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Having established a base on the Syrian coast, Vladimir Putin last week began air strikes on ISIS and other rebel forces seeking to overthrow Bashar Assad.

A longtime ally of Syria, Russia wants to preserve its toehold on the Mediterranean, help Assad repel the threat, and keep the Islamic terrorists out of Damascus.

Russia is also fearful that the fall of Assad would free up the Chechen terrorists in Syria to return to Russia.

In intervening to save Assad, Putin is doing exactly what we are doing to save our imperiled allies in Baghdad and Kabul.

Yet Putin’s intervention has ignited an almost berserk reaction.

John McCain has called for sending the Free Syrian Army surface-to-air missiles to bring down Russian planes. Not only could this lead to a U.S.-Russia clash, but U.S.-backed Syrian rebels have a record of transferring weapons to the al-Qaida affiliate.

The end result of McCain’s initiative, sending Stingers to Syria, could be airliners blown out of the sky across the Middle East.

Hillary Clinton wants the U.S. to create a no-fly zone. And Friday’s Wall Street Journal endorsed the idea:

“Mr. Obama could make Mr. Putin pay a price. … In Syria the U.S. could set up a no-fly zone to create a safe haven for refugees against … Mr. Assad’s barrel bombs. He could say U.S. planes will fly wherever they want, and if one is attacked the U.S. will respond in kind.”

U.S.-Russian dogfights over Syria are just fine with the Journal.

Saturday’s Washington Post seconded the motion, admonishing Obama: “Carve out safe zones. Destroy the helicopter fleet Mr. Assad uses for his war crimes.”

Has the War Party thought this through?

Establishing a no-fly zone over Syria, which means shooting down Syrian fighter-bombers and helicopters, is an act of war. But when did Congress authorize the president to go to war with Syria?

When last Obama requested such authority — in 2013, when chemical weapons were used — the American people arose as one to say no to U.S. intervention. Congress backed away without even voting.

Unprovoked air strikes on Syrian government forces would represent an unauthorized and unconstitutional American war. Does the Party of the Constitution no longer care about the Constitution?

Is a Republican Congress really willing to give Barack Obama a blank check to take us to war with Syria, should he choose to do so?

Is this what America voted for in 2014?

A no-fly zone means U.S. warplanes downing Syrian planes and helicopters and bombing antiaircraft defenses at Syrian airfields.

To Damascus this would mean the Americans have committed to the defeat of their armed forces and downfall of their regime.

The Syrians would fight — and not only the Syrian army. For Russia, Hezbollah and Iran are all allied to the Damascus regime, as all believe they have a vital interest in its survival.

How would Russia, Iran and Hezbollah respond to U.S. air strikes on their ally? Would they pack it in and leave? Is that our experience with these folks?

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Today, the U.S. is conducting strikes on ISIS, and the al-Qaida affiliate. But if we begin to attack the Syrian army or air force, we will be in a new war where the entire Shiite Crescent of Iran, Baghdad, Damascus and Hezbollah, backed by Russia, will be on the other side.

We will have taken the Sunni side in the Sunni-Shiite sectarian long war.

How long such a war would last, and how it would end, no one knows.

Whatever one thinks of Putin’s policy in Syria, at least it makes sense. He is supporting an ally, the Assad regime, against its enemies, who seek to overthrow that regime.

It is U.S. policy in Syria that makes no sense.

We train rebels at immense cost to fight Assad, who cannot or will not fight. We attack ISIS, which also seeks to bring down the Assad regime. And we, too, want to bring down Assad.

Who do we think will rise if Assad falls?

Do we have a “government in a box” that we think we can fly to Damascus and put into power if the Syrian army collapses, the regime falls and ISIS approaches the capital?

Have we forgotten the lesson of “Animal Farm”? When the animals revolt and take over the farm, the pigs wind up in charge.

For months, Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia has called on Congress to debate and decide before we launch any new war in the Middle East.

One wishes him well. For it is obvious that the same blockheads who told us that if the Taliban and Saddam and Gadhafi fell, liberal democracy would arise and flourish, are now clamoring for another American war in Syria to bring down Assad.

And who says stay out? Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, both of whom also opposed the U.S. invasion of Iraq.

There is something to be said for outsiders.

帕特里克·J·布坎南(Patrick J. Buchanan)是新书《最伟大的复出:理查德·尼克松如何从失败中崛起,创造新的多数派》的作者。

 
• 类别: 对外政策 •标签: 新保守主义者, 俄罗斯, 叙利亚 
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  1. mikhas 说:

    正如布里德洛夫将军(!)两天前承认的那样,俄罗斯除了叙利亚强大的防空系统(包括 S-2、BUK 和 Pantsir)之外,还为叙利亚提供了 S-400 的覆盖,也就是说,布里德洛夫(!) )再次:“美国和北约都不会反对设立禁飞区”。

    CNN & Co 出现了很多混乱、保全面子的措施和烟幕弹,但事实是,自俄罗斯一星将军以来,美国和北约都没有侵犯叙利亚领空,就在俄罗斯袭击西方支持的恐怖分子之前 1 小时,走到巴格达的美国人面前,命令他们不要靠近。

  2. Kamran 说:

    我向全能的上帝发誓,如果再有一位分析师使用“什叶派新月”这个词,我会开车去他们家,把烤肉串扔到他们脸上。

    • 回复: @Digital Samizdat
  3. alexander 说:

    亲爱的布坎南先生,

    看来我们在中东的总体战略与任何美国国家利益的关系绝对为零。

    除非有人认为国家利益导致美国破产,否则我们做得非常出色。

    极品!

    Currently we are running a mind staggering 19 trillion dollar national debt….fully two thirds of that debt (13 trillion dollars) has been accrued over the last 14 years..

    这是淫秽的。

    看来希拉里·克林顿和约翰·麦凯恩都对美国的利益根本没有真正的了解。

    为什么继续消灭我们的国家偿付能力以摧毁中东另一个从未攻击过我们、也从未打算攻击我们的国家对美国来说很重要?

    这看起来非常愚蠢。

    Doesn’t it seem profoundly imbecilic to you?

    • 回复: @Realist
    , @Max Payne
  4. rhetorical questions unnecessary. If the Zionist-stooge, Sanhedrin-owned politicians who inhabit the current upper echelon of the Universal Demoncratrepubliscam Party attempt a “no-fly zone” against Russian aircraft over Syria, most of the northern hemisphere will shortly become highly radioactive. Bernie is looking better by the minute

    • 回复: @RobinG
  5. unit472 说:

    I was always puzzled as to why the US had to see off Islamic State. Barbaric they maybe but they are Iran’s problem not ours. Obama even called them, mistakenly, a junior varsity team back when he was embarrassed by a laughing negro warlord’s video threatening to sell into slavery 200 captured Nigerian school girls.

    If anything Obama’s war on ISIS has bolstered their standing in the Sunni world. Boko Haram has declared its allegiance to the Islamic State and even Taliban forces have declared their loyalty to the ‘junior varsity’ team.

    I think Putin has made a grave mistake intervening on behalf of Iran and Assad. Sunnis are the dominant branch of Islam and trying to turn an Arab/Sunni state into part of the Iranian empire is not a winning bet over the long term. For the US and Europe, Islamic state was a convenient sump into which Sunni radicals around the world could drain. One has only to look at the number of suicide bombings these guys can pull off month after month in Syria and Iraq to realize they are best left alone. If Putin thinks he can defeat Sunni Islam with a squadron of fighterbombers and a tiny garrison in Alawite province let this genius try his luck. My guess is Russia is going to regret it when Moscow starts to resemble Baghdad!

    • 回复: @Hunsdon
  6. Sherman 说:

    Putin’s policy does not make sense.

    He is propping up a wildly unpopular tyrant and he is creating bad will for Russia throughout much of the Arab and Muslim world.

    However, if he wants to waste valuable blood and resources on behalf of Assad that’s his business.

    I thought he would have learned from our misadventures in the Mideast.

    • 不同意: Realist
    • 回复: @eric
    , @greysquirrell
  7. Realist 说:

    In intervening to save Assad, Putin is doing exactly what we are doing to save our imperiled leeches in Baghdad and Kabul..

    菲菲

    “John McCain has called for sending the Free Syrian Army surface-to-air missiles to bring down Russian planes. Not only could this lead to a U.S.-Russia clash, but U.S.-backed Syrian rebels have a record of transferring weapons to the al-Qaida affiliate.”

    The most egregious thing North Vietnam did to the US was sending McCain back.

    “Has the War Party thought this through?”

    Absolutely. There is big bucks in producing war materiel.. Greed and power is the name of the game.

    “Is this what America voted for in 2014?”

    America: Where idiots elect assholes.

    • 回复: @Digital Samizdat
  8. Realist 说:
    @alexander

    “Why is it important to the United States to continue to exterminate our National Solvency in order to destroy another country in the middle east that never attacked us and never intended to ?”

    I agree with your comments but there are BIG bucks in war. Daddy War Bucks lives.

  9. Digital Samizdat [又名“西莫·帕德莱格”] 说:
    @Realist

    The most egregious thing North Vietnam did to the US was sending McCain back.

    So true! John McCain: the Hanoi Candidate.

  10. Digital Samizdat [又名“西莫·帕德莱格”] 说:
    @Kamran

    我向全能的上帝发誓,如果再有一位分析师使用“什叶派新月”这个词,我会开车去他们家,把烤肉串扔到他们脸上。

    哈! 好一个

    Personally, I prefer the term ‘Axis of Resistance’ myself.

  11. Max Payne 说:
    @alexander

    为什么继续消灭我们的国家偿付能力以摧毁中东另一个从未攻击过我们、也从未打算攻击我们的国家对美国来说很重要?

    因为这对以色列有帮助。已经开始使用该程序了。

    • 回复: @alexander
  12. Renoman 说:

    Remind me again, when was the last time America won a war? Most of the World’s soldiers regard the Americans as incompetent fools.

    • 回复: @Realist
    , @woodNfish
  13. Hunsdon 说:
    @unit472

    Well, someone’s going to look like a fool soon. It might be you, it might be me. But you really think Moscow will start resembling Baghdad because of Sunni suicide bombers?

  14. Jefferson 说:

    大多数统治华盛顿的精英都希望让尽可能多的叙利亚人和其他敌对的第三世界穆斯林涌入欧洲和美国,同时他们又想谋杀尽可能多的俄罗斯人。

    华盛顿的大多数精英认为,与俄罗斯相比,伊斯兰国是两害相权取其轻。这就是为什么他们对弗拉基米尔·普京的言辞比对伊斯兰国的严厉。

    • 回复: @Kamran
  15. RobinG 说:
    @Haxo Angmark

    This shows how desperate you are. Bernie’s big idea is to have the Saudis do more. Please, haven’t they done enough? And Bernie’s a Zionist; he just keeps a low profile about that.

    https://theintercept.com/2015/10/05/dissent-on-israel-not-permitted-at-bernie-sanders-event/

    摘抄:
    To a certain extent, the episode reflects an underlying tension between Sanders’ base of young progressives and his comparatively friendly posture toward Israel. A 2014 Pew Research Center poll found minority and millennial Democrats markedly more critical of Israeli military actions. At a town hall event last August, Sanders lost his temper with supporters who had interrupted him to question him about U.S. support for Israel, telling them to “shut up,” and attempting to change the subject to ISIS. During Israel’s 2014 military campaign against the Gaza Strip a plurality of Democrats described the action as “unjustified,” while Sanders was part of the unanimous Senate consent supporting Israel’s actions. He has continued to defend the “Protective Edge” operation as a legitimate act of self-defense, albeit one in which Israel “overreacted.”

  16. 现在的政策不是2014年开始的,是美国的模板,50年前就开始了,更早的时候,美国建立了这些独裁者,最后剧本就用完了。他们都被千方百计地扔了出去。美国随后除掉了萨达姆,他们将萨达姆与伊朗挂钩,同时暗中支持伊朗(还记得罗纳德的枪换毒品吗???)。然后一切都崩溃了,这就是我们现在所拥有的。这些政策不是昨天开始的……

  17. Realist 说:
    @Renoman

    “Remind me again, when was the last time America won a war?”

    It has been awhile. But the last legitimate war America was in, was in 1812

  18. eric 说:
    @Sherman

    I don’t know that Assad is so unpopular in Syria like he is in the USA . He offered to stand for election but United States says he must leave the country and can’t run .

    • 同意: Realist
  19. MEexpert 说:

    I have a suggestion. Let Putin offer a compromise proposal to Obama.

    I (Putin) will allow a regime change in Syria, if you (Obama) will do the same in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, and Israel.

    问题解决了。

  20. Kamran 说:
    @Jefferson

    是的,我确信这一切都在锡安长老的协议中的某个地方......

  21. woodNfish 说:
    @Renoman

    Most of the World’s soldiers regard the Americans as incompetent fools.

    Do they? And you know this, how?

  22. Charron 说:

    Tonight I witnessed a journalist from NBC interviewing Pres Obama. This journalist kept prodding Pres Obama and taunting him that Putin was showing him up. As I kid I can remember other kids trying to get a couple kids to fight by telling one that the other kid was making him look bad. This is kid behavior but on this scale it is equivalent to baiting us into a nuclear war. This is sick.

    Then Pres Obama states in a questioning and answerseesion that Assad must go because he is a terrible dictator and oppresses his people and his people hate him. In 2014 Assad got 88% of the votes. Okay maybe the 88% can be suspect. Still Assad has been fighting against the rebels for four or more years, to do this he must have the support of a lot of people. Especially after we have stated that we welcomed the overthrow of Assad, which certainly would encourage rebellion. Then the syrian Kurdish leader has said while he did not like assad he wanted to see him remain in power, and the Catholic Patriarch of Syria has been pleading the U.S. not to push for the overthrow of Assad because the Christians in syria would then be massacred. None of this was brought up by Obama nor any “journalist.”

    Finally we have Ash Carter warning the Russians that by getting involved militarily would lead to terrorist attacks on Russia. Utterly fantastic as we categorically that our policies and military intervention in the Middle East was responsible for the terrorist attacks on us. No our bombing the Muslim’s was not the reason we have been targets of terrorists. But as soon as Russia does something immediately we advertise the linkage. We are not an exceptional people, we are a pathetic people. We have no men of stature in either party.

  23. simonsays 说:

    他们试图将毒气与阿萨德挂钩,而这只是简单的伊斯兰国。麦凯恩就像打破了自由叙利亚叛乱分子的记录一样,而对伊拉克来说,增援是有效的。重复重复。麦凯恩拥有。

  24. @Sherman

    To the contrary Assad is preferred over the Rebels by the minorities in Syria. A delegation of Christian leaders were in Washington last year or maybee it was earlier this year imploring US political leaders not to support the Rebels. Hezbollah which is supporting Assad has very recently joined up with Christians in Lebanon and is aiding them to resist ISIS.

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