (if you didn't know, now you know). Now I just wonder: which god has given me a laptop I write this answer...?

    There is some Slavic mythology on the net, but I sometimes wonder where it did come, because very often I heard about those creatures first time. For example, there is a widespread notion on the net that "The Witcher" represents Slavic mythology, but Andrzej Sapkowski has never claimed that specifically, speaking only about "European folklore".
    As a child I read a lot of fables, and almost immediately moved onto "national fables of the world" as Polish folklore was rather poor, suspended between timeless stories of a boy-idiot-but-not-an-idiot on the quest and mythologization of history like "The sleeping knights of Giewont", "Pan Twardowski" etc...it certainly lacked the living realm of magic like boy-wizard Kullervo in Kalevala or Tolkien, and there weren't many books on it too.

    As for Ockham's razor, I use it rather sparsely, and still think fairies deserve its touch ;)

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    A Polish national, Igor Witkowski, might be the one individual most responsible for the prevalence of current Nazi flying saucer fables.

    The Truth about the Wunderwaffe.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Well, I must say that I didn't hear about him (but I would be wary of him a bit as he is of 1963, which means he could have connection to communist secret service) as I long stopped being interested in Nazi Wunderwaffen (despite living not far from one of places where they were supposed to be researched), as obviously they didn't return their promise of miracle - the Nazis lost. And the Wunderwaffen did not re-appear in USA and USSR, which means they had never moved beyond the proof of concept phase, unlike the Nazi's rockets.

    But I see certain structural similarity between the discourse on them and the current USA UFOs & government discourse - they are supposed to be some miraculous USA technology kept away even from most of USA, and yet they don't deliver - exactly like Nazis' Wunderwaffen.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard

  839. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Another Polish Perspective

    A Polish national, Igor Witkowski, might be the one individual most responsible for the prevalence of current Nazi flying saucer fables.

    The Truth about the Wunderwaffe.

    https://www.amazon.com/Truth-About-Wunderwaffe-Igor-Witkowski/dp/1618613383

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    Well, I must say that I didn’t hear about him (but I would be wary of him a bit as he is of 1963, which means he could have connection to communist secret service) as I long stopped being interested in Nazi Wunderwaffen (despite living not far from one of places where they were supposed to be researched), as obviously they didn’t return their promise of miracle – the Nazis lost. And the Wunderwaffen did not re-appear in USA and USSR, which means they had never moved beyond the proof of concept phase, unlike the Nazi’s rockets.

    But I see certain structural similarity between the discourse on them and the current USA UFOs & government discourse – they are supposed to be some miraculous USA technology kept away even from most of USA, and yet they don’t deliver – exactly like Nazis’ Wunderwaffen.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Another Polish Perspective

    He is (was) a journalist. His main source material was a war crimes trial in Poland of German officers at a research laboratory affiliated with the Skoda plant in Czechoslovakia. There is sworn eyewitness testimony regarding novel aircraft.

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Another Polish Perspective

    It's not similar. It's the same damn thing. In the propaganda business there are a handful of effective scripts and you always use one of those.

    I thought about this 2 seconds after edit window. : )

  840. @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ


    BTW, I actually heard that Ugandans were actually pretty pro-gay until the British showed up there and turned them anti-gay, along with later fundamentalist Christian American pastors, of course.
     
    This is a typical kind of argument; that hostility to sodomy was something created by white Western European Christians and colonialism. Last time I heard it being used was in relation to Islam; that Islam was pro-sodomy before European colonialism.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Mr. XYZ

    Islam was historically homophobic, IIRC, due to the hadith(s?) that condemn homosexuality (or at least male homosexuality). So, Islamic homosexuality has little-or-nothing to do with Europeans.

    Interestingly enough, formerly French-controlled Africa appears to be less homophobic than formerly British-controlled Africa:

    Even Chad only criminalized homosexuality within the last decade, long after the French had left:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGBT_rights_in_Chad

    AFAIK, France was historically more homophilic than Britain was.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ

    I know that after the Revolution the ancien regime laws on incest were abolished in France, I wonder if the same thing happened to the sodomy laws?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  841. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Coconuts

    Well this guy swung both ways and the West definitely didn't approve.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mwanga_II_of_Buganda


    For Mwanga, the ultimate humiliation was the male Catholic pages of his harem resisting his sexual advances. According to tradition, the king was the centre of power and authority, and he could dispense with any life as he wished. It was unheard of for mere pages to reject the wishes of a king. Given those conflicting values, Mwanga was determined to rid his kingdom of the new teaching and its followers. Mwanga therefore precipitated a showdown in May 1886 by ordering converts in his court to choose between their new faith and complete obedience to his orders and kingdom.

    It is believed that at least 30 Catholic and Protestant neophytes went to their deaths. Twenty-two of the men, who had converted to Catholicism, were burned alive at Namugongo in June 1886 and later became known as the Uganda Martyrs. Among those executed were two Christians who held the court position of Master of the Pages, Joseph Mukasa Balikuddembe and Charles Lwanga. They had repeatedly defied the king by rescuing royal pages in their care from sexual exploitation by Mwanga.
     

    Replies: @Coconuts, @Mr. XYZ

    If the stories about him are true, then he was not merely a homosexual/bisexual, but also a rapist, which makes a huge amount of difference.

  842. @AP
    @Dmitry


    I already said, this is a very unusual, emergency situation in Poland “enemy of the enemy is a friend” when Russia is invading or preparing for invasion
     
    And you were wrong then as you are now.

    This war has catapulted positive Polish sentiment towards Ukrainians above most other nations, but even before the war Ukrainians were liked more than they were disliked. So your claim that Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times and wrong when considering pre-war sentiments.

    If you look in the same poll for 2020, Ukrainians are the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.
     
    But they were still more liked than they were disliked. In 2020, 35% of Poles liked Ukrainians and 33% disliked them, with 28% being neutral (in contrast, 26% liked Russians and 42% disliked them).

    This is rather different from the picture you are trying to paint. Both in terms of Ukrainians being hated by Poles and in terms of Ukrainians and Russians being lumped together as enemies by Poles. You were wrong on both counts.

    In January 2022, before the invasion, 46% of Poles liked Ukrainians and only 25% disliked them.

    So your claims were wrong for 2020 and 2022 as they were for 2023.

    If you look at the same poll before the Russia-Ukraine war begins in 2014. Russia and Ukraine are equally the most unpopular countries in Poland.
     
    They were equally disliked (Russians slightly more disliked but almost the same) for only 3 years, 2010-2012, when dislike for Russians had briefly dropped to a record low. This brief period coincided with the Yanukovich presidency.

    But from 2003 until 2010 Russians were far more disliked than Ukrainians, and again from 2013. The difference from 2004 to 2008 was enormous.

    Prior to 2003, Poles disliked Ukrainians more than they disliked Russians.

    So overall, your claim is false. You are cherry-picking the years 2010-2012, or going back more than 20 years to before the Orange Revolution.

    Replies: @Dmitry

    liked than they were disliked. In 2020, 35% of Poles liked Ukrainians and 33% disliked them

    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    These surveys are comparative as most people don’t say to the survey they have negative views to any nationality and it’s more healthy people like other naitonalities, than to dislike other nationalities.

    The normal or healthy people who respond to the survey, will not dislike any nationality in the survey. It’s usually a sign of an unhappy person, to dislike another nationality.

    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland’s government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society. For Poles, disliking Germans is a kind of patriotic duty.

    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine, while asking Germany to refund them or pay for new safe equipment to replace it.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.

    years 2010-2012, or going back more than 20 years to before the Orange Revolution.

    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.

    There was a difference with liberals in Poland who view the pro-democracy events in Kiev in 2004 and 2013 etc.

    Especially after 2013, people like Donald Tusk become more Ukrainian nationalists than Poroshenko or Zelensky. The educated and wealthy population in Poland are mainly liberals, so it’s true the liberals’ more pro-Ukraine view is a more elite view of Poland.

    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.
    https://neweasterneurope.eu/2017/10/31/poland-ukraine-relations-ball-court/

    • Replies: @AP
    @Dmitry


    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.
     
    Sure, but the part you leave out is that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them. Including Ukrainians.

    So a more accurate description was that in 2020, Poles tended to like Ukrainians but they didn't like them as much as they liked Italians, Czechs, etc.

    The only peoples that Poles disliked in 2020 were Russians, Muslims and Roma.


    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland’s government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society.
     
    The questions was about people, not the historical country. They are linked but not exactly the same. Germans have been apologetic about the Nazi past. Lots of Poles work in Germany.

    So in 2020 Poles liked Germans more than they disliked them. They also liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.


    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times
     
    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine
     

    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian equipment (it was modernized T-72s and Krab artillery, the latter is not dangerous). It was equipment that Poland itself was using. Ukraine also got a lot of ammo.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.
     
    Poland itself did not have a lot of new equipment and is getting new equipment now. It basically also gave Ukraine much of its equipment (as did Denmark), which it is now replacing with brand new equipment.

    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.
     
    As I explained, prior to 2003 Ukrainians were even more unpopular in Poland than Russians were. But since 2003 Russians were more unpopular. That's a generation.

    You mistakenly claimed this was so until the war in 2022.


    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.
     
    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian. I personally know several such people.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

  843. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    This is actually one way for Russia to still achieve Sub-Saharan-style population growth, if it doesn’t mind becoming the Third World. As in, open its doors wide open to hundreds of millions of Third Worlders. It can even encourage them to convert en masse to Russian Orthodoxy beforehand
     
    Well, Putin has opened the border to a couple of African countries recently, removing visa restrictions. Of course it would be hard for their people to get all the way to Russia, so the practical effect on immigration is close to zero.

    It would be funny if Russia opened its doors to all central Asia and Africa on the conditions that the immigrants convert to Russian Orthodoxy and learn the Russian language.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Of course it would be hard for their people to get all the way to Russia, so the practical effect on immigration is close to zero.

    They can buy plane tickets to Russia if they can afford them, no? Though then they would actually need to find jobs in Russia if they are to avoid starving since I don’t know if Russia’s welfare state would actually cover people who are not Russian citizens or permanent residents.

    It would be funny if Russia opened its doors to all central Asia and Africa on the conditions that the immigrants convert to Russian Orthodoxy and learn the Russian language.

    Converting Muslims to Christianity I suspect would be rather difficult. It hasn’t exactly worked out historically when tried, other than in Adjara, where Georgian nationalism made it considerably easier (Georgian national identity was strongly associated with Christianity, increasing the pressure on Adjarans to convert back to their ancestors’ Christian faith after Georgia regained its independence in 1991). But converting non-Muslims to Christianity should be considerably easier. Native Americans, Filipinos, and Sub-Saharan Africans were historically converted to Christianity en masse. Even a lot of Koreans have converted to Christianity in recent decades. This would simply be a case of people converting to a different kind of Christianity.

    So long as these conversions to Russian Orthodoxy are indeed sincere, this would seem like a great deal for Russia if it doesn’t mind becoming Third Worldified. I suppose that a willingness to convert to Russian Orthodoxy would involve some selection for assimilation, even if these immigrants will still be duller on average than Russians themselves are. Interestingly enough, here in the US, some alt-righters are converting to Russian Orthodoxy:

    https://www.npr.org/2022/05/10/1096741988/orthodox-christian-churches-are-drawing-in-far-right-american-converts

    https://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/responses/american-conversions-to-russian-orthodoxy-amid-the-global-culture-wars

    Apparently longtime Russian Orthodox Christian believers in the US dislike the influx of racists into their ranks, especially if in the long-run there will be so many of them that they will begin to acquire leadership positions in the US Russian Orthodox Church.

    As I told you on Twitter, I also think that it would be a good idea for Ukraine to encourage conversions to Ukrainian Orthodoxy worldwide, including in the Third World. From a Ukrainian nationalist perspective, the positive effect of this would be a larger Ukrainian religious diaspora (albeit not in an ethnic sense) while relatively few of them would probably actually be willing to move to Ukraine so long as Ukraine itself remains relatively poor.

    BTW, this is off-topic, but it seems like the most successful Christian group from a current evolutionary perspective is the Mormons since their fertility is actually eugenic:

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2022/06/new-study-out-will-intelligent-latter-day-saints-and-smart-conservatives-inherit-the-earth/

    Conservative fertility is significantly less dysgenic than liberal and even moderate fertility, but it’s not eugenic like Mormon fertility is:

    Do you think that God is responsible for the eugenic Mormon fertility, in spite of the implausibility of their religious narrative (Jesus ending up in North America)?

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ


    eugenic Mormon

     

    I don't think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype,

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don't pay the tithe.

    The ex-Mormons are also seeming very nerdy, which is an indication of the braindrain of the religion. It could be like any braindraining society i.e. Russian emigrants' society, when the people are more nerdy than Russian non-emigrants' society.

    Although the leaders of the church are intelligent, in a selfish way like a kind of investment bankers. The main heads of the church didn't even work as missionaries, while they use the free labor of the younger people to expand the tithe market and increase the investments, often the missionaries go to the third world or convert people who have difficult situations.

    -

    One of the issues of the investment style of religion, is they don't have enough of the intellectual content to be interesting for the nerdy members of the cult to continue.

    If you compare the Haredi Jewish cults, which are not so much of an investment religion. Haredi Jewish cults are a lot more difficult and strict for the members than the Mormon cult. But they have developed in centuries a lot of the internal "company literature", debates and the interesting puzzles, that will distract the members or allow them to use their logic in these esoterical areas of the religion.

    They can read one of their leaders was criminal, but they can read another leader was a saint. Then they can them as example of the different puzzles.

    In comparison, with Mormons, you have to distract the members to not think about seer stones. This religion was created by someone who was viewed as a kind of serial criminal in the modern American society. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Smith_and_the_criminal_justice_system

    In comparison, it's installed in a way which more creates less traps for the critical nerds continuing in the cult, while even a religion like Catholicism has more ways to continue the interest of their nerds.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

  844. @Mr. XYZ
    @Wokechoke

    It's Joker Tsarnaev. At least it would be if he was funny instead of being so tragic. And he actually fit in relatively well in US society before his elder brother poisoned his mind by encouraging him to support terrorism. And his older brother was even able to secure a relatively attractive white American hottie for himself:

    https://www.bostonherald.com/wp-content/uploads/migration/2015/05/05/050515tsarmanev001.jpg?w=535

    https://readysteadycut.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/bomb-2-shot2.jpg

    How a hottie like her was able to be attracted to an Islamist POS like Tamerlan Tsarnaev, we'll never know. Maybe she just liked bad boys and viewed him being Muslim as being *extra* authentic and hard-core.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    She’s a CIA handler you naive young fool.

  845. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Well, I must say that I didn't hear about him (but I would be wary of him a bit as he is of 1963, which means he could have connection to communist secret service) as I long stopped being interested in Nazi Wunderwaffen (despite living not far from one of places where they were supposed to be researched), as obviously they didn't return their promise of miracle - the Nazis lost. And the Wunderwaffen did not re-appear in USA and USSR, which means they had never moved beyond the proof of concept phase, unlike the Nazi's rockets.

    But I see certain structural similarity between the discourse on them and the current USA UFOs & government discourse - they are supposed to be some miraculous USA technology kept away even from most of USA, and yet they don't deliver - exactly like Nazis' Wunderwaffen.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard

    He is (was) a journalist. His main source material was a war crimes trial in Poland of German officers at a research laboratory affiliated with the Skoda plant in Czechoslovakia. There is sworn eyewitness testimony regarding novel aircraft.

  846. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Well, I must say that I didn't hear about him (but I would be wary of him a bit as he is of 1963, which means he could have connection to communist secret service) as I long stopped being interested in Nazi Wunderwaffen (despite living not far from one of places where they were supposed to be researched), as obviously they didn't return their promise of miracle - the Nazis lost. And the Wunderwaffen did not re-appear in USA and USSR, which means they had never moved beyond the proof of concept phase, unlike the Nazi's rockets.

    But I see certain structural similarity between the discourse on them and the current USA UFOs & government discourse - they are supposed to be some miraculous USA technology kept away even from most of USA, and yet they don't deliver - exactly like Nazis' Wunderwaffen.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Emil Nikola Richard

    It’s not similar. It’s the same damn thing. In the propaganda business there are a handful of effective scripts and you always use one of those.

    I thought about this 2 seconds after edit window. : )

  847. @Mikel
    @Dmitry

    For whatever it's worth, the Polish person who told me in the 90s that Ukrainians were "the worst type of Russians" now has a Ukrainian flag on their Facebook page. So attitudes seem to have clearly changed. Perhaps it's not unreasonable to assume that this attitude change in Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it's very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO eastwards we have all become involved in old ethnic disputes that we have little idea about. It would have been so much better to try to placate those disputes rather than taking sides in them.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @AP, @Dmitry

    If they add the flag before or after February 2022.

    If it’s after February 2022, this is mainstream in Europe, as a kind of pan-European solidarity to show they oppose the invasion by the Russian army.

    If it’s before February 2022, then it could be indicator of person who is fan of Ukraine. This is possible for some, mainly liberals because of the events in Kiev in 2013. If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.

    It’s also true the events in Kiev in 2004 were viewed as romantically representation of peoples’ desire for democracy for liberals in Poland. The government of Poland’s CBOS report has an interesting discussion about the perception of the 2004 in the society in Poland and how it has been viewed positively in correlation to the level of education.

    Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians”

    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, “prostitute”) for Hitler.

    Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO

    Raising Ukraine to join NATO, will support the relation of Poland and Ukraine. The armies will become an important collaborator, especially now Belarus has become less independent and Poland is probably losing optimism they could change the government in Minsk.

    The raising of Ukraine to the EU, could have more different directions.

    It encourages Poland to become a more significant investor in Ukraine, as there will be more open market in Ukraine. Currently, Poland benefits from importing workers from Ukraine with a visa.

    For example, Eastern Poland (excluding Warsaw) is one of the most depopulating zones in Europe, with aging population, young people emigrating, the lowest fertility in Poland etc. At the same time, they require agricultural workers for collecting strawberries, collecting apples etc.

    After Euromaidan, Eastern Poland was using many thousands of young Ukrainians for the agricultural work, who enter for a few months to work in the summer.

    Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians were also working as a guest labor in Poland before 2022. In those years, there were a lot of the Ukrainian YouTubers living in Poland, talking about the racism against them.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.

    Poland will have less leverage against Ukraine and they will lose the monopoly in terms of the Ukrainian labor importation.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry


    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.
     
    I suspect that it will take a couple of decades for Ukraine to join the EU because it still needs to solve its poverty and corruption problems. It's made some progress on corruption but still has a very long way left to go, even in comparison to Poland:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9b/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%86%D1%96%D1%8F_%D0%B2_%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%96_1998-2018.jpg

    Ukraine's CPI score has been on a mostly upward trend since 2013, going from 25 in 2013 to 33 in 2022:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine

    But Poland is in the 50s, IIRC.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    , @AP
    @Dmitry


    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, “prostitute”) for Hitler.
     
    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.

    If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.
     
    Tusk is not "liberal opposition" but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.

    Ukraine is supported by the center-right, most of the populist right-wing (current PM and President), and urban liberals. Far left Commies (fringe) and far right Nazis (also fringe) support Russia.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.
     
    They can already do that. Poland is closer and offers a more comfortable environment and more similar culture. Most Ukrainians don't complain of racism, which is uncommon and typically of a snobbish regionalist character, when it occurs.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

  848. AP says:
    @Dmitry
    @AP


    liked than they were disliked. In 2020, 35% of Poles liked Ukrainians and 33% disliked them
     
    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    These surveys are comparative as most people don't say to the survey they have negative views to any nationality and it's more healthy people like other naitonalities, than to dislike other nationalities.

    The normal or healthy people who respond to the survey, will not dislike any nationality in the survey. It's usually a sign of an unhappy person, to dislike another nationality.

    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland's government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society. For Poles, disliking Germans is a kind of patriotic duty.


    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times

     

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine, while asking Germany to refund them or pay for new safe equipment to replace it.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.


    years 2010-2012, or going back more than 20 years to before the Orange Revolution.
     
    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.

    There was a difference with liberals in Poland who view the pro-democracy events in Kiev in 2004 and 2013 etc.

    Especially after 2013, people like Donald Tusk become more Ukrainian nationalists than Poroshenko or Zelensky. The educated and wealthy population in Poland are mainly liberals, so it's true the liberals' more pro-Ukraine view is a more elite view of Poland.

    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.
    https://neweasterneurope.eu/2017/10/31/poland-ukraine-relations-ball-court/

    Replies: @AP

    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.

    Sure, but the part you leave out is that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them. Including Ukrainians.

    So a more accurate description was that in 2020, Poles tended to like Ukrainians but they didn’t like them as much as they liked Italians, Czechs, etc.

    The only peoples that Poles disliked in 2020 were Russians, Muslims and Roma.

    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland’s government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society.

    The questions was about people, not the historical country. They are linked but not exactly the same. Germans have been apologetic about the Nazi past. Lots of Poles work in Germany.

    So in 2020 Poles liked Germans more than they disliked them. They also liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.

    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times

    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine

    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian equipment (it was modernized T-72s and Krab artillery, the latter is not dangerous). It was equipment that Poland itself was using. Ukraine also got a lot of ammo.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.

    Poland itself did not have a lot of new equipment and is getting new equipment now. It basically also gave Ukraine much of its equipment (as did Denmark), which it is now replacing with brand new equipment.

    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.

    As I explained, prior to 2003 Ukrainians were even more unpopular in Poland than Russians were. But since 2003 Russians were more unpopular. That’s a generation.

    You mistakenly claimed this was so until the war in 2022.

    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.

    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian. I personally know several such people.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    The only peoples that Poles disliked in 2020 were Russians, Muslims and Roma.
     
    Do Poles dislike Roma because they view them as Eastern Europe's equivalent of blacks? High-crime, low average IQ, anti-social, et cetera?
    , @Dmitry
    @AP


    s that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them.
     
    This pedantic. It's a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.

    https://i.imgur.com/ZSOGlDr.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/rc54YMG.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/reports/2019/017_19.pdf


    disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.
     
    Comparatively it's the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.

    Of course, this isn't something that needs to be eternal. The increase of dislike in the recent years was a lot because of PiS controls a lot of media in Poland and they are producing the anti-Ukrainian nationalist media as part of their support for the conservative old part of lower income population of Poland.

    Polish politicians are stereotypically cynical and they use these neurosis of the older generations. In 2022, Poland's media has been doing an anti-German campaign, which has no real logic except in terms of the internal neurosis of the old voters.


    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

     

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    "There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other."

    This relation of Poland and Ukraine has been more like a "frenemy" in the recent years, at least if we see Poland as the PiS government. This is de facto ally as Poland uses Ukrainian labor, which is a rhetorical target of Poland's politicians and media.

    But alliance is not friendly so much so Poland is not happy for Ukraine to destroy the Russian army and add clouds to the Russian future, despite permanent damage for Ukraine.

    After Ukraine has Melitopol and Mariupol is likely the countries like Poland will support continuing the war for Donetsk or Crimea, as the prioritization for their geopolitics is more weakening Russia than saving lives of Ukrainians.


    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian

     

    "Ukraine is grateful" you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1 given by Poland, which was already viewed as inadequate in the Yom Kippur War which was 50 years ago and moving deathtrap in the Afghanistan war 40 years ago.

    It's not really different except more people killed, than Chernobyl liquidators who are made to go to contaminated zones by their government without adequate protection.


    It was equipment that Poland itself was using.

     

    It's an ancient dangerous equipment Poland doesn't want to use, was trying to get money from Germany for disposing, while the media was following an anti-German campaign last year.

    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian.

     

    This is a mysterious logic. I don't know if I need to repeat Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality for Poles and this is the PiS demographic, which the PiS politicians use this to create support. They create rhetorical hostility to Ukrainians while continuing the policy of using them as a labor resource. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons
     
    "actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland". Do you understand the concept liberalism. You can read Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

    Tusk is a liberal, even ideological liberal. It doesn't match exactly to the rhetoric on Fox News etc, but this is his ideology. Also liberalism is not fringe movement in Poland. It's the mainstream views of educated or normal people there.

    Replies: @AP, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

  849. @AP
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And I’m nearly certain a Skinwalker haunted my camp one night near Canyonlands – it was a night of horror.
     
    Could you describe this please, in detail?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Sure. I was going to write about it here anyways.

    Although maybe it’s a little less dramatic than I made it sound, and perhaps you’ll make nothing of it 🙂 But it was an intense experience for me nonetheless.

    There is a remote dispersed camping area near the less visited Needles district of Canyonlands, called Lockhart Basin road. It has gorgeous desert scenery and views without limit. I would highly recommend it – free camping in some of the most gorgeous scenery of Utah.

    Lockhart Basin starts maybe an hour and a half drive from the main highway 191, in an area with tons of old Navajo rock paintings and old ruins.

    I’m very big into “feng shui” when it comes to campsite selection, and I like to pick spots with sweeping views of mountains, and that are very open, and with interesting trees and terrain visible. Such sites feel friendly and happy to me.

    So I found the perfect spot and settled down happily, with a good friendly feeling, cooked my dinner, drank my evening coffee (I do that), and was feeling generally satisfied and content, staring at a beautiful sunset.

    It was high summer and way too hot for most normal people who aren’t freaks like me, so the whole place was empty and I was the only camper.

    So I settled into my camp chair to read my book. Around 10 pm, I suddenly noticed it was suddenly deathly quiet, in a way it hadn’t been before. No wind, no animal noise, no insect noise. Just eerie silence. I start hearing faint pitter-patter noises, as of some animal, but somehow “not right”, as of no natural animal I know. It just sounded wrong and off, too quick and rapid somehow, almost like perhaps what a giant insect might make.

    Every time I swing around and look, I see nothing. And then suddenly I start sweating profusely and am gripped with the most intense dread I’ve ever felt, out of the blue. Just wave after wave of what I can only describe as supernatural dread – you know, not the normal fear you have in the face of some known danger, but that feeling you had as a kid in the face the uncanny, or the night terrors you felt as a kid in a dark room alone fearing ghosts.

    Except I’m an adult, and haven’t felt this way in ages, and it’s way more intense than anything I felt as a kid!

    And I was completely unable to shake it off. Nothing I thought or did worked. Extremely unnerved, I went into my car and locked the doors.

    And that’s when disturbing and terrifying imagery started flashing unbidden through my mind, of a maniacally leering man with a face of pure evil, and then a horrifically misshapen wolf-man creature that oozed pure malice. The images were vivid, oddly specific, and again, I couldn’t shake them.

    I had no choice but to keep the windows of my car open because of the heat, but I closed them halfway. I started hearing faint “whoosh” sounds, as of something moving swiftly past my car, but every time I looked again, I saw nothing.

    I used my full adult repertoire of psychological calming skills, rationalization, and self talk, to dispel my terror – but it held its grip with a tenacity that was alao highly unusual. Whatever the fear, I can also at least somewhat calm myself usually.

    I seriously considered just packing up and driving away, but it was late, I was tired – and I felt like I would be a pathetic wimp of I gave in to my fears like that! Throughout the night there were moments of calm, but “the terror” always returned periodically.

    After a largely sleepless night, out of curiosity the next day I researched Navajo myths and legends and discovered the Skinwalker – clicking on Google images, the first thing I see is a picture of a misshapen wolf-man entirely reminiscent of the vivid images flashing through my mind! That was it!

    And get this – this year, last month in the summer again, I returned to that very same spot. In the intervening year my rational mind took over and dismissed the incident as just nerves or fatigue or loneliness – sometimes silence and solitude in the desert can play tricks on you. I had largely forgotten the incident, or buried it’s memory, perhaps, as a shameful giving in to irrational fear.

    So this summer I’m in the same camp spot, again sitting in my camp chair reading a book. At around 11 pm I suddenly noticed it’s eerily quiet, and a sense of extreme dread – out of nowhere – starts coming over me. And then I remembered last summer!

    No way, not again. I didn’t care how late it was, I packed up and drove to a spot a mile down the road – I was hoping it wasn’t the entire valley, because it was so beautiful and I wanted to stay somewhere there. And sure enough, I felt wonderful in my new spot, and had a great night’s sleep!

    I’m never going back to that spot again, however perfectly it formally fits my aesthetics. I would love it if someone camped there and reported back here! It’s the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road. Someone try it!

    The more I go to the red rock country, the more “spooky” I find it – it’s still some of my most favorite scenery and I will return again and again, but I’m discovering it has an eerie dimension the more I visit, even on broad daylight.

    Reading more on Navajo culture, I discovered that the Navajo have a keen sense of the uncanny and the eerie, and have a strange dread of death and anything to do with the dead. And this dramatic red land was once home to the Anasazi, the Old Ones, who vanished without a trace, leaving their dwellings intact, and who constructed strangely fortified dwellings on hard to reach cliffs, and yet they had no known enemies – as if they were defending against unseen enemies. The Navajo refuse to go near the abandoned dwellings of the Old Ones.

    And the Indian rock pictographs in the region often portray strangely giant humanoid forms, with elongated limbs.

    Of course, a rational skeptic can easily dismiss my account on any number of grounds. But to someone who has experienced it, it has significance.

    • Replies: @AP
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Thank you. The reason I asked was because I had not thought of this when I posted to Mikel about never having had a supernatural experience but was then reminded of a potential one when camping in southern Nevada, in an isolated spot near some petroglyphs (it was an "official" campground rather than a random place n the wilderness, but I had a spot far from the others and there were few people there that night, and no one anywhere near our spot).

    Basically, I was awoken by the sound of heavy human footsteps next to the tent, walking around the area. I quickly got out, and there was no one nearby. The moon was in the sky, visibility was good, and there was no immediate place for someone to hide (rock formations weren't super close and I didn't hear anyone running towards their cover, the footsteps just stopped). There are no bears there, it was too heavy to have been a coyote (and it sounded like human footsteps) and I would have seen a burro. I got back in the tent and heard them again, got out of the tent - and again, nothing. My wife also woke up, and heard them. This occurred a few times. I was tired, I figured it was probably not an actual person because I would have seen him, and trying to find the source was futile. I told myself that if it was a spirit of some sort then God is stronger than spirits anyways, I figured there was nothing to be done and sleep is important so I ended up just going back to sleep. Apparently I slept quite soundly (my poor wife meanwhile couldn't fall asleep though with those footsteps). She sometimes teases me about this incident.

    I would be a ridiculous character in a horror movie.

    I can't completely exclude some rational explanation, unlike in the case of my friend's grandmother I had mentioned which really has no reasonable natural explanation.

    Replies: @sudden death

    , @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Interesting story. I guess I now have no choice but to one day camp at the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road, a few hours from here. Not sure I'd be able to identify the correct spot though. It looks like a very long and winding road.

    But well, it looks like what you are describing is of a purely mental nature, with disturbing thoughts coming to your mind... after, ahem, drinking some coffee before going to sleep.

    At this stage you must have spent more nights in the outdoors than me. It's been 40+ years of mountaineering now but most outings were daily hikes. Let me share my own experiences though and start by saying that I have never seen any paranormal phenomena of any kind in the outdoors.

    One thing that I do notice happens is that when you're brutally exhausted, like climbing a 4,500 mt (14,700') mountain and walking back home the same day, spending 30+ hours on the go non-stop, you start to have mild hallucinations. In my case, I've kind of seen people beside me, or heard their voices. But this is just what you would expect. You are dehydrated, sleep-deprived, affected by altitude sickness and your body is looking for its last reserves of energy to do what you are demanding from it. Of course, your brain gets affected and starts also behaving in unusual ways. But it never was so vivid that I couldn't recognize these sensory experiences for what they were, except for maybe the first time, when I was slightly spooked, but then they became the expected behavior whenever I got into similar levels of exertion and, sure enough, there they were the next times in basically the same forms. Perhaps if I was a person strongly inclined to believe in fairies and similar phenomena, I would have interpreted these experiences in a totally different way.

    Another thing that happens when you're sleeping in nature is that, of course, there are lots of noises that you don't recognize. This is not your cozy bedroom. There are animals around, vegetation, there is wind, there are rocks cracking from expansion and contraction with the day-night temperature variation and many other things going around. Most of the sounds you can actually recognize, more or less, but you cannot expect to recognize everyone of them at all. If you want to have some sleep you better ignore them. This is what McGilchrist would describe as attention being the key element of what exists for us at a moment in time or makes it go totally unnoticed. I think that with time you don't even pay any attention to the sounds around you and just fall deeply asleep in your bag after a day of strenuous exercise.

    But I do have my own horror story. This was probably the first night I spent outdoors on my own, a long time ago, in my late teens. I chose to sleep in a big cave in the mountains close to my hometown where a long time ago they had built a nice little rock chapel to the Virgin Mary. I don't know the story of this place but it's a basic structure with some crosses and religious imagery inside. I began thinking that someone must have seen a Virgin apparition in this place and that's why they built the chapel. I couldn't stop thinking that She may choose to appear to me now. Or that, not worthy of Her attention, some other lesser paranormal appearance may disturb me. I spent the whole night subsumed in these thoughts, half-awake, hoping with all my might that whatever spirits may sometimes descend to this place would leave me alone and paying attention to every little sound that came from all corners of the cave . Of course nothing happened. I did feel some horror but it was all in my imagination. The most magical thing that happened that night was the first rays of sun totally dispelling any fear and turning me into my usual rational and confident conqueror of the mountain heights.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Sher Singh, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  850. Eh, this shouldn’t be behind mores tag.

    [MORE]

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Thanks: Mr. XYZ
  851. @AP
    @Dmitry


    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.
     
    Sure, but the part you leave out is that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them. Including Ukrainians.

    So a more accurate description was that in 2020, Poles tended to like Ukrainians but they didn't like them as much as they liked Italians, Czechs, etc.

    The only peoples that Poles disliked in 2020 were Russians, Muslims and Roma.


    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland’s government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society.
     
    The questions was about people, not the historical country. They are linked but not exactly the same. Germans have been apologetic about the Nazi past. Lots of Poles work in Germany.

    So in 2020 Poles liked Germans more than they disliked them. They also liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.


    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times
     
    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine
     

    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian equipment (it was modernized T-72s and Krab artillery, the latter is not dangerous). It was equipment that Poland itself was using. Ukraine also got a lot of ammo.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.
     
    Poland itself did not have a lot of new equipment and is getting new equipment now. It basically also gave Ukraine much of its equipment (as did Denmark), which it is now replacing with brand new equipment.

    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.
     
    As I explained, prior to 2003 Ukrainians were even more unpopular in Poland than Russians were. But since 2003 Russians were more unpopular. That's a generation.

    You mistakenly claimed this was so until the war in 2022.


    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.
     
    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian. I personally know several such people.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    The only peoples that Poles disliked in 2020 were Russians, Muslims and Roma.

    Do Poles dislike Roma because they view them as Eastern Europe’s equivalent of blacks? High-crime, low average IQ, anti-social, et cetera?

  852. @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Of course it would be hard for their people to get all the way to Russia, so the practical effect on immigration is close to zero.
     
    They can buy plane tickets to Russia if they can afford them, no? Though then they would actually need to find jobs in Russia if they are to avoid starving since I don't know if Russia's welfare state would actually cover people who are not Russian citizens or permanent residents.

    It would be funny if Russia opened its doors to all central Asia and Africa on the conditions that the immigrants convert to Russian Orthodoxy and learn the Russian language.
     
    Converting Muslims to Christianity I suspect would be rather difficult. It hasn't exactly worked out historically when tried, other than in Adjara, where Georgian nationalism made it considerably easier (Georgian national identity was strongly associated with Christianity, increasing the pressure on Adjarans to convert back to their ancestors' Christian faith after Georgia regained its independence in 1991). But converting non-Muslims to Christianity should be considerably easier. Native Americans, Filipinos, and Sub-Saharan Africans were historically converted to Christianity en masse. Even a lot of Koreans have converted to Christianity in recent decades. This would simply be a case of people converting to a different kind of Christianity.

    So long as these conversions to Russian Orthodoxy are indeed sincere, this would seem like a great deal for Russia if it doesn't mind becoming Third Worldified. I suppose that a willingness to convert to Russian Orthodoxy would involve some selection for assimilation, even if these immigrants will still be duller on average than Russians themselves are. Interestingly enough, here in the US, some alt-righters are converting to Russian Orthodoxy:

    https://www.npr.org/2022/05/10/1096741988/orthodox-christian-churches-are-drawing-in-far-right-american-converts

    https://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/responses/american-conversions-to-russian-orthodoxy-amid-the-global-culture-wars

    Apparently longtime Russian Orthodox Christian believers in the US dislike the influx of racists into their ranks, especially if in the long-run there will be so many of them that they will begin to acquire leadership positions in the US Russian Orthodox Church.

    As I told you on Twitter, I also think that it would be a good idea for Ukraine to encourage conversions to Ukrainian Orthodoxy worldwide, including in the Third World. From a Ukrainian nationalist perspective, the positive effect of this would be a larger Ukrainian religious diaspora (albeit not in an ethnic sense) while relatively few of them would probably actually be willing to move to Ukraine so long as Ukraine itself remains relatively poor.

    BTW, this is off-topic, but it seems like the most successful Christian group from a current evolutionary perspective is the Mormons since their fertility is actually eugenic:

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2022/06/new-study-out-will-intelligent-latter-day-saints-and-smart-conservatives-inherit-the-earth/

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/dysgenics-mormons-2048x1331.png

    Conservative fertility is significantly less dysgenic than liberal and even moderate fertility, but it's not eugenic like Mormon fertility is:

    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/wp-content/uploads/dysgenics-politics-2048x1331.jpeg

    Do you think that God is responsible for the eugenic Mormon fertility, in spite of the implausibility of their religious narrative (Jesus ending up in North America)?

    Replies: @Dmitry

    eugenic Mormon

    I don’t think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype,

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don’t pay the tithe.

    The ex-Mormons are also seeming very nerdy, which is an indication of the braindrain of the religion. It could be like any braindraining society i.e. Russian emigrants’ society, when the people are more nerdy than Russian non-emigrants’ society.

    Although the leaders of the church are intelligent, in a selfish way like a kind of investment bankers. The main heads of the church didn’t even work as missionaries, while they use the free labor of the younger people to expand the tithe market and increase the investments, often the missionaries go to the third world or convert people who have difficult situations.

    One of the issues of the investment style of religion, is they don’t have enough of the intellectual content to be interesting for the nerdy members of the cult to continue.

    If you compare the Haredi Jewish cults, which are not so much of an investment religion. Haredi Jewish cults are a lot more difficult and strict for the members than the Mormon cult. But they have developed in centuries a lot of the internal “company literature”, debates and the interesting puzzles, that will distract the members or allow them to use their logic in these esoterical areas of the religion.

    They can read one of their leaders was criminal, but they can read another leader was a saint. Then they can them as example of the different puzzles.

    In comparison, with Mormons, you have to distract the members to not think about seer stones. This religion was created by someone who was viewed as a kind of serial criminal in the modern American society. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Smith_and_the_criminal_justice_system

    In comparison, it’s installed in a way which more creates less traps for the critical nerds continuing in the cult, while even a religion like Catholicism has more ways to continue the interest of their nerds.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry

    So, maybe the net effect of this is that average Mormon IQ remains roughly the same since the smarter Mormons breed more but are also more likely to leave the faith? In which case, Mormon eugenic reproduction is still a net boon for humanity, and even more so, since it produces more secular people (ex-Mormons) for future generations.

    , @John Johnson
    @Dmitry

    I don’t think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype

    They also push out anyone that questions authority. Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.

    So as with liberal forms of Christianity they favor genes for submission.

    Turning Whites into submissive puppies by breeding out the aggressive ones. Great, that's all we need. More submission to authority.

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don’t pay the tithe.

    Mr XYZ needs to read to ex-Mormon forums. I have been around them and know enough.

    They have positive fertility but it is completely dysgenic. They lock out male competition and maintain a sort of weasel man's club. I honestly doubt most of the men are dutifully faithful. I see groups of unmarried Mormons at Walmart and they look like self-conscious scammers. They aren't humble or considerate of others like our local Christian groups. The unmarried women won't even look at non-Mormon men. In business they will look at the sky when talking to one. I guess they are terrified of getting a wet cooch for a non-Mormon.

    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn't been around them.

    I get that on paper they don't seem so bad. But at the end of the day they are a cult and not a denomination. When being around them you can quickly see this in how they treat non-Mormons. They have an unspoken belief that they get to rule over us in the afterlife. One of the many beliefs they don't mention in the brochure. We are their eternal slaves that only have temporary forms of independence. The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.

    It's a wacky cult and does not serve Whites in the long term.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mikel

  853. @Dmitry
    @Mikel

    If they add the flag before or after February 2022.

    If it's after February 2022, this is mainstream in Europe, as a kind of pan-European solidarity to show they oppose the invasion by the Russian army.

    If it's before February 2022, then it could be indicator of person who is fan of Ukraine. This is possible for some, mainly liberals because of the events in Kiev in 2013. If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.

    It's also true the events in Kiev in 2004 were viewed as romantically representation of peoples' desire for democracy for liberals in Poland. The government of Poland's CBOS report has an interesting discussion about the perception of the 2004 in the society in Poland and how it has been viewed positively in correlation to the level of education.


    Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians”

     

    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, "prostitute") for Hitler.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SDMJt99GsM


    Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO
     
    Raising Ukraine to join NATO, will support the relation of Poland and Ukraine. The armies will become an important collaborator, especially now Belarus has become less independent and Poland is probably losing optimism they could change the government in Minsk.

    The raising of Ukraine to the EU, could have more different directions.

    It encourages Poland to become a more significant investor in Ukraine, as there will be more open market in Ukraine. Currently, Poland benefits from importing workers from Ukraine with a visa.

    For example, Eastern Poland (excluding Warsaw) is one of the most depopulating zones in Europe, with aging population, young people emigrating, the lowest fertility in Poland etc. At the same time, they require agricultural workers for collecting strawberries, collecting apples etc.

    After Euromaidan, Eastern Poland was using many thousands of young Ukrainians for the agricultural work, who enter for a few months to work in the summer.

    Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians were also working as a guest labor in Poland before 2022. In those years, there were a lot of the Ukrainian YouTubers living in Poland, talking about the racism against them.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be "trapped" to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.

    Poland will have less leverage against Ukraine and they will lose the monopoly in terms of the Ukrainian labor importation.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @AP

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.

    I suspect that it will take a couple of decades for Ukraine to join the EU because it still needs to solve its poverty and corruption problems. It’s made some progress on corruption but still has a very long way left to go, even in comparison to Poland:

    Ukraine’s CPI score has been on a mostly upward trend since 2013, going from 25 in 2013 to 33 in 2022:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine

    But Poland is in the 50s, IIRC.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    https://i.redd.it/0m5ivq3b68d31.png

    , @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ

    This is one of the areas Poland has been successful in the last decades, to reduce corruption. As a result partly although there are more important reasons, it's viewed as a safe zone for foreign investors.

    Business in Poland is also reported by people now as quite organized, efficient etc. In this area, the culture is maybe more similar to Germany.

    A problem for Poland's economy is the low quality of education system, lack of the investment in the future industries. For example, venture capital investments in Poland last year was around 30 times less than in Great Britain which indicates the weak technology sector.

    They also become dependent for foreign companies and investment, especially Germany. And also dependent on the foreign labor, in the recent ten years especially the Ukrainians. After Ukraine joins the EU, the Ukrainian workers will be able to bypass Poland so probably Poland will need to use another labor resource.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  854. Sher Singh says:

    New paper origin for IE languages is out. They conclude a 6000 BCE south of caucasus origin. Indo-Iranian split into Indo-Aryan and Iranic branches began 4000BCE as per them. Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.

    1. They conclude that Vedic is not the direct ancestor of modern Indic languages, which is also the consensus.

    2. They conclude that breakup of the ancestor of modern Indic languages started about 2400BCE, in Indian subcontinent.

    3. So, Indo-Aryan languages were present much earlier, in IVC as well, and Vedic is a later daughter language, now extinct. Modern Indic languages then possibly descend from IVC.

    4. These tools don’t use phonology and grammar which are quite archaic in Vedic, but only cognacy of common words. So Vedic may actually be older. The result of this paper may be used as lower bound for age.

    ਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕਾਖਾਲਸਾਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕੀਫਤਿਹ

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Sher Singh


    Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.
     
    NO IT DOES NOT.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    , @Beckow
    @Sher Singh


    IE languages 6000 BCE south of caucasus origin. Indo-Iranian split into Indo-Aryan and Iranic branches began 4000BCE....Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.
     
    The steppe theory is validated by archeology, genetics, and indirect historical sources. The linguistic data is never going to be conclusive: there were IE tribes south-of-Caucasus in early ancient history: Hittites, Mitani, later on Armenians, Medes...and their IE variants were some the oldest. They most likely came from the steppes through the Balkans or around the Caspian Sea - it is hard to cross Caucasus mountains directly.

    The genetic data suggests that IE formed in the north-of-Caucasus steppes by mixing Eastern European hunters (mostly men) with women from the Caucasus region. So we got the euro look, but with substantial hair - hirsuteness is centered around Caucasus. It probably wasn't pretty, but we don't know for sure.

    IE languages had a unique structure able to absorb substrata from other languages and had relatively flexible grammars. They are more directive, precise and streamlined, maybe due to the fast-moving and simpler lifestyle on the steppes. The ability to layer the IE language on the other numerous languages that existed at that time was a huge benefit - also the generally dominant position that IE speakers had due to their stronger physique and military skills.

    IE languages spread by moving on top of existing substrata often adopting vocabulary but maintaining the IE feel and structure. There are for example identifiable ancient substrata in proto-German languages that are different in the northwest than in the south. Something similar happened in India.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  855. @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ


    eugenic Mormon

     

    I don't think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype,

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don't pay the tithe.

    The ex-Mormons are also seeming very nerdy, which is an indication of the braindrain of the religion. It could be like any braindraining society i.e. Russian emigrants' society, when the people are more nerdy than Russian non-emigrants' society.

    Although the leaders of the church are intelligent, in a selfish way like a kind of investment bankers. The main heads of the church didn't even work as missionaries, while they use the free labor of the younger people to expand the tithe market and increase the investments, often the missionaries go to the third world or convert people who have difficult situations.

    -

    One of the issues of the investment style of religion, is they don't have enough of the intellectual content to be interesting for the nerdy members of the cult to continue.

    If you compare the Haredi Jewish cults, which are not so much of an investment religion. Haredi Jewish cults are a lot more difficult and strict for the members than the Mormon cult. But they have developed in centuries a lot of the internal "company literature", debates and the interesting puzzles, that will distract the members or allow them to use their logic in these esoterical areas of the religion.

    They can read one of their leaders was criminal, but they can read another leader was a saint. Then they can them as example of the different puzzles.

    In comparison, with Mormons, you have to distract the members to not think about seer stones. This religion was created by someone who was viewed as a kind of serial criminal in the modern American society. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Smith_and_the_criminal_justice_system

    In comparison, it's installed in a way which more creates less traps for the critical nerds continuing in the cult, while even a religion like Catholicism has more ways to continue the interest of their nerds.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    So, maybe the net effect of this is that average Mormon IQ remains roughly the same since the smarter Mormons breed more but are also more likely to leave the faith? In which case, Mormon eugenic reproduction is still a net boon for humanity, and even more so, since it produces more secular people (ex-Mormons) for future generations.

  856. AP says:
    @Dmitry
    @Mikel

    If they add the flag before or after February 2022.

    If it's after February 2022, this is mainstream in Europe, as a kind of pan-European solidarity to show they oppose the invasion by the Russian army.

    If it's before February 2022, then it could be indicator of person who is fan of Ukraine. This is possible for some, mainly liberals because of the events in Kiev in 2013. If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.

    It's also true the events in Kiev in 2004 were viewed as romantically representation of peoples' desire for democracy for liberals in Poland. The government of Poland's CBOS report has an interesting discussion about the perception of the 2004 in the society in Poland and how it has been viewed positively in correlation to the level of education.


    Ukrainians were “the worst type of Russians”

     

    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, "prostitute") for Hitler.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SDMJt99GsM


    Poland may be transitory, given the not so distant history and the general preference in Poland for anything coming from the West rather than the East, but it’s very difficult for me to evaluate attitudes towards other foreigners in a country that is also foreign to me. What I can say is that by mindlessly expanding NATO
     
    Raising Ukraine to join NATO, will support the relation of Poland and Ukraine. The armies will become an important collaborator, especially now Belarus has become less independent and Poland is probably losing optimism they could change the government in Minsk.

    The raising of Ukraine to the EU, could have more different directions.

    It encourages Poland to become a more significant investor in Ukraine, as there will be more open market in Ukraine. Currently, Poland benefits from importing workers from Ukraine with a visa.

    For example, Eastern Poland (excluding Warsaw) is one of the most depopulating zones in Europe, with aging population, young people emigrating, the lowest fertility in Poland etc. At the same time, they require agricultural workers for collecting strawberries, collecting apples etc.

    After Euromaidan, Eastern Poland was using many thousands of young Ukrainians for the agricultural work, who enter for a few months to work in the summer.

    Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians were also working as a guest labor in Poland before 2022. In those years, there were a lot of the Ukrainian YouTubers living in Poland, talking about the racism against them.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be "trapped" to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.

    Poland will have less leverage against Ukraine and they will lose the monopoly in terms of the Ukrainian labor importation.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @AP

    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, “prostitute”) for Hitler.

    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.

    If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.

    Ukraine is supported by the center-right, most of the populist right-wing (current PM and President), and urban liberals. Far left Commies (fringe) and far right Nazis (also fringe) support Russia.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.

    They can already do that. Poland is closer and offers a more comfortable environment and more similar culture. Most Ukrainians don’t complain of racism, which is uncommon and typically of a snobbish regionalist character, when it occurs.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.
     
    Seems like Ukraine should apologize for these massacres in order to improve its relations with Poland even further, no? And tone down its Bandera worship, especially considering that this war has and will produced a lot of much better heroes for Ukraine (certainly in comparison to Bandera).

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.
     
    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that. (That's the general gist of what he said; I don't remember the exact details.) Is this true or at least close to being true?

    And you should know that while I myself prefer the left over the right (though I would prefer the alt-center even more than the left), I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney, whom I actually voted in favor in 2012, albeit for the wrong reason (I was still politically anti-abortion back then and thought that this was a sufficiently important issue for me to vote for Mitt that year). Whether I regret my 2012 vote for Romney, well, I don't know. I would have had it not been for BLM significantly escalating during Obama's second term. With that factor, I'm just not completely sure. I did vote for Clinton in 2016 and for Biden in 2020 and plan to vote for Biden again in 2024. (I supported Obama in 2008, both in the primary against Clinton (I wanted a break from the very long continuous Bush-Clinton rule) and during the general election against McCain, but was still too young to vote back in 2008, unlike in 2010 and beyond. McCain picking Palin certainly didn't help his cause in my own eyes.)

    Replies: @AP

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    They can already do that. Poland is closer and offers a more comfortable environment and more similar culture. Most Ukrainians don’t complain of racism, which is uncommon and typically of a snobbish regionalist character, when it occurs.
     
    Poland's likely long-term trajectory is to converge to Germany's levels of GDP PPP per capita (very similar levels of human capital), so it also makes sense from a long-term economic perspective to stay in Poland, especially if they will think that Poland's staunch anti-abortion legislation will get repealed or struck down by EU courts in the near future.

    BTW, off-topic, but I have a question for you: In 1920, what did Poland envision Ukraine's eastern borders to be? The Dnieper or further east? And was western Novorossiya, such as Odessa, to be included within Ukraine in the event of a more decisive Polish victory in the Polish-Soviet War?

  857. @Sher Singh
    New paper origin for IE languages is out. They conclude a 6000 BCE south of caucasus origin. Indo-Iranian split into Indo-Aryan and Iranic branches began 4000BCE as per them. Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.

    1. They conclude that Vedic is not the direct ancestor of modern Indic languages, which is also the consensus.

    2. They conclude that breakup of the ancestor of modern Indic languages started about 2400BCE, in Indian subcontinent.

    3. So, Indo-Aryan languages were present much earlier, in IVC as well, and Vedic is a later daughter language, now extinct. Modern Indic languages then possibly descend from IVC.

    4. These tools don’t use phonology and grammar which are quite archaic in Vedic, but only cognacy of common words. So Vedic may actually be older. The result of this paper may be used as lower bound for age.

    ਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕਾਖਾਲਸਾਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕੀਫਤਿਹ

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Beckow

    Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.

    NO IT DOES NOT.

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Didn't see your post.

    Here's my response -

    “I am descended from numerous prestigious archaic populations.”
    “I am an American. I’ll have the number three with large fries and a coke.”



    https://twitter.com/kunley_drukpa/status/1677770544593207300?s=20

    https://twitter.com/Kharkuu96/status/1680447305881616385?s=20

    https://twitter.com/KingConradin/status/1676623268789329921?s=20

    ਅਕਾਲ

  858. Eh, I don’t actually give a fuck.

    Moving on might go lift

    ਅਕਾਲ

  859. @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I was once camping in a tent in the White Mountains region, when I heard the most incredible noise. It sounded like a tank, on legs. Like, it was trying to pulp every twig on the ground.

    I have heard that moose typically aren't active at night. Bears have always struck me as being fairly quiet, unless they are running, and whatever this was was not.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    So interesting, I had a very similar experience two summers ago in Harriman State Park camping.

    At 3 am was woken up by extremely loud crashing sounds, as of several extremely large animals literally crashing through the woods past my tent.

    We don’t have any moose here, and deers with their dainty hooves don’t “crash” through the woods. I’ve seen deer walk through my camp, they don’t make a loud noise.

    Could have been bears, but like you say they’re also quiet with their padded feet and slow ambling movements,and it would have had to have been several very large adult bears. We don’t have grizzlies here.

    I was sick with a slight fever and when you’re in that state, nothing bothers you, so I just lay in bed, curious but unfazed.

    But who knows what lurks in these thick East Coast woods?

    There’s a whole genre called Appalachian Horror, apparently, that reflects a longstanding sense that these thick dark woods can sometimes be spooky. The Puritans felt it. And various parts of the Appalachian forests have over the years acquired reputations for being haunted.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    There is something magical about woods, once they have reached a certain age. I did not feel it in the scraggly forests that I saw in Ireland. But I can feel it in some of the zones of regrowth in New England, even when coming across old wells, or tombstones, or other strange signs of old inhabitation.

    I can well understand the impulse to label certain trees as fairy trees and make it a taboo cut them down.

    Even though it may be true that the woods were not completely untouched by the Indians, what they looked like back then must have been completely wondrous. I fear that the way the US has chosen to fight fires may result in something more choked and less spacious. Less of a cathedral of light.

    I once read some old folktales from Appalachia with a slight horror theme and greatly enjoyed a few. One that especially appealed to me was of a man walking down a lonely dirt road at night and hearing a log rolling behind him. Everytime he looked back the log would stop, and everytime he continued, it would start again.

    I like finding the little old graveyards on these dirt roads, esp. in autumn.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  860. AP says:
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @AP

    Sure. I was going to write about it here anyways.

    Although maybe it's a little less dramatic than I made it sound, and perhaps you'll make nothing of it :) But it was an intense experience for me nonetheless.

    There is a remote dispersed camping area near the less visited Needles district of Canyonlands, called Lockhart Basin road. It has gorgeous desert scenery and views without limit. I would highly recommend it - free camping in some of the most gorgeous scenery of Utah.

    Lockhart Basin starts maybe an hour and a half drive from the main highway 191, in an area with tons of old Navajo rock paintings and old ruins.

    I'm very big into "feng shui" when it comes to campsite selection, and I like to pick spots with sweeping views of mountains, and that are very open, and with interesting trees and terrain visible. Such sites feel friendly and happy to me.

    So I found the perfect spot and settled down happily, with a good friendly feeling, cooked my dinner, drank my evening coffee (I do that), and was feeling generally satisfied and content, staring at a beautiful sunset.

    It was high summer and way too hot for most normal people who aren't freaks like me, so the whole place was empty and I was the only camper.

    So I settled into my camp chair to read my book. Around 10 pm, I suddenly noticed it was suddenly deathly quiet, in a way it hadn't been before. No wind, no animal noise, no insect noise. Just eerie silence. I start hearing faint pitter-patter noises, as of some animal, but somehow "not right", as of no natural animal I know. It just sounded wrong and off, too quick and rapid somehow, almost like perhaps what a giant insect might make.

    Every time I swing around and look, I see nothing. And then suddenly I start sweating profusely and am gripped with the most intense dread I've ever felt, out of the blue. Just wave after wave of what I can only describe as supernatural dread - you know, not the normal fear you have in the face of some known danger, but that feeling you had as a kid in the face the uncanny, or the night terrors you felt as a kid in a dark room alone fearing ghosts.

    Except I'm an adult, and haven't felt this way in ages, and it's way more intense than anything I felt as a kid!

    And I was completely unable to shake it off. Nothing I thought or did worked. Extremely unnerved, I went into my car and locked the doors.

    And that's when disturbing and terrifying imagery started flashing unbidden through my mind, of a maniacally leering man with a face of pure evil, and then a horrifically misshapen wolf-man creature that oozed pure malice. The images were vivid, oddly specific, and again, I couldn't shake them.

    I had no choice but to keep the windows of my car open because of the heat, but I closed them halfway. I started hearing faint "whoosh" sounds, as of something moving swiftly past my car, but every time I looked again, I saw nothing.

    I used my full adult repertoire of psychological calming skills, rationalization, and self talk, to dispel my terror - but it held its grip with a tenacity that was alao highly unusual. Whatever the fear, I can also at least somewhat calm myself usually.

    I seriously considered just packing up and driving away, but it was late, I was tired - and I felt like I would be a pathetic wimp of I gave in to my fears like that! Throughout the night there were moments of calm, but "the terror" always returned periodically.

    After a largely sleepless night, out of curiosity the next day I researched Navajo myths and legends and discovered the Skinwalker - clicking on Google images, the first thing I see is a picture of a misshapen wolf-man entirely reminiscent of the vivid images flashing through my mind! That was it!

    And get this - this year, last month in the summer again, I returned to that very same spot. In the intervening year my rational mind took over and dismissed the incident as just nerves or fatigue or loneliness - sometimes silence and solitude in the desert can play tricks on you. I had largely forgotten the incident, or buried it's memory, perhaps, as a shameful giving in to irrational fear.

    So this summer I'm in the same camp spot, again sitting in my camp chair reading a book. At around 11 pm I suddenly noticed it's eerily quiet, and a sense of extreme dread - out of nowhere - starts coming over me. And then I remembered last summer!

    No way, not again. I didn't care how late it was, I packed up and drove to a spot a mile down the road - I was hoping it wasn't the entire valley, because it was so beautiful and I wanted to stay somewhere there. And sure enough, I felt wonderful in my new spot, and had a great night's sleep!

    I'm never going back to that spot again, however perfectly it formally fits my aesthetics. I would love it if someone camped there and reported back here! It's the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road. Someone try it!

    The more I go to the red rock country, the more "spooky" I find it - it's still some of my most favorite scenery and I will return again and again, but I'm discovering it has an eerie dimension the more I visit, even on broad daylight.

    Reading more on Navajo culture, I discovered that the Navajo have a keen sense of the uncanny and the eerie, and have a strange dread of death and anything to do with the dead. And this dramatic red land was once home to the Anasazi, the Old Ones, who vanished without a trace, leaving their dwellings intact, and who constructed strangely fortified dwellings on hard to reach cliffs, and yet they had no known enemies - as if they were defending against unseen enemies. The Navajo refuse to go near the abandoned dwellings of the Old Ones.

    And the Indian rock pictographs in the region often portray strangely giant humanoid forms, with elongated limbs.

    Of course, a rational skeptic can easily dismiss my account on any number of grounds. But to someone who has experienced it, it has significance.

    Replies: @AP, @Mikel

    Thank you. The reason I asked was because I had not thought of this when I posted to Mikel about never having had a supernatural experience but was then reminded of a potential one when camping in southern Nevada, in an isolated spot near some petroglyphs (it was an “official” campground rather than a random place n the wilderness, but I had a spot far from the others and there were few people there that night, and no one anywhere near our spot).

    [MORE]

    Basically, I was awoken by the sound of heavy human footsteps next to the tent, walking around the area. I quickly got out, and there was no one nearby. The moon was in the sky, visibility was good, and there was no immediate place for someone to hide (rock formations weren’t super close and I didn’t hear anyone running towards their cover, the footsteps just stopped). There are no bears there, it was too heavy to have been a coyote (and it sounded like human footsteps) and I would have seen a burro. I got back in the tent and heard them again, got out of the tent – and again, nothing. My wife also woke up, and heard them. This occurred a few times. I was tired, I figured it was probably not an actual person because I would have seen him, and trying to find the source was futile. I told myself that if it was a spirit of some sort then God is stronger than spirits anyways, I figured there was nothing to be done and sleep is important so I ended up just going back to sleep. Apparently I slept quite soundly (my poor wife meanwhile couldn’t fall asleep though with those footsteps). She sometimes teases me about this incident.

    I would be a ridiculous character in a horror movie.

    I can’t completely exclude some rational explanation, unlike in the case of my friend’s grandmother I had mentioned which really has no reasonable natural explanation.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @AP


    I can’t completely exclude some rational explanation, unlike in the case of my friend’s grandmother I had mentioned which really has no reasonable natural explanation.
     
    Vaguely remember reading somewhere about some chemical neasurements done in places with "haunted" reputations and non lethal or immediately harmful, but still heightened carbon monoxide readings were observed, which may explain at least some auditory/visual disburtances in human perception when being affected by that substance when breathing in continously for some time in one roughly same place.

    Probably some chemical atmosphere composition changes, which might mess with human natural perceptions, can occur in nature at some places too due some peculiar circumstances, so that might be probable rational explanation if some strange sounds like steps outside tent really seem not existing objectively, not like foxes screaming in the wood very humanely sometimes;)

  861. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    A quick search on the web reveals that Slavs definitely have a lore of magical creatures, too.
     
    Yes, Slavs yes, but not Poles. Russian, Ukrainians and Bulgarians have richer mythological world than Poles. Ukrainians even put their pagan goddess Werehynia on the main square in Kiev - not sure how the Uniate Church is feeling about that, though. Anyway, as we all know, they put some pagan symbol on the equipment of their armed forces.

    But in Poland there are no pagan goddesses, and certainly not in the sense of Japan where gods interfere in whatever you do: I recently visited a lecture on paper-making in Echizen, and learnt that paper was given to us by the goddess of paper, Kawakami Gozen (if you didn't know, now you know). Now I just wonder: which god has given me a laptop I write this answer...?

    There is some Slavic mythology on the net, but I sometimes wonder where it did come, because very often I heard about those creatures first time. For example, there is a widespread notion on the net that "The Witcher" represents Slavic mythology, but Andrzej Sapkowski has never claimed that specifically, speaking only about "European folklore".
    As a child I read a lot of fables, and almost immediately moved onto "national fables of the world" as Polish folklore was rather poor, suspended between timeless stories of a boy-idiot-but-not-an-idiot on the quest and mythologization of history like "The sleeping knights of Giewont", "Pan Twardowski" etc...it certainly lacked the living realm of magic like boy-wizard Kullervo in Kalevala or Tolkien, and there weren't many books on it too.

    As for Ockham's razor, I use it rather sparsely, and still think fairies deserve its touch ;)

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Luckily, these days, you have the entire worlds storehouse of myth and legend to nourish your spirit. They belong to mankind. I was reared on European fantastical literature, but have since been immeasurably enriched by the fantastical literature of India, Japan, and Islam, and China.

    Use Occam’s Razor as much as you want, just use it for what it was designed for – remember, science isn’t explanatory, it’s descriptive. It describes observed regularities.

    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us – for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can’t fathom.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love – the earth loves it’s own. Now we call it “gravity” – which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.

    The scientific theory of gravity doesn’t contradict the medieval – it just sticks entirely to the descriptive level and excludes the explanatory.

    That may be ok for accomplishing things, but not for understanding the nature of our world.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us – for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can’t fathom.
     
    Some part of science may be more descriptive than explanatory but nevertheless behind science there is will to know which continuously shifts the borders of explanation, killing as it goes, the previous ones, among them fairies.

    Belief in fairies is like surrender of this will to know to: Whatever... Coconuts expressed it in his comment no. 817, which was an answer to my comment.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love – the earth loves it’s own. Now we call it “gravity” – which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.
     

    Anyway, I am close to conclusion that this facet of humanity, this ability to make world self-contained in the prism of a given culture, sometimes described as "nominalism" or "social creation of the world" is actually one of the greatest weaknesses of humanity, as it makes human cultures easy to hijack and impossible to correct aside from the change of paradigm which almost always results through deaths of representatives of old paradigms, not through awakening of understanding in them.

    This is also why I prefer literal readings of the Scripture to metaphorical ones. In the latter, I am completely dependent on the ultimately random social world which provides me with metaphors.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  862. There is no deal for Russia the current Kremlin leadership could accept. Keeping Ukraine from getting close to Nato is why Putin invaded, and after tens of thousands Russians killed in action he is hardly going tobe able to accept Ukraine could join Nato, thereby as good as admitting it was all for nothing.

    Not a chance of Putin taking a deal. There is not going to be an end to the war, because just ending the war without attaining its objectives is something Putin will not and can not do. The war being kept going prevents Ukraine joining Nato, and that–not taking territory–is the objective. What is most likely is a slow running down of the actual fighting, which is what already happened to the 2014 fighting in Donbass. What is most likely is a slow running down of the actual fighting, which is what already happened to the 2014 fighting in Donbass.

  863. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    I'll probably write about the film because it predicts the Ukraine War to a tee, despite being based on a novel written in 1969. Talk of world omniscience.

    Bashibuzuk (or what does he call himself now) and even AP could confirm.


    Unsurprisingly, right now, the Serbs are probably those (pseudo-)Slavs who are the friendliest towards Russia.
     
    Yes, Serbia is probably the one place in the world where something like "Russian privilege" exists and which I experienced multiple times when I was there.

    > BTW, this is off-topic, but what are your thoughts on the idea of a Greater Iranic Union consisting of Iran, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, or even just Iran and Afghanistan?

    > BTW, do you support South Asian reunification (a return to before 1947, only without the colonialism) in order to force both South Asian Hindus and South Asian Muslims to understand tolerance much better (‘coz from a Woke perspective it’s not only Westerners who need to learn more tolerance)?

    I would have supported both of those things in my more regressive days when I considered only the nations that appear in Civilization to be legitimate ones.

    Now I have progressed in my thinking and no longer consider any nations-states to be legitimate, so the very question has become irrelevant.

    > And also to flood India with Africans once India will become wealthier and more developed?

    It's actually already happening in parts and it's a beautiful development. I do not support national borders and consider that all sufficiently agentic sentient beings (humans; uplifted animals) should be free to move and live where they wish.

    > Becoming Hindu would probably make black Africans less homophobic, at least marginally.

    Uganda, Tanzania, etc. are sad exceptions. Non-Muslim Africans are broadly pro-LGBT and pro-feminism relative to their development levels.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, have you ever thought about how it’s incredibly racist to support open borders since it means that (non-East Asian) people of color can only thrive when they are near a lot of white people (or East Asians, I suppose, but people don’t seem to be as passionate about open borders for East Asian countries)?

    (You could blame brain drain for this, but this simply indicates the failure of Third World countries to build functioning countries in the first place and in any case brain drain wouldn’t be anywhere near as much of an issue if the Third World had much more brainpower to spare. China, for instance, can even afford to lose 50 million 125+ IQ people because it will still keep that many such people back at home even in such a scenario.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ

    There seems to be another aspect to open borders without the existence of a single world state, this is the re-formation of tribal jurisdictions and polities, where the system of law someone is subject to and the political community they are part of comes to be mainly based on blood ties or familial inheritance, not on territorial residence.

    You might have a situation developing which mimics that at the end of the Roman Empire, where the barbarian tribes tended to have these non-territorial jurisdictions, living among communities subject to different legal codes. It doesn't seem obviously progressive.

    Likely some kind of large state structure would be needed to stop this arising.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  864. @AP
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Thank you. The reason I asked was because I had not thought of this when I posted to Mikel about never having had a supernatural experience but was then reminded of a potential one when camping in southern Nevada, in an isolated spot near some petroglyphs (it was an "official" campground rather than a random place n the wilderness, but I had a spot far from the others and there were few people there that night, and no one anywhere near our spot).

    Basically, I was awoken by the sound of heavy human footsteps next to the tent, walking around the area. I quickly got out, and there was no one nearby. The moon was in the sky, visibility was good, and there was no immediate place for someone to hide (rock formations weren't super close and I didn't hear anyone running towards their cover, the footsteps just stopped). There are no bears there, it was too heavy to have been a coyote (and it sounded like human footsteps) and I would have seen a burro. I got back in the tent and heard them again, got out of the tent - and again, nothing. My wife also woke up, and heard them. This occurred a few times. I was tired, I figured it was probably not an actual person because I would have seen him, and trying to find the source was futile. I told myself that if it was a spirit of some sort then God is stronger than spirits anyways, I figured there was nothing to be done and sleep is important so I ended up just going back to sleep. Apparently I slept quite soundly (my poor wife meanwhile couldn't fall asleep though with those footsteps). She sometimes teases me about this incident.

    I would be a ridiculous character in a horror movie.

    I can't completely exclude some rational explanation, unlike in the case of my friend's grandmother I had mentioned which really has no reasonable natural explanation.

    Replies: @sudden death

    I can’t completely exclude some rational explanation, unlike in the case of my friend’s grandmother I had mentioned which really has no reasonable natural explanation.

    Vaguely remember reading somewhere about some chemical neasurements done in places with “haunted” reputations and non lethal or immediately harmful, but still heightened carbon monoxide readings were observed, which may explain at least some auditory/visual disburtances in human perception when being affected by that substance when breathing in continously for some time in one roughly same place.

    Probably some chemical atmosphere composition changes, which might mess with human natural perceptions, can occur in nature at some places too due some peculiar circumstances, so that might be probable rational explanation if some strange sounds like steps outside tent really seem not existing objectively, not like foxes screaming in the wood very humanely sometimes;)

  865. @AP
    @Dmitry


    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, “prostitute”) for Hitler.
     
    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.

    If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.
     
    Tusk is not "liberal opposition" but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.

    Ukraine is supported by the center-right, most of the populist right-wing (current PM and President), and urban liberals. Far left Commies (fringe) and far right Nazis (also fringe) support Russia.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.
     
    They can already do that. Poland is closer and offers a more comfortable environment and more similar culture. Most Ukrainians don't complain of racism, which is uncommon and typically of a snobbish regionalist character, when it occurs.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.

    Seems like Ukraine should apologize for these massacres in order to improve its relations with Poland even further, no? And tone down its Bandera worship, especially considering that this war has and will produced a lot of much better heroes for Ukraine (certainly in comparison to Bandera).

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.

    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that. (That’s the general gist of what he said; I don’t remember the exact details.) Is this true or at least close to being true?

    And you should know that while I myself prefer the left over the right (though I would prefer the alt-center even more than the left), I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney, whom I actually voted in favor in 2012, albeit for the wrong reason (I was still politically anti-abortion back then and thought that this was a sufficiently important issue for me to vote for Mitt that year). Whether I regret my 2012 vote for Romney, well, I don’t know. I would have had it not been for BLM significantly escalating during Obama’s second term. With that factor, I’m just not completely sure. I did vote for Clinton in 2016 and for Biden in 2020 and plan to vote for Biden again in 2024. (I supported Obama in 2008, both in the primary against Clinton (I wanted a break from the very long continuous Bush-Clinton rule) and during the general election against McCain, but was still too young to vote back in 2008, unlike in 2010 and beyond. McCain picking Palin certainly didn’t help his cause in my own eyes.)

    • Replies: @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    "Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe."

    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that
     
    Tusk is more "pro-business" which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall - some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don't have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland's populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany's CDU.

    I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney
     
    Romney's a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama's second term was an utter disaster.

    Replies: @Sean, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

  866. @AP
    @Dmitry


    Nationalist and conservative Poles, with the retrospective view, also often are viewing Ukrainian nationalism as a kind of assistant (as in video below, “prostitute”) for Hitler.
     
    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.

    If you see some of the liberal opposition in Poland like Donald Tusk are like religious converts for Ukraine. Euromaidan is the vanguard of the liberal democracy, in their interpretation.
     
    Tusk is not "liberal opposition" but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.

    Ukraine is supported by the center-right, most of the populist right-wing (current PM and President), and urban liberals. Far left Commies (fringe) and far right Nazis (also fringe) support Russia.

    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.
     
    They can already do that. Poland is closer and offers a more comfortable environment and more similar culture. Most Ukrainians don't complain of racism, which is uncommon and typically of a snobbish regionalist character, when it occurs.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    They can already do that. Poland is closer and offers a more comfortable environment and more similar culture. Most Ukrainians don’t complain of racism, which is uncommon and typically of a snobbish regionalist character, when it occurs.

    Poland’s likely long-term trajectory is to converge to Germany’s levels of GDP PPP per capita (very similar levels of human capital), so it also makes sense from a long-term economic perspective to stay in Poland, especially if they will think that Poland’s staunch anti-abortion legislation will get repealed or struck down by EU courts in the near future.

    BTW, off-topic, but I have a question for you: In 1920, what did Poland envision Ukraine’s eastern borders to be? The Dnieper or further east? And was western Novorossiya, such as Odessa, to be included within Ukraine in the event of a more decisive Polish victory in the Polish-Soviet War?

  867. AP says:
    @Mr. XYZ
    @AP


    Although Ukrainians were generally viewed positively by Poles since 2003, there was a nationalist fringe (often descendants of those who were murdered in Volynia in 1943-1945) who despised Ukrainians. These were a minority of Poles. Many of them settled in SE Poland where the lived in places from which Ukrainians had been deported.
     
    Seems like Ukraine should apologize for these massacres in order to improve its relations with Poland even further, no? And tone down its Bandera worship, especially considering that this war has and will produced a lot of much better heroes for Ukraine (certainly in comparison to Bandera).

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.
     
    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that. (That's the general gist of what he said; I don't remember the exact details.) Is this true or at least close to being true?

    And you should know that while I myself prefer the left over the right (though I would prefer the alt-center even more than the left), I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney, whom I actually voted in favor in 2012, albeit for the wrong reason (I was still politically anti-abortion back then and thought that this was a sufficiently important issue for me to vote for Mitt that year). Whether I regret my 2012 vote for Romney, well, I don't know. I would have had it not been for BLM significantly escalating during Obama's second term. With that factor, I'm just not completely sure. I did vote for Clinton in 2016 and for Biden in 2020 and plan to vote for Biden again in 2024. (I supported Obama in 2008, both in the primary against Clinton (I wanted a break from the very long continuous Bush-Clinton rule) and during the general election against McCain, but was still too young to vote back in 2008, unlike in 2010 and beyond. McCain picking Palin certainly didn't help his cause in my own eyes.)

    Replies: @AP

    “Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe.”

    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that

    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall – some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don’t have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland’s populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

    I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney

    Romney’s a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama’s second term was an utter disaster.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @AP

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years' crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there. Ukraine is going to be importing food.

    The grain shipping deal ending was escalatory retribution for the underreported destruction being wreaked on Crimean supply bases and the Storm Shadow strikes on the Kerch bridge ECT. So far Obama's view about Russia having escalatory dominance in conflict with Ukraine seems prescient, though giving the Ukraine portfolio to VP Biden was hedging the bet somewhat.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @John Johnson

    , @A123
    @AP



    “Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government.
     
    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German.
    ...
    He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

     

    Tusk is a Globalist / Corporatist / Open Borders type. This makes him diametrically opposed to Populist parties such as PiS and Konfederacja. Trying to call him Center Right simply does not hold up.

    This goes back to a point I have made before. Left/Right works poorly in many situations. Using Populist/Globalist is less amiguous. If Corporate parties are "Right" -- Does that make labour friendly Populist parties "Left"? It could, but most people will not follow along. Thus, we are stuck with the reverse.

    If one insists on using Left/Right, in the new dichotomy -- Open borders types, pro-war Neolibs, and corporatists are "Globalist/Left". Workers and those who believe in strong borders are "Populist/Right". Consider Poland & Germany:

    ---- Populist/Right ----
        • Right -- Konfederacja, AfD
        • Center Right -- PiS

    ---- Globalist/Left ----
        • Left -- PO(Tusk), CDU, FDP
        • Far Left -- CSU
        • Extreme Left -- Green

    As a bonus, this illustrates why Germany has a near insurmountable problem trying to adopt sane policies. The lack of a Center Right party like PiS. Other than AfD, everything starts at the anti-citizen corporate Left, and then decays even further towards the worst excesses of Globalism.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    From post #881:


    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall – some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don’t have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland’s populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.
     
    So, Tusk is a Rockefeller Republican of sorts?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rockefeller_Republican

    (A lot of Rockefeller Republicans became Democrats over the decades at the same time that a lot of Blue Dog Democrats became Republicans. This made the major US political parties much more polarized.)


    Romney’s a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama’s second term was an utter disaster.
     
    My own support for Obama in 2008 had less to do with the Iraq War (which I’m relatively ambivalent about and leave for the Iraqi people to judge) and more to do with his general economic policy: Wanting universal healthcare, higher taxes on the wealthy, et cetera. He ran as a more-or-less generic left-wing populist back in 2008. The race-related stuff really only started to get heated after 2012, though there was a minor controversy when Obama got himself involved in this mess back in 2009:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Louis_Gates_arrest_controversy

    As a post-racial US President, Obama governed pretty well in his first term. In his second term, though, he governed less well. The one thing from his first term that I disliked was him changing campus sexual assault rules:

    https://www.thefire.org/news/why-office-civil-rights-april-dear-colleague-letter-was-2011s-biggest-fire-fight

    (I support affirmative consent as a social standard but I have very serious concerns with putting it into law. I think that it’s obvious that without an affirmative response to the question “Do you want to have sex?”, sex should not be initiated, but I don’t think that such criteria should be applied to things such as kissing for people who are already in relationships. And I think that consent to sex should imply consent to touching various body parts during sex without asking for separate consent for this as well. It also doesn’t exactly inspire faith and confidence that affirmative consent proponents fail to understand their own standard: https://www.thefire.org/news/even-affirmative-consent-advocates-seem-confused-about-affirmative-consent Also, this: https://www.thefire.org/news/new-yorks-affirmative-consent-law-affirmatively-confuses-students-video Initially, the movement was limited to applying affirmative consent to universities, but later on, a movement also developed, so far unsuccessfully, to apply affirmative consent to criminal law as well.)

    I think that Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran was good (in the sense that I doubt that a better deal could have been obtained and that this deal was better than no deal at all), but I’m not sure what else that was notable he did during his second term. Supporting Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen was, of course, a blatant mistake. I’m not even sure that the Houthis are actually the bad guys in Yemen’s civil war.

    BTW, I voted for Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020 (and will do so again for Biden in 2024) because I don’t like the Trumpist version of the Republican Party. Anti-immigration*, anti-Ukraine, appeals to the lowest common denominator, election denial, anti-vaxx, et cetera.

    *If the US’s immigration mixture was similar to Europe’s, I’d be much more worried. But thankfully it isn’t. If anything, I think that the US should massively increase high-skilled immigration so that it could accept many more culturally compatible duller immigrants on humanitarian grounds as well. Canada’s immigration policy I think is good, but since the US’s average IQ is about half a standard deviation below Canada’s, the US can afford to be more generous in its immigration policy to duller people relative to Canada (since the US won’t be hurt as much). But importing as many brains as possible is good. I think that the Left’s view on immigration is much more reasonable than the Right’s. The Right’s RAISE Act is apparently so restrictive that not even its sponsors would actually be able to immigrate to the US under it if they themselves were not already US citizens:

    https://bleedingheartlibertarians.com/2017/08/chuck-em-politicians-proposed-raise-act-ineligible-live-united-states/

  868. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    "Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe."

    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that
     
    Tusk is more "pro-business" which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall - some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don't have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland's populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany's CDU.

    I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney
     
    Romney's a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama's second term was an utter disaster.

    Replies: @Sean, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years’ crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there. Ukraine is going to be importing food.

    The grain shipping deal ending was escalatory retribution for the underreported destruction being wreaked on Crimean supply bases and the Storm Shadow strikes on the Kerch bridge ECT. So far Obama’s view about Russia having escalatory dominance in conflict with Ukraine seems prescient, though giving the Ukraine portfolio to VP Biden was hedging the bet somewhat.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Sean

    Related -

    https://america.cgtn.com/2023/07/28/the-heat-russia-africa-summit

    , @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years’ crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there.

    How would that be the end of agriculture?

    Ukrainian grain passing on trains through Poland and going straight to Germany?

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology.

    Replies: @Sean

  869. A123 says: • Website
    @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    "Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe."

    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that
     
    Tusk is more "pro-business" which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall - some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don't have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland's populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany's CDU.

    I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney
     
    Romney's a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama's second term was an utter disaster.

    Replies: @Sean, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    “Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government.

    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German.

    He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

    Tusk is a Globalist / Corporatist / Open Borders type. This makes him diametrically opposed to Populist parties such as PiS and Konfederacja. Trying to call him Center Right simply does not hold up.

    This goes back to a point I have made before. Left/Right works poorly in many situations. Using Populist/Globalist is less amiguous. If Corporate parties are “Right” — Does that make labour friendly Populist parties “Left”? It could, but most people will not follow along. Thus, we are stuck with the reverse.

    If one insists on using Left/Right, in the new dichotomy — Open borders types, pro-war Neolibs, and corporatists are “Globalist/Left”. Workers and those who believe in strong borders are “Populist/Right”. Consider Poland & Germany:

    —- Populist/Right —-
        • Right — Konfederacja, AfD
        • Center Right — PiS

    —- Globalist/Left —-
        • Left — PO(Tusk), CDU, FDP
        • Far Left — CSU
        • Extreme Left — Green

    As a bonus, this illustrates why Germany has a near insurmountable problem trying to adopt sane policies. The lack of a Center Right party like PiS. Other than AfD, everything starts at the anti-citizen corporate Left, and then decays even further towards the worst excesses of Globalism.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    Tusk condemned the current Polish government for being so guest-worker-friendly:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/03/tusk-accuses-polish-government-of-allowing-uncontrolled-immigration-from-muslim-countries/

    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/opposition-leader-says-pis-allows-thousands-of-migrants-to-enter-poland-39573


    "We have been shocked by the coverage of brutal clashes in France, and this is when (PiS leader Jarosław - PAP) Kaczyński has been working on a document which will make it possible for more citizens of such countries as Saudi Arabia, India, Iran, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria and Pakistan to come to Poland," Tusk, the leader of main opposition party Civic Platform (PO), said in a recording broadcast on Twitter on Sunday.
     
    I wonder what specifically his beef with India is, though. Its relatively moderate 14% Muslim minority?

    Replies: @A123

    , @Dmitry
    @A123

    Poland is a country constructed on the nationalist ideology, so conflict of the liberals and the conservatives, it's a conflict nationalists vs nationalists. But in the current situation, demographically more educated higher income region liberal nationalists vs uneducated lower income region conservative nationalists.

    Nationalism is a liberal ideology historically. Conservatives in history defended the transnational categories like religious authority, large empires or ruling families, while the positive attainments of nationalism in occupied countries had been usually to increase self-determination and republicanism in opposition to the transnational authorities like the Russian empire, Habsburg empire, Catholic church.

    Tusk's aspiration for nationalism is contradicting because he is a supporter of the transnational EU, although in the Poland's context this is maybe sensible, as the culture and practices of the EU, which represented the elite countries of Western Europe, has been rescuing Poland from the historical corruption and idiocracy of the region. It's like any nationalists in Ukraine who are connected to reality will also be supporting the EU, as this is probably the only development path for the country to escape the local swamps.

    It's also in these countries sometimes the EU which will protect individuals' rights more than the local government.

    If you look at the recent liberal protests in Warsaw, they have the mix of the Poland, LGBT*, EU flags. The main ideology is the nationalism, although Lech Walesa also has a badge with Ukraine flag in the protest while they are hoping the EU can rescue them from the democratic backsliding of increasing authoritarian backsliding of PiS.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7h8vdKjm3M


    -


    *Although, Poland's conservative government is controlled by the leader of PiS who is Kaczynski, who is part of the sexual minority community of Poland. Leading of conservative values by the men who are from the sexual minority, is not so contradictory in history i.e. it's not probably unusual in the Vatican historically.

    Replies: @A123

  870. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Luckily, these days, you have the entire worlds storehouse of myth and legend to nourish your spirit. They belong to mankind. I was reared on European fantastical literature, but have since been immeasurably enriched by the fantastical literature of India, Japan, and Islam, and China.

    Use Occam's Razor as much as you want, just use it for what it was designed for - remember, science isn't explanatory, it's descriptive. It describes observed regularities.

    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us - for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can't fathom.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love - the earth loves it's own. Now we call it "gravity" - which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.

    The scientific theory of gravity doesn't contradict the medieval - it just sticks entirely to the descriptive level and excludes the explanatory.

    That may be ok for accomplishing things, but not for understanding the nature of our world.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us – for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can’t fathom.

    Some part of science may be more descriptive than explanatory but nevertheless behind science there is will to know which continuously shifts the borders of explanation, killing as it goes, the previous ones, among them fairies.

    Belief in fairies is like surrender of this will to know to: Whatever… Coconuts expressed it in his comment no. 817, which was an answer to my comment.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love – the earth loves it’s own. Now we call it “gravity” – which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.

    Anyway, I am close to conclusion that this facet of humanity, this ability to make world self-contained in the prism of a given culture, sometimes described as “nominalism” or “social creation of the world” is actually one of the greatest weaknesses of humanity, as it makes human cultures easy to hijack and impossible to correct aside from the change of paradigm which almost always results through deaths of representatives of old paradigms, not through awakening of understanding in them.

    This is also why I prefer literal readings of the Scripture to metaphorical ones. In the latter, I am completely dependent on the ultimately random social world which provides me with metaphors.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    The value of literalism In Reading OT is that it is the only connection to history and thus establishing precepts of OT as true in historical sense. What distinguishes OT from other religious writings is its distinctively historical character, and its open perspective since the problem of human deficiency nowhere is present so strongly. In other scriptural writing you get mostly pure teachings or mythologies of some semi-perfect (demi)-goods; most of the time, metaphorical readings are kind of narcisstic – they are so obsessed with the beauty/truth of their own explanations, that they disregard the text itself: gnosis with its myth of humans as fallen kings, and especially rabbinic Judaism is a good example. The latter practically shifted aside most of the Bible, except the Torah and Five Megillot, which are interpreted ad nauseam. But in this way rabbis created their own religion. I can get my head over the great contrast I notice when I read OT, which constantly lambastes Jews for their failures, with self-adulation of Jewry in rabbinic commentaries where even mistakes are reinterpreted to integrate them as somehow necessary.

    The problem of spiritual reading is that it loses the strong truth of OT, retaining something I would call ‘weak truth”, since it is truth which can have many expressions. Already NT is much more metaphorical than OT. If OT is operating system based on commands, like DOS, NT is like early Windows put on DOS, making everything more beautiful, but also limiting every problems to few axes against which you describe a position: follow Jesus – not follow Jesus, saved – condemned etc.
    Metaphors limit too.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    How has science disproven fairies?

    It has excluded it from consideration; that's dogma, not proof.

    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying - objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let's write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water "loves" the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what's happening. It would just be entirely irrelevant to controlling the river.

    Science just "dispenses" with everything but the barest description of what is happening; it is a stripped down, bare minimum language, that excludes anything that isn't strictly relevant to the process of control.

    And that's absolutely fine; highly useful, in fact. We ought to focus on those factors relevant to whatever task we are doing to the exclusion of all else.

    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn't relevant to the process of control.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science "proves" that spiritual entities, or volition, aren't involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it's simply incoherent.

    And the emerging movement among certain mainstream, respectable scientists is that since science cannot explain how consciousness "emerges" from matter, it ought to be regarded as an irreducible property of matter. And that introduces the idea that volition might well play a role in the patterns we observe in the world.

    But I'm just recapitulating everything I've already said on this thread. You're free to prefer dogmatic faith if it makes you feel safe. I prefer the exciting adventure of finding out about a reality that is far larger and more mysterious than that contained in the most bare bones description of patterns.

    And in fact, there is a broader sense in which science is an attempt to genuinely grapple with the mysteries of the universe and not just confine itself to minimum observations of regularities - a science that is about wonder and a full, comprehensive knowledge. And in that science, it may well in the future get established that "love" is a basic property of the universe, just as much as any physical "laws" we know today.

    Unfortunately for you, language itself is a social construct, and words themselves are ambiguous, and the frontiers of what is sayable in words, but nevertheless crucial to us, cannot be "pinned down" like that.

    There are layers to meaning which reveal themselves over time through faithful engagement. It isn't a random social process, but follows an inner logic, and depends on the wider context of all our knowledge and life.

    Culture can always be hijacked, and always is - religions are always hijacked by the state to become an arm of social control. Jesus love became the basis for war.

    But anyways, your mentality concentrates the essence of left hemisphere thinking so completely that there is probably no getting through to you, so I will desist.

    I know that people like you, who represent our culture, cannot be changed - we must build up an alternative culture alongside, that will ripen to fruition as your people decline through loss of vitality and contact with a larger reality.

    Sorry to sound harsh, and I do wish you the gentles decline possible.

    Replies: @A123, @silviosilver

  871. Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall – some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don’t have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland’s populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

    So, Tusk is a Rockefeller Republican of sorts?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rockefeller_Republican

    (A lot of Rockefeller Republicans became Democrats over the decades at the same time that a lot of Blue Dog Democrats became Republicans. This made the major US political parties much more polarized.)

    Romney’s a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama’s second term was an utter disaster.

    My own support for Obama in 2008 had less to do with the Iraq War (which I’m relatively ambivalent about and leave for the Iraqi people to judge) and more to do with his general economic policy: Wanting universal healthcare, higher taxes on the wealthy, et cetera. He ran as a more-or-less generic left-wing populist back in 2008. The race-related stuff really only started to get heated after 2012, though there was a minor controversy when Obama got himself involved in this mess back in 2009:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Louis_Gates_arrest_controversy

    As a post-racial US President, Obama governed pretty well in his first term. In his second term, though, he governed less well. The one thing from his first term that I disliked was him changing campus sexual assault rules:

    https://www.thefire.org/news/why-office-civil-rights-april-dear-colleague-letter-was-2011s-biggest-fire-fight

    (I support affirmative consent as a social standard but I have very serious concerns with putting it into law. I think that it’s obvious that without an affirmative response to the question “Do you want to have sex?”, sex should not be initiated, but I don’t think that such criteria should be applied to things such as kissing for people who are already in relationships. And I think that consent to sex should imply consent to touching various body parts during sex without asking for separate consent for this as well. It also doesn’t exactly inspire faith and confidence that affirmative consent proponents fail to understand their own standard: https://www.thefire.org/news/even-affirmative-consent-advocates-seem-confused-about-affirmative-consent Also, this: https://www.thefire.org/news/new-yorks-affirmative-consent-law-affirmatively-confuses-students-video Initially, the movement was limited to applying affirmative consent to universities, but later on, a movement also developed, so far unsuccessfully, to apply affirmative consent to criminal law as well.)

    I think that Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran was good (in the sense that I doubt that a better deal could have been obtained and that this deal was better than no deal at all), but I’m not sure what else that was notable he did during his second term. Supporting Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen was, of course, a blatant mistake. I’m not even sure that the Houthis are actually the bad guys in Yemen’s civil war.

    BTW, I voted for Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020 (and will do so again for Biden in 2024) because I don’t like the Trumpist version of the Republican Party. Anti-immigration*, anti-Ukraine, appeals to the lowest common denominator, election denial, anti-vaxx, et cetera.

    *If the US’s immigration mixture was similar to Europe’s, I’d be much more worried. But thankfully it isn’t. If anything, I think that the US should massively increase high-skilled immigration so that it could accept many more culturally compatible duller immigrants on humanitarian grounds as well. Canada’s immigration policy I think is good, but since the US’s average IQ is about half a standard deviation below Canada’s, the US can afford to be more generous in its immigration policy to duller people relative to Canada (since the US won’t be hurt as much). But importing as many brains as possible is good. I think that the Left’s view on immigration is much more reasonable than the Right’s. The Right’s RAISE Act is apparently so restrictive that not even its sponsors would actually be able to immigrate to the US under it if they themselves were not already US citizens:

    https://bleedingheartlibertarians.com/2017/08/chuck-em-politicians-proposed-raise-act-ineligible-live-united-states/

  872. @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts

    Islam was historically homophobic, IIRC, due to the hadith(s?) that condemn homosexuality (or at least male homosexuality). So, Islamic homosexuality has little-or-nothing to do with Europeans.

    Interestingly enough, formerly French-controlled Africa appears to be less homophobic than formerly British-controlled Africa:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d1/World_laws_pertaining_to_homosexual_relationships_and_expression.svg

    Even Chad only criminalized homosexuality within the last decade, long after the French had left:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGBT_rights_in_Chad

    AFAIK, France was historically more homophilic than Britain was.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    I know that after the Revolution the ancien regime laws on incest were abolished in France, I wonder if the same thing happened to the sodomy laws?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts

    AFAIK, Yes. And France should be praised for abolishing its incest laws. Incest between consenting adults should not be illegal.

    You might say "What about blackmail?" But the problem with this I fear is that parents aren't legally obligated to, say, pay for their children's college education or to even give their children any inheritance at all. If some parents will insist on sex with their adult children as the price for this, then it would strike me as being an extraordinarily douche move, but at the same time, I'm just not sure that douche moves should actually be illegal. What about the unrelated rich guy who offers to pay for your college education or to give you a nice quality of life if you will agree to have sex with him even if you would otherwise strongly not want to? Isn't that sex also coercive? Should it thus also be criminalized? What's the meaningful distinction between this kind of sex and coercive adult incest?

    Similarly, making sex with one's boss a requirement for a promotion is certainly grounds to fire this boss, but I'm unsure if this is (and/or should be) actually grounds for *legal* penalties against this boss, other than of course the general lawsuit for emotion distress and whatnot.

    Replies: @Coconuts

  873. @A123
    @AP



    “Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government.
     
    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German.
    ...
    He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

     

    Tusk is a Globalist / Corporatist / Open Borders type. This makes him diametrically opposed to Populist parties such as PiS and Konfederacja. Trying to call him Center Right simply does not hold up.

    This goes back to a point I have made before. Left/Right works poorly in many situations. Using Populist/Globalist is less amiguous. If Corporate parties are "Right" -- Does that make labour friendly Populist parties "Left"? It could, but most people will not follow along. Thus, we are stuck with the reverse.

    If one insists on using Left/Right, in the new dichotomy -- Open borders types, pro-war Neolibs, and corporatists are "Globalist/Left". Workers and those who believe in strong borders are "Populist/Right". Consider Poland & Germany:

    ---- Populist/Right ----
        • Right -- Konfederacja, AfD
        • Center Right -- PiS

    ---- Globalist/Left ----
        • Left -- PO(Tusk), CDU, FDP
        • Far Left -- CSU
        • Extreme Left -- Green

    As a bonus, this illustrates why Germany has a near insurmountable problem trying to adopt sane policies. The lack of a Center Right party like PiS. Other than AfD, everything starts at the anti-citizen corporate Left, and then decays even further towards the worst excesses of Globalism.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    Tusk condemned the current Polish government for being so guest-worker-friendly:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/03/tusk-accuses-polish-government-of-allowing-uncontrolled-immigration-from-muslim-countries/

    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/opposition-leader-says-pis-allows-thousands-of-migrants-to-enter-poland-39573

    “We have been shocked by the coverage of brutal clashes in France, and this is when (PiS leader Jarosław – PAP) Kaczyński has been working on a document which will make it possible for more citizens of such countries as Saudi Arabia, India, Iran, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria and Pakistan to come to Poland,” Tusk, the leader of main opposition party Civic Platform (PO), said in a recording broadcast on Twitter on Sunday.

    I wonder what specifically his beef with India is, though. Its relatively moderate 14% Muslim minority?

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ


    Tusk condemned the current Polish government for being so guest-worker-friendly:
     
    No party is perfect. This includes PiS. However politicians, especially Left/Globalist ones, are not known for their integrity or consistency. Tusk's attacks on PiS reek of insincerity.

    This is an expose of Tusk's true self from 2007: (1)

    Tusk took the defeat badly and, in opposition, the PO kept up a drumbeat of criticism which focused on pointing out the government’s mistakes rather than coming up with new ideas.
    ...
    Another source of insecurity is that deep down, the PO and its leader carry the conviction that the natural support for its views is as low as it is for other liberal parties in Europe. Thus it is better not to trumpet doctrine too loudly; better to wait for your opponents to make mistakes.
     
    Tusk is a weaselly progressive, keeps it quite, and disingenuously advances his love of EU authoritarianism in the most opaque manner possible.

    Given his affinity for Brussels -- If elected how many illegal Rape-ugees would Tusk bring to Poland? It is obvious that his Globalist/Left PO party would be far worse than PiS on crime & public safety.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.politico.eu/article/low-key-liberal/

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  874. @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ

    I know that after the Revolution the ancien regime laws on incest were abolished in France, I wonder if the same thing happened to the sodomy laws?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    AFAIK, Yes. And France should be praised for abolishing its incest laws. Incest between consenting adults should not be illegal.

    You might say “What about blackmail?” But the problem with this I fear is that parents aren’t legally obligated to, say, pay for their children’s college education or to even give their children any inheritance at all. If some parents will insist on sex with their adult children as the price for this, then it would strike me as being an extraordinarily douche move, but at the same time, I’m just not sure that douche moves should actually be illegal. What about the unrelated rich guy who offers to pay for your college education or to give you a nice quality of life if you will agree to have sex with him even if you would otherwise strongly not want to? Isn’t that sex also coercive? Should it thus also be criminalized? What’s the meaningful distinction between this kind of sex and coercive adult incest?

    Similarly, making sex with one’s boss a requirement for a promotion is certainly grounds to fire this boss, but I’m unsure if this is (and/or should be) actually grounds for *legal* penalties against this boss, other than of course the general lawsuit for emotion distress and whatnot.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ


    And France should be praised for abolishing its incest laws.
     
    It may have led to elevated levels of sexual abuse within families, there is at least one charity for incest survivors in France which argues this, iirc there is a certain amount of evidence (there is some stereotype of the rural French that they are like this).

    But the problem with this I fear is that parents aren’t legally obligated to, say, pay for their children’s college education or to even give their children any inheritance at all.
     
    Afaik in France there are laws regulating inheritance and parents can't choose to disinherit children or legally will their money to other recipients, a few other European countries have laws like this.

    What’s the meaningful distinction between this kind of sex and coercive adult incest?
     
    It would be the idea that familial relations are not contractual in the way that employment contracts between non-family members usually are (i.e. the inherent levels of inequality, hierarchy and dependence involved in them, the fact that they are unchosen). Attempts to regulate these sorts of relationships via formal contracts could seem quite artificial.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  875. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    BTW, have you ever thought about how it's incredibly racist to support open borders since it means that (non-East Asian) people of color can only thrive when they are near a lot of white people (or East Asians, I suppose, but people don't seem to be as passionate about open borders for East Asian countries)?

    (You could blame brain drain for this, but this simply indicates the failure of Third World countries to build functioning countries in the first place and in any case brain drain wouldn't be anywhere near as much of an issue if the Third World had much more brainpower to spare. China, for instance, can even afford to lose 50 million 125+ IQ people because it will still keep that many such people back at home even in such a scenario.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    There seems to be another aspect to open borders without the existence of a single world state, this is the re-formation of tribal jurisdictions and polities, where the system of law someone is subject to and the political community they are part of comes to be mainly based on blood ties or familial inheritance, not on territorial residence.

    You might have a situation developing which mimics that at the end of the Roman Empire, where the barbarian tribes tended to have these non-territorial jurisdictions, living among communities subject to different legal codes. It doesn’t seem obviously progressive.

    Likely some kind of large state structure would be needed to stop this arising.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts

    Have you read Robert Stark's writings on pan-enclavism, such as this article of his?

    https://robertstark.substack.com/p/californias-future-of-pan-enclavism

    They envision something similar to what you're describing, but much more lawful and orderly and within a single country.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  876. @Sher Singh
    New paper origin for IE languages is out. They conclude a 6000 BCE south of caucasus origin. Indo-Iranian split into Indo-Aryan and Iranic branches began 4000BCE as per them. Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.

    1. They conclude that Vedic is not the direct ancestor of modern Indic languages, which is also the consensus.

    2. They conclude that breakup of the ancestor of modern Indic languages started about 2400BCE, in Indian subcontinent.

    3. So, Indo-Aryan languages were present much earlier, in IVC as well, and Vedic is a later daughter language, now extinct. Modern Indic languages then possibly descend from IVC.

    4. These tools don’t use phonology and grammar which are quite archaic in Vedic, but only cognacy of common words. So Vedic may actually be older. The result of this paper may be used as lower bound for age.

    ਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕਾਖਾਲਸਾਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕੀਫਤਿਹ

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Beckow

    IE languages 6000 BCE south of caucasus origin. Indo-Iranian split into Indo-Aryan and Iranic branches began 4000BCE….Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.

    The steppe theory is validated by archeology, genetics, and indirect historical sources. The linguistic data is never going to be conclusive: there were IE tribes south-of-Caucasus in early ancient history: Hittites, Mitani, later on Armenians, Medes…and their IE variants were some the oldest. They most likely came from the steppes through the Balkans or around the Caspian Sea – it is hard to cross Caucasus mountains directly.

    The genetic data suggests that IE formed in the north-of-Caucasus steppes by mixing Eastern European hunters (mostly men) with women from the Caucasus region. So we got the euro look, but with substantial hair – hirsuteness is centered around Caucasus. It probably wasn’t pretty, but we don’t know for sure.

    IE languages had a unique structure able to absorb substrata from other languages and had relatively flexible grammars. They are more directive, precise and streamlined, maybe due to the fast-moving and simpler lifestyle on the steppes. The ability to layer the IE language on the other numerous languages that existed at that time was a huge benefit – also the generally dominant position that IE speakers had due to their stronger physique and military skills.

    IE languages spread by moving on top of existing substrata often adopting vocabulary but maintaining the IE feel and structure. There are for example identifiable ancient substrata in proto-German languages that are different in the northwest than in the south. Something similar happened in India.

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @Beckow


    This is a remarkable paper, well-researched and each potential objection has been addressed either in the paper or in the supplement. I suspect this will be a high-impact paper of this decade. It recognizes various flaws of the steppe theory, most notably the Andronovo Indo-Iranian theory which posits that steppe pastoralists changed the linguistic and cultural landscape of the most populated region of the world (Indian subcontinent and Iran) without leaving a single archaeological material trace, unlike in Europe where Corded Ware, Bell-Beaker and Battle-Axe ancient cultures verify such a steppe expansion. And its solutions to these problems are quite acceptable - a trans-Iranian plateau spread of the Indo-Iranian branch. The conclusion of the CHG/Iran Neolithic 'tracer dye' ancestry as the marker of IE spread has now gained a lot of currency after similar conclusions by Lazaridis et al 2022; Wang et al 2019; Reich (2018); Krause & Trappe (2022).
     
    https://a-genetics.blogspot.com/2023/07/hybrid-model.html?m=1

    IVC already shows evidence of caste due to uneven AASI admixture. Pasthun & Baloch are the closest to IVC - loe steppe, lower AASI, High Neolithic Iran.

    The old steppe theory needs a color based caste system + whole bunch of other stuff to survive.

    Whites should give up on larping as Vedic.
    If they're want to adopt the religion fine, but acting as if it's their ethnic heritage is blasphemous.

    With the added subtle implication that Christianity or globohomo are the natural successors since whites are the true Vedics.

    That's about it.

    https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1100267815883264070/1134292540124839936/IMG-20230727-WA0005.jpg
    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  877. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us – for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can’t fathom.
     
    Some part of science may be more descriptive than explanatory but nevertheless behind science there is will to know which continuously shifts the borders of explanation, killing as it goes, the previous ones, among them fairies.

    Belief in fairies is like surrender of this will to know to: Whatever... Coconuts expressed it in his comment no. 817, which was an answer to my comment.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love – the earth loves it’s own. Now we call it “gravity” – which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.
     

    Anyway, I am close to conclusion that this facet of humanity, this ability to make world self-contained in the prism of a given culture, sometimes described as "nominalism" or "social creation of the world" is actually one of the greatest weaknesses of humanity, as it makes human cultures easy to hijack and impossible to correct aside from the change of paradigm which almost always results through deaths of representatives of old paradigms, not through awakening of understanding in them.

    This is also why I prefer literal readings of the Scripture to metaphorical ones. In the latter, I am completely dependent on the ultimately random social world which provides me with metaphors.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The value of literalism In Reading OT is that it is the only connection to history and thus establishing precepts of OT as true in historical sense. What distinguishes OT from other religious writings is its distinctively historical character, and its open perspective since the problem of human deficiency nowhere is present so strongly. In other scriptural writing you get mostly pure teachings or mythologies of some semi-perfect (demi)-goods; most of the time, metaphorical readings are kind of narcisstic – they are so obsessed with the beauty/truth of their own explanations, that they disregard the text itself: gnosis with its myth of humans as fallen kings, and especially rabbinic Judaism is a good example. The latter practically shifted aside most of the Bible, except the Torah and Five Megillot, which are interpreted ad nauseam. But in this way rabbis created their own religion. I can get my head over the great contrast I notice when I read OT, which constantly lambastes Jews for their failures, with self-adulation of Jewry in rabbinic commentaries where even mistakes are reinterpreted to integrate them as somehow necessary.

    The problem of spiritual reading is that it loses the strong truth of OT, retaining something I would call ‘weak truth”, since it is truth which can have many expressions. Already NT is much more metaphorical than OT. If OT is operating system based on commands, like DOS, NT is like early Windows put on DOS, making everything more beautiful, but also limiting every problems to few axes against which you describe a position: follow Jesus – not follow Jesus, saved – condemned etc.
    Metaphors limit too.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    It's not that there's nothing in spiritual texts that are literal. Obviously, when Jesus said love your neighbor he meant that literally. Just as obviously, when he said hate your mother and father, wife and children, brothers and sisters, he didn't mean that literally, but was making the point that family is less important than following God.

    The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem - the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel's relationship with God would be quite silly.

    You need to use spiritual discernment and context to read spiritual texts.

    If you read spiritual texts literally, you literally get absurd results that don't make sense in terms of the religion itself.

    There is a famous Zen text that says - if you meet the Buddha, kill him! Obviously this is not literally calling for the murder of a human being, but in context, it means don't cling to any ideas or concepts, however venerable, ancient, or authoritative.

    But just as obviously, the Buddha's call for compassion is meant literally.

    The interpretations aren't "random" and socially constructed, they follow a clear logic and process of discernment, and one can even sketch certain basic principles, although they can never be exhaustive.

    Moreover, spiritual texts are rich in meanings and implications that are realized over time through a process of faithful engagement and spiritual inspiration. The texts are inexhaustible in a sense.

    Of course, there is danger in this process - serious mistakes can be made, and bad actors can hijack religion, but nothing worthwhile in life comes without risk.

    You want absolute safety - that is what your "strong truth" amounts to. Like all excessive desire for safety, perhaps the hallmark of the modern world, it is a form of death. Most of what is valuable in life can only be had if we are willing to tolerate vulnerability.

    Man up, and have the courage to be vulnerable. Don't trap your spirit in an iron cage for safety.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  878. @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts

    AFAIK, Yes. And France should be praised for abolishing its incest laws. Incest between consenting adults should not be illegal.

    You might say "What about blackmail?" But the problem with this I fear is that parents aren't legally obligated to, say, pay for their children's college education or to even give their children any inheritance at all. If some parents will insist on sex with their adult children as the price for this, then it would strike me as being an extraordinarily douche move, but at the same time, I'm just not sure that douche moves should actually be illegal. What about the unrelated rich guy who offers to pay for your college education or to give you a nice quality of life if you will agree to have sex with him even if you would otherwise strongly not want to? Isn't that sex also coercive? Should it thus also be criminalized? What's the meaningful distinction between this kind of sex and coercive adult incest?

    Similarly, making sex with one's boss a requirement for a promotion is certainly grounds to fire this boss, but I'm unsure if this is (and/or should be) actually grounds for *legal* penalties against this boss, other than of course the general lawsuit for emotion distress and whatnot.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    And France should be praised for abolishing its incest laws.

    It may have led to elevated levels of sexual abuse within families, there is at least one charity for incest survivors in France which argues this, iirc there is a certain amount of evidence (there is some stereotype of the rural French that they are like this).

    But the problem with this I fear is that parents aren’t legally obligated to, say, pay for their children’s college education or to even give their children any inheritance at all.

    Afaik in France there are laws regulating inheritance and parents can’t choose to disinherit children or legally will their money to other recipients, a few other European countries have laws like this.

    What’s the meaningful distinction between this kind of sex and coercive adult incest?

    It would be the idea that familial relations are not contractual in the way that employment contracts between non-family members usually are (i.e. the inherent levels of inequality, hierarchy and dependence involved in them, the fact that they are unchosen). Attempts to regulate these sorts of relationships via formal contracts could seem quite artificial.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts


    It would be the idea that familial relations are not contractual in the way that employment contracts between non-family members usually are (i.e. the inherent levels of inequality, hierarchy and dependence involved in them, the fact that they are unchosen). Attempts to regulate these sorts of relationships via formal contracts could seem quite artificial.
     
    Family relations can also be contractual, such as with adoption (both in giving a child up for adoption and in personally adopting a child yourself).

    Afaik in France there are laws regulating inheritance and parents can’t choose to disinherit children or legally will their money to other recipients, a few other European countries have laws like this.
     
    That's good. Are there also laws to prevent parents from providing housing to their (non-disabled) adult children?

    It may have led to elevated levels of sexual abuse within families, there is at least one charity for incest survivors in France which argues this, iirc there is a certain amount of evidence (there is some stereotype of the rural French that they are like this).
     
    What's the general pattern of this sexual abuse? Did it begin when one of them was a minor? Because if so, then this warrants criminalization. I think that the age of consent for incestuous sex should be set at 18 rather than at a lower age such as 16 (but there should be in-age exceptions for those who are close in age, like with Romeo and Juliet laws for regular people).
  879. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    Tusk condemned the current Polish government for being so guest-worker-friendly:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/03/tusk-accuses-polish-government-of-allowing-uncontrolled-immigration-from-muslim-countries/

    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/opposition-leader-says-pis-allows-thousands-of-migrants-to-enter-poland-39573


    "We have been shocked by the coverage of brutal clashes in France, and this is when (PiS leader Jarosław - PAP) Kaczyński has been working on a document which will make it possible for more citizens of such countries as Saudi Arabia, India, Iran, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria and Pakistan to come to Poland," Tusk, the leader of main opposition party Civic Platform (PO), said in a recording broadcast on Twitter on Sunday.
     
    I wonder what specifically his beef with India is, though. Its relatively moderate 14% Muslim minority?

    Replies: @A123

    Tusk condemned the current Polish government for being so guest-worker-friendly:

    No party is perfect. This includes PiS. However politicians, especially Left/Globalist ones, are not known for their integrity or consistency. Tusk’s attacks on PiS reek of insincerity.

    This is an expose of Tusk’s true self from 2007: (1)

    Tusk took the defeat badly and, in opposition, the PO kept up a drumbeat of criticism which focused on pointing out the government’s mistakes rather than coming up with new ideas.

    Another source of insecurity is that deep down, the PO and its leader carry the conviction that the natural support for its views is as low as it is for other liberal parties in Europe. Thus it is better not to trumpet doctrine too loudly; better to wait for your opponents to make mistakes.

    Tusk is a weaselly progressive, keeps it quite, and disingenuously advances his love of EU authoritarianism in the most opaque manner possible.

    Given his affinity for Brussels — If elected how many illegal Rape-ugees would Tusk bring to Poland? It is obvious that his Globalist/Left PO party would be far worse than PiS on crime & public safety.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.politico.eu/article/low-key-liberal/

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    If Tusk was smart, he'd do merit-based migration or at least lean heavily in this direction. But AFAIK the status quo for Poland isn't that bad since the countries that Poland is getting guest-workers (possible permanent residents and eventual citizens, depending on future Polish policies) from generally aren't that problematic (even if some of them are Muslim-majority):

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FzOLC8FXgAQJjq7.jpg

    In contrast, the EU has some problematic countries among its top immigrant origin sources:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/93/Europe%27s_Biggest_Foreign-Born_Communities.jpg/800px-Europe%27s_Biggest_Foreign-Born_Communities.jpg

    Specifically, Morocco, Algeria, and Pakistan. Please note that these figures are from before Britain left the EU, so there should now be much less Pakistanis (and Indians) within the EU.

    Replies: @A123, @Beckow

  880. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    “It’s just death bro, there are more important things to worry about."
     
    LOL.

    I think I understand your second objection but perhaps I didn't express mine properly. My problem is not that people suddenly see death in front of them and turm to whatever makes the moment more bearable. In fact, I long ago concluded that I won't reject any last sacrament that I get offered when I'm dying. It would be absurd. It's like buying an insurance policy: a small payment that you make in exchange for potentially huge benefits. In an ideal scenario, I should have multiple priests of different faiths offering me their last rites, including some Muslim and definitely some Oriental ones. I would accept them all, as you never know. It's just too difficult to assess all the merits and demerits of the different religions on offer and conclude which one is the best. My problem is with actually believing in something that you found unbeliavable (often ridiculous) when you were in a more sober state of mind. I can't quite imagine myself doing that.

    As for your first objection, I'm not convinced. Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    What’s your reaction to the following metaphysical framing I recently hear: “When we die, we don’t lose the ability to dream; we simply lose the ability to wake up”?
     
    If you hadn't offered two options, I would have just gone for something similar to the first one. But having read the second one, I don't find it totally unreasonable. However, I think that it does require the usual leap of faith. I don't know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells. Some mysterious, immaterial part of ourselves may survive if these theories are right but I don't see how anything resembling our current personal beings could continue to exist even under that paradigm.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @silviosilver

    Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?

    Oh for sure. I actually believed this even as an atheist. People get a lot more from their faith than just reassurances about their death. I think Aaron answered this question well, so I’ll just go with what he said.

    I don’t know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells.

    I could mention some things that helped me work my way up to it, but I don’t want to give you the impression that I think I have all the answers. And then I don’t want to sound like I’m hounding you, “why Mikel, you simply must find a way… etc” – which I fear is how I’m coming across anyway. One thing I hated on my three steps forward, two steps back journey towards “something plausible” was when I’d think I’m getting close and then I’d hear or read something I thought was insultingly stupid and it’d make me turn away in disgust – “oh please, as if I could really ever believe that nonsense.” An additional problem is that it was often a very fine line between “hmm yeah that’s reasonable” and “that’s preposterous!”

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    I think Aaron answered this question well, so I’ll just go with what he said.
     
    I don't have the time to go into this in any detail. Even though I'm not a religious person, I do take some things quite religiously, one of them being weekend activities, but I remain totally unconvinced. What Aaron and Coconuts are saying is that, once religions came into being and became a social norm, they play very important roles well beyond the actual beliefs they are based on. That is of course true but it doesn't say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.

    it was often a very fine line between “hmm yeah that’s reasonable” and “that’s preposterous!”
     
    I'm curious to know what your current beliefs are. No need to go into details if you don't want to, a broad brush description could help me understand what, if anything, we actually disagree on. I still consider myself what wikipedia calls an agnostic atheist. But perhaps I have been transitioning lately to some sort of "questioning" identity, to use modern woke terms.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Sher Singh

  881. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Science may describe to us the observed operations of nature, but it does not explain them to us – for all we know, the operations of a forest that science describes may be the result of the machinations of wood sprites, whose agendas and intentions we can’t fathom.
     
    Some part of science may be more descriptive than explanatory but nevertheless behind science there is will to know which continuously shifts the borders of explanation, killing as it goes, the previous ones, among them fairies.

    Belief in fairies is like surrender of this will to know to: Whatever... Coconuts expressed it in his comment no. 817, which was an answer to my comment.

    The medievals used to believe that objects fall back to earth out of love – the earth loves it’s own. Now we call it “gravity” – which is just a description of what happens, not an explanation.
     

    Anyway, I am close to conclusion that this facet of humanity, this ability to make world self-contained in the prism of a given culture, sometimes described as "nominalism" or "social creation of the world" is actually one of the greatest weaknesses of humanity, as it makes human cultures easy to hijack and impossible to correct aside from the change of paradigm which almost always results through deaths of representatives of old paradigms, not through awakening of understanding in them.

    This is also why I prefer literal readings of the Scripture to metaphorical ones. In the latter, I am completely dependent on the ultimately random social world which provides me with metaphors.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    How has science disproven fairies?

    It has excluded it from consideration; that’s dogma, not proof.

    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying – objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let’s write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water “loves” the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what’s happening. It would just be entirely irrelevant to controlling the river.

    Science just “dispenses” with everything but the barest description of what is happening; it is a stripped down, bare minimum language, that excludes anything that isn’t strictly relevant to the process of control.

    And that’s absolutely fine; highly useful, in fact. We ought to focus on those factors relevant to whatever task we are doing to the exclusion of all else.

    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn’t relevant to the process of control.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science “proves” that spiritual entities, or volition, aren’t involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it’s simply incoherent.

    And the emerging movement among certain mainstream, respectable scientists is that since science cannot explain how consciousness “emerges” from matter, it ought to be regarded as an irreducible property of matter. And that introduces the idea that volition might well play a role in the patterns we observe in the world.

    But I’m just recapitulating everything I’ve already said on this thread. You’re free to prefer dogmatic faith if it makes you feel safe. I prefer the exciting adventure of finding out about a reality that is far larger and more mysterious than that contained in the most bare bones description of patterns.

    And in fact, there is a broader sense in which science is an attempt to genuinely grapple with the mysteries of the universe and not just confine itself to minimum observations of regularities – a science that is about wonder and a full, comprehensive knowledge. And in that science, it may well in the future get established that “love” is a basic property of the universe, just as much as any physical “laws” we know today.

    Unfortunately for you, language itself is a social construct, and words themselves are ambiguous, and the frontiers of what is sayable in words, but nevertheless crucial to us, cannot be “pinned down” like that.

    There are layers to meaning which reveal themselves over time through faithful engagement. It isn’t a random social process, but follows an inner logic, and depends on the wider context of all our knowledge and life.

    Culture can always be hijacked, and always is – religions are always hijacked by the state to become an arm of social control. Jesus love became the basis for war.

    But anyways, your mentality concentrates the essence of left hemisphere thinking so completely that there is probably no getting through to you, so I will desist.

    I know that people like you, who represent our culture, cannot be changed – we must build up an alternative culture alongside, that will ripen to fruition as your people decline through loss of vitality and contact with a larger reality.

    Sorry to sound harsh, and I do wish you the gentles decline possible.

    • Replies: @A123
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying – objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let’s write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water “loves” the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what’s happening.
     
    Gravity pulls all things down at 9.80665 m/s². So it would not be water fairies. Are you positing Gravitation Fairies? Or, Acceleration Fairies?

    Do fairies have agency? Why is it always the same if fairies have consciousness and choice? Why would 100% always water “love” the earth be at "love factor" 9.80665 m/s²? That sound like a horrible way for fairies to exist.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn’t relevant to the process of control.
     
    But it wasn't just about "control." The conviction that observation of the natural entities was the key to acquiring knowledge about world was shared by both science's precursors in ancient times as well as leading figures in the scientific revolution. Even today, it's unclear to me that the desire for "control" is necessarily the central motivation. Is an astrophysicist really driven by the desire to "control" the cosmos or to simply understand it? It seems you're being a bit unfair, but I'm willing to hear you out.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science “proves” that spiritual entities, or volition, aren’t involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it’s simply incoherent.
     
    Here I think you're unnecessarily providing free ammunition to the "religion is just bad science" crowd. I don't think the explanation/description distinction can save you. Like beauty, explanation seems to be in the eye of the beholder. "Why did Joe visit the barber yesterday?" Because he wanted a haircut. "But why did he want a haircut?" Because he wanted to look good. "Aha, that's the real reason!" Some people would only be satisfied with the satisfied with the second explanation, others might consider the first adequate. And if the "volitional theory" of water flows at no point contradicts the physics theory, then as far as developing an understanding of 'mere reality' goes, you could be fairly accused of unnecessarily multiplying entities. You let yourself run smack bang into the old "I have no need of that hypothesis" objection. It rings hollow to persist with "but we need volition to fully explain water flows!" claims, I'm afraid.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  882. @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ

    There seems to be another aspect to open borders without the existence of a single world state, this is the re-formation of tribal jurisdictions and polities, where the system of law someone is subject to and the political community they are part of comes to be mainly based on blood ties or familial inheritance, not on territorial residence.

    You might have a situation developing which mimics that at the end of the Roman Empire, where the barbarian tribes tended to have these non-territorial jurisdictions, living among communities subject to different legal codes. It doesn't seem obviously progressive.

    Likely some kind of large state structure would be needed to stop this arising.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Have you read Robert Stark’s writings on pan-enclavism, such as this article of his?

    https://robertstark.substack.com/p/californias-future-of-pan-enclavism

    They envision something similar to what you’re describing, but much more lawful and orderly and within a single country.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mr. XYZ

    Neal Stephenson did it with more panache 30 years ago.

    https://www.nealstephenson.com/images/covers/snow-crash.png

    He still hasn't figured out how to write endings. : (

  883. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ


    Tusk condemned the current Polish government for being so guest-worker-friendly:
     
    No party is perfect. This includes PiS. However politicians, especially Left/Globalist ones, are not known for their integrity or consistency. Tusk's attacks on PiS reek of insincerity.

    This is an expose of Tusk's true self from 2007: (1)

    Tusk took the defeat badly and, in opposition, the PO kept up a drumbeat of criticism which focused on pointing out the government’s mistakes rather than coming up with new ideas.
    ...
    Another source of insecurity is that deep down, the PO and its leader carry the conviction that the natural support for its views is as low as it is for other liberal parties in Europe. Thus it is better not to trumpet doctrine too loudly; better to wait for your opponents to make mistakes.
     
    Tusk is a weaselly progressive, keeps it quite, and disingenuously advances his love of EU authoritarianism in the most opaque manner possible.

    Given his affinity for Brussels -- If elected how many illegal Rape-ugees would Tusk bring to Poland? It is obvious that his Globalist/Left PO party would be far worse than PiS on crime & public safety.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.politico.eu/article/low-key-liberal/

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    If Tusk was smart, he’d do merit-based migration or at least lean heavily in this direction. But AFAIK the status quo for Poland isn’t that bad since the countries that Poland is getting guest-workers (possible permanent residents and eventual citizens, depending on future Polish policies) from generally aren’t that problematic (even if some of them are Muslim-majority):

    In contrast, the EU has some problematic countries among its top immigrant origin sources:

    Specifically, Morocco, Algeria, and Pakistan. Please note that these figures are from before Britain left the EU, so there should now be much less Pakistanis (and Indians) within the EU.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Interesting but improbable.

    Tusk's PO party is part of the EPP (1),which is dominated by Germany's Globalist CDU party. This faction has a long history with Angela 'Mutti' Merkel's policies, most notably Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Tusk = Welcome Rape-ugees!

    It is far too late for PO to pivot away from Globalist/Left values. Tusk is attempting to repeat his technique based on opportunism and cynicism. While these dubious character traits served him well in Brussels, they are staggeringly unconvincing in Euroskeptic Poland.

    Here is a candid photo of Tusk.

     
    https://i.pinimg.com/originals/fe/cf/54/fecf54bea2218da08a776feadef89520.jpg
     

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_People's_Party

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ

    Your EU numbers are complete bullsh..t. Even in 2011 there were a lot more than 1 million Indians and 700k Pakis in EU (incl. UK). That is just hilariously wrong. And only "2 million Turks?" There are 4-5 million in Germany. Come on, can't you see it?

    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn't add up.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @AP

  884. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman). Belief in aliens has been ridiculed for a long time much more than a belief in fairies, where in fact it is much more based on facts than belief in fairies, which is supported only by Celtic mythology.
    As for aliens, you have sightings since records started:
    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_reported_UFO_sightings

    2) descriptions of similar gods in many mythologies and religions, which bestows certain unity of perception upon the phenomenon

    3) crop circles counted in thousands
    https://www.cropcirclecenter.com/

    4) recent monoliths phenomenon

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_works_similar_to_the_2020_Utah_monolith

    5) strange phenomenona around the world which cannot be easily explained naturally (geoglyphs visible only from air, tektites etc)


    HMS is actively promoting fairies belief (kind of), as a kind of broader reality which we can apparently only access through metaphor yet it still exists but there is a paradox here: why would we rather believe in fairies than in aliens...?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @songbird, @silviosilver

    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman).

    I think Heavy MarblesSteaks will love this story – he’s big on serendipity. I was out last night, and I didn’t run into her again, but the next closest thing – her best friend (with whom I was quite close too). My plan had been to go out for “a couple of hours,” but somehow it turned into an all-nighter. As I was about to leave, another girl I know stopped me at the door, and as I paused to hug her hello, the friend, who is a boisterous packet of energy, spotted me and gave me an enormous “Oh…My….God…where the fuck have you been?!?” (The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything – just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.) I thought she was going to pester me for explanations and I wasn’t in any state to invent excuses on the fly, but apparently she was just happy to see me, and we chatted for a long time and ended up going for breakfast. Looks like I might have a chance to rekindle this old flame.

    FWIW, I also met a couple of Polski dudes too. I can tell Polish when I hear it spoken, so I piped up with “Is that Polski?” Friendly people, and I hanged out with them for a while, and they’re half the reason I stayed up so late.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    That's a nice story, but why did you ghost her..? Was she crazy, or what?



    The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything – just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.
     
    I feel like ghosting is avoiding any responsibility. Even if I otherwise don't really like "The Little Prince" of Saint-Exupery, he sells there at least one good thought: that we are responsible for things we have befriended.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    , @songbird
    @silviosilver

    When I was about 11 or 12, I once said "Polski" at a sort of Revolutionary War parade because I was a rake. The look I got from some Polish woman (who I didn't know) was withering, and for the life of me, I can't understand why.

    How can an endonym be an insult? If a Pole can be so easily insulted, then what does it say about how harmful it is to bring even more alien people into your society?

    Replies: @silviosilver

  885. @Coconuts
    @Mr. XYZ


    And France should be praised for abolishing its incest laws.
     
    It may have led to elevated levels of sexual abuse within families, there is at least one charity for incest survivors in France which argues this, iirc there is a certain amount of evidence (there is some stereotype of the rural French that they are like this).

    But the problem with this I fear is that parents aren’t legally obligated to, say, pay for their children’s college education or to even give their children any inheritance at all.
     
    Afaik in France there are laws regulating inheritance and parents can't choose to disinherit children or legally will their money to other recipients, a few other European countries have laws like this.

    What’s the meaningful distinction between this kind of sex and coercive adult incest?
     
    It would be the idea that familial relations are not contractual in the way that employment contracts between non-family members usually are (i.e. the inherent levels of inequality, hierarchy and dependence involved in them, the fact that they are unchosen). Attempts to regulate these sorts of relationships via formal contracts could seem quite artificial.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    It would be the idea that familial relations are not contractual in the way that employment contracts between non-family members usually are (i.e. the inherent levels of inequality, hierarchy and dependence involved in them, the fact that they are unchosen). Attempts to regulate these sorts of relationships via formal contracts could seem quite artificial.

    Family relations can also be contractual, such as with adoption (both in giving a child up for adoption and in personally adopting a child yourself).

    Afaik in France there are laws regulating inheritance and parents can’t choose to disinherit children or legally will their money to other recipients, a few other European countries have laws like this.

    That’s good. Are there also laws to prevent parents from providing housing to their (non-disabled) adult children?

    It may have led to elevated levels of sexual abuse within families, there is at least one charity for incest survivors in France which argues this, iirc there is a certain amount of evidence (there is some stereotype of the rural French that they are like this).

    What’s the general pattern of this sexual abuse? Did it begin when one of them was a minor? Because if so, then this warrants criminalization. I think that the age of consent for incestuous sex should be set at 18 rather than at a lower age such as 16 (but there should be in-age exceptions for those who are close in age, like with Romeo and Juliet laws for regular people).

  886. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    If Tusk was smart, he'd do merit-based migration or at least lean heavily in this direction. But AFAIK the status quo for Poland isn't that bad since the countries that Poland is getting guest-workers (possible permanent residents and eventual citizens, depending on future Polish policies) from generally aren't that problematic (even if some of them are Muslim-majority):

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FzOLC8FXgAQJjq7.jpg

    In contrast, the EU has some problematic countries among its top immigrant origin sources:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/93/Europe%27s_Biggest_Foreign-Born_Communities.jpg/800px-Europe%27s_Biggest_Foreign-Born_Communities.jpg

    Specifically, Morocco, Algeria, and Pakistan. Please note that these figures are from before Britain left the EU, so there should now be much less Pakistanis (and Indians) within the EU.

    Replies: @A123, @Beckow

    Interesting but improbable.

    Tusk’s PO party is part of the EPP (1),which is dominated by Germany’s Globalist CDU party. This faction has a long history with Angela ‘Mutti’ Merkel’s policies, most notably Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Tusk = Welcome Rape-ugees!

    It is far too late for PO to pivot away from Globalist/Left values. Tusk is attempting to repeat his technique based on opportunism and cynicism. While these dubious character traits served him well in Brussels, they are staggeringly unconvincing in Euroskeptic Poland.

    Here is a candid photo of Tusk.

     

     

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_People’s_Party

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @A123

    According to some, pigs are the closest thing to humans there is.

    Replies: @A123

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims and Africans en masse, then Poles will prefer to vote for (in the words of Anatoly Karlin) clerical fascists again than to vote for Tusk again.

    Poland does not need more Simon Mols:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Mol

    Nor does Poland need Muslim killers who do atrocious shit such as this:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Samuel_Paty

    (According to AP, Samuel Paty's killer initially sought asylum in Poland and was declined, after which point he (and his family) applied for asylum in France and got accepted.)

    Replies: @A123, @Anatoly Karlin

  887. @Mr. XYZ
    @Coconuts

    Have you read Robert Stark's writings on pan-enclavism, such as this article of his?

    https://robertstark.substack.com/p/californias-future-of-pan-enclavism

    They envision something similar to what you're describing, but much more lawful and orderly and within a single country.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Neal Stephenson did it with more panache 30 years ago.

    He still hasn’t figured out how to write endings. : (

  888. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Interesting but improbable.

    Tusk's PO party is part of the EPP (1),which is dominated by Germany's Globalist CDU party. This faction has a long history with Angela 'Mutti' Merkel's policies, most notably Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Tusk = Welcome Rape-ugees!

    It is far too late for PO to pivot away from Globalist/Left values. Tusk is attempting to repeat his technique based on opportunism and cynicism. While these dubious character traits served him well in Brussels, they are staggeringly unconvincing in Euroskeptic Poland.

    Here is a candid photo of Tusk.

     
    https://i.pinimg.com/originals/fe/cf/54/fecf54bea2218da08a776feadef89520.jpg
     

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_People's_Party

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

    According to some, pigs are the closest thing to humans there is.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Comparing Donald Tusk to a pig 🐖 is porcine abuse. I am reporting you to the authorities. Shame... Shame.... 😎
    ___

    Snow Crash is probably Stephenson's best novel. Anathem was bizarre but interesting [MORE], so I will place it in my win list. Cryptonomicon was not bad, but it was nothing like what I expected. Seven Eve's (Seveneves?) was just too grim.

    PEACE 😇




    https://www.amazon.com/Anathem-Neal-Stephenson/dp/006147410X

  889. A123 says: • Website
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    How has science disproven fairies?

    It has excluded it from consideration; that's dogma, not proof.

    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying - objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let's write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water "loves" the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what's happening. It would just be entirely irrelevant to controlling the river.

    Science just "dispenses" with everything but the barest description of what is happening; it is a stripped down, bare minimum language, that excludes anything that isn't strictly relevant to the process of control.

    And that's absolutely fine; highly useful, in fact. We ought to focus on those factors relevant to whatever task we are doing to the exclusion of all else.

    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn't relevant to the process of control.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science "proves" that spiritual entities, or volition, aren't involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it's simply incoherent.

    And the emerging movement among certain mainstream, respectable scientists is that since science cannot explain how consciousness "emerges" from matter, it ought to be regarded as an irreducible property of matter. And that introduces the idea that volition might well play a role in the patterns we observe in the world.

    But I'm just recapitulating everything I've already said on this thread. You're free to prefer dogmatic faith if it makes you feel safe. I prefer the exciting adventure of finding out about a reality that is far larger and more mysterious than that contained in the most bare bones description of patterns.

    And in fact, there is a broader sense in which science is an attempt to genuinely grapple with the mysteries of the universe and not just confine itself to minimum observations of regularities - a science that is about wonder and a full, comprehensive knowledge. And in that science, it may well in the future get established that "love" is a basic property of the universe, just as much as any physical "laws" we know today.

    Unfortunately for you, language itself is a social construct, and words themselves are ambiguous, and the frontiers of what is sayable in words, but nevertheless crucial to us, cannot be "pinned down" like that.

    There are layers to meaning which reveal themselves over time through faithful engagement. It isn't a random social process, but follows an inner logic, and depends on the wider context of all our knowledge and life.

    Culture can always be hijacked, and always is - religions are always hijacked by the state to become an arm of social control. Jesus love became the basis for war.

    But anyways, your mentality concentrates the essence of left hemisphere thinking so completely that there is probably no getting through to you, so I will desist.

    I know that people like you, who represent our culture, cannot be changed - we must build up an alternative culture alongside, that will ripen to fruition as your people decline through loss of vitality and contact with a larger reality.

    Sorry to sound harsh, and I do wish you the gentles decline possible.

    Replies: @A123, @silviosilver

    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying – objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let’s write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water “loves” the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what’s happening.

    Gravity pulls all things down at 9.80665 m/s². So it would not be water fairies. Are you positing Gravitation Fairies? Or, Acceleration Fairies?

    Do fairies have agency? Why is it always the same if fairies have consciousness and choice? Why would 100% always water “love” the earth be at “love factor” 9.80665 m/s²? That sound like a horrible way for fairies to exist.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @A123

    You might as well say the same thing about God, isn't it boring for him to maintain this beautiful world just the way it is :)

    9.80665 m/s may be the most beautiful and perfect expression of the fairies dance - the rushing of a river is, at bottom, nothing more than the earth dancing before the Lord, rejoicing in creation.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  890. A123 says: • Website
    @Emil Nikola Richard
    @A123

    According to some, pigs are the closest thing to humans there is.

    Replies: @A123

    Comparing Donald Tusk to a pig 🐖 is porcine abuse. I am reporting you to the authorities. Shame… Shame…. 😎
    ___

    Snow Crash is probably Stephenson’s best novel. Anathem was bizarre but interesting [MORE], so I will place it in my win list. Cryptonomicon was not bad, but it was nothing like what I expected. Seven Eve’s (Seveneves?) was just too grim.

    PEACE 😇

    [MORE]

  891. @Sean
    @AP

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years' crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there. Ukraine is going to be importing food.

    The grain shipping deal ending was escalatory retribution for the underreported destruction being wreaked on Crimean supply bases and the Storm Shadow strikes on the Kerch bridge ECT. So far Obama's view about Russia having escalatory dominance in conflict with Ukraine seems prescient, though giving the Ukraine portfolio to VP Biden was hedging the bet somewhat.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @John Johnson

  892. A123 says: • Website

    This “Sanctuary City” thing is the gift that keeps on giving: (1)

    CALIFORNIA DREAMING: Anchorage mayor proposes sending homeless people to Los Angeles this winter.

    Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson told reporters during a news conference this week that plane tickets would be purchased for unhoused people to be sent to cities where they have families who can care for them or where the climate is warmer.

    “I think a ticket this morning to Los Angeles is 286 bucks, it cost us $100 plus or minus a few dollars every day to house someone, and we don’t have a place to put them in a large shelter this winter,” he said. “And remember, the objective, and it’s sad that we had to get to this, but we’re here to save lives, that’s my job.”

    Hey, the mayor has said that “Los Angeles is and should remain a Sanctuary City and the LAPD should not be burdened with the federal government’s responsibility to enforce immigration law,” so I’m sure that any new homeless arrivals would be entirely welcome.

    Exporting potential Blue Voters to Blue Cities in Blue States…. It smells like victory.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://instapundit.com/597755/

  893. @YetAnotherAnon
    @John Johnson

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    (and that video being The Sun, I wouldn't even take it as gospel. The other day the Mail gleefully posted video of what they said was a Russian tank being destroyed, before people started pointing out en masse that it looked awfully like a Leopard.)

    Replies: @Mikhail, @Wokechoke, @John Johnson

    I always wonder about the psychology of someone who posts video of people being killed, no matter what side the deceased are on. God rest their souls, whoever they are.

    I always wondered about the psychology of someone that finds sharing videos of war more offensive than launching a war.

    Very similar to the modern Westerner who is offended by the idea of viewing an animal being killed less it disrupt their fictional view of meat.

    You have a history of defending a mass murderer and yet you are offended if I post videos of the results.

    I don’t actually send men to their deaths by posting videos and unlike Putin I don’t have hopeless insecurities that drive an endless need to compensate.

    It isn’t by chance that Putin is 5’3 or that Hitler had a weird penis issue where he had to sit to pee. These warmongering freaks all have enough baggage to fill a jumbo jet.

  894. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    Interesting but improbable.

    Tusk's PO party is part of the EPP (1),which is dominated by Germany's Globalist CDU party. This faction has a long history with Angela 'Mutti' Merkel's policies, most notably Open [Muslim] Borders.

    Tusk = Welcome Rape-ugees!

    It is far too late for PO to pivot away from Globalist/Left values. Tusk is attempting to repeat his technique based on opportunism and cynicism. While these dubious character traits served him well in Brussels, they are staggeringly unconvincing in Euroskeptic Poland.

    Here is a candid photo of Tusk.

     
    https://i.pinimg.com/originals/fe/cf/54/fecf54bea2218da08a776feadef89520.jpg
     

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_People's_Party

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims and Africans en masse, then Poles will prefer to vote for (in the words of Anatoly Karlin) clerical fascists again than to vote for Tusk again.

    Poland does not need more Simon Mols:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Mol

    Nor does Poland need Muslim killers who do atrocious shit such as this:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Samuel_Paty

    (According to AP, Samuel Paty’s killer initially sought asylum in Poland and was declined, after which point he (and his family) applied for asylum in France and got accepted.)

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ


    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims
     
    Poles know now, before he is elected, that there is a 100% outcome that Tusk will import incompatible Rape-ugee Muslims. He was President of the horrific European Council, a bastion of Merkel-ite Left/Globalism.

    In a sane world that should take the concept "after being elected" off the table.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    No human or sentient being is "culturally incompatible."

    In fact the main problem of cultural incompatibility in Poland is m*noid reactionary fash scum murdering womyn in service of their sky wizard deity.

    As an LGBTQ+EHC representative you should be ashamed of running interference for them.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

  895. @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry


    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.
     
    I suspect that it will take a couple of decades for Ukraine to join the EU because it still needs to solve its poverty and corruption problems. It's made some progress on corruption but still has a very long way left to go, even in comparison to Poland:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9b/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%86%D1%96%D1%8F_%D0%B2_%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%96_1998-2018.jpg

    Ukraine's CPI score has been on a mostly upward trend since 2013, going from 25 in 2013 to 33 in 2022:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine

    But Poland is in the 50s, IIRC.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

  896. @Sean
    @AP

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years' crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there. Ukraine is going to be importing food.

    The grain shipping deal ending was escalatory retribution for the underreported destruction being wreaked on Crimean supply bases and the Storm Shadow strikes on the Kerch bridge ECT. So far Obama's view about Russia having escalatory dominance in conflict with Ukraine seems prescient, though giving the Ukraine portfolio to VP Biden was hedging the bet somewhat.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @John Johnson

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years’ crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there.

    How would that be the end of agriculture?

    Ukrainian grain passing on trains through Poland and going straight to Germany?

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @John Johnson


    How would that be the end of agriculture?
     
    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years' crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology
     
    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.

    Replies: @AP, @John Johnson

  897. @AP
    @Mr. XYZ


    "Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons you describe."

    One Polish guy on an online forum told me that a lot of Poles dislike Tusk because he apparently sold some state-owned Polish companies to the Germans or something like that
     
    Tusk is more "pro-business" which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall - some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don't have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland's populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany's CDU.

    I do have a soft spot for Republicans such as Mitt Romney
     
    Romney's a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama's second term was an utter disaster.

    Replies: @Sean, @A123, @Mr. XYZ

    From post #881:

    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German. I heard similar to what you have heard. I vaguely recall – some Polish media were owned by German companies, the current government stopped that and this was portrayed in the EU media (dominated by Germans) as the Polish government cracking down on free speech. I don’t have time to hunt down the details online now. He also less socially conservative than Poland’s populist right but again, this makes him like the northern pro-business part of the American Republican Party. He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

    So, Tusk is a Rockefeller Republican of sorts?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rockefeller_Republican

    (A lot of Rockefeller Republicans became Democrats over the decades at the same time that a lot of Blue Dog Democrats became Republicans. This made the major US political parties much more polarized.)

    Romney’s a very competent administrator; not having had Obama in office for those last 4 years would have been great for the country. Punishing the Republicans for the Iraq war by voting for Obama in 2008 was very understandable, but Obama’s second term was an utter disaster.

    My own support for Obama in 2008 had less to do with the Iraq War (which I’m relatively ambivalent about and leave for the Iraqi people to judge) and more to do with his general economic policy: Wanting universal healthcare, higher taxes on the wealthy, et cetera. He ran as a more-or-less generic left-wing populist back in 2008. The race-related stuff really only started to get heated after 2012, though there was a minor controversy when Obama got himself involved in this mess back in 2009:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Louis_Gates_arrest_controversy

    As a post-racial US President, Obama governed pretty well in his first term. In his second term, though, he governed less well. The one thing from his first term that I disliked was him changing campus sexual assault rules:

    https://www.thefire.org/news/why-office-civil-rights-april-dear-colleague-letter-was-2011s-biggest-fire-fight

    (I support affirmative consent as a social standard but I have very serious concerns with putting it into law. I think that it’s obvious that without an affirmative response to the question “Do you want to have sex?”, sex should not be initiated, but I don’t think that such criteria should be applied to things such as kissing for people who are already in relationships. And I think that consent to sex should imply consent to touching various body parts during sex without asking for separate consent for this as well. It also doesn’t exactly inspire faith and confidence that affirmative consent proponents fail to understand their own standard: https://www.thefire.org/news/even-affirmative-consent-advocates-seem-confused-about-affirmative-consent Also, this: https://www.thefire.org/news/new-yorks-affirmative-consent-law-affirmatively-confuses-students-video Initially, the movement was limited to applying affirmative consent to universities, but later on, a movement also developed, so far unsuccessfully, to apply affirmative consent to criminal law as well.)

    I think that Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran was good (in the sense that I doubt that a better deal could have been obtained and that this deal was better than no deal at all), but I’m not sure what else that was notable he did during his second term. Supporting Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen was, of course, a blatant mistake. I’m not even sure that the Houthis are actually the bad guys in Yemen’s civil war.

    BTW, I voted for Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020 (and will do so again for Biden in 2024) because I don’t like the Trumpist version of the Republican Party. Anti-immigration*, anti-Ukraine, appeals to the lowest common denominator, election denial, anti-vaxx, et cetera.

    *If the US’s immigration mixture was similar to Europe’s, I’d be much more worried. But thankfully it isn’t. If anything, I think that the US should massively increase high-skilled immigration so that it could accept many more culturally compatible duller immigrants on humanitarian grounds as well. Canada’s immigration policy I think is good, but since the US’s average IQ is about half a standard deviation below Canada’s, the US can afford to be more generous in its immigration policy to duller people relative to Canada (since the US won’t be hurt as much). But importing as many brains as possible is good. I think that the Left’s view on immigration is much more reasonable than the Right’s. The Right’s RAISE Act is apparently so restrictive that not even its sponsors would actually be able to immigrate to the US under it if they themselves were not already US citizens:

    https://bleedingheartlibertarians.com/2017/08/chuck-em-politicians-proposed-raise-act-ineligible-live-united-states/

  898. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims and Africans en masse, then Poles will prefer to vote for (in the words of Anatoly Karlin) clerical fascists again than to vote for Tusk again.

    Poland does not need more Simon Mols:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Mol

    Nor does Poland need Muslim killers who do atrocious shit such as this:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Samuel_Paty

    (According to AP, Samuel Paty's killer initially sought asylum in Poland and was declined, after which point he (and his family) applied for asylum in France and got accepted.)

    Replies: @A123, @Anatoly Karlin

    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims

    Poles know now, before he is elected, that there is a 100% outcome that Tusk will import incompatible Rape-ugee Muslims. He was President of the horrific European Council, a bastion of Merkel-ite Left/Globalism.

    In a sane world that should take the concept “after being elected” off the table.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    I doubt that Poland would want to import a lot of dull Semites (Arabs, Eritreans, Somalis, et cetera) even under Donald Tusk. Even its smart Semites (Ashkenazi Jews) did not exactly please a lot of Poles back when Poland still had a huge number of them.

    Germany has deep historical roots with the Ottoman Empire, so its moves to import more Muslims under Merkel actually made some historical geopolitical sense. The Syrians whom Germany imported were the descendants of Germany's allies during WWI, after all. Fight for Germany in WWI and your descendants get a comfortable life in Germany 100 years later! A real and true reward for one's loyalty to Germany!

  899. Russians are loved all over the world:

    You know things are going well when you have to ask North Korea for arms.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Interestingly enough, Russians think a lot like Norks do, especially Norks from 1950, who wanted to reunify their country by force. Of course, back then, North Korea (NorKor) wasn't the total failure that it is right now, so maybe North Korea could have actually had a warmer reception in South Korea back then relative to right now. Though AFAIK South Koreans still ferociously resisted the North Koreans in that war even before the US entry into that war.

  900. @A123
    @Mr. XYZ


    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims
     
    Poles know now, before he is elected, that there is a 100% outcome that Tusk will import incompatible Rape-ugee Muslims. He was President of the horrific European Council, a bastion of Merkel-ite Left/Globalism.

    In a sane world that should take the concept "after being elected" off the table.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    I doubt that Poland would want to import a lot of dull Semites (Arabs, Eritreans, Somalis, et cetera) even under Donald Tusk. Even its smart Semites (Ashkenazi Jews) did not exactly please a lot of Poles back when Poland still had a huge number of them.

    Germany has deep historical roots with the Ottoman Empire, so its moves to import more Muslims under Merkel actually made some historical geopolitical sense. The Syrians whom Germany imported were the descendants of Germany’s allies during WWI, after all. Fight for Germany in WWI and your descendants get a comfortable life in Germany 100 years later! A real and true reward for one’s loyalty to Germany!

  901. @A123
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying – objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let’s write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water “loves” the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what’s happening.
     
    Gravity pulls all things down at 9.80665 m/s². So it would not be water fairies. Are you positing Gravitation Fairies? Or, Acceleration Fairies?

    Do fairies have agency? Why is it always the same if fairies have consciousness and choice? Why would 100% always water “love” the earth be at "love factor" 9.80665 m/s²? That sound like a horrible way for fairies to exist.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    You might as well say the same thing about God, isn’t it boring for him to maintain this beautiful world just the way it is 🙂

    9.80665 m/s may be the most beautiful and perfect expression of the fairies dance – the rushing of a river is, at bottom, nothing more than the earth dancing before the Lord, rejoicing in creation.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    9.80665 m/s may be the most beautiful and perfect expression of the fairies dance
     
    Another way out of the jam is to say they don't have to dance, but they love to, and they joyfully throw themselves into every opportunity to dance that comes their way; and when they dance, they love nothing more than to do it at the beat of 9.8m/s-2.

    But dude....

    When you stray this far from the instructions contained in your trusty vade mecum, McGilchrist himself would probably disavow you.
  902. @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    If Tusk was smart, he'd do merit-based migration or at least lean heavily in this direction. But AFAIK the status quo for Poland isn't that bad since the countries that Poland is getting guest-workers (possible permanent residents and eventual citizens, depending on future Polish policies) from generally aren't that problematic (even if some of them are Muslim-majority):

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FzOLC8FXgAQJjq7.jpg

    In contrast, the EU has some problematic countries among its top immigrant origin sources:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/93/Europe%27s_Biggest_Foreign-Born_Communities.jpg/800px-Europe%27s_Biggest_Foreign-Born_Communities.jpg

    Specifically, Morocco, Algeria, and Pakistan. Please note that these figures are from before Britain left the EU, so there should now be much less Pakistanis (and Indians) within the EU.

    Replies: @A123, @Beckow

    Your EU numbers are complete bullsh..t. Even in 2011 there were a lot more than 1 million Indians and 700k Pakis in EU (incl. UK). That is just hilariously wrong. And only “2 million Turks?” There are 4-5 million in Germany. Come on, can’t you see it?

    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow

    I think that they only mean immigrants, not their descendants. I do agree with you that including their descendants in this data would be better.


    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.
     
    They're apparently admitted on work permits but could theoretically acquire the right to permanently stay in Poland later on.

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @AP
    @Beckow


    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.
     
    In twitter someone claimed that Polish chart was fake and didn't reflect what was actually in the government website.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  903. @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ


    eugenic Mormon

     

    I don't think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype,

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don't pay the tithe.

    The ex-Mormons are also seeming very nerdy, which is an indication of the braindrain of the religion. It could be like any braindraining society i.e. Russian emigrants' society, when the people are more nerdy than Russian non-emigrants' society.

    Although the leaders of the church are intelligent, in a selfish way like a kind of investment bankers. The main heads of the church didn't even work as missionaries, while they use the free labor of the younger people to expand the tithe market and increase the investments, often the missionaries go to the third world or convert people who have difficult situations.

    -

    One of the issues of the investment style of religion, is they don't have enough of the intellectual content to be interesting for the nerdy members of the cult to continue.

    If you compare the Haredi Jewish cults, which are not so much of an investment religion. Haredi Jewish cults are a lot more difficult and strict for the members than the Mormon cult. But they have developed in centuries a lot of the internal "company literature", debates and the interesting puzzles, that will distract the members or allow them to use their logic in these esoterical areas of the religion.

    They can read one of their leaders was criminal, but they can read another leader was a saint. Then they can them as example of the different puzzles.

    In comparison, with Mormons, you have to distract the members to not think about seer stones. This religion was created by someone who was viewed as a kind of serial criminal in the modern American society. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Smith_and_the_criminal_justice_system

    In comparison, it's installed in a way which more creates less traps for the critical nerds continuing in the cult, while even a religion like Catholicism has more ways to continue the interest of their nerds.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    I don’t think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype

    They also push out anyone that questions authority. Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.

    So as with liberal forms of Christianity they favor genes for submission.

    Turning Whites into submissive puppies by breeding out the aggressive ones. Great, that’s all we need. More submission to authority.

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don’t pay the tithe.

    Mr XYZ needs to read to ex-Mormon forums. I have been around them and know enough.

    They have positive fertility but it is completely dysgenic. They lock out male competition and maintain a sort of weasel man’s club. I honestly doubt most of the men are dutifully faithful. I see groups of unmarried Mormons at Walmart and they look like self-conscious scammers. They aren’t humble or considerate of others like our local Christian groups. The unmarried women won’t even look at non-Mormon men. In business they will look at the sky when talking to one. I guess they are terrified of getting a wet cooch for a non-Mormon.

    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn’t been around them.

    I get that on paper they don’t seem so bad. But at the end of the day they are a cult and not a denomination. When being around them you can quickly see this in how they treat non-Mormons. They have an unspoken belief that they get to rule over us in the afterlife. One of the many beliefs they don’t mention in the brochure. We are their eternal slaves that only have temporary forms of independence. The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.

    It’s a wacky cult and does not serve Whites in the long term.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn’t been around them.
     
    I've actually spoken to a couple of young Mormon missionary guys. They were pretty chill, other than for the fact that it was really creepy about how they actually believed in the central tenets of their religious doctrine.

    The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.
     
    Seems like it's even attracting enough for a few gay Mormon men such as Jeff Bennion and Skyler Sorensen to spiritually crave pussy and thus marry and have sex with and reproduce with women even though they are not actually sexually attracted to pussy. It's called mixed-orientation marriages.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Mikel
    @John Johnson


    Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.
     
    LOL. How many thousands of miles away from any modern LDS communinity do you live? You don't even seem to be aware that there are thousands of Mormon geneticists and doctors in medicine. I personally know quite a few.

    Replies: @QCIC

  904. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    The value of literalism In Reading OT is that it is the only connection to history and thus establishing precepts of OT as true in historical sense. What distinguishes OT from other religious writings is its distinctively historical character, and its open perspective since the problem of human deficiency nowhere is present so strongly. In other scriptural writing you get mostly pure teachings or mythologies of some semi-perfect (demi)-goods; most of the time, metaphorical readings are kind of narcisstic – they are so obsessed with the beauty/truth of their own explanations, that they disregard the text itself: gnosis with its myth of humans as fallen kings, and especially rabbinic Judaism is a good example. The latter practically shifted aside most of the Bible, except the Torah and Five Megillot, which are interpreted ad nauseam. But in this way rabbis created their own religion. I can get my head over the great contrast I notice when I read OT, which constantly lambastes Jews for their failures, with self-adulation of Jewry in rabbinic commentaries where even mistakes are reinterpreted to integrate them as somehow necessary.

    The problem of spiritual reading is that it loses the strong truth of OT, retaining something I would call ‘weak truth”, since it is truth which can have many expressions. Already NT is much more metaphorical than OT. If OT is operating system based on commands, like DOS, NT is like early Windows put on DOS, making everything more beautiful, but also limiting every problems to few axes against which you describe a position: follow Jesus – not follow Jesus, saved – condemned etc.
    Metaphors limit too.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    It’s not that there’s nothing in spiritual texts that are literal. Obviously, when Jesus said love your neighbor he meant that literally. Just as obviously, when he said hate your mother and father, wife and children, brothers and sisters, he didn’t mean that literally, but was making the point that family is less important than following God.

    The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly.

    You need to use spiritual discernment and context to read spiritual texts.

    If you read spiritual texts literally, you literally get absurd results that don’t make sense in terms of the religion itself.

    There is a famous Zen text that says – if you meet the Buddha, kill him! Obviously this is not literally calling for the murder of a human being, but in context, it means don’t cling to any ideas or concepts, however venerable, ancient, or authoritative.

    But just as obviously, the Buddha’s call for compassion is meant literally.

    The interpretations aren’t “random” and socially constructed, they follow a clear logic and process of discernment, and one can even sketch certain basic principles, although they can never be exhaustive.

    Moreover, spiritual texts are rich in meanings and implications that are realized over time through a process of faithful engagement and spiritual inspiration. The texts are inexhaustible in a sense.

    Of course, there is danger in this process – serious mistakes can be made, and bad actors can hijack religion, but nothing worthwhile in life comes without risk.

    You want absolute safety – that is what your “strong truth” amounts to. Like all excessive desire for safety, perhaps the hallmark of the modern world, it is a form of death. Most of what is valuable in life can only be had if we are willing to tolerate vulnerability.

    Man up, and have the courage to be vulnerable. Don’t trap your spirit in an iron cage for safety.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    There is a famous Zen text that says – if you meet the Buddha, kill him!
     
    Zen is extreme example in this case, but I agree with you concerning Zen: it uses words to arouse doubt....this is also why I said I used this technique when I asked you about your gnostic claims: If you were once a king, who were your subjects?

    However, Zen gives us a clue that not the literal meanings of koan is asked, by making it extreme (kill the Buddha). However, this is not the case with the Bible: literal readings of the Bible are not extreme.


    "The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly."
     
    Even the Song of Songs is not so extreme as to immediately renounce the literal meaning of the text. This literal meaning is very modern and woke by the way as it promotes the union of red man and white women. It must be that wokes neither read the Bible nor know it - otherwise the currently popular advertisements full of such white-colour couplings could be adorned with quotes from the Song of Songs.

    The standard rabbinic reading of the Song, that it is about the relationship of God and Israel, does not seem to be very coherent with the rest of the Bible, so I feel I have to renounce it. God says to Moses "I am who I am" and don't even show Moses His Face, and suddenly he is just a red man...?
    Why is Israel white and God red, hm?
    Also, generally the sexual intercourse is associated with very serious sin in the Bible, and thus with the Devil... why would God suddenly want to talk about Israel in the established terms of Devil...?

    The Song of Songs is also the only biblical source of a metaphor very important in Christianity: Mary as a rose. Only in the Song of Songs there is a rose, "the rose of Sharon" exactly. Very strange, strange and suspicious. What this rose really is, is hard to say.

    There is, however, some biblical basis to consider the Song of Songs a collection of satanic verses... this is because such a relatively reliable Judeochristian texts as the Revelation of St John places the central symbol of the Song, the bridegroom and the bride, among symbols of Babylon.

    18:23 And the light of a candle shall shine no more at all in thee; and the voice of the bridegroom and of the bride shall be heard no more at all in thee: for thy merchants were the great men of the earth; for by thy sorceries were all nations deceived.

    Plus, "thy sorceries" surely could be metaphors...?

    So you see, without clearly deciding what the Song of Songs is really about, we can safely ignore it, since it is not really important text for understanding of other texts of OT, and there are many questions about intentions behind its symbols.

    Replies: @Sean, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  905. The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly.

    So you are saying the part about climbing boobs is actually a metaphor for Israel?

    Not someone that simply likes the boobs of his woman?

    “Your stature is like a palm tree,
    And your breasts are like its clusters.
    “I said, ‘I will climb the palm tree,
    I will take hold of its fruit stalks.’
    Oh, may your breasts be like clusters of the vine,
    And the fragrance of your breath like apples,

    Song of Solomon 7:7-8

    I’ve read quite a bit of the OT and I don’t believe for one second that the inclusion of every book was thought out and part of some grand plan. Some books contain a lot of wisdom and other books are clearly the random musings of Hebrews.

    Some verses are just random laws that were clearly written by people for a different time. I’m not talking about the 10 commandments. There are verses about following rules for trading donkeys and daughters. A lot of random stuff that most Christians don’t know about because the pastor doesn’t mention it.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson

    I'm not sure what you're trying to say - that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle - or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    The important point is that the religious community that accepted this canon and built it's spiritual life around it obviously did not mean to take large parts of it literally.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem - who knows? - but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it's value as an inspired religious metaphor. Erotic imagery abounds in mystical literature in every religion, actually.

    Of course, it's entirely possible to also take a spiritual text and make it the basis of a literalistic cult. Perhaps a cult of literalistic assassins would take the Zen injunction to kill the Buddha quite literally, and wander the world seeking him in order to murder him.

    Context determines meaning - something the left hemisphere does not understand. But you literally cannot understand anything outside of its context.

    It's possible in a few thousand years Jews and Christians will have died out and the Song of Songs will be rediscovered without the rest of the Bible, and be adopted by some community as secular literature. In that context, the Song of Songs would be simply an erotic poem.

    Or it's possible the only one of Jesus sayings that survives is the one about hating your family - stripped of its context, it would be impossible to understand what it meant for Christians.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  906. Sher Singh says:
    @Beckow
    @Sher Singh


    IE languages 6000 BCE south of caucasus origin. Indo-Iranian split into Indo-Aryan and Iranic branches began 4000BCE....Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.
     
    The steppe theory is validated by archeology, genetics, and indirect historical sources. The linguistic data is never going to be conclusive: there were IE tribes south-of-Caucasus in early ancient history: Hittites, Mitani, later on Armenians, Medes...and their IE variants were some the oldest. They most likely came from the steppes through the Balkans or around the Caspian Sea - it is hard to cross Caucasus mountains directly.

    The genetic data suggests that IE formed in the north-of-Caucasus steppes by mixing Eastern European hunters (mostly men) with women from the Caucasus region. So we got the euro look, but with substantial hair - hirsuteness is centered around Caucasus. It probably wasn't pretty, but we don't know for sure.

    IE languages had a unique structure able to absorb substrata from other languages and had relatively flexible grammars. They are more directive, precise and streamlined, maybe due to the fast-moving and simpler lifestyle on the steppes. The ability to layer the IE language on the other numerous languages that existed at that time was a huge benefit - also the generally dominant position that IE speakers had due to their stronger physique and military skills.

    IE languages spread by moving on top of existing substrata often adopting vocabulary but maintaining the IE feel and structure. There are for example identifiable ancient substrata in proto-German languages that are different in the northwest than in the south. Something similar happened in India.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    This is a remarkable paper, well-researched and each potential objection has been addressed either in the paper or in the supplement. I suspect this will be a high-impact paper of this decade. It recognizes various flaws of the steppe theory, most notably the Andronovo Indo-Iranian theory which posits that steppe pastoralists changed the linguistic and cultural landscape of the most populated region of the world (Indian subcontinent and Iran) without leaving a single archaeological material trace, unlike in Europe where Corded Ware, Bell-Beaker and Battle-Axe ancient cultures verify such a steppe expansion. And its solutions to these problems are quite acceptable – a trans-Iranian plateau spread of the Indo-Iranian branch. The conclusion of the CHG/Iran Neolithic ‘tracer dye’ ancestry as the marker of IE spread has now gained a lot of currency after similar conclusions by Lazaridis et al 2022; Wang et al 2019; Reich (2018); Krause & Trappe (2022).

    https://a-genetics.blogspot.com/2023/07/hybrid-model.html?m=1

    IVC already shows evidence of caste due to uneven AASI admixture. Pasthun & Baloch are the closest to IVC – loe steppe, lower AASI, High Neolithic Iran.

    The old steppe theory needs a color based caste system + whole bunch of other stuff to survive.

    Whites should give up on larping as Vedic.
    If they’re want to adopt the religion fine, but acting as if it’s their ethnic heritage is blasphemous.

    With the added subtle implication that Christianity or globohomo are the natural successors since whites are the true Vedics.

    That’s about it.

    [MORE]
    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @Sher Singh

    *Slavs are Vedic not White. 😁

  907. Sher Singh says:
    @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Sher Singh


    Kills the steppe theory for Indo-Iranian.
     
    NO IT DOES NOT.

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    Didn’t see your post.

    Here’s my response –

    “I am descended from numerous prestigious archaic populations.”
    “I am an American. I’ll have the number three with large fries and a coke.”

    [MORE]

    https://twitter.com/Kharkuu96/status/1680447305881616385?s=20

    ਅਕਾਲ

  908. @John Johnson
    The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly.

    So you are saying the part about climbing boobs is actually a metaphor for Israel?

    Not someone that simply likes the boobs of his woman?

    “Your stature is like a palm tree,
    And your breasts are like its clusters.
    “I said, ‘I will climb the palm tree,
    I will take hold of its fruit stalks.’
    Oh, may your breasts be like clusters of the vine,
    And the fragrance of your breath like apples,

    Song of Solomon 7:7-8

    I've read quite a bit of the OT and I don't believe for one second that the inclusion of every book was thought out and part of some grand plan. Some books contain a lot of wisdom and other books are clearly the random musings of Hebrews.

    Some verses are just random laws that were clearly written by people for a different time. I'm not talking about the 10 commandments. There are verses about following rules for trading donkeys and daughters. A lot of random stuff that most Christians don't know about because the pastor doesn't mention it.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I’m not sure what you’re trying to say – that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle – or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    The important point is that the religious community that accepted this canon and built it’s spiritual life around it obviously did not mean to take large parts of it literally.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem – who knows? – but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it’s value as an inspired religious metaphor. Erotic imagery abounds in mystical literature in every religion, actually.

    Of course, it’s entirely possible to also take a spiritual text and make it the basis of a literalistic cult. Perhaps a cult of literalistic assassins would take the Zen injunction to kill the Buddha quite literally, and wander the world seeking him in order to murder him.

    Context determines meaning – something the left hemisphere does not understand. But you literally cannot understand anything outside of its context.

    It’s possible in a few thousand years Jews and Christians will have died out and the Song of Songs will be rediscovered without the rest of the Bible, and be adopted by some community as secular literature. In that context, the Song of Songs would be simply an erotic poem.

    Or it’s possible the only one of Jesus sayings that survives is the one about hating your family – stripped of its context, it would be impossible to understand what it meant for Christians.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I’m not sure what you’re trying to say – that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle – or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    Wouldn't that have to be the case for most religions? They can't all be correct. A least one religion has to be the random collections of a few people talking.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem – who knows? – but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it’s value as an inspired religious metaphor.

    That's your interpretation.

    I'm actually not a Jew and grew up in the Christian church. I've heard interpretations of Song of Songs as inspired poems. Meaning the Jewish author wanted to climb the breasts but was on some nirvana level at the time.

    What are your thoughts on the book of Numbers? Also a metaphor?

    For the record I like boobs and enjoyed the breast climbing verse in the Song of Songs. There is a lot of the Bible that I find to be inspirational and I really mean that. But I'm skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn't take literally. I really don't believe that.....at all.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Wokechoke

  909. @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ

    Your EU numbers are complete bullsh..t. Even in 2011 there were a lot more than 1 million Indians and 700k Pakis in EU (incl. UK). That is just hilariously wrong. And only "2 million Turks?" There are 4-5 million in Germany. Come on, can't you see it?

    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn't add up.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @AP

    I think that they only mean immigrants, not their descendants. I do agree with you that including their descendants in this data would be better.

    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.

    They’re apparently admitted on work permits but could theoretically acquire the right to permanently stay in Poland later on.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ


    ...only mean immigrants, not their descendants.
     
    There are ways governments manipulate numbers to make them smaller - or don't publish them at all like in France. I can imagine that if they narrowly restricted it to "citizen of EU born in India", possibly...even in that case it seems too low.

    The actual number are all people: citizens, residents, "students", "refugees", dependents, illegals, who are living in EU or in Poland. That is the only number that matters - I can see why the lib nutcases would desperately try to hide it.

    Admitting people on "work permits"in today's demographic world is a road to hell, you will lose your country over time. They almost always have a way to stay and bring dependents - chain migration that can't be stopped in EU. It lowers incomes and cheapens work.

    Is this done by the "conservative-nationalist" Polish government? It seems that other than hating Russians there is no substance to Polish nationalism. By conservative the Poles mean rehashing the long-gone atavistic and primitive hatreds and their hurt pride. It will not end well - as in the past, the Poles are showing that they are literally the dumbest people on this planet. Or in Europe.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Derer

  910. @John Johnson
    @Dmitry

    I don’t think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype

    They also push out anyone that questions authority. Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.

    So as with liberal forms of Christianity they favor genes for submission.

    Turning Whites into submissive puppies by breeding out the aggressive ones. Great, that's all we need. More submission to authority.

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don’t pay the tithe.

    Mr XYZ needs to read to ex-Mormon forums. I have been around them and know enough.

    They have positive fertility but it is completely dysgenic. They lock out male competition and maintain a sort of weasel man's club. I honestly doubt most of the men are dutifully faithful. I see groups of unmarried Mormons at Walmart and they look like self-conscious scammers. They aren't humble or considerate of others like our local Christian groups. The unmarried women won't even look at non-Mormon men. In business they will look at the sky when talking to one. I guess they are terrified of getting a wet cooch for a non-Mormon.

    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn't been around them.

    I get that on paper they don't seem so bad. But at the end of the day they are a cult and not a denomination. When being around them you can quickly see this in how they treat non-Mormons. They have an unspoken belief that they get to rule over us in the afterlife. One of the many beliefs they don't mention in the brochure. We are their eternal slaves that only have temporary forms of independence. The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.

    It's a wacky cult and does not serve Whites in the long term.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mikel

    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn’t been around them.

    I’ve actually spoken to a couple of young Mormon missionary guys. They were pretty chill, other than for the fact that it was really creepy about how they actually believed in the central tenets of their religious doctrine.

    The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.

    Seems like it’s even attracting enough for a few gay Mormon men such as Jeff Bennion and Skyler Sorensen to spiritually crave pussy and thus marry and have sex with and reproduce with women even though they are not actually sexually attracted to pussy. It’s called mixed-orientation marriages.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ


    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn’t been around them.
     
    I’ve actually spoken to a couple of young Mormon missionary guys. They were pretty chill, other than for the fact that it was really creepy about how they actually believed in the central tenets of their religious doctrine.

    You were talking to them in sales mode.

    Do some business with Mormons and get back to us.

    It's a creepy cult and as with Muslims they quietly hate your guts if you aren't part of it.

  911. @John Johnson
    Russians are loved all over the world:

    https://youtu.be/KM2ofzVn_Zc?t=167

    You know things are going well when you have to ask North Korea for arms.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Interestingly enough, Russians think a lot like Norks do, especially Norks from 1950, who wanted to reunify their country by force. Of course, back then, North Korea (NorKor) wasn’t the total failure that it is right now, so maybe North Korea could have actually had a warmer reception in South Korea back then relative to right now. Though AFAIK South Koreans still ferociously resisted the North Koreans in that war even before the US entry into that war.

  912. @John Johnson
    @Sean

    The Poles have banned Ukrainian grain now relying on the land route from Polish markets, so it will have to be sent to Germany at further cost. Ukrainian farmers who invest in next years’ crop will go broke because it will rot. No Ukrainian farmer is going to plant for next year, so that is the end of agriculture there.

    How would that be the end of agriculture?

    Ukrainian grain passing on trains through Poland and going straight to Germany?

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology.

    Replies: @Sean

    How would that be the end of agriculture?

    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology

    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Sean


    "How would that be the end of agriculture?"

    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit
     

    No, Ukrainian farmers can still make profit by shipping through Polish ports. They already do that. In fact they were shipping so much through Polish ports that the Polish ports were at near full capacity last year:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-24/ukraine-s-grain-shipments-face-tight-capacity-at-polish-ports?in_source=embedded-checkout-banner

    If they weren't making money by doing so why would they?

    So they add capacity:

    https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/poland-increases-the-number-of-ports-for-ukrainian-grain-exports/

    The problem is that there weren't enough ports to handle the volume of Ukrainian grain, to compensate for the loss of the Odessa port. That's why they want to add Baltic ports to the mix too.


    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.
     
    Still not enough to eliminate the profit. Otherwise they wouldn't be exporting that way, and indeed increasing capacity for exporting this way.

    The limiting factor isn't cost, but capacity. Here is an article about limitations with transport through Poland. It describes the problems with capacity. No mention that it is too expensive to do so:

    https://www.azernews.az/region/196518.html

    Replies: @A123

    , @John Johnson
    @Sean


    How would that be the end of agriculture?
     
    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    I am aware that farming is an investment.

    You haven't explained how lacking sea ports makes the investment worth abandoning.

    Moldova is land locked and yet somehow manages to export grain.

    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand

    You do realize that Germany was importing Ukrainian grain before the war? Why are you certain that Germans, Poles and Ukrainians will be unable to increase rail transport?

    Yes of course it will be more expensive than dumping it in cargo ships. That doesn't mean the business will become unprofitable to where farmers torch their fields.

    Here is also what can happen:
    1. Grain prices rise due to lack of supply
    2. Increased price offsets shipping costs

    It's currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.

    Replies: @AP

  913. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson

    I'm not sure what you're trying to say - that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle - or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    The important point is that the religious community that accepted this canon and built it's spiritual life around it obviously did not mean to take large parts of it literally.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem - who knows? - but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it's value as an inspired religious metaphor. Erotic imagery abounds in mystical literature in every religion, actually.

    Of course, it's entirely possible to also take a spiritual text and make it the basis of a literalistic cult. Perhaps a cult of literalistic assassins would take the Zen injunction to kill the Buddha quite literally, and wander the world seeking him in order to murder him.

    Context determines meaning - something the left hemisphere does not understand. But you literally cannot understand anything outside of its context.

    It's possible in a few thousand years Jews and Christians will have died out and the Song of Songs will be rediscovered without the rest of the Bible, and be adopted by some community as secular literature. In that context, the Song of Songs would be simply an erotic poem.

    Or it's possible the only one of Jesus sayings that survives is the one about hating your family - stripped of its context, it would be impossible to understand what it meant for Christians.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I’m not sure what you’re trying to say – that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle – or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct. A least one religion has to be the random collections of a few people talking.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem – who knows? – but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it’s value as an inspired religious metaphor.

    That’s your interpretation.

    I’m actually not a Jew and grew up in the Christian church. I’ve heard interpretations of Song of Songs as inspired poems. Meaning the Jewish author wanted to climb the breasts but was on some nirvana level at the time.

    What are your thoughts on the book of Numbers? Also a metaphor?

    For the record I like boobs and enjoyed the breast climbing verse in the Song of Songs. There is a lot of the Bible that I find to be inspirational and I really mean that. But I’m skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn’t take literally. I really don’t believe that…..at all.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson


    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct
     
    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can't all be correct.

    But if you read each religions texts spiritually, as you're supposed to, then certainly they can. They are all attempts to unite with God - they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths. Thomas Aquinas was hugely influenced by Aristotle, and thought some Muslim theologians came much closer to God than many Christian ones.

    In China, this was always explicitly understood - Taoism, Buddhism, and Confucianism were all considered valid approaches, not rivals.


    But I’m skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn’t take literally. I really don’t believe that…..at all.
     
    Of course it isn't. All religions contain large amounts of dross, and much that must ultimately be rejected. They were written by fallible humans, who were divinely inspired, to be sure, but who were imperfect vessels. Divine revelation is also an ongoing process, not complete and finished.

    I'm also not saying that none of it should be taken literally. Some of it yes, some of it no. Context and spiritual discernment will help you know

    My pont was that the canon each religion creates for itself reflects a selection process based on spiritual principles, and what those texts meant for that community can't be understood outside that context. Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Replies: @Sean, @John Johnson

    , @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    What is The Christian Church? It’s I grew up a Christian (general Protestant self identification) or I grew up in The Church. The Church means Catholic in most colloquial uses. Orthodox using the English language normally say I grew up Orthodox.

    Very few Catholics or Orthodox pay much attention to Ecclesiastes or Deuteronomy. Anglicans, Lutherans less so.

    The way you dwell on such texts is highly semitic.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  914. @Sher Singh
    @Beckow


    This is a remarkable paper, well-researched and each potential objection has been addressed either in the paper or in the supplement. I suspect this will be a high-impact paper of this decade. It recognizes various flaws of the steppe theory, most notably the Andronovo Indo-Iranian theory which posits that steppe pastoralists changed the linguistic and cultural landscape of the most populated region of the world (Indian subcontinent and Iran) without leaving a single archaeological material trace, unlike in Europe where Corded Ware, Bell-Beaker and Battle-Axe ancient cultures verify such a steppe expansion. And its solutions to these problems are quite acceptable - a trans-Iranian plateau spread of the Indo-Iranian branch. The conclusion of the CHG/Iran Neolithic 'tracer dye' ancestry as the marker of IE spread has now gained a lot of currency after similar conclusions by Lazaridis et al 2022; Wang et al 2019; Reich (2018); Krause & Trappe (2022).
     
    https://a-genetics.blogspot.com/2023/07/hybrid-model.html?m=1

    IVC already shows evidence of caste due to uneven AASI admixture. Pasthun & Baloch are the closest to IVC - loe steppe, lower AASI, High Neolithic Iran.

    The old steppe theory needs a color based caste system + whole bunch of other stuff to survive.

    Whites should give up on larping as Vedic.
    If they're want to adopt the religion fine, but acting as if it's their ethnic heritage is blasphemous.

    With the added subtle implication that Christianity or globohomo are the natural successors since whites are the true Vedics.

    That's about it.

    https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1100267815883264070/1134292540124839936/IMG-20230727-WA0005.jpg
    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    *Slavs are Vedic not White. 😁

  915. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn’t been around them.
     
    I've actually spoken to a couple of young Mormon missionary guys. They were pretty chill, other than for the fact that it was really creepy about how they actually believed in the central tenets of their religious doctrine.

    The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.
     
    Seems like it's even attracting enough for a few gay Mormon men such as Jeff Bennion and Skyler Sorensen to spiritually crave pussy and thus marry and have sex with and reproduce with women even though they are not actually sexually attracted to pussy. It's called mixed-orientation marriages.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn’t been around them.

    I’ve actually spoken to a couple of young Mormon missionary guys. They were pretty chill, other than for the fact that it was really creepy about how they actually believed in the central tenets of their religious doctrine.

    You were talking to them in sales mode.

    Do some business with Mormons and get back to us.

    It’s a creepy cult and as with Muslims they quietly hate your guts if you aren’t part of it.

  916. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    Do you think that, absent any fear of death in the human being, religion would still exist? What for?
     
    Oh for sure. I actually believed this even as an atheist. People get a lot more from their faith than just reassurances about their death. I think Aaron answered this question well, so I'll just go with what he said.

    I don’t know how to jump from those elucubrations, at the very edge of our knowledge, about consciouness as an independent category of reality to the act of my consciousness surviving the decay of my brain and all its constituent cells.
     
    I could mention some things that helped me work my way up to it, but I don't want to give you the impression that I think I have all the answers. And then I don't want to sound like I'm hounding you, "why Mikel, you simply must find a way... etc" - which I fear is how I'm coming across anyway. One thing I hated on my three steps forward, two steps back journey towards "something plausible" was when I'd think I'm getting close and then I'd hear or read something I thought was insultingly stupid and it'd make me turn away in disgust - "oh please, as if I could really ever believe that nonsense." An additional problem is that it was often a very fine line between "hmm yeah that's reasonable" and "that's preposterous!"

    Replies: @Mikel

    I think Aaron answered this question well, so I’ll just go with what he said.

    I don’t have the time to go into this in any detail. Even though I’m not a religious person, I do take some things quite religiously, one of them being weekend activities, but I remain totally unconvinced. What Aaron and Coconuts are saying is that, once religions came into being and became a social norm, they play very important roles well beyond the actual beliefs they are based on. That is of course true but it doesn’t say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.

    it was often a very fine line between “hmm yeah that’s reasonable” and “that’s preposterous!”

    I’m curious to know what your current beliefs are. No need to go into details if you don’t want to, a broad brush description could help me understand what, if anything, we actually disagree on. I still consider myself what wikipedia calls an agnostic atheist. But perhaps I have been transitioning lately to some sort of “questioning” identity, to use modern woke terms.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    That is of course true but it doesn’t say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.
     
    I agree that is the most probable explanation. I doubt we'll ever know it for sure, but I'm happy to go with it. I understand your claim to be that had humans never experienced fear of death, then religions would never have been developed. This is the claim I'm disagreeing with. Just because fear of death is how it did happen doesn't mean that's the only way it could have happened. If we had never feared death, I think religions could and almost certainly would still have originated. Why? Precisely for the other functions they serve. Leave aside the mystical abstractions and just focus on basic desires. If we didn't fear death, we'd still want things in this world - we'd want the harvest to be plentiful, we'd want the drought to end, we'd want to be victorious in battle, we'd want to heal from our aliments, we'd want the object of our affections to love us back, we'd want our rivals to suffer, etc. "Hey God, we worship you, now perform for us!"

    I’m curious to know what your current beliefs are.
     
    Let me try breaking it down into levels of certainty.

    First and foremost, is the rejection of scientism, materialism, physicalism, "the completeness of physics" - they all mean much the same to me - as ever even potentially offering an explanation for the totality of the human experience. "We" never should have - and I personally never should have - bought into this misconception in the first place. I think I was simply blinded by the scientific approach's tremendous success in explaining things in general about this world that led me to unthinkingly assume that someday it'd explain absolutely everything about absolutely everything. I am now quite certain it cannot and never will.

    That necessarily forces me to subscribe to either mind-matter dualism, or simply a kind of all-is-mind monism (without getting into the nitty gritty distinctions in this area). Logic may force this on me, but it's no mean feat overcoming half a lifetime of ingrained scientism. I'm still working out the implications of what this position being true are. It's like if scientism caused Nietzsche to declare "God is dead, and we have killed him" but was left wondering what the long-term implications of that death would be, then the rejection of scientism enables us to declare "God lives, and we have raised him!" while leaving us wondering what all this implies for both our present understanding and our future development.

    (To briefly digress, those of a Christian bent could discern a recapitulation of the biblical narrative in this. Adam and Eve eat of the forbidden fruit, while we moderns fall for the Luciferian deception of scientistic enlightenment; Christ freely goes to his death, knowing he'll be raised, while God in our time allows scientism to smite our belief in him, knowing our encounter with the deeper magic he has woven into the fabric of reality will reconcile us to him.)

    At a considerably lower level of certainty - at best 50/50 at this point in time - but the one of greatest interest to me - is the notion that there's a moral purpose behind our existence, a moral goal that we must achieve, and that all the experiences and events of our lives - our own lives, the lives of those who came before us, and the lives of those yet to come - must be filtered through lens of this moral purpose. We're not here for no reason, we're not here by blind chance, we're not here simply for a good time; there's some great purpose behind it all. To keep this post short, I'll leave it here on this point, but I'd be happy to discuss it further and flesh out the barebones outline I've given here.

    Next, it's a pretty steep fall in certainty from all that to specific belief systems. I've referred to Christianity as my spiritual "mother tongue" before, and this has typically made it the first port of call whenever I've experienced a spiritual yearning. How real does any of it seem to me? I'm not sure. What I can say without hesitation is that it's again a "live option." I've been impressed by various Christian apologists. They have mightily upped their game compared to what I remember of them twenty years ago (although I'm also much more prepared to give them a fair hearing today). Impressed, but far from totally convinced; not even close to the way I'd be convinced me if someone walked me through the proof, say, that the square root of two is irrational.

    Then at the same level of uncertainty as traditional religious belief, but a greater wariness, I have various other supernatural, but not strictly religious, ideas. "The paranormal" would be simplest way to sum these up, but it also includes ideas derived from other people's personal experiences that don't easily fit into the classical paranormal categories. This level is tough to handle. On the one hand, my metaphysical commitment requires me to keep an open mind, but on the other hand, I see people as so susceptible to errors of perception and to wishful thinking and to ulterior motives that, phewee, it really tests my mettle.

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @Sher Singh
    @Mikel

    Separating rituals into religion & non religion is confusing yourself.

    Group rituals and values exist to pass the Dunbar limit.

    Even moreen true in the case of Eurasia where group conflict rather than environmental pressure is the primary selection mechanism.

    Standing in front of a cloth & singing hymns to the 'nation' is no less religious than Sunday mass.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  917. @Mr. XYZ
    @A123

    If Tusk, after being elected, will start importing culturally incompatible Muslims and Africans en masse, then Poles will prefer to vote for (in the words of Anatoly Karlin) clerical fascists again than to vote for Tusk again.

    Poland does not need more Simon Mols:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Mol

    Nor does Poland need Muslim killers who do atrocious shit such as this:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Samuel_Paty

    (According to AP, Samuel Paty's killer initially sought asylum in Poland and was declined, after which point he (and his family) applied for asylum in France and got accepted.)

    Replies: @A123, @Anatoly Karlin

    No human or sentient being is “culturally incompatible.”

    In fact the main problem of cultural incompatibility in Poland is m*noid reactionary fash scum murdering womyn in service of their sky wizard deity.

    As an LGBTQ+EHC representative you should be ashamed of running interference for them.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    In fact the main problem of cultural incompatibility in Poland is m*noid reactionary fash scum murdering womyn in service of their sky wizard deity.

     

    While this doesn't apply to Poland's current leadership, in theory, one can be an atheist/agnostic and still be politically anti-abortion. Pretty rare, but they do exist. There are some groups for them on Facebook.

    As for your general point here, Polish clerical fascists have killed many orders of magnitude less women than predatory imperialist Russians did with their invasion of Ukraine. So, look in the mirror before criticizing Poles for killing women!

    And elite human capital certainly does contain some humans to be culturally incompatible:

    https://www.theamericanconservative.com/race-real-estate-oak-park-chicago/

    Oak Park, Illinois, for instance, has been extremely selective about which blacks it allowed to move into it because it was aware that ghetto blacks bring ghetto problems with them. The benefit of their approach has been that Oak Park got cherry-picked diversity (middle- and upper-class blacks) while also not having a gigantic homicide rate like neighboring Austin, Illinois (which doesn't have *cherry-picked* diversity) has.

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    BTW, do you have a full family tree of Vladimir Putin's? I'd like to see all of it. I know that his parents and paternal grandparents all lived to their mid- or late 80s, but I'd like to see the rest of his relatives.

    BTW, you do know that living from 90 to 100 is considerably more difficult than living from 80 to 90, right? Of course, living from 100 to 110 is even more difficult than living from 90 to 100, and living from 110 to 120 is likely even more difficult than living from 100 to 110.

    Also, if we will see longevity escape velocity, will countries eventually impose hard limits on people's fertility in order to prevent overpopulation? Space colonization would be ruled out on a large scale without fast-than-light travel due to the fact that this would disrupt AI alignment, no?

  918. @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I’m not sure what you’re trying to say – that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle – or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    Wouldn't that have to be the case for most religions? They can't all be correct. A least one religion has to be the random collections of a few people talking.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem – who knows? – but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it’s value as an inspired religious metaphor.

    That's your interpretation.

    I'm actually not a Jew and grew up in the Christian church. I've heard interpretations of Song of Songs as inspired poems. Meaning the Jewish author wanted to climb the breasts but was on some nirvana level at the time.

    What are your thoughts on the book of Numbers? Also a metaphor?

    For the record I like boobs and enjoyed the breast climbing verse in the Song of Songs. There is a lot of the Bible that I find to be inspirational and I really mean that. But I'm skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn't take literally. I really don't believe that.....at all.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Wokechoke

    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct

    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    But if you read each religions texts spiritually, as you’re supposed to, then certainly they can. They are all attempts to unite with God – they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths. Thomas Aquinas was hugely influenced by Aristotle, and thought some Muslim theologians came much closer to God than many Christian ones.

    In China, this was always explicitly understood – Taoism, Buddhism, and Confucianism were all considered valid approaches, not rivals.

    But I’m skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn’t take literally. I really don’t believe that…..at all.

    Of course it isn’t. All religions contain large amounts of dross, and much that must ultimately be rejected. They were written by fallible humans, who were divinely inspired, to be sure, but who were imperfect vessels. Divine revelation is also an ongoing process, not complete and finished.

    I’m also not saying that none of it should be taken literally. Some of it yes, some of it no. Context and spiritual discernment will help you know

    My pont was that the canon each religion creates for itself reflects a selection process based on spiritual principles, and what those texts meant for that community can’t be understood outside that context. Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    My pont was that the canon each religion creates for itself reflects a selection process based on spiritual principles, and what those texts meant for that community can’t be understood outside that context. Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life
     

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    But if you read each religions texts spiritually, as you’re supposed to, then certainly they can. They are all attempts to unite with God
     
    Pragmatically they raise the birthrate, do the heavy lifting for what would otherwise require a rare degree of conscientiousness. Religion makes believers better members of that society by deterring bad behavior through an all seeing God who can send one to Hell. Religion makes men more peaceful and cooperative within their society, it is only when they try to principled universalist (insensitive to the context being within a society) that religions become ethereal and don't deliver the goods in birthrates or war.
    , @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct
     
    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    As I take them? The world's religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I'm not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn't told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn't merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.

    They are all attempts to unite with God – they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    I'm sorry but that is Unitarian hippie dippie bullshit. The Hindu don't believe in God and Muslims are deeply offended by the idea of the trinity. Jews are offended by the idea of Jesus as the Messiah. Christians are offended by the Jewish rejection of Jesus. Buddhists reject the Christian/Jewish/Muslim concept of morality and afterlife. These aren't merely a variety of paths to the same divine goal. They are belief systems that not only assume the others are false but heretical. Wars have been started over these beliefs.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths.

    Islam states that you can kill non-believers and take their women as sex slaves. Judaism states that all other religions are wrong and the Jews are a people chosen by God. Jesus stated that he is the only path to God. These beliefs all contradict each other and reject other faiths. The contradictions that lead to division are not a modern notion. Muhammed was launching holy wars before he finished his book.

    Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Uh-huh. How does this verse provide significance for living a spiritual life:
    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  919. @John Johnson
    @Dmitry

    I don’t think so, as the people exiting the religion seem to be more intelligent or educated and this is the theme of their discussions. At least in the Mormon society, this seems to be their local stereotype

    They also push out anyone that questions authority. Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.

    So as with liberal forms of Christianity they favor genes for submission.

    Turning Whites into submissive puppies by breeding out the aggressive ones. Great, that's all we need. More submission to authority.

    If you read the ex-Mormon forum, which is one of the most interesting or exotic places. They are often talking how they are disproportionately the engineers, successful people etc in their family, are exiting the religion and don’t pay the tithe.

    Mr XYZ needs to read to ex-Mormon forums. I have been around them and know enough.

    They have positive fertility but it is completely dysgenic. They lock out male competition and maintain a sort of weasel man's club. I honestly doubt most of the men are dutifully faithful. I see groups of unmarried Mormons at Walmart and they look like self-conscious scammers. They aren't humble or considerate of others like our local Christian groups. The unmarried women won't even look at non-Mormon men. In business they will look at the sky when talking to one. I guess they are terrified of getting a wet cooch for a non-Mormon.

    Mr XYZ falls into the group of: thinks Mormons are OK because he hasn't been around them.

    I get that on paper they don't seem so bad. But at the end of the day they are a cult and not a denomination. When being around them you can quickly see this in how they treat non-Mormons. They have an unspoken belief that they get to rule over us in the afterlife. One of the many beliefs they don't mention in the brochure. We are their eternal slaves that only have temporary forms of independence. The Mormon men become gods and get their own planets. Earth is just where they practice for eternal rule.

    It's a wacky cult and does not serve Whites in the long term.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mikel

    Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.

    LOL. How many thousands of miles away from any modern LDS communinity do you live? You don’t even seem to be aware that there are thousands of Mormon geneticists and doctors in medicine. I personally know quite a few.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mikel

    In my view the defining feature of Mormons is the striking contrast between their quirky spiritual beliefs and their general reasonableness. I assume this apparent incompatibility creates a strong tension for many of them. All religions have this inherent challenge of religion versus reason, but the more reason is emphasized the more tension is present. Spiritualists have no problem with this duality but I think it is difficult for the rank and file. I don't know if Joseph Smith and his Angels worked in ideas to cover this challenge or if he built a time bomb.

  920. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    No human or sentient being is "culturally incompatible."

    In fact the main problem of cultural incompatibility in Poland is m*noid reactionary fash scum murdering womyn in service of their sky wizard deity.

    As an LGBTQ+EHC representative you should be ashamed of running interference for them.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    In fact the main problem of cultural incompatibility in Poland is m*noid reactionary fash scum murdering womyn in service of their sky wizard deity.

    While this doesn’t apply to Poland’s current leadership, in theory, one can be an atheist/agnostic and still be politically anti-abortion. Pretty rare, but they do exist. There are some groups for them on Facebook.

    As for your general point here, Polish clerical fascists have killed many orders of magnitude less women than predatory imperialist Russians did with their invasion of Ukraine. So, look in the mirror before criticizing Poles for killing women!

    And elite human capital certainly does contain some humans to be culturally incompatible:

    https://www.theamericanconservative.com/race-real-estate-oak-park-chicago/

    Oak Park, Illinois, for instance, has been extremely selective about which blacks it allowed to move into it because it was aware that ghetto blacks bring ghetto problems with them. The benefit of their approach has been that Oak Park got cherry-picked diversity (middle- and upper-class blacks) while also not having a gigantic homicide rate like neighboring Austin, Illinois (which doesn’t have *cherry-picked* diversity) has.

  921. AP says:
    @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ

    Your EU numbers are complete bullsh..t. Even in 2011 there were a lot more than 1 million Indians and 700k Pakis in EU (incl. UK). That is just hilariously wrong. And only "2 million Turks?" There are 4-5 million in Germany. Come on, can't you see it?

    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn't add up.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @AP

    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.

    In twitter someone claimed that Polish chart was fake and didn’t reflect what was actually in the government website.

    • Agree: A123
    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @AP

    They are completely invisible in small towns but I spent three days in Wroclaw (one of the big cities of Poland) in this week, and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day. It is not many but you do notice them.

    One of the curious facts is that they apparently come here to do simple and UNNECESSARY jobs like being a bicycle food courier (Uber Eats etc)- really people could be expected to get out to grab their own food. By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @AP

  922. AP says:
    @Sean
    @John Johnson


    How would that be the end of agriculture?
     
    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years' crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology
     
    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.

    Replies: @AP, @John Johnson

    “How would that be the end of agriculture?”

    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    No, Ukrainian farmers can still make profit by shipping through Polish ports. They already do that. In fact they were shipping so much through Polish ports that the Polish ports were at near full capacity last year:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-24/ukraine-s-grain-shipments-face-tight-capacity-at-polish-ports?in_source=embedded-checkout-banner

    If they weren’t making money by doing so why would they?

    So they add capacity:

    https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/poland-increases-the-number-of-ports-for-ukrainian-grain-exports/

    The problem is that there weren’t enough ports to handle the volume of Ukrainian grain, to compensate for the loss of the Odessa port. That’s why they want to add Baltic ports to the mix too.

    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.

    Still not enough to eliminate the profit. Otherwise they wouldn’t be exporting that way, and indeed increasing capacity for exporting this way.

    The limiting factor isn’t cost, but capacity. Here is an article about limitations with transport through Poland. It describes the problems with capacity. No mention that it is too expensive to do so:

    https://www.azernews.az/region/196518.html

    • Replies: @A123
    @AP


    Ukrainian farmers can still make profit by shipping through Polish ports. They already do that. In fact they were shipping so much through Polish ports that the Polish ports were at near full capacity last year:
     
    I made a similar point much earlier in this thread. (1)

    The return to Ukrainian agriculture is above zero. However, the cost of additional transport and handling reduces the price to the farmer. Losing the ability to use Odessa results in lower income.


    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand, which will make them more expensive.
     
    The limiting factor isn’t cost, but capacity. Here is an article about limitations with transport through Poland. It describes the problems with capacity.
     
    I concur. There are insufficient standard gauge rail cars to transport grain from the Ukrainian border to Polish ports.

    Should funding be shifted away from war material to funding a massive rail car build & track improvements? It would only make sense if Odessa will be closed for years. Making that open admission is unappealing to Kiev and their European backers.

    Additional complications:

    -1- By definition, there are only a limited number of possible locations for the grain facilities that will shift cargo from Ukrainian wide gauge to EU standard gauge rail cars. Russia will consider these valid military targets. Their position at the far western edge of Ukraine makes them less than easy targets, but expect hits to be delivered.

    -2- Hungary has already stated their borders will remain closed to grain imports (2). Poland has to protect its own farmers. That means domestic silo space must be reserved for their harvest. There is a bit more slack in Polish infrastructure, but that can only help so much.

    -3- Once the dedicated port facilities become full, the ability to send grain into Poland & Germany will be limited by available ship holds. When vessels are delayed, rail cars become 'rolling storage' until they can be offloaded at the port. This erratic pattern will cascade back into Ukraine side storage and rail operations.
    _____

    Economics and logistics are part of warfare. Closing the northern part of the Black Sea to heavy freight disadvantages Kiev much more than Moscow.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6064939

    (2) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6076696
  923. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    How has science disproven fairies?

    It has excluded it from consideration; that's dogma, not proof.

    Water flows downstream through the force of gravity. Its a way of saying - objects higher up fall down according to certain observed patterns. This seems to happen reliably, so let's write that down.

    If I were to tell you that invisible spiritual entities are pushing the water down, for reasons of their own, or that the water "loves" the earth and is drawn to it, that would be entirely consistent with the above scientific description of what's happening. It would just be entirely irrelevant to controlling the river.

    Science just "dispenses" with everything but the barest description of what is happening; it is a stripped down, bare minimum language, that excludes anything that isn't strictly relevant to the process of control.

    And that's absolutely fine; highly useful, in fact. We ought to focus on those factors relevant to whatever task we are doing to the exclusion of all else.

    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn't relevant to the process of control.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science "proves" that spiritual entities, or volition, aren't involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it's simply incoherent.

    And the emerging movement among certain mainstream, respectable scientists is that since science cannot explain how consciousness "emerges" from matter, it ought to be regarded as an irreducible property of matter. And that introduces the idea that volition might well play a role in the patterns we observe in the world.

    But I'm just recapitulating everything I've already said on this thread. You're free to prefer dogmatic faith if it makes you feel safe. I prefer the exciting adventure of finding out about a reality that is far larger and more mysterious than that contained in the most bare bones description of patterns.

    And in fact, there is a broader sense in which science is an attempt to genuinely grapple with the mysteries of the universe and not just confine itself to minimum observations of regularities - a science that is about wonder and a full, comprehensive knowledge. And in that science, it may well in the future get established that "love" is a basic property of the universe, just as much as any physical "laws" we know today.

    Unfortunately for you, language itself is a social construct, and words themselves are ambiguous, and the frontiers of what is sayable in words, but nevertheless crucial to us, cannot be "pinned down" like that.

    There are layers to meaning which reveal themselves over time through faithful engagement. It isn't a random social process, but follows an inner logic, and depends on the wider context of all our knowledge and life.

    Culture can always be hijacked, and always is - religions are always hijacked by the state to become an arm of social control. Jesus love became the basis for war.

    But anyways, your mentality concentrates the essence of left hemisphere thinking so completely that there is probably no getting through to you, so I will desist.

    I know that people like you, who represent our culture, cannot be changed - we must build up an alternative culture alongside, that will ripen to fruition as your people decline through loss of vitality and contact with a larger reality.

    Sorry to sound harsh, and I do wish you the gentles decline possible.

    Replies: @A123, @silviosilver

    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn’t relevant to the process of control.

    But it wasn’t just about “control.” The conviction that observation of the natural entities was the key to acquiring knowledge about world was shared by both science’s precursors in ancient times as well as leading figures in the scientific revolution. Even today, it’s unclear to me that the desire for “control” is necessarily the central motivation. Is an astrophysicist really driven by the desire to “control” the cosmos or to simply understand it? It seems you’re being a bit unfair, but I’m willing to hear you out.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science “proves” that spiritual entities, or volition, aren’t involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it’s simply incoherent.

    Here I think you’re unnecessarily providing free ammunition to the “religion is just bad science” crowd. I don’t think the explanation/description distinction can save you. Like beauty, explanation seems to be in the eye of the beholder. “Why did Joe visit the barber yesterday?” Because he wanted a haircut. “But why did he want a haircut?” Because he wanted to look good. “Aha, that’s the real reason!” Some people would only be satisfied with the satisfied with the second explanation, others might consider the first adequate. And if the “volitional theory” of water flows at no point contradicts the physics theory, then as far as developing an understanding of ‘mere reality’ goes, you could be fairly accused of unnecessarily multiplying entities. You let yourself run smack bang into the old “I have no need of that hypothesis” objection. It rings hollow to persist with “but we need volition to fully explain water flows!” claims, I’m afraid.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Well, consider these quotes by Sir Francis Bacon, who was instrumental in developing the new scientific method -

    "For man by the fall fell at the same time from his state of innocency and from his dominion over creation. Both of these losses however can even in this life be in some part repaired: the former by religion and faith, the latter by arts and sciences.”

    "the true and lawful goal of the sciences is none other than this: that human life be endowed with new discoveries and powers."

    The point of the empirical method was power - in another passage Bacon equates knowledge with power, and says we can only know insofar as we can manipulate, and that we must harass and vex nature to learn her secrets.

    Now, of course science can be understood in a much broader sense, as not merely about control, and many scientists throughout the ages have tried to push science in that direction. Goethe was a notable example.

    But reductionist science won out. Perhaps science in the future will be different.

    As for explaining how water flows, there are "levels" of explanation - each with it's own practical impacts in the real world and our relationship to it, and each as it reflects merely the desire to know - reflects our sense of wonder at existence.

    If you just want to control the river so that you can grow crops or prevent flooding, all you need to know is that it reliably flows at a certain rate.

    At that level of explanation, we call it "gravity". The word gravity is obviously just a "summary" of our observations, and nothing more. We've observed a process that seems to occur reliably in the same way and noted it down.

    This level of explanation doesn't deal with "why" or "how".

    Now, there are two reason why we might also want to know "why" and "how" and not just be content with "this is the way it happens consistently".

    One, simple wonder - simple delight and pleasure in all dimensions of existence, at knowing all dimensions of existence insofar as we can. There is a sense in which engaging with all dimensions of the world expands us, and unlocks dimensions of beauty and meaning that transcend mete utilitarian considerations.

    Two, because seeing the world as "dead" inanimate matter, or as living entities with wills of their own, drastically changes our emotional, psychological, and spiritual relationship to the world - and has enormous implications for our mental health and long term capacity to sustain the will to live at all, as we are now discovering - and also has very far reaching purely practical implications in the long term.

    The only reason we may want to grow crops and prevent flooding at all is in order to live and flourish - but if living in a "dead" universe makes our relationship to the world so depressing that we lose the will to live, creates such a feeling of alienation and disconnection that we lose all vitality, then clearly the matter is of the hugest importance to get right.

    So we begin to see that the first level of explanation that merely gives us power is actually subordinate to the second.- how to survive is subordinate to the will to live.

    Then, seeing the world as dead may allow us to exploit its resources without stint, leading ultimately to ecological devastation.

    Seeing the world as alive may lead us to enter into a cooperative partnership with it rather than a relationship of domination or exploitation - and this may be key to our long term flourishing both psychologically and physically, and may unlock dimensions of beauty and meaning and purpose that are crucial to us, to why we are alive at all.

    And while such a relationship may not give us dominion, it may give us ways of influencing nature, and deriving benefit, that are less certain but important.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  924. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson


    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct
     
    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can't all be correct.

    But if you read each religions texts spiritually, as you're supposed to, then certainly they can. They are all attempts to unite with God - they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths. Thomas Aquinas was hugely influenced by Aristotle, and thought some Muslim theologians came much closer to God than many Christian ones.

    In China, this was always explicitly understood - Taoism, Buddhism, and Confucianism were all considered valid approaches, not rivals.


    But I’m skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn’t take literally. I really don’t believe that…..at all.
     
    Of course it isn't. All religions contain large amounts of dross, and much that must ultimately be rejected. They were written by fallible humans, who were divinely inspired, to be sure, but who were imperfect vessels. Divine revelation is also an ongoing process, not complete and finished.

    I'm also not saying that none of it should be taken literally. Some of it yes, some of it no. Context and spiritual discernment will help you know

    My pont was that the canon each religion creates for itself reflects a selection process based on spiritual principles, and what those texts meant for that community can't be understood outside that context. Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Replies: @Sean, @John Johnson

    My pont was that the canon each religion creates for itself reflects a selection process based on spiritual principles, and what those texts meant for that community can’t be understood outside that context. Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    But if you read each religions texts spiritually, as you’re supposed to, then certainly they can. They are all attempts to unite with God

    Pragmatically they raise the birthrate, do the heavy lifting for what would otherwise require a rare degree of conscientiousness. Religion makes believers better members of that society by deterring bad behavior through an all seeing God who can send one to Hell. Religion makes men more peaceful and cooperative within their society, it is only when they try to principled universalist (insensitive to the context being within a society) that religions become ethereal and don’t deliver the goods in birthrates or war.

  925. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    It's not that there's nothing in spiritual texts that are literal. Obviously, when Jesus said love your neighbor he meant that literally. Just as obviously, when he said hate your mother and father, wife and children, brothers and sisters, he didn't mean that literally, but was making the point that family is less important than following God.

    The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem - the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel's relationship with God would be quite silly.

    You need to use spiritual discernment and context to read spiritual texts.

    If you read spiritual texts literally, you literally get absurd results that don't make sense in terms of the religion itself.

    There is a famous Zen text that says - if you meet the Buddha, kill him! Obviously this is not literally calling for the murder of a human being, but in context, it means don't cling to any ideas or concepts, however venerable, ancient, or authoritative.

    But just as obviously, the Buddha's call for compassion is meant literally.

    The interpretations aren't "random" and socially constructed, they follow a clear logic and process of discernment, and one can even sketch certain basic principles, although they can never be exhaustive.

    Moreover, spiritual texts are rich in meanings and implications that are realized over time through a process of faithful engagement and spiritual inspiration. The texts are inexhaustible in a sense.

    Of course, there is danger in this process - serious mistakes can be made, and bad actors can hijack religion, but nothing worthwhile in life comes without risk.

    You want absolute safety - that is what your "strong truth" amounts to. Like all excessive desire for safety, perhaps the hallmark of the modern world, it is a form of death. Most of what is valuable in life can only be had if we are willing to tolerate vulnerability.

    Man up, and have the courage to be vulnerable. Don't trap your spirit in an iron cage for safety.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    There is a famous Zen text that says – if you meet the Buddha, kill him!

    Zen is extreme example in this case, but I agree with you concerning Zen: it uses words to arouse doubt….this is also why I said I used this technique when I asked you about your gnostic claims: If you were once a king, who were your subjects?

    However, Zen gives us a clue that not the literal meanings of koan is asked, by making it extreme (kill the Buddha). However, this is not the case with the Bible: literal readings of the Bible are not extreme.

    “The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly.”

    Even the Song of Songs is not so extreme as to immediately renounce the literal meaning of the text. This literal meaning is very modern and woke by the way as it promotes the union of red man and white women. It must be that wokes neither read the Bible nor know it – otherwise the currently popular advertisements full of such white-colour couplings could be adorned with quotes from the Song of Songs.

    The standard rabbinic reading of the Song, that it is about the relationship of God and Israel, does not seem to be very coherent with the rest of the Bible, so I feel I have to renounce it. God says to Moses “I am who I am” and don’t even show Moses His Face, and suddenly he is just a red man…?
    Why is Israel white and God red, hm?
    Also, generally the sexual intercourse is associated with very serious sin in the Bible, and thus with the Devil… why would God suddenly want to talk about Israel in the established terms of Devil…?

    The Song of Songs is also the only biblical source of a metaphor very important in Christianity: Mary as a rose. Only in the Song of Songs there is a rose, “the rose of Sharon” exactly. Very strange, strange and suspicious. What this rose really is, is hard to say.

    There is, however, some biblical basis to consider the Song of Songs a collection of satanic verses… this is because such a relatively reliable Judeochristian texts as the Revelation of St John places the central symbol of the Song, the bridegroom and the bride, among symbols of Babylon.

    18:23 And the light of a candle shall shine no more at all in thee; and the voice of the bridegroom and of the bride shall be heard no more at all in thee: for thy merchants were the great men of the earth; for by thy sorceries were all nations deceived.

    Plus, “thy sorceries” surely could be metaphors…?

    So you see, without clearly deciding what the Song of Songs is really about, we can safely ignore it, since it is not really important text for understanding of other texts of OT, and there are many questions about intentions behind its symbols.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Another Polish Perspective

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6ReUXtm_VE

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?

    The Song is a metaphor - that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love, and in another God is utterly inscrutable and mysterious is not a contradiction, it's approaching the issue in many of its multifarious dimensions. You are utterly confusing "levels" of meaning here, and confusing the literal and the metaphorical - it's just a mess.

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.

    And your logic here is incomprehensible - since sex is a sin, it can't be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn't the exact opposite follow?

    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.

    I don't know how to continue this discussion with you, honestly. We're just too far apart. But I still like you as a commenter and will continue to engage with you as I can.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  926. @AP
    @Beckow


    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.
     
    In twitter someone claimed that Polish chart was fake and didn't reflect what was actually in the government website.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    They are completely invisible in small towns but I spent three days in Wroclaw (one of the big cities of Poland) in this week, and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day. It is not many but you do notice them.

    One of the curious facts is that they apparently come here to do simple and UNNECESSARY jobs like being a bicycle food courier (Uber Eats etc)- really people could be expected to get out to grab their own food. By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    It also raises a question: can you get a visa to Poland just claiming that you want to work in Uber Eats...?!

    , @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day.
     
    Haha, I think some people on this site would kill to see only a few brown faces per day. Enjoy the halcyon last days while you can. If the example of the anglosphere is anything to go by, some day in parts of your country it's 2-3 sightings of white faces you'll be making.

    By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).
     
    If experience proves anything, it's that immigration boosters can't be reasoned with. Some are immune to reason because they're cashing in directly, for others still, it's a sacred cause. Even arguments that explicitly benefit the sending countries - brain drain is hurting their economic prospects - are effortlessly turned against you - "you're right; we must refuse their educated citizens, and only accept immigration from their laboring classes." Of course, the future isn't set in stone, but "you just can't win" is how it has played out so far.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    , @AP
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I was in Poland in April last year. I was in Rzeszow, Krakow, the resort town of Zakopane with the hot springs, and a bunch of small cities and towns in the Southeast (Przemysl, Krosno, Sanok, etc.) where I have ancestral family connections. I flew into Warsaw but didn't spend any time in the city other than in the airport.

    Other than some African-American US soldiers in Rzeszow, and some volunteers at free kitchens for refugees right at the Polish-Ukrainian border crossing (there were some diverse people form the Netherlands, and a contingent of Sikhs) literally the only non-Europeans I saw in Poland were a small number of Asian tourists in Krakow, and two southeast Asian girls (either Vietnamese or Filipinos) working as waitresses in Krakow restaurants. So essentially just 2 non-European immigrants.

    Obviously Ukrainians were everywhere. Including many of the Uber drivers. Every Ukrainian Uber driver was from eastern Ukraine, who had been in Poland from before the war started. One of them, from Zaporizhia, told me that all the western and central Ukrainian guys who had been driving Ubers in Poland when the war started returned to Ukraine to fight for their country.

    Warsaw and Wroclaw may be a bit different. I heard that Wroclaw is about 25% Ukrainian nowadays. Is that an exaggeration? It had been the most Ukrainian city before the war.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  927. @Another Polish Perspective
    @AP

    They are completely invisible in small towns but I spent three days in Wroclaw (one of the big cities of Poland) in this week, and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day. It is not many but you do notice them.

    One of the curious facts is that they apparently come here to do simple and UNNECESSARY jobs like being a bicycle food courier (Uber Eats etc)- really people could be expected to get out to grab their own food. By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @AP

    It also raises a question: can you get a visa to Poland just claiming that you want to work in Uber Eats…?!

  928. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    I think Aaron answered this question well, so I’ll just go with what he said.
     
    I don't have the time to go into this in any detail. Even though I'm not a religious person, I do take some things quite religiously, one of them being weekend activities, but I remain totally unconvinced. What Aaron and Coconuts are saying is that, once religions came into being and became a social norm, they play very important roles well beyond the actual beliefs they are based on. That is of course true but it doesn't say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.

    it was often a very fine line between “hmm yeah that’s reasonable” and “that’s preposterous!”
     
    I'm curious to know what your current beliefs are. No need to go into details if you don't want to, a broad brush description could help me understand what, if anything, we actually disagree on. I still consider myself what wikipedia calls an agnostic atheist. But perhaps I have been transitioning lately to some sort of "questioning" identity, to use modern woke terms.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Sher Singh

    That is of course true but it doesn’t say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.

    I agree that is the most probable explanation. I doubt we’ll ever know it for sure, but I’m happy to go with it. I understand your claim to be that had humans never experienced fear of death, then religions would never have been developed. This is the claim I’m disagreeing with. Just because fear of death is how it did happen doesn’t mean that’s the only way it could have happened. If we had never feared death, I think religions could and almost certainly would still have originated. Why? Precisely for the other functions they serve. Leave aside the mystical abstractions and just focus on basic desires. If we didn’t fear death, we’d still want things in this world – we’d want the harvest to be plentiful, we’d want the drought to end, we’d want to be victorious in battle, we’d want to heal from our aliments, we’d want the object of our affections to love us back, we’d want our rivals to suffer, etc. “Hey God, we worship you, now perform for us!”

    I’m curious to know what your current beliefs are.

    Let me try breaking it down into levels of certainty.

    First and foremost, is the rejection of scientism, materialism, physicalism, “the completeness of physics” – they all mean much the same to me – as ever even potentially offering an explanation for the totality of the human experience. “We” never should have – and I personally never should have – bought into this misconception in the first place. I think I was simply blinded by the scientific approach’s tremendous success in explaining things in general about this world that led me to unthinkingly assume that someday it’d explain absolutely everything about absolutely everything. I am now quite certain it cannot and never will.

    That necessarily forces me to subscribe to either mind-matter dualism, or simply a kind of all-is-mind monism (without getting into the nitty gritty distinctions in this area). Logic may force this on me, but it’s no mean feat overcoming half a lifetime of ingrained scientism. I’m still working out the implications of what this position being true are. It’s like if scientism caused Nietzsche to declare “God is dead, and we have killed him” but was left wondering what the long-term implications of that death would be, then the rejection of scientism enables us to declare “God lives, and we have raised him!” while leaving us wondering what all this implies for both our present understanding and our future development.

    (To briefly digress, those of a Christian bent could discern a recapitulation of the biblical narrative in this. Adam and Eve eat of the forbidden fruit, while we moderns fall for the Luciferian deception of scientistic enlightenment; Christ freely goes to his death, knowing he’ll be raised, while God in our time allows scientism to smite our belief in him, knowing our encounter with the deeper magic he has woven into the fabric of reality will reconcile us to him.)

    At a considerably lower level of certainty – at best 50/50 at this point in time – but the one of greatest interest to me – is the notion that there’s a moral purpose behind our existence, a moral goal that we must achieve, and that all the experiences and events of our lives – our own lives, the lives of those who came before us, and the lives of those yet to come – must be filtered through lens of this moral purpose. We’re not here for no reason, we’re not here by blind chance, we’re not here simply for a good time; there’s some great purpose behind it all. To keep this post short, I’ll leave it here on this point, but I’d be happy to discuss it further and flesh out the barebones outline I’ve given here.

    Next, it’s a pretty steep fall in certainty from all that to specific belief systems. I’ve referred to Christianity as my spiritual “mother tongue” before, and this has typically made it the first port of call whenever I’ve experienced a spiritual yearning. How real does any of it seem to me? I’m not sure. What I can say without hesitation is that it’s again a “live option.” I’ve been impressed by various Christian apologists. They have mightily upped their game compared to what I remember of them twenty years ago (although I’m also much more prepared to give them a fair hearing today). Impressed, but far from totally convinced; not even close to the way I’d be convinced me if someone walked me through the proof, say, that the square root of two is irrational.

    Then at the same level of uncertainty as traditional religious belief, but a greater wariness, I have various other supernatural, but not strictly religious, ideas. “The paranormal” would be simplest way to sum these up, but it also includes ideas derived from other people’s personal experiences that don’t easily fit into the classical paranormal categories. This level is tough to handle. On the one hand, my metaphysical commitment requires me to keep an open mind, but on the other hand, I see people as so susceptible to errors of perception and to wishful thinking and to ulterior motives that, phewee, it really tests my mettle.

    • Thanks: Mikel
    • Replies: @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    we’d want to heal from our aliments, we’d want the object of our affections to love us back, we’d want our rivals to suffer, etc. “Hey God, we worship you, now perform for us!”
     
    Fair enough. Yes, something similar to religion would have appeared anyway but this to me is similar to saying that mythical thinking would have appeared before rational thinking and later science made their presence. Absent any fear of death, we would have equally tried to make sense of nature in terms of gods and supernatural beings but I think that mythical thinking and religion are very different things. And my question was if religion would still exist. Perhaps it would, actually, in the form of the persistence of mythical beliefs but I think that it would have always been a totally different thing than what it historically has been and science would have dealt these beliefs an even bigger blow than it has to religion. Rejecting them would not have entailed the huge obstacle of renouncing your hopes of an afterlife.

    Thank you for the description of your current beliefs. I think that you are further away in your spiritual journey than me at this point. I agree with your rejection of scientism but that's about as far as I'm willing to go right now, absent some revelatory experience, such as someone like McGilchrist convincing me of how narrow minded I am or, of course, a skinwalker showing up during one of my hikes. In fact, my skepticism and open-mindedness doesn't allow me to totally discard that scientific progress will one day lead us to a much more perfect understanding of all aspects of reality but that would likely require a very substantial IQ augmentation of our species.

    Also, the fact that there is much more out there than what our limited brains can understand is not necessarily a good thing from an existential perspective. Chimpanzees, and some of our direct ancestors, were not capable of understanding very simple concepts such as 3 x 3 = 9 that we do see form a clear part of reality. But that doesn't mean that if they had somehow become aware of their brain limitations, a God exists that will take care of them when they die. The fact of their inability to access some aspects of reality leaves that aspect of reality unchanged.

    In the past years I have been trying to understand why so many people find the matter of consciousness so intriguing but I haven't had much success. On the one hand, I believe that a good part of the discussion on consciousness is just semantic misunderstandings. Consciousness in the everyday meaning of the word sees to be a more or less unremarkable thing. Our senses provide us (and all animals) with information about the exterior world and our brain becomes conscious of that information. It looks like just a simple evolutionary mechanism to allow us to survive. There are more esoteric meanings of consciousness though, especially those that intersect with quantum mechanics, the collapse of the wave function, etc. But I don't see that the people that have the deepest understanding of these matters have any tendency towards spiritualism at all. If anything, I'd say that they are among the most materialistic demographic, and often clearly in the scientistic camp.

    What I do find tremendously intriguing is the nature of mathematics. Penrose appears to be totally right to me in his Platonic interpretation of mathematics. They exist in a separate dimension of their own and all we do is discover their rules, rather than invent them with our brains, as some others suggest. It looks quite obvious that the Pythagorean theorem existed in reality before we discovered it. It's part of the nature of the triangular shape and what allows you to build a perfectly square corner in a building. There's no way the Pythagorean theorem wouldn't have allowed us to build a perfect corner before Pythagoras made the act of discovering it. In this sense, mathematics rule the material world. Everything in physics follows mathematical rules but only a tiny part of mathematics deals with rules applicable to the physical world. So what the hell is mathematics? Where does it come from? Why are we able to understand them and comprehend what rules are correct?

    I also share with Aaron (but that seems to be about the only spiritual thing we share) his strong attraction to nature. When he describes his experiences in nature I can perfectly relate to them and I can even understand why he gives them a spiritual dimension. I also feel something of that kind but I have never known what it is exactly or why only some people feel this way. I have discussed with him this matter in the past but never arrived at any firm conclusion.

    Replies: @sudden death

  929. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman).
     
    I think Heavy MarblesSteaks will love this story - he's big on serendipity. I was out last night, and I didn't run into her again, but the next closest thing - her best friend (with whom I was quite close too). My plan had been to go out for "a couple of hours," but somehow it turned into an all-nighter. As I was about to leave, another girl I know stopped me at the door, and as I paused to hug her hello, the friend, who is a boisterous packet of energy, spotted me and gave me an enormous "Oh...My....God...where the fuck have you been?!?" (The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything - just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.) I thought she was going to pester me for explanations and I wasn't in any state to invent excuses on the fly, but apparently she was just happy to see me, and we chatted for a long time and ended up going for breakfast. Looks like I might have a chance to rekindle this old flame.

    FWIW, I also met a couple of Polski dudes too. I can tell Polish when I hear it spoken, so I piped up with "Is that Polski?" Friendly people, and I hanged out with them for a while, and they're half the reason I stayed up so late.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @songbird

    That’s a nice story, but why did you ghost her..? Was she crazy, or what?

    The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything – just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.

    I feel like ghosting is avoiding any responsibility. Even if I otherwise don’t really like “The Little Prince” of Saint-Exupery, he sells there at least one good thought: that we are responsible for things we have befriended.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective

    No, she wasn't crazy, just very heavy on the drama. I had so many other preoccupations at the time, that I could no longer be bothered with that bullshit. So when I decided I was done with her, ghosting just seemed like the easiest option.

    But you're right, it was definitely an evasion of responsibility. Just because it was "easy" doesn't make it right. At the time, I still lived in an amoral universe in which "if you can get away it, who cares?" made perfect sense. On materialism/physicalism, this perspective is eminently justifiable; not as a public theory of morality, but as a personal credo - who could gainsay it? Still, I don't think I ever did anyone any grave harm. Mostly, I think, I just emotionally nickel-and-dimed people without the slightest concern. That still adds up, of course. I wouldn't even know how to go about making reparations for it all. If there's a God who forgives, I am badly in need of his services.

  930. @Another Polish Perspective
    @AP

    They are completely invisible in small towns but I spent three days in Wroclaw (one of the big cities of Poland) in this week, and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day. It is not many but you do notice them.

    One of the curious facts is that they apparently come here to do simple and UNNECESSARY jobs like being a bicycle food courier (Uber Eats etc)- really people could be expected to get out to grab their own food. By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @AP

    and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day.

    Haha, I think some people on this site would kill to see only a few brown faces per day. Enjoy the halcyon last days while you can. If the example of the anglosphere is anything to go by, some day in parts of your country it’s 2-3 sightings of white faces you’ll be making.

    By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).

    If experience proves anything, it’s that immigration boosters can’t be reasoned with. Some are immune to reason because they’re cashing in directly, for others still, it’s a sacred cause. Even arguments that explicitly benefit the sending countries – brain drain is hurting their economic prospects – are effortlessly turned against you – “you’re right; we must refuse their educated citizens, and only accept immigration from their laboring classes.” Of course, the future isn’t set in stone, but “you just can’t win” is how it has played out so far.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    I trust in peak oil and energy crisis to largely stop immigration until 2026. 2025 is supposed to be a cliff, from where the global oil production will start falling 10% per year. For the public, it will be probably presented as the adoption of the "End Oil" policies, as peak oil is no-event in the mainstream. Being a bicycle courier will become popular even among whites, thus destroying job market for brownies, who will have to pay anyway much more for tickets to Europe..

    Anyway, even Ryanair who is the main enabler (together with WIzzair) of digital nomads in Europe at least, recently started to produce some squeaks that we are living "the last days of cheap airline tickets".

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  931. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @A123

    You might as well say the same thing about God, isn't it boring for him to maintain this beautiful world just the way it is :)

    9.80665 m/s may be the most beautiful and perfect expression of the fairies dance - the rushing of a river is, at bottom, nothing more than the earth dancing before the Lord, rejoicing in creation.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    9.80665 m/s may be the most beautiful and perfect expression of the fairies dance

    Another way out of the jam is to say they don’t have to dance, but they love to, and they joyfully throw themselves into every opportunity to dance that comes their way; and when they dance, they love nothing more than to do it at the beat of 9.8m/s-2.

    But dude….

    When you stray this far from the instructions contained in your trusty vade mecum, McGilchrist himself would probably disavow you.

  932. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    That's a nice story, but why did you ghost her..? Was she crazy, or what?



    The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything – just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.
     
    I feel like ghosting is avoiding any responsibility. Even if I otherwise don't really like "The Little Prince" of Saint-Exupery, he sells there at least one good thought: that we are responsible for things we have befriended.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    No, she wasn’t crazy, just very heavy on the drama. I had so many other preoccupations at the time, that I could no longer be bothered with that bullshit. So when I decided I was done with her, ghosting just seemed like the easiest option.

    But you’re right, it was definitely an evasion of responsibility. Just because it was “easy” doesn’t make it right. At the time, I still lived in an amoral universe in which “if you can get away it, who cares?” made perfect sense. On materialism/physicalism, this perspective is eminently justifiable; not as a public theory of morality, but as a personal credo – who could gainsay it? Still, I don’t think I ever did anyone any grave harm. Mostly, I think, I just emotionally nickel-and-dimed people without the slightest concern. That still adds up, of course. I wouldn’t even know how to go about making reparations for it all. If there’s a God who forgives, I am badly in need of his services.

  933. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day.
     
    Haha, I think some people on this site would kill to see only a few brown faces per day. Enjoy the halcyon last days while you can. If the example of the anglosphere is anything to go by, some day in parts of your country it's 2-3 sightings of white faces you'll be making.

    By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).
     
    If experience proves anything, it's that immigration boosters can't be reasoned with. Some are immune to reason because they're cashing in directly, for others still, it's a sacred cause. Even arguments that explicitly benefit the sending countries - brain drain is hurting their economic prospects - are effortlessly turned against you - "you're right; we must refuse their educated citizens, and only accept immigration from their laboring classes." Of course, the future isn't set in stone, but "you just can't win" is how it has played out so far.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    I trust in peak oil and energy crisis to largely stop immigration until 2026. 2025 is supposed to be a cliff, from where the global oil production will start falling 10% per year. For the public, it will be probably presented as the adoption of the “End Oil” policies, as peak oil is no-event in the mainstream. Being a bicycle courier will become popular even among whites, thus destroying job market for brownies, who will have to pay anyway much more for tickets to Europe..

    Anyway, even Ryanair who is the main enabler (together with WIzzair) of digital nomads in Europe at least, recently started to produce some squeaks that we are living “the last days of cheap airline tickets”.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    In the context of energy crisis, it is important to notice that the weak point of brownies is their strong connection to a home country, with the need of constant visits there and importing wives, husbands etc.

    Replies: @songbird, @Sher Singh

  934. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    I trust in peak oil and energy crisis to largely stop immigration until 2026. 2025 is supposed to be a cliff, from where the global oil production will start falling 10% per year. For the public, it will be probably presented as the adoption of the "End Oil" policies, as peak oil is no-event in the mainstream. Being a bicycle courier will become popular even among whites, thus destroying job market for brownies, who will have to pay anyway much more for tickets to Europe..

    Anyway, even Ryanair who is the main enabler (together with WIzzair) of digital nomads in Europe at least, recently started to produce some squeaks that we are living "the last days of cheap airline tickets".

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    In the context of energy crisis, it is important to notice that the weak point of brownies is their strong connection to a home country, with the need of constant visits there and importing wives, husbands etc.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Another Polish Perspective

    At first, I thought you were talking about these creatures:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brownie_(folklore)

    , @Sher Singh
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Wokeness also means uplifting them economically.

    They'll just allocate a greater share of resources for home visits or demand subsidies.

    Brown people have only started flexing their political muscles in the West over the last year or two.

    They're a relatively unknown factor, but even Canadian MSM is signaling against mass immigration so the tide has shifted.

    At the same time -

    https://m.youtube.com/shorts/zczjSFz9fcU

    Go counter protest.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  935. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    There is a famous Zen text that says – if you meet the Buddha, kill him!
     
    Zen is extreme example in this case, but I agree with you concerning Zen: it uses words to arouse doubt....this is also why I said I used this technique when I asked you about your gnostic claims: If you were once a king, who were your subjects?

    However, Zen gives us a clue that not the literal meanings of koan is asked, by making it extreme (kill the Buddha). However, this is not the case with the Bible: literal readings of the Bible are not extreme.


    "The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly."
     
    Even the Song of Songs is not so extreme as to immediately renounce the literal meaning of the text. This literal meaning is very modern and woke by the way as it promotes the union of red man and white women. It must be that wokes neither read the Bible nor know it - otherwise the currently popular advertisements full of such white-colour couplings could be adorned with quotes from the Song of Songs.

    The standard rabbinic reading of the Song, that it is about the relationship of God and Israel, does not seem to be very coherent with the rest of the Bible, so I feel I have to renounce it. God says to Moses "I am who I am" and don't even show Moses His Face, and suddenly he is just a red man...?
    Why is Israel white and God red, hm?
    Also, generally the sexual intercourse is associated with very serious sin in the Bible, and thus with the Devil... why would God suddenly want to talk about Israel in the established terms of Devil...?

    The Song of Songs is also the only biblical source of a metaphor very important in Christianity: Mary as a rose. Only in the Song of Songs there is a rose, "the rose of Sharon" exactly. Very strange, strange and suspicious. What this rose really is, is hard to say.

    There is, however, some biblical basis to consider the Song of Songs a collection of satanic verses... this is because such a relatively reliable Judeochristian texts as the Revelation of St John places the central symbol of the Song, the bridegroom and the bride, among symbols of Babylon.

    18:23 And the light of a candle shall shine no more at all in thee; and the voice of the bridegroom and of the bride shall be heard no more at all in thee: for thy merchants were the great men of the earth; for by thy sorceries were all nations deceived.

    Plus, "thy sorceries" surely could be metaphors...?

    So you see, without clearly deciding what the Song of Songs is really about, we can safely ignore it, since it is not really important text for understanding of other texts of OT, and there are many questions about intentions behind its symbols.

    Replies: @Sean, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  936. @AP
    @silviosilver

    I agree in general with this post and your other ones. On this topic I may have reached the same conclusion as you did when I was younger, but you are able to describe the process in this and in your other posts far better than I am. I’ll just defer to your points. But one quibble:


    You “suppose,” do you, lol. Of course it requires a leap of faith. There isn’t a chance you’ll purely reason your way through to that conclusion
     
    I think there is such a chance. Accept rationally that phenomena exist that can’t be truly measured or understood by science and that biological apes we are no more capable of truly knowing ultimate reality as are bats, as you aptly stated. This opens the door to various possibilities. So far, we are in the territory of reason, no faith necessary.

    Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so. One could examine various spiritual traditions and their fruits and reason oneself into deciding that a particular faith is most likely to be the true one. A very rough outline for reasoning one’s way into accepting Christianity as the most likely true faith might be to consider its impact on ethics, the nature of its miracles, the art it’s adherents and its world have produced, the impact it has had on mankind’s ability to control the physical world, the fact that it has spread around the world, etc. Would Ultimate Reality have been discovered only by the Aztecs, whose world was so quickly swept away by the Christians? The God of the resurrected Christ, of Bach, Dostoyevsky, Augustine, Pasteur, etc. is more reasonably likely than animal-headed gods of primitive tribals.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so.

    I think it’s valid to draw a distinction between reasonable faith and blind faith, although there’s ultimately overlap and at the “highest” levels probably no effective difference. (If you’re going to say your faith is “unshakeable,” then how you got there, through reason, zeal or simply naievete, doesn’t seem to matter.) I take you to be an advocate of reasonable faith, as am I. The bolded statement above indicates to me that you believe an even higher level of belief of God is that which is achieved through reason alone, without any leap of faith. I just don’t see why that should be so.

    Earlier I allowed that faith is a useless means to knowledge of mere reality – you might have faith in physical laws, but you’re not going to faith your way to physical laws. But I maintained that faith is the proper means of knowing God. Maybe we should take this further and say that faith is the means by which God wants to be known. He doesn’t want people who are tricked into believing in him, and this includes people who are merely rationally convinced to believe in him. Why? Because people who are rationally convinced can be rationally unconvinced. If some argument today leads them to believe in God, another argument tomorrow might convince them to abandon faith in God.

    So rational reasons might be necessary, or at least helpful, but they cannot be enough. Evangelists who think feeding people rational reasons is sufficient are like an army that gives recruits perfunctory training and poor equipment and sends them into battle while knowing the enemy is better trained and better equipped. I want to say we mustn’t shy away from defending faith qua faith. It’s not “cool,” our peers will jeer us, and we ourselves might feel sheepish. But if faith is the sine qua non of knowing God, then we mustn’t let that deter us.

    • Replies: @AP
    @silviosilver


    "Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so."

    I think it’s valid to draw a distinction between reasonable faith and blind faith, although there’s ultimately overlap and at the “highest” levels probably no effective difference. (If you’re going to say your faith is “unshakeable,” then how you got there, through reason, zeal or simply naievete, doesn’t seem to matter.) I take you to be an advocate of reasonable faith, as am I. The bolded statement above indicates to me that you believe an even higher level of belief of God is that which is achieved through reason alone, without any leap of faith. I just don’t see why that should be so.
     
    Sorry if I wasn't clear, I didn't mean to imply that. I don' think it's higher, I just think it's possible.

    I agree with the rest of what you write except here:

    So rational reasons might be necessary, or at least helpful, but they cannot be enough.
     
    My position is softer than yours. If (as I believe is the case) there is one true faith, then reason alone can lead one to that faith even though that is not the only path and probably is not the best path, for the reasons you outlined. Aren't most apologetics just examples of using reason alone to defend the religion? Some of the people who convert based on such polemics can be said to have done so using reason alone.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  937. On the subject of the globohomo term periodically brought up at Unz –

    https://www.rt.com/pop-culture/580525-barbie-dolls-should-be-banned/

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikhail

    https://www.businessinsider.com/uk-drill-rap-videos-banned-by-police-2019-6

    If I recall right Mr. Unz bans Miles Mathis links.

    Replies: @QCIC

  938. @Mikel
    @John Johnson


    Teenage boys that *gasp* dare to breach subjects like evolution or Biblical authority can be ex-communicated.
     
    LOL. How many thousands of miles away from any modern LDS communinity do you live? You don't even seem to be aware that there are thousands of Mormon geneticists and doctors in medicine. I personally know quite a few.

    Replies: @QCIC

    In my view the defining feature of Mormons is the striking contrast between their quirky spiritual beliefs and their general reasonableness. I assume this apparent incompatibility creates a strong tension for many of them. All religions have this inherent challenge of religion versus reason, but the more reason is emphasized the more tension is present. Spiritualists have no problem with this duality but I think it is difficult for the rank and file. I don’t know if Joseph Smith and his Angels worked in ideas to cover this challenge or if he built a time bomb.

    • Agree: Mikel
  939. @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I’m not sure what you’re trying to say – that the religious canon of the Jews, or any religion, was a random collection of texts with no organizing spiritual principle – or if principle is too strong a word, no selected on the basis of a general spiritual tendency?

    Wouldn't that have to be the case for most religions? They can't all be correct. A least one religion has to be the random collections of a few people talking.

    The original writer of the Song of Songs may have just wanted to write an erotic poem – who knows? – but the religious community that accepted it as a holy text obviously saw it’s value as an inspired religious metaphor.

    That's your interpretation.

    I'm actually not a Jew and grew up in the Christian church. I've heard interpretations of Song of Songs as inspired poems. Meaning the Jewish author wanted to climb the breasts but was on some nirvana level at the time.

    What are your thoughts on the book of Numbers? Also a metaphor?

    For the record I like boobs and enjoyed the breast climbing verse in the Song of Songs. There is a lot of the Bible that I find to be inspirational and I really mean that. But I'm skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn't take literally. I really don't believe that.....at all.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Wokechoke

    What is The Christian Church? It’s I grew up a Christian (general Protestant self identification) or I grew up in The Church. The Church means Catholic in most colloquial uses. Orthodox using the English language normally say I grew up Orthodox.

    Very few Catholics or Orthodox pay much attention to Ecclesiastes or Deuteronomy. Anglicans, Lutherans less so.

    The way you dwell on such texts is highly semitic.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Wokechoke

    What is The Christian Church? It’s I grew up a Christian (general Protestant self identification) or I grew up in The Church.

    Mainstream Christianity in America. Yes Protestant.

    Very few Catholics or Orthodox pay much attention to Ecclesiastes or Deuteronomy.

    Aware of that and I would prefer it if Whites were Catholic and mostly tuned out during mass. In fact I favor Latin mass for that reason.

    The way you dwell on such texts is highly semitic.

    Back to calling me a Jew for reading the OT and not treating Jewish texts the way you think I should.

    Let's tell people the OT is God's word and then scold them if they ask too many questions about climbing breasts or rules involving trading donkeys. Should work. If kids ask too many questions then we'll spank them.

    I actually don't believe in telling White kids that Jews are a chosen people and that the world was flooded 10k years ago and that history started with a talking snake. You local protestant pastor however believes in promoting such beliefs to children as 100% true and backed by threats of hellfire.

    If anything Christianity is prepping White children for liberalism. Liberals undermine these beliefs in college and supplant them with their own grand belief system of "race is an illusion, Whites are evil" cause we say so. These children have already been prepped to accept absolutions promoted by authority.

  940. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    This girl would get a plus from me, as she showed a rare non-conformism (especially for a woman).
     
    I think Heavy MarblesSteaks will love this story - he's big on serendipity. I was out last night, and I didn't run into her again, but the next closest thing - her best friend (with whom I was quite close too). My plan had been to go out for "a couple of hours," but somehow it turned into an all-nighter. As I was about to leave, another girl I know stopped me at the door, and as I paused to hug her hello, the friend, who is a boisterous packet of energy, spotted me and gave me an enormous "Oh...My....God...where the fuck have you been?!?" (The backstory is when I broke up with the ex, I did it by just walking out on her without saying anything - just completely disappeared, and never answered any calls or texts.) I thought she was going to pester me for explanations and I wasn't in any state to invent excuses on the fly, but apparently she was just happy to see me, and we chatted for a long time and ended up going for breakfast. Looks like I might have a chance to rekindle this old flame.

    FWIW, I also met a couple of Polski dudes too. I can tell Polish when I hear it spoken, so I piped up with "Is that Polski?" Friendly people, and I hanged out with them for a while, and they're half the reason I stayed up so late.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @songbird

    When I was about 11 or 12, I once said “Polski” at a sort of Revolutionary War parade because I was a rake. The look I got from some Polish woman (who I didn’t know) was withering, and for the life of me, I can’t understand why.

    How can an endonym be an insult? If a Pole can be so easily insulted, then what does it say about how harmful it is to bring even more alien people into your society?

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @songbird

    Well, you might have said "Polski" but what she heard (imagined) was probably something like "goddam fucking Polacks, I hate those bastards." Cramming foreigners into your country is pure insanity any way you cut, if you ask me. But that people are offended if they think you are looking down on them shouldn't be that hard to understand. If things had gone more smoothly when Poles first showed up, there wouldn't have been painful memories that could be evoked by a simple ethnonym. Not that I'm blaming those who took exception to the arrival of foreign masses. It's just a pity that their reaction proved to be way more trouble than it was worth. What did putdowns about Polacks - or anyone else - ever really achieve? Maybe it couldn't be helped, but it's still a shame it happened that way. That history just makes it that much harder to make headway today.

  941. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    In the context of energy crisis, it is important to notice that the weak point of brownies is their strong connection to a home country, with the need of constant visits there and importing wives, husbands etc.

    Replies: @songbird, @Sher Singh

    At first, I thought you were talking about these creatures:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brownie_(folklore)

  942. A123 says: • Website
    @AP
    @Sean


    "How would that be the end of agriculture?"

    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit
     

    No, Ukrainian farmers can still make profit by shipping through Polish ports. They already do that. In fact they were shipping so much through Polish ports that the Polish ports were at near full capacity last year:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-24/ukraine-s-grain-shipments-face-tight-capacity-at-polish-ports?in_source=embedded-checkout-banner

    If they weren't making money by doing so why would they?

    So they add capacity:

    https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/poland-increases-the-number-of-ports-for-ukrainian-grain-exports/

    The problem is that there weren't enough ports to handle the volume of Ukrainian grain, to compensate for the loss of the Odessa port. That's why they want to add Baltic ports to the mix too.


    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.
     
    Still not enough to eliminate the profit. Otherwise they wouldn't be exporting that way, and indeed increasing capacity for exporting this way.

    The limiting factor isn't cost, but capacity. Here is an article about limitations with transport through Poland. It describes the problems with capacity. No mention that it is too expensive to do so:

    https://www.azernews.az/region/196518.html

    Replies: @A123

    Ukrainian farmers can still make profit by shipping through Polish ports. They already do that. In fact they were shipping so much through Polish ports that the Polish ports were at near full capacity last year:

    I made a similar point much earlier in this thread. (1)

    The return to Ukrainian agriculture is above zero. However, the cost of additional transport and handling reduces the price to the farmer. Losing the ability to use Odessa results in lower income.

    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand, which will make them more expensive.

    The limiting factor isn’t cost, but capacity. Here is an article about limitations with transport through Poland. It describes the problems with capacity.

    I concur. There are insufficient standard gauge rail cars to transport grain from the Ukrainian border to Polish ports.

    Should funding be shifted away from war material to funding a massive rail car build & track improvements? It would only make sense if Odessa will be closed for years. Making that open admission is unappealing to Kiev and their European backers.

    Additional complications:

    -1- By definition, there are only a limited number of possible locations for the grain facilities that will shift cargo from Ukrainian wide gauge to EU standard gauge rail cars. Russia will consider these valid military targets. Their position at the far western edge of Ukraine makes them less than easy targets, but expect hits to be delivered.

    -2- Hungary has already stated their borders will remain closed to grain imports (2). Poland has to protect its own farmers. That means domestic silo space must be reserved for their harvest. There is a bit more slack in Polish infrastructure, but that can only help so much.

    -3- Once the dedicated port facilities become full, the ability to send grain into Poland & Germany will be limited by available ship holds. When vessels are delayed, rail cars become ‘rolling storage’ until they can be offloaded at the port. This erratic pattern will cascade back into Ukraine side storage and rail operations.
    _____

    Economics and logistics are part of warfare. Closing the northern part of the Black Sea to heavy freight disadvantages Kiev much more than Moscow.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6064939

    (2) https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6076696

  943. @Mikhail
    On the subject of the globohomo term periodically brought up at Unz -

    https://www.rt.com/pop-culture/580525-barbie-dolls-should-be-banned/

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    https://www.businessinsider.com/uk-drill-rap-videos-banned-by-police-2019-6

    If I recall right Mr. Unz bans Miles Mathis links.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    IIRC, Ron said he might ban MM links. I think he believes they are a deep state distraction designed to derail the discussion with wacky ideas. It doesn't matter since there is plenty to chew on at TUR.

  944. @Coconuts
    @silviosilver


    ...I thought it was exciting and cool to see us depicted as we really exist, shorn of the transcendental or even humanistic trappings so dear to the hearts of fuddy-duddies of days gone by.
     
    I remember that when I first found Houellebecq, the cynicism towards middle class soixante-huitard and Bobo pieties, it worked more or less equally well for the 'Boomer Truth' British equivalents. And he was using evolutionary psychology and liberal economics to explain their values in reductive/mechanistic terms, which seemed to fit with the spirit of things at the time.

    I always thought he remained, at least to some extent, a romantic, and hoped for some alternative to the world he was describing in love and literature. At the same time he sort of liked wallowing in some aspects of it, the prostitution and consumerism, Monoprix bargains and his parka jackets.

    There is that memorable self-description in Map and the Territory where he inserts himself into the story as a character, lying on a mattresson the floor in his house in Ireland watching cartoons all day, with fragments of partially eaten charcuterie all over the duvet and kitchen cupboards full of cheap wine.

    As HMS already mentioned, this is more or less in the French decadent tradition, and the 19th century decadent tradition in some way pointed to what would follow in the next generation, the revolt against decadence. Maybe something like that will follow again, anti-rationalist and anti-romantic at the same time.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    I always thought he remained, at least to some extent, a romantic, and hoped for some alternative to the world he was describing in love and literature.

    I’d like to think so. I used to be so beholden to market exigencies and technological progress that the whole cyberpunk ethos seemed ineluctable, a fundamental fact of developmental reality that, when it came, would have to be serenely accepted because, love it or hate it, there was literally no alternative. (You can liken this attitude to that of immigration boosters who, as Sailer mocks them, effectively declare, “I for one welcome our new overlords.”) When I first encountered Houellebecq, my thoughts were in this vein, that ugly or not, this needs to be said and Houellebecq probably enjoys saying it. Nowadays I completely reject that way of thinking, and I’m not sure about Houellebecq’s motives. It’s possible he just enjoys dragging us through the mud, perhaps as payback for the world we negligently squandered. “You wanted this, now here, I’m going to pump you full of it till you feel it coming out your nose.” Following the publication of Submission, he was asked if he thought his novel would make any difference. He answered, “No. If you want to change the world, write a pamphlet.” Was he being forthright? Who knows. It’s certainly the answer a pessimist playing “reverse psychology” would give.

  945. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @songbird

    So interesting, I had a very similar experience two summers ago in Harriman State Park camping.

    At 3 am was woken up by extremely loud crashing sounds, as of several extremely large animals literally crashing through the woods past my tent.

    We don't have any moose here, and deers with their dainty hooves don't "crash" through the woods. I've seen deer walk through my camp, they don't make a loud noise.

    Could have been bears, but like you say they're also quiet with their padded feet and slow ambling movements,and it would have had to have been several very large adult bears. We don't have grizzlies here.

    I was sick with a slight fever and when you're in that state, nothing bothers you, so I just lay in bed, curious but unfazed.

    But who knows what lurks in these thick East Coast woods?

    There's a whole genre called Appalachian Horror, apparently, that reflects a longstanding sense that these thick dark woods can sometimes be spooky. The Puritans felt it. And various parts of the Appalachian forests have over the years acquired reputations for being haunted.

    Replies: @songbird

    There is something magical about woods, once they have reached a certain age. I did not feel it in the scraggly forests that I saw in Ireland. But I can feel it in some of the zones of regrowth in New England, even when coming across old wells, or tombstones, or other strange signs of old inhabitation.

    [MORE]

    I can well understand the impulse to label certain trees as fairy trees and make it a taboo cut them down.

    Even though it may be true that the woods were not completely untouched by the Indians, what they looked like back then must have been completely wondrous. I fear that the way the US has chosen to fight fires may result in something more choked and less spacious. Less of a cathedral of light.

    I once read some old folktales from Appalachia with a slight horror theme and greatly enjoyed a few. One that especially appealed to me was of a man walking down a lonely dirt road at night and hearing a log rolling behind him. Everytime he looked back the log would stop, and everytime he continued, it would start again.

    I like finding the little old graveyards on these dirt roads, esp. in autumn.

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @songbird

    Yes, there is something magical about woods, especially ones that are considered old growth ones. I've hiked through some within the Osa Peninsula in Costa Rica. The mighty ficus tree is a wonder to behold:

    https://render.fineartamerica.com/images/rendered/default/print/5.5/8/break/images-medium-5/rain-forest-tree-trunk-and-vines-dirk-ercken.jpg

    The great pioneering fusion jazz guitarist Larry Coryell apparently was taken with the idea of fairies inhabiting forests:

    https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-xlADYSnRBvE/Wg4ufcNbK_I/AAAAAAAAFfQ/OcYIw-vEmLIEniJkPMrD-v_MvJ6UUr6MQCLcBGAs/s1600/front.jpg

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @songbird

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @songbird

    I know exactly what you mean.

    There is a gnarled old tree in Brooklyn, in Prospect Park, in an out of the way part of the park, that I am convinced hosts fairies. The South East Asians have a wonderful practice of selecting venerable old fig trees - fig trees in Asia have religious significance as the Buddha achieved enlightenment under one - that have grown particularly large, and have magnificent roots and twisted limbs, and mark them as the dwellings of spirits. They tie colorful sashes around them, and put spirit houses near them, and protect them. It adds poetry to the landscape - it's a shame we in the West have expunged poetry from our public spaces.

    I agree that the old Eastern forests must have been even more incredible than now, before fires were suppressed. Cathedrals of light are a good way of putting it. Did you know that the East used to have giant trees, almost as large as the redwoods? They were known as the redwoods of the East - I think they were chestnuts, iirc. The East was surely a much more magical place than now. Early European settlers were enthralled by its edenic freshness, and early Dutch ships described how the scent of flowers greeted them miles off the coast.

    I love dis overing old graveyards or ruins in Harriman State Park. In a remote corner if the park I once ran into a a graveyard from the 1700s, all mossy and overgrown, faded stone tombstones - one was fjr a two year old child. I try and be respectful of such places.

  946. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    I have seen (or more often heard) deer active at night. One time I startled a buck with huge antlers and he fled smacking into tree trunks several times and I felt like a trespasser. Poor guy. He thought I was a domestic terrorist.

    Replies: @songbird

    Once witnessed a fawn facing off against a dog. Nothing violent, but a lot of noise and posturing on both sides.

    Alternately, the fawn would call its mother (‘maaaaa!’) and then leap forward to try to headbutt the dog. And the dog would leap backward, though it had a massive skull that would probably break a baseball bat and was many times larger.

    I was so impressed by the courage of the tiny fawn that I was genuinely afraid that its mother would show up before I could get the dog away.

  947. Battle of the Nations
    Poland Germany

    [MORE]

    Rain in Warsaw and Swiatek was playing her second match of the day against the rested German person. In the morning she blasted the Belgian competitor in the semifinal.

  948. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    I think Sailer is an extremely good example of "nothing but" reductionist thinking - in his world, humans are "nothing but" motivated by the lowest, crassest, pettiest, most egotistic motives. He is genuinely incapable of understanding idealism. He's just another version of the scientific reductionism that is killing us.

    If you want to say he's "onto to something", I'd agree with you - petty ego is actually a huge part of social life. That realization is in fact an important stage in the spiritual life, and Buddhist literature from 2,000 years ago talks about it all the time, for instance. It's also an important part of intellectual life - the French moralistes of the 17th century, like La Rochefoucauld, were brilliant on this subject.

    But to "stop" there is just a dead end. And Sailer "stops" there.

    Whatever your political goals, Silvio, if you don't offer people some larger idealistic vision, you're going nowhere. This kind of reductionist thinking is amusing for a while - even educationally important for a while - but if that's all you got, you got nothing.

    Our political goals may differ, Silvio, and I'm obviously much more left-wing than you (old left, not Woke), but if you're really going through a spiritual awakening, I'm expecting some kind of idealistic vision from you, not dreary nothing but reductionism. And I'm curious what you will come up with, however different from my vision :)

    Now, I don't want to go too deeply into Sailer bashing, because I regard his dead-end vision as of no real political significance. I'm more interested in your increasingly fascinating comments to Mikel and AP, so keep them coming :)

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Our political goals may differ, Silvio, and I’m obviously much more left-wing than you (old left, not Woke),

    If you’re referring to economics, we may not be as far apart as you think. If you agree that the fundamental divide between left and right economic views could be stated as disagreement on what ‘the economy’ (viewed as a totality) is for – for the left, social provisioning with some individual enrichment perhaps being permitted; for the right, individual enrichment, with some social provisioning perhaps being permitted – then I am actually leftwing.

    I’ve phrased it this way deliberately. It won’t do for a libertarian to point out that Adam Smith’s butcher is only in it to make a buck for himself, with the only way to do that being to provide his customers with adequate quality meat at a competitive price. It’s the totality of economic activity we’re interested in when we say ‘the economy’; from a central government’s point of view, which necessarily involves viewing the economy from a ‘whole of life’ perspective.

    Now, if the ‘whole of life’ perspective you bring to the question is that any degree of economic inequality at all is evidence of exploitation and depravity, and you want to constrain the market forces that produce that inequality as much as possible, or perhaps eliminate them entirely, it’s only then that I become “rightwing.”

    I’m expecting some kind of idealistic vision from you, not dreary nothing but reductionism. And I’m curious what you will come up with, however different from my vision

    Describe yours. I’ve already talked at length about the ‘eugenic dream’ and the desire for devolution along racial-cultural lines. (I have other ideals too, some more spiritually inspired, but I think it’s your turn.)

  949. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson


    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct
     
    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can't all be correct.

    But if you read each religions texts spiritually, as you're supposed to, then certainly they can. They are all attempts to unite with God - they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths. Thomas Aquinas was hugely influenced by Aristotle, and thought some Muslim theologians came much closer to God than many Christian ones.

    In China, this was always explicitly understood - Taoism, Buddhism, and Confucianism were all considered valid approaches, not rivals.


    But I’m skeptical of the idea that the entire Bible is a 100% Holy manifestation of carefully selected books and metaphors that we shouldn’t take literally. I really don’t believe that…..at all.
     
    Of course it isn't. All religions contain large amounts of dross, and much that must ultimately be rejected. They were written by fallible humans, who were divinely inspired, to be sure, but who were imperfect vessels. Divine revelation is also an ongoing process, not complete and finished.

    I'm also not saying that none of it should be taken literally. Some of it yes, some of it no. Context and spiritual discernment will help you know

    My pont was that the canon each religion creates for itself reflects a selection process based on spiritual principles, and what those texts meant for that community can't be understood outside that context. Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Replies: @Sean, @John Johnson

    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct

    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    As I take them? The world’s religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I’m not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn’t told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn’t merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.

    They are all attempts to unite with God – they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    I’m sorry but that is Unitarian hippie dippie bullshit. The Hindu don’t believe in God and Muslims are deeply offended by the idea of the trinity. Jews are offended by the idea of Jesus as the Messiah. Christians are offended by the Jewish rejection of Jesus. Buddhists reject the Christian/Jewish/Muslim concept of morality and afterlife. These aren’t merely a variety of paths to the same divine goal. They are belief systems that not only assume the others are false but heretical. Wars have been started over these beliefs.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths.

    Islam states that you can kill non-believers and take their women as sex slaves. Judaism states that all other religions are wrong and the Jews are a people chosen by God. Jesus stated that he is the only path to God. These beliefs all contradict each other and reject other faiths. The contradictions that lead to division are not a modern notion. Muhammed was launching holy wars before he finished his book.

    Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Uh-huh. How does this verse provide significance for living a spiritual life:
    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @John Johnson


    The world’s religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I’m not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn’t told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn’t merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.
     
    Alll quite true. Aaron has a tendency to paper over any difficulties in his worldview rather than to confront them squarely. It might be nice if the only thing of importance was the (alleged) commonalities of all religions; and if you speak with confidence and poise, perhaps a substantial portion of the world's religious believers will agree that you're giving voice to their deepest convictions. But just how many can be counted on doing so? I don't get the impression Aaron's even interested in the answer. His approach seems to be "just use your right-brained sight bro" and everything will work itself out for the best.

    On the other hand, the world's religious people aren't going anywhere. If you don't like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them. It should be pretty clear which of the two approaches is the easier sell. And to that end, the unitarian principles Aaron preaches probably have something to recommend to them.

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @John Johnson

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson

    I think you're confusing what I'm saying as that each religion regarded all others as equal. That's not what I'm saying. Obviously, each religion thought it's approach to God best. But that is not equivalent to claiming exclusive truth, or that it saw the question in terms primarily of a bunch of propositional truth claims one must assent to.

    You're also correct that some people have always taken religious claims as mutually exclusive truth propositions and have started wars over them. And continue to.

    And this trend has increased significantly in the era of scientific reductionism and literalism to the point where it has come to characterize nearly all mainstream religious institutions today.

    Historically, the picture was quite different.

    Many of the best mainstream theologians in every tradition learned from and were inspired by other traditions, and were quite open about saying so.

    Moreover, the prevalent idea among many mainstream theologians in earlier eras was to conceive of "religion" as a practice, like charity, which one can do well, or badly.

    Of course, one may think another religion got some of its formulations wrong - Muslims think Jesus was merely God's messenger, Hindus might think Jesus was just one of God's countless avatars and not unique, and Jews might think that even though all humans have a spark of the divine in them - and that is the formal Jewish position - it is going too far to say that any man was actually God.

    There is a famous Jewish canonical book from the 13th century, called the Duties of the Heart, in which he says quite clearly that the Muslim Sufis have a much more advanced system of emotional piety, and that he wishes to introduce this into the Jewish religion.

    Far from religions having viewed each other as rivals for exclusive truth, they have always been influenced by each other and learned from each other. Why did Christianity incorporate new-Platonism?

    Tell me, which one has exclusive truth - Plotinus or Christianity? Why did the Christian Fathers not think in your terms?

    Hindus don't believe in God? Please read the Bhagavad-gita. Hinduism is actually considered one of the classical theistic religions, and has made some of the most notable contributions to theistic thought.

    In the Lotus Sutra, one of the major texts of Mahayana Buddhism, the Buddha comes down and says he does not teach an exclusive doctrine but teaches people according to their capacity to understand, out of his infinite compassion. This establishes hierarchy instead of exclusive truth claims as the central principle.

    And in China, it was explicitly accepted that the three mainstream religions, Buddhism, Taoism, and Confucianism, were equally valid but different approaches, and a man may be all three at once. This is simply a matter of historical record.


    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.
     
    Can you understand the spiritual lesson intended without the context?

    The context is the conquest of the Land of Canaan, which is represented as inhabited by a nation of the most depraved and vile idol worshippers. Israel is being exhorted to resist the temptation to spare them out of mercy and eventually mix with them and become corrupted by them.

    If the lesson is spiritualized and not taken literally, it's clear - do not out of misplaced compassion mix with evil-doers or you will eventually become corrupted.

    Christian monks in the Middle Ages interpreted all the "battle" Psalms, some quite horrific, as a moral battle with inner demons, and found infinite inspiration in it. Indeed so much so that it was their central form of prayer.

    Why do you think Christians kept the OT with passages such as Numbers in it? How was that compatible with the God of Love? Were they idiots?

    They actually explained it themselves - "the letter kills, and the spirit sets free." And they wrote manuals of interpretation in which it was explicitly instructed to not take such passages literally.

    And the long Rabbinical tradition similarly did not read these literalistically.

    Of course, it's entirely possible that the early compilers of this passage actually echoed a historical event and intended it literally - even so, it is still not an example of mere plunder and genocide, even if it's harshness cannot be reconciled with our advancing spiritual insight into what a God of Love would want.

    But as religious insight developed, the spiritual message was increasingly understood in more sophisticated terms.

    There are "layers" here, and the concept of "development" is relevant here too - this black and white, exclusive truth, literalistic reading is as unintelligent as it is characteristically modern.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  950. @Wokechoke
    @John Johnson

    What is The Christian Church? It’s I grew up a Christian (general Protestant self identification) or I grew up in The Church. The Church means Catholic in most colloquial uses. Orthodox using the English language normally say I grew up Orthodox.

    Very few Catholics or Orthodox pay much attention to Ecclesiastes or Deuteronomy. Anglicans, Lutherans less so.

    The way you dwell on such texts is highly semitic.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    What is The Christian Church? It’s I grew up a Christian (general Protestant self identification) or I grew up in The Church.

    Mainstream Christianity in America. Yes Protestant.

    Very few Catholics or Orthodox pay much attention to Ecclesiastes or Deuteronomy.

    Aware of that and I would prefer it if Whites were Catholic and mostly tuned out during mass. In fact I favor Latin mass for that reason.

    The way you dwell on such texts is highly semitic.

    Back to calling me a Jew for reading the OT and not treating Jewish texts the way you think I should.

    Let’s tell people the OT is God’s word and then scold them if they ask too many questions about climbing breasts or rules involving trading donkeys. Should work. If kids ask too many questions then we’ll spank them.

    I actually don’t believe in telling White kids that Jews are a chosen people and that the world was flooded 10k years ago and that history started with a talking snake. You local protestant pastor however believes in promoting such beliefs to children as 100% true and backed by threats of hellfire.

    If anything Christianity is prepping White children for liberalism. Liberals undermine these beliefs in college and supplant them with their own grand belief system of “race is an illusion, Whites are evil” cause we say so. These children have already been prepped to accept absolutions promoted by authority.

  951. @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    There is something magical about woods, once they have reached a certain age. I did not feel it in the scraggly forests that I saw in Ireland. But I can feel it in some of the zones of regrowth in New England, even when coming across old wells, or tombstones, or other strange signs of old inhabitation.

    I can well understand the impulse to label certain trees as fairy trees and make it a taboo cut them down.

    Even though it may be true that the woods were not completely untouched by the Indians, what they looked like back then must have been completely wondrous. I fear that the way the US has chosen to fight fires may result in something more choked and less spacious. Less of a cathedral of light.

    I once read some old folktales from Appalachia with a slight horror theme and greatly enjoyed a few. One that especially appealed to me was of a man walking down a lonely dirt road at night and hearing a log rolling behind him. Everytime he looked back the log would stop, and everytime he continued, it would start again.

    I like finding the little old graveyards on these dirt roads, esp. in autumn.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yes, there is something magical about woods, especially ones that are considered old growth ones. I’ve hiked through some within the Osa Peninsula in Costa Rica. The mighty ficus tree is a wonder to behold:

    The great pioneering fusion jazz guitarist Larry Coryell apparently was taken with the idea of fairies inhabiting forests:

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mr. Hack

    tree hugger barbie

    https://live.staticflickr.com/7173/13922625343_b11127345b_b.jpg

    for Karlin and greta therver

    , @songbird
    @Mr. Hack

    Think I would have nightmares of tropical jungle. But Costa Rica seems to have a relatively low incidence of malaria.

    What seems shocking to me is that the Nicoya Pennisula is considered one of the blue zones, where there are supposedly a relatively high number of centenarians.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_zone

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack

  952. @Sean
    @John Johnson


    How would that be the end of agriculture?
     
    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years' crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    Gosh that level of planning would require late 1800s technology
     
    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand , which will make them more expensive. Transport costs are going to be at least an order of magnitude greater than when shipped in 100,ooo ton bulk carriers.

    Replies: @AP, @John Johnson

    How would that be the end of agriculture?

    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    I am aware that farming is an investment.

    You haven’t explained how lacking sea ports makes the investment worth abandoning.

    Moldova is land locked and yet somehow manages to export grain.

    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand

    You do realize that Germany was importing Ukrainian grain before the war? Why are you certain that Germans, Poles and Ukrainians will be unable to increase rail transport?

    Yes of course it will be more expensive than dumping it in cargo ships. That doesn’t mean the business will become unprofitable to where farmers torch their fields.

    Here is also what can happen:
    1. Grain prices rise due to lack of supply
    2. Increased price offsets shipping costs

    It’s currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.

    • Replies: @AP
    @John Johnson


    It’s currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.
     
    Correct. Sean was wrong when he claimed that transport is not profitable. Obviously it very much is so. The problem is that the current ports and railroads are operating at near capacity, and are handling something like only 30% of Ukraine's agricultural exports. So to replace Odessa, it would be necessary to build new infrastructure (new ports, more railroad lines, etc.). If the Odesa situation is permanent, doing so would be a good investment. But if Odesa opens up again next month or next year, a lot of money would be lost because those ports ands railroad lines wouldn't be necessary anymore. So, it's not being done, and the current infrastructure can't handle all of Ukraine's agricultural output, maybe only 30% of it.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean

  953. Sher Singh says:
    @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    I think Aaron answered this question well, so I’ll just go with what he said.
     
    I don't have the time to go into this in any detail. Even though I'm not a religious person, I do take some things quite religiously, one of them being weekend activities, but I remain totally unconvinced. What Aaron and Coconuts are saying is that, once religions came into being and became a social norm, they play very important roles well beyond the actual beliefs they are based on. That is of course true but it doesn't say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.

    it was often a very fine line between “hmm yeah that’s reasonable” and “that’s preposterous!”
     
    I'm curious to know what your current beliefs are. No need to go into details if you don't want to, a broad brush description could help me understand what, if anything, we actually disagree on. I still consider myself what wikipedia calls an agnostic atheist. But perhaps I have been transitioning lately to some sort of "questioning" identity, to use modern woke terms.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Sher Singh

    Separating rituals into religion & non religion is confusing yourself.

    Group rituals and values exist to pass the Dunbar limit.

    Even moreen true in the case of Eurasia where group conflict rather than environmental pressure is the primary selection mechanism.

    Standing in front of a cloth & singing hymns to the ‘nation’ is no less religious than Sunday mass.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Sher Singh

    You might combine the two like chocolate and peanut butter.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-NhHUZMufLA&ab_channel=greeneyedwriter89

    Replies: @Sher Singh

  954. Sher Singh says:
    @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    In the context of energy crisis, it is important to notice that the weak point of brownies is their strong connection to a home country, with the need of constant visits there and importing wives, husbands etc.

    Replies: @songbird, @Sher Singh

    Wokeness also means uplifting them economically.

    They’ll just allocate a greater share of resources for home visits or demand subsidies.

    Brown people have only started flexing their political muscles in the West over the last year or two.

    They’re a relatively unknown factor, but even Canadian MSM is signaling against mass immigration so the tide has shifted.

    At the same time –

    [MORE]

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/zczjSFz9fcU

    Go counter protest.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  955. @Mr. Hack
    @songbird

    Yes, there is something magical about woods, especially ones that are considered old growth ones. I've hiked through some within the Osa Peninsula in Costa Rica. The mighty ficus tree is a wonder to behold:

    https://render.fineartamerica.com/images/rendered/default/print/5.5/8/break/images-medium-5/rain-forest-tree-trunk-and-vines-dirk-ercken.jpg

    The great pioneering fusion jazz guitarist Larry Coryell apparently was taken with the idea of fairies inhabiting forests:

    https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-xlADYSnRBvE/Wg4ufcNbK_I/AAAAAAAAFfQ/OcYIw-vEmLIEniJkPMrD-v_MvJ6UUr6MQCLcBGAs/s1600/front.jpg

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @songbird

    tree hugger barbie

    for Karlin and greta therver

  956. @Sher Singh
    @Mikel

    Separating rituals into religion & non religion is confusing yourself.

    Group rituals and values exist to pass the Dunbar limit.

    Even moreen true in the case of Eurasia where group conflict rather than environmental pressure is the primary selection mechanism.

    Standing in front of a cloth & singing hymns to the 'nation' is no less religious than Sunday mass.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    You might combine the two like chocolate and peanut butter.

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Tabernacle is a swearword in Quebec french that's all I care to know.

    😁

    Re Tree Hug Barbie -

    Karlin is spiritually Polish.

  957. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Sher Singh

    You might combine the two like chocolate and peanut butter.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-NhHUZMufLA&ab_channel=greeneyedwriter89

    Replies: @Sher Singh

    Tabernacle is a swearword in Quebec french that’s all I care to know.

    😁

    Re Tree Hug Barbie –

    Karlin is spiritually Polish.

  958. @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct
     
    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    As I take them? The world's religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I'm not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn't told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn't merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.

    They are all attempts to unite with God – they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    I'm sorry but that is Unitarian hippie dippie bullshit. The Hindu don't believe in God and Muslims are deeply offended by the idea of the trinity. Jews are offended by the idea of Jesus as the Messiah. Christians are offended by the Jewish rejection of Jesus. Buddhists reject the Christian/Jewish/Muslim concept of morality and afterlife. These aren't merely a variety of paths to the same divine goal. They are belief systems that not only assume the others are false but heretical. Wars have been started over these beliefs.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths.

    Islam states that you can kill non-believers and take their women as sex slaves. Judaism states that all other religions are wrong and the Jews are a people chosen by God. Jesus stated that he is the only path to God. These beliefs all contradict each other and reject other faiths. The contradictions that lead to division are not a modern notion. Muhammed was launching holy wars before he finished his book.

    Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Uh-huh. How does this verse provide significance for living a spiritual life:
    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The world’s religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I’m not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn’t told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn’t merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.

    Alll quite true. Aaron has a tendency to paper over any difficulties in his worldview rather than to confront them squarely. It might be nice if the only thing of importance was the (alleged) commonalities of all religions; and if you speak with confidence and poise, perhaps a substantial portion of the world’s religious believers will agree that you’re giving voice to their deepest convictions. But just how many can be counted on doing so? I don’t get the impression Aaron’s even interested in the answer. His approach seems to be “just use your right-brained sight bro” and everything will work itself out for the best.

    On the other hand, the world’s religious people aren’t going anywhere. If you don’t like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them. It should be pretty clear which of the two approaches is the easier sell. And to that end, the unitarian principles Aaron preaches probably have something to recommend to them.

    • Replies: @Sher Singh
    @silviosilver

    Aaron's pseudo secular Jewish imperialism only works on a 80%+ White/Castizo pop.
    Give up your ethnic Idpol in exchange for integration within the global Fin elite.

    He's basically a spiritual Canadian & moves to whiter areas each year.
    All while preaching the joys of diversity & Unitarianism.

    , @John Johnson
    @silviosilver

    On the other hand, the world’s religious people aren’t going anywhere. If you don’t like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them.

    They aren't going anywhere and why I would prefer it if Whites were Catholic. I don't think the 1000 competing denominations works well and the modern protestant faith is too vulnerable to mainstream trends. The Catholic church isn't perfect but they encourage families and I honestly think it is better for Whites to tune out on the OT. The protestant way of trying to explain it all has too many problems. I really think Orthodox/Catholic rituals have more value than some pastor with a goatee trying to find explain why Shebbadia traded his daughters.

    For the record I can be critical of Christianity but I have absolutely zero faith in secularism. Liberals have mastered converting secular Whites to their egalitarian religion. I have said it before but I don't consider even 5% of secular Whites to actually be secular. They have adopted supernatural liberal beliefs without realizing it. Anyone that doubts this is free to spend time around secular Whites and casually bring up the subject of race and evolution. The White atheist or agnostic who routinely slams Christianity will turn into a judgmental church lady. Same situation if you criticize Islam or question the risk/reward of bringing in Muslim immigrants. You will most likely be ex-communicated from the group. Then they will go back to discussing how open minded they are when compared to Christians.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  959. AP says:
    @Another Polish Perspective
    @AP

    They are completely invisible in small towns but I spent three days in Wroclaw (one of the big cities of Poland) in this week, and every day I was seeing some brown faces and even brown families, like 2-3 sightings per day. It is not many but you do notice them.

    One of the curious facts is that they apparently come here to do simple and UNNECESSARY jobs like being a bicycle food courier (Uber Eats etc)- really people could be expected to get out to grab their own food. By being lazy, they open door to a pretext for immigration (we need bicycle couriers haha).

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver, @AP

    I was in Poland in April last year. I was in Rzeszow, Krakow, the resort town of Zakopane with the hot springs, and a bunch of small cities and towns in the Southeast (Przemysl, Krosno, Sanok, etc.) where I have ancestral family connections. I flew into Warsaw but didn’t spend any time in the city other than in the airport.

    Other than some African-American US soldiers in Rzeszow, and some volunteers at free kitchens for refugees right at the Polish-Ukrainian border crossing (there were some diverse people form the Netherlands, and a contingent of Sikhs) literally the only non-Europeans I saw in Poland were a small number of Asian tourists in Krakow, and two southeast Asian girls (either Vietnamese or Filipinos) working as waitresses in Krakow restaurants. So essentially just 2 non-European immigrants.

    Obviously Ukrainians were everywhere. Including many of the Uber drivers. Every Ukrainian Uber driver was from eastern Ukraine, who had been in Poland from before the war started. One of them, from Zaporizhia, told me that all the western and central Ukrainian guys who had been driving Ubers in Poland when the war started returned to Ukraine to fight for their country.

    Warsaw and Wroclaw may be a bit different. I heard that Wroclaw is about 25% Ukrainian nowadays. Is that an exaggeration? It had been the most Ukrainian city before the war.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @AP

    I was in Warsaw for a week last December, and yes, it looked there are fewer Ukrainians there than in Wroclaw, but I was mainly going around center and Praga district.
    In Wroclaw there are many of them, however a bit fewer than in last spring where really I found credible the assessments, based on the increase of water usage, that 1/3 of Wrocław are Ukrainians.
    Overall, some of them disappeared through summer and autumn, deciding to return to Ukraine, as the war is rather low risk for civilians, in no way comparable to mass air raids over Germany and Japan during WWII.
    In Wroclaw, there are also many young people, even young men, which is increasingly questioned by the Polish public as it is seen as slacking and lack of effort on Ukrainian side (men are supposed to stay in Ukraine), not corresponding to the Polish effort in helping them, especially as rumours are heard that Poland will join the war in some way.
    The problem concerns also Ukrainian women as I have heard about Ukrainian women getting mobilization cards to their addresses and for this reason staying in Poland.

    The problem of Ukrainians staying behind together with relaxation of the Polish job market for them is bringing about the subject of corruption of Ukraine to forefront again, or the notion that "you can buy everything there" and why Zelenski gov is not doing anything about (especially about draft dodgers buying exemptions). Thus the Polish public met first time with some incompetent Ukrainian doctors, who apparently bought their title in Ukraine.

    As for brown people, there are a bit more of them now than the last years, and especially oriental families became visible (from time to time, of course). In my local Carrefour hipermarket two weeks ago I met a family speaking in farsi, and a woman said to me in Polish "sorry" since their child followed me for a while. That she knew a bit Polish already suggests they are going to stay here.
    As for Krakow, I remember there are quite a lot of Vietnamese there, so you were really lucky seeing such a small number of Orientals there.
    As for South Poland (Rzeszów) etc, I haven't been there since 20 years.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  960. @silviosilver
    @John Johnson


    The world’s religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I’m not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn’t told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn’t merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.
     
    Alll quite true. Aaron has a tendency to paper over any difficulties in his worldview rather than to confront them squarely. It might be nice if the only thing of importance was the (alleged) commonalities of all religions; and if you speak with confidence and poise, perhaps a substantial portion of the world's religious believers will agree that you're giving voice to their deepest convictions. But just how many can be counted on doing so? I don't get the impression Aaron's even interested in the answer. His approach seems to be "just use your right-brained sight bro" and everything will work itself out for the best.

    On the other hand, the world's religious people aren't going anywhere. If you don't like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them. It should be pretty clear which of the two approaches is the easier sell. And to that end, the unitarian principles Aaron preaches probably have something to recommend to them.

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @John Johnson

    Aaron’s pseudo secular Jewish imperialism only works on a 80%+ White/Castizo pop.
    Give up your ethnic Idpol in exchange for integration within the global Fin elite.

    He’s basically a spiritual Canadian & moves to whiter areas each year.
    All while preaching the joys of diversity & Unitarianism.

  961. AP says:
    @John Johnson
    @Sean


    How would that be the end of agriculture?
     
    Because the farmers will not be making a profit. No one invests (and agriculture requires a big investment for next years’ crop), unless there is a good chance of making a profit

    I am aware that farming is an investment.

    You haven't explained how lacking sea ports makes the investment worth abandoning.

    Moldova is land locked and yet somehow manages to export grain.

    Trucking the stuff to the railway depot will be expensive. Train gauges are different so there will be a additional cost there; rolling stock and trucks are going to be in great demand

    You do realize that Germany was importing Ukrainian grain before the war? Why are you certain that Germans, Poles and Ukrainians will be unable to increase rail transport?

    Yes of course it will be more expensive than dumping it in cargo ships. That doesn't mean the business will become unprofitable to where farmers torch their fields.

    Here is also what can happen:
    1. Grain prices rise due to lack of supply
    2. Increased price offsets shipping costs

    It's currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.

    Replies: @AP

    It’s currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.

    Correct. Sean was wrong when he claimed that transport is not profitable. Obviously it very much is so. The problem is that the current ports and railroads are operating at near capacity, and are handling something like only 30% of Ukraine’s agricultural exports. So to replace Odessa, it would be necessary to build new infrastructure (new ports, more railroad lines, etc.). If the Odesa situation is permanent, doing so would be a good investment. But if Odesa opens up again next month or next year, a lot of money would be lost because those ports ands railroad lines wouldn’t be necessary anymore. So, it’s not being done, and the current infrastructure can’t handle all of Ukraine’s agricultural output, maybe only 30% of it.

    • Replies: @A123
    @AP


    If the Odesa situation is permanent, doing so would be a good investment. But if Odesa opens up again next month or next year, a lot of money would be lost because those ports and railroad lines wouldn’t be necessary anymore. So, it’s not being done, and the current infrastructure can’t handle all of Ukraine’s agricultural output, maybe only 30% of it.
     
    I concur. This is very similar to the point I made above.

    The Paris-Berlin Globalists supporting Kiev would have to openly admit that Odessa will be closed for multiple years. Also, the cost of expanding rail capacity would compete with war material. Thus, the chance of a major build is slim to none.

    Reconditioning retired railcars and other clever options such as refitting coal cars for grain could increase capacity. There are also options to route by rail to German ports thus avoiding bottlenecks. Modest cost methods like these should push the number past 40%, however it is hard to see it reaching above 50%.

    The economic pressure on Kiev will continue to grow.

    PEACE 😇

    , @Sean
    @AP

    The market is making grain prices skyrocket. As with so many things such as energy, an apparently unimportant reduction in supply, or the mere prospect of it, leads to huge price rises--its called capitalism (Viktor Yanukovich instituted grain export restrictions to protect domestic Ukrainian consumers against high global prices). The West will demand Ukraine simply increases production endlessly and abides by the world market price, so goodbye to cheap food. Clearing the mines will take billion, and I expect Kiev is eyeing the Norwegian and Saudi sovereign wealth funds to get Ukrainian agriculture running to the West's satisfaction in the long term.

  962. @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow

    I think that they only mean immigrants, not their descendants. I do agree with you that including their descendants in this data would be better.


    The Polish immigrant numbers could be equally understated, but even admitting 40k Indians, 20k Nepalis, and 13k Bangladeshis is insane. Is that really true? The other V4 countries have much smaller numbers. Something doesn’t add up.
     
    They're apparently admitted on work permits but could theoretically acquire the right to permanently stay in Poland later on.

    Replies: @Beckow

    …only mean immigrants, not their descendants.

    There are ways governments manipulate numbers to make them smaller – or don’t publish them at all like in France. I can imagine that if they narrowly restricted it to “citizen of EU born in India”, possibly…even in that case it seems too low.

    The actual number are all people: citizens, residents, “students”, “refugees”, dependents, illegals, who are living in EU or in Poland. That is the only number that matters – I can see why the lib nutcases would desperately try to hide it.

    Admitting people on “work permits”in today’s demographic world is a road to hell, you will lose your country over time. They almost always have a way to stay and bring dependents – chain migration that can’t be stopped in EU. It lowers incomes and cheapens work.

    Is this done by the “conservative-nationalist” Polish government? It seems that other than hating Russians there is no substance to Polish nationalism. By conservative the Poles mean rehashing the long-gone atavistic and primitive hatreds and their hurt pride. It will not end well – as in the past, the Poles are showing that they are literally the dumbest people on this planet. Or in Europe.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    It lowers incomes and cheapens work.
     
    The Anglosphere has many more immigrants per capita than Poland has and yet the Anglosphere is not poorer per capita than Poland is.

    Replies: @Beckow

    , @Derer
    @Beckow


    ...as in the past, the Poles are showing that they are literally the dumbest people on this planet.
     
    Agreed. The dummies are still unaware, that when Polish tourist buses in the W. Europe are soiled with tomatoes and eggs, means they are unwelcome.
  963. A123 says: • Website
    @AP
    @John Johnson


    It’s currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.
     
    Correct. Sean was wrong when he claimed that transport is not profitable. Obviously it very much is so. The problem is that the current ports and railroads are operating at near capacity, and are handling something like only 30% of Ukraine's agricultural exports. So to replace Odessa, it would be necessary to build new infrastructure (new ports, more railroad lines, etc.). If the Odesa situation is permanent, doing so would be a good investment. But if Odesa opens up again next month or next year, a lot of money would be lost because those ports ands railroad lines wouldn't be necessary anymore. So, it's not being done, and the current infrastructure can't handle all of Ukraine's agricultural output, maybe only 30% of it.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean

    If the Odesa situation is permanent, doing so would be a good investment. But if Odesa opens up again next month or next year, a lot of money would be lost because those ports and railroad lines wouldn’t be necessary anymore. So, it’s not being done, and the current infrastructure can’t handle all of Ukraine’s agricultural output, maybe only 30% of it.

    I concur. This is very similar to the point I made above.

    The Paris-Berlin Globalists supporting Kiev would have to openly admit that Odessa will be closed for multiple years. Also, the cost of expanding rail capacity would compete with war material. Thus, the chance of a major build is slim to none.

    Reconditioning retired railcars and other clever options such as refitting coal cars for grain could increase capacity. There are also options to route by rail to German ports thus avoiding bottlenecks. Modest cost methods like these should push the number past 40%, however it is hard to see it reaching above 50%.

    The economic pressure on Kiev will continue to grow.

    PEACE 😇

  964. Fake News?

    Single Russian tank destroys Ukrainian armored column (VIDEO)
    https://www.rt.com/russia/580523-russian-tank-destroy-ukrainian-column/

    ——————————-

    Ukraine’s “Big Push” Results in Big Losses as Offensive Nears 2 Months

    The actual fake news concern instances like the hokey claim that Russia is heavily reliant on T-55s.

    So there’s no misunderstanding, I agree that this conflict could hypothetically go on unresolved for a few years in the scenario where Kiev regime forces withdraw and try to build themselves up in and out of Ukraine. Not that they will ultimately prevail.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @Mikhail

    Ukraine's problem is they need Western arms, but the Western armies keep trying to get Ukraine to employ Nato 'combined arms' doctrine, which just does not work where concentrations of troops are obvious to satellites ECT and even the initial advances are seen coming a long way off by drones that are everywhere . The Germans and Americans are wedded to their theories and think Ukraine must not doing it right. So Ukraine had to demonstrate the uselessness of even the most textbook armoured thrusts by trying them, something their commanders' abundant combat experience had already taught them is futile.

    That particular action shows rapid armoured advances even on a small scale cannot work (something that has been obvious to both sides, Russian and Ukrainian, but strictly armchair NATO 'experts' have to have demonstrated to them) and am enemy tank is not the greatest enemy of an advancing tank column. The actual destruction of Ukrainian vehicles was by mines, artillery, AT missile armed infantry and the tank firing from concealment behind a treeline. The successful advances in this stage of the war are costly small unit infantry assaults with massive artillery support. The advances move at the speed of dry rot.

  965. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @AP

    Sure. I was going to write about it here anyways.

    Although maybe it's a little less dramatic than I made it sound, and perhaps you'll make nothing of it :) But it was an intense experience for me nonetheless.

    There is a remote dispersed camping area near the less visited Needles district of Canyonlands, called Lockhart Basin road. It has gorgeous desert scenery and views without limit. I would highly recommend it - free camping in some of the most gorgeous scenery of Utah.

    Lockhart Basin starts maybe an hour and a half drive from the main highway 191, in an area with tons of old Navajo rock paintings and old ruins.

    I'm very big into "feng shui" when it comes to campsite selection, and I like to pick spots with sweeping views of mountains, and that are very open, and with interesting trees and terrain visible. Such sites feel friendly and happy to me.

    So I found the perfect spot and settled down happily, with a good friendly feeling, cooked my dinner, drank my evening coffee (I do that), and was feeling generally satisfied and content, staring at a beautiful sunset.

    It was high summer and way too hot for most normal people who aren't freaks like me, so the whole place was empty and I was the only camper.

    So I settled into my camp chair to read my book. Around 10 pm, I suddenly noticed it was suddenly deathly quiet, in a way it hadn't been before. No wind, no animal noise, no insect noise. Just eerie silence. I start hearing faint pitter-patter noises, as of some animal, but somehow "not right", as of no natural animal I know. It just sounded wrong and off, too quick and rapid somehow, almost like perhaps what a giant insect might make.

    Every time I swing around and look, I see nothing. And then suddenly I start sweating profusely and am gripped with the most intense dread I've ever felt, out of the blue. Just wave after wave of what I can only describe as supernatural dread - you know, not the normal fear you have in the face of some known danger, but that feeling you had as a kid in the face the uncanny, or the night terrors you felt as a kid in a dark room alone fearing ghosts.

    Except I'm an adult, and haven't felt this way in ages, and it's way more intense than anything I felt as a kid!

    And I was completely unable to shake it off. Nothing I thought or did worked. Extremely unnerved, I went into my car and locked the doors.

    And that's when disturbing and terrifying imagery started flashing unbidden through my mind, of a maniacally leering man with a face of pure evil, and then a horrifically misshapen wolf-man creature that oozed pure malice. The images were vivid, oddly specific, and again, I couldn't shake them.

    I had no choice but to keep the windows of my car open because of the heat, but I closed them halfway. I started hearing faint "whoosh" sounds, as of something moving swiftly past my car, but every time I looked again, I saw nothing.

    I used my full adult repertoire of psychological calming skills, rationalization, and self talk, to dispel my terror - but it held its grip with a tenacity that was alao highly unusual. Whatever the fear, I can also at least somewhat calm myself usually.

    I seriously considered just packing up and driving away, but it was late, I was tired - and I felt like I would be a pathetic wimp of I gave in to my fears like that! Throughout the night there were moments of calm, but "the terror" always returned periodically.

    After a largely sleepless night, out of curiosity the next day I researched Navajo myths and legends and discovered the Skinwalker - clicking on Google images, the first thing I see is a picture of a misshapen wolf-man entirely reminiscent of the vivid images flashing through my mind! That was it!

    And get this - this year, last month in the summer again, I returned to that very same spot. In the intervening year my rational mind took over and dismissed the incident as just nerves or fatigue or loneliness - sometimes silence and solitude in the desert can play tricks on you. I had largely forgotten the incident, or buried it's memory, perhaps, as a shameful giving in to irrational fear.

    So this summer I'm in the same camp spot, again sitting in my camp chair reading a book. At around 11 pm I suddenly noticed it's eerily quiet, and a sense of extreme dread - out of nowhere - starts coming over me. And then I remembered last summer!

    No way, not again. I didn't care how late it was, I packed up and drove to a spot a mile down the road - I was hoping it wasn't the entire valley, because it was so beautiful and I wanted to stay somewhere there. And sure enough, I felt wonderful in my new spot, and had a great night's sleep!

    I'm never going back to that spot again, however perfectly it formally fits my aesthetics. I would love it if someone camped there and reported back here! It's the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road. Someone try it!

    The more I go to the red rock country, the more "spooky" I find it - it's still some of my most favorite scenery and I will return again and again, but I'm discovering it has an eerie dimension the more I visit, even on broad daylight.

    Reading more on Navajo culture, I discovered that the Navajo have a keen sense of the uncanny and the eerie, and have a strange dread of death and anything to do with the dead. And this dramatic red land was once home to the Anasazi, the Old Ones, who vanished without a trace, leaving their dwellings intact, and who constructed strangely fortified dwellings on hard to reach cliffs, and yet they had no known enemies - as if they were defending against unseen enemies. The Navajo refuse to go near the abandoned dwellings of the Old Ones.

    And the Indian rock pictographs in the region often portray strangely giant humanoid forms, with elongated limbs.

    Of course, a rational skeptic can easily dismiss my account on any number of grounds. But to someone who has experienced it, it has significance.

    Replies: @AP, @Mikel

    Interesting story. I guess I now have no choice but to one day camp at the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road, a few hours from here. Not sure I’d be able to identify the correct spot though. It looks like a very long and winding road.

    But well, it looks like what you are describing is of a purely mental nature, with disturbing thoughts coming to your mind… after, ahem, drinking some coffee before going to sleep.

    At this stage you must have spent more nights in the outdoors than me. It’s been 40+ years of mountaineering now but most outings were daily hikes. Let me share my own experiences though and start by saying that I have never seen any paranormal phenomena of any kind in the outdoors.

    One thing that I do notice happens is that when you’re brutally exhausted, like climbing a 4,500 mt (14,700′) mountain and walking back home the same day, spending 30+ hours on the go non-stop, you start to have mild hallucinations. In my case, I’ve kind of seen people beside me, or heard their voices. But this is just what you would expect. You are dehydrated, sleep-deprived, affected by altitude sickness and your body is looking for its last reserves of energy to do what you are demanding from it. Of course, your brain gets affected and starts also behaving in unusual ways. But it never was so vivid that I couldn’t recognize these sensory experiences for what they were, except for maybe the first time, when I was slightly spooked, but then they became the expected behavior whenever I got into similar levels of exertion and, sure enough, there they were the next times in basically the same forms. Perhaps if I was a person strongly inclined to believe in fairies and similar phenomena, I would have interpreted these experiences in a totally different way.

    Another thing that happens when you’re sleeping in nature is that, of course, there are lots of noises that you don’t recognize. This is not your cozy bedroom. There are animals around, vegetation, there is wind, there are rocks cracking from expansion and contraction with the day-night temperature variation and many other things going around. Most of the sounds you can actually recognize, more or less, but you cannot expect to recognize everyone of them at all. If you want to have some sleep you better ignore them. This is what McGilchrist would describe as attention being the key element of what exists for us at a moment in time or makes it go totally unnoticed. I think that with time you don’t even pay any attention to the sounds around you and just fall deeply asleep in your bag after a day of strenuous exercise.

    But I do have my own horror story. This was probably the first night I spent outdoors on my own, a long time ago, in my late teens. I chose to sleep in a big cave in the mountains close to my hometown where a long time ago they had built a nice little rock chapel to the Virgin Mary. I don’t know the story of this place but it’s a basic structure with some crosses and religious imagery inside. I began thinking that someone must have seen a Virgin apparition in this place and that’s why they built the chapel. I couldn’t stop thinking that She may choose to appear to me now. Or that, not worthy of Her attention, some other lesser paranormal appearance may disturb me. I spent the whole night subsumed in these thoughts, half-awake, hoping with all my might that whatever spirits may sometimes descend to this place would leave me alone and paying attention to every little sound that came from all corners of the cave . Of course nothing happened. I did feel some horror but it was all in my imagination. The most magical thing that happened that night was the first rays of sun totally dispelling any fear and turning me into my usual rational and confident conqueror of the mountain heights.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Have you read Hunt for the Skinwalker?

    https://d28hgpri8am2if.cloudfront.net/book_images/onix/cvr9781416505211/hunt-for-the-skinwalker-9781416505211_hr.jpg

    I found it OK but not great. The best part was the giant wolf that absorbed multiple hits from a high powered hunting rifle at short range. I am guessing they exaggerated the size of the beast AND the caliber of the rifle AND the blank pointnesss of the episode but the one guy is an academic and tries to be scientific.

    Replies: @Mikel

    , @Sher Singh
    @Mikel

    My mindset when sleeping outside was that - if I'm going to encounter a wild animal might as well be well-rested.

    Sort of haphazard & outsources guard duty to comrades, but eh we take shifts.

    ਅਕਾਲ

    , @silviosilver
    @Mikel

    You close-minded fool. It was some Mountain Nymph hottie trying to flirt with you. That's just what they do. That's the real backstory of how the mile high club got started.

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    It would be amazing if you went to Lockhart Basin Road and stayed at that site :) Do it!

    Didn't you have a bet with Barbarossa or something about some paranormal events? I seem to remember you did!

    I'm so curious if you experience anything similar. But do it right - no electronics, just a book at most. And report back here - take pics, and I'll confirm if it's the right site. I would like to add another condition - that you spend at least a week in nature, in relative solitude, as I am convinced that sensitizes our mind to the numinous, but I understand you may have time constraints that make that impossible.

    Of course, the problem is that if you have pre-decided that it's just hallucinations, then even if it happens to you won't be convinced.

    It's often been noted that committed atheists won't be convinced even if God showed himself to them - they've pre-decided that all such phenomena are delusionary.

    Still, it will be interesting if you do experience something similar :) And the experience may carry subjective conviction .

    As for you hearing voices, it's possible your mind was playing tricks on you, or it's possible that in that state extreme state your mind was open to more dimensions of existence then normal. Extreme states may distort perceptions, or loosen our normal everyday filters.

    As of now, science is completely in the dark about the nature of consciousness - one theory suggests that our minds are "filters". Our minds don't so much produce thoughts, according to this theory, as our minds are functioning as "receivers" for consciousness that exists in the universe at large.

    Considering that many creative geniuses, in the sciences and arts, describe their flash of insight as coming suddenly from "outside" them, that theory is at least consistent with the subjective experience of many people who have made extraordinary discoveries.

    At the very least, you cannot decide one way or the other. You're simply preferring one explanation to another - and that's fine, if it subjectively accords better with your experience of life and your assumptions about the nature of the world, that's the best any of us can do.

    But a large part of the burden of my writing here the last few weeks is to illuminate the extent to which we ourselves, and modern culture, has disguised choices and preferences as certainties - and to also highlight the surprising role a leap of faith has in anything we know (our scientific laws are mere statistical probabilities, or "summaries" of accumulated observations, and we have no guarantee our minds "match" the shape of reality. To claim any knowledge whatsoever involves a measure of sheer faith).

    I know this can be disconcerting - we might feel the ground whisked out from under our feet - but it can also be an exciting adventure, and open up new vistas for us. At the very least, it can make us more humble.

    As for my experience, it had several unusual features that suggest something out of the ordinary; as you say, I'm quite familiar with outdoor noises at night, and wouldn't ordinarily find anything spooky in them. I sleep like a baby most of the time in the outdoors. Two, the fear that gripped me could not be dispelled through any rationalization - it had an independent force. That's highly unusual for me. I'm no stranger to risky situations and fear, and can always calm myself at least somewhat. I used to have a huge fear of heights and flying, but it didn't stop me from flying across the world and repeatedly taking rickety old buses on those death defying Himalayan roads. I know how to cope. Third, it's intensity. Fourth, the unbidden imagery matching the local legends. Fifth, that a campsite on the same road, was fine.

    My own reflections on metaphysics and the logical structure of reality, as well as the subjective conviction that encounters with the numinous have for me, make the paranormal here quite plausible.

    Your mileage may vary :)

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

  966. @AP
    @John Johnson


    It’s currently profitable for American farmers to ship wheat by rail from the middle of the country to sea ports by which it goes across the world. Ukraine grain only has to travel about the length of California. This is not that difficult.
     
    Correct. Sean was wrong when he claimed that transport is not profitable. Obviously it very much is so. The problem is that the current ports and railroads are operating at near capacity, and are handling something like only 30% of Ukraine's agricultural exports. So to replace Odessa, it would be necessary to build new infrastructure (new ports, more railroad lines, etc.). If the Odesa situation is permanent, doing so would be a good investment. But if Odesa opens up again next month or next year, a lot of money would be lost because those ports ands railroad lines wouldn't be necessary anymore. So, it's not being done, and the current infrastructure can't handle all of Ukraine's agricultural output, maybe only 30% of it.

    Replies: @A123, @Sean

    The market is making grain prices skyrocket. As with so many things such as energy, an apparently unimportant reduction in supply, or the mere prospect of it, leads to huge price rises–its called capitalism (Viktor Yanukovich instituted grain export restrictions to protect domestic Ukrainian consumers against high global prices). The West will demand Ukraine simply increases production endlessly and abides by the world market price, so goodbye to cheap food. Clearing the mines will take billion, and I expect Kiev is eyeing the Norwegian and Saudi sovereign wealth funds to get Ukrainian agriculture running to the West’s satisfaction in the long term.

  967. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Interesting story. I guess I now have no choice but to one day camp at the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road, a few hours from here. Not sure I'd be able to identify the correct spot though. It looks like a very long and winding road.

    But well, it looks like what you are describing is of a purely mental nature, with disturbing thoughts coming to your mind... after, ahem, drinking some coffee before going to sleep.

    At this stage you must have spent more nights in the outdoors than me. It's been 40+ years of mountaineering now but most outings were daily hikes. Let me share my own experiences though and start by saying that I have never seen any paranormal phenomena of any kind in the outdoors.

    One thing that I do notice happens is that when you're brutally exhausted, like climbing a 4,500 mt (14,700') mountain and walking back home the same day, spending 30+ hours on the go non-stop, you start to have mild hallucinations. In my case, I've kind of seen people beside me, or heard their voices. But this is just what you would expect. You are dehydrated, sleep-deprived, affected by altitude sickness and your body is looking for its last reserves of energy to do what you are demanding from it. Of course, your brain gets affected and starts also behaving in unusual ways. But it never was so vivid that I couldn't recognize these sensory experiences for what they were, except for maybe the first time, when I was slightly spooked, but then they became the expected behavior whenever I got into similar levels of exertion and, sure enough, there they were the next times in basically the same forms. Perhaps if I was a person strongly inclined to believe in fairies and similar phenomena, I would have interpreted these experiences in a totally different way.

    Another thing that happens when you're sleeping in nature is that, of course, there are lots of noises that you don't recognize. This is not your cozy bedroom. There are animals around, vegetation, there is wind, there are rocks cracking from expansion and contraction with the day-night temperature variation and many other things going around. Most of the sounds you can actually recognize, more or less, but you cannot expect to recognize everyone of them at all. If you want to have some sleep you better ignore them. This is what McGilchrist would describe as attention being the key element of what exists for us at a moment in time or makes it go totally unnoticed. I think that with time you don't even pay any attention to the sounds around you and just fall deeply asleep in your bag after a day of strenuous exercise.

    But I do have my own horror story. This was probably the first night I spent outdoors on my own, a long time ago, in my late teens. I chose to sleep in a big cave in the mountains close to my hometown where a long time ago they had built a nice little rock chapel to the Virgin Mary. I don't know the story of this place but it's a basic structure with some crosses and religious imagery inside. I began thinking that someone must have seen a Virgin apparition in this place and that's why they built the chapel. I couldn't stop thinking that She may choose to appear to me now. Or that, not worthy of Her attention, some other lesser paranormal appearance may disturb me. I spent the whole night subsumed in these thoughts, half-awake, hoping with all my might that whatever spirits may sometimes descend to this place would leave me alone and paying attention to every little sound that came from all corners of the cave . Of course nothing happened. I did feel some horror but it was all in my imagination. The most magical thing that happened that night was the first rays of sun totally dispelling any fear and turning me into my usual rational and confident conqueror of the mountain heights.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Sher Singh, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Have you read Hunt for the Skinwalker?

    I found it OK but not great. The best part was the giant wolf that absorbed multiple hits from a high powered hunting rifle at short range. I am guessing they exaggerated the size of the beast AND the caliber of the rifle AND the blank pointnesss of the episode but the one guy is an academic and tries to be scientific.

    • Replies: @Mikel
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I didn't know about that book but I'd read about that ranch. Every autumn local newspapers carry some story about it around Halloween. I wasn't even sure it was a true story. Apparently the ranch is now owned by an investment company.

  968. • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mikhail

    The letter Wilkerson refers to is here:



    https://eisenhowermedianetwork.org/russia-ukraine-war-peace/

  969. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Have you read Hunt for the Skinwalker?

    https://d28hgpri8am2if.cloudfront.net/book_images/onix/cvr9781416505211/hunt-for-the-skinwalker-9781416505211_hr.jpg

    I found it OK but not great. The best part was the giant wolf that absorbed multiple hits from a high powered hunting rifle at short range. I am guessing they exaggerated the size of the beast AND the caliber of the rifle AND the blank pointnesss of the episode but the one guy is an academic and tries to be scientific.

    Replies: @Mikel

    I didn’t know about that book but I’d read about that ranch. Every autumn local newspapers carry some story about it around Halloween. I wasn’t even sure it was a true story. Apparently the ranch is now owned by an investment company.

  970. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikhail

    https://www.businessinsider.com/uk-drill-rap-videos-banned-by-police-2019-6

    If I recall right Mr. Unz bans Miles Mathis links.

    Replies: @QCIC

    IIRC, Ron said he might ban MM links. I think he believes they are a deep state distraction designed to derail the discussion with wacky ideas. It doesn’t matter since there is plenty to chew on at TUR.

  971. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Interesting story. I guess I now have no choice but to one day camp at the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road, a few hours from here. Not sure I'd be able to identify the correct spot though. It looks like a very long and winding road.

    But well, it looks like what you are describing is of a purely mental nature, with disturbing thoughts coming to your mind... after, ahem, drinking some coffee before going to sleep.

    At this stage you must have spent more nights in the outdoors than me. It's been 40+ years of mountaineering now but most outings were daily hikes. Let me share my own experiences though and start by saying that I have never seen any paranormal phenomena of any kind in the outdoors.

    One thing that I do notice happens is that when you're brutally exhausted, like climbing a 4,500 mt (14,700') mountain and walking back home the same day, spending 30+ hours on the go non-stop, you start to have mild hallucinations. In my case, I've kind of seen people beside me, or heard their voices. But this is just what you would expect. You are dehydrated, sleep-deprived, affected by altitude sickness and your body is looking for its last reserves of energy to do what you are demanding from it. Of course, your brain gets affected and starts also behaving in unusual ways. But it never was so vivid that I couldn't recognize these sensory experiences for what they were, except for maybe the first time, when I was slightly spooked, but then they became the expected behavior whenever I got into similar levels of exertion and, sure enough, there they were the next times in basically the same forms. Perhaps if I was a person strongly inclined to believe in fairies and similar phenomena, I would have interpreted these experiences in a totally different way.

    Another thing that happens when you're sleeping in nature is that, of course, there are lots of noises that you don't recognize. This is not your cozy bedroom. There are animals around, vegetation, there is wind, there are rocks cracking from expansion and contraction with the day-night temperature variation and many other things going around. Most of the sounds you can actually recognize, more or less, but you cannot expect to recognize everyone of them at all. If you want to have some sleep you better ignore them. This is what McGilchrist would describe as attention being the key element of what exists for us at a moment in time or makes it go totally unnoticed. I think that with time you don't even pay any attention to the sounds around you and just fall deeply asleep in your bag after a day of strenuous exercise.

    But I do have my own horror story. This was probably the first night I spent outdoors on my own, a long time ago, in my late teens. I chose to sleep in a big cave in the mountains close to my hometown where a long time ago they had built a nice little rock chapel to the Virgin Mary. I don't know the story of this place but it's a basic structure with some crosses and religious imagery inside. I began thinking that someone must have seen a Virgin apparition in this place and that's why they built the chapel. I couldn't stop thinking that She may choose to appear to me now. Or that, not worthy of Her attention, some other lesser paranormal appearance may disturb me. I spent the whole night subsumed in these thoughts, half-awake, hoping with all my might that whatever spirits may sometimes descend to this place would leave me alone and paying attention to every little sound that came from all corners of the cave . Of course nothing happened. I did feel some horror but it was all in my imagination. The most magical thing that happened that night was the first rays of sun totally dispelling any fear and turning me into my usual rational and confident conqueror of the mountain heights.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Sher Singh, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    My mindset when sleeping outside was that – if I’m going to encounter a wild animal might as well be well-rested.

    Sort of haphazard & outsources guard duty to comrades, but eh we take shifts.

    ਅਕਾਲ

  972. @Mr. Hack
    @songbird

    Yes, there is something magical about woods, especially ones that are considered old growth ones. I've hiked through some within the Osa Peninsula in Costa Rica. The mighty ficus tree is a wonder to behold:

    https://render.fineartamerica.com/images/rendered/default/print/5.5/8/break/images-medium-5/rain-forest-tree-trunk-and-vines-dirk-ercken.jpg

    The great pioneering fusion jazz guitarist Larry Coryell apparently was taken with the idea of fairies inhabiting forests:

    https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-xlADYSnRBvE/Wg4ufcNbK_I/AAAAAAAAFfQ/OcYIw-vEmLIEniJkPMrD-v_MvJ6UUr6MQCLcBGAs/s1600/front.jpg

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @songbird

    Think I would have nightmares of tropical jungle. But Costa Rica seems to have a relatively low incidence of malaria.

    What seems shocking to me is that the Nicoya Pennisula is considered one of the blue zones, where there are supposedly a relatively high number of centenarians.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_zone

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    I read a monograph of a guy in the Amazon who said the locals consider it imperative to sleep on your back because jaguars will normally attack the back of the bottom of the skull and leave you alone if that is against the ground. Maybe they had particularly low IQ jaguars in that sector?

    Replies: @songbird

    , @Mr. Hack
    @songbird

    I'm aware of the blue zone within the Nicoya peninsula. It's a touristy area too, but somehow I've never visited it yet. I always go to the Osa peninsula which is much less populated and much more rugged. I represent a "tree hugging" non-profit organization that borders on the Corcovado National Park, the largest such park within Costa Rica. Because of some of our support, the leopard population is now reaching its previous highs. Scientists tell us that its one of the "most bio-deverse" areas on the planet. Serious birders come from all over the world to catch the views:

    https://youtu.be/QbFrsX9RoaQ

  973. @Mikhail
    Informative segment with Lawrence Wilkerson:

    https://www.rt.com/shows/going-underground/580062-lawrence-wilkerson-ukraine-proxy-war/

    Another good one on the US military industrial complex corruption:

    https://www.rt.com/shows/going-underground/580483-chuck-spinney-military-analyst-pentagon/

    Replies: @QCIC

    The letter Wilkerson refers to is here:

    • Thanks: Mikhail
  974. @songbird
    @Mr. Hack

    Think I would have nightmares of tropical jungle. But Costa Rica seems to have a relatively low incidence of malaria.

    What seems shocking to me is that the Nicoya Pennisula is considered one of the blue zones, where there are supposedly a relatively high number of centenarians.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_zone

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack

    I read a monograph of a guy in the Amazon who said the locals consider it imperative to sleep on your back because jaguars will normally attack the back of the bottom of the skull and leave you alone if that is against the ground. Maybe they had particularly low IQ jaguars in that sector?

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    Would like to see female joggers out West don those backward-facing masks. Mainly because I think it would funny for guys trying to size them up.

  975. @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Wouldn’t that have to be the case for most religions? They can’t all be correct
     
    Why not?

    Sure, if you take them literally as a set of propositional truths that you have to assent to, then of course they can’t all be correct.

    As I take them? The world's religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I'm not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn't told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn't merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.

    They are all attempts to unite with God – they use different language (God, the Tao, Emptiness, etc), emphasize different things, and the correct way of assessing them is how well they help you connect to God, not which religion has the most valid propositional truths.

    I'm sorry but that is Unitarian hippie dippie bullshit. The Hindu don't believe in God and Muslims are deeply offended by the idea of the trinity. Jews are offended by the idea of Jesus as the Messiah. Christians are offended by the Jewish rejection of Jesus. Buddhists reject the Christian/Jewish/Muslim concept of morality and afterlife. These aren't merely a variety of paths to the same divine goal. They are belief systems that not only assume the others are false but heretical. Wars have been started over these beliefs.

    The idea of religions as rival creeds, as rival sets of propositions, is a modern notion. The greatest theologians of each religion were always inspired by other faiths.

    Islam states that you can kill non-believers and take their women as sex slaves. Judaism states that all other religions are wrong and the Jews are a people chosen by God. Jesus stated that he is the only path to God. These beliefs all contradict each other and reject other faiths. The contradictions that lead to division are not a modern notion. Muhammed was launching holy wars before he finished his book.

    Even mundane things, like the boring practical laws in the OT, were felt to have significance for living a spiritual life.

    Uh-huh. How does this verse provide significance for living a spiritual life:
    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think you’re confusing what I’m saying as that each religion regarded all others as equal. That’s not what I’m saying. Obviously, each religion thought it’s approach to God best. But that is not equivalent to claiming exclusive truth, or that it saw the question in terms primarily of a bunch of propositional truth claims one must assent to.

    You’re also correct that some people have always taken religious claims as mutually exclusive truth propositions and have started wars over them. And continue to.

    And this trend has increased significantly in the era of scientific reductionism and literalism to the point where it has come to characterize nearly all mainstream religious institutions today.

    Historically, the picture was quite different.

    Many of the best mainstream theologians in every tradition learned from and were inspired by other traditions, and were quite open about saying so.

    Moreover, the prevalent idea among many mainstream theologians in earlier eras was to conceive of “religion” as a practice, like charity, which one can do well, or badly.

    Of course, one may think another religion got some of its formulations wrong – Muslims think Jesus was merely God’s messenger, Hindus might think Jesus was just one of God’s countless avatars and not unique, and Jews might think that even though all humans have a spark of the divine in them – and that is the formal Jewish position – it is going too far to say that any man was actually God.

    There is a famous Jewish canonical book from the 13th century, called the Duties of the Heart, in which he says quite clearly that the Muslim Sufis have a much more advanced system of emotional piety, and that he wishes to introduce this into the Jewish religion.

    Far from religions having viewed each other as rivals for exclusive truth, they have always been influenced by each other and learned from each other. Why did Christianity incorporate new-Platonism?

    Tell me, which one has exclusive truth – Plotinus or Christianity? Why did the Christian Fathers not think in your terms?

    Hindus don’t believe in God? Please read the Bhagavad-gita. Hinduism is actually considered one of the classical theistic religions, and has made some of the most notable contributions to theistic thought.

    In the Lotus Sutra, one of the major texts of Mahayana Buddhism, the Buddha comes down and says he does not teach an exclusive doctrine but teaches people according to their capacity to understand, out of his infinite compassion. This establishes hierarchy instead of exclusive truth claims as the central principle.

    And in China, it was explicitly accepted that the three mainstream religions, Buddhism, Taoism, and Confucianism, were equally valid but different approaches, and a man may be all three at once. This is simply a matter of historical record.

    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.

    Can you understand the spiritual lesson intended without the context?

    The context is the conquest of the Land of Canaan, which is represented as inhabited by a nation of the most depraved and vile idol worshippers. Israel is being exhorted to resist the temptation to spare them out of mercy and eventually mix with them and become corrupted by them.

    If the lesson is spiritualized and not taken literally, it’s clear – do not out of misplaced compassion mix with evil-doers or you will eventually become corrupted.

    Christian monks in the Middle Ages interpreted all the “battle” Psalms, some quite horrific, as a moral battle with inner demons, and found infinite inspiration in it. Indeed so much so that it was their central form of prayer.

    Why do you think Christians kept the OT with passages such as Numbers in it? How was that compatible with the God of Love? Were they idiots?

    They actually explained it themselves – “the letter kills, and the spirit sets free.” And they wrote manuals of interpretation in which it was explicitly instructed to not take such passages literally.

    And the long Rabbinical tradition similarly did not read these literalistically.

    Of course, it’s entirely possible that the early compilers of this passage actually echoed a historical event and intended it literally – even so, it is still not an example of mere plunder and genocide, even if it’s harshness cannot be reconciled with our advancing spiritual insight into what a God of Love would want.

    But as religious insight developed, the spiritual message was increasingly understood in more sophisticated terms.

    There are “layers” here, and the concept of “development” is relevant here too – this black and white, exclusive truth, literalistic reading is as unintelligent as it is characteristically modern.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think you’re confusing what I’m saying as that each religion regarded all others as equal. That’s not what I’m saying. Obviously, each religion thought it’s approach to God best. But that is not equivalent to claiming exclusive truth

    I'm not confusing anything.

    Islam/Judaism/Christianity/Hindu/Buddhism all claim exclusive truths.

    Your argument is based on this false assumption that the major religions believe in the same God or seek a path to him.

    You are trying to lecture us on religion and don't seem to understand the basics of these beliefs.

    Why don't you start by telling us about the Hindu equivalent to an all-powerful creator God with no equal. Or tell us if Muslims also believe in the trinity nature of God.


    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.
     
    Can you understand the spiritual lesson intended without the context?

    Can you understand the possibility of Hebrews writing down oral fables and history without it containing a lesson? Or maybe I missed a sermon on killing virgins.

    The book of Numbers contains detailed decriptions of offerings from various leaders:
    His offering was one silver plate weighing a hundred and thirty shekels and one silver sprinkling bowl weighing seventy shekels, both according to the sanctuary shekel, each filled with the finest flour mixed with olive oil as a grain offering; 32 one gold dish weighing ten shekels, filled with incense; 33 one young bull, one ram and one male lamb a year old for a burnt offering; 34 one male goat for a sin offering; 35 and two oxen, five rams, five male goats and five male lambs a year old to be sacrificed as a fellowship offering. This was the offering of Elizur son of Shedeur. Numbers 7:43

    What was the spiritual lesson here? Looks like a record to me. There is a long list of offerings that are hardly different. Why does a spiritual lesson need to list all of them in detail? That doesn't make any sense. Or perhaps you are the master of world religions and can explain how knowing the weight of the gold dish ties into a spiritual lesson.

    You amusingly think every verse has some deeper meaning. I'm not convinced you have even read much of the Bible. Such an outlook requires a degree of ignorance. I was honestly disappointed when I read Numbers. It undermined the idea of the entire Bible being "God's written word" as some of it appeared more like the random musings of Hebrews. I don't see God writing down trivial records about donations.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  976. @songbird
    @Mr. Hack

    Think I would have nightmares of tropical jungle. But Costa Rica seems to have a relatively low incidence of malaria.

    What seems shocking to me is that the Nicoya Pennisula is considered one of the blue zones, where there are supposedly a relatively high number of centenarians.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_zone

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. Hack

    I’m aware of the blue zone within the Nicoya peninsula. It’s a touristy area too, but somehow I’ve never visited it yet. I always go to the Osa peninsula which is much less populated and much more rugged. I represent a “tree hugging” non-profit organization that borders on the Corcovado National Park, the largest such park within Costa Rica. Because of some of our support, the leopard population is now reaching its previous highs. Scientists tell us that its one of the “most bio-deverse” areas on the planet. Serious birders come from all over the world to catch the views:

  977. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The originators of science were quite clear that they were merely excluding whatever isn’t relevant to the process of control.
     
    But it wasn't just about "control." The conviction that observation of the natural entities was the key to acquiring knowledge about world was shared by both science's precursors in ancient times as well as leading figures in the scientific revolution. Even today, it's unclear to me that the desire for "control" is necessarily the central motivation. Is an astrophysicist really driven by the desire to "control" the cosmos or to simply understand it? It seems you're being a bit unfair, but I'm willing to hear you out.

    To leap from that, to the claim that science “proves” that spiritual entities, or volition, aren’t involved in the waters flow is simply a category error; it’s simply incoherent.
     
    Here I think you're unnecessarily providing free ammunition to the "religion is just bad science" crowd. I don't think the explanation/description distinction can save you. Like beauty, explanation seems to be in the eye of the beholder. "Why did Joe visit the barber yesterday?" Because he wanted a haircut. "But why did he want a haircut?" Because he wanted to look good. "Aha, that's the real reason!" Some people would only be satisfied with the satisfied with the second explanation, others might consider the first adequate. And if the "volitional theory" of water flows at no point contradicts the physics theory, then as far as developing an understanding of 'mere reality' goes, you could be fairly accused of unnecessarily multiplying entities. You let yourself run smack bang into the old "I have no need of that hypothesis" objection. It rings hollow to persist with "but we need volition to fully explain water flows!" claims, I'm afraid.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, consider these quotes by Sir Francis Bacon, who was instrumental in developing the new scientific method –

    “For man by the fall fell at the same time from his state of innocency and from his dominion over creation. Both of these losses however can even in this life be in some part repaired: the former by religion and faith, the latter by arts and sciences.”

    “the true and lawful goal of the sciences is none other than this: that human life be endowed with new discoveries and powers.”

    The point of the empirical method was power – in another passage Bacon equates knowledge with power, and says we can only know insofar as we can manipulate, and that we must harass and vex nature to learn her secrets.

    Now, of course science can be understood in a much broader sense, as not merely about control, and many scientists throughout the ages have tried to push science in that direction. Goethe was a notable example.

    But reductionist science won out. Perhaps science in the future will be different.

    As for explaining how water flows, there are “levels” of explanation – each with it’s own practical impacts in the real world and our relationship to it, and each as it reflects merely the desire to know – reflects our sense of wonder at existence.

    If you just want to control the river so that you can grow crops or prevent flooding, all you need to know is that it reliably flows at a certain rate.

    At that level of explanation, we call it “gravity”. The word gravity is obviously just a “summary” of our observations, and nothing more. We’ve observed a process that seems to occur reliably in the same way and noted it down.

    This level of explanation doesn’t deal with “why” or “how”.

    Now, there are two reason why we might also want to know “why” and “how” and not just be content with “this is the way it happens consistently”.

    One, simple wonder – simple delight and pleasure in all dimensions of existence, at knowing all dimensions of existence insofar as we can. There is a sense in which engaging with all dimensions of the world expands us, and unlocks dimensions of beauty and meaning that transcend mete utilitarian considerations.

    Two, because seeing the world as “dead” inanimate matter, or as living entities with wills of their own, drastically changes our emotional, psychological, and spiritual relationship to the world – and has enormous implications for our mental health and long term capacity to sustain the will to live at all, as we are now discovering – and also has very far reaching purely practical implications in the long term.

    The only reason we may want to grow crops and prevent flooding at all is in order to live and flourish – but if living in a “dead” universe makes our relationship to the world so depressing that we lose the will to live, creates such a feeling of alienation and disconnection that we lose all vitality, then clearly the matter is of the hugest importance to get right.

    So we begin to see that the first level of explanation that merely gives us power is actually subordinate to the second.- how to survive is subordinate to the will to live.

    Then, seeing the world as dead may allow us to exploit its resources without stint, leading ultimately to ecological devastation.

    Seeing the world as alive may lead us to enter into a cooperative partnership with it rather than a relationship of domination or exploitation – and this may be key to our long term flourishing both psychologically and physically, and may unlock dimensions of beauty and meaning and purpose that are crucial to us, to why we are alive at all.

    And while such a relationship may not give us dominion, it may give us ways of influencing nature, and deriving benefit, that are less certain but important.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Well, consider these quotes by Sir Francis Bacon, who was instrumental in developing the new scientific method –
     
    Sure, but I wasn't disputing that scientists are motivated by the desire to control; I was disputing that they're motivated solely by that desire. Bacon distinguished between "light-bearing" and "fruit-bearing" knowledge. He was partial to the fruit-bearing kind, but he didn't insist that merely light-bearing knowledge was pointless.

    Or maybe you'll allow me to use myself as an example. I am not a scientist, but in high school that is where my interests were. It used to annoy me in physics (my favorite science) when the textbook would interrupt its flow with "applied" examples. I remember one that I thought was pretty cool - that fiber-optic cables operate on the principle of 'total internal reflection' - but most of the time it was a dispiriting distraction. I was much more curious about understanding the world than controlling it.

    This level of explanation doesn’t deal with “why” or “how”.
     
    Children learn by age ten they can exasperate their parents and teachers by continually asking an infinite chain of "but why" questions; you are just performing the adult version. I don't see how invoking fairies helps to "explain" the why or how of water flows any better than physics. At best it just makes the existing explanation more satisfying. It's the same with "God did it" explanations. They don't really explain why or how. The explanation that the universe exists because God created it leaves you no wiser as to what mechanisms were involved. But it's more satisfying than "it just exists" or "we don't know." And that's fine. When we're dealing with the entire universe, there are existential anxieties that demand satisfaction. When it's just a case of water flows, or the tension in a spring, it's simple enough to be satisfied with naturalistic accounts. Or do you seriously expect me to "need" an explanation like it's not pedaling that propels my bike forward, it's "tire fairies." Water fairies, spring fairies, tire fairies, where does it all end?

    The only reason we may want to grow crops and prevent flooding at all is in order to live and flourish – but if living in a “dead” universe makes our relationship to the world so depressing that we lose the will to live, creates such a feeling of alienation and disconnection that we lose all vitality, then clearly the matter is of the hugest importance to get right.
     
    We've been living in a "dead" universe for a long time now. Is there any actual evidence that we're losing the will to live? If we are, then whence the market for life-prolonging medical treatments? Also, aren't you curious why the biggest nature-worshippers also seem to be the biggest anti-humanists? (Humans are a blight on nature, it'd be better had we never existed etc)

    and this may be key to our long term flourishing both psychologically and physically, and may unlock dimensions of beauty and meaning and purpose that are crucial to us, to why we are alive at all.
     
    Yeah "maybe," but also "maybe not." Are you at least willing to entertain that possibility or is your mind already made up?

    And while such a relationship may not give us dominion, it may give us ways of influencing nature, and deriving benefit, that are less certain but important.
     
    Another question I've been meaning to ask you is don't you think it's a little selfish to demand that because you so intensely dislike industrial society and because you so enjoy trekking through empty expanses and gazing at the stars, the rest of us must deindustrialize and return to a stone-age -like existence - which I'm left having to assume is the economic purport of your value system, since you refuse to spell it out?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  978. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    There is a famous Zen text that says – if you meet the Buddha, kill him!
     
    Zen is extreme example in this case, but I agree with you concerning Zen: it uses words to arouse doubt....this is also why I said I used this technique when I asked you about your gnostic claims: If you were once a king, who were your subjects?

    However, Zen gives us a clue that not the literal meanings of koan is asked, by making it extreme (kill the Buddha). However, this is not the case with the Bible: literal readings of the Bible are not extreme.


    "The Song of Songs in the OT is literally a rather salacious erotic poem – the idea that this was included in the OT as anything other than a metaphor for Israel’s relationship with God would be quite silly."
     
    Even the Song of Songs is not so extreme as to immediately renounce the literal meaning of the text. This literal meaning is very modern and woke by the way as it promotes the union of red man and white women. It must be that wokes neither read the Bible nor know it - otherwise the currently popular advertisements full of such white-colour couplings could be adorned with quotes from the Song of Songs.

    The standard rabbinic reading of the Song, that it is about the relationship of God and Israel, does not seem to be very coherent with the rest of the Bible, so I feel I have to renounce it. God says to Moses "I am who I am" and don't even show Moses His Face, and suddenly he is just a red man...?
    Why is Israel white and God red, hm?
    Also, generally the sexual intercourse is associated with very serious sin in the Bible, and thus with the Devil... why would God suddenly want to talk about Israel in the established terms of Devil...?

    The Song of Songs is also the only biblical source of a metaphor very important in Christianity: Mary as a rose. Only in the Song of Songs there is a rose, "the rose of Sharon" exactly. Very strange, strange and suspicious. What this rose really is, is hard to say.

    There is, however, some biblical basis to consider the Song of Songs a collection of satanic verses... this is because such a relatively reliable Judeochristian texts as the Revelation of St John places the central symbol of the Song, the bridegroom and the bride, among symbols of Babylon.

    18:23 And the light of a candle shall shine no more at all in thee; and the voice of the bridegroom and of the bride shall be heard no more at all in thee: for thy merchants were the great men of the earth; for by thy sorceries were all nations deceived.

    Plus, "thy sorceries" surely could be metaphors...?

    So you see, without clearly deciding what the Song of Songs is really about, we can safely ignore it, since it is not really important text for understanding of other texts of OT, and there are many questions about intentions behind its symbols.

    Replies: @Sean, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?

    The Song is a metaphor – that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love, and in another God is utterly inscrutable and mysterious is not a contradiction, it’s approaching the issue in many of its multifarious dimensions. You are utterly confusing “levels” of meaning here, and confusing the literal and the metaphorical – it’s just a mess.

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.

    And your logic here is incomprehensible – since sex is a sin, it can’t be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn’t the exact opposite follow?

    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.

    I don’t know how to continue this discussion with you, honestly. We’re just too far apart. But I still like you as a commenter and will continue to engage with you as I can.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?
     
    Yeah, you are right re woman, she is "swarthy", I just remembered she is being compared to lilly, so I thought she is white (there are few comparisons which would suggest this colour too), like Mary - another "lilly".
    But the man is not white too - he is described as "red" in Polish translation, and in English as "ruddy"

    "My dear one is dazzling and ruddy" (5:10)


    The Song is a metaphor – that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love,
     
    How can you be so sure?
    There are a lot of symbols, associated with paganism there - grapes (only according to equally suspicious Book of Esther Jews are supposed to get drunk), doves (birds of Tanit), Lebanon, not Palestine/Canaan is constantly mentioned, and especially Baal-Hammon, the main god of Carthage! The few Jewish symbols, except Jerusalem, are negative ones: Gilead, the Jewish/Benjaminite Sodom which God wished to destroy entirely but Israelites stopped their work in progress. (similarly to Sodom, where Lot's daughters survived, Benjaminite daughters survived)
    The Song seems to have been created by Phoenicians who took over Judaism in the rabbinical period, as it seems. Why you are closed for such a reading??!

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.
    And your logic here is incomprehensible – since sex is a sin, it can’t be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn’t the exact opposite follow?
     
    When sex is talked about in OT, it is either neutral (when rules about it are given), sleazy (when reporting what Tamar did, the OT does not say it was good, only rabbis), or negative (Pinchas killing Zimri and Kozebi, Sodom destruction, Gilead war, Amon/Tamar/Absalom conflict etc).

    And yes, since sex is depicted mainly as the source of sin, the Song cannot be suddenly the poem about relationship of Jews and Yahwe. It could be credibly, however, the poem about relationship of Jews and Baal - how are you sure it is not about that??!
    You of course trust that rabbis would never worship Baal again, hm?


    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.
     
    Yeah, The Bride of Christ motif is very popular in Christianity, yes, but it is not so sexualized as much as Song of Songs. Nevertheless, I find its prominence a bit suspicious too, especially since there is obsessive insistence in Christianity that Jesus must be from Davidic line (not well grounded in Scripturee), a line ripe with sexual sin.

    This satanic inversion is very well visible in the discourse around sex in OT. On the one hand, Israelites are heavily punished for sexual crimes (Pinchas story). Above all, there is a line of thought which pushes prostitution, and prostitution-like behaviour as either good (Ruth) or licit (Tamar), or suddenly prostitutes are the righteous ones (Rahab). Why wouldn't be this second line of thought a satanic one?
    I find "The Book of Ruth" especially insidious - this is really the book which is about how to be a leech, and it is a real justification of Jewish practice of spreading over countries of the world AND joining on any profitable activity being done there, not the Destruction of the Second Temple which is not even read about in synagogues. The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work. This is of course what the nations of traders, like Phoenicians, would like to do.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Emil Nikola Richard

  979. @songbird
    @silviosilver

    When I was about 11 or 12, I once said "Polski" at a sort of Revolutionary War parade because I was a rake. The look I got from some Polish woman (who I didn't know) was withering, and for the life of me, I can't understand why.

    How can an endonym be an insult? If a Pole can be so easily insulted, then what does it say about how harmful it is to bring even more alien people into your society?

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Well, you might have said “Polski” but what she heard (imagined) was probably something like “goddam fucking Polacks, I hate those bastards.” Cramming foreigners into your country is pure insanity any way you cut, if you ask me. But that people are offended if they think you are looking down on them shouldn’t be that hard to understand. If things had gone more smoothly when Poles first showed up, there wouldn’t have been painful memories that could be evoked by a simple ethnonym. Not that I’m blaming those who took exception to the arrival of foreign masses. It’s just a pity that their reaction proved to be way more trouble than it was worth. What did putdowns about Polacks – or anyone else – ever really achieve? Maybe it couldn’t be helped, but it’s still a shame it happened that way. That history just makes it that much harder to make headway today.

  980. @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    Top Ten List of the Reasons why Russians are Leaving Crimea

    10) Kids keep trying to ride British underwater drones
    9) Grain Embargo means no more vodka
    8) Demining the beach less fun than watching paint dry
    7) Zelensky is giving free piano lessons
    6) NeoNAZIs armed by NATO are looking for blood and human sacrifices
    5) Driving up to Kharkov to join in the mayhem
    4) Clearing out ahead of Wagner troops taking a "beach weekend"
    3) Dragon's teeth causing tan lines
    2) Crimea is in a war zone
    1) Beach vacation trip is over

    Replies: @Sean

    In 2o14 Ukrainian soldiers were willing to die for Crimea? They weren’t even willing to try.

    • Agree: Mikhail
    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Sean


    In 2o14 Ukrainian soldiers were willing to die for Crimea? They weren’t even willing to try.
     
    A clear majority of Ukrainian armed services personnel in Crimea switched over to Russia. In line with polling showing most ethnic Ukrainians in Crimea supporting that area's reunification with Russia.
  981. @AP
    @Dmitry


    In 2020, Ukrainians were the most disliked nationality in Poland except Russians/Muslims/Roma.
     
    Sure, but the part you leave out is that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them. Including Ukrainians.

    So a more accurate description was that in 2020, Poles tended to like Ukrainians but they didn't like them as much as they liked Italians, Czechs, etc.

    The only peoples that Poles disliked in 2020 were Russians, Muslims and Roma.


    But Ukrainians in this survey by Poland’s government, are more unpopular than Germans. To have a lower rating than Germans in Poland, requires a strong negative view of the nationality in their society.
     
    The questions was about people, not the historical country. They are linked but not exactly the same. Germans have been apologetic about the Nazi past. Lots of Poles work in Germany.

    So in 2020 Poles liked Germans more than they disliked them. They also liked Ukrainians more than they disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.


    Poles view the war positively as two enemies killing each other was wrong for the current times
     
    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    They are going to encourage Ukraine to continue fighting after the reconquista of Mariupol/Melitopol.

    Even while the Polish soldiers will never fight in a war and the army of their main enemy is going to be significantly destroyed. But Poland give dangerous old equipment to Ukraine
     

    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian equipment (it was modernized T-72s and Krab artillery, the latter is not dangerous). It was equipment that Poland itself was using. Ukraine also got a lot of ammo.

    If you compare the attitude of countries like Denmark, which have give their new equipment to Ukraine, even not having artillery now because they give their modern systems to Ukraine.
     
    Poland itself did not have a lot of new equipment and is getting new equipment now. It basically also gave Ukraine much of its equipment (as did Denmark), which it is now replacing with brand new equipment.

    Which is your way to present information Ukrainians were recently even more unpopular in Poland than Russians, which are viewed as the main enemies of Poland.
     
    As I explained, prior to 2003 Ukrainians were even more unpopular in Poland than Russians were. But since 2003 Russians were more unpopular. That's a generation.

    You mistakenly claimed this was so until the war in 2022.


    At the same time, PiS uses anti-Ukraine sentiment in the Polish society to support votes for their conservative supporters.
     
    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian. I personally know several such people.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    s that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them.

    This pedantic. It’s a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/reports/2019/017_19.pdf

    disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.

    Comparatively it’s the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.

    Of course, this isn’t something that needs to be eternal. The increase of dislike in the recent years was a lot because of PiS controls a lot of media in Poland and they are producing the anti-Ukrainian nationalist media as part of their support for the conservative old part of lower income population of Poland.

    Polish politicians are stereotypically cynical and they use these neurosis of the older generations. In 2022, Poland’s media has been doing an anti-German campaign, which has no real logic except in terms of the internal neurosis of the old voters.

    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    “There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

    This relation of Poland and Ukraine has been more like a “frenemy” in the recent years, at least if we see Poland as the PiS government. This is de facto ally as Poland uses Ukrainian labor, which is a rhetorical target of Poland’s politicians and media.

    But alliance is not friendly so much so Poland is not happy for Ukraine to destroy the Russian army and add clouds to the Russian future, despite permanent damage for Ukraine.

    After Ukraine has Melitopol and Mariupol is likely the countries like Poland will support continuing the war for Donetsk or Crimea, as the prioritization for their geopolitics is more weakening Russia than saving lives of Ukrainians.

    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian

    “Ukraine is grateful” you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1 given by Poland, which was already viewed as inadequate in the Yom Kippur War which was 50 years ago and moving deathtrap in the Afghanistan war 40 years ago.

    It’s not really different except more people killed, than Chernobyl liquidators who are made to go to contaminated zones by their government without adequate protection.

    It was equipment that Poland itself was using.

    It’s an ancient dangerous equipment Poland doesn’t want to use, was trying to get money from Germany for disposing, while the media was following an anti-German campaign last year.

    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian.

    This is a mysterious logic. I don’t know if I need to repeat Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality for Poles and this is the PiS demographic, which the PiS politicians use this to create support. They create rhetorical hostility to Ukrainians while continuing the policy of using them as a labor resource. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons

    “actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland”. Do you understand the concept liberalism. You can read Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

    Tusk is a liberal, even ideological liberal. It doesn’t match exactly to the rhetoric on Fox News etc, but this is his ideology. Also liberalism is not fringe movement in Poland. It’s the mainstream views of educated or normal people there.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Dmitry


    "that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them."

    This pedantic. It’s a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.
     
    It's not pedantic, but accurate. More Poles liked Ukrainians than they disliked them. The fact that they liked other Europeans (other than Russians) even more doesn't mean that Ukrainians were disliked.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.
     
    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

    https://i.imgur.com/nM0atOs.jpeg

    "You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not."

    Comparatively it’s the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.
     
    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them, or at least that more Poles disliked them, rather than liked them. Yet neither condition applied in times we were discussing (2020 - 2023). The latter was true in 2019, but not earlier (in 2015).

    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    “There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

     

    You were using the present tense.

    You claimed that Poles see Ukrainians (like Russians) as enemies. You claimed that to Poles, two enemies were destroying each other.

    Yet we have seen that in 2023 (as in 2022, as in 2020) more Poles liked Ukrainians than disliked them.

    How can your claim that Poland sees Ukraine as an enemy be true in that case? It cannot. You wrote a falsehood.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

    And btw most Poles like Ukrainian refugees and would be happy if they stayed for many years in Poland. This is true of supporters of all parties other than the far right fringe Konfederation party:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/04/large-majority-of-poles-continue-to-believe-ukrainian-refugees-good-for-poland-finds-poll/

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/suppor-fr-ukrainians.jpg

    "Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian"

    “Ukraine is grateful” you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1

     

    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both Ukrainians and Russians are extensively using BMP-1s in this war. So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious). If your country is invaded by Russia you are happy for any equipment that is given.

    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks, etc.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War#P

    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn't they be grateful? And indeed they are:

    Most Ukrainians consider Poland to be a friendly country, it is seen as the best for Ukraine:

    https://euromaidanpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Allies-Ukraine-poll.jpg

    "PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian."

    This is a mysterious logic.
     
    It's reality. See the poll I showed in this post. Most PiS voters like Ukrainians.

    Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality
     
    Don't change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.

    You used the present tense. Currently Ukrainians are less unpopular than Hungarians, French and Germans:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-3.png

    Why do you keep writing false things now? Why have you changed?

    “actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland”. Do you understand the concept liberalism.

     

    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.

    Replies: @Dmitry, @A123

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Dmitry

    Would you let your daughter marry one?

    I once had a close friend whose jewish brother got married to a catholic woman. They were very early 20's. It was about the most hilarious real life domestic comedy I ever saw. I really think the jewish man's mom lost her mind.

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry

    Why do Poles dislike Romanians so much?

    Replies: @Derer

  982. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Interesting story. I guess I now have no choice but to one day camp at the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road, a few hours from here. Not sure I'd be able to identify the correct spot though. It looks like a very long and winding road.

    But well, it looks like what you are describing is of a purely mental nature, with disturbing thoughts coming to your mind... after, ahem, drinking some coffee before going to sleep.

    At this stage you must have spent more nights in the outdoors than me. It's been 40+ years of mountaineering now but most outings were daily hikes. Let me share my own experiences though and start by saying that I have never seen any paranormal phenomena of any kind in the outdoors.

    One thing that I do notice happens is that when you're brutally exhausted, like climbing a 4,500 mt (14,700') mountain and walking back home the same day, spending 30+ hours on the go non-stop, you start to have mild hallucinations. In my case, I've kind of seen people beside me, or heard their voices. But this is just what you would expect. You are dehydrated, sleep-deprived, affected by altitude sickness and your body is looking for its last reserves of energy to do what you are demanding from it. Of course, your brain gets affected and starts also behaving in unusual ways. But it never was so vivid that I couldn't recognize these sensory experiences for what they were, except for maybe the first time, when I was slightly spooked, but then they became the expected behavior whenever I got into similar levels of exertion and, sure enough, there they were the next times in basically the same forms. Perhaps if I was a person strongly inclined to believe in fairies and similar phenomena, I would have interpreted these experiences in a totally different way.

    Another thing that happens when you're sleeping in nature is that, of course, there are lots of noises that you don't recognize. This is not your cozy bedroom. There are animals around, vegetation, there is wind, there are rocks cracking from expansion and contraction with the day-night temperature variation and many other things going around. Most of the sounds you can actually recognize, more or less, but you cannot expect to recognize everyone of them at all. If you want to have some sleep you better ignore them. This is what McGilchrist would describe as attention being the key element of what exists for us at a moment in time or makes it go totally unnoticed. I think that with time you don't even pay any attention to the sounds around you and just fall deeply asleep in your bag after a day of strenuous exercise.

    But I do have my own horror story. This was probably the first night I spent outdoors on my own, a long time ago, in my late teens. I chose to sleep in a big cave in the mountains close to my hometown where a long time ago they had built a nice little rock chapel to the Virgin Mary. I don't know the story of this place but it's a basic structure with some crosses and religious imagery inside. I began thinking that someone must have seen a Virgin apparition in this place and that's why they built the chapel. I couldn't stop thinking that She may choose to appear to me now. Or that, not worthy of Her attention, some other lesser paranormal appearance may disturb me. I spent the whole night subsumed in these thoughts, half-awake, hoping with all my might that whatever spirits may sometimes descend to this place would leave me alone and paying attention to every little sound that came from all corners of the cave . Of course nothing happened. I did feel some horror but it was all in my imagination. The most magical thing that happened that night was the first rays of sun totally dispelling any fear and turning me into my usual rational and confident conqueror of the mountain heights.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Sher Singh, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    You close-minded fool. It was some Mountain Nymph hottie trying to flirt with you. That’s just what they do. That’s the real backstory of how the mile high club got started.

  983. @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry


    After Ukraine is raised to the EU, the Ukrainians will not be “trapped” to live in Poland in the future. They will be able to more bypass Poland and they will go to the countries where there is more worker protection, better lifestyles, less racism against them etc.
     
    I suspect that it will take a couple of decades for Ukraine to join the EU because it still needs to solve its poverty and corruption problems. It's made some progress on corruption but still has a very long way left to go, even in comparison to Poland:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9b/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%86%D1%96%D1%8F_%D0%B2_%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%96_1998-2018.jpg

    Ukraine's CPI score has been on a mostly upward trend since 2013, going from 25 in 2013 to 33 in 2022:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine

    But Poland is in the 50s, IIRC.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    This is one of the areas Poland has been successful in the last decades, to reduce corruption. As a result partly although there are more important reasons, it’s viewed as a safe zone for foreign investors.

    Business in Poland is also reported by people now as quite organized, efficient etc. In this area, the culture is maybe more similar to Germany.

    A problem for Poland’s economy is the low quality of education system, lack of the investment in the future industries. For example, venture capital investments in Poland last year was around 30 times less than in Great Britain which indicates the weak technology sector.

    They also become dependent for foreign companies and investment, especially Germany. And also dependent on the foreign labor, in the recent ten years especially the Ukrainians. After Ukraine joins the EU, the Ukrainian workers will be able to bypass Poland so probably Poland will need to use another labor resource.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry


    so probably Poland will need to use another labor resource.
     
    Poland can rely on South, Southeast, and Central Asians, no?

    A problem for Poland’s economy is the low quality of education system, lack of the investment in the future industries. For example, venture capital investments in Poland last year was around 30 times less than in Great Britain which indicates the weak technology sector.
     
    Your point about venture capital is well-taken, but Poland actually performs extremely well on the PISA exam:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_Student_Assessment

    Even better than the Germanic countries, likely due to Poland having much less low-IQ immigrants per capita relative to those countries.
  984. @Mikhail
    Fake News?

    Single Russian tank destroys Ukrainian armored column (VIDEO)
    https://www.rt.com/russia/580523-russian-tank-destroy-ukrainian-column/

    -------------------------------

    Ukraine's "Big Push" Results in Big Losses as Offensive Nears 2 Months

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mztayaB48U8

    The actual fake news concern instances like the hokey claim that Russia is heavily reliant on T-55s.

    So there's no misunderstanding, I agree that this conflict could hypothetically go on unresolved for a few years in the scenario where Kiev regime forces withdraw and try to build themselves up in and out of Ukraine. Not that they will ultimately prevail.

    Replies: @Sean

    Ukraine’s problem is they need Western arms, but the Western armies keep trying to get Ukraine to employ Nato ‘combined arms’ doctrine, which just does not work where concentrations of troops are obvious to satellites ECT and even the initial advances are seen coming a long way off by drones that are everywhere . The Germans and Americans are wedded to their theories and think Ukraine must not doing it right. So Ukraine had to demonstrate the uselessness of even the most textbook armoured thrusts by trying them, something their commanders’ abundant combat experience had already taught them is futile.

    That particular action shows rapid armoured advances even on a small scale cannot work (something that has been obvious to both sides, Russian and Ukrainian, but strictly armchair NATO ‘experts’ have to have demonstrated to them) and am enemy tank is not the greatest enemy of an advancing tank column. The actual destruction of Ukrainian vehicles was by mines, artillery, AT missile armed infantry and the tank firing from concealment behind a treeline. The successful advances in this stage of the war are costly small unit infantry assaults with massive artillery support. The advances move at the speed of dry rot.

  985. I wonder if Ukraine can expect South African radicals to enter the killings fields on behalf of Putin?

    We are Putin and Putin is us:

    [MORE]

    Kill the Boer, kill the farmer:

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario. He'll presumably respond by saying that Westerners can subsequently relocate (assuming that they can actually afford it, and I'm unsure that all will, if network states will be expensive), but still, compelling hundreds of millions of people or more to relocate against their will sounds extraordinarily cruel, don't you think? The Great Migration was already disruptive enough (huge numbers of whites and later middle- and upper-class blacks fled the US's cities to escape from ghetto blacks), and yet open borders is essentially the Great Migration x 100. Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners? As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Anatoly Karlin

  986. @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ


    ...only mean immigrants, not their descendants.
     
    There are ways governments manipulate numbers to make them smaller - or don't publish them at all like in France. I can imagine that if they narrowly restricted it to "citizen of EU born in India", possibly...even in that case it seems too low.

    The actual number are all people: citizens, residents, "students", "refugees", dependents, illegals, who are living in EU or in Poland. That is the only number that matters - I can see why the lib nutcases would desperately try to hide it.

    Admitting people on "work permits"in today's demographic world is a road to hell, you will lose your country over time. They almost always have a way to stay and bring dependents - chain migration that can't be stopped in EU. It lowers incomes and cheapens work.

    Is this done by the "conservative-nationalist" Polish government? It seems that other than hating Russians there is no substance to Polish nationalism. By conservative the Poles mean rehashing the long-gone atavistic and primitive hatreds and their hurt pride. It will not end well - as in the past, the Poles are showing that they are literally the dumbest people on this planet. Or in Europe.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Derer

    It lowers incomes and cheapens work.

    The Anglosphere has many more immigrants per capita than Poland has and yet the Anglosphere is not poorer per capita than Poland is.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ


    ...Anglosphere is not poorer per capita than Poland
     
    It is not very "Anglo" either. But, I meant it as a comparative level of wages - what they would be without mass immigration.

    No society will be prosperous or good if it values cheap labor. Seeking the cheapest possible labor is the toxic brew that has destroyed all great civilizations, from slavery to commie suppression of incomes. It simply doesn't work, no matter how attractive it seems to the elites (it always does).

    US almost mortally wounded itself with slavery. Today US and Europe have embarked on a global quest for the cheapest work - we see how well that is going. It always takes some time, but it is the Achilles heel of the Western economy - it is unsustainable, the consequences are eventually catastrophic ("Floyds" running wild in the US large cities, etc...)

    It is the Faustian bargain that Poland should not take. But it will, because old lazy ("elite") guys like plentiful servants and fear what may happen if they don't have a full control. 200k/annually is just 190k too many.
  987. @AP
    I wonder if Ukraine can expect South African radicals to enter the killings fields on behalf of Putin?

    We are Putin and Putin is us:



    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1685738749064314880?s=20

    Kill the Boer, kill the farmer:

    https://twitter.com/Xx17965797N/status/1685753052857339904?s=20

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario. He’ll presumably respond by saying that Westerners can subsequently relocate (assuming that they can actually afford it, and I’m unsure that all will, if network states will be expensive), but still, compelling hundreds of millions of people or more to relocate against their will sounds extraordinarily cruel, don’t you think? The Great Migration was already disruptive enough (huge numbers of whites and later middle- and upper-class blacks fled the US’s cities to escape from ghetto blacks), and yet open borders is essentially the Great Migration x 100. Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners? As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mr. XYZ


    Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.
     
    Doesn't fail at all, it's exactly the most desired real goal for him;)
    , @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    > Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.

    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let's humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.

    > Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners?

    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯

    > As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

  988. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Interesting story. I guess I now have no choice but to one day camp at the third large spot to the right on Lockhart Basin Road, a few hours from here. Not sure I'd be able to identify the correct spot though. It looks like a very long and winding road.

    But well, it looks like what you are describing is of a purely mental nature, with disturbing thoughts coming to your mind... after, ahem, drinking some coffee before going to sleep.

    At this stage you must have spent more nights in the outdoors than me. It's been 40+ years of mountaineering now but most outings were daily hikes. Let me share my own experiences though and start by saying that I have never seen any paranormal phenomena of any kind in the outdoors.

    One thing that I do notice happens is that when you're brutally exhausted, like climbing a 4,500 mt (14,700') mountain and walking back home the same day, spending 30+ hours on the go non-stop, you start to have mild hallucinations. In my case, I've kind of seen people beside me, or heard their voices. But this is just what you would expect. You are dehydrated, sleep-deprived, affected by altitude sickness and your body is looking for its last reserves of energy to do what you are demanding from it. Of course, your brain gets affected and starts also behaving in unusual ways. But it never was so vivid that I couldn't recognize these sensory experiences for what they were, except for maybe the first time, when I was slightly spooked, but then they became the expected behavior whenever I got into similar levels of exertion and, sure enough, there they were the next times in basically the same forms. Perhaps if I was a person strongly inclined to believe in fairies and similar phenomena, I would have interpreted these experiences in a totally different way.

    Another thing that happens when you're sleeping in nature is that, of course, there are lots of noises that you don't recognize. This is not your cozy bedroom. There are animals around, vegetation, there is wind, there are rocks cracking from expansion and contraction with the day-night temperature variation and many other things going around. Most of the sounds you can actually recognize, more or less, but you cannot expect to recognize everyone of them at all. If you want to have some sleep you better ignore them. This is what McGilchrist would describe as attention being the key element of what exists for us at a moment in time or makes it go totally unnoticed. I think that with time you don't even pay any attention to the sounds around you and just fall deeply asleep in your bag after a day of strenuous exercise.

    But I do have my own horror story. This was probably the first night I spent outdoors on my own, a long time ago, in my late teens. I chose to sleep in a big cave in the mountains close to my hometown where a long time ago they had built a nice little rock chapel to the Virgin Mary. I don't know the story of this place but it's a basic structure with some crosses and religious imagery inside. I began thinking that someone must have seen a Virgin apparition in this place and that's why they built the chapel. I couldn't stop thinking that She may choose to appear to me now. Or that, not worthy of Her attention, some other lesser paranormal appearance may disturb me. I spent the whole night subsumed in these thoughts, half-awake, hoping with all my might that whatever spirits may sometimes descend to this place would leave me alone and paying attention to every little sound that came from all corners of the cave . Of course nothing happened. I did feel some horror but it was all in my imagination. The most magical thing that happened that night was the first rays of sun totally dispelling any fear and turning me into my usual rational and confident conqueror of the mountain heights.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @Sher Singh, @silviosilver, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    It would be amazing if you went to Lockhart Basin Road and stayed at that site 🙂 Do it!

    Didn’t you have a bet with Barbarossa or something about some paranormal events? I seem to remember you did!

    I’m so curious if you experience anything similar. But do it right – no electronics, just a book at most. And report back here – take pics, and I’ll confirm if it’s the right site. I would like to add another condition – that you spend at least a week in nature, in relative solitude, as I am convinced that sensitizes our mind to the numinous, but I understand you may have time constraints that make that impossible.

    Of course, the problem is that if you have pre-decided that it’s just hallucinations, then even if it happens to you won’t be convinced.

    It’s often been noted that committed atheists won’t be convinced even if God showed himself to them – they’ve pre-decided that all such phenomena are delusionary.

    Still, it will be interesting if you do experience something similar 🙂 And the experience may carry subjective conviction .

    As for you hearing voices, it’s possible your mind was playing tricks on you, or it’s possible that in that state extreme state your mind was open to more dimensions of existence then normal. Extreme states may distort perceptions, or loosen our normal everyday filters.

    As of now, science is completely in the dark about the nature of consciousness – one theory suggests that our minds are “filters”. Our minds don’t so much produce thoughts, according to this theory, as our minds are functioning as “receivers” for consciousness that exists in the universe at large.

    Considering that many creative geniuses, in the sciences and arts, describe their flash of insight as coming suddenly from “outside” them, that theory is at least consistent with the subjective experience of many people who have made extraordinary discoveries.

    At the very least, you cannot decide one way or the other. You’re simply preferring one explanation to another – and that’s fine, if it subjectively accords better with your experience of life and your assumptions about the nature of the world, that’s the best any of us can do.

    But a large part of the burden of my writing here the last few weeks is to illuminate the extent to which we ourselves, and modern culture, has disguised choices and preferences as certainties – and to also highlight the surprising role a leap of faith has in anything we know (our scientific laws are mere statistical probabilities, or “summaries” of accumulated observations, and we have no guarantee our minds “match” the shape of reality. To claim any knowledge whatsoever involves a measure of sheer faith).

    I know this can be disconcerting – we might feel the ground whisked out from under our feet – but it can also be an exciting adventure, and open up new vistas for us. At the very least, it can make us more humble.

    As for my experience, it had several unusual features that suggest something out of the ordinary; as you say, I’m quite familiar with outdoor noises at night, and wouldn’t ordinarily find anything spooky in them. I sleep like a baby most of the time in the outdoors. Two, the fear that gripped me could not be dispelled through any rationalization – it had an independent force. That’s highly unusual for me. I’m no stranger to risky situations and fear, and can always calm myself at least somewhat. I used to have a huge fear of heights and flying, but it didn’t stop me from flying across the world and repeatedly taking rickety old buses on those death defying Himalayan roads. I know how to cope. Third, it’s intensity. Fourth, the unbidden imagery matching the local legends. Fifth, that a campsite on the same road, was fine.

    My own reflections on metaphysics and the logical structure of reality, as well as the subjective conviction that encounters with the numinous have for me, make the paranormal here quite plausible.

    Your mileage may vary 🙂

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Dogmatic materialists are immune to PSI. Do you not read the literature? It's a science fact.

  989. @Dmitry
    @Mr. XYZ

    This is one of the areas Poland has been successful in the last decades, to reduce corruption. As a result partly although there are more important reasons, it's viewed as a safe zone for foreign investors.

    Business in Poland is also reported by people now as quite organized, efficient etc. In this area, the culture is maybe more similar to Germany.

    A problem for Poland's economy is the low quality of education system, lack of the investment in the future industries. For example, venture capital investments in Poland last year was around 30 times less than in Great Britain which indicates the weak technology sector.

    They also become dependent for foreign companies and investment, especially Germany. And also dependent on the foreign labor, in the recent ten years especially the Ukrainians. After Ukraine joins the EU, the Ukrainian workers will be able to bypass Poland so probably Poland will need to use another labor resource.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    so probably Poland will need to use another labor resource.

    Poland can rely on South, Southeast, and Central Asians, no?

    A problem for Poland’s economy is the low quality of education system, lack of the investment in the future industries. For example, venture capital investments in Poland last year was around 30 times less than in Great Britain which indicates the weak technology sector.

    Your point about venture capital is well-taken, but Poland actually performs extremely well on the PISA exam:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_Student_Assessment

    Even better than the Germanic countries, likely due to Poland having much less low-IQ immigrants per capita relative to those countries.

  990. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Well, consider these quotes by Sir Francis Bacon, who was instrumental in developing the new scientific method -

    "For man by the fall fell at the same time from his state of innocency and from his dominion over creation. Both of these losses however can even in this life be in some part repaired: the former by religion and faith, the latter by arts and sciences.”

    "the true and lawful goal of the sciences is none other than this: that human life be endowed with new discoveries and powers."

    The point of the empirical method was power - in another passage Bacon equates knowledge with power, and says we can only know insofar as we can manipulate, and that we must harass and vex nature to learn her secrets.

    Now, of course science can be understood in a much broader sense, as not merely about control, and many scientists throughout the ages have tried to push science in that direction. Goethe was a notable example.

    But reductionist science won out. Perhaps science in the future will be different.

    As for explaining how water flows, there are "levels" of explanation - each with it's own practical impacts in the real world and our relationship to it, and each as it reflects merely the desire to know - reflects our sense of wonder at existence.

    If you just want to control the river so that you can grow crops or prevent flooding, all you need to know is that it reliably flows at a certain rate.

    At that level of explanation, we call it "gravity". The word gravity is obviously just a "summary" of our observations, and nothing more. We've observed a process that seems to occur reliably in the same way and noted it down.

    This level of explanation doesn't deal with "why" or "how".

    Now, there are two reason why we might also want to know "why" and "how" and not just be content with "this is the way it happens consistently".

    One, simple wonder - simple delight and pleasure in all dimensions of existence, at knowing all dimensions of existence insofar as we can. There is a sense in which engaging with all dimensions of the world expands us, and unlocks dimensions of beauty and meaning that transcend mete utilitarian considerations.

    Two, because seeing the world as "dead" inanimate matter, or as living entities with wills of their own, drastically changes our emotional, psychological, and spiritual relationship to the world - and has enormous implications for our mental health and long term capacity to sustain the will to live at all, as we are now discovering - and also has very far reaching purely practical implications in the long term.

    The only reason we may want to grow crops and prevent flooding at all is in order to live and flourish - but if living in a "dead" universe makes our relationship to the world so depressing that we lose the will to live, creates such a feeling of alienation and disconnection that we lose all vitality, then clearly the matter is of the hugest importance to get right.

    So we begin to see that the first level of explanation that merely gives us power is actually subordinate to the second.- how to survive is subordinate to the will to live.

    Then, seeing the world as dead may allow us to exploit its resources without stint, leading ultimately to ecological devastation.

    Seeing the world as alive may lead us to enter into a cooperative partnership with it rather than a relationship of domination or exploitation - and this may be key to our long term flourishing both psychologically and physically, and may unlock dimensions of beauty and meaning and purpose that are crucial to us, to why we are alive at all.

    And while such a relationship may not give us dominion, it may give us ways of influencing nature, and deriving benefit, that are less certain but important.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    Well, consider these quotes by Sir Francis Bacon, who was instrumental in developing the new scientific method –

    Sure, but I wasn’t disputing that scientists are motivated by the desire to control; I was disputing that they’re motivated solely by that desire. Bacon distinguished between “light-bearing” and “fruit-bearing” knowledge. He was partial to the fruit-bearing kind, but he didn’t insist that merely light-bearing knowledge was pointless.

    Or maybe you’ll allow me to use myself as an example. I am not a scientist, but in high school that is where my interests were. It used to annoy me in physics (my favorite science) when the textbook would interrupt its flow with “applied” examples. I remember one that I thought was pretty cool – that fiber-optic cables operate on the principle of ‘total internal reflection’ – but most of the time it was a dispiriting distraction. I was much more curious about understanding the world than controlling it.

    This level of explanation doesn’t deal with “why” or “how”.

    Children learn by age ten they can exasperate their parents and teachers by continually asking an infinite chain of “but why” questions; you are just performing the adult version. I don’t see how invoking fairies helps to “explain” the why or how of water flows any better than physics. At best it just makes the existing explanation more satisfying. It’s the same with “God did it” explanations. They don’t really explain why or how. The explanation that the universe exists because God created it leaves you no wiser as to what mechanisms were involved. But it’s more satisfying than “it just exists” or “we don’t know.” And that’s fine. When we’re dealing with the entire universe, there are existential anxieties that demand satisfaction. When it’s just a case of water flows, or the tension in a spring, it’s simple enough to be satisfied with naturalistic accounts. Or do you seriously expect me to “need” an explanation like it’s not pedaling that propels my bike forward, it’s “tire fairies.” Water fairies, spring fairies, tire fairies, where does it all end?

    The only reason we may want to grow crops and prevent flooding at all is in order to live and flourish – but if living in a “dead” universe makes our relationship to the world so depressing that we lose the will to live, creates such a feeling of alienation and disconnection that we lose all vitality, then clearly the matter is of the hugest importance to get right.

    We’ve been living in a “dead” universe for a long time now. Is there any actual evidence that we’re losing the will to live? If we are, then whence the market for life-prolonging medical treatments? Also, aren’t you curious why the biggest nature-worshippers also seem to be the biggest anti-humanists? (Humans are a blight on nature, it’d be better had we never existed etc)

    and this may be key to our long term flourishing both psychologically and physically, and may unlock dimensions of beauty and meaning and purpose that are crucial to us, to why we are alive at all.

    Yeah “maybe,” but also “maybe not.” Are you at least willing to entertain that possibility or is your mind already made up?

    And while such a relationship may not give us dominion, it may give us ways of influencing nature, and deriving benefit, that are less certain but important.

    Another question I’ve been meaning to ask you is don’t you think it’s a little selfish to demand that because you so intensely dislike industrial society and because you so enjoy trekking through empty expanses and gazing at the stars, the rest of us must deindustrialize and return to a stone-age -like existence – which I’m left having to assume is the economic purport of your value system, since you refuse to spell it out?

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Ah, I percieve you are souring on me now :) Well, we did have a little romance going for a while, and I hope I can - maybe - rekindle the flame a little. At least you're not ghosting me yet :) (I hope you don't think I crossed the line into the mean-spirited with that barb - it's just a light jest)

    I'm not as anti technology or science as you think, but a genuine shift in your perspective may involve some changes that make you uncomfortable from your current vantage point.

    No, an endless chain of whys of the kind that exasperates parents exists only on the material plane, when you can multiply physical causes backward into infinity.

    The question why this event happened, is categorically different from the question of why anything exists (and thus happens), at all.

    The popular atheist idea that God isn't an answer, since who created God, into infinity, is based on conceiving God as a material object in a causal chain. Which he is not.

    The "force" that sustains existence as such, is a different category of explanation, than a physical object or event causing another physical object or event, in a causal chain.

    The religious quest is often said to begin in sheer wonder that anything exists at all - why have something rather than nothing? And not in curiosity at how some physical process functions, which is in a different category.

    To say that water flows downward because of "love", is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality - the "energy", if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.

    Well, I've tried to explain why if the world is animate and conscious, as all previous societies believed, and that natural processes have supernatural dimensions to them - fairies, or nature spirits - then this has massive ramifications to our psychological health. It also has ramifications for our ability to be creative, if creativity is what previous societies understood as "inspiration" (literally, receiving a spirit) - and closing off our minds to this supernatural dimensions means cutting us off from the sources of creativity

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live - I've explained we're rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It's culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.

    As for me being selfish, on the contrary - I believe that all humans crave connection with a live universe and a supernatural realm, and suffer and wilt when they cut themselves off from it.

    I'm not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one. I would want you to willingly come over to the light, not force anything on you.

    As for force, it's your side that has all of it :) I have zero chance of genuinely challenging the system, and would be crushed if I trief. And force itself is the problem - if I used it, it would ultimately just be used by people like you against me. It's no long term solution.

    Nor am I calling for de-industrialization or the abandonment of science - what I am calling for is an expansion in our perspectives beyond the merely mechanistic. Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing. It is reductionist science that contracted our perspectives, impoverished our lives, and made us neglect what gives life meaning.

    I will try and answer your question earlier about what my vision of a good world and a good life is later, although it's been adumbrated in all my many bloviating comments :)

    But remember, I'm not calling for any good thing to be eliminated, but for an expansion in our notion of the good. All good things ought to be gathered up into an even larger vision, and that includes technology and science, just not of the reductionist kind that sees life as nothing but mechanical.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  991. @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    There is something magical about woods, once they have reached a certain age. I did not feel it in the scraggly forests that I saw in Ireland. But I can feel it in some of the zones of regrowth in New England, even when coming across old wells, or tombstones, or other strange signs of old inhabitation.

    I can well understand the impulse to label certain trees as fairy trees and make it a taboo cut them down.

    Even though it may be true that the woods were not completely untouched by the Indians, what they looked like back then must have been completely wondrous. I fear that the way the US has chosen to fight fires may result in something more choked and less spacious. Less of a cathedral of light.

    I once read some old folktales from Appalachia with a slight horror theme and greatly enjoyed a few. One that especially appealed to me was of a man walking down a lonely dirt road at night and hearing a log rolling behind him. Everytime he looked back the log would stop, and everytime he continued, it would start again.

    I like finding the little old graveyards on these dirt roads, esp. in autumn.

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I know exactly what you mean.

    There is a gnarled old tree in Brooklyn, in Prospect Park, in an out of the way part of the park, that I am convinced hosts fairies. The South East Asians have a wonderful practice of selecting venerable old fig trees – fig trees in Asia have religious significance as the Buddha achieved enlightenment under one – that have grown particularly large, and have magnificent roots and twisted limbs, and mark them as the dwellings of spirits. They tie colorful sashes around them, and put spirit houses near them, and protect them. It adds poetry to the landscape – it’s a shame we in the West have expunged poetry from our public spaces.

    I agree that the old Eastern forests must have been even more incredible than now, before fires were suppressed. Cathedrals of light are a good way of putting it. Did you know that the East used to have giant trees, almost as large as the redwoods? They were known as the redwoods of the East – I think they were chestnuts, iirc. The East was surely a much more magical place than now. Early European settlers were enthralled by its edenic freshness, and early Dutch ships described how the scent of flowers greeted them miles off the coast.

    I love dis overing old graveyards or ruins in Harriman State Park. In a remote corner if the park I once ran into a a graveyard from the 1700s, all mossy and overgrown, faded stone tombstones – one was fjr a two year old child. I try and be respectful of such places.

    • Thanks: songbird
  992. AP says:
    @Dmitry
    @AP


    s that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them.
     
    This pedantic. It's a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.

    https://i.imgur.com/ZSOGlDr.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/rc54YMG.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/reports/2019/017_19.pdf


    disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.
     
    Comparatively it's the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.

    Of course, this isn't something that needs to be eternal. The increase of dislike in the recent years was a lot because of PiS controls a lot of media in Poland and they are producing the anti-Ukrainian nationalist media as part of their support for the conservative old part of lower income population of Poland.

    Polish politicians are stereotypically cynical and they use these neurosis of the older generations. In 2022, Poland's media has been doing an anti-German campaign, which has no real logic except in terms of the internal neurosis of the old voters.


    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

     

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    "There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other."

    This relation of Poland and Ukraine has been more like a "frenemy" in the recent years, at least if we see Poland as the PiS government. This is de facto ally as Poland uses Ukrainian labor, which is a rhetorical target of Poland's politicians and media.

    But alliance is not friendly so much so Poland is not happy for Ukraine to destroy the Russian army and add clouds to the Russian future, despite permanent damage for Ukraine.

    After Ukraine has Melitopol and Mariupol is likely the countries like Poland will support continuing the war for Donetsk or Crimea, as the prioritization for their geopolitics is more weakening Russia than saving lives of Ukrainians.


    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian

     

    "Ukraine is grateful" you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1 given by Poland, which was already viewed as inadequate in the Yom Kippur War which was 50 years ago and moving deathtrap in the Afghanistan war 40 years ago.

    It's not really different except more people killed, than Chernobyl liquidators who are made to go to contaminated zones by their government without adequate protection.


    It was equipment that Poland itself was using.

     

    It's an ancient dangerous equipment Poland doesn't want to use, was trying to get money from Germany for disposing, while the media was following an anti-German campaign last year.

    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian.

     

    This is a mysterious logic. I don't know if I need to repeat Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality for Poles and this is the PiS demographic, which the PiS politicians use this to create support. They create rhetorical hostility to Ukrainians while continuing the policy of using them as a labor resource. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons
     
    "actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland". Do you understand the concept liberalism. You can read Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

    Tusk is a liberal, even ideological liberal. It doesn't match exactly to the rhetoric on Fox News etc, but this is his ideology. Also liberalism is not fringe movement in Poland. It's the mainstream views of educated or normal people there.

    Replies: @AP, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

    “that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them.”

    This pedantic. It’s a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.

    It’s not pedantic, but accurate. More Poles liked Ukrainians than they disliked them. The fact that they liked other Europeans (other than Russians) even more doesn’t mean that Ukrainians were disliked.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.

    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

    “You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.”

    Comparatively it’s the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.

    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them, or at least that more Poles disliked them, rather than liked them. Yet neither condition applied in times we were discussing (2020 – 2023). The latter was true in 2019, but not earlier (in 2015).

    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    “There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

    You were using the present tense.

    You claimed that Poles see Ukrainians (like Russians) as enemies. You claimed that to Poles, two enemies were destroying each other.

    Yet we have seen that in 2023 (as in 2022, as in 2020) more Poles liked Ukrainians than disliked them.

    How can your claim that Poland sees Ukraine as an enemy be true in that case? It cannot. You wrote a falsehood.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

    And btw most Poles like Ukrainian refugees and would be happy if they stayed for many years in Poland. This is true of supporters of all parties other than the far right fringe Konfederation party:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/04/large-majority-of-poles-continue-to-believe-ukrainian-refugees-good-for-poland-finds-poll/

    “Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian”

    “Ukraine is grateful” you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1

    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both Ukrainians and Russians are extensively using BMP-1s in this war. So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious). If your country is invaded by Russia you are happy for any equipment that is given.

    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks, etc.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War#P

    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn’t they be grateful? And indeed they are:

    Most Ukrainians consider Poland to be a friendly country, it is seen as the best for Ukraine:

    “PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian.”

    This is a mysterious logic.

    It’s reality. See the poll I showed in this post. Most PiS voters like Ukrainians.

    Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality

    Don’t change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.

    You used the present tense. Currently Ukrainians are less unpopular than Hungarians, French and Germans:

    Why do you keep writing false things now? Why have you changed?

    “actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland”. Do you understand the concept liberalism.

    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @AP


    It’s not pedantic, but accurate
     
    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland's survey in 2019 than Russians. I think in "normal understanding", we know this means in Poland.

    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them
     

    You don't need more than 41% of negative in the survey for Ukrainians, as Russians only have 43% in the same survey, to understand the view in the society. Russians have been very strongly disliked in Poland, including in 2019, while the poll for 2019 is almost as many dislikes for Ukrainians and Russian.

    If you want to say, you need more than half for the survey, then you would also have to say Russians are not disliked in Poland in many of the years they survey.

    It's because happy people usually wouldn't say they dislike any other nationality in those surveys. To choose to dislike a nationality, is already quite a negative behavior, as most people understand the nationality includes millions of individuals who are both good and bad.


    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

     

    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.

    https://i.imgur.com/P9sghJc.jpg

    Also in 2017.

    https://i.imgur.com/VxUfM9A.jpg

    It's because PiS was doing an anti-Ukraine campaign in the those years with the local media for their conservative demographics, but there is also the local neurosis about Ukrainians for the older people which was part of the culture which the politicians were exploiting.


    Don’t change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.
     

    If this is the concept of popular, to have popularity between Russians and Germans in Poland.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

     

    It's written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.

    "Poland’s “eastern policy” has two broad traditions that crystallised in the interwar period.

    The first (called piłsudczykowska, after Piłsudski, the leader of the independent left) assumes supporting Ukraine to counter the risk of expansion of Russian influence closer to Polish territory. The other one (called endecka, from the nationalist movement of National Democracy) treats Ukrainians as eternal historical enemies against whom even alliance with Russia is acceptable. Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, the Polish political scene has been dominated by a Piłsudski-school consensus. But today, Poland’s “National Democracy” tendency is also making itself heard."
    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland/


    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both
     
    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?

    I'm caring about the situation of the people killed, after they were conscripted and put into the dangerous equipment, that wasn't giving soldiers protection already 50 years ago.

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers' life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.

    It's not only Poland which is following this. Just they are probably the largest scale or one of the largest in terms of the disposing of the old equipment. E.g. Greece has been sending 40 BMP-1 to Ukraine, while Poland is sending 140 BWP-1 to Ukraine.


    So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them

     

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?

    not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious).

     

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles. This is 50 years ago. The USSR was usually giving the most modern equipment to its allies.

    The USSR wasn't giving equipment of 1920 to Egypt in 1970. They usually give the modern equipment to their allies, although the export models had weaker armor (which is the equipment Poland now gives to Ukraine).

    The USSR also used its money to pay for this equipment usually, or at least funded the finances, while Poland is not using its money, but asks for refunds for the equipment it gives to Ukraine. The problem with this part of the topic, is the PiS also continue an anti-German campaign while Germany is paying for the equipment they give to Ukraine.


    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks,

     

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It's true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don't give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU. https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/06/27/eu-to-refund-poland-for-arms-donated-to-ukraine-says-pm/

    Many countries are using their money to give weapons to Ukraine. They give the equipment for free. Poland is using EU money which will be more than market value for this old equipment. Then PiS are doing an anti-German campaign while they use German money to fund the project.

    Poland will have hundreds of modern tanks, which will never be used in fighting.

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.

    Tanks like T-72 will still be useful or effective in the military sense, but in military sense which doesn't prioritize safety for the operators.


    14 Leopard tanks, etc.
     
    Which PiS reclaim the money from the EU, while criticizing the EU.
    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/poland-will-file-for-eu-compensation-for-arms-sent-to-ukraine-says-pm-35994

    https://www.dw.com/en/polands-kaczynski-slams-germanys-dominance-in-europe/a-63978369


    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn’t they be grateful? And indeed they are:

     

    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago? Some is worse equipment than Iraq army uses in 1991.

    Ukrainian politicians will be happy to have this equipment than not, but would they be also happy for their children to go personally in the BMP-1.


    You used the present tense. Currently
     
    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland. International popularity of Ukrainians is because of war with Russia. But this is an emergency situation. I'm interested in what is the level in the country relative to this situation.

    I know the perception of this war in Europe, most of Europe are having more Ukrainian flags than the local flags.


    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.
     

    Biden is also not very left, but I would say he is liberal in quite a few areas.

    While left is not always liberal, as like communist Poland was illiberal. This is how the ideology is people like Tusk. A lot of their views are a response to the illiberal policies of the communist society.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC, @AP

    , @A123
    @AP


    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.
    ...
    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.
     
    Tusk is a Globalist. Which in America terms is equal to liberal leftism.

    Tusk is therefore, "Of the Left". This is unsurprising. His Left PO party is in opposition to the Center-Right PiS.

    PEACE 😇
  993. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Well, consider these quotes by Sir Francis Bacon, who was instrumental in developing the new scientific method –
     
    Sure, but I wasn't disputing that scientists are motivated by the desire to control; I was disputing that they're motivated solely by that desire. Bacon distinguished between "light-bearing" and "fruit-bearing" knowledge. He was partial to the fruit-bearing kind, but he didn't insist that merely light-bearing knowledge was pointless.

    Or maybe you'll allow me to use myself as an example. I am not a scientist, but in high school that is where my interests were. It used to annoy me in physics (my favorite science) when the textbook would interrupt its flow with "applied" examples. I remember one that I thought was pretty cool - that fiber-optic cables operate on the principle of 'total internal reflection' - but most of the time it was a dispiriting distraction. I was much more curious about understanding the world than controlling it.

    This level of explanation doesn’t deal with “why” or “how”.
     
    Children learn by age ten they can exasperate their parents and teachers by continually asking an infinite chain of "but why" questions; you are just performing the adult version. I don't see how invoking fairies helps to "explain" the why or how of water flows any better than physics. At best it just makes the existing explanation more satisfying. It's the same with "God did it" explanations. They don't really explain why or how. The explanation that the universe exists because God created it leaves you no wiser as to what mechanisms were involved. But it's more satisfying than "it just exists" or "we don't know." And that's fine. When we're dealing with the entire universe, there are existential anxieties that demand satisfaction. When it's just a case of water flows, or the tension in a spring, it's simple enough to be satisfied with naturalistic accounts. Or do you seriously expect me to "need" an explanation like it's not pedaling that propels my bike forward, it's "tire fairies." Water fairies, spring fairies, tire fairies, where does it all end?

    The only reason we may want to grow crops and prevent flooding at all is in order to live and flourish – but if living in a “dead” universe makes our relationship to the world so depressing that we lose the will to live, creates such a feeling of alienation and disconnection that we lose all vitality, then clearly the matter is of the hugest importance to get right.
     
    We've been living in a "dead" universe for a long time now. Is there any actual evidence that we're losing the will to live? If we are, then whence the market for life-prolonging medical treatments? Also, aren't you curious why the biggest nature-worshippers also seem to be the biggest anti-humanists? (Humans are a blight on nature, it'd be better had we never existed etc)

    and this may be key to our long term flourishing both psychologically and physically, and may unlock dimensions of beauty and meaning and purpose that are crucial to us, to why we are alive at all.
     
    Yeah "maybe," but also "maybe not." Are you at least willing to entertain that possibility or is your mind already made up?

    And while such a relationship may not give us dominion, it may give us ways of influencing nature, and deriving benefit, that are less certain but important.
     
    Another question I've been meaning to ask you is don't you think it's a little selfish to demand that because you so intensely dislike industrial society and because you so enjoy trekking through empty expanses and gazing at the stars, the rest of us must deindustrialize and return to a stone-age -like existence - which I'm left having to assume is the economic purport of your value system, since you refuse to spell it out?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Ah, I percieve you are souring on me now 🙂 Well, we did have a little romance going for a while, and I hope I can – maybe – rekindle the flame a little. At least you’re not ghosting me yet 🙂 (I hope you don’t think I crossed the line into the mean-spirited with that barb – it’s just a light jest)

    I’m not as anti technology or science as you think, but a genuine shift in your perspective may involve some changes that make you uncomfortable from your current vantage point.

    No, an endless chain of whys of the kind that exasperates parents exists only on the material plane, when you can multiply physical causes backward into infinity.

    The question why this event happened, is categorically different from the question of why anything exists (and thus happens), at all.

    The popular atheist idea that God isn’t an answer, since who created God, into infinity, is based on conceiving God as a material object in a causal chain. Which he is not.

    The “force” that sustains existence as such, is a different category of explanation, than a physical object or event causing another physical object or event, in a causal chain.

    The religious quest is often said to begin in sheer wonder that anything exists at all – why have something rather than nothing? And not in curiosity at how some physical process functions, which is in a different category.

    To say that water flows downward because of “love”, is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality – the “energy”, if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.

    Well, I’ve tried to explain why if the world is animate and conscious, as all previous societies believed, and that natural processes have supernatural dimensions to them – fairies, or nature spirits – then this has massive ramifications to our psychological health. It also has ramifications for our ability to be creative, if creativity is what previous societies understood as “inspiration” (literally, receiving a spirit) – and closing off our minds to this supernatural dimensions means cutting us off from the sources of creativity

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live – I’ve explained we’re rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It’s culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.

    As for me being selfish, on the contrary – I believe that all humans crave connection with a live universe and a supernatural realm, and suffer and wilt when they cut themselves off from it.

    I’m not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one. I would want you to willingly come over to the light, not force anything on you.

    As for force, it’s your side that has all of it 🙂 I have zero chance of genuinely challenging the system, and would be crushed if I trief. And force itself is the problem – if I used it, it would ultimately just be used by people like you against me. It’s no long term solution.

    Nor am I calling for de-industrialization or the abandonment of science – what I am calling for is an expansion in our perspectives beyond the merely mechanistic. Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing. It is reductionist science that contracted our perspectives, impoverished our lives, and made us neglect what gives life meaning.

    I will try and answer your question earlier about what my vision of a good world and a good life is later, although it’s been adumbrated in all my many bloviating comments 🙂

    But remember, I’m not calling for any good thing to be eliminated, but for an expansion in our notion of the good. All good things ought to be gathered up into an even larger vision, and that includes technology and science, just not of the reductionist kind that sees life as nothing but mechanical.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    To say that water flows downward because of “love”, is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality – the “energy”, if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.
     
    So water flows downhill because of "love" but love doesn't cause water to flow downhill? I'm at a loss to understand how that holds together. Where is the "why" and the "how" you promised in any of this? If your explanation doesn't actually explain anything, then you should probably find another word instead of bastardizing the existing one, or at least explain (heh) that you're using it differently.

    And how do you know it's "love" and not, say, "fear" anyway? Water flows downhill because it's afraid to rise. Water evaporating is actually water ginning up the courage to reach for the stars. But mind you, none of this causal! (This is on the level of "race is a fictional category, but you can't change your race" illogic.)

    Is any of this really spiritually necessary? Are my spiritual beliefs lesser because I find all this fairy talk silly? It would be one thing if you just posited fairies but remained quiet about what they actually do or how they actually operate. It's not my thing, but if it works for you, great, would be my attitude. It's when you insist they're an essential part of the operation of things or that belief in them is required for a mature spirituality that you lose me.

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live – I’ve explained we’re rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It’s culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.
     
    I get that you believe this; I am asking you what your evidence for that belief is. You repeatedly assert that we're "stagnating." Well, by what metric? You're entitled to your impressions, but if you refuse to say what they're based on, you can hardly blame other people for dismissing your opinion. Somehow, though, I have a feeling you're going to play the leftbrain card on me and tell me that it's precisely this need for "evidence" or "proof" that's keeping us stagnant. And around and around we go.

    I’m not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one.
     
    The way I see it, I've already done that and doing it didn't require me to make radical changes in my physical environment. I just went from a worldview that claims it can, in principle, explain everything to one that realizes it cannot. Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?

    Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing.
     
    "Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference"?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  994. @A123
    @AP



    “Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government.
     
    Tusk is more “pro-business” which means he is more pro-German.
    ...
    He is no leftist. He is more to the right of Western Center-Right parties like Germany’s CDU.

     

    Tusk is a Globalist / Corporatist / Open Borders type. This makes him diametrically opposed to Populist parties such as PiS and Konfederacja. Trying to call him Center Right simply does not hold up.

    This goes back to a point I have made before. Left/Right works poorly in many situations. Using Populist/Globalist is less amiguous. If Corporate parties are "Right" -- Does that make labour friendly Populist parties "Left"? It could, but most people will not follow along. Thus, we are stuck with the reverse.

    If one insists on using Left/Right, in the new dichotomy -- Open borders types, pro-war Neolibs, and corporatists are "Globalist/Left". Workers and those who believe in strong borders are "Populist/Right". Consider Poland & Germany:

    ---- Populist/Right ----
        • Right -- Konfederacja, AfD
        • Center Right -- PiS

    ---- Globalist/Left ----
        • Left -- PO(Tusk), CDU, FDP
        • Far Left -- CSU
        • Extreme Left -- Green

    As a bonus, this illustrates why Germany has a near insurmountable problem trying to adopt sane policies. The lack of a Center Right party like PiS. Other than AfD, everything starts at the anti-citizen corporate Left, and then decays even further towards the worst excesses of Globalism.

    PEACE 😇

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Dmitry

    Poland is a country constructed on the nationalist ideology, so conflict of the liberals and the conservatives, it’s a conflict nationalists vs nationalists. But in the current situation, demographically more educated higher income region liberal nationalists vs uneducated lower income region conservative nationalists.

    Nationalism is a liberal ideology historically. Conservatives in history defended the transnational categories like religious authority, large empires or ruling families, while the positive attainments of nationalism in occupied countries had been usually to increase self-determination and republicanism in opposition to the transnational authorities like the Russian empire, Habsburg empire, Catholic church.

    Tusk’s aspiration for nationalism is contradicting because he is a supporter of the transnational EU, although in the Poland’s context this is maybe sensible, as the culture and practices of the EU, which represented the elite countries of Western Europe, has been rescuing Poland from the historical corruption and idiocracy of the region. It’s like any nationalists in Ukraine who are connected to reality will also be supporting the EU, as this is probably the only development path for the country to escape the local swamps.

    It’s also in these countries sometimes the EU which will protect individuals’ rights more than the local government.

    If you look at the recent liberal protests in Warsaw, they have the mix of the Poland, LGBT*, EU flags. The main ideology is the nationalism, although Lech Walesa also has a badge with Ukraine flag in the protest while they are hoping the EU can rescue them from the democratic backsliding of increasing authoritarian backsliding of PiS.

    *Although, Poland’s conservative government is controlled by the leader of PiS who is Kaczynski, who is part of the sexual minority community of Poland. Leading of conservative values by the men who are from the sexual minority, is not so contradictory in history i.e. it’s not probably unusual in the Vatican historically.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Dmitry


    Nationalism is a liberal ideology historically. Conservatives in history defended the transnational categories like religious authority, large empires or ruling families, while the positive attainments of nationalism in occupied countries had been usually to increase self-determination and republicanism
     
    I see your point. However, for good or ill, the historical definitions of nationalism and liberalism are not longer applicable. I try to avoid both terms as they are now ambiguous and easily misconstrued.

    look at the recent liberal protests in Warsaw, they have the mix of the Poland, LGBT*, EU flags.
    ...
    they are hoping the EU can rescue them from the democratic backsliding of increasing authoritarian backsliding of PiS.
     
    Embracing the ultra authoritarian EU is Globalist. As you point out, they fly "Left" LBGT & EU flags. Therefore, these protests cannot be a Right movement.

    The Center-Right PiS does suffer from corruption and weakness. Poland's new party of the Right, Konfederacja, formed as a consequence of failures by the current administration.

    Tusk’s aspiration for nationalism is contradicting because he is a supporter of the transnational EU, although in the Poland’s context this is maybe sensible, as the culture and practices of the EU, which represented the elite countries of Western Europe
     
    So... Tusk is for nationalism, transnationalism, and EU Elite Globalism (represented by Western Europe, notably France & Germany)? I am not sure I follow that combination.

    If you want to call that "Left nationalist", you are of course free to do so. That would convey that Tusk and his PO party are of the Left. However, you are volunteering for the burden of repeatedly explaining "Left nationalism" as it is not in common usage.

    PEACE 😇
  995. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Ah, I percieve you are souring on me now :) Well, we did have a little romance going for a while, and I hope I can - maybe - rekindle the flame a little. At least you're not ghosting me yet :) (I hope you don't think I crossed the line into the mean-spirited with that barb - it's just a light jest)

    I'm not as anti technology or science as you think, but a genuine shift in your perspective may involve some changes that make you uncomfortable from your current vantage point.

    No, an endless chain of whys of the kind that exasperates parents exists only on the material plane, when you can multiply physical causes backward into infinity.

    The question why this event happened, is categorically different from the question of why anything exists (and thus happens), at all.

    The popular atheist idea that God isn't an answer, since who created God, into infinity, is based on conceiving God as a material object in a causal chain. Which he is not.

    The "force" that sustains existence as such, is a different category of explanation, than a physical object or event causing another physical object or event, in a causal chain.

    The religious quest is often said to begin in sheer wonder that anything exists at all - why have something rather than nothing? And not in curiosity at how some physical process functions, which is in a different category.

    To say that water flows downward because of "love", is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality - the "energy", if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.

    Well, I've tried to explain why if the world is animate and conscious, as all previous societies believed, and that natural processes have supernatural dimensions to them - fairies, or nature spirits - then this has massive ramifications to our psychological health. It also has ramifications for our ability to be creative, if creativity is what previous societies understood as "inspiration" (literally, receiving a spirit) - and closing off our minds to this supernatural dimensions means cutting us off from the sources of creativity

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live - I've explained we're rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It's culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.

    As for me being selfish, on the contrary - I believe that all humans crave connection with a live universe and a supernatural realm, and suffer and wilt when they cut themselves off from it.

    I'm not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one. I would want you to willingly come over to the light, not force anything on you.

    As for force, it's your side that has all of it :) I have zero chance of genuinely challenging the system, and would be crushed if I trief. And force itself is the problem - if I used it, it would ultimately just be used by people like you against me. It's no long term solution.

    Nor am I calling for de-industrialization or the abandonment of science - what I am calling for is an expansion in our perspectives beyond the merely mechanistic. Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing. It is reductionist science that contracted our perspectives, impoverished our lives, and made us neglect what gives life meaning.

    I will try and answer your question earlier about what my vision of a good world and a good life is later, although it's been adumbrated in all my many bloviating comments :)

    But remember, I'm not calling for any good thing to be eliminated, but for an expansion in our notion of the good. All good things ought to be gathered up into an even larger vision, and that includes technology and science, just not of the reductionist kind that sees life as nothing but mechanical.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    To say that water flows downward because of “love”, is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality – the “energy”, if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.

    So water flows downhill because of “love” but love doesn’t cause water to flow downhill? I’m at a loss to understand how that holds together. Where is the “why” and the “how” you promised in any of this? If your explanation doesn’t actually explain anything, then you should probably find another word instead of bastardizing the existing one, or at least explain (heh) that you’re using it differently.

    And how do you know it’s “love” and not, say, “fear” anyway? Water flows downhill because it’s afraid to rise. Water evaporating is actually water ginning up the courage to reach for the stars. But mind you, none of this causal! (This is on the level of “race is a fictional category, but you can’t change your race” illogic.)

    Is any of this really spiritually necessary? Are my spiritual beliefs lesser because I find all this fairy talk silly? It would be one thing if you just posited fairies but remained quiet about what they actually do or how they actually operate. It’s not my thing, but if it works for you, great, would be my attitude. It’s when you insist they’re an essential part of the operation of things or that belief in them is required for a mature spirituality that you lose me.

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live – I’ve explained we’re rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It’s culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.

    I get that you believe this; I am asking you what your evidence for that belief is. You repeatedly assert that we’re “stagnating.” Well, by what metric? You’re entitled to your impressions, but if you refuse to say what they’re based on, you can hardly blame other people for dismissing your opinion. Somehow, though, I have a feeling you’re going to play the leftbrain card on me and tell me that it’s precisely this need for “evidence” or “proof” that’s keeping us stagnant. And around and around we go.

    I’m not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one.

    The way I see it, I’ve already done that and doing it didn’t require me to make radical changes in my physical environment. I just went from a worldview that claims it can, in principle, explain everything to one that realizes it cannot. Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?

    Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing.

    “Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference”?

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @silviosilver

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/notion-lautorit%C3%A9-Alexandre-Koj%C3%A8ve/dp/2072866413/ref=sr_1_fkmr0_1?crid=3528M2TC4J4M1&keywords=Kojeve+notion+de+l%27authorite&qid=1690795265&sprefix=kojeve+notion+de+l%27authorite%2Caps%2C197&sr=8-1-fkmr0


    “Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference”?
     
    There is a memorable passage from Joseph de Maistre where he argues that all enduring political and religious communities must be based on 'dogma and prejudice', where prejudice means a useful belief that people believe in without thinking about it too much. He contends that Human reason alone persistently gives rise to disputes that cannot be resolved and 'to conduct himself well man needs beliefs, not problems'.

    Based on his other writings de Maistre (like Du Pape) could have added 'dogma, prejudice and authority'; all enduring political and religious communities are also based on the existence of some person or group of people who have the power to make the final decision or ruling about contentious or vague questions, and be obeyed.

    When I got interested in practicing religion a decade or so ago I was reading a lot of Philosophy of Religion stuff, the sub-discipline of Philosophy and Religious Studies that deals with arguments around religions based on philosophical issues. Overall I got the impression that the arguments against traditional religious belief were not proportionately decisive enough, just on a rational level, to explain the anti-religious and secular attitudes that had been sweeping through society. Not that many people seemed to be aware of what these arguments even were.

    That got me vaguely curious about other explanations, in material or economic terms at first, later in biology/psychology and political theory. The outbreak of the Awokening was a push in that direction. Started to wonder again whether the rapid increase in secularism and irreligion might be explicable in terms of the spread of the contraceptive pill, availability of anti-bacterial medicines for STDs, consumer electronics and so on, as much as straightforward rational Enlightenment.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Perhaps we can loosely use Aristotle's four causes here, although I don't want to stick to him too closely, but maybe his framework can help here, with some interpolations and framing of my own. So -

    Our minds naturally ask several questions about any phenomenon we encounter.

    What is its chemical composition, what immediate physical event caused it, what is it's true nature, and why does it exist at all, what is its goal and purpose.

    Our starting point must be that we can't really independently validate the legitimacy of any of these questions; as Hume famously showed, we can't prove one event causes another; only that one event follows another.

    But if fwe are to accept that we can know anything at all, there has to be an element of faith, and we have to commit to trusting that the structure of our minds matches reality, that what our minds want to know about reality has an answer.

    Of course, we can just abandon the project of knowledge altogether, and there have been people who have advocated this. But if we are to try and know, we have to have faith that the questions our minds naturally ask matches the "shape" of reality.

    Science limits itself to the first two questions our minds naturally ask; what is the chemical cause, and what physical event caused it. It excludes from consideration the other two, what is the true nature and final goal of an object.

    Now it initially did so just in order to narrow the scope of its investigation, which is perfectly legitimate . It didn't claim that the other two questions our minds naturally ask are illegitimate, yet.

    Gradually, though, science began to claim that only two of the questions our minds naturally ask match the structure of reality; the other two don't.

    This, however, is obviously arbitrary. No one has ever given any reason why only some questions that spring naturally from the structure of our minds match reality. It became a dogmatic assertion, based on an arbitrary choice.

    Now to link this up with your questions about explanations, love would be the final goal and purpose of water, and gravity would be it's material cause. It's important to note, however, that material causes are summaries of observations, descriptive, and love provides an explanation in the truest sense of the word, explaining "why" it does what it does.

    Gravity says "that" it does, and love "why".

    But if you don't like that distinction, we can stick to Aristotle's framework and look at all four of the questions our minds asks as inquiries into causes, as he did.

    Now, the kind of questions that stretch into infinity, are clearly what material event caused this - that can go back into infinity. But the other three are capable of having satisfactory answers that terminate in themselves (although God might be infinite, as a category he is exhaustive)

    Any of this make sense, Silvio? What do you think?

    Now, you ask if any of this is spiritually necessary - I think it's obvious that questions about the final goal and purpose and true nature of things in the world are the essence of the spiritual quest. On the largest scale these are questions about God.

    Whether we live in a dead world, or have a conscious and animate world, goes right to the heart of the true nature of our world and it's ultimate goal and purpose - and thus the purpose and nature of our own lives, and has huge ramifications for our spiritual health, and also psychological and physical.

    These are not neutral questions - I might be a little facetious and radical when I talk about fairies, to just have a little fun, but in the end they are of the essence of the matter.

    You ask if we are stagnating and losing vitality, robustness, and exuberance -

    To definitively answer this question, a comprehensive survey of the state of our culture would have to be taken, and there are books that attempt to do this .

    But we can certainly give some some preliminary impressions; depression and anxiety is reported to have skyrocketed among young people, every other day it seems there is another news story, there is much less tolerance for stress and discomfort, and an alarmist response to stresses that a few years ago would have been barely noticed, as I was discussing with Mikel, massive overreactions to trivial dangers, like with COVID, an elevated fear response and avoidance of even minute risk, like with Mikels home Depot experience, a culture of bureaucracy and rules rather than bold improvisation or innovation, and work force that is reported to be unmotivated and lackluster, a strict regime of political rules and harsh punishments for deviations, and a whole cluster of mental breakdowns surrounding issues like generally abd identity.

    And creativity in the arts and sciences has largely ground to a halt.

    Now, of course there are pockets of exceptions - I try and be one :) - but the larger picture seems one of devitalization, malaise, and stasis, down to accelerating breakdown.

    What do you think? Do you significantly disagree?


    Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?
     
    No :) And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature - and the purpose and true nature of the universe.

    Finally perceiving that there are more legitimate questions one might ask than those science can answer, and that they emerge naturally from the structure of our minds and are on the no different footing than the questions science answers - that is a massively important first step.

    But do you want to stop there?

    Maybe take a break and enjoy your newfound freedom for a while and dont go any further for now :) But I can't imagine you stopping there.

    Replies: @Sean

  996. Dmitry says:
    @AP
    @Dmitry


    "that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them."

    This pedantic. It’s a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.
     
    It's not pedantic, but accurate. More Poles liked Ukrainians than they disliked them. The fact that they liked other Europeans (other than Russians) even more doesn't mean that Ukrainians were disliked.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.
     
    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

    https://i.imgur.com/nM0atOs.jpeg

    "You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not."

    Comparatively it’s the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.
     
    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them, or at least that more Poles disliked them, rather than liked them. Yet neither condition applied in times we were discussing (2020 - 2023). The latter was true in 2019, but not earlier (in 2015).

    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    “There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

     

    You were using the present tense.

    You claimed that Poles see Ukrainians (like Russians) as enemies. You claimed that to Poles, two enemies were destroying each other.

    Yet we have seen that in 2023 (as in 2022, as in 2020) more Poles liked Ukrainians than disliked them.

    How can your claim that Poland sees Ukraine as an enemy be true in that case? It cannot. You wrote a falsehood.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

    And btw most Poles like Ukrainian refugees and would be happy if they stayed for many years in Poland. This is true of supporters of all parties other than the far right fringe Konfederation party:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/04/large-majority-of-poles-continue-to-believe-ukrainian-refugees-good-for-poland-finds-poll/

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/suppor-fr-ukrainians.jpg

    "Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian"

    “Ukraine is grateful” you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1

     

    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both Ukrainians and Russians are extensively using BMP-1s in this war. So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious). If your country is invaded by Russia you are happy for any equipment that is given.

    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks, etc.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War#P

    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn't they be grateful? And indeed they are:

    Most Ukrainians consider Poland to be a friendly country, it is seen as the best for Ukraine:

    https://euromaidanpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Allies-Ukraine-poll.jpg

    "PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian."

    This is a mysterious logic.
     
    It's reality. See the poll I showed in this post. Most PiS voters like Ukrainians.

    Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality
     
    Don't change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.

    You used the present tense. Currently Ukrainians are less unpopular than Hungarians, French and Germans:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-3.png

    Why do you keep writing false things now? Why have you changed?

    “actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland”. Do you understand the concept liberalism.

     

    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.

    Replies: @Dmitry, @A123

    It’s not pedantic, but accurate

    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland’s survey in 2019 than Russians. I think in “normal understanding”, we know this means in Poland.

    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them

    You don’t need more than 41% of negative in the survey for Ukrainians, as Russians only have 43% in the same survey, to understand the view in the society. Russians have been very strongly disliked in Poland, including in 2019, while the poll for 2019 is almost as many dislikes for Ukrainians and Russian.

    If you want to say, you need more than half for the survey, then you would also have to say Russians are not disliked in Poland in many of the years they survey.

    It’s because happy people usually wouldn’t say they dislike any other nationality in those surveys. To choose to dislike a nationality, is already quite a negative behavior, as most people understand the nationality includes millions of individuals who are both good and bad.

    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.

    Also in 2017.

    It’s because PiS was doing an anti-Ukraine campaign in the those years with the local media for their conservative demographics, but there is also the local neurosis about Ukrainians for the older people which was part of the culture which the politicians were exploiting.

    Don’t change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.

    If this is the concept of popular, to have popularity between Russians and Germans in Poland.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

    It’s written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.

    “Poland’s “eastern policy” has two broad traditions that crystallised in the interwar period.

    The first (called piłsudczykowska, after Piłsudski, the leader of the independent left) assumes supporting Ukraine to counter the risk of expansion of Russian influence closer to Polish territory. The other one (called endecka, from the nationalist movement of National Democracy) treats Ukrainians as eternal historical enemies against whom even alliance with Russia is acceptable. Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, the Polish political scene has been dominated by a Piłsudski-school consensus. But today, Poland’s “National Democracy” tendency is also making itself heard.”
    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland/

    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both

    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?

    I’m caring about the situation of the people killed, after they were conscripted and put into the dangerous equipment, that wasn’t giving soldiers protection already 50 years ago.

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers’ life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.

    It’s not only Poland which is following this. Just they are probably the largest scale or one of the largest in terms of the disposing of the old equipment. E.g. Greece has been sending 40 BMP-1 to Ukraine, while Poland is sending 140 BWP-1 to Ukraine.

    So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?

    not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious).

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles. This is 50 years ago. The USSR was usually giving the most modern equipment to its allies.

    The USSR wasn’t giving equipment of 1920 to Egypt in 1970. They usually give the modern equipment to their allies, although the export models had weaker armor (which is the equipment Poland now gives to Ukraine).

    The USSR also used its money to pay for this equipment usually, or at least funded the finances, while Poland is not using its money, but asks for refunds for the equipment it gives to Ukraine. The problem with this part of the topic, is the PiS also continue an anti-German campaign while Germany is paying for the equipment they give to Ukraine.

    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks,

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It’s true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don’t give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU. https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/06/27/eu-to-refund-poland-for-arms-donated-to-ukraine-says-pm/

    Many countries are using their money to give weapons to Ukraine. They give the equipment for free. Poland is using EU money which will be more than market value for this old equipment. Then PiS are doing an anti-German campaign while they use German money to fund the project.

    Poland will have hundreds of modern tanks, which will never be used in fighting.

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.

    Tanks like T-72 will still be useful or effective in the military sense, but in military sense which doesn’t prioritize safety for the operators.

    14 Leopard tanks, etc.

    Which PiS reclaim the money from the EU, while criticizing the EU.
    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/poland-will-file-for-eu-compensation-for-arms-sent-to-ukraine-says-pm-35994

    https://www.dw.com/en/polands-kaczynski-slams-germanys-dominance-in-europe/a-63978369

    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn’t they be grateful? And indeed they are:

    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago? Some is worse equipment than Iraq army uses in 1991.

    Ukrainian politicians will be happy to have this equipment than not, but would they be also happy for their children to go personally in the BMP-1.

    You used the present tense. Currently

    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland. International popularity of Ukrainians is because of war with Russia. But this is an emergency situation. I’m interested in what is the level in the country relative to this situation.

    I know the perception of this war in Europe, most of Europe are having more Ukrainian flags than the local flags.

    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.

    Biden is also not very left, but I would say he is liberal in quite a few areas.

    While left is not always liberal, as like communist Poland was illiberal. This is how the ideology is people like Tusk. A lot of their views are a response to the illiberal policies of the communist society.

    • Replies: @Mikhail
    @Dmitry


    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.
     
    Any tank without proper backup and faced with a superior fighting force is ultimately doomed as evident with Western supplied tanks in the NATO proxy war involving Russia and the Kiev regime. Among tanks themselves, an upgraded T-72 is still an effective enough fighting machine in numerous conflict scenarios.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    , @QCIC
    @Dmitry

    How can we believe any poll these days? Perhaps some valid polling has been performed, but opinions are now susceptible to continuous manipulation from Twitter and other platforms. Many of these poll numbers can be flipped one way or another within some broad ranges. We need to look at root causes, not subjective polls.

    How many people in Poland and Ukraine understand that this war started in 1999 with the expansion of NATO and in 2001 with the USA dropping the nuclear arms control Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty? NATO was always an anti-Russia military alliance, that never changed so the expansion was obviously aggressive. They got rid of the treaty, but not the missiles. Over time, this one move radically increased the risk of nuclear war. These two acts by the West are the foundations for the war in Ukraine.

    Ukraine and Poland are simply pawns in this conflict.

    , @AP
    @Dmitry


    "It’s not pedantic, but accurate"

    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland’s survey in 2019 than Russians
     

    And Ukrainians were 19 points less disliked than Russians in 2015. And 10 points less disliked in 2014. So there are fluctuations. Some years Russians were only a little bit more disliked than Ukrainians, other years Russians were a lot more disliked than Ukrainians.

    But you made claims about the current war. You falsely claimed that Poles see the war as two enemies killing each other. Yet in 2023 Ukrainians were about 67 points less disliked than Russians.

    How then can this war be perceived as two enemies killing each other? Your words, which you have refused to retract: "countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

    It cannot be. You were wrong.

    And you were shown that you were wrong, yet persist in claiming the falsehood. This means that you are dishonest. You have not been that way before. What has changed? Is the Soviet coming out as you are beginning to age? Can we expect, in a few decades, for the process to lead to a complete transition to a Martyanov? That would be sad.


    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.
     
    And Russians were disliked more by 9 points than Ukrainians that year.

    And in 2014-2015 Ukrainians were more liked than disliked. As they have been in 2020-2023.


    It’s written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.
     
    Article was from 2017. Not much relevance for today.

    Same author writing in 2022:

    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/exclusive-ukraine-refugee-crisis-poland-russia/

    "It is visible even in the traditionally anti-Ukrainian, ultra-conservative Podkarpacie region. While the Polish-Ukrainian quarrels in the area go back to the days of the Austro-Hungarian empire, they have vanished in the face of Putin’s bombs. Donations filled even the smallest village clubhouses and here and there one can spot Ukrainian flags. Border guards, who only two weeks ago gave Ukrainians contemptuous glances at best, today carry Ukrainian children to buses, their faces filled with empathy. And not only when they are being filmed."


    "Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both"

    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?
     

    Would you prefer them to be unarmed?

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers’ life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.
     
    The Poles gave what they had. This was the equipment their own military had been using.

    "So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them"

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?
     

    No, it's an example that what Ukraine is getting is not outmatched than what its enemies have.

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles.
     
    According to you, it was outmatched then.

    It is not, in Ukraine now.


    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It’s true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.
     

    Ukraine has been getting upgraded T-72, the best that Poland has (Poland has given Ukriane a very high percentage of its total equipment). Poland is replacing them with large numbers of much-better, modern Korean and Western tanks. Some of the latter may end up in Ukraine also, but Poland hasn't gotten them in sufficient quantities to share yet.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don’t give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU.
     
    If they can get reimbursed for it, why not?

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.
     
    Poland provided the best that it had. It was helping.

    So we see above - first you lie about the extent that Poles view Ukrainians as enemies, and now you want Ukrainians to not be grateful to Poles, for having given Ukraine a huge percentage of their total military equipment. Classic Soviet and Russian strategy of trying to forge enmity between these two peoples.


    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago?
     
    I would prefer that, to my children just facing the Russian invaders armed only with rifles and not having tanks or APCs at all.

    "You used the present tense. Currently"

    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland.
     

    So here you deflect rather than admit that you wrote something false.

    You were caught writing the false statement "Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality"

    I showed that Ukrainians are more popular than Hunagrians, Germans and French.

    Rather than admit you were wrong, you pivot and make claims Ukrainians being the most popular everywhere in the world, but not most popular in Poland.

    Maybe they are, maybe they are not.

    But your claim that in Poland "Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality"" was false.

  997. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?

    The Song is a metaphor - that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love, and in another God is utterly inscrutable and mysterious is not a contradiction, it's approaching the issue in many of its multifarious dimensions. You are utterly confusing "levels" of meaning here, and confusing the literal and the metaphorical - it's just a mess.

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.

    And your logic here is incomprehensible - since sex is a sin, it can't be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn't the exact opposite follow?

    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.

    I don't know how to continue this discussion with you, honestly. We're just too far apart. But I still like you as a commenter and will continue to engage with you as I can.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?

    Yeah, you are right re woman, she is “swarthy”, I just remembered she is being compared to lilly, so I thought she is white (there are few comparisons which would suggest this colour too), like Mary – another “lilly”.
    But the man is not white too – he is described as “red” in Polish translation, and in English as “ruddy”

    “My dear one is dazzling and ruddy” (5:10)

    The Song is a metaphor – that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love,

    How can you be so sure?
    There are a lot of symbols, associated with paganism there – grapes (only according to equally suspicious Book of Esther Jews are supposed to get drunk), doves (birds of Tanit), Lebanon, not Palestine/Canaan is constantly mentioned, and especially Baal-Hammon, the main god of Carthage! The few Jewish symbols, except Jerusalem, are negative ones: Gilead, the Jewish/Benjaminite Sodom which God wished to destroy entirely but Israelites stopped their work in progress. (similarly to Sodom, where Lot’s daughters survived, Benjaminite daughters survived)
    The Song seems to have been created by Phoenicians who took over Judaism in the rabbinical period, as it seems. Why you are closed for such a reading??!

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.
    And your logic here is incomprehensible – since sex is a sin, it can’t be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn’t the exact opposite follow?

    When sex is talked about in OT, it is either neutral (when rules about it are given), sleazy (when reporting what Tamar did, the OT does not say it was good, only rabbis), or negative (Pinchas killing Zimri and Kozebi, Sodom destruction, Gilead war, Amon/Tamar/Absalom conflict etc).

    And yes, since sex is depicted mainly as the source of sin, the Song cannot be suddenly the poem about relationship of Jews and Yahwe. It could be credibly, however, the poem about relationship of Jews and Baal – how are you sure it is not about that??!
    You of course trust that rabbis would never worship Baal again, hm?

    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.

    Yeah, The Bride of Christ motif is very popular in Christianity, yes, but it is not so sexualized as much as Song of Songs. Nevertheless, I find its prominence a bit suspicious too, especially since there is obsessive insistence in Christianity that Jesus must be from Davidic line (not well grounded in Scripturee), a line ripe with sexual sin.

    This satanic inversion is very well visible in the discourse around sex in OT. On the one hand, Israelites are heavily punished for sexual crimes (Pinchas story). Above all, there is a line of thought which pushes prostitution, and prostitution-like behaviour as either good (Ruth) or licit (Tamar), or suddenly prostitutes are the righteous ones (Rahab). Why wouldn’t be this second line of thought a satanic one?
    I find “The Book of Ruth” especially insidious – this is really the book which is about how to be a leech, and it is a real justification of Jewish practice of spreading over countries of the world AND joining on any profitable activity being done there, not the Destruction of the Second Temple which is not even read about in synagogues. The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work. This is of course what the nations of traders, like Phoenicians, would like to do.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    One of things which tipped me to this interpretation is the surprising fact that rabbis do not really applaud Pinchas. They actually try to criticize him by saying "it wasn't really good what Pinchas did because it was extrajudicial killing".... in other words, the stamp from rabbis is more important than lives of 3000 Israelites [killed by God as punishment] per day...!
    And Zimri and Kozebi... yeah... whatever, prostitutes are good...

    Wouldn't secret agents of Baal say that too..?
    It is also kind of disparaging to Jews that things are finally good and bad only by the judgment of rabbis...

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Another Polish Perspective


    The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work.
     
    Sometimes a story is just a story. Perhaps you are blowing this out of proportion? She was a widow trying to make the best out of a sucky situation.

    The immigrants are not a problem per se. Powerful people weaponizing them in numbers for brute force divide and conquer shit are another matter entirely.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  998. @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario. He'll presumably respond by saying that Westerners can subsequently relocate (assuming that they can actually afford it, and I'm unsure that all will, if network states will be expensive), but still, compelling hundreds of millions of people or more to relocate against their will sounds extraordinarily cruel, don't you think? The Great Migration was already disruptive enough (huge numbers of whites and later middle- and upper-class blacks fled the US's cities to escape from ghetto blacks), and yet open borders is essentially the Great Migration x 100. Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners? As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Anatoly Karlin

    Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.

    Doesn’t fail at all, it’s exactly the most desired real goal for him;)

  999. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?
     
    Yeah, you are right re woman, she is "swarthy", I just remembered she is being compared to lilly, so I thought she is white (there are few comparisons which would suggest this colour too), like Mary - another "lilly".
    But the man is not white too - he is described as "red" in Polish translation, and in English as "ruddy"

    "My dear one is dazzling and ruddy" (5:10)


    The Song is a metaphor – that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love,
     
    How can you be so sure?
    There are a lot of symbols, associated with paganism there - grapes (only according to equally suspicious Book of Esther Jews are supposed to get drunk), doves (birds of Tanit), Lebanon, not Palestine/Canaan is constantly mentioned, and especially Baal-Hammon, the main god of Carthage! The few Jewish symbols, except Jerusalem, are negative ones: Gilead, the Jewish/Benjaminite Sodom which God wished to destroy entirely but Israelites stopped their work in progress. (similarly to Sodom, where Lot's daughters survived, Benjaminite daughters survived)
    The Song seems to have been created by Phoenicians who took over Judaism in the rabbinical period, as it seems. Why you are closed for such a reading??!

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.
    And your logic here is incomprehensible – since sex is a sin, it can’t be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn’t the exact opposite follow?
     
    When sex is talked about in OT, it is either neutral (when rules about it are given), sleazy (when reporting what Tamar did, the OT does not say it was good, only rabbis), or negative (Pinchas killing Zimri and Kozebi, Sodom destruction, Gilead war, Amon/Tamar/Absalom conflict etc).

    And yes, since sex is depicted mainly as the source of sin, the Song cannot be suddenly the poem about relationship of Jews and Yahwe. It could be credibly, however, the poem about relationship of Jews and Baal - how are you sure it is not about that??!
    You of course trust that rabbis would never worship Baal again, hm?


    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.
     
    Yeah, The Bride of Christ motif is very popular in Christianity, yes, but it is not so sexualized as much as Song of Songs. Nevertheless, I find its prominence a bit suspicious too, especially since there is obsessive insistence in Christianity that Jesus must be from Davidic line (not well grounded in Scripturee), a line ripe with sexual sin.

    This satanic inversion is very well visible in the discourse around sex in OT. On the one hand, Israelites are heavily punished for sexual crimes (Pinchas story). Above all, there is a line of thought which pushes prostitution, and prostitution-like behaviour as either good (Ruth) or licit (Tamar), or suddenly prostitutes are the righteous ones (Rahab). Why wouldn't be this second line of thought a satanic one?
    I find "The Book of Ruth" especially insidious - this is really the book which is about how to be a leech, and it is a real justification of Jewish practice of spreading over countries of the world AND joining on any profitable activity being done there, not the Destruction of the Second Temple which is not even read about in synagogues. The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work. This is of course what the nations of traders, like Phoenicians, would like to do.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Emil Nikola Richard

    One of things which tipped me to this interpretation is the surprising fact that rabbis do not really applaud Pinchas. They actually try to criticize him by saying “it wasn’t really good what Pinchas did because it was extrajudicial killing”…. in other words, the stamp from rabbis is more important than lives of 3000 Israelites [killed by God as punishment] per day…!
    And Zimri and Kozebi… yeah… whatever, prostitutes are good…

    Wouldn’t secret agents of Baal say that too..?
    It is also kind of disparaging to Jews that things are finally good and bad only by the judgment of rabbis…

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    It is even more ironic if you know how rabbis value "a single Jewish life": yes, exactly, they value SINGLE lives of Zimri and Kozebi over the lives of 24000 Israelites who lost their lives because of their "love".
    If their love was so harmful, they deserved to die.

  1000. @AP
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I was in Poland in April last year. I was in Rzeszow, Krakow, the resort town of Zakopane with the hot springs, and a bunch of small cities and towns in the Southeast (Przemysl, Krosno, Sanok, etc.) where I have ancestral family connections. I flew into Warsaw but didn't spend any time in the city other than in the airport.

    Other than some African-American US soldiers in Rzeszow, and some volunteers at free kitchens for refugees right at the Polish-Ukrainian border crossing (there were some diverse people form the Netherlands, and a contingent of Sikhs) literally the only non-Europeans I saw in Poland were a small number of Asian tourists in Krakow, and two southeast Asian girls (either Vietnamese or Filipinos) working as waitresses in Krakow restaurants. So essentially just 2 non-European immigrants.

    Obviously Ukrainians were everywhere. Including many of the Uber drivers. Every Ukrainian Uber driver was from eastern Ukraine, who had been in Poland from before the war started. One of them, from Zaporizhia, told me that all the western and central Ukrainian guys who had been driving Ubers in Poland when the war started returned to Ukraine to fight for their country.

    Warsaw and Wroclaw may be a bit different. I heard that Wroclaw is about 25% Ukrainian nowadays. Is that an exaggeration? It had been the most Ukrainian city before the war.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    I was in Warsaw for a week last December, and yes, it looked there are fewer Ukrainians there than in Wroclaw, but I was mainly going around center and Praga district.
    In Wroclaw there are many of them, however a bit fewer than in last spring where really I found credible the assessments, based on the increase of water usage, that 1/3 of Wrocław are Ukrainians.
    Overall, some of them disappeared through summer and autumn, deciding to return to Ukraine, as the war is rather low risk for civilians, in no way comparable to mass air raids over Germany and Japan during WWII.
    In Wroclaw, there are also many young people, even young men, which is increasingly questioned by the Polish public as it is seen as slacking and lack of effort on Ukrainian side (men are supposed to stay in Ukraine), not corresponding to the Polish effort in helping them, especially as rumours are heard that Poland will join the war in some way.
    The problem concerns also Ukrainian women as I have heard about Ukrainian women getting mobilization cards to their addresses and for this reason staying in Poland.

    The problem of Ukrainians staying behind together with relaxation of the Polish job market for them is bringing about the subject of corruption of Ukraine to forefront again, or the notion that “you can buy everything there” and why Zelenski gov is not doing anything about (especially about draft dodgers buying exemptions). Thus the Polish public met first time with some incompetent Ukrainian doctors, who apparently bought their title in Ukraine.

    As for brown people, there are a bit more of them now than the last years, and especially oriental families became visible (from time to time, of course). In my local Carrefour hipermarket two weeks ago I met a family speaking in farsi, and a woman said to me in Polish “sorry” since their child followed me for a while. That she knew a bit Polish already suggests they are going to stay here.
    As for Krakow, I remember there are quite a lot of Vietnamese there, so you were really lucky seeing such a small number of Orientals there.
    As for South Poland (Rzeszów) etc, I haven’t been there since 20 years.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I remember how in Polish media the Maidan/orange revolution was depicted as the revolution of dignity against corruption .
    So where is the revolution of dignity today against the profiteers who get rich from selling exemption from draft?
    It is one thing that there is a corruption in Ukraine, but it is another that it is so widely accepted that you apparently cannot erase it since there are not enough people who would enforce or support the action against it.

  1001. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    One of things which tipped me to this interpretation is the surprising fact that rabbis do not really applaud Pinchas. They actually try to criticize him by saying "it wasn't really good what Pinchas did because it was extrajudicial killing".... in other words, the stamp from rabbis is more important than lives of 3000 Israelites [killed by God as punishment] per day...!
    And Zimri and Kozebi... yeah... whatever, prostitutes are good...

    Wouldn't secret agents of Baal say that too..?
    It is also kind of disparaging to Jews that things are finally good and bad only by the judgment of rabbis...

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    It is even more ironic if you know how rabbis value “a single Jewish life”: yes, exactly, they value SINGLE lives of Zimri and Kozebi over the lives of 24000 Israelites who lost their lives because of their “love”.
    If their love was so harmful, they deserved to die.

  1002. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    To say that water flows downward because of “love”, is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality – the “energy”, if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.
     
    So water flows downhill because of "love" but love doesn't cause water to flow downhill? I'm at a loss to understand how that holds together. Where is the "why" and the "how" you promised in any of this? If your explanation doesn't actually explain anything, then you should probably find another word instead of bastardizing the existing one, or at least explain (heh) that you're using it differently.

    And how do you know it's "love" and not, say, "fear" anyway? Water flows downhill because it's afraid to rise. Water evaporating is actually water ginning up the courage to reach for the stars. But mind you, none of this causal! (This is on the level of "race is a fictional category, but you can't change your race" illogic.)

    Is any of this really spiritually necessary? Are my spiritual beliefs lesser because I find all this fairy talk silly? It would be one thing if you just posited fairies but remained quiet about what they actually do or how they actually operate. It's not my thing, but if it works for you, great, would be my attitude. It's when you insist they're an essential part of the operation of things or that belief in them is required for a mature spirituality that you lose me.

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live – I’ve explained we’re rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It’s culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.
     
    I get that you believe this; I am asking you what your evidence for that belief is. You repeatedly assert that we're "stagnating." Well, by what metric? You're entitled to your impressions, but if you refuse to say what they're based on, you can hardly blame other people for dismissing your opinion. Somehow, though, I have a feeling you're going to play the leftbrain card on me and tell me that it's precisely this need for "evidence" or "proof" that's keeping us stagnant. And around and around we go.

    I’m not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one.
     
    The way I see it, I've already done that and doing it didn't require me to make radical changes in my physical environment. I just went from a worldview that claims it can, in principle, explain everything to one that realizes it cannot. Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?

    Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing.
     
    "Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference"?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    “Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference”?

    There is a memorable passage from Joseph de Maistre where he argues that all enduring political and religious communities must be based on ‘dogma and prejudice’, where prejudice means a useful belief that people believe in without thinking about it too much. He contends that Human reason alone persistently gives rise to disputes that cannot be resolved and ‘to conduct himself well man needs beliefs, not problems’.

    Based on his other writings de Maistre (like Du Pape) could have added ‘dogma, prejudice and authority’; all enduring political and religious communities are also based on the existence of some person or group of people who have the power to make the final decision or ruling about contentious or vague questions, and be obeyed.

    When I got interested in practicing religion a decade or so ago I was reading a lot of Philosophy of Religion stuff, the sub-discipline of Philosophy and Religious Studies that deals with arguments around religions based on philosophical issues. Overall I got the impression that the arguments against traditional religious belief were not proportionately decisive enough, just on a rational level, to explain the anti-religious and secular attitudes that had been sweeping through society. Not that many people seemed to be aware of what these arguments even were.

    That got me vaguely curious about other explanations, in material or economic terms at first, later in biology/psychology and political theory. The outbreak of the Awokening was a push in that direction. Started to wonder again whether the rapid increase in secularism and irreligion might be explicable in terms of the spread of the contraceptive pill, availability of anti-bacterial medicines for STDs, consumer electronics and so on, as much as straightforward rational Enlightenment.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Coconuts

    That's interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?

    I'm not at all surprised that, on average, anti-religious people have little awareness of anti-religious arguments. My impression of scoffers, beginning when I was a child, was that they simply hated following religious rules. Even the simple act of keeping quiet during a service was too much for them. This didn't particularly bother me, although I felt that it was wrong. A much smaller number of others seemed actively "evil" to me. I remember being horrified by one kid in primary school who mocked the carol "O Come All Ye Faithful" by singing "o come let us destroy [instead of rejoice] him." In high school, I'm sure the anti-sex attitude associated with religion is the biggest turn-off.

    These days I suppose fewer people see any need for religion. If they ever think about it, thoughts along the lines of "it's just bad science, isn't it?" probably settles it for them. If they require further intellectual ammunition, it's easier to access it than ever. What the foundational impulse behind irreligion is - or to what degree the items you listed are a factor - I couldn't say.

    Replies: @Coconuts

  1003. @Another Polish Perspective
    @AP

    I was in Warsaw for a week last December, and yes, it looked there are fewer Ukrainians there than in Wroclaw, but I was mainly going around center and Praga district.
    In Wroclaw there are many of them, however a bit fewer than in last spring where really I found credible the assessments, based on the increase of water usage, that 1/3 of Wrocław are Ukrainians.
    Overall, some of them disappeared through summer and autumn, deciding to return to Ukraine, as the war is rather low risk for civilians, in no way comparable to mass air raids over Germany and Japan during WWII.
    In Wroclaw, there are also many young people, even young men, which is increasingly questioned by the Polish public as it is seen as slacking and lack of effort on Ukrainian side (men are supposed to stay in Ukraine), not corresponding to the Polish effort in helping them, especially as rumours are heard that Poland will join the war in some way.
    The problem concerns also Ukrainian women as I have heard about Ukrainian women getting mobilization cards to their addresses and for this reason staying in Poland.

    The problem of Ukrainians staying behind together with relaxation of the Polish job market for them is bringing about the subject of corruption of Ukraine to forefront again, or the notion that "you can buy everything there" and why Zelenski gov is not doing anything about (especially about draft dodgers buying exemptions). Thus the Polish public met first time with some incompetent Ukrainian doctors, who apparently bought their title in Ukraine.

    As for brown people, there are a bit more of them now than the last years, and especially oriental families became visible (from time to time, of course). In my local Carrefour hipermarket two weeks ago I met a family speaking in farsi, and a woman said to me in Polish "sorry" since their child followed me for a while. That she knew a bit Polish already suggests they are going to stay here.
    As for Krakow, I remember there are quite a lot of Vietnamese there, so you were really lucky seeing such a small number of Orientals there.
    As for South Poland (Rzeszów) etc, I haven't been there since 20 years.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    I remember how in Polish media the Maidan/orange revolution was depicted as the revolution of dignity against corruption .
    So where is the revolution of dignity today against the profiteers who get rich from selling exemption from draft?
    It is one thing that there is a corruption in Ukraine, but it is another that it is so widely accepted that you apparently cannot erase it since there are not enough people who would enforce or support the action against it.

  1004. @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario. He'll presumably respond by saying that Westerners can subsequently relocate (assuming that they can actually afford it, and I'm unsure that all will, if network states will be expensive), but still, compelling hundreds of millions of people or more to relocate against their will sounds extraordinarily cruel, don't you think? The Great Migration was already disruptive enough (huge numbers of whites and later middle- and upper-class blacks fled the US's cities to escape from ghetto blacks), and yet open borders is essentially the Great Migration x 100. Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners? As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Replies: @sudden death, @Anatoly Karlin

    > Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.

    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let’s humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.

    > Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners?

    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯

    > As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.

    • Troll: silviosilver
    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let’s humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.
     
    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black? The more likely scenario is that Europe will continue getting blacker until European cities are no better than African cities. Would Israel stop at being just 30% black if it would have had open borders with Sub-Saharan Africa, for instance?

    And a party can increase in popularity over time. Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.


    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯
     
    The US was very prosperous during its baby boom years in spite of it having very restrictive immigration policies, even for some white countries.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.
     
    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries? Or are you think of Sub-Saharan Africans commuting to work in these network states while living back at home?
    , @Sher Singh
    @Anatoly Karlin

    The negative impact of 10% Africans is far greater than the positive of 10% White.
    When are you coming out of the closet?

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    As a side note, I'm wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience? I would be seriously impressed if you could convince Russians--or Israelis, for that matter--to support open borders en masse and to support making their own country 30+% black?

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/immigration-and-effective-altruism/

    This article would probably consider it a net benefit for smart First Worlders to move to the Third World, especially if they're not doing something vitally useful in the First World, but it also makes a case against importing the Third World, no? Heck, you yourself once said that if one cares about climate change, then keeping refugees in the Third World is one of the greenest things that one can do, no?

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin

  1005. @Dmitry
    @AP


    s that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them.
     
    This pedantic. It's a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.

    https://i.imgur.com/ZSOGlDr.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/rc54YMG.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/reports/2019/017_19.pdf


    disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.
     
    Comparatively it's the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.

    Of course, this isn't something that needs to be eternal. The increase of dislike in the recent years was a lot because of PiS controls a lot of media in Poland and they are producing the anti-Ukrainian nationalist media as part of their support for the conservative old part of lower income population of Poland.

    Polish politicians are stereotypically cynical and they use these neurosis of the older generations. In 2022, Poland's media has been doing an anti-German campaign, which has no real logic except in terms of the internal neurosis of the old voters.


    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

     

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    "There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other."

    This relation of Poland and Ukraine has been more like a "frenemy" in the recent years, at least if we see Poland as the PiS government. This is de facto ally as Poland uses Ukrainian labor, which is a rhetorical target of Poland's politicians and media.

    But alliance is not friendly so much so Poland is not happy for Ukraine to destroy the Russian army and add clouds to the Russian future, despite permanent damage for Ukraine.

    After Ukraine has Melitopol and Mariupol is likely the countries like Poland will support continuing the war for Donetsk or Crimea, as the prioritization for their geopolitics is more weakening Russia than saving lives of Ukrainians.


    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian

     

    "Ukraine is grateful" you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1 given by Poland, which was already viewed as inadequate in the Yom Kippur War which was 50 years ago and moving deathtrap in the Afghanistan war 40 years ago.

    It's not really different except more people killed, than Chernobyl liquidators who are made to go to contaminated zones by their government without adequate protection.


    It was equipment that Poland itself was using.

     

    It's an ancient dangerous equipment Poland doesn't want to use, was trying to get money from Germany for disposing, while the media was following an anti-German campaign last year.

    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian.

     

    This is a mysterious logic. I don't know if I need to repeat Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality for Poles and this is the PiS demographic, which the PiS politicians use this to create support. They create rhetorical hostility to Ukrainians while continuing the policy of using them as a labor resource. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons
     
    "actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland". Do you understand the concept liberalism. You can read Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

    Tusk is a liberal, even ideological liberal. It doesn't match exactly to the rhetoric on Fox News etc, but this is his ideology. Also liberalism is not fringe movement in Poland. It's the mainstream views of educated or normal people there.

    Replies: @AP, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

    Would you let your daughter marry one?

    I once had a close friend whose jewish brother got married to a catholic woman. They were very early 20’s. It was about the most hilarious real life domestic comedy I ever saw. I really think the jewish man’s mom lost her mind.

  1006. @Coconuts
    @silviosilver

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/notion-lautorit%C3%A9-Alexandre-Koj%C3%A8ve/dp/2072866413/ref=sr_1_fkmr0_1?crid=3528M2TC4J4M1&keywords=Kojeve+notion+de+l%27authorite&qid=1690795265&sprefix=kojeve+notion+de+l%27authorite%2Caps%2C197&sr=8-1-fkmr0


    “Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference”?
     
    There is a memorable passage from Joseph de Maistre where he argues that all enduring political and religious communities must be based on 'dogma and prejudice', where prejudice means a useful belief that people believe in without thinking about it too much. He contends that Human reason alone persistently gives rise to disputes that cannot be resolved and 'to conduct himself well man needs beliefs, not problems'.

    Based on his other writings de Maistre (like Du Pape) could have added 'dogma, prejudice and authority'; all enduring political and religious communities are also based on the existence of some person or group of people who have the power to make the final decision or ruling about contentious or vague questions, and be obeyed.

    When I got interested in practicing religion a decade or so ago I was reading a lot of Philosophy of Religion stuff, the sub-discipline of Philosophy and Religious Studies that deals with arguments around religions based on philosophical issues. Overall I got the impression that the arguments against traditional religious belief were not proportionately decisive enough, just on a rational level, to explain the anti-religious and secular attitudes that had been sweeping through society. Not that many people seemed to be aware of what these arguments even were.

    That got me vaguely curious about other explanations, in material or economic terms at first, later in biology/psychology and political theory. The outbreak of the Awokening was a push in that direction. Started to wonder again whether the rapid increase in secularism and irreligion might be explicable in terms of the spread of the contraceptive pill, availability of anti-bacterial medicines for STDs, consumer electronics and so on, as much as straightforward rational Enlightenment.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    That’s interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?

    I’m not at all surprised that, on average, anti-religious people have little awareness of anti-religious arguments. My impression of scoffers, beginning when I was a child, was that they simply hated following religious rules. Even the simple act of keeping quiet during a service was too much for them. This didn’t particularly bother me, although I felt that it was wrong. A much smaller number of others seemed actively “evil” to me. I remember being horrified by one kid in primary school who mocked the carol “O Come All Ye Faithful” by singing “o come let us destroy [instead of rejoice] him.” In high school, I’m sure the anti-sex attitude associated with religion is the biggest turn-off.

    These days I suppose fewer people see any need for religion. If they ever think about it, thoughts along the lines of “it’s just bad science, isn’t it?” probably settles it for them. If they require further intellectual ammunition, it’s easier to access it than ever. What the foundational impulse behind irreligion is – or to what degree the items you listed are a factor – I couldn’t say.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @silviosilver


    That’s interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?
     
    I was brought up as a Catholic and went to a Catholic school, but by the time I was around 13-14 my family had mostly stopped practising. I think I still had some generic spiritual or deistic beliefs but came to believe that old organised religions were no longer credible and had been in some way superseded (perhaps by postmodernism).

    I only got back into it after drifting around through my 20s in a kind of doomer phase. I think this is where Houellebecq would be relevant, I accepted his description and diagnosis of the dysfunction, but as you were saying earlier I also thought neo-liberal consumerism didn't have any credible competitors or alternatives and that it would remain dominant well into the future. Possibly some of the low achievement was some sort of aimless rebellion.

    As I remember it I decided to try to change things after I was 30, because things were looking depressing. At one point I was reading some very retro Catholic devotional book from the 1740s that I had from university time and it inspired me to start going back to church, I also started lifting weights more seriously at that time. Then I thought of becoming a monk, but ended up going to Belarus for random reasons. Belarus seemed quite favourable from a religious point of view.

    At the time I thought this was just an individual thing, that you could use the freedom of belief/thought element in liberalism to try and pursue something different on a small scale level.

    Over the last few years, reading more stuff online it looks like this fits with some sort of pattern, but it must be something with origins that mean it can arise fairly spontaneously.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1007. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    It would be amazing if you went to Lockhart Basin Road and stayed at that site :) Do it!

    Didn't you have a bet with Barbarossa or something about some paranormal events? I seem to remember you did!

    I'm so curious if you experience anything similar. But do it right - no electronics, just a book at most. And report back here - take pics, and I'll confirm if it's the right site. I would like to add another condition - that you spend at least a week in nature, in relative solitude, as I am convinced that sensitizes our mind to the numinous, but I understand you may have time constraints that make that impossible.

    Of course, the problem is that if you have pre-decided that it's just hallucinations, then even if it happens to you won't be convinced.

    It's often been noted that committed atheists won't be convinced even if God showed himself to them - they've pre-decided that all such phenomena are delusionary.

    Still, it will be interesting if you do experience something similar :) And the experience may carry subjective conviction .

    As for you hearing voices, it's possible your mind was playing tricks on you, or it's possible that in that state extreme state your mind was open to more dimensions of existence then normal. Extreme states may distort perceptions, or loosen our normal everyday filters.

    As of now, science is completely in the dark about the nature of consciousness - one theory suggests that our minds are "filters". Our minds don't so much produce thoughts, according to this theory, as our minds are functioning as "receivers" for consciousness that exists in the universe at large.

    Considering that many creative geniuses, in the sciences and arts, describe their flash of insight as coming suddenly from "outside" them, that theory is at least consistent with the subjective experience of many people who have made extraordinary discoveries.

    At the very least, you cannot decide one way or the other. You're simply preferring one explanation to another - and that's fine, if it subjectively accords better with your experience of life and your assumptions about the nature of the world, that's the best any of us can do.

    But a large part of the burden of my writing here the last few weeks is to illuminate the extent to which we ourselves, and modern culture, has disguised choices and preferences as certainties - and to also highlight the surprising role a leap of faith has in anything we know (our scientific laws are mere statistical probabilities, or "summaries" of accumulated observations, and we have no guarantee our minds "match" the shape of reality. To claim any knowledge whatsoever involves a measure of sheer faith).

    I know this can be disconcerting - we might feel the ground whisked out from under our feet - but it can also be an exciting adventure, and open up new vistas for us. At the very least, it can make us more humble.

    As for my experience, it had several unusual features that suggest something out of the ordinary; as you say, I'm quite familiar with outdoor noises at night, and wouldn't ordinarily find anything spooky in them. I sleep like a baby most of the time in the outdoors. Two, the fear that gripped me could not be dispelled through any rationalization - it had an independent force. That's highly unusual for me. I'm no stranger to risky situations and fear, and can always calm myself at least somewhat. I used to have a huge fear of heights and flying, but it didn't stop me from flying across the world and repeatedly taking rickety old buses on those death defying Himalayan roads. I know how to cope. Third, it's intensity. Fourth, the unbidden imagery matching the local legends. Fifth, that a campsite on the same road, was fine.

    My own reflections on metaphysics and the logical structure of reality, as well as the subjective conviction that encounters with the numinous have for me, make the paranormal here quite plausible.

    Your mileage may vary :)

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    Dogmatic materialists are immune to PSI. Do you not read the literature? It’s a science fact.

  1008. A123 says: • Website
    @AP
    @Dmitry


    "that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them."

    This pedantic. It’s a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.
     
    It's not pedantic, but accurate. More Poles liked Ukrainians than they disliked them. The fact that they liked other Europeans (other than Russians) even more doesn't mean that Ukrainians were disliked.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.
     
    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

    https://i.imgur.com/nM0atOs.jpeg

    "You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not."

    Comparatively it’s the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.
     
    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them, or at least that more Poles disliked them, rather than liked them. Yet neither condition applied in times we were discussing (2020 - 2023). The latter was true in 2019, but not earlier (in 2015).

    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    “There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

     

    You were using the present tense.

    You claimed that Poles see Ukrainians (like Russians) as enemies. You claimed that to Poles, two enemies were destroying each other.

    Yet we have seen that in 2023 (as in 2022, as in 2020) more Poles liked Ukrainians than disliked them.

    How can your claim that Poland sees Ukraine as an enemy be true in that case? It cannot. You wrote a falsehood.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

    And btw most Poles like Ukrainian refugees and would be happy if they stayed for many years in Poland. This is true of supporters of all parties other than the far right fringe Konfederation party:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/04/large-majority-of-poles-continue-to-believe-ukrainian-refugees-good-for-poland-finds-poll/

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/suppor-fr-ukrainians.jpg

    "Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian"

    “Ukraine is grateful” you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1

     

    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both Ukrainians and Russians are extensively using BMP-1s in this war. So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious). If your country is invaded by Russia you are happy for any equipment that is given.

    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks, etc.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War#P

    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn't they be grateful? And indeed they are:

    Most Ukrainians consider Poland to be a friendly country, it is seen as the best for Ukraine:

    https://euromaidanpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Allies-Ukraine-poll.jpg

    "PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian."

    This is a mysterious logic.
     
    It's reality. See the poll I showed in this post. Most PiS voters like Ukrainians.

    Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality
     
    Don't change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.

    You used the present tense. Currently Ukrainians are less unpopular than Hungarians, French and Germans:

    https://notesfrompoland.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Green-Modern-Data-Bar-Chart-Graph-3.png

    Why do you keep writing false things now? Why have you changed?

    “actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland”. Do you understand the concept liberalism.

     

    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.

    Replies: @Dmitry, @A123

    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.

    Tusk is a Globalist. Which in America terms is equal to liberal leftism.

    Tusk is therefore, “Of the Left”. This is unsurprising. His Left PO party is in opposition to the Center-Right PiS.

    PEACE 😇

  1009. @Sean
    @QCIC

    In 2o14 Ukrainian soldiers were willing to die for Crimea? They weren't even willing to try.

    Replies: @Mikhail

    In 2o14 Ukrainian soldiers were willing to die for Crimea? They weren’t even willing to try.

    A clear majority of Ukrainian armed services personnel in Crimea switched over to Russia. In line with polling showing most ethnic Ukrainians in Crimea supporting that area’s reunification with Russia.

  1010. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    I thought the Song is a white man with a woman who is dark complexioned but beautiful, as she says?
     
    Yeah, you are right re woman, she is "swarthy", I just remembered she is being compared to lilly, so I thought she is white (there are few comparisons which would suggest this colour too), like Mary - another "lilly".
    But the man is not white too - he is described as "red" in Polish translation, and in English as "ruddy"

    "My dear one is dazzling and ruddy" (5:10)


    The Song is a metaphor – that God and Israel are in one context allegorized as lovers heedlessly in love,
     
    How can you be so sure?
    There are a lot of symbols, associated with paganism there - grapes (only according to equally suspicious Book of Esther Jews are supposed to get drunk), doves (birds of Tanit), Lebanon, not Palestine/Canaan is constantly mentioned, and especially Baal-Hammon, the main god of Carthage! The few Jewish symbols, except Jerusalem, are negative ones: Gilead, the Jewish/Benjaminite Sodom which God wished to destroy entirely but Israelites stopped their work in progress. (similarly to Sodom, where Lot's daughters survived, Benjaminite daughters survived)
    The Song seems to have been created by Phoenicians who took over Judaism in the rabbinical period, as it seems. Why you are closed for such a reading??!

    Sex is not a sin in the Hebrew Bible, and even Christian mystics use erotic language to describe the relationship to God.
    And your logic here is incomprehensible – since sex is a sin, it can’t be an allegory, but really must be a sinful erotic poem? Doesn’t the exact opposite follow?
     
    When sex is talked about in OT, it is either neutral (when rules about it are given), sleazy (when reporting what Tamar did, the OT does not say it was good, only rabbis), or negative (Pinchas killing Zimri and Kozebi, Sodom destruction, Gilead war, Amon/Tamar/Absalom conflict etc).

    And yes, since sex is depicted mainly as the source of sin, the Song cannot be suddenly the poem about relationship of Jews and Yahwe. It could be credibly, however, the poem about relationship of Jews and Baal - how are you sure it is not about that??!
    You of course trust that rabbis would never worship Baal again, hm?


    Bridegroom and Bride are also used in mainstream Christian theology all the time. Satanic literature generally borrowed but inverts mainstream religious terms.
     
    Yeah, The Bride of Christ motif is very popular in Christianity, yes, but it is not so sexualized as much as Song of Songs. Nevertheless, I find its prominence a bit suspicious too, especially since there is obsessive insistence in Christianity that Jesus must be from Davidic line (not well grounded in Scripturee), a line ripe with sexual sin.

    This satanic inversion is very well visible in the discourse around sex in OT. On the one hand, Israelites are heavily punished for sexual crimes (Pinchas story). Above all, there is a line of thought which pushes prostitution, and prostitution-like behaviour as either good (Ruth) or licit (Tamar), or suddenly prostitutes are the righteous ones (Rahab). Why wouldn't be this second line of thought a satanic one?
    I find "The Book of Ruth" especially insidious - this is really the book which is about how to be a leech, and it is a real justification of Jewish practice of spreading over countries of the world AND joining on any profitable activity being done there, not the Destruction of the Second Temple which is not even read about in synagogues. The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work. This is of course what the nations of traders, like Phoenicians, would like to do.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Emil Nikola Richard

    The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work.

    Sometimes a story is just a story. Perhaps you are blowing this out of proportion? She was a widow trying to make the best out of a sucky situation.

    The immigrants are not a problem per se. Powerful people weaponizing them in numbers for brute force divide and conquer shit are another matter entirely.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    The Book of Ruth is the most bland of Five Megillot. But it is not just a story but a story read in synagogues every year, unlike the greater part of OT. So it must be some greater reason for reciting this than reminder that you can trade sexual favours for bread.... I find it insidious that Ruth does not just ask for charity but extends that to becoming a wife. It is like using charity for taking over, which is relevant since Ruth is a Moabite, not Israelite woman, and basically Jews were forbidden to marry Moabites, and Moabite women are known as temple prostitutes of Baal (Numbers story).

    Ruth is depicted as a perfect woman, and yet it is rather disconcerting how she would not accept "no", pretending that she cannot worship Yahwe on her own (which is testimony to her weak faith), seducing another man after the obliged-by-levirate does not want to marry her (so the usual Tamar-of-Genesis trick does not function here), and making that man, Boaz, to conclude contract by a way of Babylonian custom (by exchange of shoes) even if it is named as Israelite one (only in this book however)!
    Overall, you simply cannot get rid of Ruth, because she will insist on being with you in one way or another. It is not a sign of perfect woman, no, rather of leach. Women you can't get rid of are trouble.

    It is like Canaanites (who were also Phoenicians), or "the multitude" which accompanied Israelites on their way from Egypt, are being taught to insinuate themselves into Jewry by whatever means and taking Judaism over (the introduction of shoe custom is significant).

    Overall, I think it is all invalid, since by its very nature, the right of levirate should not be transferred. But of course, Phoenicians would like to buy and sell everything.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  1011. @Dmitry
    @AP


    It’s not pedantic, but accurate
     
    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland's survey in 2019 than Russians. I think in "normal understanding", we know this means in Poland.

    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them
     

    You don't need more than 41% of negative in the survey for Ukrainians, as Russians only have 43% in the same survey, to understand the view in the society. Russians have been very strongly disliked in Poland, including in 2019, while the poll for 2019 is almost as many dislikes for Ukrainians and Russian.

    If you want to say, you need more than half for the survey, then you would also have to say Russians are not disliked in Poland in many of the years they survey.

    It's because happy people usually wouldn't say they dislike any other nationality in those surveys. To choose to dislike a nationality, is already quite a negative behavior, as most people understand the nationality includes millions of individuals who are both good and bad.


    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

     

    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.

    https://i.imgur.com/P9sghJc.jpg

    Also in 2017.

    https://i.imgur.com/VxUfM9A.jpg

    It's because PiS was doing an anti-Ukraine campaign in the those years with the local media for their conservative demographics, but there is also the local neurosis about Ukrainians for the older people which was part of the culture which the politicians were exploiting.


    Don’t change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.
     

    If this is the concept of popular, to have popularity between Russians and Germans in Poland.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

     

    It's written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.

    "Poland’s “eastern policy” has two broad traditions that crystallised in the interwar period.

    The first (called piłsudczykowska, after Piłsudski, the leader of the independent left) assumes supporting Ukraine to counter the risk of expansion of Russian influence closer to Polish territory. The other one (called endecka, from the nationalist movement of National Democracy) treats Ukrainians as eternal historical enemies against whom even alliance with Russia is acceptable. Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, the Polish political scene has been dominated by a Piłsudski-school consensus. But today, Poland’s “National Democracy” tendency is also making itself heard."
    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland/


    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both
     
    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?

    I'm caring about the situation of the people killed, after they were conscripted and put into the dangerous equipment, that wasn't giving soldiers protection already 50 years ago.

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers' life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.

    It's not only Poland which is following this. Just they are probably the largest scale or one of the largest in terms of the disposing of the old equipment. E.g. Greece has been sending 40 BMP-1 to Ukraine, while Poland is sending 140 BWP-1 to Ukraine.


    So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them

     

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?

    not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious).

     

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles. This is 50 years ago. The USSR was usually giving the most modern equipment to its allies.

    The USSR wasn't giving equipment of 1920 to Egypt in 1970. They usually give the modern equipment to their allies, although the export models had weaker armor (which is the equipment Poland now gives to Ukraine).

    The USSR also used its money to pay for this equipment usually, or at least funded the finances, while Poland is not using its money, but asks for refunds for the equipment it gives to Ukraine. The problem with this part of the topic, is the PiS also continue an anti-German campaign while Germany is paying for the equipment they give to Ukraine.


    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks,

     

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It's true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don't give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU. https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/06/27/eu-to-refund-poland-for-arms-donated-to-ukraine-says-pm/

    Many countries are using their money to give weapons to Ukraine. They give the equipment for free. Poland is using EU money which will be more than market value for this old equipment. Then PiS are doing an anti-German campaign while they use German money to fund the project.

    Poland will have hundreds of modern tanks, which will never be used in fighting.

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.

    Tanks like T-72 will still be useful or effective in the military sense, but in military sense which doesn't prioritize safety for the operators.


    14 Leopard tanks, etc.
     
    Which PiS reclaim the money from the EU, while criticizing the EU.
    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/poland-will-file-for-eu-compensation-for-arms-sent-to-ukraine-says-pm-35994

    https://www.dw.com/en/polands-kaczynski-slams-germanys-dominance-in-europe/a-63978369


    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn’t they be grateful? And indeed they are:

     

    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago? Some is worse equipment than Iraq army uses in 1991.

    Ukrainian politicians will be happy to have this equipment than not, but would they be also happy for their children to go personally in the BMP-1.


    You used the present tense. Currently
     
    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland. International popularity of Ukrainians is because of war with Russia. But this is an emergency situation. I'm interested in what is the level in the country relative to this situation.

    I know the perception of this war in Europe, most of Europe are having more Ukrainian flags than the local flags.


    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.
     

    Biden is also not very left, but I would say he is liberal in quite a few areas.

    While left is not always liberal, as like communist Poland was illiberal. This is how the ideology is people like Tusk. A lot of their views are a response to the illiberal policies of the communist society.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC, @AP

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    Any tank without proper backup and faced with a superior fighting force is ultimately doomed as evident with Western supplied tanks in the NATO proxy war involving Russia and the Kiev regime. Among tanks themselves, an upgraded T-72 is still an effective enough fighting machine in numerous conflict scenarios.

    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    @Mikhail

    They really are cookers to be brewed up. All tanks are like this.

  1012. @Dmitry
    @AP


    It’s not pedantic, but accurate
     
    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland's survey in 2019 than Russians. I think in "normal understanding", we know this means in Poland.

    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them
     

    You don't need more than 41% of negative in the survey for Ukrainians, as Russians only have 43% in the same survey, to understand the view in the society. Russians have been very strongly disliked in Poland, including in 2019, while the poll for 2019 is almost as many dislikes for Ukrainians and Russian.

    If you want to say, you need more than half for the survey, then you would also have to say Russians are not disliked in Poland in many of the years they survey.

    It's because happy people usually wouldn't say they dislike any other nationality in those surveys. To choose to dislike a nationality, is already quite a negative behavior, as most people understand the nationality includes millions of individuals who are both good and bad.


    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

     

    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.

    https://i.imgur.com/P9sghJc.jpg

    Also in 2017.

    https://i.imgur.com/VxUfM9A.jpg

    It's because PiS was doing an anti-Ukraine campaign in the those years with the local media for their conservative demographics, but there is also the local neurosis about Ukrainians for the older people which was part of the culture which the politicians were exploiting.


    Don’t change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.
     

    If this is the concept of popular, to have popularity between Russians and Germans in Poland.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

     

    It's written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.

    "Poland’s “eastern policy” has two broad traditions that crystallised in the interwar period.

    The first (called piłsudczykowska, after Piłsudski, the leader of the independent left) assumes supporting Ukraine to counter the risk of expansion of Russian influence closer to Polish territory. The other one (called endecka, from the nationalist movement of National Democracy) treats Ukrainians as eternal historical enemies against whom even alliance with Russia is acceptable. Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, the Polish political scene has been dominated by a Piłsudski-school consensus. But today, Poland’s “National Democracy” tendency is also making itself heard."
    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland/


    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both
     
    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?

    I'm caring about the situation of the people killed, after they were conscripted and put into the dangerous equipment, that wasn't giving soldiers protection already 50 years ago.

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers' life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.

    It's not only Poland which is following this. Just they are probably the largest scale or one of the largest in terms of the disposing of the old equipment. E.g. Greece has been sending 40 BMP-1 to Ukraine, while Poland is sending 140 BWP-1 to Ukraine.


    So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them

     

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?

    not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious).

     

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles. This is 50 years ago. The USSR was usually giving the most modern equipment to its allies.

    The USSR wasn't giving equipment of 1920 to Egypt in 1970. They usually give the modern equipment to their allies, although the export models had weaker armor (which is the equipment Poland now gives to Ukraine).

    The USSR also used its money to pay for this equipment usually, or at least funded the finances, while Poland is not using its money, but asks for refunds for the equipment it gives to Ukraine. The problem with this part of the topic, is the PiS also continue an anti-German campaign while Germany is paying for the equipment they give to Ukraine.


    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks,

     

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It's true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don't give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU. https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/06/27/eu-to-refund-poland-for-arms-donated-to-ukraine-says-pm/

    Many countries are using their money to give weapons to Ukraine. They give the equipment for free. Poland is using EU money which will be more than market value for this old equipment. Then PiS are doing an anti-German campaign while they use German money to fund the project.

    Poland will have hundreds of modern tanks, which will never be used in fighting.

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.

    Tanks like T-72 will still be useful or effective in the military sense, but in military sense which doesn't prioritize safety for the operators.


    14 Leopard tanks, etc.
     
    Which PiS reclaim the money from the EU, while criticizing the EU.
    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/poland-will-file-for-eu-compensation-for-arms-sent-to-ukraine-says-pm-35994

    https://www.dw.com/en/polands-kaczynski-slams-germanys-dominance-in-europe/a-63978369


    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn’t they be grateful? And indeed they are:

     

    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago? Some is worse equipment than Iraq army uses in 1991.

    Ukrainian politicians will be happy to have this equipment than not, but would they be also happy for their children to go personally in the BMP-1.


    You used the present tense. Currently
     
    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland. International popularity of Ukrainians is because of war with Russia. But this is an emergency situation. I'm interested in what is the level in the country relative to this situation.

    I know the perception of this war in Europe, most of Europe are having more Ukrainian flags than the local flags.


    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.
     

    Biden is also not very left, but I would say he is liberal in quite a few areas.

    While left is not always liberal, as like communist Poland was illiberal. This is how the ideology is people like Tusk. A lot of their views are a response to the illiberal policies of the communist society.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC, @AP

    How can we believe any poll these days? Perhaps some valid polling has been performed, but opinions are now susceptible to continuous manipulation from Twitter and other platforms. Many of these poll numbers can be flipped one way or another within some broad ranges. We need to look at root causes, not subjective polls.

    How many people in Poland and Ukraine understand that this war started in 1999 with the expansion of NATO and in 2001 with the USA dropping the nuclear arms control Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty? NATO was always an anti-Russia military alliance, that never changed so the expansion was obviously aggressive. They got rid of the treaty, but not the missiles. Over time, this one move radically increased the risk of nuclear war. These two acts by the West are the foundations for the war in Ukraine.

    Ukraine and Poland are simply pawns in this conflict.

  1013. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Another Polish Perspective


    The Book of Ruth says: go, find a place where people live well off the land, and try to live off their work.
     
    Sometimes a story is just a story. Perhaps you are blowing this out of proportion? She was a widow trying to make the best out of a sucky situation.

    The immigrants are not a problem per se. Powerful people weaponizing them in numbers for brute force divide and conquer shit are another matter entirely.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    The Book of Ruth is the most bland of Five Megillot. But it is not just a story but a story read in synagogues every year, unlike the greater part of OT. So it must be some greater reason for reciting this than reminder that you can trade sexual favours for bread…. I find it insidious that Ruth does not just ask for charity but extends that to becoming a wife. It is like using charity for taking over, which is relevant since Ruth is a Moabite, not Israelite woman, and basically Jews were forbidden to marry Moabites, and Moabite women are known as temple prostitutes of Baal (Numbers story).

    Ruth is depicted as a perfect woman, and yet it is rather disconcerting how she would not accept “no”, pretending that she cannot worship Yahwe on her own (which is testimony to her weak faith), seducing another man after the obliged-by-levirate does not want to marry her (so the usual Tamar-of-Genesis trick does not function here), and making that man, Boaz, to conclude contract by a way of Babylonian custom (by exchange of shoes) even if it is named as Israelite one (only in this book however)!
    Overall, you simply cannot get rid of Ruth, because she will insist on being with you in one way or another. It is not a sign of perfect woman, no, rather of leach. Women you can’t get rid of are trouble.

    It is like Canaanites (who were also Phoenicians), or “the multitude” which accompanied Israelites on their way from Egypt, are being taught to insinuate themselves into Jewry by whatever means and taking Judaism over (the introduction of shoe custom is significant).

    Overall, I think it is all invalid, since by its very nature, the right of levirate should not be transferred. But of course, Phoenicians would like to buy and sell everything.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Let's not forget too that Moabites are descendants of Lot and his daughters, so ultimately, through female line, of Sodomites (the understanding being that Lot's wife was a Sodomite).

    Marrying them is actually forbidden in Torah which asks question how The Book of Ruth can be in cannon.

    "An Ammonite or Moabite shall not enter into the congregation of the LORD; even to their tenth generation shall they not enter into the congregation." Deuter. 23:3

  1014. A123 says: • Website
    @Dmitry
    @A123

    Poland is a country constructed on the nationalist ideology, so conflict of the liberals and the conservatives, it's a conflict nationalists vs nationalists. But in the current situation, demographically more educated higher income region liberal nationalists vs uneducated lower income region conservative nationalists.

    Nationalism is a liberal ideology historically. Conservatives in history defended the transnational categories like religious authority, large empires or ruling families, while the positive attainments of nationalism in occupied countries had been usually to increase self-determination and republicanism in opposition to the transnational authorities like the Russian empire, Habsburg empire, Catholic church.

    Tusk's aspiration for nationalism is contradicting because he is a supporter of the transnational EU, although in the Poland's context this is maybe sensible, as the culture and practices of the EU, which represented the elite countries of Western Europe, has been rescuing Poland from the historical corruption and idiocracy of the region. It's like any nationalists in Ukraine who are connected to reality will also be supporting the EU, as this is probably the only development path for the country to escape the local swamps.

    It's also in these countries sometimes the EU which will protect individuals' rights more than the local government.

    If you look at the recent liberal protests in Warsaw, they have the mix of the Poland, LGBT*, EU flags. The main ideology is the nationalism, although Lech Walesa also has a badge with Ukraine flag in the protest while they are hoping the EU can rescue them from the democratic backsliding of increasing authoritarian backsliding of PiS.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7h8vdKjm3M


    -


    *Although, Poland's conservative government is controlled by the leader of PiS who is Kaczynski, who is part of the sexual minority community of Poland. Leading of conservative values by the men who are from the sexual minority, is not so contradictory in history i.e. it's not probably unusual in the Vatican historically.

    Replies: @A123

    Nationalism is a liberal ideology historically. Conservatives in history defended the transnational categories like religious authority, large empires or ruling families, while the positive attainments of nationalism in occupied countries had been usually to increase self-determination and republicanism

    I see your point. However, for good or ill, the historical definitions of nationalism and liberalism are not longer applicable. I try to avoid both terms as they are now ambiguous and easily misconstrued.

    look at the recent liberal protests in Warsaw, they have the mix of the Poland, LGBT*, EU flags.

    they are hoping the EU can rescue them from the democratic backsliding of increasing authoritarian backsliding of PiS.

    Embracing the ultra authoritarian EU is Globalist. As you point out, they fly “Left” LBGT & EU flags. Therefore, these protests cannot be a Right movement.

    The Center-Right PiS does suffer from corruption and weakness. Poland’s new party of the Right, Konfederacja, formed as a consequence of failures by the current administration.

    Tusk’s aspiration for nationalism is contradicting because he is a supporter of the transnational EU, although in the Poland’s context this is maybe sensible, as the culture and practices of the EU, which represented the elite countries of Western Europe

    So… Tusk is for nationalism, transnationalism, and EU Elite Globalism (represented by Western Europe, notably France & Germany)? I am not sure I follow that combination.

    If you want to call that “Left nationalist”, you are of course free to do so. That would convey that Tusk and his PO party are of the Left. However, you are volunteering for the burden of repeatedly explaining “Left nationalism” as it is not in common usage.

    PEACE 😇

  1015. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    The Book of Ruth is the most bland of Five Megillot. But it is not just a story but a story read in synagogues every year, unlike the greater part of OT. So it must be some greater reason for reciting this than reminder that you can trade sexual favours for bread.... I find it insidious that Ruth does not just ask for charity but extends that to becoming a wife. It is like using charity for taking over, which is relevant since Ruth is a Moabite, not Israelite woman, and basically Jews were forbidden to marry Moabites, and Moabite women are known as temple prostitutes of Baal (Numbers story).

    Ruth is depicted as a perfect woman, and yet it is rather disconcerting how she would not accept "no", pretending that she cannot worship Yahwe on her own (which is testimony to her weak faith), seducing another man after the obliged-by-levirate does not want to marry her (so the usual Tamar-of-Genesis trick does not function here), and making that man, Boaz, to conclude contract by a way of Babylonian custom (by exchange of shoes) even if it is named as Israelite one (only in this book however)!
    Overall, you simply cannot get rid of Ruth, because she will insist on being with you in one way or another. It is not a sign of perfect woman, no, rather of leach. Women you can't get rid of are trouble.

    It is like Canaanites (who were also Phoenicians), or "the multitude" which accompanied Israelites on their way from Egypt, are being taught to insinuate themselves into Jewry by whatever means and taking Judaism over (the introduction of shoe custom is significant).

    Overall, I think it is all invalid, since by its very nature, the right of levirate should not be transferred. But of course, Phoenicians would like to buy and sell everything.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    Let’s not forget too that Moabites are descendants of Lot and his daughters, so ultimately, through female line, of Sodomites (the understanding being that Lot’s wife was a Sodomite).

    Marrying them is actually forbidden in Torah which asks question how The Book of Ruth can be in cannon.

    “An Ammonite or Moabite shall not enter into the congregation of the LORD; even to their tenth generation shall they not enter into the congregation.” Deuter. 23:3

  1016. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    To say that water flows downward because of “love”, is not a single physical object or event in a causal chain, but a statement about the structure of reality – the “energy”, if you will, that animates and undergirds all reality as such.
     
    So water flows downhill because of "love" but love doesn't cause water to flow downhill? I'm at a loss to understand how that holds together. Where is the "why" and the "how" you promised in any of this? If your explanation doesn't actually explain anything, then you should probably find another word instead of bastardizing the existing one, or at least explain (heh) that you're using it differently.

    And how do you know it's "love" and not, say, "fear" anyway? Water flows downhill because it's afraid to rise. Water evaporating is actually water ginning up the courage to reach for the stars. But mind you, none of this causal! (This is on the level of "race is a fictional category, but you can't change your race" illogic.)

    Is any of this really spiritually necessary? Are my spiritual beliefs lesser because I find all this fairy talk silly? It would be one thing if you just posited fairies but remained quiet about what they actually do or how they actually operate. It's not my thing, but if it works for you, great, would be my attitude. It's when you insist they're an essential part of the operation of things or that belief in them is required for a mature spirituality that you lose me.

    The sense of alienation, of disconnection, is enervating and life-sapping. And I do believe that the modern world is undergoing a crisis in the will to live – I’ve explained we’re rapidly losing our vitality and exuberance, as well as our creativity. It’s culminating today, and rapidly accelerating.
     
    I get that you believe this; I am asking you what your evidence for that belief is. You repeatedly assert that we're "stagnating." Well, by what metric? You're entitled to your impressions, but if you refuse to say what they're based on, you can hardly blame other people for dismissing your opinion. Somehow, though, I have a feeling you're going to play the leftbrain card on me and tell me that it's precisely this need for "evidence" or "proof" that's keeping us stagnant. And around and around we go.

    I’m not trying to force anything on you, Silvio, but to educate, to provide you with an alternative vision that you will ultimately find compelling and preferable to your current one.
     
    The way I see it, I've already done that and doing it didn't require me to make radical changes in my physical environment. I just went from a worldview that claims it can, in principle, explain everything to one that realizes it cannot. Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?

    Machines are perfectly ok as long as they serve a total vision of human flourishing.
     
    "Machines are okay as long they serve a total vision of human flourishing whose definition I am, yet again, going to leave conveniently vague so that I can pass judgement case by case based, ultimately, on personal preference"?

    Replies: @Coconuts, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Perhaps we can loosely use Aristotle’s four causes here, although I don’t want to stick to him too closely, but maybe his framework can help here, with some interpolations and framing of my own. So –

    Our minds naturally ask several questions about any phenomenon we encounter.

    What is its chemical composition, what immediate physical event caused it, what is it’s true nature, and why does it exist at all, what is its goal and purpose.

    Our starting point must be that we can’t really independently validate the legitimacy of any of these questions; as Hume famously showed, we can’t prove one event causes another; only that one event follows another.

    But if fwe are to accept that we can know anything at all, there has to be an element of faith, and we have to commit to trusting that the structure of our minds matches reality, that what our minds want to know about reality has an answer.

    Of course, we can just abandon the project of knowledge altogether, and there have been people who have advocated this. But if we are to try and know, we have to have faith that the questions our minds naturally ask matches the “shape” of reality.

    Science limits itself to the first two questions our minds naturally ask; what is the chemical cause, and what physical event caused it. It excludes from consideration the other two, what is the true nature and final goal of an object.

    Now it initially did so just in order to narrow the scope of its investigation, which is perfectly legitimate . It didn’t claim that the other two questions our minds naturally ask are illegitimate, yet.

    Gradually, though, science began to claim that only two of the questions our minds naturally ask match the structure of reality; the other two don’t.

    This, however, is obviously arbitrary. No one has ever given any reason why only some questions that spring naturally from the structure of our minds match reality. It became a dogmatic assertion, based on an arbitrary choice.

    Now to link this up with your questions about explanations, love would be the final goal and purpose of water, and gravity would be it’s material cause. It’s important to note, however, that material causes are summaries of observations, descriptive, and love provides an explanation in the truest sense of the word, explaining “why” it does what it does.

    Gravity says “that” it does, and love “why”.

    But if you don’t like that distinction, we can stick to Aristotle’s framework and look at all four of the questions our minds asks as inquiries into causes, as he did.

    Now, the kind of questions that stretch into infinity, are clearly what material event caused this – that can go back into infinity. But the other three are capable of having satisfactory answers that terminate in themselves (although God might be infinite, as a category he is exhaustive)

    Any of this make sense, Silvio? What do you think?

    Now, you ask if any of this is spiritually necessary – I think it’s obvious that questions about the final goal and purpose and true nature of things in the world are the essence of the spiritual quest. On the largest scale these are questions about God.

    Whether we live in a dead world, or have a conscious and animate world, goes right to the heart of the true nature of our world and it’s ultimate goal and purpose – and thus the purpose and nature of our own lives, and has huge ramifications for our spiritual health, and also psychological and physical.

    These are not neutral questions – I might be a little facetious and radical when I talk about fairies, to just have a little fun, but in the end they are of the essence of the matter.

    You ask if we are stagnating and losing vitality, robustness, and exuberance –

    To definitively answer this question, a comprehensive survey of the state of our culture would have to be taken, and there are books that attempt to do this .

    But we can certainly give some some preliminary impressions; depression and anxiety is reported to have skyrocketed among young people, every other day it seems there is another news story, there is much less tolerance for stress and discomfort, and an alarmist response to stresses that a few years ago would have been barely noticed, as I was discussing with Mikel, massive overreactions to trivial dangers, like with COVID, an elevated fear response and avoidance of even minute risk, like with Mikels home Depot experience, a culture of bureaucracy and rules rather than bold improvisation or innovation, and work force that is reported to be unmotivated and lackluster, a strict regime of political rules and harsh punishments for deviations, and a whole cluster of mental breakdowns surrounding issues like generally abd identity.

    And creativity in the arts and sciences has largely ground to a halt.

    Now, of course there are pockets of exceptions – I try and be one 🙂 – but the larger picture seems one of devitalization, malaise, and stasis, down to accelerating breakdown.

    What do you think? Do you significantly disagree?

    Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?

    No 🙂 And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature – and the purpose and true nature of the universe.

    Finally perceiving that there are more legitimate questions one might ask than those science can answer, and that they emerge naturally from the structure of our minds and are on the no different footing than the questions science answers – that is a massively important first step.

    But do you want to stop there?

    Maybe take a break and enjoy your newfound freedom for a while and dont go any further for now 🙂 But I can’t imagine you stopping there.

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature – and the purpose and true nature of the universe.
     
    As individuals we we want to belong to a group, and belonging is over-against other groups. Hence starting in 2014 Ukraine took progressively more Draconian action against the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1017. Am fascinated by these Denizli chickens. Mainly because I heard strange report that they can be trained to protect honey hives from wasps. (Which I find quite hard to believe).

    But also because the roosters can crow for 25+ seconds. And because the hens only lay about 80 eggs a year, which makes me wonder if that is what all chickens were like before Catholics got a hold of them. (And bred them to lay more because of Lent.)

    • Replies: @Mr. Hack
    @songbird


    makes me wonder if that is what all chickens were like before Catholics got a hold of them. (And bred them to lay more because of Lent.)
     
    ??...

    I thought that eggs and dairy products were verboten during lent? At least they are within the Orthodox world.

    Replies: @songbird

    , @QCIC
    @songbird

    Different chicken breeds or not?

    Ukrainian Rooster

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/3lv4asjJcsg

    Russian Rooster (the first vid)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z6BirZhUJjI

    Chinese Rooster

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTxbF7A2ZWM

    Bonus Heavy Metal, kind of reminds me of Jinjer

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8h5xS_xFUZg

  1018. @songbird
    Am fascinated by these Denizli chickens. Mainly because I heard strange report that they can be trained to protect honey hives from wasps. (Which I find quite hard to believe).

    But also because the roosters can crow for 25+ seconds. And because the hens only lay about 80 eggs a year, which makes me wonder if that is what all chickens were like before Catholics got a hold of them. (And bred them to lay more because of Lent.)
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denizli_chicken

    https://youtu.be/A43JOxLa5MM

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @QCIC

    makes me wonder if that is what all chickens were like before Catholics got a hold of them. (And bred them to lay more because of Lent.)

    ??…

    I thought that eggs and dairy products were verboten during lent? At least they are within the Orthodox world.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @Mr. Hack

    That's right - for Orthodox. Not in the Western Church though. Western Lent isn't very tough nowadays, I'm afraid.

    Think eggs might have possibly been banned at one time, before the Schism. Not exactly sure about the chronology though. Could be mistaken, but Western Lent used to be a lot more stringent.

    I once made a joke that chickens had evolved to be vicious because of several factors in their natural environment, and then, on top of that, various peoples have made their contribution by increasing this.

    They were originally bred for fighting before meat or eggs. (BTW, this used to be a popular past-time in the Borderlands. In living memory, there was an MP in Cumberland trying to legalize it.)

    People in the Western Church made them extreme egg-layers. (And they were already r-selected). This increased their viciousness because they needed vitamins and minerals to lay all those eggs, which made them even more voracious.

    Anyway, the punchline was that the world was waiting for the Slavs to make their contribution to the viciousness if chickens. That their options seemed to be genetic engineering or adding laser beams to the beaks.

  1019. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    I read a monograph of a guy in the Amazon who said the locals consider it imperative to sleep on your back because jaguars will normally attack the back of the bottom of the skull and leave you alone if that is against the ground. Maybe they had particularly low IQ jaguars in that sector?

    Replies: @songbird

    Would like to see female joggers out West don those backward-facing masks. Mainly because I think it would funny for guys trying to size them up.

  1020. @Mr. Hack
    @songbird


    makes me wonder if that is what all chickens were like before Catholics got a hold of them. (And bred them to lay more because of Lent.)
     
    ??...

    I thought that eggs and dairy products were verboten during lent? At least they are within the Orthodox world.

    Replies: @songbird

    That’s right – for Orthodox. Not in the Western Church though.

    [MORE]
    Western Lent isn’t very tough nowadays, I’m afraid.

    Think eggs might have possibly been banned at one time, before the Schism. Not exactly sure about the chronology though. Could be mistaken, but Western Lent used to be a lot more stringent.

    I once made a joke that chickens had evolved to be vicious because of several factors in their natural environment, and then, on top of that, various peoples have made their contribution by increasing this.

    They were originally bred for fighting before meat or eggs. (BTW, this used to be a popular past-time in the Borderlands. In living memory, there was an MP in Cumberland trying to legalize it.)

    People in the Western Church made them extreme egg-layers. (And they were already r-selected). This increased their viciousness because they needed vitamins and minerals to lay all those eggs, which made them even more voracious.

    Anyway, the punchline was that the world was waiting for the Slavs to make their contribution to the viciousness if chickens. That their options seemed to be genetic engineering or adding laser beams to the beaks.

  1021. @silviosilver
    @Coconuts

    That's interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?

    I'm not at all surprised that, on average, anti-religious people have little awareness of anti-religious arguments. My impression of scoffers, beginning when I was a child, was that they simply hated following religious rules. Even the simple act of keeping quiet during a service was too much for them. This didn't particularly bother me, although I felt that it was wrong. A much smaller number of others seemed actively "evil" to me. I remember being horrified by one kid in primary school who mocked the carol "O Come All Ye Faithful" by singing "o come let us destroy [instead of rejoice] him." In high school, I'm sure the anti-sex attitude associated with religion is the biggest turn-off.

    These days I suppose fewer people see any need for religion. If they ever think about it, thoughts along the lines of "it's just bad science, isn't it?" probably settles it for them. If they require further intellectual ammunition, it's easier to access it than ever. What the foundational impulse behind irreligion is - or to what degree the items you listed are a factor - I couldn't say.

    Replies: @Coconuts

    That’s interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?

    I was brought up as a Catholic and went to a Catholic school, but by the time I was around 13-14 my family had mostly stopped practising. I think I still had some generic spiritual or deistic beliefs but came to believe that old organised religions were no longer credible and had been in some way superseded (perhaps by postmodernism).

    I only got back into it after drifting around through my 20s in a kind of doomer phase. I think this is where Houellebecq would be relevant, I accepted his description and diagnosis of the dysfunction, but as you were saying earlier I also thought neo-liberal consumerism didn’t have any credible competitors or alternatives and that it would remain dominant well into the future. Possibly some of the low achievement was some sort of aimless rebellion.

    As I remember it I decided to try to change things after I was 30, because things were looking depressing. At one point I was reading some very retro Catholic devotional book from the 1740s that I had from university time and it inspired me to start going back to church, I also started lifting weights more seriously at that time. Then I thought of becoming a monk, but ended up going to Belarus for random reasons. Belarus seemed quite favourable from a religious point of view.

    At the time I thought this was just an individual thing, that you could use the freedom of belief/thought element in liberalism to try and pursue something different on a small scale level.

    Over the last few years, reading more stuff online it looks like this fits with some sort of pattern, but it must be something with origins that mean it can arise fairly spontaneously.

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Coconuts

    This is pretty good:

    https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/621

    https://d28hgpri8am2if.cloudfront.net/book_images/onix/cvr9780743257879/the-varieties-of-religious-experience-9780743257879_hr.jpg

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he's indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.

    Modern nihilism emerged from precisely the kind of society De Maistre describes; it is the "dialectical" result of European history, so to speak. The French revolution happened for a reason, it did not just spring out of the head of Zeus, like Athena.

    People were miserable and simmering in rage under the ancien regime. The problem is not simply that a system of autocratic control invites corruption and unaccountability, it's that contradicts precisely the message of Jesus, and that of most other religions.

    One of the contradictions that resulted in undermining the credibility of Christianity in the West was the enormous gap between the message of Jesus and the behavior of its rulers and the system of government and social organization they created.

    People noticed.

    And just because reason cannot give us definitive answers to our most pressing questions, it does not follow that a clique of elites must invent dogmatic beliefs and impose them on the populace; far from creating stability, this creates periodic revolution and ceaseless ferment, as Europe has shown us!

    There are other sources of knowledge; intuition, imagination, discernment, cultivation, life itself - living itself is a school if we are willing to learn it's lessons. We know when our intimations of the shape of reality are on the right track when living according to them allows us to flourish and live beautifully and joyously.

    Reason can help, but ultimately discernment, imagination, intuition, and life are how we know anything at all - including science.

    And it simply isn't true, as a matter of historical facts, that autocracy based on dogmatic assertion imposed by an elite is the only source of long term stability (I assert it's the only source of long term revolution). To take but one example, American Indians had a loose semi-anarchic social organization with considerable personal freedom and without autocratic elites, and according to European reports, lived more satisfying lives than that created by the European system.

    A long term stable system must be based on principles that have inherent appeal to the true nature of humanity, and the great religious figures of history show us vividly what the general shape of this is; a generous life based on love and freedom.

    And the only way to get that is through the spiritual education of mankind.

    As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating thr path to modern revolution and nihilism.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Coconuts

  1022. @Coconuts
    @silviosilver


    That’s interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?
     
    I was brought up as a Catholic and went to a Catholic school, but by the time I was around 13-14 my family had mostly stopped practising. I think I still had some generic spiritual or deistic beliefs but came to believe that old organised religions were no longer credible and had been in some way superseded (perhaps by postmodernism).

    I only got back into it after drifting around through my 20s in a kind of doomer phase. I think this is where Houellebecq would be relevant, I accepted his description and diagnosis of the dysfunction, but as you were saying earlier I also thought neo-liberal consumerism didn't have any credible competitors or alternatives and that it would remain dominant well into the future. Possibly some of the low achievement was some sort of aimless rebellion.

    As I remember it I decided to try to change things after I was 30, because things were looking depressing. At one point I was reading some very retro Catholic devotional book from the 1740s that I had from university time and it inspired me to start going back to church, I also started lifting weights more seriously at that time. Then I thought of becoming a monk, but ended up going to Belarus for random reasons. Belarus seemed quite favourable from a religious point of view.

    At the time I thought this was just an individual thing, that you could use the freedom of belief/thought element in liberalism to try and pursue something different on a small scale level.

    Over the last few years, reading more stuff online it looks like this fits with some sort of pattern, but it must be something with origins that mean it can arise fairly spontaneously.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    • Agree: Coconuts
  1023. Gradually, though, science began to claim that only two of the questions our minds naturally ask match the structure of reality; the other two don’t.

    This, however, is obviously arbitrary.

    No, it wasn’t done arbitrarily. It was done because explanations derived from the other two questions don’t add anything to our understanding of how things work. Invoking fairies to explain why water flows downhill neither adds to nor contradicts anything in the purely physics-based account of the phenomenon, so it can be safely dispensed with.

    No one has ever given any reason why only some questions that spring naturally from the structure of our minds match reality.

    This is where ‘mere reality’ rides to the rescue. As I said, given the kinds of beings we are, there are some views that are more rational, more objective than other views, even if these views cannot be depended on to explain ‘ultimate reality.’ (It doesn’t mean they’re necessarily false; it just means we cannot be certain they’re absolutely true.) That doesn’t mean we can invoke entities at will. I am perfectly within my rights to calls fairies inane crazy talk and completely dismiss it as any kind of guide to reality, mere or ultimate. (Btw, I found that Stephen Clarke essay completely unconvincing, sorry.)

    I think it’s obvious that questions about the final goal and purpose and true nature of things in the world are the essence of the spiritual quest. On the largest scale these are questions about God.

    I’m content to stick with the largest scale. I don’t see any point to torturing my mind with questions about the “final goal” or “animatedness” of a rock formation, a lamp-post or a pair of socks.

    and love provides an explanation in the truest sense of the word, explaining “why” it does what it does.

    Oh for sure. Makes total sense. My understanding of water flows has increased tremendously as a result of that explanation.

    Now, of course there are pockets of exceptions – I try and be one 🙂 – but the larger picture seems one of devitalization, malaise, and stasis, down to accelerating breakdown.

    What do you think? Do you significantly disagree?

    I have a hard time following you because, firstly, you’re consistently extremely vague and, secondly, because you wantonly contradict yourself. (I don’t want to be harsh. If you prefer to be considered cunning rather than inept, let the accusation read “because you talk out of both sides of your mouth.”)

    So when you impugn the “culture of bureaucracy and rules rather than bold improvisation or innovation, and work force that is reported to be unmotivated and lackluster”, I ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us! They’re standing in the way of appreciating the simple beauty of existence, which is the entire purpose of life. See?

    No 🙂 And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature – and the purpose and true nature of the universe.

    You were talking about providing me with a new “vision,” and I took you to mean that in the context of your political values, which as far I (or anyone) can discern, seem to require sweeping social and economic changes, changes that would completely disrupt my physical environment. That is why I asked you if merely changing my views would be insufficient, according to you. Because I have changed my views, but I don’t feel any need at all for the kind of sweeping changes you’d like to institute. (Instead, I have a set of sweeping changes of my own, although these predate my newly found spiritual embrace.)

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver


    It was done because explanations derived from the other two questions don’t add anything to our understanding of how things work. Invoking fairies to explain why water flows downhill neither adds to nor contradicts anything in the purely physics-based account of the phenomenon, so it can be safely dispensed
     
    with.

    Isn't this what I'm saying?

    If you're only interested in how things "work", you have to narrow the scope of your investigation and exclude factors that aren't relevant to that.

    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life - indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life

    But it's not even true that our understanding of life as inert mechanism or as animate has no practical implications. Seeing matter as alive may lead to a whole host of new discoveries in the biological sciences and even physics, that may lead to an expanded ability to engage with the world fruitfully.

    Even Francis Bacon said to dominate nature we must obey her - if matter is animate and has goals of its own, paying attention to this may well expand our ability to succeed and thrive.

    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on "coaxing" matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it's intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.

    Even prayer has enough evidence behind it now to suggest it is a method that works, but without reproducing reliability of science.

    But aren't effective methods that are less certain still hugely valuable - especially in areas that science as yet can't control, and may never?

    And if Love is the energy of the universe - than it may be that purifying our minds and developing a disposition towards benevolence and love will lead to greater physical well being and health.

    The implications are countless.

    But why don't you just go at your own pace? If fairies are a step too far for you then hold off on that. There's no rush, and who knows where you're journey will take you.

    That doesn’t mean we can invoke entities at will. I am perfectly within my rights to calls fairies inane crazy talk and completely dismiss it as any kind of guide to reality, mere or ultimate. (Btw, I found that Stephen Clarke essay completely unconvincing, sorry.)
     
    Of course even if reason isn't definitive, it is one of the tools that can assist us in coming to conclusions about reality, if not the only one or even the primary one.

    The only purely rational position on fairies is agnosticism - saying it's insane crazy talk is simple dogmatic assertion. You describe very well in one of your comments that it is irrational to think reality is entirely exhausted by the empirical method or even what we can percieve.

    However, fairies properly understood as the spiritual volitional dimension of natural objects, become as plausible as anything else once you reject the reductionist view of science that life is mere mechanism. Or as manifestations of the spiritual dimension.

    We have discussed already that how we come to know anything at all involves faith that the questions our minds ask when we encounter phenomena matches the shape of reality.

    And since our minds naturally ask about the unseen essence of matter - the true nature of it - and it's ultimate purpose and goal, our minds are naturally attuned to expect a spiritual dimension. In fact it's only with great effort we can suppress this.

    So from that perspective, reason itself cannot prove, but suggests that fairies exist since it suggests that matter has a goal and purpose, and volition suggests consciousness, and fairies are the spiritual volitional dimensions of natural objects like trees and rivers.

    So I'm afraid it is you who are being irrational :)

    ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us!
     
    First, I can recognize a symptom when I see one. I may not approve of all expressions of vitality but I can recognize symptoms of it's decline, even if I approve of those symptoms.

    Technological progress was possible when there was hemispheric balance, with the right dominant, and there was an explosion in the arts as well. As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two. Today's rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt. As the sway of technology over our lives increased, our ability to innovate in that field diminished.

    Second, Im not against accomplishing necessary infrastructure programs, and the loss of our ability to do that rapidly is not something I support.

    Finally and most importantly, the kind of innovation and bold thinking that I am talking about is exactly what will bring us to a vision of science and life of expanded possibilities. We are stuck in a rut, and can't break out of mechanistic thinking. But as I described above, a science freed from mechanistic thinking may make all sorts of new discoveries.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities - for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today. Or we can choose to live in thatched huts, some of us.

    The point is, bureaucracy and regulations, and an dogmatic commitment to mechanistic thinking, is keeping us in a rut from which we cannot escape.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  1024. @Mr. XYZ
    @Beckow


    It lowers incomes and cheapens work.
     
    The Anglosphere has many more immigrants per capita than Poland has and yet the Anglosphere is not poorer per capita than Poland is.

    Replies: @Beckow

    …Anglosphere is not poorer per capita than Poland

    It is not very “Anglo” either. But, I meant it as a comparative level of wages – what they would be without mass immigration.

    No society will be prosperous or good if it values cheap labor. Seeking the cheapest possible labor is the toxic brew that has destroyed all great civilizations, from slavery to commie suppression of incomes. It simply doesn’t work, no matter how attractive it seems to the elites (it always does).

    US almost mortally wounded itself with slavery. Today US and Europe have embarked on a global quest for the cheapest work – we see how well that is going. It always takes some time, but it is the Achilles heel of the Western economy – it is unsustainable, the consequences are eventually catastrophic (“Floyds” running wild in the US large cities, etc…)

    It is the Faustian bargain that Poland should not take. But it will, because old lazy (“elite”) guys like plentiful servants and fear what may happen if they don’t have a full control. 200k/annually is just 190k too many.

  1025. @Coconuts
    @silviosilver


    That’s interesting. I had assumed you were a lifelong Catholic. What was your own attitude to religious belief before you took an interest in practicing a religion?
     
    I was brought up as a Catholic and went to a Catholic school, but by the time I was around 13-14 my family had mostly stopped practising. I think I still had some generic spiritual or deistic beliefs but came to believe that old organised religions were no longer credible and had been in some way superseded (perhaps by postmodernism).

    I only got back into it after drifting around through my 20s in a kind of doomer phase. I think this is where Houellebecq would be relevant, I accepted his description and diagnosis of the dysfunction, but as you were saying earlier I also thought neo-liberal consumerism didn't have any credible competitors or alternatives and that it would remain dominant well into the future. Possibly some of the low achievement was some sort of aimless rebellion.

    As I remember it I decided to try to change things after I was 30, because things were looking depressing. At one point I was reading some very retro Catholic devotional book from the 1740s that I had from university time and it inspired me to start going back to church, I also started lifting weights more seriously at that time. Then I thought of becoming a monk, but ended up going to Belarus for random reasons. Belarus seemed quite favourable from a religious point of view.

    At the time I thought this was just an individual thing, that you could use the freedom of belief/thought element in liberalism to try and pursue something different on a small scale level.

    Over the last few years, reading more stuff online it looks like this fits with some sort of pattern, but it must be something with origins that mean it can arise fairly spontaneously.

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he’s indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.

    Modern nihilism emerged from precisely the kind of society De Maistre describes; it is the “dialectical” result of European history, so to speak. The French revolution happened for a reason, it did not just spring out of the head of Zeus, like Athena.

    People were miserable and simmering in rage under the ancien regime. The problem is not simply that a system of autocratic control invites corruption and unaccountability, it’s that contradicts precisely the message of Jesus, and that of most other religions.

    One of the contradictions that resulted in undermining the credibility of Christianity in the West was the enormous gap between the message of Jesus and the behavior of its rulers and the system of government and social organization they created.

    People noticed.

    And just because reason cannot give us definitive answers to our most pressing questions, it does not follow that a clique of elites must invent dogmatic beliefs and impose them on the populace; far from creating stability, this creates periodic revolution and ceaseless ferment, as Europe has shown us!

    There are other sources of knowledge; intuition, imagination, discernment, cultivation, life itself – living itself is a school if we are willing to learn it’s lessons. We know when our intimations of the shape of reality are on the right track when living according to them allows us to flourish and live beautifully and joyously.

    Reason can help, but ultimately discernment, imagination, intuition, and life are how we know anything at all – including science.

    And it simply isn’t true, as a matter of historical facts, that autocracy based on dogmatic assertion imposed by an elite is the only source of long term stability (I assert it’s the only source of long term revolution). To take but one example, American Indians had a loose semi-anarchic social organization with considerable personal freedom and without autocratic elites, and according to European reports, lived more satisfying lives than that created by the European system.

    A long term stable system must be based on principles that have inherent appeal to the true nature of humanity, and the great religious figures of history show us vividly what the general shape of this is; a generous life based on love and freedom.

    And the only way to get that is through the spiritual education of mankind.

    As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating thr path to modern revolution and nihilism.

    • Replies: @Beckow
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    ...As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating the path to modern revolution and nihilism.
     
    ...in a completely different form, possibly this time more fun :)...

    Life is cyclical, similar patterns show up, similar ideas in new forms, and similar mistakes - some we see right away, others take a long time.

    Authoritarianism is not a system, it is a way of behaving, of running a society. It can be small or quite comprehensive. But it is a false analogy to see it as reality - when people do it, they effectively live in theory. Let's not do that.

    The only way to know whether a society is democratic or authoritarian is to see if people's preferences are done or not. If the society generally does what the majority wants - it is by definition "democratic", if it doesn't it is not.

    The evasive verbal games about "process" and "representation" are not a democracy. They are meaningless, do we care about the process by which our ancestors decided who hunts and who eats?

    By that standard, the West has never been very democratic. On almost all issues that matter the will of the majority is not done. The fact that they "vote" on it, and an assembly of chosen representatives discusses it endlessly, or that judges are deemed to be independent of it all is an obvious charade. How can anyone be independent or representative when they live in that society and depend on its hierarchy for everything they have and do?

    This is the 800-pound gorilla in the middle of the Western "democracies" that is not allowed to be mentioned - the fundamental precepts are apriori accepted and obviously not valid when examined. So what is really 'authoritarianism'? And who has it?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he’s indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.
     
    I was quoting De Maistre's claim that the application of reason to first principles cannot generate enduring religious or political associations. You don't really seem to disagree with that given what you wrote in the rest of the reply.

    Then you seem to be discussing De Maistre's general political project, rather than that particular issue of the basis of political association and authority.

    But imo the interesting part is your belief that the French Revolution was motivated by a desire to implement the teachings of Jesus in a more complete way, and I was just thinking which part? The bourgeois liberal economism or the militaristic Caesarism? Most of the revolutionary inspiration and achievement represents the advent of very modern things you seem to disagree with. It doesn't seem surprising that as the influence of revolutionary ideas spread, belief in Jesus and transcendence generally began to go down.

    Silviosilver also seems to have noticed this issue of contradictions:


    I ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us! They’re standing in the way of appreciating the simple beauty of existence, which is the entire purpose of life. See?
     
    Is affirming contradictions is a kind of Hegelian thing where you are aiming to produce a synthesis from holding two contradictory positions, with the larger purpose being the 'bringing the kingdom of heaven down to earth', that Hegel was also thinking of? Just a more hippy version?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1026. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he's indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.

    Modern nihilism emerged from precisely the kind of society De Maistre describes; it is the "dialectical" result of European history, so to speak. The French revolution happened for a reason, it did not just spring out of the head of Zeus, like Athena.

    People were miserable and simmering in rage under the ancien regime. The problem is not simply that a system of autocratic control invites corruption and unaccountability, it's that contradicts precisely the message of Jesus, and that of most other religions.

    One of the contradictions that resulted in undermining the credibility of Christianity in the West was the enormous gap between the message of Jesus and the behavior of its rulers and the system of government and social organization they created.

    People noticed.

    And just because reason cannot give us definitive answers to our most pressing questions, it does not follow that a clique of elites must invent dogmatic beliefs and impose them on the populace; far from creating stability, this creates periodic revolution and ceaseless ferment, as Europe has shown us!

    There are other sources of knowledge; intuition, imagination, discernment, cultivation, life itself - living itself is a school if we are willing to learn it's lessons. We know when our intimations of the shape of reality are on the right track when living according to them allows us to flourish and live beautifully and joyously.

    Reason can help, but ultimately discernment, imagination, intuition, and life are how we know anything at all - including science.

    And it simply isn't true, as a matter of historical facts, that autocracy based on dogmatic assertion imposed by an elite is the only source of long term stability (I assert it's the only source of long term revolution). To take but one example, American Indians had a loose semi-anarchic social organization with considerable personal freedom and without autocratic elites, and according to European reports, lived more satisfying lives than that created by the European system.

    A long term stable system must be based on principles that have inherent appeal to the true nature of humanity, and the great religious figures of history show us vividly what the general shape of this is; a generous life based on love and freedom.

    And the only way to get that is through the spiritual education of mankind.

    As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating thr path to modern revolution and nihilism.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Coconuts

    …As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating the path to modern revolution and nihilism.

    …in a completely different form, possibly this time more fun :)…

    Life is cyclical, similar patterns show up, similar ideas in new forms, and similar mistakes – some we see right away, others take a long time.

    Authoritarianism is not a system, it is a way of behaving, of running a society. It can be small or quite comprehensive. But it is a false analogy to see it as reality – when people do it, they effectively live in theory. Let’s not do that.

    The only way to know whether a society is democratic or authoritarian is to see if people’s preferences are done or not. If the society generally does what the majority wants – it is by definition “democratic”, if it doesn’t it is not.

    The evasive verbal games about “process” and “representation” are not a democracy. They are meaningless, do we care about the process by which our ancestors decided who hunts and who eats?

    By that standard, the West has never been very democratic. On almost all issues that matter the will of the majority is not done. The fact that they “vote” on it, and an assembly of chosen representatives discusses it endlessly, or that judges are deemed to be independent of it all is an obvious charade. How can anyone be independent or representative when they live in that society and depend on its hierarchy for everything they have and do?

    This is the 800-pound gorilla in the middle of the Western “democracies” that is not allowed to be mentioned – the fundamental precepts are apriori accepted and obviously not valid when examined. So what is really ‘authoritarianism’? And who has it?

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Beckow

    Yes, we'll do it better this time, of course :) That's the only real answer, and I think what advocates of a return to repression genuinely think.

    If your right that history is circular, then we're akso guaranteed to culminate in the same result, revolution, and nihilism - perhaps, to follow your logic, a bit different, maybe we'll do nihilism "better" this time :)

    But why select from such a restricted range of political options? We stand in an unprecedented situation of having immense knowledge of all the worlds political systems, and the history of their development.

    David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own - for instance a society could be anarchic half the year autocratic the other half, depending on what each was best for - and that our options have gradually narrowed to the point where can't even imagine alternatives outside the two or three offered us in modern times.

    He says there has been a war on imagination, on flexibility in political thinking.

    Don't you find it tedious and otiose that everyone today is divided along two simple axes - for Russia, or against, for China, or for America, and so on down the entire spectrum of political opyions? Doesn't this strike you as a drastic collapse in intelligence?

    I find it astonishing how few people can dare to imagine that both China and the US are to be rejected and alternatives imagined outside the scope of either system. It's like it's literally unimaginable to most people.

    I completely agree with you that "formal" democracy can disguise informal autocracy, and that the so called "free" world is far, far more unfree and autocratic than the official mythic narrative allows for.

    I felt it myself when I traveled to India and South East Asia - I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn't exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States, and I loved it.

    Nevertheless, a glance at China and Russia show that the liberal democracies still have a level of freedom completely lost to those countries.

    But as I said, why choose from either rather than imagine something new and better than either?

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Beckow

  1027. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    > Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.

    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let's humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.

    > Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners?

    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯

    > As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let’s humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.

    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black? The more likely scenario is that Europe will continue getting blacker until European cities are no better than African cities. Would Israel stop at being just 30% black if it would have had open borders with Sub-Saharan Africa, for instance?

    And a party can increase in popularity over time. Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.

    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯

    The US was very prosperous during its baby boom years in spite of it having very restrictive immigration policies, even for some white countries.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.

    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries? Or are you think of Sub-Saharan Africans commuting to work in these network states while living back at home?

  1028. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    > Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.

    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let's humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.

    > Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners?

    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯

    > As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

    The negative impact of 10% Africans is far greater than the positive of 10% White.
    When are you coming out of the closet?

  1029. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    > Anatoly Karlin wants open borders for the West but fails to realize that people like this could eventually come to power in the West in such a scenario.

    The third most popular party in 90% Black South Africa is somehow supposed to become the dominant party in 30% Black (let's humor the most fantastic rightoid scenarios) Europe. Yes, that makes total sense.

    > Africans would benefit from it, but would Westerners?

    Tolerance and diversity are the very basis of our prosperity. 💯

    > As Steve Sailer said, under open borders, Africans will keep on moving to Western cities until Western cities are no better than African cities.

    Parts of Western cities will become worse but many parts of Africa will get massive boosts thanks to human capital inflows. It will be a net gain at the global level, which is the only relevant level to those who reject nationalism, such as this thing.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Sher Singh, @Mr. XYZ

    As a side note, I’m wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience? I would be seriously impressed if you could convince Russians–or Israelis, for that matter–to support open borders en masse and to support making their own country 30+% black?

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/immigration-and-effective-altruism/

    This article would probably consider it a net benefit for smart First Worlders to move to the Third World, especially if they’re not doing something vitally useful in the First World, but it also makes a case against importing the Third World, no? Heck, you yourself once said that if one cares about climate change, then keeping refugees in the Third World is one of the greenest things that one can do, no?

    • Replies: @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ


    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black?
     
    Because Africans aren't immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn't happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa's population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over - I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).

    It's all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.
     
    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?

    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries?
     
    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.

    As a side note, I’m wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience?
     
    I don't do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?
     
    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.



    https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1667839359700041728

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

  1030. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    As a side note, I'm wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience? I would be seriously impressed if you could convince Russians--or Israelis, for that matter--to support open borders en masse and to support making their own country 30+% black?

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/immigration-and-effective-altruism/

    This article would probably consider it a net benefit for smart First Worlders to move to the Third World, especially if they're not doing something vitally useful in the First World, but it also makes a case against importing the Third World, no? Heck, you yourself once said that if one cares about climate change, then keeping refugees in the Third World is one of the greenest things that one can do, no?

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin

    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black?

    Because Africans aren’t immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn’t happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa’s population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over – I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).

    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.

    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?

    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries?

    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.

    As a side note, I’m wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience?

    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?

    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Because Africans aren’t immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn’t happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa’s population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over – I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).
     
    I know about the demographic transition. But the thing is that the US and Europe are the richest parts of the world due to their average IQ and smart fraction advantages. So, migrants will prefer to move there under open borders over moving to other, less attractive destinations. India would probably roughly be as attractive as Romania even under its full potential. Romania is attracting some immigrants over the last decade, but it's never going to be as attractive as the Germanic countries, including and especially the Anglosphere.

    In theory, East Asia could also be highly attractive for immigrants, but the problem is that I don't see a huge open borders movement in East Asian countries, unlike in the West. Do you think that this will actually change? Because in China, didn't you say that higher IQ people are on average *more* nationalistic?


    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.
     
    In a Reddit interview, you first said that we need to reach the promised land:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/reddit-russia-ama-highlights/

    As a transhumanist myself I don’t really understand how transhumanism and nationalism mixed together in you. The idea of transhumanism transcends the ideas of nations, races and even the human nature. Technological evolution should unite the humanity and as long people become more and more connected today with each other – the ideas of national goverments and nations will be rendered oblosete with time.

    Good question.

    Very legitimate one, of course. I am sure that once we get to computer superintelligence or CRISPR ourselves up to 175 average IQs, the world will become thoroughly cosmopolitan (support for tolerance, open borders, free trade, etc. tends to increase with IQ).

    Problem #1 – developing those technologies takes brains. Elite brains. “Smart fractions,” as they’re known in the psychometric literature. As well as the appropriate technological growth-friendly institutions, which again need a certain level of average national IQ to maintain.

    Problem #2 – the evidence suggests that mass immigration from the Third World has negative effects on average national IQ. There is also good recent economic research that suggests that immigrants tend to carry over their home country cultural attitudes, with negative impacts on the quality of institutions in the host countries. See Garett Jones.

    Can you envision the US or Japan (average IQ ~100) launching a singularity? It doesn’t seem entirely implausible.

    Can you envision Brazil or Indonesia (average IQ ~85) launching a singularity? Sub-Saharan Africa (average IQ ~70)? Seems rather less likely.

    As the neoreactionaries say, you can’t cultivate gardens without walls. We don’t know what kind of smart fraction ingenuity would be necessary for the biosphere to complete its transition into a disembodied noosphere. As such, it makes sense to play it safe.

    (Your own answer here is in bold. You did say later on that immigration doesn't affect smart fraction size, but I wonder if that's too optimistic since Emil Kirkegaard told me via Twitter PM that assortative mating is only partially effective in regards to this--as in, it slows down the process of smart fraction decline in a low-average IQ country but isn't guaranteed to completely stop it. He said that he did mathematical models to demonstrate this.)


    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?
     
    They all vote for left-wing parties in the West.

    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.
     
    Why destroy successful models? The US, EU, and China are at least successes, though China at least is too authoritarian and even totalitarian. The fact that Russia is a failure doesn't mean that other, more successful nation-states should be destroyed.

    As I previously said, have network states reach the US's/EU's/China's level of total GDP, elite science production, et cetera, and then we can start taking them seriously.


    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.
     

    So, are 85+% of Russians going to speak English like 85+% of Scandinavians apparently do right now? If so, when?

    The interesting thing is that you could have kept your Russian National State had Russian nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. Just like Germans could have kept their own German National State had German nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. But in both cases, they sought to expand too much and thus ended up getting too many enemies for themselves, thus leading to the discrediting of their ideology.

    Interestingly enough, Russians appear to be fucked regardless of which ideology they are exposed to. They were fucked by Communism, fucked by Nazism, fucked by oligarchic globalism (1990s), fucked by Pan-Slavism (WWI, millions of unnecessary Russian deaths even in the event of a hypothetical Russian victory), and fucked by Russian nationalism (the current war). Only non-oligarchic globalism and a milder, Mussolini-like form of Fascism (White Rex, especially if he moderates?) have not been tried for Russians. Russians need to choose between these two options.


    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.
     
    Your article (that one, at least) wasn't written from a nationalist perspective, though. For instance, what's your solution to the massively increased climate change that will occur from the mass migration of at least a couple billion people (at least a billion from Sub-Saharan Africa and a billion from elsewhere) to the First World? Geoengineering? Do we actually have the technology for this?

    BTW, it's quite interesting that a US that would be 30+% black (non-cognitive elites) would likely have a murder rate comparable to Alabama, Louisiana, or South Carolina, if not Mississippi:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e9/Homicide_rates_per_100%2C000_by_state._US_map.svg/1280px-Homicide_rates_per_100%2C000_by_state._US_map.svg.png

    But we shouldn't worry about this because it's primarily blacks killing each other, right?

    Still, I'd be more sympathetic to getting more non-elite black immigrants to the US/West, Russia, and Israel if race realism was more widely accepted. We could at least then discuss the virtues of various solutions to huge black crime, such as racial profiling, instead of outright dismissing them. (Racial profiling could be moral if, on the net, it saves significantly more black lives than it unintentionally kills.)

    And what's your solution to Muslims murdering people over "Islamophobic" speech? Gated communities and racial/ethnic/religious profiling? Would the Left (other than Islam-realists like Sam Harris) actually be willing to accept the latter part here?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    There will be 3.5 billion Sub-Saharan Africans by 2100:

    https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/1_Demographic%20Profiles/Sub-Saharan%20Africa/Line%20Charts/1-Total%20population.svg

    If the Great Migration is any guide, you could easily see something like 35-40% of them emigrate (in the US, 89% of blacks lived in the Southern US in 1910, but only 53% of them did so in 1970, just six decades later):

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Migration_(African_American)

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8b/Percentage_of_African_American_population_living_in_the_American_South.png

    (And the Great Migration was stopped by the success of the US Civil Rights Movement, which significantly improved lives for blacks in the Southern US. Would there be a huge successful event in Sub-Saharan Africa that stops the huge emigration out of there?)

    So, we're looking at something like 1.2-1.4 billion Sub-Saharan Africans emigrating in total. I could easily see about 1 billion of these moving to the West (unless East Asia opens itself up as a major Sub-Saharan African immigration destination, which appears to be unlikely for the time being) and a couple hundred million Sub-Saharan Africans moving to other places, such as India and perhaps even Latin America.

    So, my math here is indeed sound. The West currently has a total population of a bit less than one billion people, especially if pro-US East Asia (which is hostile towards mass immigration) is excluded from my calculations here. Granted, Sub-Saharan Africans might still make up 30% of the West, but European whites won't be making up the entirety of the remaining 70%. Not even close to it.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @John Johnson
    @Anatoly Karlin

    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Technological progress will do the opposite. The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study. They don't want the public to have access to a human gene library that spans races/ethnic groups. In fact for certain projects you have to sign documentation where you swear that your study won't be used to promote division. How will this type of censorship work in the future? It won't. You can't keep such information from the public indefinitely.

    Fewer people will believe in Wakanda theory which will cause liberals and leftists to push their message harder through suppression and indoctrination. That will most likely lead to a blacklash. I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    All it takes is a single cataclysmic event and millions of Africans will try to flood the US and Europe. That is really my concern. We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that "Whites ruined Africa" or caused climate change. Such a scenario would have Whites reminiscing on the good old days of Chicago shootings that were largely isolated.

    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Anatoly Karlin

  1031. @Beckow
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    ...As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating the path to modern revolution and nihilism.
     
    ...in a completely different form, possibly this time more fun :)...

    Life is cyclical, similar patterns show up, similar ideas in new forms, and similar mistakes - some we see right away, others take a long time.

    Authoritarianism is not a system, it is a way of behaving, of running a society. It can be small or quite comprehensive. But it is a false analogy to see it as reality - when people do it, they effectively live in theory. Let's not do that.

    The only way to know whether a society is democratic or authoritarian is to see if people's preferences are done or not. If the society generally does what the majority wants - it is by definition "democratic", if it doesn't it is not.

    The evasive verbal games about "process" and "representation" are not a democracy. They are meaningless, do we care about the process by which our ancestors decided who hunts and who eats?

    By that standard, the West has never been very democratic. On almost all issues that matter the will of the majority is not done. The fact that they "vote" on it, and an assembly of chosen representatives discusses it endlessly, or that judges are deemed to be independent of it all is an obvious charade. How can anyone be independent or representative when they live in that society and depend on its hierarchy for everything they have and do?

    This is the 800-pound gorilla in the middle of the Western "democracies" that is not allowed to be mentioned - the fundamental precepts are apriori accepted and obviously not valid when examined. So what is really 'authoritarianism'? And who has it?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Yes, we’ll do it better this time, of course 🙂 That’s the only real answer, and I think what advocates of a return to repression genuinely think.

    If your right that history is circular, then we’re akso guaranteed to culminate in the same result, revolution, and nihilism – perhaps, to follow your logic, a bit different, maybe we’ll do nihilism “better” this time 🙂

    But why select from such a restricted range of political options? We stand in an unprecedented situation of having immense knowledge of all the worlds political systems, and the history of their development.

    David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own – for instance a society could be anarchic half the year autocratic the other half, depending on what each was best for – and that our options have gradually narrowed to the point where can’t even imagine alternatives outside the two or three offered us in modern times.

    He says there has been a war on imagination, on flexibility in political thinking.

    Don’t you find it tedious and otiose that everyone today is divided along two simple axes – for Russia, or against, for China, or for America, and so on down the entire spectrum of political opyions? Doesn’t this strike you as a drastic collapse in intelligence?

    I find it astonishing how few people can dare to imagine that both China and the US are to be rejected and alternatives imagined outside the scope of either system. It’s like it’s literally unimaginable to most people.

    I completely agree with you that “formal” democracy can disguise informal autocracy, and that the so called “free” world is far, far more unfree and autocratic than the official mythic narrative allows for.

    I felt it myself when I traveled to India and South East Asia – I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn’t exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States, and I loved it.

    Nevertheless, a glance at China and Russia show that the liberal democracies still have a level of freedom completely lost to those countries.

    But as I said, why choose from either rather than imagine something new and better than either?

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    It’s like it’s literally unimaginable to most people.
     
    Yes, and it is utterly unimaginable for you to consider that the Song of Songs may speak not about Yahwe, but about Baal...;)

    You also happen to follow established positions, even if you like to claim otherwise ...;)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    , @Beckow
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    why select from such a restricted range of political options?
    ...David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own
     
    In the past we had a pleasant, creative social and political entropy. Unfortunately as experts of all kinds started to consolidate and control the mankind the allowed choices have narrowed.

    All we have are the liberal 'end-of-history' unhinged messianic morons and a collection of resistors who mostly just want to be left alone. But even the resisting states generally subscribe to the main building blocks of liberalism - their resistance is thus only marginal and focused on avoiding the excesses. They also do "liberalism", but want to do it in their own way.

    That's where you miss the point: it is not only ideological - the current Western uber-global-homo-liberalism is dysfunctional and would by itself cause little harm, it would burn out. It is an ideology of the end-of-liners - "we will not have kids to save the planet". Well, bye then.

    But there is an imperial element in the Western liberalism that tries to hide in the background - although it is politically dominant: the West is using the liberalism push on the world its control. It is very ambitious and has become coercive, even violent - as any faulty ideology has to be, otherwise they would collapse very quickly.


    I traveled to India and South East Asia – I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn’t exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States...
     
    True. There are few societies as regimented on a day-to-day basis as most of the West. (You should visit Canada for a complete moronic lib-authoritarianism.) The West first misunderstood what "freedom" is, and then got lost in endless busy-body regulations, process overload and controls to avoid risks....it is reaching absurd levels, C19 was a canary in the coal mine of how dysfunctional Western institutions have become.

    That is the true "authoritarianism". We can talk about people occasionally walking somewhere to "vote" (?), but given that it makes no difference and that their lives are run by permanent institutions that have been designed to push the liberal ideology, how is that a "democracy"?

    I am sure the ones you refer to as "authoritarian" have huge issues - some are outright unpleasant - but they mostly seem closer to how humans have lived for thousands of years, they generally welcome families, understand basics like "gender", and seldom attack others - lately almost all wars were triggered by the Western liberal over-reach. Their corruption may be boorish, but at least it is more open and not covered in silly process layers as in the West. There is probably no more corrupt person than that lady Leyen running EU - just google it - but she is deemed legit and most peons in Europe would never say a word against her. And that, my friend, is maybe true "authoritarianism"....so complete, that you can't even mention it.

    Replies: @Mikel

  1032. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Perhaps we can loosely use Aristotle's four causes here, although I don't want to stick to him too closely, but maybe his framework can help here, with some interpolations and framing of my own. So -

    Our minds naturally ask several questions about any phenomenon we encounter.

    What is its chemical composition, what immediate physical event caused it, what is it's true nature, and why does it exist at all, what is its goal and purpose.

    Our starting point must be that we can't really independently validate the legitimacy of any of these questions; as Hume famously showed, we can't prove one event causes another; only that one event follows another.

    But if fwe are to accept that we can know anything at all, there has to be an element of faith, and we have to commit to trusting that the structure of our minds matches reality, that what our minds want to know about reality has an answer.

    Of course, we can just abandon the project of knowledge altogether, and there have been people who have advocated this. But if we are to try and know, we have to have faith that the questions our minds naturally ask matches the "shape" of reality.

    Science limits itself to the first two questions our minds naturally ask; what is the chemical cause, and what physical event caused it. It excludes from consideration the other two, what is the true nature and final goal of an object.

    Now it initially did so just in order to narrow the scope of its investigation, which is perfectly legitimate . It didn't claim that the other two questions our minds naturally ask are illegitimate, yet.

    Gradually, though, science began to claim that only two of the questions our minds naturally ask match the structure of reality; the other two don't.

    This, however, is obviously arbitrary. No one has ever given any reason why only some questions that spring naturally from the structure of our minds match reality. It became a dogmatic assertion, based on an arbitrary choice.

    Now to link this up with your questions about explanations, love would be the final goal and purpose of water, and gravity would be it's material cause. It's important to note, however, that material causes are summaries of observations, descriptive, and love provides an explanation in the truest sense of the word, explaining "why" it does what it does.

    Gravity says "that" it does, and love "why".

    But if you don't like that distinction, we can stick to Aristotle's framework and look at all four of the questions our minds asks as inquiries into causes, as he did.

    Now, the kind of questions that stretch into infinity, are clearly what material event caused this - that can go back into infinity. But the other three are capable of having satisfactory answers that terminate in themselves (although God might be infinite, as a category he is exhaustive)

    Any of this make sense, Silvio? What do you think?

    Now, you ask if any of this is spiritually necessary - I think it's obvious that questions about the final goal and purpose and true nature of things in the world are the essence of the spiritual quest. On the largest scale these are questions about God.

    Whether we live in a dead world, or have a conscious and animate world, goes right to the heart of the true nature of our world and it's ultimate goal and purpose - and thus the purpose and nature of our own lives, and has huge ramifications for our spiritual health, and also psychological and physical.

    These are not neutral questions - I might be a little facetious and radical when I talk about fairies, to just have a little fun, but in the end they are of the essence of the matter.

    You ask if we are stagnating and losing vitality, robustness, and exuberance -

    To definitively answer this question, a comprehensive survey of the state of our culture would have to be taken, and there are books that attempt to do this .

    But we can certainly give some some preliminary impressions; depression and anxiety is reported to have skyrocketed among young people, every other day it seems there is another news story, there is much less tolerance for stress and discomfort, and an alarmist response to stresses that a few years ago would have been barely noticed, as I was discussing with Mikel, massive overreactions to trivial dangers, like with COVID, an elevated fear response and avoidance of even minute risk, like with Mikels home Depot experience, a culture of bureaucracy and rules rather than bold improvisation or innovation, and work force that is reported to be unmotivated and lackluster, a strict regime of political rules and harsh punishments for deviations, and a whole cluster of mental breakdowns surrounding issues like generally abd identity.

    And creativity in the arts and sciences has largely ground to a halt.

    Now, of course there are pockets of exceptions - I try and be one :) - but the larger picture seems one of devitalization, malaise, and stasis, down to accelerating breakdown.

    What do you think? Do you significantly disagree?


    Am I allowed to stop there? If not, why not?
     
    No :) And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature - and the purpose and true nature of the universe.

    Finally perceiving that there are more legitimate questions one might ask than those science can answer, and that they emerge naturally from the structure of our minds and are on the no different footing than the questions science answers - that is a massively important first step.

    But do you want to stop there?

    Maybe take a break and enjoy your newfound freedom for a while and dont go any further for now :) But I can't imagine you stopping there.

    Replies: @Sean

    And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature – and the purpose and true nature of the universe.

    As individuals we we want to belong to a group, and belonging is over-against other groups. Hence starting in 2014 Ukraine took progressively more Draconian action against the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Of course you're right, as a simple matter of observation. The desire to belong to a group, which then inevitably sees itself as a rival to other groups, cannot fail tho impress itself upon any observer of the human scene.

    But consider for a moment the very logical structure of that fact. Why are individuals not content to just be entirely individuals? Why do they also want to lose sight of their individuality within a larger group?

    Does this not betray a longing to transcend individuality?

    Religions are the expression of mankind's desire to transcend individuality and find an inner connection to the whole universe. Religions, however, do not stop arbitrarily at the group - they follow the logic of the principle of group membership to it's ultimate logical conclusion, and seek connection to the universe as a whole. It's the very same instinct that leads people to dissolve their individuality in a group, extended and universalized, not just to humanity, but to the central mystery at the hear of reality itself. It's quite breathtaking in it's scope :)

    I must hasten to add that this does not mean loss of individuality and group membership, but an expansion of identity - like concentric circles, each layer maintains it's integrity within an ever larger circle, and finally, an infinite circle.

    As I was explaining to Silvio, the religious vision is one of expansion, not contraction, and everything good at lower levels isn't lost, but gathered up into an ever expanding vision.

    (Caveat - this is only true of religion in it's essence, at its highest and best. Obviously religion as practiced by corrupted humans all too frequently betrays this vision).

    Replies: @Sean

  1033. @silviosilver

    Gradually, though, science began to claim that only two of the questions our minds naturally ask match the structure of reality; the other two don’t.

    This, however, is obviously arbitrary.
     

    No, it wasn't done arbitrarily. It was done because explanations derived from the other two questions don't add anything to our understanding of how things work. Invoking fairies to explain why water flows downhill neither adds to nor contradicts anything in the purely physics-based account of the phenomenon, so it can be safely dispensed with.

    No one has ever given any reason why only some questions that spring naturally from the structure of our minds match reality.
     
    This is where 'mere reality' rides to the rescue. As I said, given the kinds of beings we are, there are some views that are more rational, more objective than other views, even if these views cannot be depended on to explain 'ultimate reality.' (It doesn't mean they're necessarily false; it just means we cannot be certain they're absolutely true.) That doesn't mean we can invoke entities at will. I am perfectly within my rights to calls fairies inane crazy talk and completely dismiss it as any kind of guide to reality, mere or ultimate. (Btw, I found that Stephen Clarke essay completely unconvincing, sorry.)

    I think it’s obvious that questions about the final goal and purpose and true nature of things in the world are the essence of the spiritual quest. On the largest scale these are questions about God.
     
    I'm content to stick with the largest scale. I don't see any point to torturing my mind with questions about the "final goal" or "animatedness" of a rock formation, a lamp-post or a pair of socks.

    and love provides an explanation in the truest sense of the word, explaining “why” it does what it does.
     
    Oh for sure. Makes total sense. My understanding of water flows has increased tremendously as a result of that explanation.

    Now, of course there are pockets of exceptions – I try and be one 🙂 – but the larger picture seems one of devitalization, malaise, and stasis, down to accelerating breakdown.

    What do you think? Do you significantly disagree?
     

    I have a hard time following you because, firstly, you're consistently extremely vague and, secondly, because you wantonly contradict yourself. (I don't want to be harsh. If you prefer to be considered cunning rather than inept, let the accusation read "because you talk out of both sides of your mouth.")

    So when you impugn the "culture of bureaucracy and rules rather than bold improvisation or innovation, and work force that is reported to be unmotivated and lackluster", I ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don't think we should be doing anyway. Can't build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don't need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines - those things are killing us! They're standing in the way of appreciating the simple beauty of existence, which is the entire purpose of life. See?


    No 🙂 And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature – and the purpose and true nature of the universe.
     
    You were talking about providing me with a new "vision," and I took you to mean that in the context of your political values, which as far I (or anyone) can discern, seem to require sweeping social and economic changes, changes that would completely disrupt my physical environment. That is why I asked you if merely changing my views would be insufficient, according to you. Because I have changed my views, but I don't feel any need at all for the kind of sweeping changes you'd like to institute. (Instead, I have a set of sweeping changes of my own, although these predate my newly found spiritual embrace.)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    It was done because explanations derived from the other two questions don’t add anything to our understanding of how things work. Invoking fairies to explain why water flows downhill neither adds to nor contradicts anything in the purely physics-based account of the phenomenon, so it can be safely dispensed

    with.

    Isn’t this what I’m saying?

    If you’re only interested in how things “work”, you have to narrow the scope of your investigation and exclude factors that aren’t relevant to that.

    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life – indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life

    But it’s not even true that our understanding of life as inert mechanism or as animate has no practical implications. Seeing matter as alive may lead to a whole host of new discoveries in the biological sciences and even physics, that may lead to an expanded ability to engage with the world fruitfully.

    Even Francis Bacon said to dominate nature we must obey her – if matter is animate and has goals of its own, paying attention to this may well expand our ability to succeed and thrive.

    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on “coaxing” matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it’s intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.

    Even prayer has enough evidence behind it now to suggest it is a method that works, but without reproducing reliability of science.

    But aren’t effective methods that are less certain still hugely valuable – especially in areas that science as yet can’t control, and may never?

    And if Love is the energy of the universe – than it may be that purifying our minds and developing a disposition towards benevolence and love will lead to greater physical well being and health.

    The implications are countless.

    But why don’t you just go at your own pace? If fairies are a step too far for you then hold off on that. There’s no rush, and who knows where you’re journey will take you.

    That doesn’t mean we can invoke entities at will. I am perfectly within my rights to calls fairies inane crazy talk and completely dismiss it as any kind of guide to reality, mere or ultimate. (Btw, I found that Stephen Clarke essay completely unconvincing, sorry.)

    Of course even if reason isn’t definitive, it is one of the tools that can assist us in coming to conclusions about reality, if not the only one or even the primary one.

    The only purely rational position on fairies is agnosticism – saying it’s insane crazy talk is simple dogmatic assertion. You describe very well in one of your comments that it is irrational to think reality is entirely exhausted by the empirical method or even what we can percieve.

    However, fairies properly understood as the spiritual volitional dimension of natural objects, become as plausible as anything else once you reject the reductionist view of science that life is mere mechanism. Or as manifestations of the spiritual dimension.

    We have discussed already that how we come to know anything at all involves faith that the questions our minds ask when we encounter phenomena matches the shape of reality.

    And since our minds naturally ask about the unseen essence of matter – the true nature of it – and it’s ultimate purpose and goal, our minds are naturally attuned to expect a spiritual dimension. In fact it’s only with great effort we can suppress this.

    So from that perspective, reason itself cannot prove, but suggests that fairies exist since it suggests that matter has a goal and purpose, and volition suggests consciousness, and fairies are the spiritual volitional dimensions of natural objects like trees and rivers.

    So I’m afraid it is you who are being irrational 🙂

    ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us!

    First, I can recognize a symptom when I see one. I may not approve of all expressions of vitality but I can recognize symptoms of it’s decline, even if I approve of those symptoms.

    Technological progress was possible when there was hemispheric balance, with the right dominant, and there was an explosion in the arts as well. As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two. Today’s rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt. As the sway of technology over our lives increased, our ability to innovate in that field diminished.

    Second, Im not against accomplishing necessary infrastructure programs, and the loss of our ability to do that rapidly is not something I support.

    Finally and most importantly, the kind of innovation and bold thinking that I am talking about is exactly what will bring us to a vision of science and life of expanded possibilities. We are stuck in a rut, and can’t break out of mechanistic thinking. But as I described above, a science freed from mechanistic thinking may make all sorts of new discoveries.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities – for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today. Or we can choose to live in thatched huts, some of us.

    The point is, bureaucracy and regulations, and an dogmatic commitment to mechanistic thinking, is keeping us in a rut from which we cannot escape.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life – indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life
     

    The original reason those ideas were cooked up, though, was because they were thought to "explain" the operation of various phenomena. When it was realized they weren't need, those ideas were quickly junked. That's why today virtually no one cares about them. That is why you're now mounting a rescue operation that pretends those ideas are somehow "needed" for full satisfaction. Well, not to me they're not. You have no idea of how offensive and repellent I find the aggravating imbecility of animism.

    In my worldview, even God only makes it through by the skin of his teeth. And it's only because positing his existence serves a widely experienced need, both for rational and irrational reasons. Still, those who find God a leap too far are perfectly within their rights to reject him. They too may agree that scientism is incapable of giving a full account of the human experience, but they may simply be prepared to consign that fact to permanent mystery and get on with living their lives as reasonably as they can.

    The "aliveness of the earth" serves no comparable need. Everyone should recognize "fairies" and tree spirits and whatnot as obvious invention and scorn it as such. I have infinitely more respect for cold, hard, materialist atheism than I do for this hippy-dippy earth worship bullshit.


    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on “coaxing” matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it’s intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.
     
    Hard no.

    We are going beyond a more satisfying conception of reality here to actual application (which is what you have always been about). And this is where we part ways. Strict rationality may deprive us of some of the awe or beauty of existence, but imo it more than makes up for it by providing an objective basis to resolve our differences. When we throw out that standard, it just becomes my preferences versus yours. And yours, I'm sorry to say, utterly repel me.


    As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two.
     
    Yeah sure, it's an iron law. I can just imagine you standing beside a graph plotting left brain dominance on one axis versus innovation on the other, indicating with your pointer - tap, tap - "we are here."

    Today’s rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt.
     
    Bullshit.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities – for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today.
     
    The po-mo scum responsible for the uglificiation of our urban landscapes often despise "mechanistic science" even more than you do.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1034. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Beckow

    Yes, we'll do it better this time, of course :) That's the only real answer, and I think what advocates of a return to repression genuinely think.

    If your right that history is circular, then we're akso guaranteed to culminate in the same result, revolution, and nihilism - perhaps, to follow your logic, a bit different, maybe we'll do nihilism "better" this time :)

    But why select from such a restricted range of political options? We stand in an unprecedented situation of having immense knowledge of all the worlds political systems, and the history of their development.

    David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own - for instance a society could be anarchic half the year autocratic the other half, depending on what each was best for - and that our options have gradually narrowed to the point where can't even imagine alternatives outside the two or three offered us in modern times.

    He says there has been a war on imagination, on flexibility in political thinking.

    Don't you find it tedious and otiose that everyone today is divided along two simple axes - for Russia, or against, for China, or for America, and so on down the entire spectrum of political opyions? Doesn't this strike you as a drastic collapse in intelligence?

    I find it astonishing how few people can dare to imagine that both China and the US are to be rejected and alternatives imagined outside the scope of either system. It's like it's literally unimaginable to most people.

    I completely agree with you that "formal" democracy can disguise informal autocracy, and that the so called "free" world is far, far more unfree and autocratic than the official mythic narrative allows for.

    I felt it myself when I traveled to India and South East Asia - I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn't exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States, and I loved it.

    Nevertheless, a glance at China and Russia show that the liberal democracies still have a level of freedom completely lost to those countries.

    But as I said, why choose from either rather than imagine something new and better than either?

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Beckow

    It’s like it’s literally unimaginable to most people.

    Yes, and it is utterly unimaginable for you to consider that the Song of Songs may speak not about Yahwe, but about Baal…;)

    You also happen to follow established positions, even if you like to claim otherwise …;)

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Situated in the context of world religions, Song is not unusual. Sufi, Hindu, Christian, literatures utilizes erotic metaphors, often quite liberally.

    So Phoenicians took over Judaism and subverted it to the worship of Baal, according to you. What's the significance of this? What does it mean - according to you?

    Why is it hard for you to imagine that religions utilize a variety of strategies to inspire devotion, and can on one level condemn explicit sexuality, but on another, condone it's use as metaphor, in an apparent reversal and contradiction.

    Are you prepared to consider that religions are not left hemisphere phenomena, and do not adhere to strict linear thinking, but are fundamentally multi-dimensional. What if religions are attempts to approach a central mystery that cannot easily be captured in words, and thus utilize a range of semantic strategies to engage both the heart and mind, and are not primarily concerned with strict linear consistency that might make sense in some disciplines.

    For that matter, are you aware that in physics quantum theory and relativity formally contradict each yet, and are yet both true? And that leading edge physics today finds that it has no choice but to use ambiguous and contradictory language to describe the ultimate reaches of reality it is investigating?

    You know, it's been said that if you think you understand God, it's not God. Likewise it's been said about relativity theory - if you think you understand it, it isn't relativity theory.

    Both physics and religions deal with the frontiers of reality - might there be something about the extremes of reality that resist simplistic strategies and formulations?

    Why not deepen and sophisticate your thinking - why forever remain a child?

    Ruth is one of those books that shows deep appreciation for non-Jews who join the Jewish nation, a rebuke to any ultra-nationalistic Jews who might despise anyone not Jewish. It's a touching tale of loyalty.

    That it's insisted upon that the paradigmatic Jewish king, David, comes from the line of Ruth, and that means that the very Jewish Messiah himself has partially non-Jewish origins, is surely the most stinging rebuke imaginable to any Jewish ethnic nationalist who might be inclined to overly zealous ethnic bigotry.

    Imagine if more national legends featured their primary heros and religious saviors as having partially foreign origins - how how much more humane would the world be?

    Of course, those aren't the only tendencies in Judaism, and there are also dark ethnically exclusive strains as well - but Ruth provides an important counterbalance, and even, I'd say, a rebuke.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  1035. @silviosilver
    @Mikel


    That is of course true but it doesn’t say anything about the main impulse that led people of all epochs and latitudes to invent myths about the afterlife, ie religions.
     
    I agree that is the most probable explanation. I doubt we'll ever know it for sure, but I'm happy to go with it. I understand your claim to be that had humans never experienced fear of death, then religions would never have been developed. This is the claim I'm disagreeing with. Just because fear of death is how it did happen doesn't mean that's the only way it could have happened. If we had never feared death, I think religions could and almost certainly would still have originated. Why? Precisely for the other functions they serve. Leave aside the mystical abstractions and just focus on basic desires. If we didn't fear death, we'd still want things in this world - we'd want the harvest to be plentiful, we'd want the drought to end, we'd want to be victorious in battle, we'd want to heal from our aliments, we'd want the object of our affections to love us back, we'd want our rivals to suffer, etc. "Hey God, we worship you, now perform for us!"

    I’m curious to know what your current beliefs are.
     
    Let me try breaking it down into levels of certainty.

    First and foremost, is the rejection of scientism, materialism, physicalism, "the completeness of physics" - they all mean much the same to me - as ever even potentially offering an explanation for the totality of the human experience. "We" never should have - and I personally never should have - bought into this misconception in the first place. I think I was simply blinded by the scientific approach's tremendous success in explaining things in general about this world that led me to unthinkingly assume that someday it'd explain absolutely everything about absolutely everything. I am now quite certain it cannot and never will.

    That necessarily forces me to subscribe to either mind-matter dualism, or simply a kind of all-is-mind monism (without getting into the nitty gritty distinctions in this area). Logic may force this on me, but it's no mean feat overcoming half a lifetime of ingrained scientism. I'm still working out the implications of what this position being true are. It's like if scientism caused Nietzsche to declare "God is dead, and we have killed him" but was left wondering what the long-term implications of that death would be, then the rejection of scientism enables us to declare "God lives, and we have raised him!" while leaving us wondering what all this implies for both our present understanding and our future development.

    (To briefly digress, those of a Christian bent could discern a recapitulation of the biblical narrative in this. Adam and Eve eat of the forbidden fruit, while we moderns fall for the Luciferian deception of scientistic enlightenment; Christ freely goes to his death, knowing he'll be raised, while God in our time allows scientism to smite our belief in him, knowing our encounter with the deeper magic he has woven into the fabric of reality will reconcile us to him.)

    At a considerably lower level of certainty - at best 50/50 at this point in time - but the one of greatest interest to me - is the notion that there's a moral purpose behind our existence, a moral goal that we must achieve, and that all the experiences and events of our lives - our own lives, the lives of those who came before us, and the lives of those yet to come - must be filtered through lens of this moral purpose. We're not here for no reason, we're not here by blind chance, we're not here simply for a good time; there's some great purpose behind it all. To keep this post short, I'll leave it here on this point, but I'd be happy to discuss it further and flesh out the barebones outline I've given here.

    Next, it's a pretty steep fall in certainty from all that to specific belief systems. I've referred to Christianity as my spiritual "mother tongue" before, and this has typically made it the first port of call whenever I've experienced a spiritual yearning. How real does any of it seem to me? I'm not sure. What I can say without hesitation is that it's again a "live option." I've been impressed by various Christian apologists. They have mightily upped their game compared to what I remember of them twenty years ago (although I'm also much more prepared to give them a fair hearing today). Impressed, but far from totally convinced; not even close to the way I'd be convinced me if someone walked me through the proof, say, that the square root of two is irrational.

    Then at the same level of uncertainty as traditional religious belief, but a greater wariness, I have various other supernatural, but not strictly religious, ideas. "The paranormal" would be simplest way to sum these up, but it also includes ideas derived from other people's personal experiences that don't easily fit into the classical paranormal categories. This level is tough to handle. On the one hand, my metaphysical commitment requires me to keep an open mind, but on the other hand, I see people as so susceptible to errors of perception and to wishful thinking and to ulterior motives that, phewee, it really tests my mettle.

    Replies: @Mikel

    we’d want to heal from our aliments, we’d want the object of our affections to love us back, we’d want our rivals to suffer, etc. “Hey God, we worship you, now perform for us!”

    Fair enough. Yes, something similar to religion would have appeared anyway but this to me is similar to saying that mythical thinking would have appeared before rational thinking and later science made their presence. Absent any fear of death, we would have equally tried to make sense of nature in terms of gods and supernatural beings but I think that mythical thinking and religion are very different things. And my question was if religion would still exist. Perhaps it would, actually, in the form of the persistence of mythical beliefs but I think that it would have always been a totally different thing than what it historically has been and science would have dealt these beliefs an even bigger blow than it has to religion. Rejecting them would not have entailed the huge obstacle of renouncing your hopes of an afterlife.

    Thank you for the description of your current beliefs. I think that you are further away in your spiritual journey than me at this point. I agree with your rejection of scientism but that’s about as far as I’m willing to go right now, absent some revelatory experience, such as someone like McGilchrist convincing me of how narrow minded I am or, of course, a skinwalker showing up during one of my hikes. In fact, my skepticism and open-mindedness doesn’t allow me to totally discard that scientific progress will one day lead us to a much more perfect understanding of all aspects of reality but that would likely require a very substantial IQ augmentation of our species.

    Also, the fact that there is much more out there than what our limited brains can understand is not necessarily a good thing from an existential perspective. Chimpanzees, and some of our direct ancestors, were not capable of understanding very simple concepts such as 3 x 3 = 9 that we do see form a clear part of reality. But that doesn’t mean that if they had somehow become aware of their brain limitations, a God exists that will take care of them when they die. The fact of their inability to access some aspects of reality leaves that aspect of reality unchanged.

    In the past years I have been trying to understand why so many people find the matter of consciousness so intriguing but I haven’t had much success. On the one hand, I believe that a good part of the discussion on consciousness is just semantic misunderstandings. Consciousness in the everyday meaning of the word sees to be a more or less unremarkable thing. Our senses provide us (and all animals) with information about the exterior world and our brain becomes conscious of that information. It looks like just a simple evolutionary mechanism to allow us to survive. There are more esoteric meanings of consciousness though, especially those that intersect with quantum mechanics, the collapse of the wave function, etc. But I don’t see that the people that have the deepest understanding of these matters have any tendency towards spiritualism at all. If anything, I’d say that they are among the most materialistic demographic, and often clearly in the scientistic camp.

    What I do find tremendously intriguing is the nature of mathematics. Penrose appears to be totally right to me in his Platonic interpretation of mathematics. They exist in a separate dimension of their own and all we do is discover their rules, rather than invent them with our brains, as some others suggest. It looks quite obvious that the Pythagorean theorem existed in reality before we discovered it. It’s part of the nature of the triangular shape and what allows you to build a perfectly square corner in a building. There’s no way the Pythagorean theorem wouldn’t have allowed us to build a perfect corner before Pythagoras made the act of discovering it. In this sense, mathematics rule the material world. Everything in physics follows mathematical rules but only a tiny part of mathematics deals with rules applicable to the physical world. So what the hell is mathematics? Where does it come from? Why are we able to understand them and comprehend what rules are correct?

    I also share with Aaron (but that seems to be about the only spiritual thing we share) his strong attraction to nature. When he describes his experiences in nature I can perfectly relate to them and I can even understand why he gives them a spiritual dimension. I also feel something of that kind but I have never known what it is exactly or why only some people feel this way. I have discussed with him this matter in the past but never arrived at any firm conclusion.

    • Replies: @sudden death
    @Mikel


    The fact of their inability to access some aspects of reality leaves that aspect of reality unchanged.
     
    https://i.postimg.cc/h4CqgC8x/lovecraftian-forces.jpg
  1036. @Mikhail
    @Dmitry


    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.
     
    Any tank without proper backup and faced with a superior fighting force is ultimately doomed as evident with Western supplied tanks in the NATO proxy war involving Russia and the Kiev regime. Among tanks themselves, an upgraded T-72 is still an effective enough fighting machine in numerous conflict scenarios.

    Replies: @Wokechoke

    They really are cookers to be brewed up. All tanks are like this.

  1037. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I think you may have to delve into "epistemology" in general - the inquiry into how we know anything at all, in order to really see where we stand in relation to "reality" :)

    The important thing is not so much believing in any set of propositions - religion is not in the end a set of propositions - but to liberate oneself from the dogmatic assertion of modern times that there cannot exist anything beyond matter.

    The idea that there is nothing beyond the physical - or no teleogy to the universe - isn't proven by science - its an ideological commitment, a dogma.

    Science started as a technique whose purpose was to gain control of nature - it had to exclude from consideration anything that wasn't relevant to this. All techniques have to demarcate their area of inquiry by excluding non-relevant considerations. Over time, it transformed into a metaphysics - a claim about ultimate reality - the dogmatic belief that anything science cannot measure doesn't exist.

    But that's simply a category error. Obviously, you will not "discover" what you have chosen to exclude from sight as a way to demarcate your area of inquiry.

    Its like saying you're only going to study forests - you've pre-set the boundaries of your inquiry - and then decided that mountains and oceans don't exist because you haven't found them in forests.

    Future historians will regard the past few hundred years as one of the weirdest chapters in the intellectual history of the human race.

    It's a shocking discovery for those of us reared on dogmatism, like myself - but all our knowledge contains an element of faith. We can't prove one thing causes another, the most basic element of knowledge. We can't prove the sun will rise tomorrow or gravity will still obtain tomorrow - science has no true laws, just the observation of past regularities. We can't even prove we exist, or our minds truly are accessing reality.

    Life itself in the end is a leap of faith - pure rationality cannot access reality, it is a form of insanity, like schizophrenia.

    Propositional religious claims may be false, or lacking in any proof, but "naturalism" is equally an incoherent dogma that is believed in as an ideological commitment.

    But the important things isn't to believe in propositions, but to come into contact with a larger reality that may be called "supernatural" - or a larger dimension to reality - than mere matter. And I believe you are with your love of nature, whether you accept that or not :)

    And reason and science themselves, in their limited domains, provide significant evidence for the existence of the supernatural and teleology, although it does not - and cannot - prove this. But faith in the supernatural does not stand on a significantly different footing than much of what we claim we "know", once one delves into epistemology.

    And again religion isn't primarily about a set of propositional truths, but about direct contact with a "larger" reality - as in Zen and mysticism. The propositional "truths" of religion are mere attempts to express in language what is at the limits of the expressible, not dogmatic assertions - it's a modern corruption that they've become literal dogmatic assertions.

    For instance, the Hindu idea that the world is the "play" of Brahman - to take this as a propositional truth one must dogmatically assent to is misplaced. It expresses at the limits of language the sense of wonder at why anything exists rather than nothing - and the intuitive sense here is, why, if something exists at all, it must be for joy! Why else exist? Of course, the "naturalistic" explanation, that the world just "is", is incoherent on its own terms - the natural system of cause and effect just suddenly stops at the limits of the system, and we can't inquire further.

    Or that Jesus is God - as a literal propositional truth, who knows? But as a significant mystery - a man comes who tells us to live completely opposite to the supposed common sense rules of life and becomes the basis of a world religion - there is something there, but who knows precisely what.

    Religion is more a state of receptive open mindedness to the larger mysteries around us and a direct contact with a larger reality than any set of dogmatic propositional truths, and religious language isn't literal but at the limits of the expressible.

    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them :)

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Mikel

    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them 🙂

    You are being quite a good example of the “science cannot answer all questions therefore everything goes” attitude that Silvio and I were discussing the other day.

    But in a way you are right. If I completely open my mind to the world of fairies and actually go to the mountains with the explicit purpose of finding them, there is little doubt that I will find them. Our minds can do that for us and much more. In fact, why go to the mountains for that purpose at all? It may be harder to find fairies in a city but, as you said, city parks also have them, if you know where and how to look, and I’m sure you can also find them in your bedroom if you just try and want it hard enough.

    But I personally don’t find this kind of suggestion-induced experience useful in my life. Since childhood I have found nature glorious just the way it is and I fear that trying to add magical elements to my experience would actually break all the charm. I’m quite content with continuing to experience the great outdoors the way I always have, with no fairies or monsters.

    As for your suggestion that my mild hallucinatory feelings in moments of deep exhaustion were the product of my mind being open to new dimensions of reality, no, I think we can discard that (it wasn’t a 4,500 mt mountain btw, it was 5,400 mt one: Cerro El Plomo). One of the well known symptoms of acute altitude sickness is full-on hallucinations. I remember this documentary on deaths on the Everest where they showed a guy who was sick and stuck at a very high altitude. He was so far gone that, at some point, he started undressing himself, in absolutely frigid temperatures. If I remember correctly, they couldn’t do anything for him. Helicopters cannot reach those heights and trying to carry a person in that state down to safety is a tremendous risk. That’s how the highest parts of the Everest normal route have become strewn with corpses. You might think that this guy was just experiencing different dimension of reality due to the exceptional circumstances of the moment, but I’m pretty sure that it was rather brain edema, a well known consequence of altitude sickness, and liquid compressing his brain was making him live a fatal hallucination. That’s all.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Mikel

    I hear - and I won't try and convince you anymore :)

    I'll only point out that belief in fairies can't be considered a good example of wild anything goes belief, even if you personally aren't convinced. It follows a clear process of discernment, utilizes imagination, intuition, historical analysis, cross cultural analysis, and logical and metaphysical reflection.

    Every culture before the modern era believed in a spiritual dimension associated with natural phenomena like trees, rivers, and hills. Animism was standard in all cultures before the modern era, and is still prevalent in technologically advanced countries like Japan, where belief in ghosts is also standard.

    And as mainstream scientists are beginning to entertain the notion that consciousness is a fundamental property of matter, as it's becoming clear all materialist explanations of consciousness pose insuperable difficulties, it seems mainstream science may restore some version of animism to life.

    Perhaps I was too provocative and mischievous in bringing up fairies :) and the discussion should have stayed at the level of spirituality.

    Anyways, anyways...

    The magical dimension you perceived in nature is more than enough.


    He was so far gone that, at some point, he started undressing himself, in absolutely frigid temperatures
     
    Actually, this is a standard feature of freezing to death. As the body freezes it creates the feeling of intense heat.

    And I would certainly agree with you that the human mind is prey to all sorts of delusions, and discernment and judgement must be used in sifting through ambiguous cases.

    Mcgilchrist has a nice little bit about the modern "debunking" of intuition on the basis that it makes mistakes - the eyes are prey to optical illusions all the time, yet no one says they will stop using their vision because of that.

    Make of that what you will.

    I would say that perceiving magic in nature is not your only spiritual dimension, you also seem to be much more decent than most people here.

    As for myself, in a few short weeks I return to the magic of nature, and hopefully to a new bountiful harvest of impressions, experiences, and delights.
    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Mikel

    Psilocybin mushrooms buddy.

  1038. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    It’s like it’s literally unimaginable to most people.
     
    Yes, and it is utterly unimaginable for you to consider that the Song of Songs may speak not about Yahwe, but about Baal...;)

    You also happen to follow established positions, even if you like to claim otherwise ...;)

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Situated in the context of world religions, Song is not unusual. Sufi, Hindu, Christian, literatures utilizes erotic metaphors, often quite liberally.

    So Phoenicians took over Judaism and subverted it to the worship of Baal, according to you. What’s the significance of this? What does it mean – according to you?

    Why is it hard for you to imagine that religions utilize a variety of strategies to inspire devotion, and can on one level condemn explicit sexuality, but on another, condone it’s use as metaphor, in an apparent reversal and contradiction.

    Are you prepared to consider that religions are not left hemisphere phenomena, and do not adhere to strict linear thinking, but are fundamentally multi-dimensional. What if religions are attempts to approach a central mystery that cannot easily be captured in words, and thus utilize a range of semantic strategies to engage both the heart and mind, and are not primarily concerned with strict linear consistency that might make sense in some disciplines.

    For that matter, are you aware that in physics quantum theory and relativity formally contradict each yet, and are yet both true? And that leading edge physics today finds that it has no choice but to use ambiguous and contradictory language to describe the ultimate reaches of reality it is investigating?

    You know, it’s been said that if you think you understand God, it’s not God. Likewise it’s been said about relativity theory – if you think you understand it, it isn’t relativity theory.

    Both physics and religions deal with the frontiers of reality – might there be something about the extremes of reality that resist simplistic strategies and formulations?

    Why not deepen and sophisticate your thinking – why forever remain a child?

    Ruth is one of those books that shows deep appreciation for non-Jews who join the Jewish nation, a rebuke to any ultra-nationalistic Jews who might despise anyone not Jewish. It’s a touching tale of loyalty.

    That it’s insisted upon that the paradigmatic Jewish king, David, comes from the line of Ruth, and that means that the very Jewish Messiah himself has partially non-Jewish origins, is surely the most stinging rebuke imaginable to any Jewish ethnic nationalist who might be inclined to overly zealous ethnic bigotry.

    Imagine if more national legends featured their primary heros and religious saviors as having partially foreign origins – how how much more humane would the world be?

    Of course, those aren’t the only tendencies in Judaism, and there are also dark ethnically exclusive strains as well – but Ruth provides an important counterbalance, and even, I’d say, a rebuke.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    So Phoenicians took over Judaism and subverted it to the worship of Baal, according to you. What’s the significance of this? What does it mean – according to you
     
    ?

    It means that modern rabbinical Judaism is basically the opposite of the old biblical Judaism, with some trappings, like Shabbat, left. It means that Kabbalah is just a form of magic/sorcery, otherwise banned in OT. It means that Judaism is more incoherent than other religions. It means that Jews, true Jews, not "those who call themselves Jews but are not" in the words of Revelation, will bear consequence of this betrayal, which ultimately is endless suffering. Such was a Holocaust, an event named as "sacrifice", probably to Baal, who, as we know from Carthage, habitually accepted human sacrifice as a fulfilment of vows, or "contracts" with god - thus anything really good must be paid with blood.

    Since Bible teach us that genealogy is important, for both sides, for Jews, and Canaanites, you cannot really win changing a god. What Baal has given you, he will start taking away - the current situation in Israel is a reminder of this truth.


    Why not deepen and sophisticate your thinking – why forever remain a child?
     
    I think it is otherwise. I am an adult who confronts the reality of the text, you are more like a child who is afraid of the demon of manicheism, which pervades the greater part of OT.
    It is also rather clear from reading OT that biblical Judaism was intended for Jews only, and it wasn't a missionary religion, not even in the mould of Buddhism.

    However, I don't see much wrong in non-Jews becoming Jews, but in OT the problem is that these converts are hypocrites, trying to practice their old religion under the cover of Judaism - the pagan symbolism of the Song of Songs is here very revealing. Likewise in Book of Ruth, you suddenly have this shoe with which in Babylon the contracts of adoption were concluded.
    And such a hypocrisy is a problem - that I can agree with.

    Relativity theory and quantum theory describe macro and micro world respectively, so they aren't inherently contradictory, since we are well aware that they are localized theories, crutches really, and we still need some general theory, provisionally known as Grand Unification Theory, or GUT.

    As for Messiah concept, it is actually quite a weak concept in terms of prophecies (there are many stronger and clearer prophecies in Bible than those about Messiah), probably the political plan of converts (thus the insistence on non-Jewish genealogy), as Israel was originally intended as a nation without central ruler, but "some people" started to clamour for him, as "we need to be as other nation of the world", namely - more pagan...

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1039. In school, I remember being taught that vultures are the only birds with a good sense of smell. No doubt, it is true in a way, but also false, depending on your yardstick.

    Vultures do have big nostrils. With the proper methods, you can use them as a tool to find leaks in pipelines hundreds of miles long.

    But, making my own experiments, I’ve seen that crows, which are also carrion feeders but have small nostrils, don’t hunt by sight alone. Put something in a bush and they will find it. They can supposedly smell certain things from miles away or centimeters underground. But are still considered to have a poor sense of smell.

    I also noticed that they will feed and then fly off, before returning later. Am thinking it is because they don’t want to be seen in a tree nearby and draw attention to their find. But I suppose it could be for other reasons.

  1040. @Mikel
    @silviosilver


    we’d want to heal from our aliments, we’d want the object of our affections to love us back, we’d want our rivals to suffer, etc. “Hey God, we worship you, now perform for us!”
     
    Fair enough. Yes, something similar to religion would have appeared anyway but this to me is similar to saying that mythical thinking would have appeared before rational thinking and later science made their presence. Absent any fear of death, we would have equally tried to make sense of nature in terms of gods and supernatural beings but I think that mythical thinking and religion are very different things. And my question was if religion would still exist. Perhaps it would, actually, in the form of the persistence of mythical beliefs but I think that it would have always been a totally different thing than what it historically has been and science would have dealt these beliefs an even bigger blow than it has to religion. Rejecting them would not have entailed the huge obstacle of renouncing your hopes of an afterlife.

    Thank you for the description of your current beliefs. I think that you are further away in your spiritual journey than me at this point. I agree with your rejection of scientism but that's about as far as I'm willing to go right now, absent some revelatory experience, such as someone like McGilchrist convincing me of how narrow minded I am or, of course, a skinwalker showing up during one of my hikes. In fact, my skepticism and open-mindedness doesn't allow me to totally discard that scientific progress will one day lead us to a much more perfect understanding of all aspects of reality but that would likely require a very substantial IQ augmentation of our species.

    Also, the fact that there is much more out there than what our limited brains can understand is not necessarily a good thing from an existential perspective. Chimpanzees, and some of our direct ancestors, were not capable of understanding very simple concepts such as 3 x 3 = 9 that we do see form a clear part of reality. But that doesn't mean that if they had somehow become aware of their brain limitations, a God exists that will take care of them when they die. The fact of their inability to access some aspects of reality leaves that aspect of reality unchanged.

    In the past years I have been trying to understand why so many people find the matter of consciousness so intriguing but I haven't had much success. On the one hand, I believe that a good part of the discussion on consciousness is just semantic misunderstandings. Consciousness in the everyday meaning of the word sees to be a more or less unremarkable thing. Our senses provide us (and all animals) with information about the exterior world and our brain becomes conscious of that information. It looks like just a simple evolutionary mechanism to allow us to survive. There are more esoteric meanings of consciousness though, especially those that intersect with quantum mechanics, the collapse of the wave function, etc. But I don't see that the people that have the deepest understanding of these matters have any tendency towards spiritualism at all. If anything, I'd say that they are among the most materialistic demographic, and often clearly in the scientistic camp.

    What I do find tremendously intriguing is the nature of mathematics. Penrose appears to be totally right to me in his Platonic interpretation of mathematics. They exist in a separate dimension of their own and all we do is discover their rules, rather than invent them with our brains, as some others suggest. It looks quite obvious that the Pythagorean theorem existed in reality before we discovered it. It's part of the nature of the triangular shape and what allows you to build a perfectly square corner in a building. There's no way the Pythagorean theorem wouldn't have allowed us to build a perfect corner before Pythagoras made the act of discovering it. In this sense, mathematics rule the material world. Everything in physics follows mathematical rules but only a tiny part of mathematics deals with rules applicable to the physical world. So what the hell is mathematics? Where does it come from? Why are we able to understand them and comprehend what rules are correct?

    I also share with Aaron (but that seems to be about the only spiritual thing we share) his strong attraction to nature. When he describes his experiences in nature I can perfectly relate to them and I can even understand why he gives them a spiritual dimension. I also feel something of that kind but I have never known what it is exactly or why only some people feel this way. I have discussed with him this matter in the past but never arrived at any firm conclusion.

    Replies: @sudden death

    The fact of their inability to access some aspects of reality leaves that aspect of reality unchanged.

  1041. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ


    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black?
     
    Because Africans aren't immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn't happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa's population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over - I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).

    It's all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.
     
    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?

    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries?
     
    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.

    As a side note, I’m wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience?
     
    I don't do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?
     
    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.



    https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1667839359700041728

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Because Africans aren’t immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn’t happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa’s population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over – I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).

    I know about the demographic transition. But the thing is that the US and Europe are the richest parts of the world due to their average IQ and smart fraction advantages. So, migrants will prefer to move there under open borders over moving to other, less attractive destinations. India would probably roughly be as attractive as Romania even under its full potential. Romania is attracting some immigrants over the last decade, but it’s never going to be as attractive as the Germanic countries, including and especially the Anglosphere.

    In theory, East Asia could also be highly attractive for immigrants, but the problem is that I don’t see a huge open borders movement in East Asian countries, unlike in the West. Do you think that this will actually change? Because in China, didn’t you say that higher IQ people are on average *more* nationalistic?

    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    In a Reddit interview, you first said that we need to reach the promised land:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/reddit-russia-ama-highlights/

    As a transhumanist myself I don’t really understand how transhumanism and nationalism mixed together in you. The idea of transhumanism transcends the ideas of nations, races and even the human nature. Technological evolution should unite the humanity and as long people become more and more connected today with each other – the ideas of national goverments and nations will be rendered oblosete with time.

    Good question.

    Very legitimate one, of course. I am sure that once we get to computer superintelligence or CRISPR ourselves up to 175 average IQs, the world will become thoroughly cosmopolitan (support for tolerance, open borders, free trade, etc. tends to increase with IQ).

    Problem #1 – developing those technologies takes brains. Elite brains. “Smart fractions,” as they’re known in the psychometric literature. As well as the appropriate technological growth-friendly institutions, which again need a certain level of average national IQ to maintain.

    Problem #2 – the evidence suggests that mass immigration from the Third World has negative effects on average national IQ. There is also good recent economic research that suggests that immigrants tend to carry over their home country cultural attitudes, with negative impacts on the quality of institutions in the host countries. See Garett Jones.

    Can you envision the US or Japan (average IQ ~100) launching a singularity? It doesn’t seem entirely implausible.

    Can you envision Brazil or Indonesia (average IQ ~85) launching a singularity? Sub-Saharan Africa (average IQ ~70)? Seems rather less likely.

    As the neoreactionaries say, you can’t cultivate gardens without walls. We don’t know what kind of smart fraction ingenuity would be necessary for the biosphere to complete its transition into a disembodied noosphere. As such, it makes sense to play it safe.

    (Your own answer here is in bold. You did say later on that immigration doesn’t affect smart fraction size, but I wonder if that’s too optimistic since Emil Kirkegaard told me via Twitter PM that assortative mating is only partially effective in regards to this–as in, it slows down the process of smart fraction decline in a low-average IQ country but isn’t guaranteed to completely stop it. He said that he did mathematical models to demonstrate this.)

    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?

    They all vote for left-wing parties in the West.

    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.

    Why destroy successful models? The US, EU, and China are at least successes, though China at least is too authoritarian and even totalitarian. The fact that Russia is a failure doesn’t mean that other, more successful nation-states should be destroyed.

    As I previously said, have network states reach the US’s/EU’s/China’s level of total GDP, elite science production, et cetera, and then we can start taking them seriously.

    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.

    So, are 85+% of Russians going to speak English like 85+% of Scandinavians apparently do right now? If so, when?

    The interesting thing is that you could have kept your Russian National State had Russian nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. Just like Germans could have kept their own German National State had German nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. But in both cases, they sought to expand too much and thus ended up getting too many enemies for themselves, thus leading to the discrediting of their ideology.

    Interestingly enough, Russians appear to be fucked regardless of which ideology they are exposed to. They were fucked by Communism, fucked by Nazism, fucked by oligarchic globalism (1990s), fucked by Pan-Slavism (WWI, millions of unnecessary Russian deaths even in the event of a hypothetical Russian victory), and fucked by Russian nationalism (the current war). Only non-oligarchic globalism and a milder, Mussolini-like form of Fascism (White Rex, especially if he moderates?) have not been tried for Russians. Russians need to choose between these two options.

    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.

    Your article (that one, at least) wasn’t written from a nationalist perspective, though. For instance, what’s your solution to the massively increased climate change that will occur from the mass migration of at least a couple billion people (at least a billion from Sub-Saharan Africa and a billion from elsewhere) to the First World? Geoengineering? Do we actually have the technology for this?

    BTW, it’s quite interesting that a US that would be 30+% black (non-cognitive elites) would likely have a murder rate comparable to Alabama, Louisiana, or South Carolina, if not Mississippi:

    But we shouldn’t worry about this because it’s primarily blacks killing each other, right?

    Still, I’d be more sympathetic to getting more non-elite black immigrants to the US/West, Russia, and Israel if race realism was more widely accepted. We could at least then discuss the virtues of various solutions to huge black crime, such as racial profiling, instead of outright dismissing them. (Racial profiling could be moral if, on the net, it saves significantly more black lives than it unintentionally kills.)

    And what’s your solution to Muslims murdering people over “Islamophobic” speech? Gated communities and racial/ethnic/religious profiling? Would the Left (other than Islam-realists like Sam Harris) actually be willing to accept the latter part here?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    Fundamentally, it strikes me that Israel's attitude towards those African blacks who wish to convert to Judaism (other than the Falash Mura) is fundamentally misguided:

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/we-have-to-prevent-fake-conversions-pm-says-when-asked-about-court-ruling/

    https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4528683,00.html

    But is Israeli elite human capital actually willing to do anything about this issue? One would think that if one was genuinely committed to egalitarianism, then one should support allowing anyone to convert to Judaism and also to subsequently allow them to move to Israel if they are not a threat to Israel's security or public safety. But this is very far from Israel's current approach and I'm highly skeptical that even Israeli elite human capital actually supports changing current Israeli policy on this issue to such an extraordinarily drastic extent.

    Replies: @A123

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    I think that for nation-states, the best move for them would be to pursue as generous of an immigration policy as possible while avoiding huge social disruptions and ensuring that they will get to both keep as much of their existing EHC as possible and continue attracting as much EHC as possible from abroad.

  1042. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them 🙂
     
    You are being quite a good example of the "science cannot answer all questions therefore everything goes" attitude that Silvio and I were discussing the other day.

    But in a way you are right. If I completely open my mind to the world of fairies and actually go to the mountains with the explicit purpose of finding them, there is little doubt that I will find them. Our minds can do that for us and much more. In fact, why go to the mountains for that purpose at all? It may be harder to find fairies in a city but, as you said, city parks also have them, if you know where and how to look, and I'm sure you can also find them in your bedroom if you just try and want it hard enough.

    But I personally don't find this kind of suggestion-induced experience useful in my life. Since childhood I have found nature glorious just the way it is and I fear that trying to add magical elements to my experience would actually break all the charm. I'm quite content with continuing to experience the great outdoors the way I always have, with no fairies or monsters.

    As for your suggestion that my mild hallucinatory feelings in moments of deep exhaustion were the product of my mind being open to new dimensions of reality, no, I think we can discard that (it wasn't a 4,500 mt mountain btw, it was 5,400 mt one: Cerro El Plomo). One of the well known symptoms of acute altitude sickness is full-on hallucinations. I remember this documentary on deaths on the Everest where they showed a guy who was sick and stuck at a very high altitude. He was so far gone that, at some point, he started undressing himself, in absolutely frigid temperatures. If I remember correctly, they couldn't do anything for him. Helicopters cannot reach those heights and trying to carry a person in that state down to safety is a tremendous risk. That's how the highest parts of the Everest normal route have become strewn with corpses. You might think that this guy was just experiencing different dimension of reality due to the exceptional circumstances of the moment, but I'm pretty sure that it was rather brain edema, a well known consequence of altitude sickness, and liquid compressing his brain was making him live a fatal hallucination. That's all.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Emil Nikola Richard

    I hear – and I won’t try and convince you anymore 🙂

    I’ll only point out that belief in fairies can’t be considered a good example of wild anything goes belief, even if you personally aren’t convinced. It follows a clear process of discernment, utilizes imagination, intuition, historical analysis, cross cultural analysis, and logical and metaphysical reflection.

    Every culture before the modern era believed in a spiritual dimension associated with natural phenomena like trees, rivers, and hills. Animism was standard in all cultures before the modern era, and is still prevalent in technologically advanced countries like Japan, where belief in ghosts is also standard.

    And as mainstream scientists are beginning to entertain the notion that consciousness is a fundamental property of matter, as it’s becoming clear all materialist explanations of consciousness pose insuperable difficulties, it seems mainstream science may restore some version of animism to life.

    Perhaps I was too provocative and mischievous in bringing up fairies 🙂 and the discussion should have stayed at the level of spirituality.

    Anyways, anyways…

    The magical dimension you perceived in nature is more than enough.

    He was so far gone that, at some point, he started undressing himself, in absolutely frigid temperatures

    Actually, this is a standard feature of freezing to death. As the body freezes it creates the feeling of intense heat.

    And I would certainly agree with you that the human mind is prey to all sorts of delusions, and discernment and judgement must be used in sifting through ambiguous cases.

    Mcgilchrist has a nice little bit about the modern “debunking” of intuition on the basis that it makes mistakes – the eyes are prey to optical illusions all the time, yet no one says they will stop using their vision because of that.

    Make of that what you will.

    I would say that perceiving magic in nature is not your only spiritual dimension, you also seem to be much more decent than most people here.

    As for myself, in a few short weeks I return to the magic of nature, and hopefully to a new bountiful harvest of impressions, experiences, and delights.

  1043. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Situated in the context of world religions, Song is not unusual. Sufi, Hindu, Christian, literatures utilizes erotic metaphors, often quite liberally.

    So Phoenicians took over Judaism and subverted it to the worship of Baal, according to you. What's the significance of this? What does it mean - according to you?

    Why is it hard for you to imagine that religions utilize a variety of strategies to inspire devotion, and can on one level condemn explicit sexuality, but on another, condone it's use as metaphor, in an apparent reversal and contradiction.

    Are you prepared to consider that religions are not left hemisphere phenomena, and do not adhere to strict linear thinking, but are fundamentally multi-dimensional. What if religions are attempts to approach a central mystery that cannot easily be captured in words, and thus utilize a range of semantic strategies to engage both the heart and mind, and are not primarily concerned with strict linear consistency that might make sense in some disciplines.

    For that matter, are you aware that in physics quantum theory and relativity formally contradict each yet, and are yet both true? And that leading edge physics today finds that it has no choice but to use ambiguous and contradictory language to describe the ultimate reaches of reality it is investigating?

    You know, it's been said that if you think you understand God, it's not God. Likewise it's been said about relativity theory - if you think you understand it, it isn't relativity theory.

    Both physics and religions deal with the frontiers of reality - might there be something about the extremes of reality that resist simplistic strategies and formulations?

    Why not deepen and sophisticate your thinking - why forever remain a child?

    Ruth is one of those books that shows deep appreciation for non-Jews who join the Jewish nation, a rebuke to any ultra-nationalistic Jews who might despise anyone not Jewish. It's a touching tale of loyalty.

    That it's insisted upon that the paradigmatic Jewish king, David, comes from the line of Ruth, and that means that the very Jewish Messiah himself has partially non-Jewish origins, is surely the most stinging rebuke imaginable to any Jewish ethnic nationalist who might be inclined to overly zealous ethnic bigotry.

    Imagine if more national legends featured their primary heros and religious saviors as having partially foreign origins - how how much more humane would the world be?

    Of course, those aren't the only tendencies in Judaism, and there are also dark ethnically exclusive strains as well - but Ruth provides an important counterbalance, and even, I'd say, a rebuke.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    So Phoenicians took over Judaism and subverted it to the worship of Baal, according to you. What’s the significance of this? What does it mean – according to you

    ?

    It means that modern rabbinical Judaism is basically the opposite of the old biblical Judaism, with some trappings, like Shabbat, left. It means that Kabbalah is just a form of magic/sorcery, otherwise banned in OT. It means that Judaism is more incoherent than other religions. It means that Jews, true Jews, not “those who call themselves Jews but are not” in the words of Revelation, will bear consequence of this betrayal, which ultimately is endless suffering. Such was a Holocaust, an event named as “sacrifice”, probably to Baal, who, as we know from Carthage, habitually accepted human sacrifice as a fulfilment of vows, or “contracts” with god – thus anything really good must be paid with blood.

    Since Bible teach us that genealogy is important, for both sides, for Jews, and Canaanites, you cannot really win changing a god. What Baal has given you, he will start taking away – the current situation in Israel is a reminder of this truth.

    Why not deepen and sophisticate your thinking – why forever remain a child?

    I think it is otherwise. I am an adult who confronts the reality of the text, you are more like a child who is afraid of the demon of manicheism, which pervades the greater part of OT.
    It is also rather clear from reading OT that biblical Judaism was intended for Jews only, and it wasn’t a missionary religion, not even in the mould of Buddhism.

    However, I don’t see much wrong in non-Jews becoming Jews, but in OT the problem is that these converts are hypocrites, trying to practice their old religion under the cover of Judaism – the pagan symbolism of the Song of Songs is here very revealing. Likewise in Book of Ruth, you suddenly have this shoe with which in Babylon the contracts of adoption were concluded.
    And such a hypocrisy is a problem – that I can agree with.

    Relativity theory and quantum theory describe macro and micro world respectively, so they aren’t inherently contradictory, since we are well aware that they are localized theories, crutches really, and we still need some general theory, provisionally known as Grand Unification Theory, or GUT.

    As for Messiah concept, it is actually quite a weak concept in terms of prophecies (there are many stronger and clearer prophecies in Bible than those about Messiah), probably the political plan of converts (thus the insistence on non-Jewish genealogy), as Israel was originally intended as a nation without central ruler, but “some people” started to clamour for him, as “we need to be as other nation of the world”, namely – more pagan…

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    So far, your assessment of Judaism seems to rely on what might be called "external" and "surface" factors - the origins of words, their historical relationships, and the like.

    I'm curious if you have any assessment of the "inner" dimension of Judaism - it's ethical content, it's spiritual attitude, it's relationship to the ultimate mystery, the ultimate goal and purpose of its ethical and spiritual practices, and the like.

    And do you think it's vital to assess the "inner" dimension of a religion, or can we come to conclusions based largely on external factors.

    For instance, you claim Kabbalah represents the worship of Baal because Phoenician priests took over the religious system of which it forms a part, an "external" factor. But do you have any assessment of the "inner" dimension of Kabbalah, of its ethical and spiritual attitude, it's relationship to the ultimate, and its ultimate purpose and goal.

    And please don't be afraid to offend me - I have no special relationship to the Jewish religion, and only try to be as fair and sympathetic to it as I do to every other religion.

    I'd agree with you that the religion of the OT was primarily intended for ethnic Jews, while opening itself up to any ethnic aliens who wanted to join, consistent with the pattern of the ancient world where religious cult was ethnically local.

    However, the religion of the OT differed significantly from local ethnic cults in that it had a vision of the universal destiny of mankind as a whole, and the ultimate transformation of humanity and the world on the basis of an ethical vision.

    While a local pagan cult might pray to its local deity for success, it didn't have a total vision of ethical transformation of the entire world, as one might find in Isaiah, for instance.

    Of course, the religion of the OT also had features of a local ethnic cult whose deity is called upon for success against rivals, but it transcended that as well.

    So in that sense, Judaism was indeed "universalist" - its vision was for all mankind, and it was one of ultimate peace, amity, and cooperation, and total world transformation, especially in the later prophetic books.

    As regards elements of Babylonian symbolism and religious practice within the the OT, the OT is steeped in it, from Genesis onwards. The society of the OT was part of a common Near Eastern mythological heritage, that all peoples in that region shared, and that defined it's difference by the ethical and spiritual purpose it put that shared mythical heritage to, and not by the invention of a new one in all respects.

    Do you think it's a legitimate practice for a religion to borrow elements of a foreign religion, terminology, practices, myths, and give them an entirely new "inner" dimension, or ethical significance, or situate them in a new context which transforms their meaning, or do you think the "external" origin of the borrowed practice or term exclusively defines its character and meaning once and for all.

    Like Buddhism borrowed essential terminology from Hindu religious tradition, as well as certain practices, and gave them novel twists and situated them in contexts which altered their significance - or do you think this simply means Hindu elements are covertly active in Buddhism.

    Do you think meaning is significantly defined by context - or do you think meaning is established unalterably at the level of literal definition.

    As for Relativity and Quantum, at the level of everyday human language they are contradictory. Even basic concepts within one field, like that phenomena can be both waves and particles, violate our ordinary notions of the non-contradiction principle.

    Of course there is a larger dimension of reality in which they are reconciled, but it is already clear that it won't be expressible in terms that are consistent with ordinary everyday logic.

    Likewise, religious people think contradictions and paradoxes within religion are reconciled at the level of ultimate reality, and that that level isn't expressible in everyday logic. Religion too is searching for it's Grand Theory of Everything in which all is reconciled :)

    Do you think that there is a dimension of ultimate reality that may transcend the resources of ordinary language and everyday logic, and that grappling with this mystery is nevertheless important both for physics and religion, and may lead us to use paradoxical language, a range of semantic strategies, and terms that changes their meaning depending on context - for instance, eroticism bad in one context, the literal, but good in another context, the symbolic.

    Or do you think the resources of ordinary language and everyday logic are fully adequate to ultimate reality and reality is exhausted by everyday language.

    As for the Messiah, is he not the culmination vision of the OT - the man who will usher in the transformation of the world and the new era of peace and amity and redemption? I am curious as to which prophecies you think are more central and characteristic of the ultimate vision of the OT, if you please.

  1044. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Because Africans aren’t immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn’t happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa’s population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over – I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).
     
    I know about the demographic transition. But the thing is that the US and Europe are the richest parts of the world due to their average IQ and smart fraction advantages. So, migrants will prefer to move there under open borders over moving to other, less attractive destinations. India would probably roughly be as attractive as Romania even under its full potential. Romania is attracting some immigrants over the last decade, but it's never going to be as attractive as the Germanic countries, including and especially the Anglosphere.

    In theory, East Asia could also be highly attractive for immigrants, but the problem is that I don't see a huge open borders movement in East Asian countries, unlike in the West. Do you think that this will actually change? Because in China, didn't you say that higher IQ people are on average *more* nationalistic?


    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.
     
    In a Reddit interview, you first said that we need to reach the promised land:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/reddit-russia-ama-highlights/

    As a transhumanist myself I don’t really understand how transhumanism and nationalism mixed together in you. The idea of transhumanism transcends the ideas of nations, races and even the human nature. Technological evolution should unite the humanity and as long people become more and more connected today with each other – the ideas of national goverments and nations will be rendered oblosete with time.

    Good question.

    Very legitimate one, of course. I am sure that once we get to computer superintelligence or CRISPR ourselves up to 175 average IQs, the world will become thoroughly cosmopolitan (support for tolerance, open borders, free trade, etc. tends to increase with IQ).

    Problem #1 – developing those technologies takes brains. Elite brains. “Smart fractions,” as they’re known in the psychometric literature. As well as the appropriate technological growth-friendly institutions, which again need a certain level of average national IQ to maintain.

    Problem #2 – the evidence suggests that mass immigration from the Third World has negative effects on average national IQ. There is also good recent economic research that suggests that immigrants tend to carry over their home country cultural attitudes, with negative impacts on the quality of institutions in the host countries. See Garett Jones.

    Can you envision the US or Japan (average IQ ~100) launching a singularity? It doesn’t seem entirely implausible.

    Can you envision Brazil or Indonesia (average IQ ~85) launching a singularity? Sub-Saharan Africa (average IQ ~70)? Seems rather less likely.

    As the neoreactionaries say, you can’t cultivate gardens without walls. We don’t know what kind of smart fraction ingenuity would be necessary for the biosphere to complete its transition into a disembodied noosphere. As such, it makes sense to play it safe.

    (Your own answer here is in bold. You did say later on that immigration doesn't affect smart fraction size, but I wonder if that's too optimistic since Emil Kirkegaard told me via Twitter PM that assortative mating is only partially effective in regards to this--as in, it slows down the process of smart fraction decline in a low-average IQ country but isn't guaranteed to completely stop it. He said that he did mathematical models to demonstrate this.)


    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?
     
    They all vote for left-wing parties in the West.

    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.
     
    Why destroy successful models? The US, EU, and China are at least successes, though China at least is too authoritarian and even totalitarian. The fact that Russia is a failure doesn't mean that other, more successful nation-states should be destroyed.

    As I previously said, have network states reach the US's/EU's/China's level of total GDP, elite science production, et cetera, and then we can start taking them seriously.


    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.
     

    So, are 85+% of Russians going to speak English like 85+% of Scandinavians apparently do right now? If so, when?

    The interesting thing is that you could have kept your Russian National State had Russian nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. Just like Germans could have kept their own German National State had German nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. But in both cases, they sought to expand too much and thus ended up getting too many enemies for themselves, thus leading to the discrediting of their ideology.

    Interestingly enough, Russians appear to be fucked regardless of which ideology they are exposed to. They were fucked by Communism, fucked by Nazism, fucked by oligarchic globalism (1990s), fucked by Pan-Slavism (WWI, millions of unnecessary Russian deaths even in the event of a hypothetical Russian victory), and fucked by Russian nationalism (the current war). Only non-oligarchic globalism and a milder, Mussolini-like form of Fascism (White Rex, especially if he moderates?) have not been tried for Russians. Russians need to choose between these two options.


    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.
     
    Your article (that one, at least) wasn't written from a nationalist perspective, though. For instance, what's your solution to the massively increased climate change that will occur from the mass migration of at least a couple billion people (at least a billion from Sub-Saharan Africa and a billion from elsewhere) to the First World? Geoengineering? Do we actually have the technology for this?

    BTW, it's quite interesting that a US that would be 30+% black (non-cognitive elites) would likely have a murder rate comparable to Alabama, Louisiana, or South Carolina, if not Mississippi:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e9/Homicide_rates_per_100%2C000_by_state._US_map.svg/1280px-Homicide_rates_per_100%2C000_by_state._US_map.svg.png

    But we shouldn't worry about this because it's primarily blacks killing each other, right?

    Still, I'd be more sympathetic to getting more non-elite black immigrants to the US/West, Russia, and Israel if race realism was more widely accepted. We could at least then discuss the virtues of various solutions to huge black crime, such as racial profiling, instead of outright dismissing them. (Racial profiling could be moral if, on the net, it saves significantly more black lives than it unintentionally kills.)

    And what's your solution to Muslims murdering people over "Islamophobic" speech? Gated communities and racial/ethnic/religious profiling? Would the Left (other than Islam-realists like Sam Harris) actually be willing to accept the latter part here?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    Fundamentally, it strikes me that Israel’s attitude towards those African blacks who wish to convert to Judaism (other than the Falash Mura) is fundamentally misguided:

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/we-have-to-prevent-fake-conversions-pm-says-when-asked-about-court-ruling/

    https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4528683,00.html

    But is Israeli elite human capital actually willing to do anything about this issue? One would think that if one was genuinely committed to egalitarianism, then one should support allowing anyone to convert to Judaism and also to subsequently allow them to move to Israel if they are not a threat to Israel’s security or public safety. But this is very far from Israel’s current approach and I’m highly skeptical that even Israeli elite human capital actually supports changing current Israeli policy on this issue to such an extraordinarily drastic extent.

    • Replies: @A123
    @Mr. XYZ

    What value is their in being "egalitarian"? It is a terrible idea and goes against Judeo-Christian values.

    Palestinian Jews are wisely exclusionary. This High-IQ program protects Israeli human capital. Tucker Carlson suggested that the U.S. should be equally exclusionary & protective in our immigration policy. Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery.

    The Antisemitic Defaming League then attacked Carlson for wanting to be like Palestinian Jews. The Islamophile ADL of course hates exclusions that would limit the progress of low-IQ Muslim invaders.

    PEACE 😇

  1045. Since the death of Sinead O’Connor, I have been wondering if crazy people tend to have greater vocal range, due to their tendency to make weird noises and to sound stressed out. Note the word “high-strung.”

    Would suggest that she hated the Church because they ran the mental institution she was in as a teenager:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magdalene_Laundries_in_Ireland

    [MORE]

    I tried to listen to some short Irish podcast about her, but I couldn’t do it because it weirdly seemed to be about blacks.

    They said that in the sanitorium, on one side of her was an elderly woman who had been there all her life, and on the other side of her was a black woman (and single mother) whose baby they took away. (Seems shocking statistically – how many blacks were in Ireland, when she was a teenager? Also a sane policy: would have probably prevented many of the Nigerian anchor babies who were a just bridgehead for extreme invasion)

    Anyway, from that, not very far into it, they played her 1990 song, about some black youth in London shot on a moped. And I was thinking, “Wow, you’d have to be super-woke to write a song like that in Ireland in 1990.”. Perhaps, she wasn’t living there at the time?

    • Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard
    @songbird

    1. I just found out about Sinead's end
    2. Since I posted this 4 days ago there have been excellent answers posted

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6079120

  1046. A123 says: • Website
    @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    Fundamentally, it strikes me that Israel's attitude towards those African blacks who wish to convert to Judaism (other than the Falash Mura) is fundamentally misguided:

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/we-have-to-prevent-fake-conversions-pm-says-when-asked-about-court-ruling/

    https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4528683,00.html

    But is Israeli elite human capital actually willing to do anything about this issue? One would think that if one was genuinely committed to egalitarianism, then one should support allowing anyone to convert to Judaism and also to subsequently allow them to move to Israel if they are not a threat to Israel's security or public safety. But this is very far from Israel's current approach and I'm highly skeptical that even Israeli elite human capital actually supports changing current Israeli policy on this issue to such an extraordinarily drastic extent.

    Replies: @A123

    What value is their in being “egalitarian”? It is a terrible idea and goes against Judeo-Christian values.

    Palestinian Jews are wisely exclusionary. This High-IQ program protects Israeli human capital. Tucker Carlson suggested that the U.S. should be equally exclusionary & protective in our immigration policy. Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery.

    The Antisemitic Defaming League then attacked Carlson for wanting to be like Palestinian Jews. The Islamophile ADL of course hates exclusions that would limit the progress of low-IQ Muslim invaders.

    PEACE 😇

  1047. @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Now, go look for those fairies next time you hike, you will find them 🙂
     
    You are being quite a good example of the "science cannot answer all questions therefore everything goes" attitude that Silvio and I were discussing the other day.

    But in a way you are right. If I completely open my mind to the world of fairies and actually go to the mountains with the explicit purpose of finding them, there is little doubt that I will find them. Our minds can do that for us and much more. In fact, why go to the mountains for that purpose at all? It may be harder to find fairies in a city but, as you said, city parks also have them, if you know where and how to look, and I'm sure you can also find them in your bedroom if you just try and want it hard enough.

    But I personally don't find this kind of suggestion-induced experience useful in my life. Since childhood I have found nature glorious just the way it is and I fear that trying to add magical elements to my experience would actually break all the charm. I'm quite content with continuing to experience the great outdoors the way I always have, with no fairies or monsters.

    As for your suggestion that my mild hallucinatory feelings in moments of deep exhaustion were the product of my mind being open to new dimensions of reality, no, I think we can discard that (it wasn't a 4,500 mt mountain btw, it was 5,400 mt one: Cerro El Plomo). One of the well known symptoms of acute altitude sickness is full-on hallucinations. I remember this documentary on deaths on the Everest where they showed a guy who was sick and stuck at a very high altitude. He was so far gone that, at some point, he started undressing himself, in absolutely frigid temperatures. If I remember correctly, they couldn't do anything for him. Helicopters cannot reach those heights and trying to carry a person in that state down to safety is a tremendous risk. That's how the highest parts of the Everest normal route have become strewn with corpses. You might think that this guy was just experiencing different dimension of reality due to the exceptional circumstances of the moment, but I'm pretty sure that it was rather brain edema, a well known consequence of altitude sickness, and liquid compressing his brain was making him live a fatal hallucination. That's all.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @Emil Nikola Richard

    Psilocybin mushrooms buddy.

  1048. @songbird
    Since the death of Sinead O'Connor, I have been wondering if crazy people tend to have greater vocal range, due to their tendency to make weird noises and to sound stressed out. Note the word "high-strung."

    Would suggest that she hated the Church because they ran the mental institution she was in as a teenager:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magdalene_Laundries_in_Ireland

    I tried to listen to some short Irish podcast about her, but I couldn't do it because it weirdly seemed to be about blacks.

    They said that in the sanitorium, on one side of her was an elderly woman who had been there all her life, and on the other side of her was a black woman (and single mother) whose baby they took away. (Seems shocking statistically - how many blacks were in Ireland, when she was a teenager? Also a sane policy: would have probably prevented many of the Nigerian anchor babies who were a just bridgehead for extreme invasion)

    Anyway, from that, not very far into it, they played her 1990 song, about some black youth in London shot on a moped. And I was thinking, "Wow, you'd have to be super-woke to write a song like that in Ireland in 1990.". Perhaps, she wasn't living there at the time?

    Replies: @Emil Nikola Richard

    1. I just found out about Sinead’s end
    2. Since I posted this 4 days ago there have been excellent answers posted

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-224/#comment-6079120

    • Thanks: songbird
  1049. AP says:
    @Dmitry
    @AP


    It’s not pedantic, but accurate
     
    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland's survey in 2019 than Russians. I think in "normal understanding", we know this means in Poland.

    Are you changing your story now?

    You did not claim they were the most unpopular other than Russians, Roma and Arabs. You claimed they were disliked. Seen as enemies. For a normal understanding this would mean that over 50% of Poles disliked them
     

    You don't need more than 41% of negative in the survey for Ukrainians, as Russians only have 43% in the same survey, to understand the view in the society. Russians have been very strongly disliked in Poland, including in 2019, while the poll for 2019 is almost as many dislikes for Ukrainians and Russian.

    If you want to say, you need more than half for the survey, then you would also have to say Russians are not disliked in Poland in many of the years they survey.

    It's because happy people usually wouldn't say they dislike any other nationality in those surveys. To choose to dislike a nationality, is already quite a negative behavior, as most people understand the nationality includes millions of individuals who are both good and bad.


    And in 2015 and other years they were liked more than disliked:

     

    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.

    https://i.imgur.com/P9sghJc.jpg

    Also in 2017.

    https://i.imgur.com/VxUfM9A.jpg

    It's because PiS was doing an anti-Ukraine campaign in the those years with the local media for their conservative demographics, but there is also the local neurosis about Ukrainians for the older people which was part of the culture which the politicians were exploiting.


    Don’t change the topic.

    Others may be more popular, but they are also popular, as we have seen.
     

    If this is the concept of popular, to have popularity between Russians and Germans in Poland.

    Poles see Ukrainians, whom they like, killing the Russian enemy, whom they dislike. They do not see two enemies killing each other.

     

    It's written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.

    "Poland’s “eastern policy” has two broad traditions that crystallised in the interwar period.

    The first (called piłsudczykowska, after Piłsudski, the leader of the independent left) assumes supporting Ukraine to counter the risk of expansion of Russian influence closer to Polish territory. The other one (called endecka, from the nationalist movement of National Democracy) treats Ukrainians as eternal historical enemies against whom even alliance with Russia is acceptable. Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, the Polish political scene has been dominated by a Piłsudski-school consensus. But today, Poland’s “National Democracy” tendency is also making itself heard."
    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland/


    Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both
     
    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?

    I'm caring about the situation of the people killed, after they were conscripted and put into the dangerous equipment, that wasn't giving soldiers protection already 50 years ago.

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers' life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.

    It's not only Poland which is following this. Just they are probably the largest scale or one of the largest in terms of the disposing of the old equipment. E.g. Greece has been sending 40 BMP-1 to Ukraine, while Poland is sending 140 BWP-1 to Ukraine.


    So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them

     

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?

    not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them (so your mention of Arabs versus Israelis was specious).

     

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles. This is 50 years ago. The USSR was usually giving the most modern equipment to its allies.

    The USSR wasn't giving equipment of 1920 to Egypt in 1970. They usually give the modern equipment to their allies, although the export models had weaker armor (which is the equipment Poland now gives to Ukraine).

    The USSR also used its money to pay for this equipment usually, or at least funded the finances, while Poland is not using its money, but asks for refunds for the equipment it gives to Ukraine. The problem with this part of the topic, is the PiS also continue an anti-German campaign while Germany is paying for the equipment they give to Ukraine.


    Poland sent much more than BMP-1, how convenient that you have forgotten to mention the other things they sent. 14 modernized MIG-29s, 250 modernized T-72 tanks, 14 Leopard tanks,

     

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It's true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don't give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU. https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/06/27/eu-to-refund-poland-for-arms-donated-to-ukraine-says-pm/

    Many countries are using their money to give weapons to Ukraine. They give the equipment for free. Poland is using EU money which will be more than market value for this old equipment. Then PiS are doing an anti-German campaign while they use German money to fund the project.

    Poland will have hundreds of modern tanks, which will never be used in fighting.

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.

    Tanks like T-72 will still be useful or effective in the military sense, but in military sense which doesn't prioritize safety for the operators.


    14 Leopard tanks, etc.
     
    Which PiS reclaim the money from the EU, while criticizing the EU.
    https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/poland-will-file-for-eu-compensation-for-arms-sent-to-ukraine-says-pm-35994

    https://www.dw.com/en/polands-kaczynski-slams-germanys-dominance-in-europe/a-63978369


    Ukrainians would be much more defenseless if they were not given all of this equipment by Poland. Why wouldn’t they be grateful? And indeed they are:

     

    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago? Some is worse equipment than Iraq army uses in 1991.

    Ukrainian politicians will be happy to have this equipment than not, but would they be also happy for their children to go personally in the BMP-1.


    You used the present tense. Currently
     
    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland. International popularity of Ukrainians is because of war with Russia. But this is an emergency situation. I'm interested in what is the level in the country relative to this situation.

    I know the perception of this war in Europe, most of Europe are having more Ukrainian flags than the local flags.


    I am using the term as Americans do, interchangeable with leftism. Sorry for the imprecision.

    But since you insist I am an American, you should not complain about me doing that.

    Tusk is center-right, not of the left.
     

    Biden is also not very left, but I would say he is liberal in quite a few areas.

    While left is not always liberal, as like communist Poland was illiberal. This is how the ideology is people like Tusk. A lot of their views are a response to the illiberal policies of the communist society.

    Replies: @Mikhail, @QCIC, @AP

    “It’s not pedantic, but accurate”

    Ukrainians were 3 points less disliked in Poland’s survey in 2019 than Russians

    And Ukrainians were 19 points less disliked than Russians in 2015. And 10 points less disliked in 2014. So there are fluctuations. Some years Russians were only a little bit more disliked than Ukrainians, other years Russians were a lot more disliked than Ukrainians.

    But you made claims about the current war. You falsely claimed that Poles see the war as two enemies killing each other. Yet in 2023 Ukrainians were about 67 points less disliked than Russians.

    How then can this war be perceived as two enemies killing each other? Your words, which you have refused to retract: “countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other.”

    It cannot be. You were wrong.

    And you were shown that you were wrong, yet persist in claiming the falsehood. This means that you are dishonest. You have not been that way before. What has changed? Is the Soviet coming out as you are beginning to age? Can we expect, in a few decades, for the process to lead to a complete transition to a Martyanov? That would be sad.

    And in 2018, Ukrainians were more disliked than liked.

    And Russians were disliked more by 9 points than Ukrainians that year.

    And in 2014-2015 Ukrainians were more liked than disliked. As they have been in 2020-2023.

    It’s written in the article I added above by the Polish journalist, which sounds almost exactly like I wrote.

    Article was from 2017. Not much relevance for today.

    Same author writing in 2022:

    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/exclusive-ukraine-refugee-crisis-poland-russia/

    “It is visible even in the traditionally anti-Ukrainian, ultra-conservative Podkarpacie region. While the Polish-Ukrainian quarrels in the area go back to the days of the Austro-Hungarian empire, they have vanished in the face of Putin’s bombs. Donations filled even the smallest village clubhouses and here and there one can spot Ukrainian flags. Border guards, who only two weeks ago gave Ukrainians contemptuous glances at best, today carry Ukrainian children to buses, their faces filled with empathy. And not only when they are being filmed.”

    “Ukrainians are grateful for having any equipment which is better than no equipment. Moreover, both”

    Ukrainians which conscript young people and put them into minefield in these moving tombs or Ukrainians which are conscripted and put into minefield in these moving tombs?

    Would you prefer them to be unarmed?

    This lack of caring about the protection of the soldiers’ life by leadership of all these countries, with result of thousands of people dying in the metal boxes which would be very good in a historical museum.

    The Poles gave what they had. This was the equipment their own military had been using.

    “So they are not given equipment that is worse than what the Russians are using against them”

    Russian leadership, cares very strongly about the life of the Russian soldiers. This is a good example to follow for other countries in relation to Ukrainian soldiers?

    No, it’s an example that what Ukraine is getting is not outmatched than what its enemies have.

    In 1973, the BMP-1 was probably equal or more new at least to the Israeli armored infantry vehicles.

    According to you, it was outmatched then.

    It is not, in Ukraine now.

    T-72 are a moving tomb and the export models constructed in Warsaw Pact countries weaker armor than the original models in the Soviet Union.

    It’s true after the first year, Poland is giving more upgraded T-72, also 14 Leopard tanks in the second year, although the old 14 Leopard tanks in Poland with the weaker protection.

    Ukraine has been getting upgraded T-72, the best that Poland has (Poland has given Ukriane a very high percentage of its total equipment). Poland is replacing them with large numbers of much-better, modern Korean and Western tanks. Some of the latter may end up in Ukraine also, but Poland hasn’t gotten them in sufficient quantities to share yet.

    While Poland is receiving more money from the EU for this equipment, than the value they could attained from selling it. They don’t give it to Ukraine for free, but request repayment from the EU.

    If they can get reimbursed for it, why not?

    If I was born in Ukraine, conscripted killed in a T-72 given by Poland. I would wonder why my life was viewed as so insignificant by politicians of all sides, I was going to war in ancient equipment in 2023.

    Poland provided the best that it had. It was helping.

    So we see above – first you lie about the extent that Poles view Ukrainians as enemies, and now you want Ukrainians to not be grateful to Poles, for having given Ukraine a huge percentage of their total military equipment. Classic Soviet and Russian strategy of trying to forge enmity between these two peoples.

    Just write about it honestly. If you are born in Ukraine, your children could be conscripted in the army. How would feel your children are going to the minefield in 2023, in equipment which was a mobile tomb designed for 60 years ago?

    I would prefer that, to my children just facing the Russian invaders armed only with rifles and not having tanks or APCs at all.

    “You used the present tense. Currently”

    Currently Ukrainians are probably the most popular nationality in the world although not in Poland.

    So here you deflect rather than admit that you wrote something false.

    You were caught writing the false statement “Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality”

    I showed that Ukrainians are more popular than Hunagrians, Germans and French.

    Rather than admit you were wrong, you pivot and make claims Ukrainians being the most popular everywhere in the world, but not most popular in Poland.

    Maybe they are, maybe they are not.

    But your claim that in Poland “Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality”” was false.

  1050. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ


    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black?
     
    Because Africans aren't immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn't happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa's population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over - I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).

    It's all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.
     
    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?

    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries?
     
    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.

    As a side note, I’m wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience?
     
    I don't do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?
     
    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.



    https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1667839359700041728

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    There will be 3.5 billion Sub-Saharan Africans by 2100:

    If the Great Migration is any guide, you could easily see something like 35-40% of them emigrate (in the US, 89% of blacks lived in the Southern US in 1910, but only 53% of them did so in 1970, just six decades later):

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Migration_(African_American)

    (And the Great Migration was stopped by the success of the US Civil Rights Movement, which significantly improved lives for blacks in the Southern US. Would there be a huge successful event in Sub-Saharan Africa that stops the huge emigration out of there?)

    So, we’re looking at something like 1.2-1.4 billion Sub-Saharan Africans emigrating in total. I could easily see about 1 billion of these moving to the West (unless East Asia opens itself up as a major Sub-Saharan African immigration destination, which appears to be unlikely for the time being) and a couple hundred million Sub-Saharan Africans moving to other places, such as India and perhaps even Latin America.

    So, my math here is indeed sound. The West currently has a total population of a bit less than one billion people, especially if pro-US East Asia (which is hostile towards mass immigration) is excluded from my calculations here. Granted, Sub-Saharan Africans might still make up 30% of the West, but European whites won’t be making up the entirety of the remaining 70%. Not even close to it.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    In theory, emigration from Sub-Saharan Africa could be even larger than the Great Migration. After all, more Puerto Ricans currently live in the US than live in Puerto Rico:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stateside_Puerto_Ricans

    The continental US has almost two times as many Puerto Ricans as Puerto Rico itself has:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Puerto_Rico

    This means a Puerto Rican emigration rate of around 65% (or at least 60+%) over the last 125 years (*not* annual!).

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1051. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    There will be 3.5 billion Sub-Saharan Africans by 2100:

    https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/1_Demographic%20Profiles/Sub-Saharan%20Africa/Line%20Charts/1-Total%20population.svg

    If the Great Migration is any guide, you could easily see something like 35-40% of them emigrate (in the US, 89% of blacks lived in the Southern US in 1910, but only 53% of them did so in 1970, just six decades later):

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Migration_(African_American)

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8b/Percentage_of_African_American_population_living_in_the_American_South.png

    (And the Great Migration was stopped by the success of the US Civil Rights Movement, which significantly improved lives for blacks in the Southern US. Would there be a huge successful event in Sub-Saharan Africa that stops the huge emigration out of there?)

    So, we're looking at something like 1.2-1.4 billion Sub-Saharan Africans emigrating in total. I could easily see about 1 billion of these moving to the West (unless East Asia opens itself up as a major Sub-Saharan African immigration destination, which appears to be unlikely for the time being) and a couple hundred million Sub-Saharan Africans moving to other places, such as India and perhaps even Latin America.

    So, my math here is indeed sound. The West currently has a total population of a bit less than one billion people, especially if pro-US East Asia (which is hostile towards mass immigration) is excluded from my calculations here. Granted, Sub-Saharan Africans might still make up 30% of the West, but European whites won't be making up the entirety of the remaining 70%. Not even close to it.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    In theory, emigration from Sub-Saharan Africa could be even larger than the Great Migration. After all, more Puerto Ricans currently live in the US than live in Puerto Rico:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stateside_Puerto_Ricans

    The continental US has almost two times as many Puerto Ricans as Puerto Rico itself has:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Puerto_Rico

    This means a Puerto Rican emigration rate of around 65% (or at least 60+%) over the last 125 years (*not* annual!).

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    https://heterodoxthinking.substack.com/p/open-borders-the-case-against


    Historically we have seen that if there is open immigration, very large proportions of the population may immigrate. For example “Census figures show an Irish population of 8.2 million in 1841, 6.6 million a decade later, and only 4.7 million in 1891. It is estimated that as many as 4.5 million Irish arrived in America between 1820 and 1930.” (cite)

    This shows that it is not unrealistic that half of the population of a region will want to immigrate, as long as there are good opportunities for them.
     
  1052. @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Because Africans aren’t immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn’t happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa’s population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over – I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).
     
    I know about the demographic transition. But the thing is that the US and Europe are the richest parts of the world due to their average IQ and smart fraction advantages. So, migrants will prefer to move there under open borders over moving to other, less attractive destinations. India would probably roughly be as attractive as Romania even under its full potential. Romania is attracting some immigrants over the last decade, but it's never going to be as attractive as the Germanic countries, including and especially the Anglosphere.

    In theory, East Asia could also be highly attractive for immigrants, but the problem is that I don't see a huge open borders movement in East Asian countries, unlike in the West. Do you think that this will actually change? Because in China, didn't you say that higher IQ people are on average *more* nationalistic?


    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.
     
    In a Reddit interview, you first said that we need to reach the promised land:

    https://www.unz.com/akarlin/reddit-russia-ama-highlights/

    As a transhumanist myself I don’t really understand how transhumanism and nationalism mixed together in you. The idea of transhumanism transcends the ideas of nations, races and even the human nature. Technological evolution should unite the humanity and as long people become more and more connected today with each other – the ideas of national goverments and nations will be rendered oblosete with time.

    Good question.

    Very legitimate one, of course. I am sure that once we get to computer superintelligence or CRISPR ourselves up to 175 average IQs, the world will become thoroughly cosmopolitan (support for tolerance, open borders, free trade, etc. tends to increase with IQ).

    Problem #1 – developing those technologies takes brains. Elite brains. “Smart fractions,” as they’re known in the psychometric literature. As well as the appropriate technological growth-friendly institutions, which again need a certain level of average national IQ to maintain.

    Problem #2 – the evidence suggests that mass immigration from the Third World has negative effects on average national IQ. There is also good recent economic research that suggests that immigrants tend to carry over their home country cultural attitudes, with negative impacts on the quality of institutions in the host countries. See Garett Jones.

    Can you envision the US or Japan (average IQ ~100) launching a singularity? It doesn’t seem entirely implausible.

    Can you envision Brazil or Indonesia (average IQ ~85) launching a singularity? Sub-Saharan Africa (average IQ ~70)? Seems rather less likely.

    As the neoreactionaries say, you can’t cultivate gardens without walls. We don’t know what kind of smart fraction ingenuity would be necessary for the biosphere to complete its transition into a disembodied noosphere. As such, it makes sense to play it safe.

    (Your own answer here is in bold. You did say later on that immigration doesn't affect smart fraction size, but I wonder if that's too optimistic since Emil Kirkegaard told me via Twitter PM that assortative mating is only partially effective in regards to this--as in, it slows down the process of smart fraction decline in a low-average IQ country but isn't guaranteed to completely stop it. He said that he did mathematical models to demonstrate this.)


    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?
     
    They all vote for left-wing parties in the West.

    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.
     
    Why destroy successful models? The US, EU, and China are at least successes, though China at least is too authoritarian and even totalitarian. The fact that Russia is a failure doesn't mean that other, more successful nation-states should be destroyed.

    As I previously said, have network states reach the US's/EU's/China's level of total GDP, elite science production, et cetera, and then we can start taking them seriously.


    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.
     

    So, are 85+% of Russians going to speak English like 85+% of Scandinavians apparently do right now? If so, when?

    The interesting thing is that you could have kept your Russian National State had Russian nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. Just like Germans could have kept their own German National State had German nationalists learned when the proper time to stop expanding was. But in both cases, they sought to expand too much and thus ended up getting too many enemies for themselves, thus leading to the discrediting of their ideology.

    Interestingly enough, Russians appear to be fucked regardless of which ideology they are exposed to. They were fucked by Communism, fucked by Nazism, fucked by oligarchic globalism (1990s), fucked by Pan-Slavism (WWI, millions of unnecessary Russian deaths even in the event of a hypothetical Russian victory), and fucked by Russian nationalism (the current war). Only non-oligarchic globalism and a milder, Mussolini-like form of Fascism (White Rex, especially if he moderates?) have not been tried for Russians. Russians need to choose between these two options.


    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.
     
    Your article (that one, at least) wasn't written from a nationalist perspective, though. For instance, what's your solution to the massively increased climate change that will occur from the mass migration of at least a couple billion people (at least a billion from Sub-Saharan Africa and a billion from elsewhere) to the First World? Geoengineering? Do we actually have the technology for this?

    BTW, it's quite interesting that a US that would be 30+% black (non-cognitive elites) would likely have a murder rate comparable to Alabama, Louisiana, or South Carolina, if not Mississippi:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e9/Homicide_rates_per_100%2C000_by_state._US_map.svg/1280px-Homicide_rates_per_100%2C000_by_state._US_map.svg.png

    But we shouldn't worry about this because it's primarily blacks killing each other, right?

    Still, I'd be more sympathetic to getting more non-elite black immigrants to the US/West, Russia, and Israel if race realism was more widely accepted. We could at least then discuss the virtues of various solutions to huge black crime, such as racial profiling, instead of outright dismissing them. (Racial profiling could be moral if, on the net, it saves significantly more black lives than it unintentionally kills.)

    And what's your solution to Muslims murdering people over "Islamophobic" speech? Gated communities and racial/ethnic/religious profiling? Would the Left (other than Islam-realists like Sam Harris) actually be willing to accept the latter part here?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    I think that for nation-states, the best move for them would be to pursue as generous of an immigration policy as possible while avoiding huge social disruptions and ensuring that they will get to both keep as much of their existing EHC as possible and continue attracting as much EHC as possible from abroad.

  1053. @Mr. XYZ
    @Mr. XYZ

    In theory, emigration from Sub-Saharan Africa could be even larger than the Great Migration. After all, more Puerto Ricans currently live in the US than live in Puerto Rico:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stateside_Puerto_Ricans

    The continental US has almost two times as many Puerto Ricans as Puerto Rico itself has:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Puerto_Rico

    This means a Puerto Rican emigration rate of around 65% (or at least 60+%) over the last 125 years (*not* annual!).

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    https://heterodoxthinking.substack.com/p/open-borders-the-case-against

    Historically we have seen that if there is open immigration, very large proportions of the population may immigrate. For example “Census figures show an Irish population of 8.2 million in 1841, 6.6 million a decade later, and only 4.7 million in 1891. It is estimated that as many as 4.5 million Irish arrived in America between 1820 and 1930.” (cite)

    This shows that it is not unrealistic that half of the population of a region will want to immigrate, as long as there are good opportunities for them.

  1054. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ

    No human or sentient being is "culturally incompatible."

    In fact the main problem of cultural incompatibility in Poland is m*noid reactionary fash scum murdering womyn in service of their sky wizard deity.

    As an LGBTQ+EHC representative you should be ashamed of running interference for them.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, do you have a full family tree of Vladimir Putin’s? I’d like to see all of it. I know that his parents and paternal grandparents all lived to their mid- or late 80s, but I’d like to see the rest of his relatives.

    BTW, you do know that living from 90 to 100 is considerably more difficult than living from 80 to 90, right? Of course, living from 100 to 110 is even more difficult than living from 90 to 100, and living from 110 to 120 is likely even more difficult than living from 100 to 110.

    Also, if we will see longevity escape velocity, will countries eventually impose hard limits on people’s fertility in order to prevent overpopulation? Space colonization would be ruled out on a large scale without fast-than-light travel due to the fact that this would disrupt AI alignment, no?

  1055. To elaborate on my previous point here, blacks, Muslims, and Woke Leftists all benefit from the grievance industry against straight white men (especially if these blacks and Muslims are leftists, and most of them are). All of them can seek to get concessions at straight white men’s expense, including white Woke Leftists such as Robin DiAngelo, who enjoys being in on the grift. DEI is a scam that allows privileged (often, though not always, formerly oppressed) groups to get even greater privilege at the expense of their historical oppressors. Which I suppose is great for them, but less good for everyone else.

    Would you and your Russian nationalist friends enjoy a large Central Asian grievance industry operating in Russia, Anatoly? Also a Russian-Jewish grievance industry is possible in regards to Tsarist pogroms, the Pale of Settlement, et cetera, but the problem is that most of Russia’s Jews have already emigrated and the ones who are left are sometimes considering emigrating right now (in part due to the current war in Ukraine and the Western economic sanctions on Russia). Though I suppose that Russian Jews can run a grievance industry against Russia from a base in Israel and/or the US.

  1056. @songbird
    Am fascinated by these Denizli chickens. Mainly because I heard strange report that they can be trained to protect honey hives from wasps. (Which I find quite hard to believe).

    But also because the roosters can crow for 25+ seconds. And because the hens only lay about 80 eggs a year, which makes me wonder if that is what all chickens were like before Catholics got a hold of them. (And bred them to lay more because of Lent.)
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denizli_chicken

    https://youtu.be/A43JOxLa5MM

    Replies: @Mr. Hack, @QCIC

    Different chicken breeds or not?

    [MORE]

    Ukrainian Rooster

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/3lv4asjJcsg

    Russian Rooster (the first vid)

    Chinese Rooster

    Bonus Heavy Metal, kind of reminds me of Jinjer

    • LOL: songbird
  1057. @silviosilver
    @John Johnson


    The world’s religions promote themselves as maintaining absolute truth. I’m not the one creating these contradictions. I grew up in the church and wasn’t told that I can take religious assertions as I please. Religions beat into children the belief that they are correct and the competing religions are wrong. It isn’t merely a subjective experience where adults can pick and choose their interpretations.
     
    Alll quite true. Aaron has a tendency to paper over any difficulties in his worldview rather than to confront them squarely. It might be nice if the only thing of importance was the (alleged) commonalities of all religions; and if you speak with confidence and poise, perhaps a substantial portion of the world's religious believers will agree that you're giving voice to their deepest convictions. But just how many can be counted on doing so? I don't get the impression Aaron's even interested in the answer. His approach seems to be "just use your right-brained sight bro" and everything will work itself out for the best.

    On the other hand, the world's religious people aren't going anywhere. If you don't like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them. It should be pretty clear which of the two approaches is the easier sell. And to that end, the unitarian principles Aaron preaches probably have something to recommend to them.

    Replies: @Sher Singh, @John Johnson

    On the other hand, the world’s religious people aren’t going anywhere. If you don’t like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them.

    They aren’t going anywhere and why I would prefer it if Whites were Catholic. I don’t think the 1000 competing denominations works well and the modern protestant faith is too vulnerable to mainstream trends. The Catholic church isn’t perfect but they encourage families and I honestly think it is better for Whites to tune out on the OT. The protestant way of trying to explain it all has too many problems. I really think Orthodox/Catholic rituals have more value than some pastor with a goatee trying to find explain why Shebbadia traded his daughters.

    For the record I can be critical of Christianity but I have absolutely zero faith in secularism. Liberals have mastered converting secular Whites to their egalitarian religion. I have said it before but I don’t consider even 5% of secular Whites to actually be secular. They have adopted supernatural liberal beliefs without realizing it. Anyone that doubts this is free to spend time around secular Whites and casually bring up the subject of race and evolution. The White atheist or agnostic who routinely slams Christianity will turn into a judgmental church lady. Same situation if you criticize Islam or question the risk/reward of bringing in Muslim immigrants. You will most likely be ex-communicated from the group. Then they will go back to discussing how open minded they are when compared to Christians.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @John Johnson


    The Catholic church isn’t perfect but they encourage families and I honestly think it is better for Whites to tune out on the OT. The protestant way of trying to explain it all has too many problems.
     
    More generally, Catholicism (indirectly) discourages biblical literalism of any sort. You can just go with official church teachings and not have to puzzle over what this or that verse means.

    No question the OT is Christianity's ball and chain. Actually, the church would have been better off had it never sacralized scripture in the first place. But anyway, we're stuck with it now, so the best we can hope for is organizational forms that deemphasize it.

    That said, the idea of scripture that it's really "God's word" you're holding in your hands, and that you can read it yourself and feeling it's addressing you personally, is quite appealing, and protestants probably do better recruiting people who've never been Christian than Catholics do in large part because of this. So scripture definitely has a role as "spiritual training wheels."

    Protestants are also better at religious marketing than Catholics. Catholics should just use Protestants to bring people to Christ, and then focus their proselytization efforts on converting Protestants to Catholicism. The goofy crap you see in protestant churches will surely help.

    I really think Orthodox/Catholic rituals have more value than some pastor with a goatee trying to find explain why Shebbadia traded his daughters.
     
    For sure. I actually wish there was more ritualism, and less sitting around passively listening. And why does mass have to drag on so long? 15-20 minutes is the most anyone should have to just sit there uncomprehendingly (which is most people's experience, let's be serious). The rest of the time should be filled in with ritual and socializing.

    Still, protestants do some things well. Since they've abandoned tradition anyway, the kind of "rock concert" productions they put on - which would look completely out of place in a catholic church - aren't so bad. Actually, they seem kinda fun. The main thing that has put me off is, like you said, having to listen to some pastor with a goatee - or just as likely, a blue-haired lesbian in yoga pants -feed me made up bs about Elisha and the she-bears. (Of what possible relevance is the "proper" understanding of such verses to your salvation anyway? That's never made sense to me. As if anyone still remembers the "lesson" by next Sunday anyway. I might have felt differently if most of the OT stories were actually interesting, but they're not.)

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1058. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    So Phoenicians took over Judaism and subverted it to the worship of Baal, according to you. What’s the significance of this? What does it mean – according to you
     
    ?

    It means that modern rabbinical Judaism is basically the opposite of the old biblical Judaism, with some trappings, like Shabbat, left. It means that Kabbalah is just a form of magic/sorcery, otherwise banned in OT. It means that Judaism is more incoherent than other religions. It means that Jews, true Jews, not "those who call themselves Jews but are not" in the words of Revelation, will bear consequence of this betrayal, which ultimately is endless suffering. Such was a Holocaust, an event named as "sacrifice", probably to Baal, who, as we know from Carthage, habitually accepted human sacrifice as a fulfilment of vows, or "contracts" with god - thus anything really good must be paid with blood.

    Since Bible teach us that genealogy is important, for both sides, for Jews, and Canaanites, you cannot really win changing a god. What Baal has given you, he will start taking away - the current situation in Israel is a reminder of this truth.


    Why not deepen and sophisticate your thinking – why forever remain a child?
     
    I think it is otherwise. I am an adult who confronts the reality of the text, you are more like a child who is afraid of the demon of manicheism, which pervades the greater part of OT.
    It is also rather clear from reading OT that biblical Judaism was intended for Jews only, and it wasn't a missionary religion, not even in the mould of Buddhism.

    However, I don't see much wrong in non-Jews becoming Jews, but in OT the problem is that these converts are hypocrites, trying to practice their old religion under the cover of Judaism - the pagan symbolism of the Song of Songs is here very revealing. Likewise in Book of Ruth, you suddenly have this shoe with which in Babylon the contracts of adoption were concluded.
    And such a hypocrisy is a problem - that I can agree with.

    Relativity theory and quantum theory describe macro and micro world respectively, so they aren't inherently contradictory, since we are well aware that they are localized theories, crutches really, and we still need some general theory, provisionally known as Grand Unification Theory, or GUT.

    As for Messiah concept, it is actually quite a weak concept in terms of prophecies (there are many stronger and clearer prophecies in Bible than those about Messiah), probably the political plan of converts (thus the insistence on non-Jewish genealogy), as Israel was originally intended as a nation without central ruler, but "some people" started to clamour for him, as "we need to be as other nation of the world", namely - more pagan...

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    So far, your assessment of Judaism seems to rely on what might be called “external” and “surface” factors – the origins of words, their historical relationships, and the like.

    I’m curious if you have any assessment of the “inner” dimension of Judaism – it’s ethical content, it’s spiritual attitude, it’s relationship to the ultimate mystery, the ultimate goal and purpose of its ethical and spiritual practices, and the like.

    And do you think it’s vital to assess the “inner” dimension of a religion, or can we come to conclusions based largely on external factors.

    For instance, you claim Kabbalah represents the worship of Baal because Phoenician priests took over the religious system of which it forms a part, an “external” factor. But do you have any assessment of the “inner” dimension of Kabbalah, of its ethical and spiritual attitude, it’s relationship to the ultimate, and its ultimate purpose and goal.

    And please don’t be afraid to offend me – I have no special relationship to the Jewish religion, and only try to be as fair and sympathetic to it as I do to every other religion.

    I’d agree with you that the religion of the OT was primarily intended for ethnic Jews, while opening itself up to any ethnic aliens who wanted to join, consistent with the pattern of the ancient world where religious cult was ethnically local.

    However, the religion of the OT differed significantly from local ethnic cults in that it had a vision of the universal destiny of mankind as a whole, and the ultimate transformation of humanity and the world on the basis of an ethical vision.

    While a local pagan cult might pray to its local deity for success, it didn’t have a total vision of ethical transformation of the entire world, as one might find in Isaiah, for instance.

    Of course, the religion of the OT also had features of a local ethnic cult whose deity is called upon for success against rivals, but it transcended that as well.

    So in that sense, Judaism was indeed “universalist” – its vision was for all mankind, and it was one of ultimate peace, amity, and cooperation, and total world transformation, especially in the later prophetic books.

    As regards elements of Babylonian symbolism and religious practice within the the OT, the OT is steeped in it, from Genesis onwards. The society of the OT was part of a common Near Eastern mythological heritage, that all peoples in that region shared, and that defined it’s difference by the ethical and spiritual purpose it put that shared mythical heritage to, and not by the invention of a new one in all respects.

    Do you think it’s a legitimate practice for a religion to borrow elements of a foreign religion, terminology, practices, myths, and give them an entirely new “inner” dimension, or ethical significance, or situate them in a new context which transforms their meaning, or do you think the “external” origin of the borrowed practice or term exclusively defines its character and meaning once and for all.

    Like Buddhism borrowed essential terminology from Hindu religious tradition, as well as certain practices, and gave them novel twists and situated them in contexts which altered their significance – or do you think this simply means Hindu elements are covertly active in Buddhism.

    Do you think meaning is significantly defined by context – or do you think meaning is established unalterably at the level of literal definition.

    As for Relativity and Quantum, at the level of everyday human language they are contradictory. Even basic concepts within one field, like that phenomena can be both waves and particles, violate our ordinary notions of the non-contradiction principle.

    Of course there is a larger dimension of reality in which they are reconciled, but it is already clear that it won’t be expressible in terms that are consistent with ordinary everyday logic.

    Likewise, religious people think contradictions and paradoxes within religion are reconciled at the level of ultimate reality, and that that level isn’t expressible in everyday logic. Religion too is searching for it’s Grand Theory of Everything in which all is reconciled 🙂

    Do you think that there is a dimension of ultimate reality that may transcend the resources of ordinary language and everyday logic, and that grappling with this mystery is nevertheless important both for physics and religion, and may lead us to use paradoxical language, a range of semantic strategies, and terms that changes their meaning depending on context – for instance, eroticism bad in one context, the literal, but good in another context, the symbolic.

    Or do you think the resources of ordinary language and everyday logic are fully adequate to ultimate reality and reality is exhausted by everyday language.

    As for the Messiah, is he not the culmination vision of the OT – the man who will usher in the transformation of the world and the new era of peace and amity and redemption? I am curious as to which prophecies you think are more central and characteristic of the ultimate vision of the OT, if you please.

  1059. @Anatoly Karlin
    @Mr. XYZ


    What exactly makes you think that Europe will stop at 30% black?
     
    Because Africans aren't immune to the demographic transition. Europe going much more than 30% Black implies that either doesn't happen or that some unrealistically large percentage of Africa's population ends up leaving and to Europe specifically (as opposed to spreading out all over - I read a beautiful account by a surly Indian nationalist complaining about Nigerians in his Delhi gym).

    It's all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Plus, with coalition politics, blacks can form alliances with Muslims, Woke Leftists, and other groups.
     
    What do those groups have strongly in common ideologically outside xenophobe right-wing fantasies?

    But if network states plan on eventually acquiring independence, would they continue to benefit their neighboring countries?
     
    The long-term goal is to destroy or sideline all extant nation-scams.

    As a side note, I’m wondering: Are you going to be writing a lot of articles in Russian about the benefits of open borders, for a Russian audience?
     
    I don't do hobbit nationalisms.

    The US won the Cultural Victory. English is the only relevant language.

    BTW, what about this old article of yours about the effective altruism argument against open borders?
     
    I commented on this here. At the time, I was a nationalist, so let ideology cloud what I now see clearly.



    https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1667839359700041728

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Technological progress will do the opposite. The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study. They don’t want the public to have access to a human gene library that spans races/ethnic groups. In fact for certain projects you have to sign documentation where you swear that your study won’t be used to promote division. How will this type of censorship work in the future? It won’t. You can’t keep such information from the public indefinitely.

    Fewer people will believe in Wakanda theory which will cause liberals and leftists to push their message harder through suppression and indoctrination. That will most likely lead to a blacklash. I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    All it takes is a single cataclysmic event and millions of Africans will try to flood the US and Europe. That is really my concern. We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that “Whites ruined Africa” or caused climate change. Such a scenario would have Whites reminiscing on the good old days of Chicago shootings that were largely isolated.

    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.
     
    Current US immigration patterns actually aren't particularly bad:

    https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2015/09/PH_2015-09-28_immigration-through-2065-05.png

    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.

    The European immigration situation is worse, no doubt. Muslims and Africans are worse than Latin Americans on average and Europe doesn't import as many cognitive elites as the US does to compensate for their low-IQ immigrants.

    Replies: @HammerJack, @John Johnson

    , @Anatoly Karlin
    @John Johnson

    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

    DeSci solves this.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to "become" White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    > I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    > We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that “Whites ruined Africa” or caused climate change.

    But where is the lie?

    > What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

  1060. AK wrote: “…become transracialists anyway”.

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    He doesn’t care about backlash and probably expects it all to burn down in the transition from now to cyber-geneto-nirvana.

    If the Haitians debase America, the EHC will move to where they can do more good (self-interest). EHC huddled in a moonbase can achieve more than a bunch of meat puppets rummaging around North America.

    It all has a neo-Randian flavor of enlightened self-interest run amok.

    I think he is mistaken, but his near-term outlook may be closer to reality than we would like to admit.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    AK wrote: “…become transracialists anyway”.

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    There are liberals that also put false hope into genetic engineering. I've had liberals tell me that genetic engineering will fix it all which means we just have to keep lying until then. Oh ok thanks, I'll go ahead and send you the bill for all the failed solutions.

    Only minor detail in that grand plan is that you would have to admit to genetic differences before trying to crispr them.

    It's also still extremely expensive to flip a single gene. So you would need to massively bring the cost down and also come up with some PR plan where you explain to non-Whites that their children need to be genetically manipulated. For "the science" of equality or something. Good luck explaining that.

    The timeline simply isn't available for sci-fi solutions. A more likely scenario is that millions of Africans arrive on shore and liberals tell us that in 5-10 years we can fix their children in testubes. HOORAY FOR UTOPIA. WAKANDA IS HERE YOU GUYS, WE JUST HAVE TO RAISE HUMANS LIKE POD ALIENS. AND U DUMB RACISTS THOUGHT WE COULDN'T DO IT.

    Instead of fantasizing about sci-fi we could actually try...... I don't know........admitting to reality?

    We still don't have gene therapies for the most common chromosomal mutations. Nigeria's population will hit half a billion by 2040. Elon Musk and other Tekk Whites will not save us from reality. Put down the Sci-fi book.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @QCIC

    Good luck doing gene editing that would successfully significantly increase the IQs of people who are already alive. One will almost certainly eventually be able to successfully gene edit embryos, but what about already-living people? Which will be especially relevant if we will actually develop a successful cure to aging.

    Replies: @QCIC

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @QCIC


    It all has a neo-Randian flavor of enlightened self-interest run amok.

     

    Flavor?

    It is exactly Galt's Gulch Atlas Shrugged. These idiots do not know that is a work of fiction and not the user's guide to being 21 century ubermensch. 99.999999% of real humans who ever lived would rather be in jail where Ghislaine Maxwell is right now than in a moonbase. The moonbase is more like Ted Kazcynski's supermax prison cell.

    Skid Row is more pleasant most nights than a moonbase. Not that I have any experience of either but I did spend a week on an oil drilling offshore platform. Pure f-n hell. I have to admit Galt's Gulch sounded pretty cool. When I was fourteen years old. : )
  1061. @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And because the essence of the religious quest is to understand our purpose and goal and true nature – and the purpose and true nature of the universe.
     
    As individuals we we want to belong to a group, and belonging is over-against other groups. Hence starting in 2014 Ukraine took progressively more Draconian action against the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Of course you’re right, as a simple matter of observation. The desire to belong to a group, which then inevitably sees itself as a rival to other groups, cannot fail tho impress itself upon any observer of the human scene.

    But consider for a moment the very logical structure of that fact. Why are individuals not content to just be entirely individuals? Why do they also want to lose sight of their individuality within a larger group?

    Does this not betray a longing to transcend individuality?

    Religions are the expression of mankind’s desire to transcend individuality and find an inner connection to the whole universe. Religions, however, do not stop arbitrarily at the group – they follow the logic of the principle of group membership to it’s ultimate logical conclusion, and seek connection to the universe as a whole. It’s the very same instinct that leads people to dissolve their individuality in a group, extended and universalized, not just to humanity, but to the central mystery at the hear of reality itself. It’s quite breathtaking in it’s scope 🙂

    I must hasten to add that this does not mean loss of individuality and group membership, but an expansion of identity – like concentric circles, each layer maintains it’s integrity within an ever larger circle, and finally, an infinite circle.

    As I was explaining to Silvio, the religious vision is one of expansion, not contraction, and everything good at lower levels isn’t lost, but gathered up into an ever expanding vision.

    (Caveat – this is only true of religion in it’s essence, at its highest and best. Obviously religion as practiced by corrupted humans all too frequently betrays this vision).

    • Replies: @Sean
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    Why are individuals not content to just be entirely individuals?
     
    That would be useful at times (a friend in need is a pest), but entail having no one to turn to when you were in need. And also be easy pickings for alien groups. It is an instinct to identify with a group and be thought 'good people', so those not doing that did not leave descendants. Sometimes being individually minded (eccentric) enough to isolate from themselvesfrom thei group is prolly activation of mechanism to avoid transmission of infectious disease to their group. Eccentric individuals who ponder regious themes in a speculative ethereal way often look to be in a a state of inflammation: as if their immune system is over activated..

    As I was explaining to Silvio, the religious vision is one of expansion, not contraction, and everything good at lower levels isn’t lost, but gathered up into an ever expanding vision.

    (Caveat – this is only true of religion in it’s essence, at its highest and best. Obviously religion as practiced by corrupted humans all too frequently betrays this vision).
     

    That is the essence of a particular type of religion:Gnosticism.
  1062. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson

    I think you're confusing what I'm saying as that each religion regarded all others as equal. That's not what I'm saying. Obviously, each religion thought it's approach to God best. But that is not equivalent to claiming exclusive truth, or that it saw the question in terms primarily of a bunch of propositional truth claims one must assent to.

    You're also correct that some people have always taken religious claims as mutually exclusive truth propositions and have started wars over them. And continue to.

    And this trend has increased significantly in the era of scientific reductionism and literalism to the point where it has come to characterize nearly all mainstream religious institutions today.

    Historically, the picture was quite different.

    Many of the best mainstream theologians in every tradition learned from and were inspired by other traditions, and were quite open about saying so.

    Moreover, the prevalent idea among many mainstream theologians in earlier eras was to conceive of "religion" as a practice, like charity, which one can do well, or badly.

    Of course, one may think another religion got some of its formulations wrong - Muslims think Jesus was merely God's messenger, Hindus might think Jesus was just one of God's countless avatars and not unique, and Jews might think that even though all humans have a spark of the divine in them - and that is the formal Jewish position - it is going too far to say that any man was actually God.

    There is a famous Jewish canonical book from the 13th century, called the Duties of the Heart, in which he says quite clearly that the Muslim Sufis have a much more advanced system of emotional piety, and that he wishes to introduce this into the Jewish religion.

    Far from religions having viewed each other as rivals for exclusive truth, they have always been influenced by each other and learned from each other. Why did Christianity incorporate new-Platonism?

    Tell me, which one has exclusive truth - Plotinus or Christianity? Why did the Christian Fathers not think in your terms?

    Hindus don't believe in God? Please read the Bhagavad-gita. Hinduism is actually considered one of the classical theistic religions, and has made some of the most notable contributions to theistic thought.

    In the Lotus Sutra, one of the major texts of Mahayana Buddhism, the Buddha comes down and says he does not teach an exclusive doctrine but teaches people according to their capacity to understand, out of his infinite compassion. This establishes hierarchy instead of exclusive truth claims as the central principle.

    And in China, it was explicitly accepted that the three mainstream religions, Buddhism, Taoism, and Confucianism, were equally valid but different approaches, and a man may be all three at once. This is simply a matter of historical record.


    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.
     
    Can you understand the spiritual lesson intended without the context?

    The context is the conquest of the Land of Canaan, which is represented as inhabited by a nation of the most depraved and vile idol worshippers. Israel is being exhorted to resist the temptation to spare them out of mercy and eventually mix with them and become corrupted by them.

    If the lesson is spiritualized and not taken literally, it's clear - do not out of misplaced compassion mix with evil-doers or you will eventually become corrupted.

    Christian monks in the Middle Ages interpreted all the "battle" Psalms, some quite horrific, as a moral battle with inner demons, and found infinite inspiration in it. Indeed so much so that it was their central form of prayer.

    Why do you think Christians kept the OT with passages such as Numbers in it? How was that compatible with the God of Love? Were they idiots?

    They actually explained it themselves - "the letter kills, and the spirit sets free." And they wrote manuals of interpretation in which it was explicitly instructed to not take such passages literally.

    And the long Rabbinical tradition similarly did not read these literalistically.

    Of course, it's entirely possible that the early compilers of this passage actually echoed a historical event and intended it literally - even so, it is still not an example of mere plunder and genocide, even if it's harshness cannot be reconciled with our advancing spiritual insight into what a God of Love would want.

    But as religious insight developed, the spiritual message was increasingly understood in more sophisticated terms.

    There are "layers" here, and the concept of "development" is relevant here too - this black and white, exclusive truth, literalistic reading is as unintelligent as it is characteristically modern.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I think you’re confusing what I’m saying as that each religion regarded all others as equal. That’s not what I’m saying. Obviously, each religion thought it’s approach to God best. But that is not equivalent to claiming exclusive truth

    I’m not confusing anything.

    Islam/Judaism/Christianity/Hindu/Buddhism all claim exclusive truths.

    Your argument is based on this false assumption that the major religions believe in the same God or seek a path to him.

    You are trying to lecture us on religion and don’t seem to understand the basics of these beliefs.

    Why don’t you start by telling us about the Hindu equivalent to an all-powerful creator God with no equal. Or tell us if Muslims also believe in the trinity nature of God.

    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.

    Can you understand the spiritual lesson intended without the context?

    Can you understand the possibility of Hebrews writing down oral fables and history without it containing a lesson? Or maybe I missed a sermon on killing virgins.

    The book of Numbers contains detailed decriptions of offerings from various leaders:
    His offering was one silver plate weighing a hundred and thirty shekels and one silver sprinkling bowl weighing seventy shekels, both according to the sanctuary shekel, each filled with the finest flour mixed with olive oil as a grain offering; 32 one gold dish weighing ten shekels, filled with incense; 33 one young bull, one ram and one male lamb a year old for a burnt offering; 34 one male goat for a sin offering; 35 and two oxen, five rams, five male goats and five male lambs a year old to be sacrificed as a fellowship offering. This was the offering of Elizur son of Shedeur. Numbers 7:43

    What was the spiritual lesson here? Looks like a record to me. There is a long list of offerings that are hardly different. Why does a spiritual lesson need to list all of them in detail? That doesn’t make any sense. Or perhaps you are the master of world religions and can explain how knowing the weight of the gold dish ties into a spiritual lesson.

    You amusingly think every verse has some deeper meaning. I’m not convinced you have even read much of the Bible. Such an outlook requires a degree of ignorance. I was honestly disappointed when I read Numbers. It undermined the idea of the entire Bible being “God’s written word” as some of it appeared more like the random musings of Hebrews. I don’t see God writing down trivial records about donations.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @John Johnson

    Lol, I'm not averse to the notion that some elements of a religious canon were included merely out of reverence for tradition and age, and don't reflect any significant spiritual content.

    Sure, why not? One need not be a fundamentalist about this or any question.

    But over time, the majority of what a religious community chose to keep and engage with, in general, reflects the inner spiritual trend of that community.

    That passage of seeming sacrificial minutiae you quote above reflects the general spiritual trend of Judaism to locate the sacred in the most mundane of everyday activities - in fact, that is one characteristic of Judaism that distinguishes it, that the sacred is to be found in "the Law", from which no area of life is exempt, down to the most trivial. It's central to how Judaism conceives the spiritual dimension of our everyday lives, as fundamentally a sacrament.

    While I'm actually hugely sympathetic to the inspiration behind that idea - life should indeed be lived as a sacrament, and there should be no divorce between the sacred and the profane but spirituality should infuse all aspects of our lives - I find the way Judaism adapts this idea to a rigid system of "laws" misguided, and often uninspired.

    But I recognize the good in that idea, and at its best, it can be ennobling and the best way for certain personality types to approach God. But it carries the risk of degrading into an arid formalism without any genuine inner life, and all too many Jews practice it that way, in my experience.

    And even at its best, law will always, in my view, be inferior to spontaneous action based on a genuinely reformed heart and mind - but that doesn't stop me from appreciating what is good in that approach. Religion isn't a question of exclusive truth :)


    Why don’t you start by telling us about the Hindu equivalent to an all-powerful creator God with no equal. Or tell us if Muslims also believe in the trinity nature of God.
     
    Err, Brahma?

    Even Buddhists believe in an all powerful creator God :) They just think that a discrete being who creates - a being among brings - represents an inferior dimension of ultimate reality and is not the ultimate goal of our spiritual longing.

    But guess what - so do the Hindus, who have the further concept of Brahman, who represents the ultimate reality, and of whom Brahma is just one manifestation.

    So which rival system of exclusive truth is "correct" in this scheme :) Should we go to war over it? :)

    Of course, Jews, Christians, and Muslims also believe in an ultimate dimension to reality that represents God, and that cannot be concieved of as a being among beings.

    So which system of rival exclusive truths should we assent to?

    As for the Trinity and Muslims, Muslim theology recognizes the 99 "faces" of God, diverse aspects of ultimate reality that are nevertheless united in a single source, and Kabbalah has similar conceptions of the "multiplicity" of God. The Christian Trinity is a formulation that is trying to express multiplicity-within-unity as it relates to ultimate reality, and this is a standard feature of all religions.

    Of course religions are not identical, and their differences should not be collapsed into a bland uniformity - how would they inspire and deepen each other's thought then? - and they differ in preferred formulations, practices, approaches, and various other dimensions. And these differences are significant and should not papered over.

    But none of that is equivalent to religions being primarily systems of exclusive propositions or rival creeds.

    Sorry :)
  1063. @QCIC
    AK wrote: "...become transracialists anyway".

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    He doesn't care about backlash and probably expects it all to burn down in the transition from now to cyber-geneto-nirvana.

    If the Haitians debase America, the EHC will move to where they can do more good (self-interest). EHC huddled in a moonbase can achieve more than a bunch of meat puppets rummaging around North America.

    It all has a neo-Randian flavor of enlightened self-interest run amok.

    I think he is mistaken, but his near-term outlook may be closer to reality than we would like to admit.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Emil Nikola Richard

    AK wrote: “…become transracialists anyway”.

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    There are liberals that also put false hope into genetic engineering. I’ve had liberals tell me that genetic engineering will fix it all which means we just have to keep lying until then. Oh ok thanks, I’ll go ahead and send you the bill for all the failed solutions.

    Only minor detail in that grand plan is that you would have to admit to genetic differences before trying to crispr them.

    It’s also still extremely expensive to flip a single gene. So you would need to massively bring the cost down and also come up with some PR plan where you explain to non-Whites that their children need to be genetically manipulated. For “the science” of equality or something. Good luck explaining that.

    The timeline simply isn’t available for sci-fi solutions. A more likely scenario is that millions of Africans arrive on shore and liberals tell us that in 5-10 years we can fix their children in testubes. HOORAY FOR UTOPIA. WAKANDA IS HERE YOU GUYS, WE JUST HAVE TO RAISE HUMANS LIKE POD ALIENS. AND U DUMB RACISTS THOUGHT WE COULDN’T DO IT.

    Instead of fantasizing about sci-fi we could actually try…… I don’t know……..admitting to reality?

    We still don’t have gene therapies for the most common chromosomal mutations. Nigeria’s population will hit half a billion by 2040. Elon Musk and other Tekk Whites will not save us from reality. Put down the Sci-fi book.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    From Anatoly Karlin's effective altruism blog post from 2015, where he quite explicitly states that he is *not* analyzing things from a nationalist perspective:


    Even if we were not all evil racists who don’t want any filthy foreigners aroun… or, merely accept the validity of discounting the welfare of outside groups relative to that of our own countrymen, there would still be some very legitimate arguments against open borders fundamentalism even from a pure EA perspective.

    Here are some of the obvious ones:

    As anyone with eyes to see has noticed, and as even the UN High Commissioner for Refugees has admitted in a recent report, the overwhelming majority of the current migrant wave into European is composed of young adult males. Not women or children, who are typically the biggest war victims.
    Of which only half are from Syria.
    Will in general be people who can afford the ~$10,000 needed for the Mediteranean route in the first place, or the ~$5,000 route to Norway via Murmansk so it’s not clear how much in the way of cash and other material aid they really need in the first place.
    So we are really talking about maximizing utility, so wouldn’t it be more logical to make this more targetted and efficient by importing a few million of the most destitute people in say the D.R. Congo as opposed to Syria or Iraq, which however wartorn they might be are still far more prosperous than most of Sub-Saharan Africa?
    But where precisely do you stop? 640 million people want to emigrate around the world, most of them from the Third World to the First.
    Will First World countries composed overwhelmingly of Third Worlders continue to remain First World? More importantly from an EA perspective, would they retain the ability to substantively help the teeming multitudes of the Third World, or even hold conferences on topics such as “effective altruism”? The answer to this question might seem obvious to Unz Review readers, but will likely only confuse and bewilder many self-styled rationalists and EA’ers, many of whom are cognitive and racial blank slatists (this includes their high prophet Eliezer Yudkowsky if his magnum opus HPMOR is anything to go by).
    And some of the less so obvious ones:

    ...

    One dollar of spending money goes about five times further in poor countries than it does in First World countries due to purchasing power differences. (And that’s without considering the “extras” in the form of extra policing, language courses, welfare spending, etc. that First World nations would have to provide in order to pay for all the new vibrant diversity). If conditions in Syria are so utterly unacceptable that young males have no choice but to emigrate, surely it would be more effectively altruistic to encourage them to settle elsewhere in the Third World – say, why not a relatively stable and Islamic but poor country, like Tanzania, Senegal, or Bangladesh? The $10,000 they pay the Italian or Greek mafias to smuggle them into Europe would probably be enough to buy a nice house there!
    European EA’ers could even subsidize them with a few $1,000s for the first few years to help them settle in their new homelands and encourage them to stay put. A Syrian doctor or engineer would be a great boon to a typical $1,000-$2,000 GDP per capita African country, where there are very few such specialists in the first place. In a European country, there are no substantive shortages of high IQ specialists, and your Syrian doctor or engineer would be just as likely to end up as a taxi driver (or would it be Uber now?) as to make relevant use of whatever professional qualifications he might have. There are 4 physicians per 1,000 people in Germany, compared to 1.5 in Syria and just 0.4 in Bangladesh, 0.1 in Senegal, and 0.0 in Tanzania. Having a Syrian doctor be a taxi driver in Germany is a bad skills misallocation on the global level, one that easily incurs an opportunity cost in the $10,000s, and it should elicit howls of outrage from any truly rationalist EA’er.
    Or how about at least channeling some of this money to the few million real refugees stuck in drab refugee camps in Jordan and Turkey? Those people at least won’t be throwing food away like the desperate starving illegals at Calais:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbTSdUdQeLY

    When a Syrian migrates to Germany or Sweden, he effectively triples his carbon dioxide emissions. When he migrates to the US, he almost doubles it again. If we are talking about an Eritrean instead, the increase is more on the order of a hundredfold. Exploding populations in the First World means carbon dioxide emissions increasing much more rapidly than if it had taken place in a relatively poor country like Syria, let alone in the most destitute countries like Eritrea. More carbon dioxide emissions means more rapid global warming which in turns means even greater challenges to increasing prosperity in the countries of the Global South. AGW is a topic typically beloved of by progressives, but for some reason they don’t tend to mention it much in the context of immigration debates.
    How about just stop funding Islamist crazies and support Assad, who according to opinion polls enjoys the most legitimacy of any political force in Syria? That would be not just the EA’iest but also literally the easiest low-effort, high-impact action of them all.
    Unfortunately, that is unlikely to happen, since the people opposing this are considerably more powerful than the Left’s anti-immigration racist bogeymen and most rationalists appear to have lapped up their propaganda as readily as most other Westerners.
     
    The one thing that I disagree with him on is in regards to doctors and engineers. They and their descendants could be taxi/Uber drivers initially in some cases, but in the long-run, they and/or their descendants could still contribute to medical, scientific, and technological progress in the developed world. In fact, it would probably be easier for them to do this in the First World than in the Third World because the concentrations of elite brainpower in the First World are much more intense and thus they would very likely be able to accomplish more due to greater connections, et cetera.

    This isn't a trivial matter; one could sometimes find smart Third Worlders who are better off in the First World:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augustin_Banyaga

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Souhel_Najjar

    The latter was able to accurately diagnose the condition of the woman in this real-life book:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brain_on_Fire

    But those First World brains who aren't as effective in the First World could perhaps be encouraged to relocate to the Third World, either temporarily or permanently, in order to prevent the brain drain in the Third World from becoming too severe. Similar to colonialism in the old days, I suppose. But at least this won't force/compel the Third World's smart fractions to stay put. Of course, I also think that EHC should breed much more, but that's a separate topic of discussion.

    I think that the rest of the non-nationalistic arguments that Anatoly Karlin puts against open borders appear to be very valid, though. It's cheaper to help people in the Third World than to relocate them to the First World, and also much less bad for the climate.
    , @QCIC
    @John Johnson

    These incompatible African "immigrants" have no agency. They are not coming to the USA without help. Apparently they are being brought over primarily to destroy what is left of the American system.

    It is not a coincidence that similar forces seem to be pushing a war against Russia using Ukraine as a pawn. Pointing this out is not a defense of Russia, it is an acknowledgment that the war in Ukraine created by the West is bad for most US citizens, extremely bad for Ukrainians and bad for Russians.

    I wonder if there is a common denominator among these destroyers? Hmmm, I wonder what group wants to destroy the two most powerful nations on Earth? Is it a coincidence that both countries have Christian cultural roots?

  1064. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    AK wrote: “…become transracialists anyway”.

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    There are liberals that also put false hope into genetic engineering. I've had liberals tell me that genetic engineering will fix it all which means we just have to keep lying until then. Oh ok thanks, I'll go ahead and send you the bill for all the failed solutions.

    Only minor detail in that grand plan is that you would have to admit to genetic differences before trying to crispr them.

    It's also still extremely expensive to flip a single gene. So you would need to massively bring the cost down and also come up with some PR plan where you explain to non-Whites that their children need to be genetically manipulated. For "the science" of equality or something. Good luck explaining that.

    The timeline simply isn't available for sci-fi solutions. A more likely scenario is that millions of Africans arrive on shore and liberals tell us that in 5-10 years we can fix their children in testubes. HOORAY FOR UTOPIA. WAKANDA IS HERE YOU GUYS, WE JUST HAVE TO RAISE HUMANS LIKE POD ALIENS. AND U DUMB RACISTS THOUGHT WE COULDN'T DO IT.

    Instead of fantasizing about sci-fi we could actually try...... I don't know........admitting to reality?

    We still don't have gene therapies for the most common chromosomal mutations. Nigeria's population will hit half a billion by 2040. Elon Musk and other Tekk Whites will not save us from reality. Put down the Sci-fi book.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC

    From Anatoly Karlin’s effective altruism blog post from 2015, where he quite explicitly states that he is *not* analyzing things from a nationalist perspective:

    Even if we were not all evil racists who don’t want any filthy foreigners aroun… or, merely accept the validity of discounting the welfare of outside groups relative to that of our own countrymen, there would still be some very legitimate arguments against open borders fundamentalism even from a pure EA perspective.

    Here are some of the obvious ones:

    As anyone with eyes to see has noticed, and as even the UN High Commissioner for Refugees has admitted in a recent report, the overwhelming majority of the current migrant wave into European is composed of young adult males. Not women or children, who are typically the biggest war victims.
    Of which only half are from Syria.
    Will in general be people who can afford the ~$10,000 needed for the Mediteranean route in the first place, or the ~$5,000 route to Norway via Murmansk so it’s not clear how much in the way of cash and other material aid they really need in the first place.
    So we are really talking about maximizing utility, so wouldn’t it be more logical to make this more targetted and efficient by importing a few million of the most destitute people in say the D.R. Congo as opposed to Syria or Iraq, which however wartorn they might be are still far more prosperous than most of Sub-Saharan Africa?
    But where precisely do you stop? 640 million people want to emigrate around the world, most of them from the Third World to the First.
    Will First World countries composed overwhelmingly of Third Worlders continue to remain First World? More importantly from an EA perspective, would they retain the ability to substantively help the teeming multitudes of the Third World, or even hold conferences on topics such as “effective altruism”? The answer to this question might seem obvious to Unz Review readers, but will likely only confuse and bewilder many self-styled rationalists and EA’ers, many of whom are cognitive and racial blank slatists (this includes their high prophet Eliezer Yudkowsky if his magnum opus HPMOR is anything to go by).
    And some of the less so obvious ones:

    One dollar of spending money goes about five times further in poor countries than it does in First World countries due to purchasing power differences. (And that’s without considering the “extras” in the form of extra policing, language courses, welfare spending, etc. that First World nations would have to provide in order to pay for all the new vibrant diversity). If conditions in Syria are so utterly unacceptable that young males have no choice but to emigrate, surely it would be more effectively altruistic to encourage them to settle elsewhere in the Third World – say, why not a relatively stable and Islamic but poor country, like Tanzania, Senegal, or Bangladesh? The $10,000 they pay the Italian or Greek mafias to smuggle them into Europe would probably be enough to buy a nice house there!
    European EA’ers could even subsidize them with a few $1,000s for the first few years to help them settle in their new homelands and encourage them to stay put. A Syrian doctor or engineer would be a great boon to a typical $1,000-$2,000 GDP per capita African country, where there are very few such specialists in the first place. In a European country, there are no substantive shortages of high IQ specialists, and your Syrian doctor or engineer would be just as likely to end up as a taxi driver (or would it be Uber now?) as to make relevant use of whatever professional qualifications he might have. There are 4 physicians per 1,000 people in Germany, compared to 1.5 in Syria and just 0.4 in Bangladesh, 0.1 in Senegal, and 0.0 in Tanzania. Having a Syrian doctor be a taxi driver in Germany is a bad skills misallocation on the global level, one that easily incurs an opportunity cost in the $10,000s, and it should elicit howls of outrage from any truly rationalist EA’er.
    Or how about at least channeling some of this money to the few million real refugees stuck in drab refugee camps in Jordan and Turkey? Those people at least won’t be throwing food away like the desperate starving illegals at Calais:

    When a Syrian migrates to Germany or Sweden, he effectively triples his carbon dioxide emissions. When he migrates to the US, he almost doubles it again. If we are talking about an Eritrean instead, the increase is more on the order of a hundredfold. Exploding populations in the First World means carbon dioxide emissions increasing much more rapidly than if it had taken place in a relatively poor country like Syria, let alone in the most destitute countries like Eritrea. More carbon dioxide emissions means more rapid global warming which in turns means even greater challenges to increasing prosperity in the countries of the Global South. AGW is a topic typically beloved of by progressives, but for some reason they don’t tend to mention it much in the context of immigration debates.
    How about just stop funding Islamist crazies and support Assad, who according to opinion polls enjoys the most legitimacy of any political force in Syria? That would be not just the EA’iest but also literally the easiest low-effort, high-impact action of them all.
    Unfortunately, that is unlikely to happen, since the people opposing this are considerably more powerful than the Left’s anti-immigration racist bogeymen and most rationalists appear to have lapped up their propaganda as readily as most other Westerners.

    The one thing that I disagree with him on is in regards to doctors and engineers. They and their descendants could be taxi/Uber drivers initially in some cases, but in the long-run, they and/or their descendants could still contribute to medical, scientific, and technological progress in the developed world. In fact, it would probably be easier for them to do this in the First World than in the Third World because the concentrations of elite brainpower in the First World are much more intense and thus they would very likely be able to accomplish more due to greater connections, et cetera.

    This isn’t a trivial matter; one could sometimes find smart Third Worlders who are better off in the First World:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augustin_Banyaga

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Souhel_Najjar

    The latter was able to accurately diagnose the condition of the woman in this real-life book:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brain_on_Fire

    But those First World brains who aren’t as effective in the First World could perhaps be encouraged to relocate to the Third World, either temporarily or permanently, in order to prevent the brain drain in the Third World from becoming too severe. Similar to colonialism in the old days, I suppose. But at least this won’t force/compel the Third World’s smart fractions to stay put. Of course, I also think that EHC should breed much more, but that’s a separate topic of discussion.

    I think that the rest of the non-nationalistic arguments that Anatoly Karlin puts against open borders appear to be very valid, though. It’s cheaper to help people in the Third World than to relocate them to the First World, and also much less bad for the climate.

  1065. @QCIC
    AK wrote: "...become transracialists anyway".

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    He doesn't care about backlash and probably expects it all to burn down in the transition from now to cyber-geneto-nirvana.

    If the Haitians debase America, the EHC will move to where they can do more good (self-interest). EHC huddled in a moonbase can achieve more than a bunch of meat puppets rummaging around North America.

    It all has a neo-Randian flavor of enlightened self-interest run amok.

    I think he is mistaken, but his near-term outlook may be closer to reality than we would like to admit.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Emil Nikola Richard

    Good luck doing gene editing that would successfully significantly increase the IQs of people who are already alive. One will almost certainly eventually be able to successfully gene edit embryos, but what about already-living people? Which will be especially relevant if we will actually develop a successful cure to aging.

    • Replies: @QCIC
    @Mr. XYZ

    I suspect AK thinks he is part of a process, not an end point. On the other hand, some technologies are evolving rapidly and the rate of development is accelerating. Perhaps he hopes to upload his brain to be immortalized as a character in some future world simulation.

    I believe the dirty secret for transhumanists is that while they may aspire to transcend human weakness they are actually supercharging it and probably stripping away most of what is good in the human condition in the process. The AI and genetic engineering crowds are steeped in rationalism and hubris and so their creations shall follow.

  1066. @John Johnson
    @Anatoly Karlin

    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Technological progress will do the opposite. The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study. They don't want the public to have access to a human gene library that spans races/ethnic groups. In fact for certain projects you have to sign documentation where you swear that your study won't be used to promote division. How will this type of censorship work in the future? It won't. You can't keep such information from the public indefinitely.

    Fewer people will believe in Wakanda theory which will cause liberals and leftists to push their message harder through suppression and indoctrination. That will most likely lead to a blacklash. I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    All it takes is a single cataclysmic event and millions of Africans will try to flood the US and Europe. That is really my concern. We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that "Whites ruined Africa" or caused climate change. Such a scenario would have Whites reminiscing on the good old days of Chicago shootings that were largely isolated.

    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Anatoly Karlin

    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Current US immigration patterns actually aren’t particularly bad:

    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.

    The European immigration situation is worse, no doubt. Muslims and Africans are worse than Latin Americans on average and Europe doesn’t import as many cognitive elites as the US does to compensate for their low-IQ immigrants.

    • Replies: @HammerJack
    @Mr. XYZ


    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.
     
    Are you Matt Yglesias? Even if you hadn't told us you were jewish, that sentence would pretty much give away the game. They don't call your people "nation wreckers" for nothing.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Current US immigration patterns actually aren’t particularly bad:

    That's an old projection and was incorrect.

    No one actually knows how many Hispanics were able to get in during the last 10 years.

    The European immigration situation is worse, no doubt. Muslims and Africans are worse than Latin Americans on average and Europe doesn’t import as many cognitive elites as the US does to compensate for their low-IQ immigrants.

    I will take South Americans over Muslims and Africans.

    That doesn't mean however that we are on a stable trajectory. We need a complete moratorium on immigration.

    Liberals could eventually have a veto proof majority thanks to immigrants which is what they did in California. Then some cataclysmic event happens in Africa and they tell us that we have to take in millions because Whites are ruined Africa/climate change/whatever. A liberal majority and a cataclysmic event could easily bring us on par with Britain. Selective immigration is a mirage. It really doesn't exist and liberals fully support open borders if given the opportunity.

    I also find this libertarian view of using immigration to find "cognitive elites" to be offensive. A healthy society values all of its workers and doesn't seek policies that promotes immigrants over native born.

    Brain draining the third world for engineers and medical workers makes it harder for them to develop. During COVID there were African countries that didn't have enough nurses to distribute the vaccines. The need for third world medical workers in fact comes from US race denial. Black areas depend on these workers because weak Whites don't want to face the truth. Meaning an army of third worlders are shuffled into Black areas to keep them operating (and under heavy subsidies). This is all madness from trying to avoid simple truths. Dr. Mtubo is brought in and paid $350k to patch up street gang negroes because both liberals and conservatives are led by mental children that don't want to face a certain reality. Our only hope for a stable trajectory is to face the reality of race and seek positive solutions. That means an end to blaming Whites for nature but also finding common interest among American born workers.

  1067. @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think you’re confusing what I’m saying as that each religion regarded all others as equal. That’s not what I’m saying. Obviously, each religion thought it’s approach to God best. But that is not equivalent to claiming exclusive truth

    I'm not confusing anything.

    Islam/Judaism/Christianity/Hindu/Buddhism all claim exclusive truths.

    Your argument is based on this false assumption that the major religions believe in the same God or seek a path to him.

    You are trying to lecture us on religion and don't seem to understand the basics of these beliefs.

    Why don't you start by telling us about the Hindu equivalent to an all-powerful creator God with no equal. Or tell us if Muslims also believe in the trinity nature of God.


    Numbers 17 Now kill, therefore, every male among the children and kill every woman who has had sexual relations with a man. 18 But you may spare for yourselves all the girls who have not had sexual relations.
     
    Can you understand the spiritual lesson intended without the context?

    Can you understand the possibility of Hebrews writing down oral fables and history without it containing a lesson? Or maybe I missed a sermon on killing virgins.

    The book of Numbers contains detailed decriptions of offerings from various leaders:
    His offering was one silver plate weighing a hundred and thirty shekels and one silver sprinkling bowl weighing seventy shekels, both according to the sanctuary shekel, each filled with the finest flour mixed with olive oil as a grain offering; 32 one gold dish weighing ten shekels, filled with incense; 33 one young bull, one ram and one male lamb a year old for a burnt offering; 34 one male goat for a sin offering; 35 and two oxen, five rams, five male goats and five male lambs a year old to be sacrificed as a fellowship offering. This was the offering of Elizur son of Shedeur. Numbers 7:43

    What was the spiritual lesson here? Looks like a record to me. There is a long list of offerings that are hardly different. Why does a spiritual lesson need to list all of them in detail? That doesn't make any sense. Or perhaps you are the master of world religions and can explain how knowing the weight of the gold dish ties into a spiritual lesson.

    You amusingly think every verse has some deeper meaning. I'm not convinced you have even read much of the Bible. Such an outlook requires a degree of ignorance. I was honestly disappointed when I read Numbers. It undermined the idea of the entire Bible being "God's written word" as some of it appeared more like the random musings of Hebrews. I don't see God writing down trivial records about donations.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Lol, I’m not averse to the notion that some elements of a religious canon were included merely out of reverence for tradition and age, and don’t reflect any significant spiritual content.

    Sure, why not? One need not be a fundamentalist about this or any question.

    But over time, the majority of what a religious community chose to keep and engage with, in general, reflects the inner spiritual trend of that community.

    That passage of seeming sacrificial minutiae you quote above reflects the general spiritual trend of Judaism to locate the sacred in the most mundane of everyday activities – in fact, that is one characteristic of Judaism that distinguishes it, that the sacred is to be found in “the Law”, from which no area of life is exempt, down to the most trivial. It’s central to how Judaism conceives the spiritual dimension of our everyday lives, as fundamentally a sacrament.

    While I’m actually hugely sympathetic to the inspiration behind that idea – life should indeed be lived as a sacrament, and there should be no divorce between the sacred and the profane but spirituality should infuse all aspects of our lives – I find the way Judaism adapts this idea to a rigid system of “laws” misguided, and often uninspired.

    But I recognize the good in that idea, and at its best, it can be ennobling and the best way for certain personality types to approach God. But it carries the risk of degrading into an arid formalism without any genuine inner life, and all too many Jews practice it that way, in my experience.

    And even at its best, law will always, in my view, be inferior to spontaneous action based on a genuinely reformed heart and mind – but that doesn’t stop me from appreciating what is good in that approach. Religion isn’t a question of exclusive truth 🙂

    Why don’t you start by telling us about the Hindu equivalent to an all-powerful creator God with no equal. Or tell us if Muslims also believe in the trinity nature of God.

    Err, Brahma?

    Even Buddhists believe in an all powerful creator God 🙂 They just think that a discrete being who creates – a being among brings – represents an inferior dimension of ultimate reality and is not the ultimate goal of our spiritual longing.

    But guess what – so do the Hindus, who have the further concept of Brahman, who represents the ultimate reality, and of whom Brahma is just one manifestation.

    So which rival system of exclusive truth is “correct” in this scheme 🙂 Should we go to war over it? 🙂

    Of course, Jews, Christians, and Muslims also believe in an ultimate dimension to reality that represents God, and that cannot be concieved of as a being among beings.

    So which system of rival exclusive truths should we assent to?

    As for the Trinity and Muslims, Muslim theology recognizes the 99 “faces” of God, diverse aspects of ultimate reality that are nevertheless united in a single source, and Kabbalah has similar conceptions of the “multiplicity” of God. The Christian Trinity is a formulation that is trying to express multiplicity-within-unity as it relates to ultimate reality, and this is a standard feature of all religions.

    Of course religions are not identical, and their differences should not be collapsed into a bland uniformity – how would they inspire and deepen each other’s thought then? – and they differ in preferred formulations, practices, approaches, and various other dimensions. And these differences are significant and should not papered over.

    But none of that is equivalent to religions being primarily systems of exclusive propositions or rival creeds.

    Sorry 🙂

  1068. AP says:
    @silviosilver
    @AP


    Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so.
     
    I think it's valid to draw a distinction between reasonable faith and blind faith, although there's ultimately overlap and at the "highest" levels probably no effective difference. (If you're going to say your faith is "unshakeable," then how you got there, through reason, zeal or simply naievete, doesn't seem to matter.) I take you to be an advocate of reasonable faith, as am I. The bolded statement above indicates to me that you believe an even higher level of belief of God is that which is achieved through reason alone, without any leap of faith. I just don't see why that should be so.

    Earlier I allowed that faith is a useless means to knowledge of mere reality - you might have faith in physical laws, but you're not going to faith your way to physical laws. But I maintained that faith is the proper means of knowing God. Maybe we should take this further and say that faith is the means by which God wants to be known. He doesn't want people who are tricked into believing in him, and this includes people who are merely rationally convinced to believe in him. Why? Because people who are rationally convinced can be rationally unconvinced. If some argument today leads them to believe in God, another argument tomorrow might convince them to abandon faith in God.

    So rational reasons might be necessary, or at least helpful, but they cannot be enough. Evangelists who think feeding people rational reasons is sufficient are like an army that gives recruits perfunctory training and poor equipment and sends them into battle while knowing the enemy is better trained and better equipped. I want to say we mustn't shy away from defending faith qua faith. It's not "cool," our peers will jeer us, and we ourselves might feel sheepish. But if faith is the sine qua non of knowing God, then we mustn't let that deter us.

    Replies: @AP

    “Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so.”

    I think it’s valid to draw a distinction between reasonable faith and blind faith, although there’s ultimately overlap and at the “highest” levels probably no effective difference. (If you’re going to say your faith is “unshakeable,” then how you got there, through reason, zeal or simply naievete, doesn’t seem to matter.) I take you to be an advocate of reasonable faith, as am I. The bolded statement above indicates to me that you believe an even higher level of belief of God is that which is achieved through reason alone, without any leap of faith. I just don’t see why that should be so.

    Sorry if I wasn’t clear, I didn’t mean to imply that. I don’ think it’s higher, I just think it’s possible.

    I agree with the rest of what you write except here:

    So rational reasons might be necessary, or at least helpful, but they cannot be enough.

    My position is softer than yours. If (as I believe is the case) there is one true faith, then reason alone can lead one to that faith even though that is not the only path and probably is not the best path, for the reasons you outlined. Aren’t most apologetics just examples of using reason alone to defend the religion? Some of the people who convert based on such polemics can be said to have done so using reason alone.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @AP


    If (as I believe is the case) there is one true faith, then reason alone can lead one to that faith
     
    Well that's the official church teaching. I think it's more trouble than it's worth.

    Aren’t most apologetics just examples of using reason alone to defend the religion?
     
    They imagine they are building a purely rational case, but what would I say they're doing is simply establishing the plausibility of faith. If it takes faith to truly know God, then I'm going to have to say faith is superior to reason. And if it's reason, it's not faith, and God wants us to have faith in him, not merely "reason in him."

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1069. @John Johnson
    @QCIC

    AK wrote: “…become transracialists anyway”.

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    There are liberals that also put false hope into genetic engineering. I've had liberals tell me that genetic engineering will fix it all which means we just have to keep lying until then. Oh ok thanks, I'll go ahead and send you the bill for all the failed solutions.

    Only minor detail in that grand plan is that you would have to admit to genetic differences before trying to crispr them.

    It's also still extremely expensive to flip a single gene. So you would need to massively bring the cost down and also come up with some PR plan where you explain to non-Whites that their children need to be genetically manipulated. For "the science" of equality or something. Good luck explaining that.

    The timeline simply isn't available for sci-fi solutions. A more likely scenario is that millions of Africans arrive on shore and liberals tell us that in 5-10 years we can fix their children in testubes. HOORAY FOR UTOPIA. WAKANDA IS HERE YOU GUYS, WE JUST HAVE TO RAISE HUMANS LIKE POD ALIENS. AND U DUMB RACISTS THOUGHT WE COULDN'T DO IT.

    Instead of fantasizing about sci-fi we could actually try...... I don't know........admitting to reality?

    We still don't have gene therapies for the most common chromosomal mutations. Nigeria's population will hit half a billion by 2040. Elon Musk and other Tekk Whites will not save us from reality. Put down the Sci-fi book.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @QCIC

    These incompatible African “immigrants” have no agency. They are not coming to the USA without help. Apparently they are being brought over primarily to destroy what is left of the American system.

    It is not a coincidence that similar forces seem to be pushing a war against Russia using Ukraine as a pawn. Pointing this out is not a defense of Russia, it is an acknowledgment that the war in Ukraine created by the West is bad for most US citizens, extremely bad for Ukrainians and bad for Russians.

    I wonder if there is a common denominator among these destroyers? Hmmm, I wonder what group wants to destroy the two most powerful nations on Earth? Is it a coincidence that both countries have Christian cultural roots?

  1070. @John Johnson
    @silviosilver

    On the other hand, the world’s religious people aren’t going anywhere. If you don’t like them, you can either try to eliminate their beliefs altogether, or you can try to modify/defang them while letting people keep those aspects that are most meaningful to them.

    They aren't going anywhere and why I would prefer it if Whites were Catholic. I don't think the 1000 competing denominations works well and the modern protestant faith is too vulnerable to mainstream trends. The Catholic church isn't perfect but they encourage families and I honestly think it is better for Whites to tune out on the OT. The protestant way of trying to explain it all has too many problems. I really think Orthodox/Catholic rituals have more value than some pastor with a goatee trying to find explain why Shebbadia traded his daughters.

    For the record I can be critical of Christianity but I have absolutely zero faith in secularism. Liberals have mastered converting secular Whites to their egalitarian religion. I have said it before but I don't consider even 5% of secular Whites to actually be secular. They have adopted supernatural liberal beliefs without realizing it. Anyone that doubts this is free to spend time around secular Whites and casually bring up the subject of race and evolution. The White atheist or agnostic who routinely slams Christianity will turn into a judgmental church lady. Same situation if you criticize Islam or question the risk/reward of bringing in Muslim immigrants. You will most likely be ex-communicated from the group. Then they will go back to discussing how open minded they are when compared to Christians.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    The Catholic church isn’t perfect but they encourage families and I honestly think it is better for Whites to tune out on the OT. The protestant way of trying to explain it all has too many problems.

    More generally, Catholicism (indirectly) discourages biblical literalism of any sort. You can just go with official church teachings and not have to puzzle over what this or that verse means.

    No question the OT is Christianity’s ball and chain. Actually, the church would have been better off had it never sacralized scripture in the first place. But anyway, we’re stuck with it now, so the best we can hope for is organizational forms that deemphasize it.

    That said, the idea of scripture that it’s really “God’s word” you’re holding in your hands, and that you can read it yourself and feeling it’s addressing you personally, is quite appealing, and protestants probably do better recruiting people who’ve never been Christian than Catholics do in large part because of this. So scripture definitely has a role as “spiritual training wheels.”

    Protestants are also better at religious marketing than Catholics. Catholics should just use Protestants to bring people to Christ, and then focus their proselytization efforts on converting Protestants to Catholicism. The goofy crap you see in protestant churches will surely help.

    I really think Orthodox/Catholic rituals have more value than some pastor with a goatee trying to find explain why Shebbadia traded his daughters.

    For sure. I actually wish there was more ritualism, and less sitting around passively listening. And why does mass have to drag on so long? 15-20 minutes is the most anyone should have to just sit there uncomprehendingly (which is most people’s experience, let’s be serious). The rest of the time should be filled in with ritual and socializing.

    Still, protestants do some things well. Since they’ve abandoned tradition anyway, the kind of “rock concert” productions they put on – which would look completely out of place in a catholic church – aren’t so bad. Actually, they seem kinda fun. The main thing that has put me off is, like you said, having to listen to some pastor with a goatee – or just as likely, a blue-haired lesbian in yoga pants -feed me made up bs about Elisha and the she-bears. (Of what possible relevance is the “proper” understanding of such verses to your salvation anyway? That’s never made sense to me. As if anyone still remembers the “lesson” by next Sunday anyway. I might have felt differently if most of the OT stories were actually interesting, but they’re not.)

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @silviosilver

    No question the OT is Christianity’s ball and chain. Actually, the church would have been better off had it never sacralized scripture in the first place. But anyway, we’re stuck with it now, so the best we can hope for is organizational forms that deemphasize it.

    I see no hope for that in the protestant church. It's still the norm to teach children that a man lived in a whale and the earth was completely flooded around 10k years ago. Then those children later doubt their faith after getting on the internet or going to college.

    The protestant church is stuck in a loop. They view themselves as in a competition with the secular world to instill beliefs in their children. It's an unspoken competition to sway children with beliefs that might not be entirely true. Children are taught that the OT is "God's word" while online we see Christians talking about how the flood is a metaphor even though it is cross-referenced as an event. They tell kids it is 100% true while adults are given metaphor/spiritual lesson explanations (see this thread for an example). Children should not be punished for asking questions and if the OT doesn't have all the answers then so be it. Protestants should not view it as heresy to question the OT. The focus should be on the NT. Catholics have the right idea which is to not deeply engage it in the first place. I think your description of the OT being the "ball and chain" is spot on. I honestly don't think the protestant church can break away which is why Catholic/Orthodox are probably the only path. I also think they are healthier for Whites. I've been to protestant churches where practically everyone looked uncomfortable as if it was a wedding.

    Still, protestants do some things well. Since they’ve abandoned tradition anyway, the kind of “rock concert” productions they put on – which would look completely out of place in a catholic church – aren’t so bad. Actually, they seem kinda fun.

    Maybe the grass is always greener. I went to a few rock concert churches as a kid and thought they were corny. At the foursquare churches most of the sermon is a sing a long. I thought it was a nightmare compared to mass. There is real problem whereby protestant churches try extra hard to copy mainstream culture and end up being a poor imitation that has nothing to do with Christianity. It's not just the music. They can also adopt anti-male/anti-White outlooks in an attempt to appear modern. A popular theme is "men are so stupid" where some goatee pastor makes jokes about how men are dopes and can't survive without women.

  1071. @AP
    @silviosilver


    "Choosing the next step could and usually does involve a leap of faith. I admit in my case there was a spiritual element that could not be put in words and therefore did not come from reasoned thought. But I don’t think it must necessarily be so."

    I think it’s valid to draw a distinction between reasonable faith and blind faith, although there’s ultimately overlap and at the “highest” levels probably no effective difference. (If you’re going to say your faith is “unshakeable,” then how you got there, through reason, zeal or simply naievete, doesn’t seem to matter.) I take you to be an advocate of reasonable faith, as am I. The bolded statement above indicates to me that you believe an even higher level of belief of God is that which is achieved through reason alone, without any leap of faith. I just don’t see why that should be so.
     
    Sorry if I wasn't clear, I didn't mean to imply that. I don' think it's higher, I just think it's possible.

    I agree with the rest of what you write except here:

    So rational reasons might be necessary, or at least helpful, but they cannot be enough.
     
    My position is softer than yours. If (as I believe is the case) there is one true faith, then reason alone can lead one to that faith even though that is not the only path and probably is not the best path, for the reasons you outlined. Aren't most apologetics just examples of using reason alone to defend the religion? Some of the people who convert based on such polemics can be said to have done so using reason alone.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    If (as I believe is the case) there is one true faith, then reason alone can lead one to that faith

    Well that’s the official church teaching. I think it’s more trouble than it’s worth.

    Aren’t most apologetics just examples of using reason alone to defend the religion?

    They imagine they are building a purely rational case, but what would I say they’re doing is simply establishing the plausibility of faith. If it takes faith to truly know God, then I’m going to have to say faith is superior to reason. And if it’s reason, it’s not faith, and God wants us to have faith in him, not merely “reason in him.”

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    You asked me before what my idealistic vision is, and I forgot to answer you, and you consistently claim my vision is vague, which I think is unfair, because my comments are peppered with descriptions of my vision.

    I'd love to launch into rhapsodies about my vision, and there's a place for that, but I'm just gonna keep it simple - and obviously, it can be fleshed out at length, and explored in many dimensions.

    One, to restore a sense of enchantment to the world, a sense that the world is sacred, and that it's alive. Two, to foster a sense of love and justice between humans. And three, to foster a connection to the transcendent.

    These three have infinite implications and can be fleshed out in endless detail, and I've done a lot of it here. There is also a necessarily vague dimension - terms like beauty and magic cannot be precisely defined, but we know them when we see them.

    Economically, I support basic socialism, but not a rigidly enforced equality - as long as everyone has enough to live reasonably, with free time, there is room for the ambitious to make more. But this necessarily dethrones money and ambition from the central place it occupies today. Neither will be celebrated in a sane society, but will not be forbidden, either.

    In terms of science, an end to reductionist science and the mechanistic view - the view that all life are mere machines. This doesn't mean that that there is no place for reductionism and mechanistic thinking, just that it will no longer be the only level at which we understand the world. Cognitively, a return to an appreciation for imagination and intuition as valid approaches to truth, and a recognition of the limitations of reason.

    In terms of technology, technological advances will continue but will not dominate our priorities. For instance, cars are fine - I enjoy them tremendously - but we will not make cities ugly and inhuman because the limitless expansion of technology is our only priority, and we are driven by a relentless imperative to further the spread of any technology we invent without consideration for other values.

    Beauty will be a central priority in all arrangements of life, not excluded as trivial like now. We can build skyscrapers, but they will be beautiful, imaginative, and ornamented, not utilitarian square boxes that are merely functional.

    Society will be organized in ways that foster love and cooperation - competition will no longer dominate our life, but will persist in some benevolent forms, and selfish individualism will likewise be dethroned from it's central place.

    Our approach to the natural world will not be one of domination, a vision where nature is merely a bunch of resources for us to exploit, but an appreciation that it is sacred, alive, and meaningful.

    Social control and restriction will be massively reduced, as will regulation and bureaucracy - and spontaneity will be restored, and people allowed to be their true selves, not distorted and suppressed by an oppressive social system and mass of burdensome regulations. This will restore vitality and zest to life.

    The main priority in life, which informs all the rest will not be, as now, to merely physically survive, and to dominate and control matter, or the Faustian desire to grow in power infinitely, but these will be seen as fale substitutes for what we truly long for - which is an expansion in life's inner dimension, which means connection to the transcendent, the realm of the infinite, which means an expansion into the good, the beautiful, and the true, which is what we truly long for.

    I believe such a vision better matches the true "shape" of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for - and a rather poor misunderstanding.

    And I'd argue no political traction can be acquired without at least a distorted version of what the human heart really longs for, and that such distortions never succeed long term. But the typical political vision of today's right, as seen in people like Sailer, Derbyshire, and Jared Taylor, are entirely confined to the level of limited practical benefit, and completely fail to reach the most important dimensions of the human mind and heart - and ate therefore a political dead end.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective

  1072. @Mr. XYZ
    @QCIC

    Good luck doing gene editing that would successfully significantly increase the IQs of people who are already alive. One will almost certainly eventually be able to successfully gene edit embryos, but what about already-living people? Which will be especially relevant if we will actually develop a successful cure to aging.

    Replies: @QCIC

    I suspect AK thinks he is part of a process, not an end point. On the other hand, some technologies are evolving rapidly and the rate of development is accelerating. Perhaps he hopes to upload his brain to be immortalized as a character in some future world simulation.

    I believe the dirty secret for transhumanists is that while they may aspire to transcend human weakness they are actually supercharging it and probably stripping away most of what is good in the human condition in the process. The AI and genetic engineering crowds are steeped in rationalism and hubris and so their creations shall follow.

  1073. @silviosilver
    @AP


    If (as I believe is the case) there is one true faith, then reason alone can lead one to that faith
     
    Well that's the official church teaching. I think it's more trouble than it's worth.

    Aren’t most apologetics just examples of using reason alone to defend the religion?
     
    They imagine they are building a purely rational case, but what would I say they're doing is simply establishing the plausibility of faith. If it takes faith to truly know God, then I'm going to have to say faith is superior to reason. And if it's reason, it's not faith, and God wants us to have faith in him, not merely "reason in him."

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    You asked me before what my idealistic vision is, and I forgot to answer you, and you consistently claim my vision is vague, which I think is unfair, because my comments are peppered with descriptions of my vision.

    I’d love to launch into rhapsodies about my vision, and there’s a place for that, but I’m just gonna keep it simple – and obviously, it can be fleshed out at length, and explored in many dimensions.

    One, to restore a sense of enchantment to the world, a sense that the world is sacred, and that it’s alive. Two, to foster a sense of love and justice between humans. And three, to foster a connection to the transcendent.

    These three have infinite implications and can be fleshed out in endless detail, and I’ve done a lot of it here. There is also a necessarily vague dimension – terms like beauty and magic cannot be precisely defined, but we know them when we see them.

    Economically, I support basic socialism, but not a rigidly enforced equality – as long as everyone has enough to live reasonably, with free time, there is room for the ambitious to make more. But this necessarily dethrones money and ambition from the central place it occupies today. Neither will be celebrated in a sane society, but will not be forbidden, either.

    In terms of science, an end to reductionist science and the mechanistic view – the view that all life are mere machines. This doesn’t mean that that there is no place for reductionism and mechanistic thinking, just that it will no longer be the only level at which we understand the world. Cognitively, a return to an appreciation for imagination and intuition as valid approaches to truth, and a recognition of the limitations of reason.

    In terms of technology, technological advances will continue but will not dominate our priorities. For instance, cars are fine – I enjoy them tremendously – but we will not make cities ugly and inhuman because the limitless expansion of technology is our only priority, and we are driven by a relentless imperative to further the spread of any technology we invent without consideration for other values.

    Beauty will be a central priority in all arrangements of life, not excluded as trivial like now. We can build skyscrapers, but they will be beautiful, imaginative, and ornamented, not utilitarian square boxes that are merely functional.

    Society will be organized in ways that foster love and cooperation – competition will no longer dominate our life, but will persist in some benevolent forms, and selfish individualism will likewise be dethroned from it’s central place.

    Our approach to the natural world will not be one of domination, a vision where nature is merely a bunch of resources for us to exploit, but an appreciation that it is sacred, alive, and meaningful.

    Social control and restriction will be massively reduced, as will regulation and bureaucracy – and spontaneity will be restored, and people allowed to be their true selves, not distorted and suppressed by an oppressive social system and mass of burdensome regulations. This will restore vitality and zest to life.

    The main priority in life, which informs all the rest will not be, as now, to merely physically survive, and to dominate and control matter, or the Faustian desire to grow in power infinitely, but these will be seen as fale substitutes for what we truly long for – which is an expansion in life’s inner dimension, which means connection to the transcendent, the realm of the infinite, which means an expansion into the good, the beautiful, and the true, which is what we truly long for.

    I believe such a vision better matches the true “shape” of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for – and a rather poor misunderstanding.

    And I’d argue no political traction can be acquired without at least a distorted version of what the human heart really longs for, and that such distortions never succeed long term. But the typical political vision of today’s right, as seen in people like Sailer, Derbyshire, and Jared Taylor, are entirely confined to the level of limited practical benefit, and completely fail to reach the most important dimensions of the human mind and heart – and ate therefore a political dead end.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The main priority in life, which informs all the rest will not be, as now, to merely physically survive, and to dominate and control matter, or the Faustian desire to grow in power infinitely, but these will be seen as fale substitutes for what we truly long for – which is an expansion in life’s inner dimension, which means connection to the transcendent, the realm of the infinite, which means an expansion into the good, the beautiful, and the true, which is what we truly long for.
     
    All of that would still be more satisfying in a racially delimited polity. Multiracialism doesn't have to be horrible - aside from the negroid-heavy variety, it usually isn't - in order to be suboptimal. If there is an opportunity to replace the suboptimal with something more optimal, that opportunity ought to be seized.
    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    OK, I will answer your answer to me some time in the future, but for now:


    I believe such a vision better matches the true “shape” of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for – and a rather poor misunderstanding.
     
    Do you agree that human longings on their own can create and shape religion, or do you agree that religious message is externally shaped...?

    Because if you support the former, than we end on a pretty basic and trivial level that everyone would like to be good and people around him happy... I suppose even the staunchest racists here would agree with a statement "We want blacks to be happy - just happy in Africa".

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

  1074. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver


    It was done because explanations derived from the other two questions don’t add anything to our understanding of how things work. Invoking fairies to explain why water flows downhill neither adds to nor contradicts anything in the purely physics-based account of the phenomenon, so it can be safely dispensed
     
    with.

    Isn't this what I'm saying?

    If you're only interested in how things "work", you have to narrow the scope of your investigation and exclude factors that aren't relevant to that.

    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life - indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life

    But it's not even true that our understanding of life as inert mechanism or as animate has no practical implications. Seeing matter as alive may lead to a whole host of new discoveries in the biological sciences and even physics, that may lead to an expanded ability to engage with the world fruitfully.

    Even Francis Bacon said to dominate nature we must obey her - if matter is animate and has goals of its own, paying attention to this may well expand our ability to succeed and thrive.

    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on "coaxing" matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it's intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.

    Even prayer has enough evidence behind it now to suggest it is a method that works, but without reproducing reliability of science.

    But aren't effective methods that are less certain still hugely valuable - especially in areas that science as yet can't control, and may never?

    And if Love is the energy of the universe - than it may be that purifying our minds and developing a disposition towards benevolence and love will lead to greater physical well being and health.

    The implications are countless.

    But why don't you just go at your own pace? If fairies are a step too far for you then hold off on that. There's no rush, and who knows where you're journey will take you.

    That doesn’t mean we can invoke entities at will. I am perfectly within my rights to calls fairies inane crazy talk and completely dismiss it as any kind of guide to reality, mere or ultimate. (Btw, I found that Stephen Clarke essay completely unconvincing, sorry.)
     
    Of course even if reason isn't definitive, it is one of the tools that can assist us in coming to conclusions about reality, if not the only one or even the primary one.

    The only purely rational position on fairies is agnosticism - saying it's insane crazy talk is simple dogmatic assertion. You describe very well in one of your comments that it is irrational to think reality is entirely exhausted by the empirical method or even what we can percieve.

    However, fairies properly understood as the spiritual volitional dimension of natural objects, become as plausible as anything else once you reject the reductionist view of science that life is mere mechanism. Or as manifestations of the spiritual dimension.

    We have discussed already that how we come to know anything at all involves faith that the questions our minds ask when we encounter phenomena matches the shape of reality.

    And since our minds naturally ask about the unseen essence of matter - the true nature of it - and it's ultimate purpose and goal, our minds are naturally attuned to expect a spiritual dimension. In fact it's only with great effort we can suppress this.

    So from that perspective, reason itself cannot prove, but suggests that fairies exist since it suggests that matter has a goal and purpose, and volition suggests consciousness, and fairies are the spiritual volitional dimensions of natural objects like trees and rivers.

    So I'm afraid it is you who are being irrational :)

    ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us!
     
    First, I can recognize a symptom when I see one. I may not approve of all expressions of vitality but I can recognize symptoms of it's decline, even if I approve of those symptoms.

    Technological progress was possible when there was hemispheric balance, with the right dominant, and there was an explosion in the arts as well. As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two. Today's rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt. As the sway of technology over our lives increased, our ability to innovate in that field diminished.

    Second, Im not against accomplishing necessary infrastructure programs, and the loss of our ability to do that rapidly is not something I support.

    Finally and most importantly, the kind of innovation and bold thinking that I am talking about is exactly what will bring us to a vision of science and life of expanded possibilities. We are stuck in a rut, and can't break out of mechanistic thinking. But as I described above, a science freed from mechanistic thinking may make all sorts of new discoveries.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities - for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today. Or we can choose to live in thatched huts, some of us.

    The point is, bureaucracy and regulations, and an dogmatic commitment to mechanistic thinking, is keeping us in a rut from which we cannot escape.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life – indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life

    The original reason those ideas were cooked up, though, was because they were thought to “explain” the operation of various phenomena. When it was realized they weren’t need, those ideas were quickly junked. That’s why today virtually no one cares about them. That is why you’re now mounting a rescue operation that pretends those ideas are somehow “needed” for full satisfaction. Well, not to me they’re not. You have no idea of how offensive and repellent I find the aggravating imbecility of animism.

    In my worldview, even God only makes it through by the skin of his teeth. And it’s only because positing his existence serves a widely experienced need, both for rational and irrational reasons. Still, those who find God a leap too far are perfectly within their rights to reject him. They too may agree that scientism is incapable of giving a full account of the human experience, but they may simply be prepared to consign that fact to permanent mystery and get on with living their lives as reasonably as they can.

    The “aliveness of the earth” serves no comparable need. Everyone should recognize “fairies” and tree spirits and whatnot as obvious invention and scorn it as such. I have infinitely more respect for cold, hard, materialist atheism than I do for this hippy-dippy earth worship bullshit.

    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on “coaxing” matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it’s intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.

    Hard no.

    We are going beyond a more satisfying conception of reality here to actual application (which is what you have always been about). And this is where we part ways. Strict rationality may deprive us of some of the awe or beauty of existence, but imo it more than makes up for it by providing an objective basis to resolve our differences. When we throw out that standard, it just becomes my preferences versus yours. And yours, I’m sorry to say, utterly repel me.

    As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two.

    Yeah sure, it’s an iron law. I can just imagine you standing beside a graph plotting left brain dominance on one axis versus innovation on the other, indicating with your pointer – tap, tap – “we are here.”

    Today’s rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt.

    Bullshit.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities – for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today.

    The po-mo scum responsible for the uglificiation of our urban landscapes often despise “mechanistic science” even more than you do.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Well, what else can I say?

    I think your way is the way of death, and mine the way of life.

    I seek a fuller, richer life than that offered by the mainstream, and think the mainstream path you're defending leads to an impoverished life, and ultimately to breakdown and decline.

    All I can say is I bear you no ill will, and wish you the most painless decline possible, and that you bear your impoverished vision of reality with as little suffering as possible. And who knows? Perhaps you have taken your first step on the spiritual path, and it is too early to come to any conclusions about you. Perhaps you'll choose Life in the end, too, and it's just too early for you to really challenge the hardened carapace of your old habits and modes of thought.

    For my part, I know by now very well I cannot save this culture committed to death - I can only build new life amid the ruins. And that, I am doing :)

    I'm going to take a break for a bit, but I'll continue posting here later again - there is much spiritual value, "theurgic" value, if you will, in simply expressing beautiful and spiritual ideas on this site, in simply putting them down - and I'll be happy to engage any challenges you may have for me at that future date :)

    In the meantime, thanks for this extended conversation, and good luck on your journey wherever you end up.

    Replies: @songbird

    , @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    I also want to apologize if I came on too strong and was not appreciative enough of the extent to which you've changed your views and taken steps in a new direction. You've gotta go at your own pace.

    I'm often too impatient and combative - I'd make an absolutely terrible terrible pastor :)

    And now I really have to take a week or two off.....

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Mikel

  1075. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    You asked me before what my idealistic vision is, and I forgot to answer you, and you consistently claim my vision is vague, which I think is unfair, because my comments are peppered with descriptions of my vision.

    I'd love to launch into rhapsodies about my vision, and there's a place for that, but I'm just gonna keep it simple - and obviously, it can be fleshed out at length, and explored in many dimensions.

    One, to restore a sense of enchantment to the world, a sense that the world is sacred, and that it's alive. Two, to foster a sense of love and justice between humans. And three, to foster a connection to the transcendent.

    These three have infinite implications and can be fleshed out in endless detail, and I've done a lot of it here. There is also a necessarily vague dimension - terms like beauty and magic cannot be precisely defined, but we know them when we see them.

    Economically, I support basic socialism, but not a rigidly enforced equality - as long as everyone has enough to live reasonably, with free time, there is room for the ambitious to make more. But this necessarily dethrones money and ambition from the central place it occupies today. Neither will be celebrated in a sane society, but will not be forbidden, either.

    In terms of science, an end to reductionist science and the mechanistic view - the view that all life are mere machines. This doesn't mean that that there is no place for reductionism and mechanistic thinking, just that it will no longer be the only level at which we understand the world. Cognitively, a return to an appreciation for imagination and intuition as valid approaches to truth, and a recognition of the limitations of reason.

    In terms of technology, technological advances will continue but will not dominate our priorities. For instance, cars are fine - I enjoy them tremendously - but we will not make cities ugly and inhuman because the limitless expansion of technology is our only priority, and we are driven by a relentless imperative to further the spread of any technology we invent without consideration for other values.

    Beauty will be a central priority in all arrangements of life, not excluded as trivial like now. We can build skyscrapers, but they will be beautiful, imaginative, and ornamented, not utilitarian square boxes that are merely functional.

    Society will be organized in ways that foster love and cooperation - competition will no longer dominate our life, but will persist in some benevolent forms, and selfish individualism will likewise be dethroned from it's central place.

    Our approach to the natural world will not be one of domination, a vision where nature is merely a bunch of resources for us to exploit, but an appreciation that it is sacred, alive, and meaningful.

    Social control and restriction will be massively reduced, as will regulation and bureaucracy - and spontaneity will be restored, and people allowed to be their true selves, not distorted and suppressed by an oppressive social system and mass of burdensome regulations. This will restore vitality and zest to life.

    The main priority in life, which informs all the rest will not be, as now, to merely physically survive, and to dominate and control matter, or the Faustian desire to grow in power infinitely, but these will be seen as fale substitutes for what we truly long for - which is an expansion in life's inner dimension, which means connection to the transcendent, the realm of the infinite, which means an expansion into the good, the beautiful, and the true, which is what we truly long for.

    I believe such a vision better matches the true "shape" of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for - and a rather poor misunderstanding.

    And I'd argue no political traction can be acquired without at least a distorted version of what the human heart really longs for, and that such distortions never succeed long term. But the typical political vision of today's right, as seen in people like Sailer, Derbyshire, and Jared Taylor, are entirely confined to the level of limited practical benefit, and completely fail to reach the most important dimensions of the human mind and heart - and ate therefore a political dead end.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective

    The main priority in life, which informs all the rest will not be, as now, to merely physically survive, and to dominate and control matter, or the Faustian desire to grow in power infinitely, but these will be seen as fale substitutes for what we truly long for – which is an expansion in life’s inner dimension, which means connection to the transcendent, the realm of the infinite, which means an expansion into the good, the beautiful, and the true, which is what we truly long for.

    All of that would still be more satisfying in a racially delimited polity. Multiracialism doesn’t have to be horrible – aside from the negroid-heavy variety, it usually isn’t – in order to be suboptimal. If there is an opportunity to replace the suboptimal with something more optimal, that opportunity ought to be seized.

  1076. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life – indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life
     

    The original reason those ideas were cooked up, though, was because they were thought to "explain" the operation of various phenomena. When it was realized they weren't need, those ideas were quickly junked. That's why today virtually no one cares about them. That is why you're now mounting a rescue operation that pretends those ideas are somehow "needed" for full satisfaction. Well, not to me they're not. You have no idea of how offensive and repellent I find the aggravating imbecility of animism.

    In my worldview, even God only makes it through by the skin of his teeth. And it's only because positing his existence serves a widely experienced need, both for rational and irrational reasons. Still, those who find God a leap too far are perfectly within their rights to reject him. They too may agree that scientism is incapable of giving a full account of the human experience, but they may simply be prepared to consign that fact to permanent mystery and get on with living their lives as reasonably as they can.

    The "aliveness of the earth" serves no comparable need. Everyone should recognize "fairies" and tree spirits and whatnot as obvious invention and scorn it as such. I have infinitely more respect for cold, hard, materialist atheism than I do for this hippy-dippy earth worship bullshit.


    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on “coaxing” matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it’s intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.
     
    Hard no.

    We are going beyond a more satisfying conception of reality here to actual application (which is what you have always been about). And this is where we part ways. Strict rationality may deprive us of some of the awe or beauty of existence, but imo it more than makes up for it by providing an objective basis to resolve our differences. When we throw out that standard, it just becomes my preferences versus yours. And yours, I'm sorry to say, utterly repel me.


    As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two.
     
    Yeah sure, it's an iron law. I can just imagine you standing beside a graph plotting left brain dominance on one axis versus innovation on the other, indicating with your pointer - tap, tap - "we are here."

    Today’s rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt.
     
    Bullshit.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities – for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today.
     
    The po-mo scum responsible for the uglificiation of our urban landscapes often despise "mechanistic science" even more than you do.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Well, what else can I say?

    I think your way is the way of death, and mine the way of life.

    I seek a fuller, richer life than that offered by the mainstream, and think the mainstream path you’re defending leads to an impoverished life, and ultimately to breakdown and decline.

    All I can say is I bear you no ill will, and wish you the most painless decline possible, and that you bear your impoverished vision of reality with as little suffering as possible. And who knows? Perhaps you have taken your first step on the spiritual path, and it is too early to come to any conclusions about you. Perhaps you’ll choose Life in the end, too, and it’s just too early for you to really challenge the hardened carapace of your old habits and modes of thought.

    For my part, I know by now very well I cannot save this culture committed to death – I can only build new life amid the ruins. And that, I am doing 🙂

    I’m going to take a break for a bit, but I’ll continue posting here later again – there is much spiritual value, “theurgic” value, if you will, in simply expressing beautiful and spiritual ideas on this site, in simply putting them down – and I’ll be happy to engage any challenges you may have for me at that future date 🙂

    In the meantime, thanks for this extended conversation, and good luck on your journey wherever you end up.

    • Replies: @songbird
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Before you go on hiatus, I'll make another anime recommendation, if you haven't seen it:
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Josee,_the_Tiger_and_the_Fish_(2020_film)

    The film is a romance. Kind of hokey, and contains various flaws (including one scene which strikes me as so alien it could only be written by a woman.)

    But I would recommend it nearly on the sole basis of one short scene that plays during the credits. (And the arc leading to the scene) Very Japanese in conception, and, I guess depending on the interpretation, very anti-materialist. Or perhaps, alternatively very Buddhist and very Japanese.

  1077. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    You asked me before what my idealistic vision is, and I forgot to answer you, and you consistently claim my vision is vague, which I think is unfair, because my comments are peppered with descriptions of my vision.

    I'd love to launch into rhapsodies about my vision, and there's a place for that, but I'm just gonna keep it simple - and obviously, it can be fleshed out at length, and explored in many dimensions.

    One, to restore a sense of enchantment to the world, a sense that the world is sacred, and that it's alive. Two, to foster a sense of love and justice between humans. And three, to foster a connection to the transcendent.

    These three have infinite implications and can be fleshed out in endless detail, and I've done a lot of it here. There is also a necessarily vague dimension - terms like beauty and magic cannot be precisely defined, but we know them when we see them.

    Economically, I support basic socialism, but not a rigidly enforced equality - as long as everyone has enough to live reasonably, with free time, there is room for the ambitious to make more. But this necessarily dethrones money and ambition from the central place it occupies today. Neither will be celebrated in a sane society, but will not be forbidden, either.

    In terms of science, an end to reductionist science and the mechanistic view - the view that all life are mere machines. This doesn't mean that that there is no place for reductionism and mechanistic thinking, just that it will no longer be the only level at which we understand the world. Cognitively, a return to an appreciation for imagination and intuition as valid approaches to truth, and a recognition of the limitations of reason.

    In terms of technology, technological advances will continue but will not dominate our priorities. For instance, cars are fine - I enjoy them tremendously - but we will not make cities ugly and inhuman because the limitless expansion of technology is our only priority, and we are driven by a relentless imperative to further the spread of any technology we invent without consideration for other values.

    Beauty will be a central priority in all arrangements of life, not excluded as trivial like now. We can build skyscrapers, but they will be beautiful, imaginative, and ornamented, not utilitarian square boxes that are merely functional.

    Society will be organized in ways that foster love and cooperation - competition will no longer dominate our life, but will persist in some benevolent forms, and selfish individualism will likewise be dethroned from it's central place.

    Our approach to the natural world will not be one of domination, a vision where nature is merely a bunch of resources for us to exploit, but an appreciation that it is sacred, alive, and meaningful.

    Social control and restriction will be massively reduced, as will regulation and bureaucracy - and spontaneity will be restored, and people allowed to be their true selves, not distorted and suppressed by an oppressive social system and mass of burdensome regulations. This will restore vitality and zest to life.

    The main priority in life, which informs all the rest will not be, as now, to merely physically survive, and to dominate and control matter, or the Faustian desire to grow in power infinitely, but these will be seen as fale substitutes for what we truly long for - which is an expansion in life's inner dimension, which means connection to the transcendent, the realm of the infinite, which means an expansion into the good, the beautiful, and the true, which is what we truly long for.

    I believe such a vision better matches the true "shape" of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for - and a rather poor misunderstanding.

    And I'd argue no political traction can be acquired without at least a distorted version of what the human heart really longs for, and that such distortions never succeed long term. But the typical political vision of today's right, as seen in people like Sailer, Derbyshire, and Jared Taylor, are entirely confined to the level of limited practical benefit, and completely fail to reach the most important dimensions of the human mind and heart - and ate therefore a political dead end.

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective

    OK, I will answer your answer to me some time in the future, but for now:

    I believe such a vision better matches the true “shape” of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for – and a rather poor misunderstanding.

    Do you agree that human longings on their own can create and shape religion, or do you agree that religious message is externally shaped…?

    Because if you support the former, than we end on a pretty basic and trivial level that everyone would like to be good and people around him happy… I suppose even the staunchest racists here would agree with a statement “We want blacks to be happy – just happy in Africa”.

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I think human longing naturally matches what's out there - that we have a natural disposition towards a transcendent realm of objective goodness and beauty.

    Human longing isn't random, but naturally in tune with and directed towards the transcendent, and the transcendent dimension in human life. So there is a relationship between human longing and the objective realm - how could there not be? If we don't have faith that our minds somehow match what's out there, we couldn't know anything at all.

    Obviously when I say you're relying on external factors in understanding religion I don't mean this objective realm of transcendent goodness, but in physical and historical events.

    For everyone to be good and happy is a significant part of religion, and isn't trivial - the world is steeped in suffering - and religion is a vision of infinite peace, but true happiness requires connection to the transcendent.

    Answer at your leisure....I'm taking a break from this blog for a while but I'll be back..

  1078. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he's indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.

    Modern nihilism emerged from precisely the kind of society De Maistre describes; it is the "dialectical" result of European history, so to speak. The French revolution happened for a reason, it did not just spring out of the head of Zeus, like Athena.

    People were miserable and simmering in rage under the ancien regime. The problem is not simply that a system of autocratic control invites corruption and unaccountability, it's that contradicts precisely the message of Jesus, and that of most other religions.

    One of the contradictions that resulted in undermining the credibility of Christianity in the West was the enormous gap between the message of Jesus and the behavior of its rulers and the system of government and social organization they created.

    People noticed.

    And just because reason cannot give us definitive answers to our most pressing questions, it does not follow that a clique of elites must invent dogmatic beliefs and impose them on the populace; far from creating stability, this creates periodic revolution and ceaseless ferment, as Europe has shown us!

    There are other sources of knowledge; intuition, imagination, discernment, cultivation, life itself - living itself is a school if we are willing to learn it's lessons. We know when our intimations of the shape of reality are on the right track when living according to them allows us to flourish and live beautifully and joyously.

    Reason can help, but ultimately discernment, imagination, intuition, and life are how we know anything at all - including science.

    And it simply isn't true, as a matter of historical facts, that autocracy based on dogmatic assertion imposed by an elite is the only source of long term stability (I assert it's the only source of long term revolution). To take but one example, American Indians had a loose semi-anarchic social organization with considerable personal freedom and without autocratic elites, and according to European reports, lived more satisfying lives than that created by the European system.

    A long term stable system must be based on principles that have inherent appeal to the true nature of humanity, and the great religious figures of history show us vividly what the general shape of this is; a generous life based on love and freedom.

    And the only way to get that is through the spiritual education of mankind.

    As tempting as it is to simply restore the past, it is a radical mistake that will culminate in recapitulating thr path to modern revolution and nihilism.

    Replies: @Beckow, @Coconuts

    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he’s indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.

    I was quoting De Maistre’s claim that the application of reason to first principles cannot generate enduring religious or political associations. You don’t really seem to disagree with that given what you wrote in the rest of the reply.

    Then you seem to be discussing De Maistre’s general political project, rather than that particular issue of the basis of political association and authority.

    But imo the interesting part is your belief that the French Revolution was motivated by a desire to implement the teachings of Jesus in a more complete way, and I was just thinking which part? The bourgeois liberal economism or the militaristic Caesarism? Most of the revolutionary inspiration and achievement represents the advent of very modern things you seem to disagree with. It doesn’t seem surprising that as the influence of revolutionary ideas spread, belief in Jesus and transcendence generally began to go down.

    Silviosilver also seems to have noticed this issue of contradictions:

    I ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us! They’re standing in the way of appreciating the simple beauty of existence, which is the entire purpose of life. See?

    Is affirming contradictions is a kind of Hegelian thing where you are aiming to produce a synthesis from holding two contradictory positions, with the larger purpose being the ‘bringing the kingdom of heaven down to earth’, that Hegel was also thinking of? Just a more hippy version?

    • Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn't you say that's obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    It was a continuation of all those Medieval revolutions, with the difference that by this point, Christianity itself was beginning to lose credibility - or Christendom was - so it was framed as an alternative to it. So it's not surprising that belief in Jesus waned even as they were attempting to implement his ideas better.

    To a significant extent liberal modernity is a Christianity-inspired alternative to Christianity, although not entirely, and not that they're getting it right.

    As for my supposed contradictoriness in claiming that bureaucracy and over regulation is standing in the way of new developments, it's true that I certainly don't mean unfettered technological progress of the kind we have now, and maybe I should have been clearer - but there are other kinds of progress, new artistic visions, new visions of how to live, new integrations of life and science, and new kinds of science that transcend the mechanistic.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @John Johnson, @silviosilver

  1079. @QCIC
    AK wrote: "...become transracialists anyway".

    He means genetic engineered or cyber humans will be superior to any or all races. Man plus AI can do better than evolution, that sort of thing.

    He doesn't care about backlash and probably expects it all to burn down in the transition from now to cyber-geneto-nirvana.

    If the Haitians debase America, the EHC will move to where they can do more good (self-interest). EHC huddled in a moonbase can achieve more than a bunch of meat puppets rummaging around North America.

    It all has a neo-Randian flavor of enlightened self-interest run amok.

    I think he is mistaken, but his near-term outlook may be closer to reality than we would like to admit.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Emil Nikola Richard

    It all has a neo-Randian flavor of enlightened self-interest run amok.

    Flavor?

    It is exactly Galt’s Gulch Atlas Shrugged. These idiots do not know that is a work of fiction and not the user’s guide to being 21 century ubermensch. 99.999999% of real humans who ever lived would rather be in jail where Ghislaine Maxwell is right now than in a moonbase. The moonbase is more like Ted Kazcynski’s supermax prison cell.

    Skid Row is more pleasant most nights than a moonbase. Not that I have any experience of either but I did spend a week on an oil drilling offshore platform. Pure f-n hell. I have to admit Galt’s Gulch sounded pretty cool. When I was fourteen years old. : )

  1080. @John Johnson
    @Anatoly Karlin

    It’s all a moot and retarded point anyway because technological progress will soon allow us all to become transracialists anyway.

    Technological progress will do the opposite. The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study. They don't want the public to have access to a human gene library that spans races/ethnic groups. In fact for certain projects you have to sign documentation where you swear that your study won't be used to promote division. How will this type of censorship work in the future? It won't. You can't keep such information from the public indefinitely.

    Fewer people will believe in Wakanda theory which will cause liberals and leftists to push their message harder through suppression and indoctrination. That will most likely lead to a blacklash. I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    All it takes is a single cataclysmic event and millions of Africans will try to flood the US and Europe. That is really my concern. We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that "Whites ruined Africa" or caused climate change. Such a scenario would have Whites reminiscing on the good old days of Chicago shootings that were largely isolated.

    I don’t do hobbit nationalisms.

    What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Anatoly Karlin

    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

    DeSci solves this.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to “become” White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    > I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    > We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that “Whites ruined Africa” or caused climate change.

    But where is the lie?

    > What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Anatoly Karlin


    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

     

    DeSci solves this.

    It's a problem that cannot be solved. You cannot censor unwanted DNA truths in the long term.

    Someone will leak a database.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to “become” White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.


    I already went over this. The timeline isn't there. Western society will fully destabilize before such solutions are cost effective. There are currently gene therapies that are over $500k and they only flip a couple genes. One of the African countries will crack before such gene therapies are affordable. In that scenario you would still have to map hundreds of genes and also develop the political will required to suggest crispr babies for non-Whites. Both liberals and Christians would drag their feet for years on the mere suggestion let alone the feasibility. There simply isn't enough time to develop both the technical and political feasibility. America would Balkanize or turn into an anti-democratic third world dystopia before then.

    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

     

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    Elite human capital? History is filled with examples with seemingly disparate groups with common interest band together. The Russian ruling class disregarded the revolution until it happened. The left-wing leaders of 1920s Germany made jokes about the Nazis and referred to Hitler as a harmless street clown. Everyone is confident in the power of the ruling order until it is usurped.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Lack of concern for workers is what leads to new ideologies and leaders. The globalist rejection of nationalism depends on blank slate and the lie that all groups have equal potential. That lie is losing ground across all groups. It simply isn't true and all the elitism in the world won't make it so. Our political elites don't even like talking about Haiti. The subject makes both liberals and conservatives uncomfortable because its existence mocks their key theories on economic development. The excuses are wearing thin and the world can see that. Blank slate development theories promoted by globalists and political elites and headed for the trashbin along with Marxism.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin


    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to “become” White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.
     
    Gene editing on adult people (as opposed to embryos) is going to be much more difficult, no? For instance, are we going to be able to give Shitavious the IQ of John von Neumann?

    https://herald-review.com/news/local/crime-and-courts/shitavious-cook-gets-22-years-in-shooting-pleas/article_280e78cd-3b32-510b-a980-6ea4f33b9a49.html

    https://vdare.com/public_upload/publication/featured_image/34597/whynotshantavious.jpg


    Elite human capital will not endorse this.
     
    I think that the more relevant consideration here is that US public opinion as a whole is becoming more and more pro-immigration:

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/352664/americans-remain-divided-preferred-immigration-levels.aspx

    https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/zjsxq0iaekycmqivbsyg5g.png

    Though as John Johnson said, did Russian EHC support the Bolsheviks right before they seized power? Did German EHC (in general, not a few prominent German politicians in positions of power) support the Nazis right before they seized power?


    But where is the lie?
     
    Are whites responsible for Sub-Saharan Africa's low average IQ?

    Also, an increasing amount of carbon emissions is coming from non-white places such as China. Should they also be compelled to take in hundreds of millions of Third World refugees as compensation for this?


    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.
     

    Governments that don't care at all about their own citizens tend to get voted out, or overthrown in revolutions if they can't get voted out (Yanukovych 2014 in Ukraine). This is why it makes sense for governments to care more about the well-being of their own citizens than about the well-being of non-citizens even if they reject a blood-and-soil version of nationalism. However, in the name of basic human decency, there should also be as much of a noblesse oblige towards non-citizens (including non-residents) as political realities would allow.
    , @Mr. XYZ
    @Anatoly Karlin

    BTW, if you believe that net global welfare is the only relevant criterion, then shouldn't Russia immediately withdraw from Ukraine, including from Crimea and the Donbass, right now and spend the money that it would have otherwise spent on continuing the war on helping needy people in the Third World or whatever? Ultimately, it would be more effectively altruistic to spend this money on helping Third Worlders (since one dollar of spending goes much further in the Third World than in the First World) than on preventing Crimea and Donbass from getting ethnically cleansed--which, let's face it, if the experience of post-WWII Germans is any guide, is by no means the worst thing in the world. The expelled Germans generally managed to rebuild their lives in Germany after their expulsions from Eastern Europe, and the same could also apply to any Russians who will get expelled from Crimea and Donbass in the event of a total Ukrainian victory in the current war.

    So, I ask again: Why exactly are you advocating for Russia to continue the war, even only to protect Crimea and Donbass, if you now reject nationalism? After all, you yourself had previously said that it's irrational for people to be emotionally attached to arbitrary pieces of land. (I suppose that using similar logic, if having the USSR give all of its European territories to Nazi Germany would have saved lives, then it would have been worth doing, right? There would have been much more mass expulsions of Slavs in such a scenario but perhaps less outright murder.)

  1081. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Sean

    Of course you're right, as a simple matter of observation. The desire to belong to a group, which then inevitably sees itself as a rival to other groups, cannot fail tho impress itself upon any observer of the human scene.

    But consider for a moment the very logical structure of that fact. Why are individuals not content to just be entirely individuals? Why do they also want to lose sight of their individuality within a larger group?

    Does this not betray a longing to transcend individuality?

    Religions are the expression of mankind's desire to transcend individuality and find an inner connection to the whole universe. Religions, however, do not stop arbitrarily at the group - they follow the logic of the principle of group membership to it's ultimate logical conclusion, and seek connection to the universe as a whole. It's the very same instinct that leads people to dissolve their individuality in a group, extended and universalized, not just to humanity, but to the central mystery at the hear of reality itself. It's quite breathtaking in it's scope :)

    I must hasten to add that this does not mean loss of individuality and group membership, but an expansion of identity - like concentric circles, each layer maintains it's integrity within an ever larger circle, and finally, an infinite circle.

    As I was explaining to Silvio, the religious vision is one of expansion, not contraction, and everything good at lower levels isn't lost, but gathered up into an ever expanding vision.

    (Caveat - this is only true of religion in it's essence, at its highest and best. Obviously religion as practiced by corrupted humans all too frequently betrays this vision).

    Replies: @Sean

    Why are individuals not content to just be entirely individuals?

    That would be useful at times (a friend in need is a pest), but entail having no one to turn to when you were in need. And also be easy pickings for alien groups. It is an instinct to identify with a group and be thought ‘good people’, so those not doing that did not leave descendants. Sometimes being individually minded (eccentric) enough to isolate from themselvesfrom thei group is prolly activation of mechanism to avoid transmission of infectious disease to their group. Eccentric individuals who ponder regious themes in a speculative ethereal way often look to be in a a state of inflammation: as if their immune system is over activated..

    As I was explaining to Silvio, the religious vision is one of expansion, not contraction, and everything good at lower levels isn’t lost, but gathered up into an ever expanding vision.

    (Caveat – this is only true of religion in it’s essence, at its highest and best. Obviously religion as practiced by corrupted humans all too frequently betrays this vision).

    That is the essence of a particular type of religion:Gnosticism.

  1082. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    De Maistre is a perceptive thinker, but he’s indulging a temptation that has no long term chances of success; simply returning to the accomodations of the past.
     
    I was quoting De Maistre's claim that the application of reason to first principles cannot generate enduring religious or political associations. You don't really seem to disagree with that given what you wrote in the rest of the reply.

    Then you seem to be discussing De Maistre's general political project, rather than that particular issue of the basis of political association and authority.

    But imo the interesting part is your belief that the French Revolution was motivated by a desire to implement the teachings of Jesus in a more complete way, and I was just thinking which part? The bourgeois liberal economism or the militaristic Caesarism? Most of the revolutionary inspiration and achievement represents the advent of very modern things you seem to disagree with. It doesn't seem surprising that as the influence of revolutionary ideas spread, belief in Jesus and transcendence generally began to go down.

    Silviosilver also seems to have noticed this issue of contradictions:


    I ask myself what is all that bureaucracy and the unproductive labor force standing in the way of? And the answer is precisely the sorts of things you don’t think we should be doing anyway. Can’t build a new skyscraper or a new airport or a new open pit mine without wading through a morass of red tape? Who cares, we don’t need any more airports or skyscrapers or open pit mines – those things are killing us! They’re standing in the way of appreciating the simple beauty of existence, which is the entire purpose of life. See?
     
    Is affirming contradictions is a kind of Hegelian thing where you are aiming to produce a synthesis from holding two contradictory positions, with the larger purpose being the 'bringing the kingdom of heaven down to earth', that Hegel was also thinking of? Just a more hippy version?

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    It was a continuation of all those Medieval revolutions, with the difference that by this point, Christianity itself was beginning to lose credibility – or Christendom was – so it was framed as an alternative to it. So it’s not surprising that belief in Jesus waned even as they were attempting to implement his ideas better.

    To a significant extent liberal modernity is a Christianity-inspired alternative to Christianity, although not entirely, and not that they’re getting it right.

    As for my supposed contradictoriness in claiming that bureaucracy and over regulation is standing in the way of new developments, it’s true that I certainly don’t mean unfettered technological progress of the kind we have now, and maybe I should have been clearer – but there are other kinds of progress, new artistic visions, new visions of how to live, new integrations of life and science, and new kinds of science that transcend the mechanistic.

    • Replies: @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?
     
    You could say that this is part of the mythology of the French Revolution, but I think you need to look more into where it mainly came from, the bourgeoisie. Another explanation of the Revolution is that it was an aspect of the rise of capitalism and bourgeois power, so you see the bourgeoisie gaining in wealth by secularising church and monastery land, breaking guilds and labour corporations so workers had less bargaining power and protection, increasing centralised power over people's lives and the extensive war fighting that was related to newly intense competition for status, wealth and expansion of French national power.

    It seems less obvious that this stuff was inspired by Jesus, and it is unlike previous revolutions in that the economic/technological and capitalist aspect was more significant. There is also the gradual intellectual impact of the scientific and philosophical revolution started by Descartes, Bacon etc. where you could argue that various segments of French society started to see themselves as Christ like, having a redemptive role in bringing about the perfect society that the kingdom of God represents in this world, via politics.

    These things are not so clearly the teachings of Jesus, maybe even if these teachings are understood as a kind of political/moral allegory without supernatural content.

    Replies: @AP

    , @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    The French Revolution was about resentment.

    They didn't setup a court to impose greater justice and equality.

    They immediately started lobbing off heads of the upper class as bloodthirsty crowds cheered. A woman simply born into the wrong family could be killed. Didn't matter if she was Catholic or helped the poor.

    Their killing spree also included priests. Nuns were raped in the name of equality.

    Such bloody details are kept out of modern discussions. Liberals depict the revolution as the triumph of reason and secularism over the Catholic church. No discussions on the Cult of Reason or the Law of Suspects.

    Jesus would have wanted nothing to do with the French Revolution.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?
     
    France had been Christian for well over a thousand years at that point, so no, it's far from "obvious" that the revolution was inspired by Christianity alone.

    Christianity did preach justice and equality, but those values were encoded in the "great chain of being," in which everyone had their place and all were equal in the eyes of God.

    It took a lot more than Christianity to inspire the French revolution. But I suppose "reductionism" isn't so bad when it serves your own cause, eh?
  1083. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.
     
    Current US immigration patterns actually aren't particularly bad:

    https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2015/09/PH_2015-09-28_immigration-through-2065-05.png

    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.

    The European immigration situation is worse, no doubt. Muslims and Africans are worse than Latin Americans on average and Europe doesn't import as many cognitive elites as the US does to compensate for their low-IQ immigrants.

    Replies: @HammerJack, @John Johnson

    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.

    Are you Matt Yglesias? Even if you hadn’t told us you were jewish, that sentence would pretty much give away the game. They don’t call your people “nation wreckers” for nothing.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @HammerJack

    I'm not considered Jewish according to Jewish law and right-wing Israelis don't want more people such as myself to move to Israel and to acquire Israeli citizenship:

    https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-736186

    Replies: @silviosilver

  1084. @Another Polish Perspective
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    OK, I will answer your answer to me some time in the future, but for now:


    I believe such a vision better matches the true “shape” of human longing than things like eugenics and racial segregation, which are substitutes for what we really long for – and a rather poor misunderstanding.
     
    Do you agree that human longings on their own can create and shape religion, or do you agree that religious message is externally shaped...?

    Because if you support the former, than we end on a pretty basic and trivial level that everyone would like to be good and people around him happy... I suppose even the staunchest racists here would agree with a statement "We want blacks to be happy - just happy in Africa".

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I think human longing naturally matches what’s out there – that we have a natural disposition towards a transcendent realm of objective goodness and beauty.

    Human longing isn’t random, but naturally in tune with and directed towards the transcendent, and the transcendent dimension in human life. So there is a relationship between human longing and the objective realm – how could there not be? If we don’t have faith that our minds somehow match what’s out there, we couldn’t know anything at all.

    Obviously when I say you’re relying on external factors in understanding religion I don’t mean this objective realm of transcendent goodness, but in physical and historical events.

    For everyone to be good and happy is a significant part of religion, and isn’t trivial – the world is steeped in suffering – and religion is a vision of infinite peace, but true happiness requires connection to the transcendent.

    Answer at your leisure….I’m taking a break from this blog for a while but I’ll be back..

  1085. @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    What was arbitrary was not the exclusion of those factors, but the dogmatic claim that they do not correspond to reality.

    Those factors, however, can have enormous implications for other dimensions of existence and our ability to derive full satisfaction and joy from life – indeed to flourish.- as well as understand the purpose of human life
     

    The original reason those ideas were cooked up, though, was because they were thought to "explain" the operation of various phenomena. When it was realized they weren't need, those ideas were quickly junked. That's why today virtually no one cares about them. That is why you're now mounting a rescue operation that pretends those ideas are somehow "needed" for full satisfaction. Well, not to me they're not. You have no idea of how offensive and repellent I find the aggravating imbecility of animism.

    In my worldview, even God only makes it through by the skin of his teeth. And it's only because positing his existence serves a widely experienced need, both for rational and irrational reasons. Still, those who find God a leap too far are perfectly within their rights to reject him. They too may agree that scientism is incapable of giving a full account of the human experience, but they may simply be prepared to consign that fact to permanent mystery and get on with living their lives as reasonably as they can.

    The "aliveness of the earth" serves no comparable need. Everyone should recognize "fairies" and tree spirits and whatnot as obvious invention and scorn it as such. I have infinitely more respect for cold, hard, materialist atheism than I do for this hippy-dippy earth worship bullshit.


    We may develop a method of achieving results that relies on “coaxing” matter, rather than dominating it, aligning ourselves with it’s intentions, rather than imposing our will. That may turn out to be the key to true long term thriving.
     
    Hard no.

    We are going beyond a more satisfying conception of reality here to actual application (which is what you have always been about). And this is where we part ways. Strict rationality may deprive us of some of the awe or beauty of existence, but imo it more than makes up for it by providing an objective basis to resolve our differences. When we throw out that standard, it just becomes my preferences versus yours. And yours, I'm sorry to say, utterly repel me.


    As the left hemisphere gradually became ascendant, there was enough residual momentum left for a century or two.
     
    Yeah sure, it's an iron law. I can just imagine you standing beside a graph plotting left brain dominance on one axis versus innovation on the other, indicating with your pointer - tap, tap - "we are here."

    Today’s rapidly accelerating left hemisphere dominance has ground progress to a halt.
     
    Bullshit.

    And life freed from mechanistic thinking will allow us to expand our sense of priorities – for instance, we can build the most beautiful cities today rather than the drab utilitarian structures we do today.
     
    The po-mo scum responsible for the uglificiation of our urban landscapes often despise "mechanistic science" even more than you do.

    Replies: @HeavilyMarbledSteak, @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    I also want to apologize if I came on too strong and was not appreciative enough of the extent to which you’ve changed your views and taken steps in a new direction. You’ve gotta go at your own pace.

    I’m often too impatient and combative – I’d make an absolutely terrible terrible pastor 🙂

    And now I really have to take a week or two off…..

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    Nah, not really. I don't take exception to you holding your metaphysical views, and even if I did, you're entitled to defend them. It's your tying them to your real world political program that puts me off (obviously I have strong views about this), but this goes back to very old disagreements, not strictly related (at least as I see it) to anything spiritual.

    Anyway, have a fun getaway, speak again soon.

    , @Mikel
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    And now I really have to take a week or two off…..
     
    If my memory doesn't fail me, you weren't coming back to the West so soon. But if you're going to spend any time in the outdoors I wish you a joyful, reinvigorating and sober experience. Perhaps you need to appreciate again the mysterious perfection of nature as it is, not adding elements of our fertile imagination? I found this portrait of the great outdoors that you have been painting lately full of fairies, snowhites, cinderellas or werewolves if you choose the wrong spot rather unattractive. Not the sobering, calming environment with an intangible touch of sacredness that I've always so much enjoyed.

    Though, as it happens, we have a camping trip planned to the Goblin's Valley later this month where my son insists we must finally make it to the Goblin's Lair cave. If there's one place in Utah where you would expect to find fairy-tale creatures, this valley would be it. I'm sure the Navajos and the Fremonts regarded it as an enchanted place.
  1086. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    Well, what else can I say?

    I think your way is the way of death, and mine the way of life.

    I seek a fuller, richer life than that offered by the mainstream, and think the mainstream path you're defending leads to an impoverished life, and ultimately to breakdown and decline.

    All I can say is I bear you no ill will, and wish you the most painless decline possible, and that you bear your impoverished vision of reality with as little suffering as possible. And who knows? Perhaps you have taken your first step on the spiritual path, and it is too early to come to any conclusions about you. Perhaps you'll choose Life in the end, too, and it's just too early for you to really challenge the hardened carapace of your old habits and modes of thought.

    For my part, I know by now very well I cannot save this culture committed to death - I can only build new life amid the ruins. And that, I am doing :)

    I'm going to take a break for a bit, but I'll continue posting here later again - there is much spiritual value, "theurgic" value, if you will, in simply expressing beautiful and spiritual ideas on this site, in simply putting them down - and I'll be happy to engage any challenges you may have for me at that future date :)

    In the meantime, thanks for this extended conversation, and good luck on your journey wherever you end up.

    Replies: @songbird

    Before you go on hiatus, I’ll make another anime recommendation, if you haven’t seen it:

    [MORE]

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Josee,_the_Tiger_and_the_Fish_(2020_film)

    The film is a romance. Kind of hokey, and contains various flaws (including one scene which strikes me as so alien it could only be written by a woman.)

    But I would recommend it nearly on the sole basis of one short scene that plays during the credits. (And the arc leading to the scene) Very Japanese in conception, and, I guess depending on the interpretation, very anti-materialist. Or perhaps, alternatively very Buddhist and very Japanese.

    • Thanks: HeavilyMarbledSteak
  1087. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Beckow

    Yes, we'll do it better this time, of course :) That's the only real answer, and I think what advocates of a return to repression genuinely think.

    If your right that history is circular, then we're akso guaranteed to culminate in the same result, revolution, and nihilism - perhaps, to follow your logic, a bit different, maybe we'll do nihilism "better" this time :)

    But why select from such a restricted range of political options? We stand in an unprecedented situation of having immense knowledge of all the worlds political systems, and the history of their development.

    David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own - for instance a society could be anarchic half the year autocratic the other half, depending on what each was best for - and that our options have gradually narrowed to the point where can't even imagine alternatives outside the two or three offered us in modern times.

    He says there has been a war on imagination, on flexibility in political thinking.

    Don't you find it tedious and otiose that everyone today is divided along two simple axes - for Russia, or against, for China, or for America, and so on down the entire spectrum of political opyions? Doesn't this strike you as a drastic collapse in intelligence?

    I find it astonishing how few people can dare to imagine that both China and the US are to be rejected and alternatives imagined outside the scope of either system. It's like it's literally unimaginable to most people.

    I completely agree with you that "formal" democracy can disguise informal autocracy, and that the so called "free" world is far, far more unfree and autocratic than the official mythic narrative allows for.

    I felt it myself when I traveled to India and South East Asia - I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn't exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States, and I loved it.

    Nevertheless, a glance at China and Russia show that the liberal democracies still have a level of freedom completely lost to those countries.

    But as I said, why choose from either rather than imagine something new and better than either?

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Beckow

    why select from such a restricted range of political options?
    …David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own

    In the past we had a pleasant, creative social and political entropy. Unfortunately as experts of all kinds started to consolidate and control the mankind the allowed choices have narrowed.

    All we have are the liberal ‘end-of-history‘ unhinged messianic morons and a collection of resistors who mostly just want to be left alone. But even the resisting states generally subscribe to the main building blocks of liberalism – their resistance is thus only marginal and focused on avoiding the excesses. They also do “liberalism”, but want to do it in their own way.

    That’s where you miss the point: it is not only ideological – the current Western uber-global-homo-liberalism is dysfunctional and would by itself cause little harm, it would burn out. It is an ideology of the end-of-liners – “we will not have kids to save the planet“. Well, bye then.

    But there is an imperial element in the Western liberalism that tries to hide in the background – although it is politically dominant: the West is using the liberalism push on the world its control. It is very ambitious and has become coercive, even violent – as any faulty ideology has to be, otherwise they would collapse very quickly.

    I traveled to India and South East Asia – I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn’t exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States…

    True. There are few societies as regimented on a day-to-day basis as most of the West. (You should visit Canada for a complete moronic lib-authoritarianism.) The West first misunderstood what “freedom” is, and then got lost in endless busy-body regulations, process overload and controls to avoid risks….it is reaching absurd levels, C19 was a canary in the coal mine of how dysfunctional Western institutions have become.

    That is the true “authoritarianism”. We can talk about people occasionally walking somewhere to “vote” (?), but given that it makes no difference and that their lives are run by permanent institutions that have been designed to push the liberal ideology, how is that a “democracy”?

    I am sure the ones you refer to as “authoritarian” have huge issues – some are outright unpleasant – but they mostly seem closer to how humans have lived for thousands of years, they generally welcome families, understand basics like “gender”, and seldom attack others – lately almost all wars were triggered by the Western liberal over-reach. Their corruption may be boorish, but at least it is more open and not covered in silly process layers as in the West. There is probably no more corrupt person than that lady Leyen running EU – just google it – but she is deemed legit and most peons in Europe would never say a word against her. And that, my friend, is maybe true “authoritarianism”….so complete, that you can’t even mention it.

    • Agree: Mikel
    • Replies: @Mikel
    @Beckow

    A good description of what we have in the West right now, especially in the Anglo countries. I can only agree with it. A public service like the BBC continuing its worldwide crusade for the Woke faith with successive Conservative governments unable or unwilling to mount any push-back provides a perfect example.

    But wouldn't a semi-authoritarian regime where elections don't matter much either and the strongman in power for 23 years can decide to send you or your children to fight a horrendous and not even properly planned war even worse?

  1088. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.
     
    Current US immigration patterns actually aren't particularly bad:

    https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2015/09/PH_2015-09-28_immigration-through-2065-05.png

    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.

    The European immigration situation is worse, no doubt. Muslims and Africans are worse than Latin Americans on average and Europe doesn't import as many cognitive elites as the US does to compensate for their low-IQ immigrants.

    Replies: @HammerJack, @John Johnson

    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Current US immigration patterns actually aren’t particularly bad:

    That’s an old projection and was incorrect.

    No one actually knows how many Hispanics were able to get in during the last 10 years.

    The European immigration situation is worse, no doubt. Muslims and Africans are worse than Latin Americans on average and Europe doesn’t import as many cognitive elites as the US does to compensate for their low-IQ immigrants.

    I will take South Americans over Muslims and Africans.

    That doesn’t mean however that we are on a stable trajectory. We need a complete moratorium on immigration.

    Liberals could eventually have a veto proof majority thanks to immigrants which is what they did in California. Then some cataclysmic event happens in Africa and they tell us that we have to take in millions because Whites are ruined Africa/climate change/whatever. A liberal majority and a cataclysmic event could easily bring us on par with Britain. Selective immigration is a mirage. It really doesn’t exist and liberals fully support open borders if given the opportunity.

    I also find this libertarian view of using immigration to find “cognitive elites” to be offensive. A healthy society values all of its workers and doesn’t seek policies that promotes immigrants over native born.

    Brain draining the third world for engineers and medical workers makes it harder for them to develop. During COVID there were African countries that didn’t have enough nurses to distribute the vaccines. The need for third world medical workers in fact comes from US race denial. Black areas depend on these workers because weak Whites don’t want to face the truth. Meaning an army of third worlders are shuffled into Black areas to keep them operating (and under heavy subsidies). This is all madness from trying to avoid simple truths. Dr. Mtubo is brought in and paid $350k to patch up street gang negroes because both liberals and conservatives are led by mental children that don’t want to face a certain reality. Our only hope for a stable trajectory is to face the reality of race and seek positive solutions. That means an end to blaming Whites for nature but also finding common interest among American born workers.

  1089. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    I also want to apologize if I came on too strong and was not appreciative enough of the extent to which you've changed your views and taken steps in a new direction. You've gotta go at your own pace.

    I'm often too impatient and combative - I'd make an absolutely terrible terrible pastor :)

    And now I really have to take a week or two off.....

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Mikel

    Nah, not really. I don’t take exception to you holding your metaphysical views, and even if I did, you’re entitled to defend them. It’s your tying them to your real world political program that puts me off (obviously I have strong views about this), but this goes back to very old disagreements, not strictly related (at least as I see it) to anything spiritual.

    Anyway, have a fun getaway, speak again soon.

  1090. @Anatoly Karlin
    @John Johnson

    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

    DeSci solves this.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to "become" White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    > I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    > We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that “Whites ruined Africa” or caused climate change.

    But where is the lie?

    > What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

    DeSci solves this.

    It’s a problem that cannot be solved. You cannot censor unwanted DNA truths in the long term.

    Someone will leak a database.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to “become” White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    I already went over this. The timeline isn’t there. Western society will fully destabilize before such solutions are cost effective. There are currently gene therapies that are over $500k and they only flip a couple genes. One of the African countries will crack before such gene therapies are affordable. In that scenario you would still have to map hundreds of genes and also develop the political will required to suggest crispr babies for non-Whites. Both liberals and Christians would drag their feet for years on the mere suggestion let alone the feasibility. There simply isn’t enough time to develop both the technical and political feasibility. America would Balkanize or turn into an anti-democratic third world dystopia before then.

    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    Elite human capital? History is filled with examples with seemingly disparate groups with common interest band together. The Russian ruling class disregarded the revolution until it happened. The left-wing leaders of 1920s Germany made jokes about the Nazis and referred to Hitler as a harmless street clown. Everyone is confident in the power of the ruling order until it is usurped.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Lack of concern for workers is what leads to new ideologies and leaders. The globalist rejection of nationalism depends on blank slate and the lie that all groups have equal potential. That lie is losing ground across all groups. It simply isn’t true and all the elitism in the world won’t make it so. Our political elites don’t even like talking about Haiti. The subject makes both liberals and conservatives uncomfortable because its existence mocks their key theories on economic development. The excuses are wearing thin and the world can see that. Blank slate development theories promoted by globalists and political elites and headed for the trashbin along with Marxism.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Elite human capital? History is filled with examples with seemingly disparate groups with common interest band together. The Russian ruling class disregarded the revolution until it happened. The left-wing leaders of 1920s Germany made jokes about the Nazis and referred to Hitler as a harmless street clown. Everyone is confident in the power of the ruling order until it is usurped.
     
    For that matter, Russian EHC did not and could not stop Putin's anti-LGBTQ+ push since 2010.

    Lack of concern for workers is what leads to new ideologies and leaders. The globalist rejection of nationalism depends on blank slate and the lie that all groups have equal potential. That lie is losing ground across all groups. It simply isn’t true and all the elitism in the world won’t make it so. Our political elites don’t even like talking about Haiti. The subject makes both liberals and conservatives uncomfortable because its existence mocks their key theories on economic development. The excuses are wearing thin and the world can see that. Blank slate development theories promoted by globalists and political elites and headed for the trashbin along with Marxism.
     
    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences. The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1091. @silviosilver
    @John Johnson


    The Catholic church isn’t perfect but they encourage families and I honestly think it is better for Whites to tune out on the OT. The protestant way of trying to explain it all has too many problems.
     
    More generally, Catholicism (indirectly) discourages biblical literalism of any sort. You can just go with official church teachings and not have to puzzle over what this or that verse means.

    No question the OT is Christianity's ball and chain. Actually, the church would have been better off had it never sacralized scripture in the first place. But anyway, we're stuck with it now, so the best we can hope for is organizational forms that deemphasize it.

    That said, the idea of scripture that it's really "God's word" you're holding in your hands, and that you can read it yourself and feeling it's addressing you personally, is quite appealing, and protestants probably do better recruiting people who've never been Christian than Catholics do in large part because of this. So scripture definitely has a role as "spiritual training wheels."

    Protestants are also better at religious marketing than Catholics. Catholics should just use Protestants to bring people to Christ, and then focus their proselytization efforts on converting Protestants to Catholicism. The goofy crap you see in protestant churches will surely help.

    I really think Orthodox/Catholic rituals have more value than some pastor with a goatee trying to find explain why Shebbadia traded his daughters.
     
    For sure. I actually wish there was more ritualism, and less sitting around passively listening. And why does mass have to drag on so long? 15-20 minutes is the most anyone should have to just sit there uncomprehendingly (which is most people's experience, let's be serious). The rest of the time should be filled in with ritual and socializing.

    Still, protestants do some things well. Since they've abandoned tradition anyway, the kind of "rock concert" productions they put on - which would look completely out of place in a catholic church - aren't so bad. Actually, they seem kinda fun. The main thing that has put me off is, like you said, having to listen to some pastor with a goatee - or just as likely, a blue-haired lesbian in yoga pants -feed me made up bs about Elisha and the she-bears. (Of what possible relevance is the "proper" understanding of such verses to your salvation anyway? That's never made sense to me. As if anyone still remembers the "lesson" by next Sunday anyway. I might have felt differently if most of the OT stories were actually interesting, but they're not.)

    Replies: @John Johnson

    No question the OT is Christianity’s ball and chain. Actually, the church would have been better off had it never sacralized scripture in the first place. But anyway, we’re stuck with it now, so the best we can hope for is organizational forms that deemphasize it.

    I see no hope for that in the protestant church. It’s still the norm to teach children that a man lived in a whale and the earth was completely flooded around 10k years ago. Then those children later doubt their faith after getting on the internet or going to college.

    The protestant church is stuck in a loop. They view themselves as in a competition with the secular world to instill beliefs in their children. It’s an unspoken competition to sway children with beliefs that might not be entirely true. Children are taught that the OT is “God’s word” while online we see Christians talking about how the flood is a metaphor even though it is cross-referenced as an event. They tell kids it is 100% true while adults are given metaphor/spiritual lesson explanations (see this thread for an example). Children should not be punished for asking questions and if the OT doesn’t have all the answers then so be it. Protestants should not view it as heresy to question the OT. The focus should be on the NT. Catholics have the right idea which is to not deeply engage it in the first place. I think your description of the OT being the “ball and chain” is spot on. I honestly don’t think the protestant church can break away which is why Catholic/Orthodox are probably the only path. I also think they are healthier for Whites. I’ve been to protestant churches where practically everyone looked uncomfortable as if it was a wedding.

    Still, protestants do some things well. Since they’ve abandoned tradition anyway, the kind of “rock concert” productions they put on – which would look completely out of place in a catholic church – aren’t so bad. Actually, they seem kinda fun.

    Maybe the grass is always greener. I went to a few rock concert churches as a kid and thought they were corny. At the foursquare churches most of the sermon is a sing a long. I thought it was a nightmare compared to mass. There is real problem whereby protestant churches try extra hard to copy mainstream culture and end up being a poor imitation that has nothing to do with Christianity. It’s not just the music. They can also adopt anti-male/anti-White outlooks in an attempt to appear modern. A popular theme is “men are so stupid” where some goatee pastor makes jokes about how men are dopes and can’t survive without women.

  1092. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @silviosilver

    I also want to apologize if I came on too strong and was not appreciative enough of the extent to which you've changed your views and taken steps in a new direction. You've gotta go at your own pace.

    I'm often too impatient and combative - I'd make an absolutely terrible terrible pastor :)

    And now I really have to take a week or two off.....

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Mikel

    And now I really have to take a week or two off…..

    If my memory doesn’t fail me, you weren’t coming back to the West so soon. But if you’re going to spend any time in the outdoors I wish you a joyful, reinvigorating and sober experience. Perhaps you need to appreciate again the mysterious perfection of nature as it is, not adding elements of our fertile imagination? I found this portrait of the great outdoors that you have been painting lately full of fairies, snowhites, cinderellas or werewolves if you choose the wrong spot rather unattractive. Not the sobering, calming environment with an intangible touch of sacredness that I’ve always so much enjoyed.

    Though, as it happens, we have a camping trip planned to the Goblin’s Valley later this month where my son insists we must finally make it to the Goblin’s Lair cave. If there’s one place in Utah where you would expect to find fairy-tale creatures, this valley would be it. I’m sure the Navajos and the Fremonts regarded it as an enchanted place.

  1093. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn't you say that's obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    It was a continuation of all those Medieval revolutions, with the difference that by this point, Christianity itself was beginning to lose credibility - or Christendom was - so it was framed as an alternative to it. So it's not surprising that belief in Jesus waned even as they were attempting to implement his ideas better.

    To a significant extent liberal modernity is a Christianity-inspired alternative to Christianity, although not entirely, and not that they're getting it right.

    As for my supposed contradictoriness in claiming that bureaucracy and over regulation is standing in the way of new developments, it's true that I certainly don't mean unfettered technological progress of the kind we have now, and maybe I should have been clearer - but there are other kinds of progress, new artistic visions, new visions of how to live, new integrations of life and science, and new kinds of science that transcend the mechanistic.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @John Johnson, @silviosilver

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    You could say that this is part of the mythology of the French Revolution, but I think you need to look more into where it mainly came from, the bourgeoisie. Another explanation of the Revolution is that it was an aspect of the rise of capitalism and bourgeois power, so you see the bourgeoisie gaining in wealth by secularising church and monastery land, breaking guilds and labour corporations so workers had less bargaining power and protection, increasing centralised power over people’s lives and the extensive war fighting that was related to newly intense competition for status, wealth and expansion of French national power.

    It seems less obvious that this stuff was inspired by Jesus, and it is unlike previous revolutions in that the economic/technological and capitalist aspect was more significant. There is also the gradual intellectual impact of the scientific and philosophical revolution started by Descartes, Bacon etc. where you could argue that various segments of French society started to see themselves as Christ like, having a redemptive role in bringing about the perfect society that the kingdom of God represents in this world, via politics.

    These things are not so clearly the teachings of Jesus, maybe even if these teachings are understood as a kind of political/moral allegory without supernatural content.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Coconuts

    Great comment as usual, thank you.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1094. @Beckow
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    why select from such a restricted range of political options?
    ...David Graeber in his book the Dawn of Everything demonstrates that prehistoric man had a range and variety of political and social organizations that far exceed our own
     
    In the past we had a pleasant, creative social and political entropy. Unfortunately as experts of all kinds started to consolidate and control the mankind the allowed choices have narrowed.

    All we have are the liberal 'end-of-history' unhinged messianic morons and a collection of resistors who mostly just want to be left alone. But even the resisting states generally subscribe to the main building blocks of liberalism - their resistance is thus only marginal and focused on avoiding the excesses. They also do "liberalism", but want to do it in their own way.

    That's where you miss the point: it is not only ideological - the current Western uber-global-homo-liberalism is dysfunctional and would by itself cause little harm, it would burn out. It is an ideology of the end-of-liners - "we will not have kids to save the planet". Well, bye then.

    But there is an imperial element in the Western liberalism that tries to hide in the background - although it is politically dominant: the West is using the liberalism push on the world its control. It is very ambitious and has become coercive, even violent - as any faulty ideology has to be, otherwise they would collapse very quickly.


    I traveled to India and South East Asia – I immediately noticed a feeling of delicious anarchic freedom that didn’t exist in the rules-bound and regulated United States...
     
    True. There are few societies as regimented on a day-to-day basis as most of the West. (You should visit Canada for a complete moronic lib-authoritarianism.) The West first misunderstood what "freedom" is, and then got lost in endless busy-body regulations, process overload and controls to avoid risks....it is reaching absurd levels, C19 was a canary in the coal mine of how dysfunctional Western institutions have become.

    That is the true "authoritarianism". We can talk about people occasionally walking somewhere to "vote" (?), but given that it makes no difference and that their lives are run by permanent institutions that have been designed to push the liberal ideology, how is that a "democracy"?

    I am sure the ones you refer to as "authoritarian" have huge issues - some are outright unpleasant - but they mostly seem closer to how humans have lived for thousands of years, they generally welcome families, understand basics like "gender", and seldom attack others - lately almost all wars were triggered by the Western liberal over-reach. Their corruption may be boorish, but at least it is more open and not covered in silly process layers as in the West. There is probably no more corrupt person than that lady Leyen running EU - just google it - but she is deemed legit and most peons in Europe would never say a word against her. And that, my friend, is maybe true "authoritarianism"....so complete, that you can't even mention it.

    Replies: @Mikel

    A good description of what we have in the West right now, especially in the Anglo countries. I can only agree with it. A public service like the BBC continuing its worldwide crusade for the Woke faith with successive Conservative governments unable or unwilling to mount any push-back provides a perfect example.

    But wouldn’t a semi-authoritarian regime where elections don’t matter much either and the strongman in power for 23 years can decide to send you or your children to fight a horrendous and not even properly planned war even worse?

  1095. @HammerJack
    @Mr. XYZ


    If anything, the US can use more of the same on an astronomically larger scale.
     
    Are you Matt Yglesias? Even if you hadn't told us you were jewish, that sentence would pretty much give away the game. They don't call your people "nation wreckers" for nothing.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    I’m not considered Jewish according to Jewish law and right-wing Israelis don’t want more people such as myself to move to Israel and to acquire Israeli citizenship:

    https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-736186

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    You sound like the commenter "Zonk Badonk" in the comments at jpost. I'm guessing it's you.

    The "Grandparent Clause" is a pretty weird law though. I'd have to side with the religious crowd on that one. They probably feel like they're already making enough of a concession - ignoring their own religious law and tradition - with just the offspring a Jewish father being allowed in. Unsurprisingly, the secular parties like the grandparent clause.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1096. @Anatoly Karlin
    @John Johnson

    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

    DeSci solves this.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to "become" White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    > I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    > We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that “Whites ruined Africa” or caused climate change.

    But where is the lie?

    > What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to “become” White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    Gene editing on adult people (as opposed to embryos) is going to be much more difficult, no? For instance, are we going to be able to give Shitavious the IQ of John von Neumann?

    https://herald-review.com/news/local/crime-and-courts/shitavious-cook-gets-22-years-in-shooting-pleas/article_280e78cd-3b32-510b-a980-6ea4f33b9a49.html

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    I think that the more relevant consideration here is that US public opinion as a whole is becoming more and more pro-immigration:

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/352664/americans-remain-divided-preferred-immigration-levels.aspx

    Though as John Johnson said, did Russian EHC support the Bolsheviks right before they seized power? Did German EHC (in general, not a few prominent German politicians in positions of power) support the Nazis right before they seized power?

    But where is the lie?

    Are whites responsible for Sub-Saharan Africa’s low average IQ?

    Also, an increasing amount of carbon emissions is coming from non-white places such as China. Should they also be compelled to take in hundreds of millions of Third World refugees as compensation for this?

    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Governments that don’t care at all about their own citizens tend to get voted out, or overthrown in revolutions if they can’t get voted out (Yanukovych 2014 in Ukraine). This is why it makes sense for governments to care more about the well-being of their own citizens than about the well-being of non-citizens even if they reject a blood-and-soil version of nationalism. However, in the name of basic human decency, there should also be as much of a noblesse oblige towards non-citizens (including non-residents) as political realities would allow.

  1097. @John Johnson
    @Anatoly Karlin


    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

     

    DeSci solves this.

    It's a problem that cannot be solved. You cannot censor unwanted DNA truths in the long term.

    Someone will leak a database.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to “become” White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.


    I already went over this. The timeline isn't there. Western society will fully destabilize before such solutions are cost effective. There are currently gene therapies that are over $500k and they only flip a couple genes. One of the African countries will crack before such gene therapies are affordable. In that scenario you would still have to map hundreds of genes and also develop the political will required to suggest crispr babies for non-Whites. Both liberals and Christians would drag their feet for years on the mere suggestion let alone the feasibility. There simply isn't enough time to develop both the technical and political feasibility. America would Balkanize or turn into an anti-democratic third world dystopia before then.

    I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

     

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    Elite human capital? History is filled with examples with seemingly disparate groups with common interest band together. The Russian ruling class disregarded the revolution until it happened. The left-wing leaders of 1920s Germany made jokes about the Nazis and referred to Hitler as a harmless street clown. Everyone is confident in the power of the ruling order until it is usurped.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Lack of concern for workers is what leads to new ideologies and leaders. The globalist rejection of nationalism depends on blank slate and the lie that all groups have equal potential. That lie is losing ground across all groups. It simply isn't true and all the elitism in the world won't make it so. Our political elites don't even like talking about Haiti. The subject makes both liberals and conservatives uncomfortable because its existence mocks their key theories on economic development. The excuses are wearing thin and the world can see that. Blank slate development theories promoted by globalists and political elites and headed for the trashbin along with Marxism.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Elite human capital? History is filled with examples with seemingly disparate groups with common interest band together. The Russian ruling class disregarded the revolution until it happened. The left-wing leaders of 1920s Germany made jokes about the Nazis and referred to Hitler as a harmless street clown. Everyone is confident in the power of the ruling order until it is usurped.

    For that matter, Russian EHC did not and could not stop Putin’s anti-LGBTQ+ push since 2010.

    Lack of concern for workers is what leads to new ideologies and leaders. The globalist rejection of nationalism depends on blank slate and the lie that all groups have equal potential. That lie is losing ground across all groups. It simply isn’t true and all the elitism in the world won’t make it so. Our political elites don’t even like talking about Haiti. The subject makes both liberals and conservatives uncomfortable because its existence mocks their key theories on economic development. The excuses are wearing thin and the world can see that. Blank slate development theories promoted by globalists and political elites and headed for the trashbin along with Marxism.

    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences. The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences.

    I independently reached a similar conclusion.

    The best way to thread the needle is to have racially aware populists work together while not promoting blank slate liberalism or White nationalism.

    I also do not think that such a movement or party could fully explain itself. Both conservatives and liberals have a very hard time with the idea of being racially aware but not racist.

    The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    Absolutely agree. Trump was the best hope for the GOP and they talked him out of his centrist positions.

    I've spent a lot of time around conservatives and I have zero hope for them due to their entrenched beliefs on the free market. You can convince them of how funding program Z might actually be beneficial to the public and then two weeks later they flip back to government is always bad.

    I used to hang around a conservative activist and it made me quite cynical of the conservatives doing anything useful and certainly not stopping liberalism. I could spend two hours convincing him that a "free market" position didn't actually make sense and the next day he would shrug over the whole thing and suggest we go out for Chinese. The entire conversation would be ignored in favor of minimal government is more better. Dumbed down politics that ultimately favor liberalism. Intellectual cowardness in the face of harsh and complex truths.

    Then there is the problem whereby half of them think God will fix it all anyways. They view anything outside of minimal government as inherently socialist and possibly even satanistic colluding. You are immediately suspect if you even suggest $1 in government funding.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

  1098. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn't you say that's obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    It was a continuation of all those Medieval revolutions, with the difference that by this point, Christianity itself was beginning to lose credibility - or Christendom was - so it was framed as an alternative to it. So it's not surprising that belief in Jesus waned even as they were attempting to implement his ideas better.

    To a significant extent liberal modernity is a Christianity-inspired alternative to Christianity, although not entirely, and not that they're getting it right.

    As for my supposed contradictoriness in claiming that bureaucracy and over regulation is standing in the way of new developments, it's true that I certainly don't mean unfettered technological progress of the kind we have now, and maybe I should have been clearer - but there are other kinds of progress, new artistic visions, new visions of how to live, new integrations of life and science, and new kinds of science that transcend the mechanistic.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @John Johnson, @silviosilver

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    The French Revolution was about resentment.

    They didn’t setup a court to impose greater justice and equality.

    They immediately started lobbing off heads of the upper class as bloodthirsty crowds cheered. A woman simply born into the wrong family could be killed. Didn’t matter if she was Catholic or helped the poor.

    Their killing spree also included priests. Nuns were raped in the name of equality.

    Such bloody details are kept out of modern discussions. Liberals depict the revolution as the triumph of reason and secularism over the Catholic church. No discussions on the Cult of Reason or the Law of Suspects.

    Jesus would have wanted nothing to do with the French Revolution.

    • Agree: AP
    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Interestingly enough, in one of his retirement memoirs, former US Secretary of State Robert Lansing pointed out how back in 1917 he had predicted that the terror that Russia will endure under Bolshevik rule will be much, much worse than what France endured under its Reign of Terror since France had a much more developed rule-of-law system relative to Russia, at least some of which had apparently survived even into the French Revolutionary era:

    https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015001571010&view=1up&seq=350

  1099. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Elite human capital? History is filled with examples with seemingly disparate groups with common interest band together. The Russian ruling class disregarded the revolution until it happened. The left-wing leaders of 1920s Germany made jokes about the Nazis and referred to Hitler as a harmless street clown. Everyone is confident in the power of the ruling order until it is usurped.
     
    For that matter, Russian EHC did not and could not stop Putin's anti-LGBTQ+ push since 2010.

    Lack of concern for workers is what leads to new ideologies and leaders. The globalist rejection of nationalism depends on blank slate and the lie that all groups have equal potential. That lie is losing ground across all groups. It simply isn’t true and all the elitism in the world won’t make it so. Our political elites don’t even like talking about Haiti. The subject makes both liberals and conservatives uncomfortable because its existence mocks their key theories on economic development. The excuses are wearing thin and the world can see that. Blank slate development theories promoted by globalists and political elites and headed for the trashbin along with Marxism.
     
    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences. The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences.

    I independently reached a similar conclusion.

    The best way to thread the needle is to have racially aware populists work together while not promoting blank slate liberalism or White nationalism.

    I also do not think that such a movement or party could fully explain itself. Both conservatives and liberals have a very hard time with the idea of being racially aware but not racist.

    The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    Absolutely agree. Trump was the best hope for the GOP and they talked him out of his centrist positions.

    I’ve spent a lot of time around conservatives and I have zero hope for them due to their entrenched beliefs on the free market. You can convince them of how funding program Z might actually be beneficial to the public and then two weeks later they flip back to government is always bad.

    I used to hang around a conservative activist and it made me quite cynical of the conservatives doing anything useful and certainly not stopping liberalism. I could spend two hours convincing him that a “free market” position didn’t actually make sense and the next day he would shrug over the whole thing and suggest we go out for Chinese. The entire conversation would be ignored in favor of minimal government is more better. Dumbed down politics that ultimately favor liberalism. Intellectual cowardness in the face of harsh and complex truths.

    Then there is the problem whereby half of them think God will fix it all anyways. They view anything outside of minimal government as inherently socialist and possibly even satanistic colluding. You are immediately suspect if you even suggest $1 in government funding.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Interestingly enough, alt-centrism could advocate in favor of pan-enclavism, which could have a role for moderate white nationalism in heavily white areas:

    https://robertstark.substack.com/p/californias-future-of-pan-enclavism


    Absolutely agree. Trump was the best hope for the GOP and they talked him out of his centrist positions.
     
    Trump supported the RAISE Act, which was so strict that even its own sponsors would not have qualified to immigrate to the US had they themselves not already been US citizens.
    , @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups. EHC (or at least many of them) would have so strongly bet on the wrong horse in regards to this for such a long time and silenced any wrong-thinkers, that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1100. @John Johnson
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    The French Revolution was about resentment.

    They didn't setup a court to impose greater justice and equality.

    They immediately started lobbing off heads of the upper class as bloodthirsty crowds cheered. A woman simply born into the wrong family could be killed. Didn't matter if she was Catholic or helped the poor.

    Their killing spree also included priests. Nuns were raped in the name of equality.

    Such bloody details are kept out of modern discussions. Liberals depict the revolution as the triumph of reason and secularism over the Catholic church. No discussions on the Cult of Reason or the Law of Suspects.

    Jesus would have wanted nothing to do with the French Revolution.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Interestingly enough, in one of his retirement memoirs, former US Secretary of State Robert Lansing pointed out how back in 1917 he had predicted that the terror that Russia will endure under Bolshevik rule will be much, much worse than what France endured under its Reign of Terror since France had a much more developed rule-of-law system relative to Russia, at least some of which had apparently survived even into the French Revolutionary era:

    https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015001571010&view=1up&seq=350

  1101. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences.

    I independently reached a similar conclusion.

    The best way to thread the needle is to have racially aware populists work together while not promoting blank slate liberalism or White nationalism.

    I also do not think that such a movement or party could fully explain itself. Both conservatives and liberals have a very hard time with the idea of being racially aware but not racist.

    The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    Absolutely agree. Trump was the best hope for the GOP and they talked him out of his centrist positions.

    I've spent a lot of time around conservatives and I have zero hope for them due to their entrenched beliefs on the free market. You can convince them of how funding program Z might actually be beneficial to the public and then two weeks later they flip back to government is always bad.

    I used to hang around a conservative activist and it made me quite cynical of the conservatives doing anything useful and certainly not stopping liberalism. I could spend two hours convincing him that a "free market" position didn't actually make sense and the next day he would shrug over the whole thing and suggest we go out for Chinese. The entire conversation would be ignored in favor of minimal government is more better. Dumbed down politics that ultimately favor liberalism. Intellectual cowardness in the face of harsh and complex truths.

    Then there is the problem whereby half of them think God will fix it all anyways. They view anything outside of minimal government as inherently socialist and possibly even satanistic colluding. You are immediately suspect if you even suggest $1 in government funding.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    Interestingly enough, alt-centrism could advocate in favor of pan-enclavism, which could have a role for moderate white nationalism in heavily white areas:

    https://robertstark.substack.com/p/californias-future-of-pan-enclavism

    Absolutely agree. Trump was the best hope for the GOP and they talked him out of his centrist positions.

    Trump supported the RAISE Act, which was so strict that even its own sponsors would not have qualified to immigrate to the US had they themselves not already been US citizens.

  1102. @Anatoly Karlin
    @John Johnson

    > The unwanted truths of DNA will become more apparent. Open genealogy projects already try to censor open study.

    DeSci solves this.

    Further out, when one can manipulate the genome and gene expression to "become" White, or POC, or any other race either currently extant or yet to come, all these considerations become moot.

    > I could easily see a scenario where a future White/Hispanic alliance agree to shut down immigration out of common group interest.

    Elite human capital will not endorse this.

    > We could see a scenario where leftists/liberals let them in on the basis that “Whites ruined Africa” or caused climate change.

    But where is the lie?

    > What exactly does this mean? Would America be improved if we let every Haitian move here?

    Specific parts of America might get worse in the short-term.

    However, elite human capital rejects all nationalisms. It is of zero concern what happens to America. Net global welfare is the only relevant criterion.

    Replies: @John Johnson, @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, if you believe that net global welfare is the only relevant criterion, then shouldn’t Russia immediately withdraw from Ukraine, including from Crimea and the Donbass, right now and spend the money that it would have otherwise spent on continuing the war on helping needy people in the Third World or whatever? Ultimately, it would be more effectively altruistic to spend this money on helping Third Worlders (since one dollar of spending goes much further in the Third World than in the First World) than on preventing Crimea and Donbass from getting ethnically cleansed–which, let’s face it, if the experience of post-WWII Germans is any guide, is by no means the worst thing in the world. The expelled Germans generally managed to rebuild their lives in Germany after their expulsions from Eastern Europe, and the same could also apply to any Russians who will get expelled from Crimea and Donbass in the event of a total Ukrainian victory in the current war.

    So, I ask again: Why exactly are you advocating for Russia to continue the war, even only to protect Crimea and Donbass, if you now reject nationalism? After all, you yourself had previously said that it’s irrational for people to be emotionally attached to arbitrary pieces of land. (I suppose that using similar logic, if having the USSR give all of its European territories to Nazi Germany would have saved lives, then it would have been worth doing, right? There would have been much more mass expulsions of Slavs in such a scenario but perhaps less outright murder.)

  1103. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Makes one wonder if the alt-centrism of people like Robert Stark and myself will see a greater rise in popularity in the West once it becomes clear that the Left was lying/mistaken about the causes of human group differences.

    I independently reached a similar conclusion.

    The best way to thread the needle is to have racially aware populists work together while not promoting blank slate liberalism or White nationalism.

    I also do not think that such a movement or party could fully explain itself. Both conservatives and liberals have a very hard time with the idea of being racially aware but not racist.

    The Right I suspect will still suffer from an incompetence problem (Swine Right), especially among their politicians.

    Absolutely agree. Trump was the best hope for the GOP and they talked him out of his centrist positions.

    I've spent a lot of time around conservatives and I have zero hope for them due to their entrenched beliefs on the free market. You can convince them of how funding program Z might actually be beneficial to the public and then two weeks later they flip back to government is always bad.

    I used to hang around a conservative activist and it made me quite cynical of the conservatives doing anything useful and certainly not stopping liberalism. I could spend two hours convincing him that a "free market" position didn't actually make sense and the next day he would shrug over the whole thing and suggest we go out for Chinese. The entire conversation would be ignored in favor of minimal government is more better. Dumbed down politics that ultimately favor liberalism. Intellectual cowardness in the face of harsh and complex truths.

    Then there is the problem whereby half of them think God will fix it all anyways. They view anything outside of minimal government as inherently socialist and possibly even satanistic colluding. You are immediately suspect if you even suggest $1 in government funding.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups. EHC (or at least many of them) would have so strongly bet on the wrong horse in regards to this for such a long time and silenced any wrong-thinkers, that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups.

    They don't buy it amongst themselves but somehow think their lies will continue another 10-20 years until miscegenation somehow smoothes it all out. Or CRISPR will make everyone equal. Science be praised!

    Just go visit any wealthy liberal enclave in this country. Count how many blank slate believers have a Black husband. I was just in one last weekend and didn't see even a Hispanic husband.

    They expect the "little people" to mix with Blacks and Hispanics. This is even true for left-wing Hispanics.

    AOC's husband is on the right:
    https://veryceleb.com/wp-content/uploads/Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-Featured.jpg

    He looks straight out of Gap commercial.

    Anyone who has been around liberals doesn't find this at all surprising. The typical liberal lives in an isolated White area and would like a Gap looking man who drives a Tesla.

    I honestly crack up when Karlin talks about America's "cognitive elite" as if they are really that advanced. He really has no idea as to how full of shit they are and the top among them can't even explain the narrative. In an open forum their race denial falls apart within minutes. That's why we rarely have liberals at Unz. The "cognitive elite" are smart enough to know that their arguments are lies for the masses and not worth debating. If a movement comes along to challenge those arguments they won't stand a chance. Conservatives quietly support their own race denial theories and let the establishment tell their fairy tales.

    that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    What I like is the idea of them pulling a 180 and then demanding we crispr the problem.

    Are liberals going to get on TV and admit they have been lying for decades? But wait!! We have a real solution now!!!! Oh and remaining Whites need to pay for it. Thanks.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

  1104. @Coconuts
    @HeavilyMarbledSteak


    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?
     
    You could say that this is part of the mythology of the French Revolution, but I think you need to look more into where it mainly came from, the bourgeoisie. Another explanation of the Revolution is that it was an aspect of the rise of capitalism and bourgeois power, so you see the bourgeoisie gaining in wealth by secularising church and monastery land, breaking guilds and labour corporations so workers had less bargaining power and protection, increasing centralised power over people's lives and the extensive war fighting that was related to newly intense competition for status, wealth and expansion of French national power.

    It seems less obvious that this stuff was inspired by Jesus, and it is unlike previous revolutions in that the economic/technological and capitalist aspect was more significant. There is also the gradual intellectual impact of the scientific and philosophical revolution started by Descartes, Bacon etc. where you could argue that various segments of French society started to see themselves as Christ like, having a redemptive role in bringing about the perfect society that the kingdom of God represents in this world, via politics.

    These things are not so clearly the teachings of Jesus, maybe even if these teachings are understood as a kind of political/moral allegory without supernatural content.

    Replies: @AP

    Great comment as usual, thank you.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @AP

    This is off-topic, but I do want to say that I have great respect for everything that Christianity accomplished even though I still have a lot of skepticism and doubt about Jesus's alleged resurrection. Maybe Christians' accomplishments throughout history are enough of a reason for one to be a cultural Christian even if one doubts the validity of the Resurrection:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians#:~:text=Cultural%20Christians%20are%20nonreligious%20persons,practicing%20believers%20as%20nominal%20Christians.

    I was raised Jewish until age 8, so it's not *fully* my cup of tea, but it's still very interesting. I do like the fact that Christians don't trace one's religion through either the mother or the father like Jews and Karaites do but instead leave it as a matter of personal choice, though.

  1105. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups. EHC (or at least many of them) would have so strongly bet on the wrong horse in regards to this for such a long time and silenced any wrong-thinkers, that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups.

    They don’t buy it amongst themselves but somehow think their lies will continue another 10-20 years until miscegenation somehow smoothes it all out. Or CRISPR will make everyone equal. Science be praised!

    Just go visit any wealthy liberal enclave in this country. Count how many blank slate believers have a Black husband. I was just in one last weekend and didn’t see even a Hispanic husband.

    They expect the “little people” to mix with Blacks and Hispanics. This is even true for left-wing Hispanics.

    AOC’s husband is on the right:
    He looks straight out of Gap commercial.

    Anyone who has been around liberals doesn’t find this at all surprising. The typical liberal lives in an isolated White area and would like a Gap looking man who drives a Tesla.

    I honestly crack up when Karlin talks about America’s “cognitive elite” as if they are really that advanced. He really has no idea as to how full of shit they are and the top among them can’t even explain the narrative. In an open forum their race denial falls apart within minutes. That’s why we rarely have liberals at Unz. The “cognitive elite” are smart enough to know that their arguments are lies for the masses and not worth debating. If a movement comes along to challenge those arguments they won’t stand a chance. Conservatives quietly support their own race denial theories and let the establishment tell their fairy tales.

    that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    What I like is the idea of them pulling a 180 and then demanding we crispr the problem.

    Are liberals going to get on TV and admit they have been lying for decades? But wait!! We have a real solution now!!!! Oh and remaining Whites need to pay for it. Thanks.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    CRISPR in adults would be considerably more of a challenge than CRISPR in embryos, no?

    And I myself am a race realist liberal (well, alt-centrist or alt-center-left, but close enough) and I don't mind going into the heavily Hispanic areas that are a 20 minutes drive away from me during the daytime. I do live in a heavily white-Asian-elite Persian area, though. 2% black and 10% Hispanic, I think.

    I think that if the Left could actually have an honest discussion about race, then it would make it easier to have a more honest conversation about open borders. For instance, to what extent is criminality genetic and how does it vary by groups? Do certain groups have genes that make them more inclined on average to be criminals and/or crazy? Would the Left support much more open borders if this was combined with extremely extensive genetic testing to keep the bad apples out?

    One could imagine left-leaning alt-centrists offering a deal with the Left for mostly open borders in exchange for extremely extensive genetic screening of immigrants, but good luck actually getting the Left to accept this deal. Similarly, the West could have much more generous guest worker programs if birthright citizenship got scrapped, but the Left doesn't want to do that either.

    The role and effectiveness of racial/ethnic/religious profiling in preventing crime should also be openly debated:

    https://philarchive.org/rec/SESIRP

    I myself am inclined to support racial/ethnic/religious profiling because I don't want either crime or terrorism *and also* because I want to save the maximum number of black lives.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    As a side note: Re: Open borders: There are obviously some true believers in this concept, but I suspect that a good number of Wokes are primarily interested in smart, attractive, and/or somehow other accomplished POC (such as POC sportspeople and POC musicians). Wokes absolutely love POCs but they love the best of the best of the POCs most of all, as far as I can tell. They do have a soft spot for POC criminals due to their love of the noble savage (an Enlightenment idea), but I'm unsure that they would actually want too many POC criminals (per capita) being invited to move into their countries from abroad.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @John Johnson

    AFAIK, This elite human capital is just utilitarian ethics mixed with some transhumanism. It is nothing new under the sun, really - rather a confirmation that nominalism rules... new names for old things.
    Unlike deontology and virtue ethics, utilitarianism has been the original English idea - no wonder it is still popular in English-speaking countries, and yet only there.

  1106. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups.

    They don't buy it amongst themselves but somehow think their lies will continue another 10-20 years until miscegenation somehow smoothes it all out. Or CRISPR will make everyone equal. Science be praised!

    Just go visit any wealthy liberal enclave in this country. Count how many blank slate believers have a Black husband. I was just in one last weekend and didn't see even a Hispanic husband.

    They expect the "little people" to mix with Blacks and Hispanics. This is even true for left-wing Hispanics.

    AOC's husband is on the right:
    https://veryceleb.com/wp-content/uploads/Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-Featured.jpg

    He looks straight out of Gap commercial.

    Anyone who has been around liberals doesn't find this at all surprising. The typical liberal lives in an isolated White area and would like a Gap looking man who drives a Tesla.

    I honestly crack up when Karlin talks about America's "cognitive elite" as if they are really that advanced. He really has no idea as to how full of shit they are and the top among them can't even explain the narrative. In an open forum their race denial falls apart within minutes. That's why we rarely have liberals at Unz. The "cognitive elite" are smart enough to know that their arguments are lies for the masses and not worth debating. If a movement comes along to challenge those arguments they won't stand a chance. Conservatives quietly support their own race denial theories and let the establishment tell their fairy tales.

    that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    What I like is the idea of them pulling a 180 and then demanding we crispr the problem.

    Are liberals going to get on TV and admit they have been lying for decades? But wait!! We have a real solution now!!!! Oh and remaining Whites need to pay for it. Thanks.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

    CRISPR in adults would be considerably more of a challenge than CRISPR in embryos, no?

    And I myself am a race realist liberal (well, alt-centrist or alt-center-left, but close enough) and I don’t mind going into the heavily Hispanic areas that are a 20 minutes drive away from me during the daytime. I do live in a heavily white-Asian-elite Persian area, though. 2% black and 10% Hispanic, I think.

    I think that if the Left could actually have an honest discussion about race, then it would make it easier to have a more honest conversation about open borders. For instance, to what extent is criminality genetic and how does it vary by groups? Do certain groups have genes that make them more inclined on average to be criminals and/or crazy? Would the Left support much more open borders if this was combined with extremely extensive genetic testing to keep the bad apples out?

    One could imagine left-leaning alt-centrists offering a deal with the Left for mostly open borders in exchange for extremely extensive genetic screening of immigrants, but good luck actually getting the Left to accept this deal. Similarly, the West could have much more generous guest worker programs if birthright citizenship got scrapped, but the Left doesn’t want to do that either.

    The role and effectiveness of racial/ethnic/religious profiling in preventing crime should also be openly debated:

    https://philarchive.org/rec/SESIRP

    I myself am inclined to support racial/ethnic/religious profiling because I don’t want either crime or terrorism *and also* because I want to save the maximum number of black lives.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    CRISPR in adults would be considerably more of a challenge than CRISPR in embryos, no?

    Prohibitively expensive in either case if you are talking about changing a population. You would not only need a massive leap in technology but also years of political campaigning. There simply isn't enough time. Even if an overnight leap happened they would still focus on diseases for another decade. Then around 2035 liberals would have to do their grand 180 (ok race is real but we can fix it) and then it would take another 4-5 years to get the legislation passed and technology implemented for the first generation. The grand lie will be resolved before then. The truth will be out or the left will have their Brazil 2 with total dominance of media/government that promotes high levels of miscegenation.

    And I myself am a race realist liberal (well, alt-centrist or alt-center-left, but close enough) and I don’t mind going into the heavily Hispanic areas that are a 20 minutes drive away from me during the daytime.

    I think you are an independent and shouldn't denigrate yourself with the liberal label. The typical liberal is very much controlled by group think and you would be rejected for questioning any of it. Being for government spending of any type doesn't make you a liberal.

    One could imagine left-leaning alt-centrists offering a deal with the Left for mostly open borders in exchange for extremely extensive genetic screening of immigrants, but good luck actually getting the Left to accept this deal.

    I don't see that happening. If the left splits then the populist half will be pro-worker. It simply isn't a pro-worker position to have open borders. The left-wing support of open borders is anti-White in origin. They want to dilute Whites as they see them as the main obstacle to equality, even if it means turning the US into the third world. The left made it clear long ago that they will undermine unions with illegal labor if it means a less White country.

    The left really doesn't believe in what they sell to the public. Meaning that they don't actually believe that they can build a utopia. They see Brazil 2 as their only option. Yes it would be a massive step down in technological advancement but they don't care. Leftists will happily take Favelas over tech companies. Fewer pesky White males and a population that is less resistant to leftist control. What is not to like?

  1107. @AP
    @Coconuts

    Great comment as usual, thank you.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    This is off-topic, but I do want to say that I have great respect for everything that Christianity accomplished even though I still have a lot of skepticism and doubt about Jesus’s alleged resurrection. Maybe Christians’ accomplishments throughout history are enough of a reason for one to be a cultural Christian even if one doubts the validity of the Resurrection:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians#:~:text=Cultural%20Christians%20are%20nonreligious%20persons,practicing%20believers%20as%20nominal%20Christians.

    I was raised Jewish until age 8, so it’s not *fully* my cup of tea, but it’s still very interesting. I do like the fact that Christians don’t trace one’s religion through either the mother or the father like Jews and Karaites do but instead leave it as a matter of personal choice, though.

  1108. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups.

    They don't buy it amongst themselves but somehow think their lies will continue another 10-20 years until miscegenation somehow smoothes it all out. Or CRISPR will make everyone equal. Science be praised!

    Just go visit any wealthy liberal enclave in this country. Count how many blank slate believers have a Black husband. I was just in one last weekend and didn't see even a Hispanic husband.

    They expect the "little people" to mix with Blacks and Hispanics. This is even true for left-wing Hispanics.

    AOC's husband is on the right:
    https://veryceleb.com/wp-content/uploads/Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-Featured.jpg

    He looks straight out of Gap commercial.

    Anyone who has been around liberals doesn't find this at all surprising. The typical liberal lives in an isolated White area and would like a Gap looking man who drives a Tesla.

    I honestly crack up when Karlin talks about America's "cognitive elite" as if they are really that advanced. He really has no idea as to how full of shit they are and the top among them can't even explain the narrative. In an open forum their race denial falls apart within minutes. That's why we rarely have liberals at Unz. The "cognitive elite" are smart enough to know that their arguments are lies for the masses and not worth debating. If a movement comes along to challenge those arguments they won't stand a chance. Conservatives quietly support their own race denial theories and let the establishment tell their fairy tales.

    that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    What I like is the idea of them pulling a 180 and then demanding we crispr the problem.

    Are liberals going to get on TV and admit they have been lying for decades? But wait!! We have a real solution now!!!! Oh and remaining Whites need to pay for it. Thanks.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

    As a side note: Re: Open borders: There are obviously some true believers in this concept, but I suspect that a good number of Wokes are primarily interested in smart, attractive, and/or somehow other accomplished POC (such as POC sportspeople and POC musicians). Wokes absolutely love POCs but they love the best of the best of the POCs most of all, as far as I can tell. They do have a soft spot for POC criminals due to their love of the noble savage (an Enlightenment idea), but I’m unsure that they would actually want too many POC criminals (per capita) being invited to move into their countries from abroad.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    They do have a soft spot for POC criminals due to their love of the noble savage (an Enlightenment idea), but I’m unsure that they would actually want too many POC criminals (per capita) being invited to move into their countries from abroad.

    I'm not saying that liberals would go out of their way to invite millions Africans to the US. Some would but there are enough liberal leaders that would hesitate out of fear that the results would affirm existing stereotypes. Urban liberals (the racial realists) currently want Blacks to outbreed and bringing in millions would not help in that effort. That is partly why so many urban Democrats want an open southern border. They want Hispanics to move into places like West Chicago. Immigration boosts the stats of these areas. They can show a drop in murder rates without actually doing anything.

    The real problem is that all it will take is one cataclysmic event in a country like Nigeria and the liberals will be unable to say no.

    The Africans will literally show up on our shores in barges. The liberals would tell us that we are only taking 5% and it's the Christian/liberal thing to do. Anything involving children would erase any discussion of national interest.

    That is my concern. Some overpopulated African country has a war or climate crisis in a future where Democrats have a veto proof majority. They would tell us that they "compromised" by only taking 7 or 8 million. Europe would of course be expected to take just as many. Future Whites would look back at the "good ol days" when they had a mixed Black population that was mostly urban. If the Feds took in millions of Africans they would have no choice but to spread them everywhere.

    I actually knew someone who lived in an area where they took in Katrina Blacks. The crime rates went up overnight. There were murders over completely stupid stuff. These were people that needed assistance.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1109. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    BTW, I suspect that the credibility of EHC (elite human capital) will take *somewhat* of a hit once their blank slate vision will also decisively become debunked for human groups.

    They don't buy it amongst themselves but somehow think their lies will continue another 10-20 years until miscegenation somehow smoothes it all out. Or CRISPR will make everyone equal. Science be praised!

    Just go visit any wealthy liberal enclave in this country. Count how many blank slate believers have a Black husband. I was just in one last weekend and didn't see even a Hispanic husband.

    They expect the "little people" to mix with Blacks and Hispanics. This is even true for left-wing Hispanics.

    AOC's husband is on the right:
    https://veryceleb.com/wp-content/uploads/Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-Featured.jpg

    He looks straight out of Gap commercial.

    Anyone who has been around liberals doesn't find this at all surprising. The typical liberal lives in an isolated White area and would like a Gap looking man who drives a Tesla.

    I honestly crack up when Karlin talks about America's "cognitive elite" as if they are really that advanced. He really has no idea as to how full of shit they are and the top among them can't even explain the narrative. In an open forum their race denial falls apart within minutes. That's why we rarely have liberals at Unz. The "cognitive elite" are smart enough to know that their arguments are lies for the masses and not worth debating. If a movement comes along to challenge those arguments they won't stand a chance. Conservatives quietly support their own race denial theories and let the establishment tell their fairy tales.

    that for them to ultimately be proven wrong on such a big and important issue I think would indeed cause their credibility to *somewhat* suffer.

    What I like is the idea of them pulling a 180 and then demanding we crispr the problem.

    Are liberals going to get on TV and admit they have been lying for decades? But wait!! We have a real solution now!!!! Oh and remaining Whites need to pay for it. Thanks.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

    AFAIK, This elite human capital is just utilitarian ethics mixed with some transhumanism. It is nothing new under the sun, really – rather a confirmation that nominalism rules… new names for old things.
    Unlike deontology and virtue ethics, utilitarianism has been the original English idea – no wonder it is still popular in English-speaking countries, and yet only there.

  1110. @Mr. XYZ
    @HammerJack

    I'm not considered Jewish according to Jewish law and right-wing Israelis don't want more people such as myself to move to Israel and to acquire Israeli citizenship:

    https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-736186

    Replies: @silviosilver

    You sound like the commenter “Zonk Badonk” in the comments at jpost. I’m guessing it’s you.

    The “Grandparent Clause” is a pretty weird law though. I’d have to side with the religious crowd on that one. They probably feel like they’re already making enough of a concession – ignoring their own religious law and tradition – with just the offspring a Jewish father being allowed in. Unsurprisingly, the secular parties like the grandparent clause.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    The thing is, though, that if one cares about egalitarianism, then the Grandparent Clause actually makes a lot of sense. It isn't very fair to say that a person with one or two Jewish grandmothers but with gentile grandfathers should automatically be allowed to immigrate to Israel but not a person with one or two Jewish grandfathers but with gentile grandmothers. (If one has at least one Jewish grandmother, then technically one would be either the child of a Jew or a Jew by Jewish religious law, depending on the specific grandmother who was Jewish, even if your other three grandparents were gentiles.)

    If anything, I think that Israel should allow one to immigrate to Israel through patrilineal descent for an unlimited number of generations, as it apparently currently does with matrilineal descent. If you're 1,024th Jewish but on the maternal line and can actually prove it (such as through DNA testing, I guess), I suspect that you would indeed be allowed to immigrate to Israel. Elvis Presley likely would have if the information about his maternal line is accurate.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  1111. @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    You sound like the commenter "Zonk Badonk" in the comments at jpost. I'm guessing it's you.

    The "Grandparent Clause" is a pretty weird law though. I'd have to side with the religious crowd on that one. They probably feel like they're already making enough of a concession - ignoring their own religious law and tradition - with just the offspring a Jewish father being allowed in. Unsurprisingly, the secular parties like the grandparent clause.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    The thing is, though, that if one cares about egalitarianism, then the Grandparent Clause actually makes a lot of sense. It isn’t very fair to say that a person with one or two Jewish grandmothers but with gentile grandfathers should automatically be allowed to immigrate to Israel but not a person with one or two Jewish grandfathers but with gentile grandmothers. (If one has at least one Jewish grandmother, then technically one would be either the child of a Jew or a Jew by Jewish religious law, depending on the specific grandmother who was Jewish, even if your other three grandparents were gentiles.)

    If anything, I think that Israel should allow one to immigrate to Israel through patrilineal descent for an unlimited number of generations, as it apparently currently does with matrilineal descent. If you’re 1,024th Jewish but on the maternal line and can actually prove it (such as through DNA testing, I guess), I suspect that you would indeed be allowed to immigrate to Israel. Elvis Presley likely would have if the information about his maternal line is accurate.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    How is Judaism under any obligation to be egalitarian though? Matrilinear descent is very well established, understood by all. You can try and change attitudes to it, but good luck waging your campaign in the face of Israel's ascendent religious ethos.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

  1112. @HeavilyMarbledSteak
    @Coconuts

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn't you say that's obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    It was a continuation of all those Medieval revolutions, with the difference that by this point, Christianity itself was beginning to lose credibility - or Christendom was - so it was framed as an alternative to it. So it's not surprising that belief in Jesus waned even as they were attempting to implement his ideas better.

    To a significant extent liberal modernity is a Christianity-inspired alternative to Christianity, although not entirely, and not that they're getting it right.

    As for my supposed contradictoriness in claiming that bureaucracy and over regulation is standing in the way of new developments, it's true that I certainly don't mean unfettered technological progress of the kind we have now, and maybe I should have been clearer - but there are other kinds of progress, new artistic visions, new visions of how to live, new integrations of life and science, and new kinds of science that transcend the mechanistic.

    Replies: @Coconuts, @John Johnson, @silviosilver

    The French Revolution was about greater justice and equality. Wouldn’t you say that’s obviously inspired by the message of Jesus?

    France had been Christian for well over a thousand years at that point, so no, it’s far from “obvious” that the revolution was inspired by Christianity alone.

    Christianity did preach justice and equality, but those values were encoded in the “great chain of being,” in which everyone had their place and all were equal in the eyes of God.

    It took a lot more than Christianity to inspire the French revolution. But I suppose “reductionism” isn’t so bad when it serves your own cause, eh?

  1113. @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    The thing is, though, that if one cares about egalitarianism, then the Grandparent Clause actually makes a lot of sense. It isn't very fair to say that a person with one or two Jewish grandmothers but with gentile grandfathers should automatically be allowed to immigrate to Israel but not a person with one or two Jewish grandfathers but with gentile grandmothers. (If one has at least one Jewish grandmother, then technically one would be either the child of a Jew or a Jew by Jewish religious law, depending on the specific grandmother who was Jewish, even if your other three grandparents were gentiles.)

    If anything, I think that Israel should allow one to immigrate to Israel through patrilineal descent for an unlimited number of generations, as it apparently currently does with matrilineal descent. If you're 1,024th Jewish but on the maternal line and can actually prove it (such as through DNA testing, I guess), I suspect that you would indeed be allowed to immigrate to Israel. Elvis Presley likely would have if the information about his maternal line is accurate.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    How is Judaism under any obligation to be egalitarian though? Matrilinear descent is very well established, understood by all. You can try and change attitudes to it, but good luck waging your campaign in the face of Israel’s ascendent religious ethos.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    I'm all in favor of reforming the Jewish faith to make it more egalitarian, just like it was previously reformed by some to make it more LGBTQ+friendly and more female-friendly (female rabbis, et cetera). I also support advocating in favor of reforms in other religions whenever necessary.

    If Israel can't be saved from the religious fundies, then I'll start supporting a one-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Israel would have stopped being the second country of my loyalties in such a scenario (though in a conflict between Israel and the US, I would almost always prefer and side with the US). Why be loyal to a country that treats me and people like me like shit?

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    Matrilineal descent is not well established. Patrilineal descent is all over the Torah, in all those genealogies styled as "fathers and sons". The verse upon which matrilinealism was founded, is really flimsy for this reason.
    Judaism became matrilineal when Phoenicians and Canaanites took it over. They were always matrilineal, as all the Great Mother cultures, starting from Minoan Crete. They also brought in cousin marriages, banned in biblical Judaism. The point is that they didn't just add matrilineal descent but excluded patrilineal one.
    Maybe HMS can explain to us where is this deep ethical outlook of rabbinical Judaism when it comes to descent.

    It is they who are named by Revelation as "those who call themselves Jews but are not". Revelation still identifies those to be saved as patrilineal Jewish tribes, save Ephraim and Dan. This is why so many protestants become "judaizers" and the Brits started even to claim they are "British Israel".

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver

  1114. @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    How is Judaism under any obligation to be egalitarian though? Matrilinear descent is very well established, understood by all. You can try and change attitudes to it, but good luck waging your campaign in the face of Israel's ascendent religious ethos.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

    I’m all in favor of reforming the Jewish faith to make it more egalitarian, just like it was previously reformed by some to make it more LGBTQ+friendly and more female-friendly (female rabbis, et cetera). I also support advocating in favor of reforms in other religions whenever necessary.

    If Israel can’t be saved from the religious fundies, then I’ll start supporting a one-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Israel would have stopped being the second country of my loyalties in such a scenario (though in a conflict between Israel and the US, I would almost always prefer and side with the US). Why be loyal to a country that treats me and people like me like shit?

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    Those reforms only ever took in Reform Judaism though, and that sect seems set to dwindle in size and influence in coming decades. (Nothing's set in stone, of course, but it's not looking good.)

    It's gotta suck to have been raised to believe you're part of a group only to be told, "nah, you're really one of us." It's hard to envision a scenario in which the fundies don't wreck Israel, one way or another. Probably best to accept that in your heart and readjust your loyalties accordingly.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @Mr. XYZ

    AFAIK, the rabbis have a special category for you, aka "the seed of Israel". It gives you some extra points when converting to rabbinical Judaism.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    , @Another Polish Perspective
    @Mr. XYZ

    On the other hand, rabbinic Judaism is overall more sympathetic to gays than biblical Judaism. So your choice is tough.

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you...? Isn't it like insisting on being an uninvited guest in the club whose rules state "you do not belong here"...? Gays should be rather happy that they are not Jews, as they can live without guilt (perhaps) which the death sentence (even not fulfilled) bestows upon them..

    https://www.thepinknews.com/2016/11/18/rabbi-shlomo-amar-gay-death-penalty/

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

  1115. @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    I'm all in favor of reforming the Jewish faith to make it more egalitarian, just like it was previously reformed by some to make it more LGBTQ+friendly and more female-friendly (female rabbis, et cetera). I also support advocating in favor of reforms in other religions whenever necessary.

    If Israel can't be saved from the religious fundies, then I'll start supporting a one-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Israel would have stopped being the second country of my loyalties in such a scenario (though in a conflict between Israel and the US, I would almost always prefer and side with the US). Why be loyal to a country that treats me and people like me like shit?

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

    Those reforms only ever took in Reform Judaism though, and that sect seems set to dwindle in size and influence in coming decades. (Nothing’s set in stone, of course, but it’s not looking good.)

    It’s gotta suck to have been raised to believe you’re part of a group only to be told, “nah, you’re really one of us.” It’s hard to envision a scenario in which the fundies don’t wreck Israel, one way or another. Probably best to accept that in your heart and readjust your loyalties accordingly.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    AFAIK, Reform Judaism is actually gaining while Conservative Judaism ("halakha can change/evolve in regards to literally everything other than both patrilineal/bilinear descent and intermarriage") is losing:

    https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2021/06/22/denominational-switching-among-u-s-jews-reform-judaism-has-gained-conservative-judaism-has-lost/

    Orthodox Judaism is gaining most of all due to their likely much higher birth rates, though.

  1116. @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    How is Judaism under any obligation to be egalitarian though? Matrilinear descent is very well established, understood by all. You can try and change attitudes to it, but good luck waging your campaign in the face of Israel's ascendent religious ethos.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Another Polish Perspective

    Matrilineal descent is not well established. Patrilineal descent is all over the Torah, in all those genealogies styled as “fathers and sons”. The verse upon which matrilinealism was founded, is really flimsy for this reason.
    Judaism became matrilineal when Phoenicians and Canaanites took it over. They were always matrilineal, as all the Great Mother cultures, starting from Minoan Crete. They also brought in cousin marriages, banned in biblical Judaism. The point is that they didn’t just add matrilineal descent but excluded patrilineal one.
    Maybe HMS can explain to us where is this deep ethical outlook of rabbinical Judaism when it comes to descent.

    It is they who are named by Revelation as “those who call themselves Jews but are not”. Revelation still identifies those to be saved as patrilineal Jewish tribes, save Ephraim and Dan. This is why so many protestants become “judaizers” and the Brits started even to claim they are “British Israel”.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Here is something fun, a challenge with 100 000$ prize:

    https://www.jpost.com/blogs/torah-commentaries/a-100000-torah-challenge-prove-from-the-written-torah-that-judaism-is-based-on-matrilineal-descent-387424

    "Despite the various declarations of many different rabbis, the oral law is NOT merely an expansion of the ideas presented in the written law. For the most part, the oral law is a direct contradiction to the laws found in the written Torah.

    (...)

    First: If Judaism is based on matrilineal descent, then you must explain: a)How Sarah is the mother of Rebecca b)How Rebecca is the mother of Leah c) How Leah is the mother of the Canaanite woman who married Judah and gave birth to Onan, Er and Selah…(For extra credit: You can explain how Leah is the mother of Judah's daughter in law: Tamar).

    (If you want to claim that Sarah, Rebecca and Leah were not really Jewish, that is okay. Just cite the Book, Chapter and Verse in the Torah which explicitly states they were not really Jewish).

    (...)


    Second: If Judaism is based on matrilineal descent then you must give the names of nine generations of Jewish mothers and daughters:

    So, for example: In The Book of Exodus, chapter 6, lines 16 thru 26, it explains that:….Abraham begat Isaac who begat Jacob who begat Levi who begat Kohath who begat Amram who begat Aaron who begat Eleazar who begat Phinehas.?"

    , @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    Matrilineal descent is not well established.
     
    You're arguing about textual technicalities.

    I'm describing what Jews actually believe. Matrilineal descent is indisputably the prevalent Jewish view on the matter. I have no interest in trying to tell them they're wrong. If you do, feel free to take it up with them.

    It's as though I said "Christians believe Jesus is God" and you butted in with "no, that's wrong, the texts actually blah blah blah....." How is it not obvious to you that this is completely beside the point?

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Mr. XYZ

  1117. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    Matrilineal descent is not well established. Patrilineal descent is all over the Torah, in all those genealogies styled as "fathers and sons". The verse upon which matrilinealism was founded, is really flimsy for this reason.
    Judaism became matrilineal when Phoenicians and Canaanites took it over. They were always matrilineal, as all the Great Mother cultures, starting from Minoan Crete. They also brought in cousin marriages, banned in biblical Judaism. The point is that they didn't just add matrilineal descent but excluded patrilineal one.
    Maybe HMS can explain to us where is this deep ethical outlook of rabbinical Judaism when it comes to descent.

    It is they who are named by Revelation as "those who call themselves Jews but are not". Revelation still identifies those to be saved as patrilineal Jewish tribes, save Ephraim and Dan. This is why so many protestants become "judaizers" and the Brits started even to claim they are "British Israel".

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver

    Here is something fun, a challenge with 100 000$ prize:

    https://www.jpost.com/blogs/torah-commentaries/a-100000-torah-challenge-prove-from-the-written-torah-that-judaism-is-based-on-matrilineal-descent-387424

    “Despite the various declarations of many different rabbis, the oral law is NOT merely an expansion of the ideas presented in the written law. For the most part, the oral law is a direct contradiction to the laws found in the written Torah.

    (…)

    First: If Judaism is based on matrilineal descent, then you must explain: a)How Sarah is the mother of Rebecca b)How Rebecca is the mother of Leah c) How Leah is the mother of the Canaanite woman who married Judah and gave birth to Onan, Er and Selah…(For extra credit: You can explain how Leah is the mother of Judah’s daughter in law: Tamar).

    (If you want to claim that Sarah, Rebecca and Leah were not really Jewish, that is okay. Just cite the Book, Chapter and Verse in the Torah which explicitly states they were not really Jewish).

    (…)

    Second: If Judaism is based on matrilineal descent then you must give the names of nine generations of Jewish mothers and daughters:

    So, for example: In The Book of Exodus, chapter 6, lines 16 thru 26, it explains that:….Abraham begat Isaac who begat Jacob who begat Levi who begat Kohath who begat Amram who begat Aaron who begat Eleazar who begat Phinehas.?”

  1118. @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    I'm all in favor of reforming the Jewish faith to make it more egalitarian, just like it was previously reformed by some to make it more LGBTQ+friendly and more female-friendly (female rabbis, et cetera). I also support advocating in favor of reforms in other religions whenever necessary.

    If Israel can't be saved from the religious fundies, then I'll start supporting a one-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Israel would have stopped being the second country of my loyalties in such a scenario (though in a conflict between Israel and the US, I would almost always prefer and side with the US). Why be loyal to a country that treats me and people like me like shit?

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

    AFAIK, the rabbis have a special category for you, aka “the seed of Israel”. It gives you some extra points when converting to rabbinical Judaism.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Another Polish Perspective

    But I'm of the wrong sex (male), so I can't pass my Jewish status onto my children even if I will convert to Judaism.

    Replies: @silviosilver

  1119. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    Matrilineal descent is not well established. Patrilineal descent is all over the Torah, in all those genealogies styled as "fathers and sons". The verse upon which matrilinealism was founded, is really flimsy for this reason.
    Judaism became matrilineal when Phoenicians and Canaanites took it over. They were always matrilineal, as all the Great Mother cultures, starting from Minoan Crete. They also brought in cousin marriages, banned in biblical Judaism. The point is that they didn't just add matrilineal descent but excluded patrilineal one.
    Maybe HMS can explain to us where is this deep ethical outlook of rabbinical Judaism when it comes to descent.

    It is they who are named by Revelation as "those who call themselves Jews but are not". Revelation still identifies those to be saved as patrilineal Jewish tribes, save Ephraim and Dan. This is why so many protestants become "judaizers" and the Brits started even to claim they are "British Israel".

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @silviosilver

    Matrilineal descent is not well established.

    You’re arguing about textual technicalities.

    I’m describing what Jews actually believe. Matrilineal descent is indisputably the prevalent Jewish view on the matter. I have no interest in trying to tell them they’re wrong. If you do, feel free to take it up with them.

    It’s as though I said “Christians believe Jesus is God” and you butted in with “no, that’s wrong, the texts actually blah blah blah…..” How is it not obvious to you that this is completely beside the point?

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    The comparison is wrong, because matrilineal descent in Judaism is much more contested than Jesus status in Christianity.

    What you are speaking about is the fact that rabbinic Judaism believes unconditionally in matrilineal descent.

    But Judaism is not uniform, and for example Karaites do not recognize matrilineal descent but patrilineal one, as in Torah. Karaites are Jews too under Israeli Law of Return.

    The question is very important since Judaism claims to be a religion of God-given Law (This is why quarrelling about technicalities is part of Judaism essence, not something to be brushed aside), and there is really nothing in written Law which is a warrant for matrilineality, but a lot for patrilineality. Formally, anything not in Torah, also matrilineal descent, is just an "opinion", just one upon which all rabbis happen to agree.

    Your attitude is of someone who doesn't really take this religious Law seriously, and sees this religion only as a set of established social practices.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    , @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    There are cultural Christians who don't believe in Jesus's divinity or at least are agnostic on this question.

  1120. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    Matrilineal descent is not well established.
     
    You're arguing about textual technicalities.

    I'm describing what Jews actually believe. Matrilineal descent is indisputably the prevalent Jewish view on the matter. I have no interest in trying to tell them they're wrong. If you do, feel free to take it up with them.

    It's as though I said "Christians believe Jesus is God" and you butted in with "no, that's wrong, the texts actually blah blah blah....." How is it not obvious to you that this is completely beside the point?

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Mr. XYZ

    The comparison is wrong, because matrilineal descent in Judaism is much more contested than Jesus status in Christianity.

    What you are speaking about is the fact that rabbinic Judaism believes unconditionally in matrilineal descent.

    But Judaism is not uniform, and for example Karaites do not recognize matrilineal descent but patrilineal one, as in Torah. Karaites are Jews too under Israeli Law of Return.

    The question is very important since Judaism claims to be a religion of God-given Law (This is why quarrelling about technicalities is part of Judaism essence, not something to be brushed aside), and there is really nothing in written Law which is a warrant for matrilineality, but a lot for patrilineality. Formally, anything not in Torah, also matrilineal descent, is just an “opinion”, just one upon which all rabbis happen to agree.

    Your attitude is of someone who doesn’t really take this religious Law seriously, and sees this religion only as a set of established social practices.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    But Judaism is not uniform, and for example Karaites do not recognize matrilineal descent but patrilineal one, as in Torah
     
    Oh right, the Karaites - true heavyweights!

    LOL.

    Your attitude is of someone who doesn’t really take this religious Law seriously, and sees this religion only as a set of established social practices.
     
    When it comes to a religion I don't belong to, yes.

    I certainly have no interest in convincing them to give up matrilineal descent. As I suggested, if you want to convince them, you should take it up with them, not with me.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  1121. @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    I'm all in favor of reforming the Jewish faith to make it more egalitarian, just like it was previously reformed by some to make it more LGBTQ+friendly and more female-friendly (female rabbis, et cetera). I also support advocating in favor of reforms in other religions whenever necessary.

    If Israel can't be saved from the religious fundies, then I'll start supporting a one-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Israel would have stopped being the second country of my loyalties in such a scenario (though in a conflict between Israel and the US, I would almost always prefer and side with the US). Why be loyal to a country that treats me and people like me like shit?

    Replies: @silviosilver, @Another Polish Perspective, @Another Polish Perspective

    On the other hand, rabbinic Judaism is overall more sympathetic to gays than biblical Judaism. So your choice is tough.

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you…? Isn’t it like insisting on being an uninvited guest in the club whose rules state “you do not belong here”…? Gays should be rather happy that they are not Jews, as they can live without guilt (perhaps) which the death sentence (even not fulfilled) bestows upon them..

    https://www.thepinknews.com/2016/11/18/rabbi-shlomo-amar-gay-death-penalty/

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @Another Polish Perspective

    I myself am not gay. I overwhelmingly prefer women. Though *some* cross-dressers are nice.

    , @John Johnson
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you…?

    You are basing your opinion of gays on the media. They are not all waiters in the city that prance around and go to gay pride parades.

    Conversion camps exist because so many gays want to be straight. I'm talking about adult camps where grown men convince themselves that they can go straight through Christian therapy. They will go multiple times and spend tens of thousands of dollars.

    The churches unfortunately attract gays as a form of cover. They can use religion as a basis for being unenthused about sex. I remember reading about how they will even try to have large families so the woman doesn't have time for sex by being worn out. I've read quite a bit about this subject because I suspected a closet case and wondered if any of the Christian therapies actually work. All evidence suggests they not only fail but end up connecting closeted gays. The gay camps for teens are an unspoken disaster. Putting horny gay teens in the same camp is not actually a good idea.

    Gays are not 10% of the population but they are out there. Here in rural America we have a gay conservative couple that shows up at the gun store. I had a conservative gay rant to me about how liberals are a bunch of faggots. I'm like....um......ok then.

    What I am getting at is there is an underestimation of how many gays would like to be not only straight but part of the church and community they grew up with.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1122. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver

    The comparison is wrong, because matrilineal descent in Judaism is much more contested than Jesus status in Christianity.

    What you are speaking about is the fact that rabbinic Judaism believes unconditionally in matrilineal descent.

    But Judaism is not uniform, and for example Karaites do not recognize matrilineal descent but patrilineal one, as in Torah. Karaites are Jews too under Israeli Law of Return.

    The question is very important since Judaism claims to be a religion of God-given Law (This is why quarrelling about technicalities is part of Judaism essence, not something to be brushed aside), and there is really nothing in written Law which is a warrant for matrilineality, but a lot for patrilineality. Formally, anything not in Torah, also matrilineal descent, is just an "opinion", just one upon which all rabbis happen to agree.

    Your attitude is of someone who doesn't really take this religious Law seriously, and sees this religion only as a set of established social practices.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    But Judaism is not uniform, and for example Karaites do not recognize matrilineal descent but patrilineal one, as in Torah

    Oh right, the Karaites – true heavyweights!

    LOL.

    Your attitude is of someone who doesn’t really take this religious Law seriously, and sees this religion only as a set of established social practices.

    When it comes to a religion I don’t belong to, yes.

    I certainly have no interest in convincing them to give up matrilineal descent. As I suggested, if you want to convince them, you should take it up with them, not with me.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver


    I certainly have no interest in convincing them to give up matrilineal descent. As I suggested, if you want to convince them, you should take it up with them, not with me.
     
    It is impossible to convince rabbis of anything... even God cannot do that. Judaism is the only religion I know which likes to claim as much independence from God as they could take.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Oven_of_Akhnai

    One could say they really worship themselves, aka "collective Jewry" or "Jewish souls", but that is a matter for discussion with HeavilyMarbledSteak, who luckily is not a rabbi, not you.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

  1123. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    But Judaism is not uniform, and for example Karaites do not recognize matrilineal descent but patrilineal one, as in Torah
     
    Oh right, the Karaites - true heavyweights!

    LOL.

    Your attitude is of someone who doesn’t really take this religious Law seriously, and sees this religion only as a set of established social practices.
     
    When it comes to a religion I don't belong to, yes.

    I certainly have no interest in convincing them to give up matrilineal descent. As I suggested, if you want to convince them, you should take it up with them, not with me.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    I certainly have no interest in convincing them to give up matrilineal descent. As I suggested, if you want to convince them, you should take it up with them, not with me.

    It is impossible to convince rabbis of anything… even God cannot do that. Judaism is the only religion I know which likes to claim as much independence from God as they could take.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Oven_of_Akhnai

    One could say they really worship themselves, aka “collective Jewry” or “Jewish souls”, but that is a matter for discussion with HeavilyMarbledSteak, who luckily is not a rabbi, not you.

    • Replies: @Another Polish Perspective
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Due to "Torah is not in Heaven anymore" concept, God cannot do anything more...!
    Now you can see why rabbis do not bother much with the rest of OT prophetic writings ... they want to be on their own, away from any instructions from God!
    And they are.

  1124. @Another Polish Perspective
    @silviosilver


    I certainly have no interest in convincing them to give up matrilineal descent. As I suggested, if you want to convince them, you should take it up with them, not with me.
     
    It is impossible to convince rabbis of anything... even God cannot do that. Judaism is the only religion I know which likes to claim as much independence from God as they could take.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Oven_of_Akhnai

    One could say they really worship themselves, aka "collective Jewry" or "Jewish souls", but that is a matter for discussion with HeavilyMarbledSteak, who luckily is not a rabbi, not you.

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective

    Due to “Torah is not in Heaven anymore” concept, God cannot do anything more…!
    Now you can see why rabbis do not bother much with the rest of OT prophetic writings … they want to be on their own, away from any instructions from God!
    And they are.

  1125. @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ

    Those reforms only ever took in Reform Judaism though, and that sect seems set to dwindle in size and influence in coming decades. (Nothing's set in stone, of course, but it's not looking good.)

    It's gotta suck to have been raised to believe you're part of a group only to be told, "nah, you're really one of us." It's hard to envision a scenario in which the fundies don't wreck Israel, one way or another. Probably best to accept that in your heart and readjust your loyalties accordingly.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    AFAIK, Reform Judaism is actually gaining while Conservative Judaism (“halakha can change/evolve in regards to literally everything other than both patrilineal/bilinear descent and intermarriage”) is losing:

    https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2021/06/22/denominational-switching-among-u-s-jews-reform-judaism-has-gained-conservative-judaism-has-lost/

    Orthodox Judaism is gaining most of all due to their likely much higher birth rates, though.

  1126. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Mr. XYZ

    AFAIK, the rabbis have a special category for you, aka "the seed of Israel". It gives you some extra points when converting to rabbinical Judaism.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    But I’m of the wrong sex (male), so I can’t pass my Jewish status onto my children even if I will convert to Judaism.

    • Replies: @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ


    But I’m of the wrong sex (male)
     
    Are you sure? :)

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1127. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Mr. XYZ

    On the other hand, rabbinic Judaism is overall more sympathetic to gays than biblical Judaism. So your choice is tough.

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you...? Isn't it like insisting on being an uninvited guest in the club whose rules state "you do not belong here"...? Gays should be rather happy that they are not Jews, as they can live without guilt (perhaps) which the death sentence (even not fulfilled) bestows upon them..

    https://www.thepinknews.com/2016/11/18/rabbi-shlomo-amar-gay-death-penalty/

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    I myself am not gay. I overwhelmingly prefer women. Though *some* cross-dressers are nice.

  1128. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    CRISPR in adults would be considerably more of a challenge than CRISPR in embryos, no?

    And I myself am a race realist liberal (well, alt-centrist or alt-center-left, but close enough) and I don't mind going into the heavily Hispanic areas that are a 20 minutes drive away from me during the daytime. I do live in a heavily white-Asian-elite Persian area, though. 2% black and 10% Hispanic, I think.

    I think that if the Left could actually have an honest discussion about race, then it would make it easier to have a more honest conversation about open borders. For instance, to what extent is criminality genetic and how does it vary by groups? Do certain groups have genes that make them more inclined on average to be criminals and/or crazy? Would the Left support much more open borders if this was combined with extremely extensive genetic testing to keep the bad apples out?

    One could imagine left-leaning alt-centrists offering a deal with the Left for mostly open borders in exchange for extremely extensive genetic screening of immigrants, but good luck actually getting the Left to accept this deal. Similarly, the West could have much more generous guest worker programs if birthright citizenship got scrapped, but the Left doesn't want to do that either.

    The role and effectiveness of racial/ethnic/religious profiling in preventing crime should also be openly debated:

    https://philarchive.org/rec/SESIRP

    I myself am inclined to support racial/ethnic/religious profiling because I don't want either crime or terrorism *and also* because I want to save the maximum number of black lives.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    CRISPR in adults would be considerably more of a challenge than CRISPR in embryos, no?

    Prohibitively expensive in either case if you are talking about changing a population. You would not only need a massive leap in technology but also years of political campaigning. There simply isn’t enough time. Even if an overnight leap happened they would still focus on diseases for another decade. Then around 2035 liberals would have to do their grand 180 (ok race is real but we can fix it) and then it would take another 4-5 years to get the legislation passed and technology implemented for the first generation. The grand lie will be resolved before then. The truth will be out or the left will have their Brazil 2 with total dominance of media/government that promotes high levels of miscegenation.

    And I myself am a race realist liberal (well, alt-centrist or alt-center-left, but close enough) and I don’t mind going into the heavily Hispanic areas that are a 20 minutes drive away from me during the daytime.

    I think you are an independent and shouldn’t denigrate yourself with the liberal label. The typical liberal is very much controlled by group think and you would be rejected for questioning any of it. Being for government spending of any type doesn’t make you a liberal.

    One could imagine left-leaning alt-centrists offering a deal with the Left for mostly open borders in exchange for extremely extensive genetic screening of immigrants, but good luck actually getting the Left to accept this deal.

    I don’t see that happening. If the left splits then the populist half will be pro-worker. It simply isn’t a pro-worker position to have open borders. The left-wing support of open borders is anti-White in origin. They want to dilute Whites as they see them as the main obstacle to equality, even if it means turning the US into the third world. The left made it clear long ago that they will undermine unions with illegal labor if it means a less White country.

    The left really doesn’t believe in what they sell to the public. Meaning that they don’t actually believe that they can build a utopia. They see Brazil 2 as their only option. Yes it would be a massive step down in technological advancement but they don’t care. Leftists will happily take Favelas over tech companies. Fewer pesky White males and a population that is less resistant to leftist control. What is not to like?

  1129. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    As a side note: Re: Open borders: There are obviously some true believers in this concept, but I suspect that a good number of Wokes are primarily interested in smart, attractive, and/or somehow other accomplished POC (such as POC sportspeople and POC musicians). Wokes absolutely love POCs but they love the best of the best of the POCs most of all, as far as I can tell. They do have a soft spot for POC criminals due to their love of the noble savage (an Enlightenment idea), but I'm unsure that they would actually want too many POC criminals (per capita) being invited to move into their countries from abroad.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    They do have a soft spot for POC criminals due to their love of the noble savage (an Enlightenment idea), but I’m unsure that they would actually want too many POC criminals (per capita) being invited to move into their countries from abroad.

    I’m not saying that liberals would go out of their way to invite millions Africans to the US. Some would but there are enough liberal leaders that would hesitate out of fear that the results would affirm existing stereotypes. Urban liberals (the racial realists) currently want Blacks to outbreed and bringing in millions would not help in that effort. That is partly why so many urban Democrats want an open southern border. They want Hispanics to move into places like West Chicago. Immigration boosts the stats of these areas. They can show a drop in murder rates without actually doing anything.

    The real problem is that all it will take is one cataclysmic event in a country like Nigeria and the liberals will be unable to say no.

    The Africans will literally show up on our shores in barges. The liberals would tell us that we are only taking 5% and it’s the Christian/liberal thing to do. Anything involving children would erase any discussion of national interest.

    That is my concern. Some overpopulated African country has a war or climate crisis in a future where Democrats have a veto proof majority. They would tell us that they “compromised” by only taking 7 or 8 million. Europe would of course be expected to take just as many. Future Whites would look back at the “good ol days” when they had a mixed Black population that was mostly urban. If the Feds took in millions of Africans they would have no choice but to spread them everywhere.

    I actually knew someone who lived in an area where they took in Katrina Blacks. The crime rates went up overnight. There were murders over completely stupid stuff. These were people that needed assistance.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Yeah, considering that I myself enjoy living in areas with a single-digit black percentage (any exceptions to this rule, such as Frisco, Texas, would be bare exceptions and would involve elite blacks), I'm not exactly eager to flood the US with non-elite blacks. Maybe I could make an exception for the Igbos since they might be Sub-Saharan Africa's version of the Jews/Brahmins, but otherwise, I'm just very skeptical.

    If Nigeria goes full-on Muslim due to their much higher birth rates, though, then Christians really could want to emigrate from Nigeria en masse to the West. Not only the Igbos, but the Yoruba and other groups as well. Or the West could support armed separatist movements in Nigeria, but that might be unlikely to work out well?

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1130. @Another Polish Perspective
    @Mr. XYZ

    On the other hand, rabbinic Judaism is overall more sympathetic to gays than biblical Judaism. So your choice is tough.

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you...? Isn't it like insisting on being an uninvited guest in the club whose rules state "you do not belong here"...? Gays should be rather happy that they are not Jews, as they can live without guilt (perhaps) which the death sentence (even not fulfilled) bestows upon them..

    https://www.thepinknews.com/2016/11/18/rabbi-shlomo-amar-gay-death-penalty/

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @John Johnson

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you…?

    You are basing your opinion of gays on the media. They are not all waiters in the city that prance around and go to gay pride parades.

    Conversion camps exist because so many gays want to be straight. I’m talking about adult camps where grown men convince themselves that they can go straight through Christian therapy. They will go multiple times and spend tens of thousands of dollars.

    The churches unfortunately attract gays as a form of cover. They can use religion as a basis for being unenthused about sex. I remember reading about how they will even try to have large families so the woman doesn’t have time for sex by being worn out. I’ve read quite a bit about this subject because I suspected a closet case and wondered if any of the Christian therapies actually work. All evidence suggests they not only fail but end up connecting closeted gays. The gay camps for teens are an unspoken disaster. Putting horny gay teens in the same camp is not actually a good idea.

    Gays are not 10% of the population but they are out there. Here in rural America we have a gay conservative couple that shows up at the gun store. I had a conservative gay rant to me about how liberals are a bunch of faggots. I’m like….um……ok then.

    What I am getting at is there is an underestimation of how many gays would like to be not only straight but part of the church and community they grew up with.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    What's quite interesting is that if a gay person was *really* committed to living a straight life, then it would be most effective for them to have an *open* relationship/marriage so that they could still have the kind of sex that they want on the side while also being committed to a traditional marriage. Ethical polyamory that is done with the consent of one's SO/spouse is perfectly permissible by modern ethical and moral standards. Some people are just naturally wired to be polyamorous, after all. Even excluding the whole sexuality aspect of this.

    Interestingly enough, there was an AMA on Reddit about the reverse of this happening: As in, a hot young straight man being engaged to a wealthy older gay man and regularly having sex with him (primarily as a bottom) while also having sex with women on the side with the consent of his boyfriend/fiancé in order to satisfy his own sexual urges and desires.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1131. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    They do have a soft spot for POC criminals due to their love of the noble savage (an Enlightenment idea), but I’m unsure that they would actually want too many POC criminals (per capita) being invited to move into their countries from abroad.

    I'm not saying that liberals would go out of their way to invite millions Africans to the US. Some would but there are enough liberal leaders that would hesitate out of fear that the results would affirm existing stereotypes. Urban liberals (the racial realists) currently want Blacks to outbreed and bringing in millions would not help in that effort. That is partly why so many urban Democrats want an open southern border. They want Hispanics to move into places like West Chicago. Immigration boosts the stats of these areas. They can show a drop in murder rates without actually doing anything.

    The real problem is that all it will take is one cataclysmic event in a country like Nigeria and the liberals will be unable to say no.

    The Africans will literally show up on our shores in barges. The liberals would tell us that we are only taking 5% and it's the Christian/liberal thing to do. Anything involving children would erase any discussion of national interest.

    That is my concern. Some overpopulated African country has a war or climate crisis in a future where Democrats have a veto proof majority. They would tell us that they "compromised" by only taking 7 or 8 million. Europe would of course be expected to take just as many. Future Whites would look back at the "good ol days" when they had a mixed Black population that was mostly urban. If the Feds took in millions of Africans they would have no choice but to spread them everywhere.

    I actually knew someone who lived in an area where they took in Katrina Blacks. The crime rates went up overnight. There were murders over completely stupid stuff. These were people that needed assistance.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Yeah, considering that I myself enjoy living in areas with a single-digit black percentage (any exceptions to this rule, such as Frisco, Texas, would be bare exceptions and would involve elite blacks), I’m not exactly eager to flood the US with non-elite blacks. Maybe I could make an exception for the Igbos since they might be Sub-Saharan Africa’s version of the Jews/Brahmins, but otherwise, I’m just very skeptical.

    If Nigeria goes full-on Muslim due to their much higher birth rates, though, then Christians really could want to emigrate from Nigeria en masse to the West. Not only the Igbos, but the Yoruba and other groups as well. Or the West could support armed separatist movements in Nigeria, but that might be unlikely to work out well?

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    I’m not exactly eager to flood the US with non-elite blacks. Maybe I could make an exception for the Igbos since they might be Sub-Saharan Africa’s version of the Jews/Brahmins, but otherwise, I’m just very skeptical.

    I oppose all immigration from Africa. Selective immigration causes brain drain for Africa and enough of it could easily be dysgenic. They are short medical workers as it is and we are currently importing them to work in Black areas. Race denial madness.

    If Nigeria goes full-on Muslim due to their much higher birth rates, though, then Christians really could want to emigrate from Nigeria en masse to the West.

    Well Christians in general would not like the idea but within a Democrat majority it would be secular liberals making the decision. Liberals view Islam as a non-White religion that can help undermine Christian conservative hegemony. As I said before they would debate and then tell us that 7-8 million is a fair compromise because there are 50 million that would like to come here.

    Or the West could support armed separatist movements in Nigeria, but that might be unlikely to work out well?

    The scenario I am concerned with is one where war or climate causes tens of millions of refugees or starving Africans and a Democrat majority is unable to say no. It would not be preventable by Western intervention.

    I do not believe that such a scenario is avoidable.

    African development is currently based on Western race denial. The "hands off" approach naively assumes that Western intervention has been the problem. It's only a matter of time before an overpopulated African country has a civil war or drought that causes chaos and millions of desperate refugees that want to leave.

  1132. @silviosilver
    @Another Polish Perspective


    Matrilineal descent is not well established.
     
    You're arguing about textual technicalities.

    I'm describing what Jews actually believe. Matrilineal descent is indisputably the prevalent Jewish view on the matter. I have no interest in trying to tell them they're wrong. If you do, feel free to take it up with them.

    It's as though I said "Christians believe Jesus is God" and you butted in with "no, that's wrong, the texts actually blah blah blah....." How is it not obvious to you that this is completely beside the point?

    Replies: @Another Polish Perspective, @Mr. XYZ

    There are cultural Christians who don’t believe in Jesus’s divinity or at least are agnostic on this question.

  1133. @John Johnson
    @Another Polish Perspective

    Nevertheless, why would any gay want to become a member of religion which formally prescribes a death sentences for you…?

    You are basing your opinion of gays on the media. They are not all waiters in the city that prance around and go to gay pride parades.

    Conversion camps exist because so many gays want to be straight. I'm talking about adult camps where grown men convince themselves that they can go straight through Christian therapy. They will go multiple times and spend tens of thousands of dollars.

    The churches unfortunately attract gays as a form of cover. They can use religion as a basis for being unenthused about sex. I remember reading about how they will even try to have large families so the woman doesn't have time for sex by being worn out. I've read quite a bit about this subject because I suspected a closet case and wondered if any of the Christian therapies actually work. All evidence suggests they not only fail but end up connecting closeted gays. The gay camps for teens are an unspoken disaster. Putting horny gay teens in the same camp is not actually a good idea.

    Gays are not 10% of the population but they are out there. Here in rural America we have a gay conservative couple that shows up at the gun store. I had a conservative gay rant to me about how liberals are a bunch of faggots. I'm like....um......ok then.

    What I am getting at is there is an underestimation of how many gays would like to be not only straight but part of the church and community they grew up with.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    What’s quite interesting is that if a gay person was *really* committed to living a straight life, then it would be most effective for them to have an *open* relationship/marriage so that they could still have the kind of sex that they want on the side while also being committed to a traditional marriage. Ethical polyamory that is done with the consent of one’s SO/spouse is perfectly permissible by modern ethical and moral standards. Some people are just naturally wired to be polyamorous, after all. Even excluding the whole sexuality aspect of this.

    Interestingly enough, there was an AMA on Reddit about the reverse of this happening: As in, a hot young straight man being engaged to a wealthy older gay man and regularly having sex with him (primarily as a bottom) while also having sex with women on the side with the consent of his boyfriend/fiancé in order to satisfy his own sexual urges and desires.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    What’s quite interesting is that if a gay person was *really* committed to living a straight life, then it would be most effective for them to have an *open* relationship/marriage so that they could still have the kind of sex that they want on the side while also being committed to a traditional marriage.

    And what kind of woman would go along with that? Certainly not a Christian woman. Liberal women might have LGBQXYZ t-shirts but they have no interest in a man that has sex with men.

    Liberalism is a weekend religion. The typical liberal White woman doesn't actually want to date a sexual abbreviation. In theory they are open to all kinds of men but in reality not at all. They want a straight guy with an F150 or sense of humor. Liberal female standards are already unrealistic and a bisexual man is not on the list. I've known many liberal women and most don't even like men that are vegetarian. They are hopelessly attracted to the very men that they aren't supposed to like. In fact liberal suppression makes their attraction even stronger.

    Interestingly enough, there was an AMA on Reddit about the reverse of this happening: As in, a hot young straight man being engaged to a wealthy older gay man and regularly having sex with him (primarily as a bottom) while also having sex with women on the side with the consent of his boyfriend/fiancé in order to satisfy his own sexual urges and desires.

    Well I'm sure there is an AMA of every possible sexual combination on Reddit. They are amusing but in the real world most men and women are attracted to the opposite sex. Women that want an open relationship are rare and in such a case it would still be very unlikely that she would allow MSM relations. Most women really are wired for not only monogamy but also with a man's man. I would bet that half the women interested in an open relationship are really just unsatisfied with their current man. They really aren't trying to divide their attraction. What they want to do is maintain some aspect of their existing relationship while being primarily attracted to someone else.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

  1134. @Mr. XYZ
    @Another Polish Perspective

    But I'm of the wrong sex (male), so I can't pass my Jewish status onto my children even if I will convert to Judaism.

    Replies: @silviosilver

    But I’m of the wrong sex (male)

    Are you sure? 🙂

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    Yes lol. Why?

    I want to make my body more feminine because I hate body hair and facial hair but Yeah, I've got a male body, unfortunately.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1135. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    Yeah, considering that I myself enjoy living in areas with a single-digit black percentage (any exceptions to this rule, such as Frisco, Texas, would be bare exceptions and would involve elite blacks), I'm not exactly eager to flood the US with non-elite blacks. Maybe I could make an exception for the Igbos since they might be Sub-Saharan Africa's version of the Jews/Brahmins, but otherwise, I'm just very skeptical.

    If Nigeria goes full-on Muslim due to their much higher birth rates, though, then Christians really could want to emigrate from Nigeria en masse to the West. Not only the Igbos, but the Yoruba and other groups as well. Or the West could support armed separatist movements in Nigeria, but that might be unlikely to work out well?

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I’m not exactly eager to flood the US with non-elite blacks. Maybe I could make an exception for the Igbos since they might be Sub-Saharan Africa’s version of the Jews/Brahmins, but otherwise, I’m just very skeptical.

    I oppose all immigration from Africa. Selective immigration causes brain drain for Africa and enough of it could easily be dysgenic. They are short medical workers as it is and we are currently importing them to work in Black areas. Race denial madness.

    If Nigeria goes full-on Muslim due to their much higher birth rates, though, then Christians really could want to emigrate from Nigeria en masse to the West.

    Well Christians in general would not like the idea but within a Democrat majority it would be secular liberals making the decision. Liberals view Islam as a non-White religion that can help undermine Christian conservative hegemony. As I said before they would debate and then tell us that 7-8 million is a fair compromise because there are 50 million that would like to come here.

    Or the West could support armed separatist movements in Nigeria, but that might be unlikely to work out well?

    The scenario I am concerned with is one where war or climate causes tens of millions of refugees or starving Africans and a Democrat majority is unable to say no. It would not be preventable by Western intervention.

    I do not believe that such a scenario is avoidable.

    African development is currently based on Western race denial. The “hands off” approach naively assumes that Western intervention has been the problem. It’s only a matter of time before an overpopulated African country has a civil war or drought that causes chaos and millions of desperate refugees that want to leave.

  1136. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson

    What's quite interesting is that if a gay person was *really* committed to living a straight life, then it would be most effective for them to have an *open* relationship/marriage so that they could still have the kind of sex that they want on the side while also being committed to a traditional marriage. Ethical polyamory that is done with the consent of one's SO/spouse is perfectly permissible by modern ethical and moral standards. Some people are just naturally wired to be polyamorous, after all. Even excluding the whole sexuality aspect of this.

    Interestingly enough, there was an AMA on Reddit about the reverse of this happening: As in, a hot young straight man being engaged to a wealthy older gay man and regularly having sex with him (primarily as a bottom) while also having sex with women on the side with the consent of his boyfriend/fiancé in order to satisfy his own sexual urges and desires.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    What’s quite interesting is that if a gay person was *really* committed to living a straight life, then it would be most effective for them to have an *open* relationship/marriage so that they could still have the kind of sex that they want on the side while also being committed to a traditional marriage.

    And what kind of woman would go along with that? Certainly not a Christian woman. Liberal women might have LGBQXYZ t-shirts but they have no interest in a man that has sex with men.

    Liberalism is a weekend religion. The typical liberal White woman doesn’t actually want to date a sexual abbreviation. In theory they are open to all kinds of men but in reality not at all. They want a straight guy with an F150 or sense of humor. Liberal female standards are already unrealistic and a bisexual man is not on the list. I’ve known many liberal women and most don’t even like men that are vegetarian. They are hopelessly attracted to the very men that they aren’t supposed to like. In fact liberal suppression makes their attraction even stronger.

    Interestingly enough, there was an AMA on Reddit about the reverse of this happening: As in, a hot young straight man being engaged to a wealthy older gay man and regularly having sex with him (primarily as a bottom) while also having sex with women on the side with the consent of his boyfriend/fiancé in order to satisfy his own sexual urges and desires.

    Well I’m sure there is an AMA of every possible sexual combination on Reddit. They are amusing but in the real world most men and women are attracted to the opposite sex. Women that want an open relationship are rare and in such a case it would still be very unlikely that she would allow MSM relations. Most women really are wired for not only monogamy but also with a man’s man. I would bet that half the women interested in an open relationship are really just unsatisfied with their current man. They really aren’t trying to divide their attraction. What they want to do is maintain some aspect of their existing relationship while being primarily attracted to someone else.

    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Certainly not a Christian woman.
     
    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1137. @silviosilver
    @Mr. XYZ


    But I’m of the wrong sex (male)
     
    Are you sure? :)

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Yes lol. Why?

    I want to make my body more feminine because I hate body hair and facial hair but Yeah, I’ve got a male body, unfortunately.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    I want to make my body more feminine because I hate body hair and facial hair but Yeah, I’ve got a male body, unfortunately.

    LOL are you serious?

    Why would you want to make your body more feminine?

    The successful man can rock whatever facial hair he wants. Clean shaven is for interns.

    I had a cop stache for part of the year. My friend had one and I copied him just for laughs.

  1138. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    What’s quite interesting is that if a gay person was *really* committed to living a straight life, then it would be most effective for them to have an *open* relationship/marriage so that they could still have the kind of sex that they want on the side while also being committed to a traditional marriage.

    And what kind of woman would go along with that? Certainly not a Christian woman. Liberal women might have LGBQXYZ t-shirts but they have no interest in a man that has sex with men.

    Liberalism is a weekend religion. The typical liberal White woman doesn't actually want to date a sexual abbreviation. In theory they are open to all kinds of men but in reality not at all. They want a straight guy with an F150 or sense of humor. Liberal female standards are already unrealistic and a bisexual man is not on the list. I've known many liberal women and most don't even like men that are vegetarian. They are hopelessly attracted to the very men that they aren't supposed to like. In fact liberal suppression makes their attraction even stronger.

    Interestingly enough, there was an AMA on Reddit about the reverse of this happening: As in, a hot young straight man being engaged to a wealthy older gay man and regularly having sex with him (primarily as a bottom) while also having sex with women on the side with the consent of his boyfriend/fiancé in order to satisfy his own sexual urges and desires.

    Well I'm sure there is an AMA of every possible sexual combination on Reddit. They are amusing but in the real world most men and women are attracted to the opposite sex. Women that want an open relationship are rare and in such a case it would still be very unlikely that she would allow MSM relations. Most women really are wired for not only monogamy but also with a man's man. I would bet that half the women interested in an open relationship are really just unsatisfied with their current man. They really aren't trying to divide their attraction. What they want to do is maintain some aspect of their existing relationship while being primarily attracted to someone else.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ

    Certainly not a Christian woman.

    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    Oh man you really have not been around these groups. I guess you were raised Jewish?

    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.

    Christian churches already have an abundance of single women that are holding out for a Christian man that doesn't exist. Meaning the numbers are already bad for them and they keep praying. Men are more likely to leave the church or skip service which leads to all these single women.

    Mormons are on another level.

    Mormon women are under immense pressure to marry a Mormon man and nothing less. I went to college with some Mormons and it made me skeptical of it as a positive religion. It's very controlling from birth. The women did not go through "find themselves" stages like American Christian women. Meaning they didn't party or experiment with alternative denominations. These Mormons have their women locked down. It's very much a White nerd mafia. Our dorm had a hot Mormon chick who at 19 was engaged to an overweight nerd. I'm sure his family had a couple businesses like they all do. On the outside it looks like a "family values" church when it is very much controlling like a cult. I honestly think half the men are aware of its true nature and keep it going for utilitarian reasons. They don't want to compete for women on the open market. They exert control on them from a very young age. I also don't like any belief system that turns White men against each other. Mormon men do not view other White men as their equals or even close. It doesn't matter if you are Christian or agnostic. You are not part of the tribe and as such they don't have to apply basic principles to any type of interaction. That is why they have such an awful reputation in business. They quietly think it is acceptable to rip off non-Mormons.

    Replies: @awry, @Mr. XYZ

  1139. Off-topic, but I find it interesting just how closely the Austro-Hungarian internal ethnic borders match with the current national borders in that region:

    The correlation isn’t perfect (Sudetenland, South Tyrol, Vojvodina, et cetera), but it nevertheless is quite significant.

  1140. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Certainly not a Christian woman.
     
    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    Oh man you really have not been around these groups. I guess you were raised Jewish?

    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.

    Christian churches already have an abundance of single women that are holding out for a Christian man that doesn’t exist. Meaning the numbers are already bad for them and they keep praying. Men are more likely to leave the church or skip service which leads to all these single women.

    Mormons are on another level.

    Mormon women are under immense pressure to marry a Mormon man and nothing less. I went to college with some Mormons and it made me skeptical of it as a positive religion. It’s very controlling from birth. The women did not go through “find themselves” stages like American Christian women. Meaning they didn’t party or experiment with alternative denominations. These Mormons have their women locked down. It’s very much a White nerd mafia. Our dorm had a hot Mormon chick who at 19 was engaged to an overweight nerd. I’m sure his family had a couple businesses like they all do. On the outside it looks like a “family values” church when it is very much controlling like a cult. I honestly think half the men are aware of its true nature and keep it going for utilitarian reasons. They don’t want to compete for women on the open market. They exert control on them from a very young age. I also don’t like any belief system that turns White men against each other. Mormon men do not view other White men as their equals or even close. It doesn’t matter if you are Christian or agnostic. You are not part of the tribe and as such they don’t have to apply basic principles to any type of interaction. That is why they have such an awful reputation in business. They quietly think it is acceptable to rip off non-Mormons.

    • Replies: @awry
    @John Johnson


    Mormon men do not view other White men as their equals or even close. It doesn’t matter if you are Christian or agnostic. You are not part of the tribe and as such they don’t have to apply basic principles to any type of interaction. That is why they have such an awful reputation in business. They quietly think it is acceptable to rip off non-Mormons.

     

    Sounds like another tribe, eh?
    , @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.
     
    Gay men can start families with women.

    Replies: @John Johnson

  1141. @Mr. XYZ
    @silviosilver

    Yes lol. Why?

    I want to make my body more feminine because I hate body hair and facial hair but Yeah, I've got a male body, unfortunately.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    I want to make my body more feminine because I hate body hair and facial hair but Yeah, I’ve got a male body, unfortunately.

    LOL are you serious?

    Why would you want to make your body more feminine?

    The successful man can rock whatever facial hair he wants. Clean shaven is for interns.

    I had a cop stache for part of the year. My friend had one and I copied him just for laughs.

  1142. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    Oh man you really have not been around these groups. I guess you were raised Jewish?

    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.

    Christian churches already have an abundance of single women that are holding out for a Christian man that doesn't exist. Meaning the numbers are already bad for them and they keep praying. Men are more likely to leave the church or skip service which leads to all these single women.

    Mormons are on another level.

    Mormon women are under immense pressure to marry a Mormon man and nothing less. I went to college with some Mormons and it made me skeptical of it as a positive religion. It's very controlling from birth. The women did not go through "find themselves" stages like American Christian women. Meaning they didn't party or experiment with alternative denominations. These Mormons have their women locked down. It's very much a White nerd mafia. Our dorm had a hot Mormon chick who at 19 was engaged to an overweight nerd. I'm sure his family had a couple businesses like they all do. On the outside it looks like a "family values" church when it is very much controlling like a cult. I honestly think half the men are aware of its true nature and keep it going for utilitarian reasons. They don't want to compete for women on the open market. They exert control on them from a very young age. I also don't like any belief system that turns White men against each other. Mormon men do not view other White men as their equals or even close. It doesn't matter if you are Christian or agnostic. You are not part of the tribe and as such they don't have to apply basic principles to any type of interaction. That is why they have such an awful reputation in business. They quietly think it is acceptable to rip off non-Mormons.

    Replies: @awry, @Mr. XYZ

    Mormon men do not view other White men as their equals or even close. It doesn’t matter if you are Christian or agnostic. You are not part of the tribe and as such they don’t have to apply basic principles to any type of interaction. That is why they have such an awful reputation in business. They quietly think it is acceptable to rip off non-Mormons.

    Sounds like another tribe, eh?

  1143. @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Devout Christian women actually could if they view gay men such as these as being virtuous and committed to the traditional Christian vision. That includes devout Mormon women.

    Oh man you really have not been around these groups. I guess you were raised Jewish?

    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.

    Christian churches already have an abundance of single women that are holding out for a Christian man that doesn't exist. Meaning the numbers are already bad for them and they keep praying. Men are more likely to leave the church or skip service which leads to all these single women.

    Mormons are on another level.

    Mormon women are under immense pressure to marry a Mormon man and nothing less. I went to college with some Mormons and it made me skeptical of it as a positive religion. It's very controlling from birth. The women did not go through "find themselves" stages like American Christian women. Meaning they didn't party or experiment with alternative denominations. These Mormons have their women locked down. It's very much a White nerd mafia. Our dorm had a hot Mormon chick who at 19 was engaged to an overweight nerd. I'm sure his family had a couple businesses like they all do. On the outside it looks like a "family values" church when it is very much controlling like a cult. I honestly think half the men are aware of its true nature and keep it going for utilitarian reasons. They don't want to compete for women on the open market. They exert control on them from a very young age. I also don't like any belief system that turns White men against each other. Mormon men do not view other White men as their equals or even close. It doesn't matter if you are Christian or agnostic. You are not part of the tribe and as such they don't have to apply basic principles to any type of interaction. That is why they have such an awful reputation in business. They quietly think it is acceptable to rip off non-Mormons.

    Replies: @awry, @Mr. XYZ

    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.

    Gay men can start families with women.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @Mr. XYZ

    Gay men can start families with women by lying to them.

    Women do not want a man that comes home with an STD after sucking c-ck in an alley.

    Straight liberal women fantasize about straight men. It's in their DNA to seek a man that can protect them. A man that sexually submits to other men is the complete opposite. It isn't akin to male fantasies of two women. Their brains don't work that way. I would bet that 90% of even far-left women wouldn't want a man that "experimented" in college. They think man on man is gross. How far-left women vote and who they sleep with are completely different subjects. Half the far-left women I knew in college were banging total assholes that had no interest in politics.

  1144. @Mr. XYZ
    @John Johnson


    Christianity is not the Rotary club. These women have deeply held beliefs and they all hold out for a Christian man that is attracted to them and wants to start a family. They would not accept any type of a relationship with a gay or bisexual man that bottoms on the weekends. They would rather be single.
     
    Gay men can start families with women.

    Replies: @John Johnson

    Gay men can start families with women by lying to them.

    Women do not want a man that comes home with an STD after sucking c-ck in an alley.

    Straight liberal women fantasize about straight men. It’s in their DNA to seek a man that can protect them. A man that sexually submits to other men is the complete opposite. It isn’t akin to male fantasies of two women. Their brains don’t work that way. I would bet that 90% of even far-left women wouldn’t want a man that “experimented” in college. They think man on man is gross. How far-left women vote and who they sleep with are completely different subjects. Half the far-left women I knew in college were banging total assholes that had no interest in politics.

  1145. @Dmitry
    @AP


    s that in 2020 Poles liked most peoples more than they disliked them.
     
    This pedantic. It's a comparatively the most unpopular European nationality, if Russians/Roma are not included as part of Europe.

    For example, in the same survey in 2019 Poles have a lot more dislikes for Ukrainians, than likes. Ukrainians have been one of the most unpopular nationalities in Poland, not just in the previous generations, but in the government survey of 2019.

    https://i.imgur.com/ZSOGlDr.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/rc54YMG.jpg

    https://www.cbos.pl/EN/publications/reports/2019/017_19.pdf


    disliked them. You were wrong when you claimed that Poles viewed Ukrainians as an enemy or disliked them. Clearly, most of them did not.
     
    Comparatively it's the most unpopular nationality for Poles in the 2019/2020 except the Russian/Muslims/Roma.

    Of course, this isn't something that needs to be eternal. The increase of dislike in the recent years was a lot because of PiS controls a lot of media in Poland and they are producing the anti-Ukrainian nationalist media as part of their support for the conservative old part of lower income population of Poland.

    Polish politicians are stereotypically cynical and they use these neurosis of the older generations. In 2022, Poland's media has been doing an anti-German campaign, which has no real logic except in terms of the internal neurosis of the old voters.


    Do you concede that you were wrong when you made this claim?

     

    No because you wrote the quote from the post incorrectly.
    I was
    "There is for every year the war continues, the more negative these long-term trends will be for the country Russia. So, if not all Western countries, at least countries like Poland will hope for the war to continue as many years into the future as they can see their enemies destroy each other."

    This relation of Poland and Ukraine has been more like a "frenemy" in the recent years, at least if we see Poland as the PiS government. This is de facto ally as Poland uses Ukrainian labor, which is a rhetorical target of Poland's politicians and media.

    But alliance is not friendly so much so Poland is not happy for Ukraine to destroy the Russian army and add clouds to the Russian future, despite permanent damage for Ukraine.

    After Ukraine has Melitopol and Mariupol is likely the countries like Poland will support continuing the war for Donetsk or Crimea, as the prioritization for their geopolitics is more weakening Russia than saving lives of Ukrainians.


    Ukraine is grateful for any equipment it gets. And the dangerous equipment it got from Poland was no worse than Ukrainian

     

    "Ukraine is grateful" you mean the Ukrainian government, which is conscripting its citizens, who are often dying because of this equipment.

    If you are the Ukrainian parent of children who are conscripted to army, you are not happy if your children are killed because they were driving in a minefield in a BMP-1 given by Poland, which was already viewed as inadequate in the Yom Kippur War which was 50 years ago and moving deathtrap in the Afghanistan war 40 years ago.

    It's not really different except more people killed, than Chernobyl liquidators who are made to go to contaminated zones by their government without adequate protection.


    It was equipment that Poland itself was using.

     

    It's an ancient dangerous equipment Poland doesn't want to use, was trying to get money from Germany for disposing, while the media was following an anti-German campaign last year.

    PiS has been the most popular party in Poland, and Ukrainians are broadly popular in Poland. So many PiS supporters, are also pro-Ukrainian.

     

    This is a mysterious logic. I don't know if I need to repeat Ukrainians are comparatively the most unpopular European nationality for Poles and this is the PiS demographic, which the PiS politicians use this to create support. They create rhetorical hostility to Ukrainians while continuing the policy of using them as a labor resource. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/second-hand-europe-ukrainian-immigrants-in-poland

    Tusk is not “liberal opposition” but a center-rightist opposition to the right-wing populist government. In American terms he would be a Mitt Romney. Actual liberalism or leftism is a fringe movement in Poland, found in some large cities. These people also support Ukraine for the reasons
     
    "actual liberalism is a fringe movement in Poland". Do you understand the concept liberalism. You can read Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

    Tusk is a liberal, even ideological liberal. It doesn't match exactly to the rhetoric on Fox News etc, but this is his ideology. Also liberalism is not fringe movement in Poland. It's the mainstream views of educated or normal people there.

    Replies: @AP, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Mr. XYZ

    Why do Poles dislike Romanians so much?

    • Replies: @Derer
    @Mr. XYZ

    Because Magyars hate Romanians - they still claim some land taken by Romania - and Polaks are hand in hand with non-Slavic Hungarian Magyars from the past "royalties"; although they do not understand each other. Remember in Hungarian dual empire Magyars accounted for 39% of population the rest were mostly Slavs.

  1146. @Beckow
    @Mr. XYZ


    ...only mean immigrants, not their descendants.
     
    There are ways governments manipulate numbers to make them smaller - or don't publish them at all like in France. I can imagine that if they narrowly restricted it to "citizen of EU born in India", possibly...even in that case it seems too low.

    The actual number are all people: citizens, residents, "students", "refugees", dependents, illegals, who are living in EU or in Poland. That is the only number that matters - I can see why the lib nutcases would desperately try to hide it.

    Admitting people on "work permits"in today's demographic world is a road to hell, you will lose your country over time. They almost always have a way to stay and bring dependents - chain migration that can't be stopped in EU. It lowers incomes and cheapens work.

    Is this done by the "conservative-nationalist" Polish government? It seems that other than hating Russians there is no substance to Polish nationalism. By conservative the Poles mean rehashing the long-gone atavistic and primitive hatreds and their hurt pride. It will not end well - as in the past, the Poles are showing that they are literally the dumbest people on this planet. Or in Europe.

    Replies: @Mr. XYZ, @Derer

    …as in the past, the Poles are showing that they are literally the dumbest people on this planet.

    Agreed. The dummies are still unaware, that when Polish tourist buses in the W. Europe are soiled with tomatoes and eggs, means they are unwelcome.

  1147. @Mr. XYZ
    @Dmitry

    Why do Poles dislike Romanians so much?

    Replies: @Derer

    Because Magyars hate Romanians – they still claim some land taken by Romania – and Polaks are hand in hand with non-Slavic Hungarian Magyars from the past “royalties”; although they do not understand each other. Remember in Hungarian dual empire Magyars accounted for 39% of population the rest were mostly Slavs.

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